live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Mar 5, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.3KentuckySEC0.67930.57302530-031-05-06-08-07-05-013-01910.30.6
21.7KansasB120.67610.6271124-624-77-44-26-17-00-011-2222-0.3-0.6
33.6VirginiaACC0.66810.57632228-129-15-13-06-010-04-012-053430.60.6
44.0VillanovaBE0.66580.57112828-229-25-16-04-112-02-013-085840.00.0
55.2WisconsinB100.66260.58431327-328-32-26-07-010-13-012-171250.20.2
66.0DukeACC0.66100.58301627-327-45-14-17-15-06-013-064260.00.0
76.2ArizonaP120.65850.56903127-328-33-03-08-210-14-012-111647-0.8-1.1
88.0GonzagaWCC0.64040.54407528-228-21-13-14-013-07-011-141580.0NaN
99.8BaylorB120.63070.5979321-822-85-32-34-28-03-011-1102790.80.7
1010.1MarylandB100.62970.56024625-526-52-13-25-210-06-012-11784100.10.1
1111.0Wichita St.MVC0.62780.53139226-326-31-21-05-19-010-09-2163511-0.0-0.0
1212.8UtahP120.62430.56503722-623-61-31-27-17-07-09-21841120.80.5
1313.7North CarolinaACC0.62340.6060221-922-92-63-26-18-03-010-3135130.70.2
1414.2Northern IowaMVC0.62150.518111427-327-31-22-04-07-113-011-11410615-0.8-0.9
1515.1Iowa St.B120.62040.5856921-822-85-55-03-24-25-010-233100141.10.5
1616.9ArkansasSEC0.61710.55276324-625-61-24-15-36-19-011-21550160.90.3
1717.3SMUAmer0.61700.56094422-623-60-24-27-23-010-08-3261419-1.7-0.7
1817.8OklahomaB120.61580.5888720-921-94-55-01-26-24-09-3478918-0.2-0.1
1919.8LouisvilleACC0.61230.57891823-723-81-51-17-18-06-012-12510922-2.2-0.9
2019.9VCUA100.61190.58521021-922-91-23-37-25-26-010-331172.92.1
2120.2ProvidenceBE0.61100.5877821-922-93-32-36-08-22-110-31917200.20.1
2220.1GeorgetownBE0.61090.5964419-920-92-52-34-09-03-08-2201321-0.9-0.5
2321.8West VirginiaB120.60790.56923022-823-82-64-14-17-06-012-13619923-1.2-0.6
2425.0Notre DameACC0.59980.52979425-526-53-32-05-28-08-012-183318250.00.0
2526.0ButlerBE0.59870.57182721-921-102-73-12-111-13-09-358122260.00.0
2626.4San Diego St.MWC0.59800.53698522-723-71-12-35-06-29-09-33457242.41.4
2726.6Colorado St.MWC0.59740.515011724-525-50-02-24-28-111-012-098327-0.4-0.2
2829.3DaytonA100.59420.518511323-624-61-11-14-38-09-110-231113281.30.5
2929.6Michigan St.B100.59360.57772020-1021-100-62-05-29-24-09-45953290.60.2
3030.4OregonP120.59150.55216422-822-81-30-18-27-26-09-389124300.40.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3131.1DavidsonA100.59130.519911121-622-61-31-05-13-212-08-262231310.10.0
3233.8Ohio St.B100.59050.54956722-822-91-30-36-38-07-011-257205321.80.3
3334.1St. John'sBE0.58850.57352420-920-103-62-14-16-25-010-24269340.10.0
3435.4BuffaloMAC0.58720.53908320-921-90-20-05-37-39-19-3237037-1.6-0.3
3537.5Boise St.MWC0.58560.517211521-722-71-12-13-16-310-08-352158352.50.6
3637.9CincinnatiAmer0.58510.55336221-922-92-13-32-35-19-29-4532438-0.1-0.0
3739.9BYUWCC0.58460.54347621-821-81-20-13-29-38-08-3321840-0.1-0.1
3839.2GeorgiaSEC0.58450.56583619-1020-100-42-07-37-34-09-33867336.21.3
3940.7Oklahoma St.B120.58380.58441217-1117-123-83-02-24-25-09-24113841-0.3-0.1
4040.8IowaB100.58370.56763320-1021-102-42-24-38-14-09-4114123391.80.4
4139.6TempleAmer0.58370.54707021-922-91-41-34-12-114-09-44548363.60.5
4240.2Old DominionCUSA0.58360.505414023-624-61-00-05-35-212-111-1124645-4.8-0.8
4341.5XavierBE0.58270.57971718-1219-123-32-33-28-42-010-3283742-0.5-0.1
4442.2TulsaAmer0.58270.53538821-721-80-42-23-14-112-07-410311146-3.8-0.8
4543.4TexasB120.58190.58461118-1219-122-91-23-19-04-011-23090430.40.1
4645.3MississippiSEC0.58030.56054520-1021-101-23-34-26-37-09-47691441.30.3
4746.4North Carolina St.ACC0.57940.5918518-1219-123-51-25-45-24-09-4682547-0.6-0.1
4847.2Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57860.482520423-424-40-20-13-05-016-17-36514552-4.8-0.8
4949.9Texas A&MSEC0.57630.54297820-921-90-31-36-47-07-09-367137481.90.3
