live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

Tweet
Through games of Feb 24, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
12.6KansasB120.65890.58592025-327-45-13-18-19-12-012-183611.60.8
23.1VillanovaBE0.65750.57922626-328-34-25-08-16-05-013-044221.10.5
34.7North CarolinaACC0.65380.5931823-525-65-35-16-24-15-011-2113231.70.6
44.9FloridaSEC0.65330.5959723-525-62-46-29-04-05-010-3778-3.1-1.3
55.0GonzagaWCC0.65300.53808029-030-04-01-06-08-011-012-05509-4.0-2.6
65.6LouisvilleACC0.65130.6057222-624-73-54-17-08-03-012-1396-0.4-0.1
76.1ArizonaP120.65050.57383026-327-42-34-06-011-05-011-214247-0.9-0.3
88.3OregonP120.64540.56623924-426-42-23-09-15-16-010-2236853.32.1
98.2BaylorB120.64490.6007422-524-64-34-16-16-13-012-01644.21.4
109.4KentuckySEC0.64210.58741923-525-62-45-07-17-04-010-321810-0.6-0.2
1110.7ButlerBE0.63920.59271122-623-75-14-18-21-15-111-121211-0.3-0.2
1212.1DukeACC0.63450.59041422-624-74-46-14-15-15-012-11781120.10.0
1312.6CincinnatiAmer0.63320.54706825-327-42-22-15-111-08-011-2183414-1.4-0.6
1413.7Florida St.ACC0.63020.58082422-624-75-24-14-34-16-012-126116130.70.3
1516.1Saint Mary'sWCC0.62260.53907825-326-31-21-15-09-010-010-12054160.10.1
1617.2PurdueB100.62100.56065023-525-61-34-18-17-15-011-238126170.20.0
1717.6SMUAmer0.61970.53488424-427-41-11-27-29-09-010-35612518-0.4-0.1
1817.6UCLAP120.61970.52999125-327-42-32-15-08-09-013-02826019-1.4-0.6
1920.5MinnesotaB100.61430.58422221-723-81-35-36-37-03-012-1629155.51.3
2021.1VirginiaACC0.61290.5970618-920-103-53-26-24-05-010-22457201.10.3
2122.1VCUA100.61120.54956523-525-61-22-14-212-25-010-3437724-1.9-0.5
2222.2DaytonA100.61100.54776722-523-61-22-17-16-17-08-3515123-0.8-0.2
2324.4WisconsinB100.60780.54686922-624-72-32-210-26-05-011-26224626-1.6-0.4
2425.4West VirginiaB120.60610.55366322-624-74-23-15-28-35-012-14226131-5.6-1.3
2525.4XavierBE0.60580.5930918-1020-111-62-17-37-13-010-3914214.40.8
2625.7CreightonBE0.60490.56294221-623-73-22-15-48-04-012-010150250.70.2
2726.4MarylandB100.60440.56254321-623-71-33-110-37-13-011-130113224.40.9
2827.7Notre DameACC0.60180.56584021-723-82-73-05-16-07-011-258179270.70.2
2928.4Oklahoma St.B120.60120.58951618-920-101-63-25-17-13-010-21233280.40.1
3030.8South CarolinaSEC0.59780.56873419-821-91-23-27-45-14-09-34769291.80.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3131.8Illinois St.MVC0.59580.508713823-524-50-01-11-211-111-17-48912233-1.2-0.3
3235.5UNC WilmingtonCAA0.59180.508113923-524-50-00-15-28-211-09-2279636-0.5-0.1
3335.9ArkansasSEC0.59180.55506021-722-90-43-26-19-14-111-21646350.90.1
3436.0USCP120.59130.54207521-723-82-50-13-111-18-013-013163306.01.0
3536.3Middle TennesseeCUSA0.59090.503014823-426-40-12-02-09-212-19-32516324.31.0
3636.8UT ArlingtonSB0.59040.507114119-622-71-10-11-110-310-18-31943342.80.4
3737.9Miami FLACC0.58950.56753819-820-103-61-34-16-06-010-28024438-0.1-0.0
3838.7Iowa St.B120.58850.57293118-919-112-62-24-16-25-08-411215141-2.3-0.3
3938.9NevadaMWC0.58820.516911822-624-70-10-06-310-38-011-23115739-0.1-0.0
4038.7Wichita St.MVC0.58820.500115225-426-40-11-21-011-013-09-310818842-3.3-1.2
4140.2MonmouthMAAC0.58670.495816225-526-50-10-11-110-214-08-33210943-2.8-0.8
4242.2Wake ForestACC0.58460.59061216-1217-130-71-25-36-05-09-31517402.20.3
4343.6Michigan St.B100.58290.59271017-1118-132-73-15-34-14-08-5752044-0.4-0.1
4444.8VermontAE0.58180.492717324-525-50-10-10-113-112-09-58111149-4.2-1.1
4545.6Virginia TechACC0.58080.54637119-821-92-42-38-12-27-011-166298378.60.9
4646.5Rhode IslandA100.58000.55456118-920-101-30-12-310-26-08-4332147-0.5-0.1
4748.1VanderbiltSEC0.57840.6092115-1316-152-53-35-55-02-17-6481462.10.4
4848.2CaliforniaP120.57810.56194719-920-100-61-13-39-17-09-3656651-2.8-0.5
