live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Nov 26, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
320307.0Sacred HeartNEC0.41990.44853111-310-200-00-10-11-49-133-930721283224.07.7
255250.1UMass LowellAE0.45610.44933063-212-160-00-10-32-710-65-719731453197.14.9
278270.9Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44420.47282421-19-180-10-10-31-68-84-921815182188.94.5
246242.2Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.46050.43683321-214-130-00-00-23-411-74-525333063179.24.0
311298.0Savannah St.MEAC0.42650.44623172-39-190-20-00-12-58-103-923292126172.05.0
189196.3Georgia SouthernSB0.48470.47002511-113-130-00-10-24-59-53-318028130166.33.4
286276.7New OrleansSlnd0.44060.45272940-19-150-00-10-21-58-70-625736115161.73.7
209211.4UC DavisBW0.47720.44953053-014-130-00-01-23-510-67-416933959152.43.3
215214.4Loyola ChicagoMVC0.47500.50041591-111-160-30-21-32-48-45-422533266148.43.4
188194.9Mississippi St.SEC0.48540.51011293-013-160-30-21-45-66-28-318434050144.93.3
312300.9FurmanSC0.42460.47402351-38-190-10-10-31-66-82-728397157143.94.6
261253.3McNeese St.Slnd0.45430.45023020-112-130-10-00-22-59-62-523040119134.32.9
190195.8MercerSC0.48470.45752831-215-120-10-20-32-312-44-520921464131.82.9
170174.5MontanaBSky0.49620.48292041-214-130-00-21-33-410-43-61558843131.52.9
351347.9Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35930.42273450-55-250-00-00-10-65-170-12347182219128.925.1
288276.9Delaware St.MEAC0.44040.43163371-312-170-10-10-20-411-103-10238208150126.93.3
119125.0Wright St.Horz0.52450.49641662-116-120-11-22-34-410-37-5711032123.03.1
220220.6Sacramento St.BSky0.47160.47112471-112-150-10-10-23-69-64-518522998122.62.6
165169.2QuinnipiacMAAC0.49880.49051872-216-130-01-11-25-69-45-417514447122.22.9
304290.2NavyPat0.43240.48372021-49-200-10-10-42-86-64-7294252170120.23.7
299284.9Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43500.44263251-211-170-00-10-22-49-103-7274237166118.93.1
143151.4Utah St.MWC0.50900.49541693-216-130-11-12-35-58-37-412823039112.42.8
303286.5South Carolina St.MEAC0.43400.44353220-310-180-10-00-21-69-92-1026398177109.52.8
256251.5BrownIvy0.45560.48362031-411-170-10-21-41-48-65-9261233143108.52.6
344331.6LongwoodBSth0.39620.45422901-46-230-00-10-21-95-112-9337324226105.66.3
330318.9Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41020.42973391-510-210-10-10-10-79-112-11298140214104.94.5
318303.3SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.42110.45093000-39-160-00-00-11-77-82-7329301201102.33.0
171175.1Portland St.BSky0.49580.45812813-015-110-00-10-23-411-45-313031673102.12.3
342327.0Houston BaptistSlnd0.39950.44683150-26-180-00-00-21-75-101-5344303227100.04.3
9297.0Rhode IslandA100.54250.52651012-016-101-21-23-35-36-16-280118196.02.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
277270.1Loyola MDPat0.44480.49401752-39-200-10-10-43-96-54-724317217595.12.5
309294.8Appalachian St.SB0.42960.47752192-28-210-00-10-42-95-83-624523220292.83.0
196202.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.48120.48571981-113-150-00-11-44-68-36-422434711092.41.9
317305.7Tennessee St.OVC0.42120.47322390-37-210-10-10-21-86-92-1032024021689.72.9
100101.2Bowling GreenMAC0.53930.50841333-017-110-00-13-47-57-17-3982561289.22.4
121125.0UNLVMWC0.52380.5379843-116-141-40-22-37-46-27-5101343788.02.4
8994.9Holy CrossPat0.54410.49341772-018-90-00-11-26-410-26-355122787.92.5
298285.4Robert MorrisNEC0.43510.45382921-411-180-10-10-21-510-103-828516219986.42.4
253245.7St. Francis PANEC0.45820.44253261-313-150-10-00-11-412-93-723423416382.71.8
169171.8NorthwesternB100.49680.5501595-112-190-51-51-53-27-19-41742859378.82.5
