live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 27, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
155152.8Washington St.P120.50910.54517312-1513-170-41-23-52-56-26-620623113715.81.3
177173.6DePaulBE0.49910.54457612-1712-190-72-32-32-45-26-727829515815.61.3
190190.4Boston CollegeACC0.49030.5614429-1810-201-51-41-73-25-18-416219417713.41.0
123124.1Penn St.B100.52270.54048215-1316-150-40-42-45-28-112-15929311113.11.0
199200.7Mississippi St.SEC0.48460.52709911-1612-180-31-31-55-45-36-626929018812.71.1
4745.3Texas A&MSEC0.57840.54467519-821-90-31-26-37-07-09-3641203312.31.2
153152.0AuburnSEC0.50950.56164111-1612-180-23-42-64-53-17-51187114012.00.7
223224.5UCFAmer0.47170.506613311-1512-160-20-50-43-18-46-425230821311.50.8
103105.4WashingtonP120.53310.54108115-1216-142-31-23-45-46-011-1422179411.41.0
137135.3St. BonaventureA100.51710.505513714-1216-131-02-21-63-19-37-419130512411.30.8
166166.9RutgersB100.50260.57132710-1910-211-30-41-95-43-18-51057615610.91.1
5046.8IndianaB100.57740.56933119-1020-113-42-34-35-16-010-3751033610.81.0
7170.4MassachusettsA100.55920.55675616-1218-130-22-43-46-46-07-652106010.41.1
9495.3Kansas St.B120.53980.58121514-1514-174-72-41-22-55-07-61771638510.31.4
108108.6TennesseeSEC0.53090.55695514-1315-152-40-42-46-25-18-4100101999.60.9
3438.6GeorgiaSEC0.58360.56503818-920-100-42-16-38-34-09-34178299.61.3
3740.6TempleAmer0.58200.54796920-921-101-41-24-23-212-09-44746319.61.1
113115.3Long Beach St.BW0.52740.54008311-1613-170-21-42-64-46-04-1012661069.30.7
140143.5BelmontOVC0.51340.457728117-1018-100-20-00-14-314-47-51472291358.51.2
228228.4PacificWCC0.46960.51231219-179-180-20-40-23-86-25-41862652208.41.0
250246.3Saint LouisA100.45990.513411810-1711-190-30-21-74-27-57-52172612388.30.7
292291.1North DakotaBSky0.43150.47552226-197-210-20-00-30-87-72-8196812838.10.8
229228.9Delaware St.MEAC0.46940.453929511-1513-160-10-20-23-510-64-9138722217.90.6
146149.9PepperdineWCC0.51050.493616515-1216-120-23-10-33-410-26-42363391427.91.0
263260.8Arkansas St.SB0.45180.463726310-1511-170-00-00-43-68-64-42333222537.80.7
9394.7ClemsonACC0.54000.55715315-1216-141-42-23-26-53-18-4155192877.70.8
145148.7MarquetteBE0.51080.56553611-1612-181-71-62-16-23-18-41371571417.70.5
8181.2Seton HallBE0.55070.55735215-1216-141-72-32-06-35-010-236191747.20.7
179175.2Saint Joseph'sA100.49800.525910312-1513-170-32-14-41-46-66-61671721687.20.5
234232.0FordhamA100.46780.5334908-179-190-20-31-73-56-24-62571812257.00.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
128128.9CreightonBE0.52030.55994413-1514-171-72-51-36-34-09-41111801226.90.5
187187.7Texas TechB120.49170.55665712-1712-191-90-31-23-37-110-31432851816.70.9
206206.7MissouriSEC0.48150.5778187-208-220-61-52-52-43-25-7185312006.70.5
8283.7Eastern WashingtonBSky0.54890.473822818-720-80-11-00-25-414-16-44673776.70.7
285286.2McNeese St.Slnd0.43470.45672877-159-160-10-10-41-48-62-514482806.20.7
8887.2MichiganB100.54580.57961713-1314-150-52-43-37-32-06-513428816.20.6
122121.2Florida St.ACC0.52380.54876815-1416-150-50-33-56-27-18-51882091156.20.6
189190.1TulaneAmer0.49040.501514713-1314-150-11-51-41-211-38-31833211846.10.5
283285.1NiagaraMAAC0.43580.49401617-218-210-00-50-14-64-101-8292602796.11.1
5652.1PittsburghACC0.57350.56254018-1020-111-51-23-29-25-110-355119466.10.5
244240.9Wright St.Horz0.46310.49281699-1810-180-00-10-55-55-76-61281312355.90.6
287289.9BradleyMVC0.43250.51211227-227-230-40-01-51-75-64-82952262845.91.0
8383.8MinnesotaB100.54860.55366216-1217-130-43-33-36-36-010-257220785.80.7
230229.8Missouri St.MVC0.46900.52501069-189-190-40-20-33-86-24-61981232245.80.6
6766.8UTEPCUSA0.56200.509012719-822-80-12-11-27-312-18-46039615.80.8
2932.7Oklahoma St.B120.58940.5863816-1018-113-82-03-25-24-09-238113275.70.7
