live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Nov 22, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1424.4KansasB120.60250.603011-118-112-43-25-37-21-07-4142156-131.6-7.1
611.8North CarolinaACC0.62400.589223-021-84-52-14-17-14-09-2103850-38.2-3.9
23.6KentuckySEC0.65260.588134-027-44-24-17-18-13-011-2137-3.4-1.0
12.5DukeACC0.65900.587545-027-46-34-15-07-05-012-121634-31.5-13.7
4657.0North Carolina St.ACC0.56790.580053-018-132-62-24-27-24-010-33527552.00.1
511.1LouisvilleACC0.62450.579363-024-75-43-14-18-15-012-1126528-16.9-1.9
46.6TexasB120.63870.578274-025-64-34-15-17-15-011-243542-35.4-6.0
1625.4ArizonaP120.60080.576983-020-92-33-25-26-15-09-216291114.40.8
2332.0FloridaSEC0.59210.571392-119-102-42-25-27-13-08-33848311.00.0
3138.6IowaB100.58420.5713102-220-112-53-24-25-16-09-46787120-81.4-3.7
223227.3George MasonA100.47030.5713111-36-220-40-51-62-62-22-8233152261.30.0
1218.9Miami FLACC0.60910.5702124-022-83-42-14-17-16-010-273045-26.1-2.0
9099.4MissouriSEC0.53920.5691132-114-151-52-33-35-34-16-511749141-41.6-1.1
2029.5BaylorB120.59490.5689143-020-92-32-25-26-25-09-224101106-76.5-3.9
814.7VirginiaACC0.61700.5684154-022-73-42-14-17-16-010-195930-15.3-1.4
4154.1GeorgetownBE0.57110.5684163-017-101-32-23-36-24-07-23624138-83.9-2.7
36.2WisconsinB100.63920.5683174-025-42-14-16-17-15-010-186170-63.8-12.1
3646.1MichiganB100.57800.5682182-018-102-43-33-25-15-08-2519476-29.9-1.1
1828.6ProvidenceBE0.59630.5675194-022-92-32-25-28-24-010-32019103-74.4-3.9
7684.0NebraskaB100.54900.5675202-115-131-42-33-34-25-07-310322898-14.0-0.4
4961.4OklahomaB120.56580.5674211-116-122-42-23-36-34-07-389159210-148.6-4.5
7984.5Georgia TechACC0.54870.5668223-015-131-61-22-26-34-18-2551272460.51.7
7884.3Oklahoma St.B120.54870.5659233-015-131-42-33-35-34-07-391174263-178.7-4.7
1929.6SMUAmer0.59520.5658242-220-91-32-24-27-26-07-4331463-33.4-1.7
1014.8ConnecticutAmer0.61620.5658253-022-72-32-14-17-16-08-354104.80.4
2634.2SyracuseACC0.58890.5656263-121-103-42-24-27-16-010-32663136-101.8-5.0
714.6XavierBE0.61760.5652273-022-71-13-17-29-23-09-262673-58.4-4.9
2835.0West VirginiaB120.58830.5649284-020-102-32-25-28-24-010-2251221619.00.9
139143.5Wake ForestACC0.51370.5635292-213-181-81-31-42-37-18-51581768954.51.5
1321.9VCUA100.60500.5633303-022-81-23-26-27-25-09-311832-10.1-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7783.4South CarolinaSEC0.54900.5627312-215-131-42-33-45-24-06-4131115118-34.6-1.0
1725.6StanfordP120.59960.5624323-121-92-43-24-25-17-09-3171835-9.4-0.6
99105.0PittsburghACC0.53490.5618332-115-141-61-22-26-44-18-3123147174-69.0-1.8
5162.1LSUSEC0.56450.5614343-118-121-32-34-38-34-09-329342636.11.2
5868.3AlabamaSEC0.55950.5612353-017-121-42-23-37-25-08-343622345.31.3
153154.6Boston CollegeACC0.50750.5612362-212-171-71-42-33-26-17-418821410252.61.4
5564.5PurdueB100.56240.5611373-018-111-32-34-35-25-09-275158117-52.5-1.6
3950.9MassachusettsA100.57330.5611383-119-121-21-34-39-34-18-521572-21.1-0.8
4557.0UCLAP120.56820.5610393-018-112-42-33-24-16-08-37079207-150.0-5.0
5667.0GeorgiaSEC0.56060.5600402-117-121-31-24-46-35-18-3586097-30.0-0.9
4254.5CincinnatiAmer0.57000.5588412-019-112-41-22-27-27-18-4421281-26.5-0.9
127130.3Florida St.ACC0.52070.5587421-215-161-61-32-36-35-18-5147102134-3.7-0.1
3442.0IllinoisB100.58150.5585433-020-101-33-34-26-16-010-245151218-176.0-7.0
5060.5Iowa St.B120.56560.5577442-018-112-42-23-25-26-09-278210167-106.5-3.4
8389.4Kansas St.B120.54540.5575452-116-132-42-33-34-25-08-3129231237-147.6-3.9
5767.9IndianaB100.55960.5573464-019-122-43-34-34-27-011-272164190-122.1-3.8
104110.8ClemsonACC0.53210.5572472-215-141-51-22-36-34-17-4179190276-165.2-4.3
2534.5BYUWCC0.58930.5568482-020-82-32-13-18-25-17-3137331.51.4
