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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Nov 22, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
95105.2DavidsonA100.53610.5394841-115-131-41-32-24-36-16-4113142251-145.8-3.6
3542.8DaytonA100.58050.5450722-120-91-22-24-27-26-18-3323956-13.2-0.5
160158.3DuquesneA100.50570.50591461-015-130-21-32-43-39-18-2193349306-147.7-3.3
222224.6FordhamA100.47110.52281090-210-180-21-31-53-65-25-525125720420.60.5
223227.3George MasonA100.47030.5713111-36-220-40-51-62-62-22-8233152261.30.0
2734.3George WashingtonA100.58840.52371062-122-71-22-14-27-28-09-252227331.30.1
107114.1La SalleA100.53060.5294953-016-140-31-32-36-46-28-4831355460.11.5
3950.9MassachusettsA100.57330.5611383-119-121-21-34-39-34-18-521572-21.1-0.8
97105.2Rhode IslandA100.53600.5332922-015-111-21-23-35-36-15-3851174101.22.4
4051.7RichmondA100.57220.5382862-121-101-22-23-38-27-110-3401002130.71.1
200207.8Saint Joseph'sA100.48070.51851162-211-190-30-31-44-55-46-6199224220-12.2-0.3
7378.6Saint LouisA100.55190.52641002-019-101-31-22-27-38-19-2641941860.61.7
138143.4St. BonaventureA100.51420.51461222-115-140-21-32-44-48-27-4171321248-104.6-2.5
1321.9VCUA100.60500.5633303-022-81-23-26-27-25-09-311832-10.1-0.7
153154.6Boston CollegeACC0.50750.5612362-212-171-71-42-33-26-17-418821410252.61.4
104110.8ClemsonACC0.53210.5572472-215-141-51-22-36-34-17-4179190276-165.2-4.3
12.5DukeACC0.65900.587545-027-46-34-15-07-05-012-121634-31.5-13.7
127130.3Florida St.ACC0.52070.5587421-215-161-61-32-36-35-18-5147102134-3.7-0.1
7984.5Georgia TechACC0.54870.5668223-015-131-61-22-26-34-18-2551272460.51.7
511.1LouisvilleACC0.62450.579363-024-75-43-14-18-15-012-1126528-16.9-1.9
1218.9Miami FLACC0.60910.5702124-022-83-42-14-17-16-010-273045-26.1-2.0
611.8North CarolinaACC0.62400.589223-021-84-52-14-17-14-09-2103850-38.2-3.9
4657.0North Carolina St.ACC0.56790.580053-018-132-62-24-27-24-010-33527552.00.1
2936.7Notre DameACC0.58610.5427764-023-83-42-13-16-19-012-15026491-54.3-2.6
99105.0PittsburghACC0.53490.5618332-115-141-61-22-26-44-18-3123147174-69.0-1.8
2634.2SyracuseACC0.58890.5656263-121-103-42-24-27-16-010-32663136-101.8-5.0
814.7VirginiaACC0.61700.5684154-022-73-42-14-17-16-010-195930-15.3-1.4
234232.6Virginia TechACC0.46730.5370882-110-200-70-31-32-47-27-5285339291-58.4-1.7
139143.5Wake ForestACC0.51370.5635292-213-181-81-31-42-37-18-51581768954.51.5
159158.9AlbanyAE0.50580.45103071-218-110-10-11-23-414-47-6172261193-34.1-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
291276.6BinghamtonAE0.44180.47162430-310-180-10-10-32-78-73-928713626016.60.4
273264.9HartfordAE0.44870.45742813-112-160-10-10-32-510-75-7228217277-12.1-0.3
349339.9MaineAE0.38390.45232990-35-230-00-00-31-84-122-1035030026178.96.0
290274.9New HampshireAE0.44250.44503230-211-160-00-00-22-79-74-7307316336-61.1-1.5
102109.4Stony BrookAE0.53280.47912161-219-100-10-11-25-413-36-79264172-62.6-1.6
307294.7UMass LowellAE0.42990.44323272-210-180-00-10-21-69-94-826432719275.78.2
314303.6UMBCAE0.42320.44253290-310-190-10-10-21-59-94-932633128518.60.6
156158.5VermontAE0.50600.46992481-217-110-00-11-24-412-45-7148116208-49.5-1.1
4254.5CincinnatiAmer0.57000.5588412-019-112-41-22-27-27-18-4421281-26.5-0.9
1014.8ConnecticutAmer0.61620.5658253-022-72-32-14-17-16-08-354104.80.4
228228.1East CarolinaAmer0.46900.52511020-19-180-30-21-43-65-34-5284310349-120.9-2.8
111116.2HoustonAmer0.52880.49631652-019-101-21-22-24-211-29-21203432294.22.3
4858.2MemphisAmer0.56700.5451710-119-101-41-12-25-29-18-38172124-65.8-2.2
1929.6SMUAmer0.59520.5658242-220-91-32-24-27-26-07-4331463-33.4-1.7
168166.2South FloridaAmer0.50180.52451042-014-160-31-22-45-57-27-516518314521.20.5
