live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

Tweet
Through games of Dec 6, 2016.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
15.1VillanovaBE0.65220.5877149-026-55-35-16-17-04-012-121432.10.5
25.1North CarolinaACC0.65190.595867-125-65-44-17-15-05-011-271922-16.9-3.8
36.4KansasB120.64740.605028-124-74-44-18-17-01-011-25713-6.6-1.2
47.5LouisvilleACC0.64380.612817-123-84-54-16-17-03-011-24214-6.5-1.1
58.4DukeACC0.64030.5860159-125-64-44-15-16-05-012-1125121-12.6-2.1
68.9BaylorB120.64030.602938-023-75-34-16-25-13-012-01817.91.1
78.7VirginiaACC0.63930.593198-124-64-43-16-15-05-010-2143624-15.3-2.5
810.0KentuckySEC0.63570.5800197-125-64-33-16-19-14-010-3151335-25.0-3.8
910.0GonzagaWCC0.63430.5392808-028-23-12-03-110-19-012-033182.00.4
1011.5FloridaSEC0.63210.597747-223-82-54-17-28-12-010-383101.50.2
1112.4West VirginiaB120.62950.5656366-126-54-23-16-16-06-012-13220146-33.6-4.5
1214.3ButlerBE0.62580.5882128-022-84-43-16-16-14-011-1615113.30.4
1315.9XavierBE0.62270.593287-122-92-53-26-29-12-011-291078.90.9
1416.1Saint Mary'sWCC0.62070.5297906-026-31-12-03-110-19-011-01072412.11.6
1516.9UCLAP120.61940.5393799-027-43-14-15-16-09-012-11613619-2.1-0.2
1618.6CincinnatiAmer0.61620.5492637-126-52-23-24-18-19-011-2173236-17.4-1.9
1720.8IndianaB100.61340.5736247-123-84-33-24-15-17-011-2267642-21.2-1.8
1820.6South CarolinaSEC0.61310.5590488-023-72-23-17-28-14-011-11144155.60.5
1922.3WisconsinB100.61020.5585497-224-72-34-26-16-06-011-24718237-14.7-1.3
2023.8CreightonBE0.60760.5556538-023-73-32-15-18-15-012-021202221.81.7
2124.1Notre DameACC0.60720.5608459-024-73-43-14-15-08-012-12313132-7.9-0.6
2223.6PurdueB100.60720.5551547-224-72-43-25-17-06-011-25114934-10.4-0.9
2325.8Iowa St.B120.60430.5716316-221-93-53-16-25-15-010-26519088-62.2-5.0
2429.2ArizonaP120.59900.5702327-222-91-43-25-27-16-010-3252548-18.8-1.3
2531.0OregonP120.59720.5573516-222-81-33-26-27-16-010-24112145-14.0-0.9
2634.2Rhode IslandA100.59280.5549556-321-91-22-24-37-27-08-4302238-3.8-0.2
2735.0ArkansasSEC0.59230.5631417-121-101-32-25-310-23-011-218391619.01.1
2834.3Wichita St.MVC0.59080.50121447-226-40-11-14-111-110-010-279212108-73.7-6.4
2935.9Florida St.ACC0.59070.5729268-121-103-52-25-25-06-011-234153332.90.2
3038.7USCP120.58720.5331898-023-71-23-24-16-110-012-0221992513.70.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3138.8DaytonA100.58710.5456705-221-80-22-25-26-17-08-345332810.80.6
3240.0MinnesotaB100.58640.5722278-121-101-33-36-38-13-012-11342931.01.6
3340.6MichiganB100.58530.5698337-220-112-43-35-26-15-010-3396762-21.4-1.1
3442.1Miami FLACC0.58350.5643397-220-102-62-24-25-07-010-27222296-53.9-2.9
3541.9HoustonAmer0.58300.5264946-223-71-22-23-27-210-010-25921059-17.1-0.9
3643.5Texas A&MSEC0.58190.5655375-220-102-52-24-26-16-09-3584958-14.5-0.7
3743.9VCUA100.58130.5349876-223-80-22-24-28-28-110-33769412.90.2
3846.2NevadaMWC0.57890.5293917-222-90-11-14-311-46-110-33186442.20.1
3946.2UCFAmer0.57850.52081056-123-71-31-13-18-210-111-1482431234.21.8
4048.5TCUB120.57740.5788207-018-122-62-26-35-14-011-119102543.52.0
4148.9Michigan St.B100.57680.5834176-418-131-63-34-25-15-09-4562872-23.1-1.1
4249.5NorthwesternB100.57590.5570526-220-111-53-34-27-16-010-3571501732.51.5
4348.9UNC WilmingtonCAA0.57580.50031475-123-70-00-12-210-311-19-327941830.91.7
4451.5TempleAmer0.57430.5532576-220-112-32-23-27-36-19-428232625.51.2
4552.1StanfordP120.57410.5740236-317-121-42-34-35-15-07-42912511.10.1
4651.7MarquetteBE0.57400.5623447-219-113-52-24-26-16-09-38116993-41.3-1.9
4752.1Wake ForestACC0.57350.5788217-217-131-71-23-36-15-09-324372725.11.2
4851.6Middle TennesseeCUSA0.57340.51251227-123-70-01-13-39-210-19-32016645.62.3
