Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
236235.8Air ForceMWC0.45960.5340977-138-190-40-30-32-76-16-5201236241-5.2-0.4
113113.3AkronMAC0.53160.495217016-720-100-10-21-210-59-19-5151204133-19.7-1.0
102106.5AlabamaSEC0.53600.55255913-1016-141-51-32-34-29-010-4901131051.50.1
332327.5Alabama A&MSWAC0.38430.38813464-108-140-00-10-10-38-90-4343193336-8.5-0.7
305302.5Alabama St.SWAC0.41180.40083426-1210-160-00-10-01-59-90-8346245317-14.5-0.9
299293.1AlbanyAE0.41960.47152316-208-230-10-10-22-116-85-10231176300-6.9-0.5
346345.0Alcorn St.SWAC0.34120.43923090-232-290-10-20-20-52-190-13320613432.01.0
307306.9AmericanPat0.40820.43743157-169-200-10-10-12-58-123-12340336312-5.1-0.4
131134.5Appalachian St.SC0.51920.481519911-917-110-10-12-16-48-55-5102461259.50.4
8081.7ArizonaP100.55450.57153012-1116-141-31-34-48-33-16-69786714.71.1
6971.5Arizona St.P100.56350.53699316-821-100-41-23-39-28-010-37012476-4.5-0.4
123126.3ArkansasSEC0.52390.56323812-1115-160-41-33-45-35-17-81896611313.30.7
264266.4Arkansas Little RockSB0.43800.50491545-168-190-00-10-54-83-62-7209112624.40.2
211207.7Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.47750.45462717-1414-150-20-20-30-513-40-112839237-29.3-1.5
171167.5Arkansas St.SB0.50080.474822212-915-120-00-10-36-410-33-624718915710.50.5
204204.0ArmyPat0.47950.432132312-916-110-00-01-12-413-69-4152325225-21.0-1.0
169163.8AuburnSEC0.50290.54726910-1213-170-30-32-64-47-18-61561661549.80.5
125129.7Austin PeayOVC0.52210.505315212-1116-130-20-11-45-510-25-61222411613.70.7
213210.1Ball St.MAC0.47620.470323511-1014-140-30-21-16-37-56-623625019218.10.9
2023.2BaylorB120.61300.57682416-521-82-43-17-14-25-012-12115128-4.8-0.4
139139.8BelmontASun0.51630.468024315-1019-110-10-10-26-313-55-513596144-4.2-0.3
232229.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.46400.427832611-915-130-00-20-20-315-66-6198241243-13.7-0.7
238237.3BinghamtonAE0.45890.47942079-1411-180-10-10-23-118-43-102571322352.30.2
218214.0Boise St.WAC0.47370.484819110-1214-160-00-21-65-48-310-4174338222-8.0-0.4
104106.8Boston CollegeACC0.53590.56883312-1115-150-51-44-44-35-09-51532051033.80.2
155152.4Boston UniversityAE0.50930.484819013-1117-120-21-10-23-613-16-717264162-9.6-0.6
194197.1Bowling GreenMAC0.48340.488418210-1113-150-10-11-14-107-27-518328118512.10.6
115115.5BradleyMVC0.53040.54726812-1115-140-20-24-45-65-06-51611021114.50.2
1415.9Brigham YoungMWC0.62210.528110721-327-41-23-26-09-09-014-12618320-4.1-0.7
262266.3BrownIvy0.43850.48731875-168-210-10-30-61-47-84-11246172268-1.7-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
345344.6Bryantind0.34390.44732920-241-290-00-00-30-61-191-29342303345-0.4-0.2
278276.3BucknellPat0.43150.43973089-1512-180-00-10-22-510-95-11304326282-5.7-0.3
130134.2BuffaloMAC0.51950.512314111-914-130-10-11-26-87-26-5961161322.20.1
1517.9ButlerHorz0.61890.54178020-425-51-12-23-113-06-08-4325152.90.5
272272.8Cal PolyBW0.43410.45332758-1410-190-10-10-12-68-103-1031331425913.80.8
323322.0Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.39290.45382735-176-230-00-20-11-75-136-21311284333-11.0-1.1
216212.6Cal St. FullertonBW0.47440.46542499-1113-140-00-11-24-48-65-62072252084.60.2
230225.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.46630.47632169-1413-180-10-10-15-99-66-9214177229-3.5-0.2
2224.1CaliforniaP100.61100.58581115-821-90-30-16-312-22-08-411126-1.9-0.2
189190.8CampbellASun0.48720.448628912-916-110-00-00-13-612-43-4238252198-7.2-0.4
199202.7CanisiusMAAC0.48040.484419211-1414-160-00-21-25-97-46-62233051975.70.4
294292.2CentenarySum0.42060.46742456-167-200-00-10-61-47-83-62181442848.20.6
320318.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.39660.44153044-156-200-10-00-31-46-113-7273297328-9.5-0.7