5049.6WoffordSC0.57610.489217923-623-60-21-02-24-115-17-42219490.60.4
5150.1IonaMAAC0.57590.486318824-724-70-10-10-110-214-27-44492500.10.0
5252.7UCLAP120.57370.56733519-1219-121-61-13-38-26-08-511655511.71.1
5353.7LSUSEC0.57280.54417421-921-101-23-27-26-25-211-24316456-2.3-0.6
5454.0Louisiana TechCUSA0.57250.487418523-723-70-00-32-15-216-18-49823255-1.0-0.7
5554.2HarvardIvy0.57230.503414618-620-60-10-03-16-211-28-45611857-2.8-0.3
5656.3RichmondA100.57060.55815218-1219-122-11-34-35-37-17-610829542.30.8
5757.0IndianaB100.57000.56733419-1119-123-42-34-35-16-010-382125534.00.6
5859.0IllinoisB100.56870.55486019-1119-122-21-42-48-16-010-363152581.00.2
5959.0Saint Mary'sWCC0.56850.52889520-820-80-21-31-011-27-17-3888659-0.0-0.0
6059.6Green BayHorz0.56800.497715721-721-70-10-03-25-413-09-3296660-0.4-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6160.4StanfordP120.56700.55825118-1118-120-42-24-36-37-09-3377464-3.6-1.2
6262.9PurdueB100.56520.55196519-1120-110-34-24-45-36-08-5177203611.90.3
6364.3PittsburghACC0.56460.56453918-1218-132-40-23-310-33-110-354112622.30.3
6464.6SyracuseACC0.56460.56853218-1218-132-51-21-58-16-09-47778631.60.3
6564.6ValparaisoHorz0.56430.467825123-523-50-00-02-18-313-110-27026166-1.4-0.9
6664.3YaleIvy0.56420.507913219-820-90-10-12-25-413-19-66410869-4.7-0.8
6766.5Murray St.OVC0.56330.466125724-424-40-00-11-18-114-18-412922367-0.5-0.3
6866.3Miami FLACC0.56270.54806919-1120-111-61-05-14-49-010-385191651.30.3
6970.1Rhode IslandA100.56020.510712619-820-80-30-23-16-211-07-3109206682.10.6
7070.3Central MichiganMAC0.55930.484219319-620-60-02-02-25-210-27-113834972-1.7-0.4
7171.5Georgia St.SB0.55880.494216520-921-90-10-11-17-213-36-4395973-1.5-0.3
7271.1UC DavisBW0.55810.459427821-522-50-00-01-19-211-28-3131335701.10.2
7371.4MassachusettsA100.55790.55865017-1317-140-32-32-47-46-07-6507710.40.1
7474.1ToledoMAC0.55550.52749819-1120-110-21-11-49-48-18-57811675-0.9-0.3
7574.6ConnecticutAmer0.55490.55076617-1217-131-33-51-42-010-17-51126876-1.4-0.4
7675.6UTEPCUSA0.55420.506613920-921-90-12-11-26-312-28-46952741.60.3
7775.5FloridaSEC0.55340.5901615-1515-161-51-45-57-22-17-61022179-3.5-1.7
7878.3MemphisAmer0.55170.55555918-1218-130-51-52-03-012-28-5872681-2.7-0.7
7977.3Illinois St.MVC0.55150.53209018-1118-110-51-00-27-310-17-47251770.30.2
8082.0Seton HallBE0.54950.55864916-1316-141-72-42-06-35-010-235188802.00.5
8182.7Kansas St.B120.54900.58421415-1515-165-62-41-22-45-07-6170143784.71.1
8282.1High PointBSth0.54860.480820919-819-80-00-11-25-513-06-34013983-0.9-0.6
8383.5George WashingtonA100.54710.509112919-1120-111-31-22-35-211-110-38027484-0.5-0.1
8483.9MinnesotaB100.54700.55456116-1317-130-43-32-35-36-010-255217821.90.3
8586.9Arizona St.P120.54540.56194116-1417-141-41-34-37-54-08-516216787-0.1-0.0
8688.4South Dakota St.Sum0.54420.477121519-919-90-20-10-04-215-47-5111195880.40.2
8789.1UC Santa BarbaraBW0.54410.53019315-1216-120-20-21-19-56-25-79910854.10.6
8887.9AlabamaSEC0.54380.55695716-1316-140-51-44-34-28-09-36014091-3.1-0.5
8989.5Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54270.462126720-620-70-00-31-22-017-15-410611998-8.5-1.9
9090.5MichiganB100.54250.58411513-1514-150-52-43-37-32-06-512520864.50.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9191.2WyomingMWC0.54190.486019020-820-91-12-21-15-311-19-2100312901.20.2
9292.0Kent St.MAC0.54170.503514519-1020-100-10-24-33-312-18-4153271893.00.5
9392.6Bowling GreenMAC0.54070.490517619-819-90-00-32-25-312-18-29431496-3.4-0.9
9493.3ClemsonACC0.53980.55695616-1316-141-61-14-27-43-18-415419895-1.7-0.5
9594.2Eastern WashingtonBSky0.53980.470724019-820-80-10-01-14-515-16-44882940.20.0
9698.1TennesseeSEC0.53730.55785415-1415-151-41-33-45-25-18-410197926.10.8
