Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
205204.5IowaB100.47920.55684710-2110-220-60-50-44-76-06-72001141977.51.5
296298.4Winston Salem St.ind0.41680.43813128-179-170-10-20-10-49-98-172792952935.40.8
103102.3BuffaloMAC0.53550.507714717-1117-120-11-11-18-78-27-46693975.30.8
141144.0George WashingtonA100.51530.506515016-1416-140-20-32-36-58-010-31253131395.02.4
257256.7Air ForceMWC0.44330.52521137-207-210-40-50-11-96-26-52102442524.70.6
137138.3VirginiaACC0.51760.54896014-1514-160-32-62-16-55-09-41632811344.30.4
223219.2WyomingMWC0.46890.5488618-209-200-61-30-13-65-45-7187722154.20.6
102102.7GeorgiaSEC0.53550.58121613-1614-162-41-35-61-25-18-58765993.70.5
134133.7ProvidenceBE0.51950.57472612-1912-190-60-33-93-16-08-41051711303.71.7
7274.4Texas TechB120.55910.58141516-1417-140-83-41-18-25-012-21697713.40.6
7576.4St. John'sBE0.55730.57871917-1417-151-72-25-33-26-010-22767733.40.7
124122.2Southern MississippiCUSA0.52460.507414814-1215-120-10-60-43-012-26-41282451193.20.3
106106.1Morgan St.MEAC0.53310.447729224-925-90-10-10-32-223-29-81341731033.10.6
121118.9NorthwesternB100.52570.508214419-1220-121-50-13-25-210-212-1682891162.90.3
147144.9ArkansasSEC0.51440.56343814-1714-180-50-36-43-45-27-8178541422.90.3
9597.7HarvardIvy0.53900.460226320-720-70-10-21-14-215-110-374237952.71.9
8382.7Sam Houston St.Slnd0.55250.476321518-719-70-10-00-18-311-24-5156113802.70.7
1515.6TennesseeSEC0.62570.57252823-724-72-41-08-16-17-012-21955132.61.6
128128.5NiagaraMAAC0.52140.505415218-1518-150-01-13-55-79-28-51211921262.51.7
9698.3Appalachian St.SC0.53860.491018120-1120-110-00-12-39-49-35-510051962.31.6
115115.3Colorado St.MWC0.52810.53829315-1415-150-40-51-16-58-08-51091931132.30.4
196200.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48290.444029914-1115-110-00-00-32-413-44-52192461982.30.3
232234.3Texas St.Slnd0.45880.464325411-1511-160-10-11-23-78-62-83333002322.30.3
167169.2IdahoWAC0.50340.513413513-1513-160-00-21-86-36-37-51422381672.20.3
140142.2Stony BrookAE0.51580.436531821-921-90-00-10-16-315-47-52013321402.21.1
143145.2Robert MorrisNEC0.51490.457027222-1122-110-20-10-15-517-26-82071951432.21.3
97100.2North TexasSB0.53700.458826922-822-80-10-10-07-115-56-364162982.21.4
2627.1RichmondA100.60890.54118024-725-71-14-14-59-07-011-43769252.10.8
191192.1Jackson St.SWAC0.48890.429032218-1119-110-10-10-32-417-31-10287611902.10.7
3535.1Wake ForestACC0.60060.57142919-920-93-23-32-26-26-010-23078332.10.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
129131.1QuinnipiacNEC0.52040.423532923-823-80-00-10-03-420-38-51883391292.11.3
6565.1CincinnatiBE0.56780.58621217-1417-152-60-44-55-06-09-33247632.10.5
219219.0Ball St.MAC0.46990.476621414-1514-150-30-11-27-56-46-62182232172.01.0
204204.0Cal St. FullertonBW0.47930.472922813-1414-140-00-21-33-410-55-61851812022.00.3
162161.9HoustonCUSA0.50670.518512214-1515-150-02-32-46-56-37-61551341601.90.3
195195.9Central FloridaCUSA0.48500.505215413-1613-170-00-30-85-48-17-61681851941.90.4
138139.9JacksonvilleASun0.51680.466024719-1219-120-10-10-23-415-44-5124881381.90.9
119118.8Northern ColoradoBSky0.52630.437531623-723-70-00-01-26-215-311-21323441171.80.8
182181.8Oregon St.P100.49720.517612614-1614-171-10-33-37-83-26-62333051801.80.3
227227.8East CarolinaCUSA0.46220.52561127-207-210-20-40-51-76-13-8196432261.80.5
5958.8Notre DameBE0.57460.55544821-1022-103-20-28-44-37-011-278226571.80.4
303302.7FordhamA100.41330.5352972-262-260-40-30-51-91-52-102942003011.70.9
8180.7Louisiana TechWAC0.55330.488018822-923-90-11-13-48-211-113-263302791.70.4
4445.7Georgia TechACC0.58910.57862018-1119-111-23-54-26-25-011-234151441.70.4
3029.6Oklahoma St.B120.60600.57083121-922-94-30-32-312-13-012-231153281.60.4