309307.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.40720.40433399-1412-170-00-00-10-512-115-8339347319-11.3-0.8
191192.9Central FloridaCUSA0.48610.507614810-1113-160-00-30-84-48-17-616718217022.91.2
186186.3Central MichiganMAC0.49010.472222910-1015-130-10-01-33-710-35-72252591815.30.2
266268.6Charleston SouthernBSth0.43690.44163038-1210-150-00-10-22-58-72-5240190274-5.4-0.3
4747.1CharlotteA100.58680.53569618-522-81-53-31-08-19-010-469165461.10.1
222219.8ChattanoogaSC0.47000.478620911-1213-160-10-21-44-38-66-5144140220-0.2-0.0
344342.9Chicago St.GWC0.35070.39823434-166-210-00-00-20-56-142-13336295346-3.1-1.1
6161.1CincinnatiBE0.57310.5880814-917-132-52-44-45-14-09-33143565.10.4
3737.6ClemsonACC0.59640.57592716-720-102-42-25-35-16-012-24114240-2.4-0.2
145144.7Cleveland St.Horz0.51360.53828810-1214-150-50-21-35-66-03-82111612816.70.8
126129.1Coastal CarolinaBSth0.52210.417333517-422-50-10-02-02-219-27-2147329140-10.9-0.8
306306.0ColgatePat0.40900.45222796-169-190-10-00-11-88-104-10309293314-8.0-0.6
8990.2College of CharlestonSC0.54780.494117616-820-100-10-11-15-613-25-713451882.20.1
133136.4ColoradoB120.51840.5782219-1211-171-61-41-44-35-17-5148187149-12.6-0.6
112113.5Colorado St.MWC0.53200.53399813-915-140-40-31-26-58-08-51122019815.50.8
248250.1ColumbiaIvy0.44990.46902418-1211-170-10-10-31-610-66-82272482473.10.2
5454.2ConnecticutBE0.58010.6010414-918-132-61-26-36-22-010-3161257-2.8-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
337332.1Coppin St.MEAC0.37800.43423212-165-210-10-10-21-44-133-7277261338-5.9-0.7
5252.1CornellIvy0.58220.481120218-325-40-20-03-28-014-012-345139493.10.4
122123.3CreightonMVC0.52550.53988312-1215-150-31-22-46-56-06-6197159127-3.7-0.2
326323.6DartmouthIvy0.39130.47642153-165-220-00-10-30-85-103-103062343203.60.4
160158.8DavidsonSC0.50570.509914410-1114-140-20-21-43-410-23-722435166-7.2-0.3
2832.1DaytonA100.60220.56284116-622-81-53-21-012-24-011-3182133-0.9-0.1
231226.0DelawareCAA0.46620.5377896-178-210-20-60-43-54-54-81624221511.00.7
239236.6Delaware St.MEAC0.45860.44223018-912-120-00-10-21-511-42-62851352324.60.2
152148.7DenverSB0.51160.480920414-917-120-10-01-25-512-47-480521480.70.0
181180.2DePaulBE0.49340.5634378-1510-201-61-31-73-24-27-514017115228.21.5
167162.9DetroitHorz0.50350.476621413-1018-120-20-10-210-58-38-4180321174-11.1-0.6
179179.5DrakeMVC0.49400.525611111-1413-180-21-22-54-76-35-8248257182-2.5-0.1
101105.7DrexelCAA0.53650.518112314-1117-140-32-31-24-410-25-815797969.70.6
33.7DukeACC0.66020.5960619-426-52-36-18-16-13-013-292730.70.4
120123.2DuquesneA100.52580.53828711-1114-150-40-50-27-47-08-5791059528.21.3
244243.1East CarolinaCUSA0.45470.53141034-166-210-30-40-51-65-33-81773222419.11.3
135138.0East Tennessee St.ASun0.51740.499916012-1216-140-10-11-25-510-43-71142147-9.0-0.5
221217.6Eastern IllinoisOVC0.47140.462525810-1113-140-00-00-42-711-35-420528320215.60.8
127131.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.52110.472422815-819-100-10-11-34-314-27-4132192139-7.6-0.4
217213.6Eastern MichiganMAC0.47400.466724810-1113-150-00-11-24-68-56-6192279216-2.4-0.1
296293.2Eastern WashingtonBSky0.42000.49491734-185-230-10-10-61-64-92-10261110302-8.8-0.7
284282.7ElonSC0.42710.48181984-177-220-10-10-42-85-92-92711612739.70.6
277276.1EvansvilleMVC0.43180.51291395-176-220-20-20-51-125-16-4239334292-15.9-1.2
107108.8FairfieldMAAC0.53460.488918116-719-100-10-21-26-412-17-4107267115-6.2-0.3
282278.3Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43020.47052338-1610-210-10-10-21-89-94-1129120926018.31.2
5150.5FloridaSEC0.58350.56154317-621-102-62-24-17-06-112-372154482.50.2
