live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Dec 20, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.3KentuckySEC0.68140.58541012-030-15-15-08-08-04-013-0142-0.7-1.1
24.4DukeACC0.65760.58121210-027-44-24-17-18-05-013-03225-0.6-0.2
35.6WisconsinB100.65120.57341910-128-32-26-18-17-05-012-1112114-8.4-2.8
46.2TexasB120.65080.5993510-125-66-44-16-16-04-012-184310-3.8-0.8
56.8KansasB120.64880.630219-122-95-64-15-16-11-012-12115.81.2
66.7VirginiaACC0.64750.57351810-026-44-23-15-110-04-012-04337-0.3-0.1
77.9LouisvilleACC0.64340.58071310-026-55-33-15-19-05-012-112579-1.1-0.2
89.4North CarolinaACC0.63760.603138-323-84-43-24-16-15-010-315519-9.6-1.9
911.0BaylorB120.63420.604429-122-85-54-25-16-03-011-192920-9.0-1.3
1011.4GonzagaWCC0.63070.53338810-127-31-12-05-111-18-011-163983.40.8
1112.1UtahP120.62990.5677298-223-63-33-14-17-16-09-2172616-3.9-0.6
1214.5Ohio St.B100.62350.5597419-225-61-33-17-110-05-011-23210354-39.5-5.5
1314.7ArizonaP120.62340.55365012-026-52-23-15-110-16-013-014154131.70.2
1414.8VillanovaBE0.62300.55155411-026-53-24-26-17-16-013-01618068.81.2
1517.1VCUA100.61730.5716228-323-81-32-26-28-15-010-372314.11.9
1619.3West VirginiaB120.61320.5889710-122-94-53-24-26-14-012-12011721-1.7-0.2
1719.1Wichita St.MVC0.61260.5253997-123-41-22-14-16-110-18-11038415.11.8
1824.9OklahomaB120.60410.599847-319-114-72-23-15-14-09-3446827-2.1-0.2
1925.6Northern IowaMVC0.60110.519010510-125-51-21-14-17-112-111-113861213.61.3
2026.6SMUAmer0.60060.5473648-322-70-12-25-37-17-08-327943-16.4-1.3
2127.1XavierBE0.60040.5756168-321-102-23-37-36-23-09-4344673-45.9-3.3
2227.6DavidsonA100.59880.5335868-122-61-31-14-27-19-08-22310468-40.4-3.2
2329.8Oklahoma St.B120.59750.590268-118-114-62-23-15-14-010-12515030-0.2-0.0
2430.0WashingtonP120.59610.54696610-023-72-23-15-26-26-012-018167246.00.4
2530.7Iowa St.B120.59520.5822119-120-104-63-24-23-06-010-24118831-0.3-0.0
2633.0Colorado St.MWC0.59170.524710010-023-70-12-15-27-29-111-15471122.01.4
2735.4San Diego St.MWC0.58910.5420738-322-81-22-24-26-19-19-32932269.40.6
2836.1ButlerBE0.58870.5610408-321-103-33-34-26-26-09-39017657-20.9-1.2
2938.0Seton HallBE0.58690.5559469-120-101-43-34-26-16-010-2281792315.00.8
3038.8FloridaSEC0.58540.5681287-420-110-42-26-38-14-09-4786799-60.2-3.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3139.3South CarolinaSEC0.58500.5672306-319-101-43-24-27-24-08-3878880-40.7-2.3
3239.9Michigan St.B100.58390.5591438-421-101-42-25-28-25-09-48312061-21.1-1.2
3341.1BuffaloMAC0.58300.5266977-221-90-20-03-29-39-19-324942516.10.9
3441.5St. John'sBE0.58290.5754178-120-102-53-24-25-15-010-233442813.50.7
3541.7ArkansasSEC0.58240.5355828-222-91-22-24-27-28-111-2301372219.71.0
3642.8MinnesotaB100.58140.5535528-220-101-42-25-37-16-010-25920875-32.2-1.6
3742.5Miami FLACC0.58100.5627379-220-111-42-24-27-36-010-3356469-26.5-1.5
3843.7Old DominionCUSA0.57980.50011579-125-51-01-04-28-211-111-119731528.71.6
3947.0GeorgetownBE0.57800.587197-317-122-63-34-24-15-08-2421856-9.0-0.4
4048.0CaliforniaP120.57650.54606710-121-101-52-14-26-28-011-23913958-10.0-0.5
4148.8MarylandB100.57580.55115510-121-101-42-23-38-16-011-236135417.80.4
4248.2Notre DameACC0.57550.516110911-124-72-42-14-17-110-012-1119344106-57.8-2.9
4348.9North Carolina St.ACC0.57490.5798159-319-121-62-24-28-24-010-3502765-16.1-0.8
4451.1Boise St.MWC0.57320.51081227-220-80-21-22-26-210-18-23817852-0.9-0.0
4551.6BYUWCC0.57240.5404787-320-90-30-13-28-37-18-343203417.60.8
4653.0Green BayHorz0.57160.49691626-221-60-11-13-25-211-19-222791736.01.6
4753.8HarvardIvy0.57150.50721386-119-70-10-02-17-39-19-3401072924.81.0
4854.3GeorgiaSEC0.57130.5707245-318-121-42-33-38-24-08-4513459-4.7-0.2
