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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.
Through games of Feb 4, 2012.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
12.1SyracuseBE0.66620.57991623-129-24-13-07-19-05-013-034111.10.7
23.4Ohio St.B100.65830.5872720-326-56-33-15-08-05-012-19974-0.6-0.3
34.2DukeACC0.65390.5953319-326-54-43-16-010-03-013-21322.20.9
44.3KentuckySEC0.65320.55914723-129-25-23-14-011-05-014-18986-1.7-0.8
54.6North CarolinaACC0.65230.5850920-326-53-43-15-010-05-013-25235-0.4-0.1
66.8BaylorB120.64390.58141420-225-53-35-15-05-07-012-023633.81.1
78.2Michigan St.B100.63930.6089116-522-84-52-24-17-04-010-210189-0.8-0.2
88.8KansasB120.63700.5872618-524-74-43-15-16-06-010-3332780.80.2
99.6Nevada Las VegasMWC0.63470.56423219-424-62-34-22-19-07-014-21610711-1.4-0.3
1011.7MissouriB120.62950.54447121-227-43-14-16-16-18-013-032264101.70.3
1113.9GeorgetownBE0.62480.57502017-422-64-33-12-28-15-09-11159130.90.2
1214.9FloridaSEC0.62290.56134419-424-72-43-14-011-25-012-329105140.90.1
1315.5MarquetteBE0.62160.57122319-524-72-32-16-29-15-011-23099123.50.5
1415.8Southern MississippiCUSA0.62090.54506918-324-51-12-16-18-17-011-2146478.81.3
1516.3St. Mary'sWCC0.61960.527310620-225-31-23-04-15-012-010-2286624-7.7-1.6
1617.4Wichita St.MVC0.61780.55704919-423-61-21-26-111-15-09-2121526-8.6-1.4
1720.6IndianaB100.61280.56483118-623-83-42-15-27-17-013-017195173.60.5
1821.0CreightonMVC0.61220.53099621-326-42-02-14-211-17-011-121138165.00.7
1921.9Florida St.ACC0.61150.58111516-622-83-31-25-18-24-09-57530183.90.4
2021.8WisconsinB100.61090.57751818-623-83-63-14-08-15-011-2349429-7.2-1.2
2124.4TempleA100.60750.55195817-523-72-02-16-47-26-011-31539195.40.6
2225.3MichiganB100.60670.58241116-620-104-53-24-25-24-09-3571341510.31.0
2325.3LouisvilleBE0.60640.57482118-523-82-53-15-27-15-012-177627-1.7-0.2
2425.8MemphisCUSA0.60560.56932516-722-91-41-25-111-14-010-5438205.80.6
2526.6San Diego St.MWC0.60500.54896518-322-62-34-23-06-18-012-258216215.60.5
2627.1ConnecticutBE0.60450.6019215-719-112-33-15-46-33-010-266225.10.5
2727.9GonzagaWCC0.60260.53378718-424-51-22-23-09-09-011-21934252.90.3
2830.4AlabamaSEC0.60010.57302215-721-91-31-36-29-12-011-3405634-3.6-0.3
2930.1Murray St.OVC0.60000.484818720-025-12-11-01-08-113-09-143838-7.9-0.9
3030.8New MexicoMWC0.59930.53618418-423-62-23-14-17-09-113-28126343-12.2-1.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3131.4West VirginiaBE0.59910.5869815-820-112-33-27-46-23-010-32016301.40.1
3231.5VanderbiltSEC0.59860.5907516-720-112-42-25-38-24-011-43110283.50.4
3332.0St. LouisA100.59790.53149417-523-60-11-27-36-18-011-24218735-3.0-0.3
3433.3Colorado St.MWC0.59720.5916414-717-111-51-23-28-14-010-423212310.30.8
3536.7HarvardIvy0.59270.485318619-225-41-01-12-011-110-113-23621039-2.3-0.3
3639.4IllinoisB100.59020.57891716-620-113-62-14-26-15-011-244119318.40.6
3739.5VirginiaACC0.59010.53199218-423-72-31-05-18-27-013-15126040-0.5-0.0
3839.1Long Beach St.BW0.59000.520311715-621-70-41-22-18-111-05-7271372.10.2
3939.6Iowa St.B120.58990.56293817-621-102-51-23-29-27-010-380180363.60.3
4041.7Mississippi St.SEC0.58800.55036018-522-91-32-23-310-15-013-253175338.70.6
4142.4CaliforniaP120.58720.53298918-623-80-20-17-26-29-010-3468547-4.6-0.4
4243.6Oral RobertsSum0.58550.501315021-525-60-11-23-27-114-09-47813245-1.4-0.1
4344.9Brigham YoungWCC0.58410.529310318-622-71-41-14-05-211-010-34160413.90.5
4445.9Kansas St.B120.58370.55455516-620-102-52-22-27-17-011-14722846-0.1-0.0
4546.0IonaMAAC0.58310.501215119-524-60-01-14-29-111-29-3265157-11.0-1.2
4649.0AkronMAC0.58100.53708115-720-100-01-34-55-110-07-7722655-6.0-0.5
4749.2Saint Joseph'sA100.58090.56323615-919-121-11-35-37-35-010-53825427.20.5