116122.0Penn St.B100.52550.5565493-114-161-41-42-44-36-18-4132216131-9.0-0.2
4757.7MarylandB100.56750.5563503-019-111-32-33-37-26-010-249131243-185.3-6.1
3849.5Texas A&MSEC0.57440.5561512-119-101-32-24-37-25-08-33973221-171.5-6.3
154157.1AuburnSEC0.50630.5554522-112-170-31-32-55-53-16-514199252-94.9-2.2
175170.5RutgersB100.49940.5554531-111-190-41-52-63-45-17-51851899278.51.9
5462.9MinnesotaB100.56300.5552542-118-111-42-23-36-26-09-276247154-91.1-2.9
2434.5UtahP120.58940.5544552-120-92-32-24-25-17-08-32751227-192.5-8.8
2130.7Michigan St.B100.59320.5542562-121-81-33-24-26-17-09-260235175-144.3-7.5
7582.3MississippiSEC0.54970.5539572-117-131-32-33-36-35-18-486124323-240.7-6.9
8689.9Arizona St.P120.54490.5534583-017-131-42-43-35-26-19-3104193129-39.1-1.0
3038.8Ohio St.B100.58450.5530592-022-92-32-24-27-17-011-2461971523.81.0
219221.7Washington St.P120.47330.5514601-28-200-51-41-52-54-24-624022218932.70.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
227228.5USCP120.46930.5507612-28-210-40-41-52-64-25-6261215242-13.5-0.4
176171.2MarquetteBE0.49900.5506621-211-171-41-32-53-35-15-522518013041.21.0
109116.1St. John'sBE0.52910.5500632-015-141-42-33-44-26-17-4144148169-52.9-1.3
3239.4OregonP120.58420.5491643-021-81-22-25-27-16-09-2225562-22.6-1.0
164163.7TennesseeSEC0.50350.5480651-112-160-31-32-54-44-16-4184146205-41.3-0.9
7482.6Seton HallBE0.54980.5479662-016-121-31-23-36-35-17-379177874.62.0
2231.7ArkansasSEC0.59250.5466673-023-81-22-25-29-26-011-2197852-20.3-1.0
174169.8NorthwesternB100.49960.5460684-013-170-51-52-53-27-19-317733513237.81.0
6574.9ColoradoP120.55520.5460692-117-111-32-33-35-26-17-37412179-4.1-0.1
3745.1CaliforniaP120.57780.5457703-122-92-42-24-25-19-110-34810899-53.9-2.2
4858.2MemphisAmer0.56700.5451710-119-101-41-12-25-29-18-38172124-65.8-2.2
3542.8DaytonA100.58050.5450722-120-91-22-24-27-26-18-3323956-13.2-0.5
100108.8UNLVMWC0.53320.5448733-116-141-31-22-37-45-17-584234662.81.6
225228.1Loyola MarymountWCC0.47000.5436741-27-200-40-31-43-64-23-62197517355.11.4
189186.5DePaulBE0.49120.5433752-011-181-41-32-53-45-16-520122911472.51.7
2936.7Notre DameACC0.58610.5427764-023-83-42-13-16-19-012-15026491-54.3-2.6
3340.9Saint Mary'sWCC0.58250.5427772-020-81-21-14-29-36-18-218322020.90.9
8996.8WashingtonP120.54080.5426782-016-121-32-33-33-27-18-2107245101-4.2-0.1
140143.7VanderbiltSEC0.51350.5423791-014-151-31-33-54-35-17-4149162312-168.3-3.8
162160.3Texas TechB120.50470.5418802-114-161-51-32-44-36-19-318331940120.32.9
101109.1TulsaAmer0.53300.5405812-115-131-31-22-26-46-26-4128107315-205.9-4.9
115122.8San DiegoWCC0.52550.5403822-113-141-41-21-34-46-15-412576209-86.2-2.0
94103.0CreightonBE0.53720.5400833-017-131-32-33-45-36-19-31012098716.00.4
95105.2DavidsonA100.53610.5394841-115-131-41-32-24-36-16-4113142251-145.8-3.6
7078.3ButlerBE0.55280.5382853-018-111-31-23-36-36-08-398249149-70.7-2.0
4051.7RichmondA100.57220.5382862-121-101-22-23-38-27-110-3401002130.71.1
6272.4Colorado St.MWC0.55710.5371872-017-110-11-13-37-46-17-33031195-122.6-3.4
234232.6Virginia TechACC0.46730.5370882-110-200-70-31-32-47-27-5285339291-58.4-1.7
7178.5Long Beach St.BW0.55270.5358891-215-130-40-22-25-38-24-84413741.51.2
114123.1TempleAmer0.52560.5346902-216-151-41-22-35-47-28-5124935865.11.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6068.8VillanovaBE0.55870.5336913-020-102-32-23-36-27-09-395260180-111.2-3.4
97105.2Rhode IslandA100.53600.5332922-015-111-21-23-35-36-15-3851174101.22.4
1524.3San Diego St.MWC0.60140.5324933-023-51-02-15-28-27-08-22311051-26.7-1.6
1116.8Wichita St.MVC0.61260.5310942-023-40-02-15-18-17-07-2310115-98.2-8.2
107114.1La SalleA100.53060.5294953-016-140-31-32-36-46-28-4831355460.11.5
914.1GonzagaWCC0.61660.5284963-025-42-13-14-18-19-010-115118122.10.2