4948.5NorthwesternB100.57800.55426220-821-102-42-35-37-05-011-239147453.50.4
5048.5MichiganB100.57790.56803618-1020-112-41-47-34-15-010-3499453-4.5-0.5
5150.6GeorgiaSEC0.57550.58552115-1217-130-51-27-46-23-08-44426500.60.1
5251.3HoustonAmer0.57530.54207419-821-90-42-13-17-39-09-35710458-6.7-1.2
5352.0Seton HallBE0.57440.56244417-1019-111-63-14-33-18-010-250181484.00.5
5453.4PrincetonIvy0.57300.500715117-620-60-10-21-16-212-06-69975521.40.2
5553.5AkronMAC0.57290.494116822-624-70-20-00-012-211-29-36821654-0.5-0.1
5657.1BelmontOVC0.56890.485419920-521-50-10-20-19-012-16-4828459-1.9-0.3
5758.9ValparaisoHorz0.56700.491117723-624-60-21-02-05-415-09-36312865-6.1-1.5
5862.3ProvidenceBE0.56470.56035117-1119-122-53-24-23-26-210-379191557.30.8
5962.4TCUB120.56450.57432916-1117-130-72-33-28-14-010-240112566.40.7
6063.0MarquetteBE0.56430.55895417-1018-122-53-24-42-17-09-312722869-6.0-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6162.9East Tennessee St.SC0.56380.485220021-623-60-10-12-29-212-08-37016870-7.1-1.5
6263.6Boise St.MWC0.56350.52889516-918-101-10-23-48-26-16-4110160612.60.3
6364.3TennesseeSEC0.56300.58781714-1316-141-61-46-34-24-07-56710631.30.1
6465.1IllinoisB100.56250.58192315-1217-131-52-34-44-15-09-34541578.10.8
6564.9PittsburghACC0.56230.5975515-1316-153-71-33-38-11-111-22239622.90.4
6666.5Kansas St.B120.56110.55735717-1119-122-41-41-38-16-011-253236606.50.7
6767.7UNC AshevilleBSth0.55950.486819220-821-80-20-12-36-114-26-5412774-6.3-0.9
6869.0College of CharlestonCAA0.55860.504414521-822-80-11-22-27-311-08-4105148672.00.4
6969.4ClemsonACC0.55850.57932514-1316-141-64-44-23-25-010-235106645.40.6
7069.4New Mexico St.WAC0.55840.468225220-522-50-00-02-37-113-111-246251681.40.2
7172.9Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.55580.480321717-719-70-20-02-24-213-16-6154218711.90.2
7274.4MississippiSEC0.55510.55605817-1119-120-41-54-37-07-09-48570668.40.8
7375.1Arkansas St.SB0.55500.490917818-821-90-10-12-38-311-28-46014376-0.9-0.1
7476.5GeorgetownBE0.55370.59051314-1415-163-61-43-45-04-19-4522379-2.5-0.2
7576.5SyracuseACC0.55330.56194517-1218-133-43-33-44-25-18-517816977-0.5-0.1
7677.0Ohio St.B100.55330.57273216-1317-142-52-35-44-15-110-369107734.00.4
7777.2StanfordP120.55330.58991513-1314-150-81-33-14-45-07-4292725.20.5
7878.3BYUWCC0.55200.53198920-1020-110-40-13-28-29-29-411311089-10.7-2.9
7979.0Colorado St.MWC0.55180.52909417-919-100-00-24-68-27-16-516511784-5.0-0.4
8079.0BucknellPat0.55140.483120522-823-80-11-11-16-515-08-5889885-6.0-0.9
8180.1WinthropBSth0.55080.472324420-621-60-20-03-14-114-26-33464755.11.4
8284.3New MexicoMWC0.54860.54866616-1217-130-20-45-44-37-17-59244831.30.1
8384.1UtahP120.54840.52989216-1017-110-61-21-27-08-17-313222586-1.9-0.2
8484.6AlabamaSEC0.54820.54597216-1117-130-42-23-66-16-07-512485813.60.3
8584.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54770.483320420-720-70-21-10-04-315-18-5747987-2.1-0.6
8686.6NebraskaB100.54690.6023311-1512-172-41-54-53-22-15-6973806.60.6
8787.1Penn St.B100.54670.57842714-1415-161-52-23-56-43-08-510658825.10.4
8888.4AuburnSEC0.54570.53358717-1118-130-31-34-58-16-111-2361597810.40.9
8989.9TowsonCAA0.54500.516612118-1118-120-00-31-19-48-37-5958091-1.1-0.2
9091.6IndianaB100.54390.56813515-1316-152-61-34-33-26-010-376141101-9.4-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9191.5San FranciscoWCC0.54370.520810818-1119-110-41-01-34-313-19-39820493-1.5-0.2
9291.6UCFAmer0.54370.516112318-1019-110-40-12-26-411-09-311926692-0.4-0.0
9394.1St. BonaventureA100.54230.518211317-1019-110-30-20-19-310-18-4136173904.10.4
9494.2Georgia TechACC0.54210.56144815-1216-143-31-43-63-26-08-4162235886.20.5
9594.7North Dakota St.Sum0.54190.493617017-917-100-10-11-06-510-26-5938899-4.3-0.5
