live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Mar 3, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
21.9KansasB120.67510.6257124-624-77-43-26-17-00-011-2222-0.1-0.2
1213.4North CarolinaACC0.62390.6063221-922-92-53-36-18-03-010-3135121.40.5
99.9BaylorB120.63000.5971321-822-85-32-34-28-03-011-1102810-0.1-0.1
2120.3GeorgetownBE0.61040.5960419-920-92-52-44-010-02-08-2211321-0.7-0.4
7675.2FloridaSEC0.55440.5915515-1515-161-51-54-47-22-17-6991979-3.8-1.6
4847.4North Carolina St.ACC0.57810.5902618-1219-123-41-25-46-24-09-47126470.40.1
1717.2OklahomaB120.61660.5898720-921-94-55-02-26-24-09-34484170.20.1
2322.2ProvidenceBE0.60650.5872820-921-103-42-36-18-22-110-3202023-0.8-0.3
4342.3Oklahoma St.B120.58210.5866916-1117-123-83-03-24-25-09-23811643-0.7-0.1
4141.3TexasB120.58260.58561018-1219-122-91-24-18-04-011-22985392.30.5
1515.4Iowa St.B120.62020.58551121-822-85-54-04-23-25-010-235101141.40.6
55.2WisconsinB100.66180.58511226-327-42-26-08-09-13-012-17126-0.8-0.7
8182.0Kansas St.B120.54870.58371315-1515-165-62-42-12-55-07-6169144802.00.5
1919.5VCUA100.61300.58311421-822-91-23-26-36-26-010-331190.50.2
65.9DukeACC0.66040.58301526-327-45-15-17-15-06-013-063550.90.9
8990.8MichiganB100.54130.58251613-1514-150-52-43-36-32-06-512821846.81.3
4241.4XavierBE0.58230.57921718-1219-123-32-34-28-42-010-3283644-2.6-0.4
205204.8MissouriSEC0.48410.5788188-218-220-61-52-52-33-25-7183272013.80.3
1615.8LouisvilleACC0.61950.57861923-624-72-52-17-18-06-012-12411516-0.2-0.1
2931.5Michigan St.B100.59090.57752019-1020-110-52-15-29-24-09-46053301.50.3
33.5VirginiaACC0.66830.57682128-129-15-14-06-010-04-012-053430.50.6
114115.5Wake ForestACC0.52630.57622213-1613-180-71-23-54-35-18-5142131116-0.5-0.1
130127.5Georgia TechACC0.51970.57522312-1812-180-61-33-34-43-29-350711261.50.5
3537.4St. John'sBE0.58560.57462419-920-103-62-14-16-24-010-2396341-3.6-0.5
11.2KentuckySEC0.68000.57392530-031-05-06-08-08-04-013-01910.20.4
2425.2ButlerBE0.59850.57142621-922-92-63-13-110-13-09-358123250.20.1
172170.2RutgersB100.50120.57132710-2010-211-30-41-95-43-18-51016615911.21.5
44.1VillanovaBE0.66530.57042828-229-25-16-05-112-02-013-086240.10.1
2221.0West VirginiaB120.60880.57032922-823-82-64-24-07-06-012-13319222-1.0-0.6
9696.2South CarolinaSEC0.53780.56973013-1414-151-53-22-32-55-08-381120960.20.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6464.8SyracuseACC0.56480.56873118-1218-131-52-22-58-16-09-47678631.80.3
76.2ArizonaP120.65770.56853226-328-33-03-08-210-14-012-111657-0.8-1.0
5856.6IndianaB100.57070.56823319-1119-123-42-34-35-16-010-377114542.60.4
5455.2UCLAP120.57230.56773418-1219-121-62-12-38-26-08-511554523.20.6
3940.0IowaB100.58340.56733520-1021-102-42-24-38-14-09-4117124355.01.1
3839.0GeorgiaSEC0.58400.56523619-1020-100-42-16-37-34-09-34374363.00.5
5756.9PittsburghACC0.57090.56513718-1119-121-41-24-310-23-110-354113533.90.4
1313.3UtahP120.62380.56493821-623-61-31-26-18-07-09-21738130.30.2
155157.1MarquetteBE0.50720.56363911-1712-181-71-62-16-23-18-41451741498.10.7
165163.6AuburnSEC0.50420.56274011-1811-190-23-52-64-53-17-5114591585.60.7
169168.3Boston CollegeACC0.50210.56244111-1812-181-61-31-73-26-18-41591911617.30.9
122123.6NebraskaB100.52250.56184213-1513-170-42-32-64-45-08-4153240124-0.4-0.0
9193.1Arizona St.P120.53970.56144315-1416-151-40-34-37-44-08-5160167912.10.2
136134.6CreightonBE0.51730.56094413-1713-181-72-50-36-24-19-41081731295.60.6
1010.2MarylandB100.62950.56004525-526-52-13-25-210-06-012-1188691.20.7
5354.0StanfordP120.57280.55974618-1019-110-42-25-26-37-09-3366856-2.0-0.3
4745.6MississippiSEC0.57950.55964720-1021-101-23-44-16-36-09-48298450.60.1
1818.1SMUAmer0.61540.55904822-623-60-23-26-23-09-08-3271620-1.9-0.8
6966.6MassachusettsA100.56230.55844917-1218-130-21-44-37-46-07-6517642.60.4