207210.4Fresno St.MWC0.47880.5279970-29-180-20-22-53-74-33-6248182318-107.6-2.4
108113.5OhioMAC0.53030.5278981-115-120-11-23-45-47-25-41591237736.50.8
183179.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.49540.5272991-212-160-10-21-53-56-24-619752302-122.7-2.7
7378.6Saint LouisA100.55190.52641002-019-101-31-22-27-38-19-2641941860.61.7
231231.5PacificWCC0.46800.52531011-17-180-30-21-43-73-23-4231278232-0.5-0.0
228228.1East CarolinaAmer0.46900.52511020-19-180-30-21-43-65-34-5284310349-120.9-2.8
6978.0BuffaloMAC0.55300.52451032-118-120-20-12-37-49-28-4611372751.01.5
168166.2South FloridaAmer0.50180.52451042-014-160-31-22-45-57-27-516518314521.20.5
170167.4Santa ClaraWCC0.50130.52381051-112-140-31-21-34-45-24-420425512839.40.8
2734.3George WashingtonA100.58840.52371062-122-71-22-14-27-28-09-252227331.30.1
184179.8Mississippi St.SEC0.49480.52351073-013-160-31-32-44-56-18-315530767112.82.5
158159.6Oregon St.P120.50580.52341082-014-141-31-32-44-36-17-316931143116.62.5
222224.6FordhamA100.47110.52281090-210-180-21-31-53-65-25-525125720420.60.5
241237.8Miami OHMAC0.46420.52121102-110-190-10-21-63-85-35-6268198286-48.2-1.2
191191.5UABCUSA0.48890.52101110-212-160-20-11-34-66-34-621145311-119.5-2.7
7278.3Boise St.MWC0.55250.52041123-118-100-21-22-36-38-17-3541414434.31.0
8896.1San FranciscoWCC0.54100.52011131-017-101-31-12-26-38-17-293233239-142.9-3.5
165164.3NevadaMWC0.50330.51891141-213-140-21-22-44-46-24-520518813727.30.6
142144.4MarshallCUSA0.51340.51861152-115-140-21-22-35-57-26-5150898559.41.3
200207.8Saint Joseph'sA100.48070.51851162-211-190-30-31-44-55-46-6199224220-12.2-0.3
285273.9DrakeMVC0.44430.51831170-37-220-20-21-42-94-53-8310149108165.94.7
6775.9ToledoMAC0.55390.51701181-219-110-20-12-26-310-27-59016078-2.1-0.1
155157.5TCUB120.50610.51681193-016-141-51-32-33-210-111-118135113324.50.6
4355.9Northern IowaMVC0.56880.51641204-021-81-21-12-17-210-18-33492219-163.1-6.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
137141.4Illinois St.MVC0.51520.51511211-114-130-20-11-25-58-35-4160139236-94.6-2.1
138143.4St. BonaventureA100.51420.51461222-115-140-21-32-44-48-27-4171321248-104.6-2.5
105112.4New MexicoMWC0.53140.51371233-117-120-11-23-35-48-18-3145304234-121.6-2.9
272265.3RiceCUSA0.44910.51301241-27-190-10-21-42-75-53-528122122243.31.1
287274.1BradleyMVC0.44370.51171250-28-200-20-21-42-85-53-7325205320-45.9-1.3
5261.7CharlotteCUSA0.56390.51171263-021-90-11-23-27-39-18-4471111447.71.7
91100.7AkronMAC0.53810.51161272-118-110-11-13-36-49-18-3143283127-26.3-0.7
150152.9PepperdineWCC0.50900.51161282-014-140-31-21-34-38-27-3153308256-103.1-2.3
92102.1EvansvilleMVC0.53770.51151291-017-100-20-12-26-39-27-282144993.12.3
188185.2North TexasCUSA0.49220.51101302-013-150-10-22-43-58-35-51891758897.22.1
5969.3WyomingMWC0.55870.51101312-021-81-21-13-26-29-19-2632195316.30.5
143146.0Missouri St.MVC0.51310.51051321-114-130-20-11-25-57-35-4157186241-95.0-2.0
316306.8San Jose St.MWC0.42220.51021330-35-210-10-21-52-92-51-734930328422.80.9
177172.7William & MaryCAA0.49880.50901342-112-150-20-21-33-58-34-51053714329.70.6
259255.2TulaneAmer0.45480.50881351-110-190-30-21-43-76-36-5317344296-40.8-1.1
149152.7PortlandWCC0.50910.50871362-014-140-31-21-25-58-27-3151323257-104.3-2.3
157158.5Indiana St.MVC0.50590.50831372-115-130-20-21-34-49-36-41821926692.52.1
196198.7UCFAmer0.48470.50811381-013-150-20-21-34-58-37-3224332330-131.3-2.8
186181.9Middle TennesseeCUSA0.49380.50771391-113-160-00-21-44-67-35-6190130332-150.1-3.3
239233.5Ball St.MAC0.46630.50711400-210-180-10-21-43-66-54-6282297316-82.5-1.9
122127.4College of CharlestonCAA0.52280.50701411-317-130-20-21-35-310-25-715668147-19.6-0.5
93101.8Bowling GreenMAC0.53750.50701422-017-110-01-12-36-48-27-31102661388.82.2