200205.7North Dakota St.Sum0.47990.48042122-212-140-10-10-23-69-44-616211712778.71.6
163167.5UT ArlingtonSB0.49970.48681953-215-140-20-00-24-511-54-51111109077.51.9
223223.0James MadisonCAA0.47040.48901894-115-160-10-11-35-79-47-620221014677.01.8
160163.9Texas TechB120.50120.5429753-114-161-61-31-44-37-19-31733348776.92.0
8185.7Boise St.MWC0.54960.51661154-118-100-31-12-26-38-17-347132976.72.4
341328.4MaineAE0.40000.46962540-46-230-10-10-31-95-102-1134022825276.44.0
103105.4Georgia TechACC0.53590.5645333-014-141-51-23-35-34-18-2761543174.42.1
329317.6PresbyterianBSth0.41120.47472320-46-210-10-10-31-85-91-831111324473.63.0
265257.3FordhamA100.45240.5289970-37-210-20-31-62-73-33-730821918473.32.0
233232.1Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.46590.49511712-412-180-30-11-32-69-65-91999916270.11.7
332320.4Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40840.42843411-610-210-10-10-10-49-143-1231526425367.43.0
254249.1Youngstown St.Horz0.45710.47312403-311-170-10-21-32-68-56-622128618267.11.6
155157.1Boston CollegeACC0.50480.5681232-311-191-71-42-42-26-17-51861649166.12.0
291281.1Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.43770.45422911-311-180-10-10-21-39-113-824915721863.11.7
280272.7NiagaraMAAC0.44360.49571681-29-200-00-20-43-86-62-731314721161.71.8
173178.1Charleston SouthernBSth0.49400.47342382-114-120-10-11-24-59-33-51518111761.11.4
115116.8South FloridaAmer0.52910.52631023-117-130-21-32-35-47-28-4971365660.81.6
250244.1Northern KentuckyASun0.45940.47742201-311-160-20-10-32-59-64-922211618559.11.3
7075.0CharlotteCUSA0.55640.51171263-221-100-21-13-37-310-18-564611659.02.2
122126.9Gardner WebbBSth0.52300.49271782-316-110-10-11-35-410-34-5103516858.91.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
237232.7ChattanoogaSC0.46530.46182741-313-150-10-10-22-411-74-624118417458.71.3
345331.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.39410.40853490-38-180-00-00-20-48-120-833919127457.62.9
102102.2UC IrvineBW0.53800.47492291-218-90-10-11-25-212-26-5951854557.21.7
185189.9North FloridaASun0.48800.44773142-315-130-10-20-31-313-56-818328813356.91.4
271259.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45010.45232961-312-150-10-10-22-510-64-729327920356.61.4
6269.6AlabamaSEC0.56070.5636344-118-121-41-23-38-34-08-448441356.61.9
127133.8Murray St.OVC0.51880.46472651-219-90-10-11-14-314-37-51251567855.81.5
7679.5Old DominionCUSA0.55350.49691654-122-80-01-13-27-211-29-3611382455.51.9
213213.0Washington St.P120.47570.5474671-28-200-40-41-52-55-25-521620716053.01.3
132136.8TempleAmer0.51700.5336903-216-150-31-33-34-47-28-5122938452.81.4
7578.7UTEPCUSA0.55430.49971622-020-70-11-13-25-211-27-253912652.71.6
166169.8ValparaisoHorz0.49860.47632263-115-130-00-11-25-69-37-514624511851.81.2
243235.9St. Francis NYNEC0.46340.43903300-415-140-00-00-11-413-84-728026118748.91.1
315304.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.42240.46322692-49-200-10-20-31-58-104-1128922125648.61.7
6170.3BuffaloMAC0.56070.52271053-119-110-20-02-38-48-18-4511592248.31.7
305290.3Nicholls St.Slnd0.43140.46432670-38-170-10-10-21-47-81-62701324248.31.3
349343.0Grambling St.SWAC0.37420.42553430-45-210-00-10-20-45-130-83194729548.04.4
284275.5VMISC0.44180.46422681-310-170-10-20-21-58-71-729712522847.51.2
136141.4HoustonAmer0.51460.49531702-118-110-11-22-44-311-29-21443429447.41.2
228227.7USCP120.46810.5457693-39-210-30-41-63-74-25-725219918146.71.4
144152.5High PointBSth0.50870.47652243-115-120-00-11-24-511-45-410517910646.51.1
199204.3HartfordAE0.48030.46442664-115-130-00-11-33-411-56-615819315846.31.1
146152.9East Tennessee St.SC0.50810.46952552-116-110-10-10-13-412-44-51008910745.91.1
