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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.
Through games of Feb 4, 2012.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
139140.3CharlotteA100.51480.519312011-1114-150-11-32-63-38-18-511521112713.30.7
8077.1DaytonA100.55810.55285714-918-121-13-34-56-24-210-46773725.10.3
8179.5DuquesneA100.55700.55485413-916-130-11-34-57-34-08-5886881-1.5-0.1
243243.2FordhamA100.45600.51141329-1310-190-21-31-62-67-37-619626522221.21.3
197196.4George WashingtonA100.48310.5463678-1510-200-20-51-85-34-35-9191841897.40.4
6869.1La SalleA100.56430.518012317-721-100-11-24-46-39-011-49824078-8.9-0.6
7876.4MassachusettsA100.55900.514013017-621-90-12-23-46-19-111-385230688.40.5
251250.6Rhode IslandA100.45190.5352865-196-250-10-32-80-94-43-122771402446.60.5
132135.3RichmondA100.51800.53269112-1215-161-01-41-85-37-09-6971151323.30.2
4749.2Saint Joseph'sA100.58090.56323615-919-121-11-35-37-35-010-53825427.20.5
9593.8St. BonaventureA100.54630.523711212-817-110-11-34-54-18-17-5102137930.80.0
3332.0St. LouisA100.59790.53149417-523-60-11-27-36-18-011-24218735-3.0-0.3
2124.4TempleA100.60750.55195817-523-72-02-16-47-26-011-31539195.40.6
5355.8XavierA100.57490.55834815-819-110-22-45-36-16-09-56637505.80.4
248248.2Boston CollegeACC0.45330.5392767-168-220-30-41-53-74-25-927317923711.20.8
145148.3ClemsonACC0.50990.529610011-1115-151-31-21-46-66-28-6203261164-15.7-0.7
34.2DukeACC0.65390.5953319-326-54-43-16-010-03-013-21322.20.9
1921.9Florida St.ACC0.61150.58111516-622-83-31-25-18-24-09-57530183.90.4
162164.1Georgia TechACC0.50090.5353859-1413-170-30-32-54-56-27-716916014816.10.8
111112.8MarylandACC0.53280.56264113-915-150-60-53-35-17-010-4961319715.80.9
6164.4Miami FLACC0.56820.56214313-717-121-50-32-49-05-09-465905410.40.6
54.6North CarolinaACC0.65230.5850920-326-53-43-15-010-05-013-25235-0.4-0.1
5762.9North Carolina St.ACC0.56920.56283917-720-111-51-23-29-26-011-45531593.90.3
3739.5VirginiaACC0.59010.53199218-423-72-31-05-18-27-013-15126040-0.5-0.0
9493.2Virginia TechACC0.54670.55974513-1017-140-51-32-28-25-111-46996921.20.1
168171.6Wake ForestACC0.49670.53049711-1213-170-40-22-44-67-19-513921813734.62.0
207208.3AlbanyAE0.47630.419333615-1019-120-10-00-22-717-29-6179315210-1.7-0.1
344343.4BinghamtonAE0.33750.43733170-231-280-10-00-20-91-160-133422903430.40.4
175175.2Boston UniversityAE0.49490.475022112-1316-150-00-20-52-614-14-1117863187-11.8-0.7
330328.5HartfordAE0.38060.43493194-196-230-00-00-20-106-110-133432993253.50.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
267261.2MaineAE0.44450.418933710-1013-140-00-10-11-612-56-5207311272-10.8-0.6
334332.6MD Baltimore CountyAE0.37410.43783153-195-240-10-00-10-115-111-123322803311.60.3
318315.8New HampshireAE0.39580.40673427-1310-170-00-00-11-79-85-6316341318-2.2-0.2
152154.7Stony BrookAE0.50630.428432714-718-90-10-00-15-313-44-7261277166-11.3-0.6
170173.1VermontAE0.49600.450028915-1019-120-00-20-24-615-27-8180190175-1.9-0.1
7170.5BelmontASun0.56310.489718016-722-80-21-12-17-212-27-5596991-20.5-1.8
195190.6East Tennessee St.ASun0.48600.458927011-1015-130-00-01-34-610-45-5170282201-10.4-0.5
202206.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.47720.468323811-1114-140-00-00-52-712-24-6241234207-0.1-0.0
288285.8JacksonvilleASun0.42650.49211764-196-230-30-10-32-85-82-923989288-2.2-0.2
320317.6Kennesaw St.ASun0.39430.48311942-214-260-30-10-50-103-93-92541583143.60.5
203208.1LipscombASun0.47660.483719210-1313-160-10-21-32-710-34-7188124211-2.9-0.2
9898.0MercerASun0.54310.470222917-721-90-10-10-36-315-17-5109212980.00.0
186183.0North FloridaASun0.49060.490017911-1314-160-20-20-52-512-25-71258616716.00.8
