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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
166	161.8	Rutgers	BE	0.5038	0.5558	51	11-12	13-17	0-6	0-3	3-6	5-3	5-0	9-3	105	229	122	39.8	2.0
291	286.8	Longwood	ind	0.4240	0.4542	272	5-16	8-19	0-1	0-3	0-3	1-2	7-10	5-17	268	175	256	30.8	1.7
120	123.2	Duquesne	A10	0.5258	0.5382	87	11-11	14-15	0-4	0-5	0-2	7-4	7-0	8-5	79	105	95	28.2	1.3
181	180.2	DePaul	BE	0.4934	0.5634	37	8-15	10-20	1-6	1-3	1-7	3-2	4-2	7-5	140	171	152	28.2	1.5
316	314.2	Winston Salem St.	ind	0.4006	0.4388	311	5-12	8-18	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-4	8-10	7-18	300	300	290	24.2	1.6
140	141.9	San Jose St.	WAC	0.5153	0.5196	122	11-11	14-15	0-0	0-3	2-4	3-4	8-4	7-6	128	210	119	22.9	0.9
87	88.9	Northwestern	B10	0.5489	0.5163	130	16-7	21-10	1-4	0-2	3-2	6-1	11-1	12-1	63	288	66	22.9	1.5
191	192.9	Central Florida	CUSA	0.4861	0.5076	148	10-11	13-16	0-0	0-3	0-8	4-4	8-1	7-6	167	182	170	22.9	1.2
55	54.4	Texas Tech	B12	0.5798	0.5840	15	15-7	18-12	1-7	2-3	3-2	6-1	6-0	12-2	15	94	32	22.4	1.5
310	308.9	Gardner Webb	BSth	0.4067	0.4636	254	4-16	6-20	0-2	0-1	0-2	0-6	6-9	0-8	303	49	288	20.9	1.6
336	331.1	North Dakota	GWC	0.3805	0.4114	336	3-16	8-19	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-4	7-12	2-13	333	232	311	20.1	2.4
244	243.1	East Carolina	CUSA	0.4547	0.5314	103	4-16	6-21	0-3	0-4	0-5	1-6	5-3	3-8	177	32	224	19.1	1.3
282	278.3	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.4302	0.4705	233	8-16	10-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-8	9-9	4-11	291	209	260	18.3	1.2
213	210.1	Ball St.	MAC	0.4762	0.4703	235	11-10	14-14	0-3	0-2	1-1	6-3	7-5	6-6	236	250	192	18.1	0.9
175	173.0	Stanford	P10	0.4975	0.5375	91	10-13	13-17	0-2	0-3	3-7	4-4	6-1	6-6	186	158	155	18.0	0.8
228	223.8	North Florida	ASun	0.4677	0.4639	253	10-13	13-16	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-8	10-4	4-5	146	131	206	17.8	1.1
226	222.5	San Francisco	WCC	0.4686	0.5211	116	7-15	9-18	0-1	1-3	0-5	2-6	6-4	3-10	262	100	205	17.5	1.1
202	204.1	Northern Arizona	BSky	0.4798	0.4752	221	9-11	11-14	0-1	0-1	0-5	1-5	10-2	4-5	168	196	187	17.1	0.9
145	144.7	Cleveland St.	Horz	0.5136	0.5382	88	10-12	14-15	0-5	0-2	1-3	5-6	6-0	3-8	211	16	128	16.7	0.8
221	217.6	Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.4714	0.4625	258	10-11	13-14	0-0	0-0	0-4	2-7	11-3	5-4	205	283	202	15.6	0.8
112	113.5	Colorado St.	MWC	0.5320	0.5339	98	13-9	15-14	0-4	0-3	1-2	6-5	8-0	8-5	112	201	98	15.5	0.8
136	138.5	La Salle	A10	0.5172	0.5377	90	11-12	14-16	0-5	0-4	0-3	6-3	8-1	8-6	109	103	123	15.5	0.8
73	75.1	Notre Dame	BE	0.5603	0.5526	58	17-7	20-11	1-3	1-2	5-4	6-2	6-1	11-2	84	247	60	15.1	1.1
258	263.1	NC Greensboro	SC	0.4408	0.5100	143	5-18	7-22	0-2	0-3	0-5	1-7	6-5	1-10	243	17	248	15.1	1.1
66	64.9	South Florida	BE	0.5695	0.5596	45	15-8	19-11	2-3	1-2	5-5	6-1	5-0	10-2	58	197	50	14.9	1.2
80	81.7	Arizona	P10	0.5545	0.5715	30	12-11	16-14	1-3	1-3	4-4	8-3	3-1	6-6	97	8	67	14.7	1.1
270	269.6	Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.4363	0.4621	259	8-14	10-17	0-0	0-0	1-3	3-9	6-6	3-6	255	255	255	14.6	0.9
121	124.0	St. Louis	A10	0.5258	0.5291	105	13-8	16-13	1-2	2-3	1-3	7-4	6-1	8-5	171	217	110	14.0	0.6
157	154.9	Maine	AE	0.5083	0.4558	266	14-8	17-11	0-1	0-0	1-1	4-5	13-4	7-5	130	230	141	13.9	0.8
272	272.8	Cal Poly	BW	0.4341	0.4533	275	8-14	10-19	0-1	0-1	0-1	2-6	8-10	3-10	313	314	259	13.8	0.8
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
247	246.7	NC Asheville	BSth	0.4522	0.4786	210	7-14	10-16	0-2	0-1	0-2	2-6	8-6	0-8	267	6	233	13.7	0.9
125	129.7	Austin Peay	OVC	0.5221	0.5053	152	12-11	16-13	0-2	0-1	1-4	5-5	10-2	5-6	122	24	116	13.7	0.7
123	126.3	Arkansas	SEC	0.5239	0.5632	38	12-11	15-16	0-4	1-3	3-4	5-3	5-1	7-8	189	66	113	13.3	0.7
280	277.0	UC Irvine	BW	0.4310	0.4440	297	8-14	12-17	0-1	0-0	0-1	3-8	9-8	6-7	266	328	264	13.0	0.7
97	101.8	Georgia	SEC	0.5397	0.5838	16	10-11	13-16	3-4	1-4	2-6	2-3	5-0	8-5	88	75	89	12.8	0.6
198	202.4	Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.4808	0.4857	189	10-12	12-16	0-1	0-0	0-6	2-4	10-4	4-6	154	107	190	12.4	0.7
194	197.1	Bowling Green	MAC	0.4834	0.4884	182	10-11	13-15	0-1	0-1	1-1	4-10	7-2	7-5	183	281	185	12.1	0.6
35	35.5	Gonzaga	WCC	0.5982	0.5203	117	18-4	24-5	1-2	2-1	6-0	4-0	12-1	12-3	40	45	24	11.5	1.3
231	226.0	Delaware	CAA	0.4662	0.5377	89	6-17	8-21	0-2	0-6	0-4	3-5	4-5	4-8	162	42	215	11.0	0.7
92	91.9	Indiana St.	MVC	0.5463	0.5428	78	13-10	16-13	0-2	0-2	2-3	11-5	3-2	7-4	66	120	81	10.9	0.7
223	220.8	Santa Clara	WCC	0.4698	0.5163	131	8-16	10-19	0-0	0-6	0-4	3-4	7-5	6-9	190	109	210	10.8	0.9
149	146.7	UCLA	P10	0.5126	0.5555	52	11-12	13-17	1-3	1-1	3-8	4-5	4-1	5-7	188	47	136	10.7	0.6
171	167.5	Arkansas St.	SB	0.5008	0.4748	222	12-9	15-12	0-0	0-1	0-3	6-4	10-3	3-6	247	189	157	10.5	0.5
96	101.2	St. John's	BE	0.5400	0.5719	29	12-10	15-15	1-6	2-3	3-4	4-2	5-0	10-2	39	115	91	10.2	0.5
109	111.0	Washington St.	P10	0.5335	0.5168	126	14-8	17-12	0-2	0-3	3-3	5-4	9-0	9-2	67	275	101	10.0	0.5