4849.6Middle TennesseeSB0.57970.483819120-425-40-01-13-29-112-010-345114445.60.7
4952.0Cleveland St.Horz0.57800.498315718-424-60-01-03-210-310-110-2258860-8.0-0.6
5053.1Seton HallBE0.57740.56254215-819-111-42-14-48-24-011-1181063221.11.4
5155.5WyomingMWC0.57540.53039816-520-82-31-21-15-210-012-27129569-13.5-1.0
5255.2South Dakota St.Sum0.57520.497016017-622-70-01-12-26-313-17-48716358-2.8-0.2
5355.8XavierA100.57490.55834815-819-110-22-45-36-16-09-56637505.80.4
5458.4TexasB120.57310.56912614-919-121-61-22-27-17-010-36312766-7.6-0.5
5560.5Northern IowaMVC0.57120.55505315-918-121-32-12-39-35-19-313194911.50.9
5661.3MarshallCUSA0.57020.56772713-917-121-41-23-36-26-08-55413610.30.0
5762.9North Carolina St.ACC0.56920.56283917-720-111-51-23-29-26-011-45531593.90.3
5863.3NevadaWAC0.56900.508214117-421-70-10-23-27-211-010-48415370-6.7-0.5
5963.5OhioMAC0.56880.495316318-423-70-11-15-25-212-112-26222280-16.5-1.1
6064.0DavidsonSC0.56830.495316216-521-71-20-10-16-214-15-556467-3.0-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6164.4Miami FLACC0.56820.56214313-717-121-50-32-49-05-09-465905410.40.6
6265.0PurdueB100.56760.56673015-819-121-63-34-15-26-010-374170623.00.2
6365.9ArkansasSEC0.56740.54916316-720-111-32-22-39-26-112-3681885312.90.6
6466.2NorthwesternB100.56700.58221213-817-131-61-33-37-14-010-224554818.21.0
6566.5Notre DameBE0.56640.55565115-819-123-42-22-15-46-08-51611985610.50.6
6668.5MinnesotaB100.56480.56742816-719-122-52-24-36-25-012-1351775216.51.0
6769.1WashingtonP120.56470.53668216-720-100-20-24-47-19-07-51176273-3.9-0.2
6869.1La SalleA100.56430.518012317-721-100-11-24-46-39-011-49824078-8.9-0.6
6970.0MississippiSEC0.56360.56343414-817-130-52-33-39-23-010-4611205119.01.1
7070.7BuffaloMAC0.56330.517912413-618-90-11-23-35-28-16-59311190-19.3-1.1
7170.5BelmontASun0.56310.489718016-722-80-21-12-17-212-27-5596991-20.5-1.8
7271.1BucknellPat0.56270.486318517-622-70-10-10-38-113-09-69215776-4.9-0.4
7372.7Central FloridaCUSA0.56180.529410115-619-91-31-21-27-38-09-382191639.70.5
7473.3New Mexico St.WAC0.56130.520611616-721-90-21-11-29-310-111-5739584-10.7-0.7
7574.5PittsburghBE0.56040.56712914-918-132-42-34-47-34-011-250118659.50.6
7675.2ColoradoP120.56010.53827914-718-100-10-24-47-27-06-410793714.20.2
7775.8ArizonaP120.55920.526610716-821-100-21-25-47-29-09-460446411.80.9
7876.4MassachusettsA100.55900.514013017-621-90-12-23-46-19-111-385230688.40.5
7977.2Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.55830.481320120-524-70-01-12-28-313-010-38319985-7.8-0.6
8077.1DaytonA100.55810.55285714-918-121-13-34-56-24-210-46773725.10.3
8179.5DuquesneA100.55700.55485413-916-130-11-34-57-34-08-5886881-1.5-0.1
8279.2DrexelCAA0.55680.469523419-523-70-00-22-17-314-18-49522386-6.8-0.6
8382.4Missouri St.MVC0.55470.54906413-1117-131-41-32-27-47-07-58650820.40.0
8483.5WagnerNEC0.55380.454028219-425-40-00-11-16-217-09-248172749.51.3
8583.9Loyola MDMAAC0.55340.479720417-521-80-10-11-16-314-18-36420989-5.1-0.3
8684.1Weber St.BSky0.55330.468024116-420-60-10-21-13-016-27-37011287-2.9-0.2
8784.8Kent St.MAC0.55260.503814915-620-90-01-21-46-311-110-37718595-10.2-0.6
8885.2Louisiana St.SEC0.55240.55016113-917-131-31-42-37-36-010-41042147510.20.6
8986.8OregonP120.55110.53279016-719-110-00-43-46-210-09-379122833.80.2
9089.8CincinnatiBE0.54920.526011016-720-112-31-24-26-37-110-316332099-9.2-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9189.8OklahomaB120.54910.56284013-916-140-63-32-23-38-010-2521837712.80.7
9289.9StanfordP120.54910.509913716-720-100-11-14-45-311-010-28924396-6.1-0.4
9391.3DenverSB0.54800.486618417-721-82-01-21-15-412-110-33970883.30.3
9493.2Virginia TechACC0.54670.55974513-1017-140-51-32-28-25-111-46996921.20.1
9593.8St. BonaventureA100.54630.523711212-817-110-11-34-54-18-17-5102137930.80.0
