live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Dec 1, 2016.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4048.3DavidsonA100.57740.5377845-120-91-31-22-29-27-18-340922325.31.2
2936.4DaytonA100.59010.5525554-221-81-22-25-26-17-08-335202016.41.0
259255.5DuquesneA100.45390.50951263-511-200-30-31-32-67-56-728625021837.51.2
205205.9FordhamA100.48020.50451374-313-170-10-31-44-58-47-5225290230-24.1-0.6
199200.3George MasonA100.48280.50941274-313-170-20-31-34-77-27-5196251203-2.7-0.1
174176.1George WashingtonA100.49570.5249974-314-170-21-51-43-58-26-7202168309-132.9-3.5
106107.7La SalleA100.53320.5454673-215-140-21-33-45-46-16-59718119-11.3-0.3
108108.4MassachusettsA100.53280.5254965-118-130-11-33-36-48-19-4941747335.41.0
2733.6Rhode IslandA100.59330.5577485-221-91-22-24-37-26-08-4272152-18.4-1.1
173173.8RichmondA100.49640.51001254-315-150-21-31-43-49-27-5226299233-59.2-1.5
117121.4Saint Joseph'sA100.52540.5432713-314-160-21-32-45-46-26-61306811011.40.3
290278.6Saint LouisA100.44040.51751132-48-230-20-41-52-86-45-8303218314-35.4-1.3
5661.9St. BonaventureA100.56570.51971044-221-90-21-22-18-39-19-36315071-9.1-0.4
2631.1VCUA100.59600.5351876-124-70-22-24-110-28-011-2268335-3.9-0.3
245245.5Boston CollegeACC0.45970.5472643-38-230-60-51-62-45-27-6297316298-52.5-2.0
6268.2ClemsonACC0.56070.5804184-216-141-63-34-34-14-08-446381256.22.1
78.6DukeACC0.64060.591697-124-74-44-16-16-04-012-1143519-10.4-1.7
4150.8Florida St.ACC0.57540.5743236-119-122-62-34-25-16-011-2391472426.81.2
165168.6Georgia TechACC0.49930.5544544-212-181-61-42-52-37-18-4185281188-19.4-0.5
36.5LouisvilleACC0.64810.617616-124-75-55-15-16-03-011-24217-10.5-2.0
3745.8Miami FLACC0.57980.5610445-220-102-62-24-24-07-010-286239441.80.1
25.9North CarolinaACC0.65000.600336-125-65-44-16-15-05-011-2101718-12.1-2.5
110109.3North Carolina St.ACC0.53190.5601455-216-151-61-33-35-26-110-3961937732.31.0
2026.0Notre DameACC0.60380.5643387-023-83-43-25-16-07-012-12111133-7.0-0.5
4249.5PittsburghACC0.57540.596766-117-141-72-35-26-13-011-2244854-4.5-0.2
3039.6SyracuseACC0.58630.5583464-222-92-52-24-16-17-010-36016298-58.4-3.1
14.7VirginiaACC0.65560.598357-025-55-44-16-15-05-011-192813-8.3-2.0
5864.9Virginia TechACC0.56270.5521576-119-111-52-34-24-18-011-150256577.90.3
5259.3Wake ForestACC0.56770.5815175-216-141-71-33-35-15-08-428344316.30.7
146156.7AlbanyAE0.50590.46562633-318-120-10-11-24-413-57-715521313917.70.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
283270.8BinghamtonAE0.44410.45253003-411-170-00-10-22-69-85-7251314292-21.2-0.6
344335.7HartfordAE0.38720.44383141-77-240-00-10-21-76-143-12350343342-6.3-0.5
323310.8MaineAE0.41580.46472721-58-220-10-10-31-76-103-1131527027733.81.4
144156.1New HampshireAE0.50640.46952563-316-110-10-01-23-411-56-511617012135.10.8
306298.6Stony BrookAE0.42570.45752851-510-190-00-00-22-77-93-10330306331-32.4-1.1
261255.3UMass LowellAE0.45310.46452732-612-180-10-00-22-710-85-92652432532.30.1
219212.5UMBCAE0.47650.44093194-115-120-00-00-22-512-56-5197338214-1.5-0.0
8391.3VermontAE0.54350.47732315-321-90-20-11-15-215-29-5891197516.30.6
1821.0CincinnatiAmer0.61110.5483626-125-62-23-24-18-19-011-2153234-13.0-1.2
137143.2ConnecticutAmer0.51280.5611422-411-180-31-52-54-45-24-720153206-62.8-1.8
190187.7East CarolinaAmer0.48960.50841306-215-160-21-41-33-410-28-5172278241-53.3-1.4
3342.7HoustonAmer0.58290.52311025-123-71-12-23-27-210-010-24522251-8.3-0.4
116120.6MemphisAmer0.52580.51431216-119-120-21-32-44-210-19-4142238189-68.4-1.9
4450.9SMUAmer0.57500.5410784-321-101-22-34-27-28-09-47870113-62.1-2.8
278269.8South FloridaAmer0.44560.50271454-29-200-30-30-32-67-46-527633423534.81.2