4845.7Boise St.MWC0.57820.514511619-721-81-22-21-16-310-08-353173405.70.8
6464.6IllinoisB100.56380.55386117-1119-122-21-42-58-16-010-363159595.60.6
208209.6USCP120.47980.53828510-1811-190-30-31-55-64-28-41742702045.60.6
3942.4St. John'sBE0.58090.57592118-919-112-73-03-16-24-010-23756375.40.5
5755.3UCLAP120.57140.56783417-1219-121-62-12-38-25-08-511251505.30.8
216219.3MilwaukeeHorz0.47450.497715511-1611-170-20-10-45-67-43-92681392145.30.5
319318.2Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.40940.45762826-217-210-00-20-01-116-84-61902013135.21.3
200202.2New HampshireAE0.48400.436733115-1116-110-00-00-04-712-45-62232911975.21.0
218220.1Virginia TechACC0.47390.54377910-1811-200-70-21-52-67-18-52292942155.10.5
275273.1HoustonAmer0.44380.49541609-1811-190-20-52-41-27-78-42243342685.10.5
258257.0South FloridaAmer0.45400.5287977-208-220-20-50-72-46-35-72301692525.00.4
116118.0NorthwesternB100.52570.55784914-1415-160-51-43-54-27-09-41422031135.00.4
198197.0Fresno St.MWC0.48670.508712911-1512-171-11-32-23-86-33-82972681925.00.4
183181.0Indiana St.MVC0.49540.513411713-1514-150-50-12-33-29-53-83002341765.00.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
305301.0Utah ValleyWAC0.42400.44883068-179-180-20-00-20-59-94-92341852965.00.5
318315.9The CitadelSC0.41160.44223188-178-180-01-20-11-46-112-53263273114.91.0
171168.9North FloridaASun0.50150.439432616-1117-110-10-01-22-214-55-92413011644.90.9
308310.8Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41620.49551595-235-240-10-10-61-95-72-113151743064.81.2
4143.8North Carolina St.ACC0.57960.5883717-1119-123-41-34-46-14-09-47326394.80.5
219220.7WinthropBSth0.47370.439832513-1214-120-10-01-23-510-42-63093152164.70.7
293291.6FairfieldMAAC0.43120.49861527-227-230-10-20-21-106-72-8248352874.60.6
331329.6Nicholls St.Slnd0.39420.45582904-175-200-10-10-40-65-80-7312553254.60.6
243240.6FIUCUSA0.46320.465825811-1512-170-10-10-22-610-75-61993112364.60.4
310311.6Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41560.42453409-2011-210-00-20-31-410-123-112501683074.60.6
288289.6Southern IllinoisMVC0.43250.47712189-2010-200-40-01-51-48-76-62903472854.60.8
136132.4RiderMAAC0.51780.461726820-1021-100-10-30-06-215-46-51892871284.40.6
239237.4DuquesneA100.46480.52091109-1610-180-11-31-51-76-24-62872792334.40.3
150150.4LehighPat0.51010.490117715-1215-130-10-01-07-98-25-51331431464.40.5
182179.3Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49650.478221214-1415-140-10-20-14-710-44-7140531754.30.5
3034.2XavierBE0.58800.58081618-1119-124-32-24-38-42-010-32634304.20.6
290290.2Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43200.51021246-227-230-30-21-52-84-73-112701002864.20.5
209210.2IPFWSum0.47930.468524612-1313-130-00-01-42-410-54-62422632064.20.7
169167.1Oral RobertsSum0.50220.482620214-1315-130-11-00-43-311-65-71751771634.10.4
3339.1DaytonA100.58370.519311221-622-80-21-14-48-09-110-231114354.10.4
118120.0Western MichiganMAC0.52500.502014615-1116-130-01-12-43-710-07-41583131164.00.2
121120.9Georgia TechACC0.52390.57322412-1613-170-51-43-24-44-29-351841173.90.3
314313.9South Carolina St.MEAC0.41340.43353348-199-200-10-00-01-98-91-123232323103.90.5
158156.6LafayettePat0.50750.484519115-1216-120-20-00-16-610-37-3501621533.60.4
1112.6MarylandB100.62750.56283923-525-62-13-24-29-06-012-1186993.61.1
1415.6Iowa St.B120.62070.58481020-722-85-53-05-14-25-010-234105123.60.9
279280.5Appalachian St.SB0.43890.46182679-1710-190-00-01-31-98-73-62863382773.50.4
3841.5OregonP120.58160.55306320-821-91-30-17-36-26-09-387117383.50.4
1616.4VCUA100.61920.58141321-723-81-23-27-36-16-010-351133.41.1
8786.4William & MaryCAA0.54690.501414816-1017-100-11-10-37-19-44-510142833.40.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
