live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Jan 25, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
304298.4Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42520.45502926-109-190-00-10-31-48-113-72812612908.40.4
265265.3Air ForceMWC0.44790.48721826-1110-170-20-31-51-58-35-4264339286-20.7-0.8
112113.9AkronMAC0.53080.502714412-619-110-01-24-36-59-28-41923141103.90.1
5965.3AlabamaSEC0.56290.55675412-618-120-41-34-36-17-09-3641375015.30.7
331327.2Alabama A&MSWAC0.39570.41713473-128-190-00-10-20-58-110-93311253216.20.5
223224.0Alabama St.SWAC0.47150.39413518-516-90-10-10-11-116-42-5260221234-10.0-0.3
141145.8AlbanyAE0.51280.454429312-719-100-00-12-14-513-35-8182212158-12.2-0.5
344339.9Alcorn St.SWAC0.37450.41753453-147-210-10-10-20-56-130-10339163343-3.1-0.4
111113.3AmericanPat0.53140.488917811-818-120-00-00-38-69-37-5711481112.30.1
240241.1Appalachian St.SB0.46180.46892468-1012-170-00-01-23-98-63-6259306254-12.9-0.5
46.0ArizonaP120.65130.57023118-227-43-12-07-211-13-012-1116051.00.3
105101.9Arizona St.P120.53780.55974810-1016-150-51-24-48-34-08-5165183117-15.1-0.6
3437.1ArkansasSEC0.58790.54467315-422-91-23-25-35-29-011-219892314.11.0
293286.1Arkansas Little RockSB0.43430.47402326-1210-190-00-20-42-79-64-5262255319-32.9-1.4
316311.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41440.42873385-1510-220-00-20-31-59-123-1125017330011.50.8
253254.8Arkansas St.SB0.45390.45592908-1012-160-00-00-42-810-54-42653462504.80.2
198193.9ArmyPat0.48770.450630211-617-110-10-00-16-711-38-2149343208-14.1-0.5
153156.3AuburnSEC0.50730.5607459-912-180-22-53-54-43-27-5122671479.30.3
299290.8Austin PeayOVC0.43080.48311975-138-200-00-10-43-55-93-9288220298-7.2-0.4
201197.6Ball St.MAC0.48580.5300956-1010-180-20-22-53-65-34-6240202207-9.4-0.3
1415.5BaylorB120.62280.5949314-421-93-44-25-26-14-011-1103716-0.5-0.1
124128.3BelmontOVC0.52230.477621512-718-100-20-01-24-413-27-5871009434.31.4
339336.1Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38230.39913504-149-200-00-00-10-79-113-10347342345-8.9-1.1
342338.9BinghamtonAE0.37740.46772501-193-260-10-20-20-93-120-13342175339-0.1-0.0
6267.8Boise St.MWC0.56020.512911912-620-90-21-22-24-312-18-358167652.80.2
142146.1Boston CollegeACC0.51250.5610439-913-171-51-42-43-45-18-416220912026.11.0
206198.1Boston UniversityPat0.48560.50501377-1112-160-10-10-26-76-53-719948203-4.9-0.2
6570.6Bowling GreenMAC0.55880.496815412-420-80-00-22-37-210-18-276302673.60.2
264264.2BradleyMVC0.44860.51271206-149-210-30-11-51-77-54-8299234265-0.8-0.0
249246.7BrownIvy0.45840.48631847-1011-180-01-10-52-78-67-821125123115.70.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
205198.4BryantNEC0.48560.47632239-914-150-00-00-34-710-53-820178201-2.6-0.1
171170.4BucknellPat0.50040.488817910-1015-150-10-00-27-88-34-82311891664.40.2
4246.3BuffaloMAC0.57850.53728812-620-100-20-13-37-49-19-3207456-9.7-0.6
2225.9ButlerBE0.60240.57023215-622-93-43-33-19-14-09-3631291510.91.2
5254.6BYUWCC0.57020.54128413-720-90-31-12-19-38-08-3341962-7.4-0.6
157159.4Cal PolyBW0.50560.48921778-813-130-10-11-35-47-45-51261951536.40.2
315308.8Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.41640.43303355-1410-180-10-00-11-59-113-11319291326-17.2-1.2
295287.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.43370.47452296-129-200-00-00-42-117-56-721528026126.31.3
275272.4Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44370.50321435-158-220-20-11-42-75-73-112871432666.40.3
145147.5CaliforniaP120.51160.54746911-914-170-51-24-44-45-110-38414913413.50.6
303298.1CampbellBSth0.42530.46802484-148-200-10-10-12-86-93-7242194318-19.9-1.0
128131.9CanisiusMAAC0.52060.480720511-818-110-00-11-24-512-35-4116106142-10.1-0.4
