live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 20, 2018.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
186184.4Miami OHMAC0.49380.51051308-912-170-10-21-25-86-45-614617312658.42.0
283278.9CornellIvy0.43420.46522565-109-170-10-11-11-67-85-719320822553.92.1
132132.8LipscombASun0.52140.47542239-815-110-20-12-11-312-47-521238943.81.6
241240.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.45970.401634710-816-130-10-00-10-316-75-821426019842.71.8
100106.3UC DavisBW0.53610.487318310-717-110-10-00-28-69-17-552736838.31.4
246246.7Savannah St.MEAC0.45570.48312015-1310-190-50-20-30-210-71-12175120937.71.4
300297.8Western IllinoisSum0.42200.45632866-88-150-00-10-31-57-65-425233926235.81.6
226223.5Western CarolinaSC0.47050.50271457-1110-190-30-10-52-67-43-81905618835.51.7
93100.4NebraskaB100.53960.52799814-719-120-41-22-38-47-09-41572716535.41.3
9097.8Boston CollegeACC0.54120.54737313-617-141-52-42-34-19-010-31293076334.81.3
229224.6George MasonA100.46980.50351449-1113-180-20-10-34-89-36-722918319133.61.5
108111.1Mississippi St.SEC0.53360.53209213-518-121-42-33-36-27-011-1412827833.11.0
164160.1EvansvilleMVC0.50680.52839710-914-150-10-12-46-105-08-35412012832.11.1
109110.7Wright St.Horz0.53290.471223413-620-90-00-12-34-114-36-588627931.71.3
178176.2PacificWCC0.49890.51851129-1113-170-20-41-33-59-34-82079414531.21.3
193188.7PittsburghACC0.49160.5795248-1210-210-80-42-52-46-18-516313515929.71.8
96101.5WyomingMWC0.53900.53349111-717-130-31-13-27-55-28-475847229.51.2
259261.3BrownIvy0.44580.44093177-712-140-10-10-12-610-66-623032423229.31.0
165161.0Cal St. FullertonBW0.50650.47692209-715-110-00-21-34-49-25-513613613229.00.9
227224.3Southern MissCUSA0.47040.49761587-1010-170-10-30-31-59-43-622418219628.31.1
252257.0PortlandWCC0.44900.51271245-138-200-20-40-21-76-43-726614522928.01.6
340334.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.38710.44633113-166-230-10-20-30-46-142-112607530727.52.3
197191.0Long Beach St.BW0.49010.49931548-1213-170-30-11-35-76-34-101865916427.01.1
120120.8Illinois St.MVC0.52770.5526609-1013-160-11-23-58-71-15-6106259426.81.0
7885.4ColoradoP120.54860.56065112-816-141-32-23-46-54-08-41161515926.41.2
7177.2WashingtonP120.55420.55176314-619-122-11-34-66-26-010-345525126.21.3
8996.3North Carolina St.ACC0.54200.55066713-618-134-51-22-34-37-010-31592917125.30.9
182178.1Saint LouisA100.49720.52341069-1014-160-10-32-35-66-36-61817715325.10.9
319313.6VMISC0.40940.46892394-127-200-00-10-60-86-73-628230528924.61.4
250250.6Nebraska OmahaSum0.45300.51201275-158-200-30-20-42-76-53-112596422723.61.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9198.6MinnesotaB100.54030.53918414-818-130-41-31-28-46-011-2712337523.61.0
116119.3MemphisAmer0.52880.52759913-718-130-41-33-35-39-19-41532069623.30.9
102106.2Iowa St.B120.53600.57393011-714-162-62-42-43-15-19-31002208323.20.9
8896.1William & MaryCAA0.54200.512412511-616-110-10-13-54-210-25-444427323.10.9
133135.1RadfordBSth0.52050.465825411-718-110-20-00-13-514-35-612515311223.10.8
162159.7DrakeMVC0.50720.507913211-915-150-00-12-68-74-15-726130213722.70.8
243243.4North FloridaASun0.45810.47922136-1310-180-20-20-22-68-63-112094922122.40.9
272271.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43990.47192337-1210-190-10-10-41-68-84-724724725120.11.1
201201.1MassachusettsA100.48440.504314310-1015-160-21-12-45-67-47-622123418120.10.8
104106.1HofstraCAA0.53580.513712211-817-120-30-04-25-38-36-587538620.10.8
264264.9Southern UtahBSky0.44410.48152076-109-180-10-10-23-96-54-515815824519.90.8
330324.6PresbyterianBSth0.39980.44613125-128-200-10-00-21-76-104-626330030519.61.4
303300.2JacksonvilleASun0.42000.44433156-129-180-00-10-12-57-102-1132025228119.21.0