144145.6HofstraCAA0.51490.501815918-1418-140-10-12-82-414-07-51271301441.61.0
4950.6DaytonA100.58300.56973220-1120-121-62-22-211-24-011-31821491.60.3
150148.6UCLAP100.51270.55704613-1713-181-31-13-76-73-05-7177361471.60.2
168167.6DetroitHorz0.50330.479020719-1419-140-30-00-310-59-38-41723201661.61.0
4747.6Virginia TechACC0.58450.514413323-723-70-33-13-18-29-013-177336461.61.1
98101.5AlabamaSEC0.53630.55484916-1417-141-50-23-55-28-010-480791001.50.2
101102.5BradleyMVC0.53560.54876216-1516-151-31-24-45-55-16-51591451011.51.0
216217.5Florida AtlanticSB0.47050.476721312-1612-160-10-00-22-810-42-72691762161.51.0
166166.4Cleveland St.Horz0.50380.53439814-1714-170-50-22-13-99-03-8208171651.41.1
174172.4La SalleA100.50190.53968712-1812-180-50-40-45-47-18-61101061711.40.8
231230.4San DiegoWCC0.45970.509614210-2110-210-10-50-53-67-46-92091372291.41.5
198197.4Tennessee TechOVC0.48270.489218413-1713-170-10-10-83-410-34-6152871961.41.3
177176.4Loyola MarymountWCC0.49960.486219317-1517-150-01-42-33-211-68-71742391751.41.3
156156.4NebraskaB120.50930.55445114-1714-180-80-42-25-46-012-3732591551.40.2
159158.3RutgersBE0.50840.55185414-1714-171-50-22-85-26-09-31142361571.30.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
135136.3BelmontASun0.51840.476021919-1219-120-10-10-27-212-65-5101391351.30.8
301300.2PennsylvaniaIvy0.41420.47872086-226-220-31-10-20-75-91-133282342991.21.0
276275.2Eastern WashingtonBSky0.43190.49531717-217-210-10-10-42-84-72-10250712741.20.9
229231.2Texas SouthernSWAC0.46080.443030413-1514-150-00-20-33-510-52-8202142301.20.2
192192.2Central MichiganMAC0.48870.475622114-1414-150-10-11-34-69-45-72112421911.20.3
307307.2South Carolina UpstateASun0.41100.47402276-236-230-00-20-10-126-80-9322863061.21.2
4141.2UABCUSA0.59420.53649623-723-71-00-54-210-18-012-22095401.21.1
306306.2PepperdineWCC0.41170.49381766-236-230-00-40-42-74-83-113142573051.20.8
189189.2Bowling GreenMAC0.49140.500416113-1613-160-21-11-33-88-27-51462331881.21.0
305305.1Idaho St.BSky0.41220.49151795-225-220-10-10-31-93-81-102771103041.10.9
6465.1NevadaWAC0.56790.54088118-1119-110-10-35-47-27-17-69749641.10.2
319320.1Central ArkansasSlnd0.39660.44682956-206-200-10-10-22-54-113-72652643191.11.1
280279.0FurmanSC0.43000.442530711-1711-170-00-11-51-49-64-52633302781.00.9
7071.0TulsaCUSA0.56230.527610920-1021-100-11-52-49-19-010-483135701.00.3
163164.0Austin PeayOVC0.50550.504815515-1515-150-20-12-45-78-14-7123161631.00.7
5555.0Arizona St.P100.57870.54257522-923-90-52-12-113-26-010-35464541.00.3
8585.0South CarolinaSEC0.55060.58121715-1515-162-51-12-65-45-09-57662841.00.1
271271.0Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43430.465625011-2111-210-10-20-11-810-93-123092312701.00.9
251252.0HawaiiWAC0.44720.52761089-209-200-20-42-51-66-36-72301492511.01.0
3231.9Utah St.WAC0.60400.529210324-625-61-01-17-37-29-010-45889310.90.4
108107.9Boston CollegeACC0.53210.55934315-1516-150-42-72-17-35-09-51752531070.90.1
161161.9WinthropBSth0.50680.468724217-1317-130-00-10-43-514-32-72471231610.90.7
265263.9Northern IllinoisMAC0.43910.477821210-2010-200-20-10-32-98-44-92742432630.90.5
286286.8MonmouthNEC0.42540.440731012-1912-190-00-00-12-1010-86-82963432860.80.7
178177.8Saint Joseph'sA100.49850.55355311-2011-200-50-51-36-64-16-8141461770.80.7
130131.8PrincetonIvy0.52020.450428719-819-80-10-22-02-315-28-51693061310.80.5
200199.8Northern ArizonaBSky0.48100.471823512-1412-140-10-10-40-612-24-51732121990.80.5
6967.8New Mexico St.WAC0.56510.53928818-1119-110-22-32-26-49-07-68850670.80.2
252253.8UC DavisBW0.44580.457327111-1711-170-00-00-12-109-63-93053192530.80.7
228228.8BinghamtonAE0.46140.487019011-1811-180-10-10-13-128-33-10245992280.80.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
