live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Dec 19, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
235230.5McNeese St.Slnd0.46700.45862841-312-130-10-11-32-310-52-5175668162.53.6
258255.8Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.45420.47042423-511-180-10-10-22-59-84-716712195160.84.3
254254.3Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45450.46132742-512-160-00-10-23-69-73-7219183119135.33.3
312295.9Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42830.42683422-912-190-10-10-31-511-102-11244124191104.94.0
241235.4New OrleansSlnd0.46470.44683181-411-130-00-10-41-310-51-516825132103.42.4
351349.4Grambling St.SWAC0.34360.42983370-72-240-00-20-30-32-150-8292725099.438.0
294281.4NiagaraMAAC0.43880.49291721-79-200-10-20-32-77-81-82956418695.43.1
310294.7Kennesaw St.ASun0.42990.45992774-710-190-10-20-32-78-75-1025525320094.73.7
287271.8North DakotaBSky0.44440.47572262-69-190-10-10-21-68-82-81965718289.82.6
181184.2UMass LowellAE0.49140.45323015-415-130-10-00-14-611-46-61232109886.22.3
309294.6Loyola MDPat0.43030.48551913-68-210-10-11-43-94-63-826119221480.63.2
109112.1Incarnate WordSlnd0.53120.44053263-118-60-00-11-22-114-24-2411553379.12.6
266262.5FordhamA100.45040.52261012-58-200-10-31-62-54-44-627320118775.52.3
162164.8Gardner WebbBSth0.50170.48871793-514-130-10-20-25-49-43-6154549272.81.8
189191.4Saint Joseph'sA100.48800.51701075-412-180-30-22-44-47-46-615619312071.41.9
154157.4High PointBSth0.50570.47042445-315-120-10-01-14-611-45-4611428869.41.8
130133.3TennesseeSEC0.51900.5579435-414-161-41-42-55-35-17-5118906469.32.0
158159.4RutgersB100.50400.5680286-411-200-40-42-65-54-17-6108529465.42.3
259257.4BucknellPat0.45320.48182024-611-190-10-00-43-108-44-823521819265.41.9
137139.1UNLVMWC0.51540.5336866-215-150-41-32-44-38-17-591317465.11.9
101103.3Penn St.B100.53640.54726410-117-140-51-32-36-37-011-2652863964.32.3
143151.2North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50900.42183454-519-80-10-10-21-218-25-61331549061.22.2
161162.7Murray St.OVC0.50290.46412655-417-110-10-01-14-412-47-515118510260.71.7
118117.6UNC WilmingtonCAA0.52830.50741383-315-130-20-21-35-49-25-573805958.61.6
174177.7RadfordBSth0.49470.45003095-417-110-00-10-24-513-46-412722512453.71.4
316308.4Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41940.49761642-96-230-00-20-51-94-62-1131617925553.42.7
6268.4LSUSEC0.56020.5424748-220-111-22-34-37-36-111-2441351850.41.9
327321.0Savannah St.MEAC0.40510.44353222-98-200-10-10-21-66-102-102859727249.02.5
338332.5Nicholls St.Slnd0.38910.45952780-65-200-10-00-30-64-100-732611728547.53.4
188188.8USCP120.48900.5478626-411-190-31-32-64-64-17-520121314246.81.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
349346.7Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35820.41103481-96-250-00-10-20-66-171-1233325230046.79.5
289273.0Portland St.BSky0.44360.44493204-411-150-00-10-22-59-84-420833822746.01.3
272265.0Cal St. FullertonBW0.44880.46682584-711-180-00-11-33-77-75-824830921946.01.4
106106.7TempleAmer0.53440.5342857-417-140-31-23-36-47-28-595796244.71.4
155158.5Holy CrossPat0.50550.49011764-314-130-01-01-34-68-34-512211411444.51.1
7074.3DaytonA100.55570.50901317-221-90-11-24-36-210-19-3581463044.31.6
204203.7PacificWCC0.48150.51521114-410-170-30-21-33-67-25-418426416142.71.2
8589.3MassachusettsA100.54570.5429736-417-140-11-33-67-37-17-672184742.31.4
182185.3PortlandWCC0.49110.49691656-314-140-20-11-44-69-27-318033514441.31.1
263259.2Appalachian St.SB0.45210.48142043-510-190-00-10-43-77-73-621824221841.21.1
7781.5George WashingtonA100.55060.50601416-319-101-31-23-25-210-18-31072894140.51.4
247247.5Delaware St.MEAC0.45900.42933384-614-150-00-10-21-412-84-918522720740.51.2
