live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Dec 19, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
341336.5Abilene ChristianSlnd0.38340.45243021-55-220-00-10-40-55-122-733027632016.51.5
108108.7Air ForceMWC0.53350.50441464-317-100-11-22-34-39-16-3157285179-70.3-1.9
147153.9AkronMAC0.50760.49911606-417-130-01-22-45-59-28-419930014013.90.4
7882.4AlabamaSEC0.55040.5646346-316-140-51-43-36-25-08-470774339.41.3
343336.3Alabama A&MSWAC0.38210.40903490-77-190-00-00-20-37-120-833614129937.33.0
233230.5Alabama St.SWAC0.46810.39773512-416-90-10-10-10-115-62-5224144235-4.5-0.1
225226.3AlbanyAE0.47020.45213033-614-150-00-00-24-710-55-8221249249-22.7-0.6
334330.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.39200.42123460-88-190-10-10-10-28-130-9324693255.50.4
99102.4AmericanPat0.53730.48052126-419-110-00-11-37-512-27-577194104-1.6-0.1
263259.2Appalachian St.SB0.45210.48142043-510-190-00-10-43-77-73-621824221841.21.1
1314.3ArizonaP120.62410.55575012-026-52-23-16-29-16-013-012147104.30.6
9498.7Arizona St.P120.53970.5565466-417-141-41-33-56-35-08-5161189141-42.3-1.3
3542.6ArkansasSEC0.58190.5368807-222-91-22-25-27-28-111-2301361428.61.4
275265.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.44800.48281983-411-170-00-10-33-78-53-5286215314-48.3-1.3
312295.9Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42830.42683422-912-190-10-10-31-511-102-11244124191104.94.0
222220.8Arkansas St.SB0.47260.47262382-413-150-00-11-34-69-63-5262317291-70.2-1.7
141144.7ArmyPat0.51260.44973117-219-90-10-01-15-413-28-2152346172-27.3-0.8
187186.5AuburnSEC0.48980.5509574-511-190-31-42-64-54-16-619411516719.50.5
315305.4Austin PeayOVC0.42070.45922812-79-190-00-10-22-77-93-9318287329-23.6-0.9
229227.8Ball St.MAC0.46920.50951302-510-180-10-11-53-66-44-6302294311-83.2-2.0
810.4BaylorB120.63560.604039-122-85-44-25-15-04-011-172217-6.6-1.0
128132.6BelmontOVC0.51970.47872166-417-110-10-10-25-412-37-5979910824.60.8
344337.1Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38190.40373502-99-200-00-00-10-69-133-10341337339-1.9-0.2
348342.1BinghamtonAE0.37320.46152730-103-260-00-10-21-113-110-13346236346-3.9-0.6
5260.0Boise St.MWC0.56660.51561106-219-91-21-22-26-29-18-2401603723.00.9
150154.7Boston CollegeACC0.50700.5557496-313-170-51-32-54-45-18-416017412727.70.8
198200.6Boston UniversityPat0.48330.50291493-612-160-10-11-34-77-43-719844217-16.4-0.4
9296.6Bowling GreenMAC0.54110.48831826-219-90-00-12-27-410-28-293313933.60.1
279268.7BradleyMVC0.44710.50381483-69-200-20-21-42-56-64-7317308276-7.3-0.2
246246.4BrownIvy0.45930.50391474-610-190-00-21-43-75-56-9231190258-11.6-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
200200.3BryantNEC0.48310.48102062-514-150-00-10-24-69-63-81834618515.30.4
259257.4BucknellPat0.45320.48182024-611-190-10-00-43-108-44-823521819265.41.9
3642.9BuffaloMAC0.58120.5253997-221-90-20-03-29-39-19-3281072715.90.8
1925.7ButlerBE0.60260.5622408-222-93-33-24-26-26-010-25717046-20.3-1.5
4650.3BYUWCC0.57420.5434726-320-90-30-13-29-27-18-3461554-3.7-0.2
231229.0Cal PolyBW0.46840.48321963-410-160-10-11-33-56-64-620019620326.00.6
332328.8Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.39550.42933391-108-200-00-10-10-48-132-12345328344-15.2-1.1
272265.0Cal St. FullertonBW0.44880.46682584-711-180-00-11-33-77-75-824830921946.01.4
308293.8Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43060.49001772-88-220-20-10-41-67-94-10298171308-14.2-0.6
4148.4CaliforniaP120.57630.54706510-121-101-42-25-25-18-011-24313953-4.6-0.2
226226.2CampbellBSth0.46990.46962492-612-160-10-10-13-79-53-7215151261-34.8-0.8
123127.5CanisiusMAAC0.52200.48571895-418-110-00-11-26-412-45-41257511116.50.5
345338.8Central ArkansasSlnd0.37980.45203050-95-240-00-00-31-74-130-11347256347-8.2-0.9