9694.6George MasonCAA0.54560.482419719-622-90-00-12-38-313-19-4116213103-8.4-0.5
9796.1South FloridaBE0.54460.57102412-1015-150-61-23-47-43-06-6128717917.10.9
9898.0MercerASun0.54310.470222917-721-90-10-10-36-315-17-5109212980.00.0
9998.5VillanovaBE0.54300.58331010-1214-160-71-33-37-23-17-59133944.50.2
100100.3Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.54200.454128116-522-70-10-02-24-216-27-6112196119-18.7-1.3
101101.6MontanaBSky0.54050.473522414-620-70-01-11-24-215-26-5120109104-2.4-0.2
102102.8ValparaisoHorz0.53970.494416815-818-110-11-02-28-47-35-6122151106-3.2-0.2
103102.9LamarSlnd0.53970.475222013-819-100-30-10-26-313-27-649431020.90.1
104105.7TulsaCUSA0.53810.526210814-918-120-31-13-28-36-37-7136101108-2.3-0.2
105107.0Loyola MarymountWCC0.53670.53338813-916-120-32-41-14-210-26-614875110-3.0-0.2
106107.1Long IslandNEC0.53660.457527517-721-90-00-12-04-616-26-6166270112-4.9-0.3
107109.2UCLAP120.53520.53189312-1017-130-20-33-65-38-07-5155129113-3.8-0.2
108109.5Illinois St.MVC0.53520.513713115-919-110-30-23-18-47-29-3131269115-5.5-0.3
109109.7LehighPat0.53490.443030917-622-70-10-11-24-217-111-4113327124-14.3-1.4
110111.2Robert MorrisNEC0.53370.467024617-822-90-10-13-33-315-29-437581074.20.4
111112.8MarylandACC0.53280.56264113-915-150-60-53-35-17-010-4961319715.80.9
112113.9PennsylvaniaIvy0.53180.527810512-1018-130-21-21-58-38-18-9121401094.90.3
113114.4Oregon St.P120.53130.506614314-818-110-01-24-53-39-19-2119302128-13.6-0.8
114115.3ManhattanMAAC0.53100.469323717-821-100-11-11-24-316-18-5141281118-2.7-0.2
115115.4NC AshevilleBSth0.53080.475421915-718-90-10-10-24-314-12-722047116-0.6-0.0
116116.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.53050.458926913-518-70-00-01-05-512-24-3172253120-4.0-0.2
117117.5YaleIvy0.52990.475921713-516-100-10-20-15-511-18-41012761116.50.3
118117.6NebraskaB100.52940.56413311-1014-151-71-32-44-26-08-312424810017.61.0
119117.6PrincetonIvy0.52930.51661269-1015-131-01-21-46-46-37-7947410512.60.7
120120.3Oklahoma St.B120.52760.58151310-1212-181-60-43-53-25-06-6146921146.30.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121123.7Texas ChristianMWC0.52550.54646612-914-150-42-31-25-46-19-614924110122.71.2
122125.0North Dakota St.Sum0.52450.478421013-817-100-00-20-27-110-46-3126288135-10.0-0.6
123125.1Georgia St.CAA0.52410.462525816-821-90-00-02-34-415-29-3159331139-13.9-0.9
124126.1Old DominionCAA0.52350.511013315-1018-130-20-02-66-510-05-8156281233.10.2
125127.3Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52310.495216413-1017-120-30-11-26-59-16-5114141134-6.7-0.4
126128.5College of CharlestonSC0.52200.496816114-1018-120-10-12-36-310-48-422111253.50.2
127131.7Norfolk St.MEAC0.52000.449329115-720-90-20-01-13-216-48-5761031301.70.1
128132.0GeorgiaSEC0.51990.57531910-1212-180-51-43-54-44-09-590651266.00.3
129132.3Utah St.WAC0.51980.519611912-1216-140-11-12-55-38-49-7118116146-13.7-0.7
130133.0Indiana St.MVC0.51930.509313913-1016-130-31-11-46-48-28-310630011716.00.9
131135.2DrakeMVC0.51820.529410212-1115-141-21-21-55-47-16-514720612114.20.8
132135.3RichmondA100.51800.53269112-1215-161-01-41-85-37-09-6971151323.30.2
133135.3OaklandSum0.51770.515812712-1315-150-10-31-43-411-25-7111481296.30.4
134136.4TennesseeSEC0.51740.56313710-1213-172-61-31-25-45-17-7204150141-4.6-0.2
135136.1Tennessee TechOVC0.51720.483219314-917-110-10-20-26-311-36-6137201159-22.9-1.4
136138.4FairfieldMAAC0.51580.505014612-1016-130-00-20-54-411-15-713587151-12.6-0.7
137139.5IowaB100.51550.54227213-1115-162-51-33-44-46-08-523829312217.50.9
138140.0UABCUSA0.51500.5569509-1312-170-61-21-44-35-25-8165531382.00.1
139140.3CharlotteA100.51480.519312011-1114-150-11-32-63-38-18-511521112713.30.7
140141.7RutgersBE0.51370.55155912-1215-162-41-33-42-56-08-5201239144-2.3-0.1