265266.2Appalachian St.SB0.44300.46642536-1210-180-10-01-21-68-93-829126724719.20.8
240240.1Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45990.48401956-1010-170-10-20-52-38-63-621213022218.10.8
8795.0St. John'sBE0.54260.599339-1013-171-71-53-24-33-09-324227718.00.8
115116.2UNC GreensboroSC0.53020.473422711-519-90-10-02-24-313-26-41452389917.20.6
6971.0South CarolinaSEC0.55870.57622811-716-142-52-43-36-24-08-461935417.00.8
124123.9BradleyMVC0.52630.504914013-717-130-00-12-58-67-09-311029410716.90.6
337335.8Chicago St.WAC0.38790.50701330-201-280-10-20-40-121-90-1533614431916.82.3
249250.5Air ForceMWC0.45310.50131486-109-180-10-10-43-95-34-627127923416.50.9
180176.5Colorado St.MWC0.49830.5340909-1112-180-20-42-65-46-26-61447016016.50.7
106107.4TulaneAmer0.53510.52859612-717-130-32-22-34-410-19-3852099116.40.7
6668.2GeorgiaSEC0.56110.56384412-617-131-43-34-45-23-19-3461665216.20.8
5661.9TempleAmer0.56580.58401810-916-142-52-23-45-43-18-426194615.91.0
310305.8StetsonASun0.41600.42453366-1210-170-00-00-21-69-104-929032529015.80.9
288286.7Grambling St.SWAC0.42970.39843487-1213-170-00-00-12-411-123-921521327115.70.7
202201.7George WashingtonA100.48400.52041119-1113-180-30-21-44-68-37-61618118615.70.6
110112.2DaytonA100.53270.5526619-1015-150-31-11-28-65-26-610479715.20.6
170167.1Washington St.P120.50330.5459759-913-170-11-22-84-45-18-410510415215.10.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
213214.6Gardner WebbBSth0.47560.47702197-1012-160-20-20-22-510-62-82348320014.60.5
196190.5CaliforniaP120.49060.5622487-129-210-40-53-64-43-26-618510517614.50.8
274272.5DenverSum0.43890.46822486-129-170-00-01-42-66-64-830330125814.50.7
285282.2Cal PolyBW0.43250.48451924-138-200-00-11-33-114-53-925713926814.20.6
314307.8Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41400.41353426-1412-200-10-10-10-612-110-1434418029413.80.7
218217.7North TexasCUSA0.47400.47512248-1014-150-10-20-22-511-55-618416520413.70.6
142143.0ElonCAA0.51620.506713710-915-140-10-03-55-47-56-5789713013.00.5
3840.0AlabamaSEC0.58690.5985413-618-134-43-34-37-21-08-547102713.00.9
242243.0MilwaukeeHorz0.45810.45262969-1114-150-00-02-33-59-86-516221123013.00.7
223219.7Montana St.BSky0.47250.46442609-914-150-00-00-32-811-45-620326120712.70.5
97102.7ConnecticutAmer0.53810.57383210-915-160-71-43-34-27-07-6111279012.70.5
251253.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.45130.422833711-1015-160-00-00-12-613-87-621734424112.70.6
295292.5Norfolk St.MEAC0.42540.43713223-1310-180-10-00-21-510-101-1128910028012.50.5
248250.4HartfordAE0.45350.451230210-914-150-00-10-23-510-76-727533023812.40.6
292287.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.42860.37743519-915-140-00-00-10-315-104-929934227512.30.5
6567.3UCFAmer0.56130.55415813-618-121-52-34-35-27-09-3701085512.30.7
114116.1MississippiSEC0.53040.57542910-914-171-42-53-54-24-07-61689010412.10.4
2023.9TennesseeSEC0.60640.58092213-521-93-42-25-29-12-010-212171211.91.1
151147.7Central MichiganMAC0.51360.487318210-616-120-00-10-26-510-38-29731713611.70.4
117119.5WoffordSC0.52880.484619111-518-101-10-12-33-412-26-410214110811.50.4
1922.4OklahomaB120.60910.58471414-420-104-44-25-33-15-011-1201171111.41.0
147146.2Northern ColoradoBSky0.51500.484718910-716-120-00-01-34-610-36-411720413511.20.4
263264.1UMKCWAC0.44450.50481414-157-210-10-20-51-76-63-1125411925311.10.6
101106.0RiderMAAC0.53600.486418613-720-100-10-11-26-413-27-5911149511.00.4
260263.0Loyola MarymountWCC0.44540.49661645-138-200-10-40-32-76-44-624426925211.00.5
3032.9Middle TennesseeCUSA0.59440.54228013-522-70-21-23-29-19-07-42242210.91.1
6367.2Kansas St.B120.56170.55096614-519-122-62-33-25-17-011-21403265710.20.5