319310.8Central ConnecticutNEC0.41600.45652902-79-220-00-10-22-78-123-10311266318-7.2-0.3
8992.4Central MichiganMAC0.54380.48491956-118-80-01-12-26-310-27-1130347162-69.6-2.0
205205.8Charleston SouthernBSth0.48060.46882533-413-130-10-11-23-59-43-516910517530.80.7
8288.2CharlotteCUSA0.54630.51041276-420-110-11-32-36-210-28-576655038.21.4
213214.2ChattanoogaSC0.47600.47162404-614-150-20-11-22-312-74-72221312059.20.2
346341.1Chicago St.WAC0.37480.46232710-103-250-00-10-40-63-130-143341613329.11.1
4550.9CincinnatiAmer0.57470.5418767-221-101-12-23-38-38-19-4543865-14.1-0.6
167170.0ClemsonACC0.49850.5387786-413-170-51-32-34-45-28-4205280178-8.0-0.2
142146.5Cleveland St.Horz0.51180.50881323-614-150-30-11-44-49-35-816274157-10.5-0.3
134138.2Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51660.43413344-318-80-00-00-15-314-35-31503331317.20.2
183186.1ColgatePat0.49090.49921592-813-170-10-11-44-98-32-10256111305-118.9-3.1
180183.5College of CharlestonCAA0.49170.50641405-514-170-10-31-54-68-25-8186122223-39.5-1.1
6368.9ColoradoP120.56010.5640366-316-121-41-33-36-25-07-3878399-30.1-1.0
2331.3Colorado St.MWC0.59450.52719710-024-60-12-15-28-29-111-15411318.31.2
9599.3ColumbiaIvy0.53940.50771365-317-100-11-12-25-39-38-5106130153-53.7-1.5
6770.8ConnecticutAmer0.55840.5570454-417-130-41-33-37-26-16-61011280-9.2-0.3
337333.3Coppin St.MEAC0.38980.47502300-94-240-00-10-40-84-100-122971030330.32.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
175178.8CornellIvy0.49400.49381705-414-150-10-31-34-48-58-7178238209-30.2-0.8
111114.2CreightonBE0.53020.5459679-316-152-52-32-44-37-010-3120271121-6.8-0.2
184185.6DartmouthIvy0.49070.48821835-513-150-00-11-34-58-57-7197278202-16.4-0.4
2433.3DavidsonA100.59170.52511007-122-61-21-14-26-19-08-23112378-44.7-2.9
7074.3DaytonA100.55570.50901317-221-90-11-24-36-210-19-3581463044.31.6
335332.7DelawareCAA0.39170.50021560-82-270-10-10-51-111-90-11344221338-5.3-0.6
247247.5Delaware St.MEAC0.45900.42933384-614-150-00-10-21-412-84-918522720740.51.2
186187.2DenverSum0.49000.47812195-616-130-10-20-24-612-36-7207186197-9.8-0.2
192195.6DePaulBE0.48560.5503586-410-191-51-52-51-45-06-5232303198-2.4-0.1
156158.2DetroitHorz0.50540.50651394-514-150-10-12-45-58-35-815891164-5.8-0.2
298285.7DrakeMVC0.43720.5273962-86-230-30-30-51-64-62-9312143302-16.3-0.7
239234.3DrexelCAA0.46530.50841342-610-180-00-21-54-84-23-727011620628.30.7
24.5DukeACC0.65710.57851510-027-44-23-16-18-05-013-032040.50.2
255255.2DuquesneA100.45450.51351182-59-190-10-21-62-66-44-6306316306-50.8-1.5
220220.1East CarolinaAmer0.47340.51451143-511-180-20-22-53-66-35-6250245251-30.9-0.8
125128.9East Tennessee St.SC0.52170.47102415-217-100-10-11-23-213-56-34262212-83.1-2.4
271264.7Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44910.46542613-611-160-00-00-22-98-63-826522224618.70.5
119118.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.52780.46492624-419-80-11-10-23-314-26-51121759721.30.8
115116.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.52840.48851805-217-100-10-11-35-310-27-21043147937.91.0
5462.3Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56390.48072116-421-70-10-11-14-216-26-43235557.30.4
191193.2ElonCAA0.48690.48261993-514-150-10-11-34-78-35-621029318013.20.3
7275.7EvansvilleMVC0.55440.50581427-221-81-21-22-15-212-29-28523583-7.3-0.3
248247.9FairfieldMAAC0.45870.48501944-512-180-10-10-32-79-73-724612822027.90.8
254254.3Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45450.46132742-512-160-00-10-23-69-73-7219183119135.33.3
153157.2FIUCUSA0.50600.48671874-515-140-10-11-24-69-55-613221113522.20.6
3442.1FloridaSEC0.58210.5678296-420-111-52-36-37-15-08-59487125-82.9-4.4
