live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 26, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
174174.5Coastal CarolinaSB0.49910.520010812-1513-160-01-21-63-68-23-82559615618.51.4
281281.6BrownIvy0.43420.454929010-1611-170-10-20-21-610-57-727032326516.61.3
191190.9UABCUSA0.49060.486419414-1416-140-20-20-25-411-46-617312317911.91.2
286288.8Cal PolyBW0.43070.45302938-189-190-00-10-13-56-113-925016827711.80.9
119119.4North Carolina St.ACC0.52810.56085115-1515-161-61-42-47-04-111-26123410811.41.4
9594.0AuburnSEC0.54130.53328717-1218-130-30-34-59-05-111-2381568311.01.3
146147.0YaleIvy0.51220.474323914-1016-100-10-20-23-313-27-513023513611.00.8
182183.8LSUSEC0.49480.5727329-1910-200-31-52-84-44-08-4361317310.80.9
8789.5Penn St.B100.54430.57812714-1515-161-52-23-66-33-08-510760818.50.9
7473.9ClemsonACC0.55510.57962614-1416-140-73-45-23-24-010-234105667.91.2
262261.7Western CarolinaSC0.44350.51311306-227-220-10-10-80-96-33-8168332547.71.2
320318.5Chicago St.WAC0.41420.49811553-243-250-10-10-60-53-112-122781633117.51.7
287289.1Oral RobertsSum0.43070.51211336-226-220-10-21-22-93-82-10259422827.11.7
3636.0Middle TennesseeCUSA0.59290.503214824-426-40-12-02-09-212-19-32515297.02.1
291291.2TulaneAmer0.43000.51841115-235-250-50-10-30-115-53-93212922856.20.6
6366.2TCUB120.56160.57333116-1217-130-82-23-27-15-010-242119606.20.7
122119.7ColoradoP120.52730.53208815-1316-141-31-32-54-28-19-3901891145.70.5
106105.7Texas TechB120.53460.53418617-1218-132-50-33-26-27-012-11013341005.70.4
251249.7Saint LouisA100.45090.514912410-1910-210-30-20-74-86-25-83092802445.70.8
180180.3RutgersB100.49630.53159012-1613-170-30-62-72-18-010-21113351755.30.5
2627.2CreightonBE0.60220.56174721-722-83-22-15-47-05-012-011161225.21.2
240241.1UNLVMWC0.45610.515512210-1910-210-30-21-72-77-27-62092042365.10.7
6666.1New Mexico St.WAC0.56060.469124921-522-50-00-02-37-113-111-245246615.11.1
145146.1Mississippi St.SEC0.51260.53778214-1415-150-31-23-85-26-09-31272021415.10.5
246247.0Nicholls St.Slnd0.45270.459327810-1510-170-10-00-22-78-73-6135952425.00.5
2930.9XavierBE0.59840.59071318-1119-120-62-17-38-13-010-31219264.90.8
6969.7TennesseeSEC0.55790.58512114-1415-151-61-46-24-24-07-58111654.70.6
4443.7Virginia TechACC0.58460.54816720-821-92-52-28-12-18-011-162291394.70.5
9090.6Texas A&MSEC0.54350.56244515-1316-140-61-54-23-18-08-47141864.60.5
244245.5DuquesneA100.45370.512913110-1911-200-40-11-42-98-27-62322602414.50.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9191.5NebraskaB100.54310.6040311-1611-182-41-64-63-22-05-6973874.50.5
7172.3Kansas St.B120.55600.55725717-1218-132-41-41-37-26-011-253238684.30.5
107111.2OhioMAC0.53190.486019617-919-90-00-01-17-610-27-31322951074.20.4
189189.2UMKCWAC0.49170.505614412-1513-150-20-10-42-511-35-9198891854.20.5
292291.2Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.43000.432432312-1712-170-00-00-31-511-83-103433422874.21.3
192192.1PennIvy0.49060.483920412-1313-140-10-21-13-59-47-61431781884.10.4
5756.1ProvidenceBE0.57110.56124918-1119-122-54-25-13-26-210-372186524.10.8
6466.1PittsburghACC0.56110.5981615-1416-152-71-33-38-11-111-22240624.10.6
116116.1La SalleA100.52940.53438514-1315-140-31-12-36-66-16-5122611124.10.4
3232.1MarylandB100.59690.56304221-722-81-22-110-35-13-011-130113284.10.7
7777.1Ohio St.B100.55280.57213316-1317-142-52-44-44-05-110-367106734.10.4
133133.9Eastern WashingtonBSky0.51980.451329818-920-90-00-11-12-417-36-51151241303.90.4
7877.8StanfordP120.55250.59101213-1414-150-81-33-14-46-07-4272743.80.4
284286.8NJITASun0.43140.46512599-199-190-20-00-21-78-86-81782242833.81.2
4241.8USCP120.58710.54257321-823-82-50-13-19-19-013-010160383.80.8
8687.6New MexicoMWC0.54560.55026516-1316-140-20-45-44-37-17-58639843.60.5