7882.4AlabamaSEC0.55040.5646346-316-140-51-43-36-25-08-470774339.41.3
209212.4Mississippi St.SEC0.47710.52161024-412-180-20-32-54-66-27-523629817438.41.0
8288.2CharlotteCUSA0.54630.51041276-420-110-11-32-36-210-28-576655038.21.4
149155.1Sacred HeartNEC0.50710.47572254-418-120-10-00-15-512-56-61157111738.11.0
115116.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.52840.48851805-217-100-10-11-35-310-27-21043147937.91.0
277267.3Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44730.44393213-611-160-10-00-21-410-94-922722823037.31.0
343336.3Alabama A&MSWAC0.38210.40903490-77-190-00-00-20-37-120-833614129937.33.0
4752.1Green BayHorz0.57330.49811626-221-60-11-03-26-211-19-220761537.11.7
283270.7Robert MorrisNEC0.44560.46352683-712-180-10-10-22-610-84-824918723436.71.1
292278.9Utah ValleyWAC0.43960.44033283-611-160-10-10-20-311-95-823724624335.91.1
136139.5UT ArlingtonSB0.51580.49331715-416-130-20-11-24-312-55-4758610534.51.0
194197.0TowsonCAA0.48480.46552606-315-150-00-11-44-610-28-416534116334.00.9
129133.4NortheasternCAA0.51900.48831816-318-130-00-12-47-59-28-512623310033.40.9
103105.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.53540.45672894-420-70-00-12-32-216-15-490827233.21.3
135137.8MichiganB100.51620.5672305-412-171-61-33-34-33-16-516411310631.81.0
196197.6Santa ClaraWCC0.48430.51671084-411-170-30-21-44-76-25-518923416631.60.8
205205.8Charleston SouthernBSth0.48060.46882533-413-130-10-11-23-59-43-516910517530.80.7
337333.3Coppin St.MEAC0.38980.47502300-94-240-00-10-40-84-100-122971030330.32.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4350.1HarvardIvy0.57530.51211216-119-70-10-02-18-38-19-333782030.11.3
5664.0Rhode IslandA100.56290.50561435-321-71-11-13-37-29-17-31051913430.01.2
295281.6FurmanSC0.43860.48192012-79-180-10-10-31-57-81-82994925229.60.9
8389.3Long Beach St.BW0.54610.5416774-615-151-40-31-44-28-24-106926029.30.9
3542.6ArkansasSEC0.58190.5368807-222-91-22-25-27-28-111-2301361428.61.4
110113.4Wright St.Horz0.53050.50261506-416-120-10-11-36-49-37-567898528.40.9
239234.3DrexelCAA0.46530.50841342-610-180-00-21-54-84-23-727011620628.30.7
248247.9FairfieldMAAC0.45870.48501944-512-180-10-10-32-79-73-724612822027.90.8
150154.7Boston CollegeACC0.50700.5557496-313-170-51-32-54-45-18-416017412727.70.8
5362.4YaleIvy0.56440.50881338-319-100-01-22-27-310-210-5351203527.41.1
4046.3Old DominionCUSA0.57760.49871619-125-51-01-14-28-211-111-117941927.31.4
171177.3MissouriSEC0.49490.5752204-510-200-61-52-53-34-25-71711615027.30.9
152157.1UC DavisBW0.50650.45532966-117-100-00-01-23-313-48-312433013027.10.7
193197.5Middle TennesseeCUSA0.48490.48811845-514-160-10-21-34-79-46-617320317126.50.7
6870.2Illinois St.MVC0.55840.5315906-319-101-31-22-15-210-27-459454426.21.0
231229.0Cal PolyBW0.46840.48321963-410-160-10-11-33-56-64-620019620326.00.6
300284.9UNC GreensboroSC0.43650.45922802-710-180-10-10-32-58-82-832326525925.90.9
168174.7Florida AtlanticCUSA0.49660.47872153-314-130-00-21-34-510-45-416628214925.70.6
5562.8WoffordSC0.56350.48072097-222-70-21-12-13-216-27-421303824.81.2
128132.6BelmontOVC0.51970.47872166-417-110-10-10-25-412-37-5979910824.60.8
164167.5MontanaBSky0.50080.48551922-614-130-10-20-22-311-53-61703714324.50.6
212213.1Youngstown St.Horz0.47630.48561905-612-160-00-21-52-69-46-618723118924.10.7
261259.2Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.45290.43673315-814-170-20-10-11-513-85-1022021623623.20.7
5260.0Boise St.MWC0.56660.51561106-219-91-21-22-26-29-18-2401603723.00.9
8789.2Georgia TechACC0.54530.5661327-216-141-51-23-36-44-19-363706722.20.8
153157.2FIUCUSA0.50600.48671874-515-140-10-11-24-69-55-613221113522.20.6
265261.1Sacramento St.BSky0.45090.45472973-411-160-10-10-11-410-94-524230123922.10.6