169	163.8	Auburn	SEC	0.5029	0.5472	69	10-12	13-17	0-3	0-3	2-6	4-4	7-1	8-6	156	166	154	9.8	0.5
101	105.7	Drexel	CAA	0.5365	0.5181	123	14-11	17-14	0-3	2-3	1-2	4-4	10-2	5-8	157	97	96	9.7	0.6
284	282.7	Elon	SC	0.4271	0.4818	198	4-17	7-22	0-1	0-1	0-4	2-8	5-9	2-9	271	161	273	9.7	0.6
21	23.6	Michigan St.	B10	0.6120	0.5554	53	19-5	24-7	2-3	2-1	6-2	6-1	8-0	10-3	46	118	14	9.6	1.0
131	134.5	Appalachian St.	SC	0.5192	0.4815	199	11-9	17-11	0-1	0-1	2-1	6-4	8-5	5-5	102	46	125	9.5	0.4
227	222.4	Seattle	ind	0.4684	0.4548	270	11-13	15-16	0-0	0-1	1-4	3-5	11-6	14-16	219	272	213	9.4	0.5
289	286.4	Florida International	SB	0.4246	0.4814	201	6-19	7-23	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-10	5-8	2-10	287	203	277	9.4	0.8
46	46.3	Wichita St.	MVC	0.5877	0.5165	128	19-5	23-7	1-2	1-1	4-1	9-3	8-0	10-2	73	274	37	9.3	0.9
23	25.2	Wake Forest	ACC	0.6104	0.5735	28	16-5	20-8	1-3	4-2	5-3	4-1	6-0	10-2	37	123	16	9.2	0.8
195	199.8	Iowa	B10	0.4820	0.5631	39	8-16	10-21	0-6	0-4	0-7	3-4	6-0	6-7	191	92	191	8.8	0.6
224	220.8	Louisiana St.	SEC	0.4697	0.5389	84	9-14	11-19	0-3	0-4	1-7	3-6	6-0	9-5	163	207	212	8.8	0.5
76	79.8	Oklahoma	B12	0.5561	0.5815	18	13-9	15-15	2-5	2-4	3-2	4-2	4-1	9-5	95	141	71	8.8	0.6
90	90.7	Miami FL	ACC	0.5474	0.5254	112	15-7	18-11	1-2	2-3	4-4	2-2	10-0	13-0	61	343	82	8.7	0.5
48	47.7	Oklahoma St.	B12	0.5866	0.5759	26	16-7	19-11	2-5	1-2	2-3	9-1	5-0	12-2	29	146	39	8.7	0.7
17	20.7	Rhode Island	A10	0.6153	0.5422	79	19-3	24-5	1-2	3-2	4-0	12-1	5-0	12-1	4	30	12	8.7	1.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
70	72.6	Seton Hall	BE	0.5628	0.5704	31	12-9	17-12	1-6	2-2	3-4	5-1	7-0	9-2	60	194	64	8.6	0.6
162	159.5	Rider	MAAC	0.5055	0.5029	159	13-12	15-16	0-1	0-2	1-4	5-8	9-1	7-6	129	178	151	8.5	0.5
159	158.4	North Texas	SB	0.5059	0.4508	282	13-8	17-10	0-1	0-1	0-0	4-4	13-4	6-3	89	221	150	8.4	0.4
98	101.2	Western Carolina	SC	0.5397	0.4735	224	15-6	19-9	0-1	1-1	2-1	5-3	12-3	7-3	38	57	93	8.2	0.5
294	292.2	Centenary	Sum	0.4206	0.4674	245	6-16	7-20	0-0	0-1	0-6	1-4	7-8	3-6	218	144	284	8.2	0.6
301	296.7	Georgia Southern	SC	0.4168	0.4992	162	4-19	6-23	0-0	0-1	1-5	3-10	2-8	1-10	315	150	289	7.7	0.5
256	257.4	Youngstown St.	Horz	0.4446	0.5051	153	6-15	7-20	0-3	0-1	0-3	3-11	5-2	4-5	164	174	250	7.4	0.5
38	38.1	Richmond	A10	0.5959	0.5475	67	18-6	22-9	1-2	4-3	2-3	8-1	7-0	11-4	36	58	31	7.1	0.7
324	323.0	Toledo	MAC	0.3924	0.4986	164	2-21	3-27	0-1	0-1	0-5	0-13	3-7	2-12	299	145	316	7.0	0.9
200	202.8	Oregon St.	P10	0.4804	0.5160	133	10-12	12-18	0-1	0-2	2-6	6-6	3-3	6-6	232	299	196	6.8	0.4
315	313.8	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.4019	0.4373	316	6-16	9-21	0-0	0-0	0-4	0-5	9-12	2-12	327	260	307	6.8	0.5
132	135.6	Miami OH	MAC	0.5187	0.5291	106	10-13	14-16	0-3	0-2	2-3	5-5	7-2	4-10	226	50	129	6.6	0.3
143	144.6	UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.5137	0.4784	211	12-8	16-10	0-1	0-1	1-1	3-3	11-4	4-6	182	122	138	6.6	0.3
43	42.6	Mississippi	SEC	0.5913	0.5515	61	17-6	22-8	1-4	1-1	4-2	8-1	8-0	12-2	24	85	36	6.6	0.6
177	177.5	Saint Joseph's	A10	0.4953	0.5479	65	9-14	11-19	0-5	1-4	1-2	4-7	4-1	6-8	138	38	171	6.5	0.3
275	275.5	Idaho St.	BSky	0.4322	0.4950	172	4-17	6-21	0-1	0-1	1-6	1-8	5-5	2-9	259	101	269	6.5	0.4
142	143.2	Jacksonville	ASun	0.5143	0.4680	242	13-10	17-12	0-1	0-2	0-2	4-4	13-4	4-5	121	84	137	6.2	0.3
260	264.2	UC Riverside	BW	0.4399	0.4625	256	7-14	10-17	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-6	7-8	5-6	229	243	258	6.2	0.4
335	331.2	Stetson	ASun	0.3817	0.4616	260	3-18	4-23	0-0	0-2	0-2	1-8	3-11	0-7	330	173	325	6.2	1.0
154	152.1	Oregon	P10	0.5094	0.5374	92	12-10	15-15	0-1	1-3	4-6	5-4	5-1	8-4	119	138	146	6.1	0.3
16	19.0	Northern Iowa	MVC	0.6178	0.5273	109	21-2	26-3	0-0	2-1	5-1	12-1	6-0	10-1	54	212	13	6.0	0.8
249	250.0	Northern Illinois	MAC	0.4499	0.4771	213	8-14	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-4	2-8	9-4	4-9	265	249	244	6.0	0.4
111	111.9	Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.5329	0.5141	137	10-8	15-11	0-1	0-3	1-4	4-1	10-2	6-4	115	223	106	5.9	0.3
314	313.9	Howard	MEAC	0.4019	0.4406	306	6-18	8-23	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-8	8-12	1-14	335	200	308	5.9	0.5
199	202.7	Canisius	MAAC	0.4804	0.4844	192	11-14	14-16	0-0	0-2	1-2	5-9	7-4	6-6	223	305	197	5.7	0.4
82	82.7	New Mexico St.	WAC	0.5537	0.5457	72	13-8	16-13	0-2	1-3	2-3	5-4	8-1	6-7	110	53	77	5.7	0.4
279	276.7	Tennessee St.	OVC	0.4314	0.4883	183	5-20	7-24	0-1	0-1	0-5	2-9	6-8	3-10	237	137	271	5.7	0.4
84	83.6	North Carolina	ACC	0.5532	0.5840	14	13-10	16-15	1-7	2-3	4-3	4-1	5-0	11-4	56	87	78	5.6	0.4
209	206.5	Wyoming	MWC	0.4783	0.5585	48	7-14	9-19	0-6	1-3	1-1	3-6	4-4	5-7	185	71	201	5.5	0.4
31	34.4	UAB	CUSA	0.5994	0.5327	101	19-4	24-6	1-0	1-1	5-4	8-1	9-0	12-2	23	98	29	5.4	0.5
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
186	186.3	Central Michigan	MAC	0.4901	0.4722	229	10-10	15-13	0-1	0-0	1-3	3-7	10-3	5-7	225	259	181	5.3	0.2
288	285.3	UC Davis	BW	0.4253	0.4528	277	7-13	9-19	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-9	8-9	2-10	321	320	280	5.3	0.3
