live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 8, 2016.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
160159.9AuburnSEC0.50630.5657399-1311-191-30-33-84-52-26-61062411940.92.1
233233.7Boston CollegeACC0.46290.5517617-168-230-70-40-52-45-27-624127419835.72.3
209208.7CornellIvy0.47670.49561588-1111-160-00-31-51-39-56-716718117533.71.7
125125.2Wake ForestACC0.52650.57512510-1312-180-71-33-44-34-09-356719431.22.0
284281.2RutgersB100.43540.5341925-186-240-50-30-51-85-25-727623625229.22.2
182185.3George MasonA100.49060.5468708-1511-200-30-41-55-64-36-718011015728.31.6
107111.1MississippiSEC0.53490.512612515-818-130-31-23-47-37-010-3962798427.11.4
261259.8Youngstown St.Horz0.44830.48521937-169-200-10-30-13-97-63-824016523326.81.7
133130.7Penn St.B100.52320.55046312-1214-170-61-31-47-46-09-412123710426.71.5
228231.9Air ForceMWC0.46370.500115010-1211-180-00-12-34-116-27-411318820625.91.4
7881.9AlabamaSEC0.55400.56813713-916-141-62-22-46-35-09-323135625.91.5
120122.4UC Santa BarbaraBW0.52830.52261149-1214-140-10-22-62-310-25-77169725.41.4
268265.3DrexelCAA0.44500.5384883-195-230-10-41-71-93-22-82559224124.31.4
231232.2St. John'sBE0.46340.5646426-187-230-51-51-71-64-16-622017320923.21.7
106109.5ClemsonACC0.53590.53029714-1018-123-32-22-43-27-27-52653388722.51.2
183186.0East CarolinaAmer0.49020.526610510-1313-180-20-42-72-39-28-513619616422.01.2
4947.1South CarolinaSEC0.58140.510812819-324-61-11-06-38-27-012-0332852621.11.3
308304.4StetsonASun0.41870.45722745-167-200-10-00-11-86-93-1028721428420.41.3
248244.0South FloridaAmer0.45710.5521595-206-250-30-41-61-73-43-102666922420.01.5
7071.7DavidsonA100.56170.55895412-816-120-31-42-38-25-17-339465219.71.0
4144.5ColoradoP120.58400.56414316-720-102-51-25-37-05-010-2451352519.51.3
257256.1South AlabamaSB0.45010.48331987-1410-190-00-11-52-67-73-622921923719.10.9
6261.1Kansas St.B120.57020.57752114-918-132-101-23-18-15-011-2341424219.11.1
136134.6NevadaMWC0.52100.505514111-915-130-00-21-57-48-26-411924711618.60.8
219218.0MissouriSEC0.47160.5532588-159-220-50-31-84-64-07-618613120018.01.0
8385.9TempleAmer0.55120.54088014-818-121-32-22-43-39-16-61691336817.91.1
285281.1Alcorn St.SWAC0.43500.43253298-1211-160-00-10-10-610-80-933110326417.10.9
157156.8IllinoisB100.50800.54667111-1314-171-51-42-42-48-08-51309014016.81.1
327323.8Nicholls St.Slnd0.40230.46492544-186-230-10-20-41-55-111-10211430716.81.2
273274.3DelawareCAA0.43940.50761365-187-220-10-20-91-96-25-619629025816.31.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
122123.6MarquetteBE0.52730.53509115-917-140-51-25-52-29-011-212930510815.60.8
164163.1DePaulBE0.50410.5613508-1510-200-41-41-82-36-16-618819914815.11.0
6058.0Oregon St.P120.57290.58231513-816-123-42-33-54-14-08-2431044315.00.9
236237.7CharlotteCUSA0.46050.48232028-1513-180-10-10-53-69-44-925318222314.70.8
215215.6Cal PolyBW0.47300.50791356-149-180-20-21-62-47-44-71425520114.60.7
226228.4ColgatePat0.46570.457727210-1313-150-00-00-25-58-83-724626221414.40.7
2630.0UtahP120.59810.57622416-720-102-43-29-32-04-010-221561614.01.2
8285.9StanfordP120.55140.5979210-1013-151-72-54-33-03-06-4108317213.90.7
246242.9Loyola MarymountWCC0.45760.48002119-1411-170-00-30-60-310-66-416831622913.90.8
177179.6IUPUISum0.49410.509613210-1512-180-11-12-34-95-43-1127521816613.60.7
330327.5Coppin St.MEAC0.39860.45322853-185-210-20-10-20-55-100-112891631413.51.3
152150.2Oral RobertsSum0.51190.5330949-1412-160-10-22-43-76-26-6593713713.20.8
222222.5Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.46890.441131611-1115-130-10-00-12-212-93-724220321012.50.6
2834.4Notre DameACC0.59310.57142817-720-104-31-32-36-17-09-350522212.41.0
147146.2Georgia St.SB0.51440.492517011-815-120-00-11-44-410-45-2245313412.20.5