215214.7IdahoBSky0.47590.45722883-514-130-00-10-23-310-73-624026819321.70.5
243242.4North TexasCUSA0.46120.50541453-410-180-10-31-62-58-44-624115822121.40.5
119118.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.52780.46492624-419-80-11-10-23-314-26-51121759721.30.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2025.9VCUA100.60170.5653337-322-91-32-26-28-16-19-4133520.91.7
2636.3Seton HallBE0.58930.5593429-120-102-42-24-26-16-010-2221651620.31.1
313302.2Morgan St.MEAC0.42340.43413352-911-190-00-10-21-710-103-1130426128220.20.8
317307.1South Carolina St.MEAC0.41910.44993102-88-190-10-10-20-78-91-102936628720.10.8
306288.9Grand CanyonWAC0.43400.44773174-713-160-10-10-31-412-76-927420626919.90.7
165167.8Utah St.MWC0.49970.49391696-415-140-11-22-43-49-37-415525914819.80.5
146153.6Western KentuckyCUSA0.50800.51421165-414-140-10-22-34-67-35-514110013419.60.5
6468.6Georgia St.SB0.55970.49041755-321-90-11-21-16-214-26-4481254919.60.8
187186.5AuburnSEC0.48980.5509574-511-190-31-42-64-54-16-619411516719.50.5
318308.5SouthernSWAC0.41830.43493330-810-190-10-10-20-410-100-113093628919.50.8
245245.1Weber St.BSky0.45960.47502292-511-160-10-20-32-410-63-62399322619.10.5
271264.7Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44910.46542613-611-160-00-00-22-98-63-826522224618.70.5
2331.3Colorado St.MWC0.59450.52719710-024-60-12-15-28-29-111-15411318.31.2
185186.5RiderMAAC0.49000.47002466-616-150-20-10-23-413-66-517725016917.50.5
256255.1UCFAmer0.45440.51391175-410-180-10-31-44-64-46-425426923817.10.5
120119.7James MadisonCAA0.52660.51071257-319-120-20-12-39-58-29-4685010316.70.5
341336.5Abilene ChristianSlnd0.38340.45243021-55-220-00-10-40-55-122-733027632016.51.5
6067.5UTEPCUSA0.56050.51011286-421-81-21-12-16-212-17-450115116.50.7
123127.5CanisiusMAAC0.52200.48571895-418-110-00-11-26-412-45-41257511116.50.5
190192.1Missouri St.MVC0.48700.51921053-511-170-30-21-42-48-44-621617817616.10.4
160162.0NorthwesternB100.50290.5550516-413-180-51-52-54-36-08-517422914616.00.5
3642.9BuffaloMAC0.58120.5253997-221-90-20-03-29-39-19-3281072715.90.8
219219.7Northern KentuckyASun0.47350.48192003-612-150-20-10-32-69-44-919210420415.70.4
320310.6Southern UtahBSky0.41560.45183061-68-190-00-10-21-67-102-730725529515.60.6
282269.5Jacksonville St.OVC0.44640.46372675-411-180-10-00-22-89-76-718124425415.50.4
8086.4RichmondA100.54780.5439705-418-130-21-32-46-38-18-586597115.40.5
8188.3LafayettePat0.54640.48092076-220-80-20-11-16-312-27-3511687315.30.5
200200.3BryantNEC0.48310.48102062-514-150-00-10-24-69-63-81834618515.30.4
2935.8Northern IowaMVC0.58840.51861069-124-61-21-14-27-111-110-2191192114.80.9
1517.7Wichita St.MVC0.61580.5290937-123-41-12-15-16-110-18-1629314.71.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
132137.5Georgia SouthernSB0.51700.46992474-216-100-00-11-25-310-44-211731912314.50.4
96100.4TulsaAmer0.53870.5334876-417-120-31-22-37-36-27-41111068614.40.4
147153.9AkronMAC0.50760.49911606-417-130-01-22-45-59-28-419930014013.90.4
6569.8SyracuseACC0.55910.5638376-318-131-51-22-27-36-09-489735613.80.5
206208.6Florida St.ACC0.47920.5351835-512-190-40-31-54-66-17-624725419513.60.4
179181.5LehighPat0.49250.49061743-513-150-10-01-35-78-44-617213416813.50.3
191193.2ElonCAA0.48690.48261993-514-150-10-11-34-78-35-621029318013.20.3
307291.1Montana St.BSky0.43200.48521932-78-210-10-10-32-56-102-92758427813.10.4
322317.0LongwoodBSth0.41000.45852852-88-210-00-10-22-96-92-931323730413.00.7
138140.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.51460.44043275-318-90-10-10-23-315-37-413132912812.80.4
5054.7Texas A&MSEC0.57110.5480617-220-100-31-24-38-26-010-234814212.70.5
3342.7St. John'sBE0.58250.5761188-119-112-53-24-25-15-010-239473111.70.6