115114.5MemphisAmer0.52980.512313218-1119-120-31-23-43-311-010-31132441113.50.4
297295.5Charleston SouthernBSth0.42840.46602568-188-180-10-10-60-48-71-72941842923.50.8
150150.4Northern IowaMVC0.51070.52829813-1513-150-10-60-17-46-34-6150311473.41.1
219222.4IdahoBSky0.47000.437931613-1214-130-00-00-12-713-53-62482522193.40.4
121119.3Louisiana TechCUSA0.52770.467225519-920-90-00-20-23-317-16-51752121163.30.6
7373.3MississippiSEC0.55570.55486118-1119-120-41-53-37-07-09-48972703.30.4
7978.1UCFAmer0.55210.516911719-1020-101-31-12-26-411-09-3118259753.10.7
156154.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.50920.517211515-1515-150-20-50-06-59-36-6155881513.11.3
3737.1UT ArlingtonSB0.59160.507514020-622-71-10-11-110-310-18-31947343.10.5
318316.0LafayettePat0.41640.46002758-208-200-10-10-22-66-103-73023013133.01.3
238240.0PortlandWCC0.45770.52291048-218-210-60-00-42-76-46-51862272373.01.4
328327.9Grambling St.SWAC0.40230.386734910-1512-160-10-00-10-412-102-83373313252.90.5
218220.9South AlabamaSB0.47080.490617811-1512-170-00-30-33-69-55-62733122182.90.3
148148.9ElonCAA0.51140.491417416-1316-130-11-11-55-29-46-51792731462.91.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
266268.8St. Francis PANEC0.43930.421533613-1513-150-00-00-30-413-82-83243092662.81.3
2526.8Notre DameACC0.60250.56523922-723-82-73-06-15-08-011-257192242.80.8
9998.8Georgia TechACC0.53860.55815515-1316-143-31-33-52-27-08-4165257962.80.2
265266.8Abilene ChristianSlnd0.44150.44583069-1410-150-00-00-24-56-82-52663002642.80.2
294293.7ColgatePat0.42920.45892799-219-210-00-10-41-58-111-113443202912.70.8
144145.7Nebraska OmahaSum0.51270.489118115-1315-130-00-21-23-611-36-61121281432.70.7
167167.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50300.481520916-1516-150-20-40-11-315-52-11191101652.71.0
161161.6Stony BrookAE0.50540.476823117-1217-120-00-30-17-310-55-82472631592.61.0
342341.6LongwoodBSth0.37550.45662864-234-230-00-10-40-64-111-83422793392.62.4
299300.6Sacred HeartNEC0.42610.426533013-1813-180-10-00-02-611-115-82692892982.61.1
269270.6DetroitHorz0.43840.50311497-227-220-10-00-52-95-71-103151222682.61.0
77.5OregonP120.64500.56394025-426-42-23-010-14-17-010-2287652.52.1
5452.5NorthwesternB100.57510.55406220-921-102-42-36-37-05-011-239149502.50.4
278278.5MaristMAAC0.43540.49771578-238-230-10-40-01-137-53-82381532762.51.1
1818.5MinnesotaB100.61830.58592022-723-81-25-47-27-03-012-1624162.50.9
267269.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.43910.430432612-1512-150-00-00-13-49-96-52163372672.40.8
235237.4North FloridaASun0.45920.49541649-189-180-10-20-53-36-61-12296842352.40.9
109111.3South DakotaSum0.53110.479821819-1019-100-10-10-25-414-37-61572071092.30.7
8990.3AlabamaSEC0.54380.54397216-1217-130-42-13-66-26-07-512990882.30.2
276277.3BryantNEC0.43580.461626911-1911-190-10-10-12-59-112-10261632752.30.7
282281.3DrexelCAA0.43410.48222078-228-220-00-30-42-106-55-72373222792.30.9
152152.3Tennessee St.OVC0.51000.482920515-1215-120-11-10-26-48-47-4591121502.30.8
261260.3Austin PeayOVC0.44460.47762259-199-190-10-10-21-98-62-102791172582.31.0
239241.3Murray St.OVC0.45690.465525712-1612-160-01-10-24-67-74-82401762392.31.2
8079.2SyracuseACC0.55120.56125017-1318-133-43-33-44-25-18-5181177772.20.4
217219.2Long Beach St.BW0.47210.488018611-1812-180-40-11-22-49-73-11193212172.20.4
263263.2ArmyPat0.44320.468125211-1811-180-10-10-42-59-75-62122302612.21.0
289290.1MilwaukeeHorz0.43020.49761587-237-230-00-00-52-95-93-92511472882.10.6
215216.1LIU BrooklynNEC0.47510.416433819-1119-110-10-00-03-316-76-62203152142.11.3
293292.1NiagaraMAAC0.42970.47272459-229-220-00-20-16-93-103-83193292902.10.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