114123.1TempleAmer0.52560.5346902-216-151-41-22-35-47-28-5124935865.11.6
259255.2TulaneAmer0.45480.50881351-110-190-30-21-43-76-36-5317344296-40.8-1.1
101109.1TulsaAmer0.53300.5405812-115-131-31-22-26-46-26-4128107315-205.9-4.9
196198.7UCFAmer0.48470.50811381-013-150-20-21-34-58-37-3224332330-131.3-2.8
96104.4Florida Gulf CoastASun0.53600.46182692-018-70-10-11-14-213-27-466884856.41.5
345333.3JacksonvilleASun0.39470.44143300-37-210-10-10-21-56-123-1134532426667.33.8
335321.5Kennesaw St.ASun0.40870.45602861-48-210-10-20-31-47-124-1132223927843.51.9
246242.8LipscombASun0.46170.45882780-211-150-10-10-31-310-73-9243184341-98.2-2.1
218220.5North FloridaASun0.47360.44753170-313-140-10-20-31-311-64-92182682128.50.2
262256.4Northern KentuckyASun0.45390.46442611-211-160-10-10-31-49-74-923815021739.40.9
331312.6StetsonASun0.41580.44423250-29-180-00-10-31-68-93-10328299351-38.4-1.3
252247.6USC UpstateASun0.45860.44093322-014-130-00-10-22-412-66-7237286270-22.4-0.5
3442.0IllinoisB100.58150.5585433-020-101-33-34-26-16-010-245151218-176.0-7.0
5767.9IndianaB100.55960.5573464-019-122-43-34-34-27-011-272164190-122.1-3.8
3138.6IowaB100.58420.5713102-220-112-53-24-25-16-09-46787120-81.4-3.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4757.7MarylandB100.56750.5563503-019-111-32-33-37-26-010-249131243-185.3-6.1
3646.1MichiganB100.57800.5682182-018-102-43-33-25-15-08-2519476-29.9-1.1
2130.7Michigan St.B100.59320.5542562-121-81-33-24-26-17-09-260235175-144.3-7.5
5462.9MinnesotaB100.56300.5552542-118-111-42-23-36-26-09-276247154-91.1-2.9
7684.0NebraskaB100.54900.5675202-115-131-42-33-34-25-07-310322898-14.0-0.4
174169.8NorthwesternB100.49960.5460684-013-170-51-52-53-27-19-317733513237.81.0
3038.8Ohio St.B100.58450.5530592-022-92-32-24-27-17-011-2461971523.81.0
116122.0Penn St.B100.52550.5565493-114-161-41-42-44-36-18-4132216131-9.0-0.2
5564.5PurdueB100.56240.5611373-018-111-32-34-35-25-09-275158117-52.5-1.6
175170.5RutgersB100.49940.5554531-111-190-41-52-63-45-17-51851899278.51.9
36.2WisconsinB100.63920.5683174-025-42-14-16-17-15-010-186170-63.8-12.1
2029.5BaylorB120.59490.5689143-020-92-32-25-26-25-09-224101106-76.5-3.9
5060.5Iowa St.B120.56560.5577442-018-112-42-23-25-26-09-278210167-106.5-3.4
1424.4KansasB120.60250.603011-118-112-43-25-37-21-07-4142156-131.6-7.1
8389.4Kansas St.B120.54540.5575452-116-132-42-33-34-25-08-3129231237-147.6-3.9
4961.4OklahomaB120.56580.5674211-116-122-42-23-36-34-07-389159210-148.6-4.5
7884.3Oklahoma St.B120.54870.5659233-015-131-42-33-35-34-07-391174263-178.7-4.7
155157.5TCUB120.50610.51681193-016-141-51-32-33-210-111-118135113324.50.6
46.6TexasB120.63870.578274-025-64-34-15-17-15-011-243542-35.4-6.0
162160.3Texas TechB120.50470.5418802-114-161-51-32-44-36-19-318331940120.32.9
2835.0West VirginiaB120.58830.5649284-020-102-32-25-28-24-010-2251221619.00.9
7078.3ButlerBE0.55280.5382853-018-111-31-23-36-36-08-398249149-70.7-2.0
94103.0CreightonBE0.53720.5400833-017-131-32-33-45-36-19-31012098716.00.4
189186.5DePaulBE0.49120.5433752-011-181-41-32-53-45-16-520122911472.51.7
4154.1GeorgetownBE0.57110.5684163-017-101-32-23-36-24-07-23624138-83.9-2.7
176171.2MarquetteBE0.49900.5506621-211-171-41-32-53-35-15-522518013041.21.0
1828.6ProvidenceBE0.59630.5675194-022-92-32-25-28-24-010-32019103-74.4-3.9
7482.6Seton HallBE0.54980.5479662-016-121-31-23-36-35-17-379177874.62.0
109116.1St. John'sBE0.52910.5500632-015-141-42-33-44-26-17-4144148169-52.9-1.3
6068.8VillanovaBE0.55870.5336913-020-102-32-23-36-27-09-395260180-111.2-3.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
714.6XavierBE0.61760.5652273-022-71-13-17-29-23-09-262673-58.4-4.9
8792.0Eastern WashingtonBSky0.54390.47892192-119-90-10-11-24-314-35-55946177-85.0-2.4
