The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Washington page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Washington

Conference:		P10
Expected RPI:		48.4
Current RPI:		50
Expected SOS:		69
Current SOS:		64
Current Record:		22-9
Expected Record:		23-9
Current Conf Record:		12-7
Expected Conf Record:		13-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		13-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		3-0
Current OOC Record:		10-2
Expected OOC Record:		10-2
Expected OOC RPI:		23
Expected OOC SOS:		41

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-9	47.1	83.35%
22-10	54.8	16.65%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Washington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Wright St. (80.8)	Horz	H	74-69	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Belmont (136.4)	ASun	H	96-78	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Portland St. (221.1)	BSky	H	111-55	W	100%	0.0
11-20	San Jose St. (177.2)	WAC	H	80-70	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Montana (95.6)	BSky	H	63-59	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Texas Tech (71.0)	B12	A	92-99	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Cal St. Northridge (251.5)	BW	H	88-76	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Georgetown (8.4)	BE	N	66-74	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Portland (79.3)	WCC	H	89-54	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Texas A&M (12.8)	B12	H	73-64	W	100%	0.0
12-27	San Francisco (206.7)	WCC	H	86-71	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Oregon St. (184.4)	P10	H	76-70	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Oregon (138.3)	P10	H	79-90	L	0%	0.0
1-8	Arizona St. (63.1)	P10	A	51-68	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Arizona (94.2)	P10	A	70-87	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Stanford (160.3)	P10	H	94-61	W	100%	0.0
1-16	California (20.5)	P10	H	84-69	W	100%	0.0
1-21	UCLA (135.8)	P10	A	61-62	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Southern California (111.6)	P10	A	61-87	L	0%	0.0
1-26	Seattle (191.8)	ind	H	123-76	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Washington St. (162.4)	P10	H	92-64	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Arizona (94.2)	P10	H	81-75	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Arizona St. (63.1)	P10	H	79-56	W	100%	0.0
2-11	California (20.5)	P10	A	81-93	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Stanford (160.3)	P10	A	78-61	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Southern California (111.6)	P10	H	64-67	L	0%	0.0
2-20	UCLA (135.8)	P10	H	97-68	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Washington St. (162.4)	P10	A	59-52	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Oregon (138.3)	P10	A	86-72	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Oregon St. (184.4)	P10	A	82-70	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Oregon St. (184.4)	P10	N	59-52	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Stanford (160.3)	P10	N	0-0		83%	8.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Washington's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Washington's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Washington.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	26.39	26.45	69.42	69.94	10.25	10.55
Oregon St.	P10	5.72	5.58	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	4.28	4.18	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	4.21	5.64	48.28	48.28	-0.15	-0.19
Arizona St.	P10	4.19	4.13	70.00	70.00	1.68	1.65
UCLA	P10	4.19	4.15	44.83	43.65	-0.43	-0.53
Washington St.	P10	4.18	4.09	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.29
Arizona	P10	4.16	4.07	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
California	P10	4.16	4.12	72.41	73.02	1.87	1.90
Southern California	P10	4.11	4.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	1.91	1.87	37.93	37.93	-0.46	-0.45
Seattle	ind	1.85	1.79	56.67	56.67	0.25	0.24
Portland	WCC	1.83	1.77	67.86	67.86	0.65	0.63
Texas Tech	B12	1.80	1.76	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
San Francisco	WCC	1.75	1.69	37.04	37.04	-0.45	-0.44
Montana	BSky	1.72	1.66	71.43	71.43	0.74	0.71
San Jose St.	WAC	1.67	1.62	44.83	44.83	-0.17	-0.17
Wright St.	Horz	1.67	1.61	64.52	64.52	0.48	0.47
Belmont	ASun	1.66	1.61	63.33	63.33	0.44	0.43
Cal St. Northridge	BW	1.66	1.61	35.48	35.48	-0.48	-0.47
Texas A&M	B12	1.66	1.61	75.86	73.88	0.86	0.77
Georgetown	BE	1.61	1.56	70.00	69.51	0.65	0.61
St. Mary's	WCC	0.30	0.29	83.33	83.33	0.20	0.19
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.28	25.00	25.00	-0.15	-0.14
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.28	0.27	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.26	0.25	24.14	24.14	-0.14	-0.13
Colorado	B12	0.26	0.25	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.26	32.26	32.26	-0.09	-0.09
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.24	0.24	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
Montana St.	BSky	0.24	0.23	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.24	0.23	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.21	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.13
Nebraska	B12	0.21	0.20	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.21	0.22	93.75	93.44	0.18	0.19
UC Davis	BW	0.20	0.22	41.38	40.93	-0.04	-0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.19	0.18	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Weber St.	BSky	0.19	0.18	64.29	64.29	0.05	0.05
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.19	0.18	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.19	0.18	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.18	0.20	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.18	0.18	25.81	25.81	-0.09	-0.09
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.18	0.20	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.18	0.17	65.38	65.63	0.06	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.17	0.16	80.65	80.65	0.10	0.10
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	76.67	76.67	0.09	0.08
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.16	0.15	37.04	37.04	-0.04	-0.04
Texas	B12	0.16	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.15	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.15	80.00	78.82	0.09	0.09
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.15	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.11
Santa Clara	WCC	0.14	0.14	30.00	30.00	-0.06	-0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	63.33	61.86	0.04	0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.13	0.13	87.50	86.60	0.10	0.09
Utah Valley	GWC	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
UC Irvine	BW	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.12	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.09