249245.0OaklandHorz0.46060.50691430-39-200-10-21-43-85-43-102465015392.02.1
263257.0DrexelCAA0.45380.50641440-49-180-10-11-44-84-52-731181264-7.0-0.2
120127.8Western MichiganMAC0.52360.50611452-014-120-01-12-44-47-25-3137290171-43.2-0.9
160158.3DuquesneA100.50570.50591461-015-130-21-32-43-39-18-2193349306-147.7-3.3
269262.0FairfieldMAAC0.45100.50561471-39-210-10-11-43-96-53-72164421547.01.3
6876.9HarvardIvy0.55390.50491481-118-80-11-12-24-310-27-55621230-153.1-4.4
136141.9Southern MissCUSA0.51530.50461491-114-130-00-21-45-48-35-4142203211-69.1-1.5
194195.5Air ForceMWC0.48680.50371501-112-150-10-21-43-57-26-3206336214-18.5-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
201207.4Cal PolyBW0.48050.50371511-110-160-10-21-32-66-42-818728337-129.6-2.6
8085.7UTEPCUSA0.54760.50321522-019-80-11-12-25-310-27-2681385728.70.8
126131.0UC Santa BarbaraBW0.52110.50281530-215-110-10-11-24-49-34-612717274-143.0-3.0
133139.0DetroitHorz0.51630.50211541-215-130-10-21-35-49-36-611240196-57.0-1.2
180175.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.49680.50171553-013-140-10-21-43-48-25-416825015817.90.4
167166.2Cleveland St.Horz0.50240.50171561-214-150-20-11-34-59-45-814057281-114.8-2.4
8287.2New Mexico St.WAC0.54630.50151571-319-100-20-11-24-213-28-78025119-31.8-0.9
6473.2Kent St.MAC0.55530.50111583-021-80-11-13-36-310-19-28831875-1.8-0.1
5362.0NortheasternCAA0.56390.50091593-021-90-10-12-29-310-28-43177593.00.1
112117.4Boston UniversityPat0.52850.49971601-217-110-10-11-35-410-35-597834968.41.6
8186.0YaleIvy0.54720.49951612-118-110-20-11-24-312-38-7536696-10.0-0.3
240236.4BucknellPat0.46510.49931621-310-190-00-11-44-86-53-8255132259-22.6-0.5
161161.1Oral RobertsSum0.50510.49771631-213-140-00-11-35-67-44-7154698675.11.5
132137.9Utah St.MWC0.51690.49731643-117-120-11-12-36-48-38-31222763998.92.3
111116.2HoustonAmer0.52880.49631652-019-101-21-22-24-211-29-21203432294.22.3
135141.3CanisiusMAAC0.51540.49631662-116-130-00-12-36-69-35-49471194-52.7-1.2
119124.2DenverSum0.52440.49631671-118-110-10-21-25-411-37-611170186-61.8-1.4
4456.0Old DominionCUSA0.56870.49611683-022-61-01-13-18-210-19-141207155.02.0
125131.5AmericanPat0.52140.49591692-216-140-00-11-45-610-36-6121134203-71.5-1.7
235232.5LehighPat0.46690.49581700-310-180-00-11-44-86-53-7256154271-38.5-0.9
6169.9Louisiana TechCUSA0.55790.49571713-121-90-11-12-27-311-19-369240155-85.1-2.9
242238.8Loyola ChicagoMVC0.46390.49481720-110-170-20-21-32-57-44-5262334298-59.2-1.3
199206.6ColgatePat0.48110.49321731-212-180-10-11-44-78-54-8200173235-28.4-0.6
210211.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.47800.49321742-213-160-30-11-33-59-56-71808690121.52.6
8489.2IonaMAAC0.54530.49271752-121-100-10-11-28-411-37-4651136029.20.9
166163.9UNC WilmingtonCAA0.50280.49251762-114-140-10-11-34-59-45-51151616598.92.2
268261.8IUPUISum0.45140.49231772-210-200-10-10-33-96-64-1021312822338.81.0
178172.6South Dakota St.Sum0.49850.49231781-214-140-10-11-34-59-55-7163103314-141.4-2.9
282271.4NavyPat0.44540.49211790-49-190-10-21-43-76-63-7275179150121.43.2
185180.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.49390.49211801-315-150-20-21-43-411-47-52033141782.90.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
283272.3Loyola MDPat0.44470.49111812-29-200-00-11-43-96-54-725318718290.32.4
129131.8ColumbiaIvy0.52070.49051821-117-100-20-11-23-212-38-511891326-194.2-4.3
258254.1Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45520.48981830-29-180-00-21-43-76-53-6271262343-88.9-2.0
128131.0Georgia St.SB0.52070.48971840-217-130-00-11-35-511-44-6135104165-34.0-0.8
182176.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.49630.48941851-114-130-00-11-25-58-43-41735847129.72.7