237	236.2	South Dakota	GWC	0.4594	0.4013	340	9-9	15-10	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-2	14-3	5-8	245	213	231	5.2	0.4
192	194.2	Massachusetts	A10	0.4855	0.5470	70	7-15	9-20	0-4	0-4	1-3	4-8	4-1	5-8	166	60	189	5.2	0.3
61	61.1	Cincinnati	BE	0.5731	0.5880	8	14-9	17-13	2-5	2-4	4-4	5-1	4-0	9-3	31	43	56	5.1	0.4
172	170.0	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.4994	0.4337	322	13-6	17-9	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-2	16-3	7-3	142	287	165	5.0	0.2
75	79.9	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.5563	0.4833	195	12-5	18-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	7-3	11-2	4-5	149	89	75	4.9	0.3
57	56.7	William & Mary	CAA	0.5778	0.5328	100	15-7	19-10	1-0	3-3	2-3	5-1	9-2	8-3	12	22	52	4.7	0.4
100	103.7	Northern Colorado	BSky	0.5376	0.4475	291	19-5	23-6	0-0	0-0	2-2	6-2	14-2	11-2	100	316	99	4.7	0.4
117	121.6	Western Michigan	MAC	0.5271	0.5106	142	12-10	16-13	0-1	1-1	2-3	4-6	8-3	7-6	71	29	117	4.6	0.2
71	72.6	Oakland	Sum	0.5622	0.4988	163	16-8	20-9	0-4	0-0	1-1	5-2	15-1	4-7	104	10	68	4.6	0.5
239	236.6	Delaware St.	MEAC	0.4586	0.4422	301	8-9	12-12	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-5	11-4	2-6	285	135	232	4.6	0.2
216	212.6	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.4744	0.4654	249	9-11	13-14	0-0	0-1	1-2	4-4	8-6	5-6	207	225	208	4.6	0.2
115	115.5	Bradley	MVC	0.5304	0.5472	68	12-11	15-14	0-2	0-2	4-4	5-6	5-0	6-5	161	102	111	4.5	0.2
264	266.4	Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.4380	0.5049	154	5-16	8-19	0-0	0-1	0-5	4-8	3-6	2-7	209	11	262	4.4	0.2
72	74.3	South Carolina	SEC	0.5610	0.5769	22	13-9	16-14	2-5	1-3	3-4	6-2	5-0	9-5	87	90	70	4.3	0.3
11	14.3	New Mexico	MWC	0.6247	0.5497	62	21-3	26-5	3-1	3-2	4-1	8-1	8-0	14-1	10	54	10	4.3	0.9
19	23.3	Texas A&M	B12	0.6133	0.5957	7	16-6	19-10	2-6	3-2	4-2	5-0	5-0	10-3	33	48	19	4.3	0.4
62	62.2	Virginia Tech	ACC	0.5720	0.5140	138	18-4	22-8	1-3	2-2	5-3	5-1	9-0	13-1	85	344	58	4.2	0.3
119	122.0	Oral Roberts	Sum	0.5263	0.4927	178	13-11	18-12	1-1	1-1	0-6	2-2	13-2	4-8	143	31	118	4.0	0.2
26	26.0	Pittsburgh	BE	0.6091	0.5849	12	17-6	22-9	2-4	2-1	6-3	8-1	3-1	11-2	25	55	22	4.0	0.4
12	14.9	Purdue	B10	0.6245	0.5578	49	19-3	25-5	4-2	2-2	4-2	8-0	7-0	12-0	7	72	11	3.9	0.6
18	21.8	Vanderbilt	SEC	0.6147	0.5763	25	16-5	21-8	2-2	3-1	6-3	6-2	5-0	10-3	44	80	18	3.8	0.4
240	239.8	Lamar	Slnd	0.4569	0.4648	250	10-11	13-15	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-6	9-6	5-7	263	265	236	3.8	0.2
104	106.8	Boston College	ACC	0.5359	0.5688	33	12-11	15-15	0-5	1-4	4-4	4-3	5-0	9-5	153	205	103	3.8	0.2
170	167.6	Valparaiso	Horz	0.5010	0.5076	147	9-13	12-16	0-3	0-1	0-3	6-6	6-3	2-8	235	180	164	3.6	0.2
326	323.6	Dartmouth	Ivy	0.3913	0.4764	215	3-16	5-22	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-8	5-10	3-10	306	234	320	3.6	0.4
114	115.6	Pacific	BW	0.5305	0.4727	227	15-7	20-10	0-1	1-2	2-1	3-4	15-2	9-5	131	169	112	3.6	0.2
74	76.5	Illinois	B10	0.5591	0.5589	47	16-8	18-13	2-4	2-3	2-2	4-3	8-0	8-5	125	108	73	3.5	0.3
220	217.4	NC Wilmington	CAA	0.4716	0.5245	113	7-16	9-20	0-1	0-5	1-5	2-7	6-3	4-8	196	112	214	3.4	0.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
9	12.3	Wisconsin	B10	0.6292	0.5688	32	18-5	24-6	3-2	2-2	6-1	5-1	7-0	10-2	22	44	9	3.3	0.6
225	221.2	South Alabama	SB	0.4691	0.4646	251	11-12	13-15	0-0	1-1	1-1	3-9	9-3	6-4	169	264	218	3.2	0.2
173	170.2	Troy	SB	0.4994	0.4827	196	10-11	13-13	0-0	0-1	0-2	6-5	7-4	2-6	210	78	167	3.2	0.2
255	257.2	Samford	SC	0.4449	0.4869	188	6-15	8-19	0-1	0-2	0-5	1-7	7-4	3-6	195	83	254	3.2	0.2
251	252.2	Liberty	BSth	0.4484	0.4557	267	9-12	11-16	0-0	0-2	0-2	1-7	10-5	2-7	260	114	249	3.2	0.2
147	145.2	St. Peter's	MAAC	0.5131	0.4844	193	14-10	17-12	0-0	0-2	1-2	8-3	8-4	6-5	220	307	142	3.2	0.2
248	250.1	Columbia	Ivy	0.4499	0.4690	241	8-12	11-17	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-6	10-6	6-8	227	248	247	3.1	0.2
52	52.1	Cornell	Ivy	0.5822	0.4811	202	18-3	25-4	0-2	0-0	3-2	8-0	14-0	12-3	45	139	49	3.1	0.4
328	326.0	Presbyterian	BSth	0.3886	0.4691	238	3-21	5-25	0-1	0-3	0-4	0-7	5-12	1-11	278	76	323	3.0	0.3
45	44.0	San Diego St.	MWC	0.5897	0.5463	71	14-7	19-9	1-3	1-2	1-1	9-2	7-1	9-3	35	104	41	3.0	0.3
15	17.9	Butler	Horz	0.6189	0.5417	80	20-4	25-5	1-1	2-2	3-1	13-0	6-0	8-4	32	5	15	2.9	0.5
128	132.8	George Mason	CAA	0.5203	0.5046	156	15-9	17-13	0-2	1-4	1-2	4-3	11-2	6-6	208	160	130	2.8	0.1
252	255.7	Tulane	CUSA	0.4460	0.5048	155	7-15	9-20	0-1	0-3	0-6	2-6	6-5	5-8	249	220	253	2.7	0.2
99	102.5	Montana	BSky	0.5384	0.4702	236	15-7	18-8	0-0	0-1	1-2	5-3	11-2	7-3	83	195	100	2.5	0.2
51	50.5	Florida	SEC	0.5835	0.5615	43	17-6	21-10	2-6	2-2	4-1	7-0	6-1	12-3	72	154	48	2.5	0.2
313	312.5	St. Francis PA	NEC	0.4033	0.4491	288	7-16	9-20	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-7	8-10	3-9	314	254	310	2.5	0.2
271	269.4	High Point	BSth	0.4361	0.4228	330	9-12	12-15	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-5	10-8	3-6	282	331	267	2.4	0.1
