live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Jan 24, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
34.4KansasB120.65990.6241116-324-76-44-26-27-11-011-22213.41.2
109.5North CarolinaACC0.63820.6030216-424-74-43-25-18-03-010-315711-1.5-0.4
1315.3BaylorB120.62290.5949314-421-93-44-25-26-14-011-193716-0.7-0.1
1721.7GeorgetownBE0.60950.5935414-520-92-53-33-18-03-08-22113138.70.9
2126.6OklahomaB120.60120.5896512-719-114-53-12-25-24-09-3427228-1.4-0.1
1923.0TexasB120.60720.5890614-521-103-63-24-17-05-011-2225926-3.0-0.3
4043.6North Carolina St.ACC0.58110.5874713-719-122-61-25-28-24-09-47333394.60.3
5760.7FloridaSEC0.56610.5860810-917-140-52-45-37-23-07-61152585-24.3-1.3
3943.1Oklahoma St.B120.58160.5848912-617-123-72-23-24-15-09-240121349.10.5
77.4DukeACC0.64540.58401016-226-54-24-26-17-05-013-06409-1.6-0.4
2830.8XavierBE0.59610.58371113-720-112-44-35-27-32-09-4312733-2.2-0.2
119.6VCUA100.63790.58271216-325-61-23-27-18-15-010-35145.61.4
1416.3LouisvilleACC0.61990.58241315-324-72-53-15-17-06-012-1188225-8.7-1.3
9190.9Kansas St.B120.54480.58101412-815-163-82-32-32-36-07-61801537614.90.7
2931.0ProvidenceBE0.59570.58081515-520-113-44-24-17-22-110-328341912.01.0
11.3KentuckySEC0.68060.57901619-031-05-06-08-07-04-013-0162-0.7-1.1
22.3VirginiaACC0.67180.57871718-028-25-14-04-011-04-012-03243-0.7-0.5
2427.6Iowa St.B120.60030.57711814-420-104-54-24-23-16-010-249162207.60.6
5154.2St. John'sBE0.57180.57451912-518-122-63-34-15-24-010-234584410.20.5
3333.9GeorgiaSEC0.59160.57412013-520-100-32-26-38-24-09-33241249.90.8
56.5WisconsinB100.64870.57332118-227-42-25-18-19-13-012-111318-1.5-0.5
139143.8RutgersB100.51370.57212210-1112-191-30-41-65-54-18-5936210241.82.2
198195.9MissouriSEC0.48690.5721236-129-210-51-52-62-34-25-71974216134.91.4
89.0UtahP120.63970.57202414-324-52-32-17-19-05-09-2162612-3.0-0.8
9795.9MichiganB100.54160.57202511-815-140-61-34-27-32-16-5156617421.91.0
133136.7Wake ForestACC0.51750.5716269-1113-180-71-42-45-35-18-5147159137-0.3-0.0
1619.9West VirginiaB120.61240.57162716-323-83-43-24-17-06-012-133173172.90.4
7779.9South CarolinaSEC0.55240.5710289-815-141-43-33-44-35-08-380114118-38.1-1.7
112113.1Georgia TechACC0.53110.5710299-914-161-51-31-27-44-19-359928132.11.3
3741.2Michigan St.B100.58320.57013013-720-111-52-24-29-24-09-4727743-1.8-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
45.9ArizonaP120.65110.57013118-227-43-12-07-211-13-012-110606-0.1-0.0
2629.2ButlerBE0.59750.56963214-621-103-43-32-19-14-09-3651361811.21.0
4650.4IowaB100.57490.56953313-720-113-42-33-37-25-09-411211052-1.6-0.1
115119.8MarquetteBE0.52750.56833410-914-161-72-52-25-24-18-41281241172.80.1
9393.4UCLAP120.54340.56773511-916-151-71-22-47-25-08-5109507815.40.7
99.4VillanovaBE0.63880.56613617-226-53-24-25-110-14-013-078154.41.0
3639.1IndianaB100.58600.56443715-421-103-42-24-26-16-010-385135327.10.5
9493.9ColoradoP120.54320.56373810-915-151-40-32-48-35-07-51319394-0.1-0.0
8584.6TennesseeSEC0.54940.56353912-616-141-42-43-46-25-08-474535529.61.4
4548.2Seton HallBE0.57690.56264013-519-112-53-32-17-25-010-230145408.20.5
186185.1George MasonA100.49200.5625415-129-200-50-52-42-35-34-716922188-2.9-0.1
1517.9SMUAmer0.61620.56154215-422-70-22-37-15-08-08-32410152.90.4
153155.8AuburnSEC0.50740.5609439-912-180-22-53-54-43-17-51236714015.80.6
6671.7SyracuseACC0.55800.56024414-618-131-51-23-27-36-09-496117665.70.3
2528.4CincinnatiAmer0.59900.56004513-522-92-22-24-36-18-010-329830-1.6-0.1
105102.0Arizona St.P120.53770.55964610-1016-150-51-24-48-34-08-5163179119-17.0-0.7
9997.3NebraskaB100.54110.55964712-715-151-42-33-45-45-08-4145244916.30.3
162163.6Boston CollegeACC0.50370.5594488-912-181-51-42-43-45-18-416622213627.60.9
