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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
77	76.7	Charlotte	A10	0.5558	0.5365	94	19-12	19-12	1-4	2-4	1-1	7-3	8-0	10-4	57	132	76	0.7	1.4
52	52.0	Dayton	A10	0.5784	0.5681	31	20-12	20-12	1-6	2-2	1-2	12-2	4-0	11-3	15	21	51	1.0	1.9
111	111.0	Duquesne	A10	0.5296	0.5394	85	15-15	15-15	0-4	0-3	2-4	6-4	7-0	8-5	69	68	110	1.0	1.1
303	303.5	Fordham	A10	0.4120	0.5334	102	2-26	2-26	0-4	0-3	0-5	1-9	1-5	2-10	296	202	303	0.5	0.4
148	147.0	George Washington	A10	0.5139	0.5047	154	16-14	16-14	0-3	0-3	2-4	6-5	8-0	10-3	122	311	145	2.0	1.4
175	174.6	La Salle	A10	0.4998	0.5367	93	12-18	12-18	0-5	0-4	0-4	5-4	7-1	8-6	113	117	174	0.6	0.7
176	175.8	Massachusetts	A10	0.4991	0.5480	62	11-20	11-20	0-4	1-5	2-4	4-8	4-0	5-8	165	60	176	-0.2	-0.4
37	38.0	Rhode Island	A10	0.5959	0.5444	72	23-8	23-9	0-4	1-1	6-2	12-2	4-0	12-1	6	35	38	-0.0	-0.0
27	26.1	Richmond	A10	0.6071	0.5435	73	25-7	25-8	1-2	3-1	5-5	9-0	7-0	11-4	37	73	25	1.1	0.5
179	178.8	Saint Joseph's	A10	0.4973	0.5520	57	11-20	11-20	0-5	0-5	1-3	6-6	4-1	6-8	140	43	178	0.8	1.2
155	155.3	St. Bonaventure	A10	0.5094	0.5257	115	14-16	14-16	0-4	1-1	0-7	6-4	7-0	6-6	134	130	154	1.3	1.9
86	86.2	St. Louis	A10	0.5476	0.5296	106	19-11	19-11	0-2	2-3	2-2	10-4	5-0	8-5	179	226	85	1.2	1.5
15	14.2	Temple	A10	0.6242	0.5505	58	27-5	28-5	2-2	4-1	4-2	13-0	5-0	12-3	30	41	16	-1.8	-0.6
17	16.0	Xavier	A10	0.6224	0.5624	39	24-7	25-7	0-4	4-2	7-1	9-0	5-0	9-5	47	20	18	-2.0	-0.8
122	122.7	Boston College	ACC	0.5244	0.5557	48	15-16	15-16	0-4	1-6	5-3	4-3	5-0	9-5	175	255	120	2.7	1.9
34	34.7	Clemson	ACC	0.5994	0.5744	24	21-10	21-10	2-4	3-2	5-3	5-1	6-0	12-2	38	141	34	0.7	0.9
2	2.9	Duke	ACC	0.6610	0.5871	9	27-5	28-5	1-3	6-1	10-1	8-0	3-0	13-2	8	33	2	0.9	1.1
42	42.0	Florida St.	ACC	0.5908	0.5541	52	22-9	22-9	0-3	4-3	6-3	6-0	6-0	12-2	42	218	41	1.0	1.4
35	36.1	Georgia Tech	ACC	0.5979	0.5797	17	20-11	21-11	2-2	3-4	6-3	5-2	5-0	11-2	33	145	35	1.1	0.3
23	23.2	Maryland	ACC	0.6124	0.5756	21	22-8	22-8	1-3	4-3	6-2	4-0	7-0	9-4	105	157	23	0.2	0.2
96	96.4	Miami FL	ACC	0.5414	0.5294	107	19-12	19-13	0-3	3-4	4-3	1-3	11-0	13-0	82	346	96	0.4	0.1
93	92.0	North Carolina	ACC	0.5442	0.5791	18	16-16	16-16	0-5	3-7	6-2	2-2	5-0	11-4	62	99	93	-1.0	-0.9
92	91.6	North Carolina St.	ACC	0.5443	0.5475	65	19-14	19-15	1-2	5-4	2-6	4-3	7-0	12-3	107	274	91	0.6	0.1
126	126.3	Virginia	ACC	0.5223	0.5536	56	15-16	15-16	0-4	2-4	4-4	4-4	5-0	9-4	159	278	125	1.3	2.6
53	53.3	Virginia Tech	ACC	0.5765	0.5141	133	23-8	23-8	0-3	3-1	5-3	6-1	9-0	13-1	76	336	53	0.3	0.5
40	39.2	Wake Forest	ACC	0.5941	0.5708	29	19-10	19-10	2-2	4-2	3-6	4-0	6-0	10-2	28	74	40	-0.8	-0.7
301	301.1	Albany	AE	0.4132	0.4756	220	7-25	7-25	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-12	6-9	5-10	227	184	301	0.1	0.1
229	228.8	Binghamton	AE	0.4608	0.4862	191	11-18	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	3-12	8-3	3-10	246	98	229	-0.2	-0.4
132	132.8	Boston University	AE	0.5200	0.4856	192	19-12	19-13	0-1	0-1	1-4	3-7	15-0	6-7	177	101	139	-6.2	-0.8
304	304.7	Hartford	AE	0.4118	0.4608	260	8-22	8-22	0-2	0-0	0-1	0-11	8-8	2-11	331	280	305	-0.3	-0.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
153	153.0	Maine	AE	0.5111	0.4592	266	18-11	18-11	0-1	0-0	0-1	4-5	14-4	7-5	124	213	153	0.0	NaN
333	333.0	MD Baltimore County	AE	0.3803	0.4487	292	4-26	4-26	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-12	3-13	1-12	344	340	333	0.0	NaN
242	242.8	New Hampshire	AE	0.4521	0.4628	255	12-17	12-17	0-2	0-0	0-1	3-8	9-6	5-6	222	271	242	0.8	1.0
142	142.2	Stony Brook	AE	0.5159	0.4366	317	21-9	21-9	0-0	0-1	0-1	6-3	15-4	7-5	196	331	142	0.2	0.1
127	126.6	Vermont	AE	0.5221	0.4417	306	24-9	25-9	0-0	0-1	1-0	9-4	15-4	10-5	148	301	129	-2.4	-0.2
136	136.3	Belmont	ASun	0.5180	0.4755	221	19-12	19-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	7-2	12-6	5-5	101	37	136	0.3	0.3
183	183.4	Campbell	ASun	0.4961	0.4525	280	17-11	17-11	0-0	0-0	0-1	3-6	14-4	3-4	225	230	183	0.4	0.8
120	121.2	East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.5248	0.4964	169	19-14	19-14	0-1	0-2	1-2	6-4	12-5	3-7	118	3	122	-0.8	-0.6
321	320.8	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.3955	0.4357	318	8-21	8-21	0-0	0-1	0-1	2-6	6-13	3-6	306	338	321	-0.2	-0.1
143	143.1	Jacksonville	ASun	0.5156	0.4645	250	19-12	19-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	4-4	15-4	4-5	129	100	143	0.1	0.1
284	284.0	Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.4270	0.4501	287	11-20	11-20	0-0	0-2	0-1	0-11	11-6	3-6	286	289	284	0.0	0.1
205	205.2	Lipscomb	ASun	0.4768	0.4466	295	16-13	16-13	0-1	0-1	0-2	5-4	11-5	2-6	300	256	206	-0.8	-0.7
219	219.9	Mercer	ASun	0.4692	0.4748	223	14-17	14-17	0-1	0-2	0-2	6-6	8-6	2-6	240	124	219	0.9	0.8
236	236.2	North Florida	ASun	0.4559	0.4663	244	12-18	12-18	0-0	0-2	0-2	2-9	10-5	4-5	143	120	237	-0.8	-1.9
307	306.6	South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.4112	0.4741	224	6-23	6-23	0-0	0-2	0-2	0-11	6-8	0-9	322	78	307	-0.4	-0.4
