live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Feb 21, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
108109.0DavidsonA100.53280.53698214-1215-141-31-20-45-48-17-4101140115-6.0-0.5
2524.3DaytonA100.60840.54806821-523-60-22-17-26-18-08-3515326-1.7-0.4
237237.4DuquesneA100.45920.512913410-1711-200-30-21-43-97-27-62282532334.40.4
205200.6FordhamA100.48490.516811811-1513-171-11-11-46-84-45-72502001964.60.3
106108.6George MasonA100.53340.513513117-1018-120-20-23-29-36-29-3128264109-0.4-0.0
136136.8George WashingtonA100.51750.52829714-1316-150-30-32-46-57-08-51481801324.80.3
104105.0La SalleA100.53560.53688314-1216-130-21-13-36-66-16-511543107-2.0-0.2
178179.3MassachusettsA100.49660.519911013-1415-161-10-20-67-56-310-392218185-5.7-0.3
4545.6Rhode IslandA100.57960.55426218-920-101-30-13-410-26-18-4362447-1.4-0.2
9999.8RichmondA100.53880.525210216-1118-120-31-22-28-48-16-6216226963.80.3
162162.5Saint Joseph'sA100.50500.54127510-1612-180-21-31-45-75-17-586691575.50.3
254256.2Saint LouisA100.44730.51691179-1810-210-20-30-73-86-25-83062752506.20.6
9899.8St. BonaventureA100.53880.518911116-1019-110-30-31-18-310-18-4137167954.80.4
2322.9VCUA100.61120.54956522-525-61-22-14-212-25-110-3427725-2.1-0.6
212209.5Boston CollegeACC0.47950.5661409-199-220-50-64-52-33-27-62232042054.50.5
7069.0ClemsonACC0.55920.58012414-1316-141-64-45-23-24-010-232100636.00.6
1110.0DukeACC0.64020.59081422-524-74-46-15-14-15-012-1137911-1.0-0.3
1414.0Florida St.ACC0.62920.57962522-624-75-25-14-34-16-012-127134122.00.5
9494.4Georgia TechACC0.54200.56124715-1216-143-31-43-53-26-08-4161232895.40.4
34.6LouisvilleACC0.65450.6063222-525-63-54-17-08-03-012-12831.60.6
3437.3Miami FLACC0.58930.56733819-820-102-61-34-16-07-010-280252370.30.0
65.8North CarolinaACC0.65150.5962722-525-65-35-16-25-14-011-2102650.80.2
113114.2North Carolina St.ACC0.53000.56154615-1415-161-61-52-46-15-111-2602199915.21.6
2827.4Notre DameACC0.60300.56753721-723-82-73-05-16-07-011-255168270.40.1
6262.0PittsburghACC0.56500.5977515-1216-153-71-33-38-12-111-22239602.00.2
8785.7SyracuseACC0.54760.56394216-1217-142-53-33-44-26-18-517615886-0.3-0.0
2121.9VirginiaACC0.61270.5967618-920-103-53-25-24-05-010-2246022-0.1-0.0
4344.1Virginia TechACC0.58130.54706919-821-92-42-38-12-18-011-164294368.10.9
4243.4Wake ForestACC0.58220.59091215-1216-140-71-24-46-05-09-31715412.40.3
138139.8AlbanyAE0.51560.479322017-1118-120-20-11-04-713-28-6142220146-6.2-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
276278.3BinghamtonAE0.43640.45642869-1710-180-10-20-22-99-56-62293322726.30.4
326325.0HartfordAE0.40470.44943018-219-220-00-10-12-107-105-10321344325-0.0-0.0
328328.3MaineAE0.40030.47462365-245-250-10-20-21-115-93-113082873271.30.3
156157.1New HampshireAE0.50750.474923414-1115-120-10-21-23-511-36-5143256158-0.9-0.1
150151.6Stony BrookAE0.51020.477322617-1018-110-10-20-17-310-55-8248263168-16.4-1.4