118118.7Western CarolinaSC0.52630.478720919-1119-110-11-22-34-212-37-338481180.70.3
179179.7DavidsonSC0.49760.507814614-1514-150-10-31-64-39-23-7216291790.70.5
258258.7Tennessee St.OVC0.44200.48881859-239-230-10-10-63-116-53-102481632580.70.5
169168.7Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50300.472622917-1217-120-00-01-65-511-15-41862631680.70.4
291290.7Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42340.49461747-227-220-30-00-43-114-44-62342412900.71.0
7776.7CharlotteA100.55650.53749519-1219-121-42-41-17-38-010-456138760.70.5
241240.7Long IslandNEC0.45430.448529114-1714-170-00-00-33-511-94-92812802400.70.6
254254.7High PointBSth0.44480.423133113-1513-150-00-10-13-410-93-62843372540.70.5
287287.6St. Francis PANEC0.42500.450828611-1911-190-00-10-22-79-93-92932352870.60.5
215214.6Loyola ChicagoHorz0.47190.483420112-1612-160-30-01-13-118-17-2852702140.60.7
2526.6TexasB120.60900.56164023-824-83-52-14-19-16-014-123199260.60.2
110108.6DuquesneA100.53130.54187915-1515-150-40-32-46-47-08-565701080.60.3
313313.6McNeese St.Slnd0.40310.44343037-207-200-00-00-42-55-112-93202973130.60.6
260260.6Cal PolyBW0.44180.453128311-1811-190-10-10-03-68-104-92923222600.60.1
233231.6LibertyBSth0.45850.462125812-1612-160-00-20-11-911-32-7249812310.60.5
255255.6BrownIvy0.44420.47822109-209-200-00-50-42-37-84-112662132550.60.5
212212.6LafayettePat0.47430.423133219-1219-120-10-00-01-418-79-62213402120.60.7
136136.6Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51820.424332724-624-60-10-02-02-320-27-21383231360.60.3
324324.5Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39220.42683258-228-230-00-10-20-108-100-123371583240.50.2
334334.5DartmouthIvy0.37880.47202344-234-230-00-20-20-74-123-103162483340.50.8
245244.5Louisiana LafayetteSB0.45160.456727312-1612-160-00-12-13-68-92-73032962440.50.9
323323.5ToledoMAC0.39260.50211583-283-280-10-20-50-143-52-122971363230.50.8
1817.5TempleA100.62210.54736626-527-52-25-12-213-05-012-32938170.50.2
164164.5DenverSB0.50510.471823619-1319-130-10-00-25-514-57-499901640.50.4
242242.5New HampshireAE0.45330.464325512-1712-170-20-00-13-89-65-62202672420.50.7
329328.5PresbyterianBSth0.38660.46782434-264-260-00-20-50-84-112-10241853280.50.8
250250.5ColumbiaIvy0.44780.465425111-1711-170-10-20-21-510-76-82262552500.50.5
317316.5Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.40090.45332827-227-220-00-20-10-107-97-202982823160.50.6
1314.5ButlerHorz0.62700.54227728-428-41-12-23-114-08-08-4266140.50.6
341341.4NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.35430.40053416-206-200-00-00-10-76-122-123242473410.40.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
99.4VillanovaBE0.63300.57542324-624-63-52-08-16-05-011-12116990.40.9
285284.4Kennesaw St.ASun0.42690.450028911-2011-200-00-10-20-1111-63-62882932840.40.4
246246.4NC GreensboroSC0.44980.51691298-238-230-30-30-71-57-51-10227112460.40.4
2020.4CaliforniaP100.61820.58661021-921-90-31-25-115-31-08-471200.40.5
5353.4FloridaSEC0.57990.56723420-1121-112-71-14-27-16-111-472107530.40.1
344344.4Chicago St.GWC0.34610.38883466-216-210-00-00-10-76-132-133383093440.40.7
283283.4Charleston SouthernBSth0.42750.45102859-179-170-10-10-13-66-82-52221562830.40.4
302302.4AlbanyAE0.41340.47592207-257-250-10-10-21-126-95-102291873020.40.3
336336.4Coppin St.MEAC0.37250.43153215-216-210-10-10-10-46-142-83062543360.40.3
4848.4Nevada Las VegasMWC0.58370.528410722-723-72-32-13-06-39-011-257186480.40.1
9494.3AkronMAC0.54330.497816621-922-90-10-30-212-39-19-5164217940.30.1
8283.3Wright St.Horz0.55250.509214320-1220-120-30-11-210-59-17-5113180830.30.2
221220.3MercerASun0.46940.475122414-1714-170-10-20-26-68-62-62421252200.30.2