159159.3South Carolina UpstateASun0.50340.467624412-1016-130-10-01-43-412-35-61622361545.30.2
258255.4StetsonASun0.44870.49231757-159-190-20-10-42-87-52-823572264-8.6-0.4
3639.4IllinoisB100.59020.57891716-620-113-62-14-26-15-011-244119318.40.6
1720.6IndianaB100.61280.56483118-623-83-42-15-27-17-013-017195173.60.5
137139.5IowaB100.51550.54227213-1115-162-51-33-44-46-08-523829312217.50.9
2225.3MichiganB100.60670.58241116-620-104-53-24-25-24-09-3571341510.31.0
78.2Michigan St.B100.63930.6089116-522-84-52-24-17-04-010-210189-0.8-0.2
6668.5MinnesotaB100.56480.56742816-719-122-52-24-36-25-012-1351775216.51.0
118117.6NebraskaB100.52940.56413311-1014-151-71-32-44-26-08-312424810017.61.0
6466.2NorthwesternB100.56700.58221213-817-131-61-33-37-14-010-224554818.21.0
23.4Ohio St.B100.65830.5872720-326-56-33-15-08-05-012-19974-0.6-0.3
161163.2Penn St.B100.50120.55924610-1412-190-71-32-54-34-18-515321714320.21.2
6265.0PurdueB100.56760.56673015-819-121-63-34-15-26-010-374170623.00.2
2021.8WisconsinB100.61090.57751818-623-83-63-14-08-15-011-2349429-7.2-1.2
66.8BaylorB120.64390.58141420-225-53-35-15-05-07-012-023633.81.1
3939.6Iowa St.B120.58990.56293817-621-102-51-23-29-27-010-380180363.60.3
88.8KansasB120.63700.5872618-524-74-43-15-16-06-010-3332780.80.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4445.9Kansas St.B120.58370.55455516-620-102-52-22-27-17-011-14722846-0.1-0.0
1011.7MissouriB120.62950.54447121-227-43-14-16-16-18-013-032264101.70.3
9189.8OklahomaB120.54910.56284013-916-140-63-32-23-38-010-2521837712.80.7
120120.3Oklahoma St.B120.52760.58151310-1212-181-60-43-53-25-06-6146921146.30.4
5458.4TexasB120.57310.56912614-919-121-61-22-27-17-010-36312766-7.6-0.5
151154.9Texas A&MB120.50630.54197411-1013-160-70-41-33-29-08-32113241459.90.4
234233.7Texas TechB120.46140.5459687-158-220-60-40-41-76-07-52273032321.70.1
9089.8CincinnatiBE0.54920.526011016-720-112-31-24-26-37-110-316332099-9.2-0.5
2627.1ConnecticutBE0.60450.6019215-719-112-33-15-46-33-010-266225.10.5
191187.2DePaulBE0.48800.520011811-1113-170-50-31-54-47-09-32233381825.20.3
1113.9GeorgetownBE0.62480.57502017-422-64-33-12-28-15-09-11159130.90.2
2325.3LouisvilleBE0.60640.57482118-523-82-53-15-27-15-012-177627-1.7-0.2
1315.5MarquetteBE0.62160.57122319-524-72-32-16-29-15-011-23099123.50.5
6566.5Notre DameBE0.56640.55565115-819-123-42-22-15-46-08-51611985610.50.6
7574.5PittsburghBE0.56040.56712914-918-132-42-34-47-34-011-250118659.50.6
142146.8ProvidenceBE0.51100.525911113-1016-151-51-21-54-39-011-213833713115.80.8
140141.7RutgersBE0.51370.55155912-1215-162-41-33-42-56-08-5201239144-2.3-0.1
5053.1Seton HallBE0.57740.56254215-819-111-42-14-48-24-011-1181063221.11.4
9796.1South FloridaBE0.54460.57102412-1015-150-61-23-47-43-06-6128717917.10.9
149151.1St. John'sBE0.50820.56323510-1312-190-71-22-45-55-06-722615913615.10.8
12.1SyracuseBE0.66620.57991623-129-24-13-07-19-05-013-034111.10.7
9998.5VillanovaBE0.54300.58331010-1214-160-71-33-37-23-17-59133944.50.2
3131.4West VirginiaBE0.59910.5869815-820-112-33-27-46-23-010-32016301.40.1
210210.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47530.46802429-1312-160-10-10-42-510-54-8151181230-19.5-1.0
263259.8Idaho St.BSky0.44550.47612167-149-190-00-11-50-68-71-1131516624316.80.9
101101.6MontanaBSky0.54050.473522414-620-70-01-11-24-215-26-5120109104-2.4-0.2
266261.8Montana St.BSky0.44470.44423079-1111-150-00-10-31-49-83-7287310270-8.2-0.5
331328.5Northern ArizonaBSky0.38060.45902683-194-230-00-10-40-64-113-8298250332-3.5-0.5
254251.5Northern ColoradoBSky0.45080.49801596-148-180-10-20-61-37-62-817514258-6.5-0.3
206207.8Portland St.BSky0.47650.46832399-1213-150-00-00-51-511-55-715817619413.80.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
