Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
77.2GeorgetownBE0.63850.6190123-923-106-53-36-13-15-010-13870.20.5
65.5Kansas St.B120.64860.6095225-625-74-34-24-110-13-012-15246-0.5-0.6
44.0West VirginiaBE0.65730.6054326-627-65-44-19-16-03-011-122240.00.0
6362.7ConnecticutBE0.56990.5985417-1517-152-52-45-45-23-010-31211620.70.8
11.0KansasB120.68570.5977531-232-28-15-14-014-02-014-142910.0NaN
3937.9LouisvilleBE0.59500.5964620-1220-122-51-25-49-13-09-4482339-1.1-1.4
1313.8Texas A&MB120.62550.5962722-922-91-64-34-08-05-010-32945130.80.6
6162.0CincinnatiBE0.57050.5878818-1518-152-72-53-35-06-09-33248611.01.1
22.9DukeACC0.66100.5871927-528-51-36-110-18-03-013-283320.91.1
55.0SyracuseBE0.65200.58701028-428-45-24-29-06-05-013-01365-0.0-0.0
1616.0PittsburghBE0.62420.58611124-824-83-24-37-26-04-111-22149151.01.2
7171.7Texas TechB120.56230.58561217-1517-150-83-50-09-25-012-21382710.70.7
88.3BaylorB120.63400.58461324-724-72-45-15-18-14-012-11613480.30.7
1918.6CaliforniaP100.61960.58301423-924-90-32-24-117-31-08-49119-0.4-0.2
105104.2GeorgiaSEC0.53570.58091514-1714-172-51-25-71-25-18-590711022.22.6
910.2TennesseeSEC0.63010.58001625-725-82-50-010-16-27-012-2185511-0.8-0.4
3536.1Georgia TechACC0.59790.57971720-1121-112-23-46-35-25-011-233145351.10.3
9392.0North CarolinaACC0.54420.57911816-1616-160-53-76-22-25-011-4629993-1.0-0.9
117117.3OklahomaB120.52570.57901913-1813-180-63-51-35-34-19-5941461161.32.0
9493.3South CarolinaSEC0.54320.57692015-1615-162-51-12-65-45-09-5786594-0.7-1.4
2323.2MarylandACC0.61240.57562122-822-81-34-36-24-07-09-4105157230.20.2
8282.5St. John'sBE0.55120.57502217-1517-151-73-43-24-26-010-22767820.50.9
1414.3VillanovaBE0.62530.57482324-724-73-54-16-16-05-011-122176140.30.4
3434.7ClemsonACC0.59940.57442421-1021-102-43-25-35-16-012-238141340.70.9
2021.2VanderbiltSEC0.61650.57262523-724-72-22-07-36-26-010-34976201.20.4
3131.6Oklahoma St.B120.60220.57172622-1022-104-30-41-214-13-012-231153310.60.5
2120.6WisconsinB100.61460.57152723-823-83-13-33-37-17-010-2143221-0.4-0.5
140140.3ProvidenceBE0.51660.57092812-1912-190-60-53-73-16-08-41041751400.30.3
4039.2Wake ForestACC0.59410.57082919-1019-102-24-23-64-06-010-2287440-0.8-0.7
118119.0ColoradoB120.52530.56893013-1613-161-50-51-36-35-07-51632121172.02.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5252.0DaytonA100.57840.56813120-1220-121-62-21-212-24-011-31521511.01.9
6059.9Seton HallBE0.57200.56753219-1219-121-73-22-36-07-09-25919760-0.1-0.1
5454.0FloridaSEC0.57600.56623321-1221-121-72-15-27-16-111-472112540.00.0
7272.0IllinoisB100.56220.56613419-1319-143-42-51-15-48-08-512510672-0.0-0.0
32.6KentuckySEC0.66040.56613530-231-24-11-010-112-04-015-071113-0.4-0.5
4948.0Notre DameBE0.58390.56533623-1123-114-31-17-44-37-011-273223480.00.0
212212.2DePaulBE0.47370.5645378-238-231-71-30-82-34-27-51301472120.20.5
5049.1MarquetteBE0.58310.56273822-1122-113-71-26-15-07-19-38819450-0.9-1.2
1716.0XavierA100.62240.56243924-725-70-44-27-19-05-09-5472018-2.0-0.8
123123.6Iowa St.B120.52420.56234015-1715-171-80-51-16-37-011-41122171212.62.9
9595.6ArizonaP100.54190.56194116-1516-151-41-33-19-72-06-610918950.60.8
138136.9UCLAP100.51770.56064214-1814-181-41-23-56-63-15-7173301351.91.3
3029.8TexasB120.60280.56054324-924-92-63-13-110-16-014-12520330-0.2-0.3
6664.4MinnesotaB100.56750.55934420-1220-133-42-31-28-37-19-3547768-3.6-0.7
159159.3ArkansasSEC0.50710.55874514-1814-180-40-35-44-55-27-8184541581.31.8
99100.2AlabamaSEC0.53850.55824617-1517-151-60-23-45-38-010-48587982.21.6
4444.2MissouriB120.58620.55774722-1022-101-63-12-010-36-012-356192440.20.3
122122.7Boston CollegeACC0.52440.55574815-1615-160-41-65-34-35-09-51752551202.71.9
2928.8Michigan St.B100.60340.55574924-824-82-22-25-49-07-010-34410329-0.2-0.2