126126.4NebraskaB100.52130.55984513-1514-160-42-33-64-45-08-41562461233.40.3
156154.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50860.459227816-1017-100-10-11-22-314-36-51482151513.40.4
210211.4Holy CrossPat0.47880.499615111-1511-160-00-11-16-94-54-5127582083.40.3
139139.2PortlandWCC0.51500.515311514-1315-130-20-31-35-39-27-31042021363.20.3
252251.2Loyola MDPat0.45750.477721511-1712-170-10-00-17-115-44-72622602483.20.4
7779.1UC DavisBW0.55240.460327419-521-60-00-02-19-310-28-3125335763.10.3
4946.0WoffordSC0.57790.492717122-623-60-22-12-14-115-17-41914433.00.7
3236.9TulsaAmer0.58540.53668920-621-80-42-13-26-110-07-49599342.90.3
212213.8Santa ClaraWCC0.47750.521510910-1710-180-20-40-25-85-14-62371952112.80.4
203204.8UC RiversideBW0.48260.485818812-1313-150-20-01-44-58-35-72262362022.80.2
213214.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.47710.506413410-1511-170-00-21-62-68-25-52272862122.70.2
343341.7UMBCAE0.37440.44623104-244-250-00-00-20-114-112-113302803392.70.8
163163.7HawaiiBW0.50390.486618517-1118-120-10-12-45-411-110-41351891612.70.2
9188.7Arizona St.P120.54500.56144315-1317-141-41-34-37-44-08-5161167862.70.2
320319.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.40830.44623118-208-210-10-00-31-67-104-113052813172.60.5
303300.6SamfordSC0.42470.441132211-1811-190-00-20-32-49-96-62403292982.60.4
295293.5MarshallCUSA0.42990.48911808-189-200-20-21-21-76-82-93242212912.50.3
341340.5Central ConnecticutNEC0.37660.45362975-255-260-10-00-11-114-122-113292723382.50.8
2524.3ProvidenceBE0.60240.5848919-921-103-42-26-18-22-110-32323222.30.6
2628.2Colorado St.MWC0.59410.512312023-524-61-11-13-18-211-012-0998262.20.7
165164.2Eastern MichiganMAC0.50360.493416613-1114-130-00-32-64-19-37-2912981622.20.1
194195.2ManhattanMAAC0.48790.461227115-1316-130-00-20-24-612-33-62913141932.20.2
277277.2Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44130.456028910-1611-160-10-10-32-59-64-73063312752.20.4
281284.2Youngstown St.Horz0.43630.47792148-199-190-00-10-71-78-56-61782392822.20.3
9698.1Oregon St.P120.53780.52799816-1117-121-20-33-38-34-18-3168317962.10.2
317316.0Austin PeayOVC0.41160.47862106-216-220-00-10-42-74-103-92932373142.00.3
267264.9Weber St.BSky0.44890.46972409-1511-160-10-20-33-57-63-6210792631.90.2
5959.8PurdueB100.56770.55036619-920-110-25-24-35-36-08-5179211581.80.2
207206.8CornellIvy0.48150.481220412-1414-150-00-11-53-49-67-82202752051.80.1
6968.7Miami FLACC0.56060.54657018-1020-111-41-24-15-48-010-389190671.70.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
119119.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.52480.483119815-917-100-00-00-36-511-32-52391751181.60.1
336335.6San Jose St.MWC0.38460.51131230-250-280-10-30-40-110-90-103472383341.60.7
147149.6James MadisonCAA0.51050.498115318-1218-130-10-11-53-514-17-6165891481.60.2
7474.5ToledoMAC0.55590.525910418-1020-110-21-12-48-49-18-580127731.50.2
242240.4DrakeMVC0.46330.5372888-208-210-50-00-62-76-32-9277612391.40.1
2729.4Notre DameACC0.59260.526710024-525-62-32-15-27-09-012-185332281.40.3
33.4KansasB120.66630.6244122-624-77-43-26-18-00-011-22221.40.7
142146.4AmericanPat0.51160.490717615-1416-140-00-11-28-78-47-5661331451.40.1
192192.4San FranciscoWCC0.48920.526710111-1712-170-20-30-25-86-25-62131441911.40.2
307310.3TroySB0.41650.44733078-179-180-00-10-34-44-113-43313513091.30.2
236235.2OhioMAC0.46600.5290969-1810-200-01-10-84-95-25-62472102341.20.1
306309.2PresbyterianBSth0.41790.47852116-206-210-10-10-31-85-80-93271073081.20.3
130130.2ColoradoP120.51980.55755012-1513-170-41-31-65-46-07-51411241291.20.1
9598.1WyomingMWC0.53820.483919519-720-90-32-01-15-411-19-2107320971.10.1