327	327.0	Stetson	ASun	0.3901	0.4588	267	5-22	5-22	0-0	0-2	0-2	1-7	4-11	0-7	340	204	327	0.0	0.1
72	72.0	Illinois	B10	0.5622	0.5661	34	19-13	19-14	3-4	2-5	1-1	5-4	8-0	8-5	125	106	72	-0.0	-0.0
221	220.9	Indiana	B10	0.4688	0.5411	77	10-21	10-21	1-7	0-2	1-4	3-5	5-3	6-6	239	242	218	2.9	2.2
211	210.4	Iowa	B10	0.4752	0.5538	54	10-22	10-22	0-5	0-5	0-5	4-7	6-0	6-7	201	122	209	1.4	1.6
133	132.9	Michigan	B10	0.5198	0.5540	53	14-17	14-17	0-5	1-4	3-2	4-5	6-1	6-5	146	91	131	1.9	1.7
29	28.8	Michigan St.	B10	0.6034	0.5557	49	24-8	24-8	2-2	2-2	5-4	9-0	7-0	10-3	44	103	29	-0.2	-0.2
66	64.4	Minnesota	B10	0.5675	0.5593	44	20-12	20-13	3-4	2-3	1-2	8-3	7-1	9-3	54	77	68	-3.6	-0.7
115	114.6	Northwestern	B10	0.5276	0.5152	131	20-13	20-13	1-4	1-3	3-2	4-2	11-2	12-1	65	283	114	0.6	0.8
26	27.5	Ohio St.	B10	0.6072	0.5458	69	25-7	26-7	3-4	2-0	4-2	6-1	11-0	10-3	53	128	27	0.5	0.1
194	193.6	Penn St.	B10	0.4852	0.5417	76	11-20	11-20	0-6	0-3	0-6	6-1	5-4	8-4	166	288	194	-0.4	-0.7
10	12.2	Purdue	B10	0.6287	0.5544	51	27-4	28-4	3-1	3-2	5-0	8-1	8-0	12-0	10	119	10	2.2	0.6
21	20.6	Wisconsin	B10	0.6146	0.5715	27	23-8	23-8	3-1	3-3	3-3	7-1	7-0	10-2	14	32	21	-0.4	-0.5
8	8.3	Baylor	B12	0.6340	0.5846	13	24-7	24-7	2-4	5-1	5-1	8-1	4-0	12-1	16	134	8	0.3	0.7
118	119.0	Colorado	B12	0.5253	0.5689	30	13-16	13-16	1-5	0-5	1-3	6-3	5-0	7-5	163	212	117	2.0	2.7
123	123.6	Iowa St.	B12	0.5242	0.5623	40	15-17	15-17	1-8	0-5	1-1	6-3	7-0	11-4	112	217	121	2.6	2.9
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
1	1.0	Kansas	B12	0.6857	0.5977	5	31-2	32-2	8-1	5-1	4-0	14-0	2-0	14-1	4	29	1	0.0	NaN
6	5.5	Kansas St.	B12	0.6486	0.6095	2	25-6	25-7	4-3	4-2	4-1	10-1	3-0	12-1	5	24	6	-0.5	-0.6
44	44.2	Missouri	B12	0.5862	0.5577	47	22-10	22-10	1-6	3-1	2-0	10-3	6-0	12-3	56	192	44	0.2	0.3
150	149.4	Nebraska	B12	0.5134	0.5537	55	15-18	15-18	0-8	1-4	2-1	6-5	6-0	12-3	77	263	149	0.4	0.7
117	117.3	Oklahoma	B12	0.5257	0.5790	19	13-18	13-18	0-6	3-5	1-3	5-3	4-1	9-5	94	146	116	1.3	2.0
31	31.6	Oklahoma St.	B12	0.6022	0.5717	26	22-10	22-10	4-3	0-4	1-2	14-1	3-0	12-2	31	153	31	0.6	0.5
30	29.8	Texas	B12	0.6028	0.5605	43	24-9	24-9	2-6	3-1	3-1	10-1	6-0	14-1	25	203	30	-0.2	-0.3
13	13.8	Texas A&M	B12	0.6255	0.5962	7	22-9	22-9	1-6	4-3	4-0	8-0	5-0	10-3	29	45	13	0.8	0.6
71	71.7	Texas Tech	B12	0.5623	0.5856	12	17-15	17-15	0-8	3-5	0-0	9-2	5-0	12-2	13	82	71	0.7	0.7
61	62.0	Cincinnati	BE	0.5705	0.5878	8	18-15	18-15	2-7	2-5	3-3	5-0	6-0	9-3	32	48	61	1.0	1.1
63	62.7	Connecticut	BE	0.5699	0.5985	4	17-15	17-15	2-5	2-4	5-4	5-2	3-0	10-3	12	11	62	0.7	0.8
212	212.2	DePaul	BE	0.4737	0.5645	37	8-23	8-23	1-7	1-3	0-8	2-3	4-2	7-5	130	147	212	0.2	0.5
7	7.2	Georgetown	BE	0.6385	0.6190	1	23-9	23-10	6-5	3-3	6-1	3-1	5-0	10-1	3	8	7	0.2	0.5
39	37.9	Louisville	BE	0.5950	0.5964	6	20-12	20-12	2-5	1-2	5-4	9-1	3-0	9-4	48	23	39	-1.1	-1.4
50	49.1	Marquette	BE	0.5831	0.5627	38	22-11	22-11	3-7	1-2	6-1	5-0	7-1	9-3	88	194	50	-0.9	-1.2
49	48.0	Notre Dame	BE	0.5839	0.5653	36	23-11	23-11	4-3	1-1	7-4	4-3	7-0	11-2	73	223	48	0.0	0.0
16	16.0	Pittsburgh	BE	0.6242	0.5861	11	24-8	24-8	3-2	4-3	7-2	6-0	4-1	11-2	21	49	15	1.0	1.2
140	140.3	Providence	BE	0.5166	0.5709	28	12-19	12-19	0-6	0-5	3-7	3-1	6-0	8-4	104	175	140	0.3	0.3
161	160.8	Rutgers	BE	0.5064	0.5493	60	14-17	14-17	1-5	1-2	1-8	5-2	6-0	9-3	114	237	161	-0.2	-0.2
60	59.9	Seton Hall	BE	0.5720	0.5675	32	19-12	19-12	1-7	3-2	2-3	6-0	7-0	9-2	59	197	60	-0.1	-0.1
70	70.6	South Florida	BE	0.5629	0.5487	61	20-12	20-12	2-4	1-4	3-3	6-1	8-0	10-2	71	234	70	0.6	0.9
82	82.5	St. John's	BE	0.5512	0.5750	22	17-15	17-15	1-7	3-4	3-2	4-2	6-0	10-2	27	67	82	0.5	0.9
5	5.0	Syracuse	BE	0.6520	0.5870	10	28-4	28-4	5-2	4-2	9-0	6-0	5-0	13-0	1	36	5	-0.0	-0.0
14	14.3	Villanova	BE	0.6253	0.5748	23	24-7	24-7	3-5	4-1	6-1	6-0	5-0	11-1	22	176	14	0.3	0.4
4	4.0	West Virginia	BE	0.6573	0.6054	3	26-6	27-6	5-4	4-1	9-1	6-0	3-0	11-1	2	22	4	0.0	0.0
278	278.4	Eastern Washington	BSky	0.4295	0.4921	178	7-21	7-21	0-1	0-1	1-5	2-8	4-6	2-10	253	88	279	-0.6	-1.0
305	304.6	Idaho St.	BSky	0.4118	0.4909	181	5-22	5-22	0-2	0-1	1-3	1-9	3-7	1-10	278	104	306	-1.4	-1.3
97	97.5	Montana	BSky	0.5408	0.4811	206	20-9	20-9	0-0	0-1	2-1	9-4	9-3	7-3	79	183	97	0.5	0.6
200	200.6	Montana St.	BSky	0.4792	0.4709	234	13-14	13-14	0-0	0-0	2-4	3-5	8-5	3-7	233	189	200	0.6	0.8
198	198.3	Northern Arizona	BSky	0.4808	0.4716	231	12-14	12-14	0-1	0-1	0-6	1-5	11-1	4-5	178	215	198	0.3	0.4
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
116	116.4	Northern Colorado	BSky	0.5260	0.4370	316	23-7	23-7	0-0	0-0	2-3	7-2	14-2	11-2	132	344	118	-1.6	-2.5
223	222.2	Portland St.	BSky	0.4682	0.4904	183	11-19	11-19	0-0	0-2	2-5	2-9	7-3	3-9	223	110	221	1.2	1.4
297	296.9	Sacramento St.	BSky	0.4154	0.4618	256	7-21	7-21	0-0	0-0	0-4	2-10	5-7	4-8	243	266	297	-0.1	-0.2
85	84.7	Weber St.	BSky	0.5486	0.5074	148	18-10	18-10	0-3	0-1	2-2	5-3	11-1	4-6	108	14	86	-1.3	-1.4