208211.7Central MichiganMAC0.47820.48921862-012-130-00-11-43-57-35-223435014269.71.4
293278.2DelawareCAA0.44090.48911870-29-200-10-11-33-85-73-8303232348-69.8-1.8
206210.6North Dakota St.Sum0.47890.48881882-212-140-10-11-23-68-54-616611218723.60.5
121127.6Wright St.Horz0.52340.48851892-116-120-00-11-25-410-47-562965122.62.8
315307.0NiagaraMAAC0.42250.48821901-27-220-00-10-42-115-62-734120226839.01.5
103110.9Holy CrossPat0.53260.48781912-017-100-00-12-25-410-36-3711682585.92.1
270263.6Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.45000.48691921-08-190-10-10-31-67-84-92081062261.66.3
319308.0Montana St.BSky0.42090.48681930-37-220-10-10-32-75-101-102975427929.01.0
255249.1Coppin St.MEAC0.45800.48681940-39-190-20-20-31-58-71-111986116133.13.0
209211.6Northern IllinoisMAC0.47820.48641951-013-150-10-21-43-58-46-42203406205.64.3
141144.6UT ArlingtonSB0.51350.48551963-117-120-20-01-24-512-45-4102119199-54.4-1.3
276267.7MilwaukeeHorz0.44740.48541970-39-170-10-10-23-75-62-8290170287-19.3-0.5
236233.3James MadisonCAA0.46690.48521982-114-170-10-11-24-69-57-6226218121112.32.7
300289.6Chicago St.WAC0.43360.48491990-27-210-00-10-42-75-82-12291143100189.65.1
98105.3Green BayHorz0.53590.48482000-117-80-20-01-16-310-26-377908322.30.5
6373.0BelmontOVC0.55620.48452012-121-70-10-12-26-313-28-43774157-84.0-2.7
134139.7QuinnipiacMAAC0.51580.48282022-119-100-00-02-27-510-36-313317836103.72.5
146147.4MonmouthMAAC0.51210.48252032-118-130-10-11-25-511-46-5146208161-13.6-0.3
113121.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.52660.48222041-116-100-00-01-16-410-33-373109184-63.0-1.5
261256.4UTSACUSA0.45450.48192051-110-170-00-11-33-66-64-530634720056.41.3
230231.7ElonCAA0.46800.48182061-212-160-10-11-33-68-54-623027420130.70.7
202207.5FIUCUSA0.48030.48112071-013-160-10-11-33-69-56-5164292329-121.5-2.7
8588.9Gardner WebbBSth0.54530.48042082-117-80-10-11-16-310-24-3571336919.90.6
145145.2SienaMAAC0.51260.48032091-217-120-00-11-26-510-45-4161234162-16.8-0.4
281270.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.44550.48002101-310-190-10-10-33-77-65-826320018882.52.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
179174.9ValparaisoHorz0.49800.47962112-115-120-00-01-35-69-46-513416574100.92.1
106112.8Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.53090.47962120-218-90-20-11-14-213-34-511422126-13.2-0.3
250246.0South AlabamaSB0.45980.47952130-211-180-10-10-23-88-63-6276211344-98.0-2.2
195198.2Texas St.SB0.48560.47932142-113-130-10-00-23-59-53-3130156225-26.8-0.6
327313.9Appalachian St.SB0.41640.47932151-26-230-00-10-32-94-92-728922323182.93.4
102109.4Stony BrookAE0.53280.47912161-219-100-10-11-25-413-36-79264172-62.6-1.6
198203.1Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48260.47912170-213-140-00-01-24-78-52-5232196327-123.9-2.5
110117.3UC IrvineBW0.52900.47892181-117-100-10-11-24-311-36-59615717100.32.4
8792.0Eastern WashingtonBSky0.54390.47892192-119-90-10-11-24-314-35-55946177-85.0-2.4
171168.3Charleston SouthernBSth0.50110.47772201-114-120-00-11-33-59-33-51528461107.32.4
278268.2MaristMAAC0.44710.47752210-210-180-00-01-33-96-62-6320312280-11.8-0.3
152153.5High PointBSth0.50870.47702223-115-120-00-11-24-411-45-41082068469.51.6
294278.6Jacksonville St.OVC0.44070.47702230-39-200-10-10-31-77-94-92732012735.60.1
130136.3Morehead St.OVC0.51800.47702241-317-120-10-21-33-413-36-7136166176-39.7-1.0
173170.2TowsonCAA0.50000.47632253-116-140-00-11-34-511-47-513828415119.20.4
229228.8South DakotaSum0.46900.47612260-412-170-10-10-23-79-65-8252248250-21.2-0.5
299286.8Western IllinoisSum0.43560.47602271-28-170-00-00-23-85-73-6314253340-53.2-1.4
118123.8LafayettePat0.52500.47532283-118-100-10-11-24-312-37-310027910518.80.5
