live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 22, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4847.9VanderbiltSEC0.57790.6085115-1316-152-53-35-55-02-17-6481470.90.2
65.3LouisvilleACC0.65170.6063222-624-73-54-17-08-03-012-1286-0.7-0.2
8383.8NebraskaB100.54890.6012311-1412-172-41-54-53-22-15-6983758.80.7
98.2BaylorB120.64480.6006422-524-64-34-16-16-13-012-01653.21.1
6665.0PittsburghACC0.56240.5976515-1316-152-71-33-38-12-111-22238641.00.1
2121.4VirginiaACC0.61260.5967618-920-103-53-25-24-05-010-22457201.40.4
45.1FloridaSEC0.65250.5949723-525-62-45-29-04-05-010-3898-2.9-1.2
34.3North CarolinaACC0.65480.5944823-525-65-35-16-25-14-011-2103031.30.5
2525.6XavierBE0.60580.5929918-1020-111-62-16-38-13-010-31113223.60.7
1110.7ButlerBE0.63870.59201022-623-75-24-18-22-15-111-131211-0.3-0.2
7375.0GeorgetownBE0.55470.59181114-1415-163-61-43-45-04-19-4522177-2.0-0.2
4647.4Michigan St.B100.57880.59131216-1118-132-73-15-44-24-08-57623461.40.1
1211.8DukeACC0.63480.59091322-624-74-46-14-14-15-012-1148012-0.2-0.1
7677.3StanfordP120.55330.59001413-1314-150-81-33-14-35-07-4282725.30.5
4242.2Wake ForestACC0.58400.58981516-1217-130-71-25-36-05-09-31718402.20.4
2928.6Oklahoma St.B120.60110.58931618-920-101-63-35-18-13-010-21334280.60.1
152155.2TexasB120.50840.58921710-1811-201-52-61-64-33-06-718368161-5.8-0.4
6564.1TennesseeSEC0.56330.58831814-1316-141-61-36-34-24-07-56510631.10.1
12.3KansasB120.66000.58741925-327-45-13-19-19-12-012-173211.30.7
109.4KentuckySEC0.64150.58672023-525-62-44-08-17-04-010-321710-0.6-0.2
5356.5GeorgiaSEC0.56990.58472114-1216-140-51-26-46-23-08-4452757-0.5-0.1
2020.9MinnesotaB100.61360.58362221-723-82-35-26-38-03-012-1631164.91.2
6766.4IllinoisB100.56150.58062315-1217-131-52-34-45-14-09-34948588.40.8
6969.5ClemsonACC0.55860.57932414-1316-141-64-45-22-25-010-233107654.50.5
1414.0Florida St.ACC0.62900.57932522-624-75-24-14-34-16-012-127130131.00.3
23.2VillanovaBE0.65720.57882626-328-34-25-08-16-05-013-044321.20.5
8786.9Penn St.B100.54670.57832714-1415-161-62-13-56-43-08-510855824.90.4
169166.0OklahomaB120.50330.5768289-1810-201-70-52-52-35-06-6199148173-7.0-0.5
5862.0TCUB120.56480.57482916-1117-130-72-33-28-14-010-238110539.00.9
8686.4Ohio St.B100.54730.57393015-1316-151-62-35-44-15-110-364100815.40.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3838.0Iowa St.B120.58890.57343118-919-112-62-24-16-25-08-4110151380.00.0
76.9ArizonaP120.64790.57323225-327-42-34-06-011-05-011-215259-2.1-0.7
184183.5LSUSEC0.49470.5720339-1810-200-31-62-84-43-08-4391517112.51.0
4747.8MichiganB100.57840.56883418-1020-112-41-47-34-15-010-3479251-3.2-0.4
3030.8South CarolinaSEC0.59780.56873519-821-91-23-28-45-14-09-34465291.80.3
9090.9IndianaB100.54450.56873615-1316-152-71-34-33-27-010-37414499-8.1-0.6
3637.7Miami FLACC0.58940.56733719-820-103-61-34-16-06-010-278248370.70.1
211208.7Boston CollegeACC0.48020.5670389-199-220-50-64-62-33-27-62242012044.70.5
88.1OregonP120.64540.56633924-426-42-23-09-15-16-010-2236044.12.5
2827.6Notre DameACC0.60200.56624021-723-82-73-05-16-07-011-256175270.60.2
2625.4CreightonBE0.60570.56414121-623-74-21-16-48-04-012-0913926-0.6-0.2
5251.1Seton HallBE0.57490.56304217-1019-111-63-14-33-18-010-250176483.10.4
128130.7St. John'sBE0.52020.56304312-1613-181-71-34-41-16-26-72222171237.70.6
7476.3SyracuseACC0.55370.56244417-1218-133-43-23-44-25-18-517816878-1.7-0.2
2726.7MarylandB100.60400.56194521-623-71-33-19-37-13-011-130112215.71.1
9494.6Georgia TechACC0.54200.56134615-1216-143-31-43-63-26-08-4162235886.60.5
114115.4North Carolina St.ACC0.52940.56084715-1415-161-61-52-46-05-111-26222810312.41.4
1617.2PurdueB100.62080.56044823-525-62-34-18-17-15-011-237126170.20.0
