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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Dec 20, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
56.8KansasB120.64880.630219-122-95-64-15-16-11-012-12115.81.2
911.0BaylorB120.63420.604429-122-85-54-25-16-03-011-192920-9.0-1.3
89.4North CarolinaACC0.63760.603138-323-84-43-24-16-15-010-315519-9.6-1.9
1824.9OklahomaB120.60410.599847-319-114-72-23-15-14-09-3446827-2.1-0.2
46.2TexasB120.65080.5993510-125-66-44-16-16-04-012-184310-3.8-0.8
2329.8Oklahoma St.B120.59750.590268-118-114-62-23-15-14-010-12515030-0.2-0.0
1619.3West VirginiaB120.61320.5889710-122-94-53-24-26-14-012-12011721-1.7-0.2
117117.4Kansas St.B120.52790.588087-412-192-102-32-32-25-08-5130156123-5.6-0.2
3947.0GeorgetownBE0.57800.587197-317-122-63-34-24-15-08-2421856-9.0-0.4
11.3KentuckySEC0.68140.58541012-030-15-15-08-08-04-013-0142-0.7-1.1
2530.7Iowa St.B120.59520.5822119-120-104-63-24-23-06-010-24118831-0.3-0.0
24.4DukeACC0.65760.58121210-027-44-24-17-18-05-013-03225-0.6-0.2
77.9LouisvilleACC0.64340.58071310-026-55-33-15-19-05-012-112579-1.1-0.2
98101.4NebraskaB100.53770.5806146-313-150-41-43-55-33-07-39895107-5.6-0.2
4348.9North Carolina St.ACC0.57490.5798159-319-121-62-24-28-24-010-3502765-16.1-0.8
2127.1XavierBE0.60040.5756168-321-102-23-37-36-23-09-4344673-45.9-3.3
3441.5St. John'sBE0.58290.5754178-120-102-53-24-25-15-010-233442813.50.7
66.7VirginiaACC0.64750.57351810-026-44-23-15-110-04-012-04337-0.3-0.1
35.6WisconsinB100.65120.57341910-128-32-26-18-17-05-012-1112114-8.4-2.8
96100.7MarquetteBE0.53860.5730206-415-151-62-43-25-24-18-4106758614.70.5
5260.0IowaB100.56600.5719218-418-132-62-33-37-16-09-410192103-43.0-1.8
1517.1VCUA100.61730.5716228-323-81-32-26-28-15-010-372314.11.9
177181.2MissouriSEC0.49320.5716234-610-200-51-52-53-34-25-71862316318.20.6
4854.3GeorgiaSEC0.57130.5707245-318-121-42-33-38-24-08-4513459-4.7-0.2
5564.0ProvidenceBE0.56320.5703259-318-131-53-34-25-24-19-454774915.00.6
7680.2Georgia TechACC0.55140.5688268-216-141-51-23-37-44-19-348653941.21.5
7880.6UCLAP120.55130.5685278-417-141-71-24-35-26-08-58641112-31.4-1.1
3038.8FloridaSEC0.58540.5681287-420-110-42-26-38-14-09-4786799-60.2-3.5
1112.1UtahP120.62990.5677298-223-63-33-14-17-16-09-2172616-3.9-0.6
3139.3South CarolinaSEC0.58500.5672306-319-101-43-24-27-24-08-3878880-40.7-2.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
169172.3RutgersB100.49790.5668316-510-210-40-42-64-54-17-61355512745.31.7
157157.9Wake ForestACC0.50580.5660325-612-191-70-41-43-36-17-6204183209-51.1-1.7
150150.1MichiganB100.50970.5652335-512-170-61-43-44-33-16-51729712822.10.7
8488.5Texas TechB120.54610.5642349-117-133-81-21-24-18-011-17131498-9.5-0.3
5057.8IndianaB100.56810.5634359-220-112-43-33-36-16-010-36112291-33.2-1.4
6470.4SyracuseACC0.55820.5634366-418-131-61-23-28-35-09-4102875020.40.8
3742.5Miami FLACC0.58100.5627379-220-111-42-24-27-36-010-3356469-26.5-1.5
5968.9ColoradoP120.55980.5622386-316-121-41-22-37-25-07-3889390-21.1-0.7
186191.7George MasonA100.48800.5621393-69-200-50-42-52-54-23-8201111847.70.2
2836.1ButlerBE0.58870.5610408-321-103-33-34-26-26-09-39017657-20.9-1.2
1214.5Ohio St.B100.62350.5597419-225-61-33-17-110-05-011-23210354-39.5-5.5
8690.0AlabamaSEC0.54490.5593426-316-140-51-33-37-26-08-4811216030.00.9
3239.9Michigan St.B100.58390.5591438-421-101-42-25-28-25-09-48312061-21.1-1.2
153153.3Boston CollegeACC0.50760.5571446-313-170-51-42-44-45-18-415719113617.30.5
130131.8TennesseeSEC0.52010.5568455-414-160-41-42-45-35-17-5118806467.82.0
2938.0Seton HallBE0.58690.5559469-120-101-43-34-26-16-010-2281792315.00.8
122125.5Arizona St.P120.52350.5552476-515-161-41-33-56-45-07-6206202199-73.5-2.1
