live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Jan 25, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.3KentuckySEC0.68080.57931619-031-05-06-08-07-04-013-0162-0.7-1.1
22.5VirginiaACC0.67040.57891719-028-25-14-04-011-04-012-03253-0.5-0.4
34.5KansasB120.66010.6244116-324-76-44-26-26-11-011-22213.51.2
46.0ArizonaP120.65130.57023118-227-43-12-07-211-13-012-1116051.00.3
56.5WisconsinB100.64920.57372018-227-42-25-18-19-13-012-19319-2.5-0.9
67.0DukeACC0.64780.58411017-226-54-24-26-17-05-013-04387-0.0-0.0
77.3GonzagaWCC0.64600.54237919-128-21-13-04-013-07-011-15158-0.7-0.3
88.7UtahP120.64180.57212315-324-52-32-17-19-05-09-2162610-1.3-0.4
99.0VillanovaBE0.64090.56643618-226-53-24-25-110-13-013-077763.00.7
109.5North CarolinaACC0.63890.6033216-424-74-43-25-19-03-010-315711-1.5-0.4
119.8VCUA100.63800.58291216-325-62-23-27-18-15-010-36145.81.5
1213.5Wichita St.MVC0.62700.53828617-225-41-22-15-17-010-09-21316121.50.4
1315.2LouisvilleACC0.62290.58261316-324-72-53-15-08-06-012-1177919-3.8-0.6
1415.5BaylorB120.62280.5949314-421-93-44-25-26-14-011-1103716-0.5-0.1
1518.5SMUAmer0.61580.56104415-422-70-22-37-15-09-08-32312180.50.1
1620.0West VirginiaB120.61270.57172616-323-83-43-24-17-06-012-132172173.00.4
1721.7GeorgetownBE0.60970.5933414-520-92-53-33-18-03-08-22113138.71.0
1822.1Northern IowaMVC0.60780.522110818-225-51-21-04-18-111-011-11469220.10.0
1922.9TexasB120.60730.5891614-521-103-63-24-17-05-011-2225926-3.1-0.4
2022.8MarylandB100.60700.55695318-324-71-33-25-28-17-012-124120148.81.1
2125.3Ohio St.B100.60290.55406016-524-71-32-25-29-06-011-24917841-15.7-1.8
2225.9ButlerBE0.60240.57023215-622-93-43-33-19-14-09-3631291510.91.2
2326.6OklahomaB120.60130.5897512-719-114-53-12-25-24-09-3427129-2.4-0.2
2426.8San Diego St.MWC0.60080.54267814-523-71-21-26-25-19-19-32836242.80.3
2528.0Iowa St.B120.60000.57701814-420-104-54-24-23-16-010-250164217.00.6
2627.6CincinnatiAmer0.60000.55984614-523-82-22-24-36-18-010-3308270.60.1
2729.4Colorado St.MWC0.59700.515311617-225-51-01-15-37-111-012-088030-0.6-0.1
2829.3Notre DameACC0.59680.523010719-226-52-32-14-09-19-012-19633235-5.7-0.6
2930.7ProvidenceBE0.59600.58141415-520-113-44-24-27-22-110-325332010.70.9
3031.2XavierBE0.59580.58331113-720-112-43-25-27-32-09-4312734-2.8-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3132.9StanfordP120.59290.55675514-521-91-41-15-38-25-09-34081311.90.2
3234.0DavidsonA100.59130.523910513-421-71-31-13-16-110-08-25320636-2.0-0.2
3334.6GeorgiaSEC0.59080.57322113-520-100-32-26-38-24-09-33341259.60.8
3437.1ArkansasSEC0.58790.54467315-422-91-23-25-35-29-011-219892314.11.0
3538.6DaytonA100.58610.511812216-324-60-11-24-28-110-010-2361472810.60.8
3639.8IndianaB100.58500.56483715-521-103-42-24-26-16-010-385136336.80.5
3741.4Michigan St.B100.58320.57063013-720-111-52-24-29-24-09-4727243-1.6-0.1
3842.0Miami FLACC0.58230.55086514-522-92-41-23-19-27-010-383168384.00.3
3943.9Oklahoma St.B120.58130.5847912-617-123-72-23-24-15-09-2411193211.90.7
4043.7TulsaAmer0.58080.53339214-421-81-31-24-16-19-17-410611747-3.3-0.2
4145.3Old DominionCUSA0.57890.504713915-424-61-01-04-27-311-111-11239405.30.4
4246.3BuffaloMAC0.57850.53728812-620-100-20-13-37-49-19-3207456-9.7-0.6
4347.6George WashingtonA100.57710.521311016-422-92-31-23-27-29-010-35521753-5.4-0.3
4448.2North Carolina St.ACC0.57640.5874713-819-122-61-24-28-24-09-47334453.20.2
4549.6IowaB100.57520.57003313-720-113-41-33-37-25-09-410710952-2.4-0.2
4650.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.57390.525610015-421-70-20-12-211-27-17-3100105491.70.1
4751.8LSUSEC0.57370.54437615-421-101-13-35-36-26-111-2451663714.80.9
4851.8Seton HallBE0.57340.56314113-618-122-52-32-17-25-010-229141429.80.6
