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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.
Through games of Feb 4, 2012.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
78.2Michigan St.B100.63930.6089116-522-84-52-24-17-04-010-210189-0.8-0.2
2627.1ConnecticutBE0.60450.6019215-719-112-33-15-46-33-010-266225.10.5
34.2DukeACC0.65390.5953319-326-54-43-16-010-03-013-21322.20.9
3433.3Colorado St.MWC0.59720.5916414-717-111-51-23-28-14-010-423212310.30.8
3231.5VanderbiltSEC0.59860.5907516-720-112-42-25-38-24-011-43110283.50.4
88.8KansasB120.63700.5872618-524-74-43-15-16-06-010-3332780.80.2
23.4Ohio St.B100.65830.5872720-326-56-33-15-08-05-012-19974-0.6-0.3
3131.4West VirginiaBE0.59910.5869815-820-112-33-27-46-23-010-32016301.40.1
54.6North CarolinaACC0.65230.5850920-326-53-43-15-010-05-013-25235-0.4-0.1
9998.5VillanovaBE0.54300.58331010-1214-160-71-33-37-23-17-59133944.50.2
2225.3MichiganB100.60670.58241116-620-104-53-24-25-24-09-3571341510.31.0
6466.2NorthwesternB100.56700.58221213-817-131-61-33-37-14-010-224554818.21.0
120120.3Oklahoma St.B120.52760.58151310-1212-181-60-43-53-25-06-6146921146.30.4
66.8BaylorB120.64390.58141420-225-53-35-15-05-07-012-023633.81.1
1921.9Florida St.ACC0.61150.58111516-622-83-31-25-18-24-09-57530183.90.4
12.1SyracuseBE0.66620.57991623-129-24-13-07-19-05-013-034111.10.7
3639.4IllinoisB100.59020.57891716-620-113-62-14-26-15-011-244119318.40.6
2021.8WisconsinB100.61090.57751818-623-83-63-14-08-15-011-2349429-7.2-1.2
128132.0GeorgiaSEC0.51990.57531910-1212-180-51-43-54-44-09-590651266.00.3
1113.9GeorgetownBE0.62480.57502017-422-64-33-12-28-15-09-11159130.90.2
2325.3LouisvilleBE0.60640.57482118-523-82-53-15-27-15-012-177627-1.7-0.2
2830.4AlabamaSEC0.60010.57302215-721-91-31-36-29-12-011-3405634-3.6-0.3
1315.5MarquetteBE0.62160.57122319-524-72-32-16-29-15-011-23099123.50.5
9796.1South FloridaBE0.54460.57102412-1015-150-61-23-47-43-06-6128717917.10.9
2425.8MemphisCUSA0.60560.56932516-722-91-41-25-111-14-010-5438205.80.6
5458.4TexasB120.57310.56912614-919-121-61-22-27-17-010-36312766-7.6-0.5
5661.3MarshallCUSA0.57020.56772713-917-121-41-23-36-26-08-55413610.30.0
6668.5MinnesotaB100.56480.56742816-719-122-52-24-36-25-012-1351775216.51.0
7574.5PittsburghBE0.56040.56712914-918-132-42-34-47-34-011-250118659.50.6
6265.0PurdueB100.56760.56673015-819-121-63-34-15-26-010-374170623.00.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1720.6IndianaB100.61280.56483118-623-83-42-15-27-17-013-017195173.60.5
99.6Nevada Las VegasMWC0.63470.56423219-424-62-34-22-19-07-014-21610711-1.4-0.3
118117.6NebraskaB100.52940.56413311-1014-151-71-32-44-26-08-312424810017.61.0
6970.0MississippiSEC0.56360.56343414-817-130-52-33-39-23-010-4611205119.01.1
149151.1St. John'sBE0.50820.56323510-1312-190-71-22-45-55-06-722615913615.10.8
4749.2Saint Joseph'sA100.58090.56323615-919-121-11-35-37-35-010-53825427.20.5
134136.4TennesseeSEC0.51740.56313710-1213-172-61-31-25-45-17-7204150141-4.6-0.2
3939.6Iowa St.B120.58990.56293817-621-102-51-23-29-27-010-380180363.60.3
5762.9North Carolina St.ACC0.56920.56283917-720-111-51-23-29-26-011-45531593.90.3
9189.8OklahomaB120.54910.56284013-916-140-63-32-23-38-010-2521837712.80.7
111112.8MarylandACC0.53280.56264113-915-150-60-53-35-17-010-4961319715.80.9
5053.1Seton HallBE0.57740.56254215-819-111-42-14-48-24-011-1181063221.11.4
6164.4Miami FLACC0.56820.56214313-717-121-50-32-49-05-09-465905410.40.6
1214.9FloridaSEC0.62290.56134419-424-72-43-14-011-25-012-329105140.90.1
9493.2Virginia TechACC0.54670.55974513-1017-140-51-32-28-25-111-46996921.20.1
161163.2Penn St.B100.50120.55924610-1412-190-71-32-54-34-18-515321714320.21.2
44.3KentuckySEC0.65320.55914723-129-25-23-14-011-05-014-18986-1.7-0.8