4747.2Seton HallBE0.58160.54756817-621-91-42-15-35-18-010-2722553512.20.9
100101.7Long Beach St.BW0.54070.53888510-1215-140-41-13-34-37-34-910519011.70.6
7478.5GeorgiaSEC0.55690.56813613-816-130-31-44-48-23-07-47576711.50.6
4345.4ProvidenceBE0.58310.55206018-622-92-41-16-25-28-012-1311913411.40.9
295293.4Kennesaw St.ASun0.42710.49491625-187-210-20-20-41-75-72-122522728211.40.7
103107.2OhioMAC0.53760.523511213-817-120-10-21-38-58-18-3851689611.20.5
3941.1MonmouthMAAC0.58600.495915719-525-61-21-03-06-114-38-317453011.11.1
317314.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41150.44533106-198-240-20-10-20-78-112-1224310830311.00.9
309307.0The CitadelSC0.41720.44803077-158-200-00-20-21-67-94-627734429611.00.8
112113.8Kent St.MAC0.53350.510413014-818-120-20-11-37-69-18-410721710310.80.5
260259.8La SalleA100.44830.5488654-166-221-40-30-52-63-43-727313924910.80.6
188189.5FordhamA100.48840.495416011-915-130-20-31-43-311-28-218434517910.50.4
9496.3Ohio St.B100.54380.56484014-1017-141-70-21-27-37-08-5139728610.30.6
6565.3Texas TechB120.56660.5948413-916-141-92-22-26-14-010-219505510.30.7
305304.2BradleyMVC0.41950.52231153-214-260-20-30-52-102-71-113017029410.21.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
146145.2MontanaBSky0.51470.460326711-816-100-10-11-21-314-42-61972813510.20.5
126125.2ColumbiaIvy0.52640.486319014-719-100-00-31-34-214-29-616022011510.20.5
254254.1UC DavisBW0.45150.48371978-1210-170-00-10-51-48-73-829224124410.10.4
329326.1Central ArkansasSlnd0.39880.43563234-158-200-10-20-30-47-101-929612431610.10.7
116116.4North Carolina St.ACC0.53160.56204712-1215-161-61-32-46-35-010-3951801079.40.6
142138.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.51880.465625118-722-90-00-21-27-214-311-21283311308.90.6
242240.7Austin PeayOVC0.45880.46862439-1512-170-00-10-52-710-55-81871502328.70.5
2427.6TexasB120.60100.6043116-819-125-62-25-34-13-09-45521198.60.8
206207.4Norfolk St.MEAC0.47760.451229610-1315-140-00-20-41-514-32-11225651998.40.5
198196.3MassachusettsA100.48420.52721049-1312-180-20-41-53-57-27-51852271888.30.4
163162.3Green BayHorz0.50470.471623412-1016-130-01-20-33-612-26-51402391548.30.5
3740.2ChattanoogaSC0.58670.479421420-324-41-10-02-08-213-09-232183328.20.9
130129.2Virginia TechACC0.52420.55405713-1115-161-80-33-24-17-18-52092661218.20.5
117117.0TennesseeSEC0.53110.56334511-1215-162-21-32-77-43-07-6116541098.00.4
168166.0TCUB120.50240.56105111-1312-191-101-31-43-16-09-41742781588.00.5
193193.0HamptonMEAC0.48600.428333713-917-100-10-20-21-215-44-71701221858.00.5
4245.0George WashingtonA100.58340.529110118-523-81-12-24-28-38-111-254212378.00.6
4646.9Florida St.ACC0.58160.56154816-719-112-52-23-27-16-010-249192397.90.5
171169.8FairfieldMAAC0.50010.487318813-1116-140-10-20-23-412-56-4991001627.80.4
319318.8SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40770.48012094-196-220-10-10-42-84-93-9233783117.80.6
312308.8BinghamtonAE0.41600.47662255-197-220-10-20-40-67-103-102952073017.80.6
5148.7San Diego St.MWC0.58020.54137916-621-80-21-14-212-15-15-613212417.70.6
8888.7Georgia TechACC0.54940.57672212-1116-151-61-32-36-35-010-36494817.70.4
4043.3CaliforniaP120.58540.57632315-819-122-43-35-45-14-010-35799367.30.4
185186.9Murray St.OVC0.48990.487718510-1213-140-00-01-44-69-44-7151191806.90.4
7781.9LSUSEC0.55410.54916415-819-121-41-14-36-46-07-6215200756.90.4
252249.8Georgia SouthernSB0.45380.47192338-1211-170-10-11-32-68-62-63183122436.80.3
9394.7College of CharlestonCAA0.54540.520811914-817-110-10-24-36-37-17-377166886.70.4
223227.6ManhattanMAAC0.46640.48661899-1212-160-01-21-13-77-63-62231532216.60.3
202201.5Saint LouisA100.48100.5465728-1410-200-31-41-32-75-25-72321461956.50.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