2533.5San Diego St.MWC0.59160.5436717-322-81-22-25-26-18-19-329242211.50.7
2837.1Iowa St.B120.58850.5814128-119-114-73-24-23-16-010-2451822611.10.6
163166.0North Dakota St.Sum0.50140.47352345-415-110-10-00-14-510-45-514720015511.00.3
270263.9Houston BaptistSlnd0.44930.45452981-49-150-00-00-31-68-51-527829925310.90.3
9799.7MississippiSEC0.53850.5514567-316-150-22-44-45-36-19-4921268910.70.4
7480.3IonaMAAC0.55160.47642216-323-80-00-11-27-315-38-3561647010.30.4
281270.0Saint LouisA100.44680.50011576-410-200-20-31-52-58-56-626431526010.00.4
9192.0MarquetteBE0.54320.5770166-415-151-72-33-25-24-18-498608210.00.3
286271.3VMISC0.44470.46022763-611-160-10-20-31-49-71-73141762629.30.3
213214.2ChattanoogaSC0.47600.47162404-614-150-20-11-22-312-74-72221312059.20.2
346341.1Chicago St.WAC0.37480.46232710-103-250-00-10-40-63-130-143341613329.11.1
221218.9HawaiiBW0.47320.46312696-315-120-00-11-33-511-47-42043042108.90.2
242237.7OaklandHorz0.46400.51431153-79-200-20-31-53-75-43-10213582298.70.2
347341.9PresbyterianBSth0.37450.47592230-72-250-10-00-21-92-120-93291013347.91.3
201201.6Tennessee TechOVC0.48280.46702574-514-140-00-00-24-79-55-71792051947.60.2
5462.3Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56390.48072116-421-70-10-11-14-216-26-43235557.30.4
134138.2Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51660.43413344-318-80-00-00-15-314-35-31503331317.20.2
6972.8StanfordP120.55690.5561476-217-131-52-24-35-26-18-480110666.80.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
77.8KansasB120.64470.630418-121-105-64-15-16-10-012-12116.81.3
9397.2Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54070.48162037-219-80-10-12-25-311-28-56461916.20.2
1417.1VillanovaBE0.61770.54896010-025-63-24-25-17-16-013-018214116.10.7
7174.8Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.55510.47482316-322-60-20-12-14-116-17-355102695.80.3
7580.8ProvidenceBE0.55130.5699258-317-141-63-34-24-24-19-47495755.80.2
1111.7GonzagaWCC0.62950.5305919-127-31-13-05-110-19-011-1105565.71.4
285270.7LamarSlnd0.44480.47282361-69-170-10-10-41-47-72-62671812655.70.2
334330.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.39200.42123460-88-190-10-10-10-28-130-9324693255.50.4
9092.5ValparaisoHorz0.54360.48072108-220-80-00-12-28-410-29-366219875.50.2
5866.4TCUB120.56170.53737910-021-103-71-22-14-110-013-084348615.40.2
116117.2Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52830.50241516-216-110-31-22-22-211-26-31352951125.20.2
1314.3ArizonaP120.62410.55575012-026-52-23-16-29-16-013-012147104.30.6
250248.3Western CarolinaSC0.45800.46472632-812-170-00-20-41-510-73-82662072444.30.1
9296.6Bowling GreenMAC0.54110.48831826-219-90-00-12-27-410-28-293313933.60.1
2126.6Michigan St.B100.60060.5572448-323-81-42-25-29-16-010-349129233.60.3
127129.5Oregon St.P120.52110.52011047-216-131-31-22-35-37-18-31763341263.50.1
113115.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.52920.5285945-316-120-20-22-37-46-27-31131081132.70.1
273265.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.44840.47282350-59-160-10-10-41-48-60-727192632.30.1
227226.9Texas SouthernSWAC0.46990.45203041-814-170-30-20-20-413-61-1222382251.90.1
214214.7HartfordAE0.47590.46252705-514-140-00-10-25-69-46-61631502131.70.0
4249.5MarylandB100.57550.55385310-121-101-42-23-28-16-011-236127481.50.1
202202.3Oral RobertsSum0.48230.48311974-513-150-10-01-15-87-55-71951632011.30.0
3240.7WashingtonP120.58410.5460669-021-92-32-25-26-26-011-126173400.70.0
199199.5HoustonAmer0.48310.50001585-213-150-10-31-43-48-37-32063311990.50.0
24.5DukeACC0.65710.57851510-027-44-23-16-18-05-013-032040.50.2
57.3LouisvilleACC0.64540.5789149-027-45-33-05-19-06-012-1115670.30.1