4955.9Ohio St.B100.57010.5676347-219-121-43-35-25-15-110-3608291-35.1-1.5
5057.9Oklahoma St.B120.56890.5842165-216-142-72-34-34-14-09-35395570.90.0
5158.7SMUAmer0.56800.5422756-321-101-22-34-27-27-09-47768105-46.3-1.9
5260.5St. BonaventureA100.56610.52201046-221-90-21-23-28-39-19-3431095010.50.4
5361.1CaliforniaP120.56550.5526597-119-111-32-34-36-17-010-24664102-40.9-1.6
5461.9ProvidenceBE0.56500.5653387-219-122-62-23-25-26-010-3401243130.91.2
5563.7San Diego St.MWC0.56420.51491183-219-80-11-13-28-47-16-394250612.70.1
5664.6Illinois St.MVC0.56300.51921103-218-90-10-22-29-46-16-336554915.60.6
5765.7UT ArlingtonSB0.56150.50201425-320-90-10-12-27-311-26-533544025.71.1
5866.9MonmouthMAAC0.56080.49511617-222-90-20-11-28-313-27-4527984-17.1-0.7
5967.5East Tennessee St.SC0.55990.47032545-123-60-00-11-18-214-18-37025286-18.5-0.8
6068.7DavidsonA100.55960.5340885-218-111-31-22-27-38-17-476894325.71.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6169.7SyracuseACC0.55920.5543565-319-122-62-24-25-27-09-4110165160-90.3-3.3
6269.4Virginia TechACC0.55890.5485656-119-111-52-34-23-18-011-1622695613.40.5
6371.0GeorgiaSEC0.55800.5806184-316-141-61-24-47-32-07-5743585-14.0-0.5
6472.1ClemsonACC0.55740.5717295-216-141-62-35-33-15-08-473815517.10.6
6572.0Seton HallBE0.55740.5675356-216-142-71-32-25-27-09-382140104-32.0-1.2
6672.4Texas TechB120.55700.5527587-119-122-61-24-35-17-012-17530480-7.6-0.3
6772.3ValparaisoHorz0.55670.48791906-123-70-11-12-17-313-29-3541436012.30.5
6874.1PittsburghACC0.55530.593776-215-161-72-24-36-22-110-344436410.10.4
6974.8VanderbiltSEC0.55520.597155-414-171-62-44-45-23-07-678595-20.2-0.7
7074.5BYUWCC0.55480.5265935-321-101-30-12-28-39-19-4122145162-87.5-3.4
7175.1ColoradoP120.55470.5382826-219-111-32-33-35-28-18-495147153-77.9-2.8
7278.4Arkansas St.SB0.55260.50201416-220-100-00-13-27-410-28-435842355.41.9
7378.8ChattanoogaSC0.55170.47752266-221-70-10-12-27-212-17-36419587-8.2-0.3
7480.5OklahomaB120.55120.5882135-214-162-72-33-33-24-08-48670130-49.5-1.7
7583.8AkronMAC0.54910.49701555-220-90-20-12-18-310-28-39119294-10.2-0.3
7683.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.54880.47522345-321-80-10-11-25-215-27-438634736.11.4
7784.2VermontAE0.54810.48422005-321-90-20-11-16-215-29-5831066321.20.8
7886.4AuburnSEC0.54740.5428726-118-131-31-24-48-34-010-3501032066.42.1
7988.0OhioMAC0.54650.48631955-120-80-00-01-27-411-28-2692737018.00.5
8087.4MarylandB100.54640.5457697-118-121-32-34-37-25-010-2491813057.41.9
8187.2NebraskaB100.54640.5897114-313-161-52-53-43-23-06-55565235.21.1
8287.6Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54620.47762254-319-80-20-11-14-213-28-563595433.61.1
8387.0Kansas St.B120.54600.5482668-118-131-61-23-35-27-011-296325134-47.0-1.6
8489.1New MexicoMWC0.54570.5369835-317-130-11-32-47-47-18-49390141-51.9-1.6
8590.1La SalleA100.54430.5426734-316-130-21-33-36-36-16-571176723.10.7
8690.8IllinoisB100.54420.5719286-315-151-42-43-46-33-08-48029900.80.0
8794.3UtahP120.54240.5403774-115-111-42-32-24-17-16-2104176143-48.7-1.4
8894.2BucknellPat0.54150.47942227-322-90-10-11-27-313-29-4661466826.20.9
8994.8OaklandHorz0.54140.46662686-122-70-00-11-26-215-28-3129313197-102.2-3.3
9095.6Louisiana TechCUSA0.54080.46982564-321-80-10-12-33-216-17-4113223185-89.4-3.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9196.9Tennessee St.OVC0.54030.47112506-119-80-11-01-25-312-28-3672706927.90.9
9297.3Colorado St.MWC0.54000.5258965-217-120-11-23-37-46-18-392114109-11.7-0.3
9396.6RiceCUSA0.53970.48292066-220-90-00-12-35-313-28-389216155-58.4-2.0
9497.5GeorgetownBE0.53970.5782225-415-162-62-32-45-24-07-613458118-20.5-0.7
95101.1LSUSEC0.53770.5716305-214-161-42-43-45-43-08-46121116-14.9-0.4