5355.8XavierA100.57490.55834815-819-110-22-45-36-16-09-56637505.80.4
1617.4Wichita St.MVC0.61780.55704919-423-61-21-26-111-15-09-2121526-8.6-1.4
138140.0UABCUSA0.51500.5569509-1312-170-61-21-44-35-25-8165531382.00.1
6566.5Notre DameBE0.56640.55565115-819-123-42-22-15-46-08-51611985610.50.6
219215.5PortlandWCC0.47230.5550525-186-220-40-40-42-74-32-10208172087.50.4
5560.5Northern IowaMVC0.57120.55505315-918-121-32-12-39-35-19-313194911.50.9
8179.5DuquesneA100.55700.55485413-916-130-11-34-57-34-08-5886881-1.5-0.1
4445.9Kansas St.B120.58370.55455516-620-102-52-22-27-17-011-14722846-0.1-0.0
169172.1South CarolinaSEC0.49650.5541569-1312-180-71-21-26-54-28-619920415814.10.6
8077.1DaytonA100.55810.55285714-918-121-13-34-56-24-210-46773725.10.3
2124.4TempleA100.60750.55195817-523-72-02-16-47-26-011-31539195.40.6
140141.7RutgersBE0.51370.55155912-1215-162-41-33-42-56-08-5201239144-2.3-0.1
4041.7Mississippi St.SEC0.58800.55036018-522-91-32-23-310-15-013-253175338.70.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8885.2Louisiana St.SEC0.55240.55016113-917-131-31-42-37-36-010-41042147510.20.6
275272.4UtahP120.43800.5494624-184-250-00-40-111-73-32-9280792639.41.0
6365.9ArkansasSEC0.56740.54916316-720-111-32-22-39-26-112-3681885312.90.6
8382.4Missouri St.MVC0.55470.54906413-1117-131-41-32-27-47-07-58650820.40.0
2526.6San Diego St.MWC0.60500.54896518-322-62-34-23-06-18-012-258216215.60.5
121123.7Texas ChristianMWC0.52550.54646612-914-150-42-31-25-46-19-614924110122.71.2
197196.4George WashingtonA100.48310.5463678-1510-200-20-51-85-34-35-9191841897.40.4
234233.7Texas TechB120.46140.5459687-158-220-60-40-41-76-07-52273032321.70.1
1415.8Southern MississippiCUSA0.62090.54506918-324-51-12-16-18-17-011-2146478.81.3
232232.8Southern CaliforniaP120.46220.5448706-188-230-30-31-92-75-25-81866122012.80.8
1011.7MissouriB120.62950.54447121-227-43-14-16-16-18-013-032264101.70.3
137139.5IowaB100.51550.54227213-1115-162-51-33-44-46-08-523829312217.50.9
156158.4East CarolinaCUSA0.50470.5419738-1010-150-30-11-44-55-15-4152182163-4.6-0.2
151154.9Texas A&MB120.50630.54197411-1013-160-70-41-33-29-08-32113241459.90.4
176174.7Air ForceMWC0.49480.5414759-1011-150-40-40-32-38-08-41952971713.70.2
248248.2Boston CollegeACC0.45330.5392767-168-220-30-41-53-74-25-927317923711.20.8
178176.5Boise St.MWC0.49410.5385779-1212-160-41-40-35-55-09-5144286197-20.5-0.9
249248.0BradleyMVC0.45330.5383786-198-230-50-21-62-84-36-720013322919.01.4
7675.2ColoradoP120.56010.53827914-718-100-10-24-47-27-06-410793714.20.2
155156.6EvansvilleMVC0.50480.53718010-1212-160-50-13-13-66-25-5217164162-5.4-0.3
4649.0AkronMAC0.58100.53708115-720-100-01-34-55-110-07-7722655-6.0-0.5
6769.1WashingtonP120.56470.53668216-720-100-20-24-47-19-07-51176273-3.9-0.2
144147.6AuburnSEC0.51030.53658313-1015-150-41-52-44-27-010-413327913314.60.7
3030.8New MexicoMWC0.59930.53618418-423-62-23-14-17-09-113-28126343-12.2-1.4
162164.1Georgia TechACC0.50090.5353859-1413-170-30-32-54-56-27-716916014816.10.8
251250.6Rhode IslandA100.45190.5352865-196-250-10-32-80-94-43-122771402446.60.5
2727.9GonzagaWCC0.60260.53378718-424-51-22-23-09-09-011-21934252.90.3
105107.0Loyola MarymountWCC0.53670.53338813-916-120-32-41-14-210-26-614875110-3.0-0.2
4142.4CaliforniaP120.58720.53298918-623-80-20-17-26-29-010-3468547-4.6-0.4
8986.8OregonP120.55110.53279016-719-110-00-43-46-210-09-379122833.80.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
132135.3RichmondA100.51800.53269112-1215-161-01-41-85-37-09-6971151323.30.2
3739.5VirginiaACC0.59010.53199218-423-72-31-05-18-27-013-15126040-0.5-0.0
107109.2UCLAP120.53520.53189312-1017-130-20-33-65-38-07-5155129113-3.8-0.2
3332.0St. LouisA100.59790.53149417-523-60-11-27-36-18-011-24218735-3.0-0.3
182178.1Texas El PasoCUSA0.49290.53139510-1313-170-20-21-45-66-37-714580186-7.9-0.3
