The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Butler page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Butler

Conference:		Horz
Expected RPI:		17.9
Current RPI:		15
Expected SOS:		80
Current SOS:		48
Current Record:		20-4
Expected Record:		25-5
Current Conf Record:		13-0
Expected Conf Record:		17-1
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		13-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		7-4
Expected OOC Record:		8-4
Expected OOC RPI:		32
Expected OOC SOS:		5

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
26-4	13.5	39.53%
25-5	18.3	40.93%
24-6	24.4	16.50%
23-7	32.2	2.83%
22-8	40.3	0.18%
21-9	49.5	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Butler.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Davidson (158.8)	SC	H	73-62	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	A	67-54	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Evansville (276.1)	MVC	A	64-60	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	N	73-82	L	0%	0.0
11-27	UCLA (146.7)	P10	N	69-67	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Clemson (37.6)	ACC	N	69-70	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	A	59-38	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	H	84-67	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Georgetown (8.9)	BE	N	65-72	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	H	74-66	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Xavier (26.6)	A10	H	69-68	W	100%	0.0
12-22	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	A	57-67	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	H	72-49	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	H	80-67	W	100%	0.0
1-8	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	A	77-65	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	A	64-62	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	H	64-55	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	H	91-61	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	A	48-47	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	A	84-55	W	100%	0.0
1-29	Wisconsin Green Bay (120.9)	Horz	A	75-57	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Wisconsin Milwaukee (160.4)	Horz	A	73-66	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Detroit (162.9)	Horz	H	63-58	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	74-62	W	100%	0.0
2-8	Loyola Chicago (184.8)	Horz	H	0-0		97%	19.9
2-11	Youngstown St. (257.4)	Horz	A	0-0		91%	14.8
2-13	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	A	0-0		76%	7.8
2-17	Illinois Chicago (293.2)	Horz	H	0-0		99%	24.9
2-20	Siena (34.4)	MAAC	H	0-0		74%	7.1
2-26	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	A	0-0		80%	9.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Butler's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Butler's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Butler.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Butler	Horz	26.48	26.39	84.48	85.05	18.26	18.50
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	4.92	4.30	66.67	61.98	1.64	1.03
Wright St.	Horz	4.83	4.27	68.18	69.99	1.76	1.71
Detroit	Horz	4.82	4.27	61.90	62.61	1.15	1.08
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	4.81	4.27	55.00	54.77	0.48	0.41
Valparaiso	Horz	3.05	4.30	42.86	45.94	-0.44	-0.35
Youngstown St.	Horz	2.92	4.29	30.00	29.59	-1.17	-1.75
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.91	4.30	23.81	24.26	-1.53	-2.21
Loyola Chicago	Horz	2.91	4.26	55.00	53.12	0.29	0.27
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.83	4.30	47.62	49.39	-0.13	-0.05
Ohio St.	B10	2.27	1.81	78.26	76.18	1.28	0.95
Minnesota	B10	2.22	1.77	61.90	63.44	0.53	0.48
Northwestern	B10	2.17	1.75	72.73	70.19	0.99	0.71
UAB	CUSA	2.17	1.72	81.82	77.82	1.38	0.96
Xavier	A10	2.13	1.73	72.73	73.90	0.97	0.83
Ball St.	MAC	2.13	1.73	55.00	53.54	0.21	0.12
Clemson	ACC	2.08	1.67	68.18	65.74	0.76	0.52
Davidson	SC	2.08	1.67	50.00	52.69	0.00	0.09
Evansville	MVC	2.08	1.73	23.81	23.44	-1.09	-0.92
Georgetown	BE	2.08	1.67	76.19	72.41	1.09	0.75
UCLA	P10	2.08	1.67	50.00	45.30	0.00	-0.16
Wisconsin	B10	0.36	0.31	78.26	78.92	0.21	0.18
Miami OH	MAC	0.32	0.20	43.48	47.68	-0.04	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.28	0.23	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.27	0.23	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.24	0.18	8.70	9.54	-0.20	-0.14
Indiana St.	MVC	0.24	0.20	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.23	0.23	86.36	81.80	0.17	0.14
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.20	79.17	76.61	0.14	0.10
Toledo	MAC	0.23	0.29	8.70	10.09	-0.19	-0.23
Kent St.	MAC	0.23	0.20	69.57	70.29	0.09	0.08
California	P10	0.22	0.14	65.22	68.42	0.07	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.22	0.22	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.19	0.15	17.39	20.11	-0.13	-0.09
Western Michigan	MAC	0.19	0.18	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.19	0.17	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.19	0.19	34.78	32.23	-0.06	-0.07
Robert Morris	NEC	0.19	0.17	66.67	64.02	0.06	0.05
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.11	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.04
Samford	SC	0.19	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.08	-0.04
DePaul	BE	0.19	0.14	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.11	33.33	33.96	-0.06	-0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.18	0.11	42.86	45.66	-0.03	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.18	0.14	69.57	68.86	0.07	0.05
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.14	0.15	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.14	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.14	0.15	81.82	79.60	0.09	0.09
Temple	A10	0.14	0.11	79.17	77.57	0.08	0.06
Illinois St.	MVC	0.14	0.12	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.14	0.09	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.14	0.15	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.07
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.06	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.14	0.15	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.16	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.05
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.11	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.16	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.08	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.14	0.11	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.06
Iowa	B10	0.13	0.16	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.11	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.13	0.08	0.00	5.15	-0.13	-0.07
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.05	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.09	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.07
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Furman	SC	0.09	0.09	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.09	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.09	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.04	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.14	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.09	0.12	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.02
Troy	SB	0.09	0.09	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.08	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.11	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.07
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.05	-0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.09	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.05	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.06	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.05	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.12	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.09	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.07
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.08	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.06