312309.1BinghamtonAE0.42120.45312929-199-190-10-20-11-88-76-62393393072.11.0
160160.0LipscombASun0.50610.474823716-1216-120-10-01-41-414-35-92071741582.00.8
245245.0Eastern KentuckyOVC0.45340.489118210-1910-190-10-10-33-77-65-81941402432.01.0
203199.0FordhamA100.48640.516211812-1613-171-11-10-46-84-35-72431941972.00.2
309308.0DrakeMVC0.42180.50601436-226-220-00-50-13-93-71-93392483062.00.8
306305.9South FloridaAmer0.42280.49911547-207-220-30-10-42-85-56-52683113041.90.3
5858.9IllinoisB100.56810.58222316-1217-131-42-46-43-15-09-34643571.90.3
141143.9Green BayHorz0.51350.481521016-1216-120-10-02-34-310-64-62112661421.90.6
224222.8BradleyMVC0.46840.509413711-1911-190-00-60-24-77-44-82421702211.80.8
221221.8USC UpstateASun0.46920.452829613-1413-140-00-01-61-311-56-72002852201.80.9
184182.8Houston BaptistSlnd0.49460.479322111-1212-130-00-00-43-59-41-6227171811.80.1
226224.7Western KentuckyCUSA0.46770.468825013-1614-170-10-20-13-711-66-72573282231.70.2
5150.7Seton HallBE0.57690.56244418-1019-111-53-15-32-18-010-251185491.70.3
303300.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.42490.408934212-1313-140-00-00-02-611-84-73383472991.70.1
9493.6RichmondA100.54160.524110217-1118-120-31-21-28-48-16-6224240921.60.2
300301.6UMass LowellAE0.42560.459927610-2010-200-00-20-12-108-75-92993273001.60.7
119.6BaylorB120.64070.5992522-623-74-34-15-16-13-012-01981.60.6
274274.6Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43690.456128810-1810-180-10-10-21-69-81-9276682731.60.6
209205.5Central MichiganMAC0.48260.474024114-1315-140-00-00-27-77-48-31262942041.50.1
332331.5Delaware St.MEAC0.39680.41883377-218-210-10-00-22-56-141-123111883301.50.5
185184.4Saint Joseph'sA100.49440.54127610-1811-190-31-31-45-84-27-585701831.40.1
255253.4MissouriSEC0.44870.5382797-218-220-42-30-90-65-15-72902612521.40.1
4645.3Rhode IslandA100.58360.55316319-920-102-30-12-311-26-08-43522441.30.3
304303.3The CitadelSC0.42410.48092127-207-210-00-20-52-86-54-62312623021.30.2
163163.3Tennessee MartinOVC0.50480.450829918-1118-110-10-10-33-315-38-51282511621.30.4
5960.3Boise St.MWC0.56670.53059117-918-101-10-23-49-26-06-4108144591.30.2
268271.3SeattleWAC0.43880.463126510-1510-160-00-10-50-710-25-72863162701.30.1
187188.3EvansvilleMVC0.49210.522210513-1613-160-10-61-04-48-57-478481871.30.4
302302.3AmericanPat0.42520.47632338-218-210-10-10-30-68-93-82951903011.30.5
139141.3Loyola MarymountWCC0.51470.52979314-1414-140-40-22-52-210-16-41581661401.30.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
22.2KansasB120.65930.58492226-327-45-12-18-19-03-012-184411.20.9
346345.2PresbyterianBSth0.36560.46092743-243-240-00-01-60-52-132-73032313441.21.6
2122.2DaytonA100.61090.54747022-523-61-22-07-26-18-08-35259211.20.3
44.1North CarolinaACC0.65420.5918924-525-65-34-16-25-05-011-2133431.10.5
104102.1San Diego St.MWC0.53640.525510115-1216-130-12-13-56-46-17-4931151011.10.1
271272.1Youngstown St.Horz0.43790.47952209-209-200-00-11-43-65-94-72562782711.10.4
334334.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39350.46152715-235-230-00-00-41-84-124-82302293331.10.8
225223.1Indiana St.MVC0.46830.515912010-1910-191-00-50-24-65-65-6160992221.10.6
114114.1George MasonA100.52990.513412917-1118-120-30-22-39-36-29-31312671131.10.1
172173.1FairfieldMAAC0.50040.478722416-1316-130-00-20-14-812-25-41722881721.10.5
157158.1North DakotaBSky0.50690.439531215-817-80-00-01-13-312-42-5170641571.10.1
108111.0ChattanoogaSC0.53140.487718717-1018-100-10-12-46-39-17-3541451101.00.2
216217.0Missouri St.MVC0.47440.475823515-1515-150-00-50-15-510-48-42053302161.00.6
323322.9MaineAE0.40880.47462386-246-240-10-30-11-115-83-113102873220.90.7