6270.3StanfordP120.55860.5548486-317-131-52-23-26-26-18-49211679-8.7-0.3
6772.3ConnecticutAmer0.55710.5540494-417-130-41-23-46-27-16-61131683-10.7-0.4
1314.7ArizonaP120.62340.55365012-026-52-23-15-110-16-013-014154131.70.2
211211.9Washington St.P120.47720.5536514-68-220-50-41-62-55-25-7224209240-28.1-0.9
3642.8MinnesotaB100.58140.5535528-220-101-42-25-37-16-010-25920875-32.2-1.6
7377.8PurdueB100.55310.5517538-418-131-33-34-36-35-09-4147215126-48.2-1.7
1414.8VillanovaBE0.62300.55155411-026-53-24-26-17-16-013-01618068.81.2
4148.8MarylandB100.57580.55115510-121-101-42-23-38-16-011-236135417.80.4
156157.1NorthwesternB100.50590.5508567-413-180-51-52-55-36-09-415522813126.10.9
99101.2MississippiSEC0.53770.5501577-316-150-22-44-45-36-19-4941288714.20.5
8993.1MassachusettsA100.54300.5501586-516-150-21-33-67-36-17-672123756.11.8
115115.2PittsburghACC0.52940.5499597-316-151-51-32-36-36-19-411719310015.20.5
7277.7RichmondA100.55340.5496606-418-131-31-33-37-37-18-564584235.71.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
193197.3DePaulBE0.48490.5488616-410-191-51-52-61-45-06-5231301205-7.7-0.2
167171.1AuburnSEC0.49840.5487625-512-181-21-32-64-64-16-615311315021.10.6
6571.4Texas A&MSEC0.55790.5483637-318-120-31-34-38-36-09-35683629.40.3
2026.6SMUAmer0.60060.5473648-322-70-12-25-37-17-08-327943-16.4-1.3
184188.5USCP120.48970.5473656-411-190-31-32-54-64-17-519321914840.51.3
2430.0WashingtonP120.59610.54696610-023-72-23-15-26-26-012-018167246.00.4
4048.0CaliforniaP120.57650.54606710-121-101-52-14-26-28-011-23913958-10.0-0.5
9597.8Penn St.B100.53940.54476811-117-140-41-32-46-27-012-1582803562.82.3
114113.1CreightonBE0.53030.5446699-316-152-42-42-44-37-010-3123269124-10.9-0.3
162165.7ClemsonACC0.50150.5435706-413-170-51-32-34-45-28-41972671650.70.0
5159.0IllinoisB100.56680.5425719-320-111-31-34-37-27-010-3691844415.00.6
7780.4MemphisAmer0.55130.5421726-419-120-41-22-36-210-18-510835132-51.6-1.8
2735.4San Diego St.MWC0.58910.5420738-322-81-22-24-26-19-19-32932269.40.6
8286.1Long Beach St.BW0.54760.5416744-715-151-41-31-44-28-24-107036719.10.6
6069.7LSUSEC0.55880.5412758-220-111-22-34-37-36-111-2451401851.72.0
5867.8CincinnatiAmer0.56040.5407767-320-111-21-23-37-38-19-4733776-8.2-0.3
106106.6OregonP120.53450.5405777-317-131-41-23-35-46-08-4148186140-33.4-1.0
4551.6BYUWCC0.57240.5404787-320-90-30-13-28-37-18-343203417.60.8
109109.3La SalleA100.53280.5388796-516-150-31-22-55-39-17-611560121-11.7-0.4
182185.7Florida St.ACC0.49100.5371806-513-180-41-31-45-56-18-521824616025.70.8
5463.4TCUB120.56350.53658111-021-104-72-22-14-110-013-08934971-7.6-0.3
3541.7ArkansasSEC0.58240.5355828-222-91-22-24-27-28-111-2301372219.71.0
263260.2Loyola MarymountWCC0.45180.5355832-66-210-30-20-42-83-32-7285108290-29.8-0.9
197199.5OhioMAC0.48360.5352843-410-170-00-21-63-75-24-5232110243-43.5-1.1
208210.7Virginia TechACC0.47810.5336856-412-190-70-31-32-48-28-5257329263-52.3-1.7
2227.6DavidsonA100.59880.5335868-122-61-31-14-27-19-08-22310468-40.4-3.2
139142.3UNLVMWC0.51410.5334876-315-150-41-32-44-38-27-593289349.31.4
1011.4GonzagaWCC0.63070.53338810-127-31-12-05-111-18-011-163983.40.8
103103.9TempleAmer0.53590.5328897-417-140-41-13-35-48-28-595746340.91.3
102103.7VanderbiltSEC0.53620.5317906-317-130-31-34-36-36-18-4134229143-39.3-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8792.1San DiegoWCC0.54370.5298916-517-120-31-22-36-48-16-511699158-65.9-2.2
7983.8Illinois St.MVC0.54890.5294926-418-111-31-21-14-311-27-474484736.81.4
110110.0Saint Mary'sWCC0.53260.5293935-316-120-20-22-28-36-27-311289119-9.0-0.3
261257.2FordhamA100.45320.5293942-58-200-20-31-63-54-44-626718918869.22.1
119121.9San FranciscoWCC0.52540.5286955-516-130-20-21-46-48-25-6177125202-80.1-2.4
