The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Washington page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Washington

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		50.4
Current RPI:		55
Expected SOS:		55
Current SOS:		40
Current Record:		16-7
Expected Record:		21-9
Current Conf Record:		6-5
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		10-2
Expected OOC Record:		10-2
Expected OOC RPI:		20
Expected OOC SOS:		34

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-7	26.9	3.86%
22-8	36.2	20.34%
21-9	46.7	33.70%
20-10	57.1	26.82%
19-11	68.2	11.90%
18-12	80.8	2.95%
17-13	96.0	0.39%
16-14	112.3	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Washington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	74-69	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	H	96-78	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Portland St. (210.1)	BSky	H	111-55	W	100%	0.0
11-20	San Jose St. (141.9)	WAC	H	80-70	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Montana (102.5)	BSky	H	63-59	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	A	92-99	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Cal St. Northridge (225.5)	BW	H	88-76	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	N	66-74	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Portland (84.3)	WCC	H	89-54	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	H	73-64	W	100%	0.0
12-27	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	H	86-71	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	H	76-70	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Oregon (152.1)	P10	H	79-90	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	A	51-68	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	70-87	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Stanford (173.0)	P10	H	94-61	W	100%	0.0
1-16	California (24.1)	P10	H	84-69	W	100%	0.0
1-21	UCLA (146.7)	P10	A	61-62	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Southern California (81.0)	P10	A	61-87	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Seattle (222.4)	ind	H	123-76	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	H	92-64	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Arizona (81.7)	P10	H	81-75	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Arizona St. (71.5)	P10	H	79-56	W	100%	0.0
2-11	California (24.1)	P10	A	0-0		27%	-6.6
2-13	Stanford (173.0)	P10	A	0-0		66%	4.4
2-18	Southern California (81.0)	P10	H	0-0		76%	7.6
2-20	UCLA (146.7)	P10	H	0-0		90%	14.1
2-27	Washington St. (111.0)	P10	A	0-0		62%	3.4
3-4	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	0-0		69%	5.2
3-6	Oregon St. (202.8)	P10	A	0-0		76%	7.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Washington's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Washington's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Washington.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	26.29	26.35	64.00	67.64	7.36	9.29
Arizona St.	P10	4.88	4.26	68.18	68.96	1.77	1.61
Arizona	P10	4.83	4.22	52.38	53.92	0.23	0.33
Washington St.	P10	2.88	4.25	66.67	61.74	0.96	1.00
Stanford	P10	2.84	4.28	45.45	44.95	-0.26	-0.43
Oregon	P10	2.80	4.29	52.38	47.60	0.13	-0.21
UCLA	P10	2.80	4.25	45.45	43.00	-0.25	-0.60
Oregon St.	P10	2.79	4.28	47.62	42.30	-0.13	-0.66
California	P10	2.74	4.22	68.18	70.71	1.00	1.75
Southern California	P10	2.74	4.22	59.09	59.43	0.50	0.80
Portland St.	BSky	2.51	1.98	40.00	41.11	-0.50	-0.35
Seattle	ind	2.42	1.90	47.83	50.50	-0.11	0.02
Portland	WCC	2.42	1.90	65.00	68.21	0.73	0.69
San Francisco	WCC	2.37	1.81	33.33	33.55	-0.79	-0.60
Texas Tech	B12	2.32	1.84	66.67	57.89	0.77	0.29
Montana	BSky	2.28	1.78	71.43	73.17	0.98	0.83
Belmont	ASun	2.27	1.72	62.50	66.03	0.57	0.55
Wright St.	Horz	2.27	1.72	65.22	67.58	0.69	0.61
Cal St. Northridge	BW	2.26	1.72	40.91	44.74	-0.41	-0.18
San Jose St.	WAC	2.22	1.72	52.38	49.86	0.11	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	2.22	1.72	76.19	69.24	1.16	0.66
Georgetown	BE	2.17	1.67	76.19	72.41	1.14	0.75
St. Mary's	WCC	0.35	0.29	86.96	84.62	0.26	0.20
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.34	0.27	18.18	19.18	-0.22	-0.16
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	30.43	29.01	-0.12	-0.12
Idaho	WAC	0.29	0.26	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.29	0.27	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.29	0.23	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.25	0.23	19.05	24.00	-0.15	-0.12
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.24	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.08
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.25	0.18	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.25	22.73	21.40	-0.13	-0.14
Cal Poly	BW	0.24	0.20	36.36	36.06	-0.07	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.24	0.20	69.57	63.55	0.09	0.05
UC Riverside	BW	0.24	0.17	33.33	36.45	-0.08	-0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.23	0.14	87.50	87.42	0.18	0.10
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.23	0.19	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.18	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.12
Pepperdine	WCC	0.20	0.21	27.27	25.31	-0.09	-0.10
Montana St.	BSky	0.20	0.24	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.20	0.15	79.17	78.03	0.12	0.09
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.15	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.17	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Denver	SB	0.19	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.19	0.17	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.13	0.06