5049.9CaliforniaP120.57620.56034918-920-100-61-13-39-17-09-36972454.90.7
10299.9Texas A&MSEC0.53830.56015014-1315-150-61-63-24-17-08-47746945.90.5
9999.3ConnecticutAmer0.53930.56005113-1314-151-50-23-45-36-14-719166106-6.7-0.5
6062.8ProvidenceBE0.56430.55975217-1119-122-53-25-23-26-210-380193548.80.9
108108.6IowaB100.53320.55945315-1316-151-52-43-55-25-08-5168159109-0.4-0.0
156159.4Washington St.P120.50650.55935411-1512-170-60-30-45-57-06-51981491527.40.6
6263.6MarquetteBE0.56360.55805517-1018-122-53-24-42-18-09-313123269-5.4-0.5
198195.0WashingtonP120.48830.5580569-1810-200-60-40-53-67-07-5149138206-11.0-0.8
6866.7Kansas St.B120.56110.55735717-1119-122-41-41-37-17-011-254236615.70.6
7173.9MississippiSEC0.55570.55685817-1119-120-41-54-37-07-09-48567676.90.7
3234.7ArkansasSEC0.59280.55635921-722-90-43-26-19-14-111-21240331.70.3
136138.1Arizona St.P120.51620.55576013-1514-170-70-43-32-48-07-61861521371.10.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4546.0Rhode IslandA100.57990.55446118-920-101-30-13-310-25-08-4342249-3.0-0.4
2425.2West VirginiaB120.60640.55406222-624-74-23-15-28-35-012-14225530-4.8-1.1
4948.9NorthwesternB100.57700.55306320-821-102-42-35-37-06-011-240162435.90.7
8283.2New MexicoMWC0.54930.54946416-1217-130-20-45-34-38-17-5883985-1.8-0.2
280282.5Oregon St.P120.43420.5494654-244-260-50-41-51-72-53-9328280291-8.5-1.2
2222.5VCUA100.61090.54906623-525-61-22-15-212-25-010-3437925-2.5-0.6
2323.6DaytonA100.60880.54846721-523-60-22-17-16-17-08-3514724-0.4-0.1
1920.9WisconsinB100.61380.54756822-525-62-32-210-16-05-011-26024323-2.1-0.5
126125.5TulsaAmer0.52330.54686912-1414-160-41-42-34-28-36-61457111510.50.8
1313.0CincinnatiAmer0.63160.54677024-327-42-22-14-111-08-011-2183614-1.0-0.3
4445.3Virginia TechACC0.58080.54637119-821-92-42-38-12-27-011-167296369.31.0
7577.2AlabamaSEC0.55340.54597216-1018-120-42-23-56-16-07-512684716.20.5
225227.3DePaulBE0.46660.5440739-1910-210-60-42-50-57-27-62823142234.30.5
5150.7HoustonAmer0.57520.54207419-821-90-42-12-28-39-09-35510259-8.3-1.4
3335.1USCP120.59220.54137521-624-72-50-13-110-18-013-016169323.10.5
174170.3Saint Joseph'sA100.50120.54087610-1712-180-30-31-45-85-17-58773174-3.7-0.2
124124.0TempleAmer0.52400.53927714-1516-152-50-11-35-58-19-4667611410.01.2
1516.1Saint Mary'sWCC0.62230.53907824-326-31-21-15-09-010-010-12051151.10.6
249250.3MissouriSEC0.45130.5390797-208-220-42-31-90-55-15-72852622455.30.5
227228.0PepperdineWCC0.46600.5388808-198-210-40-11-43-64-53-8269124230-2.0-0.3
109108.6DavidsonA100.53320.53758114-1215-141-30-21-45-48-07-499137113-4.4-0.4
55.0GonzagaWCC0.65230.53738228-030-04-01-06-07-011-012-05567-2.0-1.2
139143.0Mississippi St.SEC0.51390.53568314-1315-150-21-23-85-26-09-31372231367.00.5
175174.2RutgersB100.49920.53528412-1613-170-40-52-52-28-010-21043311695.20.4
106108.2La SalleA100.53390.53498514-1216-130-21-13-36-66-16-5122581071.20.1
1817.9SMUAmer0.61910.53418624-427-41-11-27-29-09-010-35713219-1.1-0.3
8989.0AuburnSEC0.54560.53338717-1118-130-31-34-58-16-111-2361567910.00.9
104104.2Texas TechB120.53600.53258817-1118-132-41-33-26-28-012-11053381022.20.2
111109.9ColoradoP120.53240.53148915-1217-132-31-32-45-38-09-3921871054.90.3
8081.5BYUWCC0.55020.53149019-1020-110-40-14-28-28-39-411611390-8.5-1.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1717.7UCLAP120.61950.53079124-327-42-32-15-09-09-013-02625018-0.3-0.1
7777.8Colorado St.MWC0.55290.53039217-919-100-00-23-67-27-06-516310984-6.2-0.5
162161.3Loyola MarymountWCC0.50540.53019312-1413-150-40-21-52-210-26-41611631592.30.1
9191.5UtahP120.54380.53019415-1017-110-61-11-36-08-17-313222293-1.5-0.1
223224.7PacificWCC0.46850.5299959-1910-200-50-10-54-66-45-72331712213.70.4
6363.4Boise St.MWC0.56350.52889616-918-101-10-23-48-26-16-4111155603.40.3