296293.8UMass LowellAE0.42890.460027610-1910-200-00-10-12-118-65-9301326295-1.2-0.1
167167.0UMBCAE0.50290.465625815-1016-110-00-20-23-513-17-4144295176-9.0-0.6
4747.5VermontAE0.57760.490518023-525-50-10-10-212-112-09-58512353-5.5-0.9
1313.2CincinnatiAmer0.63120.54617124-327-42-22-14-111-08-011-2183714-0.8-0.3
9595.7ConnecticutAmer0.54150.56005113-1215-141-50-23-45-36-14-719164102-6.3-0.5
224226.4East CarolinaAmer0.46690.494416413-1514-170-40-20-53-410-28-52193202251.40.2
5053.8HoustonAmer0.57200.54107618-821-90-41-12-28-39-09-35910462-8.2-1.0
105106.5MemphisAmer0.53460.511413618-920-110-31-12-35-411-010-3112242112-5.5-0.5
1718.0SMUAmer0.61970.53498524-427-41-11-27-29-09-010-357125171.00.3
305301.1South FloridaAmer0.42500.50021527-197-220-30-10-42-96-56-52623142938.10.8
116116.1TempleAmer0.52880.53967814-1416-152-50-11-35-58-19-4677610610.10.9
292289.6TulaneAmer0.43110.51811135-226-240-50-10-41-105-53-93222982827.60.6
125126.1TulsaAmer0.52310.54667012-1414-160-41-42-34-28-36-61466811412.10.9
100100.0UCFAmer0.53870.515312417-1019-110-40-02-25-511-09-3124269103-3.0-0.3
8483.7Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54880.485619719-720-70-21-10-14-314-18-57172830.70.1
279279.2JacksonvilleASun0.43590.400234513-1313-140-00-00-21-312-98-52633512790.20.0
266269.1Kennesaw St.ASun0.44040.439431311-1611-170-00-10-31-510-74-103163392681.10.1
163163.1LipscombASun0.50490.477822315-1216-120-10-11-31-314-45-9205153164-0.9-0.1
301298.1NJITASun0.42660.46422638-199-190-20-00-21-68-96-81852372971.10.1
239239.8North FloridaASun0.45720.49691618-189-180-10-20-53-36-71-12291812381.80.3
332331.0StetsonASun0.39680.42933268-198-200-00-00-40-48-125-9314346333-2.0-0.8
215214.6USC UpstateASun0.47580.456528513-1313-140-00-01-61-312-56-71952702140.60.1
6765.9IllinoisB100.56190.58112315-1217-131-52-34-55-14-09-34848596.90.6
9291.4IndianaB100.54410.56823515-1316-152-71-34-33-27-010-37615098-6.6-0.5
107108.6IowaB100.53320.55965215-1316-151-52-43-55-25-08-51681621080.60.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2222.5MarylandB100.61150.56264421-524-61-24-19-37-13-011-130108184.50.9
4848.6MichiganB100.57700.56923417-1019-122-41-47-34-15-010-3459354-5.4-0.5
4646.8Michigan St.B100.57880.59151016-1118-132-73-15-44-24-08-57421451.80.2
2624.9MinnesotaB100.60750.58292220-722-91-44-27-37-03-012-1632231.90.4
8183.3NebraskaB100.54940.6016311-1412-172-41-54-53-22-15-6982749.30.7
4949.4NorthwesternB100.57600.55176320-821-102-42-35-37-06-011-243173436.40.8
8886.8Ohio St.B100.54700.57363015-1316-151-62-35-44-14-110-368102806.80.5
8685.8Penn St.B100.54770.57932614-1415-161-52-23-56-43-08-510445796.80.6
1617.4PurdueB100.62120.56104923-525-62-34-18-16-15-011-237121161.40.4
175172.8RutgersB100.49990.53428612-1513-170-50-52-62-29-010-210933415517.81.2
2021.1WisconsinB100.61450.54826622-525-62-33-210-16-05-011-25823524-2.9-0.7
88.0BaylorB120.64550.6014422-524-64-35-15-16-13-012-01644.01.4
3737.8Iowa St.B120.58840.57263218-919-112-63-13-26-25-08-411415538-0.2-0.0
