Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
240240.0Air ForceMWC0.45410.5339998-208-210-50-50-21-97-16-5207242245-5.0-1.9
9494.7AkronMAC0.54300.497416721-922-90-10-30-213-39-19-5164222940.70.2
100102.2AlabamaSEC0.53560.55385216-1417-141-50-23-55-28-010-48485103-0.8-0.1
328328.1Alabama A&MSWAC0.38700.39243448-148-150-00-10-10-48-80-43421623280.10.0
275274.8Alabama St.SWAC0.43200.397934112-1413-140-00-00-11-612-70-8347279278-3.2-0.4
301300.9AlbanyAE0.41380.47642177-257-250-10-10-21-126-95-102291803000.90.7
347346.2Alcorn St.SWAC0.34280.44183082-292-290-10-30-10-72-170-1331960347-0.8-1.4
294294.0AmericanPat0.41970.443830011-2011-200-10-00-20-511-123-12338334295-1.0-1.2
9798.1Appalachian St.SC0.53850.490818120-1120-110-00-12-38-310-45-510052971.10.9
8786.5ArizonaP100.54910.56383816-1417-141-41-32-210-62-06-610918860.50.1
5655.3Arizona St.P100.57840.54217522-923-90-52-12-114-25-010-3546356-0.7-0.2
148145.5ArkansasSEC0.51400.56293914-1714-180-50-36-44-44-27-8180531441.50.2
299299.3Arkansas Little RockSB0.41460.49921656-226-220-00-10-72-64-92-7216192990.30.3
194192.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.48800.455727515-1515-150-10-40-20-615-30-112724194-1.5-1.4
203203.1Arkansas St.SB0.47970.466624415-1415-140-00-21-33-511-43-6256213204-0.9-0.8
247247.9ArmyPat0.44910.440730913-1513-150-00-01-11-411-109-41483192470.90.7
147146.1AuburnSEC0.51400.55095714-1614-170-30-23-84-47-08-61501461460.10.0
165164.8Austin PeayOVC0.50490.504015515-1515-150-20-12-45-78-14-712617165-0.2-0.1
218218.0Ball St.MAC0.47010.477021414-1514-150-30-11-27-56-46-62182202171.00.5
78.3BaylorB120.63480.58311423-623-73-43-15-18-14-012-11512880.30.2
136135.9BelmontASun0.51830.476021919-1219-120-10-10-27-212-65-510237136-0.1-0.1
258257.6Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44280.427232614-1614-170-00-10-20-614-76-6178233261-3.4-0.5
227227.6BinghamtonAE0.46140.487019011-1811-180-10-10-13-128-33-10245972270.60.9
204204.0Boise St.WAC0.47910.493217814-1614-170-00-32-75-38-49-5194329207-3.0-0.9
107106.5Boston CollegeACC0.53260.55984315-1516-150-42-72-17-35-09-51742511060.50.1
132133.3Boston UniversityAE0.52000.485719519-1219-130-10-11-43-715-06-7177109139-5.7-0.7
190189.7Bowling GreenMAC0.49140.500416113-1613-160-21-11-33-88-27-51452321881.71.3
102102.4BradleyMVC0.53540.54856216-1516-151-31-24-45-55-16-51601481020.40.4
2322.4Brigham YoungMWC0.61600.524211527-428-40-24-25-010-010-014-12517823-0.6-0.5
257257.2BrownIvy0.44350.47722139-209-200-00-50-42-37-84-112672182570.20.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
345344.8Bryantind0.34410.44233061-291-290-00-10-20-61-201-293433093440.81.1
259259.6BucknellPat0.44190.433532014-1714-170-00-20-11-413-105-113093322581.61.6
101102.1BuffaloMAC0.53550.507714817-1117-120-11-11-18-78-27-46791984.10.7
1413.5ButlerHorz0.62710.54227428-428-41-12-23-114-08-08-426614-0.5-0.5
254254.1Cal PolyBW0.44560.454527712-1812-190-10-10-03-79-104-92913222540.10.0
316316.4Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.40060.45292837-227-220-00-20-10-107-97-202982823160.40.6
200201.2Cal St. FullertonBW0.48150.469623914-1415-140-00-21-33-411-55-61891871965.20.8
251251.8Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44730.486219311-2111-210-10-10-14-136-65-10238159252-0.2-0.1
2020.5CaliforniaP100.61870.58481321-922-90-31-25-116-31-08-48121-0.5-0.2
183183.0CampbellASun0.49680.453428117-1117-110-00-11-02-614-43-4225227183-0.0-0.0
208206.7CanisiusMAAC0.47750.474622515-1715-170-00-21-44-710-46-62143102051.71.2
314314.1CentenarySum0.40330.46142616-216-210-00-10-70-36-103-6235200315-0.9-1.2
319319.7Central ArkansasSlnd0.39690.44732956-206-200-10-10-22-64-103-72632603190.71.0
