live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Dec 4, 2016.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
192190.8Abilene ChristianSlnd0.48830.45512942-314-110-00-00-14-410-53-4189292248-57.2-1.3
163167.3Air ForceMWC0.50030.51931094-314-150-00-22-46-76-26-51811861616.30.1
7581.5AkronMAC0.55080.49911525-220-90-20-12-18-310-28-38918587-5.5-0.2
118122.0AlabamaSEC0.52530.5395794-316-141-31-33-45-36-07-5153161185-63.0-1.7
351350.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.33310.39723490-74-250-00-00-20-64-180-113513413500.00.0
337327.8Alabama St.SWAC0.39760.40793431-710-190-00-10-30-39-121-10337280341-13.2-0.8
141147.3AlbanyAE0.51070.46922583-418-120-10-11-24-413-47-7159225159-11.7-0.3
324314.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.41170.42063380-59-170-00-00-30-69-80-83156824668.42.7
303290.4AmericanPat0.43230.48172151-69-200-10-10-32-67-83-8307174346-55.6-1.8
284269.1Appalachian St.SB0.44630.49461671-58-190-10-11-52-75-52-729828124920.10.6
2635.7ArizonaP120.59090.5669336-221-101-43-25-27-16-010-3282951-15.3-0.9
146149.6Arizona St.P120.50930.5617425-313-180-51-52-52-27-17-6155711409.60.3
3743.1ArkansasSEC0.58290.5631406-121-101-42-25-310-23-010-324412221.11.0
341335.5Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38550.42593340-67-230-00-00-20-77-130-123361633332.50.2
7176.0Arkansas St.SB0.55410.50311396-220-100-00-13-27-410-28-434781858.02.1
193190.2ArmyPat0.48820.48132193-415-140-00-11-33-511-55-6195149237-46.8-1.1
8288.3AuburnSEC0.54620.5406766-118-131-31-24-48-34-110-3521222068.32.1
232231.2Austin PeayOVC0.46730.49461662-410-180-10-10-24-66-64-8214133129102.22.4
244242.5Ball St.MAC0.46110.46322783-414-160-00-11-34-810-47-5283348301-58.5-1.5
58.1BaylorB120.64210.603238-023-75-34-27-25-13-012-011017.11.1
104106.9BelmontOVC0.53370.48332053-317-100-10-11-25-311-26-5113209132-25.1-0.7
346339.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37720.39183511-69-190-00-10-10-59-132-103413113381.30.1
264256.1BinghamtonAE0.45350.45452954-412-160-00-10-22-610-76-622732324115.10.4
111113.1Boise St.MWC0.53050.52001083-416-130-11-23-37-66-16-5161208165-51.9-1.4
235233.9Boston CollegeACC0.46600.5477674-39-220-60-51-62-35-27-6282312299-65.1-2.3
178178.4Boston UniversityPat0.49420.47012543-416-130-00-11-24-611-45-6218236221-42.6-0.9
233232.0Bowling GreenMAC0.46700.49321712-512-180-10-11-34-88-55-7270269252-20.0-0.5
287272.5BradleyMVC0.44490.50481323-48-220-10-31-43-95-54-826622822349.51.7
251248.0BrownIvy0.45800.46132835-413-150-10-10-32-511-58-621729522622.00.6
215215.8BryantNEC0.47480.46712662-614-160-20-10-12-412-84-819166114101.82.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
108112.4BucknellPat0.53090.47992226-321-100-10-11-26-413-38-5911469616.40.5
125135.1BuffaloMAC0.51740.50711292-415-140-20-21-34-410-35-61321598352.11.3
1315.8ButlerBE0.62220.5848158-022-83-43-16-16-14-011-1917123.80.4
6874.9BYUWCC0.55470.5268925-321-101-30-12-28-39-19-4122148154-79.1-3.0
265257.2Cal PolyBW0.45290.45342973-412-160-00-00-23-69-84-823020417780.22.0
131142.6Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.51400.46762613-416-100-00-11-24-411-36-6171297251-108.4-2.7
332322.2Cal St. FullertonBW0.40360.43453262-59-180-00-00-12-77-103-8327326332-9.8-0.5
266259.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.45120.46242812-512-150-10-10-22-59-64-725110721742.51.0
6371.4CaliforniaP120.55810.5529596-119-111-32-34-36-17-09-3626299-27.6-0.9
306295.2CampbellBSth0.42920.44003183-411-160-00-10-31-49-84-529334328213.20.5
198195.1CanisiusMAAC0.48580.49611613-514-170-10-11-34-79-54-719012013065.11.7
283268.7Central ArkansasSlnd0.44640.48931851-79-220-20-20-22-87-82-11277452617.70.2
