live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 20, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
243240.9Nicholls St.Slnd0.45990.46902506-910-170-10-10-22-58-73-61043815783.92.6
274273.3Western CarolinaSC0.44100.51321294-136-230-10-20-81-95-43-81663122449.32.5
111110.9Texas SouthernSWAC0.53260.45472919-921-100-40-11-11-319-24-95886545.92.6
193195.3Loyola MDPat0.48550.48411998-913-150-20-01-25-47-75-5867815045.31.6
188192.0Central MichiganMAC0.48740.47652329-715-140-00-11-35-69-48-313631614844.01.4
311302.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.42030.45302942-127-180-20-20-31-36-81-10187526042.41.6
7884.4MississippiSEC0.54890.56574011-717-140-51-34-47-25-19-447174440.41.6
296292.4The CitadelSC0.42890.47812226-128-200-00-10-51-97-44-624227525438.42.1
207203.3San Jose St.MWC0.48110.51771187-810-170-10-21-44-75-25-418925616538.31.4
9191.8North Carolina St.ACC0.54400.57103313-616-151-71-23-37-24-011-2351255536.81.5
246244.3BradleyMVC0.45820.50491447-1210-200-10-50-33-77-54-826120320935.31.6
9292.6NebraskaB100.54370.596958-912-171-53-52-54-22-15-610945834.61.5
287284.1Chicago St.WAC0.43410.50161503-155-230-20-20-31-74-92-1226513725034.11.6
7178.0IllinoisB100.55340.57612811-716-140-42-44-35-24-09-353474533.01.4
163162.5Jacksonville St.OVC0.50350.468325310-915-140-00-21-23-512-46-714024913032.51.3
266268.2DelawareCAA0.44380.48991796-129-200-10-21-42-76-65-621429723632.21.4
197197.9New OrleansSlnd0.48440.45702857-714-120-00-20-22-512-42-622912816631.91.0
177180.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.49430.455928711-817-120-10-10-22-414-48-511622614931.01.1
105103.7AuburnSEC0.53660.53618212-617-140-31-33-48-35-110-3461247330.71.2
9999.3TempleAmer0.53930.55046510-1016-152-41-22-33-58-19-436216930.31.3
128128.0WyomingMWC0.52310.508213711-617-120-00-21-48-47-28-3842069830.01.0
122124.4Georgia TechACC0.52450.56014811-714-161-52-32-53-26-08-41642519628.41.2
220216.4UMKCWAC0.47430.50261467-1111-170-30-10-23-78-45-920510018828.41.1
202201.4RadfordBSth0.48250.48551957-1013-150-20-22-22-39-53-71753317427.41.0
5762.2Seton HallBE0.56430.56424112-617-132-72-12-34-17-010-2481723527.21.3
108108.0North Dakota St.Sum0.53430.491917411-617-100-10-11-16-510-36-51031078127.01.0
275274.9Saint LouisA100.43980.52321055-138-230-10-40-82-85-35-829623824925.91.5
7378.3ProvidenceBE0.55270.56713713-717-141-72-25-24-26-110-3571355325.31.1
170172.2RutgersB100.49820.53069110-813-170-41-61-62-29-010-211534214725.21.0
144146.1William & MaryCAA0.51300.51481267-812-140-30-21-35-37-34-514512612125.10.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8286.0StanfordP120.54780.57902710-814-150-71-32-36-25-07-437126125.01.1
151150.5Nebraska OmahaSum0.51020.487218910-915-130-00-20-34-511-26-611915712624.50.9
217213.8USC UpstateASun0.47580.45043029-814-130-00-01-41-412-66-720429819023.80.9
180183.0Eastern WashingtonBSky0.49240.446530410-717-120-10-10-12-615-36-512615816023.00.8
162161.7Southern IllinoisMVC0.50390.519011710-914-160-20-40-17-57-46-61437014021.70.8
216213.4Indiana St.MVC0.47580.51951156-1210-191-00-40-34-75-55-61446919221.40.8
155153.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50860.458028410-617-100-10-10-12-315-45-410011513221.20.7
153151.7LSUSEC0.50940.5672369-812-180-31-53-74-44-08-4452413120.70.9
7277.4College of CharlestonCAA0.55320.506314114-521-90-20-22-28-311-18-4971295720.41.0
127127.0TowsonCAA0.52330.514512710-916-140-10-32-27-48-47-5998410720.00.8
260262.0MaristMAAC0.44720.49891546-139-220-10-20-32-107-53-823414924220.00.9
255258.9Youngstown St.Horz0.44930.48372017-1210-190-01-10-43-76-74-723925323919.90.9
280277.7TulaneAmer0.43830.52051134-146-240-40-20-51-85-53-932229325819.71.2