Oklahoma	B12	0.19	0.17	59.09	51.13	0.04	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.19	0.14	36.36	40.08	-0.05	-0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.19	0.22	35.00	33.21	-0.06	-0.07
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.20	95.65	91.32	0.17	0.16
Butler	Horz	0.19	0.14	83.33	83.91	0.12	0.09
Texas Christian	MWC	0.19	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.19	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.18	0.11	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.15	0.12	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.17	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.08
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.08
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.15	0.11	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.01
Texas	B12	0.15	0.17	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.10
Pacific	BW	0.14	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.05	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.14	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.14	0.11	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.14	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.17	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.08
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.11	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.08	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.13	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.06
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.06
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.07
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.10	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.08	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.08	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.09
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.09	0.11	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.03	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.03
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.04	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.04	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.04	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.04	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.04	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.04	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	26.29	26.35	64.00	67.64	7.36	9.29
Oregon	P10	2.80	4.29	52.38	47.60	0.13	-0.21
Stanford	P10	2.84	4.28	45.45	44.95	-0.26	-0.43
Oregon St.	P10	2.79	4.28	47.62	42.30	-0.13	-0.66
Arizona St.	P10	4.88	4.26	68.18	68.96	1.77	1.61
UCLA	P10	2.80	4.25	45.45	43.00	-0.25	-0.60
Washington St.	P10	2.88	4.25	66.67	61.74	0.96	1.00
Southern California	P10	2.74	4.22	59.09	59.43	0.50	0.80
Arizona	P10	4.83	4.22	52.38	53.92	0.23	0.33
California	P10	2.74	4.22	68.18	70.71	1.00	1.75
Portland St.	BSky	2.51	1.98	40.00	41.11	-0.50	-0.35
Portland	WCC	2.42	1.90	65.00	68.21	0.73	0.69
Seattle	ind	2.42	1.90	47.83	50.50	-0.11	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	2.32	1.84	66.67	57.89	0.77	0.29
San Francisco	WCC	2.37	1.81	33.33	33.55	-0.79	-0.60
Montana	BSky	2.28	1.78	71.43	73.17	0.98	0.83
San Jose St.	WAC	2.22	1.72	52.38	49.86	0.11	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	2.27	1.72	62.50	66.03	0.57	0.55
Wright St.	Horz	2.27	1.72	65.22	67.58	0.69	0.61
Texas A&M	B12	2.22	1.72	76.19	69.24	1.16	0.66
Cal St. Northridge	BW	2.26	1.72	40.91	44.74	-0.41	-0.18
Georgetown	BE	2.17	1.67	76.19	72.41	1.14	0.75
St. Mary's	WCC	0.35	0.29	86.96	84.62	0.26	0.20
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.29	30.43	29.01	-0.12	-0.12
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.29	0.27	47.83	44.39	-0.01	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.34	0.27	18.18	19.18	-0.22	-0.16
Idaho	WAC	0.29	0.26	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.25	22.73	21.40	-0.13	-0.14
Montana St.	BSky	0.20	0.24	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.24	33.33	33.43	-0.08	-0.08
Idaho St.	BSky	0.25	0.23	19.05	24.00	-0.15	-0.12
Colorado	B12	0.29	0.23	42.86	40.56	-0.04	-0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.19	0.22	35.00	33.21	-0.06	-0.07
Pepperdine	WCC	0.20	0.21	27.27	25.31	-0.09	-0.10
Cal Poly	BW	0.24	0.20	36.36	36.06	-0.07	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.24	0.20	69.57	63.55	0.09	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.20	95.65	91.32	0.17	0.16
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.23	0.19	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.18	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.12
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.25	0.18	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.17	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.19	0.17	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.24	0.17	33.33	36.45	-0.08	-0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.19	0.17	59.09	51.13	0.04	0.00
Texas	B12	0.15	0.17	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.10
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.17	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.08
Nebraska	B12	0.15	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.17	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.20	0.15	79.17	78.03	0.12	0.09
Santa Clara	WCC	0.15	0.15	33.33	34.27	-0.05	-0.05