321313.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.41330.43463252-410-190-00-00-11-69-123-8312328322-8.3-0.4
156160.1Central MichiganMAC0.50370.48242115-216-130-00-11-36-69-37-413324914713.10.3
278265.9Charleston SouthernBSth0.44820.46392761-410-160-00-10-32-58-72-6273188269-3.1-0.1
177177.6CharlotteCUSA0.49480.49291725-214-140-10-12-53-39-45-516917213146.61.1
8386.7ChattanoogaSC0.54610.47622315-220-80-10-11-27-312-17-379211121-34.3-1.2
288273.9Chicago St.WAC0.44350.49681591-46-210-10-10-32-94-62-1124815717895.92.6
1618.5CincinnatiAmer0.61540.5485647-126-52-23-24-18-19-011-2183137-18.5-2.0
6170.5ClemsonACC0.55850.5721275-216-141-63-35-33-15-08-465764723.50.8
254249.7Cleveland St.Horz0.45710.50551302-59-200-20-10-43-76-63-82405522029.70.7
224222.6Coastal CarolinaSB0.47160.50741272-611-180-00-21-63-77-33-8276141294-71.4-1.7
301289.9ColgatePat0.43300.47212471-79-210-10-10-32-76-102-10313263317-27.1-0.9
112115.6College of CharlestonCAA0.52900.50151486-318-120-11-22-26-410-28-41071266352.61.5
6774.9ColoradoP120.55510.5381816-219-111-32-33-35-28-18-493138153-78.1-2.8
9495.8Colorado St.MWC0.54080.5253955-218-110-11-23-37-47-18-392109111-15.2-0.4
255252.2ColumbiaIvy0.45610.46182823-411-150-00-10-32-69-55-7243309258-5.8-0.2
128139.2ConnecticutAmer0.51560.5618412-411-180-31-52-44-34-24-719753242-102.8-2.9
348343.7Coppin St.MEAC0.36730.42743320-95-240-00-10-40-55-140-1333412532419.72.7
275264.7CornellIvy0.44870.49141772-58-190-10-20-42-66-73-10238135265-0.3-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2023.9CreightonBE0.60780.5554528-023-73-32-15-28-15-011-120192221.91.7
328319.5DartmouthIvy0.40790.47592330-66-210-00-10-41-74-92-11326251345-25.5-1.3
5968.7DavidsonA100.55950.5333895-218-111-31-22-27-38-17-472933533.71.3
2937.2DaytonA100.58870.5468685-221-80-22-25-27-17-08-341282710.20.6
220219.8DelawareCAA0.47320.48561963-312-170-00-11-34-78-45-622229320415.80.4
296285.3Delaware St.MEAC0.43640.43183301-711-180-10-10-21-510-102-1125711925332.31.0
248246.0DenverSum0.45970.45922863-413-160-00-10-24-89-56-722328521333.00.9
209205.8DePaulBE0.48000.5481664-211-190-70-31-43-46-18-420929615748.81.4
307295.7DetroitHorz0.42890.50311380-76-230-00-10-52-94-71-1030892316-20.3-0.7
318311.0DrakeMVC0.41680.50261440-66-220-10-20-32-103-62-8343299331-20.0-1.0
222222.0DrexelCAA0.47200.48172164-412-180-00-11-34-88-55-720631014874.01.9
99.9DukeACC0.63600.5867138-124-73-44-16-16-05-012-1154942-32.1-4.8
228228.7DuquesneA100.46900.50381364-513-180-21-31-33-68-47-625326815672.72.0
173174.1East CarolinaAmer0.49670.50871257-215-160-31-41-34-410-29-4151275187-12.9-0.3
6570.7East Tennessee St.SC0.55750.46702675-123-60-00-11-18-214-18-37327694-23.3-1.0
230230.7Eastern IllinoisOVC0.46790.44863084-314-130-00-00-14-69-65-6278349234-3.3-0.1
151157.0Eastern KentuckyOVC0.50590.49691574-415-140-10-11-44-59-46-713712311740.01.0
97100.6Eastern MichiganMAC0.53860.51521183-315-120-00-12-46-47-24-5109103171-70.4-1.9
205199.9Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48320.45452965-216-130-10-10-13-413-66-511212865134.93.1
122126.5ElonCAA0.52230.49241745-217-120-10-11-25-511-37-41112109828.50.8
184187.7EvansvilleMVC0.49000.51691143-413-160-20-31-35-67-26-51701051834.70.1
136144.8FairfieldMAAC0.51240.47582345-217-120-00-01-25-511-46-3126282163-18.2-0.5
258253.1Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45500.46282791-511-170-10-10-12-69-82-826486289-35.9-0.9
268262.2FIUCUSA0.45000.48442021-610-190-10-11-42-68-73-8302197271-8.8-0.2
79.5FloridaSEC0.63710.596157-123-83-44-17-28-12-010-35472.50.4
349345.5Florida A&MMEAC0.36080.40613440-76-210-10-00-00-56-150-11349272347-1.5-0.2
292280.5Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43950.48941841-58-190-10-21-41-56-81-8323158310-29.5-0.9