251247.7IdahoBSky0.45900.44783161-113-140-00-00-13-510-84-5236322254-6.3-0.1
334319.4Idaho St.BSky0.41010.45123050-38-200-00-00-21-76-102-8336282334-14.6-0.6
204208.9MontanaBSky0.47990.47232390-213-140-00-11-32-410-63-62109817929.90.6
319308.0Montana St.BSky0.42090.48681930-37-220-10-10-32-75-101-102975427929.01.0
238233.3North DakotaBSky0.46650.46192680-212-160-10-10-22-510-73-7222171328-94.7-2.0
187185.2Northern ArizonaBSky0.49230.46152701-216-130-10-10-23-413-65-6170163265-79.8-1.7
216218.8Northern ColoradoBSky0.47430.45053100-214-130-00-10-22-412-54-5223246244-25.2-0.5
213218.0Portland St.BSky0.47500.45372931-013-130-00-10-22-410-64-419230641177.03.7
233231.1Sacramento St.BSky0.46770.46252661-112-150-10-00-12-510-74-5194230113118.12.5
348336.3Southern UtahBSky0.39060.45632850-35-220-00-00-21-74-121-834825931917.31.1
215218.1Weber St.BSky0.47470.47292360-313-130-10-10-23-59-42-623941275-56.9-1.2
303292.6CampbellBSth0.43190.47112450-28-200-00-10-32-86-82-8324281347-54.4-1.6
171168.3Charleston SouthernBSth0.50110.47772201-114-120-00-11-33-59-33-51528461107.32.4
147149.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51150.45482900-116-90-00-11-24-311-33-4178294163-14.0-0.3
8588.9Gardner WebbBSth0.54530.48042082-117-80-10-11-16-310-24-3571336919.90.6
152153.5High PointBSth0.50870.47702223-115-120-00-11-24-411-45-41082068469.51.6
328311.7LibertyBSth0.41630.44123311-29-170-00-00-12-77-93-5346348321-9.3-0.3
342328.3LongwoodBSth0.40250.46022751-27-220-10-10-21-75-113-833932928840.32.1
326312.5PresbyterianBSth0.41710.47522300-37-200-10-10-31-85-82-731214028329.51.1
211217.3RadfordBSth0.47550.46662541-213-140-00-11-23-59-53-6250252238-20.7-0.4
212217.5UNC AshevilleBSth0.47510.47152441-212-140-00-11-23-68-53-5227236317-99.5-2.1
169166.8WinthropBSth0.50130.45302951-116-100-00-11-24-411-54-416728714620.80.4
201207.4Cal PolyBW0.48050.50371511-110-160-10-21-32-66-42-818728337-129.6-2.6
284272.2Cal St. FullertonBW0.44450.47162421-210-190-00-11-33-87-74-9278256299-26.8-0.7
210211.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.47800.49321742-213-160-30-11-33-59-56-71808690121.52.6
205208.1HawaiiBW0.47950.47272373-114-110-00-11-33-49-35-420219113969.11.5
7178.5Long Beach St.BW0.55270.5358891-215-130-40-22-25-38-24-84413741.51.2
274266.6UC DavisBW0.44770.44843142-012-150-00-00-22-69-76-524734517096.62.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
110117.3UC IrvineBW0.52900.47892181-117-100-10-11-24-311-36-59615717100.32.4
321307.6UC RiversideBW0.42030.46982490-28-200-10-10-31-66-94-8318275335-27.4-0.9
126131.0UC Santa BarbaraBW0.52110.50281530-215-110-10-11-24-49-34-612717274-143.0-3.0
122127.4College of CharlestonCAA0.52280.50701411-317-130-20-21-35-310-25-715668147-19.6-0.5
293278.2DelawareCAA0.44090.48911870-29-200-10-11-33-85-73-8303232348-69.8-1.8
263257.0DrexelCAA0.45380.50641440-49-180-10-11-44-84-52-731181264-7.0-0.2
230231.7ElonCAA0.46800.48182061-212-160-10-11-33-68-54-623027420130.70.7
131137.4HofstraCAA0.51740.47172412-119-120-00-11-26-412-49-412630510928.40.7
236233.3James MadisonCAA0.46690.48521982-114-170-10-11-24-69-57-6226218121112.32.7
5362.0NortheasternCAA0.56390.50091593-021-90-10-12-29-310-28-43177593.00.1
173170.2TowsonCAA0.50000.47632253-116-140-00-11-34-511-47-513828415119.20.4
166163.9UNC WilmingtonCAA0.50280.49251762-114-140-10-11-34-59-45-51151616598.92.2
177172.7William & MaryCAA0.49880.50901342-112-150-20-21-33-58-34-51053714329.70.6
5261.7CharlotteCUSA0.56390.51171263-021-90-11-23-27-39-18-4471111447.71.7
202207.5FIUCUSA0.48030.48112071-013-160-10-11-33-69-56-5164292329-121.5-2.7
258254.1Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45520.48981830-29-180-00-21-43-76-53-6271262343-88.9-2.0