275267.8BrownIvy0.44740.47522291-310-180-10-21-41-58-65-927724319275.81.9
326312.5PresbyterianBSth0.41710.47522300-37-200-10-10-31-85-82-731214028329.51.1
257253.8PrincetonIvy0.45540.47462311-311-160-00-11-42-58-65-8272244294-40.2-0.9
172169.0BryantNEC0.50060.47452321-116-130-10-11-22-413-64-713953181-12.0-0.3
192192.3RiderMAAC0.48820.47442332-115-140-10-11-24-510-55-4191295304-111.7-2.5
311299.8Saint Peter'sMAAC0.42660.47402340-48-220-00-10-33-95-83-7337326313-13.2-0.4
6673.7WoffordSC0.55500.47362353-122-70-20-11-14-216-27-42836685.70.2
215218.1Weber St.BSky0.47470.47292360-313-130-10-10-23-59-42-623941275-56.9-1.2
205208.1HawaiiBW0.47950.47272373-114-110-00-11-33-49-35-420219113969.11.5
163161.6ManhattanMAAC0.50430.47252381-216-120-00-11-25-610-34-4217325247-85.4-1.9
204208.9MontanaBSky0.47990.47232390-213-140-00-11-32-410-63-62109817929.90.6
329313.4PennIvy0.41620.47192400-37-210-00-10-41-75-93-11338280322-8.6-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
131137.4HofstraCAA0.51740.47172412-119-120-00-11-26-412-49-412630510928.40.7
284272.2Cal St. FullertonBW0.44450.47162421-210-190-00-11-33-87-74-9278256299-26.8-0.7
291276.6BinghamtonAE0.44180.47162430-310-180-10-10-32-78-73-928713626016.60.4
212217.5UNC AshevilleBSth0.47510.47152441-212-140-00-11-23-68-53-5227236317-99.5-2.1
303292.6CampbellBSth0.43190.47112450-28-200-00-10-32-86-82-8324281347-54.4-1.6
220223.2Georgia SouthernSB0.47260.47062460-112-140-00-00-24-68-53-322929816459.21.2
124129.0ArmyPat0.52190.47002474-019-90-10-01-25-412-38-2873138247.01.1
156158.5VermontAE0.50600.46992481-217-110-00-11-24-412-45-7148116208-49.5-1.1
321307.6UC RiversideBW0.42030.46982490-28-200-10-10-31-66-94-8318275335-27.4-0.9
309297.9Tennessee St.OVC0.42790.46982500-18-200-10-10-31-86-83-9321269342-44.1-1.3
123128.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.52220.46872511-017-100-20-11-13-214-36-5991952999.32.4
333317.4FurmanSC0.41220.46762521-27-200-10-10-31-56-101-82948225859.42.4
288275.2Youngstown St.Horz0.44300.46732531-310-180-00-10-32-87-74-8266296111164.24.2
211217.3RadfordBSth0.47550.46662541-213-140-00-11-23-59-53-6250252238-20.7-0.4
193193.8East Tennessee St.SC0.48760.46622551-114-130-10-10-22-411-63-617667202-8.2-0.2
267261.9CornellIvy0.45140.46522562-311-170-10-11-42-59-66-826029321645.91.1
265256.8Robert MorrisNEC0.45380.46522571-312-170-10-10-22-510-83-824212916096.82.3
190190.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.48910.46492580-113-120-10-11-22-311-42-51749303-112.1-2.3
256250.7Arkansas St.SB0.45690.46462590-112-160-00-11-24-78-63-5313337350-99.3-2.3
181176.2UMKCWAC0.49670.46462601-216-120-00-11-23-412-67-717522515917.20.4
262256.4Northern KentuckyASun0.45390.46442611-211-160-10-10-31-49-74-923815021739.40.9
302291.2Eastern IllinoisOVC0.43250.46402620-29-170-00-10-31-67-82-8315185307-15.8-0.4
237232.8WagnerNEC0.46680.46342630-213-150-00-10-22-510-73-7214126331-98.2-2.1
248243.2TroySB0.46130.46332640-212-150-00-10-23-68-53-4301342310-66.8-1.4
247243.0SeattleWAC0.46130.46282651-213-130-00-11-22-410-65-726524115291.02.0
233231.1Sacramento St.BSky0.46770.46252661-112-150-10-00-12-510-74-5194230113118.12.5
224226.5Nebraska OmahaSum0.47030.46242672-113-150-00-00-24-78-66-621232021313.50.3
238233.3North DakotaBSky0.46650.46192680-212-160-10-10-22-510-73-7222171328-94.7-2.0
96104.4Florida Gulf CoastASun0.53600.46182692-018-70-10-11-14-213-27-466884856.41.5
187185.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.49230.46152701-216-130-10-10-23-413-65-6170163265-79.8-1.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
296281.8Nicholls St.Slnd0.43820.46142710-29-160-10-10-21-57-71-625813135146.83.6
289275.0Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.44280.46112721-211-180-10-10-22-49-103-825417219877.02.0