7785.8Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54730.47652304-319-80-20-11-14-214-28-563644837.81.3
3440.7Florida St.ACC0.58490.5738237-120-112-62-24-25-16-011-2331402515.70.9
221222.3FordhamA100.47230.50351374-412-180-10-31-54-67-46-6254294288-65.7-1.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
113115.6Fort WayneSum0.52860.45902875-219-81-10-10-14-314-28-3862347243.61.2
200197.2Fresno St.MWC0.48520.51141204-211-170-10-31-53-66-25-5212324290-92.8-2.2
142147.4FurmanSC0.51070.47912232-416-130-00-11-44-411-35-6167221260-112.6-3.0
195192.4Gardner WebbBSth0.48700.46432742-415-130-00-11-52-412-43-7221189245-52.6-1.3
185189.3George MasonA100.48930.50421335-314-160-10-31-34-68-27-51792561863.30.1
190189.2George WashingtonA100.48870.5266945-413-180-11-51-53-57-26-7202134231-41.8-1.1
9597.1GeorgetownBE0.54010.5777225-415-162-62-33-45-24-07-612956119-21.9-0.7
6471.7GeorgiaSEC0.55790.5796204-316-141-61-23-38-33-07-57737102-30.3-1.1
189189.8Georgia SouthernSB0.48890.49091803-413-160-00-11-53-69-44-7173182250-60.2-1.4
101105.9Georgia St.SB0.53470.49991503-317-110-10-12-36-49-25-597614065.91.8
194191.7Georgia TechACC0.48720.5531584-311-190-61-42-62-36-17-5220284202-10.3-0.3
1010.2GonzagaWCC0.63360.5391808-028-23-12-04-110-19-012-043455.20.9
345339.2Grambling St.SWAC0.37790.39553502-69-190-10-00-20-39-132-833333231326.22.5
179179.1Grand CanyonWAC0.49400.47302453-417-120-20-11-24-412-38-721324516415.10.4
143148.5Green BayHorz0.51040.49971513-415-140-10-11-35-69-35-6130701444.50.1
323315.2HamptonMEAC0.41180.40113471-612-150-00-00-11-410-102-9324219334-18.8-0.8
335327.4HartfordAE0.39890.44453122-78-230-00-00-31-77-133-12345345337-9.6-0.6
208205.8HarvardIvy0.48040.48551981-412-130-00-11-33-58-44-7239153270-64.2-1.4
289273.6HawaiiBW0.44330.44443143-313-130-10-10-12-311-74-6291226300-26.4-0.7
240239.4High PointBSth0.46330.46362773-413-150-00-10-42-410-64-623518717366.41.7
227225.8HofstraCAA0.47020.48422035-313-170-10-11-34-68-56-620429020619.80.5
201196.9Holy CrossPat0.48500.48252103-515-160-10-21-33-511-56-715815114947.91.2
3137.7HoustonAmer0.58800.52251026-123-71-22-23-17-210-010-24622461-23.3-1.4
218219.0Houston BaptistSlnd0.47380.49061820-410-150-10-20-32-58-51-622932109.00.2
270263.6HowardMEAC0.44950.43323271-513-160-10-20-21-512-62-11269104326-62.4-1.7
229228.1IdahoBSky0.46890.43983193-314-130-00-00-13-511-74-520825018939.10.9
295284.4Idaho St.BSky0.43660.48002201-78-210-10-10-31-77-91-1029974309-24.6-0.7
8893.1IllinoisB100.54200.5705315-315-151-42-43-46-34-08-49836921.10.0
243242.3Illinois ChicagoHorz0.46140.46802603-413-160-00-01-33-89-55-62893302339.30.2
5565.6Illinois St.MVC0.56280.51911103-218-90-10-22-29-46-16-337573827.61.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
223222.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.47180.47842261-311-140-00-00-23-78-52-52509714577.91.6
1820.4IndianaB100.61360.5737247-123-84-33-23-15-17-011-2237232-11.6-1.0
129138.8Indiana St.MVC0.51530.52011073-415-140-20-31-36-47-35-614787193-54.2-1.5
103106.3IonaMAAC0.53390.49211754-320-110-01-21-26-311-47-470121118-11.7-0.4
199195.6IowaB100.48570.5447703-512-190-51-52-53-46-16-7263216259-63.4-1.7
2332.0Iowa St.B120.59550.5715295-220-103-62-15-25-15-09-36619588-56.0-3.6
155158.9IUPUISum0.50480.47802273-514-140-10-21-34-410-45-7140145167-8.1-0.2
313301.7Jackson St.SWAC0.42400.40963421-612-160-10-10-20-412-91-9325230305-3.3-0.1
206204.9JacksonvilleASun0.48070.42313364-316-110-00-00-22-314-68-518734618024.90.6
183187.0Jacksonville St.OVC0.49080.47322444-413-160-00-11-33-69-56-716030415829.00.7
260255.3James MadisonCAA0.45460.50261431-79-210-00-10-43-115-53-9285177276-20.7-0.6