4954.8Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56930.48541896-421-70-10-11-15-215-26-421153816.80.9
5057.8IndianaB100.56810.5634359-220-112-43-33-36-16-010-36112291-33.2-1.4
5159.0IllinoisB100.56680.5425719-320-111-31-34-37-27-010-3691844415.00.6
5260.0IowaB100.56600.5719218-418-132-62-33-37-16-09-410192103-43.0-1.8
5359.8Rhode IslandA100.56590.50991266-321-71-21-13-37-19-17-31031943227.81.2
5463.4TCUB120.56350.53658111-021-104-72-22-14-110-013-08934971-7.6-0.3
5564.0ProvidenceBE0.56320.5703259-318-131-53-34-25-24-19-454774915.00.6
5666.5Georgia St.SB0.56100.48981775-322-80-11-21-15-215-26-4471194026.51.1
5765.9WoffordSC0.56060.47782227-222-70-21-02-13-116-27-426424520.91.0
5867.8CincinnatiAmer0.56040.5407767-320-111-21-23-37-38-19-4733776-8.2-0.3
5968.9ColoradoP120.55980.5622386-316-121-41-22-37-25-07-3889390-21.1-0.7
6069.7LSUSEC0.55880.5412758-220-111-22-34-37-36-111-2451401851.72.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6169.7DaytonA100.55870.51371158-221-90-11-24-37-29-19-3531463336.71.3
6270.3StanfordP120.55860.5548486-317-131-52-23-26-26-18-49211679-8.7-0.3
6369.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.55840.47782216-322-60-20-12-14-116-17-35710972-2.6-0.1
6470.4SyracuseACC0.55820.5634366-418-131-61-23-28-35-09-4102875020.40.8
6571.4Texas A&MSEC0.55790.5483637-318-120-31-34-38-36-09-35683629.40.3
6670.6UTEPCUSA0.55770.50671416-421-81-21-12-16-312-27-452145317.60.7
6772.3ConnecticutAmer0.55710.5540494-417-130-41-23-46-27-16-61131683-10.7-0.4
6873.3WyomingMWC0.55630.49371688-221-81-22-22-16-112-19-263255137-63.7-2.3
6973.2EvansvilleMVC0.55590.50501437-221-81-21-12-15-213-19-27522077-3.8-0.2
7076.4George WashingtonA100.55400.51391146-319-101-31-23-25-29-18-31112813640.41.4
7176.2HofstraCAA0.55370.47062417-324-70-00-12-29-313-110-3105315170-93.8-3.8
7277.7RichmondA100.55340.5496606-418-131-31-33-37-37-18-564584235.71.2
7377.8PurdueB100.55310.5517538-418-131-33-34-36-35-09-4147215126-48.2-1.7
7478.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.55250.51531123-518-100-20-12-36-311-15-79613101-22.5-0.8
7579.8YaleIvy0.55190.51071238-418-110-01-22-26-49-39-649112709.80.4
7680.2Georgia TechACC0.55140.5688268-216-141-51-23-37-44-19-348653941.21.5
7780.4MemphisAmer0.55130.5421726-419-120-41-22-36-210-18-510835132-51.6-1.8
7880.6UCLAP120.55130.5685278-417-141-71-24-35-26-08-58641112-31.4-1.1
7983.8Illinois St.MVC0.54890.5294926-418-111-31-21-14-311-27-474484736.81.4
8085.5ColumbiaIvy0.54840.50691406-318-90-11-13-26-39-39-485127115-29.5-0.9
8185.6CharlotteCUSA0.54770.51021256-520-110-11-32-36-211-27-679564639.61.5
8286.1Long Beach St.BW0.54760.5416744-715-151-41-31-44-28-24-107036719.10.6
8386.0ValparaisoHorz0.54730.47922119-220-80-00-12-28-311-210-2552217412.00.4
8488.5Texas TechB120.54610.5642349-117-133-81-21-24-18-011-17131498-9.5-0.3
8591.0Central MichiganMAC0.54520.48661846-118-80-01-12-26-310-27-1127347151-60.0-1.7
8690.0AlabamaSEC0.54490.5593426-316-140-51-33-37-26-08-4811216030.00.9
8792.1San DiegoWCC0.54370.5298916-517-120-31-22-36-48-16-511699158-65.9-2.2
8892.8ToledoMAC0.54340.51111197-419-120-20-12-27-510-28-5131214180-87.2-2.9
8993.1MassachusettsA100.54300.5501586-516-150-21-33-67-36-17-672123756.11.8
9095.9LafayettePat0.54120.48331996-319-90-20-01-27-412-27-3601665144.91.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9195.6IonaMAAC0.54120.47432296-421-100-00-11-26-414-37-484172109-13.4-0.5
9297.0New MexicoMWC0.54040.51671088-319-110-11-22-26-49-29-3126256152-55.0-1.8
9397.7Bowling GreenMAC0.54020.48741826-219-90-01-12-27-410-28-297312104-6.3-0.2
9498.1Florida Gulf CoastASun0.53990.47882147-219-80-10-12-26-311-18-567708810.10.4
9597.8Penn St.B100.53940.54476811-117-140-41-32-46-27-012-1582803562.82.3