6169.9Louisiana TechCUSA0.55790.49571713-121-90-11-12-27-311-19-369240155-85.1-2.9
142144.4MarshallCUSA0.51340.51861152-115-140-21-22-35-57-26-5150898559.41.3
186181.9Middle TennesseeCUSA0.49380.50771391-113-160-00-21-44-67-35-6190130332-150.1-3.3
188185.2North TexasCUSA0.49220.51101302-013-150-10-22-43-58-35-51891758897.22.1
4456.0Old DominionCUSA0.56870.49611683-022-61-01-13-18-210-19-141207155.02.0
272265.3RiceCUSA0.44910.51301241-27-190-10-21-42-75-53-528122122243.31.1
136141.9Southern MissCUSA0.51530.50461491-114-130-00-21-45-48-35-4142203211-69.1-1.5
191191.5UABCUSA0.48890.52101110-212-160-20-11-34-66-34-621145311-119.5-2.7
8085.7UTEPCUSA0.54760.50321522-019-80-11-12-25-310-27-2681385728.70.8
261256.4UTSACUSA0.45450.48192051-110-170-00-11-33-66-64-530634720056.41.3
183179.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.49540.5272991-212-160-10-21-53-56-24-619752302-122.7-2.7
167166.2Cleveland St.Horz0.50240.50171561-214-150-20-11-34-59-45-814057281-114.8-2.4
133139.0DetroitHorz0.51630.50211541-215-130-10-21-35-49-36-611240196-57.0-1.2
98105.3Green BayHorz0.53590.48482000-117-80-20-01-16-310-26-377908322.30.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
281270.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.44550.48002101-310-190-10-10-33-77-65-826320018882.52.1
276267.7MilwaukeeHorz0.44740.48541970-39-170-10-10-23-75-62-8290170287-19.3-0.5
249245.0OaklandHorz0.46060.50691430-39-200-10-21-43-85-43-102465015392.02.1
179174.9ValparaisoHorz0.49800.47962112-115-120-00-01-35-69-46-513416574100.92.1
121127.6Wright St.Horz0.52340.48851892-116-120-00-11-25-410-47-562965122.62.8
288275.2Youngstown St.Horz0.44300.46732531-310-180-00-10-32-87-74-8266296111164.24.2
336321.3NJITind0.40790.45143041-36-190-00-10-31-65-96-1933431728239.31.5
275267.8BrownIvy0.44740.47522291-310-180-10-21-41-58-65-927724319275.81.9
129131.8ColumbiaIvy0.52070.49051821-117-100-20-11-23-212-38-511891326-194.2-4.3
267261.9CornellIvy0.45140.46522562-311-170-10-11-42-59-66-826029321645.91.1
304291.9DartmouthIvy0.43190.45262980-210-180-00-10-31-68-85-93083382892.90.1
6876.9HarvardIvy0.55390.50491481-118-80-11-12-24-310-27-55621230-153.1-4.4
329313.4PennIvy0.41620.47192400-37-210-00-10-41-75-93-11338280322-8.6-0.3
257253.8PrincetonIvy0.45540.47462311-311-160-00-11-42-58-65-8272244294-40.2-0.9
8186.0YaleIvy0.54720.49951612-118-110-20-11-24-312-38-7536696-10.0-0.3
135141.3CanisiusMAAC0.51540.49631662-116-130-00-12-36-69-35-49471194-52.7-1.2
269262.0FairfieldMAAC0.45100.50561471-39-210-10-11-43-96-53-72164421547.01.3
8489.2IonaMAAC0.54530.49271752-121-100-10-11-28-411-37-4651136029.20.9
163161.6ManhattanMAAC0.50430.47252381-216-120-00-11-25-610-34-4217325247-85.4-1.9
278268.2MaristMAAC0.44710.47752210-210-180-00-01-33-96-62-6320312280-11.8-0.3
146147.4MonmouthMAAC0.51210.48252032-118-130-10-11-25-511-46-5146208161-13.6-0.3
315307.0NiagaraMAAC0.42250.48821901-27-220-00-10-42-115-62-734120226839.01.5
134139.7QuinnipiacMAAC0.51580.48282022-119-100-00-02-27-510-36-313317836103.72.5
192192.3RiderMAAC0.48820.47442332-115-140-10-11-24-510-55-4191295304-111.7-2.5
311299.8Saint Peter'sMAAC0.42660.47402340-48-220-00-10-33-95-83-7337326313-13.2-0.4
145145.2SienaMAAC0.51260.48032091-217-120-00-11-26-510-45-4161234162-16.8-0.4
91100.7AkronMAC0.53810.51161272-118-110-11-13-36-49-18-3143283127-26.3-0.7
239233.5Ball St.MAC0.46630.50711400-210-180-10-21-43-66-54-6282297316-82.5-1.9
93101.8Bowling GreenMAC0.53750.50701422-017-110-01-12-36-48-27-31102661388.82.2
6978.0BuffaloMAC0.55300.52451032-118-120-20-12-37-49-28-4611372751.01.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
208211.7Central MichiganMAC0.47820.48921862-012-130-00-11-43-57-35-223435014269.71.4
