live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 12, 2016.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
316317.1Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40740.43203307-139-180-00-00-11-98-71-8349315321-3.9-0.3
240237.5Air ForceMWC0.46140.499815110-1311-180-00-11-34-116-27-411620321324.51.5
3032.3AkronMAC0.59470.510013219-424-60-10-04-112-49-010-25224041-8.7-0.8
6769.4AlabamaSEC0.56360.56923614-917-131-63-12-36-35-09-323154623.41.6
310307.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.41580.39753517-1211-150-00-00-10-611-83-5227317328-21.0-1.3
306305.5Alabama St.SWAC0.41720.43153326-159-190-00-10-21-88-93-7162103313-7.5-0.5
9396.6AlbanyAE0.54360.457927419-722-80-11-11-14-217-310-483262960.60.1
284279.7Alcorn St.SWAC0.43570.43333288-1211-160-00-10-10-710-80-93299525821.71.2
265264.6AmericanPat0.44550.47982127-179-200-00-20-23-76-102-92341072595.60.4
267265.6Appalachian St.SB0.44500.50311486-189-220-10-10-51-87-72-926171273-7.4-0.4
2425.7ArizonaP120.60240.54337520-524-71-33-29-26-06-012-14624430-4.3-0.5
7371.2Arizona St.P120.56200.58111714-1117-141-52-35-46-12-110-32423683.20.2
104106.1ArkansasSEC0.53830.55775412-1216-151-42-24-46-54-07-614341112-5.9-0.3
5855.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.57430.469923719-324-50-01-03-16-115-18-14327365-9.3-0.8
315313.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41160.44553106-198-240-20-10-30-78-112-122421063049.00.7
247243.8Arkansas St.SB0.45780.48002099-1311-180-20-11-23-46-92-7324267257-13.2-0.6
215218.2ArmyPat0.47200.442331313-1116-130-01-00-12-613-68-3120307239-20.8-1.3
167167.2AuburnSEC0.50190.5647409-1411-191-30-33-74-52-26-61052613532.21.8
231230.5Austin PeayOVC0.46500.468524410-1512-170-00-10-42-710-45-818715421614.50.9
171168.1Ball St.MAC0.50120.484719114-917-130-01-10-37-79-28-4199330171-2.9-0.1
2225.5BaylorB120.60300.58561217-621-92-82-15-06-05-010-22810226-0.5-0.1
7881.5BelmontOVC0.55430.494216517-819-100-01-11-46-312-27-67610889-7.5-0.6
302300.8Bethune CookmanMEAC0.42080.42573397-1510-190-10-10-11-410-111-12312224308-7.2-0.4
301299.5BinghamtonAE0.42210.47532276-198-210-10-20-20-77-83-102942192954.50.4
9498.5Boise St.MWC0.54300.522611314-918-111-20-22-28-47-17-48488908.50.5
237233.1Boston CollegeACC0.46350.5520597-178-230-80-40-53-45-27-624427419637.12.3
189186.4Boston UniversityPat0.49030.455428014-1117-130-10-01-03-713-56-6184266191-4.6-0.3
200201.8Bowling GreenMAC0.48120.486218811-1113-160-10-21-33-89-37-4209342217-15.2-0.9
308307.2BradleyMVC0.41640.52031193-224-260-20-30-52-101-71-11310823025.20.6
294294.7BrownIvy0.42560.47052366-148-190-10-20-40-48-74-9320320300-5.3-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
323320.9BryantNEC0.40490.45372856-197-230-10-20-30-37-142-10284148324-3.1-0.3
181181.1BucknellPat0.49360.470823512-1115-130-00-10-14-712-42-8262171193-11.9-0.8
101104.3BuffaloMAC0.53920.53818913-1117-140-30-31-38-47-16-613085111-6.7-0.4
4847.7ButlerBE0.58040.54926517-721-92-41-15-35-17-011-14222957-9.3-0.7
6969.9BYUWCC0.56310.509913317-821-90-11-23-25-112-38-4699671-1.1-0.1
219220.9Cal PolyBW0.47050.50651376-159-180-10-11-71-47-44-71446020614.90.7
144144.0Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.51590.447730514-718-80-00-00-32-416-17-5157285163-19.0-1.1
291290.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.42840.45992667-148-190-00-10-62-26-95-6233338294-3.3-0.2
271270.7Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44180.48062067-158-200-10-00-61-57-73-9283265280-9.3-0.6
3135.8CaliforniaP120.59190.57552416-820-113-43-36-35-14-010-361111314.80.3
326323.3CampbellBSth0.40260.43163317-158-180-00-00-13-76-94-4285347330-6.7-0.6
216219.0CanisiusMAAC0.47140.479621411-1514-170-01-20-43-69-65-619219920811.00.7