108108.5TulsaAmer0.53360.5278966-416-130-31-22-36-37-27-41291309612.50.4
3341.1BuffaloMAC0.58300.5266977-221-90-20-03-29-39-19-324942516.10.9
303288.4DrakeMVC0.43470.5265982-96-230-30-30-51-74-62-930813327711.40.5
1719.1Wichita St.MVC0.61260.5253997-123-41-22-14-16-110-18-11038415.11.8
2633.0Colorado St.MWC0.59170.524710010-023-70-12-15-27-29-111-15471122.01.4
192193.8South FloridaAmer0.48690.52211014-612-180-10-32-53-67-35-7217144219-25.2-0.7
165169.9Saint Joseph'sA100.49910.52131026-413-170-30-22-44-47-37-513919212544.91.3
225226.2Mississippi St.SEC0.47010.52051034-511-190-20-31-54-76-26-626229718739.21.1
124128.3Oregon St.P120.52230.51911047-216-131-41-22-35-37-18-3173334138-9.7-0.3
1925.6Northern IowaMVC0.60110.519010510-125-51-21-14-17-112-111-113861213.61.3
238236.3DuquesneA100.46460.51771063-510-180-20-21-62-56-34-6288309253-16.7-0.5
212212.2Missouri St.MVC0.47700.51691073-610-180-30-21-42-48-44-624618719121.20.6
9297.0New MexicoMWC0.54040.51671088-319-110-11-22-26-49-29-3126256152-55.0-1.8
4248.2Notre DameACC0.57550.516110911-124-72-42-14-17-110-012-1119344106-57.8-2.9
281272.2Miami OHMAC0.44460.51541103-79-210-10-21-52-96-44-8307204311-38.8-1.3
219220.9Santa ClaraWCC0.47330.51531114-510-180-20-21-44-76-25-522725019624.90.7
7478.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.55250.51531123-518-100-20-12-36-311-15-79613101-22.5-0.8
142144.1Western KentuckyCUSA0.51340.51411135-514-140-10-22-34-58-25-51427812222.10.6
7076.4George WashingtonA100.55400.51391146-319-101-31-23-25-29-18-31112813640.41.4
6169.7DaytonA100.55870.51371158-221-90-11-24-37-29-19-3531463336.71.3
236234.3OaklandHorz0.46630.51331163-89-200-20-31-52-75-43-10222622340.30.0
205206.0PacificWCC0.48030.51321175-410-170-30-21-32-67-25-417026817135.01.0
100102.8William & MaryCAA0.53760.51311184-315-120-10-22-35-48-14-56825117-14.2-0.4
8892.8ToledoMAC0.54340.51111197-419-120-20-12-27-510-28-5131214180-87.2-2.9
259253.0UCFAmer0.45560.51091205-410-180-20-21-44-65-56-424926524211.00.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
240237.4UABCUSA0.46460.51081213-711-190-20-20-43-67-53-925353309-71.6-2.0
4451.1Boise St.MWC0.57320.51081227-220-80-21-22-26-210-18-23817852-0.9-0.0
7579.8YaleIvy0.55190.51071238-418-110-01-22-26-49-39-649112709.80.4
146147.4James MadisonCAA0.51130.51061247-417-140-20-12-37-58-38-5104521443.40.1
8185.6CharlotteCUSA0.54770.51021256-520-110-11-32-36-211-27-679564639.61.5
5359.8Rhode IslandA100.56590.50991266-321-71-21-13-37-19-17-31031943227.81.2
233231.1MarshallCUSA0.46750.50991272-711-180-20-21-33-67-43-8297162275-43.9-1.2
231228.6Ball St.MAC0.46850.50981282-610-180-10-21-53-66-44-6299298286-57.4-1.4
330328.0San Jose St.MWC0.39910.50961290-92-260-20-30-41-91-80-103482433280.00.0
148148.3Cleveland St.Horz0.51090.50901303-614-150-30-11-43-410-35-815869167-18.7-0.5
295283.3NevadaMWC0.43760.50871311-87-210-20-41-42-64-52-8334232318-34.7-1.2
276269.2Indiana St.MVC0.44720.50801323-79-200-30-30-51-47-74-7302263296-26.8-0.9
241237.1DrexelCAA0.46400.50791332-710-180-00-21-54-85-22-827510217760.11.6
235231.8East CarolinaAmer0.46670.50771343-611-180-20-21-53-56-45-6268264272-40.2-1.1
266262.7Saint LouisA100.45100.50771356-410-200-30-31-52-57-47-526130524715.70.6
132134.6Western MichiganMAC0.51880.50751365-415-130-00-12-45-67-26-4160296157-22.4-0.6
264261.4Fresno St.MWC0.45140.50741373-88-210-20-41-52-55-53-8301273287-25.6-0.8
4753.8HarvardIvy0.57150.50721386-119-70-10-02-17-39-19-3401072924.81.0
180184.8College of CharlestonCAA0.49160.50701395-614-170-20-21-54-68-25-8182100215-30.2-0.8
8085.5ColumbiaIvy0.54840.50691406-318-90-11-13-26-39-39-485127115-29.5-0.9
6670.6UTEPCUSA0.55770.50671416-421-81-21-12-16-312-27-452145317.60.7