156156.1St. Francis PANEC0.50930.46392629-816-110-20-10-03-313-54-51159614610.10.4
137139.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.51840.52879510-915-150-20-12-47-76-17-513513412910.10.3
129129.7TulsaAmer0.52300.525710211-916-140-31-23-44-48-17-51762251209.70.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4041.6ArkansasSEC0.58550.57393113-620-113-43-35-36-23-011-22357329.60.6
1417.4AuburnSEC0.61660.56484317-224-72-23-27-38-14-012-1118089.41.0
222220.4Oral RobertsSum0.47270.51121296-149-180-00-11-62-75-43-10202602119.40.4
2124.8LouisvilleACC0.60530.58262014-422-92-62-24-19-14-010-33661168.80.7
2425.8Seton HallBE0.60380.58252115-521-103-53-23-18-14-011-21867178.80.8
154151.7Robert MorrisNEC0.51150.464525812-919-120-10-10-12-617-36-71371541438.70.4
284280.6FordhamA100.43360.50471426-139-210-20-20-42-107-45-72782242728.60.4
262263.3Idaho St.BSky0.44480.45272957-911-160-00-10-32-79-53-62833092558.30.3
107108.2UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53490.462226712-519-90-10-11-18-411-29-3552271008.20.3
914.2ClemsonACC0.62310.58711316-322-83-33-15-27-14-011-173968.21.1
316312.1Morgan St.MEAC0.41010.39283495-1211-160-10-00-10-211-122-92722513048.10.4
157157.0IowaB100.50890.54367710-1114-170-30-32-65-56-09-41302371498.00.3
4744.8MissouriSEC0.58200.56903612-619-112-42-35-27-23-09-34398377.80.5
6265.7South Dakota St.Sum0.56270.496816313-520-70-21-11-37-211-18-57389587.70.5
4643.7ProvidenceBE0.58280.58421614-619-122-52-34-26-24-19-47474367.70.6
190187.6NiagaraMAAC0.49220.476622112-916-150-01-11-43-613-37-61561881807.60.4
3537.3ButlerBE0.58960.58451514-720-113-52-44-27-05-010-33363307.30.6
2528.3TCUB120.60090.5932614-520-112-53-26-26-13-013-0343217.30.6
1721.0Ohio St.B100.61010.56943517-424-71-32-25-112-14-09-47638147.00.8
2225.9Texas TechB120.60400.56833915-422-94-32-25-24-17-012-138222196.90.5
8694.8Oklahoma St.B120.54290.56165013-617-142-73-42-33-07-010-3132283886.80.3
148145.6Georgia TechACC0.51460.56584210-913-181-71-32-44-36-17-62312101396.60.2
6770.5UtahP120.55940.55515611-717-120-31-34-47-24-08-386187646.50.3
187185.2RutgersB100.49360.53448911-814-161-51-31-34-48-19-32433401796.20.2
3234.0BuffaloMAC0.59330.53838513-522-80-20-21-213-28-07-5358286.00.5
112114.8Ball St.MAC0.53160.507013411-718-120-10-12-38-58-28-4831841095.80.2
175171.8Tennessee TechOVC0.50080.480420911-815-140-00-00-53-512-36-51412431665.80.2
5152.5MarquetteBE0.57420.57742613-618-121-73-23-26-15-09-389124475.50.4
3739.5Boise St.MWC0.58720.520710915-422-70-20-14-29-28-09-248196345.50.4
2628.3Miami FLACC0.60070.56963413-421-91-42-24-28-16-011-115101235.30.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
299297.0DetroitHorz0.42260.48092084-158-210-00-10-61-66-82-9240442925.00.3
121122.0Portland St.BSky0.52700.479721110-718-100-10-11-26-311-37-3802161175.00.2
184181.9La SalleA100.49550.52691008-1213-180-30-11-45-67-46-7151581774.90.2
333330.8BryantNEC0.39320.46222662-195-260-10-10-20-95-141-123232183264.80.5
161159.7Louisiana TechCUSA0.50730.497615910-916-130-10-30-33-312-37-41221311554.70.2
7784.7Utah ValleyWAC0.54910.502614612-618-90-20-21-14-313-18-56069804.70.2
122122.6Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.52670.425933412-321-60-00-10-14-117-37-21013211184.60.2
1014.4Rhode IslandA100.62140.55166415-324-51-22-14-110-17-08-3133104.40.6
245244.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45710.45822818-1113-160-00-00-32-611-74-72492582404.40.2
8189.4StanfordP120.54620.57702711-916-151-62-25-35-43-16-717033854.40.2
189187.2DePaulBE0.49250.5553558-1110-200-71-51-42-46-07-52393041834.20.2
158157.9New MexicoMWC0.50830.52681019-1115-150-30-42-35-47-24-8250851543.90.1
216216.9Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.47460.51811155-129-170-10-31-33-55-54-8152362133.90.2