329325.5Florida A&MMEAC0.38820.44103054-177-220-10-20-10-67-132-11318224326-0.5-0.0
197201.1Florida AtlanticSB0.48110.473122510-1213-140-00-10-24-79-42-7276208203-1.9-0.1
312311.3Florida Gulf CoastASun0.40470.44283007-178-210-10-00-12-86-113-6281315313-1.7-0.2
289286.4Florida InternationalSB0.42460.48142016-197-230-00-10-42-105-82-102872032779.40.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4141.5Florida St.ACC0.59260.55974417-621-92-22-35-36-16-012-24221143-1.5-0.1
300296.2FordhamA100.41800.5361952-192-260-50-40-21-91-62-102941912951.20.1
165160.9Fresno St.WAC0.50420.517412511-1215-160-10-32-44-48-38-7193219177-16.1-0.8
263266.7FurmanSC0.43810.44712939-1211-160-00-10-41-59-64-5252319270-3.3-0.2
310308.9Gardner WebbBSth0.40670.46362544-166-200-20-10-20-66-90-83034928820.91.6
128132.8George MasonCAA0.52030.504615615-917-130-21-41-24-311-26-62081601302.80.1
134136.9George WashingtonA100.51780.506615112-1016-130-20-41-26-48-110-31233091351.90.1
88.9GeorgetownBE0.63840.6088117-521-85-42-25-25-04-010-151580.90.2
97101.8GeorgiaSEC0.53970.58381610-1113-163-41-42-62-35-08-588758912.80.6
301296.7Georgia SouthernSC0.41680.49921624-196-230-00-11-53-102-81-103151502897.70.5
234231.8Georgia St.CAA0.46230.49521699-1512-180-00-50-33-59-56-6216269239-7.2-0.4
2425.2Georgia TechACC0.61040.58401316-620-92-23-35-34-15-011-227117250.20.0
3535.5GonzagaWCC0.59820.520311718-424-51-22-16-04-012-112-340452411.51.3
340338.6GramblingSWAC0.36500.39623444-136-190-10-00-10-36-131-6312238341-2.4-0.4
290286.6HamptonMEAC0.42430.42033317-1513-170-00-10-40-312-104-10286298305-18.4-1.1
286284.9HartfordAE0.42580.45662647-169-200-20-00-11-109-72-113382822831.90.1
8889.5HarvardIvy0.54800.466824714-520-70-10-11-23-215-110-36221692-2.5-0.2
235234.4HawaiiWAC0.46070.5338998-1410-190-30-41-52-67-27-6202126238-3.6-0.2
271269.4High PointBSth0.43610.42283309-1212-150-10-00-12-510-83-62823312672.40.1
178177.3HofstraCAA0.49510.506715011-1314-160-10-41-53-511-17-5133128179-1.7-0.1
267269.0Holy CrossPat0.43680.48012066-179-200-10-10-21-108-73-12275156278-9.0-0.5
144144.5HoustonCUSA0.51370.522811510-1115-140-01-23-65-46-27-6170133158-13.5-0.6
342342.5Houston BaptistGWC0.35220.39503455-177-230-00-00-10-57-161-173473233420.50.2
314313.9HowardMEAC0.40190.44063066-188-230-00-10-10-88-121-143352003085.90.5
153149.2IdahoWAC0.51100.51561349-1114-140-00-22-64-47-37-5113233173-23.8-1.0
275275.5Idaho St.BSky0.43220.49501724-176-210-10-11-61-85-52-92591012696.50.4
7476.5IllinoisB100.55910.55894716-818-132-42-32-24-38-08-5125108733.50.3
298293.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41980.49771665-176-220-30-00-32-134-33-7270244299-5.8-0.4
106108.0Illinois St.MVC0.53540.503015816-819-110-21-12-38-59-010-2141332124-16.0-0.8
210206.6IndianaB100.47810.5437759-1310-201-61-31-52-56-16-6241240221-14.4-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9291.9Indiana St.MVC0.54630.54287813-1016-130-20-22-311-53-27-4661208110.90.7
7779.9IonaMAAC0.55590.507814618-722-90-10-42-210-210-19-48112987-7.1-0.6
195199.8IowaB100.48200.5631398-1610-210-60-40-73-46-06-7191921918.80.6
108110.1Iowa St.B120.53350.56294013-1016-150-91-31-37-17-011-4106218114-3.9-0.2
243241.9IUPU Fort WayneSum0.45560.45002859-1212-150-20-10-32-410-54-5230271242-0.1-0.0
105106.7IUPUISum0.53560.480420515-819-100-10-01-45-313-25-613756108-1.3-0.1
245244.3Jackson St.SWAC0.45400.428332410-1114-150-10-10-20-614-51-1029793252-7.7-0.4
142143.2JacksonvilleASun0.51430.468024213-1017-120-10-20-24-413-44-5121841376.20.3
261265.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.43940.46252578-1311-160-00-10-42-59-53-63233042632.20.1
246244.2James MadisonCAA0.45380.478021210-1312-180-01-51-41-69-48-5203346245-0.8-0.0