349349.2Central ArkansasSlnd0.33910.43983230-171-280-00-10-30-61-180-113502963490.20.2
341339.2Central ConnecticutNEC0.37750.45502913-185-260-10-10-11-104-142-11329269344-4.8-0.8
6470.8Central MichiganMAC0.55890.485918811-319-70-01-13-16-310-27-1137348100-29.2-1.2
180177.5Charleston SouthernBSth0.49640.46722539-714-120-01-21-23-510-23-5190135183-5.5-0.2
151153.6CharlotteCUSA0.50860.50361428-1116-150-10-42-42-312-37-6111831512.60.1
132137.2ChattanoogaSC0.51750.478521112-718-110-20-20-15-213-45-6164661307.20.3
343340.0Chicago St.WAC0.37510.46522581-173-250-00-10-40-63-131-13318126342-2.0-0.3
2627.6CincinnatiAmer0.60000.55984614-523-82-22-24-36-18-010-3308270.60.1
125128.2ClemsonACC0.52220.55236211-815-150-52-33-26-54-18-41582239731.21.3
121126.3Cleveland St.Horz0.52360.502714510-916-130-30-11-44-211-25-818385127-0.7-0.0
137143.3Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51410.438832711-518-80-00-11-25-413-25-3132309157-13.7-0.5
183181.4ColgatePat0.49430.49171728-1214-160-10-10-26-98-42-10293192215-33.6-1.1
257259.4College of CharlestonCAA0.45120.49431616-1510-210-10-30-42-88-45-8206133262-2.6-0.1
9494.0ColoradoP120.54330.56373810-915-151-40-32-48-35-07-513194931.00.0
2729.4Colorado St.MWC0.59700.515311617-225-51-01-15-37-111-012-088030-0.6-0.1
129132.4ColumbiaIvy0.52050.51521178-715-120-10-12-46-38-37-613864160-27.6-0.9
5863.0ConnecticutAmer0.56420.55595611-718-121-52-32-33-19-07-5884478-15.0-0.8
333329.7Coppin St.MEAC0.39180.47022421-175-230-00-10-40-84-90-1230235332-2.3-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
207198.8CornellIvy0.48530.48212018-914-150-00-11-44-49-57-8214270206-7.2-0.2
166165.8CreightonBE0.50220.5579519-1212-191-61-62-34-34-19-411718713827.81.1
194189.6DartmouthIvy0.48970.47242398-814-140-00-01-24-59-67-7208311192-2.4-0.1
3234.0DavidsonA100.59130.523910513-421-71-31-13-16-110-08-25320636-2.0-0.2
3538.6DaytonA100.58610.511812216-324-60-11-24-28-110-010-2361472810.60.8
308303.1DelawareCAA0.42180.49241704-156-230-10-11-32-84-91-10328188306-2.9-0.2
215217.0Delaware St.MEAC0.47570.44183198-914-150-00-10-33-412-64-916116019720.00.8
210210.8DenverSum0.47900.49011759-1114-150-10-21-23-410-66-7184103220-9.2-0.3
156158.4DePaulBE0.50630.54367711-1013-181-53-42-33-45-26-728330413523.41.0
178175.8DetroitHorz0.49760.50691348-1113-160-10-12-63-58-35-815661178-2.2-0.1
287282.4DrakeMVC0.43760.5382873-165-240-40-20-61-64-52-92795724735.41.9
284275.1DrexelCAA0.44180.49591565-138-200-00-20-52-97-42-82921312687.10.3
67.0DukeACC0.64780.58411017-226-54-24-26-17-05-013-04387-0.0-0.0
256257.3DuquesneA100.45280.52471025-128-200-20-40-41-86-34-628426724314.30.7
258259.4East CarolinaAmer0.45120.51141256-119-200-30-41-51-37-55-6273295269-9.6-0.4
136143.5East Tennessee St.SC0.51420.479420910-716-110-10-10-33-312-45-446301403.50.1
146151.2Eastern IllinoisOVC0.51030.484319211-815-120-00-10-25-59-45-61431321447.20.3
160161.2Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50460.46732519-816-110-11-00-22-412-46-5134177171-9.8-0.4
169167.2Eastern MichiganMAC0.50190.49241698-714-130-00-22-44-38-27-299315177-9.8-0.3
6872.3Eastern WashingtonBSky0.55720.476622112-521-70-11-00-14-316-16-43747639.30.5
250248.1ElonCAA0.45800.45742839-1013-160-10-01-22-810-56-5222334276-27.9-1.2
8182.0EvansvilleMVC0.55030.509412914-520-91-30-11-25-213-19-2681967012.00.7
286280.3FairfieldMAAC0.43890.49281676-149-210-10-10-42-97-72-8266652746.30.3
291284.7Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43570.45872796-1210-180-00-10-12-98-74-61892072786.70.3
228226.4FIUCUSA0.46980.47312347-911-170-10-10-33-58-65-619830821214.40.5
5660.5FloridaSEC0.56610.5860810-917-140-52-45-37-23-07-61142484-23.5-1.3
351350.7Florida A&MMEAC0.32160.41533480-191-280-00-00-10-81-180-13351319351-0.3-0.4
