live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 18, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
13.2VillanovaBE0.66340.58441918-128-36-23-08-16-05-013-052512.20.8
25.4BaylorB120.65610.6048216-124-64-35-27-16-03-012-01423.40.7
35.2KentuckySEC0.65470.58471816-227-44-33-08-09-04-011-28350.20.0
46.5KansasB120.65150.5941817-125-63-34-28-18-02-011-272033.50.8
56.8North CarolinaACC0.65000.5951716-325-65-34-18-14-14-011-2143211-4.2-0.9
66.6GonzagaWCC0.64930.54097817-028-13-02-04-010-08-012-044410-3.4-1.1
77.5LouisvilleACC0.64830.6083115-324-74-54-15-18-03-012-1268-0.5-0.1
88.0ButlerBE0.64620.59181016-324-65-34-17-13-15-111-131444.00.8
911.0FloridaSEC0.63820.5923914-423-81-53-18-17-14-010-39865.01.0
1011.5ArizonaP120.63710.57293116-226-51-43-15-011-05-011-2152212-0.5-0.1
1112.4VirginiaACC0.63470.5960614-323-74-53-16-15-04-010-2234717-4.6-0.8
1213.0CreightonBE0.63330.56364317-125-54-32-17-17-05-012-01014776.01.1
1313.3OregonP120.63250.56713715-225-52-23-17-28-15-010-2255114-0.7-0.1
1413.7Florida St.ACC0.63190.57842717-225-65-33-15-25-15-012-12813694.70.7
1515.1CincinnatiAmer0.62810.54956716-227-41-23-16-18-08-011-21929150.10.0
1615.3DukeACC0.62800.59041214-423-84-64-15-16-04-012-1136316-0.7-0.1
1715.9UCLAP120.62610.53548618-128-33-23-05-09-08-013-02220718-2.1-0.4
1819.4WisconsinB100.61910.55216315-325-61-35-18-16-05-011-25422233-13.6-2.0
1919.6Saint Mary'sWCC0.61770.53608315-225-41-22-13-111-09-010-12464190.60.1
2020.9West VirginiaB120.61550.55625815-325-64-13-15-27-16-012-14425041-20.1-3.0
2122.2PurdueB100.61290.56474115-424-72-34-26-17-15-011-23510731-8.8-1.3
2222.2Notre DameACC0.61230.56883516-324-73-63-14-07-06-011-250163202.20.3
2322.7XavierBE0.61180.58901413-521-102-62-16-17-14-010-31121211.70.2
2425.0South CarolinaSEC0.60750.56324414-323-71-23-27-37-14-09-35568223.00.3
2525.8MinnesotaB100.60600.58531715-422-91-34-37-37-12-012-16261312.81.3
2629.8UNC WilmingtonCAA0.59850.508613715-224-50-00-24-19-111-09-2268432-2.2-0.3
2731.3SMUAmer0.59690.53908015-424-71-22-26-37-18-010-3409134-2.7-0.3
2831.6DaytonA100.59590.54417112-422-70-12-27-26-17-08-35654283.60.4
2934.3Illinois St.MVC0.59170.516212314-423-60-01-12-111-39-17-46365277.30.8
3034.7NevadaMWC0.59170.520611316-324-70-10-05-212-37-011-230133304.70.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3136.9MarylandB100.58930.55665615-222-81-23-26-38-13-011-1311442313.91.1
3239.6TCUB120.58680.57962513-419-111-52-34-38-13-011-118862613.60.9
3338.8USCP120.58640.54337416-323-82-51-12-111-17-013-012152299.80.8
3439.5Rhode IslandA100.58630.55835211-620-101-11-34-48-26-08-4382749-9.5-0.7
3539.6Middle TennesseeCUSA0.58450.504714314-325-50-01-13-19-211-19-327172415.61.6
3642.7Wake ForestACC0.58270.58921311-717-131-81-34-27-14-09-320282517.71.2
3742.9NorthwesternB100.58200.55406015-421-101-43-35-27-06-011-239167384.90.3
3843.3ClemsonACC0.58190.58212311-618-122-63-25-24-24-010-23278421.30.1
3943.3VCUA100.58140.54327514-522-90-22-14-310-35-110-3488045-1.7-0.1
4044.0IndianaB100.58120.57113413-620-113-52-24-24-17-010-36712475-31.0-2.0
4144.8Iowa St.B120.58040.57293011-619-111-72-25-25-15-09-38816655-10.2-0.6
4245.0ArkansasSEC0.58020.54597014-422-90-42-15-210-25-011-216663510.00.6
4346.7Michigan St.B100.57820.59171112-718-132-63-25-44-14-08-568153610.70.7
4447.2HoustonAmer0.57730.53598413-521-91-22-23-26-39-09-37013561-13.8-0.9
4548.2GeorgiaSEC0.57700.58082411-618-121-61-25-39-23-08-46934408.20.5
4648.5VermontAE0.57510.501215014-523-70-20-11-210-212-09-5586759-10.5-0.9
4751.7AkronMAC0.57360.501914814-323-70-20-03-18-212-29-342149474.70.3
4850.4Wichita St.MVC0.57300.491917515-425-50-11-21-111-112-09-312824882-31.6-2.8
4953.5CaliforniaP120.57180.55765313-520-101-51-13-38-16-09-3767154-0.5-0.0
