live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 10, 2016.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
13.4OklahomaB120.65330.58571220-325-55-32-16-18-03-012-038021.40.5
23.7VillanovaBE0.65080.57921821-327-42-24-19-16-06-011-2103430.70.3
34.3KansasB120.64990.5966219-424-65-44-17-04-14-011-153740.30.1
44.9OregonP120.64740.5918619-424-64-15-19-34-13-010-292213.91.2
55.8VirginiaACC0.64470.5885920-424-66-23-14-27-14-011-12386-0.2-0.1
65.8MarylandB100.64390.57073321-325-52-32-16-18-07-011-187750.80.2
77.4IowaB100.63870.57822019-424-64-33-24-17-07-09-3528770.40.1
89.6XavierBE0.63280.57083221-325-52-24-16-38-05-012-015881.60.4
99.9West VirginiaB120.63240.58101619-524-74-52-15-08-05-011-22711790.90.2
1011.0North CarolinaACC0.62970.57083120-424-73-42-17-17-15-011-21267101.00.2
1111.0Miami FLACC0.62960.57901919-423-74-35-15-16-34-011-11891110.00.0
1213.0DaytonA100.62490.56334520-325-51-14-16-18-05-110-272121.00.2
1314.6PurdueB100.62130.57003520-524-72-43-15-19-16-012-1149919-4.4-0.8
1416.4SMUAmer0.61750.54656920-325-50-04-25-27-18-012-0466142.40.4
1516.8KentuckySEC0.61710.57262618-623-83-22-17-38-23-010-31511160.80.1
1617.5DukeACC0.61540.5921518-622-93-53-26-18-13-011-211921-3.5-0.5
1717.8LouisvilleACC0.61530.56503919-524-73-52-14-17-18-011-24819929-11.2-1.6
1818.9Michigan St.B100.61240.54766720-525-64-32-04-17-18-013-06123180.90.2
1920.1Iowa St.B120.61070.5897717-721-104-63-24-17-13-011-21665137.11.0
2021.0USCP120.61050.57252818-523-82-34-27-34-06-011-23078174.00.4
2123.6FloridaSEC0.60640.58521316-821-102-51-25-29-14-09-4223221.60.2
2225.4BaylorB120.60350.58611117-621-92-82-15-06-05-010-22697241.40.1
2326.8UtahP120.60190.57652117-721-92-43-29-32-04-010-221561511.81.2
2426.8ArizonaP120.60130.54397519-524-71-32-29-25-06-012-14424230-3.2-0.3
2527.5Texas A&MSEC0.60070.55315718-623-83-12-25-48-15-011-21341234.50.4
2628.1TexasB120.60030.6034116-819-125-52-25-34-13-09-45521208.10.7
2728.1Saint Joseph'sA100.59910.53868520-425-61-21-26-110-08-011-22976271.10.1
2833.3Notre DameACC0.59420.57262717-720-104-31-32-37-07-09-34649267.30.6
2933.2AkronMAC0.59410.509213319-424-60-10-04-112-49-010-25325344-10.8-0.9
3036.1ConnecticutAmer0.59110.55565517-622-91-22-35-46-09-010-3578843-6.9-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3135.6Wichita St.MVC0.59080.524410917-621-71-20-13-29-19-05-59210332.60.3
3237.4VCUA100.58980.54726817-623-81-21-25-49-17-08-51076442-4.6-0.4
3337.1ValparaisoHorz0.58940.492717018-424-50-10-04-19-311-08-3195245-7.9-0.8
3439.1IndianaB100.58880.53968219-523-83-42-04-16-39-010-38820254-14.9-1.1
3539.1Saint Mary'sWCC0.58800.489517818-323-40-01-13-23-116-08-14723649-9.9-1.0
3640.7South CarolinaSEC0.58710.512612520-324-61-12-05-39-27-012-0322822515.71.1
3740.4MonmouthMAAC0.58690.495716020-525-61-21-03-06-114-38-31745319.41.0
3841.2William & MaryCAA0.58660.53759015-619-80-20-04-39-26-16-32840356.20.5
3941.8ChattanoogaSC0.58560.477921920-324-41-10-01-09-213-09-233194329.81.1
4043.8CaliforniaP120.58500.57582415-819-122-43-25-45-14-010-359105349.80.6
4144.8ColoradoP120.58340.56354416-720-102-51-25-37-05-010-2501422816.81.2
4245.2Stony BrookAE0.58290.482220318-422-50-00-13-16-213-07-4357965-19.8-2.3
4346.1Florida St.ACC0.58240.56234716-719-112-62-23-27-16-010-249187397.10.5
4446.0South Dakota St.Sum0.58230.504514517-621-70-00-03-211-47-19-33717752-6.0-0.5
4546.9PittsburghACC0.58190.56454216-620-91-62-14-17-26-010-145176406.90.5
4647.1MichiganB100.58140.56035017-720-103-71-21-17-09-09-38215455-7.9-0.6
4747.3CincinnatiAmer0.58130.54127918-722-91-33-13-35-110-010-37616167-19.7-1.6
4847.7St. BonaventureA100.58080.54048116-620-91-21-24-37-28-08-3831703710.70.8
4948.7ButlerBE0.58010.54886617-721-92-41-15-36-17-011-14223758-9.3-0.7