146145.0Santa ClaraWCC0.51250.52789714-1415-150-50-13-22-610-15-7240192146-1.0-0.1
133137.8George WashingtonA100.51690.52789814-1316-150-30-32-46-67-08-51481801316.80.4
143144.6Northern IowaMVC0.51320.52719913-1413-150-20-50-07-46-34-6151371440.60.1
9897.5San Diego St.MWC0.54020.525510015-1117-120-12-13-56-46-17-494120101-3.5-0.3
179180.8Utah St.MWC0.49610.525110111-1512-160-11-12-84-35-35-51961811764.80.4
101100.4RichmondA100.53850.525110216-1118-120-31-22-28-47-16-6220231964.40.4
232231.7PortlandWCC0.46380.52441038-199-200-60-00-42-66-46-51792142274.70.6
177177.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.49730.52241049-1511-160-10-10-44-76-34-511994179-1.1-0.1
163160.9Coastal CarolinaSB0.50530.521910512-1414-150-01-21-74-58-23-82478814020.91.2
178177.7MassachusettsA100.49720.520710613-1415-161-10-20-68-56-210-390213183-5.3-0.3
199196.4EvansvilleMVC0.48770.520710712-1613-160-10-61-04-48-57-484521933.40.4
201197.7San DiegoWCC0.48700.520610811-1612-170-50-11-42-49-36-5207251199-1.3-0.2
8584.9San FranciscoWCC0.54810.520510918-1019-110-41-01-35-313-19-39720487-2.1-0.2
166163.5San Jose St.MWC0.50460.519511012-1213-140-10-22-53-47-25-4184256164-0.5-0.0
9293.3St. BonaventureA100.54270.518911117-1019-110-30-30-19-39-18-4135164894.30.4
289289.2TulaneAmer0.43120.51821125-226-240-50-10-41-105-53-93222942818.20.7
217217.5Indiana St.MVC0.47370.518111310-1810-191-00-50-23-66-65-6154872152.50.3
246248.2Air ForceMWC0.45290.51781149-1710-190-00-22-72-76-35-62552192444.20.3
239236.8UNLVMWC0.45980.517611510-1811-200-30-21-73-77-27-62091862324.80.5
135137.2SienaMAAC0.51630.517411614-1515-160-10-31-34-710-23-818228138-0.8-0.1
167163.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.50420.517211714-1514-160-20-50-05-59-36-6150901603.90.4
255256.8Saint LouisA100.44720.51681189-1910-210-20-30-73-86-15-830527524313.81.4
9797.2Fresno St.MWC0.54070.516611915-1116-120-12-04-52-38-26-4165293970.20.0
194191.2FordhamA100.49040.516612012-1513-171-11-11-46-85-35-72491971856.20.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8888.1TowsonCAA0.54620.516412118-1019-110-00-32-18-49-37-5968295-6.9-0.8
4039.0NevadaMWC0.58760.516112222-624-70-10-06-210-38-011-232161390.00.0
251251.5Cleveland St.Horz0.45010.51491237-218-210-20-00-53-95-53-8206352465.50.8
9393.7UCFAmer0.54270.514812418-1019-110-41-12-26-411-09-3127268912.70.3
131135.4BuffaloMAC0.51770.514612513-1315-140-10-21-46-58-24-7203142142-6.6-0.4
193190.4Western MichiganMAC0.49050.514412611-1513-160-20-10-35-67-43-8284173197-6.6-0.4
137141.8WyomingMWC0.51470.513712714-1216-130-00-31-76-28-28-3831821347.80.4
116116.2William & MaryCAA0.52890.513712813-1214-130-21-22-35-37-34-5138981160.20.0
262261.7Western CarolinaSC0.44430.51371296-217-220-10-10-91-86-33-81673325110.71.4
157159.0ToledoMAC0.50650.513413013-1415-150-00-31-17-87-36-613474162-3.0-0.2
134136.9NortheasternCAA0.51690.513313114-1415-150-02-23-24-65-67-55995143-6.1-0.5
107108.6George MasonA100.53340.513213217-1018-120-20-22-29-37-29-3129265110-1.4-0.1
244244.7DuquesneA100.45460.512813310-1811-200-30-21-43-97-27-62312582413.70.4
105105.7MemphisAmer0.53510.512013418-920-110-31-22-34-411-010-3109240112-6.3-0.5
293290.9Oral RobertsSum0.43050.51191356-226-220-20-11-33-113-62-10261412864.91.1
123124.6MarshallCUSA0.52410.511713614-1216-140-10-20-36-310-46-612470127-2.4-0.1
233232.6BradleyMVC0.46320.510313710-1910-200-00-60-24-66-54-82411602257.60.9
3131.5Illinois St.MVC0.59620.509313823-524-50-01-11-211-111-17-48611934-2.5-0.8
207204.6MercerSC0.48280.508113911-1612-170-10-00-83-79-14-717253207-2.4-0.3
3737.4UNC WilmingtonCAA0.58940.507614022-524-50-00-15-27-212-09-2299941-3.6-0.7