5054.0UT ArlingtonSB0.57100.504614511-520-91-10-11-28-210-28-321564410.00.6
5157.4PittsburghACC0.56810.6021312-716-152-72-24-36-22-111-217303918.41.1
5259.2MonmouthMAAC0.56630.496216114-523-80-20-03-17-413-18-334108572.20.1
5362.0Miami FLACC0.56500.56154712-518-122-71-23-25-17-010-29228079-17.0-0.8
5462.0Kansas St.B120.56490.55186414-419-121-52-33-27-16-012-1622834814.00.7
5563.2MarquetteBE0.56400.55865112-618-122-61-14-35-17-09-312522676-12.8-0.6
5662.3ValparaisoHorz0.56390.495516314-423-70-21-02-18-313-19-35110463-0.7-0.0
5763.3UtahP120.56350.53069211-519-91-51-12-17-28-07-313022570-6.7-0.3
5864.1Seton HallBE0.56310.56294512-617-132-72-12-34-27-010-2491833727.11.3
5963.6New Mexico St.WAC0.56300.458928215-223-40-00-01-18-214-111-26629864-0.4-0.0
6065.3Ohio St.B100.56250.57203312-718-131-53-35-25-15-110-36410667-1.7-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6166.7Texas TechB120.56150.54097914-420-112-42-23-26-28-012-1873275016.70.7
6266.7ChattanoogaSC0.56060.485819212-421-70-10-02-28-311-07-36016077-10.3-0.6
6367.7Oklahoma St.B120.56030.5856169-815-151-62-43-35-24-010-22960652.70.1
6469.3MichiganB100.55940.56493912-718-131-43-44-35-15-010-35911580-10.7-0.5
6570.2Virginia TechACC0.55860.54676914-419-112-52-25-24-17-011-1723115119.20.9
6669.7BYUWCC0.55840.52749413-621-101-30-12-211-38-19-412715591-21.3-1.2
6772.3College of CharlestonCAA0.55690.505914214-421-90-21-22-27-311-18-4961315616.30.8
6873.4UCFAmer0.55660.521011214-420-100-31-13-25-410-19-310723383-9.6-0.4
6973.4La SalleA100.55650.53858110-518-110-11-24-46-47-17-481376211.40.5
7075.6San Diego St.MWC0.55500.522110910-719-100-11-12-29-57-07-410014188-12.4-0.6
7175.2East Tennessee St.SC0.55450.480321412-422-70-10-21-28-313-08-383210121-45.8-2.5
7276.9Boise St.MWC0.55390.522410710-618-100-11-12-38-47-16-411717286-9.1-0.4
7377.6NortheasternCAA0.55320.507814012-619-110-12-12-17-58-37-57512896-18.4-0.8
7478.4IllinoisB100.55300.57592811-716-140-42-45-45-24-09-352494632.41.3
7578.4ProvidenceBE0.55280.56713613-717-141-72-14-24-26-110-3571325325.41.1
7680.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.55080.483720311-520-70-21-11-23-115-28-57162737.90.4
7781.2Arkansas St.SB0.55080.498715611-620-100-10-23-26-410-38-4451057110.20.4
7882.6TennesseeSEC0.54990.5842208-915-150-81-24-45-24-06-694136913.60.6
7983.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.54970.52261058-616-110-00-21-27-48-24-5131119118-34.1-1.2
8085.5MississippiSEC0.54830.56484011-717-140-50-34-48-25-19-447184342.51.7
8185.9New MexicoMWC0.54790.54167711-817-130-21-34-36-37-17-51107489-3.1-0.1
8286.4PrincetonIvy0.54730.49351699-617-90-00-21-34-312-16-6113101100-13.6-0.6
8386.7UNC AshevilleBSth0.54720.477322611-620-90-10-21-26-214-26-56561851.70.1
8489.4GeorgetownBE0.54560.58372110-915-162-71-32-55-15-09-4744392-2.6-0.1
8589.3AlabamaSEC0.54560.54247611-617-130-41-33-36-26-07-51381117811.30.4
8689.6North Carolina St.ACC0.54560.57292913-616-151-71-23-37-24-011-2331165237.61.6
8790.0Penn St.B100.54510.57233211-815-161-52-42-47-33-08-5123837218.00.8
8891.3NebraskaB100.54460.597948-912-171-53-52-54-22-15-610625833.31.4
8991.8VanderbiltSEC0.54390.597858-1013-181-61-54-55-23-06-78618110.80.4
9092.4StanfordP120.54370.5789269-814-150-71-32-36-25-07-437116032.41.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9192.3St. BonaventureA100.54370.522410612-619-110-21-32-27-39-18-413317095-2.7-0.1
9291.9BelmontOVC0.54360.474724011-419-70-10-20-15-214-16-410914699-7.1-0.3
9393.9MarshallCUSA0.54340.515112510-818-120-10-31-35-311-26-611548930.90.0
9493.5BucknellPat0.54240.479721614-622-90-10-11-37-315-18-598125102-8.5-0.4
9596.5MemphisAmer0.54140.516912113-520-111-11-32-45-211-010-395203109-12.5-0.5