286	285.4	Charleston Southern	BSth	0.4265	0.4496	289	9-17	9-17	0-1	0-0	0-2	3-6	6-8	2-5	224	160	286	-0.6	-1.2
137	136.6	Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.5179	0.4238	331	24-6	24-6	0-1	0-0	2-0	2-3	20-2	7-2	139	323	137	-0.4	-0.3
318	318.0	Gardner Webb	BSth	0.3981	0.4615	257	5-21	5-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-8	5-9	0-8	323	79	318	0.0	0.1
254	253.5	High Point	BSth	0.4447	0.4230	332	13-15	13-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	3-4	10-9	3-6	285	335	254	-0.5	-0.6
232	232.0	Liberty	BSth	0.4577	0.4610	258	12-16	12-16	0-0	0-3	0-0	1-10	11-3	2-7	251	86	232	0.0	NaN
216	217.4	NC Asheville	BSth	0.4700	0.4845	196	12-16	12-16	0-2	0-0	0-2	2-8	10-4	0-8	270	7	215	2.4	2.5
329	329.4	Presbyterian	BSth	0.3858	0.4667	243	4-26	4-26	0-0	0-3	0-4	0-8	4-11	2-10	242	85	329	0.4	0.9
169	169.6	Radford	BSth	0.5024	0.4698	238	17-12	17-12	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-3	13-5	3-6	197	26	169	0.6	0.5
310	309.7	Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.4091	0.4645	249	6-19	6-19	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-8	6-8	1-5	257	46	310	-0.3	-0.6
160	160.0	Winthrop	BSth	0.5067	0.4687	240	17-13	17-13	0-0	0-1	0-4	3-5	14-3	2-7	245	118	160	0.0	0.0
256	256.0	Cal Poly	BW	0.4434	0.4541	278	12-19	12-19	0-1	0-1	1-1	2-6	9-10	4-9	291	322	256	-0.0	-0.0
206	205.7	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.4767	0.4701	237	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-1	1-3	3-4	10-6	5-6	182	171	204	1.7	1.5
252	251.8	Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.4465	0.4851	193	11-21	11-21	0-1	0-1	0-1	4-11	7-7	5-10	236	154	251	0.8	1.5
107	106.4	Long Beach St.	BW	0.5337	0.5280	110	15-15	16-15	1-3	0-3	0-1	5-4	9-5	5-7	52	2	107	-0.6	-0.1
129	128.9	Pacific	BW	0.5213	0.4774	210	20-11	20-11	0-1	1-2	1-2	3-3	15-3	8-6	155	179	126	2.9	2.0
244	243.5	UC Davis	BW	0.4518	0.4631	254	12-18	12-18	0-0	0-0	0-2	1-10	11-6	3-9	302	317	245	-1.5	-0.8
276	275.6	UC Irvine	BW	0.4310	0.4444	301	12-18	12-18	0-0	0-1	1-1	2-8	9-8	6-7	264	329	275	0.6	1.2
255	255.8	UC Riverside	BW	0.4435	0.4646	247	10-17	10-17	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-5	7-8	5-6	215	261	255	0.8	0.9
104	102.1	UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.5364	0.4848	194	18-9	18-10	0-1	0-1	1-1	5-2	12-4	5-5	144	95	100	2.1	0.3
239	238.9	Delaware	CAA	0.4546	0.5395	84	7-24	7-24	0-2	0-3	0-8	2-6	5-5	4-8	156	27	239	-0.1	-0.3
149	147.1	Drexel	CAA	0.5139	0.5112	139	16-16	16-16	0-2	0-3	3-3	3-5	10-3	5-8	170	97	148	-0.9	-0.7
158	158.0	George Mason	CAA	0.5077	0.4993	164	17-14	17-14	0-1	1-2	1-6	3-3	12-2	5-7	241	196	159	-1.0	-3.8
248	247.7	Georgia St.	CAA	0.4488	0.4908	182	11-20	11-20	0-0	0-3	0-7	2-5	9-5	6-6	202	257	247	0.7	1.2
146	145.3	Hofstra	CAA	0.5144	0.5012	159	18-14	18-14	0-1	0-1	2-8	2-4	14-0	7-5	127	127	146	-0.7	-0.8
241	241.5	James Madison	CAA	0.4525	0.4774	209	13-20	13-20	0-0	0-3	2-5	2-6	9-6	8-5	193	341	241	0.5	0.6
237	236.8	NC Wilmington	CAA	0.4556	0.5094	145	9-22	9-22	0-0	0-3	1-7	3-8	5-4	4-8	213	105	236	0.8	1.4
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
74	74.3	Northeastern	CAA	0.5603	0.5377	90	20-12	20-12	1-0	2-3	3-3	4-6	10-0	5-7	99	9	74	0.3	0.4
28	27.0	Old Dominion	CAA	0.6052	0.5384	88	26-8	26-8	1-1	0-2	7-4	5-1	13-0	8-5	43	17	28	-1.0	-1.5
265	265.1	Towson	CAA	0.4377	0.4824	204	10-21	10-21	0-0	0-3	1-3	1-10	8-5	3-8	304	251	265	0.1	0.2
65	65.0	Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.5675	0.5127	135	22-9	22-9	0-0	3-2	3-3	4-3	12-1	9-1	17	92	65	-0.0	-0.0
57	57.5	William & Mary	CAA	0.5733	0.5282	109	21-10	21-10	1-0	2-3	3-4	6-0	9-3	7-3	19	28	57	0.5	0.5
190	189.6	Central Florida	CUSA	0.4902	0.5098	143	14-17	14-17	0-0	0-4	0-8	5-3	9-2	7-6	169	190	190	-0.4	-0.6
230	230.2	East Carolina	CUSA	0.4593	0.5234	119	7-21	7-21	0-2	0-4	0-6	1-7	6-2	3-8	199	44	230	0.2	0.3
125	126.3	Houston	CUSA	0.5228	0.5290	108	17-15	17-16	0-0	1-3	3-5	7-5	6-3	7-6	158	138	132	-5.7	-0.7
68	67.4	Marshall	CUSA	0.5654	0.5252	116	20-9	20-9	0-1	1-3	2-4	7-1	10-0	9-3	41	75	67	0.4	0.5
56	56.8	Memphis	CUSA	0.5737	0.5388	87	23-9	23-9	0-3	3-2	5-0	7-3	9-1	10-5	103	59	56	0.8	0.9
311	311.0	Rice	CUSA	0.4061	0.4802	207	7-23	7-23	0-0	0-3	0-6	0-7	7-7	6-7	247	272	311	0.0	NaN
208	208.3	Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.4757	0.5158	128	12-17	12-17	0-1	0-4	1-7	2-4	9-1	5-7	260	216	208	0.3	0.2
113	113.3	Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.5282	0.5116	138	16-13	16-13	0-1	1-4	0-5	3-1	12-2	6-4	126	246	113	0.3	0.6
33	33.2	Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.6003	0.5267	113	26-5	27-5	0-1	2-0	6-3	8-1	11-0	9-4	133	180	33	0.2	0.1
281	281.6	Tulane	CUSA	0.4281	0.4932	176	8-22	8-22	0-1	0-3	0-6	3-6	5-6	5-8	269	259	281	0.6	0.9
67	66.9	Tulsa	CUSA	0.5656	0.5352	97	22-11	22-11	0-1	1-4	3-5	8-1	10-0	10-4	80	135	66	0.9	1.1
46	45.0	UAB	CUSA	0.5856	0.5336	101	23-8	23-8	1-0	0-3	3-3	10-2	9-0	12-2	20	94	45	0.0	0.1