96101.8Georgia St.SB0.53690.50011483-317-110-10-12-36-49-25-587603962.81.7
97102.4Old DominionCUSA0.53650.49631575-320-100-10-12-36-311-28-4105115114-11.6-0.4
98104.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.53590.51411193-315-120-00-12-46-57-24-5114128180-75.1-2.0
99105.1IonaMAAC0.53480.49161754-320-110-01-21-26-311-47-468107117-11.9-0.4
100107.2BelmontOVC0.53420.48382034-317-100-10-11-25-311-27-4107198126-18.8-0.5
101106.9WashingtonP120.53410.5475674-316-141-42-42-43-28-17-5152180181-74.1-2.2
102106.7Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53410.49481685-218-110-00-12-35-311-37-4109235135-28.3-0.8
103105.6Texas SouthernSWAC0.53390.45632914-421-100-30-11-21-218-25-84297530.61.4
104107.9LehighPat0.53310.48751923-517-110-10-01-25-411-34-611174147-39.1-1.1
105108.7WinthropBSth0.53260.46262793-319-80-10-11-13-214-35-4991517731.71.0
106108.9Boise St.MWC0.53260.51991094-416-130-11-23-37-66-16-5139214133-24.1-0.7
107110.3PrincetonIvy0.53230.49501641-416-100-00-11-33-311-26-610357163-52.7-1.4
108109.7MassachusettsA100.53230.52451005-218-130-11-32-46-48-19-41061777930.70.9
109110.5North Carolina St.ACC0.53140.5581506-216-151-61-32-35-26-110-3852006545.51.4
110111.9YaleIvy0.53090.48192123-417-90-10-11-24-310-37-5981341101.90.1
111112.4TennesseeSEC0.53060.5734253-313-171-71-32-45-25-06-614234173-60.6-1.7
112114.9Fort WayneSum0.52880.45662905-319-81-10-10-14-214-28-3902367143.91.3
113117.3College of CharlestonCAA0.52770.49931506-319-110-11-22-26-410-28-41021255364.31.9
114118.1Utah St.MWC0.52770.5425743-414-140-11-22-57-55-15-514978200-81.9-2.2
115118.0ConnecticutAmer0.52730.5591473-413-160-31-43-44-35-25-616666209-91.0-2.7
116118.6Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.52690.46942594-417-90-10-11-25-312-37-5154293239-120.4-3.4
117119.2Northern IowaMVC0.52680.5266922-415-130-31-22-26-56-24-6146457346.21.3
118118.2TexasB120.52680.5927104-412-191-71-53-64-23-07-613146129-10.8-0.3
119119.3AlabamaSEC0.52620.5409764-316-141-31-33-45-36-07-5150156187-67.7-1.9
120120.3MarshallCUSA0.52600.52021085-316-140-10-22-55-49-26-61003810020.30.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121120.6New Mexico St.WAC0.52560.46692656-219-80-00-01-27-411-29-41202819228.60.7
122120.6Penn St.B100.52560.5625436-314-171-61-42-36-35-09-411814210119.60.6
123121.1MississippiSEC0.52500.5599466-215-161-51-33-47-44-09-488402992.12.7
124126.8Saint Joseph'sA100.52270.5450713-414-160-21-32-55-46-25-7126507452.81.4
125127.0New HampshireAE0.52240.47502355-317-100-10-11-23-312-47-48416211215.00.4
126132.3Indiana St.MVC0.51910.52201033-415-140-20-31-36-47-35-613371182-49.7-1.4
127134.9BuffaloMAC0.51780.50831272-415-140-20-21-34-410-35-61281558252.91.3
128137.2UABCUSA0.51660.49161744-418-120-20-11-34-412-26-6183166193-55.8-1.6
129138.5RutgersB100.51560.5251987-115-150-41-42-43-28-110-21123408355.51.5
130138.9Murray St.OVC0.51550.47382434-417-110-00-11-16-510-46-6182253222-83.1-2.1
131138.5MemphisAmer0.51510.51331216-217-140-21-42-44-310-19-4174255188-49.5-1.3
132140.5FurmanSC0.51440.47992203-417-120-00-11-44-411-35-6147221207-66.5-1.9
133141.7Utah ValleyWAC0.51440.47452364-315-110-10-01-23-410-47-51212399843.71.1
134141.2PortlandWCC0.51410.51631154-315-150-50-11-24-410-37-5157232145-3.8-0.1
135142.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.51320.5248994-315-150-20-31-37-66-27-597488161.11.6
136143.4Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51300.48941835-217-120-01-21-35-69-28-3132316170-26.6-0.7
137143.8PennIvy0.51270.48991812-415-120-10-21-34-310-36-714010112320.80.5
138144.9SienaMAAC0.51230.50591303-616-150-10-11-44-510-44-716041225-80.1-1.9
139146.4North Dakota St.Sum0.51120.47412394-316-110-10-11-13-511-46-51011268957.41.4
