live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 21, 2018.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
233227.7Abilene ChristianSlnd0.46780.44053179-814-130-10-00-12-512-64-5218285229-1.3-0.1
248249.1Air ForceMWC0.45360.50201486-109-180-10-10-43-95-34-626827423415.10.8
212213.5AkronMAC0.47620.50101508-913-160-10-21-45-88-16-5248296241-27.5-0.9
3940.5AlabamaSEC0.58690.5985413-618-133-43-34-37-21-08-548102614.51.0
349348.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.35080.41023432-175-260-00-10-10-75-160-133441803453.61.5
346341.4Alabama St.SWAC0.37540.41773393-157-230-10-00-20-67-140-1232597342-0.6-0.1
118119.0AlbanyAE0.52860.459927715-621-90-10-11-15-214-411-368269152-33.0-1.4
348343.0Alcorn St.SWAC0.37010.40193462-147-200-00-10-20-57-120-9331121347-4.0-0.5
314307.8AmericanPat0.41470.45542895-148-210-10-10-31-57-123-82832773043.80.2
265266.2Appalachian St.SB0.44300.46632526-1210-180-10-01-21-68-93-829126424620.20.8
1316.0ArizonaP120.61850.56194816-424-71-13-17-210-13-010-3295516-0.0-0.0
2932.2Arizona St.P120.59570.54487615-423-73-11-16-49-14-012-09148311.20.1
4041.8ArkansasSEC0.58550.57383013-620-113-43-35-36-23-011-22357329.80.6
315307.7Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41450.41413426-1412-200-10-10-10-612-110-1434217529413.70.7
293291.0Arkansas St.SB0.42650.46022765-139-200-10-10-31-68-93-8318335296-5.0-0.2
195190.1ArmyPat0.49040.434632711-717-110-00-00-22-415-56-4171340199-8.9-0.3
1417.9AuburnSEC0.61620.56434317-224-72-23-27-38-14-012-1118489.91.0
213214.6Austin PeayOVC0.47610.48461918-1013-150-10-10-33-710-43-7274163217-2.4-0.1
111115.8Ball St.MAC0.53080.506113611-718-120-10-12-38-58-28-4831981123.80.1
5458.6BaylorB120.56950.58421611-717-132-83-33-23-16-09-35814082-23.4-1.1
7582.3BelmontOVC0.54990.478521515-623-80-11-11-14-416-18-5112144802.30.1
291288.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.42850.37723519-915-140-00-00-10-315-104-929934127513.30.6
284281.9BinghamtonAE0.43270.43943208-1112-170-00-10-22-59-107-6253343301-19.1-0.9
3739.0Boise St.MWC0.58780.521310915-422-70-11-14-29-28-09-247190345.00.4
9099.6Boston CollegeACC0.54010.54757313-717-141-51-42-34-19-010-31303076534.61.3
199199.1Boston UniversityPat0.48560.46042749-915-130-10-01-22-412-63-7244225202-2.9-0.1
191187.8Bowling GreenMAC0.49170.487418310-714-150-00-10-35-79-37-4173301188-0.2-0.0
124123.3BradleyMVC0.52640.504914213-717-130-00-22-48-67-09-310729410815.30.5
258260.6BrownIvy0.44660.44203167-712-140-10-10-12-610-66-622831923327.61.0
333331.0BryantNEC0.39330.46222662-195-260-10-10-20-95-141-123232183283.00.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7885.1BucknellPat0.54820.484918913-821-100-10-11-24-415-26-79756113-27.9-1.6
3133.5BuffaloMAC0.59390.53898513-522-80-20-22-213-28-07-5338276.50.6
3537.4ButlerBE0.58970.58461514-720-113-52-44-27-05-010-33263298.40.6
6162.6BYUWCC0.56480.502514717-424-70-11-32-19-212-111-23614669-6.4-0.5
285282.9Cal PolyBW0.43240.48441934-138-200-00-11-33-124-53-925714126913.90.6
216216.8Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.47460.51811155-129-170-10-31-43-55-54-8150372115.80.3
163160.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.50650.47692229-715-110-00-21-34-49-25-513613913228.30.9
338335.2Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.38700.45322933-145-230-00-00-31-104-101-11351336348-12.8-1.2
194190.3CaliforniaP120.49040.5621477-129-210-40-53-64-43-26-618510517713.30.7
266266.4CampbellBSth0.44300.43133318-913-140-00-00-13-610-83-6332346283-16.6-0.7
128126.8CanisiusMAAC0.52450.473222613-820-110-00-12-16-411-46-71922311233.80.1
237237.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.46170.43643249-1115-150-00-10-32-513-75-7256333263-26.0-1.2