234231.1Florida AtlanticCUSA0.46730.47902106-811-150-00-20-42-58-45-4150275238-6.9-0.2
130133.1Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51970.463826211-718-90-00-12-24-313-27-6136134148-14.9-0.6
165165.4Florida St.ACC0.50240.54507210-1014-170-51-31-46-46-18-519123013728.41.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
282274.6FordhamA100.44210.5273964-127-210-20-40-61-65-44-626821524826.61.3
222222.3Fresno St.MWC0.47250.50401408-1011-181-11-21-53-56-43-8311305233-10.7-0.5
306299.1FurmanSC0.42430.47282354-138-190-10-10-31-76-71-8313138304-4.9-0.2
135142.6Gardner WebbBSth0.51450.48881809-815-120-10-21-25-39-44-51207612319.60.7
187184.4George MasonA100.49290.5634395-129-200-50-52-42-35-34-716320188-3.6-0.1
4347.6George WashingtonA100.57710.521311016-422-92-31-23-27-29-010-35521753-5.4-0.3
1721.7GeorgetownBE0.60970.5933414-520-92-53-33-18-03-08-22113138.71.0
3334.6GeorgiaSEC0.59080.57322113-520-100-32-26-38-24-09-33341259.60.8
117121.1Georgia SouthernSB0.52620.457228410-418-80-00-01-24-213-34-21683441165.10.2
8484.7Georgia St.SB0.54900.491817112-720-100-10-21-15-313-36-44870105-20.3-1.0
119124.7Georgia TechACC0.52430.5715279-1013-171-61-31-26-54-19-3599210321.70.9
77.3GonzagaWCC0.64600.54237919-128-21-13-04-013-07-011-15158-0.7-0.3
350349.1Grambling St.SWAC0.33850.42753420-152-240-00-20-30-42-150-8298283481.10.6
273271.2Grand CanyonWAC0.44390.44143209-1015-140-10-11-21-413-67-82492322647.20.3
5154.4Green BayHorz0.57060.489917615-422-60-11-03-26-212-19-33910757-2.6-0.2
294287.3HamptonMEAC0.43390.42833398-1112-170-00-10-31-611-84-9270281311-23.7-1.1
231230.2HartfordAE0.46810.452329910-914-140-00-10-23-511-56-617320121812.20.5
8587.0HarvardIvy0.54750.50481389-517-90-10-02-15-49-38-4561017512.00.5
193189.8HawaiiBW0.49010.481620212-717-130-10-13-44-511-310-4141224195-5.2-0.2
10299.9High PointBSth0.53920.473923312-518-90-10-11-16-512-26-3521698910.90.5
122126.2HofstraCAA0.52340.457828114-722-90-00-12-24-416-29-4145322180-53.8-2.9
209208.9Holy CrossPat0.48000.49531587-1012-150-00-01-26-85-54-5140862026.90.2
267268.0HoustonAmer0.44610.49481597-1211-190-30-31-51-38-68-425133525711.00.5
290283.9Houston BaptistSlnd0.43600.45902765-88-160-00-10-21-57-81-5315326330-46.1-1.8
274271.1HowardMEAC0.44390.42923376-1012-160-00-10-21-711-63-9258273295-23.9-0.9
246245.5IdahoBSky0.45950.46462596-1012-150-00-01-33-47-83-6234185273-27.5-0.9
332328.9Idaho St.BSky0.39320.44733093-156-220-00-00-30-66-121-9338290338-9.1-0.8
6770.3IllinoisB100.55870.54996713-819-122-31-33-47-26-010-3691655812.30.6
319314.6Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41090.49671553-165-240-10-20-41-104-72-1131216230113.61.0
9191.0Illinois St.MVC0.54460.53179311-817-120-41-11-25-310-17-47046113-22.0-1.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
131134.3Incarnate WordSlnd0.51920.45642866-516-80-00-21-21-114-34-227901331.30.0
3639.8IndianaB100.58500.56483715-521-103-42-24-26-16-010-385136336.80.5
184182.6Indiana St.MVC0.49390.51871139-1013-160-40-12-32-38-53-82912001757.60.3
6066.0IonaMAAC0.56130.477821415-623-80-00-10-28-314-27-465151597.00.5
4549.6IowaB100.57520.57003313-720-113-41-33-37-25-09-410710952-2.4-0.2
2528.0Iowa St.B120.60000.57701814-420-104-54-24-23-16-010-250164217.00.6
281274.0IPFWSum0.44220.46282656-1110-160-00-00-42-68-64-6254298288-14.0-0.6
227226.0IUPUISum0.47040.48411938-1312-180-00-10-53-79-54-102461862224.00.2
313309.0Jackson St.SWAC0.41680.41743465-1512-190-00-10-20-811-82-11303222315-6.0-0.4
346341.6JacksonvilleASun0.37160.42803404-156-220-00-10-11-65-143-11343338346-4.4-0.8
311305.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.41980.45622887-139-200-10-00-22-67-105-8248292310-4.8-0.3