1821.0CreightonMVC0.61220.53099621-326-42-02-14-211-17-011-121138165.00.7
168171.6Wake ForestACC0.49670.53049711-1213-170-40-22-44-67-19-513921813734.62.0
5155.5WyomingMWC0.57540.53039816-520-82-31-21-15-210-012-27129569-13.5-1.0
304304.8TowsonCAA0.40770.5300991-242-290-20-10-80-101-80-13303522968.81.2
145148.3ClemsonACC0.50990.529610011-1115-151-31-21-46-66-28-6203261164-15.7-0.7
7372.7Central FloridaCUSA0.56180.529410115-619-91-31-21-27-38-09-382191639.70.5
131135.2DrakeMVC0.51820.529410212-1115-141-21-21-55-47-16-514720612114.20.8
4344.9Brigham YoungWCC0.58410.529310318-622-71-41-14-05-211-010-34160413.90.5
211210.4Miami OHMAC0.47500.52781046-1410-180-10-33-51-54-44-8248104226-15.6-0.7
112113.9PennsylvaniaIvy0.53180.527810512-1018-130-21-21-58-38-18-9121401094.90.3
1516.3St. Mary'sWCC0.61960.527310620-225-31-23-04-15-012-010-2286624-7.7-1.6
7775.8ArizonaP120.55920.526610716-821-100-21-25-47-29-09-460446411.80.9
104105.7TulsaCUSA0.53810.526210814-918-120-31-13-28-36-37-7136101108-2.3-0.2
212210.6San DiegoWCC0.47480.52601097-149-180-30-30-21-68-33-825614619812.60.6
9089.8CincinnatiBE0.54920.526011016-720-112-31-24-26-37-110-316332099-9.2-0.5
142146.8ProvidenceBE0.51100.525911113-1016-151-51-21-54-39-011-213833713115.80.8
9593.8St. BonaventureA100.54630.523711212-817-110-11-34-54-18-17-5102137930.80.0
240241.2Arizona St.P120.45720.52231137-169-210-10-21-85-54-44-825212121625.21.7
190187.0Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.48860.52181147-1311-160-20-21-23-85-23-612751807.00.2
227227.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.46540.52081158-159-200-40-31-43-75-23-83042872270.10.0
7473.3New Mexico St.WAC0.56130.520611616-721-90-21-11-29-310-111-5739584-10.7-0.7
3839.1Long Beach St.BW0.59000.520311715-621-70-41-22-18-111-05-7271372.10.2
191187.2DePaulBE0.48800.520011811-1113-170-50-31-54-47-09-32233381825.20.3
129132.3Utah St.WAC0.51980.519611912-1216-140-11-12-55-38-49-7118116146-13.7-0.7
139140.3CharlotteA100.51480.519312011-1114-150-11-32-63-38-18-511521112713.30.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
199200.2Austin PeayOVC0.48070.51811218-1611-190-10-40-33-77-43-1121622212-11.8-0.7
181178.3CornellIvy0.49330.51811227-1211-160-00-21-45-95-14-922891184-5.7-0.2
6869.1La SalleA100.56430.518012317-721-100-11-24-46-39-011-49824078-8.9-0.6
7070.7BuffaloMAC0.56330.517912413-618-90-11-23-35-28-16-59311190-19.3-1.1
141143.2ButlerHorz0.51300.516812512-1215-150-20-32-25-68-26-610824150-6.8-0.4
119117.6PrincetonIvy0.52930.51661269-1015-131-01-21-46-46-37-7947410512.60.7
133135.3OaklandSum0.51770.515812712-1315-150-10-31-43-411-25-7111481296.30.4
172174.1Western MichiganMAC0.49560.51551289-1313-170-20-31-53-39-45-910591659.10.4
184179.8Florida AtlanticSB0.49230.51451298-1411-170-10-31-42-58-43-9150201772.80.1
7876.4MassachusettsA100.55900.514013017-621-90-12-23-46-19-111-385230688.40.5
108109.5Illinois St.MVC0.53520.513713115-919-110-30-23-18-47-29-3131269115-5.5-0.3
243243.2FordhamA100.45600.51141329-1310-190-21-31-62-67-37-619626522221.21.3
124126.1Old DominionCAA0.52350.511013315-1018-130-20-02-66-510-05-8156281233.10.2
276271.9Santa ClaraWCC0.43790.51051346-157-200-31-31-31-65-56-5177225284-12.1-0.9
204207.8NC WilmingtonCAA0.47650.51051359-1410-190-00-01-74-86-44-7157110215-7.2-0.4
153155.1Bowling GreenMAC0.50610.510013610-1114-151-11-22-54-47-36-7194192174-18.9-0.8
9289.9StanfordP120.54910.509913716-720-100-11-14-45-311-010-28924396-6.1-0.4
236239.2HofstraCAA0.45830.50971388-1711-200-01-01-62-106-47-6171130252-12.8-0.8
130133.0Indiana St.MVC0.51930.509313913-1016-130-31-11-46-48-28-310630011716.00.9
179177.4RiceCUSA0.49370.509014010-1113-150-20-30-44-58-16-62142291707.40.4