306305.2Sacramento St.BSky0.40710.43453206-149-170-00-00-31-58-94-6319334316-10.8-1.0
8684.1Weber St.BSky0.55330.468024116-420-60-10-21-13-016-27-37011287-2.9-0.2
173174.5CampbellBSth0.49540.455827914-1117-130-10-00-24-412-65-7190283185-10.5-0.5
147151.0Charleston SouthernBSth0.50850.459026611-916-100-20-10-12-413-34-41101261429.00.4
116116.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.53050.458926913-518-70-00-01-05-512-24-3172253120-4.0-0.2
274270.8Gardner WebbBSth0.43800.44723018-1511-180-10-00-13-99-74-7276314283-12.2-0.7
287283.4High PointBSth0.42850.46762457-159-180-00-10-33-76-72-7292208294-10.6-0.8
311309.6LibertyBSth0.40270.44752986-168-200-00-00-11-117-92-8330316319-9.4-1.0
115115.4NC AshevilleBSth0.53080.475421915-718-90-10-10-24-314-12-722047116-0.6-0.0
256253.5PresbyterianBSth0.44980.45462809-1312-160-10-01-12-610-75-51431972467.50.4
338335.2RadfordBSth0.36940.46052622-214-250-10-00-21-93-132-9313174336-0.8-0.2
269264.1Virginia Military InstBSth0.44220.43843149-1111-150-10-00-21-811-43-53053302604.10.2
273269.0WinthropBSth0.43980.46242598-1510-180-10-10-21-99-61-9272136282-13.0-0.8
196192.6Cal PolyBW0.48520.448929311-1116-130-20-20-03-413-58-5142262196-3.4-0.2
165167.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.49890.434132113-718-90-10-20-03-214-47-41843171616.70.3
310309.6Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.40280.44902924-156-200-00-20-11-95-92-82942923027.60.7
3839.1Long Beach St.BW0.59000.520311715-621-70-41-22-18-111-05-7271372.10.2
270265.6PacificBW0.44190.46512527-1310-170-00-20-23-77-63-8296200268-2.4-0.1
343342.2UC DavisBW0.34600.44413080-212-270-10-20-10-81-151-12344322344-1.8-0.9
264260.2UC IrvineBW0.44510.47682147-1310-170-10-30-31-69-53-8278117274-13.8-0.8
261257.6UC RiversideBW0.44730.45882719-1211-170-10-20-24-57-75-72302272570.60.0
143147.3UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51070.482219810-815-100-20-40-23-211-23-6129291407.30.4
187183.1DelawareCAA0.49030.481619911-1215-140-10-02-33-69-45-62422681767.10.4
8279.2DrexelCAA0.55680.469523419-523-70-00-22-17-314-18-49522386-6.8-0.6
9694.6George MasonCAA0.54560.482419719-622-90-00-12-38-313-19-4116213103-8.4-0.5
123125.1Georgia St.CAA0.52410.462525816-821-90-00-02-34-415-29-3159331139-13.9-0.9
236239.2HofstraCAA0.45830.50971388-1711-200-01-01-62-106-47-6171130252-12.8-0.8
253251.6James MadisonCAA0.45130.468024010-1512-190-00-00-62-910-47-6215296255-3.4-0.2
204207.8NC WilmingtonCAA0.47650.51051359-1410-190-00-01-74-86-44-7157110215-7.2-0.4
163164.6NortheasternCAA0.50080.494017011-1214-150-00-00-66-68-35-61321231559.60.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
124126.1Old DominionCAA0.52350.511013315-1018-130-20-02-66-510-05-8156281233.10.2
304304.8TowsonCAA0.40770.5300991-242-290-20-10-80-101-80-13303522968.81.2
7977.2Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.55830.481320120-524-70-01-12-28-313-010-38319985-7.8-0.6
303304.7William & MaryCAA0.40780.49481653-214-260-10-10-50-114-81-11327258307-2.3-0.3
7372.7Central FloridaCUSA0.56180.529410115-619-91-31-21-27-38-09-382191639.70.5
156158.4East CarolinaCUSA0.50470.5419738-1010-150-30-11-44-55-15-4152182163-4.6-0.2
233233.1HoustonCUSA0.46180.494116910-1112-160-10-11-35-86-27-5262294242-8.9-0.4
5661.3MarshallCUSA0.57020.56772713-917-121-41-23-36-26-08-55413610.30.0
2425.8MemphisCUSA0.60560.56932516-722-91-41-25-111-14-010-5438205.80.6
179177.4RiceCUSA0.49370.509014010-1113-150-20-30-44-58-16-62142291707.40.4
216214.4Southern MethodistCUSA0.47270.50711428-1311-180-20-21-34-86-27-61922332068.40.4
1415.8Southern MississippiCUSA0.62090.54506918-324-51-12-16-18-17-011-2146478.81.3
182178.1Texas El PasoCUSA0.49290.53139510-1313-170-20-21-45-66-37-714580186-7.9-0.3