2727.3ClemsonACC0.60830.57612221-922-92-43-34-27-16-012-241146270.30.1
145145.3DrexelCAA0.51480.512513616-1616-160-20-33-33-510-35-8170941450.30.2
5252.3OaklandSum0.58110.505415124-824-80-40-12-15-117-14-7927520.30.3
343343.3SouthernSWAC0.34950.41533355-245-240-20-10-10-65-142-93101833430.30.7
1111.3Texas A&MB120.63020.5965621-821-82-63-26-06-05-010-32844110.30.6
332332.3MD Baltimore CountyAE0.38110.44982904-264-260-00-10-01-123-131-123443383320.30.6
139141.3RiderMAAC0.51620.508114517-1617-160-10-32-46-59-37-61371701410.30.2
272272.3ElonSC0.43350.48282038-238-230-00-10-62-86-82-92591882720.30.2
289289.3ColgatePat0.42430.455627610-1910-190-10-00-10-710-104-103112852890.30.3
2829.3Ohio St.B100.60650.54746424-724-74-41-03-26-110-010-353126290.30.2
314314.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.40280.43803137-187-180-10-00-30-57-92-73193213140.30.2
152150.2Washington St.P100.51210.514513215-1416-140-30-32-26-68-09-2672791500.20.0
77.2New MexicoMWC0.63730.54756328-328-34-02-25-09-18-014-1115870.20.5
320320.2Florida Gulf CoastASun0.39660.43713178-218-210-10-00-02-86-123-63003333200.20.2
8081.2PortlandWCC0.55350.516713019-1019-100-11-51-16-211-18-510296810.20.1
322322.2SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39480.47532223-233-230-10-00-51-32-143-183132503220.20.3
345345.2Bryantind0.34490.44353021-291-290-00-10-20-61-201-293433073450.20.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
236236.2NC WilmingtonCAA0.45610.51011419-229-220-00-31-73-85-44-82131092360.20.1
7374.2Illinois St.MVC0.55830.512113722-1022-100-21-24-29-48-010-2119324740.20.2
3938.2St. Mary'sWCC0.59690.521311825-525-50-13-24-15-113-012-23676380.20.2
210210.2DePaulBE0.47600.5675338-238-231-70-11-102-34-27-51301472100.20.2
248248.2Georgia St.CAA0.44890.490918211-2011-200-00-30-62-69-56-62042602480.20.2
239238.2DelawareCAA0.45540.5405837-247-240-20-40-62-75-54-8153282380.20.1
243243.2James MadisonCAA0.45280.477821113-2013-200-00-32-52-69-68-51943412430.20.2
249249.2EvansvilleMVC0.44840.51771258-218-211-21-10-72-104-15-52553272490.20.2
274275.2Holy CrossPat0.43190.47612189-229-220-00-20-20-89-103-122851842750.20.1
5756.2MississippiSEC0.57600.54347421-921-91-51-03-37-19-012-233141560.20.2
340340.2Utah ValleyGWC0.35730.38323478-178-170-10-10-10-38-113-103292993400.20.4
127128.2Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52150.499816318-1418-140-40-01-37-610-16-51482051280.20.1
237237.2North FloridaASun0.45580.466124512-1812-180-00-00-42-910-54-51441282370.20.1
325325.1New OrleansSB0.39130.45402796-226-220-00-00-20-106-103-63073343250.10.1
331331.1WagnerNEC0.38200.45352815-265-260-10-00-12-83-162-123263013310.10.3
318318.1Gardner WebbBSth0.39900.46272575-215-210-20-00-20-85-90-8323743180.10.3
33.1KentuckySEC0.66010.56233929-229-23-12-010-110-04-015-01011830.10.3
218218.1NC AshevilleBSth0.47020.484919612-1612-160-20-00-32-710-40-8270102180.10.1
190192.1Seattleind0.48910.459126817-1417-140-00-21-44-412-416-141842621920.10.1
268268.1YaleIvy0.43680.456227511-1911-190-00-20-40-811-55-112913082680.10.1
288288.0Georgia SouthernSC0.42480.49701697-237-230-00-01-73-93-71-103171612880.00.0
7475.0IllinoisB100.55810.56623518-1318-144-51-41-26-37-08-5122100750.00.0
262262.0SamfordSC0.43980.48691918-208-200-10-20-60-78-43-6192732620.00.0
1212.0PurdueB100.62950.55435226-426-44-22-15-08-17-012-08111120.00.0
66.0Kansas St.B120.63980.5976523-623-64-23-25-19-13-012-152560.00.1
22.0DukeACC0.66270.5916726-526-52-36-18-08-13-013-293320.00.1
297297.0Jacksonville St.OVC0.41630.46602489-199-190-00-10-73-66-52-73322872970.00.0
11.0KansasB120.68200.5911829-229-27-15-14-013-02-014-143010.0NaN
55.0West VirginiaBE0.65630.6054224-624-64-43-08-26-03-011-122250.0NaN