109109.2TennesseeSEC0.53000.55825014-1415-152-41-52-45-25-18-498961063.20.3
113113.4NorthwesternB100.52740.55825115-1515-160-51-43-54-27-09-41442081130.40.1
7776.3Seton HallBE0.55390.55795216-1217-131-62-42-06-35-010-237193742.30.3
118119.2ColoradoP120.52510.55785313-1514-160-40-32-45-56-07-5141121121-1.8-0.1
6363.6RichmondA100.56560.55735417-1218-132-11-33-45-37-17-61132965-1.4-0.2
177175.6Texas TechB120.49870.55715513-1713-181-91-31-23-37-110-3143286176-0.4-0.1
212211.9George MasonA100.47980.5568568-198-210-50-32-52-34-44-717531214-2.1-0.3
9392.7ClemsonACC0.53920.55595716-1316-141-52-23-27-43-18-4156198920.70.2
8687.8AlabamaSEC0.54300.55585816-1316-140-51-43-35-27-09-36514890-2.2-0.4
8384.7MemphisAmer0.54600.55545917-1218-130-51-52-14-111-18-5882589-4.3-0.7
8080.9MinnesotaB100.54910.55436016-1217-130-43-32-36-36-010-257220782.90.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6262.2IllinoisB100.56640.55406118-1119-122-21-42-48-16-010-363155611.20.2
4644.0CincinnatiAmer0.58020.55316220-921-102-13-32-35-29-19-4532449-5.0-0.6
2019.0ArkansasSEC0.61270.55236323-624-71-24-14-36-19-011-21549181.00.3
3235.1OregonP120.58760.55226421-822-81-30-17-37-26-09-386125323.10.5
6867.0ConnecticutAmer0.56240.55156517-1118-121-33-42-33-09-17-51126469-2.0-0.3
6161.0PurdueB100.56700.55146619-1020-110-34-25-45-36-08-5176206592.00.3
3033.9Ohio St.B100.58920.54986721-822-92-30-36-38-07-011-25520434-0.1-0.0
7170.1Miami FLACC0.55950.54926818-1119-121-51-15-15-48-010-38418571-0.9-0.1
125125.0Florida St.ACC0.52170.54846915-1515-160-50-24-66-16-18-51872101196.00.6
4442.2TempleAmer0.58170.54787020-921-101-41-34-13-113-09-44647402.20.3
176175.5DePaulBE0.49880.54637112-1812-190-72-33-33-44-26-72752891678.50.9
4542.6LSUSEC0.58170.54497221-822-91-22-27-27-25-111-24215946-3.4-0.5
9494.6UNLVMWC0.53900.54497315-1316-141-31-42-25-27-28-4234877.61.0
3636.9BYUWCC0.58540.54457421-821-81-20-13-29-38-08-3311737-0.1-0.0
104103.1La SalleA100.53380.54457515-1416-151-30-32-46-27-38-57544104-0.9-0.1
88.0GonzagaWCC0.64010.54367628-228-21-13-14-013-07-011-14148-0.0-0.0
156157.7Washington St.P120.50690.54357712-1612-180-41-13-52-56-26-620723814413.71.3
99100.4CaliforniaP120.53530.54327817-1217-140-40-34-48-15-210-389177982.40.4
5149.7Texas A&MSEC0.57640.54317920-921-90-32-25-47-07-09-370137481.70.3
229228.9Virginia TechACC0.46840.54178010-2010-210-70-11-52-67-18-52363022253.90.7
128128.7Penn St.B100.52030.54128115-1415-160-40-42-45-38-012-1612951208.70.8
110110.8Long Beach St.BW0.52920.54038212-1614-160-11-52-64-46-04-1012661073.80.3
3335.4BuffaloMAC0.58700.53878320-921-90-20-04-37-39-19-3227038-2.6-0.4
116116.3WashingtonP120.52580.53808415-1316-141-32-23-45-45-111-1492361106.30.7
244245.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.45930.5370857-227-220-30-30-44-83-43-8244812450.70.3
2627.7San Diego St.MWC0.59500.53698621-723-71-12-33-17-29-09-33455243.71.0
207206.5USCP120.48320.53698711-1811-190-30-31-56-64-28-41802732051.50.2
3134.1TulsaAmer0.58900.53538821-622-70-42-13-15-111-07-4102112313.10.4
250249.6DrakeMVC0.45800.5347898-218-210-50-00-62-76-32-9283752490.60.2
232233.5FordhamA100.46610.5343908-189-190-30-30-63-56-14-62541792294.50.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7977.3Illinois St.MVC0.55210.53299118-1118-110-51-00-27-310-17-46639770.30.2
103102.7VanderbiltSEC0.53390.53159216-1217-130-30-46-24-36-19-31192311011.70.2
1111.3Wichita St.MVC0.62770.53119326-326-31-21-05-19-010-09-21632110.30.3
2527.5Notre DameACC0.59560.53089424-525-62-42-05-27-08-012-18031628-0.5-0.1
9594.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53880.53069514-1215-130-20-22-28-56-25-79510940.80.1
5959.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.56800.52829620-820-80-21-31-011-27-17-3909260-0.3-0.2