310309.8Central ConnecticutNEC0.40970.409633712-1812-180-00-00-10-612-115-8335347310-0.2-0.5
189188.7Central FloridaCUSA0.49190.510914114-1614-170-00-40-85-39-27-6169189190-1.3-0.3
192192.4Central MichiganMAC0.48840.475222214-1414-150-10-11-34-69-45-72122441920.40.1
283282.8Charleston SouthernBSth0.42790.45152859-179-170-10-10-12-67-82-5221149283-0.2-0.2
7677.5CharlotteA100.55600.53679619-1219-121-42-41-17-38-010-459141752.51.9
239238.0ChattanoogaSC0.45520.475122313-1813-180-00-31-64-18-86-51511562380.00.0
346344.9Chicago St.GWC0.34390.38943466-226-220-00-00-10-76-142-13339308345-0.1-0.1
6160.2CincinnatiBE0.57340.5897818-1418-152-71-44-45-06-09-33147600.20.1
2627.2ClemsonACC0.60850.57632421-922-92-43-34-27-16-012-24014428-0.8-0.3
166166.7Cleveland St.Horz0.50410.53479714-1714-170-50-22-13-99-03-8206151660.70.6
138136.8Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51800.424032824-624-60-10-02-02-320-27-2138323138-1.2-0.6
289289.2ColgatePat0.42420.455427610-1910-190-10-00-10-710-104-103102852881.21.1
9392.9College of CharlestonSC0.54520.494017321-1121-110-10-13-23-515-26-61156493-0.1-0.1
118117.6ColoradoB120.52640.57033013-1613-161-60-41-36-35-07-51632151143.61.3
112114.6Colorado St.MWC0.52800.53819415-1415-150-40-51-26-58-08-51081911122.60.4
252251.9ColumbiaIvy0.44730.464725211-1711-170-10-20-21-510-76-82272592510.90.7
6362.2ConnecticutBE0.57150.6006317-1517-153-51-36-55-23-010-3129620.20.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
337337.3Coppin St.MEAC0.36680.43203215-225-220-10-10-00-65-142-83072613370.30.6
4647.6CornellIvy0.58450.481820525-425-40-20-04-18-013-112-348130470.60.4
111112.3CreightonMVC0.52820.53909016-1516-150-41-12-66-47-06-6186167113-0.7-0.5
336334.9DartmouthIvy0.37840.47142354-234-230-00-20-20-74-123-10316252335-0.1-0.1
181180.5DavidsonSC0.49740.507514914-1514-150-10-31-64-39-23-7217311800.50.4
4850.1DaytonA100.58280.56943220-1120-121-62-22-211-24-011-31821491.10.2
238237.1DelawareCAA0.45550.5407807-247-240-20-40-62-85-44-8153262370.10.1
206204.5Delaware St.MEAC0.47870.447629314-1115-110-00-10-10-615-32-6280119209-4.5-0.5
164164.5DenverSB0.50490.471523419-1319-130-10-01-24-514-57-499891640.50.5
213212.3DePaulBE0.47460.5657348-238-231-70-21-92-34-27-51301522120.30.4
168167.8DetroitHorz0.50350.479320719-1419-140-30-00-310-59-38-41733201670.80.7
184183.6DrakeMVC0.49650.530410214-1914-190-31-22-65-56-36-7237256184-0.4-0.3
146147.3DrexelCAA0.51440.512013816-1616-160-20-33-33-510-35-817096148-0.7-0.4
22.4DukeACC0.66240.5912726-526-52-36-18-07-13-013-293420.40.9
108108.0DuquesneA100.53130.54177815-1515-150-40-32-46-47-08-566661071.00.6
229228.6East CarolinaCUSA0.46030.52471147-217-210-20-40-51-76-23-8196422280.60.6
122121.6East Tennessee St.ASun0.52530.497116819-1419-140-10-22-25-412-53-71163123-1.4-0.8
170169.3Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50280.472423117-1217-120-00-01-65-511-15-41872631681.31.0
155154.2Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51020.473422818-1218-120-20-00-47-411-27-4110168155-0.8-0.5
198200.0Eastern MichiganMAC0.48220.470223715-1415-150-00-22-22-711-46-6197270203-3.0-0.6
277276.9Eastern WashingtonBSky0.43060.49361757-217-210-10-11-51-85-62-10253802760.91.3
271271.3ElonSC0.43350.48272038-238-230-00-10-62-76-92-92601902710.30.2
249249.1EvansvilleMVC0.44840.51771268-218-211-21-10-72-104-15-52553262490.10.1
7980.0FairfieldMAAC0.55360.495217122-1022-100-10-41-15-416-07-4129272800.00.0
272271.5Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43330.464425311-2111-210-10-20-11-810-93-12312238272-0.5-0.5
5553.9FloridaSEC0.57970.56703320-1121-112-71-14-27-16-111-47210854-0.1-0.0
320319.9Florida A&MMEAC0.39680.43823148-228-220-00-20-10-78-123-10294224321-1.1-1.1