113113.7UNC WilmingtonCAA0.53100.50501424-315-130-20-21-35-49-25-562816647.71.3
6973.2EvansvilleMVC0.55590.50501437-221-81-21-12-15-213-19-27522077-3.8-0.2
134138.6Air ForceMWC0.51640.50491444-415-120-11-31-33-49-15-4209276198-59.4-1.6
202202.8Boston UniversityPat0.48230.50481453-712-160-10-11-34-77-43-720249210-7.2-0.2
111111.3Wright St.Horz0.53190.50371466-416-120-10-12-36-49-37-565717833.31.0
270262.1BradleyMVC0.45060.50351473-610-190-30-21-42-57-64-73132872602.10.1
164167.5DetroitHorz0.50070.50321484-614-150-10-22-44-58-35-8166106169-1.5-0.0
154155.0TulaneAmer0.50720.50301498-116-130-11-22-44-410-28-3143282172-17.0-0.4
248246.7North TexasCUSA0.45880.50251503-410-180-10-31-52-58-44-624516423511.70.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
218217.2PrincetonIvy0.47460.50201514-812-170-00-21-54-67-46-9251195273-55.8-1.4
250249.3BrownIvy0.45800.50091524-610-190-00-21-43-75-66-9235203250-0.7-0.0
183186.4ColgatePat0.49080.50081532-813-170-10-11-44-97-32-10260123308-121.6-3.2
271263.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.44940.50041543-49-190-00-21-53-76-54-6281310284-20.6-0.6
9799.8St. BonaventureA100.53850.50031557-219-101-11-23-35-39-29-2121325133-33.2-1.1
334331.5DelawareCAA0.39410.50031560-92-270-10-10-51-111-90-11343205342-10.5-1.1
3843.7Old DominionCUSA0.57980.50011579-125-51-01-04-28-211-111-119731528.71.6
152153.5AkronMAC0.50780.49951586-417-130-01-22-45-59-28-419030014112.50.3
306289.5Southern MissCUSA0.43280.49811593-47-200-00-20-52-55-73-6250153315-25.5-0.9
135138.4Kent St.MAC0.51620.49791606-217-120-10-11-34-411-28-3151289161-22.6-0.6
166171.0PortlandWCC0.49880.49721617-314-140-20-11-34-69-27-316733314526.00.7
4653.0Green BayHorz0.57160.49691626-221-60-11-13-25-211-19-222791736.01.6
317309.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41810.49641632-96-230-10-20-51-94-72-1131518525653.22.7
299285.0RiceCUSA0.43590.49621641-57-200-10-21-41-65-72-7324274350-65.0-2.1
129131.4Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52040.49611656-216-110-30-21-22-212-26-31503171292.40.1
147148.5Holy CrossPat0.51100.49501664-315-120-00-01-35-68-34-51098410543.51.1
144147.2LehighPat0.51160.49411674-515-130-10-01-26-68-35-513211412027.20.8
6873.3WyomingMWC0.55630.49371688-221-81-22-22-16-112-19-263255137-63.7-2.3
173177.6CornellIvy0.49540.49351695-414-150-10-21-44-38-58-7175236203-25.4-0.6
291279.6NiagaraMAAC0.43970.49311701-79-200-10-20-32-87-71-828245175104.63.4
189192.3Utah St.MWC0.48770.49261716-514-150-11-32-43-59-36-518825816824.30.7
246245.1HoustonAmer0.45990.49221725-312-170-10-31-43-48-57-4265337267-21.9-0.6
316309.2Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.41850.49121732-97-230-20-10-41-65-103-11311181324-14.8-0.8
138141.9UT ArlingtonSB0.51470.49121745-416-130-20-11-14-312-55-4769610833.90.9
137140.4Stony BrookAE0.51570.49021753-616-130-10-21-35-510-35-814519178-37.6-1.0
155156.2PepperdineWCC0.50670.49001766-316-120-20-11-43-410-17-3185343228-71.8-1.9
5666.5Georgia St.SB0.56100.48981775-322-80-11-21-15-215-26-4471194026.51.1
288274.7MilwaukeeHorz0.44320.48951783-79-190-20-21-33-65-73-9287227312-37.3-1.2
301286.8Loyola MDPat0.43490.48951793-68-210-00-11-43-104-63-825217521175.82.7
163166.3Gardner WebbBSth0.50140.48941803-514-130-10-20-25-49-43-6152639769.31.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
294283.6IUPUISum0.43780.48761813-89-210-10-10-32-86-83-11276163323-39.4-1.4
9397.7Bowling GreenMAC0.54020.48741826-219-90-01-12-27-410-28-297312104-6.3-0.2
280270.6PennIvy0.44540.48681833-59-190-10-21-42-76-55-9296294336-65.4-2.0
8591.0Central MichiganMAC0.54520.48661846-118-80-01-12-26-310-27-1127347151-60.0-1.7
251249.1BucknellPat0.45790.48661854-611-190-10-00-44-107-44-822619717970.12.0