6769.5Virginia TechACC0.55930.54667014-419-111-52-25-24-17-011-1733095019.50.9
125126.9Arizona St.P120.52340.5641429-1014-170-71-32-34-37-17-61598910818.90.8
130129.8Georgia St.SB0.52160.50201488-716-120-11-11-34-69-25-51219711118.80.6
8789.2Penn St.B100.54560.57293011-815-161-52-42-47-33-08-5123837118.20.8
6467.8Texas TechB120.56070.54007914-420-112-42-23-26-28-012-1893295116.80.7
259260.6McNeese St.Slnd0.44830.48022144-109-170-10-10-21-68-81-72193224416.60.6
269268.5BrownIvy0.44340.45692868-912-160-10-10-31-610-57-725832125216.50.6
278277.0DetroitHorz0.43860.50921353-157-220-10-11-42-104-61-103068026116.00.7
118120.0Saint Joseph'sA100.52720.5470688-914-160-21-42-55-56-16-6955710416.00.6
3642.8Wake ForestACC0.58230.58881411-717-131-81-34-27-14-09-321282715.81.1
4956.6PittsburghACC0.56850.6025312-716-152-72-24-36-22-111-217294115.60.9
116118.6OklahomaB120.52790.5813248-912-182-62-43-41-25-06-617812210315.60.6
100100.6Georgia SouthernSB0.53890.498915510-617-120-10-12-35-410-25-61221338515.60.6
290287.4Austin PeayOVC0.43190.47892204-148-200-00-20-22-76-92-1027811727215.40.7
184190.1Washington St.P120.48850.5574568-910-190-60-30-44-55-16-520718217515.10.8
5863.0Kansas St.B120.56410.55106414-419-121-52-33-27-17-012-1642874815.00.7
7580.9TennesseeSEC0.55090.5852188-915-150-81-24-35-24-06-690116614.90.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
176178.8Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49470.47512368-1216-150-10-30-31-414-52-112092016414.80.6
152151.7George WashingtonA100.50970.53019210-915-160-11-42-55-57-18-513414713714.70.5
166167.6Green BayHorz0.50080.48751879-814-140-10-11-34-59-54-619721415314.60.5
194196.4Boston CollegeACC0.48530.5595509-1011-200-61-43-44-43-27-624024118214.40.7
3239.4TCUB120.58700.57972613-419-111-52-24-38-13-011-118882514.41.0
138139.0SamfordSC0.51680.481721011-617-120-20-11-35-412-27-410621212514.00.6
310302.8Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42060.42983242-1410-190-00-20-30-610-81-122879028913.80.6
337327.7Coppin St.MEAC0.39770.43393204-147-220-00-20-40-57-110-133217231413.71.0
174174.6Holy CrossPat0.49700.480521210-1016-150-10-10-44-512-46-714714316113.60.5
8587.3AlabamaSEC0.54740.54457211-617-130-41-33-37-26-07-5131967413.30.5
319314.8MaineAE0.41250.47812234-166-240-10-20-31-95-93-1130727430212.80.9
308300.7UC RiversideBW0.42160.45892793-118-180-10-00-12-66-101-931111428812.70.5
330324.1LongwoodBSth0.40240.45872804-126-210-10-00-40-66-101-834226131212.10.9
2525.9MinnesotaB100.60640.58611615-422-91-34-36-38-12-012-16251411.91.3
231225.6DePaulBE0.46890.5524628-119-220-70-31-51-66-17-625927721411.60.7
261262.6Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44710.45112996-1012-150-10-00-32-610-63-829316725111.60.4
112110.9YaleIvy0.53240.47572359-617-90-10-11-35-211-27-512021610010.90.4
132132.7UNC GreensboroSC0.52020.482520712-518-100-10-13-24-410-26-415520812210.70.4
2932.6MarylandB100.59490.55765416-222-81-23-27-28-13-011-1311392210.61.0
9392.6VanderbiltSEC0.54370.597848-1013-181-61-54-55-23-06-78518210.60.4
265266.4Robert MorrisNEC0.44520.45402937-1312-190-10-00-32-510-104-920010325610.40.4
284281.3Central ArkansasSlnd0.43530.47662304-159-220-20-10-32-57-111-122989327110.30.4
187191.2MercerSC0.48760.50821366-1212-170-10-21-54-68-24-71724618110.20.4
4246.2Michigan St.B100.57870.5925912-718-132-63-24-45-14-08-569143610.20.6
289285.2South FloridaAmer0.43350.49861576-118-210-30-20-52-76-46-527033127510.20.5
114115.2RichmondA100.53030.521910911-717-130-11-42-37-38-16-621221510510.20.4
3944.2ArkansasSEC0.58090.54676914-422-90-42-16-210-25-011-215613410.20.7
3439.1Middle TennesseeCUSA0.58500.504614515-325-50-01-14-19-312-19-328192910.11.1