9697.3DavidsonA100.54090.5364829-716-130-32-32-35-37-17-485109110-12.7-0.5
9798.9Georgia SouthernSB0.53980.500015310-617-120-10-12-45-410-25-61191218414.90.6
9898.6WinthropBSth0.53960.467925411-420-70-10-12-13-215-26-34176107-8.4-0.4
9999.7IonaMAAC0.53900.501314911-819-120-11-11-17-410-47-45377104-4.3-0.2
100100.2TempleAmer0.53890.54966610-1016-152-41-22-34-58-19-436236832.21.4
101100.9OhioMAC0.53870.488618210-519-90-00-11-36-311-27-3116272138-37.1-1.3
102101.2MassachusettsA100.53870.525510012-719-120-01-22-58-47-110-3842018714.20.5
103103.0SyracuseACC0.53750.56284611-816-152-72-24-24-35-08-5180174133-30.0-1.1
104103.1LehighPat0.53710.48831849-818-100-10-12-25-411-35-57350115-11.9-0.5
105104.7AuburnSEC0.53620.53558512-617-140-31-33-48-35-110-3461297430.71.2
106108.1Texas A&MSEC0.53450.5573559-815-150-61-33-34-27-08-479521062.10.1
107109.8San FranciscoWCC0.53340.521211111-718-120-41-11-25-410-29-391200128-18.2-0.7
108110.6OaklandHorz0.53300.476123512-521-80-01-22-26-212-38-3137264137-26.4-1.2
109111.2Fort WayneSum0.53290.469125011-519-80-11-21-15-312-28-380255122-10.8-0.4
110110.7RichmondA100.53270.522410811-618-120-11-42-37-38-16-62122161055.70.2
111111.5Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53250.495216610-618-110-10-21-35-312-28-377252139-27.5-1.0
112111.2CanisiusMAAC0.53250.492317312-720-110-10-11-28-511-37-4971591038.20.4
113112.5YaleIvy0.53190.47622348-617-90-10-11-35-211-27-5122211117-4.5-0.2
114112.2Texas SouthernSWAC0.53170.45392919-921-100-40-11-11-319-24-96196646.22.6
115112.6Tennessee St.OVC0.53150.473424210-618-90-11-01-25-311-37-4781711111.60.1
116113.8TulsaAmer0.53100.54387310-715-150-21-42-43-29-26-615381114-0.2-0.0
117116.9OklahomaB120.52910.5824228-912-182-62-42-41-35-06-61761179818.90.7
118119.7Mississippi St.SEC0.52790.52679712-517-131-31-23-65-27-09-3160287124-4.3-0.2
119119.5IowaB100.52780.55356111-816-151-42-43-43-26-08-5178188120-0.5-0.0
120120.3Saint Joseph'sA100.52750.5470688-914-160-21-43-65-46-16-6935710119.30.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121120.3Fresno St.MWC0.52740.511513210-715-130-11-12-45-47-36-4164307123-2.7-0.1
122123.6Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.52530.47752248-716-100-10-11-23-312-36-6158234152-28.4-1.0
123123.4North Dakota St.Sum0.52510.489717810-616-110-10-11-15-510-36-51081189429.41.0
124124.3WyomingMWC0.52470.510013611-617-120-00-21-48-47-28-3821939034.31.1
125125.3ColoradoP120.52440.5317899-916-141-41-22-35-48-09-38919811312.30.5
126125.6Arizona St.P120.52410.5643429-914-170-71-32-34-37-17-61578711213.60.6
127127.3Georgia TechACC0.52310.55885011-714-161-52-32-52-26-08-41742659730.31.3
128130.2Georgia St.SB0.52180.50241468-716-120-11-11-34-69-25-51219410822.20.7
129132.3UABCUSA0.52030.485319410-719-110-20-21-25-413-26-61881611266.30.2
130133.9ToledoMAC0.52000.51781189-816-140-00-31-36-59-36-612453142-8.1-0.3
131135.3ConnecticutAmer0.51890.5557596-1012-170-31-33-64-35-24-720073153-17.7-0.7
132135.0Louisiana TechCUSA0.51890.460827710-620-90-10-21-34-216-26-5184228196-61.0-2.5
133135.9UC IrvineBW0.51850.477422510-918-120-20-20-32-216-45-914638136-0.1-0.0
134136.3HarvardIvy0.51830.48431997-515-100-01-12-33-410-26-51421531324.30.1
135137.2Old DominionCUSA0.51760.487119011-719-110-10-21-26-512-27-5148157145-7.8-0.3
136137.6George MasonA100.51740.508013911-617-130-10-32-36-48-29-3136286149-11.4-0.5
137138.0UNC GreensboroSC0.51710.481520911-518-100-10-13-24-410-26-415922012711.00.4
138139.4WashingtonP120.51670.5565579-913-171-61-41-33-37-07-5155162174-34.6-1.3
139139.7Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51640.488818111-717-120-00-31-26-510-28-3112274140-0.3-0.0