141143.2ButlerHorz0.51300.516812512-1215-150-20-32-25-68-26-610824150-6.8-0.4
142146.8ProvidenceBE0.51100.525911113-1016-151-51-21-54-39-011-213833713115.80.8
143147.3UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51070.482219810-815-100-20-40-23-211-23-6129291407.30.4
144147.6AuburnSEC0.51030.53658313-1015-150-41-52-44-27-010-413327913314.60.7
145148.3ClemsonACC0.50990.529610011-1115-151-31-21-46-66-28-6203261164-15.7-0.7
146150.3ColumbiaIvy0.50880.492617411-915-130-10-21-15-69-39-5103193152-1.7-0.1
147151.0Charleston SouthernBSth0.50850.459026611-916-100-20-10-12-413-34-41101261429.00.4
148150.9AmericanPat0.50840.448529715-819-100-11-01-34-313-49-61643211473.90.2
149151.1St. John'sBE0.50820.56323510-1312-190-71-22-45-55-06-722615913615.10.8
150152.1San FranciscoWCC0.50740.503814813-1015-130-30-31-22-312-28-4130242157-4.9-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151154.9Texas A&MB120.50630.54197411-1013-160-70-41-33-29-08-32113241459.90.4
152154.7Stony BrookAE0.50630.428432714-718-90-10-00-15-313-44-7261277166-11.3-0.6
153155.1Bowling GreenMAC0.50610.510013610-1114-151-11-22-54-47-36-7194192174-18.9-0.8
154155.4Tennessee St.OVC0.50580.484518913-1015-130-20-20-13-411-45-7140155173-17.6-0.9
155156.6EvansvilleMVC0.50480.53718010-1212-160-50-13-13-66-25-5217164162-5.4-0.3
156158.4East CarolinaCUSA0.50470.5419738-1010-150-30-11-44-55-15-4152182163-4.6-0.2
157158.6Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.50410.447429911-1117-130-30-20-31-216-21-1122571562.60.1
158159.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50350.482719513-1116-130-00-12-43-611-25-82241541536.30.3
159159.3South Carolina UpstateASun0.50340.467624412-1016-130-10-01-43-412-35-61622361545.30.2
160163.1Youngstown St.Horz0.50150.482719610-1014-130-01-11-35-68-43-621325214914.10.6
161163.2Penn St.B100.50120.55924610-1412-190-71-32-54-34-18-515321714320.21.2
162164.1Georgia TechACC0.50090.5353859-1413-170-30-32-54-56-27-716916014816.10.8
163164.6NortheasternCAA0.50080.494017011-1214-150-00-00-66-68-35-61321231559.60.5
164164.6Washington St.P120.50080.505614411-1114-150-11-22-73-28-47-41542781604.60.2
165167.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.49890.434132113-718-90-10-20-03-214-47-41843171616.70.3
166169.2Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49800.448629612-918-110-01-10-24-312-66-7167249183-13.8-0.7
167169.6IdahoWAC0.49790.490917710-1114-140-00-11-34-68-37-7231274179-9.4-0.4
168171.6Wake ForestACC0.49670.53049711-1213-170-40-22-44-67-19-513921813734.62.0
169172.1South CarolinaSEC0.49650.5541569-1312-180-71-21-26-54-28-619920415814.10.6
170173.1VermontAE0.49600.450028915-1019-120-00-20-24-615-27-8180190175-1.9-0.1
171173.4WoffordSC0.49590.452228613-917-120-10-10-24-312-75-6183289193-19.6-0.9
172174.1Western MichiganMAC0.49560.51551289-1313-170-20-31-53-39-45-910591659.10.4
173174.5CampbellBSth0.49540.455827914-1117-130-10-00-24-412-65-7190283185-10.5-0.5
174174.9TulaneCUSA0.49500.469923213-816-120-20-10-24-512-110-2123339178-3.1-0.1
175175.2Boston UniversityAE0.49490.475022112-1316-150-00-20-52-614-14-1117863187-11.8-0.7
176174.7Air ForceMWC0.49480.5414759-1011-150-40-40-32-38-08-41952971713.70.2
177175.1QuinnipiacNEC0.49450.462725713-1017-120-00-00-35-511-47-499215188-12.9-0.7
178176.5Boise St.MWC0.49410.5385779-1212-160-41-40-35-55-09-5144286197-20.5-0.9
179177.4RiceCUSA0.49370.509014010-1113-150-20-30-44-58-16-62142291707.40.4
180177.9Western IllinoisSum0.49330.488118310-912-130-10-30-22-39-53-4168255202-24.1-1.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181178.3CornellIvy0.49330.51811227-1211-160-00-21-45-95-14-922891184-5.7-0.2
182178.1Texas El PasoCUSA0.49290.53139510-1313-170-20-21-45-66-37-714580186-7.9-0.3