29	32.4	Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.6016	0.5368	94	18-4	23-6	3-2	2-1	4-1	6-2	9-0	11-2	49	153	30	2.4	0.3
238	237.3	Binghamton	AE	0.4589	0.4794	207	9-14	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-11	8-4	3-10	257	132	235	2.3	0.2
261	265.2	Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.4394	0.4625	257	8-13	11-16	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-5	9-5	3-6	323	304	263	2.2	0.1
130	134.2	Buffalo	MAC	0.5195	0.5123	141	11-9	14-13	0-1	0-1	1-2	6-8	7-2	6-5	96	116	132	2.2	0.1
89	90.2	College of Charleston	SC	0.5478	0.4941	176	16-8	20-10	0-1	0-1	1-1	5-6	13-2	5-7	134	51	88	2.2	0.1
293	288.1	Rice	CUSA	0.4236	0.4810	203	7-15	9-20	0-1	0-2	0-5	1-7	8-5	6-7	244	263	286	2.1	0.2
346	345.0	Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.3412	0.4392	309	0-23	2-29	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-5	2-19	0-13	320	61	343	2.0	1.0
78	81.0	Southern California	P10	0.5554	0.5476	66	14-9	18-12	2-2	3-1	3-2	5-5	5-1	8-4	75	59	79	2.0	0.1
134	136.9	George Washington	A10	0.5178	0.5066	151	12-10	16-13	0-2	0-4	1-2	6-4	8-1	10-3	123	309	135	1.9	0.1
25	24.9	Temple	A10	0.6100	0.5523	60	19-5	24-7	3-3	3-2	2-1	10-2	7-0	12-3	28	37	23	1.9	0.2
286	284.9	Hartford	AE	0.4258	0.4566	264	7-16	9-20	0-2	0-0	0-1	1-10	9-7	2-11	338	282	283	1.9	0.1
110	110.7	North Carolina St.	ACC	0.5334	0.5429	77	14-10	17-14	1-2	2-4	3-7	4-1	7-0	12-3	103	276	109	1.7	0.1
102	106.5	Alabama	SEC	0.5360	0.5525	59	13-10	16-14	1-5	1-3	2-3	4-2	9-0	10-4	90	113	105	1.5	0.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
196	201.5	Lipscomb	ASun	0.4812	0.4483	290	12-11	16-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	5-3	11-5	2-6	310	289	200	1.5	0.1
85	84.3	Portland	WCC	0.5522	0.5164	129	13-8	18-9	0-1	1-4	1-2	5-2	11-1	8-5	94	73	83	1.3	0.1
300	296.2	Fordham	A10	0.4180	0.5361	95	2-19	2-26	0-5	0-4	0-2	1-9	1-6	2-10	294	191	295	1.2	0.1
6	6.2	Villanova	BE	0.6487	0.5818	17	20-2	25-5	3-4	4-1	7-1	6-0	4-0	11-1	17	149	5	1.2	0.4
124	127.1	Nebraska	B12	0.5236	0.5485	64	13-10	16-15	0-7	1-3	3-2	3-4	8-0	12-3	82	280	126	1.1	0.1
47	47.1	Charlotte	A10	0.5868	0.5356	96	18-5	22-8	1-5	3-3	1-0	8-1	9-0	10-4	69	165	46	1.1	0.1
295	292.1	Towson	CAA	0.4206	0.4882	184	5-17	7-21	0-1	0-4	0-3	1-8	5-6	3-8	290	253	291	1.1	0.1
2	3.0	Syracuse	BE	0.6645	0.5875	9	23-1	28-3	4-1	4-1	10-0	6-0	4-0	13-0	1	39	2	1.0	0.6
8	8.9	Georgetown	BE	0.6384	0.6088	1	17-5	21-8	5-4	2-2	5-2	5-0	4-0	10-1	5	15	8	0.9	0.2
1	1.8	Kansas	B12	0.6727	0.5868	10	22-1	28-3	5-2	4-1	6-0	11-0	3-0	14-1	6	40	1	0.8	0.6
3	3.7	Duke	ACC	0.6602	0.5960	6	19-4	26-5	2-3	6-1	8-1	6-1	3-0	13-2	9	27	3	0.7	0.4
152	148.7	Denver	SB	0.5116	0.4809	204	14-9	17-12	0-1	0-0	1-2	5-5	12-4	7-4	80	52	148	0.7	0.0
86	85.5	Missouri St.	MVC	0.5514	0.5196	121	16-8	19-11	0-2	0-2	4-2	8-5	8-0	11-1	53	251	85	0.5	0.0
342	342.5	Houston Baptist	GWC	0.3522	0.3950	345	5-17	7-23	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-5	7-16	1-17	347	323	342	0.5	0.2
163	160.4	Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.5048	0.4953	168	11-11	15-14	0-3	0-1	1-2	5-8	8-1	7-4	127	226	160	0.4	0.0
32	34.4	Siena	MAAC	0.5993	0.5145	136	20-4	24-6	0-3	1-1	3-1	11-1	9-0	7-5	91	86	34	0.4	0.1
34	35.4	Old Dominion	CAA	0.5983	0.5410	81	18-7	23-8	1-1	2-4	4-2	5-1	12-0	8-5	30	7	35	0.4	0.0
24	25.2	Georgia Tech	ACC	0.6104	0.5840	13	16-6	20-9	2-2	3-3	5-3	4-1	5-0	11-2	27	117	25	0.2	0.0
116	120.1	Princeton	Ivy	0.5276	0.4565	265	12-5	19-8	0-1	0-1	2-1	2-3	15-1	8-5	158	291	120	0.1	0.0
39	38.1	Ohio St.	B10	0.5957	0.5435	76	18-6	23-8	3-4	2-1	3-2	5-1	10-0	10-3	55	148	38	0.1	0.0
5	6.1	Kentucky	SEC	0.6493	0.5671	35	22-1	27-4	2-1	3-0	8-2	11-0	4-0	15-0	8	88	6	0.1	0.0
63	63.1	Tulsa	CUSA	0.5715	0.5257	110	17-5	21-9	0-1	1-2	3-4	7-1	10-0	10-4	92	162	63	0.1	0.0
7	7.0	Kansas St.	B12	0.6447	0.6010	5	18-4	23-6	4-2	3-2	3-1	10-0	3-0	12-1	3	19	7	-0.0	-0.0
118	120.9	Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.5270	0.5070	149	14-9	17-12	1-2	0-1	2-2	5-7	8-0	7-4	111	136	121	-0.1	-0.0
243	241.9	IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.4556	0.4500	285	9-12	12-15	0-2	0-1	0-3	2-4	10-5	4-5	230	271	242	-0.1	-0.0
250	250.9	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.4489	0.4008	341	8-9	13-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-1	13-6	1-6	329	184	251	-0.1	-0.0
4	3.9	West Virginia	BE	0.6601	0.6030	2	19-3	25-5	4-3	4-1	8-1	7-0	2-0	11-1	2	25	4	-0.1	-0.1
222	219.8	Chattanooga	SC	0.4700	0.4786	209	11-12	13-16	0-1	0-2	1-4	4-3	8-6	6-5	144	140	220	-0.2	-0.0
341	339.8	MD Baltimore County	AE	0.3628	0.4383	312	2-21	3-26	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-10	2-14	1-12	344	340	340	-0.2	-0.1
129	133.6	Southern Illinois	MVC	0.5199	0.5166	127	12-10	15-13	0-2	0-2	3-3	5-5	8-0	8-2	116	312	134	-0.4	-0.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
27	26.6	Xavier	A10	0.6082	0.5635	36	16-7	21-9	1-4	3-3	3-1	8-0	6-0	8-6	51	14	27	-0.4	-0.0
345	344.6	Bryant	ind	0.3439	0.4473	292	0-24	1-29	0-0	0-0	0-3	0-6	1-19	1-29	342	303	345	-0.4	-0.2