201199.9Holy CrossPat0.48700.478922215-1615-160-00-30-33-512-56-71541481990.90.4
230230.9DePaulBE0.46320.5419759-209-220-50-42-50-57-27-62843192300.90.1
264263.9Tennessee TechOVC0.44260.470224610-1910-190-00-11-43-86-62-113332902630.90.4
338336.9Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.38740.44373105-246-250-20-20-21-55-140-13307513360.90.3
1515.9UCLAP120.62290.52979426-328-33-22-15-08-010-013-029255150.90.5
247246.9Illinois ChicagoHorz0.45210.467525312-1712-170-00-00-40-1012-35-62803252460.90.4
9291.8St. BonaventureA100.54280.517711318-1019-110-40-20-19-310-18-4141182910.80.1
273272.8CampbellBSth0.43760.445630711-1611-160-00-20-41-410-64-52443082720.80.3
8182.8UtahP120.54850.53019216-1017-110-51-21-36-09-17-3134223820.80.1
211210.8Boston CollegeACC0.47900.5680379-209-220-60-54-72-23-27-62231952100.80.1
166166.8Loyola ChicagoMVC0.50340.488818416-1316-130-00-40-05-711-28-31162761660.80.3
175176.8SamfordSC0.49810.480621515-1315-140-20-00-54-411-37-41102251760.80.1
1313.8DukeACC0.63010.59141122-723-84-45-24-15-15-012-11480130.80.3
4745.8Wake ForestACC0.58310.58891516-1217-130-71-25-46-05-09-31618450.80.1
237238.7Montana St.BSky0.45820.455328913-1414-150-00-00-12-912-53-83082392380.70.1
164163.7CanisiusMAAC0.50460.486319517-1417-140-10-21-09-67-57-41192151630.70.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
214212.7Bowling GreenMAC0.47670.505014612-1613-170-10-01-14-138-25-72632362120.70.1
138139.7New HampshireAE0.51550.476823016-1116-110-10-21-14-511-26-51372331390.70.3
142144.7Santa ClaraWCC0.51310.52719915-1515-150-50-13-22-710-05-72412011440.70.2
347347.6Bethune CookmanMEAC0.34780.39353475-216-220-00-00-20-56-151-113472983470.60.9
317314.5Morgan St.MEAC0.41670.395434612-1413-150-00-10-20-313-92-103342693140.50.1
159160.5TexasB120.50630.58881610-1911-201-61-51-64-33-06-7185661600.50.0
2019.4VirginiaACC0.61610.5995419-920-103-53-26-24-05-010-22346190.40.2
178178.4Boston UniversityPat0.49730.474124016-1316-130-00-00-45-411-54-72451961780.40.2
343342.4Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.37310.42313356-227-230-00-10-10-77-140-123361513420.40.1
234234.4WagnerNEC0.46080.434332014-1314-130-00-11-11-412-73-62081832340.40.2
329329.3Coppin St.MEAC0.40000.43513197-208-210-00-00-60-78-90-13320823290.30.1
105106.3Georgia SouthernSB0.53490.497215916-1117-120-10-12-35-410-35-61201251060.30.0
321318.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.41330.43313227-168-170-00-00-11-77-92-52523053180.30.0
143145.3AlbanyAE0.51280.477222818-1218-120-20-21-04-713-18-61482371450.30.1
277278.3Kennesaw St.ASun0.43540.438031511-1711-170-00-10-31-710-64-103173382780.30.1
350350.3Alabama A&MSWAC0.31670.39053482-242-270-00-00-00-52-210-113513363500.30.6
229228.3East CarolinaAmer0.46480.495416513-1613-180-40-20-53-410-28-52193172280.30.0
340340.3HowardMEAC0.37850.43073255-226-230-10-20-20-66-121-12304853400.30.1
212211.3NavyPat0.47890.480821414-1514-150-00-00-54-410-54-72361322110.30.2
325324.3Western IllinoisSum0.40690.45862816-196-190-10-00-21-75-101-83483433240.30.2
6264.2UNC AshevilleBSth0.56180.486919321-821-80-20-02-36-213-16-54128640.20.1
228227.2IUPUISum0.46540.473324211-1711-170-00-20-35-56-74-82282702270.20.1
260260.2QuinnipiacMAAC0.44460.488118510-2010-200-10-40-03-97-63-72832492600.20.1
136137.2WyomingMWC0.51750.510613615-1216-130-00-32-65-29-28-3922181370.20.0
170170.2Fort WayneSum0.50190.464026316-1116-110-00-31-03-312-58-3952771700.20.1
248247.1Cleveland St.Horz0.45190.51431268-218-210-20-00-53-95-53-8202352470.10.1
125124.1TempleAmer0.52530.53957715-1516-152-50-10-45-58-19-465751240.10.0
3332.1ArkansasSEC0.59660.55645822-723-80-43-27-09-14-111-2945320.10.0