9799.4Western KentuckyCUSA0.53640.506913817-1017-110-12-13-31-412-25-512349104-4.6-0.9
9898.2UNLVMWC0.53630.54627115-1416-141-31-42-35-27-28-4213935.21.4
9998.5William & MaryCAA0.53600.502314816-1116-110-11-11-46-08-54-5963699-0.5-0.3
100100.8UC IrvineBW0.53550.504814316-1116-120-10-12-46-48-25-7151101106-5.2-0.7
101100.0NortheasternCAA0.53550.488718220-1120-110-00-12-38-410-38-584154100-0.0-0.0
102101.7VanderbiltSEC0.53510.53149117-1217-130-30-46-34-37-19-3120238102-0.3-0.0
103101.7CaliforniaP120.53500.54347717-1317-140-40-24-58-15-210-386171974.70.8
104102.3ChattanoogaSC0.53450.474122020-920-90-11-20-05-114-45-61851151011.30.7
105102.8South CarolinaSEC0.53370.57082913-1514-151-53-22-52-36-18-379117103-0.2-0.0
106106.7ColoradoP120.53170.55805314-1515-150-40-33-46-46-07-5141126107-0.3-0.0
107108.4EvansvilleMVC0.53090.508313018-1118-111-30-00-45-212-29-2732041053.42.2
108108.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.53070.423934221-621-60-20-10-14-217-05-61181271080.50.3
109109.4Long Beach St.BW0.53010.53998213-1614-160-11-52-64-47-04-101266110-0.6-0.1
110111.1La SalleA100.52920.54477315-1515-161-20-32-45-37-38-57439114-2.9-0.4
111111.5Stony BrookAE0.52860.467425320-1020-100-10-20-07-613-17-67165113-1.5-0.7
112112.5AlbanyAE0.52800.450630422-822-80-10-01-18-413-26-7160193116-3.5-2.0
113112.7New Mexico St.WAC0.52790.477221418-1019-100-20-11-32-316-16-9169381093.71.1
114113.4NorthwesternB100.52780.55874815-1515-160-51-43-54-27-09-4144210115-1.6-0.3
115115.7Wake ForestACC0.52620.57702113-1713-180-81-13-54-36-18-51421321114.70.6
116116.3St. BonaventureA100.52590.509912716-1217-121-02-21-63-29-27-41862971124.30.6
117117.3Oregon St.P120.52560.526410116-1316-131-20-33-37-35-28-31723251170.30.1
118116.7Georgia SouthernSB0.52560.455728718-718-80-00-01-23-314-34-2171346120-3.3-0.6
119116.9Western MichiganMAC0.52530.502214916-1216-130-01-12-45-78-07-4159311118-1.1-0.1
120120.9North Dakota St.Sum0.52270.455728618-918-90-00-21-22-215-36-5207313121-0.1-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121124.7Florida St.ACC0.52180.54856815-1516-150-60-14-66-16-18-51872081195.70.7
122122.8BucknellPat0.52170.492017218-1318-130-10-00-28-910-14-82221661220.80.4
123124.1Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52090.504114416-1216-120-41-11-22-312-28-275245126-1.9-0.9
124127.2Utah St.MWC0.52090.493916817-1117-120-11-33-42-211-26-5182234133-5.8-0.5
125127.3TCUB120.52070.526510017-1317-140-102-31-14-010-013-0923481252.30.2
126128.0NebraskaB100.52030.56124313-1613-170-42-32-64-45-08-4155244130-2.0-0.2
127126.6WashingtonP120.52000.53728415-1415-151-32-12-54-56-111-1492371233.60.7
128126.0Georgia TechACC0.52000.57572312-1812-180-71-23-34-44-29-351721242.00.9
129127.6OaklandHorz0.51940.524410614-1514-150-30-13-52-49-23-1019122128-0.4-0.1
130128.4Cleveland St.Horz0.51900.505214115-1315-130-30-12-43-310-24-819877129-0.6-0.3
131132.1Penn St.B100.51860.54108115-1515-160-40-42-54-29-112-1612941275.10.6
132129.7RiderMAAC0.51860.461327221-1021-100-10-20-16-215-46-5193298132-2.3-0.9
133134.1RadfordBSth0.51730.464126218-1018-100-10-02-12-514-36-491201135-0.9-0.4
134134.7James MadisonCAA0.51710.499315319-1219-120-10-11-54-414-17-6164791340.70.3
135136.6CreightonBE0.51620.55964713-1713-181-72-40-36-24-19-41101831315.60.6
136137.6Charleston SouthernBSth0.51620.470124516-1016-100-01-21-23-411-23-5188129138-0.4-0.2
137137.7BelmontOVC0.51620.457928219-1019-100-10-10-14-314-47-51562461370.70.4
138138.4AkronMAC0.51550.501115017-1217-130-01-15-44-48-48-4204319145-6.6-0.5
139137.3Texas SouthernSWAC0.51550.454929118-1219-120-31-01-30-417-23-101198139-1.7-0.2
140139.7UNC WilmingtonCAA0.51540.476121616-1216-120-10-21-34-111-54-6197259140-0.3-0.2