324321.9Central ArkansasSlnd0.40290.43563245-168-200-10-20-30-48-101-92951243192.90.2
351350.6Central ConnecticutNEC0.34280.41693453-214-250-00-10-10-24-211-10351345351-0.4-0.5
143143.0Central MichiganMAC0.51640.527310410-1114-140-01-11-35-96-14-6214122146-3.0-0.1
275274.0Charleston SouthernBSth0.43990.48821836-167-190-00-20-21-106-41-725025277-3.0-0.2
235232.8CharlotteCUSA0.46390.48222019-1513-180-10-20-53-610-44-92571812257.80.4
4446.4ChattanoogaSC0.58150.479921020-423-51-10-01-09-212-19-232175397.40.8
345344.4Chicago St.WAC0.37220.47632231-222-260-10-10-20-122-101-133392023431.40.4
4547.1CincinnatiAmer0.58110.54098318-722-91-33-14-35-110-010-37916766-18.9-1.5
106108.7ClemsonACC0.53670.53139514-1018-123-32-22-33-37-17-52643358820.71.1
273273.0Cleveland St.Horz0.44050.51211265-187-220-10-31-21-105-53-816972712.00.1
169168.1Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50150.469124112-914-110-00-00-17-57-43-4172170183-14.9-0.9
228229.0ColgatePat0.46600.457827510-1313-150-00-10-25-68-73-724526321514.00.7
99103.2College of CharlestonCAA0.53980.521111714-916-120-10-23-46-37-17-3741611012.20.1
3843.6ColoradoP120.58420.56344417-720-102-52-34-37-05-010-2481472815.61.1
172170.5Colorado St.MWC0.49990.498215412-1015-140-00-21-46-68-26-52042531691.50.1
127123.0ColumbiaIvy0.52780.486618715-719-100-10-31-34-214-29-61582181185.00.2
3641.3ConnecticutAmer0.58590.55655517-722-91-22-34-46-08-010-3548048-6.7-0.6
332327.8Coppin St.MEAC0.39780.45212913-185-210-20-10-20-55-100-112912131611.81.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
210213.4CornellIvy0.47450.49641598-1211-160-00-41-51-39-56-716817417736.41.9
7678.4CreightonBE0.55680.54108216-919-121-41-23-47-08-19-416028886-7.6-0.6
293294.2DartmouthIvy0.42570.47142326-148-190-00-20-31-78-65-8290309305-10.8-0.6
7271.5DavidsonA100.56210.55845313-816-120-30-42-39-15-17-338435417.50.9
1211.9DaytonA100.62660.56114721-325-51-14-16-18-05-110-28312-0.1-0.0
270269.2DelawareCAA0.44300.50741366-187-220-10-20-81-96-25-61952922618.20.5
350349.0Delaware St.MEAC0.35320.43653222-204-250-10-10-20-63-150-13344179350-1.0-0.5
207209.1DenverSum0.47710.478621813-1214-150-00-10-26-78-48-52183252072.10.1
170168.3DePaulBE0.50130.5592528-1610-200-41-42-82-36-16-619121515117.31.2
214218.4DetroitHorz0.47200.484119310-1212-150-00-30-15-97-24-5177130223-4.6-0.2
303302.7DrakeMVC0.41990.49021775-197-220-10-20-32-115-64-7281275306-3.3-0.2
276274.2DrexelCAA0.43980.5390873-205-230-10-41-71-93-32-82558726212.20.9
1617.5DukeACC0.61510.5918518-622-93-52-26-18-13-011-2111019-1.5-0.2
113112.9DuquesneA100.53380.53099814-917-130-31-31-56-29-09-31092591084.90.2
198198.2East CarolinaAmer0.48340.526510610-1412-190-20-42-72-38-38-513619418513.20.7
119118.9East Tennessee St.SC0.53010.492917014-917-120-10-21-25-611-15-6117751162.90.1
264264.5Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44570.45842729-1411-160-00-10-23-78-52-9328226268-3.5-0.2
202202.5Eastern KentuckyOVC0.48100.477322113-1315-150-20-01-23-710-48-6154246209-6.5-0.4
147148.2Eastern MichiganMAC0.51310.5353918-1212-150-20-11-27-93-24-510754157-8.8-0.4
201202.2Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48120.434532512-1016-120-00-10-11-414-64-6194258203-0.8-0.0
138140.0ElonCAA0.51820.521711512-1215-140-10-32-63-49-17-4901601319.00.5
8789.8EvansvilleMVC0.54830.486918618-722-80-00-22-26-313-110-26223393-3.2-0.2
174173.8FairfieldMAAC0.49820.484819013-1116-140-10-20-23-313-56-41061171658.80.5
211214.3Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.47400.441431512-1115-130-10-10-12-113-93-724019819915.30.8
244242.9FIUCUSA0.45820.46962399-1412-170-00-01-42-710-64-7278280256-13.1-0.7
2023.5FloridaSEC0.60600.58471416-821-102-51-25-29-14-09-422224-0.5-0.1