195199.7Middle TennesseeCUSA0.48390.48621865-514-160-10-11-34-710-46-617120116237.71.0
107108.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.53420.48581876-218-90-00-11-36-310-17-21003278127.40.8
120123.6NortheasternCAA0.52480.48551887-319-120-00-12-47-510-28-51072389231.60.9
4954.8Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56930.48541896-421-70-10-11-15-215-26-421153816.80.9
262257.7FairfieldMAAC0.45300.48541904-611-190-10-00-32-89-73-725911522136.71.1
101103.1AmericanPat0.53680.48511917-419-110-00-11-37-611-27-5661688419.10.6
160165.4MontanaBSky0.50190.48511922-614-130-10-30-22-211-53-61693614916.40.4
190193.6DartmouthIvy0.48740.48491935-513-150-00-11-33-58-67-7199286220-26.4-0.7
123127.0CanisiusMAAC0.52290.48491945-418-110-00-11-26-411-35-41256611116.00.5
207210.5Cal PolyBW0.47860.48481953-511-150-10-11-33-46-64-618319918624.50.6
178181.5Texas St.SB0.49260.48391963-313-130-10-10-23-410-53-3122148206-24.5-0.5
159164.5FIUCUSA0.50240.48351974-515-140-10-11-24-59-55-613722313925.50.7
323317.2NavyPat0.41060.48331982-86-230-00-20-42-105-72-9322248325-7.8-0.5
9095.9LafayettePat0.54120.48331996-319-90-20-01-27-412-27-3601665144.91.4
172175.0DenverSum0.49620.48312005-616-130-10-10-24-512-36-7189159182-7.0-0.2
312302.9Montana St.BSky0.42260.48302012-88-210-10-10-32-66-102-929310128121.90.9
217216.9Northern KentuckyASun0.47470.48302023-612-150-20-10-23-69-44-91849019719.90.5
126130.5South Dakota St.Sum0.52090.48272037-317-110-20-10-14-413-47-580142142-11.5-0.3
290279.1FurmanSC0.43970.48212042-79-180-10-10-31-57-81-82864024930.10.9
116115.8BelmontOVC0.52920.48192057-418-100-10-10-25-313-27-577919520.80.7
224223.9Youngstown St.Horz0.47130.48102065-612-160-00-11-52-69-46-620025420122.90.6
204205.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.48090.48062072-412-150-00-10-23-59-63-4205224264-58.4-1.3
206208.3BryantNEC0.47950.48042082-513-160-00-10-24-69-63-8192612044.30.1
200201.6UC IrvineBW0.48280.47962093-513-140-10-11-33-59-54-7230245231-29.4-0.7
214216.3Oral RobertsSum0.47510.47942104-612-160-10-01-15-77-65-7212198230-13.7-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8386.0ValparaisoHorz0.54730.47922119-220-80-00-12-28-311-210-2552217412.00.4
302285.5WagnerNEC0.43490.47912121-79-190-00-10-32-77-81-928972316-30.5-0.9
268261.5Appalachian St.SB0.45090.47912133-510-190-00-10-43-77-73-622524722338.51.1
9498.1Florida Gulf CoastASun0.53990.47882147-219-80-10-12-26-311-18-567708810.10.4
297282.8South AlabamaSB0.43680.47862150-79-200-00-10-23-86-81-8340278340-57.2-1.7
133135.2New Mexico St.WAC0.51790.47852164-818-110-21-11-32-215-36-915931207-71.8-2.3
286272.9Arkansas Little RockSB0.44330.47832173-411-170-00-10-32-78-63-5298251319-46.1-1.3
179183.1ElonCAA0.49210.47812184-515-140-10-01-34-79-26-51953061812.10.1
260252.6LamarSlnd0.45540.47812191-69-170-10-20-41-48-62-623913124111.60.3
191192.4Florida AtlanticCUSA0.48710.47792203-413-140-00-21-33-59-44-5191275208-15.6-0.4
6369.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.55840.47782216-322-60-20-12-14-116-17-35710972-2.6-0.1
5765.9WoffordSC0.56060.47782227-222-70-21-02-13-116-27-426424520.91.0
309291.4Western IllinoisSum0.43060.47712233-58-170-00-00-23-85-73-6273218313-21.6-0.7
277268.0North DakotaBSky0.44670.47682242-69-190-20-10-21-68-82-818151166102.02.9
335331.0Tennessee St.OVC0.39350.47632250-94-250-10-00-31-83-131-12342239351-20.0-1.5
345341.5PresbyterianBSth0.37590.47622260-82-250-10-00-21-92-120-933212633110.51.5
339334.0Coppin St.MEAC0.38900.47612270-94-240-00-20-40-84-100-122941030628.02.5
254251.3Morehead St.OVC0.45670.47602282-1011-180-10-10-32-78-63-10279207292-40.7-1.2
9195.6IonaMAAC0.54120.47432296-421-100-00-11-26-414-37-484172109-13.4-0.5