5863.3NevadaWAC0.56900.508214117-421-70-10-23-27-211-010-48415370-6.7-0.5
216214.4Southern MethodistCUSA0.47270.50711428-1311-180-20-21-34-86-27-61922332068.40.4
113114.4Oregon St.P120.53130.506614314-818-110-01-24-53-39-19-2119302128-13.6-0.8
164164.6Washington St.P120.50080.505614411-1114-150-11-22-73-28-47-41542781604.60.2
238240.2Western KentuckySB0.45790.50551458-1510-190-10-30-54-56-64-922145245-4.8-0.3
136138.4FairfieldMAAC0.51580.505014612-1016-130-00-20-54-411-15-713587151-12.6-0.7
192187.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.48800.504914710-1313-160-20-12-24-67-52-11275491816.70.3
150152.1San FranciscoWCC0.50740.503814813-1015-130-30-31-22-312-28-4130242157-4.9-0.3
8784.8Kent St.MAC0.55260.503814915-620-90-01-21-46-311-110-37718595-10.2-0.6
4243.6Oral RobertsSum0.58550.501315021-525-60-11-23-27-114-09-47813245-1.4-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4546.0IonaMAAC0.58310.501215119-524-60-01-14-29-111-29-3265157-11.0-1.2
188183.3Fresno St.WAC0.49030.50091529-1413-170-00-11-54-98-28-8176224192-8.7-0.4
220216.3Wright St.Horz0.47130.499315310-1412-180-20-11-34-108-24-8222135217-0.7-0.0
214212.8Florida InternationalSB0.47350.49891547-1410-170-00-21-33-66-53-821282218-5.2-0.3
282280.4St. Peter'sMAAC0.43120.49861555-187-230-00-20-71-97-52-10308145281-0.6-0.1
245245.2IUPUISum0.45500.49851568-1510-190-20-31-23-67-75-6181168267-21.8-1.1
4952.0Cleveland St.Horz0.57800.498315718-424-60-01-03-210-310-110-2258860-8.0-0.6
215213.8RiderMAAC0.47300.49811589-1512-190-10-20-52-710-43-10237139219-5.2-0.3
254251.5Northern ColoradoBSky0.45080.49801596-148-180-10-20-61-37-62-817514258-6.5-0.3
5255.2South Dakota St.Sum0.57520.497016017-622-70-01-12-26-313-17-48716358-2.8-0.2
126128.5College of CharlestonSC0.52200.496816114-1018-120-10-12-36-310-48-422111253.50.2
6064.0DavidsonSC0.56830.495316216-521-71-20-10-16-214-15-556467-3.0-0.2
5963.5OhioMAC0.56880.495316318-423-70-11-15-25-212-112-26222280-16.5-1.1
125127.3Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52310.495216413-1017-120-30-11-26-59-16-5114141134-6.7-0.4
303304.7William & MaryCAA0.40780.49481653-214-260-10-10-50-114-81-11327258307-2.3-0.3
185181.7DetroitHorz0.49120.494616611-1214-150-00-30-37-67-25-6210161191-9.3-0.4
208208.7NiagaraMAAC0.47590.49461679-1513-180-10-21-51-711-35-81821441999.70.5
102102.8ValparaisoHorz0.53970.494416815-818-110-11-02-28-47-35-6122151106-3.2-0.2
233233.1HoustonCUSA0.46180.494116910-1112-160-10-11-35-86-27-5262294242-8.9-0.4
163164.6NortheasternCAA0.50080.494017011-1214-150-00-00-66-68-35-61321231559.60.5
229228.9Arkansas St.SB0.46440.49351719-1511-190-10-31-52-68-45-9198108234-5.1-0.2
201204.7Louisiana TechWAC0.47830.49341729-1213-160-10-10-55-67-38-719725619014.70.7
239240.4Missouri Kansas CitySum0.45730.49281738-1510-190-20-30-23-47-76-51342032382.40.1
146150.3ColumbiaIvy0.50880.492617411-915-130-10-21-15-69-39-5103193152-1.7-0.1
258255.4StetsonASun0.44870.49231757-159-190-20-10-42-87-52-823572264-8.6-0.4
288285.8JacksonvilleASun0.42650.49211764-196-230-30-10-32-85-82-923989288-2.2-0.2
167169.6IdahoWAC0.49790.490917710-1114-140-00-11-34-68-37-7231274179-9.4-0.4
189184.5HawaiiWAC0.48950.490317812-915-130-10-12-34-58-47-7258272204-19.5-0.9
186183.0North FloridaASun0.49060.490017911-1314-160-20-20-52-512-25-71258616716.00.8
7170.5BelmontASun0.56310.489718016-722-80-21-12-17-212-27-5596991-20.5-1.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
285281.3San Jose St.WAC0.42990.48891816-168-210-00-10-42-95-66-9253284293-11.7-0.8
252250.7PepperdineWCC0.45160.48821827-159-180-30-30-13-56-65-626032923911.70.7
180177.9Western IllinoisSum0.49330.488118310-912-130-10-30-22-39-53-4168255202-24.1-1.1
9391.3DenverSB0.54800.486618417-721-82-01-21-15-412-110-33970883.30.3