296294.1South AlabamaSB0.42950.48032057-208-210-00-00-43-85-80-93482532931.10.1
276273.0PennIvy0.44380.49161757-178-200-10-10-52-66-75-92512412721.00.1
110111.0Florida Gulf CoastASun0.52930.465925718-819-80-00-23-21-215-17-61311221101.00.2
173171.0CanisiusMAAC0.50070.482620116-1316-130-01-20-14-611-45-4109971701.00.3
141144.0BucknellPat0.51330.491717416-1316-140-10-00-27-99-24-82251701431.00.1
1011.8BaylorB120.62950.5957320-722-85-42-24-28-03-011-11132110.80.3
1816.7OklahomaB120.61830.5895519-821-95-54-02-26-24-09-34485160.70.2
337337.7StetsonASun0.38170.43863276-206-210-00-10-10-76-123-103193163370.70.3
176173.7Eastern IllinoisOVC0.49950.484719014-1314-130-00-10-44-410-45-61461161730.70.2
9798.6La SalleA100.53760.54417815-1316-151-20-32-46-27-38-57445980.60.1
100101.6UNLVMWC0.53550.54517214-1316-141-41-31-25-37-28-42041010.60.1
335335.6BinghamtonAE0.38480.46632554-245-240-10-20-01-114-100-133401883350.60.2
297295.6College of CharlestonCAA0.42830.48901818-228-230-10-21-40-97-75-82281822950.60.1
6263.6Green BayHorz0.56460.496315720-721-70-10-03-34-413-09-33070630.60.1
188189.5MonmouthMAAC0.49080.472023416-1417-140-31-10-03-513-54-72532431890.50.1
175171.5NJITind0.50020.463226413-1114-110-10-12-03-49-514-111712771710.50.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
910.4UtahP120.63390.56793321-523-62-32-16-17-06-09-21730100.40.2
5857.4Louisiana TechCUSA0.56970.486218621-723-70-00-22-26-315-18-4108247570.40.1
245243.4Loyola MarymountWCC0.46170.5380867-217-220-30-50-34-73-43-8243772430.40.0
2423.4San Diego St.MWC0.60440.53748721-623-71-13-33-17-19-09-33352230.40.1
144149.4Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51090.445131317-917-90-00-12-14-411-35-3962581490.40.1
266265.4DelawareCAA0.44950.48871829-199-200-10-22-13-74-91-103362142650.40.0
274273.3VMISC0.44410.46822489-1710-170-20-20-21-49-81-73111472730.30.1
302299.3Florida AtlanticCUSA0.42510.48012086-187-200-00-20-32-75-85-41322352990.30.0
138134.3Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51700.501314915-1216-120-41-11-22-312-18-2782641340.30.0
350350.3Florida A&MMEAC0.32070.41513491-261-280-00-00-10-71-190-133513093500.30.5
44.2VillanovaBE0.66240.57082926-228-35-15-15-111-02-013-075940.20.1
7879.2AlabamaSEC0.55220.55595816-1117-130-51-33-35-27-09-365152790.20.0
330330.2LongwoodBSth0.39480.45003056-227-220-00-00-21-105-92-93353063300.20.1
55.2DukeACC0.65880.58251225-327-45-16-26-15-06-013-063750.20.1
11.2KentuckySEC0.67830.57302528-031-05-06-08-08-04-013-011110.20.3
347347.2LibertyBSth0.35780.43983244-224-230-00-00-11-93-122-73423233470.20.4
127127.2Wake ForestACC0.52100.57422312-1613-180-71-33-44-35-18-51491531270.20.0
5147.1MississippiSEC0.57710.55804819-920-111-22-44-27-36-09-481106470.10.0
344342.1Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37380.42163435-236-250-10-10-10-76-151-123161843420.10.0
9295.1Kent St.MAC0.54010.503114418-919-110-10-13-43-313-18-4154274950.10.0
259258.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.45370.458527910-1511-150-00-00-34-77-61-73282892580.10.0
111112.1North Carolina CentralMEAC0.52870.422934218-621-60-20-10-14-217-05-61161181120.10.0
2832.0Michigan St.B100.59020.57512219-920-110-52-15-29-24-09-46964320.00.0
349349.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.33740.43723301-241-280-00-10-20-81-170-113503043490.00.0
280281.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43850.460127510-1510-150-00-00-32-58-72-7343333281-0.0-0.0
333332.0Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.39090.44223196-196-210-10-00-20-36-153-10284233332-0.0-0.0
323319.9Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40740.46102726-187-210-00-20-32-35-133-7255212320-0.1-0.0