5049.3Arkansas Little RockSB0.57950.470423719-225-40-01-03-17-115-18-13826456-6.7-0.6
5150.2GonzagaWCC0.57900.523011318-522-70-21-22-25-014-07-4642566-15.8-1.5
5250.3ProvidenceBE0.57880.55175918-721-102-42-16-24-38-012-1311923614.31.2
5352.6SyracuseACC0.57700.56803716-819-122-53-22-36-16-110-356109484.60.3
5453.0PrincetonIvy0.57660.505514013-520-70-20-21-15-115-19-4347562-9.0-0.6
5553.5VanderbiltSEC0.57650.57113014-1019-122-62-22-27-25-08-5723263-9.5-0.7
5654.0San Diego St.MWC0.57580.54118016-720-90-31-13-212-25-15-613316468.00.7
5754.5Seton HallBE0.57530.54647017-720-101-42-25-35-18-010-273260531.50.1
5855.5YaleIvy0.57480.493416714-520-70-31-11-16-213-18-57516561-5.5-0.4
5955.5George WashingtonA100.57470.528410218-622-91-22-24-28-28-111-254218514.50.3
6055.7TulsaAmer0.57430.55255816-819-111-12-33-46-28-08-487924114.71.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6157.0Oregon St.P120.57390.58351513-816-123-42-33-44-14-08-240933819.01.2
6257.6Texas TechB120.57300.5946414-917-132-82-23-26-14-010-220504710.60.7
6359.0WisconsinB100.57170.58641015-918-132-72-14-27-33-18-51004364-5.0-0.4
6462.0UNC WilmingtonCAA0.56920.505214216-520-70-01-14-26-48-16-312829980-18.0-1.2
6565.9WashingtonP120.56620.57043415-918-122-42-45-24-25-08-4134125605.90.4
6669.0UC IrvineBW0.56390.504414616-621-90-20-11-36-214-19-55163690.00.0
6770.1AlabamaSEC0.56300.56853614-917-131-63-12-36-35-09-324175020.11.4
6870.2UCLAP120.56290.5886813-1017-142-62-35-34-23-09-4602471-0.8-0.1
6970.5Kansas St.B120.56280.57652214-1017-142-101-22-08-15-011-2361525911.50.7
7070.3GeorgetownBE0.56270.58491414-1116-152-51-44-33-26-07-61123174-3.7-0.3
7172.3DavidsonA100.56140.55795413-816-120-30-42-38-15-17-341485715.30.8
7272.5BYUWCC0.56100.509713216-821-90-11-23-15-211-38-47010075-2.5-0.2
7374.7HofstraCAA0.55930.526110515-819-100-02-22-56-39-07-47912478-3.3-0.2
7475.1EvansvilleMVC0.55870.487118718-623-70-00-22-17-313-010-26323383-7.9-0.6
7578.7Middle TennesseeCUSA0.55670.505314115-619-90-00-11-28-410-16-4693379-0.3-0.0
7679.5Arizona St.P120.55580.58031713-1116-151-52-35-56-12-110-32528736.50.4
7780.1CreightonBE0.55550.53958316-919-121-41-23-46-18-19-416629785-4.9-0.4
7881.4IPFWSum0.55400.496215817-720-90-10-31-18-411-19-485243774.40.3
7982.7BelmontOVC0.55330.492816917-819-100-01-11-46-312-27-68411597-14.3-1.1
8084.4James MadisonCAA0.55210.516612217-721-90-10-13-310-37-19-39618393-8.6-0.7
8184.7TempleAmer0.55200.54237614-818-121-33-32-32-210-16-61671226816.71.1
8285.4GeorgiaSEC0.55190.56763813-916-130-31-43-48-23-07-47487015.40.8
8386.5LSUSEC0.55060.54916415-918-131-41-24-36-46-07-62121987610.50.6
8487.7StanfordP120.55020.5966310-1013-151-72-54-33-03-06-4110397215.70.8
8587.7Georgia TechACC0.54990.57612313-1116-151-61-32-37-35-010-36596825.70.3
8688.6UABCUSA0.54930.460226719-424-60-00-02-16-515-19-3145316101-12.4-0.8
8789.4HawaiiBW0.54890.469424016-322-50-10-02-26-114-19-210925991-1.6-0.1
8888.4AlbanyAE0.54890.457827419-623-70-11-11-14-117-310-48626292-3.6-0.3
8990.9Ohio St.B100.54750.56434315-1017-141-70-21-28-37-08-514070819.90.7
9091.9BuffaloMAC0.54710.53609113-1017-130-30-31-29-47-16-613186100-8.1-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9195.1College of CharlestonCAA0.54520.520411914-817-110-10-24-46-37-17-377166887.10.4
9295.7HoustonAmer0.54460.508713417-720-101-11-33-35-110-110-2125324941.70.1
9395.8OhioMAC0.54450.525310814-818-110-10-21-39-48-18-3801478411.80.6
9496.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.54400.456327613-520-60-10-00-25-214-13-5190153133-36.6-2.1
9596.7Boise St.MWC0.54380.523411214-918-111-20-22-28-47-17-48182897.70.4
9697.9Rhode IslandA100.54350.54177714-1018-131-30-42-26-39-18-5122110114-16.1-0.9