7176.9RichmondA100.55450.55874910-917-141-31-42-36-47-07-61213882-5.1-0.2
4952.3MississippiSEC0.57280.55865012-720-111-23-35-35-27-19-47995484.30.3
160162.5CreightonBE0.50420.5584519-1112-191-61-62-34-34-19-41161881548.50.3
7880.2MinnesotaB100.55200.55815212-817-131-41-33-46-26-010-24718290-9.8-0.4
1822.4MarylandB100.60780.55775317-324-71-23-25-28-16-012-123115148.41.0
5964.9AlabamaSEC0.56280.55685412-618-120-41-34-36-17-09-3631344915.90.7
3132.9StanfordP120.59270.55655514-521-91-42-15-38-25-09-34186311.90.2
5864.4ConnecticutAmer0.56340.55565610-718-121-52-33-33-18-17-5894477-12.6-0.7
7579.4OregonP120.55300.55485713-618-120-41-25-38-34-09-386109790.40.0
6469.7MemphisAmer0.55890.55445812-719-121-51-32-24-111-18-5952975-5.3-0.3
2326.7Ohio St.B100.60080.55395915-524-71-31-25-29-06-011-25017653-26.3-2.7
9695.8PittsburghACC0.54180.55326012-617-141-51-32-28-36-110-3811817025.81.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
124127.3ClemsonACC0.52280.55286111-815-150-52-33-26-54-18-41592219829.31.2
9089.0PurdueB100.54640.55256212-818-130-33-34-35-45-08-517921996-7.0-0.3
5560.1Texas A&MSEC0.56690.55246313-519-110-32-35-46-17-09-351763624.11.2
151154.7NorthwesternB100.50820.55166410-913-180-51-52-64-27-09-41492411486.70.3
3841.9Miami FLACC0.58250.55036514-522-92-41-23-18-27-010-377165374.90.4
9292.3MassachusettsA100.54420.54986610-916-150-21-44-46-46-17-660116923.31.0
6570.4IllinoisB100.55870.54976713-819-122-31-33-47-26-010-3681685812.40.6
170167.4Washington St.P120.50150.5477689-1011-190-41-22-64-55-16-620524312344.41.9
144147.7CaliforniaP120.51160.54746911-914-170-51-24-44-45-110-38314713215.70.7
190188.9Texas TechB120.49030.54737011-913-181-81-41-32-28-110-317132517018.90.8
5457.6WashingtonP120.56870.54627114-420-102-32-16-26-45-011-136192507.60.4
3437.3ArkansasSEC0.58790.54477215-422-91-23-25-35-29-011-219892116.31.2
166165.8Florida St.ACC0.50220.54457310-1014-170-51-31-45-46-18-519422913530.81.2
154155.8DePaulBE0.50710.54457411-1013-181-53-42-33-35-26-728330012728.81.3
4851.3LSUSEC0.57380.54447515-421-101-12-26-36-26-111-2441673813.30.8
6168.3TempleAmer0.56030.54427613-719-121-51-23-24-110-19-457645414.30.8
179177.9USCP120.49600.5432779-1012-180-40-22-66-54-18-415423715027.91.2
2226.5San Diego St.MWC0.60090.54277814-523-71-21-26-25-19-19-32735233.50.4
67.1GonzagaWCC0.64610.54267919-128-21-13-04-013-07-011-141570.10.0
106104.7UNLVMWC0.53630.54208010-916-141-41-22-44-28-28-4255108-3.3-0.1
7981.5Long Beach St.BW0.55160.5415818-1116-140-31-32-46-37-14-1012235922.51.0
5355.1BYUWCC0.57010.54128213-720-90-31-12-19-38-08-3351962-6.9-0.5
118120.5Penn St.B100.52650.54108313-716-151-41-32-46-47-012-1613019723.51.0
108107.1La SalleA100.53480.54078410-916-150-31-22-45-49-18-57547109-1.9-0.1
220221.2Virginia TechACC0.47310.5399858-1011-200-70-30-33-67-18-5235317223-1.8-0.1
1213.4Wichita St.MVC0.62640.53848616-225-41-22-15-17-010-09-21316103.40.9
287280.5DrakeMVC0.43880.5383873-155-240-40-20-61-64-52-92795425822.51.2
4346.6BuffaloMAC0.57850.53748812-620-100-20-13-38-49-19-3207157-10.4-0.6
116119.9VanderbiltSEC0.52740.53658910-816-140-31-45-44-26-19-31082271145.90.2
243244.3Loyola MarymountWCC0.46010.5353905-157-220-30-30-44-93-33-82478822816.30.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
199195.5OhioMAC0.48670.5336917-1011-180-01-21-74-75-25-62181581923.50.1
4143.6TulsaAmer0.58090.53359214-421-81-31-24-16-19-17-410511946-2.4-0.2
228225.9South FloridaAmer0.47070.5326936-1210-200-20-51-62-56-35-720911821213.90.6
8383.2Illinois St.MVC0.54970.53219411-718-111-41-11-25-310-17-47045111-27.8-1.3
203197.7Ball St.MAC0.48570.5298956-1010-180-20-12-53-75-34-6241205209-11.3-0.4
279273.5FordhamA100.44310.5282964-127-210-20-40-52-65-44-626220424429.51.4