350349.1Florida A&MMEAC0.34590.42313430-103-260-00-00-20-83-151-12349284350-0.9-0.3
168174.7Florida AtlanticCUSA0.49660.47872153-314-130-00-21-34-510-45-416628214925.70.6
9397.2Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54070.48162037-219-80-10-12-25-311-28-56461916.20.2
206208.6Florida St.ACC0.47920.5351835-512-190-40-31-54-66-17-624725419513.60.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
266262.5FordhamA100.45040.52261012-58-200-10-31-62-54-44-627320118775.52.3
260258.4Fresno St.MWC0.45300.50751373-79-200-20-41-52-55-53-8301273277-18.6-0.6
295281.6FurmanSC0.43860.48192012-79-180-10-10-31-57-81-82994925229.60.9
162164.8Gardner WebbBSth0.50170.48871793-514-130-10-20-25-49-43-6154549272.81.8
217217.2George MasonA100.47420.5559482-68-210-40-41-62-54-22-923314233-15.8-0.5
7781.5George WashingtonA100.55060.50601416-319-101-31-23-25-210-18-31072894140.51.4
3946.6GeorgetownBE0.57890.587096-317-122-63-24-25-14-07-3522781-34.4-1.5
4853.1GeorgiaSEC0.57250.5705235-318-121-42-34-38-24-08-4533457-3.9-0.2
132137.5Georgia SouthernSB0.51700.46992474-216-100-00-11-25-310-44-211731912314.50.4
6468.6Georgia St.SB0.55970.49041755-321-90-11-21-16-214-26-4481254919.60.8
8789.2Georgia TechACC0.54530.5661327-216-141-51-23-36-44-19-363706722.20.8
1111.7GonzagaWCC0.62950.5305919-127-31-13-05-110-19-011-1105565.71.4
351349.4Grambling St.SWAC0.34360.42983370-72-240-00-20-30-32-150-8292725099.438.0
306288.9Grand CanyonWAC0.43400.44773174-713-160-10-10-31-412-76-927420626919.90.7
4752.1Green BayHorz0.57330.49811626-221-60-11-03-26-211-19-220761537.11.7
244244.4HamptonMEAC0.46040.42853415-615-140-00-10-21-413-65-8260291293-48.6-1.3
214214.7HartfordAE0.47590.46252705-514-140-00-10-25-69-46-61631502131.70.0
4350.1HarvardIvy0.57530.51211216-119-70-10-02-18-38-19-333782030.11.3
221218.9HawaiiBW0.47320.46312696-315-120-00-11-33-511-47-42043042108.90.2
154157.4High PointBSth0.50570.47042445-315-120-10-01-14-611-45-4611428869.41.8
5764.4HofstraCAA0.56240.47382337-224-70-00-12-210-312-110-383311156-91.6-4.2
155158.5Holy CrossPat0.50550.49011764-314-130-01-01-34-68-34-512211411444.51.1
199199.5HoustonAmer0.48310.50001585-213-150-10-31-43-48-37-32063311990.50.0
270263.9Houston BaptistSlnd0.44930.45452981-49-150-00-00-31-68-51-527829925310.90.3
291277.7HowardMEAC0.44120.42193443-712-160-00-10-21-611-83-9287312307-29.3-0.9
215214.7IdahoBSky0.47590.45722883-514-130-00-10-23-310-73-624026819321.70.5
314303.4Idaho St.BSky0.42220.45053081-79-190-00-10-21-78-102-8328326319-15.6-0.6
4953.3IllinoisB100.57180.5491598-320-112-41-34-27-26-010-37116758-4.7-0.2
316308.4Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41940.49761642-96-230-00-20-51-94-62-1131617925553.42.7
6870.2Illinois St.MVC0.55840.5315906-319-101-31-22-15-210-27-459454426.21.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
109112.1Incarnate WordSlnd0.53120.44053263-118-60-00-11-22-114-24-2411553379.12.6
7378.9IndianaB100.55250.5664318-218-131-62-33-35-17-010-3100133147-68.1-2.4
251250.9Indiana St.MVC0.45690.51101243-610-190-30-31-51-37-64-7283258270-19.1-0.6
7480.3IonaMAAC0.55160.47642216-323-80-00-11-27-315-38-3561647010.30.4
4450.0IowaB100.57500.5725218-319-122-52-23-37-15-09-4799696-46.0-2.1
2837.1Iowa St.B120.58850.5814128-119-114-73-24-23-16-010-2451822611.10.6
178181.6IPFWSum0.49300.46042754-315-110-00-10-23-511-35-5190307222-40.4-0.9
302285.8IUPUISum0.43610.49101732-88-220-10-10-32-96-83-11284148309-23.2-0.8
303286.1Jackson St.SWAC0.43610.41843472-1014-170-00-10-21-613-82-113031802860.10.0
342336.9JacksonvilleASun0.38330.45442991-95-230-00-10-21-74-122-12338305342-5.1-0.5
282269.5Jacksonville St.OVC0.44640.46372675-411-180-10-00-22-89-76-718124425415.50.4
120119.7James MadisonCAA0.52660.51071257-319-120-20-12-39-58-29-4685010316.70.5