303286.1Jackson St.SWAC0.43610.41843472-1014-170-00-10-21-613-82-113031802860.10.0
330327.1San Jose St.MWC0.40020.51191230-92-260-20-30-51-91-70-103482483270.10.0
328322.8MaineAE0.40360.46932511-86-230-10-10-21-105-92-11319159323-0.2-0.0
11.4KentuckySEC0.67870.58541011-029-25-15-08-08-04-013-0142-0.6-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
340336.4UMBCAE0.38410.44793151-96-230-00-10-21-95-112-11343302337-0.6-0.1
67.3VirginiaACC0.64530.57172210-026-43-23-15-110-05-012-04398-0.7-0.2
157158.1New HampshireAE0.50510.44293234-317-100-00-00-16-612-36-5139270159-0.9-0.0
350349.1Florida A&MMEAC0.34590.42313430-103-260-00-00-20-83-151-12349284350-0.9-0.3
99102.4AmericanPat0.53730.48052126-419-110-00-11-37-512-27-577194104-1.6-0.1
344337.1Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38190.40373502-99-200-00-00-10-69-133-10341337339-1.9-0.2
284270.9UMKCWAC0.44480.44153242-712-170-00-00-23-59-104-11276267273-2.1-0.1
139142.7St. Francis PANEC0.51400.45652914-417-110-10-00-13-415-45-5116199145-2.3-0.1
192195.6DePaulBE0.48560.5503586-410-191-51-52-51-45-06-5232303198-2.4-0.1
112115.2PittsburghACC0.52920.5455686-316-151-51-22-36-37-19-4128209118-2.8-0.1
104105.8St. BonaventureA100.53530.49531676-219-100-11-23-35-310-29-2119325109-3.2-0.1
2228.6Oklahoma St.B120.59940.589368-119-104-62-23-15-14-010-12314932-3.4-0.2
35.4TexasB120.65460.597949-125-66-44-15-16-04-012-19439-3.6-0.9
4650.3BYUWCC0.57420.5434726-320-90-30-13-29-27-18-3461554-3.7-0.2
348342.1BinghamtonAE0.37320.46152730-103-260-00-10-21-113-110-13346236346-3.9-0.6
4853.1GeorgiaSEC0.57250.5705235-318-121-42-34-38-24-08-4533457-3.9-0.2
301285.5Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43620.43153360-912-170-20-10-30-311-90-1130551290-4.5-0.1
233230.5Alabama St.SWAC0.46810.39773512-416-90-10-10-10-115-62-5224144235-4.5-0.1
4148.4CaliforniaP120.57630.54706510-121-101-42-25-25-18-011-24313953-4.6-0.2
4953.3IllinoisB100.57180.5491598-320-112-41-34-27-26-010-37116758-4.7-0.2
342336.9JacksonvilleASun0.38330.45442991-95-230-00-10-21-74-122-12338305342-5.1-0.5
335332.7DelawareCAA0.39170.50021560-82-270-10-10-51-111-90-11344221338-5.3-0.6
3139.7North Carolina St.ACC0.58490.5804139-220-112-52-24-28-24-010-3371945-5.3-0.3
1618.5OklahomaB120.61560.597157-220-105-63-14-15-14-010-2257224-5.5-0.5
1823.4West VirginiaB120.60590.588779-121-104-62-24-26-14-011-22711229-5.6-0.5
156158.2DetroitHorz0.50540.50651394-514-150-10-12-45-58-35-815891164-5.8-0.2
329324.2SamfordSC0.40200.43573324-89-210-00-10-31-58-115-7308342330-5.8-0.4
810.4BaylorB120.63560.604039-122-85-44-25-15-04-011-172217-6.6-1.0
331329.3MaristMAAC0.39570.46952501-96-240-00-00-21-94-121-9337290336-6.7-0.5
45.3WisconsinB100.65250.57621710-127-43-26-17-17-04-012-181712-6.7-2.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
111114.2CreightonBE0.53020.5459679-316-152-52-32-44-37-010-3120271121-6.8-0.2
319310.8Central ConnecticutNEC0.41600.45652902-79-220-00-10-22-78-123-10311266318-7.2-0.3
339333.8SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.38750.44963120-76-190-00-00-11-75-111-8351336341-7.2-0.5
7275.7EvansvilleMVC0.55440.50581427-221-81-21-22-15-212-29-28523583-7.3-0.3
279268.7BradleyMVC0.44710.50381483-69-200-20-21-42-56-64-7317308276-7.3-0.2
336332.2North Carolina A&TMEAC0.39090.44083250-127-220-10-10-10-67-121-12331152340-7.8-0.6
167170.0ClemsonACC0.49850.5387786-413-170-51-32-34-45-28-4205280178-8.0-0.2
144152.0TulaneAmer0.50870.50791358-116-130-11-32-45-49-18-3137283160-8.0-0.2
345338.8Central ArkansasSlnd0.37980.45203050-95-240-00-00-31-74-130-11347256347-8.2-0.9
98100.9NebraskaB100.53820.5830116-312-161-42-42-45-33-07-39692110-9.1-0.3
6770.8ConnecticutAmer0.55840.5570454-417-130-41-33-37-26-16-61011280-9.2-0.3