2524.3San Diego St.MWC0.61030.55535022-822-92-31-31-111-17-19-336126240.30.1
1012.2PurdueB100.62870.55445127-428-43-13-25-08-18-012-010119102.20.6
4242.0Florida St.ACC0.59080.55415222-922-90-34-36-36-06-012-242218411.01.4
133132.9MichiganB100.51980.55405314-1714-170-51-43-24-56-16-5146911311.91.7
211210.4IowaB100.47520.55385410-2210-220-50-50-54-76-06-72011222091.41.6
150149.4NebraskaB120.51340.55375515-1815-180-81-42-16-56-012-3772631490.40.7
126126.3VirginiaACC0.52230.55365615-1615-160-42-44-44-45-09-41592781251.32.6
179178.8Saint Joseph'sA100.49730.55205711-2011-200-50-51-36-64-16-8140431780.81.2
1514.2TempleA100.62420.55055827-528-52-24-14-213-05-012-3304116-1.8-0.6
4546.6WashingtonP100.58590.54965923-923-102-30-05-313-43-010-22339460.60.1
161160.8RutgersBE0.50640.54936014-1714-171-51-21-85-26-09-3114237161-0.2-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7070.6South FloridaBE0.56290.54876120-1220-122-41-43-36-18-010-271234700.60.9
176175.8MassachusettsA100.49910.54806211-2011-200-41-52-44-84-05-816560176-0.2-0.4
106105.2BradleyMVC0.53490.54786316-1516-151-31-24-45-55-16-5162149106-0.8-1.1
156155.7AuburnSEC0.50920.54776414-1714-170-30-13-104-37-08-61501441550.70.9
9291.6North Carolina St.ACC0.54430.54756519-1419-151-25-42-64-37-012-3107274910.60.1
228227.6WyomingMWC0.46150.5470668-218-210-61-30-13-64-55-718164228-0.4-0.6
8887.9Indiana St.MVC0.54660.54666716-1416-140-20-23-39-54-27-47511488-0.1-0.2
5959.9MississippiSEC0.57200.54596821-1021-101-61-02-38-19-012-234137590.90.9
2627.5Ohio St.B100.60720.54586925-726-73-42-04-26-111-010-353128270.50.1
5858.9New Mexico St.WAC0.57270.54517020-1120-121-41-23-26-39-17-68951580.90.3
1110.0New MexicoMWC0.62840.54497129-429-44-12-25-09-19-014-1115391.01.4
3738.0Rhode IslandA100.59590.54447223-823-90-41-16-212-24-012-163538-0.0-0.0
2726.1RichmondA100.60710.54357325-725-81-23-15-59-07-011-43773251.10.5
1211.3ButlerHorz0.62710.54227428-428-41-12-23-114-08-08-424512-0.7-0.7
7372.8NevadaWAC0.56130.54187519-1219-120-30-15-58-26-17-6974773-0.2-0.2
194193.6Penn St.B100.48520.54177611-2011-200-60-30-66-15-48-4166288194-0.4-0.7
221220.9IndianaB100.46880.54117710-2110-211-70-21-43-55-36-62392422182.92.2
145145.1Miami OHMAC0.51470.54117814-1814-180-41-12-66-56-24-10206341441.10.8
139138.2OregonP100.51730.54107916-1616-160-32-31-610-44-08-41151251380.20.1
165164.8StanfordP100.50480.54088014-1814-180-30-41-58-55-16-61911631640.81.1
189188.4Texas ChristianMWC0.49070.54078111-1911-190-60-40-31-610-06-7207195189-0.6-1.0
157156.8UtahMWC0.50860.54028214-1714-171-52-31-24-56-27-7208177157-0.2-0.4
6463.7Arizona St.P100.56910.53998322-1022-100-52-11-113-36-010-35562630.70.8
239238.9DelawareCAA0.45460.5395847-247-240-20-30-82-65-54-815627239-0.1-0.3
111111.0DuquesneA100.52960.53948515-1515-150-40-32-46-47-08-569681101.01.1
112111.1Southern CaliforniaP100.52950.53948616-1416-142-14-22-24-94-08-492961110.10.1
5656.8MemphisCUSA0.57370.53888723-923-90-33-25-07-39-110-510359560.80.9
2827.0Old DominionCAA0.60520.53848826-826-81-10-27-45-113-08-5431728-1.0-1.5
114114.7CreightonMVC0.52760.53828916-1516-150-41-12-66-47-06-6189165115-0.3-0.4
7474.3NortheasternCAA0.56030.53779020-1220-121-02-33-34-610-05-7999740.30.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4141.3Nevada Las VegasMWC0.59130.53769124-725-74-42-13-06-310-011-26119942-0.7-0.2
4746.7Kent St.MAC0.58450.53699222-922-90-21-05-39-47-09-5462547-0.3-0.4
175174.6La SalleA100.49980.53679312-1812-180-50-40-45-47-18-61131171740.60.7
7776.7CharlotteA100.55580.53659419-1219-121-42-41-17-38-010-457132760.71.4
224224.0Louisiana St.SEC0.46620.53639511-2011-200-50-01-94-66-09-51672252231.01.4
119119.8Colorado St.MWC0.52520.53639615-1515-150-50-41-16-58-08-51061861190.80.4