9799.6UT ArlingtonSB0.54160.470523615-721-90-00-21-15-315-38-267274990.60.0
98100.5SienaMAAC0.54140.493016816-920-110-11-22-15-312-47-44368108-7.5-0.4
99101.1Grand CanyonWAC0.54100.453928119-423-50-10-01-06-315-212-266229105-3.9-0.3
100101.6Long Beach St.BW0.54070.53868610-1215-140-30-13-34-37-34-910318714.60.8
101103.1ArkansasSEC0.53980.55945212-1216-151-41-24-46-54-07-613735110-6.9-0.3
102104.1New MexicoMWC0.53930.521411714-1019-120-20-12-210-66-27-6164118115-10.9-0.6
103104.7RichmondA100.53910.54147813-1017-131-31-32-46-27-08-499131118-13.3-0.7
104106.7Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53780.491717411-817-100-10-11-33-312-22-5228108127-20.3-0.9
105107.9Kent St.MAC0.53690.510413115-818-120-20-11-27-610-18-41052219611.90.6
106109.2ClemsonACC0.53640.53109514-1018-123-32-22-33-27-27-52643389019.21.0
107108.4Tennessee TechOVC0.53630.483919615-817-100-10-11-15-411-26-51271751035.40.3
108110.2OaklandHorz0.53530.479121617-821-100-20-21-18-312-28-589180126-15.8-1.1
109111.3TennesseeSEC0.53510.56334612-1215-162-21-31-67-43-07-6115551047.30.3
110112.2Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.53450.452329016-520-80-10-10-25-216-17-368211130-17.8-1.0
111112.3Fresno St.MWC0.53440.506113814-818-110-20-11-38-48-27-41321961111.30.1
112113.1Northern IowaMVC0.53370.521611614-1117-132-00-22-45-68-27-56130122-8.9-0.6
113113.4MississippiSEC0.53360.511212715-918-130-31-23-48-47-010-3982888627.41.4
114114.3North Dakota St.Sum0.53330.484419414-817-110-11-11-15-610-18-4120307116-1.7-0.1
115114.3DuquesneA100.53300.52959914-917-130-31-31-56-29-09-31132691068.30.4
116115.6MarquetteBE0.53210.53519216-918-130-52-15-52-29-011-21293029520.61.2
117118.3North Carolina St.ACC0.53070.56094812-1215-161-61-32-46-35-010-3941851099.30.5
118120.4NorthwesternB100.52950.510413016-919-120-60-11-27-211-012-1933351128.40.5
119120.6MemphisAmer0.52940.528010314-1018-130-31-33-35-310-19-4156182123-2.4-0.1
120121.0New Mexico St.WAC0.52910.472023115-819-90-10-01-34-314-27-7185167125-4.0-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121121.9UNLVMWC0.52880.523611112-1116-131-11-22-45-57-07-495120138-16.1-0.9
122122.3UC Santa BarbaraBW0.52830.52271149-1214-140-10-22-62-310-25-77169824.31.4
123122.9IonaMAAC0.52810.492417214-918-110-00-40-33-314-13-621481146-23.1-1.2
124124.0East Tennessee St.SC0.52700.492417313-917-120-10-21-25-511-25-6118721213.00.1
125126.2ColumbiaIvy0.52600.485918814-719-100-00-31-34-214-29-61632251197.20.3
126126.7PepperdineWCC0.52600.503814713-1016-120-01-22-34-29-56-4102149129-2.3-0.1
127127.1Nebraska OmahaSum0.52570.496115914-1016-120-01-12-28-46-46-6184267139-11.9-0.7
128127.2MarshallCUSA0.52540.529410012-1216-150-20-11-55-49-24-917913141-13.8-0.7
129128.4Illinois St.MVC0.52510.52969813-1115-150-21-30-45-59-15-7139121244.40.3
130129.7Louisiana TechCUSA0.52400.458227115-620-90-00-03-14-414-49-239200147-17.3-0.8
131130.5Southern IllinoisMVC0.52350.465625119-723-80-00-21-28-114-311-212633311713.51.0
132130.4NevadaMWC0.52350.505913912-915-130-00-20-57-58-16-412125211317.40.8
133131.2Wake ForestACC0.52310.57312510-1412-180-71-33-44-34-09-3628410229.22.0
134132.1MercerSC0.52300.451629416-720-90-00-21-25-315-28-31163211284.10.2
135132.3Virginia TechACC0.52260.55345613-1215-161-80-33-24-17-18-521127012012.30.7
136132.8Penn St.B100.52220.54896512-1214-170-61-21-47-46-09-412324610725.81.4
137134.8UNC AshevilleBSth0.52110.463425815-819-90-10-01-15-612-25-5149138145-10.2-0.6
138137.1North FloridaASun0.51970.448230715-819-90-20-10-14-215-38-6111226143-5.9-0.4
139138.0ElonCAA0.51940.522211512-1115-140-10-32-63-49-17-4901581353.00.2
140139.5Old DominionCUSA0.51860.483819713-1019-120-20-21-34-414-27-6159126148-8.5-0.5