4950.9Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57310.478221313-324-40-20-13-03-117-07-36112485-34.1-2.7
5052.3MississippiSEC0.57280.55854912-720-111-23-34-35-27-19-47795466.30.4
5154.4Green BayHorz0.57060.489917615-422-60-11-03-26-212-19-33910757-2.6-0.2
5254.6BYUWCC0.57020.54128413-720-90-31-12-19-38-08-3341962-7.4-0.6
5356.9St. John'sBE0.56890.57501912-618-122-73-24-16-24-010-23855515.90.3
5459.8WashingtonP120.56680.54637114-520-102-32-16-36-45-011-1351934811.80.6
5559.9WoffordSC0.56640.488518114-521-80-21-12-15-114-27-418174415.90.9
5660.5FloridaSEC0.56610.5860810-917-140-52-45-37-23-07-61142484-23.5-1.3
5760.7Texas A&MSEC0.56590.55136413-519-110-22-35-45-27-09-354823921.71.0
5863.0ConnecticutAmer0.56420.55595611-718-121-52-32-33-19-07-5884478-15.0-0.8
5965.3AlabamaSEC0.56290.55675412-618-120-41-34-36-17-09-3641375015.30.7
6066.0IonaMAAC0.56130.477821415-623-80-00-10-28-314-27-465151597.00.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6167.6TempleAmer0.56070.54467413-719-121-51-23-24-110-19-457635413.60.7
6267.8Boise St.MWC0.56020.512911912-620-90-21-22-24-312-18-358167652.80.2
6369.8MemphisAmer0.55900.55445812-719-121-51-32-24-111-18-5932974-4.2-0.2
6470.8Central MichiganMAC0.55890.485918811-319-70-01-13-16-310-27-1137348100-29.2-1.2
6570.6Bowling GreenMAC0.55880.496815412-420-80-00-22-37-210-18-276302673.60.2
6670.2SyracuseACC0.55870.56124214-618-131-51-23-27-36-09-494116691.20.1
6770.3IllinoisB100.55870.54996713-819-122-31-33-47-26-010-3691655812.30.6
6872.3Eastern WashingtonBSky0.55720.476622112-521-70-11-00-14-316-16-43747639.30.5
6972.8WyomingMWC0.55700.485918715-322-71-21-13-15-213-19-2104320711.80.1
7074.0Murray St.OVC0.55570.472723815-423-50-00-12-17-213-28-411920382-8.0-0.5
7176.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.55470.508913112-519-90-12-13-34-311-15-5129536610.30.5
7276.3Rhode IslandA100.55450.510512612-519-90-31-22-26-210-07-3971916412.30.6
7376.6YaleIvy0.55430.506013511-619-100-00-12-26-511-29-6661136115.60.7
7478.0RichmondA100.55370.55785210-917-141-31-42-36-47-07-61214083-5.0-0.2
7579.2OregonP120.55290.55475713-618-120-41-25-38-34-09-386110790.20.0
7679.9South CarolinaSEC0.55240.5710299-815-141-43-33-44-35-08-380115118-38.1-1.7
7779.1Louisiana TechCUSA0.55230.480320714-522-80-00-22-35-214-28-4125271101-21.9-1.1
7880.5MinnesotaB100.55170.55815012-817-131-41-33-46-26-010-24718487-6.5-0.3
7979.9ValparaisoHorz0.55170.467325215-422-60-00-12-18-212-110-26725881-1.1-0.1
8080.5Long Beach St.BW0.55140.5414818-1116-140-31-32-56-37-14-1012336020.50.9
8182.0EvansvilleMVC0.55030.509412914-520-91-30-11-25-213-19-2681967012.00.7
8282.8UTEPCUSA0.54980.509213012-721-90-11-11-36-212-28-45122104-21.2-1.1
8383.3TennesseeSEC0.54940.56344012-616-141-32-43-46-25-08-475525528.31.3
8484.7Georgia St.SB0.54900.491817112-720-100-10-21-15-313-36-44870105-20.3-1.0
8587.0HarvardIvy0.54750.50481389-517-90-10-02-15-49-38-4561017512.00.5
8688.1William & MaryCAA0.54670.500814910-717-100-10-11-35-310-34-5984399-10.9-0.5
8788.7ToledoMAC0.54650.524610311-818-130-20-12-37-59-18-59115996-7.3-0.3
8889.0Oregon St.P120.54630.525410113-518-111-20-23-39-35-08-31763247217.00.7
8989.0PurdueB100.54600.55246112-818-130-33-34-35-45-08-518021995-6.0-0.3
9090.9MassachusettsA100.54500.55076610-916-150-21-44-46-46-17-66096822.91.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9191.0Illinois St.MVC0.54460.53179311-817-120-41-11-25-310-17-47046113-22.0-1.1
9291.1Kansas St.B120.54460.58081512-815-163-72-32-32-36-07-61811587615.10.7
9392.5UCLAP120.54370.56803511-916-151-71-22-47-25-08-5109507715.50.7
9494.0ColoradoP120.54330.56373810-915-151-40-32-48-35-07-513194931.00.0
9593.2New MexicoMWC0.54310.517311413-719-111-11-22-36-29-28-4151259921.20.1