349347.6Florida A&MMEAC0.35970.40463505-156-190-00-00-10-46-142-9336297349-1.4-0.4
280277.2Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43760.48751856-178-210-10-10-51-76-81-10311185278-0.8-0.0
209211.5Florida Gulf CoastASun0.47560.462226311-1114-120-10-10-13-411-45-7206125212-0.5-0.0
5250.5Florida St.ACC0.57850.56244616-819-112-62-23-26-16-010-247189437.50.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
194194.4FordhamA100.48570.497915611-1014-140-20-31-43-310-28-21793441895.40.2
115115.3Fresno St.MWC0.53290.504514414-818-110-20-11-38-48-27-41382111141.30.1
158157.2FurmanSC0.50800.483119914-1116-130-11-10-13-511-44-7203162167-9.8-0.5
221221.4Gardner WebbBSth0.47000.461326510-1312-150-10-10-24-68-52-72251332147.40.4
192192.1George MasonA100.48700.5440748-1610-210-30-31-65-64-36-718612116824.11.4
5955.7George WashingtonA100.57420.527410318-622-91-22-24-28-28-111-256222505.70.4
7170.4GeorgetownBE0.56270.58491314-1116-152-52-44-43-26-07-61113177-6.6-0.5
8386.7GeorgiaSEC0.55120.56683813-916-130-31-43-48-23-07-477127412.70.7
243238.9Georgia SouthernSB0.46030.47132339-1212-160-10-11-32-69-52-63193132371.90.1
161159.8Georgia St.SB0.50660.491117511-914-130-00-11-44-39-45-2266314910.80.5
8587.9Georgia TechACC0.54990.57612313-1116-151-61-32-37-35-010-36398834.90.3
5048.8GonzagaWCC0.57980.522111419-522-70-21-13-34-014-07-4642761-12.2-1.2
348346.2Grambling St.SWAC0.36500.43413263-175-220-00-00-20-95-110-933099347-0.8-0.2
9698.0Grand CanyonWAC0.54260.453328620-423-50-10-01-06-215-112-26622899-1.0-0.1
156155.8Green BayHorz0.50870.471423113-1017-120-01-20-23-712-16-514124714312.80.8
195194.9HamptonMEAC0.48530.427633813-917-100-10-20-21-215-44-71741281886.90.4
319319.5HartfordAE0.40650.45662786-197-230-10-30-30-57-114-10315304323-3.5-0.4
208208.9HarvardIvy0.47700.50141508-1311-170-20-22-23-56-66-8171145230-21.1-1.0
7981.8HawaiiBW0.55420.468924317-323-40-10-02-26-114-19-210825684-2.2-0.2
191189.0High PointBSth0.48870.443731112-916-100-00-10-24-411-44-4198298198-9.0-0.5
6667.8HofstraCAA0.56490.525610816-819-100-02-22-56-29-07-48112669-1.2-0.1
289286.1Holy CrossPat0.43190.448530210-1411-180-10-00-12-79-95-62393002860.10.0
8994.8HoustonAmer0.54520.509613417-720-101-11-33-35-110-110-2125323922.80.2
203204.0Houston BaptistSlnd0.47990.464825510-1013-140-00-10-42-611-32-7279138220-16.0-0.7
296295.1HowardMEAC0.42490.43603238-1411-170-11-00-11-79-84-9263204309-13.9-0.9
224223.1IdahoBSky0.46900.438831713-1016-130-10-10-14-412-76-5163216235-11.9-0.6
268265.6Idaho St.BSky0.44460.422634110-1113-150-10-00-01-612-83-7313337276-10.4-0.5
157157.1IllinoisB100.50810.54706811-1314-171-51-42-43-47-08-51349714215.11.0
347345.3Illinois ChicagoHorz0.36990.46722472-193-240-00-20-11-112-100-9350322346-0.7-0.2
109110.9Illinois St.MVC0.53520.53129614-1116-140-21-31-36-58-15-713181037.90.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
188186.5Incarnate WordSlnd0.49030.456427910-813-120-20-10-22-211-52-5150104210-23.5-1.0
2931.1IndianaB100.59590.54138020-523-83-32-04-16-39-010-38619134-2.9-0.3
159159.0Indiana St.MVC0.50690.511312712-1214-150-00-32-25-57-45-6159931545.00.3
126122.4IonaMAAC0.52830.492817114-918-110-00-41-33-314-13-621279144-21.6-1.2
78.5IowaB100.63520.57842019-524-64-43-23-16-07-09-3518671.50.4
1921.1Iowa St.B120.60910.58781017-721-104-63-24-17-13-011-22076156.10.9
8082.2IPFWSum0.55370.495616117-720-90-10-30-18-412-19-487249793.20.2
186184.7IUPUISum0.49110.511212810-1612-180-11-12-35-95-43-1127220917311.70.7
212217.3Jackson St.SWAC0.47270.428233511-1116-130-20-00-21-515-53-8222164218-0.7-0.0
252252.0JacksonvilleASun0.45290.427833711-1213-140-10-10-11-512-64-9314331255-3.0-0.2
304304.6Jacksonville St.OVC0.41850.47982116-197-220-00-10-52-95-82-11340277311-6.4-0.6