5358.9TempleAmer0.56760.5493605-220-111-32-23-27-47-19-436301642.91.8
279269.7TulaneAmer0.44530.51641171-68-220-30-41-42-75-44-8324315296-26.3-0.9
188186.7TulsaAmer0.49030.5326903-211-170-21-41-42-47-25-5207205226-39.3-1.0
4651.0UCFAmer0.57460.51911095-122-81-21-12-18-210-110-2592523219.00.9
8493.4Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54270.47192503-319-80-20-11-14-214-28-57973903.40.1
211208.9JacksonvilleASun0.47840.41923394-316-110-00-10-21-314-68-518734617830.90.8
319308.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.41750.44953052-58-200-00-10-31-67-94-10309293325-16.4-0.6
305296.4LipscombASun0.42660.45562891-69-190-10-00-21-77-93-11321257345-48.6-1.5
192192.6NJITASun0.48720.46492683-414-140-10-20-31-212-66-8177172256-63.4-1.5
280270.2North FloridaASun0.44470.47992191-69-180-10-20-31-67-62-1125988164106.22.9
331322.2StetsonASun0.40490.44263172-58-200-00-10-31-67-114-103223173211.20.1
291277.8USC UpstateASun0.43950.44823082-410-170-00-00-32-68-75-8238277125152.84.4
129134.7IllinoisB100.51720.5665334-313-170-41-42-45-43-07-513441135-0.3-0.0
1720.3IndianaB100.61380.5716255-123-84-33-23-16-17-011-2236439-18.7-1.6
157164.3IowaB100.50160.5429733-414-171-51-42-44-46-07-6212184180-15.7-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9699.7MarylandB100.53790.5440696-117-131-31-43-37-35-010-2821865643.71.4
3545.6MichiganB100.58040.5610435-221-102-43-34-27-16-010-34810689-43.4-2.1
3141.5Michigan St.B100.58440.5829154-419-121-63-34-26-15-09-4532760-18.5-1.0
3646.1MinnesotaB100.58000.5693306-120-111-33-35-39-23-011-222521432.11.4
8894.1NebraskaB100.54190.5883113-313-161-52-52-44-24-06-571107816.10.5
5560.3NorthwesternB100.56690.5445685-221-101-52-33-17-17-010-3811972931.31.2
2430.8Ohio St.B100.59770.5619416-123-82-33-25-27-16-011-2251021515.81.0
132136.8Penn St.B100.51630.5579475-314-170-61-41-36-45-18-51251239640.81.2
2228.6PurdueB100.59970.5566515-223-82-43-25-18-16-010-344125217.60.5
182182.4RutgersB100.49220.51531185-113-170-31-41-43-48-19-315434576106.42.7
2329.2WisconsinB100.59910.5549536-223-82-44-25-16-16-010-36719980-50.8-3.5
1011.5BaylorB120.63300.600247-022-84-44-26-25-13-011-11829.51.2
2531.7Iowa St.B120.59600.5689315-221-93-52-15-26-15-09-36918997-65.3-4.2
47.5KansasB120.64490.606726-124-74-44-27-17-11-011-23525-17.5-2.9
9399.4Kansas St.B120.53860.5414776-117-141-61-33-35-27-011-2107335153-53.6-1.7
6570.0OklahomaB120.55910.5841145-116-142-62-34-34-24-08-47574147-77.0-2.8
5158.3Oklahoma St.B120.56910.5751215-117-132-62-34-35-14-09-343143109-50.7-2.0
4753.5TCUB120.57330.5792196-018-122-52-25-36-13-011-11682944.51.8
128135.5TexasB120.51720.5880123-311-201-61-53-73-23-07-615356216-80.5-2.3
6468.9Texas TechB120.56020.5487616-120-112-52-24-35-27-011-288307124-55.1-2.0
1416.0West VirginiaB120.62160.5638395-125-64-33-16-27-06-011-241198105-89.0-9.6
1214.7ButlerBE0.62510.5841137-023-74-43-16-16-15-011-1715410.71.2
1925.4CreightonBE0.60510.5523567-023-73-32-15-29-15-011-119200124.41.8
206206.1DePaulBE0.48010.5459654-111-190-70-31-52-46-18-420430011492.12.7
100104.0GeorgetownBE0.53550.5726244-415-162-61-33-45-25-07-614875167-63.0-2.0
5460.1MarquetteBE0.56730.5574495-219-113-51-23-25-17-09-3102191172-111.9-4.4
7375.1ProvidenceBE0.55510.5666325-217-142-71-23-25-27-110-349974134.11.2
7476.8Seton HallBE0.55380.5650365-216-142-71-22-25-27-08-490130111-34.2-1.2
163167.9St. John'sBE0.49990.5653352-511-201-71-41-52-35-26-7216159274-106.1-3.0
67.4VillanovaBE0.64400.5829167-026-54-34-16-17-04-012-151661.40.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1111.9XavierBE0.63170.5915107-023-83-43-17-28-12-011-22738.91.1
226219.8Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47310.45552904-215-140-10-10-13-512-75-6150144102117.82.6