77.8KansasB120.64470.630418-121-105-64-15-16-10-012-12116.81.3
131133.5Kansas St.B120.51850.587386-412-192-102-32-41-25-08-5159156158-24.5-0.8
310294.7Kennesaw St.ASun0.42990.45992774-710-190-10-20-32-78-75-1025525320094.73.7
126128.7Kent St.MAC0.52170.50031546-217-120-10-12-35-410-28-3142272154-25.3-0.7
11.4KentuckySEC0.67870.58541011-029-25-15-08-08-04-013-0142-0.6-0.6
122125.3La SalleA100.52350.5361825-515-160-31-22-54-49-27-612953151-25.7-0.8
8188.3LafayettePat0.54640.48092076-220-80-20-11-16-312-27-3511687315.30.5
285270.7LamarSlnd0.44480.47282361-69-170-10-10-41-47-72-62671812655.70.2
179181.5LehighPat0.49250.49061743-513-150-10-01-35-78-44-617213416813.50.3
326320.4LibertyBSth0.40540.42873402-69-180-00-00-12-78-92-7350349351-30.6-1.6
267261.8LipscombASun0.45020.46222722-710-160-10-00-22-78-53-9272240284-22.2-0.6
238235.1LIU BrooklynNEC0.46530.46892523-613-160-00-10-23-710-63-8238140257-21.9-0.5
8389.3Long Beach St.BW0.54610.5416774-615-151-40-31-44-28-24-106926029.30.9
322317.0LongwoodBSth0.41000.45852852-88-210-00-10-22-96-92-931323730413.00.7
173178.9Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49480.47612223-415-130-00-01-24-59-64-4214281267-88.1-2.0
208210.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.47850.48082082-412-150-00-11-23-69-63-4211243292-82.0-1.8
117116.8Louisiana TechCUSA0.52830.46842548-320-100-00-22-34-314-28-4136324231-114.2-3.5
57.3LouisvilleACC0.64540.5789149-027-45-33-05-19-06-012-1115670.30.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
116117.2Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52830.50241516-216-110-31-22-22-211-26-31352951125.20.2
264260.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.45170.5367812-66-210-30-20-52-83-32-7289109281-20.3-0.6
309294.6Loyola MDPat0.43030.48551913-68-210-10-11-43-94-63-826119221480.63.2
6268.4LSUSEC0.56020.5424748-220-111-22-34-37-36-111-2441351850.41.9
328322.8MaineAE0.40360.46932511-86-230-10-10-21-105-92-11319159323-0.2-0.0
305286.4ManhattanMAAC0.43460.45542952-711-180-00-00-32-88-72-7339344324-37.6-1.2
331329.3MaristMAAC0.39570.46952501-96-240-00-00-21-94-121-9337290336-6.7-0.5
9192.0MarquetteBE0.54320.5770166-415-151-72-33-25-24-18-498608210.00.3
218219.5MarshallCUSA0.47400.51061262-611-180-20-21-33-67-43-8280166240-20.5-0.5
4249.5MarylandB100.57550.55385310-121-101-42-23-28-16-011-236127481.50.1
261259.2Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.45290.43673315-814-170-20-10-11-513-85-1022021623623.20.7
8589.3MassachusettsA100.54570.5429736-417-140-11-33-67-37-17-672184742.31.4
235230.5McNeese St.Slnd0.46700.45862841-312-130-10-11-32-310-52-5175668162.53.6
7985.3MemphisAmer0.54830.5451695-419-120-41-22-36-29-18-511028136-50.7-1.7
240235.4MercerSC0.46520.46962484-513-160-10-20-31-411-63-8258157245-9.6-0.2
3743.8Miami FLACC0.58000.5603419-221-102-42-14-27-37-011-2386863-19.2-1.1
288274.4Miami OHMAC0.44370.51451133-79-210-10-21-52-96-44-8310202315-40.6-1.4
135137.8MichiganB100.51620.5672305-412-171-61-33-34-33-16-516411310631.81.0
2126.6Michigan St.B100.60060.5572448-323-81-42-25-29-16-010-349129233.60.3
193197.5Middle TennesseeCUSA0.48490.48811845-514-160-10-21-34-79-46-617320317126.50.7
262258.7MilwaukeeHorz0.45290.48971783-610-180-20-21-33-65-64-8263224268-9.3-0.3
3845.9MinnesotaB100.57890.5550528-220-101-42-24-27-16-010-26021776-30.1-1.4
9799.7MississippiSEC0.53850.5514567-316-150-22-44-45-36-19-4921268910.70.4
209212.4Mississippi St.SEC0.47710.52161024-412-180-20-32-54-66-27-523629817438.41.0
349346.7Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35820.41103481-96-250-00-10-20-66-171-1233325230046.79.5
171177.3MissouriSEC0.49490.5752204-510-200-61-52-53-34-25-71711615027.30.9