141138.1Louisiana MonroeSB0.51510.484119515-1116-110-00-00-36-510-32-52291631362.10.2
142141.8Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51430.466125819-1019-100-00-23-31-215-37-61331281410.80.4
143141.7Sacramento St.BSky0.51410.451929817-917-100-10-01-13-314-54-5218283147-5.3-0.5
144142.6Incarnate WordSlnd0.51380.460427414-915-90-00-30-21-113-34-227881420.60.1
145142.9San DiegoWCC0.51370.524810514-1514-150-21-41-35-37-36-5135147144-1.1-0.5
146143.4LafayettePat0.51350.485719117-1217-120-20-00-17-610-37-3461491430.40.2
147144.3PepperdineWCC0.51310.495115916-1216-120-22-11-33-410-26-4224338146-1.7-0.9
148146.8Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51210.461527017-1017-100-10-11-22-314-36-5147211149-2.2-1.1
149146.9AmericanPat0.51200.492317116-1516-150-00-10-29-77-57-566141148-1.1-0.5
150150.7Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51030.444331217-917-90-00-12-14-411-35-31072731500.70.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151152.9Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50930.483719715-1216-120-00-12-13-611-43-5209168157-4.1-0.5
152153.5MontanaBSky0.50920.472323315-1116-110-00-31-12-313-42-7199301512.50.3
153155.9Norfolk St.MEAC0.50780.464026317-1217-120-20-10-04-513-35-89523158-2.1-0.7
154156.1St. Francis NYNEC0.50770.443431421-1021-100-10-00-07-714-25-72633081542.10.9
155157.0PortlandWCC0.50740.512412014-1414-140-20-21-44-49-27-31172281552.00.8
156157.2Oral RobertsSum0.50740.483919615-1315-130-11-00-33-311-65-71741721561.20.5
157160.0Gardner WebbBSth0.50650.483619915-1315-130-10-12-44-29-54-5122931591.00.4
158160.6Washington St.P120.50550.54247912-1712-180-41-13-52-66-26-62082411528.61.0
159160.8UABCUSA0.50530.511612315-1416-140-21-02-62-211-43-925340167-6.2-0.6
160162.6NJITind0.50500.467825214-1114-110-10-12-03-59-414-11166265163-0.4-0.2
161162.0New MexicoMWC0.50470.518511214-1515-150-11-53-35-36-48-4158260169-7.0-0.7
162163.6MarquetteBE0.50440.56463811-1812-181-70-72-15-23-18-414016515310.61.4
163163.3Eastern MichiganMAC0.50420.494016714-1214-130-00-31-54-19-37-293301164-0.7-0.1
164165.2UT ArlingtonSB0.50370.483619815-1316-130-10-20-24-312-55-4105151170-4.8-0.6
165165.9Boston CollegeACC0.50330.56374011-1812-181-71-11-84-15-18-41571861614.90.6
166165.3AuburnSEC0.50320.56154211-1811-190-22-41-74-43-27-5115621623.30.4
167165.6Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50310.487818415-1415-140-00-10-45-510-45-6137991650.60.2
168167.5North FloridaASun0.50220.435333219-1119-110-10-11-22-216-55-9242306168-0.5-0.2
169168.6RutgersB100.50180.57212610-2010-211-30-31-96-42-18-597611608.61.2
170168.6CanisiusMAAC0.50180.484119416-1316-130-01-20-14-711-35-410494171-2.4-1.1
171168.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.50160.473222513-1114-110-20-20-32-212-21-620241662.90.3
172171.0Saint Joseph'sA100.50040.526210213-1613-170-32-13-32-46-66-6167169176-5.0-0.7
173171.9HawaiiBW0.50030.488818117-1218-120-10-12-54-412-110-4132182173-1.1-0.1
174172.3LehighPat0.49980.489417815-1415-140-10-01-06-108-35-5139161174-1.7-1.0
175173.3Northern ArizonaBSky0.49950.467025516-1317-130-00-22-12-513-54-8196110180-6.7-0.6
176175.2ColumbiaIvy0.49890.513111812-1313-140-10-11-35-47-57-614681177-1.8-0.1
177174.7Indiana St.MVC0.49870.511912114-1514-150-40-12-23-29-53-8307247175-0.3-0.1
178177.1DePaulBE0.49840.54567212-1812-190-72-33-23-44-26-72782911725.10.5
179177.8Texas TechB120.49760.55565813-1713-181-91-31-23-37-110-3149292178-0.2-0.0
180177.9ColgatePat0.49750.490317715-1615-160-00-10-28-87-52-10290187179-1.1-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181179.4HofstraCAA0.49690.455028919-1219-120-00-10-33-616-29-4161334181-1.6-0.7