7778.2James MadisonCAA0.55650.517212218-721-90-10-14-210-37-19-39717785-6.8-0.6
34.0KansasB120.65010.5968219-424-65-44-16-04-14-011-153440.00.0
7070.4Kansas St.B120.56300.57662214-1017-142-101-32-08-15-011-2371525812.40.8
286282.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.43420.49481636-187-210-20-20-42-76-62-122512827210.60.6
105106.7Kent St.MAC0.53770.511112915-818-120-20-11-27-610-18-41022139412.70.7
1516.9KentuckySEC0.61690.57242718-623-83-22-17-38-23-010-31513160.90.1
259259.2La SalleA100.44870.5503634-176-221-40-30-52-63-43-72731362509.20.6
325323.0LafayettePat0.40280.46552535-196-230-10-10-11-86-123-8267217325-2.0-0.2
340335.9LamarSlnd0.38770.41633466-148-180-00-00-20-77-104-4270349345-9.1-1.1
196195.9LehighPat0.48490.49581609-1412-160-20-20-12-510-61-925618200-4.1-0.2
263264.2LibertyBSth0.44580.46852458-1510-180-00-20-14-66-80-10347201267-2.8-0.2
269267.3LipscombASun0.44430.48991787-189-200-10-20-31-77-72-1325352270-2.7-0.2
278276.9LIU BrooklynNEC0.43800.410234912-1215-140-00-00-02-313-116-5238341282-5.1-0.4
9598.7Long Beach St.BW0.54260.53918611-1215-140-30-14-44-37-34-91031953.70.2
321320.4LongwoodBSth0.40520.45082965-187-210-00-00-02-115-91-93423063182.40.2
98102.5Louisiana LafayetteSB0.54060.493116812-817-100-10-11-43-312-22-522194121-18.5-0.9
162159.7Louisiana MonroeSB0.50640.497515710-1214-150-11-02-32-59-62-721992162-2.3-0.1
120119.6Louisiana TechCUSA0.53000.458427116-620-90-00-03-14-414-49-240197128-8.4-0.4
1718.1LouisvilleACC0.61450.56434319-524-73-52-14-17-18-011-24920629-10.9-1.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
233231.8Loyola ChicagoMVC0.46430.483819511-1313-160-00-21-34-77-46-52302902310.80.0
232231.0Loyola MarymountWCC0.46460.479421510-1412-160-00-20-70-311-56-41703162247.00.5
241238.5Loyola MDPat0.46080.49221738-1610-190-10-10-11-109-51-1025846242-3.5-0.2
8486.5LSUSEC0.55080.54926615-918-131-41-24-36-46-07-6211193788.50.5
311310.1MaineAE0.41410.44793048-179-200-00-21-10-68-104-9325336314-3.9-0.4
226226.8ManhattanMAAC0.46730.483519810-1212-160-01-11-22-78-63-6235180228-1.2-0.1
314312.9MaristMAAC0.41190.46982385-187-220-00-21-21-66-123-62892933039.90.8
117117.6MarquetteBE0.53130.53419316-918-130-52-15-52-29-011-21323039819.61.2
130125.5MarshallCUSA0.52650.53109712-1216-150-20-11-65-410-24-91759140-14.5-0.7
45.4MarylandB100.64460.57163021-325-52-33-16-18-07-011-177850.40.1
277274.6Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.43930.45672777-1710-190-20-10-21-59-82-12236572740.60.0
183182.3MassachusettsA100.49290.528610110-1313-170-21-31-53-57-37-51812201766.30.4
330323.6McNeese St.Slnd0.40020.43343274-148-170-10-10-31-36-90-728819326-2.4-0.1
122120.7MemphisAmer0.52950.528410214-1018-130-31-33-34-210-19-4153183126-5.3-0.3
137139.1MercerSC0.51870.452129216-819-100-00-21-25-414-28-31153191381.10.1
1010.6Miami FLACC0.63020.57951919-423-74-35-14-16-34-011-1168311-0.4-0.1
217219.2Miami OHMAC0.47130.5376908-1510-200-30-11-45-104-25-72151052190.20.0
4647.4MichiganB100.58090.55955117-720-103-71-21-17-08-09-38215856-8.6-0.6
1818.7Michigan St.B100.61250.54786720-525-64-32-14-18-18-013-06118171.70.3
8286.1Middle TennesseeCUSA0.55130.503614715-719-90-00-11-27-410-16-47138824.10.2
155155.2MilwaukeeHorz0.50930.466125214-918-110-01-21-14-613-27-41452701478.20.6
246243.6MinnesotaB100.45790.5407846-188-220-50-41-43-95-16-6231195244-0.4-0.0
114113.5MississippiSEC0.53360.511013015-918-130-31-23-48-47-010-31012878726.51.4
165162.3Mississippi St.SEC0.50490.54437310-1313-170-40-32-54-37-17-5189221175-12.7-0.6
327323.8Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.40170.44803035-207-250-00-00-40-87-120-14334109333-9.2-0.7
223222.3MissouriSEC0.46960.5511608-169-220-50-30-74-74-07-618813420517.31.0