250253.1Central ConnecticutNEC0.45150.423033711-1015-160-00-00-12-613-87-621734424013.10.6
151146.9Central MichiganMAC0.51370.487518210-616-120-00-10-26-510-38-29531813610.90.3
311305.1Charleston SouthernBSth0.41640.44453144-128-180-00-10-22-66-92-6294323322-16.9-0.8
303301.7CharlotteCUSA0.41940.47842164-137-210-00-20-51-56-83-7322328310-8.3-0.5
289287.0ChattanoogaSC0.42940.48401944-148-210-00-00-52-96-64-7242184299-12.0-0.6
339336.7Chicago St.WAC0.38670.50561380-201-280-10-20-40-121-90-1533715032412.71.9
811.4CincinnatiAmer0.62820.54937117-227-41-34-17-16-08-011-24020825-13.6-2.5
914.0ClemsonACC0.62340.58741316-322-84-33-15-27-14-011-173968.01.0
329322.4Cleveland St.Horz0.40190.46292644-167-230-20-00-31-66-112-10313197334-11.6-0.7
245245.2Coastal CarolinaSB0.45680.48401965-1311-170-00-11-42-68-73-7222100250-4.8-0.2
222220.5ColgatePat0.47220.45322959-914-140-00-10-32-412-64-6259272231-10.5-0.4
104108.4College of CharlestonCAA0.53520.482020512-618-100-20-03-23-212-37-3123278122-13.6-0.5
7783.8ColoradoP120.54890.56095112-816-141-32-23-46-54-08-41141475924.81.1
179176.5Colorado St.MWC0.49850.5343899-1112-180-20-42-64-46-26-61447216115.50.7
278278.6ColumbiaIvy0.43500.46932373-128-180-10-00-21-97-62-10302222286-7.4-0.3
97102.6ConnecticutAmer0.53780.57353110-915-160-71-43-34-27-07-6113279012.60.5
347342.5Coppin St.MEAC0.37240.43623252-196-250-20-00-20-66-160-153391553402.50.3
282280.4CornellIvy0.43380.46512565-109-170-10-11-11-66-85-719421022654.42.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2829.6CreightonBE0.59920.56194915-521-92-43-34-27-06-010-26423735-5.4-0.4
327318.5DartmouthIvy0.40450.45123033-117-190-00-10-21-76-93-9314308341-22.5-1.2
7381.5DavidsonA100.55130.521410810-718-111-41-11-15-310-25-6163107106-24.5-1.1
109111.9DaytonA100.53270.5527619-1015-150-31-11-28-65-26-610469714.90.5
228224.8DelawareCAA0.46940.48341999-1012-170-00-11-72-69-25-6250295228-3.2-0.2
351350.3Delaware St.MEAC0.33560.41723400-193-260-00-00-10-53-200-13350246351-0.7-0.6
274271.6DenverSum0.43900.46822466-129-170-00-01-42-67-64-830330225714.60.7
188187.0DePaulBE0.49240.5551568-1110-200-71-51-42-46-07-52393041861.00.0
299297.3DetroitHorz0.42270.48102084-158-210-00-10-61-66-82-9240472925.30.3
162160.6DrakeMVC0.50670.507713211-915-150-00-12-68-74-15-726230313921.60.7
272271.0DrexelCAA0.43990.49161766-149-210-01-02-63-84-75-72342352674.00.2
23.1DukeACC0.65990.59141017-226-55-24-06-210-12-013-011112.10.9
211212.1DuquesneA100.47730.463126214-618-130-10-11-24-712-29-4279349221-8.9-0.4
280279.7East CarolinaAmer0.43430.49681638-119-200-20-30-51-68-36-53343502772.70.2
5862.0East Tennessee St.SC0.56540.482920214-423-60-20-03-26-214-17-49015967-5.0-0.4
270269.1Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44130.46872415-129-180-00-00-51-48-82-7317290276-6.9-0.3
271270.1Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44050.46932386-139-200-00-10-40-89-74-7241273279-8.9-0.4
182177.1Eastern MichiganMAC0.49780.50031517-813-140-00-11-26-76-35-4148279210-32.9-1.0
197191.9Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48960.48272037-1113-160-00-01-43-89-33-8203113192-0.1-0.0
143143.4ElonCAA0.51590.506313510-915-140-10-03-55-37-56-5789813310.40.4
160159.2EvansvilleMVC0.50730.52839710-914-150-10-12-36-105-08-35411612732.21.1
219218.1FairfieldMAAC0.47350.48841807-1113-160-10-10-43-69-55-614079219-0.9-0.0
283280.5Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43380.46662504-139-180-10-10-21-78-81-8304124284-3.5-0.1
290287.9FIUCUSA0.42900.46182686-1110-180-00-20-42-48-93-7327320288-0.1-0.0
2225.5FloridaSEC0.60420.57922514-522-94-35-25-23-15-09-47532241.50.1
345340.3Florida A&MMEAC0.37640.43263302-186-250-10-10-20-76-140-15330120344-3.7-0.4
