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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.
Through games of Feb 4, 2012.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
168171.6Wake ForestACC0.49670.53049711-1213-170-40-22-44-67-19-513921813734.62.0
198196.0South AlabamaSB0.48300.470023111-1014-120-20-21-24-39-47-310021916828.01.4
240241.2Arizona St.P120.45720.52231137-169-210-10-21-85-54-44-825212121625.21.7
121123.7Texas ChristianMWC0.52550.54646612-914-150-42-31-25-46-19-614924110122.71.2
277271.4Central MichiganMAC0.43760.46612486-1510-190-10-20-50-69-55-824024725021.41.2
243243.2FordhamA100.45600.51141329-1310-190-21-31-62-67-37-619626522221.21.3
5053.1Seton HallBE0.57740.56254215-819-111-42-14-48-24-011-1181063221.11.4
161163.2Penn St.B100.50120.55924610-1412-190-71-32-54-34-18-515321714320.21.2
6970.0MississippiSEC0.56360.56343414-817-130-52-33-39-23-010-4611205119.01.1
249248.0BradleyMVC0.45330.5383786-198-230-50-21-62-84-36-720013322919.01.4
247246.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.45380.46522509-1312-180-20-10-43-48-74-1026525422818.90.9
193187.8Morehead St.OVC0.48780.484319010-1213-150-10-10-34-59-44-816010216918.80.9
6466.2NorthwesternB100.56700.58221213-817-131-61-33-37-14-010-224554818.21.0
118117.6NebraskaB100.52940.56413311-1014-151-71-32-44-26-08-312424810017.61.0
137139.5IowaB100.51550.54227213-1115-162-51-33-44-46-08-523829312217.50.9
9796.1South FloridaBE0.54460.57102412-1015-150-61-23-47-43-06-6128717917.10.9
297294.9NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.41710.42663306-1210-150-10-10-20-49-84-1128824627816.91.0
263259.8Idaho St.BSky0.44550.47612167-149-190-00-11-50-68-71-1131516624316.80.9
6668.5MinnesotaB100.56480.56742816-719-122-52-24-36-25-012-1351775216.51.0
162164.1Georgia TechACC0.50090.5353859-1413-170-30-32-54-56-27-716916014816.10.8
130133.0Indiana St.MVC0.51930.509313913-1016-130-31-11-46-48-28-310630011716.00.9
186183.0North FloridaASun0.49060.490017911-1314-160-20-20-52-512-25-71258616716.00.8
142146.8ProvidenceBE0.51100.525911113-1016-151-51-21-54-39-011-213833713115.80.8
111112.8MarylandACC0.53280.56264113-915-150-60-53-35-17-010-4961319715.80.9
149151.1St. John'sBE0.50820.56323510-1312-190-71-22-45-55-06-722615913615.10.8
201204.7Louisiana TechWAC0.47830.49341729-1213-160-10-10-55-67-38-719725619014.70.7
144147.6AuburnSEC0.51030.53658313-1015-150-41-52-44-27-010-413327913314.60.7
224223.5ElonSC0.46770.457627410-1013-140-20-10-23-310-63-618911320914.50.7
131135.2DrakeMVC0.51820.529410212-1115-141-21-21-55-47-16-514720612114.20.8
169172.1South CarolinaSEC0.49650.5541569-1312-180-71-21-26-54-28-619920415814.10.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
160163.1Youngstown St.Horz0.50150.482719610-1014-130-01-11-35-68-43-621325214914.10.6
206207.8Portland St.BSky0.47650.46832399-1213-150-00-00-51-511-55-715817619413.80.6
139140.3CharlotteA100.51480.519312011-1114-150-11-32-63-38-18-511521112713.30.7
6365.9ArkansasSEC0.56740.54916316-720-111-32-22-39-26-112-3681885312.90.6
232232.8Southern CaliforniaP120.46220.5448706-188-230-30-31-92-75-25-81866122012.80.8
9189.8OklahomaB120.54910.56284013-916-140-63-32-23-38-010-2521837712.80.7
325321.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.38900.47932071-223-260-10-30-21-62-132-1129720730912.81.3
119117.6PrincetonIvy0.52930.51661269-1015-131-01-21-46-46-37-7947410512.60.7
212210.6San DiegoWCC0.47480.52601097-149-180-30-30-21-68-33-825614619812.60.6
205207.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.47650.452928412-1215-140-00-20-12-613-57-619328519512.40.6
226226.1Holy CrossPat0.46600.47912099-1312-160-10-10-22-89-46-820222021412.10.5
7775.8ArizonaP120.55920.526610716-821-100-21-25-47-29-09-460446411.80.9