141139.4ToledoMAC0.51850.485519114-919-110-01-01-36-710-28-41743131372.40.1
142139.6Weber St.BSky0.51810.448130813-719-90-01-10-13-215-45-5142136158-18.4-1.0
143140.6Northern IllinoisMAC0.51730.494216512-816-110-10-11-38-56-37-21483451319.60.4
144142.3Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.51660.448430514-718-80-00-10-22-416-17-5154284162-19.7-1.1
145144.1Eastern MichiganMAC0.51570.5380878-1212-150-20-11-27-93-14-510146151-6.9-0.3
146143.8Central MichiganMAC0.51560.526510410-1114-140-01-11-36-96-14-6218128153-9.2-0.4
147146.2MontanaBSky0.51460.460126811-816-100-10-11-22-314-42-61982913610.20.5
148146.5Georgia St.SB0.51450.492617111-815-120-00-11-44-310-45-2235313412.50.5
149148.4Oklahoma St.B120.51290.56064911-1313-182-90-32-34-25-19-4172283152-3.6-0.2
150148.8NortheasternCAA0.51290.523911011-1314-161-11-22-64-56-37-5971411444.80.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151149.4NebraskaB100.51250.53029713-1216-151-60-31-44-29-18-5209278159-9.6-0.6
152150.0Oral RobertsSum0.51200.5332949-1412-160-10-22-43-76-26-6583614010.00.6
153151.2Tennessee St.OVC0.51140.452528915-718-90-00-01-43-414-17-4177336154-2.8-0.2
154152.3Utah St.MWC0.51050.519312010-1113-140-10-11-65-68-16-378113157-4.7-0.2
155156.3Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50830.468724512-815-100-00-01-17-58-43-4171172171-14.7-0.8
156156.3TowsonCAA0.50800.476822015-817-120-01-12-54-410-27-4248350166-9.7-0.5
157157.3Wright St.Horz0.50780.478121813-1017-120-21-10-16-510-44-72472151552.30.1
158157.5FurmanSC0.50770.484319513-1116-130-11-20-13-512-44-7201143163-5.5-0.3
159157.5IllinoisB100.50760.54617311-1314-171-41-42-52-48-08-51359814215.51.0
160158.5Indiana St.MVC0.50700.510912812-1214-150-00-32-25-57-45-6162941562.50.2
161160.9VermontAE0.50570.479621413-1216-140-20-31-43-313-27-7130151168-7.1-0.6
162161.5Green BayHorz0.50500.472023212-1016-130-01-20-33-612-26-513823915011.50.7
163161.1Mississippi St.SEC0.50490.54437410-1313-170-40-32-54-37-17-5189222175-13.9-0.7
164162.5Morehead St.OVC0.50460.487918411-1114-130-00-11-34-59-35-6165164177-14.5-0.7
165164.7WinthropBSth0.50320.446430913-716-100-00-00-24-512-35-3144304169-4.3-0.2
166166.2MilwaukeeHorz0.50220.465325513-917-120-00-21-14-612-27-4146272167-0.8-0.1
167166.4AuburnSEC0.50210.5650409-1411-191-20-33-74-52-26-61082713234.42.0
168167.1DePaulBE0.50180.5599518-1610-200-41-42-82-36-16-619120814918.11.3
169167.8TCUB120.50120.55935311-1312-191-101-31-43-16-09-41822891607.80.5
170168.1Ball St.MAC0.50110.484619314-917-130-01-10-37-89-28-4197328172-3.9-0.2
171170.2Colorado St.MWC0.49970.497815512-1015-140-00-11-46-68-26-52052551700.20.0
172170.2RadfordBSth0.49970.489617711-1114-140-00-22-23-79-35-59142173-2.8-0.1
173172.0FairfieldMAAC0.49880.485719013-1116-140-10-20-23-412-56-41061141648.00.4
174173.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.49800.49821539-1213-160-11-11-32-59-62-721790180-6.7-0.3
175177.5NavyPat0.49530.449330116-919-110-20-01-14-315-58-4161281178-0.5-0.0
176177.2Western KentuckyCUSA0.49520.514612410-1213-160-21-01-45-57-56-510451182-4.8-0.2
177178.2IUPUISum0.49460.510512910-1512-180-11-12-35-95-43-1127121316513.20.7
178178.9SouthernSWAC0.49460.418234413-818-100-00-00-12-516-35-5117190183-4.1-0.2
179179.2WyomingMWC0.49440.525810610-1312-170-00-11-48-83-35-6155601745.20.3
180181.1BucknellPat0.49320.470323812-1115-130-00-00-14-712-42-8262173193-11.9-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181184.5Washington St.P120.49090.5711298-149-200-60-52-72-15-17-41471481840.50.0
182186.4Murray St.OVC0.49020.488018310-1213-140-00-01-44-69-34-7150151797.40.4
183186.2NJITASun0.49010.462026213-1116-130-10-20-31-415-48-7124145187-0.8-0.1
184187.5WoffordSC0.48930.481520610-1313-160-10-20-22-711-42-9279201192-4.5-0.2