140147.4Missouri St.MVC0.51060.49031793-217-120-11-22-26-59-27-4175314151-3.6-0.1
141149.0AlbanyAE0.50990.46972583-418-120-10-11-24-413-47-7167229168-19.0-0.5
142149.3South AlabamaSB0.50950.48921865-217-120-00-11-35-410-37-414529910643.31.1
143150.9Central MichiganMAC0.50900.48022196-217-120-00-11-36-59-38-311727112426.90.7
144151.4WyomingMWC0.50890.50571314-215-130-00-12-46-67-27-312526011536.40.8
145150.8ElonCAA0.50880.49131775-316-130-10-11-25-510-36-513620413119.80.5
146152.6Little RockSB0.50810.47072534-218-110-11-12-24-311-47-416532810745.61.2
147155.6Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50680.49751544-415-140-10-11-45-59-46-713812012728.60.7
148154.9TowsonCAA0.50660.49551593-416-140-00-11-36-59-46-6173174190-35.1-0.9
149155.0Mississippi St.SEC0.50620.5367846-214-160-41-33-55-46-09-3124219174-19.0-0.5
150156.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50590.45043023-216-100-10-10-13-313-44-41532411524.50.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151157.6St. John'sBE0.50490.5635404-511-201-71-42-52-26-16-7205184243-85.4-2.5
152159.9UC IrvineBW0.50410.48352044-515-140-10-20-32-313-55-811520165-5.1-0.1
153160.7IUPUISum0.50370.47672273-614-140-00-21-34-410-45-71481481582.70.1
154160.4San FranciscoWCC0.50370.50151436-115-130-40-11-24-410-38-214433814812.40.3
155161.2Arizona St.P120.50300.5626425-412-190-61-52-52-27-17-61647314219.20.6
156161.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50300.39973475-320-70-00-00-12-218-37-41082946695.93.2
157162.2Green BayHorz0.50290.50051463-514-150-10-11-35-78-44-7156771548.20.2
158164.8FairfieldMAAC0.50160.47632305-316-130-00-11-34-511-45-4161264186-21.2-0.5
159165.0SamfordSC0.50160.47132485-316-130-10-11-33-412-36-514327211946.01.3
160164.9Northern KentuckyHorz0.50090.48092174-316-130-10-11-24-511-56-5151226195-30.1-0.8
161166.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50060.46522713-316-110-10-10-13-412-44-51351087690.22.1
162168.0Air ForceMWC0.50000.52041074-314-150-00-22-46-76-26-5185188169-1.0-0.0
163167.9Tennessee MartinOVC0.50000.47192476-216-130-10-11-24-511-48-511925610364.91.6
164167.9Loyola MarymountWCC0.49990.5253971-313-150-40-11-34-58-25-5230205298-130.1-3.1
165167.7Wright St.Horz0.49970.48921845-315-140-00-11-35-79-46-513015914918.70.5
166170.4MissouriSEC0.49870.5366855-313-171-41-32-43-46-07-5216254221-50.6-1.3
167171.5William & MaryCAA0.49840.50471342-412-150-20-11-24-57-43-618798212-40.5-0.9
168170.8Nebraska OmahaSum0.49820.47902243-514-140-10-10-34-510-35-712711712248.81.2
169171.3Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.49820.47072521-314-110-10-10-13-410-42-522597292-120.7-2.5
170172.2Fresno St.MWC0.49770.51381204-312-160-10-32-54-66-25-5200319270-97.8-2.3
171172.5ToledoMAC0.49750.50811283-514-160-00-21-46-78-35-71699611161.51.5
172173.0East CarolinaAmer0.49720.50901267-316-150-31-41-33-410-29-4155284177-4.0-0.1
173173.6RichmondA100.49700.51111234-415-150-11-31-53-49-26-6224244208-34.4-0.9
174174.1Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49690.48162131-815-160-20-20-22-313-63-101722411361.11.5
175174.3PacificWCC0.49670.51711133-414-160-40-11-25-57-36-6202233191-16.7-0.4
176173.7UNC GreensboroSC0.49660.48022185-216-120-10-11-44-410-36-41631941649.70.2
177175.7UMKCWAC0.49530.49501635-414-140-30-01-24-69-47-714112214431.70.8
178179.7Boston UniversityPat0.49380.46892603-416-130-00-01-34-611-45-6219242237-57.3-1.3
179179.4Grand CanyonWAC0.49370.47392413-417-120-20-11-24-412-38-720824815722.40.6
180185.3MercerSC0.49140.49461693-414-150-10-11-54-59-34-71889913649.31.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181185.0CharlotteCUSA0.49100.49111785-314-140-10-11-44-39-45-518118713847.01.1