170169.0RadfordBSth0.50290.470623817-1217-120-20-10-14-313-53-619726169-0.0-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
266266.0TowsonCAA0.43810.483020210-2110-210-00-31-31-108-53-8304252266-0.0-0.0
6262.0MarshallCUSA0.57100.523911620-820-80-11-41-28-110-09-3478062-0.0-0.0
193193.0Penn St.B100.48850.54397211-1911-200-70-30-56-15-48-4167288193-0.0-0.0
2424.0Michigan St.B100.61150.55744424-724-72-31-25-39-07-010-3449824-0.0-0.0
342342.0GramblingSWAC0.35420.40413405-205-210-10-00-20-65-121-6308228342-0.0-0.0
278277.0TulaneCUSA0.43130.49531728-218-220-10-40-43-75-55-8271265277-0.0-0.0
132131.9Western KentuckySB0.52010.488518621-1321-131-00-12-32-716-27-615891132-0.1-0.0
225224.9South DakotaGWC0.46570.396734316-916-90-10-10-31-215-25-8246210225-0.1-0.1
304302.9HartfordAE0.41320.46282568-228-220-20-00-10-118-82-11331275303-0.1-0.0
339338.9Tennessee MartinOVC0.36480.46932402-252-250-00-20-50-92-90-8334178339-0.1-0.3
269268.9North Dakota St.Sum0.43630.46562499-189-180-00-10-40-89-51-7302202269-0.1-0.1
259258.9BucknellPat0.44180.433432014-1714-170-00-20-11-413-105-11312331259-0.1-0.1
43.9SyracuseBE0.65920.58631128-328-35-13-210-06-05-013-01354-0.1-0.4
158157.9George MasonCAA0.50850.500316217-1417-140-11-21-63-312-25-7240194158-0.1-0.1
292291.9LamarSlnd0.42180.457427010-1810-180-00-00-42-78-75-7278298292-0.1-0.2
224223.9IUPU Fort WayneSum0.46650.454027814-1514-150-20-21-41-312-54-5231286224-0.1-0.1
113113.9Iowa St.B120.52850.56623615-1615-171-90-42-26-27-011-4112219114-0.1-0.0
312311.9Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.40450.47222326-236-230-00-10-60-116-52-8260148312-0.1-0.2
5049.9WashingtonP100.58280.54746521-922-92-20-04-313-43-010-2254250-0.1-0.0
3634.8Florida St.ACC0.59980.55724522-822-80-44-34-18-16-012-24221535-0.2-0.1
9291.8Missouri St.MVC0.54580.518112420-1220-120-20-35-26-59-011-14824992-0.2-0.1
4342.8Kent St.MAC0.59110.53839122-823-80-21-04-211-47-09-5462343-0.2-0.1
226226.8ManhattanMAAC0.46380.499616411-2011-200-10-31-41-89-46-5160222227-0.2-0.2
126126.8VermontAE0.52270.442530624-925-90-00-11-08-415-410-5147303127-0.2-0.0
337336.8Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.36720.43543195-265-260-10-10-30-95-121-18325159337-0.2-0.3
282281.8Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42850.446929410-1810-180-00-30-60-310-74-5252328282-0.2-0.3
1918.8MarylandACC0.62070.57692122-722-71-35-23-27-07-09-410415519-0.2-0.2
298297.8Sacramento St.BSky0.41550.46202597-217-210-00-00-32-105-84-8243269298-0.2-0.3
247246.8ArmyPat0.44960.441430913-1513-150-00-01-11-411-99-4145316247-0.2-0.2
211210.8South AlabamaSB0.47580.465425215-1515-150-00-11-23-911-46-4180284211-0.2-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
123123.8Oral RobertsSum0.52470.490118319-1319-131-01-21-72-114-35-713337124-0.2-0.2
208206.7CanisiusMAAC0.47750.474622515-1715-170-00-21-44-710-46-6214310207-0.3-0.2
7171.7NortheasternCAA0.56110.53889020-1220-120-03-33-35-69-05-796872-0.3-0.2
87.7BaylorB120.63640.58031823-623-63-33-16-17-14-012-1151218-0.3-0.6
197199.7Southern MethodistCUSA0.48280.517512712-1613-160-11-50-72-39-15-7264216200-0.3-0.0
295295.7Florida InternationalSB0.41800.48731896-256-250-00-11-51-104-102-10289208296-0.3-0.3
326325.7StetsonASun0.39100.46002655-225-220-00-20-11-84-110-7340197326-0.3-0.2
4040.7Texas El PasoCUSA0.59460.523111724-524-50-13-05-37-110-09-413618941-0.3-0.2
186185.7ValparaisoHorz0.49530.511113912-1712-170-40-00-44-78-22-8244144186-0.3-0.3
335334.7MaristMAAC0.37870.49781671-291-290-00-20-40-111-120-11341251335-0.3-0.5
176175.7StanfordP100.49960.53918913-1713-180-30-30-68-55-16-6190166176-0.3-0.0
277275.7Louisiana MonroeSB0.43170.460126410-1910-190-00-01-42-87-83-6275290276-0.3-0.2