252250.7PepperdineWCC0.45160.48821827-159-180-30-30-13-56-65-626032923911.70.7
218214.5Coppin St.MEAC0.47240.44633038-1112-130-10-20-31-311-41-830212520311.50.6
5560.5Northern IowaMVC0.57120.55505315-918-121-32-12-39-35-19-313194911.50.9
248248.2Boston CollegeACC0.45330.5392767-168-220-30-41-53-74-25-927317923711.20.8
279275.8MonmouthNEC0.43500.48102027-189-220-10-20-50-89-62-1128614826510.80.9
299299.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.41290.44233105-138-180-10-00-21-67-93-726327128910.50.7
316314.5Nicholls St.Slnd0.39740.44703025-156-210-10-00-30-86-82-929925930410.51.1
6566.5Notre DameBE0.56640.55565115-819-123-42-22-15-46-08-51611985610.50.6
6164.4Miami FLACC0.56820.56214313-717-121-50-32-49-05-09-465905410.40.6
2225.3MichiganB100.60670.58241116-620-104-53-24-25-24-09-3571341510.31.0
3433.3Colorado St.MWC0.59720.5916414-717-111-51-23-28-14-010-423212310.30.8
8885.2Louisiana St.SEC0.55240.55016113-917-131-31-42-37-36-010-41042147510.20.6
151154.9Texas A&MB120.50630.54197411-1013-160-70-41-33-29-08-32113241459.90.4
208208.7NiagaraMAAC0.47590.49461679-1513-180-10-21-51-711-35-81821441999.70.5
7372.7Central FloridaCUSA0.56180.529410115-619-91-31-21-27-38-09-382191639.70.5
163164.6NortheasternCAA0.50080.494017011-1214-150-00-00-66-68-35-61321231559.60.5
8483.5WagnerNEC0.55380.454028219-425-40-00-11-16-217-09-248172749.51.3
7574.5PittsburghBE0.56040.56712914-918-132-42-34-47-34-011-250118659.50.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
275272.4UtahP120.43800.5494624-184-250-00-40-111-73-32-9280792639.41.0
283280.2South DakotaSum0.43070.47492225-147-180-00-30-21-66-63-42843352719.20.6
172174.1Western MichiganMAC0.49560.51551289-1313-170-20-31-53-39-45-910591659.10.4
147151.0Charleston SouthernBSth0.50850.459026611-916-100-20-10-12-413-34-41101261429.00.4
262259.9Western CarolinaSC0.44570.46332558-1511-180-00-20-42-39-94-71741622518.90.5
1415.8Southern MississippiCUSA0.62090.54506918-324-51-12-16-18-17-011-2146478.81.3
304304.8TowsonCAA0.40770.5300991-242-290-20-10-80-101-80-13303522968.81.2
4041.7Mississippi St.SEC0.58800.55036018-522-91-32-23-310-15-013-253175338.70.6
216214.4Southern MethodistCUSA0.47270.50711428-1311-180-20-21-34-86-27-61922332068.40.4
7876.4MassachusettsA100.55900.514013017-621-90-12-23-46-19-111-385230688.40.5
3639.4IllinoisB100.59020.57891716-620-113-62-14-26-15-011-244119318.40.6
339335.8Chicago St.GWC0.36680.45822721-203-250-20-10-10-63-141-173291693287.81.2
310309.6Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.40280.44902924-156-200-00-20-11-95-92-82942923027.60.7
256253.5PresbyterianBSth0.44980.45462809-1312-160-10-01-12-610-75-51431972467.50.4
219215.5PortlandWCC0.47230.5550525-186-220-40-40-42-74-32-10208172087.50.4
197196.4George WashingtonA100.48310.5463678-1510-200-20-51-85-34-35-9191841897.40.4
179177.4RiceCUSA0.49370.509014010-1113-150-20-30-44-58-16-62142291707.40.4
143147.3UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51070.482219810-815-100-20-40-23-211-23-6129291407.30.4
260256.3NC GreensboroSC0.44790.47922088-1510-190-30-10-32-58-71-10266322497.30.4
4749.2Saint Joseph'sA100.58090.56323615-919-121-11-35-37-35-010-53825427.20.5
187183.1DelawareCAA0.49030.481619911-1215-140-10-02-33-69-45-62422681767.10.4
228228.1Georgia SouthernSC0.46470.46972338-1211-150-00-00-32-89-50-83331782217.10.3
190187.0Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.48860.52181147-1311-160-20-21-23-85-23-612751807.00.2
165167.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.49890.434132113-718-90-10-20-03-214-47-41843171616.70.3
192187.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.48800.504914710-1313-160-20-12-24-67-52-11275491816.70.3
251250.6Rhode IslandA100.45190.5352865-196-250-10-32-80-94-43-122771402446.60.5