9695.3Fresno St.MWC0.54160.517911415-1116-120-12-04-52-38-26-415928797-1.7-0.2
9796.6ConnecticutAmer0.54070.56194613-1314-151-50-23-45-36-14-718049104-7.4-0.6
9897.5San Diego St.MWC0.54000.525110215-1117-120-12-13-56-46-17-496120102-4.5-0.4
9997.5ChattanoogaSC0.53990.487618817-919-90-10-12-46-210-17-354142961.50.2
10098.5RichmondA100.53950.526210116-1118-120-31-22-28-47-16-6214222953.50.3
10199.5FurmanSC0.53880.489818018-1019-100-00-12-56-211-25-6152171981.50.2
10299.8Texas A&MSEC0.53840.56025214-1316-140-61-63-24-17-08-47845945.80.5
103102.1OhioMAC0.53700.486619317-819-90-00-01-17-511-27-3123283105-2.9-0.2
104102.9Texas TechB120.53660.53338817-1118-132-41-33-36-28-012-11033361002.90.2
105107.4OaklandHorz0.53400.471524521-722-70-00-23-05-314-28-31512891061.40.3
106107.4IonaMAAC0.53400.495216519-1119-120-11-20-17-411-37-471121112-4.6-0.6
107108.0La SalleA100.53360.53438514-1216-130-31-12-36-66-06-5122671071.00.1
108108.6George MasonA100.53330.513313217-1018-120-20-22-39-37-29-3129265110-1.4-0.2
109109.6MemphisAmer0.53270.510213718-1019-120-31-23-34-411-010-31162551081.60.1
110109.3IowaB100.53240.55825615-1316-151-52-44-45-25-08-5171167111-1.7-0.1
111110.4Louisiana TechCUSA0.53240.466925419-821-80-00-20-24-217-16-5176209118-7.6-0.9
112112.0Northern KentuckyHorz0.53150.485819718-1018-110-10-00-35-413-37-4104190115-3.0-0.3
113113.1UNC GreensboroSC0.53060.482520918-819-90-10-14-34-211-26-41612131094.10.4
114113.6DavidsonA100.52980.53788214-1315-141-40-21-45-48-07-4101134116-2.4-0.2
115115.3North Carolina St.ACC0.52940.56074915-1415-161-61-52-47-15-111-26123310312.31.4
116115.5LehighPat0.52860.487718616-1117-110-10-03-13-711-25-57259117-1.5-0.2
117116.9HarvardIvy0.52790.479622015-717-80-00-21-25-310-26-5163192126-9.1-0.8
118118.3Georgia SouthernSB0.52760.496915915-1116-130-10-11-45-49-35-6120127123-4.7-0.4
119118.7ColoradoP120.52710.53169015-1316-142-31-32-44-38-09-3911871144.70.4
120118.8South DakotaSum0.52660.479621918-1018-110-10-01-26-312-47-6158207119-0.2-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121120.2Georgia St.SB0.52620.494416715-1017-110-11-10-26-69-25-5140136125-4.8-0.3
122122.0Wright St.Horz0.52500.491417617-1118-110-00-01-35-712-17-4871371220.00.0
123123.5TempleAmer0.52430.53957714-1516-152-50-11-35-58-19-4647611310.51.3
124124.1TulsaAmer0.52400.54647013-1414-160-41-42-34-28-36-6146731204.10.3
125124.3NortheasternCAA0.52330.514512615-1415-150-02-23-25-65-57-55590131-6.7-1.1
126126.3Old DominionCUSA0.52250.487518917-1019-110-20-22-06-411-37-5141123130-3.7-0.3
127127.3Texas SouthernSWAC0.52220.450030116-1119-120-40-10-12-317-34-97713128-0.7-0.1
128127.9MarshallCUSA0.52180.513513014-1316-140-10-20-36-310-46-6118611270.90.1
129128.9George WashingtonA100.52120.52819815-1316-150-30-32-37-57-08-5147178129-0.1-0.0
130129.3St. John'sBE0.52070.56364112-1613-181-71-34-41-16-26-72172101245.30.4
131132.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.51950.452729817-919-100-10-11-13-516-36-510911512111.50.9
132134.0William & MaryCAA0.51860.513413113-1314-130-21-22-35-36-44-51371021322.00.2
133139.1Saint Peter'sMAAC0.51560.487119017-1218-120-11-20-16-610-34-6221239141-1.9-0.2
134139.5Arizona St.P120.51520.55565913-1614-170-70-33-33-48-07-61881541372.50.2
135139.3SienaMAAC0.51480.517511614-1615-160-10-31-34-79-23-8182281336.30.8
136139.6Santa ClaraWCC0.51460.52859615-1415-150-50-13-22-610-15-7241185146-6.4-1.3
137142.1Louisiana LafayetteSB0.51460.495716314-1116-130-10-20-34-512-28-373238143-0.9-0.1
138142.4WyomingMWC0.51420.513113314-1216-130-00-31-76-28-28-3841891393.40.2
139143.0Mississippi St.SEC0.51400.53568314-1315-150-21-33-85-26-09-31332191367.00.5
140143.0BuffaloMAC0.51380.518411113-1415-150-10-30-45-59-24-7207149145-2.0-0.1