186186.9Boston UniversityPat0.49240.504113912-1513-150-10-10-16-77-53-720154187-0.1-0.0
7068.9YaleIvy0.56050.503214318-820-90-10-12-35-413-19-67213669-0.1-0.0
202202.9CharlotteCUSA0.48360.491717312-1614-170-10-21-62-511-37-6150187203-0.1-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
22.9VirginiaACC0.66770.57752026-128-25-14-06-09-04-012-04333-0.1-0.1
104104.8NortheasternCAA0.53300.488518319-1120-110-00-12-37-410-38-582154105-0.2-0.0
101101.8EvansvilleMVC0.53490.508013118-1018-111-30-00-45-212-29-271198102-0.2-0.0
346344.8Tennessee St.OVC0.36930.46652533-253-260-10-00-20-103-131-12344267345-0.2-0.1
348347.8Alcorn St.SWAC0.35150.41923454-214-240-00-10-30-44-160-10334146348-0.2-0.2
261258.8Northern ColoradoBSky0.45290.452530111-1412-150-00-10-32-711-43-6288252259-0.2-0.0
105106.8CaliforniaP120.53210.54437716-1217-140-40-34-47-15-210-388176107-0.2-0.0
214216.7USC UpstateASun0.47580.415134817-918-90-10-00-13-214-59-4181341217-0.3-0.0
65.7WisconsinB100.65700.58141425-327-42-25-18-09-13-012-18176-0.3-0.2
351350.7Grambling St.SWAC0.31850.41983440-220-260-00-10-30-40-180-831767351-0.3-0.6
220221.7Morehead St.OVC0.47330.471423612-1613-160-00-20-41-912-13-10266200222-0.3-0.1
112113.6New Mexico St.WAC0.52780.478121317-1019-100-20-12-21-316-16-916936114-0.4-0.1
271270.6TowsonCAA0.44590.455529211-1812-180-10-10-42-710-56-6246340271-0.4-0.1
7270.6Rhode IslandA100.55920.510112518-720-80-30-24-25-211-07-311922271-0.4-0.0
102103.6UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53450.53109413-1215-130-20-21-38-55-25-7929104-0.4-0.0
107108.6VanderbiltSEC0.53120.53269315-1217-130-30-46-34-36-19-3115224109-0.4-0.0
311311.5Cal St. FullertonBW0.41550.47172357-197-220-00-00-50-117-56-7231297312-0.5-0.1
340340.5MaineAE0.37710.46842473-253-260-10-00-30-103-121-12322165341-0.5-0.2
106107.5ChattanoogaSC0.53160.474822419-920-90-21-20-05-114-45-6182110108-0.5-0.1
6061.5SyracuseACC0.56640.56683518-1019-121-52-22-47-17-09-4798862-0.5-0.1
1917.4LouisvilleACC0.61690.57781922-624-71-53-15-18-06-012-12411518-0.6-0.2
87.4GonzagaWCC0.65120.54467428-129-11-15-03-013-07-011-13138-0.6-0.7
304301.3Jacksonville St.OVC0.42420.453529810-1810-190-10-00-22-58-115-8254288302-0.7-0.1
7374.3ConnecticutAmer0.55590.55096516-1117-131-43-42-43-09-17-51136875-0.7-0.1
9999.3South CarolinaSEC0.53720.57112812-1414-152-43-22-43-45-18-376111100-0.7-0.1
205206.2MercerSC0.48170.467925014-1415-140-00-40-31-313-43-8283193207-0.8-0.1
76.2ArizonaP120.65500.57053025-327-43-13-08-210-14-012-110577-0.8-0.6
6163.2HarvardIvy0.56490.499815017-619-70-10-03-15-211-38-46113764-0.8-0.1
2120.2West VirginiaB120.61160.56873222-623-83-64-14-17-06-012-13519621-0.8-0.3
315314.1CampbellBSth0.41330.46792497-207-210-00-20-22-85-93-7249199315-0.9-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1213.1Wichita St.MVC0.62540.53279225-326-31-21-06-18-010-09-2162914-0.9-0.3
240239.1IdahoBSky0.46400.469224110-1412-150-00-12-33-37-83-6222155240-0.9-0.1
2019.1ArkansasSEC0.61360.55296423-524-71-24-14-37-18-011-2154320-0.9-0.3
339339.1North Carolina A&TMEAC0.37870.42953375-216-230-00-20-20-66-131-12337213340-0.9-0.3
247246.0IUPUISum0.46020.490117810-1911-190-00-10-51-810-54-10238151247-1.0-0.1
4544.0IonaMAAC0.57930.485018924-625-60-10-10-110-214-17-4489445-1.0-0.2
332332.0Morgan St.MEAC0.39090.43533327-218-220-10-11-01-76-132-12321249333-1.0-0.3
1515.9SMUAmer0.62020.55984622-523-60-23-27-14-09-08-3281617-1.1-0.3
174170.9Middle TennesseeCUSA0.50070.493616414-1316-140-01-21-44-510-36-6153125172-1.1-0.1
8987.9George WashingtonA100.54550.507813218-1020-111-31-22-46-210-110-37727689-1.1-0.1
215217.9George MasonA100.47520.5593477-198-210-51-32-51-44-44-717025219-1.1-0.1
269267.9Ball St.MAC0.44730.52571056-197-210-20-11-82-64-44-6256225269-1.1-0.1