154156.3TowsonCAA0.50590.47002524-117-130-00-11-45-511-38-413232511145.31.2
207210.2Western CarolinaSC0.47760.46322702-314-150-00-11-33-611-54-720319016545.21.1
296284.9Jackson St.SWAC0.43600.42203461-414-170-00-10-21-512-93-1026718324044.91.3
4954.8Colorado St.MWC0.57290.5362863-018-90-11-13-28-37-17-213121044.81.6
168171.7UNC WilmingtonCAA0.49770.49171832-113-150-10-11-44-68-35-513519812843.71.0
159164.0Central MichiganMAC0.50230.48981883-014-120-00-11-35-68-26-217935012341.00.9
177182.4North Carolina CentralMEAC0.49200.41553480-317-80-10-10-11-116-44-516417814240.41.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4146.2Green BayHorz0.58010.50711383-121-60-20-03-17-210-18-31521640.21.7
348339.7Southern UtahBSky0.38360.45572870-44-230-00-00-21-103-101-835031730039.73.3
321311.6Montana St.BSky0.41690.49221810-46-230-10-10-32-94-91-103128227239.61.5
210210.6Oregon St.P120.47690.50971302-212-170-30-31-44-57-27-425833617139.60.9
302287.3Coppin St.MEAC0.43450.48082110-48-200-10-20-41-57-81-11231624938.31.0
126133.8SienaMAAC0.51890.48242091-218-110-10-11-16-411-45-41392239637.81.0
350347.3Florida A&MMEAC0.36180.42113470-65-240-00-00-20-55-161-1234929331037.36.4
292282.8Morgan St.MEAC0.43730.43483351-512-180-10-10-11-611-93-1129522224636.81.1
269259.1DrakeMVC0.45150.5287981-37-220-30-31-42-84-43-829113422336.11.0
224223.8DrexelCAA0.46980.51171271-410-180-10-11-44-85-33-72506418835.80.8
124130.4Penn St.B100.52040.5447715-115-161-41-42-43-38-110-31192579535.41.1
128134.5OhioMAC0.51870.5308942-114-130-00-12-55-56-15-416012610133.50.8
294283.4Grand CanyonWAC0.43670.44803122-313-160-10-10-31-412-77-830228325132.40.9
260252.3LIU BrooklynNEC0.45470.43763310-214-150-00-00-22-412-94-727526822032.30.7
231229.1RadfordBSth0.46700.46312711-313-140-00-10-23-69-53-625119519732.10.7
333321.5BinghamtonAE0.40780.46942560-57-220-10-10-31-85-92-1133622729031.51.4
347338.0Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38460.40673501-49-200-00-00-10-69-143-1034533730731.02.2
3644.1Saint Mary'sWCC0.58280.5420763-020-81-21-14-28-26-18-217251430.11.2
7982.5ColoradoP120.55160.5437733-117-111-31-23-36-26-17-3771415428.50.8
274266.2Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44670.47232460-49-170-00-10-22-77-72-829214823828.20.7
240233.0PacificWCC0.46500.51681141-28-170-30-21-43-64-23-426032920528.00.7
4852.5Iowa St.B120.57440.5665303-119-113-52-34-24-16-09-3791812527.51.0
5662.2RichmondA100.56670.5434742-220-111-21-24-47-27-19-456603527.20.9
109111.0Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.53260.47762180-318-90-20-10-14-214-34-5116328625.00.7
175179.6AuburnSEC0.49310.5475663-211-190-30-32-65-64-16-615910515524.60.6
158162.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50300.46782602-016-110-20-11-22-313-46-512620513824.30.6
113116.1San DiegoWCC0.52990.5402813-113-141-41-21-34-36-15-496639224.10.6
273266.5IUPUISum0.44710.49131842-39-210-10-10-33-86-74-1021910024323.50.6
204209.0Incarnate WordSlnd0.47830.44283241-013-110-00-00-21-311-62-412416118623.00.5
5560.5YaleIvy0.56770.50131564-120-90-11-12-25-212-210-535853822.50.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5256.8WoffordSC0.57020.48532004-122-70-21-11-15-115-17-420173620.81.0
137142.1LafayettePat0.51400.47582273-217-110-10-11-24-412-36-412127712220.10.5
236232.8UCFAmer0.46530.50651402-111-170-10-21-43-67-36-426632721319.80.5
9699.4AkronMAC0.54040.50431473-220-100-10-13-37-49-19-31342988118.40.5
272263.4HowardMEAC0.44830.42293441-313-150-10-00-11-412-94-825526624518.40.4
4044.8IonaMAAC0.58040.49631674-125-60-10-12-19-213-18-328872717.81.0
7882.3Florida Gulf CoastASun0.55180.48791914-119-80-10-11-15-212-28-544276517.30.6