174174.9TulaneCUSA0.49500.469923213-816-120-20-10-24-512-110-2123339178-3.1-0.1
104105.7TulsaCUSA0.53810.526210814-918-120-31-13-28-36-37-7136101108-2.3-0.2
138140.0UABCUSA0.51500.5569509-1312-170-61-21-44-35-25-8165531382.00.1
339335.8Chicago St.GWC0.36680.45822721-203-250-20-10-10-63-141-173291693287.81.2
315314.2Houston BaptistGWC0.39770.44633045-157-190-10-10-22-46-114-122741713113.20.3
297294.9NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.41710.42663306-1210-150-10-10-20-49-84-1128824627816.91.0
272266.8North DakotaGWC0.43980.44113116-1210-150-10-11-12-27-95-10233173286-19.2-0.8
309309.3Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.40300.45692774-177-200-10-00-20-97-81-163211563081.30.1
222222.0Utah ValleyGWC0.46850.421133512-1016-110-00-10-30-415-47-10251266236-14.0-0.7
141143.2ButlerHorz0.51300.516812512-1215-150-20-32-25-68-26-610824150-6.8-0.4
4952.0Cleveland St.Horz0.57800.498315718-424-60-01-03-210-310-110-2258860-8.0-0.6
185181.7DetroitHorz0.49120.494616611-1214-150-00-30-37-67-25-6210161191-9.3-0.4
293290.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42140.47002306-148-190-00-10-34-94-63-6281323301-10.5-0.6
312310.1Loyola ChicagoHorz0.40210.46352544-176-220-00-20-31-105-74-62713333055.10.5
102102.8ValparaisoHorz0.53970.494416815-818-110-11-02-28-47-35-6122151106-3.2-0.2
190187.0Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.48860.52181147-1311-160-20-21-23-85-23-612751807.00.2
125127.3Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52310.495216413-1017-120-30-11-26-59-16-5114141134-6.7-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
220216.3Wright St.Horz0.47130.499315310-1412-180-20-11-34-108-24-8222135217-0.7-0.0
160163.1Youngstown St.Horz0.50150.482719610-1014-130-01-11-35-68-43-621325214914.10.6
213210.9Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.47480.460226311-1213-140-10-00-43-29-713-14219275223-12.1-0.6
313311.5Longwoodind0.40070.43053256-148-190-10-30-20-27-127-18309313313-1.5-0.1
291288.1Seattleind0.42380.46602494-138-160-00-20-22-66-76-162932372871.10.1
305305.2BrownIvy0.40760.47242266-167-230-00-20-21-136-65-113173083032.20.2
146150.3ColumbiaIvy0.50880.492617411-915-130-10-21-15-69-39-5103193152-1.7-0.1
181178.3CornellIvy0.49330.51811227-1211-160-00-21-45-95-14-922891184-5.7-0.2
323320.3DartmouthIvy0.39080.47692133-185-240-00-20-31-114-83-12337306324-3.7-0.4
3536.7HarvardIvy0.59270.485318619-225-41-01-12-011-110-113-23621039-2.3-0.3
112113.9PennsylvaniaIvy0.53180.527810512-1018-130-21-21-58-38-18-9121401094.90.3
119117.6PrincetonIvy0.52930.51661269-1015-131-01-21-46-46-37-7947410512.60.7
117117.5YaleIvy0.52990.475921713-516-100-10-20-15-511-18-41012761116.50.3
324322.0CanisiusMAAC0.38910.45312834-196-230-10-20-40-66-114-73223423211.00.1
136138.4FairfieldMAAC0.51580.505014612-1016-130-00-20-54-411-15-713587151-12.6-0.7
4546.0IonaMAAC0.58310.501215119-524-60-01-14-29-111-29-3265157-11.0-1.2
8583.9Loyola MDMAAC0.55340.479720417-521-80-10-11-16-314-18-36420989-5.1-0.3
114115.3ManhattanMAAC0.53100.469323717-821-100-11-11-24-316-18-5141281118-2.7-0.2
280276.6MaristMAAC0.43370.47942068-1510-190-10-10-41-68-75-7234232280-3.4-0.2
208208.7NiagaraMAAC0.47590.49461679-1513-180-10-21-51-711-35-81821441999.70.5
215213.8RiderMAAC0.47300.49811589-1512-190-10-20-52-710-43-10237139219-5.2-0.3
225226.0SienaMAAC0.46620.474622310-1213-160-01-10-44-58-65-62292672251.00.0
282280.4St. Peter'sMAAC0.43120.49861555-187-230-00-20-71-97-52-10308145281-0.6-0.1
4649.0AkronMAC0.58100.53708115-720-100-01-34-55-110-07-7722655-6.0-0.5
223222.5Ball St.MAC0.46810.430132611-916-120-00-10-43-313-48-4218340235-12.5-0.6
153155.1Bowling GreenMAC0.50610.510013610-1114-151-11-22-54-47-36-7194192174-18.9-0.8