185187.9George MasonA100.48900.5463718-1610-210-30-31-65-64-36-717811116126.91.6
186188.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.48890.46852469-1113-140-10-10-41-312-52-719962196-7.8-0.4
187187.9Boston UniversityPat0.48880.453528314-1117-130-10-01-03-613-66-6188276189-1.1-0.1
188189.6Incarnate WordSlnd0.48840.45562799-813-120-20-10-22-211-52-5151107211-21.4-0.9
189191.6WagnerNEC0.48710.420734214-818-100-00-10-11-117-76-4160303204-12.4-0.8
190192.1South DakotaSum0.48650.503314810-1412-170-00-10-45-107-17-61432141884.10.2
191193.4Texas SouthernSWAC0.48580.437532010-1216-140-10-10-31-615-31-11305137228-34.6-1.8
192194.4HamptonMEAC0.48520.427433813-917-100-10-20-21-215-44-71731271859.40.6
193195.2FordhamA100.48500.496615711-1014-140-20-31-43-311-28-21833461869.20.4
194195.2MassachusettsA100.48490.52841019-1312-180-20-41-53-57-37-51812231905.20.3
195195.3New HampshireAE0.48470.452828812-915-120-10-20-20-314-45-62133101914.30.2
196196.0LehighPat0.48440.49521649-1412-160-20-20-22-510-61-925720202-6.0-0.3
197196.9UCFAmer0.48380.504614411-1113-160-10-31-72-310-26-52523231951.90.1
198197.5High PointBSth0.48340.444731211-915-110-00-10-24-511-34-4193290219-21.5-1.1
199198.0Eastern KentuckyOVC0.48310.476622113-1215-150-20-01-24-710-48-6157251206-8.0-0.4
200198.5Bowling GreenMAC0.48280.488418111-1113-160-10-21-33-89-27-4204341213-14.5-0.8
201198.7East CarolinaAmer0.48270.525710710-1412-190-20-42-72-38-38-513619718117.71.0
202200.7DenverSum0.48160.476422413-1115-140-00-10-35-79-38-52243341946.70.4
203205.7Houston BaptistSlnd0.47870.463725710-1013-140-00-10-42-612-32-7280146220-14.3-0.6
204206.0Saint LouisA100.47840.5462728-1510-200-41-42-32-75-25-72371502033.00.2
205206.0Norfolk St.MEAC0.47840.452229110-1315-140-00-20-51-414-32-11221591979.00.5
206207.1South Carolina St.MEAC0.47830.430133312-1115-130-00-10-31-414-43-92101192007.10.4
207207.4Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47770.436432211-1015-130-00-10-11-414-74-6192258214-6.6-0.3
208208.9DetroitHorz0.47700.483219910-1112-150-00-30-25-87-24-51761322053.90.2
209208.6CornellIvy0.47650.49521638-1111-160-00-31-51-39-56-716817917632.61.6
210210.8North DakotaBSky0.47570.46252619-1013-130-00-00-22-511-52-6277254225-14.2-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211210.9Gardner WebbBSth0.47570.460526610-1213-140-10-10-24-59-52-72251352019.90.5
212213.2HarvardIvy0.47430.49991517-1311-170-20-22-23-56-66-8175157233-19.8-0.9
213214.3CanisiusMAAC0.47370.479421511-1414-170-01-10-44-69-65-61942032104.30.3
214215.2Cal PolyBW0.47330.50831356-149-180-10-21-62-47-44-71415419916.20.8
215216.7Jackson St.SWAC0.47250.428133711-1116-130-20-00-11-515-53-8220163217-0.3-0.0
216218.0Western MichiganMAC0.47220.5305967-159-200-00-11-55-113-24-720283223-5.0-0.2
217217.1ArmyPat0.47210.442531513-1116-130-01-00-12-613-68-3119309234-16.9-1.1
218217.2Florida Gulf CoastASun0.47210.460926410-1114-120-10-10-13-410-55-7207130222-4.8-0.2
219217.5Miami OHMAC0.47170.5377898-1510-200-30-10-56-104-25-7215104218-0.5-0.0
220219.4IdahoBSky0.47090.442531412-1016-130-10-10-14-312-86-5153195221-1.6-0.1
221222.4MissouriSEC0.46930.5507628-169-220-40-30-74-74-07-618713420715.40.9
222223.8Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.46830.440331611-1115-130-10-00-12-112-93-724421221211.80.6
223224.7Saint Peter'sMAAC0.46770.47652229-1312-160-00-31-32-39-72-7329263236-11.3-0.5
224226.9San FranciscoWCC0.46690.465525212-1014-140-00-30-30-514-36-42813482242.90.2
225228.2RiderMAAC0.46570.476422510-1513-180-10-20-32-510-74-7227245251-22.8-1.3
226228.7ColgatePat0.46570.457327510-1313-150-00-00-25-68-73-724626821513.70.7
227228.6TulaneAmer0.46550.51641239-1611-200-30-31-52-68-37-6223279238-9.4-0.6