140140.1TowsonCAA0.51600.51291309-916-140-10-32-26-47-47-51029012515.10.6
141140.3SamfordSC0.51590.481021211-617-120-20-11-34-412-27-410522113010.30.4
142142.7AlbanyAE0.51460.48451989-917-130-10-21-14-612-38-6129186156-13.3-0.6
143144.4Colorado St.MWC0.51360.5260989-815-140-00-22-66-56-16-5163123170-25.6-0.9
144145.0RiceCUSA0.51330.463726710-619-100-00-20-24-415-18-3120284168-23.0-0.9
145145.5Weber St.BSky0.51290.46292697-617-90-00-00-25-412-43-6228189163-17.5-0.6
146145.7TexasB120.51260.5870157-1111-201-61-63-53-23-16-718275159-13.3-0.5
147148.4Green BayHorz0.51170.48781879-715-130-10-11-25-510-44-619721312919.40.7
148148.7Nebraska OmahaSum0.51120.488518310-915-130-00-20-34-611-26-611814811929.71.1
149148.9FurmanSC0.51100.48571938-816-130-00-11-56-39-45-6162206166-17.1-0.7
150149.1William & MaryCAA0.51070.51381266-812-140-30-21-35-37-34-514713011633.11.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151150.7George WashingtonA100.51030.53099110-915-160-11-43-55-57-18-513414213515.70.6
152151.2New HampshireAE0.51010.47692278-715-120-10-21-14-410-46-5139239167-15.8-0.6
153152.3LSUSEC0.50930.5669389-812-180-31-42-74-44-08-4432413121.30.9
154152.4St. John'sBE0.50900.5597489-1112-191-70-32-51-27-26-72302381448.40.4
155152.2Northern KentuckyHorz0.50880.476722810-717-120-10-11-24-413-47-4132267178-25.8-0.9
156154.0SienaMAAC0.50830.51351278-1115-160-10-12-55-68-33-819839162-8.0-0.3
157156.4Loyola MarymountWCC0.50710.5271968-813-150-40-20-35-48-26-4173196160-3.6-0.1
158158.5Wright St.Horz0.50580.487818610-716-130-00-11-35-710-37-4991771544.50.2
159159.1Grand CanyonWAC0.50560.469324911-718-110-30-11-23-213-39-6195270177-17.9-0.6
160159.0Saint Peter'sMAAC0.50540.48501959-816-140-10-11-25-510-54-6229262169-10.0-0.4
161160.3Jacksonville St.OVC0.50490.466926110-816-130-00-21-33-412-46-714325413426.31.0
162160.1BuffaloMAC0.50470.51641226-1013-160-20-21-33-58-44-71811001573.10.1
163161.3Utah St.MWC0.50420.5352887-912-160-11-22-56-55-25-5171113193-31.7-1.1
164161.5Santa ClaraWCC0.50410.5272959-914-160-50-01-34-68-25-7246202183-21.5-0.9
165162.3Missouri St.MVC0.50370.478921812-718-120-00-30-25-412-38-419632615111.30.4
166165.6Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50190.45772859-616-110-10-10-12-314-55-410112214124.60.8
167165.3Southern IllinoisMVC0.50190.516912010-914-160-20-40-16-57-46-61497914619.30.8
168168.0UMBCAE0.50040.461727410-616-110-00-10-23-513-27-4154319182-14.0-0.5
169170.9ElonCAA0.49910.49491678-914-150-20-21-45-48-46-5165242175-4.1-0.1
170170.5RutgersB100.49910.53139010-813-170-31-61-62-29-010-211134214327.51.1
171171.5South DakotaSum0.49870.476622911-916-130-10-10-25-510-57-6168235172-0.5-0.0
172172.3MontanaBSky0.49820.454629010-919-120-10-10-22-616-35-82212151711.30.1
173174.2Boston UniversityPat0.49710.48082139-915-140-00-02-44-59-44-7222134197-22.8-0.8
174175.2Holy CrossPat0.49680.480221510-1016-150-10-10-44-512-46-714514316411.20.4
175175.7Stony BrookAE0.49630.48332059-816-130-00-22-14-610-55-82352231732.70.1
176181.0Coastal CarolinaSB0.49360.52001147-913-160-00-22-73-48-33-825289184-3.0-0.1
177184.4DenverSum0.49160.462227111-816-130-00-00-15-711-48-5172310188-3.6-0.1
178184.3Northern IllinoisMAC0.49140.47652309-615-130-10-11-24-510-55-5256336202-17.7-0.6
179184.4FairfieldMAAC0.49130.48102118-815-140-00-11-33-710-35-4166277187-2.6-0.1
180186.1MercerSC0.49060.50831386-1113-160-10-21-64-68-24-7175451806.10.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181187.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.48980.457228610-816-130-10-10-22-414-48-511421914839.81.4
182187.9Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.48970.47502397-1215-160-10-30-31-314-52-11210191816.90.3