109112.5NorthwesternB100.53400.511612616-820-110-60-11-27-211-012-1883291066.50.4
7679.4Arizona St.P120.55550.58011713-1116-151-51-35-57-12-110-32629736.40.4
178179.8WyomingMWC0.49400.525310710-1312-170-00-21-47-84-35-6155591745.80.3
2020.7USCP120.61120.57342618-523-82-34-27-34-06-011-23076155.70.6
6362.3WashingtonP120.56920.57093015-818-122-42-45-24-25-08-4134119575.30.4
8688.3Boise St.MWC0.54950.524110914-818-111-20-22-28-37-17-47979835.30.3
294292.2TroySB0.42800.47952135-168-210-00-20-41-67-93-62562572875.20.3
274275.1Charleston SouthernBSth0.43940.49121745-167-190-00-20-21-106-51-7244142705.10.3
288284.0Cal St. FullertonBW0.43330.46002697-139-180-00-10-62-37-95-62343362795.00.3
3337.9Wichita St.MVC0.58900.523211316-621-70-20-13-29-19-05-59320334.90.5
210208.9Gardner WebbBSth0.47670.461826410-1213-140-10-10-24-59-52-72191272044.90.3
137135.8Northern IllinoisMAC0.52010.493516712-716-110-00-11-29-56-37-21493461314.80.2
129128.8Illinois St.MVC0.52470.529210013-1115-150-21-30-45-59-15-7141111244.80.3
150148.7NortheasternCAA0.51290.524011011-1314-161-11-22-64-57-37-51001451444.70.3
201200.6DenverSum0.48160.476422613-1115-140-00-10-26-79-38-52213321964.60.3
205206.5South Carolina St.MEAC0.47840.430233412-1115-130-00-10-31-414-43-92101162024.50.2
165163.3Utah St.MWC0.50390.51911209-1113-140-10-11-64-68-16-3801121594.30.2
5653.2SyracuseACC0.57660.56743816-819-122-53-23-35-16-110-361113494.20.3
1417.1Iowa St.B120.61660.5908617-622-94-63-25-17-13-011-21557134.10.7
132130.1MercerSC0.52360.452329016-720-90-00-21-25-415-28-31153171264.10.2
217216.1CanisiusMAAC0.47280.478421611-1414-170-01-10-43-610-65-61992132124.10.3
334332.1Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.39380.46642473-194-230-10-00-30-84-111-103192023284.10.5
148146.0Indiana St.MVC0.51420.511012712-1115-140-00-32-36-47-45-6161931424.00.2
283280.0Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43570.48731875-178-210-10-10-51-76-71-103141852764.00.2
8083.8IPFWSum0.55260.494416417-720-90-10-30-18-311-19-486253803.80.3
2121.8Texas A&MSEC0.60850.55445618-524-73-03-26-47-15-011-21340183.80.5
158156.7Wright St.Horz0.50770.478121813-1017-120-21-10-16-510-44-72482161533.70.2
245242.7JacksonvilleASun0.45790.429333611-1113-140-10-10-11-512-64-93123262393.70.2
101102.4UT ArlingtonSB0.54010.470923514-721-90-10-11-15-315-38-267271993.40.2
279275.3Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.43880.45622767-1710-190-20-20-21-59-82-12237582723.30.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6667.3TulsaAmer0.56500.55136215-818-120-22-32-47-27-08-489101643.30.2
179180.3Colorado St.MWC0.49380.497915411-1015-140-00-21-56-68-26-52032541773.30.2
24.0VillanovaBE0.64930.57861920-327-42-34-18-17-06-011-293813.01.2
314311.9MaristMAAC0.41340.47042375-177-220-00-21-21-76-113-62912893092.90.2
238238.8Loyola ChicagoMVC0.45990.482320310-1312-170-00-21-34-77-46-52382972362.80.1
197194.8New HampshireAE0.48490.453228612-915-120-10-20-20-314-45-62123111922.80.2
3640.6William & MaryCAA0.58710.53808915-619-80-20-04-39-26-16-32741382.60.2
325322.6Northern ArizonaBSky0.40380.49361652-184-230-10-20-30-83-100-926753202.60.2
224227.6San FranciscoWCC0.46620.464625512-1014-140-00-30-30-514-36-42863482252.60.1
195193.4UCFAmer0.48570.503814611-1013-160-10-31-73-310-26-52513241912.40.1
124124.3East Tennessee St.SC0.52700.492417113-917-120-10-21-25-511-25-6118731222.30.1
235236.3Missouri St.MVC0.46130.49561599-1411-180-00-30-45-85-33-83022502342.30.1
35.2OregonP120.64600.5900719-424-63-15-18-34-13-010-2102632.20.6
277275.2Sacred HeartNEC0.43910.44313138-1511-180-00-10-21-410-111-103302312732.20.1