329	325.5	Florida A&M	MEAC	0.3882	0.4410	305	4-17	7-22	0-1	0-2	0-1	0-6	7-13	2-11	318	224	326	-0.5	-0.0
259	264.4	Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.4400	0.4469	294	8-9	11-14	0-1	0-1	0-2	2-4	9-6	4-5	289	341	265	-0.6	-0.0
338	333.3	NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.3753	0.4066	338	4-14	7-19	0-0	0-0	0-2	0-6	7-10	2-12	324	237	334	-0.7	-0.1
246	244.2	James Madison	CAA	0.4538	0.4780	212	10-13	12-18	0-0	1-5	1-4	1-6	9-4	8-5	203	346	245	-0.8	-0.0
59	61.2	Minnesota	B10	0.5733	0.5559	50	14-8	19-11	2-4	1-2	2-3	7-1	7-1	9-3	48	68	62	-0.8	-0.1
28	32.1	Dayton	A10	0.6022	0.5628	41	16-6	22-8	1-5	3-2	1-0	12-2	4-0	11-3	18	21	33	-0.9	-0.1
318	316.8	Southern Utah	Sum	0.3990	0.4758	219	4-17	6-21	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-6	5-9	2-7	256	82	318	-1.2	-0.1
343	342.8	Southern	SWAC	0.3512	0.4085	337	4-17	6-23	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-4	6-15	2-9	322	227	344	-1.2	-0.4
105	106.7	IUPUI	Sum	0.5356	0.4804	205	15-8	19-10	0-1	0-0	1-4	5-3	13-2	5-6	137	56	108	-1.3	-0.1
308	307.7	Western Illinois	Sum	0.4078	0.4353	319	6-14	8-18	0-1	0-0	0-4	0-4	8-9	4-4	242	339	309	-1.3	-0.1
141	143.6	Michigan	B10	0.5143	0.5537	54	10-12	13-16	0-5	1-2	2-5	4-3	6-1	6-5	155	130	145	-1.4	-0.1
176	174.6	Texas Christian	MWC	0.4969	0.5449	74	9-13	11-18	0-4	0-4	0-4	2-5	8-0	6-7	179	155	176	-1.4	-0.1
41	41.5	Florida St.	ACC	0.5926	0.5597	44	17-6	21-9	2-2	2-3	5-3	6-1	6-0	12-2	42	211	43	-1.5	-0.1
158	157.5	Niagara	MAAC	0.5066	0.4951	171	13-12	16-15	0-0	0-1	1-3	7-9	7-2	7-6	159	231	159	-1.5	-0.1
347	345.5	North Carolina Central	ind	0.3374	0.4191	333	1-20	3-23	0-0	0-0	0-4	0-4	2-16	1-20	345	313	347	-1.5	-0.8
339	335.4	Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.3739	0.4747	223	1-19	2-25	0-0	0-1	0-5	0-8	2-10	0-8	332	164	337	-1.6	-0.3
312	311.3	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.4047	0.4428	300	7-17	8-21	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-8	6-11	3-6	281	315	313	-1.7	-0.2
262	266.3	Brown	Ivy	0.4385	0.4873	187	5-16	8-21	0-1	0-3	0-6	1-4	7-8	4-11	246	172	268	-1.7	-0.1
193	197.3	Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.4837	0.5178	124	9-11	12-16	0-1	0-4	2-6	2-3	8-2	5-7	264	228	199	-1.7	-0.1
178	177.3	Hofstra	CAA	0.4951	0.5067	150	11-13	14-16	0-1	0-4	1-5	3-5	11-1	7-5	133	128	179	-1.7	-0.1
95	100.2	Wofford	SC	0.5403	0.4760	218	16-8	20-10	0-1	0-1	2-4	3-3	15-1	7-5	86	119	102	-1.8	-0.1
22	24.1	California	P10	0.6110	0.5858	11	15-8	21-9	0-3	0-1	6-3	12-2	2-0	8-4	11	1	26	-1.9	-0.2
182	181.1	Winthrop	BSth	0.4930	0.4573	262	11-10	15-12	0-0	0-1	0-3	1-5	13-3	2-7	233	95	183	-1.9	-0.1
197	201.1	Florida Atlantic	SB	0.4811	0.4731	225	10-12	13-14	0-0	0-1	0-2	4-7	9-4	2-7	276	208	203	-1.9	-0.1
184	184.1	St. Bonaventure	A10	0.4913	0.5151	135	8-12	12-16	0-3	1-3	0-4	4-7	7-0	6-6	145	157	186	-1.9	-0.1
174	173.0	Radford	BSth	0.4975	0.4700	237	11-10	15-12	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-2	11-6	3-6	222	26	175	-2.0	-0.1
91	92.0	Virginia	ACC	0.5466	0.5526	57	14-7	17-12	1-3	2-3	3-3	5-3	5-1	9-4	160	277	94	-2.0	-0.1
287	285.0	McNeese St.	Slnd	0.4253	0.4528	278	5-14	9-18	0-0	0-1	0-3	1-4	7-10	2-9	298	242	287	-2.0	-0.1
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
331	329.0	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.3852	0.4715	230	2-21	2-24	0-1	0-0	0-4	1-5	2-13	2-19	325	268	331	-2.0	-0.3
10	14.8	Tennessee	SEC	0.6255	0.5812	19	18-4	23-7	2-3	2-1	6-2	7-1	5-0	12-2	13	41	17	-2.2	-0.3
156	153.8	Robert Morris	NEC	0.5086	0.4536	274	16-8	20-11	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-4	15-4	6-8	213	206	156	-2.2	-0.1
340	338.6	Grambling	SWAC	0.3650	0.3962	344	4-13	6-19	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-3	6-13	1-6	312	238	341	-2.4	-0.4
303	298.6	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.4157	0.4706	232	6-16	7-22	0-0	0-0	0-5	1-10	7-6	2-8	272	185	301	-2.4	-0.2
37	37.6	Clemson	ACC	0.5964	0.5759	27	16-7	20-10	2-4	2-2	5-3	5-1	6-0	12-2	41	142	40	-2.4	-0.2
217	213.6	Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.4740	0.4667	248	10-11	13-15	0-0	0-1	1-2	4-6	8-5	6-6	192	279	216	-2.4	-0.1
190	192.5	Montana St.	BSky	0.4865	0.4754	220	10-11	13-13	0-0	0-0	1-5	4-4	8-4	4-6	228	215	195	-2.5	-0.1
179	179.5	Drake	MVC	0.4940	0.5256	111	11-14	13-18	0-2	1-2	2-5	4-7	6-3	5-8	248	257	182	-2.5	-0.1
88	89.5	Harvard	Ivy	0.5480	0.4668	247	14-5	20-7	0-1	0-1	1-2	3-2	15-1	10-3	62	216	92	-2.5	-0.2
54	54.2	Connecticut	BE	0.5801	0.6010	4	14-9	18-13	2-6	1-2	6-3	6-2	2-0	10-3	16	12	57	-2.8	-0.2
321	319.2	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.3960	0.4281	325	5-17	8-22	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-7	8-12	0-12	337	134	322	-2.8	-0.2
42	42.1	St. Mary's	WCC	0.5918	0.5129	140	20-3	24-4	0-1	2-2	3-1	4-0	13-0	12-2	34	65	45	-2.9	-0.4
344	342.9	Chicago St.	GWC	0.3507	0.3982	343	4-16	6-21	0-0	0-0	0-2	0-5	6-14	2-13	336	295	346	-3.1	-1.1