264262.9SienaMAAC0.45110.482320310-1810-190-00-20-13-107-63-6211142264-1.1-0.2
1313.8Northern IowaMVC0.62390.519011327-227-31-21-05-07-113-011-1149615-1.2-0.6
7678.7South Dakota St.Sum0.55270.480220619-820-80-20-10-04-216-37-59416680-1.3-0.2
6666.7RichmondA100.56240.55745116-1218-132-11-34-45-47-17-61102768-1.3-0.1
265264.7UMass LowellAE0.45000.451630311-1711-170-00-10-13-88-75-7163218266-1.3-0.4
321319.6Montana St.BSky0.40810.47362306-216-230-10-00-41-75-112-927275321-1.4-0.2
6364.6ValparaisoHorz0.56410.467525123-523-50-00-02-18-313-110-27025766-1.4-0.6
334334.5Chicago St.WAC0.38650.46442594-224-240-00-10-50-64-121-13318128336-1.5-0.5
193194.4Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.48820.443631516-1317-140-20-10-04-513-67-8122161196-1.6-0.2
149150.4Texas SouthernSWAC0.51020.457428415-1218-130-31-11-20-416-33-101177152-1.6-0.1
143148.4RadfordBSth0.51100.460627317-1018-100-10-02-12-514-36-497204150-1.6-0.1
286288.3WagnerNEC0.43380.47042389-189-190-10-10-02-127-51-9313138290-1.7-0.2
191192.3St. Francis PANEC0.48960.463826214-1314-140-00-10-15-79-45-584126194-1.7-0.2
8080.3High PointBSth0.55150.480020919-719-80-00-11-26-513-06-34012982-1.7-0.3
120119.2AlbanyAE0.52480.454029420-821-80-10-01-16-413-26-7164205121-1.8-0.2
231230.1Alabama St.SWAC0.46850.389435114-717-80-20-00-01-216-42-5276248232-1.9-0.1
260258.1Arkansas Little RockSB0.45360.471123712-1512-170-00-21-30-711-44-5273273260-1.9-0.2
2323.0ButlerBE0.60490.57262620-822-93-53-23-111-13-09-35411225-2.0-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
224224.0South DakotaSum0.47160.466825213-1513-160-00-20-43-310-75-8245278226-2.0-0.2
324322.0Coppin St.MEAC0.40520.46642545-216-220-00-20-40-86-90-1230838324-2.0-0.3
2221.8GeorgetownBE0.60790.5947418-820-92-62-34-09-03-08-2211524-2.2-0.7
294291.7LipscombASun0.43080.44023239-1610-160-00-10-10-910-63-9310302294-2.3-0.3
1716.7North CarolinaACC0.61860.6052219-921-102-53-36-28-03-010-313519-2.3-0.7
345343.7JacksonvilleASun0.37140.42403416-216-220-00-10-11-55-153-11345345346-2.3-1.3
225225.6Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.47100.445331213-1215-130-11-11-22-212-73-7320342228-2.4-0.2
342341.6Idaho St.BSky0.37470.44673094-215-230-00-00-31-73-131-9338300344-2.4-0.6
115117.6Western KentuckyCUSA0.52620.504114115-1016-120-11-13-32-410-35-512449120-2.4-0.2
248246.5HartfordAE0.46000.452530013-1413-150-00-20-11-712-56-6172197249-2.5-0.3
326323.5Alabama A&MSWAC0.40310.41523477-169-180-00-10-20-58-100-9333145326-2.5-0.3
329328.5Savannah St.MEAC0.39660.44243176-197-210-10-10-21-66-112-1027190331-2.5-0.4
196195.5Robert MorrisNEC0.48720.472823115-1416-140-20-10-25-511-54-8215109198-2.5-0.3
284285.4UMKCWAC0.43550.441432010-1711-180-10-00-21-410-113-12301256288-2.6-0.3
159157.4San DiegoWCC0.50700.523510713-1513-160-31-41-25-47-36-5139156160-2.6-0.2
328325.1Western IllinoisSum0.40290.47422266-186-190-00-00-40-66-93-6285242328-2.9-0.6
3539.0DavidsonA100.58330.519711119-621-71-31-05-13-211-08-25621942-3.0-0.3
197195.8DetroitHorz0.48720.510112612-1712-170-10-12-73-36-55-815148199-3.2-1.0
217219.8DartmouthIvy0.47390.474722511-1412-160-00-01-34-47-97-7204296223-3.2-0.2
253251.7LIU BrooklynNEC0.45740.466025612-1612-170-00-20-05-108-54-7208149255-3.3-0.4
255253.7Northern KentuckyASun0.45600.476022110-1610-170-20-00-20-810-54-920395257-3.3-0.4
5449.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.57550.52979520-721-70-21-31-011-28-07-3838253-3.3-0.7
152150.7Charleston SouthernBSth0.50980.469224215-1016-100-01-21-23-411-23-5187121154-3.3-0.2
6868.7Central MichiganMAC0.56070.483819618-520-60-02-02-25-211-27-113634972-3.3-0.3
254252.6DrexelCAA0.45680.493616210-1710-180-00-20-42-98-32-8294160256-3.4-0.6