349348.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.35080.41013432-175-260-00-10-10-75-160-133431793453.61.5
334331.5MaineAE0.39250.46442592-174-250-10-10-20-84-131-123473143283.50.3
45.3North CarolinaACC0.64770.6111116-423-84-44-27-16-12-011-26623.31.0
95101.3MarshallCUSA0.53910.500215313-619-110-11-22-34-213-38-4120240983.30.1
125126.0NorthwesternB100.52540.54287811-915-150-41-32-26-56-08-41502541233.00.1
113115.9IndianaB100.53050.55595311-815-151-61-32-17-55-07-51911741132.90.1
138140.9Indiana St.MVC0.51750.5399828-1013-150-10-23-47-72-13-7238951382.90.1
145143.8WagnerNEC0.51590.451530011-617-100-10-10-13-215-45-41181991412.80.1
4946.5TexasB120.58010.5925812-718-133-63-33-35-14-010-35166442.50.2
335332.4LongwoodBSth0.39150.46872413-145-230-00-10-11-104-110-103421763302.40.2
273271.3DrexelCAA0.43970.49131766-149-210-01-02-63-84-75-72352352692.30.1
347342.3Coppin St.MEAC0.37310.43703232-196-250-20-00-20-66-160-153391503402.30.3
66.2XavierBE0.64450.5922918-325-63-34-26-17-13-012-153042.20.6
128129.1Wake ForestACC0.52300.5729338-1012-181-61-31-35-44-17-51661521272.10.1
23.1DukeACC0.66000.59151017-226-55-24-06-210-12-013-011112.10.9
1115.0NevadaMWC0.61970.54697418-326-61-11-15-114-25-011-31631132.00.3
4845.0Western KentuckyCUSA0.58120.54257913-621-91-11-13-26-210-17-5509432.00.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
140141.9CanisiusMAAC0.51700.473023012-819-120-00-12-26-511-46-71922301401.90.1
343337.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.38220.45832801-134-210-10-20-20-53-121-62741713361.90.2
2325.9FloridaSEC0.60380.57872514-522-94-35-25-24-15-09-47732241.90.2
166162.9HawaiiBW0.50570.478621411-517-100-10-13-25-410-27-41641091611.90.1
206204.8Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48210.44113169-815-130-00-10-32-313-63-72362532031.80.1
332325.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.39730.41863385-139-200-00-00-40-49-112-113101903241.80.1
296292.8Jackson St.SWAC0.42520.40173467-1113-160-00-10-20-512-81-103091782911.80.1
318313.7Kennesaw St.ASun0.40950.47062353-157-200-10-20-20-86-82-11286863121.70.1
4443.7SyracuseACC0.58300.58901213-619-122-62-24-28-23-011-21418421.70.1
7682.7BelmontOVC0.54990.478521515-623-80-11-11-14-416-18-5112147811.70.1
143143.7VanderbiltSEC0.51600.593077-1211-201-82-62-54-23-05-8171201421.70.1
301297.6McNeese St.Slnd0.42170.44643094-108-170-00-10-21-47-100-73341322961.60.1
308304.5San Jose St.MWC0.41740.51381212-154-240-20-20-41-112-62-82972313031.50.1
324316.5Northern ArizonaBSky0.40760.48411942-164-250-10-10-31-104-102-92641863151.50.1
5862.4Louisiana LafayetteSB0.56520.473722515-324-50-10-01-17-216-18-367191611.40.1
98103.4LSUSEC0.53790.55585411-716-141-34-42-43-26-09-3991611021.40.1
312307.4AmericanPat0.41440.45502895-148-210-10-10-31-57-123-82842763061.40.1
282279.3East CarolinaAmer0.43450.49701618-119-200-20-30-51-68-36-53333502781.30.1
191188.1Fort WayneSum0.49180.473122910-914-130-10-11-32-511-47-61602491871.10.0
200200.1SeattleWAC0.48490.470423611-815-130-00-20-32-513-28-61982781991.10.0
258262.0Morehead St.OVC0.44590.49891564-138-190-10-11-42-55-82-7223412611.00.0
5963.0UCLAP120.56480.55385913-719-111-32-34-47-25-09-35378621.00.1
2931.9Arizona St.P120.59580.54497615-423-73-21-16-39-14-012-09148310.90.1
1620.8KentuckySEC0.61160.5965514-521-102-54-36-26-02-010-3105200.80.1
320314.8The CitadelSC0.40910.48631873-135-220-10-10-51-64-92-72731813140.80.1
3638.7MichiganB100.58810.55016815-521-91-42-13-28-26-010-264244380.70.1
212215.5North DakotaBSky0.47560.51431205-1210-180-10-20-43-96-43-7147342150.50.0
1315.5ArizonaP120.61920.56284616-424-71-13-17-210-13-010-32950150.50.1