185	184.8	Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.4909	0.4876	186	11-10	13-14	0-3	0-0	1-1	5-8	7-1	7-2	74	270	188	-3.2	-0.2
79	80.8	Weber St.	BSky	0.5551	0.5081	145	13-8	17-9	0-2	0-2	1-1	5-3	10-1	4-6	117	18	84	-3.2	-0.2
263	266.7	Furman	SC	0.4381	0.4471	293	9-12	11-16	0-0	0-1	0-4	1-5	9-6	4-5	252	319	270	-3.3	-0.2
203	203.7	Lafayette	Pat	0.4798	0.4345	320	14-9	17-12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1-5	16-6	9-6	200	324	207	-3.3	-0.2
138	139.7	Long Beach St.	BW	0.5166	0.5197	120	9-12	13-15	0-4	1-1	0-1	5-3	7-6	4-8	76	4	143	-3.3	-0.1
230	225.5	Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.4663	0.4763	216	9-14	13-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	5-9	9-6	6-9	214	177	229	-3.5	-0.2
235	234.4	Hawaii	WAC	0.4607	0.5338	99	8-14	10-19	0-3	0-4	1-5	2-6	7-2	7-6	202	126	238	-3.6	-0.2
122	123.3	Creighton	MVC	0.5255	0.5398	83	12-12	15-15	0-3	1-2	2-4	6-5	6-0	6-6	197	159	127	-3.7	-0.2
330	326.2	Texas Pan American	GWC	0.3879	0.4516	281	3-22	6-25	0-1	0-1	0-4	0-6	6-12	1-18	308	91	330	-3.8	-0.4
108	110.1	Iowa St.	B12	0.5335	0.5629	40	13-10	16-15	0-9	1-3	1-3	7-1	7-0	11-4	106	218	114	-3.9	-0.2
207	205.0	Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.4792	0.4894	180	11-12	13-16	0-0	0-4	2-4	1-3	9-6	8-7	173	239	209	-4.0	-0.2
81	82.0	Marshall	CUSA	0.5545	0.5202	118	14-7	18-10	0-2	0-3	1-3	7-2	10-1	9-3	47	106	86	-4.0	-0.3
297	292.0	Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.4200	0.4729	226	4-14	7-18	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-7	6-7	1-8	269	70	296	-4.0	-0.2
14	15.9	Brigham Young	MWC	0.6221	0.5281	107	21-3	27-4	1-2	3-2	6-0	9-0	9-0	14-1	26	183	20	-4.1	-0.7
139	139.8	Belmont	ASun	0.5163	0.4680	243	15-10	19-11	0-1	0-1	0-2	6-3	13-5	5-5	135	96	144	-4.2	-0.3
65	64.8	Mississippi St.	SEC	0.5698	0.5318	102	16-7	21-10	1-2	2-2	3-2	8-4	7-0	12-3	68	214	69	-4.2	-0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
317	316.7	Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.3991	0.4572	263	4-15	5-19	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-7	5-9	1-5	251	36	321	-4.3	-0.3
69	71.5	Arizona St.	P10	0.5635	0.5369	93	16-8	21-10	0-4	1-2	3-3	9-2	8-0	10-3	70	124	76	-4.5	-0.4
180	179.5	Loyola MD	MAAC	0.4937	0.4788	208	12-12	15-14	0-1	0-2	1-3	5-6	10-2	8-3	118	318	184	-4.5	-0.3
254	256.5	Texas St.	Slnd	0.4452	0.4670	246	7-12	10-16	0-1	0-0	0-3	2-7	7-6	2-8	331	285	261	-4.5	-0.2
229	225.4	San Diego	WCC	0.4668	0.5162	132	8-16	10-19	0-1	0-4	1-5	2-4	6-5	6-9	199	111	230	-4.6	-0.4
50	50.4	Washington	P10	0.5839	0.5531	55	16-7	21-9	1-2	1-1	5-4	8-3	5-0	10-2	20	34	55	-4.6	-0.4
151	148.3	Stony Brook	AE	0.5117	0.4366	317	15-7	19-9	0-1	0-0	0-1	5-3	14-4	7-5	187	322	153	-4.7	-0.2
20	23.2	Baylor	B12	0.6130	0.5768	24	16-5	21-8	2-4	3-1	7-1	4-2	5-0	12-1	21	151	28	-4.8	-0.4
49	49.2	Northeastern	CAA	0.5852	0.5487	63	16-8	20-10	0-1	4-2	3-2	4-4	9-0	6-6	59	3	54	-4.8	-0.5
333	330.1	Marist	MAAC	0.3838	0.4995	161	1-23	1-28	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-15	1-8	0-11	341	278	335	-4.9	-0.9
307	306.9	American	Pat	0.4082	0.4374	315	7-16	9-20	0-1	0-1	0-1	2-5	8-12	3-12	340	336	312	-5.1	-0.4
273	273.8	Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.4334	0.4440	298	10-13	11-18	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-10	10-5	3-6	293	311	279	-5.2	-0.4
236	235.8	Air Force	MWC	0.4596	0.5340	97	7-13	8-19	0-4	0-3	0-3	2-7	6-1	6-5	201	236	241	-5.2	-0.4
322	321.8	Savannah St.	ind	0.3936	0.4180	334	6-14	7-15	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-5	7-7	5-13	301	292	327	-5.2	-0.5
304	298.7	South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.4154	0.4762	217	4-18	6-23	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-11	6-8	0-9	319	69	304	-5.3	-0.4
276	275.6	St. Francis NY	NEC	0.4320	0.4237	329	10-13	13-16	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-6	11-9	5-8	302	342	281	-5.4	-0.4
266	268.6	Charleston Southern	BSth	0.4369	0.4416	303	8-12	10-15	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-5	8-7	2-5	240	190	274	-5.4	-0.3
53	53.5	Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.5809	0.5275	108	17-5	22-7	0-1	2-2	5-3	6-2	9-0	9-4	124	163	59	-5.5	-0.5
56	55.4	Marquette	BE	0.5793	0.5592	46	15-8	20-10	2-5	2-1	5-2	5-2	6-0	9-3	93	202	61	-5.6	-0.4
36	36.4	Louisville	BE	0.5980	0.6022	3	15-8	19-12	1-6	1-2	6-3	10-1	2-0	9-4	43	20	42	-5.6	-0.4
278	276.3	Bucknell	Pat	0.4315	0.4397	308	9-15	12-18	0-0	0-1	0-2	2-5	10-9	5-11	304	326	282	-5.7	-0.3
94	98.2	Providence	BE	0.5414	0.5769	23	12-11	14-16	1-6	1-3	2-7	4-1	5-0	8-4	101	167	104	-5.8	-0.4
241	240.2	Manhattan	MAAC	0.4567	0.4944	175	8-16	10-19	0-1	0-2	0-4	3-10	7-2	6-5	175	246	246	-5.8	-0.4
298	293.2	Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.4198	0.4977	166	5-17	6-22	0-3	0-0	0-3	2-13	4-3	3-7	270	244	299	-5.8	-0.4
13	15.2	Texas	B12	0.6243	0.5675	34	19-4	24-7	3-3	4-2	6-2	7-0	6-0	14-1	19	168	21	-5.8	-0.8
325	323.2	Wagner	NEC	0.3919	0.4494	286	4-21	7-24	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-8	5-15	3-11	326	310	329	-5.8	-0.7
