live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 28, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
173170.4Washington St.P120.49980.5458729-1011-190-50-12-64-55-16-620825112446.41.9
274270.2North DakotaBSky0.44470.47172404-129-190-20-00-21-68-83-72028522941.21.6
239237.1Saint LouisA100.46400.51251238-1011-190-40-30-53-48-47-522627319839.11.6
289281.4McNeese St.Slnd0.43730.45122993-1110-150-10-20-31-39-62-51621324437.41.5
194192.4Santa ClaraWCC0.48880.52121109-1011-170-20-30-46-76-14-623220715537.41.5
288281.8Utah ValleyWAC0.43770.44643106-1110-170-10-10-10-510-84-923721024536.81.6
8886.9TennesseeSEC0.54720.56224112-716-141-42-42-46-25-08-478585333.91.6
133137.5RutgersB100.51690.57262610-1111-191-30-42-64-44-18-5915610433.51.8
195192.4MissouriSEC0.48880.5742206-129-210-51-52-62-34-25-71893616032.41.3
120127.3BelmontOVC0.52300.478521012-718-100-20-11-24-413-27-583929532.31.3
155155.4CreightonBE0.50750.55815010-1213-181-61-62-35-34-19-411218912530.41.3
183181.3Wright St.Horz0.49440.49431649-1113-150-10-21-44-48-46-612211815130.31.3
279273.1Loyola MDPat0.44350.48152007-129-190-10-10-25-104-64-725024724330.11.4
175172.2USCP120.49900.5463709-1012-180-40-12-66-64-18-414321814329.21.2
119125.2Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52370.502214511-816-120-30-13-22-211-38-2802589629.21.2
331326.5Savannah St.MEAC0.39580.44433133-157-210-10-20-21-66-102-102819529828.52.2
162162.2DePaulBE0.50410.54008511-1013-171-53-42-33-35-26-728430613428.21.2
262262.9DrakeMVC0.44980.5392864-166-230-40-20-71-65-42-92775123527.91.5
144146.9Boston CollegeACC0.51190.5612439-1013-171-61-33-43-45-08-415920211927.91.1
113110.7North Carolina CentralMEAC0.53220.426833913-521-60-20-10-14-117-16-579938327.72.0
107106.6ClemsonACC0.53470.55505812-816-140-52-14-26-53-18-41552127927.61.3
280273.9FordhamA100.44300.5283964-137-210-20-40-61-65-44-626120924726.91.3
197194.4Texas TechB120.48770.54816711-1012-191-81-40-22-38-110-316432216925.41.3
213213.6Delaware St.MEAC0.47760.44323168-1014-150-00-10-33-412-64-916115219023.60.9
238236.0UCFAmer0.46490.50981278-1111-170-30-40-43-28-46-423929521323.01.0
104102.5Georgia TechACC0.53710.57312410-1014-161-61-22-26-54-19-358878022.51.1
160161.2Florida St.ACC0.50490.54317711-1014-170-51-22-55-46-18-520023613922.20.9
293286.0Cal St. FullertonBW0.43470.47562266-129-200-00-00-42-117-56-721227526422.01.0
154154.6Gardner WebbBSth0.50800.49151759-914-130-10-21-24-39-54-51056113321.60.8
8990.3MassachusettsA100.54520.55116510-916-150-21-43-36-46-17-660106921.31.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8384.9MichiganB100.54860.57402112-815-140-61-34-27-33-06-5151526420.91.0
264262.5UC RiversideBW0.44930.48181987-1110-180-10-10-42-78-55-723525524220.50.8
143146.5Middle TennesseeCUSA0.51250.493016611-817-130-11-12-44-511-36-615814712620.50.7
233231.0Mississippi St.SEC0.46790.52421068-1111-190-20-41-64-45-36-627930221120.00.9
229228.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.46910.50561367-1011-170-10-21-53-77-35-522428920919.70.7
222222.1PacificWCC0.47250.51501157-119-180-20-30-33-86-25-417324020319.10.9
5054.2Texas A&MSEC0.57160.55216414-520-100-22-35-36-17-09-353833618.21.0
270267.4VMISC0.44640.46812516-1310-170-20-20-21-68-61-730511925017.40.7
250253.3BrownIvy0.45520.48331947-1011-180-01-10-42-78-67-821926523617.30.7
3435.2ArkansasSEC0.59090.54587116-423-81-23-24-35-19-011-217781817.21.4
242244.1Loyola MarymountWCC0.46070.5362905-157-220-30-30-44-93-33-82458222717.10.8
5460.6WoffordSC0.56590.487818214-521-80-20-12-15-114-27-420204416.61.0
106106.4Penn St.B100.53470.54277914-717-141-41-32-46-37-012-1612929016.40.8
7274.9YaleIvy0.55520.507013411-619-100-00-12-25-511-29-6641085915.90.7