96100.7MarquetteBE0.53860.5730206-415-151-62-43-25-24-18-4106758614.70.5
9799.8St. BonaventureA100.53850.50031557-219-101-11-23-35-39-29-2121325133-33.2-1.1
98101.4NebraskaB100.53770.5806146-313-150-41-43-55-33-07-39895107-5.6-0.2
99101.2MississippiSEC0.53770.5501577-316-150-22-44-45-36-19-4941288714.20.5
100102.8William & MaryCAA0.53760.51311184-315-120-10-22-35-48-14-56825117-14.2-0.4
101103.1AmericanPat0.53680.48511917-419-110-00-11-37-611-27-5661688419.10.6
102103.7VanderbiltSEC0.53620.5317906-317-130-31-34-36-36-18-4134229143-39.3-1.2
103103.9TempleAmer0.53590.5328897-417-140-41-13-35-48-28-595746340.91.3
104104.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.53560.44183274-118-60-00-11-22-115-24-2311574856.92.0
105104.4Sam Houston St.Slnd0.53550.45642925-420-70-01-11-31-216-15-499105113-8.6-0.3
106106.6OregonP120.53450.5405777-317-131-41-23-35-46-08-4148186140-33.4-1.0
107108.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.53420.48581876-218-90-00-11-36-310-17-21003278127.40.8
108108.5TulsaAmer0.53360.5278966-416-130-31-22-36-37-27-41291309612.50.4
109109.3La SalleA100.53280.5388796-516-150-31-22-55-39-17-611560121-11.7-0.4
110110.0Saint Mary'sWCC0.53260.5293935-316-120-20-22-28-36-27-311289119-9.0-0.3
111111.3Wright St.Horz0.53190.50371466-416-120-10-12-36-49-37-565717833.31.0
112112.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.53120.46942494-419-80-11-11-23-314-26-51101658527.31.0
113113.7UNC WilmingtonCAA0.53100.50501424-315-130-20-21-35-49-25-562816647.71.3
114113.1CreightonBE0.53030.5446699-316-152-42-42-44-37-010-3123269124-10.9-0.3
115115.2PittsburghACC0.52940.5499597-316-151-51-32-36-36-19-411719310015.20.5
116115.8BelmontOVC0.52920.48192057-418-100-10-10-25-313-27-577919520.80.7
117117.4Kansas St.B120.52790.588087-412-192-102-32-32-25-08-5130156123-5.6-0.2
118121.8Louisiana TechCUSA0.52580.46472648-320-100-00-22-34-315-38-4144330227-105.2-3.2
119121.9San FranciscoWCC0.52540.5286955-516-130-20-21-46-48-25-6177125202-80.1-2.4
120123.6NortheasternCAA0.52480.48551887-319-120-00-12-47-510-28-51072389231.60.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121124.8St. Francis PANEC0.52420.46002815-418-100-10-00-14-314-46-4821698242.81.3
122125.5Arizona St.P120.52350.5552476-515-161-41-33-56-45-07-6206202199-73.5-2.1
123127.0CanisiusMAAC0.52290.48491945-418-110-00-11-26-411-35-41256611116.00.5
124128.3Oregon St.P120.52230.51911047-216-131-41-22-35-37-18-3173334138-9.7-0.3
125129.4UC DavisBW0.52160.45532997-118-90-00-01-24-313-49-29133110227.40.8
126130.5South Dakota St.Sum0.52090.48272037-317-110-20-10-14-413-47-580142142-11.5-0.3
127130.5East Tennessee St.SC0.52080.47132365-217-100-10-11-23-213-56-33750212-81.5-2.3
128130.7Coastal CarolinaBSth0.52080.43963304-318-80-00-00-15-313-35-313632311020.70.6
129131.4Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52040.49611656-216-110-30-21-22-212-26-31503171292.40.1
130131.8TennesseeSEC0.52010.5568455-414-160-41-42-45-35-17-5118806467.82.0
131132.3High PointBSth0.52010.47042446-317-100-10-01-15-511-36-3461515577.32.2
132134.6Western MichiganMAC0.51880.50751365-415-130-00-12-45-67-26-4160296157-22.4-0.6
133135.2New Mexico St.WAC0.51790.47852164-818-110-21-11-32-215-36-915931207-71.8-2.3
134138.6Air ForceMWC0.51640.50491444-415-120-11-31-33-49-15-4209276198-59.4-1.6
135138.4Kent St.MAC0.51620.49791606-217-120-10-11-34-411-28-3151289161-22.6-0.6
136139.5Georgia SouthernSB0.51600.46852554-216-100-00-11-25-311-44-212031311821.50.5
137140.4Stony BrookAE0.51570.49021753-616-130-10-21-35-510-35-814519178-37.6-1.0
138141.9UT ArlingtonSB0.51470.49121745-416-130-20-11-14-312-55-4769610833.90.9
139142.3UNLVMWC0.51410.5334876-315-150-41-32-44-38-27-593289349.31.4