239239.8Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45990.48401956-1010-170-10-20-52-38-63-621113222019.80.9
152149.6Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51260.458428011-819-90-20-21-03-115-46-8190129168-18.4-0.9
3839.9Florida St.ACC0.58700.55106514-521-94-42-13-26-17-011-17130941-1.1-0.1
281280.1FordhamA100.43410.50531406-139-210-20-20-42-107-45-72762212737.10.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
193189.6Fort WayneSum0.49110.472323110-914-130-10-11-32-511-47-6165253190-0.4-0.0
99104.0Fresno St.MWC0.53700.512012712-618-100-20-22-37-48-08-3138289118-14.0-0.6
8087.9FurmanSC0.54680.495316912-620-90-20-12-26-312-17-45962109-21.1-1.0
234228.2Gardner WebbBSth0.46750.47742197-1111-170-20-20-22-59-62-8230802253.20.1
229224.7George MasonA100.46930.50301459-1113-180-20-10-34-89-36-723519219133.71.5
203200.4George WashingtonA100.48450.52121109-1113-180-30-21-44-68-37-61577518416.40.6
144142.9GeorgetownBE0.51570.52899513-616-131-61-52-23-010-010-1182351153-10.1-0.4
6668.0GeorgiaSEC0.56130.56414412-617-131-43-34-45-23-19-3461675117.00.8
120119.1Georgia SouthernSB0.52840.473122712-619-100-00-01-33-414-37-4110242126-6.9-0.2
135136.3Georgia St.SB0.51940.463925912-619-100-00-02-24-313-57-4153300171-34.7-1.3
148145.8Georgia TechACC0.51460.56584110-913-181-71-32-44-35-17-62312121414.80.2
3233.3GonzagaWCC0.59370.515711717-426-51-22-23-17-013-010-3306756-22.7-3.1
288286.4Grambling St.SWAC0.42970.39843487-1213-170-00-00-12-411-123-921621427016.40.8
150147.1Grand CanyonWAC0.51380.453729014-621-80-10-31-23-317-110-5209327194-46.9-2.0
330325.1Green BayHorz0.39940.45133025-158-200-00-10-41-66-102-8328262338-12.9-0.9
292287.4HamptonMEAC0.42840.42943333-1211-160-20-00-20-211-92-10281110323-35.6-1.4
251253.5HartfordAE0.45120.451330110-1013-160-00-10-23-510-86-727733024310.50.5
183178.0HarvardIvy0.49710.49231756-1013-150-10-10-34-69-44-1019774183-5.0-0.2
165161.9HawaiiBW0.50620.479121411-517-100-10-13-25-410-27-4162106162-0.1-0.0
227224.9High PointBSth0.46950.45322947-913-130-10-01-13-59-62-6288257248-23.1-0.9
101105.8HofstraCAA0.53570.513612311-817-120-30-04-25-38-36-587538718.80.8
310303.4Holy CrossPat0.41760.46172715-149-200-10-00-22-57-113-8284227321-17.6-0.9
4142.5HoustonAmer0.58460.53019315-422-82-22-14-25-110-110-27026650-7.5-0.6
337334.4Houston BaptistSlnd0.38710.44863081-165-230-10-10-30-55-131-9305123339-4.6-0.4
335331.8HowardMEAC0.39060.41663412-178-210-00-10-00-68-141-13338256346-14.2-1.1
149146.3IdahoBSky0.51430.456028811-619-90-10-00-16-513-36-4154283170-23.7-0.9
263263.4Idaho St.BSky0.44460.45252977-911-160-00-10-32-79-53-62863112567.40.3
164161.2IllinoisB100.50640.5507679-1013-170-31-31-35-75-09-384157169-7.8-0.3
256259.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.44730.44713098-1113-160-10-10-31-712-53-8324293261-1.5-0.1
117119.5Illinois St.MVC0.52880.5533609-1013-160-11-23-59-71-15-6106229326.51.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
344338.0Incarnate WordSlnd0.38040.44933071-125-190-10-20-10-35-121-5292119343-5.0-0.4
113115.7IndianaB100.53060.55595411-815-151-61-32-17-55-07-51911721114.70.2
138140.9Indiana St.MVC0.51720.5397828-1013-150-11-23-47-72-13-7238951400.90.0
8896.0IonaMAAC0.54160.494717012-819-110-10-11-36-412-26-6119125116-20.0-0.9
157156.8IowaB100.50880.54367710-1114-170-30-32-65-56-09-41312381506.80.3
103107.1Iowa St.B120.53550.57343211-714-162-62-42-43-15-19-31012268324.10.9
302300.2IUPUIHorz0.42010.46142735-138-190-10-10-31-57-91-8319177306-5.8-0.3
295292.3Jackson St.SWAC0.42560.40223457-1113-160-00-10-20-512-81-103081762902.30.1
304301.6JacksonvilleASun0.41930.44353156-129-180-00-10-12-67-102-1132125428219.61.0
154151.6Jacksonville St.OVC0.51160.451130414-620-100-00-12-22-316-48-4212345189-37.4-1.5