237235.9IdahoBSky0.46440.44103182-314-130-00-00-12-511-83-6237260269-33.1-0.8
289276.7Idaho St.BSky0.44080.48222101-69-200-10-10-31-77-91-1028154278-1.3-0.0
254251.5MontanaBSky0.45570.44553111-615-160-00-10-12-612-74-93072942510.50.0
180178.9Montana St.BSky0.49390.44653093-318-110-00-00-13-415-66-5176227185-6.1-0.1
234231.9North DakotaBSky0.46650.43423271-213-120-00-00-13-510-62-5220122250-18.1-0.4
336330.5Northern ArizonaBSky0.39410.43803241-68-220-00-00-11-78-132-1033125930723.51.5
286274.9Northern ColoradoBSky0.44200.44423131-511-160-10-10-21-410-82-7239109132142.93.7
304293.2Portland St.BSky0.42840.42353351-310-160-00-00-12-69-92-6294329328-34.8-1.0
345337.5Sacramento St.BSky0.38230.43893230-66-210-00-00-11-75-131-834725332611.50.9
337331.3Southern UtahBSky0.39250.43723260-57-220-00-00-11-66-141-10340271336-4.7-0.3
175175.7Weber St.BSky0.49560.47012531-415-120-00-10-22-412-53-621484246-70.3-1.6
321309.0CampbellBSth0.41680.44363151-39-180-00-10-21-58-93-6319340329-20.0-0.8
265257.4Charleston SouthernBSth0.45170.46522671-310-160-00-10-32-58-62-624317620057.41.4
223214.7Gardner WebbBSth0.47530.46232761-414-140-00-10-42-511-43-7250214273-58.3-1.3
215211.4High PointBSth0.47690.46472703-314-140-00-11-43-411-55-519117512091.42.2
193191.4LibertyBSth0.48670.47972202-314-140-10-11-22-411-44-618350244-52.6-1.2
335325.2LongwoodBSth0.40080.45532911-37-200-10-10-21-66-112-7342302351-25.8-1.3
333321.5PresbyterianBSth0.40460.44923062-47-200-00-00-22-86-92-7317323330-8.5-0.4
251250.4RadfordBSth0.45630.48382082-410-180-20-10-32-68-52-822444262-11.6-0.3
105105.8UNC AshevilleBSth0.53430.47842283-319-100-20-10-15-313-36-576598619.80.6
114119.7WinthropBSth0.52590.45682873-219-80-00-11-15-314-35-411520910712.70.4
293281.6Cal PolyBW0.43720.45332972-410-180-00-00-22-78-83-925619023447.61.4
338331.5Cal St. FullertonBW0.39180.43073321-58-190-00-00-11-77-113-8344332341-9.5-0.6
266259.9Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.45070.45992821-512-150-10-10-22-510-63-825511419168.91.7
287274.4HawaiiBW0.44170.44063213-313-130-10-00-22-311-74-6296232297-22.6-0.6
198199.2Long Beach St.BW0.48390.49701590-812-180-40-10-22-49-62-121909211-11.8-0.3
241236.9UC DavisBW0.46360.44493124-314-150-00-00-22-512-76-7178231261-24.1-0.6
143155.6UC IrvineBW0.50660.48192114-416-130-20-20-33-213-55-810824187-31.4-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301291.2UC RiversideBW0.42950.45692860-49-170-10-00-11-57-92-826913322071.22.0
288274.6UC Santa BarbaraBW0.44160.47922230-59-180-10-20-21-57-82-924526302-27.4-0.7
136141.6College of CharlestonCAA0.51370.49981525-317-130-10-21-35-410-37-51321369150.61.3
232225.1DelawareCAA0.47000.48601992-312-170-00-11-43-87-55-623127919233.10.8
247245.8DrexelCAA0.45870.47782303-411-190-00-11-33-97-65-724932422322.80.6
130136.0ElonCAA0.51670.49011825-117-120-10-11-25-510-37-41112088353.01.4
239237.3HofstraCAA0.46390.48562014-312-180-10-11-33-78-66-622326718453.31.4
273268.0James MadisonCAA0.44650.50141480-78-220-00-10-43-115-62-10302183303-35.0-1.0
159167.3NortheasternCAA0.50070.49491644-314-160-00-11-35-68-56-6149192176-8.7-0.2
151160.8TowsonCAA0.50340.48861913-316-140-00-11-35-510-56-6180233219-58.2-1.4
4550.6UNC WilmingtonCAA0.57490.49951545-123-70-00-12-210-311-19-3291102723.61.2
115121.0William & MaryCAA0.52580.50461362-315-120-20-11-25-49-24-5109871165.00.1
177177.2CharlotteCUSA0.49490.49451674-214-140-10-22-44-39-45-518418111760.21.4
276267.5FIUCUSA0.44620.48801941-510-190-10-11-42-67-73-8310196301-33.5-0.9
264257.4Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45190.49221711-49-180-10-21-41-57-72-7308160267-9.6-0.2