206205.3Mississippi St.SEC0.48360.52769711-1712-180-31-31-55-45-36-62712911987.30.8
120120.3TCUB120.52420.52709817-1218-130-102-22-14-010-013-087348123-2.7-0.2
7574.8ToledoMAC0.55520.52709919-1120-110-21-11-49-49-18-57911975-0.2-0.1
238237.6OhioMAC0.46340.52701009-1910-190-01-10-84-95-25-62492172343.60.4
267265.8South FloridaAmer0.44890.52691017-218-220-20-50-72-46-45-72391862614.80.6
230228.7Missouri St.MVC0.46790.52671029-199-190-40-20-23-96-24-61921092280.70.3
105106.4Oregon St.P120.53100.526210316-1216-131-21-33-37-35-28-31703281051.40.1
184184.1Saint Joseph'sA100.49460.525210412-1613-170-32-13-41-46-66-61681831831.10.1
276276.5Ball St.MAC0.44170.52471056-217-210-10-21-82-73-34-62582332760.50.1
195196.1San FranciscoWCC0.48870.523910612-1712-170-20-20-35-87-25-62231681960.10.1
145145.2San DiegoWCC0.51260.523310714-1514-150-21-41-35-37-36-5139154146-0.8-0.2
135130.8OaklandHorz0.51850.523210814-1514-150-30-13-52-49-23-1019722133-2.2-0.6
241241.1DuquesneA100.46240.52171099-179-190-11-31-51-76-24-62862772392.10.2
204205.2Santa ClaraWCC0.48410.521111011-1711-170-20-31-35-85-14-6237199206-0.8-0.4
3436.4DavidsonA100.58660.519911120-621-71-31-05-14-211-08-256219333.40.4
2727.8DaytonA100.59470.519311223-624-61-11-14-38-09-110-230108270.80.3
161161.7New MexicoMWC0.50510.518811314-1515-150-11-52-25-46-48-4155260166-4.3-0.4
1414.6Northern IowaMVC0.62110.517511427-327-31-22-04-07-113-011-11410715-0.4-0.3
3737.1Boise St.MWC0.58510.516611520-722-71-12-13-16-310-08-352165298.11.7
151153.3PortlandWCC0.50910.514611614-1414-140-20-21-44-49-27-3109211154-0.7-0.3
254253.2Saint LouisA100.45590.514311710-1810-200-40-20-64-26-67-5214256254-0.8-0.1
335334.7San Jose St.MWC0.38540.51361180-260-280-10-40-40-110-80-10347228335-0.3-0.3
293294.1BradleyMVC0.43010.51311197-237-230-40-01-51-85-64-82962212904.11.8
2827.9Colorado St.MWC0.59460.513012023-524-60-02-24-17-211-012-0995261.90.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
178176.9ColumbiaIvy0.49820.512212112-1313-140-10-11-35-47-57-614787179-2.1-0.1
284284.4Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43640.51181227-227-230-20-21-41-75-73-11269942831.40.3
231230.5PacificWCC0.46700.51161239-189-180-20-30-23-86-25-4189265232-1.5-0.6
7069.9Rhode IslandA100.56050.511112419-820-80-30-24-15-211-07-3116212672.90.8
179177.6Indiana St.MVC0.49780.510712514-1514-150-50-12-33-29-53-83072511770.60.3
148148.7UABCUSA0.51100.510612615-1316-140-21-11-63-211-33-925645150-1.3-0.1
222222.3East CarolinaAmer0.47300.509112711-1612-170-21-41-42-38-45-62793002220.30.0
123124.4St. BonaventureA100.52200.508612815-1216-131-12-21-63-29-37-41852971177.40.6
188188.9Fresno St.MWC0.49200.508412912-1513-160-12-31-24-76-33-8298270191-2.1-0.2
8588.0George WashingtonA100.54330.508013018-1119-121-31-22-46-210-110-378274853.00.3
194193.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.48990.507713112-1512-160-00-32-52-58-25-52212791885.70.5
107109.1EvansvilleMVC0.53010.507313218-1118-111-30-00-45-212-29-273205111-1.9-0.9
6765.8YaleIvy0.56350.507013319-820-90-10-12-25-413-19-66411770-4.2-0.7
7877.4UTEPCUSA0.55270.506613419-921-90-12-11-26-312-28-46950761.40.2
220220.1Miami OHMAC0.47420.506613512-1712-180-00-42-44-57-54-83223012200.10.0
129126.5Cleveland St.Horz0.51990.506513615-1315-130-30-02-53-310-24-819367128-1.5-0.6
287285.8Southern MissCUSA0.43540.50631377-197-200-00-21-61-55-73-6257175293-7.2-2.1
199198.7Boston UniversityPat0.48740.506213812-1612-160-10-10-16-76-53-719543200-1.3-0.7
200199.2DetroitHorz0.48710.505613913-1713-170-10-13-73-37-55-815151203-3.8-1.6
112111.9Western KentuckyCUSA0.52860.505114016-1017-110-12-13-32-410-25-512248115-3.1-0.3