187187.0San FranciscoWCC0.49160.5273978-1212-170-20-20-45-76-25-6207128195-8.0-0.3
109107.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53440.5263988-915-130-20-11-37-47-25-71069125-17.2-0.6
4750.6Saint Mary'sWCC0.57420.52609915-421-70-20-12-211-27-17-398100473.60.2
107104.3TCUB120.53630.525810014-519-122-82-31-13-011-013-090348133-28.7-1.2
8989.2Oregon St.P120.54640.525510113-518-111-20-23-39-35-08-31763237217.20.7
256258.0DuquesneA100.45280.52471025-128-200-20-40-41-76-34-628426524315.00.7
232230.6Mississippi St.SEC0.46810.52471038-1010-200-20-41-64-45-36-627730420822.61.0
3233.7DavidsonA100.59170.524410413-421-71-41-13-16-110-08-25320235-1.3-0.1
8889.1ToledoMAC0.54650.524310511-818-130-20-12-37-59-18-59416199-9.9-0.4
3031.5Notre DameACC0.59420.523510618-226-52-32-14-19-19-012-19133041-9.5-0.9
215217.6Missouri St.MVC0.47510.52321076-1210-180-40-20-43-66-34-620414320314.60.6
4447.5George WashingtonA100.57750.521810816-422-92-31-23-27-29-010-35521151-3.5-0.2
2024.2Northern IowaMVC0.60440.521810917-225-51-21-04-27-112-011-11474222.20.3
195191.9Santa ClaraWCC0.48900.52141109-1012-160-20-30-46-66-14-622820115635.91.5
161162.3San DiegoWCC0.50410.52071119-1113-160-31-22-34-67-26-5142171182-19.7-0.8
207200.0Saint Joseph'sA100.48470.51861128-1012-180-30-22-43-47-56-617719918614.00.5
182183.0Indiana St.MVC0.49370.51841139-1013-160-30-23-32-38-53-82912061758.00.3
9594.2New MexicoMWC0.54250.516611413-719-111-11-22-36-29-28-415326095-0.8-0.0
219220.7PacificWCC0.47360.51641157-119-180-20-30-33-86-25-416823319822.71.1
2729.0Colorado St.MWC0.59690.515311617-225-51-01-15-37-111-012-0883290.00.0
128132.4ColumbiaIvy0.52050.51491178-715-120-10-12-46-38-37-613765163-30.6-1.0
6068.1Boise St.MWC0.56050.513211812-620-90-31-22-24-312-18-356166644.10.2
237235.6Saint LouisA100.46490.51311198-1011-190-40-30-53-48-47-522027119738.61.6
264265.3BradleyMVC0.44830.51261206-149-210-30-11-61-67-54-83002342650.30.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
200197.0OaklandHorz0.48620.51251216-1212-170-21-22-32-67-33-102214918413.00.4
174171.2UABCUSA0.49940.51211229-1015-150-21-11-53-410-33-925852174-2.8-0.1
3538.4DaytonA100.58620.511912316-324-60-11-25-27-110-010-2381442711.40.9
222221.9UCFAmer0.47260.51161248-912-160-30-31-43-28-46-423228020516.90.6
7478.1Rhode IslandA100.55370.511512511-519-90-31-22-26-210-07-392183717.10.3
258259.8East CarolinaAmer0.45130.51141266-119-200-30-41-51-47-55-6272292269-9.2-0.4
155157.0TulaneAmer0.50680.510012712-716-130-21-42-52-211-28-3162298159-2.0-0.1
335333.9San Jose St.MWC0.38630.50971280-171-270-10-30-60-90-90-1034623232013.93.1
8283.0UTEPCUSA0.54990.509412912-721-90-11-11-36-212-28-45221103-20.0-1.0
8182.4EvansvilleMVC0.55010.509313014-520-91-21-11-35-213-19-2671966814.40.8
167166.3PortlandWCC0.50210.508713110-914-140-20-21-44-58-27-31292551606.30.2
7377.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.55420.508513212-519-90-11-13-34-311-15-5130576710.30.5
176174.2DetroitHorz0.49810.50751338-1113-160-10-12-63-58-35-815256177-2.8-0.1
282274.2Miami OHMAC0.44290.50711346-129-210-10-30-62-76-44-8320297280-5.8-0.3
7277.0YaleIvy0.55420.505913511-619-100-00-12-26-510-29-6661136314.00.6
4245.2Old DominionCUSA0.57920.505113615-424-61-01-04-27-311-111-11239423.20.2
205198.7Boston UniversityPat0.48540.50471377-1112-160-10-10-26-76-53-720051206-7.3-0.3
230226.9Northern IllinoisMAC0.46970.50451387-911-170-00-31-53-77-35-52272992188.90.3
148152.8CharlotteCUSA0.50920.50431398-1116-150-10-42-42-312-37-6107781493.80.1
103100.5Kent St.MAC0.53880.503714013-519-110-10-12-55-311-18-4151278115-14.5-0.6
8688.8HarvardIvy0.54680.50371419-517-90-10-02-15-410-38-458105808.80.3
223222.9Fresno St.MWC0.47220.50361428-1011-181-11-21-53-56-43-8311306233-10.1-0.5