2733.1Saint Joseph'sA100.59410.53868619-424-70-21-25-110-08-011-22975312.10.2
296294.0RiceCUSA0.42660.48182056-159-200-00-11-42-76-83-82681782922.00.1
5452.0St. BonaventureA100.57750.54058115-620-91-21-23-37-27-08-382170502.00.1
56.0MarylandB100.64330.56993421-325-52-32-16-18-07-011-188142.00.5
2224.9FloridaSEC0.60490.58431415-820-112-51-26-28-14-09-4223231.90.2
1010.9North CarolinaACC0.63070.57092919-424-73-42-17-17-15-011-2126691.90.3
218217.9Jackson St.SWAC0.47180.427033811-1116-130-10-00-11-515-53-82241752161.90.1
111112.9DuquesneA100.53370.53039614-817-130-31-31-46-29-09-31122681111.90.1
140137.9ElonCAA0.51940.522211612-1115-140-10-32-63-49-17-4911581361.90.1
244241.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.45820.431033211-1215-140-00-02-23-510-76-72393342401.80.1
2529.7BaylorB120.59880.58711016-620-103-81-15-16-05-010-22589281.70.1
220218.7IdahoBSky0.47090.442631512-1016-130-10-10-14-312-86-51521942171.70.1
118118.6New Mexico St.WAC0.53030.473422915-819-90-00-11-34-314-27-71781611171.60.1
191191.6South DakotaSum0.48690.503714710-1412-170-00-20-44-107-17-61432081901.60.1
13.5OklahomaB120.65290.58501220-325-55-32-16-18-03-012-038521.50.5
203204.4Western MichiganMAC0.47980.5312957-1410-190-00-11-55-114-14-7202842031.40.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
66.3VirginiaACC0.64320.5884819-423-76-23-14-27-14-011-123951.30.3
1313.2DaytonA100.62510.56314619-325-51-14-16-18-05-110-272121.20.2
208209.2DetroitHorz0.47680.482920010-1112-150-00-30-25-87-24-51791362081.20.1
121124.1Fresno St.MWC0.52740.505814013-817-120-20-11-48-38-27-41331981231.10.0
8486.1BuffaloMAC0.55110.53379313-918-120-30-31-29-47-16-613588851.10.1
102103.1HoustonAmer0.53980.508713416-720-101-10-23-35-210-110-21253231021.10.1
88.0XavierBE0.63770.57003321-225-52-24-16-28-05-012-016271.00.2
275274.9Cleveland St.Horz0.43940.51071295-187-220-10-31-21-115-53-817282740.90.1
1717.7Michigan St.B100.61500.54716920-426-54-32-04-17-18-013-06123170.70.2
315313.5HartfordAE0.41220.45852706-188-220-10-30-30-58-114-103132993130.50.1
1111.5SMUAmer0.62900.54617320-226-40-04-16-28-18-012-0468110.50.1
114114.4North Dakota St.Sum0.53320.484219514-817-110-11-11-15-610-28-41223081140.40.0
255255.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.45050.45592779-1312-150-00-10-23-79-52-93342422550.40.0
304304.3MaineAE0.41960.44883048-1610-190-00-21-20-69-104-93243333040.30.0
347346.3Grambling St.SWAC0.36410.43313283-175-220-00-00-20-95-110-93351073460.30.1
4546.2PittsburghACC0.58250.56334416-520-91-52-14-17-26-010-151184460.20.0
264262.2UMass LowellAE0.44690.46542538-1510-180-00-30-32-47-83-92942732620.20.0
348347.1Illinois ChicagoHorz0.36300.46612481-192-250-00-20-10-132-100-93503273470.10.0
7579.1Middle TennesseeCUSA0.55640.504914215-619-90-00-11-28-410-16-46835790.10.0
291290.0Holy CrossPat0.42940.44982999-1411-180-10-00-12-69-105-62352942900.00.0
45.9KansasB120.64440.5972318-423-75-54-16-04-14-011-15336-0.1-0.0
256255.9Montana St.BSky0.45030.44463119-1313-160-00-00-22-711-64-7198197256-0.1-0.0
301298.9North TexasCUSA0.42320.47342307-1410-190-00-00-32-87-83-8320246299-0.1-0.0
1919.9KentuckySEC0.61210.57083117-622-93-22-17-37-23-010-3161520-0.1-0.0
290288.9San DiegoWCC0.43040.48331997-158-200-11-31-30-37-104-6293319289-0.1-0.0
345343.8Chicago St.WAC0.37320.47752221-222-260-10-10-20-122-101-13337195344-0.2-0.0
180183.8Washington St.P120.49150.5718278-149-200-60-52-71-15-17-4146143184-0.2-0.0
343340.8UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.37980.46392583-184-220-10-00-20-84-111-11348269341-0.2-0.0
249244.7MinnesotaB100.45670.5377906-178-220-40-31-53-85-16-6245221245-0.3-0.0