190192.1Missouri St.MVC0.48700.51921053-511-170-30-21-42-48-44-621617817616.10.4
170176.5MonmouthMAAC0.49570.46592594-518-130-10-11-13-413-65-6257288188-11.5-0.3
164167.5MontanaBSky0.50080.48551922-614-130-10-20-22-311-53-61703714324.50.6
307291.1Montana St.BSky0.43200.48521932-78-210-10-10-32-56-102-92758427813.10.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
249249.7Morehead St.OVC0.45810.47532282-1011-180-10-10-32-78-63-10277188280-30.3-0.9
313302.2Morgan St.MEAC0.42340.43413352-911-190-00-10-21-710-103-1130426128220.20.8
258255.8Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.45420.47042423-511-180-10-10-22-59-84-716712195160.84.3
161162.7Murray St.OVC0.50290.46412655-417-110-10-01-14-412-47-515118510260.71.7
325321.4NavyPat0.40640.47962132-86-230-10-10-42-105-82-9327263331-9.6-0.7
98100.9NebraskaB100.53820.5830116-312-161-42-42-45-33-07-39692110-9.1-0.3
195199.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.48460.44603194-516-120-00-01-14-611-66-6226343274-75.0-1.7
293282.1NevadaMWC0.43890.51211221-87-210-20-41-42-64-52-8335232321-38.9-1.4
157158.1New HampshireAE0.50510.44293234-317-100-00-00-16-612-36-5139270159-0.9-0.0
107107.4New MexicoMWC0.53420.52051037-318-120-11-33-35-48-28-4144257170-62.6-2.0
114115.4New Mexico St.WAC0.52900.47762204-719-100-21-11-22-215-37-813432196-80.6-2.6
241235.4New OrleansSlnd0.46470.44683181-411-130-00-10-41-310-51-516825132103.42.4
294281.4NiagaraMAAC0.43880.49291721-79-200-10-20-32-77-81-82956418695.43.1
338332.5Nicholls St.Slnd0.38910.45952780-65-200-10-00-30-64-100-732611728547.53.4
237232.9NJITind0.46660.46762564-710-150-10-10-22-58-610-15229275248-15.1-0.4
159161.8Norfolk St.MEAC0.50320.45423006-517-120-20-10-22-215-55-814067224-62.2-1.9
1011.4North CarolinaACC0.63140.604427-322-94-53-14-16-15-09-415525-13.6-2.3
336332.2North Carolina A&TMEAC0.39090.44083250-127-220-10-10-10-67-121-12331152340-7.8-0.6
143151.2North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50900.42183454-519-80-10-10-21-218-25-61331549061.22.2
3139.7North Carolina St.ACC0.58490.5804139-220-112-52-24-28-24-010-3371945-5.3-0.3
287271.8North DakotaBSky0.44440.47572262-69-190-10-10-21-68-82-81965718289.82.6
163166.0North Dakota St.Sum0.50140.47352345-415-110-10-00-14-510-45-514720015511.00.3
151155.5North FloridaASun0.50700.45832875-516-120-10-21-22-412-46-8153247165-9.5-0.3
243242.4North TexasCUSA0.46120.50541453-410-180-10-31-62-58-44-624115822121.40.5
129133.4NortheasternCAA0.51900.48831816-318-130-00-12-47-59-28-512623310033.40.9
234229.6Northern ArizonaBSky0.46800.45642924-714-160-10-11-12-612-74-8217208242-12.4-0.3
177181.2Northern ColoradoBSky0.49340.45842862-515-120-00-10-22-313-43-6225162297-115.8-2.6
269263.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.44940.49811633-49-190-00-21-53-76-54-6290320288-24.6-0.7
2935.8Northern IowaMVC0.58840.51861069-124-61-21-14-27-111-110-2191192114.80.9
219219.7Northern KentuckyASun0.47350.48192003-612-150-20-10-32-69-44-919210420415.70.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
160162.0NorthwesternB100.50290.5550516-413-180-51-52-54-36-08-517422914616.00.5
273265.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.44840.47282350-59-160-10-10-41-48-60-727192632.30.1
5966.8Notre DameACC0.56120.515810910-122-92-41-13-26-210-011-2138345129-62.2-2.4
242237.7OaklandHorz0.46400.51431153-79-200-20-31-53-75-43-10213582298.70.2
203202.2OhioMAC0.48200.5332883-410-170-00-21-63-75-24-5234118247-44.8-1.1
911.1Ohio St.B100.63260.5625399-126-52-23-16-110-05-012-1169836-24.9-4.0
1618.5OklahomaB120.61560.597157-220-105-63-14-15-14-010-2257224-5.5-0.5
2228.6Oklahoma St.B120.59940.589368-119-104-62-23-15-14-010-12314932-3.4-0.2