182181.4Fresno St.MWC0.49640.509412813-1513-160-12-31-24-76-33-8299267184-2.6-0.5
183181.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.49630.452829716-1216-120-00-10-32-514-36-5179323183-2.0-0.9
184181.6St. Francis PANEC0.49620.468325015-1415-140-00-20-07-88-45-581105182-0.4-0.2
185185.2East Tennessee St.SC0.49470.477821314-1314-130-10-10-22-212-66-324331850.20.1
186186.6BryantNEC0.49390.475021816-1416-140-00-10-35-611-43-8205801860.60.4
187187.3Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49360.481220715-1515-150-20-10-15-910-24-7134471870.30.2
188188.0Cal PolyBW0.49300.498815411-1411-150-10-01-63-57-35-5901301880.00.0
189189.9Middle TennesseeCUSA0.49180.494816414-1515-150-01-21-43-510-46-61521311890.90.1
190190.8Robert MorrisNEC0.49150.471723717-1417-140-20-10-26-511-44-8210103193-2.2-1.3
191191.4ManhattanMAAC0.49140.460027616-1316-130-00-10-34-412-43-6296326192-0.6-0.3
192191.4MonmouthMAAC0.49130.470324217-1417-140-31-10-03-513-54-7261256194-2.6-1.2
193193.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.49020.439132418-1319-130-20-10-04-515-57-81241591903.50.7
194194.6Northern IllinoisMAC0.48970.507413512-1513-150-10-22-52-59-25-52212821913.60.3
195195.5New HampshireAE0.48890.439532217-1117-110-00-00-04-813-35-62202871950.50.4
196196.3VermontAE0.48840.447930817-1217-120-00-10-24-513-44-82592141960.30.2
197196.4DetroitHorz0.48840.507213613-1713-170-10-13-73-37-55-814843198-1.6-1.0
198197.3San FranciscoWCC0.48790.522910812-1712-170-20-20-35-87-25-62271761970.30.2
199199.8Holy CrossPat0.48660.497915613-1613-160-01-00-26-86-64-5128601990.80.5
200200.6Boston UniversityPat0.48630.508113112-1712-170-10-20-16-96-43-719244201-0.4-0.2
201201.7MercerSC0.48580.469124715-1415-140-00-40-32-313-43-8277189202-0.3-0.1
202203.4DartmouthIvy0.48440.479221012-1413-150-01-11-25-57-87-7194284207-3.6-0.3
203204.8Santa ClaraWCC0.48430.521411011-1711-170-20-31-35-85-14-6232200205-0.2-0.1
204205.1Morehead St.OVC0.48420.473522215-1615-160-00-20-42-913-13-10264197206-0.9-0.5
205205.0CharlotteCUSA0.48400.495116013-1714-170-10-31-62-412-37-61451752041.00.2
206206.3MissouriSEC0.48390.5786198-218-220-60-53-52-33-35-7184282006.30.6
207207.8MilwaukeeHorz0.48270.499915212-1612-160-20-10-45-67-33-9266134209-1.2-0.6
208208.6Mississippi St.SEC0.48170.52669911-1812-180-30-32-44-45-46-62793022035.60.9
209210.5IPFWSum0.48140.469724613-1313-130-00-01-42-410-54-6241258214-3.5-2.1
210210.6USCP120.48130.53648711-1911-190-30-20-67-64-28-4181276211-0.4-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211209.4TulaneAmer0.48130.500315113-1513-160-11-61-31-210-48-31893292081.40.2
212210.9USC UpstateASun0.48120.420234419-1019-100-10-00-14-215-69-4183342213-2.1-1.2
213209.6PrincetonIvy0.48050.483120212-1414-150-00-10-45-69-46-9276277210-0.4-0.0
214211.2North TexasCUSA0.48020.502314712-1512-160-10-41-33-29-64-6240155212-0.8-0.1
215213.1Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.47970.443131615-1216-120-11-11-12-212-73-7323344215-1.9-0.5
216215.5George MasonA100.47770.5572558-208-210-51-41-52-34-44-717832220-4.5-1.0
217215.5CornellIvy0.47680.483520012-1513-160-01-20-44-48-77-8217270216-0.5-0.0
218217.5South DakotaSum0.47660.465425914-1514-150-00-11-43-310-75-82512852170.50.3
219218.6Miami OHMAC0.47500.507713312-1712-180-00-42-44-57-54-8319300219-0.4-0.1
220219.8WinthropBSth0.47390.438932514-1214-120-10-01-23-510-42-6314327221-1.2-0.9
221221.2Delaware St.MEAC0.47260.455328813-1613-160-10-30-13-510-64-913663222-0.8-0.5
222221.4UC RiversideBW0.47260.483320112-1512-160-10-11-43-68-35-72382502183.40.5
223224.0East CarolinaAmer0.47130.511012511-1711-180-21-51-42-27-45-62742952231.00.1
224222.7DuquesneA100.47120.523010710-1710-180-11-31-51-87-14-6286278224-1.3-0.4