216217.2Florida AtlanticSB0.47040.476721512-1612-160-10-00-22-910-42-72691772161.20.9
321320.8Florida Gulf CoastASun0.39590.43633198-218-210-10-00-02-76-133-63043373200.80.9
295295.8Florida InternationalSB0.41800.48731896-256-250-00-11-51-94-102-10288209296-0.2-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3534.2Florida St.ACC0.60020.55794622-822-80-44-34-18-16-012-24121135-0.8-0.9
304303.3FordhamA100.41280.5346982-262-260-40-30-51-91-52-102952033021.30.8
186184.7Fresno St.WAC0.49460.521211914-1714-180-10-33-53-78-27-8210202186-1.3-0.2
279278.8FurmanSC0.42980.442330711-1711-170-00-11-50-410-74-5262330279-0.2-0.2
318317.8Gardner WebbBSth0.39900.46272565-215-210-20-00-20-85-90-832373318-0.2-0.3
160158.8George MasonCAA0.50820.499916317-1417-140-11-21-63-312-25-7242199159-0.2-0.1
143145.2George WashingtonA100.51510.506215116-1416-140-20-42-36-58-010-31233131432.21.1
1112.0GeorgetownBE0.62950.6155121-921-105-52-26-23-15-010-13813-1.0-0.3
103103.6GeorgiaSEC0.53470.58011813-1614-162-41-35-61-25-18-591701003.60.5
287287.7Georgia SouthernSC0.42480.49691697-237-230-00-01-72-84-81-103181612870.70.7
248248.6Georgia St.CAA0.44870.490718211-2011-200-00-30-62-69-56-62042622480.60.5
4344.9Georgia TechACC0.58910.57861918-1119-111-23-54-26-25-011-234151431.90.4
3636.1GonzagaWCC0.59720.526211225-625-61-23-24-06-111-112-33954360.10.1
339339.3GramblingSWAC0.36370.40453406-206-200-10-00-21-45-131-63082263390.30.4
290288.6HamptonMEAC0.42370.412033613-1714-170-00-00-41-413-105-9283321291-2.4-0.5
305304.0HartfordAE0.41250.46172608-228-220-20-00-10-118-82-11332280305-1.0-0.7
9697.6HarvardIvy0.53870.459926720-720-70-10-21-14-215-110-376239961.61.4
253252.7HawaiiWAC0.44700.52731099-209-200-20-42-51-66-36-72301532502.72.8
255254.9High PointBSth0.44510.423533113-1513-150-00-10-13-410-93-6282333255-0.1-0.1
145146.9HofstraCAA0.51460.501416018-1418-140-10-12-82-414-07-5128131147-0.1-0.1
276274.7Holy CrossPat0.43180.47602189-229-220-00-20-30-89-103-12286183275-0.3-0.3
158156.8HoustonCUSA0.50910.522711715-1515-160-02-32-55-57-37-6157136161-4.2-0.5
331330.4Houston BaptistGWC0.38430.390934511-2012-200-00-10-10-512-141-17346316331-0.6-0.3
330329.7HowardMEAC0.38600.43873137-257-250-00-10-20-77-151-14327188330-0.3-0.3
169170.6IdahoWAC0.50290.512813613-1513-160-00-21-86-36-37-5142243171-0.4-0.1
306304.1Idaho St.BSky0.41240.49171805-225-220-10-11-41-83-81-102781073040.10.1
7475.9IllinoisB100.55760.56563518-1318-143-51-41-26-37-08-5124106741.90.6
291290.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42350.49461727-227-220-30-00-43-114-44-62342402900.50.6
7373.0Illinois St.MVC0.55880.512813522-1022-100-21-24-29-48-010-211732473-0.0-0.0
214211.8IndianaB100.47360.54496810-2010-211-70-21-43-55-36-6239230214-2.2-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9189.0Indiana St.MVC0.54700.54706516-1416-140-20-23-39-54-27-47411890-1.0-0.8
9088.9IonaMAAC0.54710.505015421-1021-100-10-32-28-211-29-36113591-2.1-1.5
205205.0IowaB100.47900.55655010-2110-220-60-50-44-76-06-72011152005.01.0
123121.6Iowa St.B120.52530.56383715-1715-171-90-41-16-37-011-41132211174.62.2
224223.8IUPU Fort WayneSum0.46600.453328214-1514-150-20-21-41-312-54-5233291224-0.2-0.4
8987.5IUPUISum0.54760.492017922-1022-100-10-11-46-315-15-61253989-1.5-1.0
199199.5Jackson St.SWAC0.48190.429532318-1218-120-10-10-32-516-31-10284591990.50.3
140140.2JacksonvilleASun0.51680.466124619-1219-120-10-10-24-415-44-5122841400.20.1
297297.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.41630.46592479-199-190-00-10-73-66-52-73312882970.20.3
244243.7James MadisonCAA0.45270.477721113-2013-200-00-32-52-69-68-51933412430.70.5
11.0KansasB120.68040.58891029-230-27-14-13-014-02-014-143010.0NaN
66.8Kansas St.B120.63950.5976523-624-64-33-24-110-13-012-152560.80.6