123125.1ColoradoP120.52420.5314909-916-141-41-22-35-48-09-39219911510.10.4
295290.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.42900.48841862-137-200-20-20-21-66-81-10241102819.80.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
262262.6North FloridaASun0.44690.48481984-138-190-10-10-31-77-61-123181362539.60.4
240236.6East CarolinaAmer0.46260.49641609-1013-180-30-31-52-410-28-52083122279.60.4
230225.5QuinnipiacMAAC0.46890.49111768-1113-170-10-21-33-78-53-72712202169.50.4
161161.4Missouri St.MVC0.50410.479621812-718-120-00-41-25-412-38-41933241529.40.4
4856.4UT ArlingtonSB0.56910.502514711-520-91-10-11-27-310-28-32459479.40.5
6165.3La SalleA100.56220.53798111-519-100-11-24-37-37-17-48244569.30.4
301294.1Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42710.43533193-1411-190-20-10-31-39-101-11260552859.10.4
223219.0DuquesneA100.47240.51111329-1013-180-21-31-43-78-27-62272392109.00.4
124126.7IowaB100.52350.55515911-915-161-42-53-43-26-08-51761801188.70.3
8687.7UNC AshevilleBSth0.54620.479821711-720-90-10-21-26-214-26-55952798.70.5
3541.5USCP120.58290.54397316-422-91-51-12-111-17-013-011148338.50.7
321315.2North TexasCUSA0.41120.47072464-128-200-00-20-21-97-74-63012923078.20.5
7479.9Arkansas St.SB0.55170.499415111-620-100-10-23-26-311-38-444102727.90.3
214211.7PacificWCC0.47660.5286937-1211-190-50-10-35-76-35-72361882047.70.3
126126.4UABCUSA0.52330.487418811-719-110-20-21-25-413-16-61811441197.40.3
154152.2St. John'sBE0.50920.5601499-1112-191-70-42-51-27-26-72282351457.20.3
4447.1GeorgiaSEC0.57780.58182311-618-121-51-25-39-23-08-46835407.10.4
203201.9UNLVMWC0.48200.51491259-1014-170-30-21-34-68-27-62152171956.90.3
102100.9MassachusettsA100.53840.52519812-719-120-01-32-58-47-110-383207946.90.3
250253.8High PointBSth0.45250.46032766-1011-160-00-10-52-49-63-62532102476.80.3
285282.8Miami OHMAC0.43480.48332046-1010-190-00-20-32-87-65-63003302766.80.3
9898.7Florida Gulf CoastASun0.53950.483720011-619-80-20-11-14-114-28-57460926.70.3
263263.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44680.48891826-139-200-10-11-32-77-75-81851182576.30.3
1413.3CreightonBE0.63310.56354517-125-54-32-17-17-05-012-01215076.31.2
1011.2FloridaSEC0.63820.59211014-423-81-53-18-17-14-010-39956.21.2
239236.1Oral RobertsSum0.46290.52401034-148-200-20-11-34-104-32-10221132306.10.2
329322.1StetsonASun0.40410.43673155-128-200-00-00-31-58-115-93143433166.10.4
3034.0Illinois St.MVC0.59220.516712214-423-60-01-12-111-39-17-46163286.00.7
4547.9ClemsonACC0.57690.58222211-718-122-63-25-24-24-010-23279425.90.4
226220.9NavyPat0.47150.47782248-1014-150-00-01-44-69-54-72521632155.90.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
228222.8Air ForceMWC0.47030.52211077-1011-180-00-31-55-75-45-62451912175.80.2
88.5ButlerBE0.64570.59121116-324-65-34-17-13-15-111-131535.51.1
172174.3San DiegoWCC0.49730.52491009-913-160-50-21-32-59-26-51862091695.30.2
121121.1CanisiusMAAC0.52650.491917512-819-120-10-11-28-510-37-41011611165.10.2
3743.1NorthwesternB100.58180.55396115-421-101-43-34-27-06-011-241168385.10.3
5057.0CaliforniaP120.56840.55805313-619-111-51-13-38-17-09-37771525.00.3
2830.9DaytonA100.59730.54287513-422-70-12-27-26-17-08-36058264.90.6
3134.9NevadaMWC0.59170.520711216-324-70-10-05-212-38-011-230132304.90.5
198197.8PennIvy0.48440.48362026-813-140-10-11-42-59-47-61531741934.80.2
324317.4Cal PolyBW0.40810.45083003-138-200-00-00-21-86-103-92621893134.40.2
2628.4UNC WilmingtonCAA0.60070.507413916-225-40-00-24-19-111-09-22799244.40.6
206203.3PortlandWCC0.48160.51101338-911-170-40-10-23-68-36-51882301994.30.2
1313.2Florida St.ACC0.63350.58002517-225-65-33-16-25-15-012-12612094.20.7
2223.0XavierBE0.61210.58961313-521-102-62-16-17-14-010-31018194.00.5