276273.3Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44350.50291435-158-220-20-11-42-75-73-112871422676.30.3
113113.9AkronMAC0.53080.502714412-619-110-01-24-36-59-28-41923131103.90.1
123126.8Cleveland St.Horz0.52350.502514510-916-130-30-11-44-311-25-818387129-2.2-0.1
114115.2UC IrvineBW0.52990.50241469-816-120-10-11-35-49-25-7146103122-6.8-0.3
132136.3St. BonaventureA100.51780.502214711-616-130-11-32-35-28-37-4190309155-18.7-0.7
121125.5Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52370.501814811-716-120-30-13-22-311-38-28225810619.50.8
8788.7William & MaryCAA0.54670.500814910-717-100-10-11-35-310-34-59943101-12.3-0.5
302298.7Southern MissCUSA0.42570.50051504-126-210-00-20-71-65-63-62682032953.70.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
147151.6James MadisonCAA0.50960.499515112-918-130-20-11-45-412-37-61607314110.60.4
308303.6MarshallCUSA0.42170.49931523-157-220-20-21-41-75-82-9321209312-8.4-0.5
127129.4Western MichiganMAC0.52210.498915311-617-120-01-12-45-69-17-41753281281.40.0
6370.1Bowling GreenMAC0.55920.496815412-420-80-00-22-37-210-18-276302655.10.2
319314.6Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41090.49671553-165-240-10-20-41-104-72-1131016030113.61.1
209207.9Holy CrossPat0.48060.49591567-1012-150-00-01-26-85-54-5139792016.90.2
284276.1DrexelCAA0.44170.49581575-138-200-00-10-52-96-42-82921312706.10.3
299291.5NevadaMWC0.43160.49581584-127-210-20-31-42-54-72-8345310309-17.5-1.0
267268.4HoustonAmer0.44620.49501597-1211-190-30-31-51-38-68-425233625612.40.6
286277.9MilwaukeeHorz0.44010.49471605-138-200-10-20-33-75-53-9278156281-3.1-0.1
268269.2North TexasCUSA0.44570.49451616-119-190-00-31-52-46-64-6264225272-2.8-0.1
257260.1College of CharlestonCAA0.45130.49441626-1510-210-10-30-42-88-45-8206132263-2.9-0.1
145149.9PepperdineWCC0.51070.494216311-816-120-21-21-34-410-26-4223333165-15.1-0.6
266267.8RiceCUSA0.44660.49411644-118-190-10-20-52-56-71-8326252296-28.2-1.0
197192.2Wright St.Horz0.48860.49381658-1012-160-10-21-44-48-56-612511615240.21.6
141146.4Middle TennesseeCUSA0.51280.493716611-817-130-11-11-44-511-36-615714813016.40.6
8484.3Georgia St.SB0.54940.493016712-720-100-10-21-15-313-36-44869104-19.7-1.0
306299.3NiagaraMAAC0.42490.49291683-157-220-00-20-32-85-91-8296632981.30.1
270271.0FairfieldMAAC0.44490.49261696-139-210-10-10-42-98-62-82696624922.01.0
158162.2LehighPat0.50450.49241709-915-130-10-01-17-87-45-5127111168-5.8-0.2
169166.3Eastern MichiganMAC0.50180.49231718-714-130-00-22-44-38-27-2101314178-11.7-0.3
309303.8DelawareCAA0.42160.49231724-156-230-10-11-32-83-91-10328189306-2.2-0.1
181181.0ColgatePat0.49430.49151738-1214-160-10-10-26-98-42-10293190216-35.0-1.2
172169.8Utah St.MWC0.50040.491517410-815-140-11-23-52-410-36-5187246190-20.2-0.8
5254.5Green BayHorz0.57070.490017515-422-60-11-03-26-212-19-33910460-5.5-0.4
211211.2DenverSum0.47850.48951769-1114-150-10-21-23-410-66-7185108221-9.8-0.4
135142.2Gardner WebbBSth0.51490.48931779-815-120-10-21-25-39-44-51207012022.20.8
157159.6Cal PolyBW0.50560.48921788-813-130-10-11-35-47-45-51261941536.60.2
171168.8BucknellPat0.50080.489117910-1015-150-10-00-27-88-34-82291861671.80.1
5659.8WoffordSC0.56680.489018014-521-80-21-12-15-114-27-417174514.80.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
111112.8AmericanPat0.53150.488718111-818-120-00-00-38-69-37-5711461120.80.0
125128.4UT ArlingtonSB0.52240.487318211-717-120-20-11-24-312-45-4881221244.40.2
175172.9Louisiana MonroeSB0.49890.48721838-814-130-00-00-34-59-42-521713716210.90.4
265265.9Air ForceMWC0.44780.48711846-1110-170-20-21-51-58-35-4266340285-19.1-0.8
120125.0BelmontOVC0.52420.486518511-717-100-10-11-24-412-27-587998738.01.5
250247.7BrownIvy0.45820.48601867-1011-180-01-10-52-78-67-821225323116.70.6