311	309.1	Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.4062	0.4500	284	5-16	8-21	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-4	7-12	2-11	317	170	315	-5.9	-0.4
188	188.1	Middle Tennessee	SB	0.4891	0.4676	244	12-11	16-13	0-2	0-1	0-1	5-6	11-3	4-7	254	186	194	-5.9	-0.3
337	332.1	Coppin St.	MEAC	0.3780	0.4342	321	2-16	5-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-4	4-13	3-7	277	261	338	-5.9	-0.7
107	108.8	Fairfield	MAAC	0.5346	0.4889	181	16-7	19-10	0-1	0-2	1-2	6-4	12-1	7-4	107	267	115	-6.2	-0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
205	204.6	South Dakota St.	Sum	0.4793	0.4691	239	11-11	14-13	0-1	0-0	0-4	2-4	11-4	2-7	274	147	211	-6.4	-0.4
187	186.5	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.4898	0.4821	197	9-14	14-15	0-2	0-2	0-1	3-5	11-5	4-8	194	77	193	-6.5	-0.4
299	293.1	Albany	AE	0.4196	0.4715	231	6-20	8-23	0-1	0-1	0-2	2-11	6-8	5-10	231	176	300	-6.9	-0.5
268	269.1	Navy	Pat	0.4367	0.4375	313	11-12	13-16	0-0	0-0	0-2	3-6	10-8	6-9	295	327	276	-6.9	-0.4
215	210.1	Portland St.	BSky	0.4761	0.4934	177	8-13	11-17	0-0	0-1	2-5	2-6	8-5	3-9	206	99	217	-6.9	-0.3
77	79.9	Iona	MAAC	0.5559	0.5078	146	18-7	22-9	0-1	0-4	2-2	10-2	10-1	9-4	81	129	87	-7.1	-0.6
319	316.9	Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.3984	0.4400	307	4-13	7-18	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-5	6-10	2-7	316	308	324	-7.1	-0.5
265	267.9	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.4373	0.4557	268	5-15	10-18	0-1	0-1	0-5	1-3	8-9	2-10	288	125	275	-7.1	-0.4
189	190.8	Campbell	ASun	0.4872	0.4486	289	12-9	16-11	0-0	0-0	0-1	3-6	12-4	3-4	238	252	198	-7.2	-0.4
234	231.8	Georgia St.	CAA	0.4623	0.4952	169	9-15	12-18	0-0	0-5	0-3	3-5	9-5	6-6	216	269	239	-7.2	-0.4
164	160.8	Lehigh	Pat	0.5048	0.4418	302	15-8	19-10	0-0	0-1	0-0	2-3	17-5	9-6	178	302	168	-7.2	-0.3
160	158.8	Davidson	SC	0.5057	0.5099	144	10-11	14-14	0-2	0-2	1-4	3-4	10-2	3-7	224	35	166	-7.2	-0.3
327	324.6	New Orleans	SB	0.3902	0.4507	283	5-17	6-21	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-12	6-8	3-6	305	337	332	-7.4	-0.8
58	57.5	Kent St.	MAC	0.5767	0.5298	104	16-7	21-9	0-1	1-2	2-2	11-4	7-1	9-5	50	28	65	-7.5	-0.7
127	131.4	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.5211	0.4724	228	15-8	19-10	0-1	0-1	1-3	4-3	14-2	7-4	132	192	139	-7.6	-0.4
245	244.3	Jackson St.	SWAC	0.4540	0.4283	324	10-11	14-15	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-6	14-5	1-10	297	93	252	-7.7	-0.4
257	258.2	Long Island	NEC	0.4443	0.4492	287	9-14	12-17	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-5	9-9	4-9	280	258	266	-7.8	-0.5
40	39.0	Missouri	B12	0.5951	0.5627	42	17-6	22-9	3-5	2-2	3-1	8-2	6-0	12-3	57	198	47	-8.0	-0.6
306	306.0	Colgate	Pat	0.4090	0.4522	279	6-16	9-19	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-8	8-10	4-10	309	293	314	-8.0	-0.6
218	214.0	Boise St.	WAC	0.4737	0.4848	191	10-12	14-16	0-0	0-2	1-6	5-4	8-3	10-4	174	338	222	-8.0	-0.4
302	297.7	Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.4161	0.4837	194	3-15	6-22	0-3	0-1	0-3	0-6	5-9	1-13	328	222	306	-8.3	-0.7
332	327.5	Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.3843	0.3881	346	4-10	8-14	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-3	8-9	0-4	343	193	336	-8.5	-0.7
33	35.5	Maryland	ACC	0.5986	0.5789	20	15-6	20-9	1-4	2-2	5-3	5-0	6-0	9-4	98	143	44	-8.5	-0.7
296	293.2	Eastern Washington	BSky	0.4200	0.4949	173	4-18	5-23	0-1	0-1	0-6	1-6	4-9	2-10	261	110	302	-8.8	-0.7
135	138.0	East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.5174	0.4999	160	12-12	16-14	0-1	0-1	1-2	5-5	10-4	3-7	114	2	147	-9.0	-0.5
267	269.0	Holy Cross	Pat	0.4368	0.4801	206	6-17	9-20	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-10	8-7	3-12	275	156	278	-9.0	-0.5
64	64.6	Nevada	WAC	0.5704	0.5527	56	12-9	18-11	0-2	0-3	4-3	7-3	6-0	7-6	64	33	74	-9.4	-0.6
320	318.5	Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.3966	0.4415	304	4-15	6-20	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-4	6-11	3-7	273	297	328	-9.5	-0.7
155	152.4	Boston University	AE	0.5093	0.4848	190	13-11	17-12	0-2	1-1	0-2	3-6	13-1	6-7	172	64	162	-9.6	-0.6
233	230.3	Mercer	ASun	0.4635	0.4690	240	9-12	12-16	0-1	0-2	0-2	4-6	8-5	2-6	234	81	240	-9.7	-0.5
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
212	209.3	The Citadel	SC	0.4768	0.4815	200	10-12	13-15	0-2	0-1	0-4	2-4	10-4	4-6	184	127	219	-9.7	-0.5
334	329.2	Utah Valley	GWC	0.3823	0.3825	347	7-12	10-15	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-1	10-11	3-10	334	317	339	-9.8	-0.9
44	43.2	Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.5909	0.5243	114	17-5	22-6	1-0	3-2	3-2	4-2	11-0	9-1	14	62	53	-9.8	-1.0
285	283.4	Pepperdine	WCC	0.4269	0.4961	167	6-16	7-21	0-0	0-3	0-4	2-6	5-7	3-11	307	256	294	-10.6	-0.7
60	61.3	Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.5731	0.4986	165	19-4	23-8	0-1	1-1	3-3	8-2	11-0	12-3	65	286	72	-10.7	-1.0
126	129.1	Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.5221	0.4173	335	17-4	22-5	0-1	0-0	2-0	2-2	19-2	7-2	147	329	140	-10.9	-0.8