277278.3James MadisonCAA0.43560.49131775-158-220-10-11-72-66-73-9297258289-10.7-0.5
55.9KansasB120.64530.6078216-325-65-25-28-25-02-011-217167-1.1-0.3
6467.7Kansas St.B120.56160.55086614-519-122-62-33-25-17-011-21413265710.70.5
319313.7Kennesaw St.ASun0.40950.47072353-157-200-10-20-20-86-72-1128786314-0.3-0.0
187185.1Kent St.MAC0.49320.51371228-1013-170-10-20-46-76-35-7224191212-26.9-0.9
1620.4KentuckySEC0.61200.5969514-521-102-54-36-26-02-010-3105200.40.0
184182.0La SalleA100.49520.52661018-1213-180-30-11-45-67-46-7155591793.00.1
317311.6LafayettePat0.41180.45632854-148-200-10-00-21-57-131-9348288329-17.4-1.0
231226.9LamarSlnd0.46830.43413298-815-120-00-00-12-413-74-5196241258-31.1-1.4
238237.4LehighPat0.46140.46272657-1113-150-10-10-22-611-64-6205195249-11.6-0.5
236235.9LibertyBSth0.46250.44563129-915-130-00-10-14-611-56-4215287264-28.1-1.3
133133.1LipscombASun0.52140.47552239-815-110-20-12-11-312-47-522238944.11.6
297293.5Little RockSB0.42500.48831814-147-220-00-00-31-96-92-9298169298-4.5-0.2
276276.3LIU BrooklynNEC0.43640.43873218-1213-170-00-00-12-510-114-8295325280-3.7-0.2
196190.9Long Beach St.BW0.49010.49931548-1213-170-30-11-36-76-34-101886016525.91.0
336334.5LongwoodBSth0.38940.46882403-155-230-00-10-11-104-120-103431783331.50.2
5962.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.56520.473622515-324-50-10-01-17-216-18-367194602.20.1
296292.5Louisiana MonroeSB0.42530.48671844-118-180-10-20-31-66-83-5226117300-7.5-0.3
161159.7Louisiana TechCUSA0.50730.497616010-916-130-10-30-33-312-37-41221351563.70.1
2023.4LouisvilleACC0.60740.58341915-422-92-62-14-19-14-010-33458158.40.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5357.4Loyola ChicagoMVC0.56960.506913415-422-71-01-12-211-37-19-26328262-4.6-0.3
261262.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.44540.49651655-138-200-10-40-32-76-44-62452682539.70.5
323314.8Loyola MDPat0.40830.45602874-148-200-00-10-31-57-121-9347291335-20.2-1.0
96102.7LSUSEC0.53800.55595311-716-141-34-43-43-26-09-398161993.70.1
334331.6MaineAE0.39280.46482572-174-250-10-10-20-84-131-123463143301.60.2
206204.8ManhattanMAAC0.48200.468024810-1015-150-10-11-43-511-45-7243251224-19.2-0.9
326317.4MaristMAAC0.40710.47782174-157-230-10-00-31-95-112-10310215325-7.6-0.5
5152.5MarquetteBE0.57440.57752613-618-121-73-23-26-15-09-388122475.50.4
94101.3MarshallCUSA0.53910.500215213-619-110-11-22-34-213-38-4121239965.30.2
4745.2MarylandB100.58200.56534214-620-101-41-33-210-15-010-23715648-2.8-0.2
340335.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.38640.44543133-166-230-10-20-30-46-142-112618130728.12.5
200199.1MassachusettsA100.48540.505513910-1015-160-21-12-45-67-47-622022918118.10.7
301297.1McNeese St.Slnd0.42160.44643104-108-170-00-10-21-47-100-73331382970.10.0
116118.6MemphisAmer0.52900.52769813-718-130-41-24-35-39-19-41492069523.60.9
170170.4MercerSC0.50150.47732218-1016-130-10-21-52-413-25-6200233208-37.6-1.5
2525.8Miami FLACC0.60370.56903514-421-91-42-24-28-15-011-116102196.80.6
186185.4Miami OHMAC0.49350.51031308-912-170-10-21-25-86-45-614517412956.42.0
3637.6MichiganB100.58960.54996916-521-91-42-13-28-26-010-265245370.60.0
1821.5Michigan St.B100.60920.53898417-326-52-21-14-112-17-012-12820428-6.5-0.8
3032.7Middle TennesseeCUSA0.59470.54257813-522-70-21-23-29-19-07-4204239.70.9
242242.2MilwaukeeHorz0.45860.45322969-1114-150-00-02-33-59-86-515920723012.20.6
8998.1MinnesotaB100.54050.53938314-818-130-41-32-28-46-011-2692347523.11.0
112116.0MississippiSEC0.53060.57572910-914-171-42-53-54-24-07-61669110016.00.6
107110.7Mississippi St.SEC0.53360.53209213-518-121-42-33-36-27-011-1412817634.71.1
350348.9Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.34750.42593340-193-280-00-10-30-63-170-1331569350-1.1-0.4