9694.8MichiganB100.54250.57292211-815-140-61-34-26-32-06-5155587321.81.0
9795.0South Dakota St.Sum0.54180.477321613-719-90-20-10-04-315-37-5101179121-26.0-1.3
9896.2Stony BrookAE0.54130.484019412-819-100-10-22-04-513-27-64321915.20.3
9997.1NebraskaB100.54110.55974712-715-151-42-33-45-45-08-4144244889.10.4
10098.6Sam Houston St.Slnd0.53980.458927711-520-70-00-21-32-117-15-4103112115-16.4-1.1
10199.0PittsburghACC0.53950.55435912-717-140-61-32-28-36-110-3781828019.00.8
10299.9High PointBSth0.53920.473923312-518-90-10-11-16-512-26-3521698910.90.5
103100.3Kent St.MAC0.53880.503814113-519-110-11-12-55-311-18-4154276112-11.7-0.5
104100.8NortheasternCAA0.53830.484919014-721-100-00-11-37-512-28-5951808614.80.8
105101.9Arizona St.P120.53780.55974810-1016-150-51-24-48-34-08-5165183117-15.1-0.6
106104.5UNLVMWC0.53650.54218010-916-141-41-22-44-28-28-4265108-3.5-0.1
107104.0TCUB120.53630.52589914-519-122-82-31-13-111-013-090349132-28.0-1.2
108105.5La SalleA100.53530.54138310-916-150-31-22-45-49-18-57445107-1.5-0.1
109107.3UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53470.5267988-915-130-20-11-37-47-25-710510126-18.7-0.7
110111.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.53150.427534312-521-60-20-10-14-117-16-579999021.91.4
111113.3AmericanPat0.53140.488917811-818-120-00-00-38-69-37-5711481112.30.1
112113.9AkronMAC0.53080.502714412-619-110-01-24-36-59-28-41923141103.90.1
113115.6UC IrvineBW0.53000.50251469-816-120-10-11-35-49-25-7146104122-6.4-0.2
114119.8MarquetteBE0.52730.56813410-914-161-72-52-25-23-18-41281221190.80.0
115119.7Penn St.B100.52700.54138213-716-151-41-32-46-47-012-1622999821.71.0
116120.8VanderbiltSEC0.52680.53598910-816-140-31-45-44-26-19-31122291146.80.2
117121.1Georgia SouthernSB0.52620.457228410-418-80-00-01-24-213-34-21683441165.10.2
118123.6UC DavisBW0.52470.462826612-418-90-00-01-26-411-38-311831810914.60.5
119124.7Georgia TechACC0.52430.5715279-1013-171-61-31-26-54-19-3599210321.70.9
120126.2Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52370.501814711-716-120-30-13-22-311-38-28126010620.20.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121126.3Cleveland St.Horz0.52360.502714510-916-130-30-11-44-211-25-818385127-0.7-0.0
122126.2HofstraCAA0.52340.457828114-722-90-00-12-24-416-29-4145322180-53.8-2.9
123128.1New Mexico St.WAC0.52240.483019910-1018-110-20-11-32-215-26-915723164-35.9-1.9
124128.3BelmontOVC0.52230.477621512-718-100-20-01-24-413-27-5871009434.31.4
125128.2ClemsonACC0.52220.55236211-815-150-52-33-26-54-18-41582239731.21.3
126128.9Western MichiganMAC0.52200.498915311-616-130-01-12-45-69-17-4175328129-0.1-0.0
127129.7UT ArlingtonSB0.52190.486218511-717-120-20-11-24-313-45-4891181254.70.2
128131.9CanisiusMAAC0.52060.480720511-818-110-00-11-24-512-35-4116106142-10.1-0.4
129132.4ColumbiaIvy0.52050.51521178-715-120-10-12-46-38-37-613864160-27.6-0.9
130133.1Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51970.463826211-718-90-00-12-24-313-27-6136134148-14.9-0.6
131134.3Incarnate WordSlnd0.51920.45642866-516-80-00-21-21-114-34-227901331.30.0
132137.2ChattanoogaSC0.51750.478521112-718-110-20-20-15-213-45-6164661307.20.3
133137.9Wake ForestACC0.51700.5710289-1113-180-61-31-45-35-18-5147161146-8.1-0.3
134139.5St. BonaventureA100.51590.501414811-716-130-11-32-35-28-37-4194316156-16.5-0.6
135142.6Gardner WebbBSth0.51450.48881809-815-120-10-21-25-39-44-51207612319.60.7
136143.5East Tennessee St.SC0.51420.479420910-716-110-10-10-33-312-45-446301403.50.1
137143.3Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51410.438832711-518-80-00-11-25-413-25-3132309157-13.7-0.5
138143.7Norfolk St.MEAC0.51370.460827011-918-110-20-10-14-414-35-810832174-30.3-1.3
139143.6RutgersB100.51370.57212410-1112-191-31-41-64-54-18-5926210241.62.2