4040.3Old DominionCUSA0.58270.505014122-624-61-01-04-27-311-111-1124042-1.7-0.2
235235.0UCFAmer0.46520.504214211-1611-170-20-50-43-19-46-42553102314.00.4
102101.5UC IrvineBW0.53440.504214315-1116-120-10-12-46-48-25-7150103103-1.5-0.2
126124.9Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52080.503914416-1216-120-41-11-22-412-18-274242130-5.1-1.8
8891.4Kent St.MAC0.54140.503114519-1020-100-10-24-33-312-18-4152271883.40.5
117116.9Western MichiganMAC0.52540.502214616-1216-130-01-12-54-69-07-4158308118-1.1-0.1
211209.2North TexasCUSA0.48130.502014712-1412-160-10-31-43-28-54-6242157213-3.8-0.3
138137.1AkronMAC0.51610.501914817-1217-130-01-15-44-48-48-4200319143-5.9-0.5
5656.4HarvardIvy0.57110.501914918-620-60-10-03-16-310-28-45912758-1.6-0.2
9899.2William & MaryCAA0.53550.501615016-1116-110-11-11-46-08-54-510037990.20.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
198197.6TulaneAmer0.48780.501015113-1414-150-11-51-41-211-38-318432418710.60.9
209208.6MilwaukeeHorz0.48210.499215212-1612-160-20-10-45-67-33-92671322080.60.3
300298.7FairfieldMAAC0.42710.49861537-237-230-10-10-31-106-72-8247332971.71.3
186187.3Cal PolyBW0.49310.498615411-1411-150-10-01-63-57-35-5911281852.30.2
137137.0James MadisonCAA0.51640.498415519-1219-120-10-11-54-414-17-616590138-1.0-0.4
6060.7Green BayHorz0.56720.496715621-721-70-10-03-24-414-09-3327262-1.3-0.7
196196.4Holy CrossPat0.48850.496415713-1513-150-00-01-27-85-54-512758197-0.6-0.3
271269.3HoustonAmer0.44650.495215810-1811-190-20-62-31-18-78-4222331271-1.7-0.2
297296.3NevadaMWC0.42860.49511597-197-210-10-31-52-64-62-8345318302-5.7-1.1
270267.4RiceCUSA0.44780.49481608-178-190-00-20-53-35-81-8340261275-7.6-0.7
281280.3NiagaraMAAC0.43910.49471618-218-210-00-40-24-64-91-8291562791.30.7
119118.9Utah St.MWC0.52510.494216217-1018-110-11-32-33-211-26-5182232135-16.1-1.2
7474.2Georgia St.SB0.55620.494116319-920-100-10-11-16-313-36-4406081-6.8-1.2
146145.9PepperdineWCC0.51230.494016416-1216-120-22-11-33-410-26-4231338148-2.1-0.8
272270.8PennIvy0.44520.49391657-188-200-10-20-42-76-65-92462272646.80.7
166164.2Eastern MichiganMAC0.50400.493816614-1214-130-00-31-54-19-37-293299165-0.8-0.1
234233.4DrexelCAA0.46560.493516711-1711-170-00-12-42-98-32-82971642330.40.2
236235.3DenverSum0.46460.493516812-1712-170-10-11-32-59-66-717897238-2.7-1.0
197196.7CharlotteCUSA0.48790.492816913-1615-160-10-31-62-412-37-6149187199-2.3-0.2
183180.8ColgatePat0.49640.492717014-1614-160-00-10-29-75-62-102921891800.80.3
182179.5Middle TennesseeCUSA0.49670.492517114-1415-150-01-21-44-510-36-6157143182-2.5-0.2
304305.3Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42150.49191727-237-230-10-10-61-96-62-113161783032.31.6
131128.8BucknellPat0.51920.491717317-1317-130-10-00-29-98-14-8225171131-2.2-0.8
253253.8IUPUISum0.45620.490917410-2010-200-00-10-51-89-64-10238150256-2.2-1.0
162162.5AmericanPat0.50490.490617515-1515-150-00-10-28-86-47-567139163-0.5-0.2
9090.8Bowling GreenMAC0.54070.490317619-819-90-00-22-25-312-18-29231793-2.2-0.5
240239.1BrownIvy0.46290.489817711-1611-181-00-10-51-79-57-8205235244-4.9-0.5
5049.5WoffordSC0.57660.489717823-623-60-21-02-24-116-17-4191850-0.5-0.3
9798.1NortheasternCAA0.53590.489317920-1120-110-00-02-38-410-38-583147971.10.4
159159.9Gardner WebbBSth0.50600.489218014-1314-130-10-22-34-28-54-5118821572.91.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
290289.5MarshallCUSA0.43310.48911819-189-200-20-21-21-77-72-9326222294-4.5-0.6
157159.4LehighPat0.50610.488818215-1315-130-10-01-07-108-25-5140156160-0.6-0.3
160160.6HawaiiBW0.50540.488418317-1118-120-10-13-44-412-110-41321841564.60.3
301300.4College of CharlestonCAA0.42560.48821848-238-230-10-21-50-87-65-82301882991.41.0
255255.2DelawareCAA0.45540.487318510-1910-190-10-12-23-75-81-103372242550.20.1