192192.6Boston UniversityPat0.48620.453128813-1117-130-10-01-02-613-66-6189277193-0.4-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6870.5UCLAP120.56240.5881913-1017-142-62-35-34-23-09-4652571-0.5-0.0
77.4IowaB100.63930.57871819-424-64-33-24-16-07-09-348808-0.6-0.2
351350.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.34460.41783443-204-250-00-10-10-34-201-10351343351-0.7-0.6
263260.3AmericanPat0.44770.48012107-169-200-00-20-23-66-102-9231106261-0.7-0.0
350349.1Delaware St.MEAC0.35210.43503242-204-250-00-10-20-73-150-13346190350-0.9-0.4
6769.1UC IrvineBW0.56360.504214316-621-90-20-11-36-214-19-5526470-0.9-0.1
181185.0NavyPat0.49090.449130215-919-110-20-01-13-315-68-4162281186-1.0-0.1
151148.9Oklahoma St.B120.51260.56045211-1313-182-90-32-34-25-19-4173283150-1.1-0.1
344341.9UTSACUSA0.37790.46042663-194-250-10-00-30-84-131-10344298343-1.1-0.2
1212.8Miami FLACC0.62600.57772018-423-74-34-15-16-34-011-1209514-1.2-0.2
98.7West VirginiaB120.63590.58121619-425-65-53-15-08-05-011-22811410-1.3-0.3
6463.5WisconsinB100.56820.58601114-917-142-62-13-27-33-18-51034765-1.5-0.1
8989.4HawaiiBW0.54870.469024216-322-50-10-02-26-114-19-211025991-1.6-0.1
349347.3Florida A&MMEAC0.35980.40483505-156-190-00-00-00-46-142-9336295349-1.7-0.5
333328.3McNeese St.Slnd0.39490.43353273-147-180-10-10-31-36-90-729018330-1.7-0.1
169166.3MilwaukeeHorz0.50230.465525213-917-120-00-21-14-612-27-4147272168-1.7-0.1
9697.9Tennessee TechOVC0.54310.484319415-718-90-10-11-25-312-26-5127172100-2.1-0.1
292290.9BrownIvy0.42860.47212326-138-190-10-20-41-48-74-9317314293-2.1-0.1
306303.9Alabama St.SWAC0.41930.43403266-159-190-00-10-21-78-93-715083306-2.1-0.1
229232.8Miami OHMAC0.46350.5386877-159-210-20-10-56-103-35-721496235-2.2-0.1
184186.8NJITASun0.48990.461926213-1116-130-10-20-21-415-48-7126147189-2.2-0.1
339334.7Southern UtahBSky0.39000.46022683-174-230-00-20-10-74-121-8316224337-2.3-0.3
338332.7PresbyterianBSth0.39160.43803185-157-190-00-00-11-106-82-6341322335-2.3-0.2
216215.6Florida Gulf CoastASun0.47290.461826310-1114-120-10-10-13-411-55-7205126218-2.4-0.1
149146.5ToledoMAC0.51390.485819213-918-120-01-01-36-710-28-4176318149-2.5-0.1
127126.5PepperdineWCC0.52580.503514813-1016-120-01-22-34-29-56-4104154129-2.5-0.2
297295.3San Jose St.MWC0.42590.50391455-156-210-00-10-44-102-62-7328288298-2.7-0.2
3841.1South Dakota St.Sum0.58650.504114417-522-60-00-03-212-37-19-33717944-2.9-0.2
2326.1ArizonaP120.60250.54547419-524-71-33-29-25-06-012-13823229-2.9-0.3
287283.1St. Francis NYNEC0.43380.42993359-1513-170-10-00-10-513-113-9300303286-2.9-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3237.0VCUA100.59000.54796717-623-81-22-25-39-16-08-51096340-3.0-0.3
1818.0DukeACC0.61470.5917518-622-93-53-26-18-13-011-2111021-3.0-0.5
172170.0RadfordBSth0.49990.489817711-1114-140-00-22-23-79-35-59043173-3.0-0.2
320318.9LafayettePat0.40750.46602495-187-220-10-10-11-76-123-8264210322-3.1-0.3
266262.9Santa ClaraWCC0.44640.49961527-169-200-10-30-51-48-83-8305233266-3.1-0.2
272273.8LipscombASun0.43990.48751866-188-210-00-20-41-77-72-1325860277-3.2-0.2
153151.8Eastern MichiganMAC0.51090.5391847-1211-160-20-11-27-103-14-510248155-3.2-0.1
340334.8North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38910.41503467-1710-200-20-00-10-610-113-11332267338-3.2-0.4
302301.7Bethune CookmanMEAC0.42090.42573397-1510-190-10-10-11-510-111-12311223305-3.3-0.2
311308.7NiagaraMAAC0.41620.47822176-198-230-00-30-31-77-102-9322252312-3.3-0.3
7274.6HofstraCAA0.55930.526110615-819-100-02-22-56-39-07-48112578-3.4-0.2
280276.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43810.48062076-158-200-10-00-52-66-83-9279263280-3.5-0.2
6970.5GeorgetownBE0.56230.58461314-1116-152-51-44-34-36-07-61143274-3.5-0.3
156156.5Ball St.MAC0.50820.485819114-818-120-01-10-28-79-28-4192325160-3.5-0.2