1414.1CincinnatiAmer0.62880.54776825-426-51-23-14-111-08-011-21832140.10.0
2427.1Oklahoma St.B120.60300.58821719-920-101-62-35-18-13-010-21737270.10.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1212.0Florida St.ACC0.63460.58222423-624-76-24-15-34-16-012-124108120.00.0
333332.0StetsonASun0.39580.42873278-208-200-00-00-40-48-125-93143443320.00.0
6163.0ValparaisoHorz0.56260.491217523-723-70-21-02-14-415-09-363131630.00.0
233232.0High PointBSth0.46190.464626112-1512-150-00-11-52-39-53-6234175232-0.0-0.0
137138.0SienaMAAC0.51650.518111215-1615-160-10-31-35-89-13-817727138-0.0-0.0
197194.9San DiegoWCC0.48910.519710912-1712-170-50-11-52-49-36-5204254195-0.1-0.0
348347.9St. Francis NYNEC0.34420.43153243-273-270-10-00-10-63-191-11341283348-0.1-0.1
33.9LouisvilleACC0.65440.6073223-625-63-54-17-07-03-012-1274-0.1-0.0
118117.9IonaMAAC0.52840.493717119-1219-120-11-30-18-410-37-480139118-0.1-0.0
2322.9VCUA100.60880.55036423-624-71-22-14-212-25-010-3447723-0.1-0.0
322320.9VMISC0.41050.49531664-224-230-20-10-51-83-71-8322173321-0.1-0.0
181181.9HofstraCAA0.49540.505014714-1614-160-10-30-56-38-47-5133157182-0.1-0.0
11.8VillanovaBE0.66070.57982527-328-33-25-08-16-05-013-04382-0.2-0.2
4140.8MonmouthMAAC0.58880.494916726-526-50-11-11-111-214-08-33311441-0.2-0.1
188188.8Morehead St.OVC0.49190.502515112-1512-150-10-00-43-99-12-926556189-0.2-0.1
153152.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50960.450130115-916-100-10-10-12-415-34-4140221153-0.3-0.0
351350.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.31160.41143400-271-280-00-10-10-61-210-13346250351-0.3-0.7
4847.7VanderbiltSEC0.58110.6097116-1316-152-63-24-56-02-17-647148-0.3-0.1
9694.7IowaB100.54080.55865416-1317-141-43-43-44-25-08-516916495-0.3-0.0
199197.7RiderMAAC0.48790.452329717-1417-140-01-10-03-1013-37-4192349198-0.3-0.1
227225.6RadfordBSth0.46670.485119911-1711-170-20-22-31-58-53-717436226-0.4-0.2
250248.6DelawareCAA0.45110.487618910-1910-190-00-30-53-97-35-6226306249-0.4-0.2
195192.6North Carolina CentralMEAC0.49000.376835119-621-60-00-00-11-320-26-5156304193-0.4-0.1
279279.5CornellIvy0.43530.49111766-207-210-00-40-31-95-63-11277187280-0.5-0.0
335334.5North TexasCUSA0.39240.46302666-206-220-00-20-00-116-84-6316314335-0.5-0.1
349348.4Florida A&MMEAC0.34070.38173505-215-220-10-00-00-35-180-11350321349-0.6-0.6
154153.4ToledoMAC0.50950.513612814-1415-150-00-30-18-77-36-613678154-0.6-0.0
103102.4OaklandHorz0.53670.473224322-722-70-00-24-05-313-28-3147274103-0.6-0.2
6566.4College of CharlestonCAA0.56060.505514522-822-80-11-22-28-311-08-410514367-0.6-0.3
186185.3Jacksonville St.OVC0.49360.461627015-1415-140-00-10-35-310-76-7164293186-0.7-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
123119.3TulsaAmer0.52710.54746914-1415-150-41-42-34-28-26-614469120-0.7-0.1
66.3KentuckySEC0.64790.58981424-526-52-45-08-17-03-010-32167-0.7-0.3
1616.3Saint Mary'sWCC0.62280.53847826-326-31-21-15-010-09-010-1205817-0.7-0.5
285288.3JacksonvilleASun0.43090.397234513-1413-140-00-00-20-313-98-5271351289-0.7-0.2
254252.3ManhattanMAAC0.44890.494816810-2110-210-20-20-22-128-35-6166154253-0.7-0.3
337336.2Idaho St.BSky0.38920.46952484-235-240-10-00-30-75-131-10323172337-0.8-0.3
280280.2South Carolina St.MEAC0.43480.45822838-188-190-10-41-30-27-91-101674281-0.8-0.1
151151.2BuffaloMAC0.51070.512013413-1414-150-10-30-35-69-24-7206158152-0.8-0.1
8384.1Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54730.482820620-720-70-21-10-04-315-18-5778185-0.9-0.3
253250.1Robert MorrisNEC0.45020.452829513-1813-180-10-01-31-511-94-9201107251-0.9-0.4
113114.1LehighPat0.52990.487119217-1117-110-01-12-13-611-35-57462115-0.9-0.3
345345.1Central ConnecticutNEC0.36570.41353396-236-230-00-10-01-45-182-9340340346-0.9-1.0