112111.7Louisiana TechCUSA0.53100.47502392-320-90-10-12-33-215-27-4127204202-90.3-2.6
8088.7MarshallCUSA0.54620.52361015-118-120-11-22-36-39-27-542295533.71.0
5055.1Middle TennesseeCUSA0.57090.51741156-122-80-01-14-38-39-18-420121144.12.0
309300.2North TexasCUSA0.42460.47902262-39-190-00-11-51-77-74-632332128317.20.6
9297.6Old DominionCUSA0.53960.50261464-220-100-21-12-36-311-27-510589158-60.4-1.9
99102.7RiceCUSA0.53650.48422056-120-90-00-12-35-313-28-393210198-95.3-3.0
327316.2Southern MissCUSA0.41120.47892271-26-200-00-20-51-65-72-632926227046.22.1
123128.6UABCUSA0.52120.48961834-319-110-20-12-34-312-37-5166187236-107.4-3.0
260255.5UTEPCUSA0.45340.46902581-312-160-00-11-42-59-54-6277234287-31.5-0.8
313302.7UTSACUSA0.42220.46712612-58-210-00-10-41-66-103-8320292324-21.3-0.8
248248.0Western KentuckyCUSA0.45760.50001503-411-200-10-11-53-97-45-8264230305-57.0-1.5
263257.4Cleveland St.Horz0.45220.50301411-59-200-20-10-42-76-63-82577722235.40.9
312301.2DetroitHorz0.42430.50271440-66-230-00-10-52-104-71-10312104311-9.8-0.4
153161.8Green BayHorz0.50290.50101492-414-150-00-11-35-78-34-7158711601.80.0
230223.1Illinois ChicagoHorz0.47080.46262753-315-140-00-01-23-711-56-526833921310.10.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
253251.6MilwaukeeHorz0.45590.49541622-410-200-00-11-43-86-74-823013816388.62.3
176176.9Northern KentuckyHorz0.49530.47922243-315-140-10-11-23-511-56-51652371742.90.1
8289.5OaklandHorz0.54490.46622625-123-60-00-11-16-215-18-3126311166-76.5-2.6
7274.9ValparaisoHorz0.55510.48881886-122-80-11-12-26-313-29-3471284826.91.0
140152.2Wright St.Horz0.50820.48681985-216-130-00-11-35-610-36-511817312230.20.7
240237.6Youngstown St.Horz0.46360.48941853-411-180-10-11-32-77-64-720618219344.61.2
284272.3BrownIvy0.44300.45952844-412-160-10-10-32-510-67-724730525220.30.6
257253.3ColumbiaIvy0.45450.46022803-411-150-00-10-32-59-65-7241308285-31.7-0.8
267260.9CornellIvy0.45030.49081792-58-190-10-20-42-66-74-9228127282-21.1-0.6
324310.5DartmouthIvy0.41560.47512370-56-210-00-10-41-75-93-10314244334-23.5-0.9
231224.3HarvardIvy0.47040.48532030-411-140-00-11-32-57-43-8253154294-69.7-1.6
133138.5PennIvy0.51510.48861902-316-110-10-11-33-311-37-61281081317.50.2
8795.0PrincetonIvy0.54210.49361681-317-90-00-11-33-212-26-68361155-60.0-1.7
97103.3YaleIvy0.53680.48861922-417-90-10-12-24-311-37-59185994.30.1
212211.7CanisiusMAAC0.47720.49481652-413-180-10-11-44-78-54-719813414269.71.7
127134.7FairfieldMAAC0.51730.47512385-118-110-00-11-35-412-46-31242861304.70.1
7682.5IonaMAAC0.55010.49031803-222-90-01-12-27-313-27-4621315329.51.0
236234.2ManhattanMAAC0.46550.49141752-412-190-10-21-43-78-54-720516915678.22.0
238236.1MaristMAAC0.46400.49661603-411-200-10-10-43-88-64-716911318650.11.3
5965.5MonmouthMAAC0.56220.49901565-222-90-20-11-27-313-17-4516393-27.5-1.1
314304.2NiagaraMAAC0.42160.47252461-58-230-00-10-32-86-102-9335331333-28.8-1.1
277268.6QuinnipiacMAAC0.44570.48382061-510-200-10-10-43-77-74-627523521751.61.5
216212.4RiderMAAC0.47690.46042793-315-160-00-11-33-611-66-5203344215-2.6-0.1
181178.9Saint Peter'sMAAC0.49380.47692333-216-140-10-11-34-510-55-5195284268-89.1-2.1
138144.9SienaMAAC0.51240.50461352-516-150-10-12-44-610-44-716451281-136.1-3.3
6874.5AkronMAC0.55620.50351385-120-90-10-12-18-310-28-37216185-10.5-0.4
218212.5Ball St.MAC0.47670.46532663-316-140-00-11-35-710-47-5248348255-42.5-1.0
224217.3Bowling GreenMAC0.47420.49461662-413-170-10-11-34-88-55-7262282289-71.7-1.7
131138.0BuffaloMAC0.51640.51071232-315-140-20-21-34-49-36-51221536474.01.8
149157.8Central MichiganMAC0.50490.48382074-216-130-00-11-37-68-37-413627612631.80.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
95101.7Eastern MichiganMAC0.53800.51761123-315-120-00-21-36-47-24-5110115208-106.3-2.9