3845.4Seton HallBE0.58150.5625384-019-112-42-24-25-16-010-2341302916.40.7
295283.4Jacksonville St.OVC0.43660.47052491-39-200-10-10-21-78-94-926424126716.40.5
7176.0Illinois St.MVC0.55630.5299952-219-101-21-12-26-39-27-489756016.00.6
184188.7Southern IllinoisMVC0.48840.49241792-314-160-20-21-32-410-47-521133517315.70.4
297283.7LamarSlnd0.43590.44893091-39-170-00-10-21-58-82-624825126815.70.4
202206.7LehighPat0.47950.49181821-412-160-10-11-34-87-43-722718619214.70.3
148152.4Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50800.45282932-218-90-00-11-22-215-34-513111413913.40.4
2028.4West VirginiaB120.59890.5707166-022-93-43-24-28-14-012-1221241513.40.8
2231.3ConnecticutAmer0.59570.5646323-121-91-32-25-27-26-08-42951813.30.7
338324.1JacksonvilleASun0.40420.45222970-47-210-10-10-31-66-113-1132729031113.10.6
247241.8WagnerNEC0.46030.45502890-313-150-00-10-21-411-83-722812822912.80.3
156160.5IPFWSum0.50380.45152982-116-100-00-10-24-412-46-416631514812.50.3
131136.9Morehead St.OVC0.51710.47692232-417-120-10-21-33-313-36-714016312511.90.3
914.6Wichita St.MVC0.61930.5402802-023-41-12-15-17-17-08-1410311.61.1
216215.1WinthropBSth0.47490.44353211-214-120-00-00-14-510-53-522630920411.10.2
343329.9Central ArkansasSlnd0.39810.45712840-56-230-00-00-21-85-121-1033316831910.90.6
195201.7HawaiiBW0.48180.46582635-215-120-00-11-33-411-37-418124619110.70.3
279269.9DartmouthIvy0.44410.46672610-210-180-00-10-32-68-75-92843192609.90.2
813.4GonzagaWCC0.61990.5279994-026-31-13-15-19-19-010-11110449.41.1
307292.0Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.43080.44853101-410-200-10-10-21-49-112-102901702839.00.3
2736.2Michigan St.B100.58980.5483633-121-81-32-24-26-18-09-273262288.20.4
283273.2Tennessee MartinOVC0.44260.43633332-111-160-00-10-21-410-85-62333442658.20.2
3241.5MichiganB100.58480.5681243-119-102-43-34-25-16-08-34365347.50.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
510.6Miami FLACC0.62760.5719136-025-63-33-15-18-16-012-131955.60.7
180187.2Saint Joseph'sA100.48940.52171063-212-180-30-32-44-56-36-61561801834.20.1
324311.9Alcorn St.SWAC0.41570.43123380-49-180-10-10-20-39-110-9296373083.90.1
226225.8Nebraska OmahaSum0.46910.44803132-214-140-00-00-14-610-66-62293332223.80.1
8083.8NortheasternCAA0.55090.50011604-121-100-10-12-39-410-28-558119803.80.1
285276.4MaristMAAC0.44120.47482311-410-200-00-10-23-97-83-73163212733.40.1
193199.0Arkansas Little RockSB0.48320.48492012-114-140-00-11-34-59-44-41881211963.00.1
2534.5North Carolina St.ACC0.59250.587835-020-112-52-26-27-23-011-21414322.50.1
3442.3IowaB100.58390.5697184-220-112-52-34-26-17-010-36896402.30.1
7780.9NebraskaB100.55330.5693203-115-131-42-33-44-25-07-392194791.90.1
1724.7VillanovaBE0.60360.5492615-024-73-34-24-25-17-012-136204231.70.1
314303.4SamfordSC0.42300.44953042-411-190-00-20-31-59-94-83103003021.40.0
336322.1UNC GreensboroSC0.40670.45102990-48-200-10-10-21-66-102-83483083220.10.0
264256.9FairfieldMAAC0.45260.50421482-310-200-10-20-32-87-63-719657257-0.1-0.0
290281.4Miami OHMAC0.43840.51321212-38-220-10-21-62-105-34-8321263282-0.6-0.0
3341.1MassachusettsA100.58480.5537515-121-100-12-25-49-24-18-519942-0.9-0.0
108110.5Coastal CarolinaBSth0.53300.44903081-118-70-00-01-16-312-24-3106287112-1.5-0.0
5967.4Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56260.48282054-121-70-00-11-17-313-26-4325969-1.6-0.1
9598.1La SalleA100.54090.5332914-017-131-21-22-36-47-18-465101100-1.9-0.1
306291.1NJITind0.43120.46492641-47-180-10-10-21-56-87-18303273293-1.9-0.1
1117.9ArizonaP120.61350.5697196-023-82-23-25-27-16-011-293020-2.1-0.2
186190.7MarshallCUSA0.48770.50751352-213-160-10-11-44-68-35-6206133193-2.3-0.1
35.6WisconsinB100.64260.5671275-025-42-14-16-17-05-010-15548-2.4-0.5