168167.1San Jose St.MWC0.50280.519611012-1312-150-10-22-53-47-35-4184253168-0.9-0.1
231230.1PepperdineWCC0.46310.5374838-218-210-40-11-53-54-63-8272134231-0.9-0.4
127126.1William & MaryCAA0.52440.513712714-1314-130-21-22-25-36-44-5139100127-0.9-0.4
1010.1GonzagaWCC0.64090.53788129-129-14-01-05-18-011-012-055511-0.9-0.9
258258.1James MadisonCAA0.44580.50741418-228-220-00-21-44-113-51-11325220259-0.9-0.3
270273.0Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43840.448730310-1511-160-10-00-40-611-53-8291193274-1.0-0.1
305304.0Northern ColoradoBSky0.42310.45372917-188-190-20-00-20-78-82-721057305-1.0-0.1
130127.0NortheasternCAA0.52390.517311415-1515-150-02-23-25-75-47-55079128-1.0-0.5
88.0ArizonaP120.64410.57353026-427-41-44-06-010-06-011-215259-1.0-0.6
326326.0HartfordAE0.40520.44533089-229-220-00-20-01-118-95-10328346327-1.0-0.7
223224.0MontanaBSky0.46850.458228214-1515-160-10-10-13-812-55-8222200225-1.0-0.1
99.0ButlerBE0.64200.59141023-624-64-15-19-21-15-111-131210-1.0-0.5
5351.9PrincetonIvy0.57550.502415218-620-60-10-21-16-213-06-6946753-1.1-0.2
202200.9WoffordSC0.48650.499315312-1612-160-00-22-44-76-32-8264116202-1.1-0.4
54.8FloridaSEC0.65180.5972723-625-62-45-29-04-04-010-3786-1.2-0.6
132131.8Arizona St.P120.52010.55565914-1614-170-71-33-32-49-07-6187152133-1.2-0.2
128123.8MarshallCUSA0.52440.511113515-1316-140-10-20-36-410-36-612573125-1.2-0.1
213211.7Utah ValleyWAC0.47830.484720010-1511-150-10-02-41-78-45-7171210213-1.3-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
190190.7Sam Houston St.Slnd0.49100.457028414-1115-120-10-10-13-412-65-4100109192-1.3-0.1
3534.7Iowa St.B120.59390.57422919-920-103-62-14-26-15-08-410914136-1.3-0.2
236238.7CharlotteCUSA0.45840.480421711-1512-160-10-30-12-810-45-5199208240-1.3-0.1
339339.7Alabama St.SWAC0.37970.41023417-198-210-00-00-10-78-121-10326226341-1.3-0.3
101100.7Northern KentuckyHorz0.53750.485219819-1019-100-10-01-25-313-37-4106198102-1.3-0.5
1918.7PurdueB100.61790.56224623-624-71-34-18-26-05-011-23712120-1.3-0.5
198194.6MercerSC0.48900.506614212-1613-160-10-00-73-79-14-717665196-1.4-0.2
2828.6South CarolinaSEC0.60070.56793820-821-91-23-28-35-14-09-3487130-1.4-0.3
298295.6Central ArkansasSlnd0.42790.47702298-228-230-20-20-12-87-101-1230197297-1.4-0.1
1716.5SMUAmer0.62150.53458425-427-41-11-27-19-08-010-35512618-1.5-0.6
124121.4George WashingtonA100.52620.52899616-1317-140-40-22-37-57-08-5145169123-1.6-0.1
111115.4UNC GreensboroSC0.53010.480921319-819-90-10-14-35-210-26-4161228117-1.6-0.2
207203.4Texas St.SB0.48320.453029414-1115-130-01-11-13-611-55-5293350205-1.6-0.1
147147.4UC IrvineBW0.51200.487219115-1317-130-20-20-32-215-45-912116149-1.6-0.1
120119.4Wright St.Horz0.52790.491517318-1118-110-00-01-45-612-17-487138121-1.6-0.5
134132.3Saint Peter'sMAAC0.51970.487419018-1218-120-01-30-08-69-34-6218241134-1.7-0.8
5553.3AkronMAC0.57440.494716922-623-70-10-10-013-211-29-36621455-1.7-0.4
135133.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.51960.496216115-1117-120-10-20-35-412-28-375247135-1.7-0.1
243243.3UTEPCUSA0.45460.465325812-1513-160-01-10-34-58-71-10331209245-1.7-0.2
336336.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.38930.43923137-218-220-00-00-11-96-132-10327296338-1.8-0.7
2223.2West VirginiaB120.60890.55526023-624-74-22-15-17-35-012-14024525-1.8-0.5
162162.2LibertyBSth0.50520.481720816-1216-120-10-10-71-215-12-827474164-1.8-0.6
4545.2VermontAE0.58400.494017025-525-50-10-10-113-112-09-57310447-1.8-1.1
3838.2Wichita St.MVC0.59090.502915026-426-40-11-31-011-013-09-39916540-1.8-1.0
330329.2UC RiversideBW0.39950.44823056-196-200-10-00-12-44-141-9332211331-1.8-0.7
194192.2Ball St.MAC0.49010.456828517-1118-120-00-00-36-512-48-4235348194-1.8-0.2