148151.8James MadisonCAA0.50940.499515212-918-130-20-01-45-412-37-6159731438.80.4
34.5KansasB120.66010.6244116-324-76-44-26-26-11-011-22213.51.2
9291.1Kansas St.B120.54460.58081512-815-163-72-32-32-36-07-61811587615.10.7
328326.2Kennesaw St.ASun0.39770.44523125-157-220-10-10-21-76-114-1130528531610.21.1
103100.3Kent St.MAC0.53880.503814113-519-110-11-12-55-311-18-4154276112-11.7-0.5
11.3KentuckySEC0.68080.57931619-031-05-06-08-07-04-013-0162-0.7-1.1
108105.5La SalleA100.53530.54138310-916-150-31-22-45-49-18-57445107-1.5-0.1
143146.8LafayettePat0.51230.486518310-816-120-20-00-16-610-37-3441391397.80.3
242242.6LamarSlnd0.46080.47712176-910-160-10-20-21-39-62-6213142282-39.4-1.3
159161.7LehighPat0.50460.49261689-915-130-10-01-17-87-45-5127111167-5.3-0.2
347345.2LibertyBSth0.36060.43293362-155-220-00-00-11-94-122-7348341350-4.8-1.1
254256.3LipscombASun0.45330.44803077-1011-150-10-00-11-810-43-9294265258-1.7-0.1
270270.7LIU BrooklynNEC0.44480.46322647-1211-180-00-10-23-98-64-7221181285-14.3-0.6
8080.5Long Beach St.BW0.55140.5414818-1116-140-31-32-56-37-14-1012336020.50.9
324320.8LongwoodBSth0.40330.45372974-158-210-00-10-22-95-102-9324286324-3.2-0.2
173172.7Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49920.47682198-915-130-00-12-23-510-63-5241241227-54.3-1.8
176172.8Louisiana MonroeSB0.49870.48591868-814-130-00-00-34-59-42-521714016210.80.4
7779.1Louisiana TechCUSA0.55230.480320714-522-80-00-22-35-214-28-4125271101-21.9-1.1
1315.2LouisvilleACC0.62290.58261316-324-72-53-15-08-06-012-1177919-3.8-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
120126.2Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52370.501814711-716-120-30-13-22-311-38-28126010620.20.8
243244.6Loyola MarymountWCC0.46010.5353905-157-220-30-30-44-93-33-82458722915.60.8
279274.0Loyola MDPat0.44250.48092047-1210-190-10-11-25-105-64-724424224133.01.5
4751.8LSUSEC0.57370.54437615-421-101-13-35-36-26-111-2451663714.80.9
334332.9MaineAE0.38810.47282372-184-250-10-10-30-93-111-123161233275.90.8
238235.7ManhattanMAAC0.46520.45632879-1014-150-00-00-33-810-43-6306329251-15.3-0.6
337335.8MaristMAAC0.38360.47032412-184-260-00-00-20-114-121-9341272341-5.2-0.8
114119.8MarquetteBE0.52730.56813410-914-161-72-52-25-23-18-41281221190.80.0
307302.7MarshallCUSA0.42210.49961513-157-220-20-21-41-75-82-9321204312-9.3-0.6
2022.8MarylandB100.60700.55695318-324-71-33-25-28-17-012-124120148.81.1
190187.9Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.49110.443031611-1018-130-20-10-13-515-57-8133170189-1.1-0.0
9090.9MassachusettsA100.54500.55076610-916-150-21-44-46-46-17-66096822.91.0
288281.1McNeese St.Slnd0.43750.45362983-1010-150-10-10-31-39-72-51531123744.11.7
6369.8MemphisAmer0.55900.55445812-719-121-51-32-24-111-18-5932974-4.2-0.2
203197.9MercerSC0.48580.46932459-1015-140-10-31-32-413-43-8275174226-28.1-1.0
3842.0Miami FLACC0.58230.55086514-522-92-41-23-19-27-010-383168384.00.3
276272.9Miami OHMAC0.44350.50761336-129-210-10-30-62-76-44-8320297280-7.1-0.3
9694.8MichiganB100.54250.57292211-815-140-61-34-26-32-06-5155587321.81.0
3741.4Michigan St.B100.58320.57063013-720-111-52-24-29-24-09-4727243-1.6-0.1
144147.8Middle TennesseeCUSA0.51210.493016611-817-130-11-12-44-511-36-616015313116.80.6
285277.5MilwaukeeHorz0.44000.49461605-138-200-10-20-33-75-63-9278155279-1.5-0.1
7880.5MinnesotaB100.55170.55815012-817-131-41-33-46-26-010-24718487-6.5-0.3
5052.3MississippiSEC0.57280.55854912-720-111-23-34-35-27-19-47795466.30.4
232230.4Mississippi St.SEC0.46800.52461048-1010-200-20-41-64-45-36-627730321020.41.0
348347.0Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35350.41253492-175-260-10-10-20-55-181-1232221833710.03.6
199196.1MissouriSEC0.48690.5721256-129-210-51-52-62-34-25-71954216135.11.4