140142.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.51410.42373445-519-80-10-10-21-218-25-61241459448.91.9
141143.8Murray St.OVC0.51350.46632606-418-100-10-02-14-312-47-51331968954.81.6
142144.1Western KentuckyCUSA0.51340.51411135-514-140-10-22-34-58-25-51427812222.10.6
143144.3ArmyPat0.51290.45053117-219-90-10-01-16-412-28-2154345164-19.7-0.6
144147.2LehighPat0.51160.49411674-515-130-10-01-26-68-35-513211412027.20.8
145147.7Sacred HeartNEC0.51130.47132375-418-120-10-01-15-413-57-511411813017.70.5
146147.4James MadisonCAA0.51130.51061247-417-140-20-12-37-58-38-5104521443.40.1
147148.5Holy CrossPat0.51100.49501664-315-120-00-01-35-68-34-51098410543.51.1
148148.3Cleveland St.Horz0.51090.50901303-614-150-30-11-43-410-35-815869167-18.7-0.5
149148.4Tennessee MartinOVC0.51080.44373226-317-100-00-10-23-314-37-4140332153-4.6-0.1
150150.1MichiganB100.50970.5652335-512-170-61-43-44-33-16-51729712822.10.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151153.3North FloridaASun0.50840.45832875-516-120-10-11-23-412-36-8149242156-2.7-0.1
152153.5AkronMAC0.50780.49951586-417-130-01-22-45-59-28-419030014112.50.3
153153.3Boston CollegeACC0.50760.5571446-313-170-51-42-44-45-18-415719113617.30.5
154155.0TulaneAmer0.50720.50301498-116-130-11-22-44-410-28-3143282172-17.0-0.4
155156.2PepperdineWCC0.50670.49001766-316-120-20-11-43-410-17-3185343228-71.8-1.9
156157.1NorthwesternB100.50590.5508567-413-180-51-52-55-36-09-415522813126.10.9
157157.9Wake ForestACC0.50580.5660325-612-191-70-41-43-36-17-6204183209-51.1-1.7
158159.2Norfolk St.MEAC0.50530.45562986-517-120-20-10-23-315-55-814159229-69.8-2.1
159164.5FIUCUSA0.50240.48351974-515-140-10-11-24-59-55-613722313925.50.7
160165.4MontanaBSky0.50190.48511922-614-130-10-30-22-211-53-61693614916.40.4
161165.3USC UpstateASun0.50180.43783327-418-90-00-11-23-314-38-516231815411.30.3
162165.7ClemsonACC0.50150.5435706-413-170-51-32-34-45-28-41972671650.70.0
163166.3Gardner WebbBSth0.50140.48941803-514-130-10-20-25-49-43-6152639769.31.7
164167.5DetroitHorz0.50070.50321484-614-150-10-22-44-58-35-8166106169-1.5-0.0
165169.9Saint Joseph'sA100.49910.52131026-413-170-30-22-44-47-37-513919212544.91.3
166171.0PortlandWCC0.49880.49721617-314-140-20-11-34-69-27-316733314526.00.7
167171.1AuburnSEC0.49840.5487625-512-181-21-32-64-64-16-615311315021.10.6
168172.4MonmouthMAAC0.49820.46282705-518-130-10-11-14-314-65-6238292185-12.6-0.3
169172.3RutgersB100.49790.5668316-510-210-40-42-64-54-17-61355512745.31.7
170174.6Texas SouthernSWAC0.49740.45612942-816-150-31-20-21-415-43-10146613539.61.2
171175.5North Dakota St.Sum0.49630.47072395-414-120-10-00-14-510-45-515623715916.50.4
172175.0DenverSum0.49620.48312005-616-130-10-10-24-512-36-7189159182-7.0-0.2
173177.6CornellIvy0.49540.49351695-414-150-10-21-44-38-58-7175236203-25.4-0.6
174177.6RadfordBSth0.49490.45253075-416-120-00-10-24-512-46-412822211463.61.6
175178.6VermontAE0.49480.45942834-516-120-00-10-25-611-35-7198182222-43.4-1.2
176179.8New HampshireAE0.49420.44353234-416-110-00-00-15-711-36-5163277183-3.2-0.1
177181.2MissouriSEC0.49320.5716234-610-200-51-52-53-34-25-71862316318.20.6
178181.5Texas St.SB0.49260.48391963-313-130-10-10-23-410-53-3122148206-24.5-0.5
179183.1ElonCAA0.49210.47812184-515-140-10-01-34-79-26-51953061812.10.1
180184.8College of CharlestonCAA0.49160.50701395-614-170-20-21-54-68-25-8182100215-30.2-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181185.1Northern ColoradoBSky0.49120.45832863-515-120-00-10-22-413-44-5221158261-75.9-1.8
182185.7Florida St.ACC0.49100.5371806-513-180-41-31-45-56-18-521824616025.70.8
183186.4ColgatePat0.49080.50081532-813-170-10-11-44-97-32-10260123308-121.6-3.2