311307.1McNeese St.Slnd0.42170.48412035-196-200-20-00-01-125-71-721729309-1.9-0.2
232231.1PacificWCC0.46240.5294959-219-210-50-10-54-75-35-7233180233-1.9-0.9
7677.0WinthropBSth0.55290.474823621-621-60-20-03-14-114-26-3314979-2.0-0.9
102102.0North Dakota St.Sum0.53690.492717217-1017-100-00-21-05-511-36-59892104-2.0-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9896.0TowsonCAA0.54000.514812518-1218-120-00-41-19-48-37-51038798-2.0-1.0
4948.9CaliforniaP120.57920.56334119-920-100-62-13-39-17-09-3605351-2.1-0.4
200198.9Gardner WebbBSth0.48740.461826815-1315-130-10-02-70-313-24-6190206201-2.1-0.6
126123.9St. John'sBE0.52470.56274313-1614-171-61-45-41-16-26-7221219126-2.1-0.2
4343.9MichiganB100.58520.56863619-1020-112-32-48-33-05-010-3499146-2.1-0.3
204197.8Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.48640.461427213-1214-130-10-10-14-510-52-7289191200-2.2-0.2
324323.8Jackson St.SWAC0.40750.40193439-1611-170-10-00-11-410-112-8300256326-2.2-0.4
257254.8Air ForceMWC0.44780.51621199-189-200-00-22-73-75-45-6267232257-2.2-0.2
220221.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.46990.472824412-1413-150-10-00-14-99-45-5258333224-2.3-0.3
9796.7Fresno St.MWC0.54010.515512115-1116-120-12-04-53-48-26-416229799-2.3-0.2
344342.7Southern UtahBSky0.37170.45083003-243-260-00-00-10-93-150-11345243345-2.3-1.8
3939.6Michigan St.B100.58940.5922818-1119-123-63-16-33-14-08-5762042-2.4-0.4
341340.4FIUCUSA0.37830.47012474-234-250-00-30-11-63-142-9335275343-2.6-1.3
169168.4UMBCAE0.50270.463526416-1116-110-00-30-23-413-27-4149302171-2.6-0.9
327325.4UC Santa BarbaraBW0.40470.49611624-215-220-20-21-20-64-101-102155328-2.6-0.4
5655.4BelmontOVC0.57170.485419721-521-50-10-30-09-012-16-4838358-2.6-1.7
7575.4BucknellPat0.55390.484520223-823-80-11-11-15-416-18-5849478-2.6-1.2
290290.3Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.43010.43683189-1810-190-00-30-30-510-81-1225350293-2.7-0.2
3030.3Illinois St.MVC0.59770.508313924-524-50-01-11-212-110-17-49113033-2.7-1.6
296293.3Appalachian St.SB0.42850.49701606-197-200-10-21-23-73-83-6281299296-2.7-0.2
8586.3San FranciscoWCC0.54580.521310619-1119-110-41-01-25-412-19-39619989-2.7-1.1
173174.2Utah St.MWC0.49950.525510012-1513-150-11-12-74-46-25-5195181177-2.8-0.3
208206.2Loyola MDPat0.48320.480421613-1513-150-10-11-27-25-95-5104103209-2.8-1.6
4040.2NevadaMWC0.58890.515312323-625-60-10-06-29-39-011-23216243-2.8-0.5
3434.0UNC WilmingtonCAA0.59450.509013824-524-50-00-15-29-210-09-2269337-3.0-1.9
3131.9Miami FLACC0.59730.56863520-821-93-51-34-16-07-010-27924235-3.1-0.5
2727.9WisconsinB100.60180.54567122-724-72-32-310-25-05-011-26826431-3.1-0.6
176176.7Western MichiganMAC0.49790.517111612-1513-160-20-20-36-57-53-8282150180-3.3-0.2
310306.7Sacramento St.BSky0.42180.44173119-169-180-00-00-21-78-91-8329205310-3.3-0.3
295291.5UTSACUSA0.42910.448530410-1711-180-00-10-12-68-113-8318310295-3.5-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
314311.5DartmouthIvy0.41900.47872236-196-210-00-30-22-74-93-10297265315-3.5-0.5
131128.5Texas SouthernSWAC0.52280.449030217-1120-110-40-10-12-318-24-98214132-3.5-0.4
6767.4BYUWCC0.56000.53188921-1021-101-31-13-28-28-29-411411171-3.6-1.7
171170.3Eastern MichiganMAC0.50140.523210310-1511-160-10-20-34-77-34-511786174-3.7-0.2
331330.3Southern MissCUSA0.39790.45942777-207-210-10-10-01-96-101-9349326334-3.7-1.9
206204.2DenverSum0.48470.456428716-1316-130-00-00-14-812-48-5180313208-3.8-1.7
8890.1Arkansas St.SB0.54420.488918318-920-100-10-11-37-411-28-46415594-3.9-0.3
6867.9MarquetteBE0.55990.55965217-1118-122-44-33-42-17-09-312322272-4.1-0.5
179179.9MassachusettsA100.49670.520510714-1515-161-10-21-67-56-210-388213184-4.1-0.3