47.6KansasB120.64310.605227-124-74-44-28-17-01-011-26815-7.4-1.2
7277.0Kansas St.B120.55330.5481657-118-132-61-23-35-17-011-296327124-47.0-1.6
317309.0Kennesaw St.ASun0.41740.44983032-68-200-00-10-31-67-104-10306308328-19.0-0.7
196194.9Kent St.MAC0.48610.47012554-316-140-00-11-35-610-47-5260347291-96.1-2.2
89.3KentuckySEC0.63700.5797197-126-54-33-16-19-04-010-3141230-20.7-3.4
8994.8La SalleA100.54160.5426724-216-130-21-33-46-46-16-567166826.80.8
298285.6LafayettePat0.43570.47222462-49-190-10-00-33-76-83-727223526817.60.6
312300.5LamarSlnd0.42410.42193373-311-160-00-00-02-710-94-529635023070.52.4
8691.3LehighPat0.54370.48492003-419-90-10-01-26-412-25-57583110-18.7-0.6
213211.7LibertyBSth0.47670.47622322-413-150-10-11-22-511-53-722577267-55.3-1.3
305293.7LipscombASun0.42930.45892881-79-190-10-00-31-68-93-11321253340-46.3-1.5
147151.3Little RockSB0.50860.47152484-218-110-11-12-24-311-47-416332911338.31.0
231230.7LIU BrooklynNEC0.46760.42823315-217-130-00-00-03-514-87-518833119238.71.0
204199.9Long Beach St.BW0.48390.50151470-911-190-40-10-32-49-72-122031118415.90.4
340332.7LongwoodBSth0.39140.45242981-46-210-10-10-21-65-121-8347316351-18.3-1.3
98101.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53750.49621605-219-100-00-13-35-311-27-4106229133-31.7-0.9
271264.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.44930.50041491-59-200-00-21-63-75-64-7280248329-65.0-1.8
99102.7Louisiana TechCUSA0.53650.46982563-321-80-10-12-33-216-17-4118222168-65.3-2.1
37.2LouisvilleACC0.64450.614117-123-84-54-16-17-03-011-23214-6.8-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
135143.8Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51250.48841885-217-120-11-21-25-610-28-3136319170-26.2-0.7
162166.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.50040.5243971-213-150-40-11-34-58-25-5219220275-108.3-2.5
203198.3Loyola MDPat0.48400.48322063-413-150-10-11-24-59-64-612711789109.32.4
8793.4LSUSEC0.54220.5720285-215-151-32-43-46-33-08-45118103-9.6-0.3
320313.9MaineAE0.41400.46752621-67-230-10-10-31-76-113-1132028929221.91.0
253249.8ManhattanMAAC0.45740.49391702-611-200-10-21-43-87-64-720014423514.80.4
245244.3MaristMAAC0.46070.49721554-511-200-10-10-33-87-64-717410623212.30.3
4246.7MarquetteBE0.57850.5602446-220-103-52-24-26-16-09-385175108-61.3-3.0
110112.7MarshallCUSA0.53070.52121045-216-140-10-22-44-49-26-680337834.70.9
7685.4MarylandB100.54770.5464697-118-121-32-43-36-25-110-2491813451.41.7
308295.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42860.43893200-710-180-10-20-20-49-101-1130079323-27.9-0.9
105108.8MassachusettsA100.53300.5238995-218-130-11-33-46-48-19-41081838226.80.8
334326.5McNeese St.Slnd0.39960.47452380-45-210-10-10-21-84-100-83116328046.52.6
144147.9MemphisAmer0.51030.50991246-217-140-21-42-44-310-19-4186278201-53.1-1.4
182184.8MercerSC0.49130.49411693-414-150-10-11-54-59-34-71829412262.81.6
4146.9Miami FLACC0.57860.5601466-220-102-62-24-25-07-010-28323970-23.1-1.1
299286.7Miami OHMAC0.43550.49261733-49-200-00-11-43-106-54-7310306314-27.3-0.9
3238.7MichiganB100.58710.5701326-221-102-43-35-26-15-010-3426576-37.3-2.0
4448.5Michigan St.B100.57710.5846165-418-132-63-34-25-15-09-4552781-32.5-1.5
4651.2Middle TennesseeCUSA0.57350.51081217-123-70-01-13-39-210-19-31915942.22.1
263255.6MilwaukeeHorz0.45400.49551632-510-200-00-11-44-86-73-924513622926.60.7
2736.2MinnesotaB100.59030.5730267-121-101-33-36-28-13-012-112431026.21.4
117120.3MississippiSEC0.52580.5589496-215-161-51-33-47-44-09-490402892.32.7
149152.0Mississippi St.SEC0.50830.5376826-214-160-41-33-55-46-09-3121203174-22.0-0.6
325316.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.41110.45122990-98-230-30-20-20-48-120-132902426452.32.4