251253.8UMass LowellAE0.45510.45023018-1212-160-10-10-23-69-75-716523023815.80.8
210211.3OhioMAC0.47880.5348927-1110-190-01-21-74-85-25-621515519615.30.6
231230.1HartfordAE0.46850.453229710-1014-140-10-10-23-511-56-616819621515.10.7
148151.1Texas SouthernSWAC0.50980.45802799-1118-130-31-21-21-415-33-10118713615.10.6
9692.9UCLAP120.54300.56703611-916-151-71-12-48-35-08-5113547814.90.6
7780.8Long Beach St.BW0.55130.5409838-1116-141-20-32-56-37-14-1012346614.80.7
110108.6PittsburghACC0.53350.55446012-816-150-60-22-38-35-110-3811849414.60.6
319315.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41000.49621573-165-240-10-20-41-104-72-1131216630114.51.2
149151.4NorthwesternB100.50940.55246310-1013-180-51-42-64-27-09-415023313714.40.6
117123.2UC DavisBW0.52520.463226312-418-90-00-01-26-411-38-311131710914.20.5
268265.1DrexelCAA0.44830.49611586-139-190-00-20-52-96-42-829013125114.10.7
263262.9DuquesneA100.44970.52471015-137-210-20-40-41-86-34-628326624913.90.7
206204.9Virginia TechACC0.48210.5420809-1112-190-70-21-43-57-18-522830419113.90.6
8787.8HarvardIvy0.54720.50401399-517-90-10-02-15-410-38-4561037413.80.5
6267.4WashingtonP120.56050.54577314-619-111-31-15-36-45-011-1361925413.40.7
227225.3FIUCUSA0.47070.47332337-911-170-10-10-33-58-65-619230821213.30.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
205200.3Saint Joseph'sA100.48440.52011128-1112-180-31-22-42-47-56-617118818713.30.5
5761.9TempleAmer0.56450.54397614-720-111-41-33-24-111-19-457684912.90.8
180179.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49510.48092049-1014-150-20-20-14-610-44-71354716712.70.4
7376.9Rhode IslandA100.55420.510312613-519-90-31-22-26-210-07-3981936511.90.6
3028.9ProvidenceBE0.59910.5864815-520-103-44-24-26-22-110-325241711.91.2
187186.9Indiana St.MVC0.49160.51791149-1113-160-40-13-32-38-53-829121317511.90.5
188187.8Robert MorrisNEC0.49090.468324810-1016-140-20-10-14-612-44-823115417611.80.5
9995.6Kansas St.B120.54160.58021512-915-163-82-32-22-36-07-61851638411.60.6
8284.4OregonP120.54930.55445913-718-120-40-15-48-34-09-3851077311.40.5
6873.2Eastern WashingtonBSky0.55640.475822512-521-70-11-00-14-316-26-439536211.20.6
2125.2Iowa St.B120.60530.57771815-421-94-44-24-13-16-010-2481571411.21.1
176173.1Louisiana MonroeSB0.49870.48561868-814-130-00-10-34-59-42-521813716211.10.4
109109.0NebraskaB100.53390.55854812-815-151-42-22-55-45-08-41462449811.00.5
287280.8MilwaukeeHorz0.43800.49541615-148-200-10-20-33-85-53-927815027010.80.5
311304.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.42020.43823266-159-200-10-00-11-88-101-1232122529410.80.6
137141.6AmericanPat0.51490.488318111-1016-140-00-01-38-78-47-57114813110.60.4
300295.5New OrleansSlnd0.42670.43783273-109-150-00-20-20-48-81-52139728510.50.4
2626.5ButlerBE0.60210.56923315-622-93-44-32-19-14-09-3651301610.51.2
153154.3RiderMAAC0.50810.463026413-819-120-10-10-24-415-46-518227614410.30.4
134138.2ChattanoogaSC0.51690.478121312-718-110-20-20-15-213-45-61667312810.20.4
5661.2Boise St.MWC0.56520.513411913-620-90-22-22-24-312-08-3591735110.20.6
124131.0UT ArlingtonSB0.52080.484819211-717-120-20-11-24-313-45-49713212110.00.4
10297.2Oregon St.P120.54070.524410513-618-111-20-23-48-45-08-3177325889.20.4
348346.1Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35740.41743462-185-260-10-10-10-75-161-123222233379.12.8
6572.1AlabamaSEC0.55760.55725512-718-120-51-34-36-27-09-362126639.10.4
118124.1VanderbiltSEC0.52480.53698910-916-140-31-55-44-26-19-31082211159.10.3
7477.1Western KentuckyCUSA0.55380.507713112-519-90-12-13-34-311-15-513257689.10.4
3535.9DaytonA100.58920.514511616-324-60-12-25-27-110-010-235122278.90.8
1821.8MarylandB100.60970.55964618-324-71-23-25-28-16-012-12299138.81.1