6972.8WyomingMWC0.55700.485918715-322-71-21-13-15-213-19-210432073-0.2-0.0
143147.8LafayettePat0.51160.485718810-816-120-20-00-15-611-37-3461411434.80.2
225225.0IUPUISum0.47130.48501898-1312-180-00-10-43-79-54-102451802196.00.2
104100.9NortheasternCAA0.53830.484819014-721-100-00-11-37-512-28-5971788911.90.6
285276.0NavyPat0.44140.48481916-1310-190-10-20-13-106-63-8299228282-6.0-0.3
6873.3Central MichiganMAC0.55740.484619211-319-70-01-03-16-310-27-1140350105-31.7-1.3
208206.5Texas St.SB0.48110.48431937-912-140-10-11-22-59-53-3114123211-4.5-0.2
146151.1Eastern IllinoisOVC0.51020.484119411-815-120-00-10-25-59-45-61431301429.10.4
236233.0PrincetonIvy0.46630.48401957-912-170-00-01-34-97-46-9275267284-51.0-1.5
10097.7Stony BrookAE0.54060.484019611-819-100-10-22-04-513-27-64320889.70.5
289282.6South AlabamaSB0.43690.48361974-139-200-00-10-33-96-81-8343235303-20.4-0.9
262264.0PennIvy0.44860.48301985-1010-180-10-01-42-87-55-9274279288-24.0-1.0
126128.5New Mexico St.WAC0.52220.482919910-1018-110-20-11-32-215-26-915523164-35.5-1.9
300291.7Austin PeayOVC0.43060.48282005-138-200-00-10-43-55-93-9288220299-7.3-0.4
204197.8CornellIvy0.48560.48232018-914-150-00-11-44-49-57-8214269207-9.2-0.3
260262.6UC RiversideBW0.44940.48182027-1110-180-20-10-42-78-55-723325624121.60.8
281273.3Loyola MDPat0.44300.48152037-1210-190-00-11-25-105-64-724423924033.31.5
183182.8Oral RobertsSum0.49350.48132049-1014-140-11-10-33-510-55-7178174194-11.2-0.4
193190.4HawaiiBW0.48980.481320512-717-130-10-13-44-511-310-4141226196-5.6-0.2
7678.9Louisiana TechCUSA0.55250.480720614-522-80-00-22-35-214-28-4124270100-21.1-1.0
129131.8CanisiusMAAC0.52040.480620711-818-110-00-11-24-512-35-4117107144-12.2-0.5
322320.8Montana St.BSky0.40380.48032083-156-230-10-10-41-64-122-926755329-8.2-0.7
180180.9Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49450.48032099-1014-150-10-20-14-610-44-71384816911.90.4
137143.1East Tennessee St.SC0.51410.479421010-716-110-10-10-33-312-45-445301394.10.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
233231.5Florida AtlanticCUSA0.46740.47922116-811-150-00-20-42-58-45-4148274238-6.5-0.2
149152.3UNC WilmingtonCAA0.50910.478221210-815-130-10-21-33-312-44-61882471466.30.2
134137.9ChattanoogaSC0.51720.478121312-718-110-20-20-15-213-45-6165681316.90.3
173171.1Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49980.47812148-915-130-00-12-23-510-63-5240242227-55.9-1.8
6268.2IonaMAAC0.56010.477921514-623-80-00-10-28-314-27-4641515612.20.8
5051.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57280.477921613-324-40-20-13-03-117-07-36212686-34.3-2.7
241242.5LamarSlnd0.46100.47722176-910-160-20-20-21-39-62-6213139279-36.5-1.2
312307.5Western IllinoisSum0.41750.47712185-117-180-00-00-31-76-83-62762173043.50.2
6772.0Eastern WashingtonBSky0.55740.476921912-521-70-11-10-14-316-16-437466111.00.6
275273.1Youngstown St.Horz0.44360.47692207-1310-180-00-20-52-77-56-61842452685.10.2
263264.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.44850.47682218-1211-190-30-11-52-49-66-6294347283-18.1-0.8
9896.5South Dakota St.Sum0.54130.476722213-719-90-20-10-04-315-37-5103184121-24.5-1.2
206199.1BryantNEC0.48520.47592239-914-150-00-00-34-710-53-820180202-2.9-0.1
292285.1Arkansas Little RockSB0.43530.47522246-1210-190-00-20-42-78-64-5263254318-32.9-1.4
194191.0QuinnipiacMAAC0.48940.474922511-816-130-00-02-25-59-66-3136152204-13.0-0.5
249247.1SienaMAAC0.45870.47492268-1012-170-00-00-24-98-63-6239212248-0.9-0.0
218219.1Morehead St.OVC0.47440.47452277-1313-160-10-20-32-811-33-10259198234-14.9-0.7
296287.5Cal St. FullertonBW0.43380.47452286-129-200-00-00-42-117-46-721628226225.51.2
231228.7Northern KentuckyASun0.46920.47442297-1112-150-20-00-21-710-44-92039721711.70.5