180175.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.49680.50171553-013-140-10-21-43-48-25-416825015817.90.4
6473.2Kent St.MAC0.55530.50111583-021-80-11-13-36-310-19-28831875-1.8-0.1
241237.8Miami OHMAC0.46420.52121102-110-190-10-21-63-85-35-6268198286-48.2-1.2
209211.6Northern IllinoisMAC0.47820.48641951-013-150-10-21-43-58-46-42203406205.64.3
108113.5OhioMAC0.53030.5278981-115-120-11-23-45-47-25-41591237736.50.8
6775.9ToledoMAC0.55390.51701181-219-110-20-12-26-310-27-59016078-2.1-0.1
120127.8Western MichiganMAC0.52360.50611452-014-120-01-12-44-47-25-3137290171-43.2-0.9
341325.7Bethune CookmanMEAC0.40260.41113500-311-180-00-00-11-510-124-934034123392.74.0
255249.1Coppin St.MEAC0.45800.48681940-39-190-20-20-31-58-71-111986116133.13.0
253249.4Delaware St.MEAC0.45840.43613371-213-160-10-10-21-512-84-9209213112137.43.2
351346.8Florida A&MMEAC0.36660.42883440-45-240-00-00-20-65-162-1135130929551.87.4
245241.8HamptonMEAC0.46220.42863451-315-140-10-10-11-313-85-8221288269-27.2-0.6
317305.9HowardMEAC0.42150.42693460-310-180-10-10-11-59-113-932329129015.90.5
343328.8Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.40070.42973431-48-220-10-10-21-58-143-11316272183145.87.3
271264.9Morgan St.MEAC0.44950.44833150-412-170-00-10-21-610-82-1127415218579.91.9
243240.6Norfolk St.MEAC0.46310.45292961-213-150-10-10-12-411-73-920797272-31.4-0.7
340324.5North Carolina A&TMEAC0.40540.45482910-27-210-10-20-30-46-121-113199530816.50.7
151153.1North Carolina CentralMEAC0.50890.42003480-118-70-10-10-11-116-35-41192047182.12.1
244241.4Savannah St.MEAC0.46230.46022742-212-160-20-10-22-49-73-91864316873.41.7
305291.4South Carolina St.MEAC0.43190.45292970-39-190-10-00-21-78-92-102678524546.41.2
287274.1BradleyMVC0.44370.51171250-28-200-20-21-42-85-53-7325205320-45.9-1.3
285273.9DrakeMVC0.44430.51831170-37-220-20-21-42-94-53-8310149108165.94.7
92102.1EvansvilleMVC0.53770.51151291-017-100-20-12-26-39-27-282144993.12.3
137141.4Illinois St.MVC0.51520.51511211-114-130-20-11-25-58-35-4160139236-94.6-2.1
157158.5Indiana St.MVC0.50590.50831372-115-130-20-21-34-49-36-41821926692.52.1
242238.8Loyola ChicagoMVC0.46390.49481720-110-170-20-21-32-57-44-5262334298-59.2-1.3
143146.0Missouri St.MVC0.51310.51051321-114-130-20-11-25-57-35-4157186241-95.0-2.0
4355.9Northern IowaMVC0.56880.51641204-021-81-21-12-17-210-18-33492219-163.1-6.0
185180.9Southern IllinoisMVC0.49390.49211801-315-150-20-21-43-411-47-52033141782.90.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1116.8Wichita St.MVC0.61260.5310942-023-40-02-15-18-17-07-2310115-98.2-8.2
194195.5Air ForceMWC0.48680.50371501-112-150-10-21-43-57-26-3206336214-18.5-0.4
7278.3Boise St.MWC0.55250.52041123-118-100-21-22-36-38-17-3541414434.31.0
6272.4Colorado St.MWC0.55710.5371872-017-110-11-13-37-46-17-33031195-122.6-3.4
207210.4Fresno St.MWC0.47880.5279970-29-180-20-22-53-74-33-6248182318-107.6-2.4
165164.3NevadaMWC0.50330.51891141-213-140-21-22-44-46-24-520518813727.30.6
105112.4New MexicoMWC0.53140.51371233-117-120-11-23-35-48-18-3145304234-121.6-2.9
1524.3San Diego St.MWC0.60140.5324933-023-51-02-15-28-27-08-22311051-26.7-1.6
316306.8San Jose St.MWC0.42220.51021330-35-210-10-21-52-92-51-734930328422.80.9
100108.8UNLVMWC0.53320.5448733-116-141-31-22-37-45-17-584234662.81.6
132137.9Utah St.MWC0.51690.49731643-117-120-11-12-36-48-38-31222763998.92.3
5969.3WyomingMWC0.55870.51101312-021-81-21-13-26-29-19-2632195316.30.5
172169.0BryantNEC0.50060.47452321-116-130-10-11-22-413-64-713953181-12.0-0.3
312300.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.42530.45063080-411-200-10-00-11-610-123-103272732928.70.3
295278.7Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44070.45362941-111-170-00-10-12-69-103-725722019187.72.2