280270.3Tennessee TechOVC0.44580.46022731-110-170-00-10-32-68-84-7280315293-22.7-0.5
244241.4Savannah St.MEAC0.46230.46022742-212-160-20-10-22-49-73-91864316873.41.7
342328.3LongwoodBSth0.40250.46022751-27-220-10-10-21-75-113-833932928840.32.1
117122.6Murray St.OVC0.52520.45972761-120-80-10-01-14-315-38-41091553884.62.3
266260.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.45190.45962770-412-190-30-20-30-311-81-1225911325-64.2-1.6
246242.8LipscombASun0.46170.45882780-211-150-10-10-31-310-73-9243184341-98.2-2.1
318306.0Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.42130.45792790-49-190-10-10-21-67-104-1033030124066.02.1
148150.5IPFWSum0.51010.45772801-117-90-00-01-25-411-36-41623289555.51.2
273264.9HartfordAE0.44870.45742813-112-160-10-10-32-510-75-7228217277-12.1-0.3
264256.1Grand CanyonWAC0.45380.45732822-214-150-10-11-32-412-68-726927122432.10.8
286274.1VMISC0.44380.45652831-211-160-10-20-21-49-81-729611424628.10.7
347336.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.39160.45642840-46-230-00-00-21-85-121-1034216730036.02.4
348336.3Southern UtahBSky0.39060.45632850-35-220-00-00-21-74-121-834825931917.31.1
335321.5Kennesaw St.ASun0.40870.45602861-48-210-10-20-31-47-124-1132223927843.51.9
217219.4Western CarolinaSC0.47430.45572870-214-150-00-11-32-511-63-824119964155.43.4
279269.3Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44640.45532881-211-160-10-10-32-59-64-7288251297-27.7-0.7
214217.6Utah ValleyWAC0.47480.45512892-113-140-10-10-22-311-76-7195285249-31.4-0.7
147149.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51150.45482900-116-90-00-11-24-311-33-4178294163-14.0-0.3
340324.5North Carolina A&TMEAC0.40540.45482910-27-210-10-20-30-46-121-113199530816.50.7
320306.5Austin PeayOVC0.42040.45392920-38-190-00-10-21-57-102-9332277333-26.5-0.8
213218.0Portland St.BSky0.47500.45372931-013-130-00-10-22-410-64-419230641177.03.7
295278.7Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44070.45362941-111-170-00-10-12-69-103-725722019187.72.2
169166.8WinthropBSth0.50130.45302951-116-100-00-11-24-411-54-416728714620.80.4
243240.6Norfolk St.MEAC0.46310.45292961-213-150-10-10-12-411-73-920797272-31.4-0.7
305291.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.43190.45292970-39-190-10-00-21-78-92-102678524546.41.2
304291.9DartmouthIvy0.43190.45262980-210-180-00-10-31-68-85-93083382892.90.1
349339.9MaineAE0.38390.45232990-35-230-00-00-31-84-122-1035030026178.96.0
301290.5Sacred HeartNEC0.43290.45223001-111-190-00-10-12-59-114-8298254107183.55.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
260254.5ChattanoogaSC0.45460.45213010-313-150-10-10-22-311-83-72832122531.50.0
254249.0St. Francis PANEC0.45810.45203021-212-160-10-00-12-510-83-724423820643.00.9
306292.0New OrleansSlnd0.43050.45183030-18-160-00-10-21-57-70-627942125167.04.3
336321.3NJITind0.40790.45143041-36-190-00-10-31-65-96-1933431728239.31.5
334319.4Idaho St.BSky0.41010.45123050-38-200-00-00-21-76-102-8336282334-14.6-0.6
308294.2LamarSlnd0.42980.45103060-39-170-10-10-21-58-92-630523725539.21.1
159158.9AlbanyAE0.50580.45103071-218-110-10-11-23-414-47-6172261193-34.1-0.9
312300.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.42530.45063080-411-200-10-00-11-610-123-103272732928.70.3
197200.9St. Francis NYNEC0.48350.45063090-216-130-00-00-12-414-75-621524210496.92.1
216218.8Northern ColoradoBSky0.47430.45053100-214-130-00-10-22-412-54-5223246244-25.2-0.5
322307.7SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.41970.45023110-28-170-00-00-21-67-82-7329289309-1.3-0.0
337321.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.40650.44993120-26-180-00-00-21-75-91-5335265197124.64.6