9094.1LSUSEC0.54400.5507563-217-141-31-23-39-44-19-4866697-2.9-0.1
4652.0GeorgetownBE0.57550.577094-017-102-42-33-24-15-08-1335255-3.0-0.1
1217.7San Diego St.MWC0.61260.5341895-125-51-12-16-19-18-010-2165021-3.3-0.3
300285.7Illinois ChicagoHorz0.43500.48262081-49-200-10-20-42-76-64-9306244289-3.3-0.1
161164.7MarquetteBE0.50090.5671282-210-181-61-42-42-25-15-5212167168-3.3-0.1
153155.5Eastern MichiganMAC0.50630.50171544-014-130-10-22-45-58-16-3147259159-3.5-0.1
335321.5Central ConnecticutNEC0.40700.44323230-510-210-10-10-11-59-142-11341265326-4.5-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5056.0DaytonA100.57130.52681003-121-91-21-24-29-27-19-35410261-5.0-0.2
2835.6Northern IowaMVC0.58980.52471046-023-71-21-13-19-210-110-2259041-5.4-0.3
276269.8HamptonMEAC0.44490.42693421-513-160-10-10-11-312-104-9288280276-6.2-0.2
2937.7ButlerBE0.58910.5502584-021-83-33-24-25-17-010-14223644-6.3-0.3
331320.1Chicago St.WAC0.40870.47782160-55-230-00-20-51-55-111-13325155327-6.9-0.3
13.6DukeACC0.65220.587346-026-55-34-16-16-05-012-122011-7.4-2.1
191197.6Air ForceMWC0.48400.50151551-212-150-20-11-33-67-25-4208326206-8.4-0.2
1623.7VCUA100.60470.5652314-123-81-23-26-38-25-09-410233-9.3-0.6
275267.6SeattleWAC0.44660.45712851-312-140-00-10-32-410-74-8301235277-9.4-0.2
117124.5Western MichiganMAC0.52500.51221232-114-120-00-12-46-66-25-3157305134-9.5-0.2
8892.9Wake ForestACC0.54410.5673264-216-152-71-32-34-27-09-4104158103-10.1-0.3
217220.4LipscombASun0.47280.46252720-312-140-10-10-31-410-64-8223200231-10.6-0.2
9194.2Kent St.MAC0.54370.50481463-119-100-10-12-37-49-18-3118295105-10.8-0.3
222223.0North TexasCUSA0.47050.50801343-111-170-10-21-52-57-44-6204137234-11.0-0.3
7376.9DavidsonA100.55600.5332922-117-111-31-23-36-37-17-38816088-11.1-0.3
192196.8Santa ClaraWCC0.48390.51991101-210-160-30-21-33-55-24-4237270208-11.2-0.2
106109.6WashingtonP120.53370.5416783-015-131-31-33-33-28-18-2109197121-11.4-0.3
3140.2FloridaSEC0.58640.5726122-219-101-42-25-38-23-07-4622952-11.8-0.5
47.0TexasB120.63900.584155-025-64-35-15-16-15-011-264119-12.0-1.7
225224.2Virginia TechACC0.46980.5295963-211-200-80-31-32-48-28-5269346237-12.8-0.4
346332.9LibertyBSth0.39310.43373361-48-190-00-00-11-76-112-7351349346-13.1-0.7
251244.8CornellIvy0.45900.47412343-412-170-10-21-42-48-66-9247275258-13.2-0.3
308292.7Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.43060.44603181-411-170-10-10-21-410-95-9314307306-13.3-0.4
198203.6Northwestern St.Slnd0.48060.47022500-312-130-10-10-22-410-51-61908217-13.4-0.3
23.5KentuckySEC0.65220.5747106-028-34-14-17-19-04-012-11717-13.5-3.9
5157.5HarvardIvy0.57050.50741362-119-70-11-12-25-211-18-4413872-14.5-0.6
2333.4Ohio St.B100.59330.5514534-023-82-33-24-27-17-011-24521549-15.6-0.8
313302.4SouthernSWAC0.42350.43563340-410-180-10-10-30-49-101-929939318-15.6-0.5
244238.6Loyola MarymountWCC0.46240.5401822-27-200-40-31-42-74-23-622094255-16.4-0.4
8387.4Georgia St.SB0.54790.49071863-220-100-10-21-27-313-25-57083104-16.6-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
212212.6BryantNEC0.47580.47282431-214-150-10-10-31-412-73-818226230-17.4-0.4
267257.4UMKCWAC0.45180.44933071-412-170-00-10-22-410-95-10277294275-17.6-0.4
145151.1CanisiusMAAC0.50850.50121572-215-140-10-21-25-59-54-512056169-17.9-0.4
337322.1Idaho St.BSky0.40640.45792820-47-210-00-10-22-95-91-9342274340-17.9-0.8
157159.3MissouriSEC0.50370.5690212-311-191-61-42-44-34-25-718742178-18.7-0.5
340324.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.40300.43923290-48-200-00-10-20-47-121-11328152344-19.3-0.9
2131.2ProvidenceBE0.59630.579275-021-102-53-25-26-15-010-3232451-19.8-1.0
239234.0Saint Peter'sMAAC0.46510.47432331-413-170-00-10-24-78-74-6244313254-20.0-0.5