7070.7BuffaloMAC0.56330.517912413-618-90-11-23-35-28-16-59311190-19.3-1.1
277271.4Central MichiganMAC0.43760.46612486-1510-190-10-20-50-69-55-824024725021.41.2
247246.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.45380.46522509-1312-180-20-10-43-48-74-1026525422818.90.9
8784.8Kent St.MAC0.55260.503814915-620-90-01-21-46-311-110-37718595-10.2-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
211210.4Miami OHMAC0.47500.52781046-1410-180-10-33-51-54-44-8248104226-15.6-0.7
340337.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.36400.46512511-182-250-00-10-40-82-120-113412913343.40.8
5963.5OhioMAC0.56880.495316318-423-70-11-15-25-212-112-26222280-16.5-1.1
281277.2ToledoMAC0.43340.44862948-1312-170-10-20-33-49-87-6264305285-7.8-0.5
172174.1Western MichiganMAC0.49560.51551289-1313-170-20-31-53-39-45-910591659.10.4
265260.5Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44500.43613188-1312-170-20-00-21-512-82-11310202262-1.5-0.1
218214.5Coppin St.MEAC0.47240.44633038-1112-130-10-20-31-311-41-830212520311.50.6
284279.9Delaware St.MEAC0.43060.43383236-1110-160-00-00-32-59-71-93001492763.90.2
332329.2Florida A&MMEAC0.37920.42773294-176-220-00-10-10-76-130-12340251333-3.8-0.5
307307.2HamptonMEAC0.40500.41683388-1412-180-00-00-00-711-114-10312325322-14.8-1.1
314313.9HowardMEAC0.39790.45812734-186-220-30-10-11-75-112-10255423121.90.2
322319.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.39210.45692764-166-220-00-20-11-74-122-102911423154.10.4
268264.2Morgan St.MEAC0.44260.45942655-1511-170-10-20-21-59-73-923281273-8.8-0.5
127131.7Norfolk St.MEAC0.52000.449329115-720-90-20-01-13-216-48-5761031301.70.1
271266.3North Carolina A&TMEAC0.44110.45172877-1410-180-20-10-21-510-82-10268772660.30.0
237240.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.45800.43773167-1111-150-10-00-30-411-72-820667275-34.5-1.5
217214.3Savannah St.MEAC0.47260.425033111-1017-120-20-10-10-417-45-8257231224-9.7-0.4
341337.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.36210.43403222-184-240-10-10-20-54-153-9290238338-0.2-0.0
249248.0BradleyMVC0.45330.5383786-198-230-50-21-62-84-36-720013322919.01.4
1821.0CreightonMVC0.61220.53099621-326-42-02-14-211-17-011-121138165.00.7
131135.2DrakeMVC0.51820.529410212-1115-141-21-21-55-47-16-514720612114.20.8
155156.6EvansvilleMVC0.50480.53718010-1212-160-50-13-13-66-25-5217164162-5.4-0.3
108109.5Illinois St.MVC0.53520.513713115-919-110-30-23-18-47-29-3131269115-5.5-0.3
130133.0Indiana St.MVC0.51930.509313913-1016-130-31-11-46-48-28-310630011716.00.9
8382.4Missouri St.MVC0.55470.54906413-1117-131-41-32-27-47-07-58650820.40.0
5560.5Northern IowaMVC0.57120.55505315-918-121-32-12-39-35-19-313194911.50.9
227227.1Southern IllinoisMVC0.46540.52081158-159-200-40-31-43-75-23-83042872270.10.0
1617.4Wichita St.MVC0.61780.55704919-423-61-21-26-111-15-09-2121526-8.6-1.4
176174.7Air ForceMWC0.49480.5414759-1011-150-40-40-32-38-08-41952971713.70.2
178176.5Boise St.MWC0.49410.5385779-1212-160-41-40-35-55-09-5144286197-20.5-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3433.3Colorado St.MWC0.59720.5916414-717-111-51-23-28-14-010-423212310.30.8
99.6Nevada Las VegasMWC0.63470.56423219-424-62-34-22-19-07-014-21610711-1.4-0.3
3030.8New MexicoMWC0.59930.53618418-423-62-23-14-17-09-113-28126343-12.2-1.4
2526.6San Diego St.MWC0.60500.54896518-322-62-34-23-06-18-012-258216215.60.5
121123.7Texas ChristianMWC0.52550.54646612-914-150-42-31-25-46-19-614924110122.71.2
5155.5WyomingMWC0.57540.53039816-520-82-31-21-15-210-012-27129569-13.5-1.0
335334.0BryantNEC0.37180.46172602-223-270-10-10-50-83-131-11336273340-6.0-1.1
235236.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.46000.461626110-1213-150-10-00-52-411-43-7295244253-16.7-0.8