117117.5YaleIvy0.52990.475921713-516-100-10-20-15-511-18-41012761116.50.3
183178.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.49280.459026711-915-130-10-11-32-412-35-71731651726.30.3
158159.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50350.482719513-1116-130-00-12-43-611-25-82241541536.30.3
133135.3OaklandSum0.51770.515812712-1315-150-10-31-43-411-25-7111481296.30.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
120120.3Oklahoma St.B120.52760.58151310-1212-181-60-43-53-25-06-6146921146.30.4
128132.0GeorgiaSEC0.51990.57531910-1212-180-51-43-54-44-09-590651266.00.3
278274.9TroySB0.43510.48132006-158-180-00-20-32-86-54-62051842695.90.4
2425.8MemphisCUSA0.60560.56932516-722-91-41-25-111-14-010-5438205.80.6
5355.8XavierA100.57490.55834815-819-110-22-45-36-16-09-56637505.80.4
4849.6Middle TennesseeSB0.57970.483819120-425-40-01-13-29-112-010-345114445.60.7
2526.6San Diego St.MWC0.60500.54896518-322-62-34-23-06-18-012-258216215.60.5
2124.4TempleA100.60750.55195817-523-72-02-16-47-26-011-31539195.40.6
159159.3South Carolina UpstateASun0.50340.467624412-1016-130-10-01-43-412-35-61622361545.30.2
191187.2DePaulBE0.48800.520011811-1113-170-50-31-54-47-09-32233381825.20.3
2627.1ConnecticutBE0.60450.6019215-719-112-33-15-46-33-010-266225.10.5
221218.1McNeese St.Slnd0.47060.47092277-1011-150-10-11-21-79-42-8245782135.10.2
8077.1DaytonA100.55810.55285714-918-121-13-34-56-24-210-46773725.10.3
312310.1Loyola ChicagoHorz0.40210.46352544-176-220-00-20-31-105-74-62713333055.10.5
1821.0CreightonMVC0.61220.53099621-326-42-02-14-211-17-011-121138165.00.7
112113.9PennsylvaniaIvy0.53180.527810512-1018-130-21-21-58-38-18-9121401094.90.3
164164.6Washington St.P120.50080.505614411-1114-150-11-22-73-28-47-41542781604.60.2
9998.5VillanovaBE0.54300.58331010-1214-160-71-33-37-23-17-59133944.50.2
302304.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40810.45042885-147-180-00-10-12-65-101-83393263004.40.3
110111.2Robert MorrisNEC0.53370.467024617-822-90-10-13-33-315-29-437581074.20.4
7675.2ColoradoP120.56010.53827914-718-100-10-24-47-27-06-410793714.20.2
269264.1Virginia Military InstBSth0.44220.43843149-1111-150-10-00-21-811-43-53053302604.10.2
322319.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.39210.45692764-166-220-00-20-11-74-122-102911423154.10.4
1921.9Florida St.ACC0.61150.58111516-622-83-31-25-18-24-09-57530183.90.4
4344.9Brigham YoungWCC0.58410.529310318-622-71-41-14-05-211-010-34160413.90.5
284279.9Delaware St.MEAC0.43060.43383236-1110-160-00-00-32-59-71-93001492763.90.2
5762.9North Carolina St.ACC0.56920.56283917-720-111-51-23-29-26-011-45531593.90.3
148150.9AmericanPat0.50840.448529715-819-100-11-01-34-313-49-61643211473.90.2
66.8BaylorB120.64390.58141420-225-53-35-15-05-07-012-023633.81.1
8986.8OregonP120.55110.53279016-719-110-00-43-46-210-09-379122833.80.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
176174.7Air ForceMWC0.49480.5414759-1011-150-40-40-32-38-08-41952971713.70.2
1720.6IndianaB100.61280.56483118-623-83-42-15-27-17-013-017195173.60.5
320317.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.39430.48311942-214-260-30-10-50-103-93-92541583143.60.5
3939.6Iowa St.B120.58990.56293817-621-102-51-23-29-27-010-380180363.60.3
126128.5College of CharlestonSC0.52200.496816114-1018-120-10-12-36-310-48-422111253.50.2
1315.5MarquetteBE0.62160.57122319-524-72-32-16-29-15-011-23099123.50.5
330328.5HartfordAE0.38060.43493194-196-230-00-00-20-106-110-133432993253.50.5
3231.5VanderbiltSEC0.59860.5907516-720-112-42-25-38-24-011-43110283.50.4
340337.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.36400.46512511-182-250-00-10-40-82-120-113412913343.40.8