294286.3WagnerNEC0.43450.47442305-139-190-10-10-02-107-71-9308102293-6.7-0.3
229225.4FIUCUSA0.47060.47392317-911-170-10-10-33-58-65-619630721015.40.5
102100.0High PointBSth0.53920.473823212-518-90-10-11-16-512-26-354170937.00.3
213216.4Tennessee TechOVC0.47610.47382338-1113-150-00-00-35-78-66-6110157236-19.6-0.7
7073.8Murray St.OVC0.55590.473023415-423-50-00-13-17-213-28-411919783-9.2-0.6
307299.7FurmanSC0.42410.47262354-138-190-10-10-31-76-71-8313138305-5.3-0.3
325322.7PresbyterianBSth0.40170.47232363-145-220-10-00-30-94-90-93361493175.70.6
196191.5DartmouthIvy0.48890.47172378-814-140-00-01-24-59-67-7210315193-1.5-0.0
272271.6North DakotaBSky0.44400.47102384-129-190-20-10-21-68-83-72029423041.61.6
340338.2Tennessee St.OVC0.37790.47082391-173-250-10-00-30-93-131-12340238342-3.8-0.5
238238.6Appalachian St.SB0.46320.47052408-1012-170-00-01-23-88-63-6256305253-14.4-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
345341.0MaineAE0.37220.47032411-183-260-10-10-30-92-121-12319140341-0.0-0.0
184183.7MontanaBSky0.49330.47002428-814-130-10-21-22-312-52-723175226-42.3-1.3
333329.2Coppin St.MEAC0.39170.46992431-175-230-00-10-40-84-90-1230236332-2.8-0.3
212213.7Northern ArizonaBSky0.47710.46972448-1114-160-01-11-21-612-74-8193101220-6.3-0.2
338337.8MaristMAAC0.37910.46972451-184-260-00-00-20-113-131-9341276344-6.2-1.0
201196.3MercerSC0.48610.46962469-1015-140-10-31-32-413-43-8273169225-28.7-1.0
188187.7Robert MorrisNEC0.49100.468224710-1016-140-20-10-14-612-44-823015517314.70.6
185185.1MonmouthMAAC0.49250.468224811-917-140-20-11-13-413-64-7261263200-14.9-0.6
304298.0CampbellBSth0.42530.46792494-148-200-10-10-12-86-93-7242193319-21.0-1.0
178176.8Charleston SouthernBSth0.49670.46762509-714-120-00-21-23-510-23-5189129181-4.2-0.1
159161.6Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50430.46702519-816-110-11-01-22-412-46-5133175172-10.4-0.4
259260.2Weber St.BSky0.45060.46682526-1111-160-10-20-32-49-63-6215842591.20.0
8081.2ValparaisoHorz0.55080.466425315-422-60-00-12-18-312-110-26925984-2.8-0.1
245245.3UTSACUSA0.45970.46632547-912-150-00-10-52-59-54-5270326251-5.7-0.2
341338.9BinghamtonAE0.37650.46622551-184-250-10-20-20-103-120-13342187343-4.1-0.6
164164.1St. Francis PANEC0.50340.46592569-916-120-10-10-05-611-45-5841121577.10.2
342339.4Chicago St.WAC0.37500.46502571-173-250-00-10-40-63-131-133171253381.40.2
274271.7VMISC0.44370.46482586-1310-170-20-20-21-58-71-731215025516.70.7
217217.4South DakotaSum0.47500.46472599-1114-150-00-10-33-411-75-8246281222-4.6-0.2
246245.9IdahoBSky0.45930.46452606-1012-150-00-01-33-47-83-6234185274-28.1-0.9
227225.5Northwestern St.Slnd0.47100.46452615-912-130-10-30-32-210-51-62431821312.50.4
280273.1IPFWSum0.44310.46392626-1110-160-00-00-42-68-64-6250284287-13.9-0.6
150154.1RiderMAAC0.50830.463726313-819-120-10-10-24-415-46-518127313816.10.7
138143.6Texas SouthernSWAC0.51370.46342648-1118-130-31-11-21-415-33-10113412617.60.7
130133.8Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51940.463426511-718-90-00-12-24-313-27-6135133147-13.2-0.5
119124.6UC DavisBW0.52470.462826612-418-90-00-01-26-411-38-311831810717.60.6
224224.0Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47180.46242679-1115-160-00-10-25-610-76-5173277242-18.0-0.8
244245.1Sacred HeartNEC0.45970.46182688-1214-160-10-10-13-910-65-7208195260-14.9-0.6
277272.7LIU BrooklynNEC0.44340.46172697-1211-180-00-10-23-99-74-7225191286-13.3-0.6
253251.6Western CarolinaSC0.45630.46132707-1212-170-00-10-42-710-53-8237236257-5.4-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
326324.3UNC GreensboroSC0.39960.46062713-156-220-10-10-22-64-121-9333257333-8.7-0.9
140144.0Norfolk St.MEAC0.51360.460627211-918-110-20-10-14-414-35-811132176-32.0-1.4