4753.3IllinoisB100.57460.5571474-020-101-42-34-26-17-010-25717476-22.7-0.8
322310.1StetsonASun0.41670.44983030-48-190-00-10-31-67-93-10323296333-22.9-0.8
327314.9UC RiversideBW0.41340.47402360-37-210-10-10-31-65-93-9317248338-23.1-0.9
2634.8StanfordP120.59140.5514544-121-92-42-24-26-18-09-3386858-23.2-1.2
287277.4CampbellBSth0.44050.46632620-310-180-00-10-23-87-73-7304271301-23.6-0.6
179185.9Indiana St.MVC0.49020.51711133-112-160-30-31-32-48-35-5194196210-24.1-0.6
334320.9UMBCAE0.40780.45272950-48-210-00-10-41-67-103-10338318345-24.1-1.0
326314.8PennIvy0.41450.47722210-47-210-10-20-41-65-93-11335291339-24.2-1.0
339324.3The CitadelSC0.40360.44583190-37-190-00-10-21-66-102-5343306349-24.7-1.1
282272.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44300.42963400-512-160-10-10-21-411-81-926567298-25.3-0.6
316304.8Austin PeayOVC0.42140.45642860-48-190-00-10-21-67-102-9330276331-26.2-0.8
3543.2BYUWCC0.58330.5597412-219-101-31-23-28-26-17-437470-26.8-1.2
245242.1ElonCAA0.46060.47822152-311-180-10-11-33-87-54-7259311270-27.9-0.7
4348.7CaliforniaP120.57790.5442724-122-92-42-24-25-19-110-34910877-28.3-1.2
219220.3IdahoBSky0.47190.46072781-213-140-00-10-24-69-64-5214282250-29.7-0.6
167170.3Saint LouisA100.49790.52561033-113-160-21-22-45-46-27-4177192200-29.7-0.7
325313.2Western IllinoisSum0.41460.47262451-37-180-00-00-22-85-82-7324218343-29.8-1.1
3743.9MarylandB100.58240.5459685-022-91-32-24-26-18-012-13916974-30.1-1.3
293282.6Tennessee TechOVC0.43690.45902802-210-180-00-10-22-68-84-8300304313-30.4-0.8
120125.5ArmyPat0.52380.46032795-019-90-10-01-15-313-38-2110341156-30.5-0.8
116122.4VermontAE0.52540.47082482-218-100-00-11-25-412-36-6113150153-30.6-0.9
235232.8BucknellPat0.46540.49981612-411-190-10-11-44-86-44-8235135264-31.2-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3039.3OklahomaB120.58820.5706173-118-102-42-23-26-24-08-25218771-31.7-1.3
98100.2HofstraCAA0.53960.48102103-221-100-00-12-27-412-29-494247132-31.8-1.0
6070.1George WashingtonA100.56110.51251223-120-91-22-23-26-28-18-3102297102-31.9-1.1
197203.7Northern ColoradoBSky0.48060.46212730-214-130-00-10-33-510-44-5200188236-32.3-0.7
1015.6VirginiaACC0.61830.577985-021-83-43-15-16-15-09-284348-32.4-2.6
7276.4St. John'sBE0.55620.5633363-017-122-52-33-23-17-18-393149109-32.6-1.0
713.1LouisvilleACC0.62260.5747115-025-65-42-14-18-15-012-12411146-32.9-3.1
310296.9UTSACUSA0.42760.47482301-28-190-00-11-42-75-83-6334348330-33.1-1.0
319307.3San Jose St.MWC0.42070.50311490-35-210-10-10-42-93-51-7346292341-33.7-1.2
1523.2ArkansasSEC0.60530.5416774-025-61-12-15-210-27-011-2127157-33.8-2.2
6674.1EvansvilleMVC0.55740.51951123-120-91-21-22-26-210-18-363139108-33.9-1.2
4551.1Oklahoma St.B120.57640.5690225-018-112-52-23-26-25-09-24617685-33.9-1.2
268258.0MilwaukeeHorz0.45170.48711941-410-180-20-21-23-66-74-8281217292-34.0-0.8
201206.0ManhattanMAAC0.47960.47302411-314-150-10-20-24-610-54-5276328241-35.0-0.8
328315.7Abilene ChristianSlnd0.41170.44213270-28-190-00-00-21-67-102-7322260351-35.3-1.3
211212.7Utah ValleyWAC0.47620.45093013-114-130-10-10-21-212-67-6168253248-35.3-0.8
114115.1TCUB120.52980.52141085-018-122-52-32-23-110-011-1137351152-36.9-1.0
6975.6PittsburghACC0.55650.5625373-218-132-61-23-27-35-19-487109113-37.4-1.3
323312.4DelawareCAA0.41600.49231800-46-230-10-10-42-93-82-9331243350-37.6-1.5
7476.4GeorgiaSEC0.55560.5582443-217-121-41-23-37-35-07-46955114-37.6-1.2
249243.2USC UpstateASun0.45960.44153282-114-130-00-10-22-411-66-7254312281-37.8-0.8
176181.9UNC AshevilleBSth0.49210.46842591-314-120-00-01-34-610-43-5192206221-39.1-0.9
9497.6San FranciscoWCC0.54100.5313932-217-121-21-22-36-37-17-4107112137-39.4-1.2