184188.5USCP120.48970.5473656-411-190-31-32-54-64-17-519321914840.51.3
185191.5AlbanyAE0.48810.45433004-616-130-00-01-14-711-56-71742331901.50.0
186191.7George MasonA100.48800.5621393-69-200-50-42-52-54-23-8201111847.70.2
187191.7IPFWSum0.48780.46222764-414-120-00-00-33-511-45-5214303218-26.3-0.6
188192.6RiderMAAC0.48770.46642596-617-140-10-10-24-412-66-517926117418.60.5
189192.3Utah St.MWC0.48770.49261716-514-150-11-32-43-59-36-518825816824.30.7
190193.6DartmouthIvy0.48740.48491935-513-150-00-11-33-58-67-7199286220-26.4-0.7
191192.4Florida AtlanticCUSA0.48710.47792203-413-140-00-21-33-59-44-5191275208-15.6-0.4
192193.8South FloridaAmer0.48690.52211014-612-180-10-32-53-67-35-7217144219-25.2-0.7
193197.3DePaulBE0.48490.5488616-410-191-51-52-61-45-06-5231301205-7.7-0.2
194199.6UMass LowellAE0.48390.45632935-514-140-10-00-14-610-56-613820013465.61.8
195199.7Middle TennesseeCUSA0.48390.48621865-514-160-10-11-34-710-46-617120116237.71.0
196200.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.48370.44583204-516-120-00-01-14-511-66-6229342268-68.0-1.6
197199.5OhioMAC0.48360.5352843-410-170-00-21-63-75-24-5232110243-43.5-1.1
198200.7Tennessee TechOVC0.48340.47002464-514-140-00-00-24-79-55-71782101937.70.2
199201.4IdahoBSky0.48290.46112793-514-130-00-11-13-310-73-621522517625.40.6
200201.6UC IrvineBW0.48280.47962093-513-140-10-11-33-59-54-7230245231-29.4-0.7
201201.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48260.47392303-514-140-00-11-24-59-73-5269290317-115.8-2.7
202202.8Boston UniversityPat0.48230.50481453-712-160-10-11-34-77-43-720249210-7.2-0.2
203204.0Charleston SouthernBSth0.48140.47122383-413-130-00-11-23-69-43-51689817331.00.7
204205.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.48090.48062072-412-150-00-10-23-59-63-4205224264-58.4-1.3
205206.0PacificWCC0.48030.51321175-410-170-30-21-32-67-25-417026817135.01.0
206208.3BryantNEC0.47950.48042082-513-160-00-10-24-69-63-8192612044.30.1
207210.5Cal PolyBW0.47860.48481953-511-150-10-11-33-46-64-618319918624.50.6
208210.7Virginia TechACC0.47810.5336856-412-190-70-31-32-48-28-5257329263-52.3-1.7
209211.4Arkansas St.SB0.47780.46942483-414-140-00-11-33-510-64-4242319282-70.6-1.7
210211.1SienaMAAC0.47760.46922513-614-150-00-01-24-610-63-6244249239-27.9-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211211.9Washington St.P120.47720.5536514-68-220-50-41-62-55-25-7224209240-28.1-0.9
212212.2Missouri St.MVC0.47700.51691073-610-180-30-21-42-48-44-624618719121.20.6
213215.6HartfordAE0.47550.46262725-514-140-00-10-25-79-46-6161155216-0.4-0.0
214216.3Oral RobertsSum0.47510.47942104-612-160-10-01-15-77-65-7212198230-13.7-0.3
215216.8NJITind0.47490.46932505-711-140-10-10-22-58-511-14213272233-16.2-0.4
216216.7HawaiiBW0.47480.46632616-315-120-00-11-33-510-37-419629119521.70.5
217216.9Northern KentuckyASun0.47470.48302023-612-150-20-10-23-69-44-91849019719.90.5
218217.2PrincetonIvy0.47460.50201514-812-170-00-21-54-67-46-9251195273-55.8-1.4
219220.9Santa ClaraWCC0.47330.51531114-510-180-20-21-44-76-25-522725019624.90.7
220220.1TowsonCAA0.47290.46452656-414-160-00-11-54-710-37-518733818931.10.9
221221.6ChattanoogaSC0.47210.46802574-614-150-10-11-22-312-74-72361472147.60.2
222222.9Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47200.46222754-715-160-00-10-24-710-75-6211293279-56.1-1.6
223222.2QuinnipiacMAAC0.47190.47292334-515-140-00-01-25-68-75-4176171257-34.8-0.9
224223.9Youngstown St.Horz0.47130.48102065-612-160-00-11-52-69-46-620025420122.90.6
225226.2Mississippi St.SEC0.47010.52051034-511-190-20-31-54-76-26-626229718739.21.1
226226.0CampbellBSth0.46970.47162342-612-160-10-10-13-89-53-7219152259-33.0-0.8
227226.9Northern ArizonaBSky0.46970.45602954-714-160-10-11-22-512-74-8216211245-18.1-0.5