183188.1RiderMAAC0.48950.459627911-816-150-00-01-33-612-57-4169347198-9.9-0.4
184188.3Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48920.44643049-717-120-10-10-12-614-36-512615815533.31.1
185188.7Utah ValleyWAC0.48900.48801856-912-140-10-11-22-58-55-7161180205-16.3-0.5
186189.3San DiegoWCC0.48890.5256998-912-170-50-11-32-69-26-51852081863.30.1
187189.4Washington St.P120.48870.5576548-910-190-60-30-45-55-16-520618117613.40.7
188189.1Central MichiganMAC0.48860.47782229-715-140-00-11-36-69-48-313531514742.11.3
189190.9HofstraCAA0.48810.50011528-1014-160-20-21-35-58-57-51411921900.90.0
190192.7Northern IowaMVC0.48720.52471016-1111-170-30-31-24-76-34-6156401857.70.3
191193.6Murray St.OVC0.48650.45542898-916-120-01-11-14-410-64-8277253201-7.4-0.3
192194.2North Carolina CentralMEAC0.48640.38523519-620-70-00-00-11-219-46-5140291199-4.8-0.3
193193.8PortlandWCC0.48620.51111338-812-160-40-10-24-68-36-5190232200-6.2-0.2
194194.7TroySB0.48560.48282078-914-160-01-12-33-59-56-6232330208-13.3-0.4
195195.6Boston CollegeACC0.48540.5594499-1011-200-61-43-44-43-27-624024117916.60.8
196197.2PennIvy0.48470.48392016-813-140-10-11-43-59-47-61511731898.20.3
197197.2Loyola MDPat0.48450.48302068-913-150-20-01-25-47-75-5908515047.21.7
198199.5Houston BaptistSlnd0.48360.48741894-911-140-00-20-33-38-61-62047215-15.5-0.4
199198.6EvansvilleMVC0.48350.51321288-1013-160-20-41-14-68-47-410388203-4.4-0.2
200199.8Ball St.MAC0.48290.459927811-617-130-00-11-34-511-48-4231349224-24.2-0.8
201200.3San Jose St.MWC0.48270.51921157-810-170-10-21-44-85-25-418324416535.31.3
202200.8IUPUISum0.48240.48152107-1112-160-00-21-33-68-44-8208229207-6.2-0.2
203201.3UNLVMWC0.48220.51531249-1014-170-30-21-44-68-27-62142121956.30.2
204201.5LibertyBSth0.48200.47642337-914-140-00-20-41-512-32-828893214-12.5-0.5
205202.4Gardner WebbBSth0.48180.46332687-914-140-00-21-42-311-44-6179182211-8.6-0.3
206208.0Little RockSB0.47840.46702599-715-140-10-11-34-410-57-4193331222-14.0-0.5
207208.0New OrleansSlnd0.47830.45652886-713-130-00-20-22-511-52-622712616147.01.4
208210.2Western MichiganMAC0.47720.52281045-1111-180-20-21-43-76-43-8283145241-30.8-0.9
209210.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.47710.46852529-815-140-00-10-33-811-35-6276328240-29.8-1.1
210210.9UC DavisBW0.47680.43853139-816-130-00-00-22-514-66-71862582091.90.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211211.8Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.47660.46592635-913-140-10-10-12-411-62-7264114268-56.2-1.6
212212.4RadfordBSth0.47620.48382026-1012-160-20-22-22-39-63-71773619220.40.7
213211.9PacificWCC0.47610.5304937-1111-190-50-11-34-85-35-72341752047.90.3
214213.2Indiana St.MVC0.47550.51891176-1210-191-00-40-34-75-55-61447019419.20.7
215214.4LipscombASun0.47520.46512657-1013-150-10-00-41-413-65-9224230252-37.6-1.3
216214.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.47450.44243086-714-120-10-00-11-313-74-4150263221-6.3-0.2
217216.5WoffordSC0.47420.49301724-1111-170-00-21-45-76-42-8282179239-22.5-0.8
218216.4UMKCWAC0.47390.50201477-1111-170-30-10-23-78-45-920510319125.41.0
219216.8Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.47390.42913279-816-130-00-00-11-515-75-6220334258-41.2-1.3
220217.1Kent St.MAC0.47370.47652318-914-160-00-11-34-89-47-5233339271-53.9-1.8
221217.9Western KentuckyCUSA0.47260.47782239-1014-170-10-21-23-710-56-72373142170.90.0
222219.5Morehead St.OVC0.47220.49491685-1111-160-10-10-42-78-42-928182248-28.5-0.9
223219.6DuquesneA100.47210.51101349-1013-180-21-31-53-78-27-62252402109.60.4
224221.8Cleveland St.Horz0.47100.51251315-1310-190-20-11-43-86-53-8207412138.80.3
225222.0NavyPat0.47050.47642328-1014-150-00-01-34-79-54-72581782193.00.1