225227.3Virginia TechACC0.46850.54198010-2010-210-80-11-52-67-18-52353052252.30.5
226226.7QuinnipiacMAAC0.46780.468924815-1515-150-00-11-17-67-76-3143177227-0.3-0.2
227229.0PacificWCC0.46690.51141249-189-180-20-30-23-96-25-41902682281.00.5
228231.4Portland St.BSky0.46670.451430112-1312-140-00-11-10-711-54-41762962310.40.0
229230.5LamarSlnd0.46630.472423011-1511-150-20-20-31-310-52-6228179233-2.5-1.1
230231.0DrexelCAA0.46610.494116611-1711-170-00-21-32-98-32-82951602301.00.4
231231.9DenverSum0.46570.495016212-1712-170-10-11-42-59-66-717387232-0.1-0.0
232232.5FIUCUSA0.46570.463626412-1612-170-10-10-32-510-75-62123222266.50.9
233232.2UTSACUSA0.46530.472722911-1512-150-01-00-42-59-64-5262317235-2.8-0.3
234234.0ArmyPat0.46460.456428314-1514-150-10-00-05-99-58-21273242340.00.0
235235.2OhioMAC0.46400.5277979-1910-190-01-10-84-95-25-62482152296.20.7
236235.5Western CarolinaSC0.46380.461926912-1612-160-00-10-42-59-63-7230229236-0.5-0.3
237236.9BrownIvy0.46360.490917411-1611-181-00-10-51-79-47-8203233241-4.1-0.5
238237.1UCFAmer0.46300.507113711-1711-170-20-60-32-19-56-42503042370.10.0
239238.4Texas St.SB0.46290.483020310-1510-160-00-21-10-89-53-3113133246-7.6-0.8
240240.1Sacred HeartNEC0.46150.462626614-1714-170-00-10-17-107-55-72152022391.10.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241240.8Missouri St.MVC0.46110.52151099-209-200-40-20-23-96-34-61951202400.80.4
242242.9Northern ColoradoBSky0.46030.454929212-1413-140-00-10-32-611-43-62812272384.90.5
243243.8FordhamA100.46030.5343898-198-200-20-40-63-65-24-62551812430.80.1
244243.9Saint Peter'sMAAC0.45990.450930315-1715-170-01-10-13-911-66-52013212421.90.9
245244.6HartfordAE0.45960.458828113-1613-160-10-10-12-911-46-6168192245-0.4-0.2
246246.3Loyola MarymountWCC0.45890.5365867-227-220-30-30-44-83-43-824785247-0.7-0.3
247246.4HowardMEAC0.45890.428833913-1513-150-00-00-32-611-63-9267275248-1.6-0.8
248247.5SouthernSWAC0.45880.443131513-1513-160-20-10-30-613-40-1128516256-8.5-0.9
249247.6IdahoBSky0.45860.468424911-1512-150-00-12-33-47-83-62191482443.60.3
250250.8UNC AshevilleBSth0.45710.451729912-1512-150-00-00-34-78-61-73272882500.80.4
251251.2NavyPat0.45700.485219212-1912-190-20-10-14-128-33-82982212510.20.1
252251.7LIU BrooklynNEC0.45680.472023612-1812-180-00-20-06-126-44-72001352492.71.4
253252.9IUPUISum0.45640.491217310-2010-200-00-10-51-89-64-10233150255-2.1-0.9
254252.5Weber St.BSky0.45630.470324311-1511-160-10-10-33-58-53-621171258-5.5-0.5
255254.4DelawareCAA0.45600.488118310-1910-190-10-12-23-75-81-103372202522.41.2
256254.7Air ForceMWC0.45580.486318911-1611-160-10-52-21-68-25-42703412540.70.3
257256.3RiceCUSA0.45480.49381699-179-180-00-31-42-36-81-8341263267-10.7-1.4
258258.2Saint LouisA100.45400.515211610-1910-200-30-30-64-26-67-5213248259-0.8-0.2
259257.8HoustonAmer0.45380.494916311-1812-180-20-72-21-08-78-42233312534.80.6
260259.7Northern KentuckyASun0.45330.472722811-1711-170-20-00-20-811-54-92061022572.71.3
261262.0ElonCAA0.45230.459827712-1712-170-10-01-22-89-76-52163362602.01.0
262262.2Wright St.Horz0.45210.48721869-209-200-00-10-55-54-96-61211212620.20.1
263263.0UMass LowellAE0.45180.453929511-1711-170-00-10-12-99-65-7165216264-1.0-0.5
264263.6Alabama St.SWAC0.45100.385735115-915-100-20-00-00-315-52-5284264272-8.4-1.0
265264.6DrakeMVC0.45100.5284968-228-220-50-00-62-76-42-928375265-0.4-0.2
266263.9South FloridaAmer0.45090.52521048-219-210-20-60-62-37-45-72391902612.90.4
267266.6Arkansas Little RockSB0.45000.472722712-1712-170-00-21-30-811-44-5268257270-3.4-2.3
268266.9SienaMAAC0.44980.478721111-1911-190-00-10-23-108-63-6214146269-2.1-1.5
269266.6Appalachian St.SB0.44930.460127511-1711-180-00-01-21-99-73-6292339268-1.4-0.2