182186.5NJITASun0.49060.46482754-514-140-10-20-31-313-56-8171186229-42.5-1.0
183186.0EvansvilleMVC0.49050.51621164-413-160-20-31-35-67-26-51581041797.00.2
184189.3Abilene ChristianSlnd0.48990.45632922-314-110-00-00-13-410-53-4180275246-56.7-1.3
185187.8George WashingtonA100.48970.5263955-413-180-21-51-53-57-26-7199129223-35.2-1.0
186189.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.48900.47252454-413-160-00-11-33-69-56-716831115633.20.8
187189.5DePaulBE0.48890.5521605-211-191-71-41-43-36-18-418626812069.52.0
188190.1IowaB100.48880.5465684-512-190-51-42-53-46-16-7261217257-66.9-1.9
189189.4TulsaAmer0.48860.5361863-311-170-31-51-42-47-25-5213171210-20.6-0.5
190190.1ArmyPat0.48850.48092153-415-140-00-11-33-511-55-6196157250-59.9-1.4
191190.9NortheasternCAA0.48840.49801534-513-170-00-11-35-66-64-8195172280-89.1-2.1
192191.1Saint Peter'sMAAC0.48820.47642294-315-150-10-11-34-510-55-5192276299-107.9-2.6
193191.2Georgia SouthernSB0.48820.49031803-413-160-00-11-53-69-44-7178185256-64.8-1.5
194191.5George MasonA100.48760.50341385-314-160-10-31-44-68-27-5184265203-11.5-0.3
195192.1Georgia TechACC0.48740.5520614-311-190-61-42-62-36-17-52152821893.10.1
196192.3San Jose St.MWC0.48700.51741113-311-160-10-21-44-66-35-419826312864.31.6
197194.0Gardner WebbBSth0.48640.46382772-415-130-00-11-52-312-43-7222193248-54.0-1.3
198195.1Holy CrossPat0.48620.48392023-515-160-10-11-44-511-56-715914414055.11.4
199195.4PepperdineWCC0.48600.5403783-410-190-40-10-34-75-44-719775230-34.6-0.9
200195.9UNLVMWC0.48560.52251015-313-180-30-32-44-77-16-7239206232-36.1-0.9
201195.3Kent St.MAC0.48540.46982554-316-140-00-01-35-610-47-5265347303-107.7-2.5
202197.7HarvardIvy0.48510.48232082-412-130-00-11-33-58-44-7221160249-51.3-1.1
203198.1RiderMAAC0.48480.46082844-316-150-00-11-34-611-66-5189344220-21.9-0.6
204198.8CanisiusMAAC0.48400.49361703-514-170-10-11-34-79-54-719113013959.81.5
205200.9Long Beach St.BW0.48320.49991490-912-180-40-10-22-49-72-122031118416.90.4
206201.0Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48250.45142995-216-130-10-10-13-413-66-511613978123.02.7
207201.7JacksonvilleASun0.48240.42293375-316-110-00-00-22-414-58-517734618318.70.5
208202.1Loyola MDPat0.48240.48152143-413-150-10-11-24-59-74-613713799103.12.3
209208.3UMBCAE0.47920.44863084-115-120-00-00-22-412-56-5194341219-10.7-0.2
210208.8Northern IllinoisMAC0.47890.48831893-413-150-00-11-24-67-64-6249238289-80.2-1.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211209.7Weber St.BSky0.47850.46672671-513-140-00-10-22-511-62-7272116313-103.3-2.4
212212.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.47730.48561974-412-160-10-10-24-68-56-616218312587.02.1
213212.6Montana St.BSky0.47670.44723113-416-130-00-00-13-413-75-6233228255-42.4-1.0
214217.5DrexelCAA0.47460.48212114-412-180-00-10-34-88-55-719329714671.51.8
215218.5Coastal CarolinaSB0.47430.51031252-611-180-00-21-73-67-33-8267118278-59.5-1.4
216219.2Western MichiganMAC0.47370.51701141-510-190-20-11-53-76-43-8262138275-55.8-1.3
217219.4FordhamA100.47370.50411374-412-180-10-31-54-67-46-6246291267-47.6-1.2
218221.4HofstraCAA0.47250.48481985-413-170-10-10-34-69-56-620125820417.40.5
219222.0South DakotaSum0.47210.47212464-414-150-10-10-24-710-56-717617320517.00.4
220222.2LibertyBSth0.47210.47452372-513-150-10-21-31-511-53-7254100307-84.8-2.1
221224.4Morehead St.OVC0.47120.49491671-510-170-10-11-33-76-43-8263168285-60.6-1.3
222225.5Houston BaptistSlnd0.47050.48921850-410-150-10-20-32-57-51-6231420124.50.5
223225.3BryantNEC0.47040.46642702-714-160-20-10-12-411-94-82186215075.31.8
224225.9WagnerNEC0.47020.44383142-514-130-00-10-22-412-73-6240211268-42.1-1.1