219218.5Missouri St.MVC0.47430.52381076-1310-180-40-20-43-67-34-62031382108.50.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
330326.5Kennesaw St.ASun0.39660.44383155-157-220-10-10-21-76-114-113082933188.50.9
4045.5LSUSEC0.57920.54497516-422-91-13-36-36-26-111-244165378.50.6
314307.5Western IllinoisSum0.41730.47712185-117-180-00-00-31-76-83-62752172998.50.5
235232.4South FloridaAmer0.46690.5298956-1410-200-20-50-62-47-35-72171432248.40.4
309304.3Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42120.42403436-1512-200-10-10-31-411-113-112511762968.30.5
145148.3CaliforniaP120.51120.54646911-914-170-51-24-44-45-110-3841621408.30.3
339338.1Nicholls St.Slnd0.37850.44853052-124-210-10-10-30-44-110-73311243308.11.1
326324.1PresbyterianBSth0.40020.47212363-155-220-10-00-30-94-90-93361563168.11.0
302298.1Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42560.45702846-119-190-00-20-31-38-113-72732522908.10.4
3132.0GeorgiaSEC0.59440.57312514-520-100-32-26-38-14-09-33339248.00.8
157160.0BucknellPat0.50570.489917811-1016-140-10-00-28-88-34-82291821528.00.3
112110.0NortheasternCAA0.53260.485418814-820-110-00-11-37-412-38-5961801028.00.4
321318.9Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.40570.44113195-138-190-10-00-10-47-133-102852433117.90.6
164163.8St. Francis PANEC0.50320.46572569-916-120-10-10-05-611-45-5821201567.80.3
6165.7IonaMAAC0.56140.477921615-623-80-00-10-29-314-27-467151587.70.5
179175.7OaklandHorz0.49760.51451178-1213-160-21-22-33-67-33-10214461687.70.3
4145.4Seton HallBE0.57920.56244014-619-112-52-33-18-25-010-228144387.40.5
5254.4MississippiSEC0.57080.55745313-720-111-23-44-35-27-19-486109477.40.4
4853.3George WashingtonA100.57190.521011116-522-92-31-23-27-210-010-355219467.30.4
4346.3IndianaB100.57860.56393815-621-103-42-34-36-16-010-388140397.30.5
7074.2IllinoisB100.55570.54706813-819-122-31-33-57-26-010-372195677.20.3
232230.1Northern KentuckyASun0.46840.47342327-1112-150-20-00-21-710-44-92051012237.10.3
285281.0FairfieldMAAC0.43870.49271696-149-210-10-10-42-97-72-8269652747.00.4
310304.0NiagaraMAAC0.42110.49111763-167-220-00-20-32-85-91-8299762977.00.4
122128.9Western MichiganMAC0.52170.500415011-716-130-01-12-45-69-17-41673261226.90.3
223222.7IUPUISum0.47230.48631848-1312-180-10-10-53-79-54-102431712166.70.3
2526.6GeorgetownBE0.60220.5952314-619-102-53-33-19-03-08-2188206.60.7
135138.6East Tennessee St.SC0.51680.481719910-716-110-10-10-33-312-45-438211326.60.2
5862.4North Carolina St.ACC0.56450.5870713-917-141-61-24-37-24-09-47333566.40.4
5966.4St. John'sBE0.56150.57382212-717-131-73-33-15-34-010-24162606.40.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
10397.3Stony BrookAE0.54040.481520113-819-100-10-22-04-413-27-65030916.30.4
4551.2Saint Mary'sWCC0.57360.525310015-421-70-21-11-212-27-17-3103106456.20.4
6067.1Bowling GreenMAC0.56140.497415513-420-80-01-22-36-211-18-275298616.10.3
167165.1PortlandWCC0.50280.509612910-914-140-20-21-44-58-27-31262491596.10.2
126133.0LafayettePat0.51940.487218311-817-110-20-00-17-510-37-3421281276.00.2
281273.9Grand CanyonWAC0.44260.43993229-1015-140-10-11-21-413-67-82522322685.90.3
150152.8Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50930.482919511-815-120-00-10-25-510-45-61451361475.80.2
3638.6Oklahoma St.B120.58680.58231313-618-113-62-22-24-15-09-247142335.60.4
121128.6MarquetteBE0.52210.56953210-1013-171-71-52-25-23-18-41241111235.60.2
7577.5EvansvilleMVC0.55340.510812515-520-91-30-11-35-213-19-266187725.50.3
4753.0Miami FLACC0.57190.55266214-620-112-41-14-18-36-010-377160485.00.3
260260.8HoustonAmer0.45080.49551608-1211-190-30-41-41-28-68-42303322564.80.2
108.7VCUA100.64200.58261217-325-62-23-27-18-05-010-35144.71.4
303299.7Southern MissCUSA0.42490.49991534-126-210-00-20-71-65-63-62702042954.70.3