5555.5Louisiana TechCUSA0.57180.486818622-723-70-00-22-26-215-18-4107241550.50.2
173170.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50100.486718714-1314-130-00-10-45-49-45-6138104171-0.6-0.2
243245.3Air ForceMWC0.46040.486218811-1511-160-10-51-22-58-25-4272341248-2.7-0.2
147147.5LafayettePat0.51170.486218916-1216-120-20-00-17-79-27-3471491470.50.2
5251.0IonaMAAC0.57560.485919024-724-70-10-10-110-214-27-44589510.00.0
263263.1Wright St.Horz0.45100.48571919-209-200-00-10-54-55-96-61251302630.10.0
132130.5Louisiana MonroeSB0.51890.484619215-1016-110-00-00-36-510-32-52291601255.50.4
225226.9Texas St.SB0.47030.484619310-1411-150-00-21-10-810-43-3106105236-9.1-0.8
153155.6Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50780.484419414-1216-120-00-12-13-611-43-5209166162-6.4-0.5
154156.2Oral RobertsSum0.50760.484319515-1315-130-11-00-33-311-65-71721701551.20.5
219218.8UC RiversideBW0.47490.484119612-1413-150-10-11-43-68-35-72332482180.80.1
7270.9Central MichiganMAC0.55920.484019719-620-60-02-02-25-210-27-113634973-2.1-0.5
252249.6NavyPat0.45790.483819812-1812-180-10-20-14-118-33-8301234250-0.4-0.1
171169.6CanisiusMAAC0.50140.483719916-1316-130-00-11-24-711-35-410391170-0.4-0.2
101101.2WyomingMWC0.53480.483620019-820-91-22-11-15-311-19-2110322956.20.5
217216.7CornellIvy0.47660.483320112-1513-160-00-11-44-48-77-82162682160.70.1
158160.0UT ArlingtonSB0.50600.483220215-1216-130-10-20-24-312-55-4111158172-12.0-1.0
4947.6Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57780.483120322-424-40-20-13-05-016-17-36213657-9.4-1.2
213210.7PrincetonIvy0.47970.482220412-1414-150-00-10-55-59-46-9278276211-0.3-0.0
268267.0SienaMAAC0.44890.482020510-1910-190-00-10-23-107-63-6212141269-2.0-1.1
316314.5Austin PeayOVC0.41140.48192066-226-220-00-10-42-74-103-92882143131.50.9
115116.0New Mexico St.WAC0.52600.481320717-1018-100-20-11-32-315-16-9174421142.00.5
306304.6Florida AtlanticCUSA0.42070.48122086-197-200-00-20-32-75-85-4129223305-0.4-0.1
295294.1South AlabamaSB0.43000.48082097-208-210-00-00-43-95-90-93482492886.10.6
8282.5High PointBSth0.54780.479821019-819-80-00-11-25-513-06-341135820.50.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8485.5South Dakota St.Sum0.54590.479321119-919-90-20-10-04-215-47-5105182832.51.1
175174.0Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49940.478921215-1415-140-10-10-15-810-24-713752175-1.0-0.4
286285.7Southern IllinoisMVC0.43540.478021310-2010-200-40-01-41-58-76-62893472850.70.4
310309.6PresbyterianBSth0.41650.47782146-216-210-10-10-31-85-80-93281183090.60.4
296294.5Youngstown St.Horz0.42990.47732158-218-210-00-10-71-77-66-6177230295-0.5-0.3
208206.4DartmouthIvy0.48270.477021612-1413-150-00-01-24-47-97-7199294209-2.6-0.2
139138.1UNC WilmingtonCAA0.51600.476921716-1216-120-10-22-33-211-54-6194253139-0.9-0.3
185185.8East Tennessee St.SC0.49330.475921814-1314-130-10-10-32-212-66-326411841.81.0
187188.5BryantNEC0.49210.475921915-1415-140-00-10-34-611-43-820279190-1.5-0.7
269267.6Loyola MDPat0.44850.475622011-1911-190-10-00-17-134-44-7264269268-0.4-0.2
216216.8QuinnipiacMAAC0.47690.475322115-1415-140-00-11-27-67-56-3134162217-0.2-0.1
100100.6ChattanoogaSC0.53490.474722220-920-90-21-20-05-114-45-61811061000.60.2
260259.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.45250.473622312-1612-170-00-21-30-811-44-5268254262-2.3-0.3
227227.4LamarSlnd0.46930.473222411-1411-150-20-20-31-310-52-6226169230-2.6-0.3
305305.1North DakotaBSky0.42130.47322256-216-220-20-00-30-86-92-8232100306-0.9-0.2
259258.3Northern KentuckyASun0.45370.473222611-1711-170-20-00-20-811-54-920699259-0.7-0.3
193193.3Robert MorrisNEC0.49010.472922716-1416-140-20-10-26-410-44-82131101930.30.1
311311.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.41470.47292287-207-220-00-00-60-107-66-72282963110.30.1