179182.0MontanaBSky0.49290.455129010-1018-130-10-10-23-615-35-82242191784.00.2
328322.0Delaware St.MEAC0.40430.41903353-149-200-00-10-12-57-131-123121903184.00.2
237231.9CharlotteCUSA0.46530.48322057-912-160-10-20-22-610-45-51981952283.90.1
247248.9DrexelCAA0.45510.48551966-1210-190-10-20-42-87-55-72233132453.90.2
215211.9North DakotaBSky0.47630.43373217-714-110-00-01-13-511-52-52111422083.90.1
189192.7Northern IowaMVC0.48730.5250996-1111-170-30-31-15-75-34-6157421893.70.1
4346.6AkronMAC0.57830.505514315-324-70-20-03-18-212-29-340141433.60.2
25.3BaylorB120.65670.6051216-124-64-35-27-16-03-012-01323.30.7
322317.9LafayettePat0.40980.46632645-127-210-10-00-32-74-103-72912713152.90.2
336325.9Savannah St.MEAC0.39890.41683394-129-180-10-10-30-39-101-102991563232.90.2
56.8KansasB120.65100.5935817-125-63-34-18-18-02-011-282242.80.6
2322.7Notre DameACC0.61180.56843516-324-73-63-14-07-06-011-255169202.70.4
13.3VillanovaBE0.66360.58462118-128-36-24-08-16-05-013-052612.30.8
115119.1Mississippi St.SEC0.52800.52709612-517-131-31-23-65-27-09-31582821172.10.1
2425.0South CarolinaSEC0.60790.56394414-322-81-23-27-37-14-09-35164232.00.2
5661.8New Mexico St.WAC0.56440.460627515-223-40-00-01-18-213-111-263291601.80.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
229223.7South AlabamaSB0.46970.49381697-912-170-00-21-43-68-55-62473012221.70.1
6568.6Oklahoma St.B120.55980.5850199-815-151-62-43-35-24-010-22962671.60.1
173174.3South DakotaSum0.49720.474723911-916-130-10-00-25-410-57-61742451731.30.0
303298.1HawaiiBW0.42460.43963107-913-150-10-10-21-312-75-72972462971.10.0
343341.1Northern ArizonaBSky0.37580.43643163-156-240-00-00-01-116-132-103262853401.10.2
164163.1BuffaloMAC0.50320.51491246-1013-160-20-21-33-59-44-71831091621.10.0
307301.8Sacred HeartNEC0.42220.42443308-1213-180-10-00-01-612-115-82683063010.80.0
219213.7UC DavisBW0.47520.43683149-816-130-00-00-22-514-66-71912662130.70.0
317309.6DartmouthIvy0.41620.47422403-116-210-00-10-32-74-93-103032763090.60.0
238234.6FordhamA100.46380.51711207-1111-190-01-21-55-84-45-72662312340.60.0
318311.5Norfolk St.MEAC0.41300.41923343-1310-170-20-00-20-510-91-113251513110.50.0
5962.5ValparaisoHorz0.56380.495216614-423-70-21-02-17-313-19-352106620.50.0
135136.4UC IrvineBW0.51810.477022810-918-120-20-20-22-216-45-9149431360.40.0
137138.3Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51700.489618011-717-120-00-31-26-510-28-31122721380.30.0
242240.1ManhattanMAAC0.46050.49451687-1311-200-20-10-53-88-55-61691622400.10.0
344341.1St. Francis NYNEC0.37520.43613173-166-240-10-00-20-56-161-113382583410.10.0
234229.1Long Beach St.BW0.46670.48861845-1411-190-40-10-22-510-73-11195162290.10.0
141139.0HarvardIvy0.51650.48222087-515-100-00-12-33-410-26-51481661390.00.0
1515.0CincinnatiAmer0.62890.55006616-227-41-23-17-18-08-011-2192315-0.0-0.0
345343.9PresbyterianBSth0.36800.45582882-144-230-00-00-51-62-122-7316270344-0.1-0.0
8888.9WinthropBSth0.54550.469624912-420-70-10-12-13-214-26-3396789-0.1-0.0
6063.8Ohio St.B100.56340.57332912-718-131-53-35-25-15-110-36610564-0.2-0.0
340337.7Southern UtahBSky0.38280.43923122-155-240-00-00-10-85-140-11349279338-0.3-0.0
1615.6DukeACC0.62800.58991214-423-83-54-15-17-04-012-1146816-0.4-0.1
221217.5Portland St.BSky0.47360.42063328-615-110-00-00-03-411-64-4160307218-0.5-0.0
300294.5Charleston SouthernBSth0.42710.46202733-128-180-10-10-51-47-81-7308221295-0.5-0.0
190193.4North Carolina CentralMEAC0.48680.38563519-620-70-00-00-11-219-46-5137290194-0.6-0.0
1112.4OregonP120.63550.56633816-225-52-23-17-18-15-010-2255413-0.6-0.1
113113.4TulsaAmer0.53120.54467110-715-150-31-42-43-28-26-615176114-0.6-0.0
35.3KentuckySEC0.65490.58482016-227-44-33-07-09-04-011-2726-0.7-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