228226.2UNC AshevilleBSth0.46960.46902531-612-140-00-10-23-68-52-6295234302-75.8-1.8
229227.8Alabama St.SWAC0.46890.40053512-416-90-10-10-11-115-52-5223141238-10.2-0.3
230228.8Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46870.45383032-814-160-20-10-21-412-73-9237124244-15.2-0.4
231228.6Ball St.MAC0.46850.50981282-610-180-10-21-53-66-44-6299298286-57.4-1.4
232230.2LIU BrooklynNEC0.46780.47062403-613-160-00-10-23-710-63-8234138248-17.8-0.4
233231.1MarshallCUSA0.46750.50991272-711-180-20-21-33-67-43-8297162275-43.9-1.2
234231.0New OrleansSlnd0.46710.45043121-411-130-00-10-41-310-51-51642414784.01.9
235231.8East CarolinaAmer0.46670.50771343-611-180-20-21-53-56-45-6268264272-40.2-1.1
236234.3OaklandHorz0.46630.51331163-89-200-20-31-52-75-43-10222622340.30.0
237233.5Southern IllinoisMVC0.46600.47322326-513-170-30-21-32-411-56-6291350320-86.5-2.5
238236.3DuquesneA100.46460.51771063-510-180-20-21-62-56-34-6288309253-16.7-0.5
239235.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.46460.47332313-612-170-10-20-22-59-74-7165111116119.73.1
240237.4UABCUSA0.46460.51081213-711-190-20-20-43-67-53-925353309-71.6-2.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241237.1DrexelCAA0.46400.50791332-710-180-00-21-54-85-22-827510217760.11.6
242238.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.46390.46992474-612-150-00-00-22-89-54-722021221325.00.6
243242.0Weber St.BSky0.46160.47062423-512-150-10-20-32-410-53-62401322366.00.2
244243.1Delaware St.MEAC0.46100.43183374-714-150-00-10-22-412-84-918022620043.11.2
245243.7MercerSC0.46070.46552624-513-160-10-20-31-411-63-8264177246-2.3-0.1
246245.1HoustonAmer0.45990.49221725-312-170-10-31-43-48-57-4265337267-21.9-0.6
247247.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.45880.44343245-814-170-20-10-11-613-85-1020719022522.50.7
248246.7North TexasCUSA0.45880.50251503-410-180-10-31-52-58-44-624516423511.70.3
249247.9Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45800.45572964-612-150-00-10-33-610-54-7280307307-59.1-1.6
250249.3BrownIvy0.45800.50091524-610-190-00-21-43-75-66-9235203250-0.7-0.0
251249.1BucknellPat0.45790.48661854-611-190-10-00-44-107-44-822619717970.12.0
252248.9UC RiversideBW0.45740.46362684-412-160-10-11-32-410-76-6241324265-16.1-0.4
253250.4HamptonMEAC0.45740.42913405-614-150-00-10-21-513-74-9263295300-49.6-1.4
254251.3Morehead St.OVC0.45670.47602282-1011-180-10-10-32-78-63-10279207292-40.7-1.2
255250.0McNeese St.Slnd0.45630.46042801-411-140-10-10-41-39-51-62088146104.02.5
256251.7Northwestern St.Slnd0.45600.47022451-510-150-10-20-41-48-51-625517258-6.3-0.2
257252.3Western CarolinaSC0.45590.46242732-812-170-00-10-41-510-73-82662172511.30.0
258253.2St. Francis NYNEC0.45580.46132783-713-170-00-10-23-810-74-8272231294-40.8-1.1
259253.0UCFAmer0.45560.51091205-410-180-20-21-44-65-56-424926524211.00.3
260252.6LamarSlnd0.45540.47812191-69-170-10-20-41-48-62-623913124111.60.3
261257.2FordhamA100.45320.5293942-58-200-20-31-63-54-44-626718918869.22.1
262257.7FairfieldMAAC0.45300.48541904-611-190-10-00-32-89-73-725911522136.71.1
263260.2Loyola MarymountWCC0.45180.5355832-66-210-30-20-42-83-32-7285108290-29.8-0.9
264261.4Fresno St.MWC0.45140.50741373-88-210-20-41-52-55-53-8301273287-25.6-0.8
265260.3South DakotaSum0.45130.46822563-811-180-00-10-33-88-74-9292288280-19.7-0.6
266262.7Saint LouisA100.45100.50771356-410-200-30-31-52-57-47-526130524715.70.6
267259.6Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45100.46372673-511-170-00-10-23-68-73-7210174155104.62.7
268261.5Appalachian St.SB0.45090.47912133-510-190-00-10-43-77-73-622524722338.51.1
269261.2LipscombASun0.45080.46162772-710-160-10-00-32-78-53-9270241278-16.8-0.4