259251.6South DakotaSum0.45540.47262440-511-180-00-10-23-78-74-9287224291-39.4-0.9
178184.3MonmouthMAAC0.49110.47772172-216-150-10-20-24-512-55-6201269224-39.7-0.9
134140.3AlbanyAE0.51540.46142762-218-110-10-11-24-414-37-6136225180-39.7-1.1
262253.4OaklandHorz0.45430.51961111-58-210-20-31-52-84-42-1127233294-40.6-1.1
1826.4UtahP120.60180.5572463-121-82-32-24-27-17-08-3263167-40.6-2.3
2433.7SyracuseACC0.59280.5710154-121-103-52-24-26-16-010-3314675-41.3-2.1
105108.7AmericanPat0.53390.49471734-218-120-00-11-36-510-27-585142151-42.3-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
141147.4Cleveland St.Horz0.51140.50511431-314-150-30-21-34-49-45-814180190-42.6-1.0
1319.4North CarolinaACC0.61200.594323-120-93-52-24-16-15-08-3272362-42.6-3.0
214213.4ColgatePat0.47560.49421741-412-180-10-11-43-87-53-9236177259-45.6-1.1
112115.3William & MaryCAA0.53040.50911323-115-120-10-21-35-48-24-57845164-48.7-1.3
301286.8Cal St. FullertonBW0.43460.46912571-310-190-00-10-32-87-74-9309272337-50.2-1.4
139144.3College of CharlestonCAA0.51300.50481452-317-140-20-22-45-410-26-7170106195-50.7-1.4
9397.9Stony BrookAE0.54130.48641962-219-100-10-11-35-412-27-68358149-51.1-1.6
234232.6Oral RobertsSum0.46550.48741932-311-170-00-11-24-86-53-9217107284-51.4-1.1
241235.0Norfolk St.MEAC0.46460.44653161-313-150-20-10-11-312-73-9207115288-53.0-1.2
3945.7SMUAmer0.58120.5619393-319-101-32-24-37-26-07-4721699-53.3-2.2
270260.3RiceCUSA0.45020.50261511-28-180-10-11-42-65-53-5268213316-55.7-1.4
206208.4Texas St.SB0.47760.47712222-112-140-10-00-23-59-63-3152189266-57.6-1.2
6572.3OregonP120.55860.5479653-219-111-31-34-37-26-18-47448130-57.7-1.9
8287.2WyomingMWC0.54820.50211534-020-91-21-13-26-310-19-281242145-57.8-1.8
104107.6Arizona St.P120.53500.5520523-216-151-42-43-45-26-18-5148173167-59.4-1.7
162165.5Florida St.ACC0.50060.5605402-312-191-71-31-44-45-17-6191127225-59.5-1.7
181187.4Weber St.BSky0.48930.47532281-314-130-10-11-34-59-33-618969247-59.6-1.4
6774.9New Mexico St.WAC0.55670.49351763-321-80-20-11-24-215-29-66028135-60.1-2.2
5862.9BelmontOVC0.56550.48631974-121-70-10-11-17-313-18-43053124-61.1-2.5
8692.6Long Beach St.BW0.54510.5359871-314-140-40-21-35-38-23-9751154-61.4-1.8
238232.8TulaneAmer0.46530.50631412-112-170-10-21-53-67-36-5286338297-64.2-1.5
257250.7TroySB0.45560.46172750-312-150-00-00-23-78-63-4318345315-64.3-1.4
6875.6Louisiana TechCUSA0.55650.49111854-122-80-10-12-27-312-29-367220140-64.4-2.3
4450.9Texas A&MSEC0.57680.5479643-120-101-21-24-310-25-09-34070116-65.1-2.6
107110.0ColumbiaIvy0.53350.49901633-118-90-21-12-23-212-28-59086176-66.0-1.8
266257.6BradleyMVC0.45220.51991092-28-200-30-21-42-75-43-7305202324-66.4-1.8
110111.7DetroitHorz0.53240.50721373-217-120-10-22-35-49-27-68249179-67.3-1.9
138143.1Boston UniversityPat0.51370.50301501-315-130-10-11-35-49-34-614577212-68.9-1.7
289278.4Arkansas St.SB0.43970.46862580-210-180-00-10-23-76-82-6332323348-69.6-1.8
6370.6CincinnatiAmer0.56030.5561484-018-121-31-22-37-37-18-45011141-70.4-2.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5460.2UCLAP120.56860.5578454-118-111-42-24-24-17-08-38474131-70.8-2.5
263256.4New HampshireAE0.45300.44513201-212-150-00-00-23-69-75-6279331328-71.6-1.6
4248.3PurdueB100.57840.5509555-121-101-33-24-36-26-010-359171120-71.7-3.0
232231.6RutgersB100.46610.5559502-27-230-40-51-62-54-25-7262209304-72.4-2.2
281273.6Fresno St.MWC0.44330.51641160-57-220-20-21-52-83-52-9326239347-73.4-2.1
5762.1Notre DameACC0.56630.5378855-121-103-52-23-16-19-011-299278136-73.9-2.8
118124.1VanderbiltSEC0.52470.5343883-016-131-31-33-45-36-18-3123201198-73.9-1.9
612.8XavierBE0.62410.5714144-023-62-23-26-27-14-010-176289-76.2-6.9