345	344.8	Chicago St.	GWC	0.3434	0.3887	346	6-22	6-22	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-7	6-14	2-13	339	310	346	-1.2	-1.5
328	326.8	Houston Baptist	GWC	0.3886	0.3945	342	12-20	12-21	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-5	12-15	1-17	346	315	328	-1.2	-0.4
341	341.0	NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.3560	0.3943	344	7-21	7-21	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-7	7-13	2-12	324	248	341	0.0	0.2
339	339.4	North Dakota	GWC	0.3617	0.4087	339	6-22	6-22	0-2	0-0	0-1	0-5	6-14	1-14	330	220	339	0.4	0.9
220	216.8	South Dakota	GWC	0.4691	0.3944	343	17-9	18-9	0-1	0-2	0-2	1-2	17-2	5-8	248	208	222	-5.2	-1.0
336	336.0	Texas Pan American	GWC	0.3760	0.4351	319	6-27	6-27	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-9	6-13	1-18	325	162	336	0.0	NaN
342	342.3	Utah Valley	GWC	0.3506	0.3807	347	8-18	8-18	0-2	0-0	0-1	0-3	8-12	3-10	328	293	342	0.3	0.7
12	11.3	Butler	Horz	0.6271	0.5422	74	28-4	28-4	1-1	2-2	3-1	14-0	8-0	8-4	24	5	12	-0.7	-0.7
166	165.6	Cleveland St.	Horz	0.5043	0.5350	98	14-17	14-17	0-5	0-2	2-1	3-9	9-0	3-8	203	15	166	-0.4	-0.5
167	167.4	Detroit	Horz	0.5030	0.4786	208	19-14	19-14	0-3	0-0	0-3	10-5	9-3	8-4	174	321	167	0.4	0.8
291	290.8	Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.4227	0.4936	174	7-22	7-22	0-3	0-0	0-4	3-11	4-4	4-6	234	245	291	-0.2	-0.5
213	213.2	Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.4719	0.4833	199	12-16	12-16	0-3	0-0	1-1	3-11	8-1	7-2	83	268	213	0.2	0.5
185	185.3	Valparaiso	Horz	0.4947	0.5103	141	12-17	12-17	0-3	0-1	0-4	4-7	8-2	2-8	244	148	185	0.3	0.5
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
108	107.0	Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.5316	0.5025	157	19-12	19-12	1-2	1-2	2-2	5-6	10-1	7-4	91	107	108	-1.0	-2.1
131	130.7	Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.5208	0.4989	165	18-14	18-14	0-4	0-1	1-2	7-6	10-1	6-5	151	206	130	0.7	0.8
80	80.2	Wright St.	Horz	0.5532	0.5101	142	20-12	20-12	0-3	0-1	1-3	10-4	9-1	7-5	111	169	80	0.2	0.2
270	270.3	Youngstown St.	Horz	0.4330	0.5096	144	6-22	6-22	0-4	0-1	0-2	1-12	5-3	4-5	164	131	270	0.3	0.4
346	345.7	Bryant	ind	0.3433	0.4414	308	1-29	1-29	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-6	1-20	1-29	342	307	344	1.7	2.4
317	317.0	Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.3988	0.4504	286	7-22	7-22	0-1	0-1	0-1	1-9	6-10	7-20	299	284	317	0.0	0.0
285	284.8	Longwood	ind	0.4266	0.4587	268	8-19	8-19	0-1	0-2	0-3	1-3	7-10	5-17	259	164	285	-0.2	-0.1
344	345.4	North Carolina Central	ind	0.3441	0.4214	333	3-22	3-23	0-0	0-0	0-5	0-1	3-17	1-20	345	309	347	-1.6	-0.7
316	315.8	Savannah St.	ind	0.4005	0.4242	330	7-15	7-15	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-7	7-6	5-13	283	270	316	-0.2	-0.4
192	191.8	Seattle	ind	0.4866	0.4558	274	17-14	17-14	0-0	0-3	1-4	4-4	12-4	16-14	190	267	192	-0.2	-0.4
296	298.3	Winston Salem St.	ind	0.4165	0.4376	315	8-17	9-17	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	9-9	8-17	279	292	292	6.3	0.9
257	256.3	Brown	Ivy	0.4432	0.4769	212	9-20	9-20	0-0	0-4	0-4	2-4	7-8	4-11	268	219	257	-0.7	-0.8
251	251.3	Columbia	Ivy	0.4466	0.4638	252	11-17	11-17	0-1	0-2	0-1	1-6	10-7	6-8	226	260	252	-0.7	-1.3
48	47.3	Cornell	Ivy	0.5840	0.4812	205	25-4	25-4	0-2	0-0	3-1	9-0	13-1	12-3	45	129	49	-1.7	-1.5
335	335.0	Dartmouth	Ivy	0.3780	0.4710	233	4-23	4-23	0-0	0-2	0-1	0-8	4-12	3-10	316	250	335	0.0	NaN
98	99.8	Harvard	Ivy	0.5386	0.4597	265	20-7	20-7	0-1	0-2	1-1	4-2	15-1	10-3	74	236	99	0.8	0.7
302	301.1	Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.4131	0.4773	211	6-22	6-22	0-3	1-1	0-1	0-8	5-9	1-13	329	238	302	-0.9	-1.0
135	133.5	Princeton	Ivy	0.5195	0.4496	290	19-8	19-8	0-1	0-2	1-0	3-3	15-2	8-5	168	305	134	-0.5	-0.6
267	267.0	Yale	Ivy	0.4362	0.4554	276	11-19	11-19	0-0	0-2	0-2	0-10	11-5	5-11	292	308	267	-0.0	-0.2
204	204.8	Canisius	MAAC	0.4770	0.4738	225	15-17	15-17	0-0	0-2	1-4	4-7	10-4	6-6	214	312	205	-0.2	-0.3
81	80.6	Fairfield	MAAC	0.5531	0.4946	171	22-10	22-10	0-1	0-4	1-1	5-4	16-0	7-4	131	273	81	-0.4	-0.4
89	89.0	Iona	MAAC	0.5462	0.5038	155	21-10	21-10	0-1	0-3	2-2	8-2	11-2	9-3	60	140	89	-0.0	-0.1
215	217.0	Loyola MD	MAAC	0.4700	0.4758	219	13-17	13-17	0-1	0-2	0-4	4-5	9-5	7-4	154	313	216	1.0	0.5
227	226.3	Manhattan	MAAC	0.4642	0.5001	162	11-20	11-20	0-1	0-3	1-4	1-8	9-4	6-5	153	214	227	-0.7	-1.2
334	334.0	Marist	MAAC	0.3785	0.4975	167	1-29	1-29	0-0	0-2	0-4	0-11	1-12	0-11	341	249	334	0.0	NaN
130	128.8	Niagara	MAAC	0.5212	0.5051	153	18-15	18-15	0-0	1-1	3-5	5-7	9-2	8-5	121	187	127	1.8	1.5
141	140.7	Rider	MAAC	0.5165	0.5086	146	17-16	17-16	0-1	0-3	2-4	6-5	9-3	7-6	136	168	141	-0.3	-0.2
32	31.9	Siena	MAAC	0.6020	0.5173	124	27-6	27-6	0-3	0-1	6-1	8-1	13-0	7-5	95	70	32	-0.1	-0.1
182	182.0	St. Peter's	MAAC	0.4965	0.4826	203	16-14	16-14	0-0	0-2	1-4	4-4	11-4	5-6	238	306	182	0.0	0.0
83	84.3	Akron	MAC	0.5496	0.5020	158	23-9	23-10	0-1	0-3	1-3	14-2	9-1	9-5	161	209	83	1.3	0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