208205.9Kent St.MAC0.47970.47112523-316-140-00-11-35-710-47-5272347308-102.1-2.4
282271.3Miami OHMAC0.44420.49651613-310-190-00-11-43-106-54-7301287317-45.7-1.3
210209.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.47850.48851933-413-150-00-11-25-67-64-6252275315-105.6-2.4
8994.7OhioMAC0.54170.49201724-119-90-00-12-27-310-28-2772465836.71.0
142153.9ToledoMAC0.50670.51011243-415-150-00-21-46-68-36-6138916588.92.1
214212.4Western MichiganMAC0.47700.51941071-511-180-20-11-53-66-43-8254129276-63.6-1.5
348340.9Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37410.38903511-59-190-00-00-10-49-132-103453253328.90.8
349342.9Coppin St.MEAC0.37040.42713330-85-240-00-10-40-55-140-1333311732220.92.4
295289.6Delaware St.MEAC0.43250.43293281-511-180-10-10-21-59-102-1124412122762.62.0
350346.2Florida A&MMEAC0.35940.40243480-66-210-00-00-00-46-151-10348285347-0.8-0.1
340332.8HamptonMEAC0.39040.40253470-69-180-00-00-21-59-111-10343226343-10.2-0.7
298291.2HowardMEAC0.43080.43263290-511-180-10-10-21-510-82-11304126344-52.8-1.6
299291.5Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.43080.44273160-710-180-10-20-20-49-91-1130055323-31.5-1.0
339332.1Morgan St.MEAC0.39130.39763501-510-180-00-10-10-510-112-103372643275.10.3
322309.4Norfolk St.MEAC0.41630.41593410-611-170-10-10-11-410-91-1131616524861.42.3
346339.0North Carolina A&TMEAC0.37950.42003370-57-220-10-00-10-77-141-12346265339-0.0-0.0
141154.4North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50690.40323454-220-70-00-10-12-118-37-4982417084.42.7
347339.8Savannah St.MEAC0.37780.41953380-77-200-10-20-20-46-120-113391413354.80.4
317304.2South Carolina St.MEAC0.42040.45602880-57-200-30-30-20-37-90-11221122975.22.5
285274.4BradleyMVC0.44290.49801573-39-210-10-31-42-86-55-72732732659.40.3
318306.7DrakeMVC0.42030.50291420-56-220-10-20-42-94-62-833827429313.70.6
207205.3EvansvilleMVC0.48010.51891102-412-170-20-31-44-77-25-6200862050.30.0
6974.7Illinois St.MVC0.55620.51701162-218-90-10-22-28-47-16-3546594-19.3-0.6
147156.7Indiana St.MVC0.50580.51921082-414-150-20-31-35-47-35-617493247-90.3-2.3
154161.7Loyola ChicagoMVC0.50280.49261694-216-130-10-21-35-69-27-4160291224-62.3-1.5
119124.0Missouri St.MVC0.52370.48512043-119-100-11-22-26-310-28-31353188836.00.9
9499.9Northern IowaMVC0.53850.5244992-316-120-31-22-17-47-25-5104432673.92.2
148157.0Southern IllinoisMVC0.50520.52441003-314-160-20-31-46-66-26-6113479265.01.6
2834.2Wichita St.MVC0.59100.50321405-226-40-11-14-110-111-09-373180151-116.8-9.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
197197.4Air ForceMWC0.48460.51941063-312-170-10-21-54-76-26-5227201204-6.6-0.2
104106.2Boise St.MWC0.53460.51491193-317-120-01-23-36-57-27-4140223148-41.8-1.1
8189.8Colorado St.MWC0.54510.5273945-118-110-11-23-37-47-18-3841186623.80.7
202202.1Fresno St.MWC0.48190.50891293-211-170-10-31-53-56-35-5235330264-61.9-1.4
3846.6NevadaMWC0.57910.5342886-222-90-11-14-310-37-110-331602224.61.2
7884.5New MexicoMWC0.54880.5393815-218-120-11-33-47-47-18-48581136-51.5-1.6
3947.5San Diego St.MWC0.57880.51471203-120-70-11-13-28-28-17-255248407.50.3
204205.1San Jose St.MWC0.48070.51951052-310-170-10-21-44-65-44-521124214164.11.6
155163.6UNLVMWC0.50220.52031035-215-160-31-32-44-58-17-6210215212-48.4-1.3
101105.4Utah St.MWC0.53540.5420753-315-130-11-32-47-45-16-412090138-32.6-0.9
183182.2WyomingMWC0.49210.50291433-214-140-00-22-44-68-26-418629517012.20.3
195194.6BryantNEC0.48600.47282442-515-150-20-11-13-412-84-81797213460.61.4
302293.0Central ConnecticutNEC0.42930.43893222-311-180-00-00-11-69-103-8299333318-25.0-0.8
274267.1Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44650.47282431-410-180-10-10-12-68-82-826169319-51.9-1.4