294293.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.41930.44053127-149-180-10-10-11-68-86-52493322903.40.3
9391.3DenverSB0.54800.486618417-721-82-01-21-15-412-110-33970883.30.3
132135.3RichmondA100.51800.53269112-1215-161-01-41-85-37-09-6971151323.30.2
200203.3North TexasSB0.47930.469423610-1013-130-00-21-33-59-34-62362262003.30.1
315314.2Houston BaptistGWC0.39770.44633045-157-190-10-10-22-46-114-122741713113.20.3
124126.1Old DominionCAA0.52350.511013315-1018-130-20-02-66-510-05-8156281233.10.2
6265.0PurdueB100.56760.56673015-819-121-63-34-15-26-010-374170623.00.2
2727.9GonzagaWCC0.60260.53378718-424-51-22-23-09-09-011-21934252.90.3
184179.8Florida AtlanticSB0.49230.51451298-1411-170-10-31-42-58-43-9150201772.80.1
286281.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42960.42503327-1311-170-10-20-20-311-81-9259352792.70.2
157158.6Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.50410.447429911-1117-130-30-20-31-216-21-1122571562.60.1
250249.5Appalachian St.SC0.45190.47062287-1311-160-10-00-23-58-73-6209832472.50.1
239240.4Missouri Kansas CitySum0.45730.49281738-1510-190-20-30-23-47-76-51342032382.40.1
241242.3Sacred HeartNEC0.45660.452228511-1414-170-00-00-34-710-66-72442982402.30.1
34.2DukeACC0.65390.5953319-326-54-43-16-010-03-013-21322.20.9
305305.2BrownIvy0.40760.47242266-167-230-00-20-21-136-65-113173083032.20.2
3839.1Long Beach St.BW0.59000.520311715-621-70-41-22-18-111-05-7271372.10.2
138140.0UABCUSA0.51500.5569509-1312-170-61-21-44-35-25-8165531382.00.1
314313.9HowardMEAC0.39790.45812734-186-220-30-10-11-75-112-10255423121.90.2
234233.7Texas TechB120.46140.5459687-158-220-60-40-41-76-07-52273032321.70.1
127131.7Norfolk St.MEAC0.52000.449329115-720-90-20-01-13-216-48-5761031301.70.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1011.7MissouriB120.62950.54447121-227-43-14-16-16-18-013-032264101.70.3
334332.6MD Baltimore CountyAE0.37410.43783153-195-240-10-00-10-115-111-123322803311.60.3
3131.4West VirginiaBE0.59910.5869815-820-112-33-27-46-23-010-32016301.40.1
309309.3Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.40300.45692774-177-200-10-00-20-97-81-163211563081.30.1
9493.2Virginia TechACC0.54670.55974513-1017-140-51-32-28-25-111-46996921.20.1
12.1SyracuseBE0.66620.57991623-129-24-13-07-19-05-013-034111.10.7
291288.1Seattleind0.42380.46602494-138-160-00-20-22-66-76-162932372871.10.1
324322.0CanisiusMAAC0.38910.45312834-196-230-10-20-40-66-114-73223423211.00.1
298296.0ColgatePat0.41670.46002647-169-200-20-00-21-78-106-92703012951.00.1
225226.0SienaMAAC0.46620.474622310-1213-160-01-10-44-58-65-62292672251.00.0
1113.9GeorgetownBE0.62480.57502017-422-64-33-12-28-15-09-11159130.90.2
103102.9LamarSlnd0.53970.475222013-819-100-30-10-26-313-27-649431020.90.1
1214.9FloridaSEC0.62290.56134419-424-72-43-14-011-25-012-329105140.90.1
9593.8St. BonaventureA100.54630.523711212-817-110-11-34-54-18-17-5102137930.80.0
88.8KansasB120.63700.5872618-524-74-43-15-16-06-010-3332780.80.2
261257.6UC RiversideBW0.44730.45882719-1211-170-10-20-24-57-75-72302272570.60.0
344343.4BinghamtonAE0.33750.43733170-231-280-10-00-20-91-160-133422903430.40.4
8382.4Missouri St.MVC0.55470.54906413-1117-131-41-32-27-47-07-58650820.40.0
342341.3GramblingSWAC0.35060.40723413-174-240-00-00-20-64-150-103351863410.30.1
5661.3MarshallCUSA0.57020.56772713-917-121-41-23-36-26-08-55413610.30.0
271266.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.44110.45172877-1410-180-20-10-21-510-82-10268772660.30.0
328326.2Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.38220.42263345-138-180-00-00-31-67-104-63233363260.20.0
227227.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.46540.52081158-159-200-40-31-43-75-23-83042872270.10.0
292291.1Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.42190.46472536-178-210-10-00-51-77-82-92891892910.10.0