225226.2MilwaukeeHorz0.47000.49551603-511-190-00-11-44-87-64-819013217254.21.4
226226.1Robert MorrisNEC0.46990.46692663-714-170-10-00-22-612-74-921480244-17.9-0.5
227225.1DelawareCAA0.46990.48232093-312-170-00-11-34-88-55-6228302231-5.9-0.1
228226.5Ball St.MAC0.46970.46382784-415-150-00-11-34-810-37-5266348284-57.5-1.4
229227.6Washington St.P120.46950.5497623-48-210-40-41-53-54-35-625921519631.61.0
230227.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.46870.47652281-311-140-00-00-23-78-52-525811317156.91.2
231229.5North DakotaBSky0.46810.42783321-214-110-00-00-12-411-62-5220164293-63.5-1.4
232230.0IdahoBSky0.46790.43723213-314-130-00-00-02-412-84-520724619436.00.8
233230.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46780.44233153-415-140-00-00-22-513-75-6204317269-38.4-0.9
234230.6Austin PeayOVC0.46740.49501622-410-180-10-10-24-66-64-821213313298.62.3
235232.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.46680.44873074-313-140-00-00-14-68-65-6282349247-14.6-0.3
236233.5Boston CollegeACC0.46670.5486644-39-220-60-41-62-45-27-6276305291-57.5-2.0
237233.8SouthernSWAC0.46580.40453452-316-120-10-00-21-316-53-7234237241-7.2-0.2
238237.3Bowling GreenMAC0.46440.49281722-612-180-10-11-34-87-55-7287280273-35.7-0.9
239237.1Florida AtlanticCUSA0.46430.48971822-511-160-01-21-32-57-72-727015421720.10.5
240236.7South Dakota St.Sum0.46420.48701942-612-170-00-10-34-87-54-924591261-24.3-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241238.3Youngstown St.Horz0.46370.48761913-511-180-00-11-33-77-64-721719721622.30.6
242240.5San DiegoWCC0.46230.52251023-59-200-50-20-32-77-45-625022517862.51.8
243241.5MontanaBSky0.46170.44893062-615-160-10-10-12-613-74-929024922714.50.4
244244.3DuquesneA100.46060.50291394-612-190-21-31-32-68-56-728028319846.31.4
245244.4DenverSum0.46050.45792883-413-160-00-10-24-89-56-722328721430.40.8
246244.6WoffordSC0.46030.49131760-610-180-00-21-53-66-51-9309167300-55.4-1.4
247245.0High PointBSth0.46010.46502733-513-150-00-10-42-410-64-623617516778.02.1
248246.4Santa ClaraWCC0.45950.51731123-610-200-40-10-33-76-44-8304262296-49.6-1.4
249246.3ColumbiaIvy0.45940.46212813-411-150-00-10-32-69-55-7237301252-5.7-0.1
250245.9Illinois ChicagoHorz0.45930.46742633-413-160-00-01-23-89-55-6295334254-8.1-0.2
251246.8MaristMAAC0.45890.49491654-511-200-10-10-33-88-64-717911123610.80.3
252248.5TroySB0.45830.49211733-410-190-00-11-42-77-55-625531220642.51.1
253249.8Western KentuckyCUSA0.45750.49691563-511-200-10-11-53-97-45-8274231295-45.2-1.2
254251.7Cleveland St.Horz0.45640.50601292-59-200-20-10-43-76-63-82425623318.70.5
255252.2Stony BrookAE0.45640.46662693-513-160-00-01-23-68-85-8277266281-28.8-0.7
256251.2LIU BrooklynNEC0.45620.42543345-316-140-00-00-02-513-86-620633520249.21.3
257254.1North FloridaASun0.45540.48392011-79-180-10-20-41-58-63-102528319955.11.4
258254.3QuinnipiacMAAC0.45510.48571962-511-190-10-11-44-77-74-625721319262.31.7
259252.7New OrleansSlnd0.45500.45942872-311-150-00-10-22-58-62-6211141121131.73.1
260254.8Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45420.46102831-511-170-10-10-21-610-82-826987301-46.2-1.1
261256.1UC DavisBW0.45400.44193164-413-160-00-00-22-511-85-8210261290-33.9-0.9
262256.5Texas St.SB0.45340.45392963-312-160-00-11-33-59-75-5285351297-40.5-1.0
263257.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.45300.46392763-410-170-00-10-22-58-83-61239297160.74.2
264260.2Charleston SouthernBSth0.45120.46492741-410-160-00-10-42-48-72-6271179272-11.8-0.3
265261.3ManhattanMAAC0.45120.49491662-710-210-10-20-43-87-73-8226127274-12.7-0.4
266260.0Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.45110.46082852-612-150-10-10-22-510-63-826010523426.00.6
267260.2BinghamtonAE0.45090.45412954-412-160-00-10-32-610-76-623532723822.20.6