323319.7Coppin St.MEAC0.40490.47262352-176-220-10-10-40-85-80-12298273154.70.4
209209.6Holy CrossPat0.47940.49991527-1011-150-00-01-16-94-44-5139862054.60.1
152154.4Sacramento St.BSky0.50830.458827711-617-100-10-01-11-314-54-51972531504.40.1
335333.4MaineAE0.38730.47322342-194-250-10-10-30-93-111-123151213294.40.6
276271.3Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44420.50391405-158-220-20-11-42-75-73-112861332674.30.2
336335.2San Jose St.MWC0.38490.50901300-180-280-10-30-60-90-90-103452313314.21.0
4245.2Old DominionCUSA0.57910.504313815-424-61-01-04-27-311-111-11035414.20.3
1619.0West VirginiaB120.61530.57242717-324-73-43-34-17-06-012-132168154.00.6
116121.7Georgia SouthernSB0.52600.456828510-418-80-00-01-24-213-44-21693441183.70.1
127133.6Incarnate WordSlnd0.51920.45652897-516-80-00-21-21-114-34-227911303.60.1
2928.4StanfordP120.59920.55775215-521-91-42-16-28-25-09-34080253.40.4
98.8VillanovaBE0.64230.56743418-226-53-24-25-110-13-013-077262.80.7
33.7KansasB120.66480.6258117-324-76-45-26-17-01-011-22212.71.1
253255.6Arkansas St.SB0.45380.45552908-1012-160-00-00-42-710-54-42683462532.60.1
159160.4Cal PolyBW0.50520.48841808-813-130-10-11-35-47-45-51272061582.40.1
305302.0DelawareCAA0.42270.49471624-166-230-10-11-22-94-91-103231723002.00.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
273270.8Youngstown St.Horz0.44490.47772177-1310-180-00-20-52-77-46-61812392691.80.1
163162.8AuburnSEC0.50380.5622429-1012-181-21-52-55-43-27-5115661611.80.1
290283.8Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43620.45922766-1210-180-10-10-12-98-74-61882052821.80.1
156158.8CharlotteCUSA0.50600.50011518-1116-150-10-42-52-312-37-6121981571.80.1
6671.7SyracuseACC0.55730.55964714-718-131-61-13-38-36-09-4100129701.70.1
9593.6High PointBSth0.54310.477121913-519-80-10-11-15-412-26-345139921.60.1
1213.5Wichita St.MVC0.62710.53758818-226-31-22-15-16-011-09-21416121.50.4
8082.5WyomingMWC0.54990.485319015-421-80-22-13-14-312-19-2106320811.50.1
139143.3UNC WilmingtonCAA0.51420.478920911-816-120-10-21-33-312-44-61902451421.30.0
349349.3Grambling St.SWAC0.33620.42613410-152-240-10-10-30-42-150-8300313481.30.8
256258.3Weber St.BSky0.45200.46802526-1111-160-10-20-32-49-63-6211742571.30.0
325322.2Alabama A&MSWAC0.40180.41823444-129-180-00-10-20-58-100-93271103211.20.1
283276.0SeattleWAC0.44140.43553308-913-130-00-00-33-310-75-72632382751.00.0
342339.0Chicago St.WAC0.37650.46712551-173-250-10-10-40-63-131-133131123381.00.1
218217.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.47530.46482626-912-130-10-30-32-210-51-6238142170.80.0
189188.7Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.49070.443931412-1018-130-20-10-13-615-57-81331751880.70.0
198194.6DetroitHorz0.48760.50621358-1212-170-10-21-63-57-35-8157641940.60.0
67.6GonzagaWCC0.64530.54138119-128-21-13-04-013-07-011-161570.60.3
147149.5James MadisonCAA0.51070.500914913-918-130-20-11-45-412-37-6156711490.50.0
317313.5SamfordSC0.41220.43353368-1411-190-00-10-41-610-96-62543403130.50.0
45.4ArizonaP120.65440.57123019-227-44-12-07-211-13-012-195550.40.1
257259.3College of CharlestonCAA0.45180.49551596-1510-210-10-30-42-88-45-82041252590.30.0
4652.3IowaB100.57290.56713513-720-113-41-33-38-15-09-4116123520.30.0
328325.1Morgan St.MEAC0.39830.43473314-168-220-10-10-11-77-122-123242593250.10.0
141145.8RadfordBSth0.51260.456828612-718-100-10-11-24-413-36-499222146-0.2-0.0
3839.7TulsaAmer0.58520.53529115-421-81-32-23-16-110-17-410111340-0.3-0.0
351350.7Florida A&MMEAC0.32160.41423490-201-280-00-00-20-81-180-13351319351-0.3-0.5
2828.6CincinnatiAmer0.59920.55974514-523-82-22-24-36-18-09-431929-0.4-0.0
22.5VirginiaACC0.67090.57891719-028-25-13-06-011-03-012-03233-0.5-0.4