141142.5AlbanyAE0.51330.478522317-1218-120-20-21-04-713-18-61432261384.50.7
142144.4Northern IowaMVC0.51310.52699913-1413-150-20-50-07-46-34-6153371440.40.0
143145.8Tennessee St.OVC0.51250.483720315-1115-120-11-10-26-48-47-459108153-7.2-0.9
144144.9Green BayHorz0.51230.482221015-1216-120-10-01-25-310-64-621026413410.91.1
145146.5Grand CanyonWAC0.51220.467625318-919-100-30-02-42-115-29-6199281154-7.5-0.5
146147.8ElonCAA0.51120.492717215-1316-130-11-11-54-29-46-51752681425.80.7
147148.5New HampshireAE0.51080.475023615-1116-110-10-21-13-511-26-5142252151-2.5-0.2
148150.8YaleIvy0.50980.474623813-1015-110-10-20-23-412-27-513023113515.80.9
149151.4Loyola MarymountWCC0.50960.52919313-1414-140-40-22-42-210-26-41641741474.40.4
150151.5UC IrvineBW0.50950.486219514-1316-140-20-20-32-214-55-912519159-7.5-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151153.3ToledoMAC0.50920.512313514-1416-150-00-30-17-78-46-613474160-6.7-0.4
152153.1Loyola ChicagoMVC0.50910.489118216-1217-120-00-41-05-611-28-3114279158-4.9-0.4
153154.0New OrleansSlnd0.50870.456628814-916-100-00-20-03-413-32-62161031486.00.3
154154.1CanisiusMAAC0.50830.485719817-1317-140-10-21-09-58-57-41212171522.10.2
155155.7LipscombASun0.50800.477322816-1216-120-10-01-41-414-35-9203156157-1.3-0.3
156156.1Nebraska OmahaSum0.50760.488918314-1315-130-00-20-34-510-36-61111291560.10.0
157156.7Stony BrookAE0.50730.478022617-1117-120-00-20-17-410-45-8243262167-10.3-1.4
158157.5TexasB120.50730.58781810-1811-201-52-61-64-33-06-719071166-8.5-0.5
159157.6Washington St.P120.50720.56015311-1512-170-50-30-45-57-06-51961381507.60.6
160158.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50610.447830414-916-100-10-10-11-415-44-41392241553.70.2
161160.0LibertyBSth0.50590.480421616-1116-120-10-10-61-215-12-827978172-12.0-1.3
162161.0SamfordSC0.50560.478822215-1216-130-20-01-53-312-37-411524114912.01.1
163161.9UMBCAE0.50530.463226416-1016-110-00-20-23-413-27-4149302168-6.1-0.6
164162.0Coastal CarolinaSB0.50470.521110612-1414-150-01-21-74-58-23-82539314022.01.2
165163.0San Jose St.MWC0.50460.519611012-1213-140-10-23-53-47-25-4185256164-1.0-0.1
166163.0North DakotaBSky0.50430.440431214-816-90-00-02-13-311-52-5169651621.00.1
167165.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.50330.516012414-1514-160-20-50-05-59-36-6156951650.90.1
168167.2OklahomaB120.50270.5760289-1810-201-70-52-52-35-06-6202152174-6.8-0.5
169167.3RiceCUSA0.50260.460827217-918-110-00-10-23-616-28-3131295182-14.7-0.9
170170.0Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50170.480621415-1516-150-20-40-21-415-42-11197111619.01.6
171169.6Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50130.457828114-1016-110-10-10-13-213-55-4941011636.60.4
172169.9Saint Joseph'sA100.50110.54067610-1712-180-31-31-45-85-17-58672173-3.1-0.2
173173.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.49970.451130017-1118-110-10-10-33-315-48-51282471712.00.2
174174.5Morehead St.OVC0.49930.502514912-1413-140-10-00-43-89-12-926155176-1.5-0.1
175174.0Weber St.BSky0.49920.460527314-1016-110-00-00-22-513-33-6225176184-10.0-0.6
176176.6FairfieldMAAC0.49840.481221215-1316-130-00-20-13-812-25-41662721751.60.2
177177.7Fort WayneSum0.49810.461727015-1116-110-00-31-13-311-48-3102293178-0.3-0.0
178176.9RutgersB100.49810.53388612-1613-170-40-62-62-28-010-21073311706.90.6
179176.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.49810.52321049-1511-160-10-20-44-77-34-511789179-2.6-0.1
180178.8Utah St.MWC0.49700.526310011-1512-160-11-12-84-35-35-51921661771.80.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181182.4TroySB0.49510.478222414-1216-140-01-21-24-510-56-6252341197-14.6-0.8
182182.9PennIvy0.49480.482820712-1214-130-10-21-13-59-37-61451801811.90.1