3536.5UT ArlingtonSB0.59060.507414119-622-71-10-11-110-310-18-31942351.50.2
264266.7James MadisonCAA0.44220.50631427-218-220-00-21-43-103-61-113262242642.70.2
7069.3College of CharlestonCAA0.55850.505214320-822-80-11-22-26-312-08-4103145663.30.5
182182.1UMKCWAC0.49540.505114412-1313-150-20-10-32-511-35-920489186-3.9-0.3
304301.3DrakeMVC0.42520.50501456-217-210-00-50-13-84-71-93402592947.31.0
221222.6Bowling GreenMAC0.47020.504214611-1612-180-10-01-24-127-35-72672452175.60.5
3435.5Middle TennesseeCUSA0.59160.504014723-426-40-12-02-09-212-19-32516314.51.1
205203.3HofstraCAA0.48370.503914812-1613-170-10-30-55-47-57-51331672003.30.3
286287.1DetroitHorz0.43220.50251496-216-230-10-00-42-94-81-103171292825.10.3
181181.4Morehead St.OVC0.49570.501415011-1412-150-10-00-44-89-22-9268611774.40.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3938.2Wichita St.MVC0.58850.500515125-426-40-11-21-011-013-09-310718442-3.8-1.4
305301.2South FloridaAmer0.42510.50031527-197-220-30-10-42-86-56-52603132938.20.8
315314.1Chicago St.WAC0.41640.49981533-223-250-10-20-50-63-112-12274150315-0.9-0.1
5456.6PrincetonIvy0.56960.499215416-619-70-10-21-16-212-16-610081551.60.2
272274.5MilwaukeeHorz0.43780.49921557-218-220-00-00-52-96-83-92431342704.50.4
275278.6Appalachian St.SB0.43610.49901566-187-200-10-21-23-74-73-627928826711.60.7
197194.0WoffordSC0.48920.498515712-1512-160-00-22-54-57-32-8265123198-4.0-0.4
281284.3MaristMAAC0.43350.49851587-228-230-10-40-11-126-63-823914727212.31.1
240239.9North FloridaASun0.45770.49761598-189-180-10-20-53-46-61-12288782381.90.3
120117.9Georgia SouthernSB0.52780.497116015-1116-130-10-11-46-49-35-6120127124-6.1-0.5
313304.5Louisiana MonroeSB0.42200.49691615-206-230-10-20-32-104-74-7275284314-9.5-0.6
4141.2MonmouthMAAC0.58520.496116224-525-60-10-11-110-214-08-33110844-2.8-0.6
110109.9IonaMAAC0.53250.495116318-1119-120-11-21-17-311-47-471122111-1.1-0.1
329328.1UC Santa BarbaraBW0.40010.49461643-214-230-20-21-20-63-101-1022353271.10.1
224227.3East CarolinaAmer0.46680.494216513-1514-170-40-20-53-410-38-52213192261.30.1
121120.9Georgia St.SB0.52580.494016615-1017-110-11-10-26-69-25-5140140126-5.1-0.4
144145.0Louisiana LafayetteSB0.51320.494016714-1116-130-10-20-34-512-28-379261148-3.0-0.2
9595.4North Dakota St.Sum0.54160.493316817-917-100-10-11-06-510-26-59591100-4.6-0.6
5656.8AkronMAC0.56930.493316921-623-70-20-01-011-211-29-368218560.80.1
220217.8South AlabamaSB0.47340.493317011-1412-170-00-30-33-79-45-6266307222-4.2-0.3
323320.7VMISC0.40990.49321714-215-220-10-11-50-73-81-8327191325-4.3-0.6
132135.4ElonCAA0.51760.492917215-1217-120-11-11-54-110-46-51742671305.40.4
253254.6ManhattanMAAC0.44840.492317310-2010-210-20-20-32-118-45-6175179255-0.4-0.1
4344.5VermontAE0.58140.492317424-525-50-10-20-113-112-09-58211450-5.5-1.5
208206.9South Dakota St.Sum0.48130.491517512-1613-160-00-20-35-87-45-8187136210-3.1-0.4
5962.5ValparaisoHorz0.56430.491417622-623-70-21-02-05-515-09-36312573-10.5-1.6
7274.9Arkansas St.SB0.55520.491217718-821-90-10-12-38-311-28-45814376-1.1-0.1
269272.4CornellIvy0.43940.49111786-187-210-00-30-31-96-63-11277177273-0.6-0.0
117116.2Wright St.Horz0.52870.491017917-1018-110-00-01-35-712-17-489141117-0.8-0.1
258258.9Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44600.48991808-199-200-10-10-32-87-75-81941352544.90.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151152.6Loyola ChicagoMVC0.50950.489718116-1217-120-00-41-04-611-28-3114274153-0.4-0.0
10099.8FurmanSC0.53870.489618218-1019-100-00-12-56-211-25-6152170981.80.2
310302.7Miami OHMAC0.42380.48941838-189-200-00-00-32-117-65-6286311311-8.3-0.7
154156.3Nebraska OmahaSum0.50760.488918414-1315-130-00-20-35-69-36-61131311542.30.2