140143.9Texas SouthernSWAC0.51360.46332638-1118-130-31-11-21-415-33-10113412815.90.7
141145.8AlbanyAE0.51280.454429312-719-100-00-12-14-513-35-8182212158-12.2-0.5
142146.1Boston CollegeACC0.51250.5610439-913-171-51-42-43-45-18-416220912026.11.0
143146.8LafayettePat0.51230.486518310-816-120-20-00-16-610-37-3441391397.80.3
144147.8Middle TennesseeCUSA0.51210.493016611-817-130-11-12-44-511-36-616015313116.80.6
145147.5CaliforniaP120.51160.54746911-914-170-51-24-44-45-110-38414913413.50.6
146151.2Eastern IllinoisOVC0.51030.484319211-815-120-00-10-25-59-45-61431321447.20.3
147151.1PepperdineWCC0.50990.493416511-816-120-21-21-34-410-26-4227337165-13.9-0.6
148151.8James MadisonCAA0.50940.499515212-918-130-20-01-45-412-37-6159731438.80.4
149152.8UNC WilmingtonCAA0.50930.478521210-815-130-10-21-33-312-44-61882451493.80.1
150153.3NorthwesternB100.50870.55206310-1013-180-51-52-64-27-09-414824013617.30.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151153.6CharlotteCUSA0.50860.50361428-1116-150-10-42-42-312-37-6111831512.60.1
152154.8Sacramento St.BSky0.50810.458827811-617-100-10-01-11-314-54-51972491522.80.1
153156.3AuburnSEC0.50730.5607459-912-180-22-53-54-43-27-5122671479.30.3
154156.6RiderMAAC0.50710.462026713-819-120-10-10-24-415-46-518628214115.60.7
155157.9TulaneAmer0.50640.509512712-716-130-21-42-52-211-28-3167300163-5.1-0.2
156158.4DePaulBE0.50630.54367711-1013-181-53-42-33-45-26-728330413523.41.0
157159.4Cal PolyBW0.50560.48921778-813-130-10-11-35-47-45-51261951536.40.2
158160.2RadfordBSth0.50540.456228911-717-110-10-01-23-513-36-4102227173-12.8-0.4
159161.7LehighPat0.50460.49261689-915-130-10-01-17-87-45-5127111167-5.3-0.2
160161.2Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50460.46732519-816-110-11-00-22-412-46-5134177171-9.8-0.4
161162.4St. Francis PANEC0.50410.46682549-916-120-10-10-05-611-45-5821081548.40.3
162162.9San DiegoWCC0.50400.52061119-1113-160-31-32-34-67-26-5142171181-18.1-0.7
163162.3North FloridaASun0.50390.442431710-917-110-10-11-22-414-45-9226294185-22.7-1.0
164164.0North Dakota St.Sum0.50300.457928011-716-110-10-11-23-313-56-5196301168-4.0-0.1
165165.4Florida St.ACC0.50240.54507210-1014-170-51-31-46-46-18-519123013728.41.1
166165.8CreightonBE0.50220.5579519-1212-191-61-62-34-34-19-411718713827.81.1
167166.2Tennessee MartinOVC0.50210.457728210-716-110-10-10-32-514-26-5169310179-12.8-0.5
168166.4PortlandWCC0.50200.508613210-914-140-20-21-44-58-27-31302561597.40.3
169167.2Eastern MichiganMAC0.50190.49241698-714-130-00-22-44-38-27-299315177-9.8-0.3
170167.2Washington St.P120.50150.5477689-1011-190-41-22-64-55-16-620424312443.21.8
171170.4BucknellPat0.50040.488817910-1015-150-10-00-27-88-34-82311891664.40.2
172169.5Utah St.MWC0.50010.491117410-815-140-11-23-52-410-36-5187247190-20.5-0.8
173172.7Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49920.47682198-915-130-00-12-23-510-63-5241241227-54.3-1.8
174172.5UABCUSA0.49910.51171239-1015-150-21-11-53-410-43-925754176-3.5-0.1
175172.5NJITind0.49890.459927411-1014-110-10-01-14-48-514-11174279182-9.5-0.4
176172.8Louisiana MonroeSB0.49870.48591868-814-130-00-00-34-59-42-521714016210.80.4
177174.0St. Francis NYNEC0.49830.454029611-918-120-10-00-05-713-45-7225250186-12.0-0.5
178175.8DetroitHorz0.49760.50691348-1113-160-10-12-63-58-35-815661178-2.2-0.1
179175.8USCP120.49710.5444759-1012-180-30-22-66-54-18-415223114530.81.3
180177.5Charleston SouthernBSth0.49640.46722539-714-120-01-21-23-510-23-5190135183-5.5-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181180.9Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49450.48032089-1014-150-10-20-14-610-44-71394917010.90.4
182181.2VermontAE0.49440.454329410-916-120-00-01-23-513-44-8252213200-18.8-0.8