183183.8LSUSEC0.49470.5721339-1810-200-31-62-84-44-08-4371516914.81.1
184185.0Ball St.MAC0.49400.457128517-1018-120-00-00-36-413-48-4232348186-1.0-0.1
185185.3UMKCWAC0.49370.504914412-1413-150-20-10-42-511-35-9206921850.30.0
186185.0UABCUSA0.49360.486619414-1316-140-20-20-25-410-46-61731181805.00.4
187186.9MassachusettsA100.49290.520810913-1514-171-10-20-67-66-210-390214191-4.1-0.3
188187.8Kent St.MAC0.49220.477023015-1217-130-00-01-16-89-47-5231334204-16.2-1.1
189188.2Western MichiganMAC0.49180.515912511-1513-160-20-20-35-67-43-8284162196-7.8-0.5
190189.7Boston UniversityPat0.49170.473224015-1315-140-00-00-46-610-44-7251203194-4.3-0.4
191190.0Loyola MDPat0.49110.480721313-1414-140-10-11-27-26-85-5100991837.00.8
192190.9Holy CrossPat0.49070.477322915-1516-150-00-30-34-511-46-71571611900.90.1
193191.4FordhamA100.49050.516911712-1513-171-11-11-46-85-35-72451931874.40.3
194192.3Jacksonville St.OVC0.49020.464126214-1414-150-00-10-44-310-76-7160282195-2.7-0.3
195192.6North Carolina CentralMEAC0.49000.377435118-621-60-00-00-11-320-26-51503011884.60.6
196193.2HofstraCAA0.48960.503014713-1614-160-10-30-56-38-47-51351751894.20.5
197194.1DenverSum0.48930.457628216-1216-130-00-01-14-812-38-5177314199-4.9-0.6
198194.5WashingtonP120.48890.5586559-1810-200-60-40-52-67-07-5148130207-12.5-1.0
199195.1WoffordSC0.48870.497815812-1512-160-00-22-54-67-32-8267131201-5.9-0.6
200194.5Houston BaptistSlnd0.48780.480521510-1212-130-00-10-33-58-51-622718198-3.5-0.2
201196.5EvansvilleMVC0.48780.520910712-1613-160-10-61-04-48-57-483521933.50.4
202197.7San DiegoWCC0.48730.521310511-1712-170-50-11-42-49-36-52012421925.70.8
203198.5UC DavisBW0.48620.439831315-1117-120-00-10-12-414-66-7179257202-3.5-0.2
204200.3RiderMAAC0.48580.454229316-1417-140-01-10-03-913-47-4187349203-2.7-0.4
205203.6Gardner WebbBSth0.48380.462426614-1315-130-10-12-60-313-34-6189195206-2.4-0.3
206203.4Central MichiganMAC0.48330.475423414-1315-150-00-00-27-88-48-31262972003.40.3
207205.1MercerSC0.48250.507714011-1612-170-10-00-83-79-14-717460209-3.9-0.4
208207.9Boston CollegeACC0.48070.5677379-199-220-50-64-62-33-27-62241942052.90.3
209208.4NavyPat0.48070.481321114-1414-150-00-00-56-48-54-7234119212-3.6-0.7
210208.0South Dakota St.Sum0.48060.490717912-1613-160-00-20-35-88-45-8191140211-3.0-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211207.5Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.48060.459427712-1214-130-10-10-14-510-52-7296212210-2.5-0.2
212211.3Texas St.SB0.47800.453029613-1115-130-01-11-03-710-55-52923502083.30.2
213213.6Missouri St.MVC0.47700.478122515-1415-150-00-51-14-510-48-41983262130.60.1
214214.4Long Beach St.BW0.47620.487918511-1712-180-40-11-22-49-73-1119422217-2.6-0.2
215215.6Utah ValleyWAC0.47530.48591969-1510-160-10-02-42-67-45-71682002141.60.2
216218.4Indiana St.MVC0.47330.517611510-1810-191-00-50-23-66-65-6155912153.40.5
217218.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.47300.472724312-1313-150-10-00-14-89-55-52593322180.70.1
218219.3South AlabamaSB0.47260.492217411-1412-170-00-30-33-79-45-6270309222-2.7-0.2
219219.9MontanaBSky0.47260.457628314-1416-150-10-10-13-812-55-8222201225-5.1-0.5
220222.2Bowling GreenMAC0.47050.504414611-1612-180-10-01-24-127-35-72642402166.20.5
221223.0IUPUISum0.47020.472824211-1612-160-00-21-36-55-64-82282742212.00.3
222223.6LIU BrooklynNEC0.47000.416033818-1118-120-10-00-04-315-86-6223320226-2.4-0.4
223223.6Western KentuckyCUSA0.46980.469424813-1514-170-10-20-13-711-66-72553272230.60.1
224224.1RadfordBSth0.46960.482920611-1611-170-20-32-31-48-63-7181482195.10.7
225223.6USC UpstateASun0.46930.453029513-1413-140-00-01-61-311-56-72042842203.61.2
226226.8East CarolinaAmer0.46700.494616613-1514-170-40-20-53-410-38-5218319228-1.2-0.1