268259.4Northwestern St.Slnd0.45080.44913051-411-140-00-10-22-69-62-524718917584.42.0
269261.6NavyPat0.45070.47992213-611-180-00-10-33-87-74-725617022833.60.9
270261.7Cal PolyBW0.45020.45123003-412-160-00-00-23-79-84-823220821843.71.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271264.0James MadisonCAA0.44980.49801521-79-210-00-10-33-115-63-9292196304-40.0-1.1
272262.6USC UpstateASun0.44970.45023034-511-160-00-00-42-59-66-7209279137125.63.5
273264.5South FloridaAmer0.44960.50541324-310-190-30-30-32-67-46-528333324519.50.6
274264.9Oregon St.P120.44950.5383812-67-230-40-51-52-64-34-8330330309-44.1-1.6
275263.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.44950.50061451-59-200-00-21-63-75-64-7279251332-68.4-1.9
276264.6BrownIvy0.44910.46182825-512-160-10-10-22-610-57-722729521351.61.4
277263.8RadfordBSth0.44900.48092162-510-180-20-10-31-58-62-8238532630.80.0
278265.6Appalachian St.SB0.44820.49611581-58-190-10-11-52-75-52-729926724223.60.6
279265.1SeattleWAC0.44790.47532321-510-160-10-10-32-78-55-7289278159106.12.7
280266.5NiagaraMAAC0.44770.47392402-611-200-00-11-33-77-93-8313322286-19.5-0.5
281266.6FIUCUSA0.44750.48461991-610-190-10-11-32-67-73-8310220287-20.4-0.6
282267.2HowardMEAC0.44710.43343251-513-160-00-20-31-512-62-11273112325-57.8-1.6
283267.9CornellIvy0.44690.48721932-58-190-00-20-42-66-64-9244158277-9.1-0.2
284268.8Central ArkansasSlnd0.44650.48901871-79-220-20-20-22-77-82-112754725315.80.4
285269.3Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44630.46512723-411-170-10-00-23-88-65-728833125118.30.5
286271.5Western CarolinaSC0.44550.51091242-57-220-10-20-51-85-53-817026161110.53.9
287269.9UC Santa BarbaraBW0.44540.48332050-59-180-10-20-21-57-82-9241182654.90.1
288275.4Chicago St.WAC0.44270.49841511-46-210-10-10-31-84-62-1124815217699.42.8
289274.7HawaiiBW0.44270.44473133-413-130-10-10-12-311-74-6294218283-8.3-0.2
290276.3LafayettePat0.44200.47292443-410-180-10-00-33-77-74-624322726412.30.4
291279.1St. Francis PANEC0.43960.44503122-411-170-00-10-21-410-93-7281224323-43.9-1.2
292280.6UMass LowellAE0.43910.46742642-811-190-10-00-22-78-94-10306289321-40.4-1.2
293282.0BradleyMVC0.43910.50511333-58-220-10-30-42-95-54-828423025923.00.9
294282.3Idaho St.BSky0.43800.47942231-79-200-10-10-31-78-91-1030065319-36.7-1.1
295281.3Northern ColoradoBSky0.43780.44013191-511-160-10-10-21-310-92-7251123166115.33.2
296284.4TulaneAmer0.43750.51531171-77-230-30-40-42-85-54-8329323302-17.6-0.7
297282.9Portland St.BSky0.43670.42133392-311-150-00-00-12-610-83-5268324308-25.1-0.7
298286.5Saint LouisA100.43610.52051062-67-240-10-41-62-85-44-93022092824.50.2
299287.9Delaware St.MEAC0.43380.43173281-711-180-10-10-21-510-102-1126413526225.90.8
300289.2UTEPCUSA0.43340.46842611-410-180-00-11-42-67-73-7303234331-41.8-1.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301289.2ColgatePat0.43340.47122491-79-210-10-10-32-76-102-10314277324-34.8-1.1
302290.1Oral RobertsSum0.43260.50281400-76-220-20-10-32-104-61-112963025832.11.1
303293.0CampbellBSth0.43080.44073183-411-160-00-10-31-410-84-529334327617.00.6
304293.6DetroitHorz0.43030.50461350-76-230-00-10-52-94-71-1030588306-12.4-0.4
305293.8LipscombASun0.42940.46072861-89-190-10-00-31-78-83-11322240344-50.2-1.6
306294.8Miami OHMAC0.42910.49321713-58-210-00-10-42-105-64-7317308314-19.2-0.7
307294.9North TexasCUSA0.42910.48292072-49-190-00-10-51-77-64-631129624054.92.0
308294.9Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42900.43913200-710-180-10-20-20-49-91-1130185315-20.1-0.7
309299.0The CitadelSC0.42660.47092514-48-200-10-10-41-87-64-625330622475.03.1
310299.0AmericanPat0.42610.48222101-78-210-10-10-32-76-82-9320178345-46.0-1.7