183181.4ColgatePat0.49430.49171728-1214-160-10-10-26-98-42-10293192215-33.6-1.1
184182.6Indiana St.MVC0.49390.51871139-1013-160-40-12-32-38-53-82912001757.60.3
185183.3Oral RobertsSum0.49350.48132039-1014-140-11-10-33-510-65-7179176193-9.7-0.3
186183.1MontanaBSky0.49330.47002438-814-130-10-21-22-312-52-723075225-41.9-1.3
187184.4George MasonA100.49290.5634395-129-200-50-52-42-35-34-716320188-3.6-0.1
188186.9San FranciscoWCC0.49160.5273978-1212-170-20-20-45-76-25-6207130194-7.1-0.3
189187.4Robert MorrisNEC0.49110.468424710-1016-140-20-10-14-612-44-822915217215.40.6
190187.9Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.49110.443031611-1018-130-20-10-13-515-57-8133170189-1.1-0.0
191189.5Texas TechB120.49030.54727011-913-181-81-41-32-28-110-317032516920.50.9
192189.2QuinnipiacMAAC0.49010.475122611-816-130-00-02-26-59-66-3135150199-9.8-0.4
193189.8HawaiiBW0.49010.481620212-717-130-10-13-44-511-310-4141224195-5.2-0.2
194189.6DartmouthIvy0.48970.47242398-814-140-00-01-24-59-67-7208311192-2.4-0.1
195191.8Santa ClaraWCC0.48900.52141099-1012-160-20-30-46-66-14-622819915536.81.5
196192.1Wright St.Horz0.48890.49421638-1012-160-10-20-44-48-56-612411415042.11.6
197193.8MonmouthMAAC0.48790.467924911-1017-140-20-11-13-412-64-7261263205-11.2-0.5
198193.9ArmyPat0.48770.450630211-617-110-10-00-16-711-38-2149343208-14.1-0.5
199196.1MissouriSEC0.48690.5721256-129-210-51-52-62-34-25-71954216135.11.4
200195.7OhioMAC0.48660.5337917-1011-180-01-21-74-75-25-62191561914.70.2
201197.6Ball St.MAC0.48580.5300956-1010-180-20-22-53-65-34-6240202207-9.4-0.3
202197.9Saint Joseph'sA100.48580.51961128-1012-180-30-22-43-37-56-617719018413.90.5
203197.9MercerSC0.48580.46932459-1015-140-10-31-32-413-43-8275174226-28.1-1.0
204197.9OaklandHorz0.48580.51221216-1212-170-21-22-32-67-33-102235118710.90.4
205198.4BryantNEC0.48560.47632239-914-150-00-00-34-710-53-820178201-2.6-0.1
206198.1Boston UniversityPat0.48560.50501377-1112-160-10-10-26-76-53-719948203-4.9-0.2
207198.8CornellIvy0.48530.48212018-914-150-00-11-44-49-57-8214270206-7.2-0.2
208207.5Texas St.SB0.48040.48301987-912-140-10-11-22-59-53-3115121213-5.5-0.2
209208.9Holy CrossPat0.48000.49531587-1012-150-00-01-26-85-54-5140862026.90.2
210210.8DenverSum0.47900.49011759-1114-150-10-21-23-410-66-7184103220-9.2-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211214.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.47700.46972448-1114-160-01-11-21-612-74-8193102221-6.8-0.2
212215.5Tennessee TechOVC0.47650.47432308-1113-150-00-00-35-78-66-6110154236-20.5-0.8
213215.3Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47630.461126910-1116-150-00-10-25-610-76-5178288232-16.7-0.8
214216.9Virginia TechACC0.47580.5406858-1111-200-70-30-33-67-18-52353132115.90.3
215217.0Delaware St.MEAC0.47570.44183198-914-150-00-10-33-412-64-916116019720.00.8
216217.6Missouri St.MVC0.47510.52311066-1210-180-40-20-33-66-34-620514520413.60.6
217218.3Morehead St.OVC0.47490.47512257-1313-160-10-10-32-811-33-10256197235-16.7-0.8
218218.8South DakotaSum0.47440.46412619-1114-150-00-10-33-411-75-8247284224-5.2-0.2
219219.6USC UpstateASun0.47420.419034411-717-100-10-00-12-415-49-4172331240-20.4-0.9
220221.2PacificWCC0.47340.51611157-119-180-20-30-33-86-25-417123619823.21.1
221221.2Northern ColoradoBSky0.47270.45083017-914-130-00-10-22-412-53-6290252223-1.8-0.1
222222.3Fresno St.MWC0.47250.50401408-1011-181-11-21-53-56-43-8311305233-10.7-0.5
223224.0Alabama St.SWAC0.47150.39413518-516-90-10-10-11-116-42-5260221234-10.0-0.3
224224.7UCFAmer0.47110.51141248-1012-160-30-31-43-28-46-423327820915.70.6
225224.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.47100.46462605-912-130-10-30-32-210-51-62431821410.80.4