226223.7Air ForceMWC0.47030.52201107-1011-180-00-31-55-75-35-62451952167.70.3
227223.1NJITASun0.46990.46092767-1013-150-10-10-21-411-76-8192245232-8.9-0.3
228224.6South AlabamaSB0.46920.49321707-912-170-00-21-43-68-55-62503042231.60.1
229224.9DePaulBE0.46890.5523628-119-220-70-21-51-66-17-62592792186.90.4
230226.7ColumbiaIvy0.46780.46542646-712-140-00-10-42-69-45-7244305244-17.3-0.6
231227.8LIU BrooklynNEC0.46750.418333711-718-120-10-01-02-315-86-6213318234-6.2-0.2
232228.4USC UpstateASun0.46720.45202988-813-140-00-00-51-312-66-720229020622.40.8
233228.2Portland St.BSky0.46700.42253327-614-120-00-00-03-511-64-4152302230-1.8-0.1
234228.9North DakotaBSky0.46670.43223226-714-110-00-00-13-610-52-5217164235-6.1-0.2
235230.7Long Beach St.BW0.46570.49011774-1411-190-40-10-32-49-73-111891622010.70.3
236232.6CharlotteCUSA0.46510.48352047-912-160-10-20-22-610-45-52012052284.60.2
237233.5FordhamA100.46420.51741197-1111-190-01-21-54-84-45-72662312294.50.2
238234.2Oral RobertsSum0.46370.52461024-148-200-20-11-34-113-32-10219122268.20.3
239234.3QuinnipiacMAAC0.46350.49191747-1112-180-10-21-33-78-53-72682092313.30.1
240235.6East CarolinaAmer0.46300.49701599-1013-180-30-41-52-410-28-52093132278.60.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241237.2Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.46200.45053016-1013-150-10-10-21-512-71-9293962334.20.1
242237.5ManhattanMAAC0.46190.49521657-1211-200-20-10-43-88-55-6167156243-5.5-0.2
243240.6Texas St.SB0.46020.45672878-713-150-01-11-22-59-75-5287350256-15.4-0.5
244242.0ArmyPat0.45950.47362417-1112-170-10-00-42-610-55-6199185262-20.0-0.7
245241.5DrexelCAA0.45910.48491966-1110-190-10-20-42-78-45-72233172365.50.2
246244.3BradleyMVC0.45810.50471447-1210-200-10-50-33-87-54-826320421232.31.5
247248.0James MadisonCAA0.45600.50651415-139-210-10-20-44-95-51-11328218272-24.0-1.0
248248.8UMass LowellAE0.45530.46912518-1112-180-00-20-23-79-75-9284308282-33.2-1.3
249250.0WagnerNEC0.45480.43313216-913-140-00-00-21-412-83-6211194279-29.0-1.1
250250.0LamarSlnd0.45450.42683297-713-140-00-00-12-511-84-5255348274-24.0-0.7
251250.3PepperdineWCC0.45440.5440724-136-230-40-10-43-93-43-824392264-13.7-0.6
252253.0Northern ColoradoBSky0.45270.45232965-1011-160-20-00-11-710-62-7216592458.00.3
253253.6Nicholls St.Slnd0.45230.46812535-910-170-10-10-22-58-93-61044215895.62.9
254255.6MissouriSEC0.45130.5353875-128-220-40-31-72-65-25-7291246273-17.4-0.8
255256.2Bowling GreenMAC0.45110.49541646-1111-190-10-10-33-97-55-7278276265-8.8-0.3
256256.1South Dakota St.Sum0.45100.49051766-1310-190-00-10-33-106-55-8194154277-20.9-0.8
257257.0JacksonvilleASun0.45060.40553449-714-130-00-00-21-213-98-5239351280-23.0-0.9
258258.0Appalachian St.SB0.44980.49691604-109-180-10-11-52-65-63-6271295266-8.0-0.3
259259.6Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44900.42993257-913-140-00-00-12-511-86-5218345283-23.4-0.9
260261.7Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44810.48771886-1210-190-10-11-32-77-75-819112725110.70.4
261262.3Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44740.45133006-1012-150-10-00-32-610-53-829016825012.30.4
262262.3McNeese St.Slnd0.44730.47972174-109-170-10-10-21-68-71-72263524715.30.5
263262.9MaristMAAC0.44720.49881556-139-220-10-20-32-107-53-823815024220.90.9
264263.5CampbellBSth0.44640.44263077-812-150-00-10-31-411-64-5257323270-6.5-0.2
265264.7High PointBSth0.44590.45952805-1011-160-00-10-42-48-73-6254214269-4.3-0.2
266266.1BrownIvy0.44500.45782838-812-160-10-10-32-610-57-725332023828.11.0
267267.6North FloridaASun0.44390.48422003-138-190-10-10-31-67-71-1231714025314.60.6
268268.8DetroitHorz0.44360.51091353-147-220-10-11-42-104-61-103016925711.80.5
269269.1SouthernSWAC0.44350.40383456-1014-140-10-00-20-514-62-8292227289-19.9-0.8