351350.3Alabama A&MSWAC0.32800.39113481-153-260-00-00-10-53-190-11351337351-0.7-0.6
347346.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.35600.39273472-147-210-00-00-10-57-151-11344283347-0.7-0.2
349348.3Florida A&MMEAC0.34560.39273462-145-220-10-00-10-35-170-11350286349-0.7-0.3
5258.2MonmouthMAAC0.56710.495916215-523-80-20-03-17-413-18-33311259-0.8-0.1
291289.1CornellIvy0.43070.48671923-127-210-00-21-41-85-83-11284204290-0.9-0.0
1920.1Saint Mary'sWCC0.61690.53568616-225-41-22-13-110-09-010-1236521-0.9-0.2
911.1ArizonaP120.63860.57163217-226-51-43-06-011-05-011-2162712-0.9-0.2
272272.1IdahoBSky0.44130.43233236-912-150-00-00-11-811-63-6269288273-0.9-0.0
348347.0Central ConnecticutNEC0.35400.41793372-165-240-00-00-10-55-182-9337335348-1.0-0.4
201200.9HofstraCAA0.48270.49941528-1113-170-20-21-44-58-57-5142197202-1.1-0.0
323317.9HartfordAE0.40940.45222966-149-220-00-10-22-107-105-10319345319-1.1-0.1
350348.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.34250.40963410-174-250-10-00-10-54-170-13348268350-1.3-0.6
224218.6Western KentuckyCUSA0.47230.47752259-1014-170-10-21-23-710-56-7238314220-1.4-0.1
299294.6ColgatePat0.42750.46702614-158-220-10-00-32-76-101-11339295296-1.4-0.1
294291.3Jackson St.SWAC0.42910.40913425-1113-150-10-00-30-312-82-8273184293-1.7-0.1
346343.3Grambling St.SWAC0.36740.39003504-128-200-10-00-10-38-142-8334323345-1.7-0.3
339333.2Sacramento St.BSky0.39020.43603183-127-200-00-00-10-96-111-8340257335-1.8-0.2
7984.1BelmontOVC0.54890.476623112-419-70-10-20-16-213-16-410713086-1.9-0.1
107108.1Texas A&MSEC0.53450.5574559-815-150-61-33-34-28-08-47853110-1.9-0.1
46.0LouisvilleACC0.65340.6087116-325-64-54-15-18-03-012-1268-2.0-0.5
8990.9MarshallCUSA0.54480.516512310-818-120-10-31-36-311-26-61134593-2.1-0.1
1715.7UCLAP120.62710.53578419-128-33-23-05-09-08-013-02020018-2.3-0.4
3843.3VCUA100.58110.54267614-522-90-22-14-210-35-110-3498546-2.7-0.2
119121.1Fresno St.MWC0.52690.511013410-715-130-11-12-44-47-36-4165310124-2.9-0.1
313307.0Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.41750.43953116-1310-190-00-10-21-89-83-10336338310-3.0-0.1
66.3GonzagaWCC0.65060.54187818-028-14-02-05-010-08-012-044010-3.7-1.3
7683.2MemphisAmer0.54950.517012114-521-101-21-23-45-211-010-39820187-3.8-0.2
77.1North CarolinaACC0.64980.5953716-325-65-34-18-14-14-011-2133411-3.9-0.8
1212.9VirginiaACC0.63410.5959614-323-74-53-16-15-04-010-2225117-4.1-0.7
150149.8Wright St.Horz0.51030.488818311-716-130-00-11-35-711-37-496165154-4.2-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
169171.8Stony BrookAE0.49830.482620610-816-130-00-21-14-610-55-8233227176-4.2-0.2
342338.3Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.37990.42003333-147-230-00-00-20-87-130-12343173343-4.7-0.5
178181.9Coastal CarolinaSB0.49320.51941167-913-160-00-22-73-48-33-825591187-5.1-0.2
293288.8UTSACUSA0.43070.44233087-911-180-00-10-23-68-93-8323326294-5.2-0.2
334325.8Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39970.44523052-167-240-20-30-20-47-130-1330436331-5.2-0.4
9493.6St. BonaventureA100.54300.521711112-619-110-21-32-27-39-18-413517799-5.4-0.2
233227.3Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.46770.45252957-1013-150-10-10-21-512-61-928682233-5.7-0.2
5462.1UtahP120.56460.53188911-519-91-51-12-27-18-07-312721868-5.9-0.3
338331.1Southern MissCUSA0.39390.46352694-126-220-10-10-20-86-91-9346302337-5.9-0.5
8085.0New MexicoMWC0.54830.54197711-817-130-21-43-36-37-17-51117391-6.0-0.2
305298.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.42310.46692623-108-170-00-00-11-76-81-629498305-6.1-0.2
191193.9Murray St.OVC0.48670.45422929-916-120-01-10-14-410-64-8281260200-6.1-0.2