292277.6LIU BrooklynNEC0.44090.43913340-113-160-00-00-12-511-94-7302330123154.63.8
289275.0Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.44280.46112721-211-180-10-10-22-49-103-825417219877.02.0
265256.8Robert MorrisNEC0.45380.46522571-312-170-10-10-22-510-83-824212916096.82.3
301290.5Sacred HeartNEC0.43290.45223001-111-190-00-10-12-59-114-8298254107183.55.2
197200.9St. Francis NYNEC0.48350.45063090-216-130-00-00-12-414-75-621524210496.92.1
254249.0St. Francis PANEC0.45810.45203021-212-160-10-00-12-510-83-724423820643.00.9
237232.8WagnerNEC0.46680.46342630-213-150-00-10-22-510-73-7214126331-98.2-2.1
320306.5Austin PeayOVC0.42040.45392920-38-190-00-10-21-57-102-9332277333-26.5-0.8
6373.0BelmontOVC0.55620.48452012-121-70-10-12-26-313-28-43774157-84.0-2.7
302291.2Eastern IllinoisOVC0.43250.46402620-29-170-00-10-31-67-82-8315185307-15.8-0.4
123128.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.52220.46872511-017-100-20-11-13-214-36-5991952999.32.4
294278.6Jacksonville St.OVC0.44070.47702230-39-200-10-10-31-77-94-92732012735.60.1
130136.3Morehead St.OVC0.51800.47702241-317-120-10-21-33-413-36-7136166176-39.7-1.0
117122.6Murray St.OVC0.52520.45972761-120-80-10-01-14-315-38-41091553884.62.3
322307.7SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.41970.45023110-28-170-00-00-21-67-82-7329289309-1.3-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
279269.3Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44640.45532881-211-160-10-10-32-59-64-7288251297-27.7-0.7
323309.1Tennessee MartinOVC0.41950.43433381-19-180-00-10-31-58-104-7295346324-14.9-0.5
309297.9Tennessee St.OVC0.42790.46982500-18-200-10-10-31-86-83-9321269342-44.1-1.3
280270.3Tennessee TechOVC0.44580.46022731-110-170-00-10-32-68-84-7280315293-22.7-0.5
1625.4ArizonaP120.60080.576983-020-92-33-25-26-15-09-216291114.40.8
8689.9Arizona St.P120.54490.5534583-017-131-42-43-35-26-19-3104193129-39.1-1.0
3745.1CaliforniaP120.57780.5457703-122-92-42-24-25-19-110-34810899-53.9-2.2
6574.9ColoradoP120.55520.5460692-117-111-32-33-35-26-17-37412179-4.1-0.1
3239.4OregonP120.58420.5491643-021-81-22-25-27-16-09-2225562-22.6-1.0
158159.6Oregon St.P120.50580.52341082-014-141-31-32-44-36-17-316931143116.62.5
1725.6StanfordP120.59960.5624323-121-92-43-24-25-17-09-3171835-9.4-0.6
4557.0UCLAP120.56820.5610393-018-112-42-33-24-16-08-37079207-150.0-5.0
227228.5USCP120.46930.5507612-28-210-40-41-52-64-25-6261215242-13.5-0.4
2434.5UtahP120.58940.5544552-120-92-32-24-25-17-08-32751227-192.5-8.8
8996.8WashingtonP120.54080.5426782-016-121-32-33-33-27-18-2107245101-4.2-0.1
219221.7Washington St.P120.47330.5514601-28-200-51-41-52-54-24-624022218932.70.8
125131.5AmericanPat0.52140.49591692-216-140-00-11-45-610-36-6121134203-71.5-1.7
124129.0ArmyPat0.52190.47002474-019-90-10-01-25-412-38-2873138247.01.1
112117.4Boston UniversityPat0.52850.49971601-217-110-10-11-35-410-35-597834968.41.6
240236.4BucknellPat0.46510.49931621-310-190-00-11-44-86-53-8255132259-22.6-0.5
199206.6ColgatePat0.48110.49321731-212-180-10-11-44-78-54-8200173235-28.4-0.6
103110.9Holy CrossPat0.53260.48781912-017-100-00-12-25-410-36-3711682585.92.1
118123.8LafayettePat0.52500.47532283-118-100-10-11-24-312-37-310027910518.80.5
235232.5LehighPat0.46690.49581700-310-180-00-11-44-86-53-7256154271-38.5-0.9
283272.3Loyola MDPat0.44470.49111812-29-200-00-11-43-96-54-725318718290.32.4
282271.4NavyPat0.44540.49211790-49-190-10-21-43-76-63-7275179150121.43.2
327313.9Appalachian St.SB0.41640.47932151-26-230-00-10-32-94-92-728922323182.93.4
182176.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.49630.48941851-114-130-00-11-25-58-43-41735847129.72.7