323318.8Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.40830.44843142-68-200-00-10-31-57-102-8332339328-9.2-0.5
262258.7MilwaukeeHorz0.45290.48971783-610-180-20-21-33-65-64-8263224268-9.3-0.3
169174.6USC UpstateASun0.49650.43963296-417-100-00-11-23-313-48-5182321184-9.4-0.3
151155.5North FloridaASun0.50700.45832875-516-120-10-21-22-412-46-8153247165-9.5-0.3
228227.5Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46940.45582932-814-160-20-10-22-412-73-9228103237-9.5-0.2
240235.4MercerSC0.46520.46962484-513-160-10-20-31-411-63-8258157245-9.6-0.2
325321.4NavyPat0.40640.47962132-86-230-10-10-42-105-82-9327263331-9.6-0.7
186187.2DenverSum0.49000.47812195-616-130-10-20-24-612-36-7207186197-9.8-0.2
142146.5Cleveland St.Horz0.51180.50881323-614-150-30-11-44-49-35-816274157-10.5-0.3
257255.2South DakotaSum0.45420.47042433-811-180-00-10-23-88-64-9282274266-10.8-0.3
170176.5MonmouthMAAC0.49570.46592594-518-130-10-11-13-413-65-6257288188-11.5-0.3
246246.4BrownIvy0.45930.50391474-610-190-00-21-43-75-56-9231190258-11.6-0.3
166168.9South FloridaAmer0.49940.5258984-513-170-11-32-54-67-26-6188132181-12.1-0.3
234229.6Northern ArizonaBSky0.46800.45642924-714-160-10-11-12-612-74-8217208242-12.4-0.3
1011.4North CarolinaACC0.63140.604427-322-94-53-14-16-15-09-415525-13.6-2.3
299284.0SeattleWAC0.43710.44883133-611-150-00-10-31-310-74-8259169298-14.0-0.5
4550.9CincinnatiAmer0.57470.5418767-221-101-12-23-38-38-19-4543865-14.1-0.6
308293.8Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43060.49001772-88-220-20-10-41-67-94-10298171308-14.2-0.6
237232.9NJITind0.46660.46762564-710-150-10-10-22-58-610-15229275248-15.1-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
332328.8Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.39550.42933391-108-200-00-10-10-48-132-12345328344-15.2-1.1
1212.6UtahP120.62840.5681267-223-62-23-15-17-16-09-2142628-15.4-2.3
314303.4Idaho St.BSky0.42220.45053081-79-190-00-10-21-78-102-8328326319-15.6-0.6
217217.2George MasonA100.47420.5559482-68-210-40-41-62-54-22-923314233-15.8-0.5
298285.7DrakeMVC0.43720.5273962-86-230-30-30-51-64-62-9312143302-16.3-0.7
184185.6DartmouthIvy0.49070.48821835-513-150-00-11-34-58-57-7197278202-16.4-0.4
198200.6Boston UniversityPat0.48330.50291493-612-160-10-11-34-77-43-719844217-16.4-0.4
333331.4Tennessee St.OVC0.39260.47442320-94-250-10-00-21-83-131-12342230349-17.6-1.4
8689.0Texas TechB120.54560.5629389-117-133-81-22-24-17-011-178318107-18.0-0.6
311294.7Western IllinoisSum0.42900.47542273-58-170-00-00-23-95-73-6279226313-18.3-0.6
260258.4Fresno St.MWC0.45300.50751373-79-200-20-41-52-55-53-8301273277-18.6-0.6
251250.9Indiana St.MVC0.45690.51101243-610-190-30-31-51-37-64-7283258270-19.1-0.6
3743.8Miami FLACC0.58000.5603419-221-102-42-14-27-37-011-2386863-19.2-1.1
253250.9UC RiversideBW0.45650.46372663-412-160-10-11-32-410-75-7252322271-20.1-0.5
7680.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.55120.51261193-518-100-20-11-36-311-15-79913101-20.2-0.7
1925.7ButlerBE0.60260.5622408-222-93-33-24-26-26-010-25717046-20.3-1.5
145152.7South Dakota St.Sum0.50840.48142056-316-120-10-10-13-512-46-6109153173-20.3-0.5
264260.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.45170.5367812-66-210-30-20-52-83-32-7289109281-20.3-0.6
218219.5MarshallCUSA0.47400.51061262-611-180-20-21-33-67-43-8280166240-20.5-0.5
321314.4StetsonASun0.41280.45882831-97-200-00-10-21-96-72-11322277335-20.6-1.0
290274.6WagnerNEC0.44260.47852181-69-190-00-10-32-67-82-826963296-21.4-0.6
238235.1LIU BrooklynNEC0.46530.46892523-613-160-00-10-23-710-63-8238140257-21.9-0.5
267261.8LipscombASun0.45020.46222722-710-160-10-00-22-78-53-9272240284-22.2-0.6
225226.3AlbanyAE0.47020.45213033-614-150-00-00-24-710-55-8221249249-22.7-0.6