270268.8Loyola MDPat0.44880.476021711-1911-190-00-10-16-125-54-7265269271-2.2-1.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271270.0Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44760.431233512-1713-170-10-20-21-412-81-11272762664.01.4
272270.3PennIvy0.44600.49501617-188-200-10-20-32-76-65-92452242637.30.7
273273.9LipscombASun0.44440.446730911-1711-170-00-10-10-1011-53-93042892730.90.8
274274.1Arkansas St.SB0.44310.462926510-1710-180-00-00-42-78-74-4237328275-0.9-0.3
275275.6Ball St.MAC0.44280.52621036-216-220-10-21-82-73-34-62572222741.60.4
276277.7Grand CanyonWAC0.44120.438032814-1415-140-10-20-21-414-57-8260239280-2.3-0.4
277279.9UMKCWAC0.44000.442431811-1712-170-10-00-21-410-103-12300251281-1.1-0.2
278278.0TowsonCAA0.43990.454429411-1911-190-10-10-42-79-66-62493402771.00.7
279278.4McNeese St.Slnd0.43960.45612849-1510-150-10-10-41-49-52-5150112762.40.5
280279.8Southern IllinoisMVC0.43890.474122111-2011-200-40-01-41-59-76-62893472790.80.6
281280.8Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.43830.454729311-1711-170-10-10-32-59-74-7306332282-1.2-0.8
282282.1VMISC0.43730.46682569-189-180-20-10-21-48-81-7311156283-0.9-0.9
283282.4South AlabamaSB0.43720.48102088-209-200-00-00-43-96-80-93482432784.40.7
284284.9Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43490.51161227-237-230-20-31-41-75-73-11269952840.90.6
285285.6NiagaraMAAC0.43460.49061758-228-220-00-40-24-64-101-8291562850.60.3
286286.1Tennessee TechOVC0.43440.461926810-1810-180-00-00-24-76-96-6163242287-0.9-0.5
287286.5Southern MissCUSA0.43420.50521427-207-200-00-11-71-45-83-6258170290-3.5-1.5
288288.3HamptonMEAC0.43350.428134012-1712-170-00-10-22-710-74-9271272289-0.7-0.3
289289.0BradleyMVC0.43310.50761348-238-230-40-01-41-96-64-82942192881.00.5
290289.5SeattleWAC0.43290.432233412-1312-140-00-01-32-39-85-7273254295-5.5-0.6
291290.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43270.458928010-1610-160-00-00-32-68-72-7345337291-0.9-0.5
292291.2MarshallCUSA0.43250.48911809-199-200-20-21-21-67-82-93292362865.20.8
293294.2Youngstown St.Horz0.43070.47832128-218-210-00-10-71-87-56-61752262922.21.3
294295.1SamfordSC0.43020.439332312-1812-180-00-10-42-410-86-62433332932.11.3
295295.2WagnerNEC0.43010.47212359-209-200-10-10-02-157-31-93121362941.20.7
296296.4Houston BaptistSlnd0.42760.46422617-167-170-00-20-30-67-71-5303303298-1.6-0.2
297297.9NevadaMWC0.42750.49531587-207-210-10-41-52-64-52-8346315302-4.1-1.4
298298.2Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.42740.442731710-1711-170-00-10-21-510-93-11305240303-4.8-0.7
299298.3Florida AtlanticCUSA0.42710.48202057-197-200-00-20-32-55-95-41302252962.30.4
300298.6Nebraska OmahaSum0.42690.431233611-1711-170-00-00-31-510-96-62823502971.61.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301298.6Southern UtahBSky0.42690.44983059-1810-180-00-10-31-69-82-8297252299-0.4-0.1
302300.6FairfieldMAAC0.42510.49841557-247-240-10-20-31-106-82-8244313000.60.5
303301.4College of CharlestonCAA0.42460.48691878-238-230-10-21-50-87-75-82341963010.40.3
304302.8Jacksonville St.OVC0.42370.454929010-1910-190-10-00-22-58-115-8256290304-1.2-0.8
305305.4Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42180.49241707-237-230-10-10-61-96-62-113151803050.40.4
306306.0North DakotaBSky0.42040.47212346-216-220-20-00-30-86-92-8236104307-1.0-0.2
307307.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41910.427934111-2011-200-00-10-41-410-113-11252178308-0.5-0.4
308306.3Utah ValleyWAC0.41880.45103028-188-190-20-00-20-58-104-92251733060.30.1
309309.0TroySB0.41640.44923068-188-190-00-20-24-44-113-4326351309-0.0-0.0
310310.6Cal St. FullertonBW0.41430.47332247-217-220-00-00-60-107-66-7226293311-0.4-0.1
311310.5Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.41410.46142717-217-210-10-10-01-136-64-61801853100.50.5