285284.5Kennesaw St.ASun0.42700.450129011-2011-200-00-10-20-1111-63-6287293285-0.5-0.6
4242.3Kent St.MAC0.59140.53869222-823-80-21-04-211-47-09-54223420.30.1
33.7KentuckySEC0.65980.56194029-229-23-12-010-110-04-015-01012030.71.4
175173.2La SalleA100.50150.53918912-1812-180-50-40-45-47-18-61111101703.21.9
212212.2LafayettePat0.47470.423633019-1219-120-10-00-01-418-79-6219338213-0.8-0.8
292291.9LamarSlnd0.42150.457027110-1810-180-00-00-42-78-75-7277298292-0.1-0.2
159157.5LehighPat0.50890.443430121-1021-100-00-10-12-319-59-6183292158-0.5-0.4
231230.5LibertyBSth0.45880.462525712-1612-160-00-20-11-1011-32-724777231-0.5-0.4
209207.4LipscombASun0.47730.447229616-1316-130-10-10-25-411-52-6300254208-0.6-0.4
124121.9Long Beach St.BW0.52450.524011613-1514-150-41-10-14-59-45-7512124-2.1-0.2
242241.9Long IslandNEC0.45340.447329414-1714-170-00-00-33-511-94-9281284242-0.1-0.0
284283.2Longwoodind0.42770.46012658-198-190-10-30-21-37-105-17259164284-0.8-0.4
245245.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.45120.456227312-1612-160-00-12-12-58-92-73053032441.31.6
274274.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.43200.460626410-1910-190-00-01-32-87-83-62732862731.31.3
221220.4Louisiana St.SEC0.46910.53968511-1911-200-50-02-93-66-09-5167223222-1.6-0.4
7879.2Louisiana TechWAC0.55420.489118422-923-90-11-13-48-211-113-263294772.20.5
3838.1LouisvilleBE0.59620.5980420-1220-122-50-17-58-13-09-44924371.11.0
215214.3Loyola ChicagoHorz0.47190.483420012-1612-160-30-01-13-118-17-285271215-0.7-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
176176.2Loyola MarymountWCC0.49980.486419217-1517-150-01-42-43-111-68-7176237177-0.8-0.9
219218.1Loyola MDMAAC0.47010.475822013-1713-170-10-20-44-59-57-41583152180.10.1
151150.6MaineAE0.51270.461326218-1118-110-10-00-14-513-47-5121208151-0.4-0.3
225225.0ManhattanMAAC0.46440.500316211-2011-200-10-31-41-89-46-51542142250.00.1
335334.6MaristMAAC0.37840.49741661-291-290-00-20-40-111-120-113412533340.60.9
5150.5MarquetteBE0.58170.56004221-1021-112-71-16-15-17-19-38919453-2.5-0.5
6261.3MarshallCUSA0.57180.527111020-821-80-11-42-38-110-09-3478263-1.7-0.3
1918.7MarylandACC0.62090.57712122-722-71-35-23-26-07-09-410415519-0.3-0.3
302303.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.41340.430532211-2011-210-00-00-31-611-112-123342643030.50.1
172171.2MassachusettsA100.50250.55115511-1911-200-42-41-44-84-05-816555173-1.8-0.3
315314.7McNeese St.Slnd0.40290.44323027-207-200-00-00-42-55-112-93212993140.71.1
333332.8MD Baltimore CountyAE0.38080.44952914-264-260-00-10-01-123-131-12344339333-0.2-0.4
5251.8MemphisCUSA0.58120.53998423-824-80-32-25-07-210-110-510361510.80.2
220219.7MercerASun0.46940.475022414-1714-170-10-20-26-68-62-6241124220-0.3-0.3
115117.2Miami FLACC0.52780.518112317-1217-130-23-52-21-311-013-086346122-4.8-0.5
144143.5Miami OHMAC0.51500.54177713-1714-170-41-11-55-56-24-1020333150-6.5-0.5
130132.6MichiganB100.52020.55185413-1614-160-61-23-24-55-16-51461001302.60.3
2524.7Michigan St.B100.61130.55724824-724-72-31-25-39-07-010-34599240.70.9
179180.3Middle TennesseeSB0.49750.472523017-1317-130-20-11-13-513-44-7252186182-1.7-0.9
7576.7MinnesotaB100.55610.54946018-1219-122-51-11-18-47-19-35587760.70.1
5756.4MississippiSEC0.57630.54387121-921-91-51-03-37-19-012-23313757-0.6-0.4
6767.6Mississippi St.SEC0.56530.529010521-1021-100-31-15-17-48-012-370216670.60.4
325325.5Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39080.42663278-238-230-00-10-20-98-110-123371583250.50.5
4544.4MissouriB120.58720.55894522-1022-102-62-13-09-36-012-35620145-0.6-0.5
281281.3Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42860.447129710-1810-180-00-30-60-310-74-5251328282-0.7-0.6