9696.4ChattanoogaSC0.54080.488718517-919-90-10-12-47-210-17-353133924.40.5
204199.4Long Beach St.BW0.48560.488618611-1613-170-40-11-21-410-63-1119320203-3.6-0.3
245245.6QuinnipiacMAAC0.45400.488618710-1811-190-10-30-13-88-53-72832422405.60.5
103100.8OhioMAC0.53830.488518817-819-90-00-01-17-611-27-3117277104-3.2-0.3
183182.6UABCUSA0.49490.488418914-1316-140-20-20-25-410-46-61711171784.60.3
129131.9Old DominionCUSA0.51960.488219016-1019-110-20-22-16-411-37-5139118132-0.1-0.0
118116.0LehighPat0.52850.487619116-1117-110-10-03-13-711-25-57354118-2.0-0.3
141144.2Saint Peter'sMAAC0.51330.487519216-1217-130-11-20-16-610-34-6218239145-0.8-0.1
248247.5DelawareCAA0.45270.487019310-1710-190-00-20-53-77-45-6225306250-2.5-0.3
6162.6UNC AshevilleBSth0.56410.487019420-721-80-20-02-35-114-16-5412668-5.4-0.7
150151.4UC IrvineBW0.50970.486519514-1316-140-20-20-32-214-55-912517157-5.6-0.4
138141.0CanisiusMAAC0.51470.486119617-1218-130-10-21-09-48-67-41212151410.00.0
5756.8BelmontOVC0.56900.485619720-521-50-10-20-19-012-16-4818362-5.2-0.9
8484.3Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54840.485019819-720-70-21-10-14-314-18-57075831.30.2
119116.8Northern KentuckyHorz0.52830.485019917-1018-110-10-01-35-413-37-4106196119-2.2-0.2
6463.5East Tennessee St.SC0.56340.484620021-623-60-10-12-29-212-08-37217270-6.5-1.3
230231.1Utah ValleyWAC0.46420.48442018-1510-160-10-11-42-67-55-7173207239-7.9-0.6
266267.4DrexelCAA0.44160.48432028-209-210-00-30-41-97-55-72293152652.40.2
130132.9Green BayHorz0.51890.484120315-1116-120-10-01-25-410-54-62082461257.90.6
303298.5McNeese St.Slnd0.42580.48392045-176-200-20-00-01-105-71-721929302-3.5-0.2
238235.4CharlotteCUSA0.46120.483620510-1412-160-10-20-12-79-45-51921742332.40.2
147147.0Tennessee St.OVC0.51210.483220615-1115-120-11-10-25-49-47-461111156-9.0-1.1
222224.2RadfordBSth0.46910.483220710-1611-170-20-22-31-48-63-7180452168.21.0
112112.4UNC GreensboroSC0.53090.483020818-819-90-10-14-34-211-16-41572081084.40.5
7980.0BucknellPat0.55100.482620922-823-80-11-11-16-515-08-59110386-6.0-0.9
189190.3PennIvy0.49090.481821011-1214-130-10-21-23-59-47-61461851846.30.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
187187.9FairfieldMAAC0.49250.481321114-1315-140-00-20-12-912-25-4166270189-1.1-0.1
319317.6The CitadelSC0.41340.48122126-206-220-00-20-61-85-64-6232263318-0.4-0.1
206201.2Houston BaptistSlnd0.48370.48112139-1211-140-00-10-33-58-51-622719205-3.8-0.2
160160.9LibertyBSth0.50570.480821415-1116-120-10-10-70-216-12-827877165-4.1-0.4
210208.6NavyPat0.48020.480621514-1414-150-00-00-56-48-54-7238128213-4.4-0.8
153154.6Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50840.480521615-1417-140-20-40-11-416-42-11195111477.60.6
122122.8South DakotaSum0.52470.480321717-1018-110-10-11-26-312-47-61552021202.80.3
191190.7Loyola MDPat0.49070.480121813-1414-140-10-11-26-26-85-51021051828.71.0
158159.5SamfordSC0.50620.479621915-1216-130-20-01-54-312-37-41152341509.50.8
140141.5AlbanyAE0.51380.479322017-1218-120-20-21-04-713-18-61432201392.50.4
180180.5TroySB0.49590.479222114-1216-140-01-21-34-510-56-6245340194-13.5-0.8
267269.3Youngstown St.Horz0.44040.47922229-199-200-00-11-33-75-94-72582822636.30.7
125125.0HarvardIvy0.52360.479122314-716-90-01-21-25-311-26-5164194133-8.0-0.5
7877.9Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.55250.478322416-719-70-20-01-24-213-16-616022980-2.1-0.2
164163.2LipscombASun0.50480.477722515-1216-120-10-01-41-414-45-9205153167-3.8-0.4
214214.1Missouri St.MVC0.47660.477622615-1415-150-00-51-14-510-48-42013272140.10.0
270274.2Austin PeayOVC0.43840.47742278-188-200-10-10-21-97-72-102811212713.20.3
190190.8Holy CrossPat0.49080.477422815-1516-150-00-30-34-511-46-71561571900.80.1