7271.1BucknellPat0.56270.486318517-622-70-10-10-38-113-09-69215776-4.9-0.4
3536.7HarvardIvy0.59270.485318619-225-41-01-12-011-110-113-23621039-2.3-0.3
2930.1Murray St.OVC0.60000.484818720-025-12-11-01-08-113-09-143838-7.9-0.9
209210.2LafayettePat0.47530.484718810-1312-170-00-10-52-710-35-10246205231-20.8-1.3
154155.4Tennessee St.OVC0.50580.484518913-1015-130-20-20-13-411-45-7140155173-17.6-0.9
193187.8Morehead St.OVC0.48780.484319010-1213-150-10-10-34-59-44-816010216918.80.9
4849.6Middle TennesseeSB0.57970.483819120-425-40-01-13-29-112-010-345114445.60.7
203208.1LipscombASun0.47660.483719210-1313-160-10-21-32-710-34-7188124211-2.9-0.2
135136.1Tennessee TechOVC0.51720.483219314-917-110-10-20-26-311-36-6137201159-22.9-1.4
320317.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.39430.48311942-214-260-30-10-50-103-93-92541583143.60.5
158159.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50350.482719513-1116-130-00-12-43-611-25-82241541536.30.3
160163.1Youngstown St.Horz0.50150.482719610-1014-130-01-11-35-68-43-621325214914.10.6
9694.6George MasonCAA0.54560.482419719-622-90-00-12-38-313-19-4116213103-8.4-0.5
143147.3UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51070.482219810-815-100-20-40-23-211-23-6129291407.30.4
187183.1DelawareCAA0.49030.481619911-1215-140-10-02-33-69-45-62422681767.10.4
278274.9TroySB0.43510.48132006-158-180-00-20-32-86-54-62051842695.90.4
7977.2Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.55830.481320120-524-70-01-12-28-313-010-38319985-7.8-0.6
279275.8MonmouthNEC0.43500.48102027-189-220-10-20-50-89-62-1128614826510.80.9
321318.8NavyPat0.39290.48082032-194-230-10-00-30-83-122-11318245323-4.2-0.5
8583.9Loyola MDMAAC0.55340.479720417-521-80-10-11-16-314-18-36420989-5.1-0.3
257254.7SamfordSC0.44910.47962057-1410-170-10-01-22-56-91-826757261-6.3-0.4
280276.6MaristMAAC0.43370.47942068-1510-190-10-10-41-68-75-7234232280-3.4-0.2
325321.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.38900.47932071-223-260-10-30-21-62-132-1129720730912.81.3
260256.3NC GreensboroSC0.44790.47922088-1510-190-30-10-32-58-71-10266322497.30.4
226226.1Holy CrossPat0.46600.47912099-1312-160-10-10-22-89-46-820222021412.10.5
122125.0North Dakota St.Sum0.52450.478421013-817-100-00-20-27-110-46-3126288135-10.0-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
326323.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.38790.47822112-213-250-10-10-30-112-91-11326235327-3.7-0.6
259255.0IUPU Fort WayneSum0.44860.47742127-139-170-00-31-32-67-54-4185312259-4.0-0.2
323320.3DartmouthIvy0.39080.47692133-185-240-00-20-31-114-83-12337306324-3.7-0.4
264260.2UC IrvineBW0.44510.47682147-1310-170-10-30-31-69-53-8278117274-13.8-0.8
301303.9St. Francis PANEC0.40860.47662155-187-220-00-00-62-74-91-1028346306-2.1-0.2
263259.8Idaho St.BSky0.44550.47612167-149-190-00-11-50-68-71-1131516624316.80.9
117117.5YaleIvy0.52990.475921713-516-100-10-20-15-511-18-41012761116.50.3
327323.4Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.38740.47582182-214-250-10-00-30-113-111-10328194329-5.6-0.7
115115.4NC AshevilleBSth0.53080.475421915-718-90-10-10-24-314-12-722047116-0.6-0.0
103102.9LamarSlnd0.53970.475222013-819-100-30-10-26-313-27-649431020.90.1
175175.2Boston UniversityAE0.49490.475022112-1316-150-00-20-52-614-14-1117863187-11.8-0.7
283280.2South DakotaSum0.43070.47492225-147-180-00-30-21-66-63-42843352719.20.6
225226.0SienaMAAC0.46620.474622310-1213-160-01-10-44-58-65-62292672251.00.0
101101.6MontanaBSky0.54050.473522414-620-70-01-11-24-215-26-5120109104-2.4-0.2
255252.5Jacksonville St.OVC0.45020.47242258-1511-170-10-20-22-88-54-8250167254-1.5-0.1
305305.2BrownIvy0.40760.47242266-167-230-00-20-21-136-65-113173083032.20.2