350349.4Central ArkansasSlnd0.33620.43773280-181-280-00-10-30-61-190-11350300350-0.6-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.4KentuckySEC0.68080.57931619-031-05-06-07-08-04-013-0162-0.6-0.9
1721.3Northern IowaMVC0.61020.523710819-226-41-21-05-17-112-011-1126722-0.7-0.1
130134.2AlbanyAE0.51850.454229313-720-90-00-12-14-414-36-7184214135-0.8-0.0
78.2DukeACC0.64370.58431017-325-64-33-16-27-05-013-04389-0.8-0.2
119.1North CarolinaACC0.64100.6041217-424-73-43-26-18-03-010-315510-0.9-0.3
3333.0Colorado St.MWC0.59250.513611817-324-61-01-15-37-112-012-088834-1.0-0.1
191190.9DartmouthIvy0.48940.47182398-814-140-00-01-24-59-77-7209314192-1.1-0.0
308303.9Jacksonville St.OVC0.42120.45802807-139-200-10-00-22-77-105-8246279305-1.1-0.1
56.9WisconsinB100.64840.57222818-227-42-25-18-19-13-012-111348-1.1-0.4
207205.8Ball St.MAC0.48120.5298946-1110-180-20-22-63-65-34-6247211207-1.2-0.0
282274.6TowsonCAA0.44240.45672878-1211-190-10-10-42-79-66-6240338276-1.4-0.1
230229.5New HampshireAE0.46860.436532910-914-130-00-00-13-611-55-6220294231-1.5-0.1
204198.5BryantNEC0.48560.47622239-914-150-00-10-34-710-53-820181200-1.5-0.1
9391.5New MexicoMWC0.54390.518311313-719-110-11-23-36-38-28-414825793-1.5-0.1
201197.5Charleston SouthernBSth0.48590.46502619-814-120-00-11-32-610-23-5194141199-1.5-0.0
346342.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.36820.41553483-156-220-10-10-20-56-130-10340183344-1.5-0.3
5153.5Green BayHorz0.57120.490617715-422-60-11-03-26-312-19-33710255-1.5-0.1
265263.4NavyPat0.44910.48581857-1310-190-10-20-15-106-53-8296220265-1.6-0.1
277271.3North TexasCUSA0.44410.49291686-119-190-00-31-43-46-64-6266226273-1.7-0.1
3233.3DavidsonA100.59290.524710213-422-61-31-13-26-110-08-25219935-1.7-0.2
338338.3UMBCAE0.37880.44313173-185-240-00-10-30-75-122-11335299340-1.7-0.3
2326.2XavierBE0.60330.58301114-720-112-34-25-27-32-010-3302828-1.8-0.2
182181.0George MasonA100.49450.5650375-129-200-50-52-42-35-34-716019183-2.0-0.1
3739.9Michigan St.B100.58530.57761913-719-110-52-25-28-24-09-4695942-2.1-0.2
211211.9Texas St.SB0.47850.48112037-912-140-10-11-22-59-53-3125145214-2.1-0.1
248249.8SouthernSWAC0.45700.44443126-1313-160-10-10-30-713-40-1128918252-2.2-0.1
334332.7BinghamtonAE0.38810.46902472-194-250-10-20-20-94-110-13338164335-2.3-0.3
1518.7SMUAmer0.61600.56094416-423-60-22-36-14-09-08-3261221-2.3-0.3
88.6UtahP120.64240.57312315-324-52-31-17-19-05-09-2162211-2.4-0.7
2023.6Notre DameACC0.60620.52709820-227-43-32-15-08-19-012-18932926-2.4-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
224223.3Fresno St.MWC0.47210.50371418-1111-180-11-31-53-56-43-8311301226-2.7-0.1
131135.2Cleveland St.Horz0.51840.503114210-1016-130-30-11-44-311-25-818384138-2.8-0.1
171170.1UABCUSA0.50030.51271219-1015-150-21-11-54-310-43-925549173-2.9-0.1
2728.0San Diego St.MWC0.59970.54128215-523-71-21-26-25-09-19-3294131-3.0-0.3
115116.9UC IrvineBW0.52910.50141479-816-120-11-11-35-49-25-7152114120-3.1-0.1
341338.8Tennessee St.OVC0.37710.47202371-183-260-10-00-20-103-131-12341246342-3.2-0.5
255258.7East CarolinaAmer0.45210.51301206-129-200-30-41-41-37-55-6271287262-3.3-0.1
343339.6Central ConnecticutNEC0.37620.45352953-185-260-10-10-11-104-142-11330274343-3.4-0.6
1315.4LouisvilleACC0.62270.58041417-324-72-52-16-18-06-012-1199019-3.6-0.6
7982.3PurdueB100.55030.55056613-818-130-33-25-35-45-08-518622886-3.7-0.2
345342.2JacksonvilleASun0.36950.42553424-156-220-00-10-11-65-143-11344341346-3.8-0.7
108108.2AkronMAC0.53410.502914313-619-110-01-24-35-49-28-4191312112-3.8-0.1
217216.9South DakotaSum0.47560.46552579-1114-150-00-10-33-411-75-8248277221-4.1-0.2
2425.7TexasB120.60310.5885614-621-103-72-33-17-05-011-2246030-4.3-0.5