217	218.4	Ball St.	MAC	0.4696	0.4763	216	14-15	14-15	0-3	0-1	2-3	6-4	6-5	6-6	219	221	217	1.4	0.6
188	187.7	Bowling Green	MAC	0.4910	0.4998	163	13-16	13-16	0-2	1-1	2-3	3-8	8-2	7-5	145	231	188	-0.3	-0.3
109	108.4	Buffalo	MAC	0.5308	0.5068	151	17-12	17-12	0-1	1-1	2-2	7-6	8-2	7-4	66	83	109	-0.6	-0.9
195	195.0	Central Michigan	MAC	0.4833	0.4736	226	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-1	1-4	3-5	10-4	5-7	211	244	195	0.0	0.1
202	201.6	Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.4787	0.4690	239	15-15	15-15	0-0	1-2	3-2	1-8	11-3	6-6	195	269	202	-0.4	-0.4
47	46.7	Kent St.	MAC	0.5845	0.5369	92	22-9	22-9	0-2	1-0	5-3	9-4	7-0	9-5	46	25	47	-0.3	-0.4
145	145.1	Miami OH	MAC	0.5147	0.5411	78	14-18	14-18	0-4	1-1	2-6	6-5	6-2	4-10	206	34	144	1.1	0.8
262	262.6	Northern Illinois	MAC	0.4383	0.4767	213	10-20	10-20	0-2	0-1	0-4	2-9	8-5	4-9	273	235	261	1.6	1.0
100	99.9	Ohio	MAC	0.5380	0.5263	114	19-14	20-14	0-1	1-2	4-4	8-5	7-2	9-5	81	69	104	-4.1	-0.7
324	324.5	Toledo	MAC	0.3911	0.5002	161	3-28	3-28	0-0	0-3	0-5	0-14	3-6	2-12	297	133	324	0.5	0.7
151	150.0	Western Michigan	MAC	0.5130	0.5070	149	17-15	17-15	0-1	0-1	4-4	6-6	7-4	7-6	93	40	151	-1.0	-0.8
258	258.4	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.4418	0.4250	329	14-16	14-16	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-3	14-9	6-6	176	227	258	0.4	0.5
337	337.0	Coppin St.	MEAC	0.3659	0.4309	322	5-22	5-22	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-4	5-15	2-8	307	258	337	0.0	NaN
218	219.4	Delaware St.	MEAC	0.4693	0.4471	293	14-12	14-12	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-5	14-4	2-6	280	123	220	-0.6	-0.3
319	319.7	Florida A&M	MEAC	0.3966	0.4379	314	8-22	8-22	0-0	0-2	0-1	0-6	8-13	3-10	294	224	319	0.7	0.6
283	283.6	Hampton	MEAC	0.4272	0.4181	335	14-18	14-18	0-0	0-0	0-5	0-3	14-10	5-9	284	320	283	0.6	0.6
330	329.6	Howard	MEAC	0.3857	0.4382	313	7-25	7-25	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-6	7-16	1-14	326	182	330	-0.4	-0.9
308	307.4	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.4109	0.4298	323	11-21	11-21	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-5	11-12	2-12	332	264	308	-0.6	-1.0
102	102.2	Morgan St.	MEAC	0.5368	0.4489	291	26-9	27-9	0-1	0-1	0-2	2-3	25-2	9-8	135	172	105	-2.8	-0.9
266	263.8	Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.4377	0.4517	282	11-19	11-19	0-1	0-2	0-3	1-3	10-10	2-11	298	142	266	-2.2	-1.1
299	298.4	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.4146	0.4554	275	8-22	8-22	0-1	0-1	0-5	1-3	7-12	1-11	309	108	299	-0.6	-0.6
222	220.8	South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.4683	0.4314	321	15-13	15-14	0-0	0-1	0-3	1-1	14-9	3-7	258	275	224	-3.2	-0.5
106	105.2	Bradley	MVC	0.5349	0.5478	63	16-15	16-15	1-3	1-2	4-4	5-5	5-1	6-5	162	149	106	-0.8	-1.1
114	114.7	Creighton	MVC	0.5276	0.5382	89	16-15	16-15	0-4	1-1	2-6	6-4	7-0	6-6	189	165	115	-0.3	-0.4
181	181.0	Drake	MVC	0.4968	0.5307	105	14-19	14-19	0-3	1-2	2-6	5-5	6-3	6-7	232	252	181	0.0	0.0
250	249.7	Evansville	MVC	0.4482	0.5174	123	8-21	8-21	1-2	1-1	0-7	2-10	4-1	5-5	254	326	250	-0.3	-0.7
76	75.7	Illinois St.	MVC	0.5585	0.5124	136	22-10	22-10	0-2	1-2	4-3	9-3	8-0	10-2	116	324	75	0.7	1.5
88	87.9	Indiana St.	MVC	0.5466	0.5466	67	16-14	16-14	0-2	0-2	3-3	9-5	4-2	7-4	75	114	88	-0.1	-0.2
90	90.6	Missouri St.	MVC	0.5450	0.5170	125	20-12	20-12	0-2	0-3	5-2	6-5	9-0	11-1	50	254	90	0.6	0.9
18	18.0	Northern Iowa	MVC	0.6211	0.5272	111	28-4	28-4	0-0	4-1	6-0	12-1	6-2	10-1	51	239	17	1.0	1.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
171	170.4	Southern Illinois	MVC	0.5022	0.5149	132	14-15	14-15	0-2	0-3	3-4	3-6	8-0	8-2	84	290	171	-0.6	-0.6
43	43.1	Wichita St.	MVC	0.5884	0.5313	103	24-9	24-9	1-4	0-0	8-1	7-3	8-1	10-2	87	279	43	0.1	0.2
245	244.0	Air Force	MWC	0.4518	0.5311	104	8-21	8-21	0-6	0-4	0-1	1-9	7-1	6-5	205	241	244	-0.0	-0.0
22	21.9	Brigham Young	MWC	0.6136	0.5268	112	28-5	28-5	1-3	3-2	4-0	10-0	10-0	14-1	26	188	22	-0.1	-0.1
119	119.8	Colorado St.	MWC	0.5252	0.5363	96	15-15	15-15	0-5	0-4	1-1	6-5	8-0	8-5	106	186	119	0.8	0.4
41	41.3	Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.5913	0.5376	91	24-7	25-7	4-4	2-1	3-0	6-3	10-0	11-2	61	199	42	-0.7	-0.2
11	10.0	New Mexico	MWC	0.6284	0.5449	71	29-4	29-4	4-1	2-2	5-0	9-1	9-0	14-1	11	53	9	1.0	1.4
25	24.3	San Diego St.	MWC	0.6103	0.5553	50	22-8	22-9	2-3	1-3	1-1	11-1	7-1	9-3	36	126	24	0.3	0.1
189	188.4	Texas Christian	MWC	0.4907	0.5407	81	11-19	11-19	0-6	0-4	0-3	1-6	10-0	6-7	207	195	189	-0.6	-1.0
157	156.8	Utah	MWC	0.5086	0.5402	82	14-17	14-17	1-5	2-3	1-2	4-5	6-2	7-7	208	177	157	-0.2	-0.4
228	227.6	Wyoming	MWC	0.4615	0.5470	66	8-21	8-21	0-6	1-3	0-1	3-6	4-5	5-7	181	64	228	-0.4	-0.6
309	309.2	Central Connecticut	NEC	0.4094	0.4092	337	12-18	12-18	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-7	12-10	5-8	335	347	309	0.2	0.4