9290.7Missouri St.MVC0.54630.518812220-1220-120-20-35-26-59-011-14624692-1.3-0.8
288288.5MonmouthNEC0.42450.439431112-1912-190-00-00-12-1010-86-8296343289-0.5-0.6
9594.8MontanaBSky0.54140.481820420-920-90-00-12-19-39-47-37917995-0.2-0.5
202201.6Montana St.BSky0.48050.472622913-1413-140-00-12-33-58-53-7231175202-0.4-0.3
8684.3Morehead St.OVC0.54940.501415921-1021-100-10-21-48-212-13-6118587-2.7-2.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
104103.8Morgan St.MEAC0.53430.447829225-925-90-10-10-33-222-29-8134172104-0.2-0.1
174172.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50180.483120116-1516-150-20-20-02-714-44-819568174-1.5-1.1
5857.7Murray St.OVC0.57520.460726328-428-40-10-02-211-115-06-37117358-0.3-0.3
265264.4NavyPat0.43850.443030313-1713-170-00-00-23-410-116-9276296265-0.6-0.4
217217.5NC AshevilleBSth0.47020.484819612-1612-160-20-00-32-710-40-827010219-1.5-1.3
246246.7NC GreensboroSC0.44960.51671288-238-230-20-40-70-58-51-10226122460.70.7
237236.2NC WilmingtonCAA0.45590.50981439-229-220-00-31-73-85-44-82131112360.20.1
139139.5NebraskaB120.51740.55674915-1715-180-91-32-16-56-012-3732571372.50.3
6565.4NevadaWAC0.56780.54078118-1119-110-10-35-47-27-17-69649641.40.4
5050.9Nevada Las VegasMWC0.58220.526511122-723-72-32-13-06-310-011-262197482.90.9
243242.9New HampshireAE0.45310.464125412-1712-170-20-00-13-89-65-62232682411.91.5
88.7New MexicoMWC0.63430.54287328-329-34-02-25-09-19-014-1115771.71.2
6667.4New Mexico St.WAC0.56530.53948618-1119-110-22-32-26-49-07-68748652.40.6
324324.8New OrleansSB0.39130.45402786-226-220-00-00-20-106-103-63063353240.80.8
128128.6NiagaraMAAC0.52190.506015218-1518-150-01-13-55-79-28-51201841262.61.8
278278.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.43000.47082368-188-180-10-00-31-107-41-82891422771.20.8
341339.5NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.36090.39473437-207-210-00-00-10-77-132-12324248341-1.5-0.8
261260.6Norfolk St.MEAC0.44120.452328411-1811-190-10-20-21-510-92-112991402600.60.1
8585.5North CarolinaACC0.55000.58241516-1516-161-63-63-25-25-011-45883850.50.1
303301.9North Carolina A&TMEAC0.41330.45372808-228-220-10-10-22-66-121-11315125306-4.1-1.9
344345.4North Carolina Centralind0.34460.42193323-223-230-00-10-20-33-161-20345312346-0.6-0.2
105105.0North Carolina St.ACC0.53340.54456917-1417-151-33-52-45-37-012-3106274105-0.0-0.0
340340.4North DakotaGWC0.36220.40943386-226-220-20-00-10-56-141-143302173400.40.8
268268.2North Dakota St.Sum0.43590.46512519-189-180-00-10-40-89-51-73032072680.20.2
236235.9North FloridaASun0.45610.466624512-1812-180-00-10-32-910-54-51431232350.90.6
98100.4North TexasSB0.53670.458527022-822-80-10-10-07-115-56-364166991.41.0
7271.2NortheasternCAA0.56070.53829320-1220-120-03-33-34-610-05-7971172-0.8-0.9
197198.7Northern ArizonaBSky0.48240.473622712-1412-140-10-10-60-412-24-51712061971.71.3
119117.8Northern ColoradoBSky0.52630.437531623-723-70-00-02-36-115-311-21333441161.80.8
263263.2Northern IllinoisMAC0.43900.477721210-2010-200-20-10-32-98-44-92752412630.20.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1717.7Northern IowaMVC0.62170.528010728-428-40-04-16-012-16-210-15323618-0.3-0.3
120117.8NorthwesternB100.52600.508614619-1220-121-50-13-25-211-212-1682871152.80.3
313312.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.40420.43983107-187-180-10-00-30-67-82-73173143120.81.1
5451.5Notre DameBE0.58070.56044122-1022-113-30-18-44-37-011-27522555-3.5-0.7
5352.5OaklandSum0.58100.505315324-824-80-40-12-15-117-14-7937520.50.4
116117.5OhioMAC0.52760.525111317-1417-150-10-33-47-57-29-58067118-0.5-0.1
2927.8Ohio St.B100.60690.54796324-724-74-41-03-26-110-010-35212229-1.2-1.4
113113.2OklahomaB120.52790.58191613-1813-181-72-41-35-34-19-5941471112.21.1