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.15	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.23	0.14	87.50	87.42	0.18	0.10
Butler	Horz	0.19	0.14	83.33	83.91	0.12	0.09
UC Irvine	BW	0.19	0.14	36.36	40.08	-0.05	-0.03
Pacific	BW	0.14	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.05	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.14	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.15	0.12	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.19	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.13	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.15	0.11	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.09
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.11	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.08
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.14	0.11	39.13	35.38	-0.03	-0.03
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.11	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.06
Jacksonville	ASun	0.13	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.18	0.11	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.14	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.05	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.09	0.11	45.00	48.63	-0.01	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.11	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.14	0.11	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.19	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.06
Texas Christian	MWC	0.19	0.11	40.91	38.27	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.09	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.06
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.08	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.08	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Texas St.	Slnd	0.14	0.08	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.10	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.10	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.05	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.10	0.06	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.09	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.04	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.04	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.04	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.03	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.04	0.06	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.05	30.00	31.79	-0.04	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.02	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.04	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.04	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.04	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.04	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.00	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.03	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	26.29	26.35	64.00	67.64	7.36	9.29
Arizona St.	P10	4.88	4.26	68.18	68.96	1.77	1.61
Texas A&M	B12	2.22	1.72	76.19	69.24	1.16	0.66
Georgetown	BE	2.17	1.67	76.19	72.41	1.14	0.75
California	P10	2.74	4.22	68.18	70.71	1.00	1.75
Montana	BSky	2.28	1.78	71.43	73.17	0.98	0.83
Washington St.	P10	2.88	4.25	66.67	61.74	0.96	1.00
Texas Tech	B12	2.32	1.84	66.67	57.89	0.77	0.29
Portland	WCC	2.42	1.90	65.00	68.21	0.73	0.69
Wright St.	Horz	2.27	1.72	65.22	67.58	0.69	0.61
Belmont	ASun	2.27	1.72	62.50	66.03	0.57	0.55
Southern California	P10	2.74	4.22	59.09	59.43	0.50	0.80
St. Mary's	WCC	0.35	0.29	86.96	84.62	0.26	0.20
Arizona	P10	4.83	4.22	52.38	53.92	0.23	0.33
Brigham Young	MWC	0.23	0.14	87.50	87.42	0.18	0.10
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.20	95.65	91.32	0.17	0.16
Oregon	P10	2.80	4.29	52.38	47.60	0.13	-0.21
Gonzaga	WCC	0.20	0.18	81.82	83.61	0.13	0.12
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.13	0.06
Butler	Horz	0.19	0.14	83.33	83.91	0.12	0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.20	0.15	79.17	78.03	0.12	0.09
New Mexico	MWC	0.15	0.11	87.50	83.52	0.11	0.08
San Jose St.	WAC	2.22	1.72	52.38	49.86	0.11	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.15	0.17	82.61	78.76	0.10	0.10
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.24	0.20	69.57	63.55	0.09	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.14	0.11	81.82	80.91	0.09	0.07
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.11	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.09
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.06
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.17	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.08
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.11	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.07
San Diego St.	MWC	0.19	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.06	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Pacific	BW	0.14	0.14	68.18	68.10	0.05	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.05	0.03
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.23	0.19	60.00	59.64	0.05	0.04
Weber St.	BSky	0.20	0.15	61.90	65.04	0.05	0.05
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.19	0.12	60.87	59.58	0.04	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.17	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.19	0.17	59.09	51.13	0.04	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.15	0.11	61.90	56.37	0.03	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.08	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	73.91	76.66	0.02	0.03