1418.7BaylorB120.61610.5936414-521-93-54-24-27-14-011-1134423-4.3-0.6
347344.7LibertyBSth0.36190.43453332-155-220-00-00-11-94-122-7347339349-4.3-1.0
4952.5BYUWCC0.57160.54297813-720-91-31-12-19-38-08-3341757-4.5-0.4
320317.5Southern UtahBSky0.40700.45023024-138-200-00-00-31-67-112-8303267322-4.5-0.3
6370.4Murray St.OVC0.55770.474722815-423-50-10-13-17-213-28-410718675-4.6-0.3
168165.3North Dakota St.Sum0.50240.457328311-716-110-10-11-23-313-56-5198305170-4.7-0.1
9794.3ColoradoP120.54270.56303910-915-151-40-32-58-35-07-51349699-4.7-0.2
214213.3Alabama St.SWAC0.47730.39423519-517-80-10-10-11-116-42-5256215218-4.7-0.2
9895.2UNLVMWC0.54200.54557411-917-131-31-32-45-28-28-4233100-4.8-0.2
315309.0Prairie View A&MSWAC0.41640.43043374-1510-200-10-20-20-510-101-1128294314-5.0-0.3
9491.8MinnesotaB100.54390.55695612-916-141-41-33-45-26-010-25119197-5.2-0.2
193191.7HawaiiBW0.48910.480620612-717-130-10-12-34-511-310-4142229197-5.3-0.2
216214.6Northern ArizonaBSky0.47660.46952448-1114-160-11-11-21-612-74-8193105220-5.4-0.2
105105.6La SalleA100.53550.54048411-917-140-31-22-45-49-18-57650111-5.4-0.2
306301.5FurmanSC0.42220.47082424-138-190-10-10-31-86-81-8318158307-5.5-0.3
6471.3MemphisAmer0.55770.55286113-719-121-52-42-23-112-18-51043777-5.7-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
337335.2MaristMAAC0.38400.47092412-184-260-00-00-20-124-121-9339269341-5.8-0.9
202197.8Boston UniversityPat0.48580.50551377-1112-160-10-10-16-86-53-719548204-6.2-0.2
236232.6Florida AtlanticCUSA0.46680.47792156-811-150-00-20-42-58-45-4153281239-6.4-0.2
186186.6San FranciscoWCC0.49170.5274978-1212-170-20-20-45-76-25-6206127193-6.4-0.3
3943.5BuffaloMAC0.58130.53858713-620-100-20-14-37-49-19-3216950-6.5-0.4
254256.4SienaMAAC0.45350.47592248-1111-180-00-00-24-97-63-6236203263-6.6-0.3
199195.4CornellIvy0.48710.48411938-914-150-00-11-44-49-57-8210261202-6.6-0.2
258259.4LipscombASun0.45170.44603117-1011-150-10-00-11-810-43-9297271266-6.6-0.3
344340.2StetsonASun0.37370.43883242-155-220-00-10-10-85-122-11337316347-6.8-1.0
333332.2North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38870.43473323-177-220-10-10-20-67-121-12328200339-6.8-0.8
340338.1Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37820.39833504-159-200-00-00-10-79-123-10348343345-6.9-1.0
316310.1Jackson St.SWAC0.41510.41623475-1512-190-00-00-20-911-82-11306227317-6.9-0.5
322319.1The CitadelSC0.40520.44063215-128-180-00-11-11-67-102-5329330326-6.9-0.5
142145.8Wake ForestACC0.51250.5711319-1212-190-70-32-55-45-18-5144153153-7.2-0.3
170169.4LehighPat0.50040.49231739-1014-140-10-01-07-96-45-5128117177-7.6-0.3
292285.4WagnerNEC0.43480.47482275-139-190-10-10-02-106-71-9310100293-7.6-0.3
267264.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.44850.44743094-1412-180-20-20-21-211-102-10295149272-7.7-0.3
332328.3Idaho St.BSky0.39410.44843063-156-220-00-00-30-66-121-9334282336-7.7-0.7
240240.1Portland St.BSky0.46210.44763088-812-140-00-00-22-510-64-4199323248-7.9-0.3
329325.1LongwoodBSth0.39800.45222984-167-220-00-10-22-95-102-9325290333-7.9-0.7
1923.9OklahomaB120.60670.5897513-720-104-54-12-25-25-09-3437532-8.1-0.9
7173.8ValparaisoHorz0.55560.469124616-422-60-00-11-19-312-110-26324882-8.2-0.5
249251.7Western CarolinaSC0.45620.46102707-1212-170-00-10-42-79-53-8242234260-8.3-0.3
318314.6TroySB0.41030.44783075-118-190-00-11-22-55-103-4332351323-8.4-0.5
226224.2Northern ColoradoBSky0.47150.44953047-914-130-00-10-22-512-53-6293260233-8.8-0.3
284280.2BradleyMVC0.43900.51151246-158-220-30-11-51-76-64-8301237289-8.8-0.5
178173.1NJITind0.49830.459427511-1014-110-10-01-13-48-514-11174286182-8.9-0.4
245246.1UTSACUSA0.45910.46522597-912-150-00-10-42-59-54-5267327255-8.9-0.4
181179.9ArmyPat0.49490.451030012-618-100-10-00-06-611-38-2147342189-9.1-0.4