9898.0MercerASun0.54310.470222917-721-90-10-10-36-315-17-5109212980.00.0
4445.9Kansas St.B120.58370.55455516-620-102-52-22-27-17-011-14722846-0.1-0.0
202206.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.47720.468323811-1114-140-00-00-52-712-24-6241234207-0.1-0.0
341337.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.36210.43403222-184-240-10-10-20-54-153-9290238338-0.2-0.0
54.6North CarolinaACC0.65230.5850920-326-53-43-15-010-05-013-25235-0.4-0.1
3739.5VirginiaACC0.59010.53199218-423-72-31-05-18-27-013-15126040-0.5-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
282280.4St. Peter'sMAAC0.43120.49861555-187-230-00-20-71-97-52-10308145281-0.6-0.1
115115.4NC AshevilleBSth0.53080.475421915-718-90-10-10-24-314-12-722047116-0.6-0.0
23.4Ohio St.B100.65830.5872720-326-56-33-15-08-05-012-19974-0.6-0.3
220216.3Wright St.Horz0.47130.499315310-1412-180-20-11-34-108-24-8222135217-0.7-0.0
78.2Michigan St.B100.63930.6089116-522-84-52-24-17-04-010-210189-0.8-0.2
338335.2RadfordBSth0.36940.46052622-214-250-10-00-21-93-132-9313174336-0.8-0.2
4243.6Oral RobertsSum0.58550.501315021-525-60-11-23-27-114-09-47813245-1.4-0.1
99.6Nevada Las VegasMWC0.63470.56423219-424-62-34-22-19-07-014-21610711-1.4-0.3
255252.5Jacksonville St.OVC0.45020.47242258-1511-170-10-20-22-88-54-8250167254-1.5-0.1
313311.5Longwoodind0.40070.43053256-148-190-10-30-20-27-127-18309313313-1.5-0.1
265260.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44500.43613188-1312-170-20-00-21-512-82-11310202262-1.5-0.1
8179.5DuquesneA100.55700.55485413-916-130-11-34-57-34-08-5886881-1.5-0.1
44.3KentuckySEC0.65320.55914723-129-25-23-14-011-05-014-18986-1.7-0.8
207208.3AlbanyAE0.47630.419333615-1019-120-10-00-22-717-29-6179315210-1.7-0.1
146150.3ColumbiaIvy0.50880.492617411-915-130-10-21-15-69-39-5103193152-1.7-0.1
2325.3LouisvilleBE0.60640.57482118-523-82-53-15-27-15-012-177627-1.7-0.2
343342.2UC DavisBW0.34600.44413080-212-270-10-20-10-81-151-12344322344-1.8-0.9
170173.1VermontAE0.49600.450028915-1019-120-00-20-24-615-27-8180190175-1.9-0.1
301303.9St. Francis PANEC0.40860.47662155-187-220-00-00-62-74-91-1028346306-2.1-0.2
230230.9FurmanSC0.46320.447230010-1113-140-00-00-22-611-64-5243309233-2.1-0.1
318315.8New HampshireAE0.39580.40673427-1310-170-00-00-11-79-85-6316341318-2.2-0.2
288285.8JacksonvilleASun0.42650.49211764-196-230-30-10-32-85-82-923989288-2.2-0.2
140141.7RutgersBE0.51370.55155912-1215-162-41-33-42-56-08-5201239144-2.3-0.1
303304.7William & MaryCAA0.40780.49481653-214-260-10-10-50-114-81-11327258307-2.3-0.3
3536.7HarvardIvy0.59270.485318619-225-41-01-12-011-110-113-23621039-2.3-0.3
104105.7TulsaCUSA0.53810.526210814-918-120-31-13-28-36-37-7136101108-2.3-0.2
270265.6PacificBW0.44190.46512527-1310-170-00-20-23-77-63-8296200268-2.4-0.1
101101.6MontanaBSky0.54050.473522414-620-70-01-11-24-215-26-5120109104-2.4-0.2
114115.3ManhattanMAAC0.53100.469323717-821-100-11-11-24-316-18-5141281118-2.7-0.2
5255.2South Dakota St.Sum0.57520.497016017-622-70-01-12-26-313-17-48716358-2.8-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8684.1Weber St.BSky0.55330.468024116-420-60-10-21-13-016-27-37011287-2.9-0.2
203208.1LipscombASun0.47660.483719210-1313-160-10-21-32-710-34-7188124211-2.9-0.2
105107.0Loyola MarymountWCC0.53670.53338813-916-120-32-41-14-210-26-614875110-3.0-0.2
6064.0DavidsonSC0.56830.495316216-521-71-20-10-16-214-15-556467-3.0-0.2
3332.0St. LouisA100.59790.53149417-523-60-11-27-36-18-011-24218735-3.0-0.3
174174.9TulaneCUSA0.49500.469923213-816-120-20-10-24-512-110-2123339178-3.1-0.1
102102.8ValparaisoHorz0.53970.494416815-818-110-11-02-28-47-35-6122151106-3.2-0.2
196192.6Cal PolyBW0.48520.448929311-1116-130-20-20-03-413-58-5142262196-3.4-0.2