5049.9HoustonAmer0.57880.54227420-821-90-42-13-18-39-09-35610254-4.1-1.1
205202.8South Dakota St.Sum0.48550.490917713-1613-160-00-20-25-78-55-8188136207-4.2-1.5
242243.8LamarSlnd0.45460.426333112-1313-140-00-00-22-612-54-5262345248-4.2-0.4
165164.7New OrleansSlnd0.50400.458628014-1015-110-00-20-13-412-32-621398169-4.3-0.3
5251.6GeorgiaSEC0.57680.58631916-1217-130-61-27-47-12-08-4432356-4.4-0.9
100100.5ConnecticutAmer0.53780.56164813-1414-150-50-23-45-36-14-718254105-4.5-0.4
7071.3Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.55690.481321118-719-70-20-02-24-213-16-615321676-4.7-0.6
149150.1Washington St.P120.51100.55945312-1512-170-50-30-44-48-06-5196146155-4.9-0.6
112114.0DavidsonA100.53000.53798014-1315-141-40-21-45-48-07-4102137119-5.0-0.4
315311.9Savannah St.MEAC0.41860.42393339-1610-170-10-10-30-410-81-10298135317-5.1-0.6
9391.9FurmanSC0.54230.490417919-1019-100-00-11-48-210-35-615216797-5.1-2.3
222223.7Alcorn St.SWAC0.46860.425033213-1114-120-00-10-30-613-30-829226229-5.3-0.7
140142.4Grand CanyonWAC0.51470.467225419-919-100-30-02-42-115-29-6197282148-5.6-0.7
252250.3Little RockSB0.45070.464226211-1512-170-10-11-22-79-67-4189324256-5.7-0.4
316313.2UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.41800.47612347-207-210-00-10-50-87-75-9260268319-5.8-1.0
129125.2Old DominionCUSA0.52420.487618818-1019-110-20-22-06-412-37-5142120131-5.8-0.6
241244.0ColumbiaIvy0.45510.465026010-1411-150-00-30-13-68-55-7246303250-6.0-0.5
249249.0Norfolk St.MEAC0.45160.426932913-1413-150-20-10-20-413-61-11312101255-6.0-0.8
308305.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.42210.46872517-168-170-00-00-02-105-71-6306142312-6.1-0.4
8283.9IndianaB100.54830.56953416-1317-142-61-44-33-16-010-36912790-6.1-0.6
275277.6HawaiiBW0.43630.444130913-1314-140-10-20-20-413-55-7285217284-6.4-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6062.6East Tennessee St.SC0.56370.484620122-623-60-10-11-210-212-18-37017969-6.4-1.4
155154.4RiceCUSA0.50920.462026718-919-100-00-10-14-615-28-3124286161-6.6-0.5
158159.8OklahomaB120.50650.57512810-1811-191-70-53-42-45-06-6203159167-7.2-0.6
8485.8GeorgetownBE0.54670.58821814-1515-163-51-53-44-14-19-4583093-7.2-0.9
183183.7Weber St.BSky0.49460.461227314-1115-120-00-00-23-513-53-6225171191-7.3-0.5
7272.3Colorado St.MWC0.55600.52889718-919-100-00-24-68-27-16-516311880-7.7-1.0
259261.2Portland St.BSky0.44470.427132811-1312-140-00-01-11-510-94-4146272269-7.8-0.6
256253.9Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.44860.434132113-1513-160-00-10-11-712-75-6214318262-8.1-1.0
319314.6Prairie View A&MSWAC0.41460.43763178-1910-200-20-11-20-49-111-1124952323-8.4-0.7
301299.3HamptonMEAC0.42540.423233410-1511-160-00-10-31-410-81-10313110308-8.7-0.6
313311.0Miami OHMAC0.41910.48921808-198-210-00-10-31-117-65-6287307320-9.0-1.0
210205.8WashingtonP120.48240.5579569-199-210-60-30-52-67-07-5151133215-9.2-1.1
307306.5SouthernSWAC0.42220.399034412-1413-150-10-00-20-512-82-8305271316-9.5-0.8
196192.9UC DavisBW0.48950.438931416-1117-120-00-10-12-415-66-7183258203-10.1-0.9
283283.9Oregon St.P120.43270.5481664-254-260-50-41-51-62-63-9330284294-10.1-2.7
110111.8Georgia St.SB0.53090.495516316-1017-110-11-10-26-610-15-5138129122-10.2-0.8
177178.2Kent St.MAC0.49730.477522616-1217-130-00-01-06-89-47-5229332190-11.8-0.9
272273.8Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43780.47672328-178-190-00-31-11-76-82-7288203286-12.2-1.4
288289.9Louisiana MonroeSB0.43040.49771566-207-220-10-20-32-115-64-7275281303-13.1-0.9
117115.4HarvardIvy0.52920.479721916-717-80-01-21-25-311-16-5159197129-13.6-1.2
193192.3TroySB0.49030.477222714-1315-150-01-21-34-410-66-6254341206-13.7-1.0

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com