240238.7ChattanoogaSC0.45530.475322313-1813-180-00-31-65-27-76-5150157239-0.3-0.2
7876.7MinnesotaB100.55620.54965918-1219-122-51-11-18-47-19-3558477-0.3-0.1
327326.7Southern UtahSum0.39040.47212335-225-220-00-20-50-55-102-7267129327-0.3-0.3
6364.7Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.56860.514213422-922-90-03-23-34-312-19-1148365-0.3-0.3
9392.7College of CharlestonSC0.54540.494417521-1121-110-10-13-24-614-16-61166393-0.3-0.4
338337.6North DakotaGWC0.36620.41193376-216-210-20-00-00-66-131-14330218338-0.4-0.6
207205.6San FranciscoWCC0.47800.520712010-1810-180-11-40-53-46-43-10257101206-0.4-0.2
333332.6Houston BaptistGWC0.38080.396634410-2010-200-00-10-10-510-131-17346312333-0.4-0.7
1615.6WisconsinB100.62540.57522423-724-74-21-25-27-17-010-2133116-0.4-0.1
104104.6ColoradoB120.53420.57322713-1513-161-60-42-36-35-07-5161211105-0.4-0.1
109.6PittsburghBE0.63280.5878924-724-73-33-17-37-04-111-2225310-0.4-0.9
2929.5Old DominionCAA0.60640.54008526-826-81-10-27-45-113-08-5401330-0.5-0.4
300299.5Arkansas Little RockSB0.41450.49901656-226-220-00-10-72-64-92-721719300-0.5-0.4
2120.5XavierA100.61770.55934223-724-70-44-26-29-05-09-5432021-0.5-0.2
6160.5ConnecticutBE0.57240.6019317-1517-153-51-26-65-23-010-3121261-0.5-0.5
261260.5Norfolk St.MEAC0.44140.452628411-1811-190-10-20-21-410-102-11299140261-0.5-0.1
256256.5UC RiversideBW0.44350.464625310-1710-170-10-10-14-66-85-6215261257-0.5-0.4
4646.5CornellIvy0.58520.482720425-425-40-20-04-18-013-112-34512747-0.5-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
105105.5North Carolina St.ACC0.53330.54437017-1417-151-32-52-45-37-012-3108276106-0.5-0.1
3736.5GonzagaWCC0.59800.527311125-625-61-23-25-05-111-112-3395237-0.5-0.4
270270.5Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43500.408133912-1312-140-10-10-20-412-61-6321160271-0.5-0.1
117114.5CreightonMVC0.52750.53819416-1516-150-41-12-66-47-06-6191168115-0.5-0.4
222221.5Portland St.BSky0.46890.491318011-1911-190-00-22-41-98-43-9224116222-0.5-0.4
5150.4MemphisCUSA0.58270.54247623-823-80-32-25-07-39-010-51035951-0.6-0.5
194194.4Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.48720.456527414-1515-150-10-40-30-615-20-112724195-0.6-0.1
2221.4VanderbiltSEC0.61730.57492522-722-72-23-07-45-16-010-3507522-0.6-0.6
308308.4Virginia Military InstBSth0.41030.46612466-196-190-00-20-10-86-81-525440309-0.6-0.6
310307.4Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40850.428932310-2010-210-00-00-30-610-122-12335266308-0.6-0.1
321320.4Florida A&MMEAC0.39630.43753158-228-220-00-20-10-68-133-10295224321-0.6-0.5
2322.4Brigham YoungMWC0.61630.524711527-428-40-24-24-010-010-014-12417723-0.6-0.6
315314.3CentenarySum0.40270.46062616-216-210-00-00-80-36-103-6238206315-0.7-0.7
99101.3UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53630.485919417-917-90-10-11-16-110-55-514392102-0.7-0.4
347346.3Alcorn St.SWAC0.34260.44153082-292-290-10-30-10-82-160-1331860347-0.7-1.5
1717.3Northern IowaMVC0.62240.529010428-428-40-04-16-012-16-210-15122918-0.7-0.8
5454.3Seton HallBE0.57890.57103019-1119-121-72-13-46-07-09-26219855-0.7-0.1
316316.3Savannah St.ind0.40110.42493267-157-150-10-10-00-77-65-13283272317-0.7-0.6
294294.2AmericanPat0.41950.443530111-2011-200-10-00-20-511-123-12339335295-0.8-1.0
273272.2Youngstown St.Horz0.43350.51021406-226-220-40-10-21-125-34-5162131273-0.8-0.6
3131.2LouisvilleBE0.60410.6000420-1121-112-50-18-48-13-09-4492432-0.8-0.2
6665.2South FloridaBE0.56720.55175520-1120-122-41-13-67-17-010-26922766-0.8-0.2
4544.2Wichita St.MVC0.58850.53149924-924-91-30-18-17-38-110-28928345-0.8-0.8
235234.2Santa ClaraWCC0.45690.51131389-219-210-00-60-53-56-56-9189104235-0.8-0.6
8685.2North CarolinaACC0.55020.58261416-1516-161-63-73-25-25-011-4598286-0.8-0.1