327323.4Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.38740.47582182-214-250-10-00-30-113-111-10328194329-5.6-0.7
106107.1Long IslandNEC0.53660.457527517-721-90-00-12-04-616-26-6166270112-4.9-0.3
279275.8MonmouthNEC0.43500.48102027-189-220-10-20-50-89-62-1128614826510.80.9
292291.1Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.42190.46472536-178-210-10-00-51-77-82-92891892910.10.0
177175.1QuinnipiacNEC0.49450.462725713-1017-120-00-00-35-511-47-499215188-12.9-0.7
110111.2Robert MorrisNEC0.53370.467024617-822-90-10-13-33-315-29-437581074.20.4
241242.3Sacred HeartNEC0.45660.452228511-1414-170-00-00-34-710-66-72442982402.30.1
194188.7St. Francis NYNEC0.48760.449729013-1016-130-00-00-33-413-53-8306318205-16.3-0.8
301303.9St. Francis PANEC0.40860.47662155-187-220-00-00-62-74-91-1028346306-2.1-0.2
8483.5WagnerNEC0.55380.454028219-425-40-00-11-16-217-09-248172749.51.3
199200.2Austin PeayOVC0.48070.51811218-1611-190-10-40-33-77-43-1121622212-11.8-0.7
294293.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.41930.44053127-149-180-10-10-11-68-86-52493322903.40.3
205207.4Eastern KentuckyOVC0.47650.452928412-1215-140-00-20-12-613-57-619328519512.40.6
255252.5Jacksonville St.OVC0.45020.47242258-1511-170-10-20-22-88-54-8250167254-1.5-0.1
193187.8Morehead St.OVC0.48780.484319010-1213-150-10-10-34-59-44-816010216918.80.9
2930.1Murray St.OVC0.60000.484818720-025-12-11-01-08-113-09-143838-7.9-0.9
302304.4SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40810.45042885-147-180-00-10-12-65-101-83393263004.40.3
242242.4Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45640.444230610-1113-140-20-10-12-411-73-8307319248-5.6-0.3
325321.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.38900.47932071-223-260-10-30-21-62-132-1129720730912.81.3
154155.4Tennessee St.OVC0.50580.484518913-1015-130-20-20-13-411-45-7140155173-17.6-0.9
135136.1Tennessee TechOVC0.51720.483219314-917-110-10-20-26-311-36-6137201159-22.9-1.4
7775.8ArizonaP120.55920.526610716-821-100-21-25-47-29-09-460446411.80.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
240241.2Arizona St.P120.45720.52231137-169-210-10-21-85-54-44-825212121625.21.7
4142.4CaliforniaP120.58720.53298918-623-80-20-17-26-29-010-3468547-4.6-0.4
7675.2ColoradoP120.56010.53827914-718-100-10-24-47-27-06-410793714.20.2
8986.8OregonP120.55110.53279016-719-110-00-43-46-210-09-379122833.80.2
113114.4Oregon St.P120.53130.506614314-818-110-01-24-53-39-19-2119302128-13.6-0.8
232232.8Southern CaliforniaP120.46220.5448706-188-230-30-31-92-75-25-81866122012.80.8
9289.9StanfordP120.54910.509913716-720-100-11-14-45-311-010-28924396-6.1-0.4
107109.2UCLAP120.53520.53189312-1017-130-20-33-65-38-07-5155129113-3.8-0.2
275272.4UtahP120.43800.5494624-184-250-00-40-111-73-32-9280792639.41.0
6769.1WashingtonP120.56470.53668216-720-100-20-24-47-19-07-51176273-3.9-0.2
164164.6Washington St.P120.50080.505614411-1114-150-11-22-73-28-47-41542781604.60.2
148150.9AmericanPat0.50840.448529715-819-100-11-01-34-313-49-61643211473.90.2
295293.1ArmyPat0.41930.42793289-1312-160-00-00-31-510-76-8331344299-5.9-0.5
7271.1BucknellPat0.56270.486318517-622-70-10-10-38-113-09-69215776-4.9-0.4
298296.0ColgatePat0.41670.46002647-169-200-20-00-21-78-106-92703012951.00.1
226226.1Holy CrossPat0.46600.47912099-1312-160-10-10-22-89-46-820222021412.10.5
209210.2LafayettePat0.47530.484718810-1312-170-00-10-52-710-35-10246205231-20.8-1.3
109109.7LehighPat0.53490.443030917-622-70-10-11-24-217-111-4113327124-14.3-1.4
321318.8NavyPat0.39290.48082032-194-230-10-00-30-83-122-11318245323-4.2-0.5
192187.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.48800.504914710-1313-160-20-12-24-67-52-11275491816.70.3