221218.1McNeese St.Slnd0.47060.47092277-1011-150-10-11-21-79-42-8245782135.10.2
250249.5Appalachian St.SC0.45190.47062287-1311-160-10-00-23-58-73-6209832472.50.1
9898.0MercerASun0.54310.470222917-721-90-10-10-36-315-17-5109212980.00.0
293290.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42140.47002306-148-190-00-10-34-94-63-6281323301-10.5-0.6
198196.0South AlabamaSB0.48300.470023111-1014-120-20-21-24-39-47-310021916828.01.4
174174.9TulaneCUSA0.49500.469923213-816-120-20-10-24-512-110-2123339178-3.1-0.1
228228.1Georgia SouthernSC0.46470.46972338-1211-150-00-00-32-89-50-83331782217.10.3
8279.2DrexelCAA0.55680.469523419-523-70-00-22-17-314-18-49522386-6.8-0.6
333331.4The CitadelSC0.37650.46942352-193-240-00-00-30-83-131-8324221335-3.6-0.6
200203.3North TexasSB0.47930.469423610-1013-130-00-21-33-59-34-62362262003.30.1
114115.3ManhattanMAAC0.53100.469323717-821-100-11-11-24-316-18-5141281118-2.7-0.2
202206.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.47720.468323811-1114-140-00-00-52-712-24-6241234207-0.1-0.0
206207.8Portland St.BSky0.47650.46832399-1213-150-00-00-51-511-55-715817619413.80.6
253251.6James MadisonCAA0.45130.468024010-1512-190-00-00-62-910-47-6215296255-3.4-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8684.1Weber St.BSky0.55330.468024116-420-60-10-21-13-016-27-37011287-2.9-0.2
210210.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47530.46802429-1312-160-10-10-42-510-54-8151181230-19.5-1.0
290286.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.42580.46772435-148-190-00-10-50-68-72-9279143292-6.0-0.4
159159.3South Carolina UpstateASun0.50340.467624412-1016-130-10-01-43-412-35-61622361545.30.2
287283.4High PointBSth0.42850.46762457-159-180-00-10-33-76-72-7292208294-10.6-0.8
110111.2Robert MorrisNEC0.53370.467024617-822-90-10-13-33-315-29-437581074.20.4
289285.8ChattanoogaSC0.42590.46662476-1610-180-20-10-21-48-103-7269147297-11.2-0.8
277271.4Central MichiganMAC0.43760.46612486-1510-190-10-20-50-69-55-824024725021.41.2
291288.1Seattleind0.42380.46602494-138-160-00-20-22-66-76-162932372871.10.1
247246.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.45380.46522509-1312-180-20-10-43-48-74-1026525422818.90.9
340337.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.36400.46512511-182-250-00-10-40-82-120-113412913343.40.8
270265.6PacificBW0.44190.46512527-1310-170-00-20-23-77-63-8296200268-2.4-0.1
292291.1Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.42190.46472536-178-210-10-00-51-77-82-92891892910.10.0
312310.1Loyola ChicagoHorz0.40210.46352544-176-220-00-20-31-105-74-62713333055.10.5
262259.9Western CarolinaSC0.44570.46332558-1511-180-00-20-42-39-94-71741622518.90.5
231231.1Southern UtahSum0.46300.463025610-1212-150-10-30-31-510-43-6314343241-9.9-0.5
177175.1QuinnipiacNEC0.49450.462725713-1017-120-00-00-35-511-47-499215188-12.9-0.7
123125.1Georgia St.CAA0.52410.462525816-821-90-00-02-34-415-29-3159331139-13.9-0.9
273269.0WinthropBSth0.43980.46242598-1510-180-10-10-21-99-61-9272136282-13.0-0.8
335334.0BryantNEC0.37180.46172602-223-270-10-10-50-83-131-11336273340-6.0-1.1
235236.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.46000.461626110-1213-150-10-00-52-411-43-7295244253-16.7-0.8
338335.2RadfordBSth0.36940.46052622-214-250-10-00-21-93-132-9313174336-0.8-0.2
213210.9Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.47480.460226311-1213-140-10-00-43-29-713-14219275223-12.1-0.6
298296.0ColgatePat0.41670.46002647-169-200-20-00-21-78-106-92703012951.00.1
268264.2Morgan St.MEAC0.44260.45942655-1511-170-10-20-21-59-73-923281273-8.8-0.5
147151.0Charleston SouthernBSth0.50850.459026611-916-100-20-10-12-413-34-41101261429.00.4
183178.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.49280.459026711-915-130-10-11-32-412-35-71731651726.30.3