239235.0Missouri St.MVC0.46240.49831539-1511-180-00-41-35-85-33-8293227238-3.0-0.2
3539.7MonmouthMAAC0.58670.493916721-525-61-21-03-05-115-38-32153336.70.8
146145.6MontanaBSky0.51480.458726912-816-100-10-11-22-314-42-6197291450.60.0
254252.7Montana St.BSky0.45250.443431210-1313-160-00-10-22-711-64-7196192265-12.3-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
154153.3Morehead St.OVC0.51000.490817612-1114-130-00-11-34-59-25-6155140164-10.7-0.6
336331.9Morgan St.MEAC0.39230.43723214-177-210-10-10-00-77-121-11308157340-8.1-0.7
229229.3Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.46560.454228311-1514-170-10-10-31-413-83-10271156247-17.7-0.9
179180.5Murray St.OVC0.49410.488718011-1214-130-00-01-43-69-34-7151111782.50.2
180180.3NavyPat0.49410.447730616-919-110-20-01-04-315-58-41652911800.30.0
150149.5NebraskaB100.51250.530210013-1216-151-60-31-34-29-18-5210281161-11.5-0.7
129125.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.52680.497315814-1016-120-01-11-28-46-46-6183260134-9.0-0.6
132130.6NevadaMWC0.52340.505514112-915-130-00-20-47-58-16-412325211515.60.7
184183.9New HampshireAE0.49190.451629513-915-120-10-21-11-314-45-62163111794.90.3
103104.5New MexicoMWC0.53910.521011814-1019-120-20-12-210-66-27-6164120117-12.5-0.7
121119.9New Mexico St.WAC0.52960.472623015-819-90-10-01-34-314-27-7185166124-4.1-0.3
317317.9New OrleansSlnd0.40660.42013435-148-180-00-00-20-88-81-7307269327-9.1-0.5
312310.5NiagaraMAAC0.41380.47822206-207-240-10-30-31-77-112-9322251312-1.5-0.1
329324.4Nicholls St.Slnd0.40080.46312594-186-230-10-20-41-55-111-10217530717.41.2
185184.6NJITASun0.49150.462626114-1116-130-10-20-21-415-48-7124144192-7.4-0.5
204206.4Norfolk St.MEAC0.47840.452228910-1315-140-00-20-41-414-32-11224591979.40.6
1110.8North CarolinaACC0.63000.57133120-424-73-42-26-07-15-011-21264100.80.1
339335.6North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38780.41353477-1710-200-20-00-10-610-113-11335278339-3.4-0.4
320319.1North Carolina CentralMEAC0.40610.42513405-159-170-00-00-10-79-92-9298196332-12.9-0.9
118118.5North Carolina St.ACC0.53060.56114812-1215-162-61-32-46-35-010-3951861108.50.5
218219.7North DakotaBSky0.47110.46272609-1113-130-00-00-22-510-62-6282254229-9.3-0.4
128124.4North Dakota St.Sum0.52730.484519214-917-110-11-11-15-710-28-4121305127-2.6-0.1
152151.9North FloridaASun0.51120.446430915-918-100-20-10-24-214-48-6113232159-7.1-0.5
300298.7North TexasCUSA0.42250.47472287-159-200-00-00-42-87-83-83172372971.70.1
139140.6NortheasternCAA0.51790.524111012-1315-151-11-21-65-46-37-59814112911.60.8
328325.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.40100.49421662-193-240-10-20-20-83-110-926843205.20.5
313310.6Northern ColoradoBSky0.41370.46902426-167-210-10-10-02-76-111-93432453100.60.0
140140.3Northern IllinoisMAC0.51790.494816412-816-110-10-11-38-56-37-214834613010.30.4
112113.4Northern IowaMVC0.53380.521611614-1117-132-00-22-45-58-27-56032125-11.6-0.7
250246.7Northern KentuckyHorz0.45610.48791847-159-180-20-20-13-87-52-7274129248-1.3-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
123120.6NorthwesternB100.52940.510313116-919-120-60-11-27-211-012-1913341137.60.5
335331.5Northwestern St.Slnd0.39230.43983163-146-180-10-10-20-66-70-630542336-4.5-0.4
2831.2Notre DameACC0.59600.57462517-720-104-41-32-37-07-09-33939229.20.8
125122.5OaklandHorz0.52830.479121717-920-110-20-21-16-413-28-589187136-13.5-1.1
8183.3OhioMAC0.55330.526610515-819-110-10-21-310-48-18-380151767.30.5
8890.7Ohio St.B100.54780.56474115-1017-141-70-21-28-37-08-5137688010.70.8
13.0OklahomaB120.65440.58701120-325-55-33-16-18-03-012-027212.00.8
149148.9Oklahoma St.B120.51270.56044911-1313-182-90-32-34-25-19-4176283150-1.1-0.1