280276.6MaristMAAC0.43370.47942068-1510-190-10-10-41-68-75-7234232280-3.4-0.2
253251.6James MadisonCAA0.45130.468024010-1512-190-00-00-62-910-47-6215296255-3.4-0.2
331328.5Northern ArizonaBSky0.38060.45902683-194-230-00-10-40-64-113-8298250332-3.5-0.5
337333.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.37070.41333393-156-200-10-10-10-66-120-831154337-3.6-0.4
2830.4AlabamaSEC0.60010.57302215-721-91-31-36-29-12-011-3405634-3.6-0.3
333331.4The CitadelSC0.37650.46942352-193-240-00-00-30-83-131-8324221335-3.6-0.6
326323.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.38790.47822112-213-250-10-10-30-112-91-11326235327-3.7-0.6
323320.3DartmouthIvy0.39080.47692133-185-240-00-20-31-114-83-12337306324-3.7-0.4
332329.2Florida A&MMEAC0.37920.42773294-176-220-00-10-10-76-130-12340251333-3.8-0.5
107109.2UCLAP120.53520.53189312-1017-130-20-33-65-38-07-5155129113-3.8-0.2
6769.1WashingtonP120.56470.53668216-720-100-20-24-47-19-07-51176273-3.9-0.2
296294.1SouthernSWAC0.41790.38613449-1113-150-00-00-10-613-81-9338307298-3.9-0.2
259255.0IUPU Fort WayneSum0.44860.47742127-139-170-00-31-32-67-54-4185312259-4.0-0.2
116116.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.53050.458926913-518-70-00-01-05-512-24-3172253120-4.0-0.2
321318.8NavyPat0.39290.48082032-194-230-10-00-30-83-122-11318245323-4.2-0.5
134136.4TennesseeSEC0.51740.56313710-1213-172-61-31-25-45-17-7204150141-4.6-0.2
4142.4CaliforniaP120.58720.53298918-623-80-20-17-26-29-010-3468547-4.6-0.4
156158.4East CarolinaCUSA0.50470.5419738-1010-150-30-11-44-55-15-4152182163-4.6-0.2
238240.2Western KentuckySB0.45790.50551458-1510-190-10-30-54-56-64-922145245-4.8-0.3
150152.1San FranciscoWCC0.50740.503814813-1015-130-30-31-22-312-28-4130242157-4.9-0.3
7271.1BucknellPat0.56270.486318517-622-70-10-10-38-113-09-69215776-4.9-0.4
106107.1Long IslandNEC0.53660.457527517-721-90-00-12-04-616-26-6166270112-4.9-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
229228.9Arkansas St.SB0.46440.49351719-1511-190-10-31-52-68-45-9198108234-5.1-0.2
8583.9Loyola MDMAAC0.55340.479720417-521-80-10-11-16-314-18-36420989-5.1-0.3
214212.8Florida InternationalSB0.47350.49891547-1410-170-00-21-33-66-53-821282218-5.2-0.3
215213.8RiderMAAC0.47300.49811589-1512-190-10-20-52-710-43-10237139219-5.2-0.3
317314.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.39740.45692784-186-240-00-10-32-74-121-13334257320-5.3-0.5
155156.6EvansvilleMVC0.50480.53718010-1212-160-50-13-13-66-25-5217164162-5.4-0.3
108109.5Illinois St.MVC0.53520.513713115-919-110-30-23-18-47-29-3131269115-5.5-0.3
327323.4Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.38740.47582182-214-250-10-00-30-113-111-10328194329-5.6-0.7
242242.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45640.444230610-1113-140-20-10-12-411-73-8307319248-5.6-0.3
181178.3CornellIvy0.49330.51811227-1211-160-00-21-45-95-14-922891184-5.7-0.2
295293.1ArmyPat0.41930.42793289-1312-160-00-00-31-510-76-8331344299-5.9-0.5
335334.0BryantNEC0.37180.46172602-223-270-10-10-50-83-131-11336273340-6.0-1.1
4649.0AkronMAC0.58100.53708115-720-100-01-34-55-110-07-7722655-6.0-0.5
290286.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.42580.46772435-148-190-00-10-50-68-72-9279143292-6.0-0.4
9289.9StanfordP120.54910.509913716-720-100-11-14-45-311-010-28924396-6.1-0.4
257254.7SamfordSC0.44910.47962057-1410-170-10-01-22-56-91-826757261-6.3-0.4
254251.5Northern ColoradoBSky0.45080.49801596-148-180-10-20-61-37-62-817514258-6.5-0.3
125127.3Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52310.495216413-1017-120-30-11-26-59-16-5114141134-6.7-0.4
5863.3NevadaWAC0.56900.508214117-421-70-10-23-27-211-010-48415370-6.7-0.5
8279.2DrexelCAA0.55680.469523419-523-70-00-22-17-314-18-49522386-6.8-0.6