6766.9TulsaCUSA0.56560.53529722-1122-110-11-43-58-110-010-480135660.91.1
166165.6Cleveland St.Horz0.50430.53509814-1714-170-50-22-13-99-03-820315166-0.4-0.5
6261.5Mississippi St.SEC0.57010.53489922-1022-110-41-16-27-48-012-36821064-2.5-0.5
2424.8Utah St.WAC0.61080.534010026-627-61-01-19-36-210-010-4589326-1.2-0.6
4645.0UABCUSA0.58560.533610123-823-81-00-33-310-29-012-22094450.00.1
303303.5FordhamA100.41200.53341022-262-260-40-30-51-91-52-102962023030.50.4
4343.1Wichita St.MVC0.58840.531310324-924-91-40-08-17-38-110-287279430.10.2
245244.0Air ForceMWC0.45180.53111048-218-210-60-40-11-97-16-5205241244-0.0-0.0
181181.0DrakeMVC0.49680.530710514-1914-190-31-22-65-56-36-72322521810.00.0
8686.2St. LouisA100.54760.529610619-1119-110-22-32-210-45-08-5179226851.21.5
9696.4Miami FLACC0.54140.529410719-1219-130-33-44-31-311-013-082346960.40.1
125126.3HoustonCUSA0.52280.529010817-1517-160-01-33-57-56-37-6158138132-5.7-0.7
5757.5William & MaryCAA0.57330.528210921-1021-101-02-33-46-09-37-31928570.50.5
107106.4Long Beach St.BW0.53370.528011015-1516-151-30-30-15-49-55-7522107-0.6-0.1
1818.0Northern IowaMVC0.62110.527211128-428-40-04-16-012-16-210-151239171.01.2
2221.9Brigham YoungMWC0.61360.526811228-528-51-33-24-010-010-014-12618822-0.1-0.1
3333.2Texas El PasoCUSA0.60030.526711326-527-50-12-06-38-111-09-4133180330.20.1
10099.9OhioMAC0.53800.526311419-1420-140-11-24-48-57-29-58169104-4.1-0.7
155155.3St. BonaventureA100.50940.525711514-1614-160-41-10-76-47-06-61341301541.31.9
6867.4MarshallCUSA0.56540.525211620-920-90-11-32-47-110-09-34175670.40.5
253253.4HawaiiWAC0.44510.52471179-209-200-40-22-51-66-36-72301522530.40.9
3836.9GonzagaWCC0.59560.524111825-625-61-12-35-06-111-112-3405737-0.1-0.2
230230.2East CarolinaCUSA0.45930.52341197-217-210-20-40-61-76-23-8199442300.20.3
3635.8St. Mary'sWCC0.59660.520912025-525-51-12-24-15-113-012-2357236-0.2-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
191190.4Fresno St.WAC0.48960.518512114-1814-180-30-13-53-78-27-8212200191-0.6-0.9
207207.2San FranciscoWCC0.47620.518312210-1810-180-11-40-43-56-33-102611132070.20.2
250249.7EvansvilleMVC0.44820.51741238-218-211-21-10-72-104-15-5254326250-0.3-0.7
3231.9SienaMAAC0.60200.517312427-627-60-30-16-18-113-07-5957032-0.1-0.1
9090.6Missouri St.MVC0.54500.517012520-1220-120-20-35-26-59-011-150254900.60.9
7979.7PortlandWCC0.55340.516512619-1019-100-11-51-16-211-18-59884790.70.6
184184.8Oregon St.P100.49490.516012714-1714-171-10-32-38-83-26-62313031840.81.2
208208.3Southern MethodistCUSA0.47570.515812812-1712-170-10-41-72-49-15-72602162080.30.2
177177.5San Jose St.WAC0.49770.515712913-1713-170-20-22-54-47-47-61412111770.50.9
249248.9NC GreensboroSC0.44850.51531308-238-230-20-30-71-67-51-10229122480.90.9
115114.6NorthwesternB100.52760.515213120-1320-131-41-33-24-211-212-1652831140.60.8
171170.4Southern IllinoisMVC0.50220.514913214-1514-150-20-33-43-68-08-284290171-0.6-0.6
5353.3Virginia TechACC0.57650.514113323-823-80-33-15-36-19-013-176336530.30.5
163162.7Washington St.P100.50570.512813415-1515-150-30-32-25-78-09-267276163-0.3-0.5
6565.0Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.56750.512713522-922-90-03-23-34-312-19-1179265-0.0-0.0
7675.7Illinois St.MVC0.55850.512413622-1022-100-21-24-39-38-010-2116324750.71.5
173173.2IdahoWAC0.50060.511913713-1613-160-20-01-86-36-37-51382331730.20.4
113113.3Southern MississippiCUSA0.52820.511613816-1316-130-11-40-53-112-26-41262461130.30.6
149147.1DrexelCAA0.51390.511213916-1616-160-20-33-33-510-35-817097148-0.9-0.7
234234.5Santa ClaraWCC0.45640.51061409-219-210-00-60-53-56-56-9188102235-0.5-0.7
185185.3ValparaisoHorz0.49470.510314112-1712-170-30-10-44-78-22-82441481850.30.5
8080.2Wright St.Horz0.55320.510114220-1220-120-30-11-310-49-17-5111169800.20.2