216217.6Missouri St.MVC0.47510.52311066-1210-180-40-20-33-66-34-620514520413.60.6
197193.8MonmouthMAAC0.48790.467924911-1017-140-20-11-13-412-64-7261263205-11.2-0.5
186183.1MontanaBSky0.49330.47002438-814-130-10-21-22-312-52-723075225-41.9-1.3
323320.8Montana St.BSky0.40380.48032063-156-230-10-10-41-64-122-926756329-8.2-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
217218.3Morehead St.OVC0.47490.47512257-1313-160-10-10-32-811-33-10256197235-16.7-0.8
329325.8Morgan St.MEAC0.39750.43383334-168-220-10-10-11-77-122-12326262328-2.2-0.2
181180.9Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49450.48032089-1014-150-10-20-14-610-44-71394917010.90.4
7074.0Murray St.OVC0.55570.472723815-423-50-00-12-17-213-28-411920382-8.0-0.5
283274.9NavyPat0.44180.48521896-1310-190-10-20-13-106-63-8297226281-6.1-0.3
9997.1NebraskaB100.54110.55974712-715-151-42-33-45-45-08-4144244889.10.4
297289.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.43270.43493327-1111-170-00-00-22-59-95-7289350307-18.0-0.8
298291.5NevadaMWC0.43130.49541574-127-210-20-31-42-54-72-8344312309-17.5-1.0
233231.6New HampshireAE0.46740.43743299-914-130-00-00-13-611-55-62182872283.60.2
9593.2New MexicoMWC0.54310.517311413-719-111-11-22-36-29-28-4151259921.20.1
123128.1New Mexico St.WAC0.52240.483019910-1018-110-20-11-32-215-26-915723164-35.9-1.9
302296.1New OrleansSlnd0.42560.43833282-108-160-00-20-20-48-81-52109327026.11.1
309303.7NiagaraMAAC0.42130.49121733-167-220-00-20-32-75-91-8300682994.70.3
338336.0Nicholls St.Slnd0.38240.44933042-115-200-10-10-30-54-110-733212732511.01.3
175172.5NJITind0.49890.459927411-1014-110-10-01-14-48-514-11174279182-9.5-0.4
138143.7Norfolk St.MEAC0.51370.460827011-918-110-20-10-14-414-35-810832174-30.3-1.3
109.5North CarolinaACC0.63890.6033216-424-74-43-25-19-03-010-315711-1.5-0.4
330326.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.39650.43563313-168-210-10-10-20-67-111-12330198336-9.3-0.9
110111.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.53150.427534312-521-60-20-10-14-117-16-579999021.91.4
4448.2North Carolina St.ACC0.57640.5874713-819-122-61-24-28-24-09-47334453.20.2
271270.2North DakotaBSky0.44440.47142404-129-190-20-00-21-68-83-72029123040.21.6
164164.0North Dakota St.Sum0.50300.457928011-716-110-10-11-23-313-56-5196301168-4.0-0.1
163162.3North FloridaASun0.50390.442431710-917-110-10-11-22-414-45-9226294185-22.7-1.0
269269.3North TexasCUSA0.44560.49431626-119-190-00-31-52-46-64-6263225271-1.7-0.1
104100.8NortheasternCAA0.53830.484919014-721-100-00-11-37-512-28-5951808614.80.8
211214.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.47700.46972448-1114-160-01-11-21-612-74-8193102221-6.8-0.2
221221.2Northern ColoradoBSky0.47270.45083017-914-130-00-10-22-412-53-6290252223-1.8-0.1
226225.0Northern IllinoisMAC0.47100.50591367-911-170-10-31-53-77-35-52242892169.00.3
1822.1Northern IowaMVC0.60780.522110818-225-51-21-04-18-111-011-11469220.10.0
229227.8Northern KentuckyASun0.46940.47452287-1112-150-20-00-21-710-44-9203982198.80.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
150153.3NorthwesternB100.50870.55206310-1013-180-51-52-64-27-09-414824013617.30.7
225224.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.47100.46462605-912-130-10-30-32-210-51-62431821410.80.4
2829.3Notre DameACC0.59680.523010719-226-52-32-14-09-19-012-19633235-5.7-0.6
204197.9OaklandHorz0.48580.51221216-1212-170-21-22-32-67-33-102235118710.90.4
200195.7OhioMAC0.48660.5337917-1011-180-01-21-74-75-25-62191561914.70.2
2125.3Ohio St.B100.60290.55406016-524-71-32-25-29-06-011-24917841-15.7-1.8
2326.6OklahomaB120.60130.5897512-719-114-53-12-25-24-09-3427129-2.4-0.2
3943.9Oklahoma St.B120.58130.5847912-617-123-72-23-24-15-09-2411193211.90.7