11.8KansasB120.67270.58681022-128-35-24-16-011-03-014-164010.80.6
77.0Kansas St.B120.64470.6010518-423-64-23-23-110-03-012-13197-0.0-0.0
273273.8Kennesaw St.ASun0.43340.444029810-1311-180-10-00-11-1010-53-6293311279-5.2-0.4
5857.5Kent St.MAC0.57670.529810416-721-90-11-22-211-47-19-5502865-7.5-0.7
56.1KentuckySEC0.64930.56713522-127-42-13-08-211-04-015-088860.10.0
136138.5La SalleA100.51720.53779011-1214-160-50-40-36-38-18-610910312315.50.8
203203.7LafayettePat0.47980.434532014-917-120-10-00-01-516-69-6200324207-3.3-0.2
240239.8LamarSlnd0.45690.464825010-1113-150-00-00-33-69-65-72632652363.80.2
164160.8LehighPat0.50480.441830215-819-100-00-10-02-317-59-6178302168-7.2-0.3
251252.2LibertyBSth0.44840.45572679-1211-160-00-20-21-710-52-72601142493.20.2
196201.5LipscombASun0.48120.448329012-1116-120-10-10-25-311-52-63102892001.50.1
138139.7Long Beach St.BW0.51660.51971209-1213-150-41-10-15-37-64-8764143-3.3-0.1
257258.2Long IslandNEC0.44430.44922879-1412-170-00-00-33-59-94-9280258266-7.8-0.5
291286.8Longwoodind0.42400.45422725-168-190-10-30-31-27-105-1726817525630.81.7
201203.7Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48030.470523410-1113-140-00-11-15-67-62-7284262234-30.3-1.4
270269.6Louisiana MonroeSB0.43630.46212598-1410-170-00-01-33-96-63-625525525514.60.9
224220.8Louisiana St.SEC0.46970.5389849-1411-190-30-41-73-66-09-51632072128.80.5
6061.3Louisiana TechWAC0.57310.498616519-423-80-11-13-38-211-012-36528672-10.7-1.0
3636.4LouisvilleBE0.59800.6022315-819-121-61-26-310-12-09-4432042-5.6-0.4
185184.8Loyola ChicagoHorz0.49090.487618611-1013-140-30-01-15-87-17-274270188-3.2-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
207205.0Loyola MarymountWCC0.47920.489418011-1213-160-00-42-41-39-68-7173239209-4.0-0.2
180179.5Loyola MDMAAC0.49370.478820812-1215-140-10-21-35-610-28-3118318184-4.5-0.3
157154.9MaineAE0.50830.455826614-817-110-10-01-14-513-47-513023014113.90.8
241240.2ManhattanMAAC0.45670.49441758-1610-190-10-20-43-107-26-5175246246-5.8-0.4
333330.1MaristMAAC0.38380.49951611-231-280-00-20-30-151-80-11341278335-4.9-0.9
5655.4MarquetteBE0.57930.55924615-820-102-52-15-25-26-09-39320261-5.6-0.4
8182.0MarshallCUSA0.55450.520211814-718-100-20-31-37-210-19-34710686-4.0-0.3
3335.5MarylandACC0.59860.57892015-620-91-42-25-35-06-09-49814344-8.5-0.7
315313.8Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40190.43733166-169-210-00-00-40-59-122-123272603076.80.5
192194.2MassachusettsA100.48550.5470707-159-200-40-41-34-84-15-8166601895.20.3
287285.0McNeese St.Slnd0.42530.45282785-149-180-00-10-31-47-102-9298242287-2.0-0.1
341339.8MD Baltimore CountyAE0.36280.43833122-213-260-00-00-11-102-141-12344340340-0.2-0.1
6765.5MemphisCUSA0.56900.53998216-722-90-31-24-17-210-110-51087480-14.5-1.3
233230.3MercerASun0.46350.46902409-1212-160-10-20-24-68-52-623481240-9.7-0.5
9090.7Miami FLACC0.54740.525411215-718-111-22-34-42-210-013-061343828.70.5
132135.6Miami OHMAC0.51870.529110610-1314-160-30-22-35-57-24-10226501296.60.3
141143.6MichiganB100.51430.55375410-1213-160-51-22-54-36-16-5155130145-1.4-0.1
2123.6Michigan St.B100.61200.55545319-524-72-32-16-26-18-010-346118149.61.0
188188.1Middle TennesseeSB0.48910.467624412-1116-130-20-10-15-611-34-7254186194-5.9-0.3
5961.2MinnesotaB100.57330.55595014-819-112-41-22-37-17-19-3486862-0.8-0.1
4342.6MississippiSEC0.59130.55156117-622-81-41-14-28-18-012-22485366.60.6
6564.8Mississippi St.SEC0.56980.531810216-721-101-22-23-28-47-012-36821469-4.2-0.3
321319.2Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.39600.42813255-178-220-00-10-20-78-120-12337134322-2.8-0.2
4039.0MissouriB120.59510.56274217-622-93-52-23-18-26-012-35719847-8.0-0.6
283279.4Missouri Kansas CitySum0.42940.43903108-1310-170-00-10-30-510-64-5250330293-13.6-0.9