190189.6Central FloridaCUSA0.49020.509814314-1714-170-00-40-85-39-27-6169190190-0.4-0.6
270270.3Youngstown St.Horz0.43300.50961446-226-220-40-10-21-125-34-51641312700.30.4
237236.8NC WilmingtonCAA0.45560.50941459-229-220-00-31-73-85-44-82131052360.81.4
141140.7RiderMAAC0.51650.508614617-1617-160-10-32-46-59-37-6136168141-0.3-0.2
231230.8San DiegoWCC0.45880.508514710-2110-210-10-50-53-67-46-9210136231-0.2-0.5
8584.7Weber St.BSky0.54860.507414818-1018-100-30-12-25-311-14-61081486-1.3-1.4
151150.0Western MichiganMAC0.51300.507014917-1517-150-10-14-46-67-47-69340151-1.0-0.8
180180.2DavidsonSC0.49700.506915014-1514-150-10-31-45-58-23-7216311800.20.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
109108.4BuffaloMAC0.53080.506815117-1217-120-11-12-27-68-27-46683109-0.6-0.9
162162.0Austin PeayOVC0.50600.505515215-1515-150-20-13-54-68-14-7120131620.00.0
130128.8NiagaraMAAC0.52120.505115318-1518-150-01-13-55-79-28-51211871271.81.5
148147.0George WashingtonA100.51390.504715416-1416-140-30-32-46-58-010-31223111452.01.4
8989.0IonaMAAC0.54620.503815521-1021-100-10-32-28-211-29-36014089-0.0-0.1
5151.2OaklandSum0.57910.502715624-824-80-30-12-25-117-14-71021052-0.8-1.6
108107.0Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.53160.502515719-1219-121-21-22-25-610-17-491107108-1.0-2.1
8384.3AkronMAC0.54960.502015823-923-100-10-31-314-29-19-5161209831.30.3
146145.3HofstraCAA0.51440.501215918-1418-140-10-12-82-414-07-5127127146-0.7-0.8
8484.1Morehead St.OVC0.54900.500816021-1021-100-20-11-48-212-13-61196840.10.1
324324.5ToledoMAC0.39110.50021613-283-280-00-30-50-143-62-122971333240.50.7
227226.3ManhattanMAAC0.46420.500116211-2011-200-10-31-41-89-46-5153214227-0.7-1.2
188187.7Bowling GreenMAC0.49100.499816313-1613-160-21-12-33-88-27-5145231188-0.3-0.3
158158.0George MasonCAA0.50770.499316417-1417-140-11-21-63-312-25-7241196159-1.0-3.8
131130.7Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52080.498916518-1418-140-40-11-27-610-16-51512061300.70.8
300299.6Arkansas Little RockSB0.41340.49771666-226-220-00-00-62-84-82-722019300-0.4-0.5
334334.0MaristMAAC0.37850.49751671-291-290-00-20-40-111-120-113412493340.0NaN
288288.0Georgia SouthernSC0.42440.49651687-237-230-00-00-74-93-71-10317158288-0.0-0.1
120121.2East Tennessee St.ASun0.52480.496416919-1419-140-10-21-26-412-53-71183122-0.8-0.6
7877.7Louisiana TechWAC0.55480.494817023-1023-101-30-03-48-211-113-26329578-0.3-0.6
8180.6FairfieldMAAC0.55310.494617122-1022-100-10-41-15-416-07-413127381-0.4-0.4
110109.7TroySB0.53000.494017217-1217-120-00-10-37-410-42-620461112-2.3-3.2
306304.3PepperdineWCC0.41170.49381736-236-230-00-40-42-74-83-113132533040.30.2
291290.8Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42270.49361747-227-220-30-00-43-114-44-6234245291-0.2-0.5
9191.6College of CharlestonSC0.54470.493417521-1121-110-10-12-15-714-16-61176392-0.4-0.5
281281.6TulaneCUSA0.42810.49321768-228-220-10-30-63-65-65-82692592810.60.9
203202.9Boise St.WAC0.47800.492817714-1714-170-30-11-76-37-49-5192325203-0.1-0.4
278278.4Eastern WashingtonBSky0.42950.49211787-217-210-10-11-52-84-62-1025388279-0.6-1.0
8786.4IUPUISum0.54750.491917922-1022-100-11-31-56-215-15-61233887-0.6-0.6
168167.9Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50280.491518014-1514-150-00-30-44-410-43-8221139168-0.1-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
305304.6Idaho St.BSky0.41180.49091815-225-220-20-11-31-93-71-10278104306-1.4-1.3
248247.7Georgia St.CAA0.44880.490818211-2011-200-00-30-72-59-56-62022572470.71.2
223222.2Portland St.BSky0.46820.490418311-1911-190-00-22-52-97-33-92231102211.21.4
101101.6Appalachian St.SC0.53790.490118420-1120-110-00-12-39-49-35-5100501010.60.6