4645.0MissouriSEC0.58210.56923412-619-112-42-35-27-23-09-34394369.00.5
5658.1Missouri St.MVC0.56910.526010314-620-100-01-04-212-64-19-35713370-11.9-0.7
176173.4MonmouthMAAC0.50000.52431055-1312-180-20-12-34-77-44-812812196-22.6-0.8
9198.3MontanaBSky0.54000.461826912-520-80-00-00-37-413-15-5189263110-11.7-0.5
223220.8Montana St.BSky0.47200.46372609-914-150-00-00-32-811-45-620426520614.80.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
259262.1Morehead St.OVC0.44580.49901554-138-190-10-11-42-55-82-7225402602.10.1
318312.3Morgan St.MEAC0.41000.39263495-1211-160-10-00-10-311-122-92732503057.30.3
253257.3Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.44860.43503268-1113-160-00-10-12-611-84-7269332259-1.7-0.1
8187.3Murray St.OVC0.54640.473022812-521-60-10-11-15-214-16-3124187103-15.7-0.9
220220.0NavyPat0.47260.439931912-817-130-10-00-21-515-68-4151317235-15.0-0.7
93100.5NebraskaB100.53950.52769914-719-120-41-12-38-48-09-41582706634.51.3
249250.1Nebraska OmahaSum0.45300.51201265-158-200-30-20-42-76-53-112586622723.11.0
1115.1NevadaMWC0.61990.54717418-326-61-11-15-114-25-011-31531132.10.3
255260.1New HampshireAE0.44740.46802496-1211-170-10-20-32-59-72-10345297291-30.9-1.3
159157.1New MexicoMWC0.50840.52691009-1115-150-30-42-35-47-24-8251851543.10.1
4343.1New Mexico St.WAC0.58320.496116615-323-41-01-12-18-112-010-3318745-1.9-0.2
218218.0New OrleansSlnd0.47390.45952786-1012-140-00-20-31-511-50-828014223-5.0-0.2
189187.0NiagaraMAAC0.49240.477422012-916-150-01-11-43-613-37-61521831825.00.2
202200.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.48470.46302638-814-130-10-10-21-513-52-717829216-15.8-0.5
275275.0NJITASun0.43740.44993057-1112-150-20-10-11-511-75-8255179278-3.0-0.1
294292.1Norfolk St.MEAC0.42570.43743223-1310-180-10-10-21-510-101-112899628111.10.5
45.5North CarolinaACC0.64720.6104116-423-85-44-17-16-12-011-26732.50.8
241241.0North Carolina A&TMEAC0.45970.401434710-816-130-10-00-10-316-75-821325919744.01.8
269268.4North Carolina CentralMEAC0.44180.39123507-915-120-00-00-10-415-83-8293298312-43.6-1.7
98104.0North Carolina St.ACC0.53740.55036813-717-143-51-32-34-37-010-31612928618.00.7
214215.3North DakotaBSky0.47560.51431215-1210-180-10-20-43-96-43-7146342132.30.1
168167.4North Dakota St.Sum0.50340.49321738-1014-130-10-12-42-410-46-7143130172-4.6-0.2
243241.9North FloridaASun0.45840.47972126-1310-180-20-20-22-68-63-112084821823.91.0
217217.4North TexasCUSA0.47390.47512248-1014-150-10-20-22-511-55-618416620017.40.7
7279.5NortheasternCAA0.55230.518611312-718-110-10-13-46-49-16-56636781.50.1
325317.1Northern ArizonaBSky0.40750.48401972-164-250-10-10-31-94-102-92631893170.10.0
147145.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.51500.484719010-716-120-00-01-34-610-36-41182031378.40.3
230225.3Northern IllinoisMAC0.46890.50181497-1011-180-10-21-35-96-45-6260312236-10.7-0.4
119120.5Northern IowaMVC0.52840.5486728-1014-140-31-12-48-62-06-48128134-13.5-0.5
8490.0Northern KentuckyHorz0.54490.472523012-620-80-00-12-23-316-15-510044102-12.0-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
129127.8NorthwesternB100.52430.54158111-915-150-41-32-26-56-08-41562601252.80.1
343338.0Northwestern St.Slnd0.38230.45842811-134-210-10-20-20-53-121-62751703362.00.2
5557.8Notre DameACC0.56950.55935212-718-122-61-13-26-36-09-39221663-5.2-0.3
136137.4OaklandHorz0.51890.468324513-820-110-20-11-34-215-38-580101145-7.6-0.3
175173.1OhioMAC0.50020.51691168-914-150-11-21-45-77-16-5183165203-29.9-1.0
1721.1Ohio St.B100.60980.56893617-424-71-32-25-112-14-09-47738147.10.8
1922.7OklahomaB120.60900.58471414-420-104-44-25-33-15-011-1211151111.71.0
8594.5Oklahoma St.B120.54300.56175013-617-142-73-42-33-07-010-3132284886.50.3