270268.7Robert MorrisNEC0.44350.45272956-1312-190-10-00-22-410-114-920311025414.70.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271274.0MilwaukeeHorz0.44020.49911544-148-220-00-10-53-95-73-9248137286-12.0-0.5
272275.2Youngstown St.Horz0.43980.48471976-129-200-01-11-42-86-74-723624326015.20.7
273275.6Saint LouisA100.43960.52291035-138-230-10-40-82-85-35-829523624629.61.7
274274.8Louisiana MonroeSB0.43920.49561624-128-210-00-21-53-75-64-7280303304-29.2-1.1
275277.8Oregon St.P120.43850.5500653-144-260-50-40-51-73-43-9331273290-12.2-0.8
276276.8SeattleWAC0.43840.46742586-910-160-10-10-31-88-45-7273309303-26.2-1.0
277278.1Western CarolinaSC0.43810.51301293-136-230-10-20-71-95-43-81703122553.12.6
278277.8IdahoBSky0.43780.43143235-912-150-00-00-11-810-73-62702942761.80.1
279279.9TulaneAmer0.43710.51921164-146-240-40-30-51-85-53-932630026118.91.1
280279.6BinghamtonAE0.43680.45212976-1011-170-00-20-22-79-66-6249346300-20.4-0.8
281280.0UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.43680.47002486-129-190-00-10-31-88-75-9269301293-13.0-0.5
282282.0DelawareCAA0.43540.48961795-128-210-10-21-52-85-65-621529925527.01.2
283282.5Austin PeayOVC0.43470.47872204-138-200-00-20-22-76-92-1027912026319.50.8
284282.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.43470.47512384-159-220-20-10-32-57-111-12300972757.50.3
285283.7BryantNEC0.43420.46222724-1411-190-20-10-12-49-122-1026055296-12.3-0.5
286284.1Miami OHMAC0.43390.48252086-1010-190-00-10-43-87-65-63043322813.10.1
287283.9St. Francis PANEC0.43390.43063245-1112-160-00-00-20-411-92-8309259287-3.1-0.1
288285.0The CitadelSC0.43380.47782216-119-190-00-10-51-97-44-624227823748.02.2
289285.1Chicago St.WAC0.43370.50101513-155-230-20-20-31-74-92-1226713824936.11.7
290285.6CornellIvy0.43300.48931803-127-210-00-21-41-85-73-11275187288-2.4-0.1
291287.4South FloridaAmer0.43240.49751586-118-210-30-20-42-76-46-52723352789.40.5
292287.9UTSACUSA0.43130.44303067-911-180-00-10-23-68-93-8320321295-7.1-0.3
293287.9Abilene ChristianSlnd0.43080.44083094-99-160-00-00-12-57-92-5274325328-40.1-1.4
294289.8DrakeMVC0.43050.49851575-128-200-00-30-24-84-71-9346296310-20.2-0.9
295289.2UC Santa BarbaraBW0.43020.48701912-127-200-20-20-21-66-81-102471026722.20.8
296291.4Montana St.BSky0.42920.45003025-1211-180-00-00-12-99-73-8315247333-41.6-1.7
297292.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42830.43643193-1411-190-20-10-21-310-101-11251462848.80.3
298293.8ColgatePat0.42820.46772554-158-220-10-00-32-76-101-11338289297-3.2-0.2
299293.5Sacred HeartNEC0.42800.42623308-1113-180-10-00-01-512-115-82652972912.50.1
300293.1Kennesaw St.ASun0.42780.44803035-1210-180-00-10-41-58-94-10299322311-17.9-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301294.1Jackson St.SWAC0.42740.40723435-1113-150-10-00-20-312-82-8286197299-4.9-0.2
302294.5AmericanPat0.42740.47542365-139-200-10-10-31-78-73-8297199312-17.5-0.8
303297.8UC RiversideBW0.42410.46132753-118-180-10-00-12-66-91-93109828512.80.5
304298.2HawaiiBW0.42410.43943127-913-150-10-10-21-312-75-7298249302-3.8-0.2
305299.6NiagaraMAAC0.42410.47212435-149-220-00-11-33-84-113-8324338320-20.4-1.0
306297.5Incarnate WordSlnd0.42400.46702603-108-170-00-00-12-86-81-629499305-7.5-0.3
307302.0Tennessee TechOVC0.42220.46392665-139-200-00-10-42-97-82-11337312334-32.0-1.5
308302.0South Carolina St.MEAC0.42080.45342942-127-180-20-20-31-36-81-10187525943.01.7
309301.0Northwestern St.Slnd0.42060.43683163-98-170-00-00-11-68-92-5261316325-24.0-0.9
310304.1Western IllinoisSum0.42050.46662624-117-180-10-10-13-74-91-8345340316-11.9-0.6
311303.3Charleston SouthernBSth0.42040.46182732-127-190-10-10-41-47-91-7308217307-3.7-0.2