228229.3Austin PeayOVC0.46520.468824310-1512-170-00-10-42-711-45-818614421613.30.8
229229.1ManhattanMAAC0.46520.48501929-1212-160-01-21-13-77-63-62301682272.10.1
230232.7Loyola ChicagoMVC0.46360.483319811-1313-160-00-21-34-77-46-52332912302.70.2
231232.4St. John'sBE0.46360.5645416-187-230-40-51-81-54-16-621917120923.41.7
232233.7FIUCUSA0.46300.46882449-1313-160-00-01-42-710-54-7283287254-20.3-1.0
233233.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.46290.453228510-1514-170-10-10-31-513-83-10274162252-18.3-0.9
234234.4Boston CollegeACC0.46260.5507617-178-230-70-40-52-46-27-624527719836.42.3
235234.4Air ForceMWC0.46260.501315010-1311-180-00-11-44-116-27-411418920826.41.6
236234.5UTEPCUSA0.46250.458627012-1116-140-00-00-25-610-67-5203249241-6.5-0.3
237234.5Missouri St.MVC0.46210.49801549-1511-180-00-40-35-85-33-8297230235-0.5-0.0
238237.8St. Francis PANEC0.46060.449430011-1114-140-10-10-21-312-73-7222121245-7.2-0.3
239238.5Loyola MDPat0.46030.49171758-1610-190-10-10-11-109-51-1025944243-4.5-0.2
240238.9CharlotteCUSA0.46010.48192058-1513-180-10-10-53-69-44-925618422612.90.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241239.2Arkansas St.SB0.46010.48142079-1211-180-21-11-23-46-92-7321257257-17.8-0.8
242239.8Western CarolinaSC0.45930.50731366-159-190-00-30-34-85-52-820614256-16.2-0.7
243240.6PortlandWCC0.45900.495516210-1512-180-00-31-32-48-95-7260244249-8.4-0.6
244241.4Tennessee MartinOVC0.45860.431933111-1215-140-00-01-23-510-76-72363322401.40.1
245241.8PacificWCC0.45860.51801215-158-180-10-31-40-56-60-8331101244-2.2-0.1
246243.0JacksonvilleASun0.45780.429233611-1113-140-10-10-11-512-64-93133252394.00.2
247243.5Loyola MarymountWCC0.45720.47962139-1411-170-00-30-50-310-56-417032023112.50.7
248245.3South FloridaAmer0.45650.5511605-206-250-30-42-71-73-53-102676922916.31.2
249247.3Northern KentuckyHorz0.45560.48751857-149-180-20-20-13-86-52-7273129259-11.7-0.6
250247.2MinnesotaB100.45560.5377886-188-220-40-41-53-95-16-6241217250-2.8-0.2
251248.8SamfordSC0.45490.453528210-1412-170-10-20-12-711-57-4158315258-9.2-0.6
252250.4Georgia SouthernSB0.45360.47172338-1211-170-10-11-32-68-62-63183122464.40.2
253250.4Sacramento St.BSky0.45350.45162958-1112-150-00-01-12-59-95-4196308266-15.6-0.7
254255.2UC DavisBW0.45080.48302018-1210-170-00-10-51-48-73-82922502478.20.4
255255.2Montana St.BSky0.45080.44513109-1313-160-00-00-22-711-64-71951932550.20.0
256256.7South AlabamaSB0.44990.48312007-1410-190-00-11-52-67-73-622922423719.71.0
257257.6Utah ValleyWAC0.44950.47472297-149-170-10-10-31-68-63-9250174264-6.4-0.4
258258.9Youngstown St.Horz0.44880.48591897-169-200-10-30-13-87-63-823816023226.91.7
259259.9Appalachian St.SB0.44840.50311496-179-220-10-20-41-88-72-926171268-8.1-0.4
260259.8Western IllinoisSum0.44830.49691565-137-170-10-11-32-84-34-4180301270-10.2-0.4
261260.5La SalleA100.44790.5491634-176-221-40-30-62-63-43-727213924812.50.8
262262.4UMass LowellAE0.44680.46542538-1510-180-00-30-22-57-83-92932712602.40.1
263262.3LibertyBSth0.44680.46982398-1510-180-10-20-14-66-80-10347191267-4.7-0.3
264262.5Santa ClaraWCC0.44670.49981527-169-200-10-30-51-48-83-8304231265-2.5-0.2
265264.0UC RiversideBW0.44600.451929211-1312-180-00-01-42-510-87-7254340273-9.0-0.6
266264.4DrexelCAA0.44570.5393843-195-230-10-41-71-93-22-82538924222.41.3
267264.5AmericanPat0.44550.47992117-179-200-00-20-23-76-102-92341062631.50.1
268268.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44360.45572779-1411-160-00-10-23-78-62-9335247269-1.0-0.1
269270.2SeattleWAC0.44230.451829310-1112-140-00-11-31-510-54-8325293289-18.8-1.2