313312.6Nebraska OmahaSum0.41480.43053369-1710-180-00-00-31-59-106-6298350316-3.4-0.4
131128.5Cleveland St.Horz0.51960.506013515-1315-130-30-12-43-310-24-819365132-3.5-1.0
300297.5NevadaMWC0.42690.49361636-197-210-20-31-42-64-62-8346325301-3.5-0.6
129129.4AkronMAC0.52020.497715417-1119-120-01-15-43-410-38-4202324133-3.6-0.2
5550.4IowaB100.57480.56513718-1020-112-42-24-38-15-09-412013454-3.6-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9088.3Bowling GreenMAC0.54510.489617918-720-80-00-22-25-312-18-29331992-3.7-0.4
322319.2New OrleansSlnd0.40750.43763295-157-170-00-20-20-57-81-5232135323-3.8-0.4
221223.2PrincetonIvy0.47210.480220711-1413-160-00-00-55-68-46-9282282227-3.8-0.2
227227.2Miami OHMAC0.47010.504413811-1612-180-00-32-53-47-54-8325307231-3.8-0.3
125126.2UNC WilmingtonCAA0.52150.477521616-1117-110-10-21-34-112-44-6194251130-3.8-0.4
327325.1MaristMAAC0.40300.46912446-236-240-00-20-02-114-101-9341283329-3.9-1.0
325323.1FurmanSC0.40500.47372296-206-210-10-20-31-65-91-8314150327-3.9-1.1
3640.0BuffaloMAC0.58230.53828418-920-100-20-04-47-310-19-3228044-4.0-0.4
157155.0Gardner WebbBSth0.50800.487218414-1214-130-10-12-45-28-54-512191159-4.0-0.4
249247.0Western CarolinaSC0.45990.461926611-1612-160-00-20-42-59-63-7235228251-4.0-0.4
238236.9BrownIvy0.46520.486118711-1512-171-00-00-61-610-57-8214250241-4.1-0.3
268265.9NavyPat0.44860.483619710-1810-190-10-20-03-117-43-8299227270-4.1-0.5
251249.9Sacred HeartNEC0.45790.458328013-1614-160-00-10-14-89-65-7219208254-4.1-0.5
181177.9East Tennessee St.SC0.49700.476622014-1214-130-10-20-22-312-56-32541182-4.1-0.4
6565.9Murray St.OVC0.56300.468624523-424-40-00-12-18-114-18-412321670-4.1-0.9
226225.8ArmyPat0.47080.457528314-1314-140-10-00-06-89-48-2130330230-4.2-0.5
4243.8TexasB120.57960.58381117-1119-122-90-23-19-04-011-2329248-4.2-0.4
211213.7Portland St.BSky0.47780.453929612-1113-130-00-11-11-611-44-4173292218-4.3-0.3
273271.6Grand CanyonWAC0.44510.438132814-1315-140-10-20-21-414-57-8260244276-4.4-0.4
9898.5UC IrvineBW0.53760.504014215-1017-110-10-12-37-48-25-7152104103-4.5-0.4
316314.5UNC GreensboroSC0.41300.46132707-207-210-10-20-21-56-101-9332262319-4.5-1.1
148150.5St. Francis NYNEC0.51030.443631420-921-90-10-00-16-615-25-7258299155-4.5-0.6
164164.4ColumbiaIvy0.50360.512411912-1214-130-10-01-35-47-57-614583169-4.6-0.3
185185.4ColgatePat0.49320.492916813-1614-160-00-10-28-76-62-10289183190-4.6-0.6
222224.2UTSACUSA0.47180.472123311-1312-150-01-00-43-69-54-5265326229-4.8-0.4
7979.0MemphisAmer0.55210.55575917-1118-130-51-42-14-111-18-5862484-5.0-0.5
282284.0Tennessee TechOVC0.43630.461626910-1710-180-00-00-24-86-86-6159230289-5.0-0.7
338337.9Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38140.39733508-189-200-00-00-10-79-122-11349343343-5.1-1.3
204204.9QuinnipiacMAAC0.48200.477221715-1315-140-00-22-16-68-56-3129141210-5.1-0.6
246244.7HowardMEAC0.46060.428433812-1314-140-00-00-32-612-53-9261271250-5.3-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
257255.4Saint Peter'sMAAC0.45500.457228513-1713-180-00-10-24-89-76-5195312261-5.6-0.8
270268.4ElonCAA0.44710.459227711-1711-180-10-01-11-99-66-5218337274-5.6-0.8
3135.3Ohio St.B100.58700.54946720-822-92-31-35-38-07-011-25820641-5.7-0.6
232231.2LamarSlnd0.46830.475422310-1311-150-20-20-30-410-52-6221158237-5.8-0.3
135133.2Sacramento St.BSky0.51840.456628816-817-100-10-01-23-214-54-5207269139-5.8-0.3
195195.2BryantNEC0.48780.477021914-1414-150-00-10-33-611-43-820074201-5.8-0.7
117119.1TCUB120.52520.526710217-1118-131-102-21-15-010-013-090348125-5.9-0.4
241239.0Air ForceMWC0.46400.484419211-1412-150-20-41-22-58-25-4275346245-6.0-0.4
151151.0New MexicoMWC0.50980.517911414-1415-150-21-32-26-37-48-4157266157-6.0-0.4
4042.9Old DominionCUSA0.58000.504114021-624-61-01-04-26-311-111-1124449-6.1-0.6