Pacific	BW	0.13	0.12	66.67	66.59	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.12	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.06
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.11	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.10	80.00	79.25	0.06	0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.10	71.88	70.21	0.05	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.10	76.67	75.56	0.06	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.10	90.62	89.55	0.08	0.08
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.10	64.00	64.74	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	56.00	55.71	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.10	48.28	47.86	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.10	72.41	71.50	0.05	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.95	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.51	0.05	0.05
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.07	69.70	68.35	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.07	67.74	67.21	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.07	83.87	84.24	0.05	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.07	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.29	60.86	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.33	62.38	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	77.42	76.92	0.03	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.72	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.42	0.01	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.07	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.07	93.55	93.22	0.05	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	56.25	55.27	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.07	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.62	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.97	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.07	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.82	0.03	0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.58	0.01	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.15	47.42	-0.00	-0.00
American	Pat	0.03	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.05	68.75	68.04	0.01	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.03	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.02	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	64.59	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.03	0.02	83.87	84.00	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.02	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.02	34.38	34.01	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.02	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.02	45.16	45.00	-0.00	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.02	56.25	56.36	0.00	0.00
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.02	86.67	86.62	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.02	74.07	73.84	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.02	71.43	70.09	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.02	83.33	82.83	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	26.39	26.45	69.42	69.94	10.25	10.55
Stanford	P10	4.21	5.64	48.28	48.28	-0.15	-0.19
Oregon St.	P10	5.72	5.58	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	4.28	4.18	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P10	4.19	4.15	44.83	43.65	-0.43	-0.53
Arizona St.	P10	4.19	4.13	70.00	70.00	1.68	1.65
California	P10	4.16	4.12	72.41	73.02	1.87	1.90
Washington St.	P10	4.18	4.09	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.29
Arizona	P10	4.16	4.07	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
Southern California	P10	4.11	4.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	1.91	1.87	37.93	37.93	-0.46	-0.45
Seattle	ind	1.85	1.79	56.67	56.67	0.25	0.24
Portland	WCC	1.83	1.77	67.86	67.86	0.65	0.63
Texas Tech	B12	1.80	1.76	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
San Francisco	WCC	1.75	1.69	37.04	37.04	-0.45	-0.44
Montana	BSky	1.72	1.66	71.43	71.43	0.74	0.71
San Jose St.	WAC	1.67	1.62	44.83	44.83	-0.17	-0.17
Wright St.	Horz	1.67	1.61	64.52	64.52	0.48	0.47
Belmont	ASun	1.66	1.61	63.33	63.33	0.44	0.43
Cal St. Northridge	BW	1.66	1.61	35.48	35.48	-0.48	-0.47
Texas A&M	B12	1.66	1.61	75.86	73.88	0.86	0.77
Georgetown	BE	1.61	1.56	70.00	69.51	0.65	0.61
St. Mary's	WCC	0.30	0.29	83.33	83.33	0.20	0.19
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.29	0.28	25.00	25.00	-0.15	-0.14
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.28	0.27	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.25	0.26	32.26	32.26	-0.09	-0.09
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.26	0.25	24.14	24.14	-0.14	-0.13
Colorado	B12	0.26	0.25	44.83	44.83	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.24	0.24	25.00	25.00	-0.12	-0.12
Montana St.	BSky	0.24	0.23	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.24	0.23	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.21	0.22	93.75	93.44	0.18	0.19
UC Davis	BW	0.20	0.22	41.38	40.93	-0.04	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.21	0.21	18.52	18.52	-0.13	-0.13
Nebraska	B12	0.21	0.20	45.45	45.45	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.18	0.20	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.18	0.20	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Pepperdine	WCC	0.19	0.18	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Weber St.	BSky	0.19	0.18	64.29	64.29	0.05	0.05
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.19	0.18	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.19	0.18	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.18	0.18	25.81	25.81	-0.09	-0.09
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.18	0.17	65.38	65.63	0.06	0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.17	0.16	80.65	80.65	0.10	0.10
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	76.67	76.67	0.09	0.08
UC Riverside	BW	0.16	0.15	37.04	37.04	-0.04	-0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.16	0.15	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.16	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Oklahoma	B12	0.16	0.15	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.15	80.00	78.82	0.09	0.09
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.15	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.11
Santa Clara	WCC	0.14	0.14	30.00	30.00	-0.06	-0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.13	0.13	87.50	86.60	0.10	0.09
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	63.33	61.86	0.04	0.03
UC Irvine	BW	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.13	0.13	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.12	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.06