332329.3Savannah St.MEAC0.39630.41243488-1310-160-20-10-00-310-113-7283229333-3.7-0.3
341336.3VMISC0.38810.46452563-174-210-00-10-20-104-82-6269244340-3.7-0.6
346344.1Prairie View A&MSWAC0.37020.43733192-205-250-10-10-22-74-140-12340149348-3.9-0.7
321319.1LongwoodBSth0.40730.45192925-177-210-00-00-02-125-91-9342304323-3.9-0.3
8789.1ArkansasSEC0.54940.56005312-1117-141-41-25-57-44-07-61383493-3.9-0.2
7172.0BYUWCC0.56110.509813116-821-90-12-23-15-211-38-4709876-4.0-0.3
335331.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.39230.43983173-146-180-10-10-30-66-70-630642336-4.1-0.4
99100.8Grand CanyonWAC0.54110.454028219-423-50-11-01-06-215-212-266226105-4.2-0.3
207208.7Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47700.435632211-1015-130-00-10-11-414-74-6194261213-4.3-0.2
113113.6MemphisAmer0.53340.528210214-919-120-31-33-35-310-19-4158186118-4.4-0.2
5955.5YaleIvy0.57490.493516814-520-70-31-11-15-213-18-57816760-4.5-0.4
328326.4USC UpstateASun0.40030.45452805-176-210-10-00-12-74-113-10298225331-4.6-0.5
271273.3Idaho St.BSky0.43990.42383409-1113-150-00-00-01-611-83-7315335278-4.7-0.2
298297.3Southern MissCUSA0.42410.46202616-139-180-00-01-32-76-92-7304249302-4.7-0.3
243242.2PacificWCC0.45830.51771225-158-180-10-31-30-56-60-8333105247-4.8-0.2
167164.9WinthropBSth0.50310.446230913-716-100-00-00-24-512-35-3145306170-5.1-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
166163.9Tennessee St.OVC0.50360.452129114-717-100-00-01-43-514-17-4182337169-5.1-0.3
5047.8MichiganB100.58110.56134916-720-103-71-21-17-08-09-37613853-5.2-0.4
186188.6WoffordSC0.48890.481020610-1313-160-10-20-22-711-42-9281206194-5.4-0.3
331328.5CampbellBSth0.39760.43213316-158-180-00-00-13-75-104-4285347334-5.5-0.6
115114.5Northern IowaMVC0.53290.521911713-1117-132-00-22-45-58-37-56230120-5.5-0.3
5753.5VanderbiltSEC0.57630.57063213-1019-122-62-22-37-25-08-5743659-5.5-0.4
175177.4Mississippi St.SEC0.49540.5427769-1312-180-40-32-73-37-17-5191230183-5.6-0.3
9189.4AlbanyAE0.54830.457027519-623-70-11-11-14-117-310-48427095-5.6-0.5
265262.3LibertyBSth0.44680.46992388-1510-180-10-20-14-66-80-10345189268-5.7-0.3
221222.3Saint Peter'sMAAC0.46910.47802209-1312-160-00-31-22-39-72-7327256228-5.7-0.3
134132.2Central MichiganMAC0.52230.527810310-1014-140-01-11-37-96-04-6216129138-5.8-0.2
318318.1BryantNEC0.40800.45342846-188-220-10-20-30-38-132-10282152324-5.9-0.5
326323.1Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.40330.44992985-207-250-00-00-40-87-130-1432997329-5.9-0.5
139137.0North FloridaASun0.51990.448430615-819-90-20-10-24-115-38-6111222143-6.0-0.4
174174.9Western KentuckyCUSA0.49660.516212310-1213-160-21-01-45-57-56-59744181-6.1-0.3
1517.8PurdueB100.61560.56933519-524-72-43-15-18-16-012-11410224-6.2-0.9
7982.6James MadisonCAA0.55330.518112117-721-90-10-13-210-37-19-39417489-6.4-0.5
234235.6UTEPCUSA0.46170.457627312-1116-140-00-00-25-611-67-5206251242-6.4-0.3
258258.5Utah ValleyWAC0.44910.47412287-149-170-10-10-31-68-63-9250176265-6.5-0.4
316312.1New OrleansSlnd0.41220.42013435-139-170-00-00-20-89-71-7307265319-6.9-0.4
237238.9St. Francis PANEC0.46000.448730511-1114-140-10-10-11-413-73-7228128246-7.1-0.3
323319.7UMBCAE0.40660.44943016-198-230-00-10-20-98-104-11326328327-7.3-0.7
7374.7EvansvilleMVC0.55920.487718418-623-70-00-22-27-313-010-26322882-7.3-0.6
336331.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.39180.43083333-178-210-10-10-20-78-100-11343177339-7.4-0.6
240240.6PortlandWCC0.45890.495416110-1512-180-00-31-32-38-95-7259240248-7.4-0.5
227230.6Loyola MDPat0.46450.49091758-1511-180-10-10-21-99-51-1026051238-7.4-0.4
5350.4Arkansas Little RockSB0.57860.469223919-225-40-01-03-17-115-18-14627658-7.6-0.7