5050.3St. BonaventureA100.57640.53558812-621-91-22-13-26-49-110-21946500.30.0
290287.3FIUCUSA0.42920.46212686-1110-180-00-20-32-48-93-73253202870.30.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
346341.1Alabama St.SWAC0.37590.41823403-157-230-10-00-20-67-140-12324923410.10.0
194188.8Stony BrookAE0.49140.49551687-1114-150-10-20-43-410-44-921091189-0.2-0.0
159157.8UNC AshevilleBSth0.50800.48022109-916-130-20-11-14-512-45-611345158-0.2-0.0
3940.6Florida St.ACC0.58630.55016914-521-93-42-23-26-17-011-17231141-0.4-0.0
34.4VirginiaACC0.65280.58032317-126-44-33-15-09-04-011-18685-0.6-0.2
130130.2WisconsinB100.52290.56274710-1014-170-61-32-45-36-07-6194140131-0.8-0.0
351350.2Delaware St.MEAC0.33680.41863390-193-260-00-00-10-53-200-13349239351-0.8-0.6
350349.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.34680.42513350-193-280-00-10-30-63-170-1331572350-1.0-0.4
7280.9NortheasternCAA0.55200.518311412-718-110-10-13-45-49-16-5693582-1.1-0.0
55.9KansasB120.64530.6078216-325-65-25-28-25-02-011-217167-1.1-0.3
11.9VillanovaBE0.66840.58381918-128-34-16-16-09-04-013-02473-1.1-0.8
220217.8FairfieldMAAC0.47380.48861807-1113-160-10-10-43-59-55-613976219-1.2-0.0
322314.8Youngstown St.Horz0.40850.46742504-157-220-00-10-30-106-80-11341170316-1.2-0.1
230224.8DelawareCAA0.46970.48371979-1012-170-00-11-72-69-25-6248293226-1.2-0.1
205203.6YaleIvy0.48280.46842447-1014-150-10-20-22-712-36-9188205205-1.4-0.1
275274.5LIU BrooklynNEC0.43770.44023188-1213-170-00-00-13-510-114-8295319276-1.5-0.1
6165.3Loyola ChicagoMVC0.56340.506813614-421-81-01-13-210-47-19-26328567-1.7-0.1
302300.2IUPUIHorz0.42030.46162715-138-190-10-10-31-57-91-8319175302-1.8-0.1
4543.2New Mexico St.WAC0.58290.495816615-323-40-01-12-18-112-010-3318845-1.8-0.2
198192.1Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48950.48262037-1113-160-00-01-43-99-33-8204115194-1.9-0.1
179176.1UC IrvineBW0.49850.51831136-1412-180-10-30-54-68-23-1116714178-1.9-0.1
1215.9West VirginiaB120.61920.56873816-324-74-44-26-13-07-012-13921918-2.1-0.3
268267.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44180.43703244-1512-190-10-20-31-611-72-1119524270-2.1-0.1
5257.5Notre DameACC0.56990.55975212-718-122-62-13-26-36-09-39521460-2.5-0.2
76.5PurdueB100.64220.56374519-227-43-14-14-110-05-011-225879-2.5-0.8
253257.2Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.44870.43523278-1113-160-00-10-12-611-84-7268332260-2.8-0.1
341336.2USC UpstateASun0.38430.45192982-165-220-00-10-21-74-121-12329215339-2.8-0.3
214215.2Austin PeayOVC0.47530.48361988-1013-150-10-10-33-710-43-7277169218-2.8-0.1
235228.2Abilene ChristianSlnd0.46730.43993199-814-130-10-00-12-513-64-5219287231-2.8-0.1
255259.9SienaMAAC0.44730.49741606-1410-210-10-11-54-86-74-920048263-3.1-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
286282.8St. Francis NYNEC0.43220.45742836-1210-180-00-00-12-68-111-9337228286-3.2-0.1
195188.8Bowling GreenMAC0.49120.486818410-714-150-00-10-35-79-37-4177303192-3.2-0.1
6870.7ToledoMAC0.55900.514411912-620-100-10-11-211-48-27-512414274-3.3-0.2
256260.6Illinois ChicagoHorz0.44670.44643108-1113-160-10-10-31-712-53-8327296264-3.4-0.2
311307.4PepperdineWCC0.41490.50531382-175-240-10-40-41-84-72-9326223311-3.6-0.2
297293.4Little RockSB0.42500.48831814-147-220-00-00-31-96-92-9300167297-3.6-0.2
345340.4Florida A&MMEAC0.37630.43243302-186-250-10-10-20-76-140-15331123344-3.6-0.4
2729.2Texas A&MSEC0.59940.59041113-620-113-54-35-24-14-011-241233-3.8-0.3
160159.0UMBCAE0.50740.468824010-716-120-10-21-32-313-36-6174246163-4.0-0.1
348342.9Alcorn St.SWAC0.37060.40243452-147-200-00-10-20-47-120-9330116347-4.1-0.5
209212.9Tennessee St.OVC0.47730.49641656-1111-160-20-10-33-38-63-614337217-4.1-0.2
276274.8NJITASun0.43740.45003047-1112-150-20-10-11-511-75-8255177279-4.2-0.2