2828.8Oklahoma St.B120.60700.57462522-922-104-40-32-213-13-012-232157271.80.6
3029.0Old DominionCAA0.60560.53899126-826-81-10-27-45-113-08-5441430-1.0-1.1
125125.2Oral RobertsSum0.52390.489018619-1319-131-01-21-72-114-35-7136411250.20.2
134135.8OregonP100.51860.54177916-1516-160-31-31-69-45-08-41191321341.80.3
182181.7Oregon St.P100.49730.517712514-1614-171-10-32-48-83-26-62323011792.70.4
117117.3PacificBW0.52650.476621620-1020-100-11-21-24-214-38-6155174120-2.7-1.2
191192.2Penn St.B100.48850.54407011-1911-200-70-30-56-15-48-41662891911.20.4
300300.6PennsylvaniaIvy0.41390.47842086-226-220-31-10-20-75-91-13328235301-0.4-0.3
307306.7PepperdineWCC0.41140.49331766-236-230-00-40-42-74-83-11314258307-0.3-0.2
1010.9PittsburghBE0.63130.58801224-725-73-33-17-37-04-111-22151100.90.3
8080.2PortlandWCC0.55350.516712919-1019-100-11-51-16-211-18-510193782.21.7
222222.0Portland St.BSky0.46820.490518311-1911-190-00-22-51-88-43-92241172211.01.3
269268.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43570.409133912-1312-140-10-10-20-412-61-6320154269-0.2-0.0
329329.2PresbyterianBSth0.38670.46802434-264-260-00-30-40-84-112-10240813290.20.2
131131.8PrincetonIvy0.52010.450428919-819-80-10-22-02-315-28-51683051310.80.6
137136.1ProvidenceBE0.51820.57312712-1912-190-60-33-93-16-08-41051711351.10.4
1211.0PurdueB100.62920.55395126-426-44-22-15-07-18-012-0711411-0.0-0.0
149148.9QuinnipiacNEC0.51400.429132423-923-90-00-10-03-520-38-5188340149-0.1-0.1
171170.4RadfordBSth0.50250.470023817-1217-120-20-10-14-313-53-6200281691.41.1
4141.0Rhode IslandA100.59250.53918822-823-80-31-15-212-24-012-163641-0.0-0.0
311311.0RiceCUSA0.40670.48102067-237-230-10-30-60-67-76-72482693110.00.1
2727.3RichmondA100.60840.54048324-725-71-14-15-59-07-011-43771261.30.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
142141.8RiderMAAC0.51630.508214717-1617-160-10-32-46-59-37-6137170142-0.2-0.1
127128.4Robert MorrisNEC0.52190.461825923-1123-110-20-10-16-517-26-82081961271.41.0
161159.4RutgersBE0.50780.55115614-1714-171-50-22-85-26-09-31122311572.41.7
298297.6Sacramento St.BSky0.41590.46252587-217-210-00-00-42-95-84-8243265298-0.4-0.4
264263.5Sacred HeartNEC0.43880.419733414-1514-150-10-00-11-613-79-4172345264-0.5-0.4
178178.5Saint Joseph'sA100.49830.55335311-2011-200-50-51-36-64-16-8139461780.50.3
7779.1Sam Houston St.Slnd0.55440.478121019-720-70-10-00-19-311-24-515611281-1.9-0.3
262261.7SamfordSC0.43970.48681918-208-200-10-20-70-68-53-619274262-0.3-0.3
230230.1San DiegoWCC0.45900.508814510-2110-210-10-50-53-67-46-92111392300.10.1
3333.5San Diego St.MWC0.60130.54496720-821-81-31-22-111-16-19-33511334-0.5-0.2
207206.6San FranciscoWCC0.47770.520212110-1810-180-11-40-53-56-43-102581042060.60.4
167168.2San Jose St.WAC0.50360.517912413-1613-170-00-42-53-48-47-6140212175-6.8-0.7
233233.6Santa ClaraWCC0.45720.51171399-219-210-00-60-53-56-56-9185101234-0.4-0.4
317316.7Savannah St.ind0.40030.42393297-157-150-10-10-00-67-75-13285276317-0.3-0.5
195193.1Seattleind0.48750.457027217-1417-140-00-21-44-412-416-141902661930.10.1
6060.0Seton HallBE0.57380.57003119-1219-121-72-23-36-07-09-257193591.00.9
3233.0SienaMAAC0.60170.516912727-627-60-30-16-18-113-07-59878330.00.0
322322.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.39490.47542213-233-230-10-00-51-32-143-183132493220.10.2
210209.9South AlabamaSB0.47610.465824915-1515-150-00-11-23-811-46-4179281211-1.1-1.0
8485.5South CarolinaSEC0.55020.58061715-1515-162-51-12-65-45-09-57862841.50.2
235235.6South Carolina St.MEAC0.45610.420833313-1314-130-00-10-11-313-83-7257277240-4.4-0.5
308306.6South Carolina UpstateASun0.41130.47442266-236-230-00-20-10-126-80-932279308-1.4-1.1