144145.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.51300.44963132-118-90-00-11-22-215-35-4106120148-3.0-0.1
274266.6UC DavisBW0.44770.44843142-012-150-00-00-22-69-76-524734517096.62.3
271264.9Morgan St.MEAC0.44950.44833150-412-170-00-10-21-610-82-1127415218579.91.9
251247.7IdahoBSky0.45900.44783161-113-140-00-00-13-510-84-5236322254-6.3-0.1
218220.5North FloridaASun0.47360.44753170-313-140-10-20-31-311-64-92182682128.50.2
310298.9Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.42720.44673180-310-190-10-10-21-58-102-9304153339-40.1-1.2
203208.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.48000.44623191-013-110-00-00-22-411-52-411610514464.91.3
232230.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.46790.44613200-114-130-00-10-22-411-63-623527014090.51.9
277267.0McNeese St.Slnd0.44720.44593210-111-140-10-10-22-49-62-524956110157.03.5
226227.2MercerSC0.47000.44543221-114-130-00-10-31-312-64-524525893134.22.9
290274.9New HampshireAE0.44250.44503230-211-160-00-00-22-79-74-7307316336-61.1-1.5
332317.2UNC GreensboroSC0.41280.44493240-39-190-10-10-21-58-112-834730230512.20.5
331312.6StetsonASun0.41580.44423250-29-180-00-10-31-68-93-10328299351-38.4-1.3
344328.2The CitadelSC0.40020.44333260-27-190-00-10-21-57-111-6344267346-17.8-0.8
307294.7UMass LowellAE0.42990.44323272-210-180-00-10-21-69-94-826432719275.78.2
339322.6Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40590.44273280-28-190-00-00-21-67-112-7331263345-22.4-0.9
314303.6UMBCAE0.42320.44253290-310-190-10-10-21-59-94-932633128518.60.6
345333.3JacksonvilleASun0.39470.44143300-37-210-10-10-21-56-123-1134532426667.33.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
328311.7LibertyBSth0.41630.44123311-29-170-00-00-12-77-93-5346348321-9.3-0.3
252247.6USC UpstateASun0.45860.44093322-014-130-00-10-22-412-66-7237286270-22.4-0.5
297284.4SouthernSWAC0.43720.44073330-311-170-10-20-30-310-91-927033338-53.6-1.4
292277.6LIU BrooklynNEC0.44090.43913340-113-160-00-00-12-511-94-7302330123154.63.8
330312.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.41600.43873350-49-180-20-10-20-38-120-92922030111.50.4
338323.1SamfordSC0.40640.43853361-39-200-00-10-31-58-113-833333326261.12.7
253249.4Delaware St.MEAC0.45840.43613371-213-160-10-10-21-512-84-9209213112137.43.2
323309.1Tennessee MartinOVC0.41950.43433381-19-180-00-10-31-58-104-7295346324-14.9-0.5
298286.0Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43600.43233390-411-170-10-10-21-510-91-92938022957.01.5
324312.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41740.43193401-310-200-10-10-20-510-112-1028612522884.03.1
350344.2Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37460.43163410-36-240-00-10-20-75-150-1234314526777.28.1
346333.2Grambling St.SWAC0.39250.43053420-27-190-10-10-20-36-120-830947166167.28.4
343328.8Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40070.42973431-48-220-10-10-21-58-143-11316272183145.87.3
351346.8Florida A&MMEAC0.36660.42883440-45-240-00-00-20-65-162-1135130929551.87.4
245241.8HamptonMEAC0.46220.42863451-315-140-10-10-11-313-85-8221288269-27.2-0.6
317305.9HowardMEAC0.42150.42693460-310-180-10-10-11-59-113-932329129015.90.5
325312.2Jackson St.SWAC0.41720.42123471-211-200-00-10-21-510-123-1029922694218.28.1
151153.1North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50890.42003480-118-70-10-10-11-116-35-41192047182.12.1
313301.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.42450.41423490-211-150-00-10-20-310-101-7300169122179.65.1
341325.7Bethune CookmanMEAC0.40260.41113500-311-180-00-00-11-510-124-934034123392.74.0
221222.9Alabama St.SWAC0.47260.40453510-116-90-10-10-10-115-63-419618180142.93.2

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com