222214.2LIU BrooklynNEC0.47590.43173305-117-130-00-00-13-514-77-517333612886.22.1
164168.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49930.48552021-715-160-20-20-33-412-54-91563612741.71.0
246246.0Robert MorrisNEC0.45890.47442402-612-190-10-00-33-79-83-102401002424.00.1
310299.9Sacred HeartNEC0.42460.44063203-412-190-10-00-12-610-125-8287319171128.94.6
326314.7St. Francis NYNEC0.41170.45013041-59-210-10-00-11-77-123-931828825460.72.5
255251.0St. Francis PANEC0.45560.45352952-312-160-00-10-22-411-83-7236219291-40.0-1.0
203204.5WagnerNEC0.48100.45402942-415-120-00-00-23-411-63-6218195238-33.5-0.8
213212.5Austin PeayOVC0.47700.48941842-312-160-10-10-24-68-64-819915215458.51.3
118122.5BelmontOVC0.52470.48152142-317-100-10-11-25-311-36-5131207161-38.5-0.9
268261.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.45020.45033033-312-150-00-01-14-77-75-6306349299-38.0-0.9
172174.6Eastern KentuckyOVC0.49680.50001513-414-150-10-11-44-59-45-81529915717.60.4
189187.2Jacksonville St.OVC0.49010.46922574-314-150-00-11-34-610-56-715131012958.21.4
217211.9Morehead St.OVC0.47680.49091781-411-160-10-11-33-67-43-8242179306-94.1-2.0
134139.5Murray St.OVC0.51500.46982543-417-110-00-01-16-510-46-6182268201-61.5-1.6
233228.3SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.46810.48112164-311-170-10-10-23-68-65-717020214385.32.2
275266.5Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44630.46482693-311-170-10-00-23-88-65-727832024323.50.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
178178.1Tennessee MartinOVC0.49430.46872596-216-130-10-01-23-612-48-512326910375.11.8
8593.2Tennessee St.OVC0.54270.47202495-119-80-10-01-15-312-28-3642474251.21.7
315304.6Tennessee TechOVC0.42070.46472711-68-210-00-10-32-96-83-10336341346-41.4-1.5
2128.2ArizonaP120.60090.5705276-122-91-33-25-28-15-010-3182337-8.8-0.6
160165.8Arizona St.P120.50040.5649374-311-200-51-52-52-36-16-7168581596.80.2
6168.2CaliforniaP120.56120.5515595-119-111-32-34-36-17-09-3616281-12.8-0.4
7984.8ColoradoP120.54840.5387835-218-121-32-33-45-27-18-4103146196-111.2-3.7
4350.4OregonP120.57530.5515585-220-101-32-25-37-26-09-357148473.40.1
270264.9Oregon St.P120.44870.5356852-57-230-30-51-62-64-35-7325326300-35.1-1.2
4954.1StanfordP120.57220.5697296-217-121-42-34-35-15-07-4301179-24.9-1.1
1619.0UCLAP120.61530.5431728-026-52-24-15-17-18-012-11710349-30.0-3.0
3444.4USCP120.58110.5296927-023-71-23-24-26-19-011-13221667-22.6-1.1
7580.8UtahP120.55150.5420763-116-101-31-23-34-26-06-299149175-94.2-2.9
102105.3WashingtonP120.53530.5472634-316-141-42-42-44-28-17-5145185197-91.7-2.7
196196.7Washington St.P120.48460.5455663-311-180-41-41-53-45-26-521722414947.71.3
269262.3AmericanPat0.44930.48771951-510-190-10-10-33-67-73-8290177320-57.7-1.5
209208.3ArmyPat0.47880.48582002-413-160-00-21-43-59-54-7219178210-1.7-0.0
171172.4Boston UniversityPat0.49760.48012183-316-130-00-11-25-610-45-61932121684.40.1
9197.9BucknellPat0.53990.48761966-221-100-10-12-27-412-29-4681326136.91.1
235231.7ColgatePat0.46620.47232481-412-180-10-11-23-69-75-7234297266-34.3-0.8
185183.0Holy CrossPat0.49160.49021813-415-160-10-21-34-510-56-714113714538.00.9
292279.9LafayettePat0.43890.48182122-49-190-10-00-33-75-83-72662202754.90.2
7783.7LehighPat0.54930.49161742-419-90-10-01-26-311-25-58794104-20.3-0.7
227218.3Loyola MDPat0.47300.48921872-411-170-10-11-23-67-74-617114269149.33.3
228221.2NavyPat0.47200.48881892-513-160-00-11-24-78-64-723215517348.21.1
243238.2Appalachian St.SB0.46290.49531631-410-170-10-21-42-66-43-627131220731.20.7
6368.6Arkansas St.SB0.56020.50491346-121-90-00-13-37-410-28-434964622.60.9