226225.0Northern IllinoisMAC0.47100.50591367-911-170-10-31-53-77-35-52242892169.00.3
227226.0IUPUISum0.47040.48411938-1312-180-00-10-53-79-54-102461862224.00.2
228226.4FIUCUSA0.46980.47312347-911-170-10-10-33-58-65-619830821214.40.5
229227.8Northern KentuckyASun0.46940.47452287-1112-150-20-00-21-710-44-9203982198.80.4
230228.5South FloridaAmer0.46920.5317946-1310-200-20-51-62-56-35-720912821711.50.5
231230.2HartfordAE0.46810.452329910-914-140-00-10-23-511-56-617320121812.20.5
232230.4Mississippi St.SEC0.46800.52461048-1010-200-20-41-64-45-36-627730321020.41.0
233231.6New HampshireAE0.46740.43743299-914-130-00-00-13-611-55-62182872283.60.2
234231.1Florida AtlanticCUSA0.46730.47902106-811-150-00-20-42-58-45-4150275238-6.9-0.2
235231.8UNC AshevilleBSth0.46710.46012736-1012-140-00-00-24-77-51-7323283252-20.2-0.7
236232.5PrincetonIvy0.46680.48471917-912-170-00-01-34-97-46-9272264283-50.5-1.5
237235.4Saint LouisA100.46530.51371188-1011-190-30-30-53-48-47-522026819639.41.7
238235.7ManhattanMAAC0.46520.45632879-1014-150-00-00-33-810-43-6306329251-15.3-0.6
239240.1Portland St.BSky0.46220.44763088-812-140-00-00-22-510-64-4200323244-3.9-0.1
240241.1Appalachian St.SB0.46180.46892468-1012-170-00-01-23-98-63-6259306254-12.9-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241242.0SouthernSWAC0.46130.44653116-1213-160-10-10-30-613-40-1128514245-3.0-0.1
242242.6LamarSlnd0.46080.47712176-910-160-10-20-21-39-62-6213142282-39.4-1.3
243244.6Loyola MarymountWCC0.46010.5353905-157-220-30-30-44-93-33-82458722915.60.8
244244.2WinthropBSth0.46010.44213187-913-130-10-00-13-710-52-6304307275-30.8-1.1
245245.2UTSACUSA0.45970.46622567-912-150-00-10-52-59-54-5269327249-3.8-0.2
246245.5IdahoBSky0.45950.46462596-1012-150-00-01-33-47-83-6234185273-27.5-0.9
247246.2Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45920.44703104-1313-170-20-20-21-312-92-10296157256-9.8-0.3
248247.1Sacred HeartNEC0.45870.46072718-1214-160-10-10-13-910-65-7212205260-12.9-0.5
249246.7BrownIvy0.45840.48631847-1011-180-01-10-52-78-67-821125123115.70.6
250248.1ElonCAA0.45800.45742839-1013-160-10-01-22-810-56-5222334276-27.9-1.2
251251.3Western CarolinaSC0.45620.46132687-1212-170-00-10-42-710-53-8237238255-3.7-0.1
252252.1UMass LowellAE0.45570.45083008-1212-160-10-10-23-79-75-716622823913.10.7
253254.8Arkansas St.SB0.45390.45592908-1012-160-00-00-42-810-54-42653462504.80.2
254256.3LipscombASun0.45330.44803077-1011-150-10-00-11-810-43-9294265258-1.7-0.1
255257.4SienaMAAC0.45290.47502278-1111-180-00-00-23-97-63-6238211263-5.6-0.3
256257.3DuquesneA100.45280.52471025-128-200-20-40-41-86-34-628426724314.30.7
257259.4College of CharlestonCAA0.45120.49431616-1510-210-10-30-42-88-45-8206133262-2.6-0.1
258259.4East CarolinaAmer0.45120.51141256-119-200-30-41-51-37-55-6273295269-9.6-0.4
259261.0Weber St.BSky0.45020.46632556-1111-160-10-20-32-49-63-6216882592.00.1
260262.6UC RiversideBW0.44970.48212007-1110-180-20-10-42-78-55-723225424220.60.8
261262.8Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.44920.44993038-812-160-10-10-21-411-83-7314330297-34.2-1.5
262263.6PennIvy0.44880.48321955-1010-180-10-11-42-87-55-9274277287-23.4-0.9
263264.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.44870.47672208-1211-190-30-11-52-49-66-6295347284-19.9-0.9
264264.2BradleyMVC0.44860.51271206-149-210-30-11-51-77-54-8299234265-0.8-0.0
265265.3Air ForceMWC0.44790.48721826-1110-170-20-31-51-58-35-4264339286-20.7-0.8
266267.6RiceCUSA0.44650.49401644-118-190-10-20-52-56-71-8325253296-28.4-1.0
267268.0HoustonAmer0.44610.49481597-1211-190-30-31-51-38-68-425133525711.00.5
268268.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44580.45952757-1111-160-00-10-32-69-54-7301321291-22.4-0.9
269269.3North TexasCUSA0.44560.49431626-119-190-00-31-52-46-64-6263225271-1.7-0.1