181183.4MissouriSEC0.49150.5350874-313-170-41-32-53-46-17-5231252243-59.6-1.6
145149.7Missouri St.MVC0.50950.49011833-217-120-11-22-26-59-27-4177314166-16.3-0.4
5868.0MonmouthMAAC0.55970.49861536-222-90-20-11-28-313-27-4616774-6.0-0.2
246243.3MontanaBSky0.46070.44983042-615-160-10-10-13-612-74-929225522815.30.4
175176.6Montana St.BSky0.49520.44853093-318-110-00-01-13-414-66-5178223197-20.4-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
226225.6Morehead St.OVC0.47030.49471651-510-170-10-11-43-76-43-8262170278-52.4-1.2
339329.9Morgan St.MEAC0.39420.39733481-611-170-00-10-10-510-112-1033524731514.90.9
176177.3Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49510.48282071-815-160-20-20-22-412-63-101722312651.31.3
127137.0Murray St.OVC0.51710.47482374-417-110-00-11-16-510-46-6175241209-72.0-1.8
273264.2NavyPat0.44910.48162172-611-180-00-10-33-87-74-726716222737.21.0
7886.3NebraskaB100.54720.5905114-313-161-52-53-43-24-06-55365234.31.1
138145.1Nebraska OmahaSum0.51210.48272083-415-130-10-11-34-411-35-7114951369.10.2
4046.4NevadaMWC0.57880.5284917-222-90-11-14-311-46-110-331823313.40.7
132143.1New HampshireAE0.51350.47382414-316-110-10-01-23-311-56-510416510538.11.0
8489.7New MexicoMWC0.54540.5353865-318-120-11-32-47-47-18-49990141-51.3-1.5
115118.0New Mexico St.WAC0.52750.46742636-219-80-00-01-27-411-29-41172649325.00.7
256251.5New OrleansSlnd0.45590.45982852-311-150-00-10-22-58-62-6211130127124.52.9
282267.5NiagaraMAAC0.44680.47532352-611-200-00-11-33-86-93-8318322279-11.5-0.3
261253.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.45460.46502713-410-170-00-10-22-58-83-61248495158.74.0
202197.6NJITASun0.48470.46392754-414-140-10-20-31-312-66-8176200262-64.4-1.5
322313.7Norfolk St.MEAC0.41280.41993390-710-180-10-10-11-510-91-1132213728132.71.4
15.3North CarolinaACC0.65100.594477-125-65-44-17-15-05-011-282123-17.7-3.8
347343.5North Carolina A&TMEAC0.36760.41793400-76-230-10-00-10-76-151-1234829132122.53.0
171173.0North Carolina CentralMEAC0.49740.40173464-319-80-00-10-12-217-46-511526659114.03.3
107109.7North Carolina St.ACC0.53160.5581506-216-151-61-33-35-26-110-3872056247.71.5
239236.5North DakotaBSky0.46420.42743331-214-110-00-00-13-411-62-5237179302-65.5-1.4
140147.0North Dakota St.Sum0.51120.47432404-316-110-10-11-13-511-46-51021299057.01.4
262255.3North FloridaASun0.45440.48152181-79-180-10-20-41-58-63-102589919065.31.7
311299.2North TexasCUSA0.42630.48232122-49-190-00-10-51-77-64-631430524455.22.1
180182.8NortheasternCAA0.49200.49821544-413-170-00-11-36-66-65-7183191257-74.2-1.7
344338.3Northern ArizonaBSky0.38160.43513241-77-230-00-00-11-76-152-103393023353.30.3
300288.0Northern ColoradoBSky0.43330.43843221-511-160-10-10-21-410-92-7265150188100.02.9
210208.0Northern IllinoisMAC0.47960.48911863-413-150-00-11-24-67-64-6244233272-64.0-1.4
114117.4Northern IowaMVC0.52780.5267932-415-130-31-22-16-56-24-6148446651.41.4
161166.0Northern KentuckyHorz0.50050.47992214-316-130-10-11-33-511-56-5149227199-33.0-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4551.2NorthwesternB100.57480.5551536-221-101-53-34-27-16-010-3541521635.21.5
267259.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.45050.44963061-410-150-00-10-22-59-62-524719020059.91.4
2123.3Notre DameACC0.60770.5602458-024-73-43-15-15-08-012-12213145-21.7-1.8
9395.3OaklandHorz0.54090.46532706-122-70-00-11-26-215-28-3131313191-95.7-3.2
8087.4OhioMAC0.54660.48651955-120-80-00-01-27-311-28-2682875829.40.9
3339.3Ohio St.B100.58700.5634397-121-102-43-25-26-16-011-227113318.30.4
7379.1OklahomaB120.55210.5882125-215-152-72-33-33-24-08-48869137-57.9-2.0
5158.4Oklahoma St.B120.56850.5825175-216-142-72-34-34-14-09-35610864-5.6-0.2