323	322.0	Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.3929	0.4538	273	5-17	6-23	0-0	0-2	0-1	1-7	5-13	6-21	311	284	333	-11.0	-1.1
167	162.9	Detroit	Horz	0.5035	0.4766	214	13-10	18-12	0-2	0-1	0-2	10-5	8-3	8-4	180	321	174	-11.1	-0.6
309	307.7	Central Connecticut	NEC	0.4072	0.4043	339	9-14	12-17	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-5	12-11	5-8	339	347	319	-11.3	-0.8
219	214.2	South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.4735	0.4241	328	9-8	15-11	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-2	14-6	4-6	212	273	226	-11.8	-0.6
93	95.2	Morehead St.	OVC	0.5437	0.4946	174	15-7	19-9	0-1	0-1	1-4	5-2	13-1	3-6	120	13	107	-11.8	-0.8
133	136.4	Colorado	B12	0.5184	0.5782	21	9-12	11-17	1-6	1-4	1-4	4-3	5-1	7-5	148	187	149	-12.6	-0.6
161	159.1	Western Kentucky	SB	0.5056	0.4909	179	13-11	17-14	1-0	0-1	2-2	5-8	10-3	7-6	136	79	172	-12.9	-0.6
150	147.7	Ohio	MAC	0.5121	0.5199	119	11-11	15-15	0-1	0-1	1-4	7-7	7-2	8-6	99	63	161	-13.3	-0.6
144	144.5	Houston	CUSA	0.5137	0.5228	115	10-11	15-14	0-0	1-2	3-6	5-4	6-2	7-6	170	133	158	-13.5	-0.6
283	279.4	Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.4294	0.4390	310	8-13	10-17	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-5	10-6	4-5	250	330	293	-13.6	-0.9
232	229.3	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.4640	0.4278	326	11-9	15-13	0-0	0-2	0-2	0-3	15-6	6-6	198	241	243	-13.7	-0.7
83	82.9	Wright St.	Horz	0.5536	0.5043	157	15-9	20-10	0-2	0-2	1-2	10-5	8-0	8-4	77	152	97	-14.1	-1.1
210	206.6	Indiana	B10	0.4781	0.5437	75	9-13	10-20	1-6	1-3	1-5	2-5	6-1	6-6	241	240	221	-14.4	-0.9
305	302.5	Alabama St.	SWAC	0.4118	0.4008	342	6-12	10-16	0-0	0-1	0-0	1-5	9-9	0-8	346	245	317	-14.5	-0.9
67	65.5	Memphis	CUSA	0.5690	0.5399	82	16-7	22-9	0-3	1-2	4-1	7-2	10-1	10-5	108	74	80	-14.5	-1.3
168	162.8	Utah	MWC	0.5034	0.5386	85	10-12	13-17	1-4	2-3	1-4	4-4	6-3	7-7	204	179	178	-15.2	-0.8
292	287.6	Sacramento St.	BSky	0.4240	0.4599	261	7-16	8-20	0-0	0-0	0-5	1-7	7-8	4-8	253	306	303	-15.4	-1.2
269	269.1	North Dakota St.	Sum	0.4364	0.4641	252	7-14	9-17	0-0	0-1	0-3	1-8	8-5	1-7	296	188	285	-15.9	-1.1
277	276.1	Evansville	MVC	0.4318	0.5129	139	5-17	6-22	0-2	0-2	0-5	1-12	5-1	6-4	239	334	292	-15.9	-1.2
106	108.0	Illinois St.	MVC	0.5354	0.5030	158	16-8	19-11	0-2	1-1	2-3	8-5	9-0	10-2	141	332	124	-16.0	-0.8
242	240.9	Sacred Heart	NEC	0.4562	0.4200	332	12-11	16-13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2-5	14-7	9-4	176	345	257	-16.1	-0.9
165	160.9	Fresno St.	WAC	0.5042	0.5174	125	11-12	15-16	0-1	0-3	2-4	4-4	8-3	8-7	193	219	177	-16.1	-0.8
253	255.8	Yale	Ivy	0.4458	0.4625	255	8-14	11-19	0-0	0-2	0-4	0-8	11-5	5-11	279	296	272	-16.2	-1.1
214	209.9	Penn St.	B10	0.4762	0.5451	73	8-15	10-20	0-6	0-3	1-6	3-3	5-3	8-4	165	290	227	-17.1	-1.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
30	33.6	Utah St.	WAC	0.6000	0.5382	86	17-6	23-7	1-0	1-2	6-3	7-2	8-0	10-4	52	67	51	-17.4	-1.7
148	145.4	Vermont	AE	0.5131	0.4444	296	17-8	21-10	0-0	0-0	0-2	8-4	13-4	10-5	150	294	163	-17.6	-1.1
290	286.6	Hampton	MEAC	0.4243	0.4203	331	7-15	13-17	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-3	12-10	4-10	286	298	305	-18.4	-1.1
206	204.5	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.4792	0.4439	299	9-9	14-11	0-0	0-0	0-2	1-5	12-4	4-5	215	235	223	-18.5	-0.8
113	113.3	Akron	MAC	0.5316	0.4952	170	16-7	20-10	0-1	0-2	1-2	10-5	9-1	9-5	151	204	133	-19.7	-1.0
281	277.8	Monmouth	NEC	0.4306	0.4355	318	10-14	13-17	0-0	0-0	0-1	3-8	10-8	6-8	292	335	298	-20.2	-1.3
204	204.0	Army	Pat	0.4795	0.4321	323	12-9	16-11	0-0	0-0	1-1	2-4	13-6	9-4	152	325	225	-21.0	-1.0
183	183.0	Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.4920	0.4518	280	10-8	15-11	0-0	0-1	0-2	3-4	12-4	7-3	126	301	204	-21.0	-0.9
68	68.0	Murray St.	OVC	0.5667	0.4550	269	20-3	25-4	0-1	0-1	1-1	7-1	16-0	6-3	78	181	90	-22.0	-2.6
208	205.9	Texas Southern	SWAC	0.4784	0.4375	314	9-11	15-13	0-0	0-1	0-3	2-4	13-5	2-8	221	23	228	-22.1	-1.2
274	273.4	New Hampshire	AE	0.4333	0.4531	276	7-13	10-17	0-1	0-1	0-1	2-8	8-6	4-7	258	266	297	-23.6	-1.2
153	149.2	Idaho	WAC	0.5110	0.5156	134	9-11	14-14	0-0	0-2	2-6	4-4	7-3	7-5	113	233	173	-23.8	-1.0
103	106.3	Morgan St.	MEAC	0.5359	0.4463	295	17-7	24-9	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-4	22-1	9-8	139	199	131	-24.7	-1.9
211	207.7	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.4775	0.4546	271	7-14	14-15	0-2	0-2	0-3	0-5	13-4	0-11	283	9	237	-29.3	-1.5
201	203.7	Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.4803	0.4705	234	10-11	13-14	0-0	0-1	1-1	5-6	7-6	2-7	284	262	234	-30.3	-1.4
137	138.6	Quinnipiac	NEC	0.5169	0.4260	327	16-7	21-8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2-4	19-3	8-5	181	333	169	-30.4	-1.8
146	145.1	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.5134	0.4880	185	9-10	14-13	0-1	0-2	0-4	2-2	12-4	3-8	217	121	180	-34.9	-1.4

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com