270270.7LIU BrooklynNEC0.44480.46322647-1211-180-00-10-23-98-64-7221181285-14.3-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271270.2North DakotaBSky0.44440.47142404-129-190-20-00-21-68-83-72029123040.21.6
272270.5VMISC0.44430.46562576-1310-170-20-20-21-58-71-731014425317.50.7
273271.2Grand CanyonWAC0.44390.44143209-1015-140-10-11-21-413-67-82492322647.20.3
274271.1HowardMEAC0.44390.42923376-1012-160-00-10-21-711-63-9258273295-23.9-0.9
275272.4Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44370.50321435-158-220-20-11-42-75-73-112871432666.40.3
276272.9Miami OHMAC0.44350.50761336-129-210-10-30-62-76-44-8320297280-7.1-0.3
277272.6Youngstown St.Horz0.44340.47652227-1310-180-00-20-52-77-56-61852462675.60.3
278273.1SeattleWAC0.44290.43713308-913-130-00-10-33-310-75-72552332721.10.0
279274.0Loyola MDPat0.44250.48092047-1210-190-10-11-25-105-64-724424224133.01.5
280274.9TowsonCAA0.44230.45642858-1211-190-10-10-42-79-66-6236336277-2.1-0.1
281274.0IPFWSum0.44220.46282656-1110-160-00-00-42-68-64-6254298288-14.0-0.6
282274.6FordhamA100.44210.5273964-127-210-20-40-61-65-44-626821524826.61.3
283274.9NavyPat0.44180.48521896-1310-190-10-20-13-106-63-8297226281-6.1-0.3
284275.1DrexelCAA0.44180.49591565-138-200-00-20-52-97-42-82921312687.10.3
285277.5MilwaukeeHorz0.44000.49461605-138-200-10-20-33-75-63-9278155279-1.5-0.1
286280.3FairfieldMAAC0.43890.49281676-149-210-10-10-42-97-72-8266652746.30.3
287282.4DrakeMVC0.43760.5382873-165-240-40-20-61-64-52-92795724735.41.9
288281.1McNeese St.Slnd0.43750.45362983-1010-150-10-10-31-39-72-51531123744.11.7
289282.8Utah ValleyWAC0.43640.44513136-1110-170-10-10-10-510-84-923921424636.81.6
290283.9Houston BaptistSlnd0.43600.45902765-88-160-00-10-21-57-81-5315326330-46.1-1.8
291284.7Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43570.45872796-1210-180-00-10-12-98-74-61892072786.70.3
292283.9WagnerNEC0.43540.47542245-139-190-10-10-02-107-71-930797289-5.1-0.2
293286.1Arkansas Little RockSB0.43430.47402326-1210-190-00-20-42-79-64-5262255319-32.9-1.4
294287.3HamptonMEAC0.43390.42833398-1112-170-00-10-31-611-84-9270281311-23.7-1.1
295287.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.43370.47452296-129-200-00-00-42-117-56-721528026126.31.3
296288.2UMKCWAC0.43330.43943256-1311-180-00-10-22-510-113-12308266302-13.8-0.6
297289.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.43270.43493327-1111-170-00-00-22-59-95-7289350307-18.0-0.8
298291.5NevadaMWC0.43130.49541574-127-210-20-31-42-54-72-8344312309-17.5-1.0
299290.8Austin PeayOVC0.43080.48311975-138-200-00-10-43-55-93-9288220298-7.2-0.4
300292.9South AlabamaSB0.42970.48321964-148-210-00-10-32-95-80-9346237308-15.1-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301292.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42930.42783414-1411-190-10-10-30-511-91-1128084305-12.1-0.6
302296.1New OrleansSlnd0.42560.43833282-108-160-00-20-20-48-81-52109327026.11.1
303298.1CampbellBSth0.42530.46802484-148-200-10-10-12-86-93-7242194318-19.9-1.0
304298.4Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42520.45502926-109-190-00-10-31-48-113-72812612908.40.4
305299.5Southern MissCUSA0.42510.49991504-126-210-00-20-71-65-63-62712082945.50.3
306299.1FurmanSC0.42430.47282354-138-190-10-10-31-76-71-8313138304-4.9-0.2
307302.7MarshallCUSA0.42210.49961513-157-220-20-21-41-75-82-9321204312-9.3-0.6
308303.1DelawareCAA0.42180.49241704-156-230-10-11-32-84-91-10328188306-2.9-0.2
309303.7NiagaraMAAC0.42130.49121733-167-220-00-20-32-75-91-8300682994.70.3
310304.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.42010.45402956-119-160-00-00-31-67-82-7349345331-26.9-1.3
311305.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.41980.45622887-139-200-10-00-22-67-105-8248292310-4.8-0.3