312313.3Jackson St.SWAC0.41320.415834711-1912-190-00-10-10-812-92-11301207316-2.7-0.6
313313.1Austin PeayOVC0.41130.48182066-226-220-00-20-42-74-103-92872093121.10.9
314314.8PresbyterianBSth0.41030.47242316-226-220-10-10-31-85-90-93251073131.81.3
315315.9MaristMAAC0.40970.47052417-247-240-00-10-12-125-101-93392813141.91.1
316316.2UNC GreensboroSC0.40960.46052737-217-210-10-20-31-56-101-93332623151.20.7
317317.7Coppin St.MEAC0.40890.46462606-226-220-10-10-30-96-80-1230845318-0.3-0.2
318318.5Kennesaw St.ASun0.40850.45153008-228-220-00-10-31-67-124-113022803171.50.9
319321.0Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40710.45922797-207-210-00-30-22-35-133-7254213323-2.0-0.5
320321.2New OrleansSlnd0.40700.43873277-167-170-00-20-20-57-81-5231142327-5.8-1.0
321321.1CampbellBSth0.40690.47132397-227-220-00-20-22-95-93-72461943201.11.2
322320.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.40660.43763298-219-210-20-20-21-28-132-10309212322-1.4-0.4
323321.8The CitadelSC0.40640.44023208-188-180-01-20-11-46-112-53283303210.80.7
324322.0Montana St.BSky0.40550.47242326-226-230-10-00-41-65-112-927573325-3.0-0.6
325323.5Nicholls St.Slnd0.40510.45582856-186-190-10-10-40-56-80-7310543194.50.7
326325.5FurmanSC0.40330.47292266-216-210-10-10-31-65-91-8317153326-0.5-0.4
327324.2South Carolina St.MEAC0.40290.43013388-218-220-10-00-01-107-111-123202303240.20.0
328326.2LongwoodBSth0.40280.44623108-228-220-00-10-21-107-92-9334310328-1.8-1.7
329328.8Western IllinoisSum0.39900.47142386-196-190-00-00-40-66-93-6293266329-0.2-0.5
330330.1Savannah St.MEAC0.39630.44213197-217-210-10-10-31-56-112-10280963300.10.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331332.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.39300.41233497-198-190-00-10-20-58-110-93351573311.00.4
332332.3Chicago St.WAC0.39290.46702545-225-230-10-00-50-65-111-13313114333-0.7-0.6
333333.1BinghamtonAE0.39160.47342235-255-250-20-10-01-144-80-133381743321.11.5
334334.8Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.38740.43883266-206-210-10-00-20-36-153-102882533340.80.3
335335.6San Jose St.MWC0.38490.51291190-270-280-10-40-50-100-80-103472353350.60.4
336335.4StetsonASun0.38480.44533116-226-220-00-10-10-86-123-10318309336-0.6-0.5
337336.4North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38410.43093377-227-220-00-20-20-67-131-12336218337-0.6-0.5
338338.0Morgan St.MEAC0.38370.43543317-237-240-10-00-12-95-132-12324255339-1.0-0.4
339337.5JacksonvilleASun0.38350.43273337-227-220-00-10-12-55-153-11344343338-0.5-0.5
340340.0MaineAE0.38070.47482193-273-270-00-10-30-133-101-12321162340-0.0-0.2
341342.0Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37660.39253509-2010-200-00-00-10-710-122-113493453411.00.6
342342.1Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37380.42193436-246-240-10-00-10-76-151-12316184343-0.9-1.1
343342.4Central ConnecticutNEC0.37340.45302965-265-260-10-00-11-134-112-113302793420.40.6
344344.7UMBCAE0.37130.44813074-264-260-00-10-20-134-102-11332286345-0.3-0.3
345344.6Tennessee St.OVC0.37130.47032443-263-260-10-00-20-103-131-123422493440.60.7
346345.1Idaho St.BSky0.36790.44383134-234-240-00-00-31-73-141-9343316346-0.9-0.7
347347.1LibertyBSth0.35450.43993214-244-240-00-00-11-93-142-73403203470.10.3
348348.0Alcorn St.SWAC0.34810.41743464-234-240-00-20-20-44-160-10331144348-0.0-0.1
349348.9Central ArkansasSlnd0.33990.43703302-262-270-00-10-20-82-160-11351307349-0.1-0.2
350350.0Florida A&MMEAC0.32630.41913452-272-270-00-00-20-72-180-133502993500.0NaN
351351.0Grambling St.SWAC0.31170.41433480-250-260-10-00-20-50-180-8322983510.0NaN

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com