7073.6Old DominionCUSA0.55620.482520415-423-70-01-22-26-215-19-38223684-10.4-0.6
221220.9Oral RobertsSum0.47260.51111296-149-180-00-11-62-75-43-102026120911.90.5
6567.2OregonP120.56160.54987013-720-111-32-35-37-26-010-310820092-24.8-1.4
146145.6Oregon St.P120.51520.53548811-815-150-31-34-54-46-18-4219315155-9.4-0.3
177174.7PacificWCC0.49940.51911129-1113-170-20-41-33-59-34-82069014430.71.3
174172.9PennIvy0.50030.457028411-618-110-10-00-25-413-39-6181249185-12.1-0.5
110114.6Penn St.B100.53110.53658613-817-141-31-22-36-58-010-3133276135-20.4-0.8
313307.7PepperdineWCC0.41490.50531412-175-240-10-40-41-84-72-9326223313-5.3-0.3
190187.4PittsburghACC0.49220.5802248-1210-210-80-42-52-45-18-516413416027.41.6
252257.4PortlandWCC0.44880.51251255-138-200-20-40-21-76-43-726514523225.41.5
122122.0Portland St.BSky0.52690.479621310-718-100-10-11-25-311-37-3792171157.00.3
268267.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44200.43713234-1512-190-10-20-31-611-72-1119524268-0.2-0.0
331326.5PresbyterianBSth0.39800.44593115-138-200-10-00-11-76-114-626429931511.50.9
137140.5PrincetonIvy0.51740.48022119-817-110-11-20-14-412-37-7135108149-8.5-0.3
4444.5ProvidenceBE0.58250.58381814-619-122-52-34-26-24-19-47678386.50.5
76.5PurdueB100.64170.56314619-227-43-14-14-110-05-011-226889-2.5-0.8
307303.0QuinnipiacMAAC0.41860.45222987-1310-200-00-00-32-67-103-9335337319-16.0-0.9
145143.9RadfordBSth0.51550.465925411-817-120-20-01-13-513-45-612715112419.90.7
1014.4Rhode IslandA100.62170.55206215-324-51-22-14-110-17-08-3123104.40.6
328321.9RiceCUSA0.40280.48162062-165-240-10-20-30-85-101-10306162331-9.1-0.7
204201.6RichmondA100.48390.5417806-1310-200-20-11-55-84-42-1023621205-3.4-0.1
100105.4RiderMAAC0.53610.486618613-720-100-10-11-26-413-27-5911149411.40.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
156151.8Robert MorrisNEC0.51140.464325812-919-120-10-10-12-617-36-71371521465.80.2
192187.9RutgersB100.49160.53379011-914-161-51-31-34-48-19-32463391789.90.4
279279.5Sacramento St.BSky0.43450.50491433-157-220-00-10-32-115-61-10307103295-15.5-0.7
324316.1Sacred HeartNEC0.40810.43123326-1410-200-00-10-21-79-114-8316342332-15.9-1.0
153150.4Saint Joseph'sA100.51230.50971319-915-150-21-12-35-57-35-7177127176-25.6-0.8
181176.5Saint LouisA100.49810.52451049-1014-160-10-32-35-66-36-61757115125.50.9
3434.6Saint Mary'sWCC0.59210.497416119-228-30-02-12-111-112-011-24918840-5.4-0.6
240240.5Saint Peter'sMAAC0.45980.45362918-1113-160-10-00-32-711-56-5207331252-11.5-0.5
224221.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.47200.46032757-913-140-00-00-31-612-42-7270128255-34.0-1.3
257260.5SamfordSC0.44670.48451925-139-200-10-10-61-88-42-9312213266-5.5-0.2
139141.5San DiegoWCC0.51670.498515712-717-120-11-31-34-310-38-393199148-6.5-0.3
7985.9San Diego St.MWC0.54790.523810610-718-101-22-22-26-47-17-399160121-35.1-1.6
172171.9San FranciscoWCC0.50090.520811110-1015-151-10-41-35-48-47-512952193-21.1-1.0
308304.2San Jose St.MWC0.41790.51441192-154-240-20-20-41-112-52-82962323031.20.1
254259.3Santa ClaraWCC0.44760.50011536-129-190-20-40-22-67-42-8340267265-5.7-0.3
246246.7Savannah St.MEAC0.45570.48332015-1310-190-50-20-30-210-71-12176120739.71.5
201199.6SeattleWAC0.48480.470123611-815-130-00-20-32-513-28-61992801981.60.1
2425.9Seton HallBE0.60370.58252115-521-103-53-23-18-14-011-21970178.90.8
267267.4SienaMAAC0.44210.49821586-159-220-10-11-53-85-74-919843272-4.6-0.2
273271.7SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43980.47182337-129-200-10-10-41-68-84-724924725120.71.1
4242.6SMUAmer0.58400.55116414-622-93-33-23-34-210-010-36011854-11.4-0.9
235235.0South AlabamaSB0.46360.46622539-913-160-10-11-23-410-85-6266329239-4.0-0.2
6970.8South CarolinaSEC0.55880.57632811-716-142-52-43-36-24-08-462925317.80.9