271	270.9	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.4325	0.4633	253	11-21	11-21	0-1	0-2	0-1	1-8	10-9	3-12	314	240	271	-0.1	-0.2
240	240.0	Long Island	NEC	0.4531	0.4469	294	14-17	14-17	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-5	11-9	4-9	282	281	240	0.0	0.2
289	289.0	Monmouth	NEC	0.4242	0.4391	311	12-19	12-19	0-0	0-0	0-1	2-10	10-8	6-8	295	342	289	-0.0	-0.1
172	171.8	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.5017	0.4829	200	16-15	16-15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2-7	14-4	4-8	194	66	172	-0.2	-0.5
147	147.3	Quinnipiac	NEC	0.5139	0.4290	325	23-9	23-9	0-0	0-1	0-0	3-5	20-3	8-5	186	339	150	-2.7	-2.3
128	128.5	Robert Morris	NEC	0.5213	0.4609	259	23-11	23-11	0-2	0-1	1-0	5-6	17-2	6-8	209	198	128	0.5	0.5
261	262.0	Sacred Heart	NEC	0.4384	0.4192	334	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-6	13-7	9-4	171	345	262	0.0	0.0
294	294.5	St. Francis NY	NEC	0.4194	0.4263	328	11-18	11-18	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-5	9-11	5-8	293	343	295	-0.5	-1.0
287	287.0	St. Francis PA	NEC	0.4252	0.4512	284	11-19	11-19	0-0	0-2	0-1	2-7	9-9	3-9	290	228	287	-0.0	-0.0
332	332.0	Wagner	NEC	0.3809	0.4519	281	5-26	5-26	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-8	3-16	2-12	327	304	332	0.0	NaN
162	162.0	Austin Peay	OVC	0.5060	0.5055	152	15-15	15-15	0-2	0-1	3-5	4-6	8-1	4-7	120	13	162	0.0	0.0
170	169.9	Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.5023	0.4718	230	17-12	17-12	0-0	0-0	1-6	5-5	11-1	5-4	187	262	170	-0.1	-0.1
154	154.2	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.5100	0.4731	227	18-12	18-12	0-2	0-0	0-5	7-3	11-2	7-4	110	167	156	-1.8	-3.9
298	298.2	Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.4150	0.4642	251	9-19	9-19	0-0	0-1	0-6	3-7	6-5	2-7	333	298	298	0.2	0.2
84	84.1	Morehead St.	OVC	0.5490	0.5008	160	21-10	21-10	0-2	0-1	1-4	8-2	12-1	3-6	119	6	84	0.1	0.1
55	55.3	Murray St.	OVC	0.5752	0.4607	261	28-4	28-4	0-1	0-0	2-2	11-1	15-0	6-3	70	170	55	0.3	0.4
322	321.4	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.3952	0.4759	218	3-23	3-23	0-1	0-0	0-5	1-2	2-15	3-18	311	247	322	-0.6	-0.6
312	312.4	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.4031	0.4704	236	6-23	6-23	0-0	0-0	0-7	0-11	6-5	2-8	265	156	313	-0.6	-1.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
338	338.0	Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.3635	0.4676	241	2-25	2-25	0-0	0-2	0-5	0-9	2-9	0-8	336	193	338	0.0	NaN
260	259.5	Tennessee St.	OVC	0.4410	0.4876	188	9-23	9-23	0-1	0-1	0-6	3-10	6-5	3-10	249	166	260	-0.5	-0.7
196	196.0	Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.4824	0.4887	185	13-17	13-17	0-1	0-1	0-8	3-5	10-3	4-6	152	80	196	0.0	0.1
95	95.6	Arizona	P10	0.5419	0.5619	41	16-15	16-15	1-4	1-3	3-1	9-7	2-0	6-6	109	18	95	0.6	0.8
64	63.7	Arizona St.	P10	0.5691	0.5399	83	22-10	22-10	0-5	2-1	1-1	13-3	6-0	10-3	55	62	63	0.7	0.8
19	18.6	California	P10	0.6196	0.5830	14	23-9	24-9	0-3	2-2	4-1	17-3	1-0	8-4	9	1	19	-0.4	-0.2
139	138.2	Oregon	P10	0.5173	0.5410	79	16-16	16-16	0-3	2-3	1-6	10-4	4-0	8-4	115	125	138	0.2	0.1
184	184.8	Oregon St.	P10	0.4949	0.5160	127	14-17	14-17	1-1	0-3	2-3	8-8	3-2	6-6	231	303	184	0.8	1.2
112	111.1	Southern California	P10	0.5295	0.5394	86	16-14	16-14	2-1	4-2	2-2	4-9	4-0	8-4	92	96	111	0.1	0.1
165	164.8	Stanford	P10	0.5048	0.5408	80	14-18	14-18	0-3	0-4	1-5	8-5	5-1	6-6	191	163	164	0.8	1.1
138	136.9	UCLA	P10	0.5177	0.5606	42	14-18	14-18	1-4	1-2	3-5	6-6	3-1	5-7	173	30	135	1.9	1.3
45	46.6	Washington	P10	0.5859	0.5496	59	23-9	23-10	2-3	0-0	5-3	13-4	3-0	10-2	23	39	46	0.6	0.1
163	162.7	Washington St.	P10	0.5057	0.5128	134	15-15	15-15	0-3	0-3	2-2	5-7	8-0	9-2	67	276	163	-0.3	-0.5
293	293.4	American	Pat	0.4196	0.4437	302	11-20	11-20	0-1	0-0	0-2	0-5	11-12	3-12	337	334	294	-0.6	-1.2
247	247.7	Army	Pat	0.4488	0.4404	309	13-15	13-15	0-0	0-0	1-1	1-4	11-10	9-4	147	319	249	-1.3	-1.7
259	258.9	Bucknell	Pat	0.4415	0.4329	320	14-17	14-17	0-0	0-3	0-0	1-4	13-10	5-11	310	333	259	-0.1	-0.1
290	290.2	Colgate	Pat	0.4232	0.4540	279	10-19	10-19	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-7	10-10	4-10	312	286	290	0.2	0.5
272	272.2	Holy Cross	Pat	0.4321	0.4764	215	9-22	9-22	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-7	9-10	3-12	281	174	272	0.2	0.2
209	209.5	Lafayette	Pat	0.4754	0.4293	324	19-13	19-13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1-5	18-7	9-6	218	337	210	-0.5	-0.4
152	151.8	Lehigh	Pat	0.5122	0.4456	298	22-10	22-10	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-3	21-5	9-6	185	297	152	-0.2	-0.5
264	264.8	Navy	Pat	0.4378	0.4420	304	13-17	13-17	0-0	0-0	0-2	3-4	10-11	6-9	277	296	264	0.8	0.9
300	299.6	Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.4134	0.4977	166	6-22	6-22	0-0	0-0	0-6	2-8	4-8	2-7	220	19	300	-0.4	-0.5
201	200.9	Arkansas St.	SB	0.4790	0.4657	245	15-14	15-14	0-0	0-1	0-4	4-5	11-4	3-6	256	222	201	-0.1	-0.1
164	164.6	Denver	SB	0.5050	0.4715	232	19-13	19-13	0-1	0-0	1-1	4-6	14-5	7-4	96	81	165	-0.4	-0.5