312311.8Southern UtahBSky0.41510.45053047-188-200-00-10-20-88-92-8296254318-6.2-0.7
301297.7Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.42640.44123218-1810-200-20-10-21-39-112-10304186304-6.3-0.5
8483.7Illinois St.MVC0.54850.53289117-1118-110-51-01-26-310-17-4684090-6.3-1.0
161160.6Tennessee MartinOVC0.50530.451730216-1016-110-10-00-32-514-26-5180328167-6.4-0.5
4644.6StanfordP120.57910.55715418-919-110-42-25-25-37-09-3398751-6.4-0.6
124124.4North Dakota St.Sum0.52190.454529318-918-90-00-11-32-215-36-5209318131-6.6-2.0
299296.3SeattleWAC0.42760.431133511-1312-140-00-01-32-39-85-7274259303-6.7-0.6
160158.3UABCUSA0.50620.508912814-1316-140-21-11-53-311-33-926350165-6.7-0.4
8684.3FloridaSEC0.54790.5889613-1515-161-50-44-47-22-17-61062091-6.7-0.8
5348.3LSUSEC0.57610.54308020-822-91-22-27-27-25-111-24517155-6.7-0.7
178173.2Northwestern St.Slnd0.49900.472223212-1014-110-20-20-32-212-21-62053180-6.8-0.5
262260.1RiceCUSA0.45210.49611588-169-180-00-20-53-35-71-8339255267-6.9-0.5
289289.8HamptonMEAC0.43240.426133911-1512-170-00-10-22-610-84-9279284297-7.2-0.6
256254.8SouthernSWAC0.45540.447230811-1513-160-20-10-30-712-40-1128012262-7.2-0.6
201201.7North TexasCUSA0.48400.502414512-1313-150-10-41-33-28-54-6244164209-7.3-0.5
4444.2CincinnatiAmer0.57940.55516019-921-103-12-32-35-28-19-4491952-7.8-0.8
109111.2Stony BrookAE0.52930.474022718-1019-100-10-20-06-512-27-66762119-7.8-1.0
133130.2OaklandHorz0.51930.521510814-1414-150-30-13-42-49-23-1019722138-7.8-0.9
272270.0Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44580.434533310-1612-180-10-10-32-411-81-1126763278-8.0-0.6
237235.9East CarolinaAmer0.46590.508113010-1611-180-21-41-52-37-45-6281303244-8.1-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8584.8Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54800.462526518-521-60-00-31-22-118-05-410210893-8.2-1.1
298296.7Southern MissCUSA0.42760.50601366-196-210-00-10-82-54-73-6259178305-8.3-1.6
114117.3Georgia SouthernSB0.52640.457128617-618-80-00-01-23-314-34-2166344126-8.7-0.6
291290.8Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.43190.443231610-1611-170-10-00-21-510-93-11303240300-9.2-0.9
180175.9Cal PolyBW0.49790.497215611-1312-140-10-11-44-57-35-598140186-10.1-0.7
7577.7Georgia St.SB0.55330.492817018-920-100-10-21-26-213-36-4436688-10.3-1.2
233231.4DenverSum0.46820.493016712-1612-170-10-21-22-59-66-717693242-10.6-1.0
184184.3VermontAE0.49360.452529916-1116-120-00-00-23-513-44-8264223195-10.7-1.3
170168.2HofstraCAA0.50190.455629119-1120-110-00-10-34-516-29-4160336179-10.8-1.4
162163.1UT ArlingtonSB0.50430.484019414-1216-130-10-21-33-211-65-4103148174-10.9-0.7
309310.7Jackson St.SWAC0.41610.41693469-1812-190-00-10-10-912-82-11302207322-11.3-1.3
235234.6Texas St.SB0.46630.48282009-1411-150-00-11-20-79-53-3114130246-11.4-0.7
167166.4Northern ArizonaBSky0.50250.469124315-1217-130-01-11-12-513-54-8192102178-11.6-0.7
4343.9BYUWCC0.57950.54557120-820-90-41-12-19-38-08-3291856-12.1-2.5
134131.1Incarnate WordSlnd0.51900.460027613-715-90-00-20-31-114-34-22786144-12.9-0.8
154152.8Norfolk St.MEAC0.50920.464426016-1117-120-20-10-04-613-35-89921166-13.2-1.0
278278.4Houston BaptistSlnd0.44020.46432617-138-160-00-10-30-68-61-5307310292-13.6-0.8
172170.5MontanaBSky0.50080.470323914-1115-120-00-20-22-313-42-721247185-14.5-1.1
168166.9Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50220.482919913-1215-130-00-12-23-610-53-5216179183-16.1-1.0
132130.7Utah St.MWC0.51950.492217216-1017-120-11-22-33-311-26-5184245147-16.3-1.0
5247.2Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57660.484119320-423-50-20-13-05-015-17-36213265-17.8-1.7

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com