291289.7Central ArkansasSlnd0.43090.47712298-219-220-20-10-21-77-101-12293862890.70.0
188188.1Kent St.MAC0.49200.476623015-1217-130-00-01-16-89-47-5236336202-13.9-1.0
200195.9Central MichiganMAC0.48760.476623114-1215-140-00-01-27-78-48-31182861914.90.3
159160.2Stony BrookAE0.50600.476323217-1117-120-00-20-17-310-55-8253266175-14.8-2.0
314313.3AmericanPat0.41720.47552337-217-220-10-10-30-87-83-8295188316-2.7-0.4
148148.6New HampshireAE0.51090.475123415-1116-110-10-21-13-511-26-5142252151-2.4-0.2
145145.7YaleIvy0.51290.474723513-916-100-10-20-34-312-27-512822613510.70.6
312304.1DartmouthIvy0.42270.47472366-177-200-00-20-32-65-93-10304279313-8.9-0.7
307300.9UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.42460.47462377-188-200-00-10-40-88-65-9264272304-3.1-0.2
328328.5MaineAE0.40030.47452385-245-250-10-30-11-114-93-113082873262.50.7
216217.2Northern IllinoisMAC0.47390.473823912-1313-150-10-00-15-89-55-5254332219-1.8-0.2
276278.9NiagaraMAAC0.43580.47292409-2010-210-00-20-16-74-113-83183292780.90.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
274278.5Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43620.47282417-168-190-00-31-11-66-82-7302241287-8.5-0.6
229230.6IUPUISum0.46420.472524210-1611-170-00-21-35-55-64-8228281231-0.4-0.0
8182.1WinthropBSth0.54970.472124319-621-60-20-03-14-115-26-33564748.11.4
192191.3Boston UniversityPat0.49060.471824415-1315-140-00-00-36-610-44-7257211195-3.7-0.4
337336.8FIUCUSA0.38670.47102454-215-240-00-30-11-74-132-9334273340-3.2-0.8
252253.6Tennessee TechOVC0.44940.470424610-1711-180-00-11-43-87-52-113322892494.60.4
115115.8OaklandHorz0.52910.469724720-721-80-00-23-04-314-28-3158297121-5.2-0.6
219218.0Western KentuckyCUSA0.47350.469224813-1415-160-10-20-13-711-56-7256328220-2.0-0.2
259260.1ArmyPat0.44550.469024911-1711-180-10-10-43-59-75-62112212591.10.2
334333.7Idaho St.BSky0.39190.46842504-215-240-10-00-30-75-121-10325178335-1.3-0.2
241241.3Illinois ChicagoHorz0.45700.467725112-1513-160-00-00-31-1012-35-6280324247-5.7-0.7
5556.2New Mexico St.WAC0.56960.467325220-423-40-00-02-37-114-011-246257524.20.5
149149.6Grand CanyonWAC0.51080.466625317-919-100-30-02-32-115-29-62022851490.60.0
242242.8Little RockSB0.45630.465925411-1413-160-10-11-23-79-57-4188321248-5.2-0.4
113114.0Louisiana TechCUSA0.53020.465925518-820-90-00-20-24-217-16-5177210122-8.0-0.8
327327.6North TexasCUSA0.40120.46542566-187-210-00-20-10-117-74-6309304332-4.4-0.7
260261.3UTEPCUSA0.44530.465225710-1512-170-01-10-34-57-81-10331203262-0.7-0.0
231230.6High PointBSth0.46410.464925811-1412-150-00-11-51-310-63-62341662291.60.2
247248.6ColumbiaIvy0.45270.46482599-1311-150-00-20-22-68-55-7248302257-8.4-0.5
299295.1Incarnate WordSlnd0.42740.46472607-158-170-00-00-12-96-71-6311158305-9.9-0.5
308302.4Charleston SouthernBSth0.42400.46422617-178-180-10-10-60-28-81-7301199312-9.6-0.8
185184.1Jacksonville St.OVC0.49450.464226214-1315-140-00-10-34-311-66-71592831804.10.4
301298.5NJITASun0.42640.46392638-199-190-20-00-21-68-96-81852372971.50.2
161161.0UMBCAE0.50570.463826416-1016-110-00-20-23-413-27-4147300170-9.0-0.9
226228.4Murray St.OVC0.46630.463226512-1413-150-01-10-24-58-74-8252190235-6.6-0.6
318316.8Western IllinoisSum0.41380.46222666-176-190-10-00-22-75-81-8348342319-2.2-0.3
213211.6Gardner WebbBSth0.47790.462126713-1314-140-10-01-70-313-34-6190198218-6.4-0.7
168165.4Fort WayneSum0.50370.461826815-1016-110-00-31-13-412-38-31012911632.40.2
271274.8BryantNEC0.43780.461726910-1811-190-10-10-12-59-112-1025963276-1.2-0.1
335336.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.38830.46092704-234-240-00-00-41-73-134-82352333342.01.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
325322.7LafayettePat0.40820.46072717-207-210-10-00-33-75-103-7297299323-0.3-0.1