186190.8FairfieldMAAC0.48830.48002158-914-150-00-11-33-710-35-4171284197-6.2-0.2
236230.7Cleveland St.Horz0.46580.51261305-149-200-20-11-43-76-63-820641237-6.3-0.2
9695.6IonaMAAC0.54180.501614912-820-110-11-11-17-410-47-45075102-6.4-0.3
136137.6Old DominionCUSA0.51780.486919011-719-110-10-21-26-512-27-5146152144-6.4-0.3
134134.5Tennessee St.OVC0.51900.473224210-717-100-11-01-25-310-47-481179141-6.5-0.3
258259.4LamarSlnd0.44870.42763297-813-140-00-00-12-511-94-5251347266-6.6-0.2
277276.1St. Francis PANEC0.43880.42953256-1112-160-00-00-20-512-92-8309265283-6.9-0.3
327319.8Cal St. FullertonBW0.40590.42403316-1010-170-00-00-01-89-94-7320328327-7.2-0.4
271271.7Northern ColoradoBSky0.44140.45142975-1110-170-20-00-11-79-72-721866279-7.3-0.3
183188.6DenverSum0.48930.459427811-816-130-00-01-14-811-48-5177318196-7.4-0.3
199197.4EvansvilleMVC0.48440.51431288-1013-160-20-41-14-68-47-410286205-7.6-0.3
341338.3Alabama St.SWAC0.38030.40843433-138-210-00-10-20-58-131-10332232346-7.7-0.9
254257.3Bowling GreenMAC0.45020.49451676-1111-190-10-10-33-97-55-7283281265-7.7-0.3
256259.2Appalachian St.SB0.44900.49611614-108-190-10-11-52-65-63-6275300267-7.8-0.3
120121.1Fort WayneSum0.52670.468525211-618-90-11-21-14-312-28-380259129-7.9-0.3
2729.0SMUAmer0.60010.53858016-424-71-12-26-37-18-010-3429237-8.0-0.9
298292.0BryantNEC0.42850.46262714-1510-200-20-10-12-58-122-1025650300-8.0-0.3
320313.8Idaho St.BSky0.41170.47062472-146-220-10-10-30-76-111-10313116322-8.2-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
333324.7HowardMEAC0.40050.42843282-148-210-00-20-20-68-101-12310104333-8.3-0.5
2122.6PurdueB100.61240.56414315-424-72-34-26-17-16-011-23411131-8.4-1.2
241237.6NJITASun0.46200.46232727-1112-160-10-10-22-510-76-8184234246-8.4-0.3
251253.5PepperdineWCC0.45240.5434744-146-230-40-10-43-93-43-824694262-8.5-0.4
204202.2IUPUISum0.48190.48042137-1112-160-00-21-33-68-54-8210233211-8.8-0.3
8486.1GeorgetownBE0.54750.58591710-915-162-71-32-45-14-09-4703795-8.9-0.4
4145.0Iowa St.B120.58040.57253111-619-111-72-25-26-25-09-38717054-9.0-0.6
101100.0LehighPat0.53880.49021779-818-100-10-12-25-411-35-56739109-9.0-0.4
227221.9LIU BrooklynNEC0.47120.416933812-718-120-10-01-02-315-86-6216322231-9.1-0.4
283281.6UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.43550.46882516-129-190-00-10-31-88-75-9274305291-9.4-0.4
273272.5CampbellBSth0.44110.44443067-912-150-00-10-41-410-74-5249317282-9.5-0.4
133133.4ToledoMAC0.51960.51731199-816-140-00-31-36-59-36-612449143-9.6-0.3
3339.4Rhode IslandA100.58650.55815211-620-101-11-34-49-26-08-4383049-9.6-0.7
282282.3Oregon St.P120.43550.5489673-154-260-50-40-51-73-53-9331278292-9.7-0.7
332326.1VMISC0.40100.49271712-134-230-10-20-41-93-71-8330193336-9.9-0.8
270270.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44260.42913267-1012-150-00-00-12-610-86-5220344280-10.0-0.4
160161.7ElonCAA0.50410.49581639-915-140-20-11-45-49-46-5163237172-10.3-0.4
185190.5RiderMAAC0.48830.458428211-816-150-00-01-33-612-57-4173348201-10.5-0.4
6266.4ChattanoogaSC0.56080.485319712-421-70-10-02-38-311-07-36216477-10.6-0.6
145145.4TexasB120.51290.5874157-1111-201-61-63-53-23-16-718074156-10.6-0.4
8386.3PrincetonIvy0.54750.49361709-617-90-00-21-34-312-16-611410197-10.7-0.5
171173.3Loyola MarymountWCC0.49800.5267978-912-160-40-20-44-48-26-4170196184-10.7-0.4
208208.2Gardner WebbBSth0.47860.46422677-1014-140-00-21-52-311-44-6179176219-10.8-0.4
326319.2Morgan St.MEAC0.40680.39093496-1012-160-00-00-10-412-102-10341294330-10.8-0.6
7077.1Boise St.MWC0.55390.522010810-618-100-11-12-37-47-16-411717588-10.9-0.4
165166.1SienaMAAC0.50170.51191318-1214-170-10-12-44-78-43-820148177-10.9-0.4
9594.9BucknellPat0.54180.478922114-622-90-10-11-37-315-18-5105134106-11.1-0.6