326325.2FurmanSC0.40330.47282296-216-210-10-10-41-55-101-83151513250.20.2
218219.6Morehead St.OVC0.47520.472823013-1613-160-00-20-41-912-13-102631952190.60.3
168167.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.50220.472823113-1014-110-20-20-32-212-21-62033178-10.2-0.9
223224.8UTSACUSA0.47130.472723211-1412-150-01-00-42-69-54-52623202231.80.2
9294.1Eastern WashingtonBSky0.53940.472123318-819-90-10-01-14-514-26-44880868.11.0
152153.7MontanaBSky0.50900.472023415-1116-110-00-31-12-313-42-7201301530.70.1
324322.7Montana St.BSky0.40520.47202356-226-230-10-00-41-75-112-927777326-3.3-0.8
329328.7Western IllinoisSum0.39940.47192366-196-190-00-00-40-66-93-62942643280.70.6
108109.0Stony BrookAE0.53010.471623719-1019-100-10-20-06-513-27-672731090.00.0
261259.2Weber St.BSky0.45230.471223810-1511-160-10-20-33-58-63-620461265-5.8-0.5
210209.2IPFWSum0.48190.470323913-1313-130-00-01-42-410-54-6240257210-0.8-0.4
292293.4WagnerNEC0.43050.46982409-199-190-10-10-02-147-31-93141422912.41.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
233235.6IdahoBSky0.46570.469624111-1412-150-00-12-33-47-73-62181452350.60.0
191192.2MonmouthMAAC0.49060.469424217-1417-140-30-01-13-513-54-7261259194-1.8-0.7
327326.7MaristMAAC0.40200.46932436-246-240-00-10-12-124-101-9339284327-0.3-0.3
340340.7MaineAE0.37710.46922443-263-260-10-00-30-103-121-123191613391.72.2
141139.8Charleston SouthernBSth0.51520.468824516-1016-100-01-21-23-411-23-5188126140-0.2-0.1
321320.1CampbellBSth0.40740.46882467-217-210-00-20-22-85-93-72451943200.10.1
333333.4BinghamtonAE0.38860.46832475-245-240-10-20-01-114-100-133381803330.40.6
6564.6ValparaisoHorz0.56450.468024823-523-50-00-02-18-313-110-26826268-3.4-2.0
345344.7Tennessee St.OVC0.36950.46792493-263-260-10-00-20-103-131-123432553440.70.6
6665.0Murray St.OVC0.56430.467425024-424-40-00-11-19-114-18-413022566-1.0-0.5
180178.7Northern ArizonaBSky0.49680.467025115-1316-140-00-22-12-513-54-8196111192-13.3-1.0
203204.8MercerSC0.48420.467025215-1415-140-00-40-32-313-43-8281200207-2.2-0.9
214215.9South DakotaSum0.47730.466325314-1514-150-00-11-43-310-75-82502852150.90.4
283283.6VMISC0.43680.46612549-189-180-20-10-21-38-91-7312163284-0.4-0.3
258257.8LIU BrooklynNEC0.45390.465425512-1712-170-00-20-04-108-54-7210152258-0.2-0.1
170169.0NJITind0.50170.465125613-1114-110-10-12-03-59-414-11167272173-4.0-0.3
332332.3Chicago St.WAC0.39130.46492575-225-230-00-10-50-65-111-133171293320.30.2
201199.7St. Francis PANEC0.48690.464725814-1414-140-00-20-06-88-45-585122202-2.3-1.1
266264.2Arkansas St.SB0.44970.464625910-1611-170-00-00-42-78-64-42273152577.20.8
163162.5Norfolk St.MEAC0.50480.464526016-1217-120-20-10-04-613-35-89723169-6.5-0.7
314314.9Coppin St.MEAC0.41190.46422616-216-220-00-20-30-96-80-12308463140.90.2
8789.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54280.464026219-620-70-00-41-22-017-15-496102102-13.0-1.9
294293.2Houston BaptistSlnd0.43010.46332637-158-160-00-10-30-67-71-5305307298-4.8-0.4
245246.4FIUCUSA0.45930.462826411-1612-170-10-10-22-610-75-62113252415.40.5
140139.1RadfordBSth0.51560.461826518-1018-100-10-02-12-514-36-494201141-1.9-0.8
134130.7RiderMAAC0.51850.461326621-1021-100-10-20-16-215-46-5191293134-3.3-1.1
239237.6Western CarolinaSC0.46330.461226712-1612-160-00-10-42-410-63-7234229240-2.4-1.1
273271.8Appalachian St.SB0.44490.461026810-1711-180-00-01-21-98-73-6290339272-0.2-0.0
143143.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.51310.460926913-915-90-00-20-31-113-34-225831421.90.1
7371.9UC DavisBW0.55730.460827020-521-60-00-02-19-211-28-312433272-0.1-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
189188.9ManhattanMAAC0.49200.460827116-1316-130-00-10-44-412-43-6293312189-0.1-0.1