307302.6MarshallCUSA0.42210.49921543-157-220-20-21-41-75-82-9320208312-9.4-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
299294.6Nebraska OmahaSum0.42830.43363357-1211-170-00-00-22-59-95-7292350304-9.4-0.5
327323.9UNC GreensboroSC0.40000.46112693-156-220-10-10-22-54-121-9333254334-10.1-1.0
190190.8QuinnipiacMAAC0.48940.474323011-816-130-00-02-25-59-66-3138161201-10.2-0.4
324321.8Montana St.BSky0.40250.47912083-156-230-10-00-41-64-122-927463332-10.2-0.8
271268.8Miami OHMAC0.44590.50971286-139-210-10-31-62-76-44-8319288279-10.2-0.5
9190.4Kent St.MAC0.54500.502914414-520-100-11-12-45-312-18-4154284101-10.6-0.5
169168.3TulaneAmer0.50110.507213312-815-140-21-42-51-112-28-3178313179-10.7-0.5
172170.1Tennessee MartinOVC0.50010.455229110-716-110-10-10-32-514-26-5175318181-10.9-0.4
200197.1VermontAE0.48630.454029410-1016-120-00-01-22-613-44-8253216208-10.9-0.5
301298.0Austin PeayOVC0.42610.48221965-147-210-00-10-43-55-103-9288224309-11.0-0.6
158159.9Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50520.46812509-816-110-10-11-22-312-46-5131174171-11.1-0.4
269266.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.44710.47702208-1311-190-30-11-51-39-66-6294347278-11.1-0.5
185183.9Oral RobertsSum0.49300.48072059-1014-140-11-10-33-510-55-7180185195-11.1-0.4
6973.7William & MaryCAA0.55620.502014611-718-90-10-11-26-210-34-5924385-11.3-0.6
208207.2DenverSum0.48110.49241729-1114-150-10-21-23-410-66-717989219-11.8-0.4
10096.1Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54130.459827412-520-70-00-31-32-118-15-4102115108-11.9-0.8
244245.9Sacred HeartNEC0.45950.46162688-1214-160-10-10-13-910-65-7207198258-12.1-0.5
177172.8St. Francis NYNEC0.49860.454229211-918-120-10-00-05-713-35-7222250185-12.2-0.5
125132.7CanisiusMAAC0.51980.479920711-818-110-00-11-24-512-35-4117116145-12.3-0.5
151153.6Utah St.MWC0.50860.492417111-816-130-11-23-42-310-36-5187242166-12.4-0.5
196193.5MonmouthMAAC0.48810.468124911-1017-140-20-11-13-412-64-7260263206-12.5-0.5
136141.3St. BonaventureA100.51510.500914811-716-130-11-32-34-29-37-4196315154-12.7-0.5
228227.2WinthropBSth0.47000.44253188-913-130-10-01-13-610-52-6307310240-12.8-0.5
212212.0Morehead St.OVC0.47810.47472298-1313-160-10-20-32-811-23-10258201225-13.0-0.7
298294.5South AlabamaSB0.42860.48191974-148-210-00-10-32-95-80-9346241308-13.5-0.7
146149.4PepperdineWCC0.51080.494316311-816-120-21-21-34-310-26-4225333163-13.6-0.6
296288.2UMKCWAC0.43310.43923236-1311-180-10-00-12-510-113-12309268302-13.8-0.6
9291.8ToledoMAC0.54440.524510412-818-130-20-12-47-59-18-593159106-14.2-0.6
128133.7Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51920.462926511-718-90-10-12-23-313-27-6137135148-14.3-0.6
278272.3LIU BrooklynNEC0.44390.46222667-1211-180-00-10-23-98-74-7223190287-14.7-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5560.8ConnecticutAmer0.56550.55745411-718-121-53-32-33-19-07-5874576-15.2-0.8
275270.5IPFWSum0.44460.46502606-1110-160-00-00-42-68-64-6249278286-15.5-0.6
5354.7FloridaSEC0.57040.5861911-917-140-52-45-37-23-07-61142671-16.3-1.0
6772.4RichmondA100.55730.55824911-918-131-31-33-36-47-07-61194089-16.6-0.8
313307.3Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.41770.43433345-1410-180-00-10-11-59-113-11317283324-16.7-1.1
297293.0NevadaMWC0.43050.49641564-137-210-10-31-52-54-72-8342307310-17.0-1.1
10196.9Arizona St.P120.54120.55805111-1017-141-51-24-48-34-08-5170197114-17.1-0.8
220219.8Tennessee TechOVC0.47430.47202388-1113-150-00-00-35-78-56-6120178237-17.2-0.6
2225.7Ohio St.B100.60350.55535716-524-71-31-26-29-06-011-24917743-17.3-2.0
215214.6Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47690.461926710-1116-150-00-11-25-610-76-5176285232-17.4-0.8