234232.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.46710.46012736-1012-140-00-00-24-77-51-7324283252-19.9-0.7
10198.1Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54030.459527411-520-70-00-21-32-117-15-4100106113-14.9-1.0
269269.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44560.45922757-1111-160-00-10-32-69-54-7301321292-22.6-1.0
291284.1Houston BaptistSlnd0.43580.45892765-88-160-00-10-21-57-81-5315327328-43.9-1.8
117119.7Georgia SouthernSB0.52720.458827710-418-80-00-01-25-213-34-21643431163.70.1
152154.5Sacramento St.BSky0.50810.458827811-617-100-10-01-11-314-54-51982481513.50.1
189188.1NJITind0.49080.458527910-1013-120-10-01-14-48-513-12186286189-0.9-0.0
122125.5HofstraCAA0.52360.458128014-722-90-00-12-24-416-29-4144322179-53.5-2.9
293286.0Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43510.45802816-1210-180-00-10-12-98-74-61912142788.00.4
165164.6North Dakota St.Sum0.50310.458028211-716-110-10-11-13-313-56-5195303166-1.4-0.0
168166.7Tennessee MartinOVC0.50180.457528310-716-110-00-10-32-514-26-5167312180-13.3-0.5
254253.5Arkansas St.SB0.45480.45732848-1012-160-00-00-42-810-54-42653452503.50.2
283274.6TowsonCAA0.44260.45682858-1211-190-10-10-42-79-66-6236334276-1.4-0.1
248246.1ManhattanMAAC0.45900.45672868-1013-160-00-00-33-810-43-6304329273-26.9-1.0
156159.6RadfordBSth0.50570.456628711-717-110-10-01-23-513-36-4102223171-11.4-0.4
252249.9ElonCAA0.45720.45652889-1013-160-10-01-22-910-56-5222337277-27.1-1.2
131133.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.51920.45642896-516-80-00-21-21-114-34-22690134-0.1-0.0
339338.1Central ConnecticutNEC0.37870.45622903-185-260-10-10-11-104-142-11323261340-1.9-0.3
311306.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.41920.45542917-139-200-10-00-22-67-105-8249293310-3.8-0.2
305298.5Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42530.45502926-109-190-00-10-31-48-113-72812622899.50.5
192189.8VermontAE0.49010.45452939-916-120-00-01-23-612-44-8253210215-25.2-0.9
142145.9AlbanyAE0.51240.454129411-719-100-00-12-14-513-36-71822131450.90.0
324321.0LongwoodBSth0.40340.45372954-158-210-00-10-22-95-102-9325287324-3.0-0.2
310304.6SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.41990.45372966-119-160-00-00-31-67-82-7349344330-25.4-1.3
177174.3St. Francis NYNEC0.49800.453629711-918-120-10-00-05-613-45-7224250185-10.7-0.5
288281.1McNeese St.Slnd0.43740.45362983-1010-150-10-10-31-39-72-51501223744.11.7
210209.8HartfordAE0.47950.451629910-816-120-00-10-23-512-46-617420819118.80.8
221221.6Northern ColoradoBSky0.47270.45083007-914-130-00-10-22-512-53-6290251224-2.4-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
318312.8TroySB0.41200.45053015-118-190-00-11-22-55-93-4327351322-9.2-0.6
261263.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.44920.44983028-812-160-10-10-21-411-83-7314332297-33.5-1.5
337335.6Nicholls St.Slnd0.38230.44923032-115-200-10-10-30-54-110-733212732510.61.3
202197.5ArmyPat0.48590.448730411-617-110-10-00-15-711-38-2158346214-16.5-0.6
251248.9UMass LowellAE0.45750.44863058-1112-160-10-10-22-710-65-717224023513.90.6
320319.0Southern UtahBSky0.40500.44813064-138-200-00-00-31-67-112-8309275323-4.0-0.3
239241.0Portland St.BSky0.46220.44763078-812-140-00-00-22-510-64-4199324247-6.0-0.2
255256.6LipscombASun0.45300.44763087-1011-150-10-00-11-810-43-9295266261-4.4-0.2
332328.6Idaho St.BSky0.39320.44733093-156-220-00-00-30-66-121-9338290337-8.4-0.8
247246.4Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45930.44723104-1313-170-20-20-21-312-92-10297154254-7.6-0.3
240242.7SouthernSWAC0.46140.44663116-1213-160-10-10-30-613-40-1128514245-2.3-0.1
290283.2Utah ValleyWAC0.43640.44513126-1110-170-10-10-10-510-84-923821524637.21.6