4046.3Old DominionCUSA0.57760.49871619-125-51-01-14-28-211-111-117941927.31.4
202202.3Oral RobertsSum0.48230.48311974-513-150-10-01-15-87-55-71951632011.30.0
100102.6OregonP120.53700.5422756-317-131-32-23-35-36-08-4148177133-30.4-0.9
127129.5Oregon St.P120.52110.52011047-216-131-31-22-35-37-18-31763341263.50.1
204203.7PacificWCC0.48150.51521114-410-170-30-21-33-67-25-418426416142.71.2
280268.0PennIvy0.44700.48781853-59-190-10-21-42-76-55-9296296333-65.0-2.0
101103.3Penn St.B100.53640.54726410-117-140-51-32-36-37-011-2652863964.32.3
133137.4PepperdineWCC0.51660.49421686-216-120-20-21-34-410-17-3149340190-52.6-1.4
112115.2PittsburghACC0.52920.5455686-316-151-51-22-36-37-19-4128209118-2.8-0.1
182185.3PortlandWCC0.49110.49691656-314-140-20-11-44-69-27-318033514441.31.1
289273.0Portland St.BSky0.44360.44493204-411-150-00-10-22-59-84-420833822746.01.3
301285.5Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43620.43153360-912-170-20-10-30-311-90-1130551290-4.5-0.1
347341.9PresbyterianBSth0.37450.47592230-72-250-10-00-21-92-120-93291013347.91.3
216216.6PrincetonIvy0.47460.50231524-812-170-00-21-54-57-46-9253198283-66.4-1.7
7580.8ProvidenceBE0.55130.5699258-317-141-63-34-24-24-19-47495755.80.2
5159.1PurdueB100.56700.5529558-320-111-33-24-37-35-09-4121212115-55.9-2.3
230228.3QuinnipiacMAAC0.46900.47262394-514-150-00-01-24-69-75-4193197264-35.7-0.9
174177.7RadfordBSth0.49470.45003095-417-110-00-10-24-513-46-412722512453.71.4
5664.0Rhode IslandA100.56290.50561435-321-71-11-13-37-29-17-31051913430.01.2
297282.8RiceCUSA0.43790.50021551-57-200-10-21-41-65-72-7325260348-65.2-2.1
8086.4RichmondA100.54780.5439705-418-130-21-32-46-38-18-586597115.40.5
185186.5RiderMAAC0.49000.47002466-616-150-20-10-23-413-66-517725016917.50.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
283270.7Robert MorrisNEC0.44560.46352683-712-180-10-10-22-610-84-824918723436.71.1
158159.4RutgersB100.50400.5680286-411-200-40-42-65-54-17-6108529465.42.3
265261.1Sacramento St.BSky0.45090.45472973-411-160-10-10-11-410-94-524230123922.10.6
149155.1Sacred HeartNEC0.50710.47572254-418-120-10-00-15-512-56-61157111738.11.0
189191.4Saint Joseph'sA100.48800.51701075-412-180-30-22-44-47-46-615619312071.41.9
281270.0Saint LouisA100.44680.50011576-410-200-20-31-52-58-56-626431526010.00.4
113115.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.52920.5285945-316-120-20-22-37-46-27-31131081132.70.1
223222.8Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47200.46442644-715-160-00-10-24-710-75-6209292279-56.2-1.5
103105.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.53540.45672894-420-70-00-12-32-216-15-490827233.21.3
329324.2SamfordSC0.40200.43573324-89-210-00-10-31-58-115-7308342330-5.8-0.4
8488.9San DiegoWCC0.54600.5326896-517-120-31-22-37-47-16-510285139-50.1-1.7
2533.5San Diego St.MWC0.59160.5436717-322-81-22-25-26-18-19-329242211.50.7
124128.4San FranciscoWCC0.52190.5274955-515-140-20-21-46-48-25-6191137208-79.6-2.4
330327.1San Jose St.MWC0.40020.51191230-92-260-20-30-51-91-70-103482483270.10.0
196197.6Santa ClaraWCC0.48430.51671084-411-170-30-21-44-76-25-518923416631.60.8
327321.0Savannah St.MEAC0.40510.44353222-98-200-10-10-21-66-102-102859727249.02.5
299284.0SeattleWAC0.43710.44883133-611-150-00-10-31-310-74-8259169298-14.0-0.5
2636.3Seton HallBE0.58930.5593429-120-102-42-24-26-16-010-2221651620.31.1
210213.1SienaMAAC0.47650.47012453-614-150-00-01-23-610-73-6251262241-27.9-0.7
339333.8SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.38750.44963120-76-190-00-00-11-75-111-8351336341-7.2-0.5
2736.0SMUAmer0.58890.5472637-321-80-12-25-37-27-08-3472184-48.0-2.7
274265.3South AlabamaSB0.44810.47952140-610-190-00-10-33-87-72-7321279326-60.7-1.6