302285.8IUPUISum0.43610.49101732-88-220-10-10-32-96-83-11284148309-23.2-0.8
207208.6Washington St.P120.47890.5536544-69-210-40-41-72-55-25-7212195232-23.4-0.7
315305.4Austin PeayOVC0.42070.45922812-79-190-00-10-22-77-93-9318287329-23.6-0.9
131133.5Kansas St.B120.51850.587386-412-192-102-32-41-25-08-5159156158-24.5-0.8
269263.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.44940.49811633-49-190-00-21-53-76-54-6290320288-24.6-0.7
911.1Ohio St.B100.63260.5625399-126-52-23-16-110-05-012-1169836-24.9-4.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
126128.7Kent St.MAC0.52170.50031546-217-120-10-12-35-410-28-3142272154-25.3-0.7
122125.3La SalleA100.52350.5361825-515-160-31-22-54-49-27-612953151-25.7-0.8
304286.2Southern MissCUSA0.43550.50201533-47-200-00-20-52-65-73-6243138312-25.8-0.9
324318.0The CitadelSC0.40820.44773161-58-180-10-10-21-57-102-5320306345-27.0-1.2
121124.9Western MichiganMAC0.52380.50551445-315-130-00-12-46-57-26-4145297152-27.1-0.7
141144.7ArmyPat0.51260.44973117-219-90-10-01-15-413-28-2152346172-27.3-0.8
197200.7UC IrvineBW0.48350.47862173-513-140-10-11-33-59-54-7230239228-27.3-0.6
210213.1SienaMAAC0.47650.47012453-614-150-00-01-23-610-73-6251262241-27.9-0.7
276265.9WinthropBSth0.44780.43953302-612-140-00-00-13-68-72-6315323294-28.1-0.7
148154.0Wake ForestACC0.50730.5645355-512-191-71-41-43-36-27-6203184183-29.0-0.9
291277.7HowardMEAC0.44120.42193443-712-160-00-10-21-611-83-9287312307-29.3-0.9
1722.0XavierBE0.60890.5753198-222-92-33-27-37-13-010-3244852-30.0-2.6
3845.9MinnesotaB100.57890.5550528-220-101-42-24-27-16-010-26021776-30.1-1.4
6368.9ColoradoP120.56010.5640366-316-121-41-33-36-25-07-3878399-30.1-1.0
175178.8CornellIvy0.49400.49381705-414-150-10-31-34-48-58-7178238209-30.2-0.8
249249.7Morehead St.OVC0.45810.47532282-1011-180-10-10-32-78-63-10277188280-30.3-0.9
100102.6OregonP120.53700.5422756-317-131-32-23-35-36-08-4148177133-30.4-0.9
326320.4LibertyBSth0.40540.42873402-69-180-00-00-12-78-92-7350349351-30.6-1.6
220220.1East CarolinaAmer0.47340.51451143-511-180-20-22-53-66-35-6250245251-30.9-0.8
176179.5Texas St.SB0.49400.48581883-313-130-10-11-23-410-53-3114145211-31.5-0.7
102105.0William & MaryCAA0.53580.51251204-315-120-11-22-35-58-14-58240137-32.0-0.9
140144.1Stony BrookAE0.51300.48711863-616-130-00-21-35-510-35-814623177-32.9-0.9
3946.6GeorgetownBE0.57890.587096-317-122-63-24-25-14-07-3522781-34.4-1.5
226226.2CampbellBSth0.46990.46962492-612-160-10-10-13-79-53-7215151261-34.8-0.8
230228.3QuinnipiacMAAC0.46900.47262394-514-150-00-01-24-69-75-4193197264-35.7-0.9
172177.7VermontAE0.49490.45952794-516-120-00-10-25-511-45-7202172215-37.3-1.0
305286.4ManhattanMAAC0.43460.45542952-711-180-00-00-32-88-72-7339344324-37.6-1.2
3038.5South CarolinaSEC0.58590.5680276-319-101-33-24-27-24-08-3888877-38.5-2.1
293282.1NevadaMWC0.43890.51211221-87-210-20-41-42-64-52-8335232321-38.9-1.4
180183.5College of CharlestonCAA0.49170.50641405-514-170-10-31-54-68-25-8186122223-39.5-1.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
178181.6IPFWSum0.49300.46042754-315-110-00-10-23-511-35-5190307222-40.4-0.9
288274.4Miami OHMAC0.44370.51451133-79-210-10-21-52-96-44-8310202315-40.6-1.4
9498.7Arizona St.P120.53970.5565466-417-141-41-33-56-35-08-5161189141-42.3-1.3
211213.1Virginia TechACC0.47630.5290925-412-190-60-31-32-48-28-5268332256-42.9-1.3
2433.3DavidsonA100.59170.52511007-122-61-21-14-26-19-08-23112378-44.7-2.9
203202.2OhioMAC0.48200.5332883-410-170-00-21-63-75-24-5234118247-44.8-1.1
4450.0IowaB100.57500.5725218-319-122-52-23-37-15-09-4799696-46.0-2.1
268263.5UTSACUSA0.44970.47262373-410-170-00-11-32-57-73-6288327310-46.5-1.3
8890.9VanderbiltSEC0.54460.5348846-218-120-32-34-36-36-19-3103204138-47.1-1.5