227227.6DePaulBE0.46660.5439739-1910-210-60-42-50-57-27-62823112243.60.5
228228.2High PointBSth0.46590.464426112-1412-150-00-11-51-310-53-6235170229-0.8-0.1
229229.7PepperdineWCC0.46510.5380818-208-210-40-11-43-64-63-8272132230-0.3-0.1
230229.7PacificWCC0.46510.5282979-209-210-50-10-44-66-45-7239186231-1.3-0.2
231229.8WagnerNEC0.46510.431732214-1215-120-00-11-11-313-73-6215206235-5.2-0.7
232230.8CharlotteCUSA0.46450.482720811-1412-160-10-20-02-710-45-5195182233-2.2-0.2
233231.7IdahoBSky0.46410.438331612-1214-130-00-00-11-813-43-6248249232-0.3-0.0
234231.9BradleyMVC0.46370.511013610-1910-200-00-60-24-66-54-82401552274.90.6
235234.2LamarSlnd0.46230.427132812-1214-130-00-00-22-612-64-5250344238-3.8-0.3
236234.3PortlandWCC0.46220.52341038-208-210-60-00-42-66-46-51842232340.30.0
237234.3Alcorn St.SWAC0.46210.425433212-1113-130-00-10-30-613-30-829025241-6.7-0.5
238237.1Murray St.OVC0.46000.462626512-1512-160-01-10-24-57-74-8254197240-2.9-0.4
239237.7North FloridaASun0.45970.49611609-189-180-10-20-53-36-61-12291822361.70.5
240238.4UNLVMWC0.45900.516512210-1811-200-30-21-73-77-27-62081962371.40.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241242.2Little RockSB0.45650.466225511-1413-160-10-11-23-79-57-4186322247-4.8-0.3
242243.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45610.434432013-1414-150-00-10-11-713-65-6212310262-18.7-1.7
243244.0DuquesneA100.45540.513912810-1811-200-30-11-43-107-27-62292542395.00.5
244243.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.45540.468625112-1612-170-00-00-30-1112-35-62803212430.50.1
245249.4Air ForceMWC0.45210.51681199-1710-190-00-22-72-76-35-62602292490.40.0
246248.9DelawareCAA0.45190.487019110-1810-190-00-20-53-87-45-62263042453.90.7
247251.0Montana St.BSky0.45110.452829712-1413-160-00-00-12-911-63-8311258251-0.0-0.0
248251.1MissouriSEC0.45090.5384797-208-220-42-31-90-65-15-72862632483.10.3
249251.7Eastern KentuckyOVC0.45010.48951819-1910-190-10-10-33-77-75-81931352447.71.0
250253.1ColumbiaIvy0.45000.46522589-1410-160-00-20-22-78-55-7246300261-7.9-0.6
251252.2Cleveland St.Horz0.44990.51451277-218-210-20-00-53-95-53-8205352466.20.9
252253.0UTEPCUSA0.44970.464625911-1513-160-01-10-34-58-81-10333211254-1.0-0.1
253253.6James MadisonCAA0.44900.50681428-218-220-00-21-44-104-51-113262202521.60.2
254253.8Robert MorrisNEC0.44870.454229212-1813-180-10-01-31-511-94-9200100259-5.2-0.7
255254.4QuinnipiacMAAC0.44840.488418410-1910-200-10-30-13-97-63-72832452504.40.6
256255.3ManhattanMAAC0.44800.493617110-2110-210-20-20-32-118-35-6170165256-0.7-0.3
257256.6Norfolk St.MEAC0.44780.425733112-1413-150-20-10-10-413-61-11310105260-3.4-0.3
258256.7Tennessee TechOVC0.44720.470824610-1810-190-00-11-43-87-52-11332288257-0.3-0.0
259256.9Saint LouisA100.44710.51671209-1910-210-20-20-73-86-15-830627524214.91.6
260258.5Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44620.431032412-1413-140-00-00-13-510-96-52133382580.50.1
261260.0ArmyPat0.44530.468925011-1711-180-10-10-43-69-75-6209221263-3.0-0.4
262261.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.44490.45912789-1510-170-10-00-22-67-83-6138972538.20.6
263261.4Western CarolinaSC0.44430.51371296-217-220-10-10-91-86-43-8167312556.40.9
264265.9Portland St.BSky0.44280.426932910-1312-140-00-01-11-59-94-4144273271-5.1-0.3
265265.0Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44260.457528410-1710-180-10-00-31-59-81-927362266-1.0-0.1
266268.1Youngstown St.Horz0.44050.47932219-199-200-00-11-33-75-94-72572802644.10.4
267271.8SeattleWAC0.43960.462026810-1410-160-00-10-50-810-25-7285323287-15.2-1.3
268272.3Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43940.447730510-1411-160-10-00-31-511-63-8295198276-3.7-0.2