196196.0Tennessee TechOVC0.48240.488718513-1713-170-10-10-83-510-34-6152801960.00.1
124125.2Oral RobertsSum0.52340.488318619-1319-131-01-41-72-114-35-7137421241.22.7
134133.5Western KentuckySB0.51950.487718721-1321-131-00-12-23-815-27-6160891330.50.6
260259.5Tennessee St.OVC0.44100.48761889-239-230-10-10-63-106-53-10249166260-0.5-0.7
174174.4Loyola MarymountWCC0.50000.486618917-1517-150-02-41-43-111-68-7172229175-0.6-1.0
295295.7Florida InternationalSB0.41740.48661906-256-250-00-10-42-104-102-10289207296-0.3-0.7
229228.8BinghamtonAE0.46080.486219111-1811-180-10-10-13-128-33-1024698229-0.2-0.4
132132.8Boston UniversityAE0.52000.485619219-1219-130-10-11-43-715-06-7177101139-6.2-0.8
252251.8Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44650.485119311-2111-210-10-10-14-117-75-102361542510.81.5
104102.1UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53640.484819418-918-100-10-11-15-212-45-5144951002.10.3
263262.7SamfordSC0.43820.48471958-208-200-10-20-50-98-33-619890263-0.3-0.3
216217.4NC AshevilleBSth0.47000.484519612-1612-160-20-00-22-810-40-827072152.42.5
199198.4The CitadelSC0.48060.483419714-1614-160-20-11-42-411-54-6180115199-0.6-0.9
269269.1ElonSC0.43400.48341988-238-230-00-10-62-86-82-92551732690.10.3
213213.2Loyola ChicagoHorz0.47190.483319912-1612-160-30-01-13-118-17-2832682130.20.5
172171.8Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50170.482920016-1516-150-20-20-02-714-44-819466172-0.2-0.5
7574.3Sam Houston St.Slnd0.55930.482820120-721-70-10-00-110-311-24-515710977-2.7-0.6
6969.0WoffordSC0.56370.482820225-825-80-10-22-28-315-07-586116690.00.1
182182.0St. Peter'sMAAC0.49650.482620316-1416-140-00-21-44-411-45-62383061820.00.0
265265.1TowsonCAA0.43770.482420410-2110-210-00-31-31-108-53-83042512650.10.2
4847.3CornellIvy0.58400.481220525-425-40-20-03-19-013-112-34512949-1.7-1.5
9797.5MontanaBSky0.54080.481120620-920-90-00-12-19-49-37-379183970.50.6
311311.0RiceCUSA0.40610.48022077-237-230-00-30-60-77-76-72472723110.0NaN
167167.4DetroitHorz0.50300.478620819-1419-140-30-00-310-59-38-41743211670.40.8
241241.5James MadisonCAA0.45250.477420913-2013-200-00-32-52-69-68-51933412410.50.6
129128.9PacificBW0.52130.477421020-1120-110-11-21-23-315-38-61551791262.92.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
302301.1PennsylvaniaIvy0.41310.47732116-226-220-31-10-10-85-91-13329238302-0.9-1.0
257256.3BrownIvy0.44320.47692129-209-200-00-40-42-47-84-11268219257-0.7-0.8
262262.6Northern IllinoisMAC0.43830.476721310-2010-200-20-10-42-98-54-92732352611.61.0
121122.1Western CarolinaSC0.52460.476421419-1119-110-01-32-14-412-37-33952123-0.9-0.9
272272.2Holy CrossPat0.43210.47642159-229-220-00-20-30-79-103-122811742720.20.2
217218.4Ball St.MAC0.46960.476321614-1514-150-30-12-36-46-56-62192212171.40.6
214216.1Florida AtlanticSB0.47010.476321712-1612-160-10-00-22-910-42-72711782142.11.8
322321.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39520.47592183-233-230-10-00-51-22-153-18311247322-0.6-0.6
215217.0Loyola MDMAAC0.47000.475821913-1713-170-10-20-44-59-57-41543132161.00.5
301301.1AlbanyAE0.41320.47562207-257-250-10-10-21-126-95-102271843010.10.1
136136.3BelmontASun0.51800.475522119-1219-120-10-10-27-212-65-5101371360.30.3
238238.1ChattanoogaSC0.45520.475122213-1813-180-00-30-56-37-76-51491512380.10.3
219219.9MercerASun0.46920.474822314-1714-170-10-20-26-68-62-62401242190.90.8
307306.6South Carolina UpstateASun0.41120.47412246-236-230-00-20-20-116-80-932278307-0.4-0.4
204204.8CanisiusMAAC0.47700.473822515-1715-170-00-21-44-710-46-6214312205-0.2-0.3
195195.0Central MichiganMAC0.48330.473622614-1514-150-10-11-43-510-45-72112441950.00.1
154154.2Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51000.473122718-1218-120-20-00-57-311-27-4110167156-1.8-3.9