183178.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.49280.459026711-915-130-10-11-32-412-35-71731651726.30.3
184179.8Florida AtlanticSB0.49230.51451298-1411-170-10-31-42-58-43-9150201772.80.1
185181.7DetroitHorz0.49120.494616611-1214-150-00-30-37-67-25-6210161191-9.3-0.4
186183.0North FloridaASun0.49060.490017911-1314-160-20-20-52-512-25-71258616716.00.8
187183.1DelawareCAA0.49030.481619911-1215-140-10-02-33-69-45-62422681767.10.4
188183.3Fresno St.WAC0.49030.50091529-1413-170-00-11-54-98-28-8176224192-8.7-0.4
189184.5HawaiiWAC0.48950.490317812-915-130-10-12-34-58-47-7258272204-19.5-0.9
190187.0Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.48860.52181147-1311-160-20-21-23-85-23-612751807.00.2
191187.2DePaulBE0.48800.520011811-1113-170-50-31-54-47-09-32233381825.20.3
192187.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.48800.504914710-1313-160-20-12-24-67-52-11275491816.70.3
193187.8Morehead St.OVC0.48780.484319010-1213-150-10-10-34-59-44-816010216918.80.9
194188.7St. Francis NYNEC0.48760.449729013-1016-130-00-00-33-413-53-8306318205-16.3-0.8
195190.6East Tennessee St.ASun0.48600.458927011-1015-130-00-01-34-610-45-5170282201-10.4-0.5
196192.6Cal PolyBW0.48520.448929311-1116-130-20-20-03-413-58-5142262196-3.4-0.2
197196.4George WashingtonA100.48310.5463678-1510-200-20-51-85-34-35-9191841897.40.4
198196.0South AlabamaSB0.48300.470023111-1014-120-20-21-24-39-47-310021916828.01.4
199200.2Austin PeayOVC0.48070.51811218-1611-190-10-40-33-77-43-1121622212-11.8-0.7
200203.3North TexasSB0.47930.469423610-1013-130-00-21-33-59-34-62362262003.30.1
201204.7Louisiana TechWAC0.47830.49341729-1213-160-10-10-55-67-38-719725619014.70.7
202206.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.47720.468323811-1114-140-00-00-52-712-24-6241234207-0.1-0.0
203208.1LipscombASun0.47660.483719210-1313-160-10-21-32-710-34-7188124211-2.9-0.2
204207.8NC WilmingtonCAA0.47650.51051359-1410-190-00-01-74-86-44-7157110215-7.2-0.4
205207.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.47650.452928412-1215-140-00-20-12-613-57-619328519512.40.6
206207.8Portland St.BSky0.47650.46832399-1213-150-00-00-51-511-55-715817619413.80.6
207208.3AlbanyAE0.47630.419333615-1019-120-10-00-22-717-29-6179315210-1.7-0.1
208208.7NiagaraMAAC0.47590.49461679-1513-180-10-21-51-711-35-81821441999.70.5
209210.2LafayettePat0.47530.484718810-1312-170-00-10-52-710-35-10246205231-20.8-1.3
210210.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47530.46802429-1312-160-10-10-42-510-54-8151181230-19.5-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211210.4Miami OHMAC0.47500.52781046-1410-180-10-33-51-54-44-8248104226-15.6-0.7
212210.6San DiegoWCC0.47480.52601097-149-180-30-30-21-68-33-825614619812.60.6
213210.9Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.47480.460226311-1213-140-10-00-43-29-713-14219275223-12.1-0.6
214212.8Florida InternationalSB0.47350.49891547-1410-170-00-21-33-66-53-821282218-5.2-0.3
215213.8RiderMAAC0.47300.49811589-1512-190-10-20-52-710-43-10237139219-5.2-0.3
216214.4Southern MethodistCUSA0.47270.50711428-1311-180-20-21-34-86-27-61922332068.40.4
217214.3Savannah St.MEAC0.47260.425033111-1017-120-20-10-10-417-45-8257231224-9.7-0.4
218214.5Coppin St.MEAC0.47240.44633038-1112-130-10-20-31-311-41-830212520311.50.6
219215.5PortlandWCC0.47230.5550525-186-220-40-40-42-74-32-10208172087.50.4
220216.3Wright St.Horz0.47130.499315310-1412-180-20-11-34-108-24-8222135217-0.7-0.0
221218.1McNeese St.Slnd0.47060.47092277-1011-150-10-11-21-79-42-8245782135.10.2
222222.0Utah ValleyGWC0.46850.421133512-1016-110-00-10-30-415-47-10251266236-14.0-0.7
223222.5Ball St.MAC0.46810.430132611-916-120-00-10-43-313-48-4218340235-12.5-0.6