331328.5Northern ArizonaBSky0.38060.45902683-194-230-00-10-40-64-113-8298250332-3.5-0.5
116116.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.53050.458926913-518-70-00-01-05-512-24-3172253120-4.0-0.2
195190.6East Tennessee St.ASun0.48600.458927011-1015-130-00-01-34-610-45-5170282201-10.4-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
261257.6UC RiversideBW0.44730.45882719-1211-170-10-20-24-57-75-72302272570.60.0
339335.8Chicago St.GWC0.36680.45822721-203-250-20-10-10-63-141-173291693287.81.2
314313.9HowardMEAC0.39790.45812734-186-220-30-10-11-75-112-10255423121.90.2
224223.5ElonSC0.46770.457627410-1013-140-20-10-23-310-63-618911320914.50.7
106107.1Long IslandNEC0.53660.457527517-721-90-00-12-04-616-26-6166270112-4.9-0.3
322319.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.39210.45692764-166-220-00-20-11-74-122-102911423154.10.4
309309.3Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.40300.45692774-177-200-10-00-20-97-81-163211563081.30.1
317314.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.39740.45692784-186-240-00-10-32-74-121-13334257320-5.3-0.5
173174.5CampbellBSth0.49540.455827914-1117-130-10-00-24-412-65-7190283185-10.5-0.5
256253.5PresbyterianBSth0.44980.45462809-1312-160-10-01-12-610-75-51431972467.50.4
100100.3Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.54200.454128116-522-70-10-02-24-216-27-6112196119-18.7-1.3
8483.5WagnerNEC0.55380.454028219-425-40-00-11-16-217-09-248172749.51.3
324322.0CanisiusMAAC0.38910.45312834-196-230-10-20-40-66-114-73223423211.00.1
205207.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.47650.452928412-1215-140-00-20-12-613-57-619328519512.40.6
241242.3Sacred HeartNEC0.45660.452228511-1414-170-00-00-34-710-66-72442982402.30.1
171173.4WoffordSC0.49590.452228613-917-120-10-10-24-312-75-6183289193-19.6-0.9
271266.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.44110.45172877-1410-180-20-10-21-510-82-10268772660.30.0
302304.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40810.45042885-147-180-00-10-12-65-101-83393263004.40.3
170173.1VermontAE0.49600.450028915-1019-120-00-20-24-615-27-8180190175-1.9-0.1
194188.7St. Francis NYNEC0.48760.449729013-1016-130-00-00-33-413-53-8306318205-16.3-0.8
127131.7Norfolk St.MEAC0.52000.449329115-720-90-20-01-13-216-48-5761031301.70.1
310309.6Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.40280.44902924-156-200-00-20-11-95-92-82942923027.60.7
196192.6Cal PolyBW0.48520.448929311-1116-130-20-20-03-413-58-5142262196-3.4-0.2
281277.2ToledoMAC0.43340.44862948-1312-170-10-20-33-49-87-6264305285-7.8-0.5
308308.4Jackson St.SWAC0.40370.44862954-177-220-40-10-11-47-111-101872317-8.6-0.6
166169.2Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49800.448629612-918-110-01-10-24-312-66-7167249183-13.8-0.7
148150.9AmericanPat0.50840.448529715-819-100-11-01-34-313-49-61643211473.90.2
311309.6LibertyBSth0.40270.44752986-168-200-00-00-11-117-92-8330316319-9.4-1.0
157158.6Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.50410.447429911-1117-130-30-20-31-216-21-1122571562.60.1
230230.9FurmanSC0.46320.447230010-1113-140-00-00-22-611-64-5243309233-2.1-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
274270.8Gardner WebbBSth0.43800.44723018-1511-180-10-00-13-99-74-7276314283-12.2-0.7
316314.5Nicholls St.Slnd0.39740.44703025-156-210-10-00-30-86-82-929925930410.51.1
218214.5Coppin St.MEAC0.47240.44633038-1112-130-10-20-31-311-41-830212520311.50.6
315314.2Houston BaptistGWC0.39770.44633045-157-190-10-10-22-46-114-122741713113.20.3
244244.5Texas SouthernSWAC0.45510.44553057-1513-170-30-20-30-312-61-1124712256-11.5-0.5
242242.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45640.444230610-1113-140-20-10-12-411-73-8307319248-5.6-0.3