178178.5Middle TennesseeSB0.49750.472522817-1317-130-20-10-24-513-44-7252181179-0.5-0.3
326325.9Southern UtahSum0.39050.47232295-225-220-10-30-50-55-102-7263121326-0.1-0.2
170169.9Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50230.471823017-1217-120-00-01-65-511-15-4187262170-0.1-0.1
198198.3Northern ArizonaBSky0.48080.471623112-1412-140-10-10-61-511-14-51782151980.30.4
164164.6DenverSB0.50500.471523219-1319-130-10-01-14-614-57-49681165-0.4-0.5
335335.0DartmouthIvy0.37800.47102334-234-230-00-20-10-84-123-103162503350.0NaN
200200.6Montana St.BSky0.47920.470923413-1413-140-00-02-43-58-53-72331892000.60.8
277277.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.42980.47042358-188-180-10-00-31-107-41-82881432770.20.5
312312.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.40310.47042366-236-230-00-00-70-116-52-8265156313-0.6-1.2
206205.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.47670.470123714-1514-150-10-11-33-410-65-61821712041.71.5
169169.6RadfordBSth0.50240.469823817-1217-120-20-10-14-313-53-6197261690.60.5
202201.6Eastern MichiganMAC0.47870.469023915-1515-150-01-23-21-811-36-6195269202-0.4-0.4
160160.0WinthropBSth0.50670.468724017-1317-130-00-10-43-514-32-72451181600.00.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
338338.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.36350.46762412-252-250-00-20-50-92-90-83361933380.0NaN
233233.3South Dakota St.Sum0.45670.467624212-1612-160-10-20-62-310-62-72751502330.30.5
329329.4PresbyterianBSth0.38580.46672434-264-260-00-30-40-84-112-10242853290.40.9
236236.2North FloridaASun0.45590.466324412-1812-180-00-20-22-910-54-5143120237-0.8-1.9
201200.9Arkansas St.SB0.47900.465724515-1415-140-00-10-44-511-43-6256222201-0.1-0.1
210209.7South AlabamaSB0.47530.464724615-1515-150-00-11-13-911-46-4183282211-1.3-1.3
255255.8UC RiversideBW0.44350.464624710-1710-170-10-10-23-57-85-62152612550.80.9
268268.0North Dakota St.Sum0.43550.46462489-189-180-00-30-40-89-51-73052052680.0NaN
310309.7Virginia Military InstBSth0.40910.46452496-196-190-00-10-20-86-81-525746310-0.3-0.6
143143.1JacksonvilleASun0.51560.464525019-1219-120-10-10-24-415-44-51291001430.10.1
298298.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.41500.46422519-199-190-00-10-63-76-52-73332982980.20.2
251251.3ColumbiaIvy0.44660.463825211-1711-170-10-20-11-610-76-8226260252-0.7-1.3
271270.9Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43250.463325311-2111-210-10-20-11-810-93-12314240271-0.1-0.2
244243.5UC DavisBW0.45180.463125412-1812-180-00-00-21-1011-63-9302317245-1.5-0.8
242242.8New HampshireAE0.45210.462825512-1712-170-20-00-13-89-65-62222712420.81.0
297296.9Sacramento St.BSky0.41540.46182567-217-210-00-00-42-105-74-8243266297-0.1-0.2
318318.0Gardner WebbBSth0.39810.46152575-215-210-10-10-20-85-90-8323793180.00.1
232232.0LibertyBSth0.45770.461025812-1612-160-00-30-01-1011-32-7251862320.0NaN
128128.5Robert MorrisNEC0.52130.460925923-1123-110-20-11-05-617-26-82091981280.50.5
304304.7HartfordAE0.41180.46082608-228-220-20-00-10-118-82-11331280305-0.3-0.2
5555.3Murray St.OVC0.57520.460726128-428-40-10-02-211-115-06-370170550.30.4
243243.5Texas St.Slnd0.45200.460626211-1611-160-00-11-22-78-62-83343142430.50.4
314314.0CentenarySum0.40250.46032636-216-210-00-30-70-36-103-62372013140.00.1
274273.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.43160.459926410-1910-190-00-01-22-107-83-6274287274-0.7-1.1
9899.8HarvardIvy0.53860.459726520-720-70-10-21-14-215-110-374236990.80.7
153153.0MaineAE0.51110.459226618-1118-110-10-00-14-514-47-51242131530.0NaN
327327.0StetsonASun0.39010.45882675-225-220-00-20-21-74-110-73402043270.00.1
285284.8Longwoodind0.42660.45872688-198-190-10-20-31-37-105-17259164285-0.2-0.1