141143.2ButlerHorz0.51300.516812512-1215-150-20-32-25-68-26-610824150-6.8-0.4
2021.8WisconsinB100.61090.57751818-623-83-63-14-08-15-011-2349429-7.2-1.2
204207.8NC WilmingtonCAA0.47650.51051359-1410-190-00-01-74-86-44-7157110215-7.2-0.4
5458.4TexasB120.57310.56912614-919-121-61-22-27-17-010-36312766-7.6-0.5
1516.3St. Mary'sWCC0.61960.527310620-225-31-23-04-15-012-010-2286624-7.7-1.6
7977.2Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.55830.481320120-524-70-01-12-28-313-010-38319985-7.8-0.6
281277.2ToledoMAC0.43340.44862948-1312-170-10-20-33-49-87-6264305285-7.8-0.5
2930.1Murray St.OVC0.60000.484818720-025-12-11-01-08-113-09-143838-7.9-0.9
182178.1Texas El PasoCUSA0.49290.53139510-1313-170-20-21-45-66-37-714580186-7.9-0.3
4952.0Cleveland St.Horz0.57800.498315718-424-60-01-03-210-310-110-2258860-8.0-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
266261.8Montana St.BSky0.44470.44423079-1111-150-00-10-31-49-83-7287310270-8.2-0.5
9694.6George MasonCAA0.54560.482419719-622-90-00-12-38-313-19-4116213103-8.4-0.5
300301.5Alabama St.SWAC0.41120.40923406-1410-180-00-10-20-610-91-9282152310-8.5-0.6
1617.4Wichita St.MVC0.61780.55704919-423-61-21-26-111-15-09-2121526-8.6-1.4
258255.4StetsonASun0.44870.49231757-159-190-20-10-42-87-52-823572264-8.6-0.4
308308.4Jackson St.SWAC0.40370.44862954-177-220-40-10-11-47-111-101872317-8.6-0.6
188183.3Fresno St.WAC0.49030.50091529-1413-170-00-11-54-98-28-8176224192-8.7-0.4
268264.2Morgan St.MEAC0.44260.45942655-1511-170-10-20-21-59-73-923281273-8.8-0.5
233233.1HoustonCUSA0.46180.494116910-1112-160-10-11-35-86-27-5262294242-8.9-0.4
6869.1La SalleA100.56430.518012317-721-100-11-24-46-39-011-49824078-8.9-0.6
9089.8CincinnatiBE0.54920.526011016-720-112-31-24-26-37-110-316332099-9.2-0.5
185181.7DetroitHorz0.49120.494616611-1214-150-00-30-37-67-25-6210161191-9.3-0.4
311309.6LibertyBSth0.40270.44752986-168-200-00-00-11-117-92-8330316319-9.4-1.0
336332.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.37160.40373433-147-180-10-10-00-67-100-7320100342-9.4-1.1
167169.6IdahoWAC0.49790.490917710-1114-140-00-11-34-68-37-7231274179-9.4-0.4
217214.3Savannah St.MEAC0.47260.425033111-1017-120-20-10-10-417-45-8257231224-9.7-0.4
231231.1Southern UtahSum0.46300.463025610-1212-150-10-30-31-510-43-6314343241-9.9-0.5
122125.0North Dakota St.Sum0.52450.478421013-817-100-00-20-27-110-46-3126288135-10.0-0.6
8784.8Kent St.MAC0.55260.503814915-620-90-01-21-46-311-110-37718595-10.2-0.6
195190.6East Tennessee St.ASun0.48600.458927011-1015-130-00-01-34-610-45-5170282201-10.4-0.5
173174.5CampbellBSth0.49540.455827914-1117-130-10-00-24-412-65-7190283185-10.5-0.5
293290.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42140.47002306-148-190-00-10-34-94-63-6281323301-10.5-0.6
287283.4High PointBSth0.42850.46762457-159-180-00-10-33-76-72-7292208294-10.6-0.8
7473.3New Mexico St.WAC0.56130.520611616-721-90-21-11-29-310-111-5739584-10.7-0.7
267261.2MaineAE0.44450.418933710-1013-140-00-10-11-612-56-5207311272-10.8-0.6
306305.2Sacramento St.BSky0.40710.43453206-149-170-00-00-31-58-94-6319334316-10.8-1.0
4546.0IonaMAAC0.58310.501215119-524-60-01-14-29-111-29-3265157-11.0-1.2
289285.8ChattanoogaSC0.42590.46662476-1610-180-20-10-21-48-103-7269147297-11.2-0.8
152154.7Stony BrookAE0.50630.428432714-718-90-10-00-15-313-44-7261277166-11.3-0.6
244244.5Texas SouthernSWAC0.45510.44553057-1513-170-30-20-30-312-61-1124712256-11.5-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
285281.3San Jose St.WAC0.42990.48891816-168-210-00-10-42-95-66-9253284293-11.7-0.8
199200.2Austin PeayOVC0.48070.51811218-1611-190-10-40-33-77-43-1121622212-11.8-0.7
175175.2Boston UniversityAE0.49490.475022112-1316-150-00-20-52-614-14-1117863187-11.8-0.7