8685.5Missouri St.MVC0.55140.519612116-819-110-20-24-28-58-011-153251850.50.0
281277.8MonmouthNEC0.43060.435531810-1413-170-00-00-13-810-86-8292335298-20.2-1.3
99102.5MontanaBSky0.53840.470223615-718-80-00-11-25-311-27-3831951002.50.2
190192.5Montana St.BSky0.48650.475422010-1113-130-00-01-54-48-44-6228215195-2.5-0.1
9395.2Morehead St.OVC0.54370.494617415-719-90-10-11-45-213-13-612013107-11.8-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
103106.3Morgan St.MEAC0.53590.446329517-724-90-10-10-23-422-19-8139199131-24.7-1.9
187186.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.48980.48211979-1414-150-20-20-13-511-54-819477193-6.5-0.4
6868.0Murray St.OVC0.56670.455026920-325-40-10-11-17-116-06-37818190-22.0-2.6
268269.1NavyPat0.43670.437531311-1213-160-00-00-23-610-86-9295327276-6.9-0.4
247246.7NC AshevilleBSth0.45220.47862107-1410-160-20-10-22-68-60-8267623313.70.9
258263.1NC GreensboroSC0.44080.51001435-187-220-20-30-51-76-51-102431724815.11.1
220217.4NC WilmingtonCAA0.47160.52451137-169-200-10-51-52-76-34-81961122143.40.2
124127.1NebraskaB120.52360.54856413-1016-150-71-33-23-48-012-3822801261.10.1
6464.6NevadaWAC0.57040.55275612-918-110-20-34-37-36-07-6643374-9.4-0.6
2932.4Nevada Las VegasMWC0.60160.53689418-423-63-22-14-16-29-011-249153302.40.3
274273.4New HampshireAE0.43330.45312767-1310-170-10-10-12-88-64-7258266297-23.6-1.2
1114.3New MexicoMWC0.62470.54976221-326-53-13-24-18-18-014-11054104.30.9
8282.7New Mexico St.WAC0.55370.54577213-816-130-21-32-35-48-16-711053775.70.4
327324.6New OrleansSB0.39020.45072835-176-210-00-00-11-126-83-6305337332-7.4-0.8
158157.5NiagaraMAAC0.50660.495117113-1216-150-00-11-37-97-27-6159231159-1.5-0.1
297292.0Nicholls St.Slnd0.42000.47292264-147-180-10-00-31-76-71-826970296-4.0-0.2
338333.3NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.37530.40663384-147-190-00-00-20-67-102-12324237334-0.7-0.1
311309.1Norfolk St.MEAC0.40620.45002845-168-210-10-10-31-47-122-11317170315-5.9-0.4
8483.6North CarolinaACC0.55320.58401413-1016-151-72-34-34-15-011-45687785.60.4
265267.9North Carolina A&TMEAC0.43730.45572685-1510-180-10-10-51-38-92-10288125275-7.1-0.4
347345.5North Carolina Centralind0.33740.41913331-203-230-00-00-40-42-161-20345313347-1.5-0.8
110110.7North Carolina St.ACC0.53340.54297714-1017-141-22-43-74-17-012-31032761091.70.1
336331.1North DakotaGWC0.38050.41143363-168-190-10-10-10-47-122-1333323231120.12.4
269269.1North Dakota St.Sum0.43640.46412527-149-170-00-10-31-88-51-7296188285-15.9-1.1
228223.8North FloridaASun0.46770.463925310-1313-160-00-00-33-810-44-514613120617.81.1
159158.4North TexasSB0.50590.450828213-817-100-10-10-04-413-46-3892211508.40.4
4949.2NortheasternCAA0.58520.54876316-820-100-14-23-24-49-06-659354-4.8-0.5
202204.1Northern ArizonaBSky0.47980.47522219-1111-140-10-10-51-510-24-516819618717.10.9
100103.7Northern ColoradoBSky0.53760.447529119-523-60-00-02-26-214-211-2100316994.70.4
249250.0Northern IllinoisMAC0.44990.47712138-1411-180-10-10-42-89-44-92652492446.00.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1619.0Northern IowaMVC0.61780.527310921-226-30-02-15-112-16-010-154212136.00.8
8788.9NorthwesternB100.54890.516313016-721-101-40-23-26-111-112-1632886622.91.5
319316.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.39840.44003074-137-180-10-10-20-56-102-7316308324-7.1-0.5
7375.1Notre DameBE0.56030.55265817-720-111-31-25-46-26-111-2842476015.11.1
7172.6OaklandSum0.56220.498816316-820-90-40-01-15-215-14-710410684.60.5
150147.7OhioMAC0.51210.519911911-1115-150-10-11-47-77-28-69963161-13.3-0.6
3938.1Ohio St.B100.59570.54357618-623-83-42-13-25-110-010-355148380.10.0