3334.7USCP120.59260.56883715-621-101-22-36-39-24-09-4342939-4.3-0.4
5761.7East Tennessee St.SC0.56550.483020214-423-60-20-03-26-114-17-49015766-4.3-0.3
127128.6VCUA100.52370.514811812-819-120-20-22-25-310-28-512654133-4.4-0.2
279278.6Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43520.46832474-139-180-10-10-21-78-81-8298110283-4.4-0.2
203201.6RichmondA100.48380.5417816-1310-200-20-11-55-74-42-1023721206-4.4-0.2
338333.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.38770.44943051-165-230-10-10-30-55-131-9305121338-4.4-0.3
183180.6HarvardIvy0.49600.49111776-1013-150-10-10-24-59-54-1019979185-4.4-0.1
293290.5Arkansas St.SB0.42660.46022755-139-200-10-10-31-68-93-8317338295-4.5-0.2
344338.3Incarnate WordSlnd0.38040.44933061-125-190-10-20-10-34-121-5292122343-4.7-0.4
4343.3MarylandB100.58340.56694014-620-101-41-33-210-15-010-23214348-4.7-0.3
1821.2Michigan St.B100.60960.53958317-326-52-21-14-112-17-012-12820326-4.8-0.6
169167.2North Dakota St.Sum0.50340.49331738-1014-130-10-12-42-410-46-7142129172-4.8-0.2
219219.1New OrleansSlnd0.47390.45962776-1012-140-00-20-21-511-50-827913224-4.9-0.2
298296.0South FloridaAmer0.42350.49561677-138-230-20-30-51-77-57-6301348301-5.0-0.4
3435.0Saint Mary'sWCC0.59170.496816219-228-30-02-12-111-112-011-24919340-5.0-0.6
237234.0South AlabamaSB0.46430.46692529-913-160-10-11-23-410-85-6265328239-5.0-0.2
244244.7Coastal CarolinaSB0.45720.48461905-1311-170-00-11-42-58-83-722299250-5.3-0.2
257261.3SamfordSC0.44670.48441935-139-200-10-10-61-88-42-9311212267-5.7-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2829.1CreightonBE0.59930.56204915-521-92-43-34-16-06-010-26223635-5.9-0.5
118118.9Georgia SouthernSB0.52850.473322812-619-100-00-01-33-414-37-4108242125-6.1-0.2
141141.9San DiegoWCC0.51660.498515712-717-120-11-31-34-310-38-396200148-6.1-0.3
280278.8ColumbiaIvy0.43480.46902383-128-180-10-00-21-97-62-10304221285-6.2-0.2
136137.7OaklandHorz0.51900.468424513-820-110-20-11-34-215-38-581102144-6.3-0.3
171167.7Utah St.MWC0.50300.52361059-1114-160-20-22-44-67-16-6178164174-6.3-0.2
326320.4UMass LowellAE0.40320.45162995-129-190-00-10-21-78-105-7308334327-6.6-0.4
325318.3MaristMAAC0.40610.47652224-157-230-10-00-31-95-112-10312217325-6.7-0.5
305301.1UC RiversideBW0.41920.47822173-147-210-00-10-43-113-63-9270189308-6.9-0.3
294292.1Louisiana MonroeSB0.42540.48681854-118-180-10-20-31-66-83-5225118299-6.9-0.3
269270.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44120.46862425-129-180-00-00-51-48-82-7316290277-7.0-0.3
6062.6BYUWCC0.56460.502314717-424-70-11-32-19-212-111-23714970-7.4-0.6
204202.6Boston UniversityPat0.48380.45832799-915-130-00-11-22-412-63-7253241210-7.4-0.3
254258.5Santa ClaraWCC0.44810.50071516-129-190-20-40-22-67-42-8340263266-7.5-0.4
4141.4HoustonAmer0.58530.53109315-422-82-22-14-25-110-110-26526249-7.6-0.6
304301.3CharlotteCUSA0.41930.47842164-137-210-00-20-51-56-83-7322329309-7.7-0.4
144143.2GeorgetownBE0.51590.52919413-616-131-61-52-23-010-010-1182351151-7.8-0.3
221219.6ColgatePat0.47290.45412909-914-140-00-10-32-412-64-6258265228-8.4-0.3
176173.5PennIvy0.50030.456928411-618-110-10-00-24-413-39-6180250182-8.5-0.3
139141.3PrincetonIvy0.51720.47962129-817-110-11-20-14-412-37-7134112150-8.7-0.3
192188.0ArmyPat0.49170.436132611-717-110-00-00-22-415-56-4169337197-9.0-0.3
231226.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.46840.50121497-1011-180-10-21-34-96-45-6262312236-9.3-0.4
163159.6IllinoisB100.50690.5513659-1013-170-31-31-35-75-09-384155169-9.4-0.3
167163.5Western MichiganMAC0.50500.49891559-815-140-10-21-46-78-16-5220308173-9.5-0.3
327321.3RiceCUSA0.40290.48172062-165-240-10-20-30-85-101-10306163331-9.7-0.7