329327.1Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38140.42333334-198-230-10-20-20-77-121-12301128339-11.9-1.2
276271.9Santa ClaraWCC0.43790.51051346-157-200-31-31-31-65-56-5177225284-12.1-0.9
213210.9Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.47480.460226311-1213-140-10-00-43-29-713-14219275223-12.1-0.6
274270.8Gardner WebbBSth0.43800.44723018-1511-180-10-00-13-99-74-7276314283-12.2-0.7
3030.8New MexicoMWC0.59930.53618418-423-62-23-14-17-09-113-28126343-12.2-1.4
223222.5Ball St.MAC0.46810.430132611-916-120-00-10-43-313-48-4218340235-12.5-0.6
136138.4FairfieldMAAC0.51580.505014612-1016-130-00-20-54-411-15-713587151-12.6-0.7
236239.2HofstraCAA0.45830.50971388-1711-200-01-01-62-106-47-6171130252-12.8-0.8
177175.1QuinnipiacNEC0.49450.462725713-1017-120-00-00-35-511-47-499215188-12.9-0.7
273269.0WinthropBSth0.43980.46242598-1510-180-10-10-21-99-61-9272136282-13.0-0.8
319316.7Texas St.Slnd0.39450.43883134-147-190-00-00-31-67-103-7285304330-13.3-1.0
5155.5WyomingMWC0.57540.53039816-520-82-31-21-15-210-012-27129569-13.5-1.0
113114.4Oregon St.P120.53130.506614314-818-110-01-24-53-39-19-2119302128-13.6-0.8
129132.3Utah St.WAC0.51980.519611912-1216-140-11-12-55-38-49-7118116146-13.7-0.7
166169.2Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49800.448629612-918-110-01-10-24-312-66-7167249183-13.8-0.7
264260.2UC IrvineBW0.44510.47682147-1310-170-10-30-31-69-53-8278117274-13.8-0.8
123125.1Georgia St.CAA0.52410.462525816-821-90-00-02-34-415-29-3159331139-13.9-0.9
222222.0Utah ValleyGWC0.46850.421133512-1016-110-00-10-30-415-47-10251266236-14.0-0.7
109109.7LehighPat0.53490.443030917-622-70-10-11-24-217-111-4113327124-14.3-1.4
307307.2HamptonMEAC0.40500.41683388-1412-180-00-00-00-711-114-10312325322-14.8-1.1
211210.4Miami OHMAC0.47500.52781046-1410-180-10-33-51-54-44-8248104226-15.6-0.7
145148.3ClemsonACC0.50990.529610011-1115-151-31-21-46-66-28-6203261164-15.7-0.7
194188.7St. Francis NYNEC0.48760.449729013-1016-130-00-00-33-413-53-8306318205-16.3-0.8
5963.5OhioMAC0.56880.495316318-423-70-11-15-25-212-112-26222280-16.5-1.1
235236.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.46000.461626110-1213-150-10-00-52-411-43-7295244253-16.7-0.8
154155.4Tennessee St.OVC0.50580.484518913-1015-130-20-20-13-411-45-7140155173-17.6-0.9
100100.3Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.54200.454128116-522-70-10-02-24-216-27-6112196119-18.7-1.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
153155.1Bowling GreenMAC0.50610.510013610-1114-151-11-22-54-47-36-7194192174-18.9-0.8
272266.8North DakotaGWC0.43980.44113116-1210-150-10-11-12-27-95-10233173286-19.2-0.8
7070.7BuffaloMAC0.56330.517912413-618-90-11-23-35-28-16-59311190-19.3-1.1
210210.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47530.46802429-1312-160-10-10-42-510-54-8151181230-19.5-1.0
189184.5HawaiiWAC0.48950.490317812-915-130-10-12-34-58-47-7258272204-19.5-0.9
171173.4WoffordSC0.49590.452228613-917-120-10-10-24-312-75-6183289193-19.6-0.9
178176.5Boise St.MWC0.49410.5385779-1212-160-41-40-35-55-09-5144286197-20.5-0.9
7170.5BelmontASun0.56310.489718016-722-80-21-12-17-212-27-5596991-20.5-1.8
209210.2LafayettePat0.47530.484718810-1312-170-00-10-52-710-35-10246205231-20.8-1.3
245245.2IUPUISum0.45500.49851568-1510-190-20-31-23-67-75-6181168267-21.8-1.1
135136.1Tennessee TechOVC0.51720.483219314-917-110-10-20-26-311-36-6137201159-22.9-1.4
180177.9Western IllinoisSum0.49330.488118310-912-130-10-30-22-39-53-4168255202-24.1-1.1
246244.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.45480.43133248-913-130-00-00-22-511-63-7325328277-32.3-1.4
237240.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.45800.43773167-1111-150-10-00-30-411-72-820667275-34.5-1.5

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com