270270.9Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44180.48032097-158-200-10-00-52-67-73-9282265279-8.1-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271270.6UNC GreensboroSC0.44170.48831826-169-190-10-20-22-117-41-9323140282-11.4-0.6
272271.7LipscombASun0.44130.48931796-188-210-00-20-31-77-72-1325557274-2.3-0.2
273271.4Idaho St.BSky0.44090.42513409-1113-150-10-00-01-611-83-7309329276-4.6-0.2
274273.8Cleveland St.Horz0.44020.51181265-187-220-10-31-31-115-53-816972712.80.2
275274.0UMKCWAC0.43970.47512286-159-170-21-00-21-76-64-8208155284-10.0-0.5
276274.3QuinnipiacMAAC0.43960.46892428-1410-190-00-20-32-69-83-6298298280-5.7-0.3
277275.3Charleston SouthernBSth0.43900.49081765-167-190-00-20-21-106-51-7242192723.30.2
278275.6DelawareCAA0.43890.50691375-187-220-10-20-81-96-25-620029226114.60.9
279275.7Sacred HeartNEC0.43880.44263138-1511-180-00-10-21-410-111-103302352750.70.0
280276.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.43850.45572787-1710-190-20-10-21-59-82-1223961277-0.9-0.0
281276.7PennIvy0.43790.46632477-1110-170-10-20-41-49-55-8306326298-21.3-0.9
282279.9Alcorn St.SWAC0.43560.43323288-1211-160-00-10-10-610-80-93289526217.90.9
283280.3Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43550.48721865-178-210-10-10-51-76-81-103161882782.30.1
284281.5RutgersB100.43510.5336935-186-240-50-30-61-85-25-727623825328.52.2
285281.6Portland St.BSky0.43500.45002996-1310-170-00-00-10-810-82-7339339294-12.4-0.6
286282.4Texas St.SB0.43370.45112977-1210-170-00-10-31-79-64-3249351292-9.6-0.5
287283.8St. Francis NYNEC0.43330.42923359-1513-170-10-00-10-413-113-9303306286-2.2-0.1
288284.5Holy CrossPat0.43320.450129810-1411-180-10-00-12-69-95-6232295287-2.5-0.2
289287.1LIU BrooklynNEC0.43130.410034911-1214-150-00-00-02-312-126-5240342299-11.9-0.7
290289.6San DiegoWCC0.42970.48242027-158-200-10-31-30-37-104-62953222881.60.1
291291.4Cal St. FullertonBW0.42840.46002697-148-190-00-10-62-36-95-6235337293-1.6-0.1
292291.4TroySB0.42830.47962125-168-210-00-20-51-67-93-62582562856.40.4
293292.2DartmouthIvy0.42780.47252306-139-180-00-20-41-67-75-8289311311-18.8-1.0
294292.0BrownIvy0.42780.47112346-138-190-10-20-51-48-74-93193192911.00.0
295292.4Kennesaw St.ASun0.42770.49561615-187-210-20-20-41-75-72-122512628111.40.7
296293.7RiceCUSA0.42680.48202046-159-200-00-10-42-76-83-82691782903.70.2
297293.9San Jose St.MWC0.42670.50491435-166-210-00-11-43-102-62-7327285297-3.1-0.2
298296.0Southern MissCUSA0.42510.46322596-139-180-00-01-32-76-92-7300240301-5.0-0.3
299296.5North TexasCUSA0.42460.47522277-1410-190-00-00-42-87-83-83172322960.50.0
300297.1HowardMEAC0.42410.43503258-1411-170-11-00-11-79-94-9263210316-18.9-1.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301299.5Robert MorrisNEC0.42270.45342847-1810-210-00-10-21-79-122-11301169314-14.5-1.0
302301.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.42120.42623397-1510-190-10-10-11-410-111-12312220306-4.5-0.2
303303.7MaineAE0.41990.44913028-1610-190-00-21-20-69-104-93243313030.70.1
304303.6StetsonASun0.41950.45812735-167-200-10-00-21-86-93-1028420728320.61.4
305304.0Alabama St.SWAC0.41910.43383266-159-190-00-10-21-78-93-715285307-3.0-0.2
306305.4Jacksonville St.OVC0.41870.48002106-197-220-00-10-52-95-82-11338273315-9.6-0.9
307305.2DrakeMVC0.41870.48881805-197-220-10-20-32-115-64-7287280309-3.8-0.3
308306.8The CitadelSC0.41740.44833067-158-200-00-20-21-67-94-627534429511.80.9
309307.7BradleyMVC0.41700.52111183-224-260-20-30-52-101-71-11307733007.71.0
310307.6NiagaraMAAC0.41690.47902176-198-230-10-30-31-77-102-9322248308-0.4-0.0
311307.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.41650.39833517-1211-150-00-00-11-611-83-5226314326-19.0-1.1
312308.8BinghamtonAE0.41580.47642235-197-220-10-20-40-67-103-102942093026.80.5
313308.9Northern ColoradoBSky0.41570.46912416-158-200-10-10-02-76-111-9343241313-4.1-0.3