4145.3Old DominionCUSA0.57890.504713915-424-61-01-04-27-311-111-11239405.30.4
185183.3Oral RobertsSum0.49350.48132039-1014-140-11-10-33-510-65-7179176193-9.7-0.3
7579.2OregonP120.55290.55475713-618-120-41-25-38-34-09-386110790.20.0
8889.0Oregon St.P120.54630.525410113-518-111-20-23-39-35-08-31763247217.00.7
220221.2PacificWCC0.47340.51611157-119-180-20-30-33-86-25-417123619823.21.1
262263.6PennIvy0.44880.48321955-1010-180-10-11-42-87-55-9274277287-23.4-0.9
115119.7Penn St.B100.52700.54138213-716-151-41-32-46-47-012-1622999821.71.0
147151.1PepperdineWCC0.50990.493416511-816-120-21-21-34-410-26-4227337165-13.9-0.6
10199.0PittsburghACC0.53950.55435912-717-140-61-32-28-36-110-3781828019.00.8
168166.4PortlandWCC0.50200.508613210-914-140-20-21-44-58-27-31302561597.40.3
239240.1Portland St.BSky0.46220.44763088-812-140-00-00-22-510-64-4200323244-3.9-0.1
301292.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42930.42783414-1411-190-10-10-30-511-91-1128084305-12.1-0.6
325322.7PresbyterianBSth0.40220.47282363-145-220-10-00-30-94-90-93361463175.70.6
236232.5PrincetonIvy0.46680.48471917-912-170-00-01-34-97-46-9272264283-50.5-1.5
2930.7ProvidenceBE0.59600.58141415-520-113-44-24-27-22-110-325332010.70.9
8989.0PurdueB100.54600.55246112-818-130-33-34-35-45-08-518021995-6.0-0.3
192189.2QuinnipiacMAAC0.49010.475122611-816-130-00-02-26-59-66-3135150199-9.8-0.4
158160.2RadfordBSth0.50540.456228911-717-110-10-01-23-513-36-4102227173-12.8-0.4
7276.3Rhode IslandA100.55450.510512612-519-90-31-22-26-210-07-3971916412.30.6
266267.6RiceCUSA0.44650.49401644-118-190-10-20-52-56-71-8325253296-28.4-1.0
7478.0RichmondA100.55370.55785210-917-141-31-42-36-47-07-61214083-5.0-0.2
154156.6RiderMAAC0.50710.462026713-819-120-10-10-24-415-46-518628214115.60.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
189187.4Robert MorrisNEC0.49110.468424710-1016-140-20-10-14-612-44-822915217215.40.6
139143.6RutgersB100.51370.57212410-1112-191-31-41-64-54-18-5926210241.62.2
152154.8Sacramento St.BSky0.50810.458827811-617-100-10-01-11-314-54-51972491522.80.1
248247.1Sacred HeartNEC0.45870.46072718-1214-160-10-10-13-910-65-7212205260-12.9-0.5
202197.9Saint Joseph'sA100.48580.51961128-1012-180-30-22-43-37-56-617719018413.90.5
237235.4Saint LouisA100.46530.51371188-1011-190-30-30-53-48-47-522026819639.41.7
4650.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.57390.525610015-421-70-20-12-211-27-17-3100105491.70.1
213215.3Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47630.461126910-1116-150-00-10-25-610-76-5178288232-16.7-0.8
10098.6Sam Houston St.Slnd0.53980.458927711-520-70-00-21-32-117-15-4103112115-16.4-1.1
317313.2SamfordSC0.41250.43363348-1411-190-00-10-41-610-96-62533403130.20.0
162162.9San DiegoWCC0.50400.52061119-1113-160-31-32-34-67-26-5142171181-18.1-0.7
2426.8San Diego St.MWC0.60080.54267814-523-71-21-26-25-19-19-32836242.80.3
188186.9San FranciscoWCC0.49160.5273978-1212-170-20-20-45-76-25-6207130194-7.1-0.3
336334.6San Jose St.MWC0.38610.50941280-171-270-10-30-60-90-90-1034523532014.63.2
195191.8Santa ClaraWCC0.48900.52141099-1012-160-20-30-46-66-14-622819915536.81.5
327323.8Savannah St.MEAC0.39920.44463153-147-210-10-20-21-66-102-102829629330.82.1
278273.1SeattleWAC0.44290.43713308-913-130-00-10-33-310-75-72552332721.10.0
4851.8Seton HallBE0.57340.56314113-618-122-52-32-17-25-010-229141429.80.6
255257.4SienaMAAC0.45290.47502278-1111-180-00-00-23-97-63-6238211263-5.6-0.3
310304.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.42010.45402956-119-160-00-00-31-67-82-7349345331-26.9-1.3
1518.5SMUAmer0.61580.56104415-422-70-22-37-15-09-08-32312180.50.1
300292.9South AlabamaSB0.42970.48321964-148-210-00-10-32-95-80-9346237308-15.1-0.8
7679.9South CarolinaSEC0.55240.5710299-815-141-43-33-44-35-08-380115118-38.1-1.7