141141.8Old DominionCUSA0.51740.480920514-1020-110-10-21-34-414-27-6167149153-11.2-0.7
145144.0Oral RobertsSum0.51560.53339410-1412-160-10-22-43-76-26-658351377.00.5
66.4OregonP120.64160.5909619-523-74-15-28-24-13-010-2102233.40.9
4748.4Oregon St.P120.58060.58331514-816-123-43-33-44-14-08-241903216.41.2
255253.6PacificWCC0.45220.51801215-167-190-10-21-50-45-70-8332101263-9.4-0.5
281278.4PennIvy0.43660.46652497-1210-170-20-30-41-49-55-8306326289-10.6-0.5
134131.2Penn St.B100.52300.54996412-1214-171-61-31-47-46-09-411923410526.21.5
107109.7PepperdineWCC0.53580.504214614-1017-110-00-14-34-29-56-4991461045.70.4
4045.6PittsburghACC0.58260.56563916-620-91-62-14-16-26-010-145172405.60.4
248244.4PortlandWCC0.45740.494916210-1611-190-00-22-41-38-95-7260243246-1.6-0.1
290288.9Portland St.BSky0.42980.45022986-1410-170-00-00-10-89-82-7341339298-9.1-0.5
346343.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.37140.43883182-205-250-10-10-22-74-140-12338132348-4.2-0.7
341335.9PresbyterianBSth0.38760.43873195-167-190-00-00-11-105-82-6337312338-2.1-0.3
4948.1PrincetonIvy0.58020.506513814-520-70-20-21-15-115-09-4357053-4.9-0.3
5351.1ProvidenceBE0.57790.55066218-721-102-42-15-25-38-012-1332003813.11.1
1314.6PurdueB100.62080.56953520-524-72-43-14-19-16-012-11410018-3.4-0.6
285281.5QuinnipiacMAAC0.43480.46752468-1510-190-00-20-32-68-83-6300301287-5.5-0.4
160159.3RadfordBSth0.50670.489017912-1115-130-00-12-24-69-35-592471554.30.2
100104.2Rhode IslandA100.53920.54217814-1117-140-40-42-26-39-08-5126113120-15.8-0.9
298297.8RiceCUSA0.42320.48361976-168-210-00-10-32-76-93-82651652925.80.4
102104.8RichmondA100.53910.54118113-1017-131-31-32-56-27-08-4100131123-18.2-1.0
238233.6RiderMAAC0.46310.475522510-1613-180-10-30-32-511-74-7228250252-18.4-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
307306.1Robert MorrisNEC0.41710.45282887-199-220-00-10-21-78-132-11301176317-10.9-0.8
283280.1RutgersB100.43580.5346925-186-240-50-30-51-85-25-727523025327.12.1
257254.4Sacramento St.BSky0.45150.45072978-1212-150-00-01-12-59-95-4201310266-11.6-0.5
282280.0Sacred HeartNEC0.43580.44203148-1611-180-00-10-21-410-111-103332392791.00.1
2627.5Saint Joseph'sA100.59970.53968520-425-61-21-25-110-08-011-22977270.50.1
206209.1Saint LouisA100.47720.5446728-1510-200-31-42-42-75-25-72411632018.10.5
6357.6Saint Mary'sWCC0.57300.488218218-422-50-01-13-22-116-08-15024272-14.4-1.6
222221.5Saint Peter'sMAAC0.46990.475822410-1312-160-00-31-32-310-72-7331271241-19.5-1.0
190188.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.48950.46962409-1113-140-10-10-32-311-52-719355194-5.8-0.3
253252.8SamfordSC0.45290.454128410-1512-170-10-20-11-811-57-4156314254-1.2-0.1
295295.4San DiegoWCC0.42510.48042087-168-200-10-21-50-27-114-6299328301-5.6-0.5
5552.7San Diego St.MWC0.57640.54187916-720-90-31-13-212-25-15-612914457.70.6
230230.8San FranciscoWCC0.46500.466425112-1114-140-00-20-50-414-36-42773482273.80.2
292292.7San Jose St.MWC0.42690.50501425-166-210-00-10-43-102-62-73262822902.70.2
261261.2Santa ClaraWCC0.44780.49901528-169-200-10-20-61-38-83-8304236264-2.8-0.2
333327.9Savannah St.MEAC0.39710.41353488-1310-160-20-10-00-210-113-7280223334-6.1-0.5
272273.2SeattleWAC0.44060.452928710-1211-150-00-11-31-610-54-8323289281-7.8-0.6
5755.5Seton HallBE0.57450.54547117-720-100-42-25-35-18-010-273268514.50.3
9196.3SienaMAAC0.54420.493016917-920-110-11-22-15-312-47-44465102-5.7-0.4
318318.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40650.48152024-205-230-10-10-31-84-93-9229693153.90.3
1416.3SMUAmer0.61730.54626920-325-50-04-25-38-18-012-0461133.30.6
251250.5South AlabamaSB0.45370.48132038-1411-180-00-11-53-57-73-623723823416.50.8
3439.1South CarolinaSEC0.58840.514012420-324-61-12-05-39-27-012-0302762118.11.2