314313.3MaristMAAC0.41240.47082355-187-220-00-21-21-76-113-62882863049.30.8
315312.3New OrleansSlnd0.41230.41923435-139-170-00-00-20-89-71-7311275320-7.7-0.4
316313.8HartfordAE0.41190.45812726-188-220-10-30-30-58-114-10315300317-3.2-0.3
317314.7Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41100.44483116-198-240-20-10-30-78-112-122431123059.70.8
318318.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40800.48042084-196-220-10-10-32-84-93-9231743108.10.7
319318.7BryantNEC0.40760.45292876-188-220-10-20-30-38-132-10286156323-4.3-0.4
320319.3LongwoodBSth0.40700.45152965-177-210-00-00-02-115-91-9342305322-2.7-0.2
321318.3Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40700.43173327-139-180-00-00-11-98-81-8349318324-5.7-0.4
322320.1UMBCAE0.40630.44913036-198-230-00-20-20-88-104-11326330327-6.9-0.6
323319.9Central ArkansasSlnd0.40530.43633235-158-200-10-20-30-48-101-92961163190.90.1
324320.6North Carolina CentralMEAC0.40530.42403415-159-170-00-00-10-79-92-9302206332-11.4-0.8
325322.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.40410.49401662-184-230-10-20-20-83-100-926643211.20.1
326323.9LafayettePat0.40280.46532545-196-230-10-10-11-86-123-8268216325-1.1-0.1
327324.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.40230.44883045-207-250-00-00-40-87-120-14334103330-6.0-0.5
328324.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.40110.46322604-186-230-10-20-41-55-111-10216531212.70.9
329326.3USC UpstateASun0.40060.45492805-176-210-10-00-12-74-113-10299227329-2.7-0.3
330327.3Coppin St.MEAC0.39860.45312863-185-210-20-10-20-55-100-11290183189.30.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331328.4CampbellBSth0.39760.43203306-158-180-00-00-13-75-104-4285347334-5.6-0.6
332328.2Savannah St.MEAC0.39690.41323488-1310-160-20-10-00-310-113-7278228333-4.8-0.4
333329.6McNeese St.Slnd0.39350.43253293-147-180-10-10-31-36-90-729123331-1.4-0.1
334332.2Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.39340.46602483-194-230-10-00-30-84-111-103202053284.20.5
335332.3PresbyterianBSth0.39220.43873185-157-190-00-00-11-106-82-6340317335-2.7-0.3
336332.0Morgan St.MEAC0.39220.43713214-177-210-10-10-00-77-121-11308159341-9.0-0.8
337332.0Northwestern St.Slnd0.39160.43903173-146-180-10-10-20-66-70-631047337-5.0-0.4
338334.5Southern UtahBSky0.39020.46062653-174-230-10-20-10-84-121-8314219336-1.5-0.2
339335.3VMISC0.38920.46592493-174-210-00-10-20-104-72-6265234339-3.7-0.5
340334.8North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38910.41523477-1710-200-20-00-10-610-113-11333266338-3.2-0.4
341336.2LamarSlnd0.38720.41523466-148-180-00-00-20-67-104-4270349345-8.8-1.1
342337.4Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.38370.43003343-187-220-10-20-30-67-110-11345181343-5.6-0.6
343340.3UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.38060.46492563-184-220-10-00-20-84-111-113482613400.30.0
344341.5UTSACUSA0.37890.46162633-194-250-00-10-40-74-131-10344294342-0.5-0.1
345344.3Chicago St.WAC0.37200.47592261-222-260-10-10-20-122-101-133412043440.30.1
346343.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.37120.43853192-205-250-10-10-22-74-140-12337133348-4.3-0.7
347346.1Grambling St.SWAC0.36460.43363273-175-220-00-00-20-95-110-93321023460.10.0
348347.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.36260.46572501-192-250-00-20-10-122-100-93513273470.20.1
349347.3Florida A&MMEAC0.36020.40533505-156-190-00-00-10-46-142-9336296349-1.7-0.5
350349.1Delaware St.MEAC0.35250.43563242-204-250-10-10-20-73-150-13346186350-0.9-0.4
351350.4Central ConnecticutNEC0.34430.41743453-204-250-00-10-10-34-211-10350343351-0.6-0.6

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com