269271.1DetroitHorz0.43910.50161507-217-220-10-00-42-95-71-103201332701.10.1
270274.1Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.43760.432532112-1613-160-00-00-31-612-73-103423432677.10.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271277.0CornellIvy0.43730.49201756-197-210-00-30-31-95-63-11276177286-9.0-0.6
272275.8MaristMAAC0.43720.49831578-228-230-10-40-11-127-53-82381442687.81.0
273277.0DrexelCAA0.43670.48392028-218-220-00-30-42-106-55-7230316283-6.0-0.8
274278.0Appalachian St.SB0.43640.49941546-187-200-10-21-23-74-73-627728526513.00.8
275277.5St. Francis PANEC0.43610.422133412-1513-150-00-00-20-513-82-83233052734.50.4
276280.4Austin PeayOVC0.43570.47662328-198-200-10-10-21-97-72-102811242728.40.8
277279.2Kennesaw St.ASun0.43540.438131711-1711-170-00-10-31-610-74-103163402772.20.5
278281.2BrownIvy0.43500.454529110-1511-170-10-20-21-710-57-726932526912.20.8
279280.5ColgatePat0.43490.45842809-2010-200-00-10-42-67-101-113453242746.50.8
280280.1BryantNEC0.43490.462226710-1911-190-10-10-12-59-112-10256632755.10.6
281283.6Oregon St.P120.43380.5496644-254-260-50-41-41-72-53-9329277291-7.4-1.4
282283.5CampbellBSth0.43350.445230810-1611-160-00-20-40-310-74-52443062803.50.3
283284.5UTSACUSA0.43340.448330310-1611-180-00-10-12-69-103-83173152813.50.2
284284.3NiagaraMAAC0.43330.47292419-219-220-00-20-16-83-113-83183302795.30.5
285285.5Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43320.47402397-178-190-00-31-11-66-92-7298232296-10.5-0.8
286287.4MilwaukeeHorz0.43220.49841567-227-230-00-00-52-95-93-9247139293-5.6-0.7
287287.7JacksonvilleASun0.43220.398934513-1413-140-00-00-21-312-98-5265351290-2.3-0.6
288286.9HawaiiBW0.43210.442631012-1313-150-10-20-20-413-65-7287227301-14.1-0.9
289287.6SouthernSWAC0.43180.403034312-1313-150-10-00-20-513-72-8289250304-16.4-0.9
290288.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.43150.47782278-219-220-20-20-22-77-101-12293872880.50.0
291289.2Abilene ChristianSlnd0.43130.44543078-149-160-00-00-24-66-92-5274308297-7.8-0.4
292290.0TulaneAmer0.43120.51821125-226-240-50-10-41-105-53-932229427812.01.0
293289.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.43100.45672877-188-190-10-41-30-27-91-1017242854.40.3
294290.8NJITASun0.43100.46452609-199-190-20-00-21-68-86-81832342891.80.4
295290.7Oral RobertsSum0.43100.51251346-226-220-20-11-33-103-62-10258382828.72.0
296293.1BinghamtonAE0.42960.45552899-1810-180-10-20-11-99-56-62333352849.11.1
297292.1HamptonMEAC0.42940.421533510-1412-150-00-00-31-311-81-10314114305-12.9-0.8
298293.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.42880.408934212-1213-140-00-00-02-612-84-7338347298-4.7-0.3
299295.4Sacred HeartNEC0.42880.426533013-1713-180-10-00-01-612-115-82682912941.40.1
300296.9Northern ColoradoBSky0.42680.45462907-179-180-20-00-20-78-72-721153302-5.1-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301296.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42650.43963148-1810-200-20-11-30-49-101-1124240308-11.2-0.6
302301.3DrakeMVC0.42550.50551436-217-210-00-50-13-84-71-93402532956.31.0
303302.7UMass LowellAE0.42550.459727510-2010-200-00-20-12-118-65-93003293002.70.9
304300.3Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42470.43533188-1810-190-00-30-30-510-81-1226356306-5.7-0.4
305300.7Cal PolyBW0.42460.45342947-189-190-00-10-23-66-113-92491642928.70.6
306303.3McNeese St.Slnd0.42320.48432015-186-200-20-00-01-115-71-721930309-5.7-0.4
307305.2South FloridaAmer0.42300.49921557-207-220-30-10-42-86-56-52663182996.20.9
308305.7Charleston SouthernBSth0.42270.46372637-188-180-10-10-60-38-71-73032053032.70.3
309305.4Miami OHMAC0.42240.48771878-189-200-00-10-31-117-65-6288313312-6.6-0.6
310305.4Louisiana MonroeSB0.42120.49591615-206-230-10-20-31-105-74-7278290314-8.6-0.6