312307.3Western IllinoisSum0.41750.47712185-117-180-00-00-31-76-83-62762163034.30.2
313309.0Jackson St.SWAC0.41680.41743465-1512-190-00-10-20-811-82-11303222315-6.0-0.4
314308.6South Carolina St.MEAC0.41650.44083215-159-200-10-00-11-88-101-1231721029216.61.0
315308.8Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.41640.43303355-1410-180-10-00-11-59-113-11319291326-17.2-1.2
316311.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41440.42873385-1510-220-00-20-31-59-123-1125017330011.50.8
317313.2SamfordSC0.41250.43363348-1411-190-00-10-41-610-96-62533403130.20.0
318313.1TroySB0.41170.44913055-119-180-00-11-22-56-93-4327351322-8.9-0.5
319314.6Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41090.49671553-165-240-10-20-41-104-72-1131216230113.61.0
320319.7Southern UtahBSky0.40500.44813064-138-200-00-00-31-67-112-8309274323-3.3-0.2
321319.9Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.40480.43973245-138-190-10-00-10-47-133-102862483145.90.4
322320.3The CitadelSC0.40390.43893265-128-180-00-11-11-57-102-5335333333-12.7-0.9
323320.8Montana St.BSky0.40380.48032063-156-230-10-10-41-64-122-926756329-8.2-0.6
324320.8LongwoodBSth0.40330.45372974-158-210-00-10-22-95-102-9324286324-3.2-0.2
325322.7PresbyterianBSth0.40220.47282363-145-220-10-00-30-94-90-93361463175.70.6
326324.5UNC GreensboroSC0.39960.46062723-156-220-10-10-22-54-121-9333257334-9.5-0.9
327323.8Savannah St.MEAC0.39920.44463153-147-210-10-20-21-66-102-102829629330.82.1
328326.2Kennesaw St.ASun0.39770.44523125-157-220-10-10-21-76-114-1130528531610.21.1
329325.8Morgan St.MEAC0.39750.43383334-168-220-10-10-11-77-122-12326262328-2.2-0.2
330326.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.39650.43563313-168-210-10-10-20-67-111-12330198336-9.3-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331327.2Alabama A&MSWAC0.39570.41713473-128-190-00-10-20-58-110-93311253216.20.5
332328.9Idaho St.BSky0.39320.44733093-156-220-00-00-30-66-121-9338290338-9.1-0.8
333329.7Coppin St.MEAC0.39180.47022421-175-230-00-10-40-84-90-1230235332-2.3-0.2
334332.9MaineAE0.38810.47282372-184-250-10-10-30-93-111-123161233275.90.8
335334.0UMBCAE0.38650.44473143-176-230-00-10-30-85-112-11334293335-1.0-0.1
336334.6San Jose St.MWC0.38610.50941280-171-270-10-30-60-90-90-1034523532014.63.2
337335.8MaristMAAC0.38360.47032412-184-260-00-00-20-114-121-9341272341-5.2-0.8
338336.0Nicholls St.Slnd0.38240.44933042-115-200-10-10-30-54-110-733212732511.01.3
339336.1Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38230.39913504-149-200-00-00-10-79-113-10347342345-8.9-1.1
340338.2Tennessee St.OVC0.37910.47432311-183-260-10-00-30-103-131-12340239340-1.8-0.3
341339.2Central ConnecticutNEC0.37750.45502913-185-260-10-10-11-104-142-11329269344-4.8-0.8
342338.9BinghamtonAE0.37740.46772501-193-260-10-20-20-93-120-13342175339-0.1-0.0
343340.0Chicago St.WAC0.37510.46522581-173-250-00-10-40-63-131-13318126342-2.0-0.3
344339.9Alcorn St.SWAC0.37450.41753453-147-210-10-10-20-56-130-10339163343-3.1-0.4
345339.9StetsonASun0.37450.44003222-155-220-00-10-10-85-122-11337317347-7.1-1.0
346341.6JacksonvilleASun0.37160.42803404-156-220-00-10-11-65-143-11343338346-4.4-0.8
347345.2LibertyBSth0.36060.43293362-155-220-00-00-11-94-122-7348341350-4.8-1.1
348347.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35350.41253492-175-260-10-10-20-55-181-1232221833710.03.6
349349.2Central ArkansasSlnd0.33910.43983230-171-280-00-10-30-61-180-113502963490.20.2
350349.1Grambling St.SWAC0.33850.42753420-152-240-00-20-30-42-150-8298283481.10.6
351350.7Florida A&MMEAC0.32160.41533480-191-280-00-00-10-81-180-13351319351-0.3-0.4

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com