241242.8Appalachian St.SB0.46090.46772548-1012-170-00-01-33-88-63-6265311261-18.2-0.7
161161.3San DiegoWCC0.50480.52151099-1113-160-31-31-34-67-26-5141167180-18.7-0.7
111110.1UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53330.5253998-915-130-20-11-37-57-25-710911129-18.9-0.7
295287.0CampbellBSth0.43380.46792535-149-190-10-10-13-76-93-7244194306-19.0-0.9
237235.0ManhattanMAAC0.46540.45662889-1014-150-00-00-33-810-43-6304331254-19.0-0.7
261260.5Air ForceMWC0.45070.48901797-1110-170-10-31-51-58-25-4257337280-19.5-0.8
165164.4Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50290.438332511-617-90-00-01-24-412-35-3130309184-19.6-0.8
221221.3USC UpstateASun0.47340.417834511-717-100-10-00-12-415-49-4172335241-19.7-0.9
8182.9Georgia St.SB0.54980.492417012-720-100-10-21-16-313-36-44670103-20.1-1.0
304299.4HamptonMEAC0.42460.42663408-1211-180-00-10-21-610-84-9280296320-20.6-1.2
166164.3North FloridaASun0.50290.440932010-917-110-10-11-22-414-45-9227297186-21.7-1.0
8485.1UTEPCUSA0.54830.507213212-721-91-11-11-36-212-28-45425107-21.9-1.1
252255.1ElonCAA0.45400.45772829-1112-170-10-01-12-99-56-5221336277-21.9-1.0
272269.9Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44520.45852787-1111-160-00-20-31-69-54-7302321292-22.1-1.0
140142.8Eastern MichiganMAC0.51410.49291679-715-120-00-22-44-39-27-290303165-22.2-0.7
286280.8RiceCUSA0.43810.49221744-128-190-10-20-52-55-71-8343262303-22.2-0.9
225223.2UNC AshevilleBSth0.47200.46042727-1012-140-00-00-24-78-51-7326291246-22.8-0.9
312303.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.41990.45332966-119-160-00-00-31-67-72-7349345328-24.1-1.2
259259.1PennIvy0.45140.48551875-1010-180-10-11-42-87-55-9262270284-24.9-1.0
266263.1HowardMEAC0.44900.42903387-1012-160-00-10-21-711-63-9259272288-24.9-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7679.9Central MichiganMAC0.55230.485418911-419-70-01-12-25-310-27-1136348105-25.1-1.0
114115.2TCUB120.52960.524510314-619-121-82-31-13-111-013-094349141-25.8-1.1
9089.6South Dakota St.Sum0.54520.478521114-719-90-20-10-04-315-37-595169116-26.4-1.4
243244.4IdahoBSky0.46010.46522586-1012-150-00-11-33-37-83-6233179271-26.6-0.9
8585.9Illinois St.MVC0.54770.53399312-817-120-41-11-24-310-17-46842113-27.1-1.4
132136.7ColumbiaIvy0.51800.51271228-715-120-10-11-36-38-37-614077164-27.3-0.9
7881.6Louisiana TechCUSA0.55050.478021414-522-80-00-12-36-214-28-4129280110-28.4-1.3
192191.2ColgatePat0.48930.49401658-1313-170-10-10-25-108-42-10287170222-30.8-1.1
8686.2South CarolinaSEC0.54770.5720299-915-141-43-33-44-35-08-374104117-30.8-1.4
138141.4Norfolk St.MEAC0.51480.460527112-918-110-20-10-14-414-35-811032174-32.6-1.5
294286.1Arkansas Little RockSB0.43400.47372316-1210-190-00-20-42-79-64-5264256319-32.9-1.4
247248.1LamarSlnd0.45780.47632226-1010-160-10-20-21-39-62-6216146283-34.9-1.2
203197.8MercerSC0.48570.46922459-1015-140-10-31-32-413-43-8276181234-36.2-1.2
4449.9Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57390.478221214-324-40-20-13-03-118-07-37013487-37.1-3.2
123129.9New Mexico St.WAC0.52110.481420210-1018-110-20-21-32-215-26-916329172-42.1-2.2
246247.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.45850.44983039-813-150-10-20-21-412-73-7314334291-43.3-1.9
291283.4Houston BaptistSlnd0.43620.45982735-88-160-00-10-21-57-81-5316328327-43.6-1.7
129134.0HofstraCAA0.51880.457728114-821-100-00-01-34-516-29-4149324178-44.0-2.3
184184.4MontanaBSky0.49320.46982438-814-130-00-21-22-312-52-723479230-45.6-1.4
234231.5PrincetonIvy0.46700.48511917-912-170-00-01-34-97-46-9272264281-49.5-1.5
174171.5Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49950.47672218-915-130-00-12-23-510-63-5241235228-56.5-1.8

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com