7679.8OklahomaB120.55610.58151813-915-152-52-43-24-24-19-595141718.80.6
4847.7Oklahoma St.B120.58660.57592616-719-112-51-22-39-15-012-229146398.70.7
3435.4Old DominionCAA0.59830.54108118-723-81-12-44-25-112-08-5307350.40.0
119122.0Oral RobertsSum0.52630.492717813-1118-121-11-10-62-213-24-8143311184.00.2
154152.1OregonP100.50940.53749212-1015-150-11-34-65-45-18-41191381466.10.3
200202.8Oregon St.P100.48040.516013310-1212-180-10-22-66-63-36-62322991966.80.4
114115.6PacificBW0.53050.472722715-720-100-11-22-13-415-29-51311691123.60.2
214209.9Penn St.B100.47620.5451738-1510-200-60-31-63-35-38-4165290227-17.1-1.0
302297.7PennsylvaniaIvy0.41610.48371943-156-220-30-10-30-65-91-13328222306-8.3-0.7
285283.4PepperdineWCC0.42690.49611676-167-210-00-30-42-65-73-11307256294-10.6-0.7
2626.0PittsburghBE0.60910.58491217-622-92-42-16-38-13-111-22555224.00.4
8584.3PortlandWCC0.55220.516412913-818-90-11-41-25-211-18-59473831.30.1
215210.1Portland St.BSky0.47610.49341778-1311-170-00-12-52-68-53-920699217-6.9-0.3
250250.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44890.40083418-913-120-10-10-21-113-61-6329184251-0.1-0.0
328326.0PresbyterianBSth0.38860.46912383-215-250-10-30-40-75-121-11278763233.00.3
116120.1PrincetonIvy0.52760.456526512-519-80-10-12-12-315-18-51582911200.10.0
9498.2ProvidenceBE0.54140.57692312-1114-161-61-32-74-15-08-4101167104-5.8-0.4
1214.9PurdueB100.62450.55784919-325-54-22-24-28-07-012-0772113.90.6
137138.6QuinnipiacNEC0.51690.426032716-721-80-10-00-02-419-38-5181333169-30.4-1.8
174173.0RadfordBSth0.49750.470023711-1015-120-20-10-14-211-63-622226175-2.0-0.1
1720.7Rhode IslandA100.61530.54227919-324-51-23-24-012-15-012-1430128.71.1
293288.1RiceCUSA0.42360.48102037-159-200-10-20-51-78-56-72442632862.10.2
3838.1RichmondA100.59590.54756718-622-91-24-32-38-17-011-43658317.10.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
162159.5RiderMAAC0.50550.502915913-1215-160-10-21-45-89-17-61291781518.50.5
156153.8Robert MorrisNEC0.50860.453627416-820-110-20-10-14-415-46-8213206156-2.2-0.1
166161.8RutgersBE0.50380.55585111-1213-170-60-33-65-35-09-310522912239.82.0
292287.6Sacramento St.BSky0.42400.45992617-168-200-00-00-51-77-84-8253306303-15.4-1.2
242240.9Sacred HeartNEC0.45620.420033212-1116-130-10-00-02-514-79-4176345257-16.1-0.9
177177.5Saint Joseph'sA100.49530.5479659-1411-190-51-41-24-74-16-8138381716.50.3
7579.9Sam Houston St.Slnd0.55630.483319512-518-70-10-00-17-311-24-514989754.90.3
255257.2SamfordSC0.44490.48691886-158-190-10-20-51-77-43-6195832543.20.2
229225.4San DiegoWCC0.46680.51621328-1610-190-10-41-52-46-56-9199111230-4.6-0.4
4544.0San Diego St.MWC0.58970.54637114-719-91-31-21-19-27-19-335104413.00.3
226222.5San FranciscoWCC0.46860.52111167-159-180-11-30-52-66-43-1026210020517.51.1
140141.9San Jose St.WAC0.51530.519612211-1114-150-00-32-43-48-47-612821011922.90.9
223220.8Santa ClaraWCC0.46980.51631318-1610-190-00-60-43-47-56-919010921010.80.9
322321.8Savannah St.ind0.39360.41803346-147-150-10-10-00-57-75-13301292327-5.2-0.5
227222.4Seattleind0.46840.454827011-1315-160-00-11-43-511-614-162192722139.40.5
7072.6Seton HallBE0.56280.57043112-917-121-62-23-45-17-09-260194648.60.6
3234.4SienaMAAC0.59930.514513620-424-60-31-13-111-19-07-59186340.40.1
331329.0SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.38520.47152302-212-240-10-00-41-52-132-19325268331-2.0-0.3
225221.2South AlabamaSB0.46910.464625111-1213-150-01-11-13-99-36-41692642183.20.2
7274.3South CarolinaSEC0.56100.57692213-916-142-51-33-46-25-09-58790704.30.3
219214.2South Carolina St.MEAC0.47350.42413289-815-110-00-10-20-214-64-6212273226-11.8-0.6
304298.7South Carolina UpstateASun0.41540.47622174-186-230-00-10-21-116-80-931969304-5.3-0.4