256250.7Arkansas St.SB0.45690.46462590-112-160-00-11-24-78-63-5313337350-99.3-2.3
220223.2Georgia SouthernSB0.47260.47062460-112-140-00-00-24-68-53-322929816459.21.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
128131.0Georgia St.SB0.52070.48971840-217-130-00-11-35-511-44-6135104165-34.0-0.8
198203.1Louisiana LafayetteSB0.48260.47912170-213-140-00-01-24-78-52-5232196327-123.9-2.5
113121.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.52660.48222041-116-100-00-01-16-410-33-373109184-63.0-1.5
250246.0South AlabamaSB0.45980.47952130-211-180-10-10-23-88-63-6276211344-98.0-2.2
195198.2Texas St.SB0.48560.47932142-113-130-10-00-23-59-53-3130156225-26.8-0.6
248243.2TroySB0.46130.46332640-212-150-00-10-23-68-53-4301342310-66.8-1.4
141144.6UT ArlingtonSB0.51350.48551963-117-120-20-01-24-512-45-4102119199-54.4-1.3
260254.5ChattanoogaSC0.45460.45213010-313-150-10-10-22-311-83-72832122531.50.0
193193.8East Tennessee St.SC0.48760.46622551-114-130-10-10-22-411-63-617667202-8.2-0.2
333317.4FurmanSC0.41220.46762521-27-200-10-10-31-56-101-82948225859.42.4
226227.2MercerSC0.47000.44543221-114-130-00-10-31-312-64-524525893134.22.9
338323.1SamfordSC0.40640.43853361-39-200-00-10-31-58-113-833333326261.12.7
344328.2The CitadelSC0.40020.44333260-27-190-00-10-21-57-111-6344267346-17.8-0.8
332317.2UNC GreensboroSC0.41280.44493240-39-190-10-10-21-58-112-834730230512.20.5
286274.1VMISC0.44380.45652831-211-160-10-20-21-49-81-729611424628.10.7
217219.4Western CarolinaSC0.47430.45572870-214-150-00-11-32-511-63-824119964155.43.4
6673.7WoffordSC0.55500.47362353-122-70-20-11-14-216-27-42836685.70.2
5868.3AlabamaSEC0.55950.5612353-017-121-42-23-37-25-08-343622345.31.3
2231.7ArkansasSEC0.59250.5466673-023-81-22-25-29-26-011-2197852-20.3-1.0
154157.1AuburnSEC0.50630.5554522-112-170-31-32-55-53-16-514199252-94.9-2.2
2332.0FloridaSEC0.59210.571392-119-102-42-25-27-13-08-33848311.00.0
5667.0GeorgiaSEC0.56060.5600402-117-121-31-24-46-35-18-3586097-30.0-0.9
23.6KentuckySEC0.65260.588134-027-44-24-17-18-13-011-2137-3.4-1.0
5162.1LSUSEC0.56450.5614343-118-121-32-34-38-34-09-329342636.11.2
7582.3MississippiSEC0.54970.5539572-117-131-32-33-36-35-18-486124323-240.7-6.9
184179.8Mississippi St.SEC0.49480.52351073-013-160-31-32-44-56-18-315530767112.82.5
9099.4MissouriSEC0.53920.5691132-114-151-52-33-35-34-16-511749141-41.6-1.1
7783.4South CarolinaSEC0.54900.5627312-215-131-42-33-45-24-06-4131115118-34.6-1.0
164163.7TennesseeSEC0.50350.5480651-112-160-31-32-54-44-16-4184146205-41.3-0.9
3849.5Texas A&MSEC0.57440.5561512-119-101-32-24-37-25-08-33973221-171.5-6.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
140143.7VanderbiltSEC0.51350.5423791-014-151-31-33-54-35-17-4149162312-168.3-3.8
339322.6Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40590.44273280-28-190-00-00-21-67-112-7331263345-22.4-0.9
347336.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.39160.45642840-46-230-00-00-21-85-121-1034216730036.02.4
337321.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.40650.44993120-26-180-00-00-21-75-91-5335265197124.64.6
203208.9Incarnate WordSlnd0.48000.44623191-013-110-00-00-22-411-52-411610514464.91.3
308294.2LamarSlnd0.42980.45103060-39-170-10-10-21-58-92-630523725539.21.1
277267.0McNeese St.Slnd0.44720.44593210-111-140-10-10-22-49-62-524956110157.03.5
306292.0New OrleansSlnd0.43050.45183030-18-160-00-10-21-57-70-627942125167.04.3
296281.8Nicholls St.Slnd0.43820.46142710-29-160-10-10-21-57-71-625813135146.83.6
190190.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.48910.46492580-113-120-10-11-22-311-42-51749303-112.1-2.3
144145.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.51300.44963132-118-90-00-11-22-215-35-4106120148-3.0-0.1