9095.5Old DominionCUSA0.54100.49691585-220-100-11-12-36-311-28-4101116123-27.5-0.9
304290.8Oral RobertsSum0.43230.50411340-76-220-20-10-32-104-61-112943026327.80.9
2434.2OregonP120.59270.5534566-222-81-32-25-27-16-010-24714756-21.8-1.3
280268.9Oregon St.P120.44710.5373832-67-230-40-51-62-64-34-8331334296-27.1-1.0
167171.2PacificWCC0.49800.51821113-414-160-50-11-25-57-36-6198240176-4.8-0.1
133143.1PennIvy0.51350.49131782-415-120-10-21-34-310-36-71431011430.10.0
120121.4Penn St.B100.52500.5609436-314-171-61-42-36-35-19-41191399724.40.7
197195.3PepperdineWCC0.48610.5413743-410-190-40-11-34-75-44-719980240-44.7-1.1
6069.2PittsburghACC0.55890.597746-215-161-72-34-36-22-110-33935609.20.4
121123.5PortlandWCC0.52370.51741133-316-140-50-11-25-310-27-5150238128-4.5-0.1
294281.5Portland St.BSky0.43720.42393352-311-150-00-00-12-69-83-5268325308-26.5-0.7
319313.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.41410.43243281-69-210-20-10-31-39-121-1128191212101.84.7
331322.6PresbyterianBSth0.40460.44973052-47-200-00-00-22-75-102-7317321330-7.4-0.4
9196.4PrincetonIvy0.54090.49461681-316-100-00-11-34-311-26-68159169-72.6-2.0
6674.5ProvidenceBE0.55530.5655366-218-132-72-23-25-26-110-3431142945.51.6
2228.0PurdueB100.60040.5544546-223-82-43-25-17-16-010-35815444-16.0-1.2
259255.0QuinnipiacMAAC0.45470.48721922-511-190-10-10-44-77-74-625921419659.01.6
272263.5RadfordBSth0.44930.48212132-510-180-20-10-31-58-62-8234472558.50.2
2837.3Rhode IslandA100.58920.5554515-321-91-22-24-37-27-08-4382049-11.7-0.6
8588.9RiceCUSA0.54490.48681946-221-80-00-12-36-313-28-374180142-53.1-1.9
174176.7RichmondA100.49540.51001234-414-160-11-31-53-49-26-6232259218-41.3-1.1
207205.6RiderMAAC0.48060.46252803-315-160-00-11-34-711-66-5193344225-19.4-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
242241.7Robert MorrisNEC0.46180.46972572-713-180-10-00-22-610-83-1024181274-32.3-0.9
165168.4RutgersB100.49930.52231036-114-160-41-51-43-39-19-31383428583.42.2
342336.3Sacramento St.BSky0.38390.43853210-66-210-00-00-11-65-131-834424632511.30.9
329320.3Sacred HeartNEC0.40720.43203293-510-210-00-10-12-59-144-930933528337.31.9
123127.9Saint Joseph'sA100.52230.5446713-414-160-21-32-55-46-25-7128527948.91.3
297286.9Saint LouisA100.43590.52091062-57-240-10-41-62-85-44-9301215304-17.1-0.7
1515.8Saint Mary'sWCC0.62100.5309906-026-31-12-03-110-19-011-01075312.81.7
188189.2Saint Peter'sMAAC0.48910.47912244-315-150-10-11-34-510-55-5192260303-113.8-2.8
160166.4Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50050.46472733-316-110-10-10-13-412-44-51411248086.42.0
159166.0SamfordSC0.50090.47052535-316-130-10-11-33-412-36-514627112541.01.1
237236.9San DiegoWCC0.46460.5253963-59-200-50-20-32-76-45-624621717561.91.8
5464.0San Diego St.MWC0.56360.51471193-219-80-11-13-28-47-16-3100243577.00.2
154158.3San FranciscoWCC0.50500.50401356-115-130-40-11-24-410-38-214433714612.30.3
191190.4San Jose St.MWC0.48840.51661153-311-160-10-21-44-66-35-419625713852.41.3
249247.7Santa ClaraWCC0.45910.51821123-610-200-40-10-43-76-44-8305270306-58.3-1.7
350346.4Savannah St.MEAC0.35660.41273410-85-220-10-20-20-45-140-113462123442.40.4
274263.8SeattleWAC0.44910.47432391-510-160-10-10-32-78-45-7287274162101.82.6
6975.4Seton HallBE0.55450.5657355-216-142-71-22-24-27-08-494143116-40.6-1.5
126136.1SienaMAAC0.51740.50511313-516-150-10-12-45-510-44-716651208-71.9-1.8
216217.7SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.47450.48462014-412-160-10-10-24-68-65-716519413483.72.1
5259.0SMUAmer0.56740.5406776-321-101-22-33-27-28-09-47873112-53.0-2.2
134143.9South AlabamaSB0.51260.49061815-217-120-00-11-35-410-37-414228610142.91.1
1719.4South CarolinaSEC0.61500.5591488-024-62-23-17-28-14-011-11142136.40.6