148147.9Saint Peter'sMAAC0.51160.485919410-817-130-10-11-26-410-54-6222252159-11.1-0.4
143143.7ConnecticutAmer0.51410.5540606-1112-170-30-33-63-35-24-720387155-11.3-0.4
6872.5UCFAmer0.55680.521711014-420-100-31-14-24-310-19-310822984-11.5-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
253256.3South Dakota St.Sum0.45070.49011786-1310-190-00-10-33-106-55-8194155268-11.7-0.4
131130.1FurmanSC0.52150.48671939-817-120-00-11-46-39-45-6161194142-11.9-0.5
325320.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40700.45822834-147-210-00-10-22-64-114-8243254332-11.9-0.8
312304.9Western IllinoisSum0.41950.46582654-117-180-10-10-23-64-91-8345340317-12.1-0.6
139138.8George MasonA100.51670.507014011-617-130-01-32-36-48-29-3138289151-12.2-0.5
5562.6MarquetteBE0.56450.55905112-618-122-61-24-34-17-09-312522875-12.4-0.6
5157.5HoustonAmer0.56770.53608313-620-100-22-23-36-39-09-37114070-12.5-0.8
192194.4LibertyBSth0.48620.47672298-914-140-00-20-52-412-32-828995207-12.6-0.5
1819.4WisconsinB100.61900.55206315-325-61-35-18-16-05-011-25422432-12.6-1.9
6367.2MichiganB100.56080.56623912-718-131-43-44-35-15-010-35610880-12.8-0.6
4650.1VermontAE0.57360.498915315-523-70-20-11-210-212-09-5658163-12.9-1.1
157157.0Weber St.BSky0.50640.46282707-716-100-00-00-24-412-43-6225186170-13.0-0.5
252255.5MissouriSEC0.45150.5356855-128-220-40-31-72-65-25-7292242269-13.5-0.6
316307.5HamptonMEAC0.41690.41403404-1110-160-00-00-21-49-91-10328160321-13.5-0.6
110109.3DavidsonA100.53360.5342889-816-130-22-31-35-38-17-491119123-13.7-0.5
168169.0Santa ClaraWCC0.49980.52441029-1014-160-50-12-24-68-35-7257225183-14.0-0.6
288283.9BinghamtonAE0.43400.45142986-1110-180-00-20-22-89-66-6250346298-14.1-0.6
297291.9AmericanPat0.42890.47732275-139-200-10-10-31-78-73-8295185306-14.1-0.6
213210.8Houston BaptistSlnd0.47690.48681914-1010-150-00-20-33-47-61-62027225-14.2-0.4
209208.6Little RockSB0.47800.46682639-715-140-10-11-34-410-57-4196332223-14.4-0.5
331324.5UTEPCUSA0.40230.46812563-137-220-00-20-41-76-91-10327171339-14.5-1.1
335327.1FIUCUSA0.39900.47082442-156-230-10-20-21-75-112-9333255342-14.9-1.2
147147.6New HampshireAE0.51170.47572349-716-110-10-11-14-410-46-5141247163-15.4-0.6
5360.6Miami FLACC0.56590.56244712-518-122-71-24-25-17-010-28827376-15.4-0.8
268268.5MilwaukeeHorz0.44340.49851585-149-210-00-10-53-85-73-9248146284-15.5-0.7
196196.5TroySB0.48480.48182098-914-160-01-12-43-59-66-6232334212-15.5-0.5
167168.6UMBCAE0.50020.461527410-616-110-00-10-23-613-27-4154320185-16.4-0.6
232226.4ColumbiaIvy0.46820.46552666-712-140-00-10-43-69-45-7244303243-16.6-0.6
245242.2Texas St.SB0.45940.45572898-713-150-00-11-32-59-75-5290350259-16.8-0.6
149149.9RiceCUSA0.51030.463926810-719-100-00-20-24-515-28-3118280167-17.1-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
182188.7Utah ValleyWAC0.48940.48851856-912-140-10-11-22-58-55-7162178206-17.3-0.6
257259.6WagnerNEC0.44900.43263226-1013-140-00-00-21-411-83-6213198277-17.4-0.7
6972.5San Diego St.MWC0.55650.523510410-719-100-11-12-29-57-07-49312790-17.5-0.8
103102.4San FranciscoWCC0.53770.520411412-718-120-41-11-25-410-29-394205120-17.6-0.8
142139.9AlbanyAE0.51600.483420310-918-120-10-21-14-612-28-6132192158-18.1-0.8
2020.8West VirginiaB120.61600.55675715-325-64-13-15-27-26-012-14324439-18.2-2.8
181184.8Northern IllinoisMAC0.49150.47632339-615-130-10-11-24-510-55-5254333203-18.2-0.6
292289.6DrakeMVC0.43070.49881565-128-200-00-30-24-84-71-9347296308-18.4-0.8
267268.4JacksonvilleASun0.44360.40593449-814-130-00-00-11-312-98-5237351287-18.6-0.8
315307.0Alcorn St.SWAC0.41700.41843363-1110-160-00-00-20-79-70-831556326-19.0-0.8
264266.0SouthernSWAC0.44530.40583456-1014-140-10-00-20-514-62-8285213286-20.0-0.8