328326.2Kennesaw St.ASun0.39740.44493135-157-220-00-10-21-76-114-1130628831610.21.1
327323.7Savannah St.MEAC0.39910.44463143-147-210-10-20-21-66-102-102829629132.72.3
334333.5UMBCAE0.38670.44413153-166-230-00-10-30-85-112-11334296336-2.5-0.3
191189.3Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.49030.442431611-1018-130-20-10-13-515-57-81341771872.30.1
242244.1WinthropBSth0.46020.44223177-913-130-10-00-13-710-52-6305308275-30.9-1.1
163163.3North FloridaASun0.50350.441931810-917-110-10-11-22-414-45-9226294183-19.7-0.9
273272.3Grand CanyonWAC0.44380.44133199-1015-140-10-11-21-413-67-82482302648.30.4
314308.3South Carolina St.MEAC0.41710.44123205-159-200-10-00-11-88-101-1231620729018.31.1
214217.6Delaware St.MEAC0.47540.44113218-914-150-00-10-33-412-64-916116419918.60.7
343339.4StetsonASun0.37470.44023222-155-220-00-10-10-85-122-11337316347-7.6-1.0
349349.2Central ArkansasSlnd0.33930.43993230-171-280-00-10-30-61-180-113502913490.20.1
321319.9Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.40480.43963245-138-190-10-00-10-47-133-102862493145.90.4
297288.3UMKCWAC0.43330.43943256-1311-180-00-00-22-510-113-12307264302-13.7-0.6
136143.3Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51410.438832611-518-80-00-11-25-413-25-3132311158-14.7-0.5
323320.5The CitadelSC0.40350.43873275-128-180-00-11-11-57-102-5335335331-10.5-0.8
303296.7New OrleansSlnd0.42560.43843282-108-160-00-20-20-48-81-52119126630.71.2
278272.8SeattleWAC0.44320.43733298-913-130-00-10-33-310-75-72572312711.80.1
235232.8New HampshireAE0.46690.43653309-914-130-00-00-13-711-55-62192952293.80.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
330326.8North Carolina A&TMEAC0.39640.43553313-168-210-10-10-20-67-111-12331200334-7.2-0.7
298288.9Nebraska OmahaSum0.43270.43503327-1111-170-00-00-22-59-95-7289349308-19.1-0.8
317313.2SamfordSC0.41270.43383338-1411-190-00-10-41-610-96-62543393130.20.0
315309.2Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.41630.43303345-1410-180-10-00-11-59-113-11318289326-16.8-1.2
329326.4Morgan St.MEAC0.39640.43273354-168-220-10-10-11-77-132-12329268327-0.6-0.1
347345.0LibertyBSth0.36020.43263362-155-220-00-00-11-94-122-7348342350-5.0-1.1
271270.2HowardMEAC0.44480.42953376-1012-160-00-10-21-711-63-9255272294-23.8-0.9
316311.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41430.42873385-1510-220-00-20-31-59-123-1125117230011.50.8
346340.9JacksonvilleASun0.37200.42853394-156-220-00-10-11-65-143-11344338346-5.1-0.9
295287.7HamptonMEAC0.43380.42793408-1112-170-00-10-31-611-84-9271285311-23.3-1.1
301293.2Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42940.42783414-1411-190-10-10-30-511-91-1128085307-13.8-0.7
110111.8North Carolina CentralMEAC0.53170.427634212-521-60-20-10-14-117-16-578989219.81.3
350349.1Grambling St.SWAC0.33860.42743430-152-240-00-20-30-42-150-8298283481.10.6
216218.1USC UpstateASun0.47500.419934411-717-100-10-00-12-415-49-4170331239-20.9-0.9
313308.0Jackson St.SWAC0.41750.41803455-1512-190-00-10-20-811-82-11303216315-7.0-0.5
331326.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.39590.41763463-128-190-00-10-20-58-110-93301203215.60.5
344339.6Alcorn St.SWAC0.37460.41753473-147-210-10-10-20-56-130-103391633390.60.1
351350.7Florida A&MMEAC0.32170.41543480-191-280-00-00-10-81-180-13351319351-0.3-0.4
348346.9Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35350.41263492-175-260-10-10-20-55-181-1232221833511.94.1
336335.2Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38280.39983504-149-200-00-00-10-89-113-10347341345-9.8-1.2
226224.7Alabama St.SWAC0.47120.39393518-516-90-10-10-11-116-42-5260224232-7.3-0.2

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com