316307.5South Carolina St.MEAC0.41850.45612930-57-200-20-30-20-37-90-11226121691.53.3
217217.7South DakotaSum0.47410.47782284-413-160-10-10-24-79-56-716814218235.70.9
241240.0South Dakota St.Sum0.46270.48721932-611-180-00-10-34-87-54-924998254-14.0-0.3
279267.6South FloridaAmer0.44780.50281424-310-190-30-30-32-67-46-528433625611.60.4
281267.5Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44690.46492723-411-170-10-00-23-88-65-728633323631.50.8
234232.7Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46690.44193163-415-140-00-00-22-513-75-6205320273-40.3-0.9
236234.3SouthernSWAC0.46590.40483452-316-120-10-00-21-316-53-7236242238-3.7-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
139145.7Southern IllinoisMVC0.51180.5241984-315-150-20-31-37-66-27-5103508461.71.6
333326.2Southern MissCUSA0.40050.47502361-35-210-00-20-51-65-82-6338279343-16.8-1.0
338328.1Southern UtahBSky0.39640.43713230-67-220-00-00-11-66-141-10340288339-10.9-0.6
5359.0St. BonaventureA100.56740.52301015-221-90-21-23-28-39-19-348115536.00.2
336327.4St. Francis NYNEC0.39790.44183171-68-220-10-00-11-67-132-1033029829532.41.9
291277.5St. Francis PANEC0.44100.44863072-411-170-00-10-21-410-93-7271213319-41.5-1.2
148151.8St. John'sBE0.50850.5652373-511-201-71-42-52-26-26-7201166247-95.2-2.8
5055.4StanfordP120.57070.5715306-317-121-42-34-35-15-07-43013550.40.0
168172.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.49780.47062521-314-110-10-10-13-410-42-5228102293-120.3-2.5
327319.1StetsonASun0.40840.44753102-58-200-00-10-21-67-114-103163173118.10.4
290275.0Stony BrookAE0.44240.46562692-511-180-00-00-33-78-84-9297277298-23.0-0.7
4752.7SyracuseACC0.57260.5538555-221-102-62-24-26-17-010-371168115-62.3-2.7
3845.1TCUB120.58050.5802187-019-112-52-26-35-14-011-11796639.11.8
4854.0TempleAmer0.57180.5495616-220-112-32-23-27-47-19-429251935.01.6
124130.0TennesseeSEC0.52030.5730252-312-181-71-32-44-35-06-615632179-49.0-1.4
172172.9Tennessee MartinOVC0.49720.47122506-216-130-10-11-34-511-48-512325810468.91.7
9295.6Tennessee St.OVC0.54090.47142496-119-80-11-01-25-312-28-3642657124.60.8
314305.9Tennessee TechOVC0.42090.46862592-68-210-00-10-32-95-73-10332339342-36.1-1.5
116118.9TexasB120.52670.5924104-312-191-71-53-64-13-07-612548135-16.1-0.5
3542.8Texas A&MSEC0.58300.5642384-220-101-52-24-26-17-09-3574673-30.2-1.5
158163.3Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50290.44983023-116-100-10-10-13-313-44-41522541558.30.2
102104.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.53440.45732914-421-100-30-21-21-218-25-84076935.81.7
277265.1Texas St.SB0.44850.45033013-312-160-00-11-32-59-75-5295351287-21.9-0.6
6270.7Texas TechB120.55840.5532577-119-122-52-24-35-17-012-16930177-6.3-0.2
310299.9The CitadelSC0.42650.47062514-48-200-00-10-41-87-64-625230021485.93.5
166170.4ToledoMAC0.49850.50811263-514-160-00-21-45-68-35-71648510961.41.5
152157.6TowsonCAA0.50530.49591623-416-140-00-11-35-59-46-6180199207-49.4-1.3
250247.7TroySB0.45870.49211763-410-190-00-11-42-77-55-625530720344.71.2
293283.2TulaneAmer0.43810.51581171-77-230-30-40-32-85-54-8328318312-28.8-1.1
186188.2TulsaAmer0.48920.5357853-311-170-31-51-32-47-25-5215176215-26.8-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
130139.7UABCUSA0.51470.48881874-418-120-20-12-34-412-26-6184173205-65.3-1.8
257252.0UC DavisBW0.45580.44323154-413-160-00-00-22-511-85-8210262285-33.0-0.9
153159.0UC IrvineBW0.50510.48212144-416-130-10-20-32-213-55-811626194-35.0-0.9
309295.2UC RiversideBW0.42740.45762900-48-180-10-00-11-57-102-827915523956.21.6
285269.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.44600.48382040-59-180-10-20-21-67-72-9242192663.50.1