205208.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.47750.429033412-1115-130-00-10-31-414-43-92131272026.40.3
182182.1South DakotaSum0.49320.504214511-1413-160-00-20-45-107-27-61392121820.10.0
3944.1South Dakota St.Sum0.58340.506214017-621-70-00-03-111-47-19-33616849-4.9-0.4
249246.4South FloridaAmer0.45630.5509615-206-250-30-41-71-73-53-102697323214.41.1
337333.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.39200.46642503-204-230-10-00-30-84-111-103182053294.60.7
342337.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.38310.42923333-187-220-10-20-30-67-110-11346190342-4.4-0.4
175178.9SouthernSWAC0.49510.418734413-818-100-00-00-12-516-35-5114188187-8.1-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
133131.3Southern IllinoisMVC0.52300.465225419-723-80-00-21-28-114-311-21273331229.30.7
297296.8Southern MissCUSA0.42400.46252626-149-180-00-00-32-76-92-73022482960.80.0
338335.7Southern UtahBSky0.38850.45972673-184-230-10-10-10-74-121-83162313350.70.1
4145.5St. BonaventureA100.58250.54277716-620-91-21-24-37-18-08-375159378.50.6
287284.4St. Francis NYNEC0.43270.428133610-1513-170-10-00-10-413-113-9309308288-3.6-0.2
227226.7St. Francis PANEC0.46730.449629912-1115-130-10-10-11-413-73-7223119236-9.3-0.5
236232.9St. John'sBE0.46360.5646426-187-230-51-51-81-55-16-622017320428.92.0
9297.6StanfordP120.54370.5967310-1112-161-72-53-43-03-06-4112458116.60.9
9095.4Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.54480.456927613-520-60-10-00-25-214-13-5190150133-37.6-2.2
305304.2StetsonASun0.41820.45802735-177-200-10-00-21-86-93-1028620828420.21.4
3742.0Stony BrookAE0.58500.484019419-422-50-01-12-17-213-07-4346764-22.0-2.6
4246.3SyracuseACC0.58180.56793717-820-112-53-23-36-16-110-3571123610.30.8
168167.7TCUB120.50160.55975011-1312-191-101-31-43-26-09-41822861607.70.5
7473.6TempleAmer0.56030.54327615-819-111-33-22-33-210-16-61661166013.61.0
111112.2TennesseeSEC0.53460.56274512-1215-162-21-31-67-53-07-6118561075.20.2
242239.0Tennessee MartinOVC0.46030.432432912-1215-140-00-01-23-510-76-7232329245-6.0-0.3
148148.9Tennessee St.OVC0.51300.454628215-718-90-00-01-43-414-17-41733271480.90.1
108110.1Tennessee TechOVC0.53550.483020015-817-100-10-11-25-412-26-51331841064.10.2
2728.7TexasB120.59910.6019116-819-125-52-25-34-13-09-45924208.70.8
2526.9Texas A&MSEC0.60080.55325718-623-83-12-25-48-15-011-21344233.90.4
110112.2Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.53460.452229016-520-80-10-10-24-216-17-368210132-19.8-1.1
193193.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.48600.437732010-1216-140-10-10-31-615-31-11303135233-39.2-2.1
279276.9Texas St.SB0.43770.45192948-1210-170-00-10-41-710-54-3246351285-8.1-0.4
6257.1Texas TechB120.57330.5951414-917-132-82-23-26-14-010-218484413.10.9
309307.1The CitadelSC0.41630.44903007-168-200-00-20-22-77-94-627634329314.11.1
142141.8ToledoMAC0.51710.483719614-919-110-01-01-26-710-28-41803181410.80.0
166166.3TowsonCAA0.50240.476722215-917-120-01-12-53-410-27-4248350181-14.7-0.9
299298.2TroySB0.42310.47922165-177-220-00-10-51-66-103-6259255299-0.8-0.1
234231.7TulaneAmer0.46420.51481239-1611-200-30-31-52-68-37-6226284243-11.3-0.7
5655.3TulsaAmer0.57460.55295816-819-111-12-33-46-28-08-488914213.31.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8689.5UABCUSA0.54880.458527020-424-60-00-02-16-515-19-3147321100-10.5-0.7
266265.0UC DavisBW0.44540.48052078-1310-170-00-00-61-48-73-8296257269-4.0-0.2
7575.8UC IrvineBW0.55860.502314916-721-90-20-02-46-214-19-55374705.80.4
262264.2UC RiversideBW0.44600.452029311-1312-180-00-01-52-410-87-7254340275-10.8-0.7
116116.4UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53170.523311210-1214-140-10-32-62-210-15-77069125.41.6