224223.5ElonSC0.46770.457627410-1013-140-20-10-23-310-63-618911320914.50.7
225226.0SienaMAAC0.46620.474622310-1213-160-01-10-44-58-65-62292672251.00.0
226226.1Holy CrossPat0.46600.47912099-1312-160-10-10-22-89-46-820222021412.10.5
227227.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.46540.52081158-159-200-40-31-43-75-23-83042872270.10.0
228228.1Georgia SouthernSC0.46470.46972338-1211-150-00-00-32-89-50-83331782217.10.3
229228.9Arkansas St.SB0.46440.49351719-1511-190-10-31-52-68-45-9198108234-5.1-0.2
230230.9FurmanSC0.46320.447230010-1113-140-00-00-22-611-64-5243309233-2.1-0.1
231231.1Southern UtahSum0.46300.463025610-1212-150-10-30-31-510-43-6314343241-9.9-0.5
232232.8Southern CaliforniaP120.46220.5448706-188-230-30-31-92-75-25-81866122012.80.8
233233.1HoustonCUSA0.46180.494116910-1112-160-10-11-35-86-27-5262294242-8.9-0.4
234233.7Texas TechB120.46140.5459687-158-220-60-40-41-76-07-52273032321.70.1
235236.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.46000.461626110-1213-150-10-00-52-411-43-7295244253-16.7-0.8
236239.2HofstraCAA0.45830.50971388-1711-200-01-01-62-106-47-6171130252-12.8-0.8
237240.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.45800.43773167-1111-150-10-00-30-411-72-820667275-34.5-1.5
238240.2Western KentuckySB0.45790.50551458-1510-190-10-30-54-56-64-922145245-4.8-0.3
239240.4Missouri Kansas CitySum0.45730.49281738-1510-190-20-30-23-47-76-51342032382.40.1
240241.2Arizona St.P120.45720.52231137-169-210-10-21-85-54-44-825212121625.21.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241242.3Sacred HeartNEC0.45660.452228511-1414-170-00-00-34-710-66-72442982402.30.1
242242.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45640.444230610-1113-140-20-10-12-411-73-8307319248-5.6-0.3
243243.2FordhamA100.45600.51141329-1310-190-21-31-62-67-37-619626522221.21.3
244244.5Texas SouthernSWAC0.45510.44553057-1513-170-30-20-30-312-61-1124712256-11.5-0.5
245245.2IUPUISum0.45500.49851568-1510-190-20-31-23-67-75-6181168267-21.8-1.1
246244.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.45480.43133248-913-130-00-00-22-511-63-7325328277-32.3-1.4
247246.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.45380.46522509-1312-180-20-10-43-48-74-1026525422818.90.9
248248.2Boston CollegeACC0.45330.5392767-168-220-30-41-53-74-25-927317923711.20.8
249248.0BradleyMVC0.45330.5383786-198-230-50-21-62-84-36-720013322919.01.4
250249.5Appalachian St.SC0.45190.47062287-1311-160-10-00-23-58-73-6209832472.50.1
251250.6Rhode IslandA100.45190.5352865-196-250-10-32-80-94-43-122771402446.60.5
252250.7PepperdineWCC0.45160.48821827-159-180-30-30-13-56-65-626032923911.70.7
253251.6James MadisonCAA0.45130.468024010-1512-190-00-00-62-910-47-6215296255-3.4-0.2
254251.5Northern ColoradoBSky0.45080.49801596-148-180-10-20-61-37-62-817514258-6.5-0.3
255252.5Jacksonville St.OVC0.45020.47242258-1511-170-10-20-22-88-54-8250167254-1.5-0.1
256253.5PresbyterianBSth0.44980.45462809-1312-160-10-01-12-610-75-51431972467.50.4
257254.7SamfordSC0.44910.47962057-1410-170-10-01-22-56-91-826757261-6.3-0.4
258255.4StetsonASun0.44870.49231757-159-190-20-10-42-87-52-823572264-8.6-0.4
259255.0IUPU Fort WayneSum0.44860.47742127-139-170-00-31-32-67-54-4185312259-4.0-0.2
260256.3NC GreensboroSC0.44790.47922088-1510-190-30-10-32-58-71-10266322497.30.4
261257.6UC RiversideBW0.44730.45882719-1211-170-10-20-24-57-75-72302272570.60.0
262259.9Western CarolinaSC0.44570.46332558-1511-180-00-20-42-39-94-71741622518.90.5
263259.8Idaho St.BSky0.44550.47612167-149-190-00-11-50-68-71-1131516624316.80.9
264260.2UC IrvineBW0.44510.47682147-1310-170-10-30-31-69-53-8278117274-13.8-0.8
265260.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44500.43613188-1312-170-20-00-21-512-82-11310202262-1.5-0.1