220213.3Coastal CarolinaSB0.47630.51191222-511-180-00-21-63-66-34-7260157280-66.7-1.6
161167.0Georgia SouthernSB0.50030.49951533-313-160-00-21-53-68-35-6139164194-27.0-0.6
7175.2Georgia St.SB0.55550.50341393-219-90-10-12-37-39-16-458783045.21.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
152161.3Little RockSB0.50290.47642343-217-120-11-12-24-410-47-41813271529.30.2
111110.0Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53180.49791584-218-110-00-23-35-410-27-4114258118-8.0-0.2
244242.9Louisiana MonroeSB0.46070.50491331-49-200-00-21-53-75-54-7258255337-94.1-2.4
122126.4South AlabamaSB0.52240.49181735-118-110-00-12-35-410-38-31173036858.41.5
256251.4Texas St.SB0.45550.46002813-312-160-00-11-33-59-65-528035023120.40.5
271265.2TroySB0.44820.49251702-49-200-00-21-52-76-64-728432819570.22.0
6772.7UT ArlingtonSB0.55720.50501324-319-100-10-12-37-310-26-538675022.70.8
103104.3ChattanoogaSC0.53510.47302424-220-80-10-11-26-312-27-395194106-1.7-0.1
7073.8East Tennessee St.SC0.55600.46192775-123-60-00-11-18-214-18-37428384-10.2-0.4
187185.5FurmanSC0.49050.47712321-414-150-00-11-44-510-44-7194206263-77.5-1.9
156163.6MercerSC0.50210.48921863-315-140-10-11-45-410-35-6147957291.62.3
179178.5SamfordSC0.49430.46442744-316-130-10-11-33-512-36-516729615028.50.7
325312.2The CitadelSC0.41460.46552642-38-200-00-10-31-86-74-6291309169143.26.4
150159.8UNC GreensboroSC0.50380.47962214-216-120-10-11-35-410-36-414615614415.80.4
329316.6VMISC0.41080.48072170-56-210-10-10-31-74-81-8341211349-32.4-1.5
296291.4Western CarolinaSC0.43180.50911281-55-240-20-20-51-94-62-920819162129.45.0
262257.2WoffordSC0.45270.48731970-59-190-00-10-53-76-51-9313158316-58.8-1.5
98102.9AlabamaSEC0.53650.5388824-217-131-31-33-46-36-08-4121163140-37.1-1.1
4854.3ArkansasSEC0.57250.5631405-119-121-41-24-39-23-010-333422826.31.0
9096.0AuburnSEC0.54130.5424745-117-141-31-24-47-45-09-4701203660.01.7
89.6FloridaSEC0.63710.595977-123-82-43-17-28-12-010-36472.60.4
5765.1GeorgiaSEC0.56320.5778204-216-141-61-24-38-33-08-4654995-29.9-1.1
57.3KentuckySEC0.64470.5750227-027-45-33-16-18-05-011-2131431-23.7-4.4
8694.2LSUSEC0.54210.5697285-215-151-41-43-46-34-08-452228212.20.4
126134.5MississippiSEC0.51740.5564525-214-171-51-33-47-44-18-5106404589.52.5
169171.1Mississippi St.SEC0.49800.5409805-213-170-40-32-64-56-18-4143166221-49.9-1.4
162167.3MissouriSEC0.49990.5338893-314-161-41-32-44-47-17-5222261237-69.7-1.8
1517.4South CarolinaSEC0.61880.5569507-024-62-23-17-19-14-011-11239107.40.7
158165.2TennesseeSEC0.50100.5707261-310-200-70-32-54-44-15-719237239-73.8-2.0
3242.0Texas A&MSEC0.58360.5655344-220-101-52-24-26-16-08-45646101-59.0-3.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6672.4VanderbiltSEC0.55760.592784-315-161-62-34-46-23-07-6666100-27.6-1.0
200201.3Abilene ChristianSlnd0.48280.45183021-313-120-00-00-23-410-63-4215301228-26.7-0.6
294282.4Central ArkansasSlnd0.43690.48142151-69-220-20-20-22-87-92-1128857312-29.6-0.9
229222.2Houston BaptistSlnd0.47150.49141770-410-150-10-10-32-57-50-7233320913.20.3
249248.1Incarnate WordSlnd0.45720.47952220-39-160-00-00-22-87-51-628379249-0.9-0.0
297290.4LamarSlnd0.43090.42183363-212-150-00-00-12-610-84-528535124545.41.4
332321.5McNeese St.Slnd0.40480.47322410-35-210-10-10-21-74-100-83054526061.52.9
308298.6New OrleansSlnd0.42500.46102781-38-180-00-10-21-66-81-7293112190108.63.4
272267.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.44660.45452933-410-170-00-10-22-58-83-6137124115152.24.1
303292.4Northwestern St.Slnd0.42880.45203010-49-160-00-10-21-67-81-63111712902.40.1
168171.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.49810.45982833-316-110-10-00-13-413-44-514415111259.21.4