201201.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48260.47392303-514-140-00-11-24-59-73-5269290317-115.8-2.7
239235.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.46460.47332313-612-170-10-20-22-59-74-7165111116119.73.1
237233.5Southern IllinoisMVC0.46600.47322326-513-170-30-21-32-411-56-6291350320-86.5-2.5
223222.2QuinnipiacMAAC0.47190.47292334-515-140-00-01-25-68-75-4176171257-34.8-0.9
226226.0CampbellBSth0.46970.47162342-612-160-10-10-13-89-53-7219152259-33.0-0.8
283272.4UTSACUSA0.44380.47152353-510-170-00-11-32-57-73-62833212693.40.1
127130.5East Tennessee St.SC0.52080.47132365-217-100-10-11-23-213-56-33750212-81.5-2.3
145147.7Sacred HeartNEC0.51130.47132375-418-120-10-01-15-413-57-511411813017.70.5
203204.0Charleston SouthernBSth0.48140.47122383-413-130-00-11-23-69-43-51689817331.00.7
171175.5North Dakota St.Sum0.49630.47072395-414-120-10-00-14-510-45-515623715916.50.4
232230.2LIU BrooklynNEC0.46780.47062403-613-160-00-10-23-710-63-8234138248-17.8-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7176.2HofstraCAA0.55370.47062417-324-70-00-12-29-313-110-3105315170-93.8-3.8
243242.0Weber St.BSky0.46160.47062423-512-150-10-20-32-410-53-62401322366.00.2
329323.2MaineAE0.40320.47042431-86-230-10-10-21-105-92-113191603221.20.1
131132.3High PointBSth0.52010.47042446-317-100-10-01-15-511-36-3461515577.32.2
256251.7Northwestern St.Slnd0.45600.47022451-510-150-10-20-41-48-51-625517258-6.3-0.2
198200.7Tennessee TechOVC0.48340.47002464-514-140-00-00-24-79-55-71782101937.70.2
242238.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.46390.46992474-612-150-00-00-22-89-54-722021221325.00.6
209211.4Arkansas St.SB0.47780.46942483-414-140-00-11-33-510-64-4242319282-70.6-1.7
112112.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.53120.46942494-419-80-11-11-23-314-26-51101658527.31.0
215216.8NJITind0.47490.46932505-711-140-10-10-22-58-511-14213272233-16.2-0.4
210211.1SienaMAAC0.47760.46922513-614-150-00-01-24-610-63-6244249239-27.9-0.7
338333.7MaristMAAC0.38970.46912521-105-250-00-00-21-104-121-93412843321.70.2
228226.2UNC AshevilleBSth0.46960.46902531-612-140-00-10-23-68-52-6295234302-75.8-1.8
275267.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.44740.46872544-711-180-00-11-43-77-75-825430422443.31.3
136139.5Georgia SouthernSB0.51600.46852554-216-100-00-11-25-311-44-212031311821.50.5
265260.3South DakotaSum0.45130.46822563-811-180-00-10-33-88-74-9292288280-19.7-0.6
221221.6ChattanoogaSC0.47210.46802574-614-150-10-11-22-312-74-72361472147.60.2
274266.7Robert MorrisNEC0.44820.46682583-712-180-10-10-22-69-84-824317021749.71.5
188192.6RiderMAAC0.48770.46642596-617-140-10-10-24-412-66-517926117418.60.5
141143.8Murray St.OVC0.51350.46632606-418-100-10-02-14-312-47-51331968954.81.6
216216.7HawaiiBW0.47480.46632616-315-120-00-11-33-510-37-419629119521.70.5
245243.7MercerSC0.46070.46552624-513-160-10-20-31-411-63-8264177246-2.3-0.1
347341.7BinghamtonAE0.37470.46532630-113-260-00-10-21-113-110-13346216343-1.3-0.2
118121.8Louisiana TechCUSA0.52580.46472648-320-100-00-22-34-315-38-4144330227-105.2-3.2
220220.1TowsonCAA0.47290.46452656-414-160-00-11-54-710-37-518733818931.10.9
279270.0Jacksonville St.OVC0.44580.46422665-511-180-10-00-22-79-76-7194259283-13.0-0.4
267259.6Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45100.46372673-511-170-00-10-23-68-73-7210174155104.62.7
252248.9UC RiversideBW0.45740.46362684-412-160-10-11-32-410-76-6241324265-16.1-0.4
314303.6Austin PeayOVC0.42190.46352692-78-200-00-10-32-77-93-9318285329-25.4-1.0
168172.4MonmouthMAAC0.49820.46282705-518-130-10-11-14-314-65-6238292185-12.6-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