235234.3Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.45640.458526912-1412-140-10-10-23-59-54-52673162340.30.4
103103.6North TexasSB0.53650.458227022-822-80-10-10-07-215-46-3641611030.60.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
186185.6Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.49260.456527116-1517-150-10-40-20-617-20-112724186-0.4-0.1
292292.0LamarSlnd0.42100.456427210-1810-180-00-00-52-68-75-7276291293-1.0-Inf
246245.8Louisiana LafayetteSB0.45130.456327312-1612-160-00-11-03-68-92-7303294246-0.2-0.5
192191.8Seattleind0.48660.455827417-1417-140-00-31-44-412-416-14190267192-0.2-0.4
299298.4North Carolina A&TMEAC0.41460.45542758-228-220-10-10-51-37-121-11309108299-0.6-0.6
267267.0YaleIvy0.43620.455427611-1911-190-00-20-20-1011-55-11292308267-0.0-0.2
323323.2New OrleansSB0.39200.45492776-226-220-00-00-10-126-93-63013303230.20.4
256256.0Cal PolyBW0.44340.454127812-1912-190-10-11-12-69-104-9291322256-0.0-0.0
290290.2ColgatePat0.42320.454027910-1910-190-10-00-10-710-104-103122862900.20.5
183183.4CampbellASun0.49610.452528017-1117-110-00-00-13-614-43-42252301830.40.8
332332.0WagnerNEC0.38090.45192815-265-260-10-00-12-83-162-123273043320.0NaN
266263.8Norfolk St.MEAC0.43770.451728211-1911-190-10-20-31-310-102-11298142266-2.2-1.1
226225.3IUPU Fort WayneSum0.46470.451728314-1514-150-10-41-41-312-54-5235300226-0.7-1.2
287287.0St. Francis PANEC0.42520.451228411-1911-190-00-20-12-79-93-9290228287-0.0-0.0
193193.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48550.451128515-1215-120-00-00-32-513-44-52172431930.30.7
317317.0Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.39880.45042867-227-220-10-10-11-96-107-202992843170.00.0
284284.0Kennesaw St.ASun0.42700.450128711-2011-200-00-20-10-1111-63-62862892840.00.1
187186.7Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49170.449628816-1116-110-00-11-14-411-57-3128299187-0.3-0.5
286285.4Charleston SouthernBSth0.42650.44962899-179-170-10-00-23-66-82-5224160286-0.6-1.2
135133.5PrincetonIvy0.51950.449629019-819-80-10-21-03-315-28-5168305134-0.5-0.6
102102.2Morgan St.MEAC0.53680.448929126-927-90-10-10-22-325-29-8135172105-2.8-0.9
333333.0MD Baltimore CountyAE0.38030.44872924-264-260-00-00-11-123-131-123443403330.0NaN
218219.4Delaware St.MEAC0.46930.447129314-1214-120-00-10-20-514-42-6280123220-0.6-0.3
240240.0Long IslandNEC0.45310.446929414-1714-170-00-00-33-511-94-92822812400.00.2
205205.2LipscombASun0.47680.446629516-1316-130-10-10-25-411-52-6300256206-0.8-0.7
282281.5Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42810.446429610-1810-180-00-40-60-310-74-5250328282-0.5-0.7
320320.4Central ArkansasSlnd0.39570.44562976-206-200-10-10-31-65-103-72662653200.40.5
152151.8LehighPat0.51220.445629822-1022-100-00-10-11-321-59-6185297152-0.2-0.5
144143.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.51560.445529920-820-90-00-00-45-315-27-3142277147-3.6-0.3
280279.7Western IllinoisSum0.42880.444530010-1710-170-10-20-61-29-84-4228327280-0.3-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
276275.6UC IrvineBW0.43100.444430112-1812-180-00-11-12-89-86-72643292750.61.2
293293.4AmericanPat0.41960.443730211-2011-200-10-00-20-511-123-12337334294-0.6-1.2
347345.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.34310.44233032-292-290-10-30-10-82-160-13318563450.40.4
264264.8NavyPat0.43780.442030413-1713-170-00-00-23-410-116-92772962640.80.9
315315.0McNeese St.Slnd0.40190.44183057-207-200-00-00-42-55-112-9321302315-0.0-0.1
127126.6VermontAE0.52210.441730624-925-90-00-11-09-415-410-5148301129-2.4-0.2
279278.8FurmanSC0.42930.441730711-1711-170-00-10-52-59-64-52623322780.80.9
346345.7Bryantind0.34330.44143081-291-290-00-10-20-61-201-293423073441.72.4
247247.7ArmyPat0.44880.440430913-1513-150-00-01-11-411-109-4147319249-1.3-1.7