229228.9Arkansas St.SB0.46440.49351719-1511-190-10-31-52-68-45-9198108234-5.1-0.2
9391.3DenverSB0.54800.486618417-721-82-01-21-15-412-110-33970883.30.3
184179.8Florida AtlanticSB0.49230.51451298-1411-170-10-31-42-58-43-9150201772.80.1
214212.8Florida InternationalSB0.47350.49891547-1410-170-00-21-33-66-53-821282218-5.2-0.3
158159.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50350.482719513-1116-130-00-12-43-611-25-82241541536.30.3
326323.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.38790.47822112-213-250-10-10-30-112-91-11326235327-3.7-0.6
4849.6Middle TennesseeSB0.57970.483819120-425-40-01-13-29-112-010-345114445.60.7
200203.3North TexasSB0.47930.469423610-1013-130-00-21-33-59-34-62362262003.30.1
198196.0South AlabamaSB0.48300.470023111-1014-120-20-21-24-39-47-310021916828.01.4
278274.9TroySB0.43510.48132006-158-180-00-20-32-86-54-62051842695.90.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
238240.2Western KentuckySB0.45790.50551458-1510-190-10-30-54-56-64-922145245-4.8-0.3
250249.5Appalachian St.SC0.45190.47062287-1311-160-10-00-23-58-73-6209832472.50.1
289285.8ChattanoogaSC0.42590.46662476-1610-180-20-10-21-48-103-7269147297-11.2-0.8
126128.5College of CharlestonSC0.52200.496816114-1018-120-10-12-36-310-48-422111253.50.2
6064.0DavidsonSC0.56830.495316216-521-71-20-10-16-214-15-556467-3.0-0.2
224223.5ElonSC0.46770.457627410-1013-140-20-10-23-310-63-618911320914.50.7
230230.9FurmanSC0.46320.447230010-1113-140-00-00-22-611-64-5243309233-2.1-0.1
228228.1Georgia SouthernSC0.46470.46972338-1211-150-00-00-32-89-50-83331782217.10.3
260256.3NC GreensboroSC0.44790.47922088-1510-190-30-10-32-58-71-10266322497.30.4
257254.7SamfordSC0.44910.47962057-1410-170-10-01-22-56-91-826757261-6.3-0.4
333331.4The CitadelSC0.37650.46942352-193-240-00-00-30-83-131-8324221335-3.6-0.6
262259.9Western CarolinaSC0.44570.46332558-1511-180-00-20-42-39-94-71741622518.90.5
171173.4WoffordSC0.49590.452228613-917-120-10-10-24-312-75-6183289193-19.6-0.9
2830.4AlabamaSEC0.60010.57302215-721-91-31-36-29-12-011-3405634-3.6-0.3
6365.9ArkansasSEC0.56740.54916316-720-111-32-22-39-26-112-3681885312.90.6
144147.6AuburnSEC0.51030.53658313-1015-150-41-52-44-27-010-413327913314.60.7
1214.9FloridaSEC0.62290.56134419-424-72-43-14-011-25-012-329105140.90.1
128132.0GeorgiaSEC0.51990.57531910-1212-180-51-43-54-44-09-590651266.00.3
44.3KentuckySEC0.65320.55914723-129-25-23-14-011-05-014-18986-1.7-0.8
8885.2Louisiana St.SEC0.55240.55016113-917-131-31-42-37-36-010-41042147510.20.6
6970.0MississippiSEC0.56360.56343414-817-130-52-33-39-23-010-4611205119.01.1
4041.7Mississippi St.SEC0.58800.55036018-522-91-32-23-310-15-013-253175338.70.6
169172.1South CarolinaSEC0.49650.5541569-1312-180-71-21-26-54-28-619920415814.10.6
134136.4TennesseeSEC0.51740.56313710-1213-172-61-31-25-45-17-7204150141-4.6-0.2
3231.5VanderbiltSEC0.59860.5907516-720-112-42-25-38-24-011-43110283.50.4
299299.5Central ArkansasSlnd0.41290.44233105-138-180-10-00-21-67-93-726327128910.50.7
103102.9LamarSlnd0.53970.475222013-819-100-30-10-26-313-27-649431020.90.1
221218.1McNeese St.Slnd0.47060.47092277-1011-150-10-11-21-79-42-8245782135.10.2
316314.5Nicholls St.Slnd0.39740.44703025-156-210-10-00-30-86-82-929925930410.51.1
183178.3Northwestern St.Slnd0.49280.459026711-915-130-10-11-32-412-35-71731651726.30.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
290286.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.42580.46772435-148-190-00-10-50-68-72-9279143292-6.0-0.4
328326.2Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.38220.42263345-138-180-00-00-31-67-104-63233363260.20.0
246244.7Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.45480.43133248-913-130-00-00-22-511-63-7325328277-32.3-1.4