214	216.1	Florida Atlantic	SB	0.4701	0.4763	217	12-16	12-16	0-1	0-0	0-2	2-9	10-4	2-7	271	178	214	2.1	1.8
295	295.7	Florida International	SB	0.4174	0.4866	190	6-25	6-25	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-10	4-10	2-10	289	207	296	-0.3	-0.7
246	245.8	Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.4513	0.4563	273	12-16	12-16	0-0	0-1	1-0	3-6	8-9	2-7	303	294	246	-0.2	-0.5
274	273.3	Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.4316	0.4599	264	10-19	10-19	0-0	0-0	1-2	2-10	7-8	3-6	274	287	274	-0.7	-1.1
178	178.5	Middle Tennessee	SB	0.4975	0.4725	228	17-13	17-13	0-2	0-1	0-2	4-5	13-4	4-7	252	181	179	-0.5	-0.3
323	323.2	New Orleans	SB	0.3920	0.4549	277	6-22	6-22	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-12	6-9	3-6	301	330	323	0.2	0.4
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
103	103.6	North Texas	SB	0.5365	0.4582	270	22-8	22-8	0-1	0-1	0-0	7-2	15-4	6-3	64	161	103	0.6	0.8
210	209.7	South Alabama	SB	0.4753	0.4647	246	15-15	15-15	0-0	0-1	1-1	3-9	11-4	6-4	183	282	211	-1.3	-1.3
110	109.7	Troy	SB	0.5300	0.4940	172	17-12	17-12	0-0	0-1	0-3	7-4	10-4	2-6	204	61	112	-2.3	-3.2
134	133.5	Western Kentucky	SB	0.5195	0.4877	187	21-13	21-13	1-0	0-1	2-2	3-8	15-2	7-6	160	89	133	0.5	0.6
101	101.6	Appalachian St.	SC	0.5379	0.4901	184	20-11	20-11	0-0	0-1	2-3	9-4	9-3	5-5	100	50	101	0.6	0.6
238	238.1	Chattanooga	SC	0.4552	0.4751	222	13-18	13-18	0-0	0-3	0-5	6-3	7-7	6-5	149	151	238	0.1	0.3
91	91.6	College of Charleston	SC	0.5447	0.4934	175	21-11	21-11	0-1	0-1	2-1	5-7	14-1	6-6	117	63	92	-0.4	-0.5
180	180.2	Davidson	SC	0.4970	0.5069	150	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-3	1-4	5-5	8-2	3-7	216	31	180	0.2	0.2
269	269.1	Elon	SC	0.4340	0.4834	198	8-23	8-23	0-0	0-1	0-6	2-8	6-8	2-9	255	173	269	0.1	0.3
279	278.8	Furman	SC	0.4293	0.4417	307	11-17	11-17	0-0	0-1	0-5	2-5	9-6	4-5	262	332	278	0.8	0.9
288	288.0	Georgia Southern	SC	0.4244	0.4965	168	7-23	7-23	0-0	0-0	0-7	4-9	3-7	1-10	317	158	288	-0.0	-0.1
249	248.9	NC Greensboro	SC	0.4485	0.5153	130	8-23	8-23	0-2	0-3	0-7	1-6	7-5	1-10	229	12	248	0.9	0.9
263	262.7	Samford	SC	0.4382	0.4847	195	8-20	8-20	0-1	0-2	0-5	0-9	8-3	3-6	198	90	263	-0.3	-0.3
199	198.4	The Citadel	SC	0.4806	0.4834	197	14-16	14-16	0-2	0-1	1-4	2-4	11-5	4-6	180	115	199	-0.6	-0.9
121	122.1	Western Carolina	SC	0.5246	0.4764	214	19-11	19-11	0-0	1-3	2-1	4-4	12-3	7-3	39	52	123	-0.9	-0.9
69	69.0	Wofford	SC	0.5637	0.4828	202	25-8	25-8	0-1	0-2	2-2	8-3	15-0	7-5	86	116	69	0.0	0.1
99	100.2	Alabama	SEC	0.5385	0.5582	46	17-15	17-15	1-6	0-2	3-4	5-3	8-0	10-4	85	87	98	2.2	1.6
159	159.3	Arkansas	SEC	0.5071	0.5587	45	14-18	14-18	0-4	0-3	5-4	4-5	5-2	7-8	184	54	158	1.3	1.8
156	155.7	Auburn	SEC	0.5092	0.5477	64	14-17	14-17	0-3	0-1	3-10	4-3	7-0	8-6	150	144	155	0.7	0.9
54	54.0	Florida	SEC	0.5760	0.5662	33	21-12	21-12	1-7	2-1	5-2	7-1	6-1	11-4	72	112	54	0.0	0.0
105	104.2	Georgia	SEC	0.5357	0.5809	15	14-17	14-17	2-5	1-2	5-7	1-2	5-1	8-5	90	71	102	2.2	2.6
3	2.6	Kentucky	SEC	0.6604	0.5661	35	30-2	31-2	4-1	1-0	10-1	12-0	4-0	15-0	7	111	3	-0.4	-0.5
224	224.0	Louisiana St.	SEC	0.4662	0.5363	95	11-20	11-20	0-5	0-0	1-9	4-6	6-0	9-5	167	225	223	1.0	1.4
59	59.9	Mississippi	SEC	0.5720	0.5459	68	21-10	21-10	1-6	1-0	2-3	8-1	9-0	12-2	34	137	59	0.9	0.9
62	61.5	Mississippi St.	SEC	0.5701	0.5348	99	22-10	22-11	0-4	1-1	6-2	7-4	8-0	12-3	68	210	64	-2.5	-0.5
94	93.3	South Carolina	SEC	0.5432	0.5769	20	15-16	15-16	2-5	1-1	2-6	5-4	5-0	9-5	78	65	94	-0.7	-1.4
9	10.2	Tennessee	SEC	0.6301	0.5800	16	25-7	25-8	2-5	0-0	10-1	6-2	7-0	12-2	18	55	11	-0.8	-0.4
20	21.2	Vanderbilt	SEC	0.6165	0.5726	25	23-7	24-7	2-2	2-0	7-3	6-2	6-0	10-3	49	76	20	1.2	0.4
320	320.4	Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.3957	0.4456	297	6-20	6-20	0-1	0-1	0-3	1-6	5-10	3-7	266	265	320	0.4	0.5
292	292.0	Lamar	Slnd	0.4210	0.4564	272	10-18	10-18	0-0	0-0	0-5	2-6	8-7	5-7	276	291	293	-1.0	-Inf
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
315	315.0	McNeese St.	Slnd	0.4019	0.4418	305	7-20	7-20	0-0	0-0	0-4	2-5	5-11	2-9	321	302	315	-0.0	-0.1
277	277.2	Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.4298	0.4704	235	8-18	8-18	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-10	7-4	1-8	288	143	277	0.2	0.5
313	312.8	Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.4030	0.4383	312	7-18	7-18	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-6	7-8	2-7	319	318	312	0.8	1.0
75	74.3	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.5593	0.4828	201	20-7	21-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	10-3	11-2	4-5	157	109	77	-2.7	-0.6
193	193.3	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.4855	0.4511	285	15-12	15-12	0-0	0-0	0-3	2-5	13-4	4-5	217	243	193	0.3	0.7
144	143.4	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.5156	0.4455	299	20-8	20-9	0-0	0-0	0-4	5-3	15-2	7-3	142	277	147	-3.6	-0.3