314308.6South Carolina St.MEAC0.41650.44083215-159-200-10-00-11-88-101-1231721029216.61.0
218218.8South DakotaSum0.47440.46412619-1114-150-00-10-33-411-75-8247284224-5.2-0.2
9795.0South Dakota St.Sum0.54180.477321613-719-90-20-10-04-315-37-5101179121-26.0-1.3
230228.5South FloridaAmer0.46920.5317946-1310-200-20-51-62-56-35-720912821711.50.5
268268.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44580.45952757-1111-160-00-10-32-69-54-7301321291-22.4-0.9
247246.2Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45920.44703104-1313-170-20-20-21-312-92-10296157256-9.8-0.3
241242.0SouthernSWAC0.46130.44653116-1213-160-10-10-30-613-40-1128514245-3.0-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
263264.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.44870.47672208-1211-190-30-11-52-49-66-6295347284-19.9-0.9
305299.5Southern MissCUSA0.42510.49991504-126-210-00-20-71-65-63-62712082945.50.3
320319.7Southern UtahBSky0.40500.44813064-138-200-00-00-31-67-112-8309274323-3.3-0.2
134139.5St. BonaventureA100.51590.501414811-716-130-11-32-35-28-37-4194316156-16.5-0.6
177174.0St. Francis NYNEC0.49830.454029611-918-120-10-00-05-713-45-7225250186-12.0-0.5
161162.4St. Francis PANEC0.50410.46682549-916-120-10-10-05-611-45-5821081548.40.3
5356.9St. John'sBE0.56890.57501912-618-122-73-24-16-24-010-23855515.90.3
3132.9StanfordP120.59290.55675514-521-91-41-15-38-25-09-34081311.90.2
4950.9Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57310.478221313-324-40-20-13-03-117-07-36112485-34.1-2.7
345339.9StetsonASun0.37450.44003222-155-220-00-10-10-85-122-11337317347-7.1-1.0
9896.2Stony BrookAE0.54130.484019412-819-100-10-22-04-513-27-64321915.20.3
6670.2SyracuseACC0.55870.56124214-618-131-51-23-27-36-09-494116691.20.1
107104.0TCUB120.53630.52589914-519-122-82-31-13-111-013-090349132-28.0-1.2
6167.6TempleAmer0.56070.54467413-719-121-51-23-24-110-19-457635413.60.7
8383.3TennesseeSEC0.54940.56344012-616-141-32-43-46-25-08-475525528.31.3
167166.2Tennessee MartinOVC0.50210.457728210-716-110-10-10-32-514-26-5169310179-12.8-0.5
340338.2Tennessee St.OVC0.37910.47432311-183-260-10-00-30-103-131-12340239340-1.8-0.3
212215.5Tennessee TechOVC0.47650.47432308-1113-150-00-00-35-78-66-6110154236-20.5-0.8
1922.9TexasB120.60730.5891614-521-103-63-24-17-05-011-2225926-3.1-0.4
5760.7Texas A&MSEC0.56590.55136413-519-110-22-35-45-27-09-354823921.71.0
261262.8Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.44920.44993038-812-160-10-10-21-411-83-7314330297-34.2-1.5
321319.9Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.40480.43973245-138-190-10-00-10-47-133-102862483145.90.4
140143.9Texas SouthernSWAC0.51360.46332638-1118-130-31-11-21-415-33-10113412815.90.7
208207.5Texas St.SB0.48040.48301987-912-140-10-11-22-59-53-3115121213-5.5-0.2
191189.5Texas TechB120.49030.54727011-913-181-81-41-32-28-110-317032516920.50.9
322320.3The CitadelSC0.40390.43893265-128-180-00-11-11-57-102-5335333333-12.7-0.9
8788.7ToledoMAC0.54650.524610311-818-130-20-12-37-59-18-59115996-7.3-0.3
280274.9TowsonCAA0.44230.45642858-1211-190-10-10-42-79-66-6236336277-2.1-0.1
318313.1TroySB0.41170.44913055-119-180-00-11-22-56-93-4327351322-8.9-0.5
155157.9TulaneAmer0.50640.509512712-716-130-21-42-52-211-28-3167300163-5.1-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4043.7TulsaAmer0.58080.53339214-421-81-31-24-16-19-17-410611747-3.3-0.2
174172.5UABCUSA0.49910.51171239-1015-150-21-11-53-410-43-925754176-3.5-0.1
118123.6UC DavisBW0.52470.462826612-418-90-00-01-26-411-38-311831810914.60.5
113115.6UC IrvineBW0.53000.50251469-816-120-10-11-35-49-25-7146104122-6.4-0.2
260262.6UC RiversideBW0.44970.48212007-1110-180-20-10-42-78-55-723225424220.60.8