2736.0SMUAmer0.58890.5472637-321-80-12-25-37-27-08-3472184-48.0-2.7
6167.9UCLAP120.56050.5699248-318-131-61-24-36-26-08-58133116-48.1-1.8
278267.7St. Francis NYNEC0.44730.45902822-712-180-00-10-12-89-73-9300241316-48.3-1.4
275265.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.44800.48281983-411-170-00-10-33-78-53-5286215314-48.3-1.3
244244.4HamptonMEAC0.46040.42853415-615-140-00-10-21-413-65-8260291293-48.6-1.3
224225.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.47050.46772551-612-140-00-10-13-78-52-6294220275-49.9-1.2
8488.9San DiegoWCC0.54600.5326896-517-120-31-22-37-47-16-510285139-50.1-1.7
7985.3MemphisAmer0.54830.5451695-419-120-41-22-36-29-18-511028136-50.7-1.7
255255.2DuquesneA100.45450.51351182-59-190-10-21-62-66-44-6306316306-50.8-1.5
6670.7WyomingMWC0.55840.49611667-221-81-22-22-26-211-19-262251122-51.3-1.9
133137.4PepperdineWCC0.51660.49421686-216-120-20-21-34-410-17-3149340190-52.6-1.4
9599.3ColumbiaIvy0.53940.50771365-317-100-11-12-25-39-38-5106130153-53.7-1.5
5159.1PurdueB100.56700.5529558-320-111-33-24-37-35-09-4121212115-55.9-2.3
223222.8Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47200.46442644-715-160-00-10-24-710-75-6209292279-56.2-1.5
274265.3South AlabamaSB0.44810.47952140-610-190-00-10-33-87-72-7321279326-60.7-1.6
159161.8Norfolk St.MEAC0.50320.45423006-517-120-20-10-22-215-55-814067224-62.2-1.9
5966.8Notre DameACC0.56120.515810910-122-92-41-13-26-210-011-2138345129-62.2-2.4
107107.4New MexicoMWC0.53420.52051037-318-120-11-33-35-48-28-4144257170-62.6-2.0
296280.3TroySB0.43850.45552942-411-160-00-10-33-68-73-4340351343-62.7-1.7
280268.0PennIvy0.44700.48781853-59-190-10-21-42-76-55-9296296333-65.0-2.0
297282.8RiceCUSA0.43790.50021551-57-200-10-21-41-65-72-7325260348-65.2-2.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
252250.9Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45670.45153074-513-140-00-10-23-610-54-7281310317-66.1-1.7
216216.6PrincetonIvy0.47460.50231524-812-170-00-21-54-57-46-9253198283-66.4-1.7
7378.9IndianaB100.55250.5664318-218-131-62-33-35-17-010-3100133147-68.1-2.4
8992.4Central MichiganMAC0.54380.48491956-118-80-01-12-26-310-27-1130347162-69.6-2.0
222220.8Arkansas St.SB0.47260.47262382-413-150-00-11-34-69-63-5262317291-70.2-1.7
108108.7Air ForceMWC0.53350.50441464-317-100-11-22-34-39-16-3157285179-70.3-1.9
232230.3UABCUSA0.46820.51511123-711-190-20-21-43-67-43-924542301-70.7-1.9
195199.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.48460.44603194-516-120-00-01-14-611-66-6226343274-75.0-1.7
124128.4San FranciscoWCC0.52190.5274955-515-140-20-21-46-48-25-6191137208-79.6-2.4
114115.4New Mexico St.WAC0.52900.47762204-719-100-21-11-22-215-37-813432196-80.6-2.6
208210.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.47850.48082082-412-150-00-11-23-69-63-4211243292-82.0-1.8
3442.1FloridaSEC0.58210.5678296-420-111-52-36-37-15-08-59487125-82.9-4.4
125128.9East Tennessee St.SC0.52170.47102415-217-100-10-11-23-213-56-34262212-83.1-2.4
229227.8Ball St.MAC0.46920.50951302-510-180-10-11-53-66-44-6302294311-83.2-2.0
173178.9Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49480.47612223-415-130-00-01-24-59-64-4214281267-88.1-2.0
236232.0Southern IllinoisMVC0.46700.47582246-513-170-20-21-42-410-57-5291350322-90.0-2.6
5764.4HofstraCAA0.56240.47382337-224-70-00-12-210-312-110-383311156-91.6-4.2
105105.8ToledoMAC0.53520.50971296-418-130-20-12-37-510-27-6143223216-110.2-3.3
117116.8Louisiana TechCUSA0.52830.46842548-320-100-00-22-34-314-28-4136324231-114.2-3.5
177181.2Northern ColoradoBSky0.49340.45842862-515-120-00-10-22-313-43-6225162297-115.8-2.6
183186.1ColgatePat0.49090.49921592-813-170-10-11-44-98-32-10256111305-118.9-3.1

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com