210213.1DuquesneA100.47690.462526514-618-130-10-11-24-713-29-4280349223-9.9-0.4
239237.9LehighPat0.46150.46282647-1113-150-10-10-22-611-64-6205192248-10.1-0.4
135136.7ValparaisoMVC0.51940.51211269-915-140-10-11-48-75-17-4119272147-10.3-0.3
278277.3James MadisonCAA0.43590.49181755-158-220-10-11-72-66-73-9296257288-10.7-0.5
5558.3Missouri St.MVC0.56910.525510314-621-90-01-04-211-64-19-35913769-10.7-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
271271.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.43990.46862436-139-200-00-10-40-89-74-7245275282-10.7-0.5
7582.3IonaMAAC0.55030.494716912-720-100-10-11-27-412-26-612112893-10.7-0.5
1517.9Wichita St.Amer0.61440.56684115-423-71-22-38-27-05-010-2278229-11.1-1.5
9298.9MontanaBSky0.54010.461926912-520-80-00-00-37-413-15-5187266110-11.1-0.5
261262.6UNC WilmingtonCAA0.44540.50681354-148-200-00-01-83-73-51-9321162274-11.4-0.5
4241.4SMUAmer0.58510.55236214-622-93-33-23-34-110-010-35811153-11.6-0.9
146145.3Oregon St.P120.51510.53558711-815-150-31-34-54-46-18-4218313157-11.7-0.4
329322.1Cleveland St.Horz0.40200.46302634-167-230-20-00-31-66-112-10313194334-11.9-0.7
224220.8NavyPat0.47240.439632112-817-130-00-00-21-515-68-4155318233-12.2-0.6
331324.7Green BayHorz0.39940.45123015-158-200-00-10-41-67-102-8328268337-12.3-0.9
8288.6Northern KentuckyHorz0.54580.473622612-621-70-00-12-22-316-15-59340101-12.4-0.7
289287.0ChattanoogaSC0.42940.48401964-148-210-00-00-52-96-64-7241185300-13.0-0.6
313307.8QuinnipiacMAAC0.41430.45242976-139-210-00-00-32-77-113-9335335321-13.2-0.7
339334.7Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.38760.45402913-145-230-00-00-31-104-101-11351336348-13.3-1.2
270270.4BinghamtonAE0.44030.43973208-1012-170-00-10-23-59-97-6251343284-13.6-0.6
342335.4Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.38360.43453281-126-190-00-10-20-45-130-7350245349-13.6-1.0
7073.3Old DominionCUSA0.55620.482620415-423-70-01-22-26-215-19-38223287-13.7-0.8
811.3CincinnatiAmer0.62820.54937117-227-41-34-17-16-08-011-24020725-13.7-2.5
281279.0Sacramento St.BSky0.43460.50501393-157-220-00-10-32-115-61-10307103293-14.0-0.6
307302.3SouthernSWAC0.41790.40843445-1312-170-10-10-30-412-92-9276107317-14.7-0.7
199199.3Nicholls St.Slnd0.48570.46392618-814-130-10-10-21-513-42-717226214-14.7-0.5
103107.2Northern IowaMVC0.53580.5491728-915-130-31-13-39-62-06-47928122-14.8-0.5
336331.0HowardMEAC0.39120.41733412-178-210-00-10-00-68-141-13338256346-15.0-1.1
99103.9Fresno St.MWC0.53700.512012812-618-100-20-22-37-48-08-3138288119-15.1-0.6
233227.6UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.46800.47202329-1113-160-10-30-32-611-47-8228284243-15.4-0.9
232226.6Saint Peter'sMAAC0.46830.45382928-1014-150-10-00-32-711-46-5206331242-15.4-0.6
105108.0College of CharlestonCAA0.53520.482020512-618-100-20-03-23-212-37-3123277124-16.0-0.6
8388.6Murray St.OVC0.54580.472223112-521-60-10-11-15-214-16-3127197105-16.4-0.9
8589.6TowsonCAA0.54560.493917112-719-100-00-03-36-410-28-342172106-16.4-0.7
9499.2South DakotaSum0.53950.465625514-520-70-10-11-24-314-19-4103274116-16.8-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
168166.4WinthropBSth0.50380.46092737-815-110-10-01-13-512-43-5179160184-17.6-0.7
309304.1Holy CrossPat0.41710.46122725-149-200-10-00-22-57-123-8287229322-17.9-0.9
152149.7Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51280.458727811-819-90-20-21-03-115-46-8189126168-18.3-0.9
321314.6Sacred HeartNEC0.40880.43213316-1410-200-00-10-21-79-114-8314341333-18.4-1.1
315310.3LafayettePat0.41220.45662854-148-200-10-00-21-57-131-9346286329-18.7-1.0
317313.1Charleston SouthernBSth0.40980.44453143-127-190-00-10-21-66-92-6294322332-18.9-1.0
5357.0VermontAE0.56970.483519914-523-70-10-11-36-116-19-55613376-19.0-1.6