289288.3Tennessee TechOVC0.43350.460727210-1810-180-00-00-24-86-86-61622392871.30.7
317317.2UNC GreensboroSC0.40950.46042737-217-210-10-20-31-46-111-93332633170.20.1
318319.0Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40870.46002747-197-210-00-30-22-35-133-7253209324-5.0-0.9
149149.2Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51100.459927517-1017-100-10-11-22-314-36-5148213151-1.8-0.6
251249.5UNC AshevilleBSth0.45790.459827611-1511-150-00-00-34-77-51-7324278251-1.5-0.5
133129.8Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51890.459627719-919-90-00-23-31-215-27-6133134132-2.2-0.5
242240.5Sacred HeartNEC0.46170.459427814-1614-160-00-10-16-88-65-7215203242-1.5-0.8
282282.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43780.459227910-1510-150-00-00-32-58-72-73443352811.00.6
262262.0ElonCAA0.45150.458828012-1712-170-10-02-21-89-66-52193372602.01.0
315314.0Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.41170.45832817-217-210-00-20-01-126-74-61901973122.01.2
278278.6McNeese St.Slnd0.44040.45722829-1510-150-10-20-31-49-52-514682771.60.4
121120.9North Dakota St.Sum0.52320.456328318-918-90-00-21-22-215-36-5208311122-1.1-0.5
275274.8Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44310.455828411-1611-160-10-10-32-59-64-73043332740.80.4
106108.2AlbanyAE0.53060.455828521-821-80-10-01-16-414-26-71631961080.20.1
144145.1BelmontOVC0.51260.455728618-1018-100-20-00-14-314-47-51542431450.10.0
124124.7Georgia SouthernSB0.52190.455628717-718-80-00-01-23-314-34-2173346136-11.3-0.8
325324.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.40350.45552885-186-190-10-10-40-66-80-7311573168.21.2
246246.4Saint Peter'sMAAC0.45910.455528914-1714-170-00-01-23-910-66-51983212460.40.1
237236.5ArmyPat0.46400.455429014-1514-150-10-00-06-108-48-2131329237-0.5-0.3
279278.9TowsonCAA0.44010.454829111-1911-190-10-10-52-79-66-62483402780.90.5
181180.0HofstraCAA0.49670.454829219-1219-120-00-10-43-516-29-4161336181-1.0-0.4
247246.8HartfordAE0.45890.454629313-1513-150-00-10-11-712-56-6166190247-0.2-0.1
228229.2Delaware St.MEAC0.46850.454529412-1613-160-10-20-23-510-64-9135692263.20.4
142140.1Texas SouthernSWAC0.51460.454429517-1219-120-31-01-30-417-23-10123111373.10.3
302303.0Jacksonville St.OVC0.42310.454129610-1910-190-10-00-22-58-115-82522883012.01.2
192193.0VermontAE0.49020.453629716-1216-120-00-00-23-413-54-8259216195-2.0-0.9
248246.3Northern ColoradoBSky0.45880.452929812-1413-140-00-10-32-611-43-62852452433.30.3
167167.4Tennessee MartinOVC0.50240.452829916-1116-110-10-00-32-514-26-5179326168-0.6-0.2
127127.4Sacramento St.BSky0.52060.452630017-818-90-10-01-12-215-44-52172831270.40.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
226227.2Portland St.BSky0.47010.452430112-1213-130-00-11-10-711-54-41712922270.20.0
343342.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.37290.45233025-265-260-10-00-11-134-112-113302753420.30.4
265264.2UMass LowellAE0.45030.452030311-1711-170-00-10-13-88-75-7164215267-2.8-1.1
308306.7Utah ValleyWAC0.41890.45103048-188-190-20-00-20-58-104-92241723042.70.5
303302.8Southern UtahBSky0.42240.45093058-189-190-00-10-30-78-92-8295244307-4.2-0.6
330329.1LongwoodBSth0.39880.45043067-227-220-00-10-21-106-92-9335306330-0.9-1.0
320320.1Kennesaw St.ASun0.40740.45013078-228-220-10-00-31-67-124-113032823191.10.7
309308.6TroySB0.41680.44963088-188-190-00-20-24-44-113-43273513080.60.1
256256.9SouthernSWAC0.45410.444830912-1513-160-20-10-30-612-40-1128215270-13.1-1.1
344344.6UMBCAE0.36950.44483104-254-250-00-10-20-104-122-11332290345-0.4-0.4
322320.3Savannah St.MEAC0.40630.44373117-208-200-10-10-31-57-102-1027488321-0.7-0.1
150151.9Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50980.443631217-917-90-00-12-24-411-35-3104266152-0.1-0.1