266261.8Montana St.BSky0.44470.44423079-1111-150-00-10-31-49-83-7287310270-8.2-0.5
343342.2UC DavisBW0.34600.44413080-212-270-10-20-10-81-151-12344322344-1.8-0.9
109109.7LehighPat0.53490.443030917-622-70-10-11-24-217-111-4113327124-14.3-1.4
299299.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.41290.44233105-138-180-10-00-21-67-93-726327128910.50.7
272266.8North DakotaGWC0.43980.44113116-1210-150-10-11-12-27-95-10233173286-19.2-0.8
294293.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.41930.44053127-149-180-10-10-11-68-86-52493322903.40.3
319316.7Texas St.Slnd0.39450.43883134-147-190-00-00-31-67-103-7285304330-13.3-1.0
269264.1Virginia Military InstBSth0.44220.43843149-1111-150-10-00-21-811-43-53053302604.10.2
334332.6MD Baltimore CountyAE0.37410.43783153-195-240-10-00-10-115-111-123322803311.60.3
237240.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.45800.43773167-1111-150-10-00-30-411-72-820667275-34.5-1.5
344343.4BinghamtonAE0.33750.43733170-231-280-10-00-20-91-160-133422903430.40.4
265260.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44500.43613188-1312-170-20-00-21-512-82-11310202262-1.5-0.1
330328.5HartfordAE0.38060.43493194-196-230-00-00-20-106-110-133432993253.50.5
306305.2Sacramento St.BSky0.40710.43453206-149-170-00-00-31-58-94-6319334316-10.8-1.0
165167.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.49890.434132113-718-90-10-20-03-214-47-41843171616.70.3
341337.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.36210.43403222-184-240-10-10-20-54-153-9290238338-0.2-0.0
284279.9Delaware St.MEAC0.43060.43383236-1110-160-00-00-32-59-71-93001492763.90.2
246244.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.45480.43133248-913-130-00-00-22-511-63-7325328277-32.3-1.4
313311.5Longwoodind0.40070.43053256-148-190-10-30-20-27-127-18309313313-1.5-0.1
223222.5Ball St.MAC0.46810.430132611-916-120-00-10-43-313-48-4218340235-12.5-0.6
152154.7Stony BrookAE0.50630.428432714-718-90-10-00-15-313-44-7261277166-11.3-0.6
295293.1ArmyPat0.41930.42793289-1312-160-00-00-31-510-76-8331344299-5.9-0.5
332329.2Florida A&MMEAC0.37920.42773294-176-220-00-10-10-76-130-12340251333-3.8-0.5
297294.9NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.41710.42663306-1210-150-10-10-20-49-84-1128824627816.91.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
217214.3Savannah St.MEAC0.47260.425033111-1017-120-20-10-10-417-45-8257231224-9.7-0.4
286281.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42960.42503327-1311-170-10-20-20-311-81-9259352792.70.2
329327.1Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38140.42333334-198-230-10-20-20-77-121-12301128339-11.9-1.2
328326.2Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.38220.42263345-138-180-00-00-31-67-104-63233363260.20.0
222222.0Utah ValleyGWC0.46850.421133512-1016-110-00-10-30-415-47-10251266236-14.0-0.7
207208.3AlbanyAE0.47630.419333615-1019-120-10-00-22-717-29-6179315210-1.7-0.1
267261.2MaineAE0.44450.418933710-1013-140-00-10-11-612-56-5207311272-10.8-0.6
307307.2HamptonMEAC0.40500.41683388-1412-180-00-00-00-711-114-10312325322-14.8-1.1
337333.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.37070.41333393-156-200-10-10-10-66-120-831154337-3.6-0.4
300301.5Alabama St.SWAC0.41120.40923406-1410-180-00-10-20-610-91-9282152310-8.5-0.6
342341.3GramblingSWAC0.35060.40723413-174-240-00-00-20-64-150-103351863410.30.1
318315.8New HampshireAE0.39580.40673427-1310-170-00-00-11-79-85-6316341318-2.2-0.2
336332.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.37160.40373433-147-180-10-10-00-67-100-7320100342-9.4-1.1
296294.1SouthernSWAC0.41790.38613449-1113-150-00-00-10-613-81-9338307298-3.9-0.2

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com