201203.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48200.43793253-316-130-00-00-22-414-65-6175304240-36.7-0.8
170172.6Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.49770.46532651-314-110-10-00-13-411-42-520980271-98.4-2.1
120124.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.52320.44893073-018-80-10-10-13-215-35-31002405965.71.8
281270.4DenverSum0.44450.45332982-412-170-00-10-23-89-75-826329825911.40.3
113119.2Fort WayneSum0.52680.45462924-219-81-10-10-14-214-37-4922288732.20.9
194194.4IUPUISum0.48630.46822602-513-150-00-11-33-59-54-8189188284-89.6-2.0
184183.8Nebraska OmahaSum0.49170.47792292-414-140-10-20-33-510-44-81571071821.80.0
125130.6North Dakota St.Sum0.51980.47532353-317-100-10-01-14-412-46-580763892.62.4
316305.9Oral RobertsSum0.42050.49911550-65-230-20-10-32-94-71-112983127926.91.1
225218.7South DakotaSum0.47340.47242474-314-150-10-10-23-610-56-716114517741.71.0
258254.3South Dakota St.Sum0.45430.48312091-611-180-00-10-33-87-63-1026798313-58.7-1.5
342333.0Western IllinoisSum0.38920.44593100-56-190-00-00-21-65-111-8349342348-15.0-0.9
351350.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.33670.40303460-64-250-00-00-20-54-170-11351322350-0.0-0.0
334324.9Alabama St.SWAC0.40140.40923431-610-190-00-10-30-310-121-10332272338-13.1-0.7
330320.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.40490.41913400-48-180-00-00-20-68-90-832710130416.50.7
343334.8Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38770.42633340-57-230-00-10-20-77-130-12334167340-5.2-0.4
341333.4Grambling St.SWAC0.38930.39983492-510-180-10-00-20-39-122-832631328845.43.1
311300.4Jackson St.SWAC0.42460.41413420-612-160-10-10-20-411-91-93282032955.40.2
328315.8Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.41110.45312990-98-230-30-20-20-47-120-132892528629.81.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
320309.6Prairie View A&MSWAC0.41690.43083311-510-200-20-10-31-39-121-1128211623277.63.2
242238.0SouthernSWAC0.46340.40833441-316-120-10-00-21-415-53-7246229272-34.0-0.9
107107.3Texas SouthernSWAC0.53290.45352964-321-100-30-11-22-218-25-837136344.32.0
135140.8Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.51420.47122513-316-100-10-11-24-411-36-6159280225-84.2-2.1
300292.4Chicago St.WAC0.42970.50251470-45-220-10-10-41-93-71-1229213519993.42.8
191187.1Grand CanyonWAC0.48910.47512363-316-130-30-11-24-411-38-721324514641.11.0
121126.1New Mexico St.WAC0.52280.46982555-218-90-00-01-26-411-29-41332637452.11.3
252250.2SeattleWAC0.45610.47262451-411-150-10-10-33-68-45-7270289137113.22.7
139146.9UMKCWAC0.51090.49141765-216-120-20-11-15-510-38-611913910838.90.9
307299.3UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.42540.48162132-67-210-00-10-31-105-73-11295249183116.34.3
124129.4Utah ValleyWAC0.52060.47902253-215-110-10-01-24-410-37-51122176267.41.7
6066.1BYUWCC0.56180.5302915-221-101-30-12-29-39-19-4101140165-98.9-4.1
910.2GonzagaWCC0.63460.5438707-027-33-12-04-110-18-011-183382.20.4
166169.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.49870.5248981-213-150-40-11-34-57-25-5229236310-140.3-3.3
145155.8PacificWCC0.50620.51741143-315-150-40-11-25-58-27-516326613322.80.6
186185.5PepperdineWCC0.49080.5410793-310-190-40-21-35-65-44-7188105257-71.5-1.8
109108.8PortlandWCC0.53240.51811113-217-130-40-11-25-310-28-4129254123-14.2-0.4
1314.7Saint Mary'sWCC0.62340.5352866-026-31-12-04-110-19-011-0116659.71.3
250251.2San DiegoWCC0.45640.5281932-58-210-50-20-32-76-44-727422118170.22.1
167170.5San FranciscoWCC0.49840.50571315-114-140-40-11-24-410-37-3162337179-8.5-0.2
221214.8Santa ClaraWCC0.47610.5263953-511-190-40-21-43-77-35-7279225258-43.2-1.1

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com