3333.2SienaMAAC0.60200.517212827-627-60-30-16-18-113-07-5987734-0.8-0.7
8786.2ArizonaP100.54990.56483716-1417-141-41-33-210-62-06-61071887-0.8-0.1
346345.2North Carolina Centralind0.34450.42183333-223-230-00-10-20-43-161-20345315346-0.8-0.3
4241.2Rhode IslandA100.59300.53978622-823-80-31-15-212-24-012-163442-0.8-0.3
183180.1Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49690.450428816-1016-110-00-11-14-411-57-3135311181-0.9-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
157158.1LehighPat0.50850.442830521-1021-100-00-10-11-320-59-6183294159-0.9-0.5
1414.1GeorgetownBE0.62690.6107120-921-95-42-16-33-15-010-13915-0.9-0.3
330329.1HowardMEAC0.38570.43833117-257-250-00-10-20-67-161-14327191330-0.9-1.5
6767.1Mississippi St.SEC0.56520.528910521-1021-100-31-15-17-48-012-37022068-0.9-0.6
133132.1MichiganB100.51990.55145613-1614-160-61-13-34-65-16-5149102133-0.9-0.1
7981.0FairfieldMAAC0.55360.495217322-1022-100-10-41-15-416-07-412927382-1.0-0.5
181181.0St. Peter'sMAAC0.49730.483520016-1416-140-00-21-44-411-45-6237304182-1.0-0.6
309309.0Central ConnecticutNEC0.41000.410133812-1812-180-00-00-10-712-105-8336347310-1.0-1.2
267266.0UC IrvineBW0.43740.446329612-1713-170-10-00-03-1010-66-7262326267-1.0-0.1
125124.0Long Beach St.BW0.52450.527411013-1513-150-41-10-14-58-45-7523125-1.0-0.7
5657.0MarquetteBE0.57650.55475020-1021-102-61-15-25-17-19-39120458-1.0-0.3
284284.0Longwoodind0.42720.45952668-198-190-10-30-21-37-105-17261167285-1.0-0.7
281279.9Western IllinoisSum0.42950.445529810-1710-170-10-00-61-29-84-4228325281-1.1-1.0
146144.9OregonP100.51440.53829215-1515-160-21-31-69-55-08-4118132146-1.1-0.1
172170.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.50240.515213114-1514-150-20-33-43-68-08-284291172-1.1-0.5
209207.9LipscombASun0.47710.447029316-1316-130-10-10-25-411-52-6301258209-1.1-0.8
293292.9St. Francis NYNEC0.42070.428132411-1811-180-10-00-12-59-115-8290342294-1.1-1.5
263262.8Sacred HeartNEC0.43940.420633414-1514-150-10-00-11-613-79-4171345264-1.2-0.8
201199.8The CitadelSC0.48090.483819814-1614-160-30-02-51-311-54-6181120201-1.2-0.9
213211.8IndianaB100.47370.54506810-2010-211-70-21-43-55-36-6239230213-1.2-0.2
7676.7Weber St.BSky0.55670.507114918-919-90-10-31-16-312-14-61111578-1.3-0.2
217217.7Loyola MDMAAC0.47030.476221613-1713-170-10-20-44-59-57-4154314219-1.3-0.8
244243.6Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.45170.486519211-2011-210-10-10-14-127-55-10235154245-1.4-0.2
328327.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.38680.39213458-148-150-00-10-10-58-80-4342164329-1.4-0.4
264263.6NavyPat0.43920.443930013-1713-170-00-00-23-410-116-9276292265-1.4-0.9
8987.6IUPUISum0.54760.492017822-1022-100-10-11-46-315-15-61264189-1.4-1.1
173171.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50220.483619916-1516-150-20-20-02-714-44-819366173-1.5-0.9
9189.5Indiana St.MVC0.54700.54706716-1416-140-20-23-39-54-27-47511791-1.5-1.2
311309.5RiceCUSA0.40790.48172067-227-230-10-30-60-77-66-7251274311-1.5-0.4
122121.4East Tennessee St.ASun0.52570.497616819-1419-140-10-22-25-412-53-71152123-1.6-1.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
154151.4Western MichiganMAC0.51170.503315716-1417-140-10-14-25-77-47-69445153-1.6-0.2
202201.4Montana St.BSky0.48020.472223013-1413-140-00-11-34-58-53-7232182203-1.6-1.0
3837.3MissouriB120.59690.56054122-923-92-62-14-09-26-012-36020339-1.7-0.6
184182.3CampbellASun0.49690.453528017-1117-110-00-11-02-614-43-4225225184-1.7-1.3
234232.3South Dakota St.Sum0.45800.469324112-1612-160-10-00-62-310-62-7273142234-1.7-1.2
253254.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44490.423632814-1514-160-00-10-20-414-96-6179240256-1.7-0.2