175177.8Boston UniversityPat0.49550.47892199-915-140-00-02-34-69-44-7230153198-20.2-0.7
146146.6Colorado St.MWC0.51230.52461019-815-140-01-22-65-57-16-5168138168-21.4-0.7
106105.6OaklandHorz0.53580.474923713-522-70-01-22-16-113-38-3139267127-21.4-1.0
9091.6NortheasternCAA0.54420.508113812-718-120-12-12-16-58-47-575123113-21.4-0.9
244241.5ArmyPat0.45970.47372417-1112-170-10-00-43-610-55-6199187263-21.5-0.8
248252.2UMass LowellAE0.45340.46732598-1212-180-00-20-23-79-75-9288311274-21.8-0.9
156157.0Grand CanyonWAC0.50640.470124811-718-110-30-11-23-213-39-6192269179-22.0-0.8
210209.5Morehead St.OVC0.47770.49551646-1111-160-10-10-43-78-42-927777232-22.5-0.7
279276.5SeattleWAC0.43860.46772576-910-160-10-10-31-88-45-7272308299-22.5-0.9
205202.6Ball St.MAC0.48170.458528111-617-130-00-11-34-512-48-4231349226-23.4-0.8
309301.1Northwestern St.Slnd0.42140.43713133-99-160-00-00-11-68-92-5263319325-23.9-0.9
195196.9LipscombASun0.48500.46832548-1014-140-10-00-31-413-55-9217211221-24.1-0.9
281279.8Tennessee TechOVC0.43660.46752586-1310-190-00-10-33-87-72-11335299304-24.2-1.1
304299.7NiagaraMAAC0.42350.47162435-149-220-00-11-33-84-113-8324339324-24.3-1.2
235230.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.46600.44043096-813-130-10-00-11-412-74-4152264255-24.3-0.7
159161.2Northern KentuckyHorz0.50440.477322610-816-130-10-10-33-512-47-4130262186-24.8-0.9
249252.3James MadisonCAA0.45330.50621425-149-210-10-10-44-105-51-11329222278-25.7-1.1
109109.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53380.496515910-618-110-10-22-35-311-28-376240135-25.8-0.9
314307.9Florida AtlanticCUSA0.41700.47072453-127-200-00-21-21-65-92-7305248334-26.1-1.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
117119.7Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.52740.47992168-716-100-10-11-23-312-36-6150223146-26.3-0.9
276275.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.43910.49541654-128-210-00-21-53-75-64-7280304303-27.4-1.0
7784.3Eastern MichiganMAC0.54930.5281948-716-120-00-31-36-48-24-5133121112-27.7-1.0
211210.3Illinois ChicagoHorz0.47730.46832559-815-140-00-10-33-812-35-6276327238-27.7-1.0
306300.0Kennesaw St.ASun0.42270.44653035-139-190-00-00-31-68-94-10302325329-29.0-1.3
158160.9Utah St.MWC0.50450.5353877-912-160-11-22-55-55-25-5167110191-30.1-1.0
104103.5SyracuseACC0.53700.56264611-816-152-72-24-24-35-08-5182181134-30.5-1.1
212209.5Western MichiganMAC0.47730.52271065-1111-180-20-21-43-67-43-8279145241-31.5-1.0
140138.8WashingtonP120.51670.5567589-913-171-61-41-33-37-07-5156159171-32.2-1.2
302295.7Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42540.44263074-109-160-00-00-12-56-102-5267315328-32.3-1.2
4749.6Wichita St.MVC0.57350.492517315-425-50-11-21-111-112-09-312824383-33.4-3.1
6667.5BYUWCC0.55980.52729514-621-101-30-12-210-38-19-4129154101-33.5-2.0
9799.5OhioMAC0.53980.489518110-519-90-00-11-36-312-27-3110263133-33.5-1.2
4044.3IndianaB100.58090.57053413-620-113-52-34-23-17-010-37213178-33.7-2.2
218213.7WoffordSC0.47570.49271725-1111-170-00-21-44-76-42-8282183248-34.3-1.2
200198.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.48380.46712606-914-130-10-10-12-411-52-7264113235-36.6-1.1
286283.4Montana St.BSky0.43450.45083016-1212-170-00-00-12-1010-73-8317250320-36.6-1.5
8185.0East Tennessee St.SC0.54800.481221112-521-80-10-21-27-313-08-379202128-43.0-2.1
222218.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.47250.42863279-816-130-00-00-11-515-75-6226336264-45.4-1.5
129130.0Louisiana TechCUSA0.52190.459427711-620-90-10-21-34-216-26-5190236180-50.0-2.2
225219.8Kent St.MAC0.47210.47482388-914-160-00-11-34-89-47-5235341270-50.2-1.8

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com