266261.8Montana St.BSky0.44470.44423079-1111-150-00-10-31-49-83-7287310270-8.2-0.5
267261.2MaineAE0.44450.418933710-1013-140-00-10-11-612-56-5207311272-10.8-0.6
268264.2Morgan St.MEAC0.44260.45942655-1511-170-10-20-21-59-73-923281273-8.8-0.5
269264.1Virginia Military InstBSth0.44220.43843149-1111-150-10-00-21-811-43-53053302604.10.2
270265.6PacificBW0.44190.46512527-1310-170-00-20-23-77-63-8296200268-2.4-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271266.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.44110.45172877-1410-180-20-10-21-510-82-10268772660.30.0
272266.8North DakotaGWC0.43980.44113116-1210-150-10-11-12-27-95-10233173286-19.2-0.8
273269.0WinthropBSth0.43980.46242598-1510-180-10-10-21-99-61-9272136282-13.0-0.8
274270.8Gardner WebbBSth0.43800.44723018-1511-180-10-00-13-99-74-7276314283-12.2-0.7
275272.4UtahP120.43800.5494624-184-250-00-40-111-73-32-9280792639.41.0
276271.9Santa ClaraWCC0.43790.51051346-157-200-31-31-31-65-56-5177225284-12.1-0.9
277271.4Central MichiganMAC0.43760.46612486-1510-190-10-20-50-69-55-824024725021.41.2
278274.9TroySB0.43510.48132006-158-180-00-20-32-86-54-62051842695.90.4
279275.8MonmouthNEC0.43500.48102027-189-220-10-20-50-89-62-1128614826510.80.9
280276.6MaristMAAC0.43370.47942068-1510-190-10-10-41-68-75-7234232280-3.4-0.2
281277.2ToledoMAC0.43340.44862948-1312-170-10-20-33-49-87-6264305285-7.8-0.5
282280.4St. Peter'sMAAC0.43120.49861555-187-230-00-20-71-97-52-10308145281-0.6-0.1
283280.2South DakotaSum0.43070.47492225-147-180-00-30-21-66-63-42843352719.20.6
284279.9Delaware St.MEAC0.43060.43383236-1110-160-00-00-32-59-71-93001492763.90.2
285281.3San Jose St.WAC0.42990.48891816-168-210-00-10-42-95-66-9253284293-11.7-0.8
286281.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42960.42503327-1311-170-10-20-20-311-81-9259352792.70.2
287283.4High PointBSth0.42850.46762457-159-180-00-10-33-76-72-7292208294-10.6-0.8
288285.8JacksonvilleASun0.42650.49211764-196-230-30-10-32-85-82-923989288-2.2-0.2
289285.8ChattanoogaSC0.42590.46662476-1610-180-20-10-21-48-103-7269147297-11.2-0.8
290286.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.42580.46772435-148-190-00-10-50-68-72-9279143292-6.0-0.4
291288.1Seattleind0.42380.46602494-138-160-00-20-22-66-76-162932372871.10.1
292291.1Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.42190.46472536-178-210-10-00-51-77-82-92891892910.10.0
293290.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42140.47002306-148-190-00-10-34-94-63-6281323301-10.5-0.6
294293.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.41930.44053127-149-180-10-10-11-68-86-52493322903.40.3
295293.1ArmyPat0.41930.42793289-1312-160-00-00-31-510-76-8331344299-5.9-0.5
296294.1SouthernSWAC0.41790.38613449-1113-150-00-00-10-613-81-9338307298-3.9-0.2
297294.9NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.41710.42663306-1210-150-10-10-20-49-84-1128824627816.91.0
298296.0ColgatePat0.41670.46002647-169-200-20-00-21-78-106-92703012951.00.1
299299.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.41290.44233105-138-180-10-00-21-67-93-726327128910.50.7
300301.5Alabama St.SWAC0.41120.40923406-1410-180-00-10-20-610-91-9282152310-8.5-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301303.9St. Francis PANEC0.40860.47662155-187-220-00-00-62-74-91-1028346306-2.1-0.2
302304.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40810.45042885-147-180-00-10-12-65-101-83393263004.40.3
303304.7William & MaryCAA0.40780.49481653-214-260-10-10-50-114-81-11327258307-2.3-0.3
304304.8TowsonCAA0.40770.5300991-242-290-20-10-80-101-80-13303522968.81.2
305305.2BrownIvy0.40760.47242266-167-230-00-20-21-136-65-113173083032.20.2
306305.2Sacramento St.BSky0.40710.43453206-149-170-00-00-31-58-94-6319334316-10.8-1.0