6058.2William & MaryCAA0.57450.529810221-1021-101-02-33-46-09-37-3172760-1.8-1.5
9088.1IonaMAAC0.54730.505215321-1021-100-10-32-28-211-29-36113390-1.9-1.5
6867.1WoffordSC0.56510.484719725-825-80-20-14-36-216-07-58210369-1.9-1.5
112110.1Southern CaliforniaP100.53060.54088216-1416-142-24-12-24-94-08-493105112-1.9-1.1
188187.1Texas ChristianMWC0.49340.54417111-1811-190-50-50-32-69-06-7205196189-1.9-0.7
109108.1OklahomaB120.53180.58361313-1713-181-73-41-45-24-19-595150110-1.9-0.3
5857.0Murray St.OVC0.57510.460526228-428-40-10-02-211-115-06-37117559-2.0-1.8
3434.0San Diego St.MWC0.60120.54496920-821-81-31-22-111-17-19-33511536-2.0-0.5
155152.0Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51100.474522618-1218-120-20-00-47-411-27-4106165154-2.0-1.1
187185.0Fresno St.WAC0.49430.520711914-1714-180-10-33-43-78-27-8212201187-2.0-0.3
111108.9TroySB0.53120.495617017-1217-120-00-10-47-310-42-619956111-2.1-1.4
279276.8Nicholls St.Slnd0.43130.47132378-178-180-10-00-31-97-51-8286139279-2.2-0.4
185182.8DrakeMVC0.49670.530610114-1914-190-31-22-65-56-36-7236256185-2.2-1.3
180180.7Middle TennesseeSB0.49730.472223117-1317-130-20-11-13-513-44-7253190183-2.3-1.6
100101.7MontanaBSky0.53580.481820519-919-100-00-11-28-410-37-379179104-2.3-0.5
148145.6AuburnSEC0.51380.55055814-1614-170-30-23-84-47-08-6151152148-2.4-0.3
160159.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.50770.437531418-819-80-00-00-34-315-37-3140268162-2.6-0.2
120119.4PacificBW0.52620.476221720-1020-100-11-21-24-214-38-6157174122-2.6-1.2
230230.4Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.46030.459526712-1312-140-20-00-33-49-54-5268318233-2.6-0.5
107106.4Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.53220.503315619-1219-121-21-12-25-610-17-490108109-2.6-1.5
149148.3MaineAE0.51280.461526018-1118-110-10-00-14-514-47-5120207151-2.7-1.9
203202.1Arkansas St.SB0.47980.466824415-1415-140-00-21-33-511-43-6256214205-2.9-2.1
290288.1HamptonMEAC0.42400.412533613-1714-170-00-00-40-314-105-9282317291-2.9-0.6
220220.0Louisiana St.SEC0.46960.54028411-1911-200-50-02-93-66-09-5166221223-3.0-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8885.0Morehead St.OVC0.54950.501516021-1021-100-10-21-49-211-13-6117588-3.0-2.4
171170.9MassachusettsA100.50260.55135711-1911-200-42-41-34-84-05-816557174-3.1-0.5
238237.7South Carolina St.MEAC0.45550.423233013-1313-130-00-10-11-212-93-7258277241-3.3-1.2
114116.5Miami FLACC0.52810.518512317-1217-130-23-52-21-311-013-086346120-3.5-0.3
165166.4San Jose St.WAC0.50440.519012113-1613-170-00-42-53-48-47-6139209170-3.6-0.3
206204.4Boise St.WAC0.47880.492917714-1614-170-00-32-65-48-49-5195329208-3.6-1.1
116117.3OhioMAC0.52770.525111417-1417-150-10-33-47-57-29-58168121-3.7-0.4
8481.2St. LouisA100.55250.531210019-1019-110-23-11-410-35-08-518223285-3.8-0.7
199200.0Eastern MichiganMAC0.48210.470023915-1415-150-00-22-22-711-36-6198271204-4.0-0.8
131132.8Boston UniversityAE0.52010.485819519-1219-130-10-11-43-715-06-7176112137-4.2-0.6
151147.8St. BonaventureA100.51270.528510614-1514-160-41-10-76-47-06-6131122152-4.2-0.6
275275.5Alabama St.SWAC0.43190.397934212-1413-140-00-00-11-712-60-8347278280-4.5-0.5
175173.3Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50120.488418713-1414-140-10-20-43-310-43-8223143178-4.7-0.4
142143.0Miami OHMAC0.51520.54207813-1714-170-41-11-65-46-24-1020332149-6.0-0.5
214215.0Delaware St.MEAC0.47220.445829713-1114-110-00-10-10-614-32-6280119221-6.0-0.7
153149.6UtahMWC0.51210.54367314-1614-170-43-41-24-56-27-7206172156-6.4-1.1
299300.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.41500.45412778-218-220-10-10-21-67-121-11315124307-6.7-1.5

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com