270262.1BradleyMVC0.45060.50351473-610-190-30-21-42-57-64-73132872602.10.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271263.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.44940.50041543-49-190-00-21-53-76-54-6281310284-20.6-0.6
272263.8WinthropBSth0.44910.44243262-612-140-00-00-13-68-72-6312316291-27.2-0.7
273265.0Sacramento St.BSky0.44840.45383043-411-160-10-10-11-410-94-524731123728.00.7
274266.7Robert MorrisNEC0.44820.46682583-712-180-10-10-22-69-84-824317021749.71.5
275267.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.44740.46872544-711-180-00-11-43-77-75-825430422443.31.3
276269.2Indiana St.MVC0.44720.50801323-79-200-30-30-51-47-74-7302263296-26.8-0.9
277268.0North DakotaBSky0.44670.47682242-69-190-20-10-21-68-82-818151166102.02.9
278267.7Portland St.BSky0.44660.44733184-411-150-00-10-22-59-74-420333519275.72.1
279270.0Jacksonville St.OVC0.44580.46422665-511-180-10-00-22-79-76-7194259283-13.0-0.4
280270.6PennIvy0.44540.48681833-59-190-10-21-42-76-55-9296294336-65.4-2.0
281272.2Miami OHMAC0.44460.51541103-79-210-10-21-52-96-44-8307204311-38.8-1.3
282271.8VMISC0.44420.45942843-611-160-10-10-31-49-71-731017325219.80.6
283272.4UTSACUSA0.44380.47152353-510-170-00-11-32-57-73-62833212693.40.1
284273.4HowardMEAC0.44370.42433433-712-160-00-10-11-611-83-9274299285-11.6-0.3
285272.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.44350.45682911-59-150-00-00-31-58-61-5306308288-15.4-0.4
286272.9Arkansas Little RockSB0.44330.47832173-411-170-00-10-32-78-63-5298251319-46.1-1.3
287273.2Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44320.44073293-611-160-10-00-11-410-104-923323523241.21.1
288274.7MilwaukeeHorz0.44320.48951783-79-190-20-21-33-65-73-9287227312-37.3-1.2
289276.8UMKCWAC0.44120.44083282-812-170-00-00-22-59-104-112842602760.80.0
290279.1FurmanSC0.43970.48212042-79-180-10-10-31-57-81-82864024930.10.9
291279.6NiagaraMAAC0.43970.49311701-79-200-10-20-32-87-71-828245175104.63.4
292280.6South Carolina St.MEAC0.43900.45123103-810-180-10-10-21-79-82-102287622654.61.7
293281.2TroySB0.43790.45333052-411-160-00-10-22-68-73-4339351346-64.8-1.8
294283.6IUPUISum0.43780.48761813-89-210-10-10-32-86-83-11276163323-39.4-1.4
295283.3NevadaMWC0.43760.50871311-87-210-20-41-42-64-52-8334232318-34.7-1.2
296283.0SeattleWAC0.43700.44823143-611-150-10-20-21-410-74-8256161297-14.0-0.5
297282.8South AlabamaSB0.43680.47862150-79-200-00-10-23-86-81-8340278340-57.2-1.7
298284.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43620.43393340-1011-180-20-10-31-411-80-1130554289-4.1-0.1
299285.0RiceCUSA0.43590.49621641-57-200-10-21-41-65-72-7324274350-65.0-2.1
300287.8UNC GreensboroSC0.43490.46242742-810-180-10-10-31-58-91-932023026225.80.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301286.8Loyola MDPat0.43490.48951793-68-210-00-11-43-104-63-825217521175.82.7
302285.5WagnerNEC0.43490.47912121-79-190-00-10-32-77-81-928972316-30.5-0.9
303288.4DrakeMVC0.43470.5265982-96-230-30-30-51-74-62-930813327711.40.5
304287.3ManhattanMAAC0.43390.45403013-711-180-00-00-22-99-73-6333341314-26.7-0.9
305288.7Grand CanyonWAC0.43370.44623194-713-160-10-10-31-412-76-927120626622.70.8
306289.5Southern MissCUSA0.43280.49811593-47-200-00-20-52-55-73-6250153315-25.5-0.9
307292.7Jackson St.SWAC0.43100.41693472-1013-180-00-10-21-613-82-11304213299-6.3-0.2
308291.9Utah ValleyWAC0.43060.43713333-710-170-10-10-10-310-104-925825727021.90.7
309291.4Western IllinoisSum0.43060.47712233-58-170-00-00-23-85-73-6273218313-21.6-0.7
310298.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42670.42763412-912-190-00-10-31-611-92-11248129194104.04.1
311302.0Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.42370.44753163-610-180-00-10-31-59-93-7317340310-8.0-0.3