311308.4UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.42030.47522357-197-210-00-00-50-87-75-9262271310-1.6-0.2
312308.2Incarnate WordSlnd0.41990.46562567-168-170-00-00-12-95-81-6308145315-6.8-0.5
313309.5DartmouthIvy0.41950.47662316-186-210-00-30-32-74-93-10301270317-7.5-0.8
314310.4Sacramento St.BSky0.41840.44063118-169-180-00-00-21-78-91-83312153073.40.3
315312.5AmericanPat0.41760.47612337-217-220-10-10-30-87-83-8294183313-0.5-0.1
316314.7Chicago St.WAC0.41580.49981533-233-250-10-20-50-63-112-122751463113.70.7
317314.3Jackson St.SWAC0.41500.40293449-1512-160-10-00-11-411-102-8297248316-1.7-0.2
318318.0The CitadelSC0.41270.48022186-206-220-00-20-61-85-64-6237267319-1.0-0.2
319317.7Morgan St.MEAC0.41210.395634611-1413-150-00-00-20-313-92-10334269320-2.3-0.3
320318.3Savannah St.MEAC0.41160.42113368-169-180-10-10-20-59-91-10302158322-3.7-0.5
321319.4Western IllinoisSum0.41120.46182696-186-190-10-00-21-75-81-83473423181.40.3
322320.0VMISC0.41020.49371694-215-220-10-11-50-73-81-8327184323-3.0-0.4
323322.5LafayettePat0.40820.46082717-207-210-10-00-32-75-103-72992993211.50.3
324323.5HartfordAE0.40730.44743069-219-220-00-20-01-108-95-10325345324-0.5-0.2
325323.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.40590.43133236-167-180-00-00-10-77-102-5271317328-4.2-0.6
326324.4UC RiversideBW0.40530.44903026-187-190-10-00-12-45-131-9330202325-0.6-0.1
327324.9UC Santa BarbaraBW0.40420.49531644-215-220-20-21-20-64-101-102205327-2.1-0.3
328328.0MaineAE0.40050.47482375-245-250-10-30-11-114-93-113092863262.00.5
329328.5North TexasCUSA0.39990.46532576-197-210-00-20-10-117-84-6313307330-1.5-0.3
330329.0Coppin St.MEAC0.39970.43463197-208-210-00-00-60-68-90-1331983332-3.0-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331329.4Delaware St.MEAC0.39890.41723377-208-210-10-00-12-66-131-123121993290.40.1
332331.7Grambling St.SWAC0.39540.38663499-1511-170-10-00-10-411-112-83373333310.70.1
333332.4StetsonASun0.39480.42743278-208-200-00-00-40-48-125-9315346333-0.6-0.4
334334.6Northern ArizonaBSky0.39090.43893157-208-220-00-00-11-86-132-10328296335-0.4-0.1
335335.0Idaho St.BSky0.39030.46922494-225-240-10-00-30-75-131-10324172337-2.0-0.5
336336.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.38780.46032744-234-240-00-00-41-73-134-82362373342.41.2
337336.3Southern MissCUSA0.38760.45892796-206-220-10-10-11-85-101-93493283360.30.1
338338.2Alabama St.SWAC0.38300.41233407-188-210-00-00-20-78-121-10321208342-3.8-0.7
339338.8Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.38240.44343094-246-250-20-30-11-55-150-1330747339-0.2-0.1
340339.5FIUCUSA0.38170.47032474-225-240-00-30-11-74-132-9335276343-3.5-1.1
341339.3HowardMEAC0.38120.43013265-216-230-10-10-20-66-121-1230586341-1.7-0.4
342340.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.37840.42313336-217-230-00-10-10-87-130-123361533400.50.1
343341.4LongwoodBSth0.37790.45672864-224-230-10-00-50-54-121-83412783383.41.9
344342.0Southern UtahBSky0.37530.45142993-234-250-00-00-10-104-150-11344230344-2.0-0.8
345344.5Central ConnecticutNEC0.36810.41443396-226-230-00-00-11-55-172-9339339345-0.5-0.4
346345.7PresbyterianBSth0.36480.45952763-233-240-00-01-60-52-132-7304243346-0.3-0.4
347347.9Bethune CookmanMEAC0.34620.39103475-206-220-00-00-20-56-151-11348303349-1.1-1.3
348348.0Florida A&MMEAC0.34600.38393505-206-210-10-00-00-36-180-113503123471.01.1
349348.0St. Francis NYNEC0.34420.43053253-263-270-10-00-10-63-191-113432923480.00.1
350350.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.31400.41093410-261-280-00-10-10-51-210-133462593500.30.7
351350.7Alabama A&MSWAC0.31170.39073481-242-270-00-00-00-51-220-11351337351-0.3-0.7

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com