109107.3UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53470.5267988-915-130-20-11-37-47-25-710510126-18.7-0.7
224224.7UCFAmer0.47110.51141248-1012-160-30-31-43-28-46-423327820915.70.6
9392.5UCLAP120.54370.56803511-916-151-71-22-47-25-08-5109507715.50.7
252252.1UMass LowellAE0.45570.45083008-1212-160-10-10-23-79-75-716622823913.10.7
335334.0UMBCAE0.38650.44473143-176-230-00-10-30-85-112-11334293335-1.0-0.1
296288.2UMKCWAC0.43330.43943256-1311-180-00-10-22-510-113-12308266302-13.8-0.6
235231.8UNC AshevilleBSth0.46710.46012736-1012-140-00-00-24-77-51-7323283252-20.2-0.7
326324.5UNC GreensboroSC0.39960.46062723-156-220-10-10-22-54-121-9333257334-9.5-0.9
149152.8UNC WilmingtonCAA0.50930.478521210-815-130-10-21-33-312-44-61882451493.80.1
106104.5UNLVMWC0.53650.54218010-916-141-41-22-44-28-28-4265108-3.5-0.1
179175.8USCP120.49710.5444759-1012-180-30-22-66-54-18-415223114530.81.3
219219.6USC UpstateASun0.47420.419034411-717-100-10-00-12-415-49-4172331240-20.4-0.9
127129.7UT ArlingtonSB0.52190.486218511-717-120-20-11-24-313-45-4891181254.70.2
88.7UtahP120.64180.57212315-324-52-32-17-19-05-09-2162610-1.3-0.4
172169.5Utah St.MWC0.50010.491117410-815-140-11-23-52-410-36-5187247190-20.5-0.8
289282.8Utah ValleyWAC0.43640.44513136-1110-170-10-10-10-510-84-923921424636.81.6
8282.8UTEPCUSA0.54980.509213012-721-90-11-11-36-212-28-45122104-21.2-1.1
245245.2UTSACUSA0.45970.46622567-912-150-00-10-52-59-54-5269327249-3.8-0.2
7979.9ValparaisoHorz0.55170.467325215-422-60-00-12-18-212-110-26725881-1.1-0.1
116120.8VanderbiltSEC0.52680.53598910-816-140-31-45-44-26-19-31122291146.80.2
119.8VCUA100.63800.58291216-325-62-23-27-18-15-010-36145.81.5
182181.2VermontAE0.49440.454329410-916-120-00-01-23-513-44-8252213200-18.8-0.8
99.0VillanovaBE0.64090.56643618-226-53-24-25-110-13-013-077763.00.7
22.5VirginiaACC0.67040.57891719-028-25-14-04-011-04-012-03253-0.5-0.4
214216.9Virginia TechACC0.47580.5406858-1111-200-70-30-33-67-18-52353132115.90.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
272270.5VMISC0.44430.46562576-1310-170-20-20-21-58-71-731014425317.50.7
292283.9WagnerNEC0.43540.47542245-139-190-10-10-02-107-71-930797289-5.1-0.2
133137.9Wake ForestACC0.51700.5710289-1113-180-61-31-45-35-18-5147161146-8.1-0.3
5459.8WashingtonP120.56680.54637114-520-102-32-16-36-45-011-1351934811.80.6
170167.2Washington St.P120.50150.5477689-1011-190-41-22-64-55-16-620424312443.21.8
259261.0Weber St.BSky0.45020.46632556-1111-160-10-20-32-49-63-6216882592.00.1
1620.0West VirginiaB120.61270.57172616-323-83-43-24-17-06-012-132172173.00.4
251251.3Western CarolinaSC0.45620.46132687-1212-170-00-10-42-710-53-8237238255-3.7-0.1
312307.3Western IllinoisSum0.41750.47712185-117-180-00-00-31-76-83-62762163034.30.2
7176.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.55470.508913112-519-90-12-13-34-311-15-5129536610.30.5
126128.9Western MichiganMAC0.52200.498915311-616-130-01-12-45-69-17-4175328129-0.1-0.0
1213.5Wichita St.MVC0.62700.53828617-225-41-22-15-17-010-09-21316121.50.4
8688.1William & MaryCAA0.54670.500814910-717-100-10-11-35-310-34-5984399-10.9-0.5
244244.2WinthropBSth0.46010.44213187-913-130-10-00-13-710-52-6304307275-30.8-1.1
56.5WisconsinB100.64920.57372018-227-42-25-18-19-13-012-19319-2.5-0.9
5559.9WoffordSC0.56640.488518114-521-80-21-12-15-114-27-418174415.90.9
196192.1Wright St.Horz0.48890.49421638-1012-160-10-20-44-48-56-612411415042.11.6
6972.8WyomingMWC0.55700.485918715-322-71-21-13-15-213-19-2104320711.80.1
3031.2XavierBE0.59580.58331113-720-112-43-25-27-32-09-4312734-2.8-0.2
7376.6YaleIvy0.55430.506013511-619-100-00-12-26-511-29-6661136115.60.7
277272.6Youngstown St.Horz0.44340.47652227-1310-180-00-20-52-77-56-61852462675.60.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com