311303.1UTSACUSA0.42280.46252802-69-200-00-10-41-67-93-8327310337-33.9-1.3
312302.6LamarSlnd0.42270.42433353-411-160-00-00-01-79-94-529835023567.62.4
313301.7UC RiversideBW0.42240.45542940-48-180-10-00-11-67-102-828616321190.72.8
314304.2Tennessee TechOVC0.42230.46982572-68-210-00-10-42-95-73-10331337342-37.8-1.5
315305.7Jackson St.SWAC0.42050.40693431-612-160-10-00-20-412-91-9328247312-6.3-0.3
316307.2Prairie View A&MSWAC0.41950.43213261-710-200-20-10-31-39-111-112789322681.23.4
317308.2DrakeMVC0.41940.50431360-66-220-10-20-32-103-52-8339286335-26.8-1.3
318310.2Sacred HeartNEC0.41690.43003294-512-190-00-00-12-510-135-829732928822.21.0
319310.3Kennesaw St.ASun0.41680.44983042-68-200-00-10-31-67-94-10307309317-6.7-0.3
320309.9Norfolk St.MEAC0.41650.42333360-710-180-20-10-21-510-91-1131211026643.91.8
321309.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.41620.45692890-67-200-20-30-30-37-90-11229121594.43.6
322312.5UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.41500.47382422-86-220-00-10-21-115-83-11316307330-17.5-0.8
323312.6HamptonMEAC0.41390.40363461-612-150-00-00-11-510-92-9318207326-13.4-0.6
324315.8MaineAE0.41210.46752621-67-230-10-10-31-76-113-1132329830510.80.5
325316.6Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.41050.45063010-98-230-30-20-20-48-120-132912727145.62.1
326319.6DartmouthIvy0.40740.47432380-66-210-00-10-41-84-92-11326257346-26.4-1.3
327319.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.40630.42143380-68-180-00-00-30-68-90-83156126059.52.7
328322.2VMISC0.40550.48871880-64-230-10-20-41-73-90-9341203347-24.8-1.5
329323.3StetsonASun0.40310.44723102-67-210-00-10-21-76-113-113213213203.30.2
330324.6Morgan St.MEAC0.40140.39663492-612-160-00-10-10-411-113-932525931113.60.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331324.7McNeese St.Slnd0.40130.47552310-45-210-10-10-21-84-100-83085227945.72.5
332325.7HartfordAE0.40130.44733092-78-230-00-00-31-77-133-12343345333-7.3-0.5
333325.8Cal St. FullertonBW0.39930.42953302-59-180-00-00-12-67-113-8333336336-10.2-0.5
334327.2PresbyterianBSth0.39800.45152982-57-200-00-00-31-75-102-7319315328-0.8-0.0
335327.0Southern UtahBSky0.39790.43643220-67-220-00-00-11-66-141-10338285338-11.0-0.6
336329.0Alabama St.SWAC0.39610.40733421-710-190-00-10-30-39-121-10337288341-12.0-0.8
337328.9St. Francis NYNEC0.39590.44073171-78-220-10-00-11-67-142-1033630031612.90.8
338329.4Central ConnecticutNEC0.39560.43173272-58-210-00-00-11-67-142-932433229435.42.3
339332.1Southern MissCUSA0.39230.47532331-45-210-00-20-50-64-81-73402923275.10.4
340331.9LongwoodBSth0.39220.45312971-46-210-10-10-31-55-121-8347318351-19.1-1.4
341335.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38620.42603330-67-230-00-00-20-77-130-123351613341.00.1
342336.4Sacramento St.BSky0.38310.43633230-66-210-00-00-11-65-141-83452453297.40.6
343338.0Western IllinoisSum0.38080.45552930-64-210-10-00-21-73-111-8350339349-11.0-1.0
344338.4Grambling St.SWAC0.37950.39623502-69-190-10-00-20-39-132-833232631028.42.6
345340.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37420.39193511-79-190-00-10-10-59-132-103463203400.50.0
346342.0Northern ArizonaBSky0.37280.43483241-86-240-00-00-10-76-161-113423033393.00.4
347342.9Coppin St.MEAC0.36870.42913310-95-240-00-10-40-55-140-1333411931824.93.1
348343.1North Carolina A&TMEAC0.36830.41933400-76-230-10-00-10-76-151-1234829032221.12.7
349345.3Florida A&MMEAC0.36100.40683440-76-210-10-00-00-56-150-11349274348-2.7-0.4
350345.5Savannah St.MEAC0.36030.41603410-85-220-10-10-20-45-140-113441913432.50.4
351350.1Alabama A&MSWAC0.33240.39683480-74-250-00-00-20-64-180-113513423500.10.0

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com