176179.4SouthernSWAC0.49430.417734513-818-100-00-00-22-416-45-5120193187-7.6-0.4
278275.2QuinnipiacMAAC0.43890.46842448-1410-190-00-20-32-69-83-6299300283-7.8-0.4
322318.1Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40710.43213307-139-180-00-00-11-88-81-8349321326-7.9-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8184.1BelmontOVC0.55230.492417216-819-100-01-11-56-312-27-68311592-7.9-0.6
187188.8Sam Houston St.Slnd0.48870.46762459-1113-140-10-10-42-312-52-720067197-8.2-0.4
154154.8TowsonCAA0.50870.477722115-817-120-01-12-54-310-27-4247350163-8.2-0.5
250245.7Northern KentuckyHorz0.45640.48851807-149-180-20-20-13-86-52-7270121254-8.3-0.4
342336.6LamarSlnd0.38690.41493476-148-180-00-00-20-77-104-4272349345-8.4-1.1
3136.6ValparaisoHorz0.59000.493516918-424-50-10-03-19-311-08-3184945-8.4-0.8
5552.5PrincetonIvy0.57690.505913913-520-70-20-21-15-115-19-4357461-8.5-0.6
173173.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.49800.49811539-1213-160-11-11-32-59-62-721786182-8.7-0.4
1618.1LouisvilleACC0.61510.56484119-524-73-52-14-17-18-011-24720127-8.9-1.3
159158.1FurmanSC0.50730.483819613-1116-130-11-20-13-512-44-7201151167-8.9-0.5
262260.0Appalachian St.SB0.44800.50261496-179-220-10-10-41-88-72-926277269-9.0-0.5
161161.8VermontAE0.50510.478921513-1216-140-20-31-43-313-37-7131155171-9.2-0.7
313311.6Northern ColoradoBSky0.41350.46642466-158-200-10-10-02-76-111-9347258321-9.4-0.7
337332.4Morgan St.MEAC0.39170.43653214-177-210-10-10-00-77-121-11310163342-9.6-0.9
3037.4ConnecticutAmer0.59010.55475517-622-91-21-25-47-08-010-3588747-9.6-0.8
199197.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.48360.477222313-1215-150-20-01-34-610-48-6154243207-9.7-0.6
8588.2UABCUSA0.54960.460626519-424-60-00-02-16-515-19-314431598-9.8-0.6
270271.1UNC GreensboroSC0.44160.48821836-169-190-10-20-22-117-41-9321141281-9.9-0.5
9799.8SienaMAAC0.54190.493616616-920-110-10-22-15-312-47-44061110-10.2-0.6
276274.7UMKCWAC0.43920.47472276-159-170-21-00-21-76-64-8208159285-10.3-0.5
135134.4UNC AshevilleBSth0.52100.463425915-819-90-10-01-15-612-25-5148137145-10.6-0.6
324321.4North Carolina CentralMEAC0.40470.42343415-159-170-00-00-10-79-92-9303209332-10.6-0.8
170167.2BucknellPat0.50170.470823612-1016-120-00-00-23-613-42-8261171178-10.8-0.7
267264.1UC RiversideBW0.44560.451329511-1312-180-00-01-42-510-87-7254340275-10.9-0.7
9089.7CreightonBE0.54850.53948315-919-121-51-32-36-18-19-4166296101-11.3-0.7
300298.5Robert MorrisNEC0.42360.45442817-1810-210-00-10-31-69-122-11297162310-11.5-0.8
119120.5UNLVMWC0.52930.523911111-1116-131-11-22-45-57-17-498120132-11.5-0.6
251248.5SamfordSC0.45460.453128710-1412-170-10-20-12-711-57-4159320260-11.5-0.7
211210.4North DakotaBSky0.47630.46312609-1013-130-00-00-22-511-52-6274245222-11.6-0.5
143140.4Old DominionCUSA0.51780.482820113-1019-120-10-21-34-414-27-6163132152-11.6-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
259259.1Western IllinoisSum0.44840.49711555-137-170-10-11-32-84-34-4177302271-11.9-0.5
3539.0Saint Mary'sWCC0.58810.489517818-323-40-01-13-13-116-08-14423451-12.0-1.2
282278.8Texas St.SB0.43620.45102977-1110-170-00-10-31-79-64-3249351291-12.2-0.6
2935.4AkronMAC0.59180.509413318-424-60-10-04-112-49-010-25324848-12.6-1.0
98100.3Rhode IslandA100.54160.54177813-1018-131-30-42-26-39-18-5124109113-12.7-0.7
5249.0GonzagaWCC0.57980.524310818-522-70-21-22-25-014-07-4602362-13.0-1.3
286281.8Portland St.BSky0.43480.44973006-1310-170-00-00-10-810-82-7339339295-13.2-0.7
303303.8DrakeMVC0.41960.48851815-187-220-10-20-32-115-64-7288280317-13.2-1.0
307304.6Jacksonville St.OVC0.41930.47992126-187-220-00-10-52-85-82-11338275318-13.4-1.2
128127.3MarshallCUSA0.52530.52939912-1216-150-20-11-55-59-24-91819141-13.7-0.7