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.02	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.03	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.04	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.08	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.00	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.00	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.00	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.00	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.00	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.00	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.00	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.00	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.00	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.00	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.00	1.67	83.33	83.16	0.00	1.11
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Butler	Horz	26.48	26.39	84.48	85.05	18.26	18.50
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	4.92	4.30	66.67	61.98	1.64	1.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.83	4.30	47.62	49.39	-0.13	-0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	2.91	4.30	23.81	24.26	-1.53	-2.21
Valparaiso	Horz	3.05	4.30	42.86	45.94	-0.44	-0.35
Youngstown St.	Horz	2.92	4.29	30.00	29.59	-1.17	-1.75
Detroit	Horz	4.82	4.27	61.90	62.61	1.15	1.08
Wright St.	Horz	4.83	4.27	68.18	69.99	1.76	1.71
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	4.81	4.27	55.00	54.77	0.48	0.41
Loyola Chicago	Horz	2.91	4.26	55.00	53.12	0.29	0.27
Ohio St.	B10	2.27	1.81	78.26	76.18	1.28	0.95
Minnesota	B10	2.22	1.77	61.90	63.44	0.53	0.48
Northwestern	B10	2.17	1.75	72.73	70.19	0.99	0.71
Xavier	A10	2.13	1.73	72.73	73.90	0.97	0.83
Ball St.	MAC	2.13	1.73	55.00	53.54	0.21	0.12
Evansville	MVC	2.08	1.73	23.81	23.44	-1.09	-0.92
UAB	CUSA	2.17	1.72	81.82	77.82	1.38	0.96
Clemson	ACC	2.08	1.67	68.18	65.74	0.76	0.52
Davidson	SC	2.08	1.67	50.00	52.69	0.00	0.09
Georgetown	BE	2.08	1.67	76.19	72.41	1.09	0.75
Siena	MAAC	0.00	1.67	83.33	83.16	0.00	1.11
UCLA	P10	2.08	1.67	50.00	45.30	0.00	-0.16
Wisconsin	B10	0.36	0.31	78.26	78.92	0.21	0.18
Toledo	MAC	0.23	0.29	8.70	10.09	-0.19	-0.23
Central Michigan	MAC	0.27	0.23	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.28	0.23	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.23	0.23	86.36	81.80	0.17	0.14
Michigan	B10	0.22	0.22	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.23	0.20	69.57	70.29	0.09	0.08
Indiana St.	MVC	0.24	0.20	56.52	54.46	0.03	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.32	0.20	43.48	47.68	-0.04	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.23	0.20	79.17	76.61	0.14	0.10
Penn St.	B10	0.19	0.19	34.78	32.23	-0.06	-0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.24	0.18	8.70	9.54	-0.20	-0.14
Western Michigan	MAC	0.19	0.18	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.19	0.17	66.67	64.02	0.06	0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.19	0.17	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.04
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.16	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.13	0.16	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.06
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.16	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.14	0.15	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.14	0.15	69.57	66.00	0.06	0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.19	0.15	17.39	20.11	-0.13	-0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.14	0.15	81.82	79.60	0.09	0.09
Albany	AE	0.14	0.15	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.07
DePaul	BE	0.19	0.14	34.78	33.89	-0.06	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.14	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.18	0.14	69.57	68.86	0.07	0.05
California	P10	0.22	0.14	65.22	68.42	0.07	0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.12	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.14	0.12	66.67	63.46	0.05	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.12	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.12	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.09	0.12	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.19	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.08	-0.04
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.11	33.33	33.96	-0.06	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.14	0.11	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Temple	A10	0.14	0.11	79.17	77.57	0.08	0.06
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.11	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.11	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.07
Long Beach St.	BW	0.18	0.11	42.86	45.66	-0.03	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.00	0.11	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.11	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.14	0.11	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.06
North Carolina Central	ind	0.10	0.09	4.76	9.78	-0.09	-0.07
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.04
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.09	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Furman	SC	0.09	0.09	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.09	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.14	0.09	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.09	0.09	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.09	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.14	0.09	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.14	0.09	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.14	0.09	72.73	71.91	0.06	0.04
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.14	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.06	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.09	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.08	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.05
Tulane	CUSA	0.09	0.08	31.82	29.58	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.08	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.05	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.08	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.08	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.13	0.08	0.00	5.15	-0.13	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.08	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.04	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.08	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.00	0.06	33.33	36.45	-0.00	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.09	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.03	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.04
Colgate	Pat	0.09	0.06	27.27	31.08	-0.04	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.09	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.06	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.04	0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.05	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.00	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.00	0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.00	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.00	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.00	0.06	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.00	0.06	33.33	35.33	-0.00	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.00	0.06	4.17	4.73	-0.00	-0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.00	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.02	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.05	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.05	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.09	0.05	12.50	15.31	-0.07	-0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.02
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.00	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	67.72	0.00	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.00	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.00	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.04	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.03	-0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Butler	Horz	26.48	26.39	84.48	85.05	18.26	18.50
Wright St.	Horz	4.83	4.27	68.18	69.99	1.76	1.71
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	4.92	4.30	66.67	61.98	1.64	1.03
UAB	CUSA	2.17	1.72	81.82	77.82	1.38	0.96
Ohio St.	B10	2.27	1.81	78.26	76.18	1.28	0.95
Detroit	Horz	4.82	4.27	61.90	62.61	1.15	1.08