310298.9Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.42720.44673180-310-190-10-10-21-58-102-9304153339-40.1-1.2
106112.8Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.53090.47962120-218-90-20-11-14-213-34-511422126-13.2-0.3
232230.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.46790.44613200-114-130-00-10-22-411-63-623527014090.51.9
119124.2DenverSum0.52440.49631671-118-110-10-21-25-411-37-611170186-61.8-1.4
148150.5IPFWSum0.51010.45772801-117-90-00-01-25-411-36-41623289555.51.2
268261.8IUPUISum0.45140.49231772-210-200-10-10-33-96-64-1021312822338.81.0
224226.5Nebraska OmahaSum0.47030.46242672-113-150-00-00-24-78-66-621232021313.50.3
206210.6North Dakota St.Sum0.47890.48881882-212-140-10-11-23-68-54-616611218723.60.5
161161.1Oral RobertsSum0.50510.49771631-213-140-00-11-35-67-44-7154698675.11.5
229228.8South DakotaSum0.46900.47612260-412-170-10-10-23-79-65-8252248250-21.2-0.5
178172.6South Dakota St.Sum0.49850.49231781-214-140-10-11-34-59-55-7163103314-141.4-2.9
299286.8Western IllinoisSum0.43560.47602271-28-170-00-00-23-85-73-6314253340-53.2-1.4
313301.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.42450.41423490-211-150-00-10-20-310-101-7300169122179.65.1
221222.9Alabama St.SWAC0.47260.40453510-116-90-10-10-10-115-63-419618180142.93.2
330312.5Alcorn St.SWAC0.41600.43873350-49-180-20-10-20-38-120-92922030111.50.4
324312.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41740.43193401-310-200-10-10-20-510-112-1028612522884.03.1
346333.2Grambling St.SWAC0.39250.43053420-27-190-10-10-20-36-120-830947166167.28.4
325312.2Jackson St.SWAC0.41720.42123471-211-200-00-10-21-510-123-1029922694218.28.1
350344.2Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37460.43163410-36-240-00-10-20-75-150-1234314526777.28.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
298286.0Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43600.43233390-411-170-10-10-21-510-91-92938022957.01.5
297284.4SouthernSWAC0.43720.44073330-311-170-10-20-30-310-91-927033338-53.6-1.4
266260.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.45190.45962770-412-190-30-20-30-311-81-1225911325-64.2-1.6
318306.0Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.42130.45792790-49-190-10-10-21-67-104-1033030124066.02.1
300289.6Chicago St.WAC0.43360.48491990-27-210-00-10-42-75-82-12291143100189.65.1
264256.1Grand CanyonWAC0.45380.45732822-214-150-10-11-32-412-68-726927122432.10.8
8287.2New Mexico St.WAC0.54630.50151571-319-100-20-11-24-213-28-78025119-31.8-0.9
247243.0SeattleWAC0.46130.46282651-213-130-00-11-22-410-65-726524115291.02.0
270263.6Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.45000.48691921-08-190-10-10-31-67-84-92081062261.66.3
181176.2UMKCWAC0.49670.46462601-216-120-00-11-23-412-67-717522515917.20.4
214217.6Utah ValleyWAC0.47480.45512892-113-140-10-10-22-311-76-7195285249-31.4-0.7
2534.5BYUWCC0.58930.5568482-020-82-32-13-18-25-17-3137331.51.4
914.1GonzagaWCC0.61660.5284963-025-42-13-14-18-19-010-115118122.10.2
225228.1Loyola MarymountWCC0.47000.5436741-27-200-40-31-43-64-23-62197517355.11.4
231231.5PacificWCC0.46800.52531011-17-180-30-21-43-73-23-4231278232-0.5-0.0
150152.9PepperdineWCC0.50900.51161282-014-140-31-21-34-38-27-3153308256-103.1-2.3
149152.7PortlandWCC0.50910.50871362-014-140-31-21-25-58-27-3151323257-104.3-2.3
3340.9Saint Mary'sWCC0.58250.5427772-020-81-21-14-29-36-18-218322020.90.9
115122.8San DiegoWCC0.52550.5403822-113-141-41-21-34-46-15-412576209-86.2-2.0
8896.1San FranciscoWCC0.54100.52011131-017-101-31-12-26-38-17-293233239-142.9-3.5
170167.4Santa ClaraWCC0.50130.52381051-112-140-31-21-34-45-24-420425512839.40.8

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com