227226.8George MasonA100.46890.5633351-46-230-31-41-62-72-22-924018303-76.2-2.1
149154.6Missouri St.MVC0.50720.51121281-113-130-20-21-24-48-35-3178267232-77.4-1.7
133137.6DenverSum0.51700.48861902-218-110-10-21-24-312-37-612778215-77.4-1.9
151156.5Southern MissCUSA0.50650.50251522-114-130-00-11-54-48-35-4138166235-78.5-1.7
252245.7Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45820.47872140-311-160-00-10-33-67-63-6271284325-79.3-1.7
8792.0South CarolinaSEC0.54500.5669293-315-141-41-23-46-34-06-512972172-80.0-2.5
111111.8Kansas St.B120.53210.5681253-314-172-62-42-43-25-08-5142175194-82.2-2.5
194199.9UABCUSA0.48250.52161071-311-170-20-11-44-66-33-719822286-86.1-2.1
5358.1MemphisAmer0.57000.5392831-120-91-31-23-25-29-18-39179147-88.9-3.2
6472.1CreightonBE0.55970.5501605-018-122-42-33-34-27-110-266226161-88.9-2.8
258250.6PrincetonIvy0.45560.48761921-310-170-00-21-42-47-65-8273211342-91.4-2.1
218219.9DePaulBE0.47260.5559492-18-210-61-51-51-34-25-6278250312-92.1-2.6
248243.6Texas SouthernSWAC0.45990.45522880-513-180-20-20-30-312-71-1224615336-92.4-2.3
230229.7East CarolinaAmer0.46730.51541191-310-190-20-31-43-66-35-6282302323-93.3-2.3
242235.1South AlabamaSB0.46390.48561990-211-180-10-10-23-88-63-6256153329-93.9-2.0
129135.9UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51830.49891640-215-110-10-12-34-39-34-613335233-97.1-2.2
221222.8Alabama St.SWAC0.47060.40393510-216-90-10-10-10-115-52-5195143320-97.2-2.3
208209.8RiderMAAC0.47740.47652252-214-150-10-20-13-510-65-4193289309-99.2-2.2
174180.2North DakotaBSky0.49350.46992531-214-140-10-10-24-610-44-6154146280-99.8-2.2
8489.2MinnesotaB100.54720.5582432-216-131-41-32-35-26-08-3112231189-99.8-3.0
1929.0KansasB120.59950.608312-117-122-53-24-27-21-07-4213129-100.0-5.0
229228.6Cal PolyBW0.46770.49471721-29-170-10-11-42-66-52-820584334-105.4-2.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
205208.3FIUCUSA0.47830.47932131-112-170-10-11-33-69-55-6171255314-105.7-2.4
152155.4PortlandWCC0.50640.50491442-014-140-30-21-35-58-27-3153322262-106.6-2.5
97100.1TulsaAmer0.53990.5405793-216-131-21-32-36-36-26-511795207-106.9-3.0
182187.5NevadaMWC0.48910.51211251-312-160-20-21-44-56-34-6239203296-108.5-2.5
147153.1TennesseeSEC0.50810.5486621-112-160-41-32-45-44-16-4167131263-109.9-2.7
183188.9Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48890.47352371-314-140-00-01-24-610-63-5242254299-110.1-2.4
203206.8Northern ArizonaBSky0.47870.46092771-415-140-10-10-23-611-54-7213238317-110.2-2.4
8590.4IndianaB100.54590.5587424-118-131-43-43-32-18-09-4115165209-118.6-3.8
1423.3BaylorB120.60660.581064-020-92-33-25-26-15-010-11873144-120.7-7.1
150155.4South Dakota St.Sum0.50690.48262071-215-130-10-10-24-510-45-7143123278-122.6-2.8
130135.8PepperdineWCC0.51800.50581422-116-120-31-21-34-39-27-3150320261-125.2-3.2
140145.7St. BonaventureA100.51210.51351203-115-140-11-32-44-48-17-4165310271-125.3-3.2
187192.4Western KentuckyCUSA0.48650.51561181-312-160-10-21-53-67-33-721076321-128.6-2.9
172175.6Ball St.MAC0.49560.50921311-213-150-10-12-45-66-35-5215299305-129.4-2.8
99100.5ToledoMAC0.53950.51591172-319-120-20-12-37-59-28-5149216239-138.5-4.1
123126.8ClemsonACC0.52260.5451703-215-151-51-22-35-35-18-4176249269-142.2-4.1
135141.7Louisiana MonroeSB0.51460.48272061-215-110-00-11-25-510-43-3114120285-143.3-3.4
125133.3New MexicoMWC0.51930.51211243-217-130-21-22-45-49-27-5172258279-145.7-3.8
164168.8Middle TennesseeCUSA0.49950.50081582-114-150-00-21-44-58-45-6163145332-163.2-3.7
101101.9MississippiSEC0.53850.5504573-116-141-31-33-46-46-18-4108129287-185.1-5.3
142146.7DuquesneA100.51130.50691391-015-130-11-22-44-49-28-2161343335-188.3-4.5

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com