3945.0UCFAmer0.57980.52101056-123-71-31-12-18-210-111-1442371134.01.8
1415.7UCLAP120.62140.5417739-027-43-14-15-16-09-012-11311121-5.3-0.6
276265.7UMass LowellAE0.44860.46682682-712-180-10-00-22-79-84-10288267297-31.3-0.9
211207.9UMBCAE0.47930.44753114-115-120-00-00-22-412-56-5194340219-11.1-0.2
157161.4UMKCWAC0.50330.49541645-315-130-30-01-15-69-37-713511015011.40.3
9697.3UNC AshevilleBSth0.53970.47782294-320-90-10-11-25-214-36-550547522.30.7
170171.8UNC GreensboroSC0.49760.47902255-216-120-10-11-34-410-36-415720216011.80.3
4347.3UNC WilmingtonCAA0.57730.50291405-123-70-00-12-210-311-19-326891730.31.6
187188.7UNLVMWC0.48920.52361005-314-170-30-32-44-77-17-6233198222-33.3-0.9
3037.0USCP120.58850.5336888-023-71-23-24-26-19-012-0211932413.00.7
269263.9USC UpstateASun0.44950.45083004-511-160-00-00-32-59-75-8216273139124.93.5
5767.2UT ArlingtonSB0.56080.50171465-320-90-10-12-26-311-26-535584126.21.1
326318.0UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.41020.47332432-76-220-00-10-21-115-83-11319303320-2.0-0.1
8187.8UtahP120.54650.5400783-116-101-32-33-34-17-16-2110169198-110.2-3.2
119122.3Utah St.MWC0.52510.5409753-414-140-11-22-57-55-15-515488195-72.7-1.9
137145.4Utah ValleyWAC0.51220.47342424-215-110-10-01-14-410-47-51202448659.41.4
302290.1UTEPCUSA0.43270.46742641-410-180-00-11-42-58-73-7303231336-45.9-1.5
315307.7UTSACUSA0.41890.45882892-69-200-00-10-41-67-103-8329315327-19.3-0.8
7075.8ValparaisoHorz0.55420.48551976-122-80-11-12-16-313-29-359156678.80.3
7479.2VanderbiltSEC0.55190.594664-414-171-62-44-45-33-07-6845106-26.8-0.9
3641.9VCUA100.58290.5365846-223-80-22-25-28-28-110-3366043-1.1-0.1
7986.8VermontAE0.54680.48272095-321-90-20-11-16-215-29-5821125036.81.3
25.3VillanovaBE0.65100.5857148-026-55-34-16-17-04-012-121441.30.3
68.6VirginiaACC0.63950.592887-124-64-44-16-15-05-010-2163826-17.4-2.8
5666.6Virginia TechACC0.56100.5495626-119-112-52-34-23-18-011-1602615412.60.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
330322.5VMISC0.40560.48811890-65-220-10-10-41-83-90-9342201348-25.5-1.5
214216.1WagnerNEC0.47540.44443132-415-120-00-00-22-412-73-6224218277-60.9-1.5
4954.7Wake ForestACC0.57100.5782216-216-141-71-33-36-15-09-325393915.70.7
100103.4WashingtonP120.53610.5492634-316-141-42-42-43-28-17-5145171181-77.6-2.3
225225.1Washington St.P120.47040.5517603-48-210-40-41-53-54-25-625619617253.11.7
212208.9Weber St.BSky0.47860.46742651-513-140-00-10-22-511-62-7274127318-109.1-2.5
1111.6West VirginiaB120.63100.5660346-126-54-24-16-16-06-012-13220646-34.4-4.8
286271.1Western CarolinaSC0.44570.51081222-57-220-10-20-51-85-53-816222152119.14.1
343337.0Western IllinoisSum0.38320.45722920-64-210-10-10-21-73-111-8350338349-12.0-1.0
252249.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.45780.49711563-511-200-10-11-53-87-55-8275232307-57.7-1.5
219219.9Western MichiganMAC0.47340.51621161-510-190-20-11-53-66-43-8261132284-64.1-1.5
2533.4Wichita St.MVC0.59140.50181456-226-40-11-14-111-110-010-276207107-73.6-6.5
164168.5William & MaryCAA0.50010.50721282-412-150-20-11-24-57-43-6185100211-42.5-0.9
109111.3WinthropBSth0.53070.46092843-319-80-00-11-14-214-35-41051649120.30.7
1922.2WisconsinB100.60990.5600477-224-72-44-25-16-06-010-34517836-13.8-1.2
247243.9WoffordSC0.46040.49101790-610-180-00-21-53-76-51-9304160286-42.1-1.0
169172.2Wright St.Horz0.49770.48751915-315-140-00-01-35-79-46-513916715121.20.5
150153.4WyomingMWC0.50770.50291414-215-130-00-12-46-67-27-313428312033.40.8
1215.9XavierBE0.62240.592897-122-92-53-26-28-12-011-27987.90.8
106108.7YaleIvy0.53280.48541993-416-100-10-12-24-310-37-5951181008.70.2
238237.3Youngstown St.Horz0.46430.48811903-411-180-00-11-32-77-64-720718422413.30.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com