345344.8PresbyterianBSth0.36700.46072723-223-240-00-01-60-42-142-7303230346-1.2-0.8
285287.0SeattleWAC0.43240.46052739-1410-160-00-10-40-810-35-7290325303-16.0-0.9
173168.2RiceCUSA0.50230.460427416-918-110-00-10-23-716-18-3130292181-12.8-0.8
203198.3Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.48580.459827512-1114-130-10-10-14-510-52-7299216209-10.7-0.6
171167.2Weber St.BSky0.50260.459527614-916-110-00-00-23-514-33-6226183192-24.8-1.2
172167.7Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50230.459327714-1016-110-10-10-14-212-65-493971661.70.1
278279.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.43560.45932788-159-180-10-00-22-67-93-61369626613.70.7
306302.1UMass LowellAE0.42510.459227910-2010-200-00-20-12-118-65-93003302984.11.2
279279.4ColgatePat0.43540.45912809-2010-200-00-10-42-67-101-113443202745.40.7
218217.9MontanaBSky0.47370.459128114-1416-150-10-10-13-812-55-8214189224-6.1-0.6
195192.9DenverSum0.48990.458428216-1216-130-00-01-14-812-38-5176312196-3.1-0.4
336336.3Southern MissCUSA0.38740.45832836-196-220-10-10-11-95-101-93493263360.30.1
342340.7LongwoodBSth0.37880.45702844-214-230-10-00-50-54-121-83422763382.71.1
186184.8Ball St.MAC0.49400.456928517-1018-120-00-00-36-412-48-4237349187-2.2-0.2
290289.0South Carolina St.MEAC0.43110.45682867-188-190-10-41-30-27-91-1016942836.00.4
294290.7BinghamtonAE0.43030.45642879-1810-180-10-20-12-98-56-62303342846.70.8
170165.3New OrleansSlnd0.50320.456228813-916-100-00-20-03-513-32-62151041587.30.3
257259.8Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44600.456128910-1611-170-10-10-21-610-71-927669261-1.2-0.1
298295.6Northern ColoradoBSky0.42750.45582907-179-180-20-00-20-78-72-721049301-5.4-0.4
202198.7RiderMAAC0.48660.455329116-1417-140-01-10-03-913-47-4181348201-2.3-0.3
215216.4USC UpstateASun0.47460.454929213-1313-140-00-01-61-312-56-71972782124.40.7
297293.8BrownIvy0.42840.45422939-1511-170-10-20-31-610-67-72713232858.80.5
261260.7Robert MorrisNEC0.44510.453729411-1812-190-10-01-21-510-104-92001012582.70.3
212210.2Texas St.SB0.47850.453629513-1115-130-01-11-03-710-55-52923502082.20.1
316314.5Cal PolyBW0.41490.45322966-188-200-00-10-22-65-113-92501653077.50.6
250250.7Montana St.BSky0.45130.453129712-1413-160-00-00-12-1011-53-8313260253-2.3-0.2
176174.7Tennessee MartinOVC0.49870.452829816-1117-120-10-10-33-315-48-51232381722.70.2
142144.7Eastern WashingtonBSky0.51320.451729916-919-100-10-11-12-516-36-511211512816.70.9
127128.4Texas SouthernSWAC0.52170.449430016-1119-120-40-10-12-317-34-97514129-0.6-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
324322.5HartfordAE0.40850.44903019-219-220-00-20-01-108-95-10321345324-1.5-0.5
344342.0Southern UtahBSky0.37490.44893023-224-250-00-00-10-104-150-11346249344-2.0-0.7
155158.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50660.448730314-916-100-10-10-11-415-44-41412271553.50.2
322319.3UC RiversideBW0.41060.44743046-177-190-10-00-12-56-121-9333212320-0.7-0.1
263266.3Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44280.447330510-1312-150-10-00-31-510-63-8294200275-8.7-0.5
284286.6Abilene ChristianSlnd0.43240.44723068-149-160-00-00-24-55-92-5263301295-8.4-0.5
311301.2UTSACUSA0.42350.44593079-1610-190-00-10-12-68-113-83233222992.20.1
273278.0CampbellBSth0.43640.445630810-1511-160-00-20-40-311-74-52423082771.00.1
339338.9Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.38220.44313094-246-250-20-30-21-55-150-13307503371.90.6
288287.4HawaiiBW0.43180.442331012-1313-150-10-20-21-412-65-7287225300-12.6-0.8
300297.2Sacramento St.BSky0.42640.44133118-1510-170-00-00-21-79-81-83302052907.20.4
165162.3North DakotaBSky0.50460.441031214-816-90-00-02-13-311-52-517062168-5.7-0.3