Pacific	BW	0.13	0.12	66.67	66.59	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.13	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.12	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.09
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.11	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.10	71.88	70.21	0.05	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.10	76.67	75.56	0.06	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.10	80.00	79.25	0.06	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.10	0.10	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.10	64.00	64.74	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.10	72.41	71.50	0.05	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.10	90.62	89.55	0.08	0.08
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	56.00	55.71	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.10	0.10	48.28	47.86	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.10	36.67	36.67	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.95	0.02	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.51	0.05	0.05
George Washington	A10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.07	83.87	84.24	0.05	0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.07	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.07	93.55	93.22	0.05	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.07	67.74	67.21	0.03	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.07	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.07	69.70	68.35	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.07	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.07	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.05	61.29	60.86	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.33	62.38	0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	77.42	76.92	0.03	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.72	0.03	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.42	0.01	0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	56.25	55.27	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.97	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.82	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.05	68.75	68.04	0.01	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.62	0.03	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.58	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.15	47.42	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	64.59	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.02	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.02	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.02	34.38	34.01	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.02	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.02	45.16	45.00	-0.00	-0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.03	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.02	56.25	56.36	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.03	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.02	86.67	86.62	0.02	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.02	74.07	73.84	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.02	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.02	71.43	70.09	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.03	0.02	83.87	84.00	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.02	83.33	82.83	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.02	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Washington	P10	26.39	26.45	69.42	69.94	10.25	10.55
California	P10	4.16	4.12	72.41	73.02	1.87	1.90
Arizona St.	P10	4.19	4.13	70.00	70.00	1.68	1.65
Texas A&M	B12	1.66	1.61	75.86	73.88	0.86	0.77
Montana	BSky	1.72	1.66	71.43	71.43	0.74	0.71
Portland	WCC	1.83	1.77	67.86	67.86	0.65	0.63
Georgetown	BE	1.61	1.56	70.00	69.51	0.65	0.61
Wright St.	Horz	1.67	1.61	64.52	64.52	0.48	0.47
Belmont	ASun	1.66	1.61	63.33	63.33	0.44	0.43
Washington St.	P10	4.18	4.09	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.29
Seattle	ind	1.85	1.79	56.67	56.67	0.25	0.24
St. Mary's	WCC	0.30	0.29	83.33	83.33	0.20	0.19
Kansas	B12	0.21	0.22	93.75	93.44	0.18	0.19
Arizona	P10	4.16	4.07	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.15	87.50	87.50	0.12	0.11
Gonzaga	WCC	0.17	0.16	80.65	80.65	0.10	0.10
Brigham Young	MWC	0.13	0.13	87.50	86.60	0.10	0.09
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.12	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.09
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.15	80.00	78.82	0.09	0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.16	76.67	76.67	0.09	0.08
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.10	90.62	89.55	0.08	0.08
Texas	B12	0.16	0.15	72.73	72.73	0.07	0.07
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.18	0.20	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.10	80.00	79.25	0.06	0.06
Texas Tech	B12	1.80	1.76	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.11	0.10	76.67	75.56	0.06	0.05
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.18	0.17	65.38	65.63	0.06	0.05
Weber St.	BSky	0.19	0.18	64.29	64.29	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.07	83.87	84.24	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.51	0.05	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.10	71.88	70.21	0.05	0.04
San Diego St.	MWC	0.10	0.10	72.41	71.50	0.05	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.07	93.55	93.22	0.05	0.06
Pacific	BW	0.13	0.12	66.67	66.59	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.08	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.13	0.13	63.33	61.86	0.04	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.72	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.08	0.07	69.70	68.35	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	77.42	76.92	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.10	64.00	64.74	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.62	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.82	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.07	67.74	67.21	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.05	75.86	75.97	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.08	0.08	63.33	63.95	0.02	0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.11	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.02	86.67	86.62	0.02	0.02
Temple	A10	0.03	0.02	83.87	84.00	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.28	0.27	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.02	83.33	82.83	0.02	0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.03	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.02	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	63.33	62.38	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.02	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.07	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.02