346340.9Chicago St.WAC0.37580.46262710-103-250-00-10-30-63-130-1433014933010.91.3
213215.6HartfordAE0.47550.46262725-514-140-00-10-25-79-46-6161155216-0.4-0.0
257252.3Western CarolinaSC0.45590.46242732-812-170-00-10-41-510-73-82662172511.30.0
300287.8UNC GreensboroSC0.43490.46242742-810-180-10-10-31-58-91-932023026225.80.9
222222.9Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47200.46222754-715-160-00-10-24-710-75-6211293279-56.1-1.6
187191.7IPFWSum0.48780.46222764-414-120-00-00-33-511-45-5214303218-26.3-0.6
269261.2LipscombASun0.45080.46162772-710-160-10-00-32-78-53-9270241278-16.8-0.4
258253.2St. Francis NYNEC0.45580.46132783-713-170-00-10-23-810-74-8272231294-40.8-1.1
199201.4IdahoBSky0.48290.46112793-514-130-00-11-13-310-73-621522517625.40.6
255250.0McNeese St.Slnd0.45630.46042801-411-140-10-10-41-39-51-62088146104.02.5
121124.8St. Francis PANEC0.52420.46002815-418-100-10-00-14-314-46-4821698242.81.3
340333.3Nicholls St.Slnd0.38870.45952820-64-210-10-00-30-64-100-732613430132.32.3
175178.6VermontAE0.49480.45942834-516-120-00-10-25-611-35-7198182222-43.4-1.2
282271.8VMISC0.44420.45942843-611-160-10-10-31-49-71-731017325219.80.6
319311.4Kennesaw St.ASun0.41650.45842854-88-210-00-20-31-87-85-1027826225457.43.0
181185.1Northern ColoradoBSky0.49120.45832863-515-120-00-10-22-413-44-5221158261-75.9-1.8
151153.3North FloridaASun0.50840.45832875-516-120-10-11-23-412-36-8149242156-2.7-0.1
324318.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.40900.45772882-88-230-00-10-21-77-133-10321270327-8.7-0.5
326319.5LongwoodBSth0.40750.45762892-87-220-00-10-22-96-92-931625230415.50.9
321315.6StetsonASun0.41150.45682901-97-200-10-10-21-96-72-11323279337-21.4-1.1
285272.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.44350.45682911-59-150-00-00-31-58-61-5306308288-15.4-0.4
105104.4Sam Houston St.Slnd0.53550.45642925-420-70-01-11-31-216-15-499105113-8.6-0.3
194199.6UMass LowellAE0.48390.45632935-514-140-10-00-14-610-56-613820013465.61.8
170174.6Texas SouthernSWAC0.49740.45612942-816-150-31-20-21-415-43-10146613539.61.2
227226.9Northern ArizonaBSky0.46970.45602954-714-160-10-11-22-512-74-8216211245-18.1-0.5
249247.9Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45800.45572964-612-150-00-10-33-610-54-7280307307-59.1-1.6
348341.4Abilene ChristianSlnd0.37470.45572971-64-230-00-10-40-54-131-833527129546.45.9
158159.2Norfolk St.MEAC0.50530.45562986-517-120-20-10-23-315-55-814159229-69.8-2.1
125129.4UC DavisBW0.52160.45532997-118-90-00-01-24-313-49-29133110227.40.8
185191.5AlbanyAE0.48810.45433004-616-130-00-01-14-711-56-71742331901.50.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
304287.3ManhattanMAAC0.43390.45403013-711-180-00-00-22-99-73-6333341314-26.7-0.9
342337.1Central ArkansasSlnd0.38320.45393020-95-240-00-00-30-74-130-11347244347-9.9-1.0
230228.8Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46870.45383032-814-160-20-10-21-412-73-9237124244-15.2-0.4
273265.0Sacramento St.BSky0.44840.45383043-411-160-10-10-11-410-94-524731123728.00.7
293281.2TroySB0.43790.45333052-411-160-00-10-22-68-73-4339351346-64.8-1.8
331325.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39890.45323061-77-180-00-00-21-76-92-7349336335-9.1-0.5
174177.6RadfordBSth0.49490.45253075-416-120-00-10-24-512-46-412822211463.61.6
320313.1Idaho St.BSky0.41370.45153081-88-200-00-10-21-77-111-9337326334-20.9-1.0
318308.9Southern UtahBSky0.41680.45143091-68-190-00-10-21-67-102-730325329315.90.7
292280.6South Carolina St.MEAC0.43900.45123103-810-180-10-10-21-79-82-102287622654.61.7
143144.3ArmyPat0.51290.45053117-219-90-10-01-16-412-28-2154345164-19.7-0.6
234231.0New OrleansSlnd0.46710.45043121-411-130-00-10-41-310-51-51642414784.01.9