317314.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.39740.45692784-186-240-00-10-32-74-121-13334257320-5.3-0.5
100100.3Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.54200.454128116-522-70-10-02-24-216-27-6112196119-18.7-1.3
166169.2Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49800.448629612-918-110-01-10-24-312-66-7167249183-13.8-0.7
319316.7Texas St.Slnd0.39450.43883134-147-190-00-00-31-67-103-7285304330-13.3-1.0
259255.0IUPU Fort WayneSum0.44860.47742127-139-170-00-31-32-67-54-4185312259-4.0-0.2
245245.2IUPUISum0.45500.49851568-1510-190-20-31-23-67-75-6181168267-21.8-1.1
239240.4Missouri Kansas CitySum0.45730.49281738-1510-190-20-30-23-47-76-51342032382.40.1
122125.0North Dakota St.Sum0.52450.478421013-817-100-00-20-27-110-46-3126288135-10.0-0.6
133135.3OaklandSum0.51770.515812712-1315-150-10-31-43-411-25-7111481296.30.4
4243.6Oral RobertsSum0.58550.501315021-525-60-11-23-27-114-09-47813245-1.4-0.1
283280.2South DakotaSum0.43070.47492225-147-180-00-30-21-66-63-42843352719.20.6
5255.2South Dakota St.Sum0.57520.497016017-622-70-01-12-26-313-17-48716358-2.8-0.2
231231.1Southern UtahSum0.46300.463025610-1212-150-10-30-31-510-43-6314343241-9.9-0.5
180177.9Western IllinoisSum0.49330.488118310-912-130-10-30-22-39-53-4168255202-24.1-1.1
336332.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.37160.40373433-147-180-10-10-00-67-100-7320100342-9.4-1.1
300301.5Alabama St.SWAC0.41120.40923406-1410-180-00-10-20-610-91-9282152310-8.5-0.6
337333.4Alcorn St.SWAC0.37070.41333393-156-200-10-10-10-66-120-831154337-3.6-0.4
329327.1Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38140.42333334-198-230-10-20-20-77-121-12301128339-11.9-1.2
342341.3GramblingSWAC0.35060.40723413-174-240-00-00-20-64-150-103351863410.30.1
308308.4Jackson St.SWAC0.40370.44862954-177-220-40-10-11-47-111-101872317-8.6-0.6
157158.6Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.50410.447429911-1117-130-30-20-31-216-21-1122571562.60.1
286281.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42960.42503327-1311-170-10-20-20-311-81-9259352792.70.2
296294.1SouthernSWAC0.41790.38613449-1113-150-00-00-10-613-81-9338307298-3.9-0.2
244244.5Texas SouthernSWAC0.45510.44553057-1513-170-30-20-30-312-61-1124712256-11.5-0.5
188183.3Fresno St.WAC0.49030.50091529-1413-170-00-11-54-98-28-8176224192-8.7-0.4
189184.5HawaiiWAC0.48950.490317812-915-130-10-12-34-58-47-7258272204-19.5-0.9
167169.6IdahoWAC0.49790.490917710-1114-140-00-11-34-68-37-7231274179-9.4-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
201204.7Louisiana TechWAC0.47830.49341729-1213-160-10-10-55-67-38-719725619014.70.7
5863.3NevadaWAC0.56900.508214117-421-70-10-23-27-211-010-48415370-6.7-0.5
7473.3New Mexico St.WAC0.56130.520611616-721-90-21-11-29-310-111-5739584-10.7-0.7
285281.3San Jose St.WAC0.42990.48891816-168-210-00-10-42-95-66-9253284293-11.7-0.8
129132.3Utah St.WAC0.51980.519611912-1216-140-11-12-55-38-49-7118116146-13.7-0.7
4344.9Brigham YoungWCC0.58410.529310318-622-71-41-14-05-211-010-34160413.90.5
2727.9GonzagaWCC0.60260.53378718-424-51-22-23-09-09-011-21934252.90.3
105107.0Loyola MarymountWCC0.53670.53338813-916-120-32-41-14-210-26-614875110-3.0-0.2
252250.7PepperdineWCC0.45160.48821827-159-180-30-30-13-56-65-626032923911.70.7
219215.5PortlandWCC0.47230.5550525-186-220-40-40-42-74-32-10208172087.50.4
212210.6San DiegoWCC0.47480.52601097-149-180-30-30-21-68-33-825614619812.60.6
150152.1San FranciscoWCC0.50740.503814813-1015-130-30-31-22-312-28-4130242157-4.9-0.3
276271.9Santa ClaraWCC0.43790.51051346-157-200-31-31-31-65-56-5177225284-12.1-0.9
1516.3St. Mary'sWCC0.61960.527310620-225-31-23-04-15-012-010-2286624-7.7-1.6

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com