332325.7South Carolina St.MEAC0.39760.41893385-139-200-00-00-40-49-112-11311185327-1.3-0.1
9299.3South DakotaSum0.53960.465625514-520-70-10-11-24-314-19-4103275114-14.7-0.7
6265.2South Dakota St.Sum0.56270.496716413-520-70-21-11-37-211-18-57389587.20.4
298296.6South FloridaAmer0.42340.49551677-138-230-20-30-61-77-57-6300348302-5.4-0.4
244243.3Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45770.45892798-1113-160-00-00-32-611-74-72472522385.30.2
207205.0Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48160.44043189-815-130-00-10-32-313-63-72372552014.00.2
309302.8SouthernSWAC0.41790.40843445-1312-170-10-10-30-412-92-9278109318-15.2-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
126125.7Southern IllinoisMVC0.52520.52919411-916-140-20-22-38-66-17-51341311205.70.2
226223.2Southern MissCUSA0.47050.49771597-1010-170-10-30-31-59-43-622318219528.21.1
264264.2Southern UtahBSky0.44410.48152076-109-180-10-10-23-96-54-516015824420.20.8
5049.7St. BonaventureA100.57680.53608712-621-91-22-13-26-49-110-21845490.70.0
286282.9St. Francis NYNEC0.43210.45722836-1210-180-00-00-12-68-111-9336230285-2.1-0.1
158156.6St. Francis PANEC0.50880.46322619-816-110-20-10-03-313-54-5116991479.60.3
8795.3St. John'sBE0.54200.598639-1013-171-71-53-24-33-09-324257718.30.8
8289.2StanfordP120.54610.57682711-916-151-62-25-35-43-16-716933854.20.2
123123.5Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.52650.425733512-321-60-00-11-14-217-37-21023221194.50.2
312305.8StetsonASun0.41640.42503366-1210-170-00-00-21-69-104-929032128718.81.0
198196.4Stony BrookAE0.48710.49531687-1213-160-10-20-43-410-54-921093215-18.6-0.8
4544.3SyracuseACC0.58240.58821213-619-122-62-24-28-23-011-21420422.30.2
2628.0TCUB120.60090.5932714-520-112-53-26-26-13-013-0342226.00.5
5761.5TempleAmer0.56580.58401710-916-142-42-24-45-43-18-425184615.51.0
2124.1TennesseeSEC0.60620.58062213-521-93-42-25-29-12-010-213171212.11.1
305301.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.41910.44943065-149-200-00-00-41-58-113-8301316326-24.2-1.2
210211.6Tennessee St.OVC0.47780.49711626-1111-160-20-10-33-38-63-613935214-2.4-0.1
173170.9Tennessee TechOVC0.50090.480621011-815-140-00-00-53-512-36-51422401646.90.2
4946.2TexasB120.58050.5930812-718-133-63-33-35-14-010-35064433.20.2
2729.6Texas A&MSEC0.59940.59041113-620-113-54-35-24-14-011-241333-3.4-0.3
342335.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.38360.43453281-126-190-00-10-20-45-130-7349244349-13.5-1.0
209208.3Texas SouthernSWAC0.48010.46172724-1514-170-30-30-40-214-40-132272247-38.7-1.7
215216.4Texas St.SB0.47480.458128211-815-140-00-00-33-511-65-6282347245-28.6-1.3
2326.3Texas TechB120.60390.56823915-422-94-32-25-24-17-012-139224215.30.4
320314.7The CitadelSC0.40920.48651873-135-220-10-10-51-64-92-72721813113.70.2
6870.4ToledoMAC0.55900.514312012-620-100-10-11-211-48-27-512614274-3.6-0.2
8390.1TowsonCAA0.54540.493817112-719-100-00-03-36-410-28-342173107-16.9-0.7
208207.3TroySB0.48050.49291746-1112-160-10-11-22-59-64-7233201237-29.7-1.2
105107.7TulaneAmer0.53490.52849612-717-130-32-22-33-410-19-3862119116.70.7
131128.6TulsaAmer0.52360.526410211-916-140-30-23-44-48-17-517221911711.60.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
127126.6UABCUSA0.52480.488917811-719-100-21-31-24-313-17-4201305158-31.4-1.2
102106.7UC DavisBW0.53560.486718510-717-110-10-00-28-69-17-553777135.71.3
180176.3UC IrvineBW0.49850.51831146-1412-180-10-30-54-68-23-1116715180-3.7-0.1
306301.7UC RiversideBW0.41870.47762183-147-210-00-10-43-113-63-9271196309-7.3-0.3
106107.7UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53490.462226712-519-90-10-11-18-410-29-356228989.70.4
6768.3UCFAmer0.56080.55355913-618-121-41-34-35-28-09-3721125513.30.8