344339.4JacksonvilleASun0.37890.44883131-95-230-00-10-21-74-122-12344322345-5.6-0.6
296283.0SeattleWAC0.43700.44823143-611-150-10-20-21-410-74-8256161297-14.0-0.5
327319.3Savannah St.MEAC0.40680.44753152-98-200-10-10-21-56-102-102778527445.32.3
311302.0Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.42370.44753163-610-180-00-10-31-59-93-7317340310-8.0-0.3
332327.9UMBCAE0.39730.44743172-97-220-00-10-21-96-103-103273023216.90.5
278267.7Portland St.BSky0.44660.44733184-411-150-00-10-22-59-74-420333519275.72.1
305288.7Grand CanyonWAC0.43370.44623194-713-160-10-10-31-412-76-927120626622.70.8
196200.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.48370.44583204-516-120-00-01-14-511-66-6229342268-68.0-1.6
322315.1The CitadelSC0.41060.44403211-68-180-00-10-21-57-102-5328320344-28.9-1.3
149148.4Tennessee MartinOVC0.51080.44373226-317-100-00-10-23-314-37-4140332153-4.6-0.1
176179.8New HampshireAE0.49420.44353234-416-110-00-00-15-711-36-5163277183-3.2-0.1
247247.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.45880.44343245-814-170-20-10-11-613-85-1020719022522.50.7
336332.0North Carolina A&TMEAC0.39110.44323250-127-220-10-10-10-77-110-13331143338-6.0-0.5
272263.8WinthropBSth0.44910.44243262-612-140-00-00-13-68-72-6312316291-27.2-0.7
104104.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.53560.44183274-118-60-00-11-22-115-24-2311574856.92.0
289276.8UMKCWAC0.44120.44083282-812-170-00-00-22-59-104-112842602760.80.0
287273.2Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44320.44073293-611-160-10-00-11-410-104-923323523241.21.1
128130.7Coastal CarolinaBSth0.52080.43963304-318-80-00-00-15-313-35-313632311020.70.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
313304.1SouthernSWAC0.42210.43873310-910-190-20-10-20-59-90-113003027133.11.4
161165.3USC UpstateASun0.50180.43783327-418-90-00-11-23-314-38-516231815411.30.3
308291.9Utah ValleyWAC0.43060.43713333-710-170-10-10-10-310-104-925825727021.90.7
298284.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43620.43393340-1011-180-20-10-31-411-80-1130554289-4.1-0.1
315305.7Morgan St.MEAC0.42060.43353352-1011-190-10-00-11-69-113-113092663050.70.0
351349.3Grambling St.SWAC0.34550.43193360-72-240-10-20-30-42-140-8290725594.334.7
244243.1Delaware St.MEAC0.46100.43183374-714-150-00-10-22-412-84-918022620043.11.2
325318.4LibertyBSth0.40800.43073382-610-170-00-00-12-78-92-7351348349-30.6-1.5
333329.4SamfordSC0.39550.43033394-89-210-00-10-31-58-125-7314346333-3.6-0.3
253250.4HamptonMEAC0.45740.42913405-614-150-00-10-21-513-74-9263295300-49.6-1.4
310298.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42670.42763412-912-190-00-10-31-611-92-11248129194104.04.1
328323.0Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.40380.42743422-109-190-00-10-10-49-123-11338328341-18.0-1.1
284273.4HowardMEAC0.44370.42433433-712-160-00-10-11-611-83-9274299285-11.6-0.3
140142.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.51410.42373445-519-80-10-10-21-218-25-61241459448.91.9
350349.1Florida A&MMEAC0.34610.42343450-103-260-00-00-20-83-151-123502833481.10.4
337332.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.39000.42173460-87-200-10-10-20-47-120-9325823266.40.4
307292.7Jackson St.SWAC0.43100.41693472-1013-180-00-10-21-613-82-11304213299-6.3-0.2
349347.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35720.41483481-105-260-10-10-20-65-161-1232924030344.09.5
341335.9Alabama A&MSWAC0.38390.41203490-77-190-00-10-20-47-110-833613629837.92.9
343338.6Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37950.40383502-99-200-00-00-00-78-133-10345339339-0.4-0.0
229227.8Alabama St.SWAC0.46890.40053512-416-90-10-10-11-115-52-5223141238-10.2-0.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com