7483.2Virginia TechACC0.55040.55465713-618-132-71-32-26-17-011-2114323103-19.8-0.9
111113.7Penn St.B100.53160.53728613-817-141-31-22-36-58-010-3131273134-20.3-0.8
215216.7ManhattanMAAC0.47490.46842469-1014-160-10-11-43-510-55-7242255237-20.3-0.9
323314.3Loyola MDPat0.40830.45592884-148-200-00-10-31-57-121-9348292335-20.7-1.0
328320.7DartmouthIvy0.40220.44873083-117-190-00-10-21-76-93-9318316342-21.3-1.1
173171.2San FranciscoWCC0.50130.521210810-1015-151-10-41-35-48-47-512851193-21.8-1.0
306301.2Tennessee MartinOVC0.41900.44923075-149-200-00-00-41-58-113-8302315323-21.8-1.1
236232.0High PointBSth0.46520.45292946-912-140-10-01-13-69-62-6288259254-22.0-0.8
3133.1GonzagaWCC0.59380.515811717-426-51-22-23-17-013-010-3306556-22.9-3.1
247249.2UTSACUSA0.45440.46912377-1011-170-10-20-32-58-74-6232264273-23.8-1.0
149145.9IdahoBSky0.51450.456328711-619-90-10-00-16-513-36-4154281170-24.1-0.9
153150.6Saint Joseph'sA100.51240.50981319-915-150-21-12-35-58-35-7173125175-24.4-0.8
6467.0OregonP120.56170.55007013-720-111-32-34-37-26-010-310920192-25.0-1.4
5458.5BaylorB120.56950.58411711-717-132-83-33-23-16-09-35713884-25.5-1.2
8489.4FurmanSC0.54560.493917012-620-90-20-12-26-313-17-46671115-25.6-1.2
177175.3MonmouthMAAC0.49900.52341075-1312-180-20-11-34-77-44-813315201-25.7-0.9
207207.6TroySB0.48050.49291746-1112-160-10-11-22-59-64-7233202235-27.4-1.1
238236.8Central ArkansasSlnd0.46170.43643259-1115-150-00-10-32-513-75-7256333265-28.2-1.3
7382.5DavidsonA100.55060.520411010-718-111-41-11-15-311-25-6165113111-28.5-1.2
7984.9BucknellPat0.54850.485418813-821-100-10-11-25-415-26-79455114-29.1-1.6
126126.5UABCUSA0.52470.488917911-719-100-21-31-24-313-17-4201306156-29.5-1.1
188186.5Kent St.MAC0.49270.51321238-1013-170-10-10-46-76-35-7227195216-29.5-1.0
131131.7AlbanyAE0.52200.459927614-620-100-10-11-15-314-411-368270162-30.3-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211213.7AkronMAC0.47620.50101508-913-160-10-21-45-88-16-5246295244-30.3-1.0
266267.5New HampshireAE0.44230.46782495-1211-170-10-20-32-68-72-10345297298-30.5-1.3
174171.2OhioMAC0.50080.51751168-914-150-11-21-45-67-16-5183159202-30.8-1.0
234227.8LamarSlnd0.46780.43363298-815-120-00-00-12-413-74-5197248259-31.2-1.4
217217.2Texas St.SB0.47430.457528211-815-140-00-00-33-511-65-6285347249-31.8-1.4
291287.5HamptonMEAC0.42890.42993333-1211-160-20-00-20-211-92-10281106320-32.5-1.3
228224.1LibertyBSth0.47020.44523139-816-120-00-10-15-511-56-4216289257-32.9-1.4
181177.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.49790.50031527-813-140-00-11-26-76-35-4148280212-34.6-1.1
287283.2UTEPCUSA0.43200.48342006-1210-190-00-40-33-47-84-7267146318-34.8-1.6
8086.0San Diego St.MWC0.54800.523910410-718-101-22-22-26-47-17-398156121-35.0-1.5
225220.9Sam Houston St.Slnd0.47190.46032747-913-140-00-00-31-612-42-7269127256-35.1-1.3
134135.6Georgia St.SB0.52000.464725712-619-100-00-02-24-313-57-4149299171-35.4-1.3
185183.0Weber St.BSky0.49450.46732519-715-120-00-00-45-410-34-5211168220-37.0-1.2
277275.7CampbellBSth0.43690.43103327-912-150-00-00-12-610-83-6332346313-37.3-1.5
208208.4Texas SouthernSWAC0.48020.46182704-1514-170-30-30-40-214-40-132262246-37.6-1.6
155151.8Jacksonville St.OVC0.51140.450930314-620-100-00-12-22-316-48-4213345190-38.2-1.5
172169.7MercerSC0.50200.47802188-1016-130-10-21-52-413-25-6196226208-38.3-1.5
267268.1North Carolina CentralMEAC0.44190.39133507-915-120-00-00-10-415-83-8293298310-41.9-1.7
123123.3UNLVMWC0.52650.493617214-520-110-30-12-37-411-011-2107310167-43.7-1.7
119120.5UT ArlingtonSB0.52810.489017812-819-110-10-21-24-313-48-492198165-44.5-1.7
150147.4Grand CanyonWAC0.51390.453829314-621-80-10-31-23-317-110-5208327195-47.6-2.1

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com