237236.2South DakotaGWC0.45940.40133409-915-100-10-10-31-214-35-82452132315.20.4
205204.6South Dakota St.Sum0.47930.469123911-1114-130-10-00-42-411-42-7274147211-6.4-0.4
6664.9South FloridaBE0.56950.55964515-819-112-31-25-56-15-010-2581975014.91.2
303298.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.41570.47062326-167-220-00-00-51-107-62-8272185301-2.4-0.2
206204.5Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.47920.44392999-914-110-00-00-21-512-44-5215235223-18.5-0.8
343342.8SouthernSWAC0.35120.40853374-176-230-20-10-10-46-152-9322227344-1.2-0.4
7881.0Southern CaliforniaP100.55540.54766614-918-122-23-13-25-55-18-47559792.00.1
129133.6Southern IllinoisMVC0.51990.516612712-1015-130-20-23-35-58-08-2116312134-0.4-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
193197.3Southern MethodistCUSA0.48370.51781249-1112-160-10-42-62-38-25-7264228199-1.7-0.1
111111.9Southern MississippiCUSA0.53290.514113710-815-110-10-31-44-110-26-41152231065.90.3
318316.8Southern UtahSum0.39900.47582194-176-210-00-10-40-65-92-725682318-1.2-0.1
184184.1St. BonaventureA100.49130.51511358-1212-160-31-30-44-77-06-6145157186-1.9-0.1
276275.6St. Francis NYNEC0.43200.423732910-1313-160-10-00-12-611-95-8302342281-5.4-0.4
313312.5St. Francis PANEC0.40330.44912887-169-200-00-10-21-78-103-93142543102.50.2
96101.2St. John'sBE0.54000.57192912-1015-151-62-33-44-25-010-2391159110.20.5
121124.0St. LouisA100.52580.529110513-816-131-22-31-37-46-18-517121711014.00.6
4242.1St. Mary'sWCC0.59180.512914020-324-40-12-23-14-013-012-2346545-2.9-0.4
147145.2St. Peter'sMAAC0.51310.484419314-1017-120-00-21-28-38-46-52203071423.20.2
175173.0StanfordP100.49750.53759110-1313-170-20-33-74-46-16-618615815518.00.8
172170.0Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.49940.433732213-617-90-00-10-22-216-37-31422871655.00.2
335331.2StetsonASun0.38170.46162603-184-230-00-20-21-83-110-73301733256.21.0
151148.3Stony BrookAE0.51170.436631715-719-90-10-00-15-314-47-5187322153-4.7-0.2
23.0SyracuseBE0.66450.5875923-128-34-14-110-06-04-013-013921.00.6
2524.9TempleA100.61000.55236019-524-73-33-22-110-27-012-32837231.90.2
1014.8TennesseeSEC0.62550.58121918-423-72-32-16-27-15-012-2134117-2.2-0.3
339335.4Tennessee MartinOVC0.37390.47472231-192-250-00-10-50-82-100-8332164337-1.6-0.3
279276.7Tennessee St.OVC0.43140.48831835-207-240-10-10-52-96-83-102371372715.70.4
198202.4Tennessee TechOVC0.48080.485718910-1212-160-10-00-62-410-44-615410719012.40.7
1315.2TexasB120.62430.56753419-424-73-34-26-27-06-014-11916821-5.8-0.8
1923.3Texas A&MB120.61330.5957716-619-102-63-24-25-05-010-33348194.30.4
146145.1Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.51340.48801859-1014-130-10-20-42-212-43-8217121180-34.9-1.4
259264.4Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.44000.44692948-911-140-10-10-22-49-64-5289341265-0.6-0.0
176174.6Texas ChristianMWC0.49690.5449749-1311-180-40-40-42-58-06-7179155176-1.4-0.1
5353.5Texas El PasoCUSA0.58090.527510817-522-70-12-25-36-29-09-412416359-5.5-0.5
330326.2Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.38790.45162813-226-250-10-10-40-66-121-1830891330-3.8-0.4
183183.0Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49200.451828010-815-110-00-10-23-412-47-3126301204-21.0-0.9
208205.9Texas SouthernSWAC0.47840.43753149-1115-130-00-10-32-413-52-822123228-22.1-1.2
254256.5Texas St.Slnd0.44520.46702467-1210-160-10-00-32-77-62-8331285261-4.5-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5554.4Texas TechB120.57980.58401515-718-121-72-33-26-16-012-215943222.41.5
212209.3The CitadelSC0.47680.481520010-1213-150-20-10-42-410-44-6184127219-9.7-0.5
324323.0ToledoMAC0.39240.49861642-213-270-10-10-50-133-72-122991453167.00.9