289286.2LIU BrooklynNEC0.43210.411034911-1214-150-00-00-02-312-126-5236342300-13.8-0.9
108111.2OaklandHorz0.53450.478121917-821-100-20-21-18-312-28-592187125-13.8-1.0
212212.2LehighPat0.47510.49481638-1411-170-20-20-21-510-61-925722226-13.8-0.7
5855.0ButlerBE0.57510.54856616-720-102-41-24-26-17-011-14223569-14.0-0.9
162161.7Morehead St.OVC0.50480.488218211-1114-130-00-11-34-59-35-6164164176-14.3-0.7
190190.7WagnerNEC0.48760.421434214-818-100-00-10-11-117-76-4157301205-14.3-0.9
214215.2ArmyPat0.47320.443031413-1116-130-01-10-12-613-68-3117307230-14.8-0.9
3439.1IndianaB100.58850.53948219-523-82-41-04-16-39-010-38720554-14.9-1.1
138136.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.52000.496315613-1016-120-00-21-28-46-36-6183264151-15.0-0.9
204204.8Houston BaptistSlnd0.47900.464225710-1013-140-00-10-32-612-32-7278144220-15.2-0.7
247243.6TulaneAmer0.45730.51591248-1610-210-30-21-52-77-37-6226282259-15.4-0.8
131130.4Louisiana TechCUSA0.52370.457827115-620-90-00-02-24-414-49-241204146-15.6-0.7
145145.2NebraskaB100.51480.52949813-1116-151-60-31-34-29-18-5213284161-15.8-0.9
6160.7UNC WilmingtonCAA0.57030.506613816-520-70-01-14-26-48-06-312329277-16.3-1.1
155155.6Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50860.469024012-815-100-00-01-17-58-43-4171169172-16.4-0.9
241240.5Western CarolinaSC0.45890.50691376-159-190-00-30-33-85-52-820717257-16.5-0.7
213214.2HarvardIvy0.47410.49971517-1311-170-20-22-23-56-66-8175157231-16.8-0.8
253249.9Sacramento St.BSky0.45360.45162948-1112-150-00-01-12-59-95-4195309267-17.1-0.7
293290.8DartmouthIvy0.42840.47312316-139-180-00-20-31-68-75-8284310308-17.2-0.9
299297.7HowardMEAC0.42380.43463258-1411-170-11-00-11-69-94-9263211315-17.3-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4445.5Stony BrookAE0.58280.482120418-422-50-00-13-16-213-07-4368263-17.5-2.0
141138.2Weber St.BSky0.51890.449030313-719-90-01-10-13-215-45-5137130156-17.8-0.9
9294.2New MexicoMWC0.54540.521511814-920-110-20-12-211-56-27-6165118112-17.8-1.0
310306.8Alabama A&MSWAC0.41660.39853517-1211-150-00-00-10-611-83-5222313325-18.2-1.1
105108.5RichmondA100.53650.54237712-1016-141-32-32-56-27-08-4101134127-18.5-0.9
230232.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.46340.453828310-1514-170-10-10-31-413-83-10271156251-18.5-0.9
4847.0CincinnatiAmer0.58150.54387517-722-91-43-13-36-210-010-37314066-19.0-1.5
269268.9SeattleWAC0.44280.452528910-1112-140-00-11-31-510-54-8325291288-19.1-1.1
281277.1PennIvy0.43740.46592507-1110-170-10-20-41-49-55-8308330297-19.9-0.8
110113.1Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.53400.451829316-520-80-10-10-24-216-17-369215133-19.9-1.1
232232.8FIUCUSA0.46320.46902419-1313-160-00-01-42-710-54-7280287253-20.2-1.0
104107.6Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53710.490817611-817-100-10-11-33-312-22-5230117128-20.4-0.9
200197.9High PointBSth0.48340.444631211-915-110-00-10-24-511-34-4193293219-21.1-1.1
194193.4Bowling GreenMAC0.48590.488617911-1014-150-10-21-34-89-27-4204341215-21.6-1.2
189189.3Incarnate WordSlnd0.48840.45522799-813-120-20-10-22-211-52-5153111211-21.7-0.9
144142.6Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.51610.448030814-718-80-00-10-22-416-17-5156286165-22.4-1.3
225227.6RiderMAAC0.46600.476822410-1513-180-10-20-32-510-74-7227238250-22.4-1.3
239240.5Arkansas St.SB0.45920.48042089-1211-180-11-11-23-47-92-7323260263-22.5-1.0
123124.0IonaMAAC0.52720.491317314-918-110-00-30-33-314-13-621891147-23.0-1.2
196195.0Texas SouthernSWAC0.48500.436732010-1216-140-00-10-31-615-31-11309148227-32.0-1.6
9597.2Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.54360.455827813-520-60-00-00-25-214-13-5190160139-41.8-2.4

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com