6063.4UCLAP120.56510.55425813-719-111-32-34-47-25-09-3527664-0.6-0.0
316308.7UMass LowellAE0.41380.45163006-129-190-00-10-21-68-105-73093343080.70.0
178174.2UMBCAE0.49900.468524310-816-120-10-21-31-313-46-617924816311.20.4
262262.9UMKCWAC0.44530.50571374-157-210-10-20-51-76-63-112541112548.90.5
140142.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.51660.480820910-917-120-20-11-14-412-45-6111461384.10.1
115117.6UNC GreensboroSC0.52950.472722911-519-90-10-02-34-313-26-414724310413.60.5
260261.9UNC WilmingtonCAA0.44580.50731334-148-200-00-11-83-73-51-9320154271-9.1-0.4
125123.8UNLVMWC0.52620.493317214-520-110-30-12-27-411-011-2109313167-43.2-1.7
3334.7USCP120.59270.56893715-621-101-22-36-48-24-09-4352639-4.3-0.4
341335.9USC UpstateASun0.38540.45332922-165-220-00-10-21-74-121-12329209337-1.1-0.1
121120.9UT ArlingtonSB0.52760.488417912-819-110-10-21-24-313-48-494202166-45.1-1.8
232227.6UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.46790.47192329-1113-160-10-30-32-611-47-8229286242-14.4-0.8
6367.5UtahP120.56170.55525512-717-120-31-35-47-14-08-385186616.50.3
169167.9Utah St.MWC0.50300.52371079-1114-160-20-22-44-67-16-6180164174-6.1-0.2
7684.6Utah ValleyWAC0.54910.502614612-618-90-20-21-14-313-18-56173813.60.2
287283.4UTEPCUSA0.43190.48332006-1210-190-00-40-33-47-84-7267143320-36.6-1.7
247248.7UTSACUSA0.45430.46912397-1011-170-10-20-32-58-74-6232261274-25.3-1.1
155151.6ValparaisoMVC0.51140.51191289-1014-150-10-11-48-75-17-4120271159-7.4-0.2
141143.0VanderbiltSEC0.51630.593467-1211-201-82-62-54-23-05-817019143-0.0-0.0
130127.7VCUA100.52410.515311812-819-120-20-22-25-310-28-512554131-3.3-0.1
5255.0VermontAE0.57120.483719815-523-70-10-11-36-116-19-55513668-13.0-1.2
11.9VillanovaBE0.66790.58312018-128-34-16-16-09-04-013-02502-0.1-0.1
34.0VirginiaACC0.65450.58052318-126-44-33-15-010-04-011-18685-1.0-0.4
7482.6Virginia TechACC0.55030.55465713-618-132-71-32-16-17-011-2115324105-22.4-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
321314.5VMISC0.40900.46842444-127-200-00-00-60-86-73-628531029321.51.3
142142.7WagnerNEC0.51620.451929911-617-100-10-10-13-215-45-41171931420.70.0
134133.8Wake ForestACC0.52080.5721338-1112-181-61-31-35-44-17-51681531285.80.2
7176.6WashingtonP120.55420.55176314-619-122-11-34-66-26-010-345495224.61.2
171171.2Washington St.P120.50100.5458759-1012-180-11-32-84-45-18-410510415714.20.5
185184.8Weber St.BSky0.49400.46662519-715-120-00-00-45-410-34-5214171222-37.2-1.3
1215.9West VirginiaB120.61940.56893816-324-74-44-26-13-07-012-13822018-2.1-0.3
225222.1Western CarolinaSC0.47140.50381447-1110-190-30-10-52-67-43-81865118735.11.7
300297.6Western IllinoisSum0.42190.45622866-88-150-00-10-31-57-65-425233826235.61.6
4845.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.58120.54247913-621-91-21-13-26-210-17-5519441.30.1
167163.8Western MichiganMAC0.50500.49891569-815-140-10-21-46-78-16-5221306175-11.2-0.4
1518.0Wichita St.Amer0.61440.56684015-423-71-22-38-27-05-010-2278230-12.0-1.6
8695.1William & MaryCAA0.54230.512712411-616-110-10-13-54-210-25-444417223.10.9
166162.3WinthropBSth0.50610.46172708-815-110-10-01-13-412-43-5174149173-10.7-0.4
132128.8WisconsinB100.52360.56344510-1014-170-61-32-45-36-07-6193137130-1.2-0.0
114117.5WoffordSC0.52980.485718811-518-101-10-12-34-412-26-49612610116.50.6
108110.8Wright St.Horz0.53290.471123413-620-90-00-12-34-114-36-589657931.81.3
95100.7WyomingMWC0.53900.53349111-717-130-31-13-27-55-28-474837327.71.1
66.3XavierBE0.64410.5917918-325-63-34-26-18-13-012-153042.30.6
205202.5YaleIvy0.48320.46872427-1014-150-10-20-22-712-36-9187205204-1.5-0.1
322314.7Youngstown St.Horz0.40900.46812474-157-220-00-10-40-106-80-11341168316-1.3-0.1

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com