3038.5South CarolinaSEC0.58590.5680276-319-101-33-24-27-24-08-3888877-38.5-2.1
317307.1South Carolina St.MEAC0.41910.44993102-88-190-10-10-20-78-91-102936628720.10.8
257255.2South DakotaSum0.45420.47042433-811-180-00-10-23-88-64-9282274266-10.8-0.3
145152.7South Dakota St.Sum0.50840.48142056-316-120-10-10-13-512-46-6109153173-20.3-0.5
166168.9South FloridaAmer0.49940.5258984-513-170-11-32-54-67-26-6188132181-12.1-0.3
252250.9Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45670.45153074-513-140-00-10-23-610-54-7281310317-66.1-1.7
228227.5Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46940.45582932-814-160-20-10-22-412-73-9228103237-9.5-0.2
318308.5SouthernSWAC0.41830.43493330-810-190-10-10-20-410-100-113093628919.50.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
236232.0Southern IllinoisMVC0.46700.47582246-513-170-20-21-42-410-57-5291350322-90.0-2.6
304286.2Southern MissCUSA0.43550.50201533-47-200-00-20-52-65-73-6243138312-25.8-0.9
320310.6Southern UtahBSky0.41560.45183061-68-190-00-10-21-67-102-730725529515.60.6
104105.8St. BonaventureA100.53530.49531676-219-100-11-23-35-310-29-2119325109-3.2-0.1
278267.7St. Francis NYNEC0.44730.45902822-712-180-00-10-12-89-73-9300241316-48.3-1.4
139142.7St. Francis PANEC0.51400.45652914-417-110-10-00-13-415-45-5116199145-2.3-0.1
3342.7St. John'sBE0.58250.5761188-119-112-53-24-25-15-010-239473111.70.6
6972.8StanfordP120.55690.5561476-217-131-52-24-35-26-18-480110666.80.2
7174.8Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.55510.47482316-322-60-20-12-14-116-17-355102695.80.3
321314.4StetsonASun0.41280.45882831-97-200-00-10-21-96-72-11322277335-20.6-1.0
140144.1Stony BrookAE0.51300.48711863-616-130-00-21-35-510-35-814623177-32.9-0.9
6569.8SyracuseACC0.55910.5638376-318-131-51-22-27-36-09-489735613.80.5
5866.4TCUB120.56170.53737910-021-103-71-22-14-110-013-084348615.40.2
106106.7TempleAmer0.53440.5342857-417-140-31-23-36-47-28-595796244.71.4
130133.3TennesseeSEC0.51900.5579435-414-161-41-42-55-35-17-5118906469.32.0
138140.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.51460.44043275-318-90-10-10-23-315-37-413132912812.80.4
333331.4Tennessee St.OVC0.39260.47442320-94-250-10-00-21-83-131-12342230349-17.6-1.4
201201.6Tennessee TechOVC0.48280.46702574-514-140-00-00-24-79-55-71792051947.60.2
35.4TexasB120.65460.597949-125-66-44-15-16-04-012-19439-3.6-0.9
5054.7Texas A&MSEC0.57110.5480617-220-100-31-24-38-26-010-234814212.70.5
323318.8Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.40830.44843142-68-200-00-10-31-57-102-8332339328-9.2-0.5
277267.3Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44730.44393213-611-160-10-00-21-410-94-922722823037.31.0
227226.9Texas SouthernSWAC0.46990.45203041-814-170-30-20-20-413-61-1222382251.90.1
176179.5Texas St.SB0.49400.48581883-313-130-10-11-23-410-53-3114145211-31.5-0.7
8689.0Texas TechB120.54560.5629389-117-133-81-22-24-17-011-178318107-18.0-0.6
324318.0The CitadelSC0.40820.44773161-58-180-10-10-21-57-102-5320306345-27.0-1.2
105105.8ToledoMAC0.53520.50971296-418-130-20-12-37-510-27-6143223216-110.2-3.3
194197.0TowsonCAA0.48480.46552606-315-150-00-11-44-610-28-416534116334.00.9
296280.3TroySB0.43850.45552942-411-160-00-10-33-68-73-4340351343-62.7-1.7
144152.0TulaneAmer0.50870.50791358-116-130-11-32-45-49-18-3137283160-8.0-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
96100.4TulsaAmer0.53870.5334876-417-120-31-22-37-36-27-41111068614.40.4
232230.3UABCUSA0.46820.51511123-711-190-20-21-43-67-43-924542301-70.7-1.9
152157.1UC DavisBW0.50650.45532966-117-100-00-01-23-313-48-312433013027.10.7
197200.7UC IrvineBW0.48350.47862173-513-140-10-11-33-59-54-7230239228-27.3-0.6
253250.9UC RiversideBW0.45650.46372663-412-160-10-11-32-410-75-7252322271-20.1-0.5