307307.2HamptonMEAC0.40500.41683388-1412-180-00-00-00-711-114-10312325322-14.8-1.1
308308.4Jackson St.SWAC0.40370.44862954-177-220-40-10-11-47-111-101872317-8.6-0.6
309309.3Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.40300.45692774-177-200-10-00-20-97-81-163211563081.30.1
310309.6Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.40280.44902924-156-200-00-20-11-95-92-82942923027.60.7
311309.6LibertyBSth0.40270.44752986-168-200-00-00-11-117-92-8330316319-9.4-1.0
312310.1Loyola ChicagoHorz0.40210.46352544-176-220-00-20-31-105-74-62713333055.10.5
313311.5Longwoodind0.40070.43053256-148-190-10-30-20-27-127-18309313313-1.5-0.1
314313.9HowardMEAC0.39790.45812734-186-220-30-10-11-75-112-10255423121.90.2
315314.2Houston BaptistGWC0.39770.44633045-157-190-10-10-22-46-114-122741713113.20.3
316314.5Nicholls St.Slnd0.39740.44703025-156-210-10-00-30-86-82-929925930410.51.1
317314.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.39740.45692784-186-240-00-10-32-74-121-13334257320-5.3-0.5
318315.8New HampshireAE0.39580.40673427-1310-170-00-00-11-79-85-6316341318-2.2-0.2
319316.7Texas St.Slnd0.39450.43883134-147-190-00-00-31-67-103-7285304330-13.3-1.0
320317.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.39430.48311942-214-260-30-10-50-103-93-92541583143.60.5
321318.8NavyPat0.39290.48082032-194-230-10-00-30-83-122-11318245323-4.2-0.5
322319.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.39210.45692764-166-220-00-20-11-74-122-102911423154.10.4
323320.3DartmouthIvy0.39080.47692133-185-240-00-20-31-114-83-12337306324-3.7-0.4
324322.0CanisiusMAAC0.38910.45312834-196-230-10-20-40-66-114-73223423211.00.1
325321.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.38900.47932071-223-260-10-30-21-62-132-1129720730912.81.3
326323.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.38790.47822112-213-250-10-10-30-112-91-11326235327-3.7-0.6
327323.4Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.38740.47582182-214-250-10-00-30-113-111-10328194329-5.6-0.7
328326.2Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.38220.42263345-138-180-00-00-31-67-104-63233363260.20.0
329327.1Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38140.42333334-198-230-10-20-20-77-121-12301128339-11.9-1.2
330328.5HartfordAE0.38060.43493194-196-230-00-00-20-106-110-133432993253.50.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
331328.5Northern ArizonaBSky0.38060.45902683-194-230-00-10-40-64-113-8298250332-3.5-0.5
332329.2Florida A&MMEAC0.37920.42773294-176-220-00-10-10-76-130-12340251333-3.8-0.5
333331.4The CitadelSC0.37650.46942352-193-240-00-00-30-83-131-8324221335-3.6-0.6
334332.6MD Baltimore CountyAE0.37410.43783153-195-240-10-00-10-115-111-123322803311.60.3
335334.0BryantNEC0.37180.46172602-223-270-10-10-50-83-131-11336273340-6.0-1.1
336332.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.37160.40373433-147-180-10-10-00-67-100-7320100342-9.4-1.1
337333.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.37070.41333393-156-200-10-10-10-66-120-831154337-3.6-0.4
338335.2RadfordBSth0.36940.46052622-214-250-10-00-21-93-132-9313174336-0.8-0.2
339335.8Chicago St.GWC0.36680.45822721-203-250-20-10-10-63-141-173291693287.81.2
340337.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.36400.46512511-182-250-00-10-40-82-120-113412913343.40.8
341337.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.36210.43403222-184-240-10-10-20-54-153-9290238338-0.2-0.0
342341.3GramblingSWAC0.35060.40723413-174-240-00-00-20-64-150-103351863410.30.1
343342.2UC DavisBW0.34600.44413080-212-270-10-20-10-81-151-12344322344-1.8-0.9
344343.4BinghamtonAE0.33750.43733170-231-280-10-00-20-91-160-133422903430.40.4

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com