268269.8Kennesaw St.ASun0.44020.439131311-1611-170-00-10-31-510-74-103163392690.80.1
302297.0Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42610.43913148-1810-200-20-11-20-49-101-1124444310-13.0-0.7
209206.3UC DavisBW0.48090.438031514-1116-130-00-10-12-514-66-7189264211-4.7-0.3
340339.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.38180.43793166-207-230-00-00-11-86-142-10329298342-2.8-0.7
237234.9IdahoBSky0.46180.437531711-1214-130-00-00-11-813-43-62512542286.90.5
309301.7Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42380.43423188-1810-190-00-20-30-510-81-1227059309-7.3-0.5
330329.4Coppin St.MEAC0.39910.43393197-208-210-00-00-50-68-90-1331985331-1.6-0.3
282284.7Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.43300.433532011-1612-170-00-00-31-611-83-103413432804.70.3
243245.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45460.432132113-1414-150-00-10-11-713-65-6213317260-14.7-1.3
256257.5Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44680.431832212-1413-140-00-00-13-510-96-52123372525.50.6
236234.4WagnerNEC0.46190.431132313-1214-130-00-10-12-312-73-6216209236-1.6-0.2
326324.1Northwestern St.Slnd0.40570.43093246-167-180-00-00-10-77-102-5272318329-4.9-0.7
347347.8St. Francis NYNEC0.34860.43073253-253-270-10-00-10-63-191-113432903470.80.9
332330.9StetsonASun0.39690.42953268-198-200-00-00-40-48-125-9314346333-2.1-0.9
341339.6HowardMEAC0.38030.42893275-216-230-10-10-20-66-121-1230693343-3.4-0.8
265267.1Portland St.BSky0.44210.42763289-1311-150-00-01-11-59-94-4144269268-0.9-0.0
235233.9LamarSlnd0.46220.426832912-1214-130-00-00-22-612-64-5246344234-0.1-0.0
234234.1Alcorn St.SWAC0.46220.425633012-1113-130-00-10-30-613-40-829124242-7.9-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
254256.4Norfolk St.MEAC0.44770.425533112-1413-150-20-10-10-413-61-113101062560.40.0
292290.3Sacred HeartNEC0.43060.425433213-1614-170-10-00-01-613-115-8273295292-1.7-0.1
343340.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.37810.42283336-217-230-00-10-10-87-130-123361543391.50.4
320317.6Savannah St.MEAC0.41250.42223348-169-180-10-10-30-49-91-10298146322-4.4-0.5
283284.5St. Francis PANEC0.43290.421533511-1512-160-00-00-20-512-92-8324310288-3.5-0.3
296292.9HamptonMEAC0.42890.420833610-1412-150-00-00-31-311-91-10315116308-15.1-0.9
331329.3Delaware St.MEAC0.39900.41743377-208-210-10-00-12-66-131-123121953281.30.3
228230.1LIU BrooklynNEC0.46490.416633817-1118-120-10-00-03-315-86-6217316237-6.9-0.9
346345.1Central ConnecticutNEC0.36510.41373395-226-230-00-10-01-45-182-93393413450.10.1
338338.1Alabama St.SWAC0.38330.41273407-188-210-00-00-20-78-121-10320206341-2.9-0.6
350350.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.31500.41233410-261-280-00-10-10-51-210-133452443500.30.7
295292.2Cal St. FullertonBW0.42940.409634212-1213-140-00-00-02-611-74-7338347296-3.8-0.2
287286.7SouthernSWAC0.43220.403534312-1313-150-10-00-20-513-72-8289247306-19.3-1.1
317314.5Jackson St.SWAC0.41480.40273449-1512-160-10-00-11-411-102-8296253317-2.5-0.2
277279.5JacksonvilleASun0.43570.399934513-1313-140-00-00-21-313-98-52623512790.50.1
321318.6Morgan St.MEAC0.41160.395034611-1413-150-00-10-20-313-102-10335271321-2.4-0.3
349348.0Bethune CookmanMEAC0.34680.39193475-206-220-00-00-20-56-151-11347303349-1.0-1.1
351350.7Alabama A&MSWAC0.31240.39163481-242-270-00-00-00-52-220-11351335351-0.3-0.7
333331.4Grambling St.SWAC0.39570.38703499-1511-170-10-00-10-411-112-83373333301.40.2
348348.1Florida A&MMEAC0.34710.38553505-206-210-10-00-00-36-180-113503093480.10.1
196193.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.48940.376635118-621-60-00-00-11-320-26-51533051885.50.7

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com