225222.0Texas SouthernSWAC0.46520.439831015-1515-160-00-20-24-711-52-820016225-3.0-0.5
289289.0MonmouthNEC0.42420.439131112-1912-190-00-00-12-1010-86-8295342289-0.0-0.1
313312.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.40300.43833127-187-180-10-00-30-67-82-73193183120.81.0
330329.6HowardMEAC0.38570.43823137-257-250-00-10-20-67-161-14326182330-0.4-0.9
319319.7Florida A&MMEAC0.39660.43793148-228-220-00-20-10-68-133-102942243190.70.6
296298.3Winston Salem St.ind0.41650.43763158-179-170-10-20-20-39-98-172792922926.30.9
116116.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.52600.437031623-723-70-00-02-37-214-211-2132344118-1.6-2.5
142142.2Stony BrookAE0.51590.436631721-921-90-00-10-16-315-47-51963311420.20.1
321320.8Florida Gulf CoastASun0.39550.43573188-218-210-00-10-12-66-133-6306338321-0.2-0.1
336336.0Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.37600.43513196-276-270-00-20-30-96-131-183251623360.0NaN
259258.9BucknellPat0.44150.432932014-1714-170-00-30-01-413-105-11310333259-0.1-0.1
222220.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.46830.431432115-1315-140-00-10-31-114-93-7258275224-3.2-0.5
337337.0Coppin St.MEAC0.36590.43093225-225-220-10-10-10-45-152-83072583370.0NaN
308307.4Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.41090.429832311-2111-210-00-10-30-511-122-12332264308-0.6-1.0
209209.5LafayettePat0.47540.429332419-1319-130-10-00-01-518-79-6218337210-0.5-0.4
147147.3QuinnipiacNEC0.51390.429032523-923-90-00-10-03-520-38-5186339150-2.7-2.3
197197.2Jackson St.SWAC0.48120.428732618-1218-120-10-00-32-516-31-10287581970.20.4
325325.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39070.42653278-238-230-00-10-20-108-100-123381593250.30.3
294294.5St. Francis NYNEC0.41940.426332811-1811-180-10-00-12-59-115-8293343295-0.5-1.0
258258.4Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44180.425032914-1614-160-00-10-30-314-96-61762272580.40.5
316315.8Savannah St.ind0.40050.42423307-157-150-10-10-00-77-65-13283270316-0.2-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
137136.6Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51790.423833124-624-60-10-02-02-320-27-2139323137-0.4-0.3
254253.5High PointBSth0.44470.423033213-1513-150-00-10-13-410-93-6285335254-0.5-0.6
344345.4North Carolina Centralind0.34410.42143333-223-230-00-00-50-13-171-20345309347-1.6-0.7
261262.0Sacred HeartNEC0.43840.419233414-1514-150-10-00-11-613-79-41713452620.00.0
283283.6HamptonMEAC0.42720.418133514-1814-180-00-00-50-314-105-92843202830.60.6
343343.3SouthernSWAC0.34910.41483365-245-240-20-10-10-75-132-93151913430.30.6
309309.2Central ConnecticutNEC0.40940.409233712-1812-180-00-00-10-712-105-83353473090.20.4
273273.2Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43170.408933812-1412-140-10-10-20-412-61-63201552730.20.2
339339.4North DakotaGWC0.36170.40873396-226-220-20-00-10-56-141-143302203390.40.9
340339.6GramblingSWAC0.36150.40483406-216-210-10-10-11-55-131-6308232340-0.4-0.9
275275.4Alabama St.SWAC0.43100.399934113-1513-150-00-00-11-812-60-8347285276-0.6-1.1
328326.8Houston BaptistGWC0.38860.394534212-2012-210-00-00-10-512-151-17346315328-1.2-0.4
220216.8South DakotaGWC0.46910.394434317-918-90-10-20-21-217-25-8248208222-5.2-1.0
341341.0NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.35600.39433447-217-210-00-00-10-77-132-123242483410.00.2
331331.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.38250.39113458-158-150-00-10-10-58-80-43431853310.0NaN
345344.8Chicago St.GWC0.34340.38873466-226-220-00-00-10-76-142-13339310346-1.2-1.5
342342.3Utah ValleyGWC0.35060.38073478-188-180-20-00-10-38-123-103282933420.30.7

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com