7680.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.55120.51261193-518-100-20-11-36-311-15-79913101-20.2-0.7
256255.1UCFAmer0.45440.51391175-410-180-10-31-44-64-46-425426923817.10.5
6167.9UCLAP120.56050.5699248-318-131-61-24-36-26-08-58133116-48.1-1.8
181184.2UMass LowellAE0.49140.45323015-415-130-10-00-14-611-46-61232109886.22.3
340336.4UMBCAE0.38410.44793151-96-230-00-10-21-95-112-11343302337-0.6-0.1
284270.9UMKCWAC0.44480.44153242-712-170-00-00-23-59-104-11276267273-2.1-0.1
224225.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.47050.46772551-612-140-00-10-13-78-52-6294220275-49.9-1.2
300284.9UNC GreensboroSC0.43650.45922802-710-180-10-10-32-58-82-832326525925.90.9
118117.6UNC WilmingtonCAA0.52830.50741383-315-130-20-21-35-49-25-573805958.61.6
137139.1UNLVMWC0.51540.5336866-215-150-41-32-44-38-17-591317465.11.9
188188.8USCP120.48900.5478626-411-190-31-32-64-64-17-520121314246.81.5
169174.6USC UpstateASun0.49650.43963296-417-100-00-11-23-313-48-5182321184-9.4-0.3
136139.5UT ArlingtonSB0.51580.49331715-416-130-20-11-24-312-55-4758610534.51.0
1212.6UtahP120.62840.5681267-223-62-23-15-17-16-09-2142628-15.4-2.3
165167.8Utah St.MWC0.49970.49391696-415-140-11-22-43-49-37-415525914819.80.5
292278.9Utah ValleyWAC0.43960.44033283-611-160-10-10-20-311-95-823724624335.91.1
6067.5UTEPCUSA0.56050.51011286-421-81-21-12-16-212-17-450115116.50.7
268263.5UTSACUSA0.44970.47262373-410-170-00-11-32-57-73-6288327310-46.5-1.3
9092.5ValparaisoHorz0.54360.48072108-220-80-00-12-28-410-29-366219875.50.2
8890.9VanderbiltSEC0.54460.5348846-218-120-32-34-36-36-19-3103204138-47.1-1.5
2025.9VCUA100.60170.5653337-322-91-32-26-28-16-19-4133520.91.7
172177.7VermontAE0.49490.45952794-516-120-00-10-25-511-45-7202172215-37.3-1.0
1417.1VillanovaBE0.61770.54896010-025-63-24-25-17-16-013-018214116.10.7
67.3VirginiaACC0.64530.57172210-026-43-23-15-110-05-012-04398-0.7-0.2
211213.1Virginia TechACC0.47630.5290925-412-190-60-31-32-48-28-5268332256-42.9-1.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
286271.3VMISC0.44470.46022763-611-160-10-20-31-49-71-73141762629.30.3
290274.6WagnerNEC0.44260.47852181-69-190-00-10-32-67-82-826963296-21.4-0.6
148154.0Wake ForestACC0.50730.5645355-512-191-71-41-43-36-27-6203184183-29.0-0.9
3240.7WashingtonP120.58410.5460669-021-92-32-25-26-26-011-126173400.70.0
207208.6Washington St.P120.47890.5536544-69-210-40-41-72-55-25-7212195232-23.4-0.7
245245.1Weber St.BSky0.45960.47502292-511-160-10-20-32-410-63-62399322619.10.5
1823.4West VirginiaB120.60590.588779-121-104-62-24-26-14-011-22711229-5.6-0.5
250248.3Western CarolinaSC0.45800.46472632-812-170-00-20-41-510-73-82662072444.30.1
311294.7Western IllinoisSum0.42900.47542273-58-170-00-00-23-95-73-6279226313-18.3-0.6
146153.6Western KentuckyCUSA0.50800.51421165-414-140-10-22-34-67-35-514110013419.60.5
121124.9Western MichiganMAC0.52380.50551445-315-130-00-12-46-57-26-4145297152-27.1-0.7
1517.7Wichita St.MVC0.61580.5290937-123-41-12-15-16-110-18-1629314.71.9
102105.0William & MaryCAA0.53580.51251204-315-120-11-22-35-58-14-58240137-32.0-0.9
276265.9WinthropBSth0.44780.43953302-612-140-00-00-13-68-72-6315323294-28.1-0.7
45.3WisconsinB100.65250.57621710-127-43-26-17-17-04-012-181712-6.7-2.3
5562.8WoffordSC0.56350.48072097-222-70-21-12-13-216-27-421303824.81.2
110113.4Wright St.Horz0.53050.50261506-416-120-10-11-36-49-37-567898528.40.9
6670.7WyomingMWC0.55840.49611667-221-81-22-22-26-211-19-262251122-51.3-1.9
1722.0XavierBE0.60890.5753198-222-92-33-27-37-13-010-3244852-30.0-2.6
5362.4YaleIvy0.56440.50881338-319-100-01-22-27-310-210-5351203527.41.1
212213.1Youngstown St.Horz0.47630.48561905-612-160-00-21-52-69-46-618723118924.10.7

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com