312303.9North TexasCUSA0.42030.47012474-119-190-00-20-21-98-64-630529229211.90.5
313304.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42000.42923262-1410-190-00-20-30-610-81-122899529410.50.5
314305.4Florida AtlanticCUSA0.41930.47172443-117-200-00-21-31-65-92-7303237335-29.6-1.4
315308.3DartmouthIvy0.41720.47532373-116-210-00-10-32-74-93-103022713080.30.0
316307.8HamptonMEAC0.41680.41393404-1110-160-00-00-21-410-91-10330165321-13.2-0.6
317308.2Alcorn St.SWAC0.41640.41773383-119-170-00-00-20-79-70-831658326-17.8-0.8
318308.5Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.41630.44043105-1310-190-00-10-21-79-93-10335337314-5.5-0.3
319311.7MaineAE0.41500.47892194-157-230-10-20-32-95-93-1130726929813.70.9
320311.1Norfolk St.MEAC0.41410.42053333-1310-170-20-00-20-410-91-113231393065.10.2
321313.8HartfordAE0.41290.45362936-139-220-00-10-22-97-105-10318344317-3.2-0.2
322317.0LafayettePat0.41100.46772565-127-210-10-00-32-74-103-72852603152.00.2
323317.7SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40940.45892814-137-210-00-10-32-65-114-8241251327-9.3-0.6
324317.3Cal PolyBW0.40870.45162993-138-200-00-10-21-86-103-92621843098.30.4
325317.7Morgan St.MEAC0.40840.39293476-1012-160-00-10-10-412-102-10339281323-5.3-0.3
326320.8LongwoodBSth0.40610.45772844-117-200-10-00-30-66-101-834326630119.81.2
327320.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.40560.42363316-1010-170-00-00-02-79-94-7322329324-3.7-0.2
328321.8Delaware St.MEAC0.40430.41923353-149-200-00-10-12-57-131-123141903183.80.2
329323.9VMISC0.40320.49301712-124-230-10-20-41-93-71-8332191332-8.1-0.6
330325.0UTEPCUSA0.40180.46762573-137-220-00-20-41-76-91-10327169341-16.0-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331325.4HowardMEAC0.40030.42833282-148-210-00-20-30-68-101-12313102330-4.6-0.3
332326.5FIUCUSA0.39990.47052462-146-230-10-20-21-75-112-9333261347-20.5-1.6
333325.5Savannah St.MEAC0.39970.41763394-129-180-10-10-30-39-101-102961513196.50.4
334326.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39970.44523052-167-240-20-30-20-47-130-1330633329-3.0-0.2
335325.7Idaho St.BSky0.39960.47062451-145-230-10-10-30-75-121-10311112336-10.3-0.6
336327.3StetsonASun0.39820.43843144-128-200-00-00-40-47-125-93123413225.30.4
337327.5Coppin St.MEAC0.39780.43403204-147-220-00-20-40-57-110-133217231314.51.0
338330.3Sacramento St.BSky0.39460.43673173-117-200-00-00-10-86-101-8341257331-0.7-0.1
339335.8Southern MissCUSA0.38710.46282703-125-230-10-10-20-85-101-9347306338-2.2-0.2
340336.2Southern UtahBSky0.38580.43963112-145-240-00-00-10-85-140-11349275337-0.8-0.1
341337.8Alabama St.SWAC0.38160.40973413-138-210-00-10-20-58-131-10329224344-6.2-0.7
342338.3Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.37980.41973343-147-230-00-00-20-87-130-12342176343-4.7-0.5
343339.9Northern ArizonaBSky0.37890.43693153-146-240-00-00-11-106-132-10325282342-2.1-0.3
344339.6St. Francis NYNEC0.37880.43653183-156-240-10-00-20-56-161-113402563390.60.1
345343.1PresbyterianBSth0.37050.45382922-134-230-00-00-41-63-122-73192853403.10.7
346343.5Grambling St.SWAC0.36730.38973494-128-200-10-00-10-38-142-8334324345-1.5-0.3
347346.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.35600.41863362-155-240-00-00-10-45-192-9336333348-1.3-0.4
348346.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.35520.39163482-147-210-00-00-10-47-151-113442933460.50.1
349348.2Florida A&MMEAC0.34590.39313462-145-220-10-00-10-35-170-11350288349-0.8-0.3
350348.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.34260.40963420-174-250-10-00-10-64-170-13348268350-1.3-0.6
351350.4Alabama A&MSWAC0.32560.38813501-153-260-00-00-10-63-190-11351343351-0.6-0.5

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com