346344.1Idaho St.BSky0.36920.44363134-225-230-00-00-31-73-141-9342314346-1.9-0.9
190189.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.49170.443431417-1318-130-20-10-04-414-67-81211531863.10.5
298296.7Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.42790.443431510-1711-170-00-10-21-510-103-11302237300-3.3-0.4
215216.0Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.47730.442831614-1216-120-11-11-12-212-73-73213432124.00.5
274273.6LipscombASun0.44380.441931711-1611-160-00-10-10-911-53-93062982730.60.3
280280.0UMKCWAC0.43940.441831811-1712-170-10-00-21-410-103-12300252280-0.0-0.0
164163.3St. Francis NYNEC0.50450.441131920-1020-100-10-00-06-714-25-7266309164-0.7-0.3
339338.2StetsonASun0.38130.44063206-226-220-00-10-10-86-123-103233233371.21.1
291292.1SamfordSC0.43110.440532112-1812-180-00-20-42-310-96-62413302893.11.6
347347.1LibertyBSth0.35580.44023224-234-230-00-00-11-93-132-73413273470.10.4
323321.8The CitadelSC0.40630.44003238-188-180-01-20-11-36-122-5329334323-1.2-0.8
221221.0WinthropBSth0.47400.439132414-1214-120-10-01-23-510-42-63093132210.00.0
313314.8Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.41220.43843258-209-210-20-10-21-38-122-10310207315-0.2-0.0
328325.0New OrleansSlnd0.40180.43843266-167-170-00-20-20-57-81-5235140329-4.0-0.6
202202.8New HampshireAE0.48530.437732716-1116-110-00-00-04-812-35-6220287204-1.2-0.7
349348.8Central ArkansasSlnd0.34230.43723282-252-270-00-10-20-82-160-113503033480.81.9
277278.6Grand CanyonWAC0.44050.437132914-1415-140-10-20-21-414-57-8260246282-3.4-0.5
174172.9North FloridaASun0.49990.434433018-1118-110-10-11-22-215-55-9243305174-1.1-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
319319.9South Carolina St.MEAC0.40790.43403318-208-210-10-00-01-107-101-123202263181.90.3
334334.0Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.38790.43393326-196-200-10-00-20-26-153-10287250334-0.0-0.0
336336.6Morgan St.MEAC0.38380.43363337-227-230-10-00-12-85-132-123252583360.60.3
288288.5SeattleWAC0.43380.433333412-1312-140-00-01-32-39-85-7270247292-3.5-0.4
299297.8Nebraska OmahaSum0.42790.432533511-1711-170-00-00-31-510-96-62803502961.81.2
257256.6Prairie View A&MSWAC0.45410.431833612-1614-160-10-10-31-412-71-11273762524.60.4
338338.0JacksonvilleASun0.38160.43023377-227-220-00-10-12-55-153-113463453380.00.0
337336.0North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38370.43003387-217-220-00-20-20-67-131-12336218340-4.0-3.0
249249.0HowardMEAC0.45800.427133913-1413-150-00-00-32-611-63-9265281253-4.0-0.4
285285.1HamptonMEAC0.43580.426234012-1612-170-00-10-22-610-74-9276280286-0.9-0.1
307307.1Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41900.422734111-2012-200-00-10-41-411-113-11251176310-2.9-0.7
111110.8North Carolina CentralMEAC0.52910.422234220-621-60-20-10-14-217-05-6120133112-1.2-0.3
342342.5Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37320.42143436-246-250-10-00-10-76-151-12313181343-0.5-0.2
348348.0Alcorn St.SWAC0.34970.41853444-224-240-00-20-20-44-160-10331138349-1.0-1.5
312314.4Jackson St.SWAC0.41230.417034510-1911-200-00-10-10-911-92-11299202322-7.6-1.3
350350.1Florida A&MMEAC0.32000.41643461-271-280-00-00-20-71-190-133513043500.10.3
351350.9Grambling St.SWAC0.31340.41623470-240-260-00-10-20-40-180-831893351-0.1-0.3
331329.5Alabama A&MSWAC0.39630.41383487-188-190-00-10-20-58-110-9334146331-1.5-0.4
224224.3USC UpstateASun0.47110.412734918-1018-100-10-00-13-215-69-41863422240.30.2
341342.0Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37450.39483508-209-200-00-00-10-79-122-113493443411.00.5
264263.1Alabama St.SWAC0.45090.386135114-915-100-20-00-00-315-52-5284267266-2.9-0.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com