197197.1UCFAmer0.48380.504914311-1113-160-10-31-72-210-26-52493241952.10.1
6869.9UCLAP120.56330.5903713-1116-152-63-35-34-23-09-4552073-3.1-0.2
256254.0UMass LowellAE0.45210.46462569-1511-170-00-30-23-58-73-92922792513.00.2
322320.8UMBCAE0.40490.44863016-208-230-00-20-21-98-104-11327332322-1.2-0.1
274273.8UMKCWAC0.44000.47552266-159-170-21-00-21-76-64-8207153283-9.2-0.5
151150.3UNC AshevilleBSth0.51230.463425815-918-100-10-01-14-713-15-5149137158-7.7-0.5
288285.3UNC GreensboroSC0.43230.48841816-178-200-10-10-22-116-51-9321143291-5.7-0.4
6458.8UNC WilmingtonCAA0.57180.506313917-520-70-01-15-26-48-06-312229475-16.2-1.1
124121.0UNLVMWC0.52920.524210912-1116-131-11-22-46-57-07-494114139-18.0-1.0
2123.9USCP120.60550.57262618-622-92-44-26-34-06-011-2318125-1.1-0.1
331327.3USC UpstateASun0.39910.45502815-186-210-10-00-12-74-113-10297225331-3.7-0.5
9799.4UT ArlingtonSB0.54200.470923415-721-90-00-12-25-315-28-267272972.40.2
343340.5UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.38020.46442573-184-220-10-00-20-84-111-11348264341-0.5-0.1
2325.7UtahP120.60280.57762117-721-92-44-39-22-14-010-217491411.71.2
153153.2Utah St.MWC0.51020.518912010-1113-140-10-11-55-68-16-3781151521.20.1
258259.4Utah ValleyWAC0.44870.47362297-149-170-10-10-41-68-63-9252178260-0.6-0.0
220221.5UTEPCUSA0.47010.459226813-1116-140-00-00-35-611-57-52022412210.50.0
344342.6UTSACUSA0.37680.46202643-204-250-00-10-40-73-131-10345295344-1.4-0.3
3336.3ValparaisoHorz0.58960.492717219-424-50-10-03-19-312-08-3195147-10.7-1.1
5453.1VanderbiltSEC0.57640.57093214-1019-122-62-22-27-25-08-5723363-9.9-0.7
4346.5VCUA100.58170.54587017-722-91-21-25-49-16-08-51106655-8.5-0.7
163161.2VermontAE0.50560.479621313-1216-140-20-31-33-313-27-7128155166-4.8-0.4
23.4VillanovaBE0.65150.58011821-327-42-23-19-16-06-011-293021.40.6
55.7VirginiaACC0.64430.5880920-424-66-23-14-27-14-011-13406-0.3-0.1
131130.4Virginia TechACC0.52370.55465613-1215-161-80-33-14-17-18-520826111911.40.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
334329.9VMISC0.39610.46652484-175-200-00-10-20-115-62-6266235337-7.1-0.9
199201.8WagnerNEC0.48130.420734214-918-100-00-10-11-116-76-4161302211-9.2-0.6
135132.6Wake ForestACC0.52250.57232810-1412-180-71-32-44-34-09-3658910923.61.6
6565.7WashingtonP120.56640.57063315-918-122-52-45-14-25-08-4135123623.70.3
187186.4Washington St.P120.49040.5721298-159-200-60-52-72-15-17-41461421860.40.0
136139.2Weber St.BSky0.51870.446830814-720-80-01-10-13-215-45-5140139156-16.8-0.9
89.2West VirginiaB120.63360.58241619-524-74-53-15-08-05-011-22511090.20.1
225223.5Western CarolinaSC0.46900.50781357-1510-180-01-30-34-85-42-8205162221.50.1
245242.9Western IllinoisSum0.45820.49801556-138-160-10-11-32-84-34-4178296249-6.1-0.3
178179.4Western KentuckyCUSA0.49430.514012510-1213-160-21-01-44-57-56-510450190-10.6-0.5
213218.5Western MichiganMAC0.47200.5304997-159-200-00-11-66-103-24-720084226-7.5-0.3
3235.6Wichita St.MVC0.59030.523911117-621-71-20-12-39-19-05-59317350.60.1
5150.3William & MaryCAA0.57850.53848815-718-90-20-13-310-26-16-3273652-1.7-0.1
164161.5WinthropBSth0.50540.447530714-717-90-00-00-24-512-25-3142299170-8.5-0.4
6156.8WisconsinB100.57350.5886815-918-132-72-14-16-34-18-5963759-2.2-0.2
176179.1WoffordSC0.49490.481220411-1314-150-10-20-33-611-32-9287207184-4.9-0.3
173172.6Wright St.Horz0.49850.478621913-1116-130-21-10-06-59-54-7247214174-1.4-0.1
177179.2WyomingMWC0.49480.526110710-1312-170-00-11-48-84-35-6152581727.20.4
99.7XavierBE0.63210.56983421-325-52-24-16-38-05-012-016281.70.4
6056.2YaleIvy0.57410.491217415-520-70-31-11-16-213-08-58518267-10.8-0.9
260260.7Youngstown St.Horz0.44800.48521897-169-200-10-30-13-87-63-824316924020.71.4

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com