295292.1TowsonCAA0.42060.48821845-177-210-10-40-31-85-63-82902532911.10.1
173170.2TroySB0.49940.482719610-1113-130-00-10-26-57-42-6210781673.20.2
252255.7TulaneCUSA0.44600.50481557-159-200-10-30-62-66-55-82492202532.70.2
6363.1TulsaCUSA0.57150.525711017-521-90-11-23-47-110-010-492162630.10.0
3134.4UABCUSA0.59940.532710119-424-61-01-15-48-19-012-22398295.40.5
288285.3UC DavisBW0.42530.45282777-139-190-00-00-11-98-92-103213202805.30.3
280277.0UC IrvineBW0.43100.44402978-1412-170-10-00-13-89-86-726632826413.00.7
260264.2UC RiversideBW0.43990.46252567-1410-170-10-10-23-67-85-62292432586.20.4
143144.6UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51370.478421112-816-100-10-11-13-311-44-61821221386.60.3
149146.7UCLAP100.51260.55555211-1213-171-31-13-84-54-15-71884713610.70.6
168162.8UtahMWC0.50340.53868510-1213-171-42-31-44-46-37-7204179178-15.2-0.8
3033.6Utah St.WAC0.60000.53828617-623-71-01-26-37-28-010-4526751-17.4-1.7
334329.2Utah ValleyGWC0.38230.38253477-1210-150-10-10-10-110-113-10334317339-9.8-0.9
170167.6ValparaisoHorz0.50100.50761479-1312-160-30-10-36-66-32-82351801643.60.2
1821.8VanderbiltSEC0.61470.57632516-521-82-23-16-36-25-010-34480183.80.4
148145.4VermontAE0.51310.444429617-821-100-00-00-28-413-410-5150294163-17.6-1.1
66.2VillanovaBE0.64870.58181720-225-53-44-17-16-04-011-11714951.20.4
9192.0VirginiaACC0.54660.55265714-717-121-32-33-35-35-19-416027794-2.0-0.1
4443.2Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.59090.524311417-522-61-03-23-24-211-09-1146253-9.8-1.0
317316.7Virginia Military InstBSth0.39910.45722634-155-190-00-10-20-75-91-525136321-4.3-0.3
6262.2Virginia TechACC0.57200.514013818-422-81-32-25-35-19-013-185344584.20.3
325323.2WagnerNEC0.39190.44942864-217-240-10-00-11-85-153-11326310329-5.8-0.7
2325.2Wake ForestACC0.61040.57352816-520-81-34-25-34-16-010-237123169.20.8
5050.4WashingtonP100.58390.55315516-721-91-21-15-48-35-010-2203455-4.6-0.4
109111.0Washington St.P100.53350.516812614-817-120-20-33-35-49-09-26727510110.00.5
7980.8Weber St.BSky0.55510.508114513-817-90-20-21-15-310-14-61171884-3.2-0.2
43.9West VirginiaBE0.66010.6030219-325-54-34-18-17-02-011-12254-0.1-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
98101.2Western CarolinaSC0.53970.473522415-619-90-11-12-15-312-37-33857938.20.5
308307.7Western IllinoisSum0.40780.43533196-148-180-10-00-40-48-94-4242339309-1.3-0.1
161159.1Western KentuckySB0.50560.490917913-1117-141-00-12-25-810-37-613679172-12.9-0.6
117121.6Western MichiganMAC0.52710.510614212-1016-130-11-12-34-68-37-671291174.60.2
4646.3Wichita St.MVC0.58770.516512819-523-71-21-14-19-38-010-273274379.30.9
5756.7William & MaryCAA0.57780.532810015-719-101-03-32-35-19-28-31222524.70.4
316314.2Winston Salem St.ind0.40060.43883115-128-180-10-20-20-48-107-1830030029024.21.6
182181.1WinthropBSth0.49300.457326211-1015-120-00-10-31-513-32-723395183-1.9-0.1
912.3WisconsinB100.62920.56883218-524-63-22-26-15-17-010-2224493.30.6
118120.9Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.52700.507014914-917-121-20-12-25-78-07-4111136121-0.1-0.0
163160.4Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.50480.495316811-1115-140-30-11-25-88-17-41272261600.40.0
95100.2WoffordSC0.54030.476021816-820-100-10-12-43-315-17-586119102-1.8-0.1
8382.9Wright St.Horz0.55360.504315715-920-100-20-21-210-58-08-47715297-14.1-1.1
209206.5WyomingMWC0.47830.5585487-149-190-61-31-13-64-45-7185712015.50.4
2726.6XavierA100.60820.56353616-721-91-43-33-18-06-08-6511427-0.4-0.0
253255.8YaleIvy0.44580.46252558-1411-190-00-20-40-811-55-11279296272-16.2-1.1
256257.4Youngstown St.Horz0.44460.50511536-157-200-30-10-33-115-24-51641742507.40.5

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com