168	167.9	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.5028	0.4915	180	14-15	14-15	0-0	0-3	0-4	4-4	10-4	3-8	221	139	168	-0.1	-0.1
235	234.3	Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.4564	0.4585	269	12-14	12-14	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-5	9-5	4-5	267	316	234	0.3	0.4
187	186.7	Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.4917	0.4496	288	16-11	16-11	0-0	0-1	1-1	4-4	11-5	7-3	128	299	187	-0.3	-0.5
243	243.5	Texas St.	Slnd	0.4520	0.4606	262	11-16	11-16	0-0	0-1	1-2	2-7	8-6	2-8	334	314	243	0.5	0.4
314	314.0	Centenary	Sum	0.4025	0.4603	263	6-21	6-21	0-0	0-3	0-7	0-3	6-10	3-6	237	201	314	0.0	0.1
226	225.3	IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.4647	0.4517	283	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-4	1-4	1-3	12-5	4-5	235	300	226	-0.7	-1.2
87	86.4	IUPUI	Sum	0.5475	0.4919	179	22-10	22-10	0-1	1-3	1-5	6-2	15-1	5-6	123	38	87	-0.6	-0.6
282	281.5	Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.4281	0.4464	296	10-18	10-18	0-0	0-4	0-6	0-3	10-7	4-5	250	328	282	-0.5	-0.7
268	268.0	North Dakota St.	Sum	0.4355	0.4646	248	9-18	9-18	0-0	0-3	0-4	0-8	9-5	1-7	305	205	268	0.0	NaN
51	51.2	Oakland	Sum	0.5791	0.5027	156	24-8	24-8	0-3	0-1	2-2	5-1	17-1	4-7	102	10	52	-0.8	-1.6
124	125.2	Oral Roberts	Sum	0.5234	0.4883	186	19-13	19-13	1-0	1-4	1-7	2-1	14-3	5-7	137	42	124	1.2	2.7
233	233.3	South Dakota St.	Sum	0.4567	0.4676	242	12-16	12-16	0-1	0-2	0-6	2-3	10-6	2-7	275	150	233	0.3	0.5
326	325.9	Southern Utah	Sum	0.3905	0.4723	229	5-22	5-22	0-1	0-3	0-5	0-5	5-10	2-7	263	121	326	-0.1	-0.2
280	279.7	Western Illinois	Sum	0.4288	0.4445	300	10-17	10-17	0-1	0-2	0-6	1-2	9-8	4-4	228	327	280	-0.3	-0.3
331	331.0	Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.3825	0.3911	345	8-15	8-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-5	8-8	0-4	343	185	331	0.0	NaN
275	275.4	Alabama St.	SWAC	0.4310	0.3999	341	13-15	13-15	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-8	12-6	0-8	347	285	276	-0.6	-1.1
347	345.4	Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.3431	0.4423	303	2-29	2-29	0-1	0-3	0-1	0-8	2-16	0-13	318	56	345	0.4	0.4
186	185.6	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.4926	0.4565	271	16-15	17-15	0-1	0-4	0-2	0-6	17-2	0-11	272	4	186	-0.4	-0.1
340	339.6	Grambling	SWAC	0.3615	0.4048	340	6-21	6-21	0-1	0-1	0-1	1-5	5-13	1-6	308	232	340	-0.4	-0.9
197	197.2	Jackson St.	SWAC	0.4812	0.4287	326	18-12	18-12	0-1	0-0	0-3	2-5	16-3	1-10	287	58	197	0.2	0.4
325	325.3	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.3907	0.4265	327	8-23	8-23	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-10	8-10	0-12	338	159	325	0.3	0.3
273	273.2	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.4317	0.4089	338	12-14	12-14	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-4	12-6	1-6	320	155	273	0.2	0.2
343	343.3	Southern	SWAC	0.3491	0.4148	336	5-24	5-24	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-7	5-13	2-9	315	191	343	0.3	0.6
225	222.0	Texas Southern	SWAC	0.4652	0.4398	310	15-15	15-16	0-0	0-2	0-2	4-7	11-5	2-8	200	16	225	-3.0	-0.5
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
203	202.9	Boise St.	WAC	0.4780	0.4928	177	14-17	14-17	0-3	0-1	1-7	6-3	7-4	9-5	192	325	203	-0.1	-0.4
191	190.4	Fresno St.	WAC	0.4896	0.5185	121	14-18	14-18	0-3	0-1	3-5	3-7	8-2	7-8	212	200	191	-0.6	-0.9
253	253.4	Hawaii	WAC	0.4451	0.5247	117	9-20	9-20	0-4	0-2	2-5	1-6	6-3	6-7	230	152	253	0.4	0.9
173	173.2	Idaho	WAC	0.5006	0.5119	137	13-16	13-16	0-2	0-0	1-8	6-3	6-3	7-5	138	233	173	0.2	0.4
78	77.7	Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.5548	0.4948	170	23-10	23-10	1-3	0-0	3-4	8-2	11-1	13-2	63	295	78	-0.3	-0.6
73	72.8	Nevada	WAC	0.5613	0.5418	75	19-12	19-12	0-3	0-1	5-5	8-2	6-1	7-6	97	47	73	-0.2	-0.2
58	58.9	New Mexico St.	WAC	0.5727	0.5451	70	20-11	20-12	1-4	1-2	3-2	6-3	9-1	7-6	89	51	58	0.9	0.3
177	177.5	San Jose St.	WAC	0.4977	0.5157	129	13-17	13-17	0-2	0-2	2-5	4-4	7-4	7-6	141	211	177	0.5	0.9
24	24.8	Utah St.	WAC	0.6108	0.5340	100	26-6	27-6	1-0	1-1	9-3	6-2	10-0	10-4	58	93	26	-1.2	-0.6
38	36.9	Gonzaga	WCC	0.5956	0.5241	118	25-6	25-6	1-1	2-3	5-0	6-1	11-1	12-3	40	57	37	-0.1	-0.2
174	174.4	Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.5000	0.4866	189	17-15	17-15	0-0	2-4	1-4	3-1	11-6	8-7	172	229	175	-0.6	-1.0
306	304.3	Pepperdine	WCC	0.4117	0.4938	173	6-23	6-23	0-0	0-4	0-4	2-7	4-8	3-11	313	253	304	0.3	0.2
79	79.7	Portland	WCC	0.5534	0.5165	126	19-10	19-10	0-1	1-5	1-1	6-2	11-1	8-5	98	84	79	0.7	0.6
231	230.8	San Diego	WCC	0.4588	0.5085	147	10-21	10-21	0-1	0-5	0-5	3-6	7-4	6-9	210	136	231	-0.2	-0.5
207	207.2	San Francisco	WCC	0.4762	0.5183	122	10-18	10-18	0-1	1-4	0-4	3-5	6-3	3-10	261	113	207	0.2	0.2
234	234.5	Santa Clara	WCC	0.4564	0.5106	140	9-21	9-21	0-0	0-6	0-5	3-5	6-5	6-9	188	102	235	-0.5	-0.7
36	35.8	St. Mary's	WCC	0.5966	0.5209	120	25-5	25-5	1-1	2-2	4-1	5-1	13-0	12-2	35	72	36	-0.2	-0.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com