223224.1South DakotaGWC0.46620.395234216-917-90-10-10-31-216-25-82492102231.10.3
232232.6South Dakota St.Sum0.45770.468924112-1612-160-10-00-62-310-62-72741432320.60.4
7069.1South FloridaBE0.56430.55055820-1220-122-41-23-56-18-010-269228681.10.8
312312.5Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.40440.47212326-236-230-00-10-60-116-52-8261150313-0.5-0.7
193192.0Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48820.450928715-1115-120-00-00-32-413-44-5222247195-3.0-0.5
343343.1SouthernSWAC0.34950.41543355-245-240-20-10-10-65-142-93111853421.11.8
110109.4Southern CaliforniaP100.53040.54068216-1416-142-24-13-24-94-08-492103110-0.6-0.4
173170.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.50240.515213114-1514-150-20-33-43-68-08-283290172-1.1-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211210.5Southern MethodistCUSA0.47580.515913012-1712-170-11-40-72-49-15-72652192100.50.5
114117.5Southern MississippiCUSA0.52780.512713715-1215-130-10-60-42-013-26-4127245119-1.5-0.2
327326.6Southern UtahSum0.39030.47202335-225-220-00-20-50-55-102-7268129327-0.4-0.4
152149.9St. BonaventureA100.51220.527910814-1514-160-41-10-76-47-06-6131126153-3.1-0.4
293292.9St. Francis NYNEC0.42060.428032511-1811-180-10-00-12-59-115-8290342294-1.1-1.4
286286.7St. Francis PANEC0.42510.451028611-1911-190-00-10-12-79-93-92922342860.70.7
8382.5St. John'sBE0.55240.57662217-1517-151-72-34-33-26-010-22765793.52.4
8280.5St. LouisA100.55270.531510019-1019-110-23-21-310-35-08-518222983-2.5-0.4
3736.2St. Mary'sWCC0.59710.521511825-525-50-13-24-15-113-012-2367238-1.8-1.8
180180.2St. Peter'sMAAC0.49750.483819916-1416-140-00-21-44-411-45-6236304181-0.8-0.5
177175.9StanfordP100.49960.53918713-1713-180-30-30-68-55-16-6191163176-0.1-0.0
156155.5Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.50990.439431219-819-90-00-00-35-415-27-31412751541.50.2
326326.1StetsonASun0.39050.45932685-225-220-00-20-11-84-110-73402043260.10.1
141141.8Stony BrookAE0.51630.437231721-921-90-00-10-16-315-47-51983311410.80.4
43.2SyracuseBE0.65970.5894928-329-36-13-29-06-05-013-01354-0.8-0.6
1817.6TempleA100.62140.54646626-527-52-24-13-213-05-012-32938170.60.3
1615.7TennesseeSEC0.62500.57152823-724-72-41-08-16-17-012-21958150.70.4
338338.6Tennessee MartinOVC0.36420.46862422-252-250-00-20-50-92-90-83361923380.60.9
260259.6Tennessee St.OVC0.44180.48861879-239-230-10-10-63-116-53-102501652590.60.6
196198.3Tennessee TechOVC0.48260.489018513-1713-170-10-10-83-410-34-6152861980.30.2
2425.0TexasB120.61170.56533624-825-84-52-13-110-16-014-123195250.00.0
1312.9Texas A&MB120.62710.5913621-822-82-63-24-07-06-010-32845120.90.3
157156.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50920.493317714-1415-140-10-20-45-310-43-8220133162-5.3-0.5
234234.0Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.45690.459226912-1412-140-20-00-33-49-54-52663172331.00.6
187187.2Texas ChristianMWC0.49310.54377211-1811-190-50-50-41-610-06-7205198189-1.8-0.7
4040.7Texas El PasoCUSA0.59380.520812024-525-50-13-04-37-111-09-4135182391.70.8
334334.8Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.37870.43663186-266-270-10-10-30-96-131-18325160336-1.2-0.5
188188.5Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49230.450528816-1116-110-00-11-14-411-57-31323061871.51.0
228230.6Texas SouthernSWAC0.46060.442830413-1514-150-00-20-34-510-62-8202162291.60.2
241240.9Texas St.Slnd0.45380.463025511-1611-160-10-01-22-78-62-83333072391.91.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6968.8Texas TechB120.56460.58821117-1417-150-93-40-09-25-012-2148870-1.2-0.5
201200.7The CitadelSC0.48110.484119814-1614-160-30-02-51-311-54-6181116201-0.3-0.3
323323.3ToledoMAC0.39270.50231583-283-280-10-20-50-143-52-122971343230.30.6