312302.9Montana St.BSky0.42260.48302012-88-210-10-10-32-66-102-929310128121.90.9
313304.1SouthernSWAC0.42210.43873310-910-190-20-10-20-59-90-113003027133.11.4
314303.6Austin PeayOVC0.42190.46352692-78-200-00-10-32-77-93-9318285329-25.4-1.0
315305.7Morgan St.MEAC0.42060.43353352-1011-190-10-00-11-69-113-113092663050.70.0
316309.2Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.41850.49121732-97-230-20-10-41-65-103-11311181324-14.8-0.8
317309.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41810.49641632-96-230-10-20-51-94-72-1131518525653.22.7
318308.9Southern UtahBSky0.41680.45143091-68-190-00-10-21-67-102-730325329315.90.7
319311.4Kennesaw St.ASun0.41650.45842854-88-210-00-20-31-87-85-1027826225457.43.0
320313.1Idaho St.BSky0.41370.45153081-88-200-00-10-21-77-111-9337326334-20.9-1.0
321315.6StetsonASun0.41150.45682901-97-200-10-10-21-96-72-11323279337-21.4-1.1
322315.1The CitadelSC0.41060.44403211-68-180-00-10-21-57-102-5328320344-28.9-1.3
323317.2NavyPat0.41060.48331982-86-230-00-20-42-105-72-9322248325-7.8-0.5
324318.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.40900.45772882-88-230-00-10-21-77-133-10321270327-8.7-0.5
325318.4LibertyBSth0.40800.43073382-610-170-00-00-12-78-92-7351348349-30.6-1.5
326319.5LongwoodBSth0.40750.45762892-87-220-00-10-22-96-92-931625230415.50.9
327319.3Savannah St.MEAC0.40680.44753152-98-200-10-10-21-56-102-102778527445.32.3
328323.0Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.40380.42743422-109-190-00-10-10-49-123-11338328341-18.0-1.1
329323.2MaineAE0.40320.47042431-86-230-10-10-21-105-92-113191603221.20.1
330328.0San Jose St.MWC0.39910.50961290-92-260-20-30-41-91-80-103482433280.00.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331325.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39890.45323061-77-180-00-00-21-76-92-7349336335-9.1-0.5
332327.9UMBCAE0.39730.44743172-97-220-00-10-21-96-103-103273023216.90.5
333329.4SamfordSC0.39550.43033394-89-210-00-10-31-58-125-7314346333-3.6-0.3
334331.5DelawareCAA0.39410.50031560-92-270-10-10-51-111-90-11343205342-10.5-1.1
335331.0Tennessee St.OVC0.39350.47632250-94-250-10-00-31-83-131-12342239351-20.0-1.5
336332.0North Carolina A&TMEAC0.39110.44323250-127-220-10-10-10-77-110-13331143338-6.0-0.5
337332.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.39000.42173460-87-200-10-10-20-47-120-9325823266.40.4
338333.7MaristMAAC0.38970.46912521-105-250-00-00-21-104-121-93412843321.70.2
339334.0Coppin St.MEAC0.38900.47612270-94-240-00-20-40-84-100-122941030628.02.5
340333.3Nicholls St.Slnd0.38870.45952820-64-210-10-00-30-64-100-732613430132.32.3
341335.9Alabama A&MSWAC0.38390.41203490-77-190-00-10-20-47-110-833613629837.92.9
342337.1Central ArkansasSlnd0.38320.45393020-95-240-00-00-30-74-130-11347244347-9.9-1.0
343338.6Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37950.40383502-99-200-00-00-00-78-133-10345339339-0.4-0.0
344339.4JacksonvilleASun0.37890.44883131-95-230-00-10-21-74-122-12344322345-5.6-0.6
345341.5PresbyterianBSth0.37590.47622260-82-250-10-00-21-92-120-933212633110.51.5
346340.9Chicago St.WAC0.37580.46262710-103-250-00-10-30-63-130-1433014933010.91.3
347341.7BinghamtonAE0.37470.46532630-113-260-00-10-21-113-110-13346216343-1.3-0.2
348341.4Abilene ChristianSlnd0.37470.45572971-64-230-00-10-40-54-131-833527129546.45.9
349347.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35720.41483481-105-260-10-10-20-65-161-1232924030344.09.5
350349.1Florida A&MMEAC0.34610.42343450-103-260-00-00-20-83-151-123502833481.10.4
351349.3Grambling St.SWAC0.34550.43193360-72-240-10-20-30-42-140-8290725594.334.7

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com