266265.3TowsonCAA0.43810.483020210-2110-210-00-31-31-108-53-8302250266-0.7-0.6
109108.5TroySB0.53100.495417017-1217-120-00-10-47-310-42-619956109-0.5-0.3
282281.4TulaneCUSA0.42860.49381748-228-220-10-40-43-75-65-82712672801.41.0
7169.1TulsaCUSA0.56300.530310321-1021-110-11-41-49-110-010-48213871-1.9-0.4
3938.9UABCUSA0.59410.53719523-724-71-00-44-210-19-012-2209040-1.1-0.4
250250.5UC DavisBW0.44780.460126611-1711-180-00-00-12-119-63-9301318253-2.5-0.3
273273.6UC IrvineBW0.43240.446329812-1812-180-10-00-03-109-76-7264327274-0.4-0.3
256255.3UC RiversideBW0.44440.465824810-1710-170-10-10-24-66-75-6215255256-0.7-0.6
99101.0UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53630.485919417-917-90-10-11-16-110-55-514492101-0.0-0.0
150147.2UCLAP100.51330.55784713-1713-181-31-13-66-72-05-7175321452.20.2
154152.9UtahMWC0.51090.54217614-1614-170-43-42-24-56-27-7209181156-3.1-0.5
3131.5Utah St.WAC0.60350.528410624-625-61-01-17-37-29-010-46094310.50.2
342342.5Utah ValleyGWC0.35020.38033478-188-180-10-10-10-38-123-10329302343-0.5-0.8
185185.8ValparaisoHorz0.49530.511114012-1712-170-40-00-44-78-22-82441451850.80.8
2221.7VanderbiltSEC0.61690.57442622-722-72-23-07-45-16-010-3507522-0.3-0.4
126126.1VermontAE0.52280.442630524-925-90-00-11-08-415-410-5147300128-1.9-0.2
99.7VillanovaBE0.63270.57772024-625-63-53-08-16-05-011-12216990.70.2
135138.2VirginiaACC0.51840.55005914-1514-160-32-62-26-55-09-41592731326.20.5
6465.3Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.56790.513213422-922-90-03-23-34-312-19-1169566-0.7-0.8
309308.9Virginia Military InstBSth0.41000.46572506-196-190-00-20-10-86-81-525443309-0.1-0.2
4748.0Virginia TechACC0.58430.514013323-723-70-33-13-18-29-013-177336462.01.2
332331.7WagnerNEC0.38240.45402795-265-260-10-00-12-83-162-12326295332-0.3-0.4
3434.1Wake ForestACC0.60050.57122919-920-92-24-32-36-26-010-23076322.10.4
4950.0WashingtonP100.58270.54726421-922-92-20-05-312-43-010-22440500.00.0
163161.8Washington St.P100.50670.514113215-1515-150-30-32-25-78-09-2652781601.81.6
8885.6Weber St.BSky0.54860.507415018-1018-100-10-32-35-311-14-61071388-2.4-1.8
54.7West VirginiaBE0.65450.6028224-625-64-42-09-25-04-011-12225-0.3-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
121119.3Western CarolinaSC0.52600.478220919-1119-110-11-22-34-112-47-33850121-1.7-0.8
280279.5Western IllinoisSum0.42940.445329910-1710-170-10-00-61-29-84-4228325281-1.5-1.2
133133.2Western KentuckySB0.51940.487618821-1321-131-00-12-32-716-27-6162981330.20.1
153151.5Western MichiganMAC0.51170.503315716-1417-140-10-14-25-77-47-69544152-0.5-0.1
4443.0Wichita St.MVC0.58840.531410124-924-91-30-18-17-38-110-29028344-1.0-0.9
5958.9William & MaryCAA0.57440.529710421-1021-101-02-33-46-09-37-3172761-2.1-1.9
296298.5Winston Salem St.ind0.41670.43803158-179-170-10-20-10-49-98-172792972935.50.8
162161.0WinthropBSth0.50700.469024017-1317-130-00-10-43-514-32-7246121163-2.0-1.6
1513.6WisconsinB100.62630.57642323-724-74-22-24-27-17-010-2132916-2.4-0.7
106105.7Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.53270.503915619-1219-121-21-12-25-610-17-488102108-2.3-1.5
129129.6Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52150.499716418-1418-140-40-01-37-610-16-51492051290.60.5
6868.0WoffordSC0.56490.484419725-825-80-20-14-35-216-07-58110569-1.0-0.8
8181.5Wright St.Horz0.55280.509614420-1220-120-30-11-210-59-17-511417682-0.5-0.4
226226.5WyomingMWC0.46260.5486618-218-210-61-30-23-64-55-7184692260.50.8
2120.5XavierA100.61780.55944423-724-70-44-26-19-05-09-54320200.50.2
267267.5YaleIvy0.43650.455827411-1911-190-00-20-30-911-55-112933112670.50.7
270270.9Youngstown St.Horz0.43370.51051426-226-220-40-10-21-125-34-51611272700.90.7

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com