23.1KansasB120.65900.58821924-327-45-14-28-19-12-012-173112.11.0
5960.0Kansas St.B120.56660.55785717-1019-122-42-42-37-17-011-254230555.00.5
164163.6OklahomaB120.50450.5785279-1810-201-71-62-42-35-06-6196131167-3.4-0.3
2931.2Oklahoma St.B120.59740.59001517-919-111-63-34-17-13-010-21233283.20.5
6060.7TCUB120.56600.57442916-1017-130-62-43-28-14-010-238112564.70.4
153156.3TexasB120.50820.58891710-1811-201-52-71-64-33-06-718767159-2.7-0.2
103104.9Texas TechB120.53570.53228817-1118-132-41-43-25-28-012-11053381004.90.4
2725.5West VirginiaB120.60650.55436122-624-74-23-14-18-35-012-14025029-3.5-0.9
1213.0ButlerBE0.63130.59091321-622-84-33-19-22-15-111-1313130.00.0
1920.6CreightonBE0.61520.56474121-523-74-21-17-38-04-012-0913621-0.4-0.1
240240.1DePaulBE0.45700.5447738-199-220-70-21-60-57-27-62803092346.10.7
6665.4GeorgetownBE0.56210.59101114-1316-153-70-33-55-15-09-45222614.40.4
6565.4MarquetteBE0.56220.55635917-1018-123-52-14-42-18-09-313424871-5.6-0.5
7274.5ProvidenceBE0.55550.55905416-1118-132-62-15-23-26-210-382202686.50.5
5757.0Seton HallBE0.56920.56314316-1018-121-72-14-33-18-010-247175489.00.8
129133.2St. John'sBE0.51930.56194512-1613-181-70-34-51-17-26-722222312310.20.8
11.7VillanovaBE0.66630.57842826-228-36-13-08-17-05-013-04422-0.3-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2423.0XavierBE0.61100.5931918-921-101-61-17-38-13-010-31112203.00.6
143144.4Eastern WashingtonBSky0.51400.452729716-919-100-10-11-12-516-36-511010912915.40.8
234233.6IdahoBSky0.46210.438031611-1214-130-00-00-11-812-43-62472492276.60.5
334334.0Idaho St.BSky0.39150.46782514-215-240-10-00-30-75-131-10326186335-1.0-0.2
216217.0MontanaBSky0.47410.459727814-1416-150-10-10-13-812-55-8213187224-7.0-0.7
250250.8Montana St.BSky0.45090.452629812-1413-160-00-00-12-1011-53-8313261253-2.2-0.2
165163.5North DakotaBSky0.50430.440731214-816-90-00-01-13-311-52-517465165-1.5-0.1
340339.1Northern ArizonaBSky0.38210.43833146-207-230-00-00-11-86-142-10328296342-2.9-0.7
299295.9Northern ColoradoBSky0.42730.45562907-178-190-20-00-20-88-72-721054298-2.1-0.1
263268.0Portland St.BSky0.44150.42703289-1311-150-00-01-11-59-94-41472762671.00.1
300295.3Sacramento St.BSky0.42720.44243108-1510-170-00-00-21-79-81-83251952905.30.3
344342.0Southern UtahBSky0.37500.44913023-224-250-00-00-10-104-150-11345244344-2.0-0.6
169167.1Weber St.BSky0.50260.459527914-916-110-00-00-23-514-33-6225185192-24.9-1.3
275277.6CampbellBSth0.43650.445730710-1511-160-00-20-40-311-74-5242305278-0.4-0.0
306300.8Charleston SouthernBSth0.42500.46552597-178-180-10-10-60-28-81-7296183310-9.2-0.7
213210.3Gardner WebbBSth0.47880.463326513-1314-140-10-11-70-313-34-6184188215-4.7-0.5
232231.1High PointBSth0.46320.463726411-1412-150-00-11-52-39-63-62371782292.10.2
160162.4LibertyBSth0.50530.480221415-1116-120-10-10-70-216-12-827882163-0.6-0.1
342340.6LongwoodBSth0.37930.45772844-214-230-10-00-50-54-121-83392723382.61.1
345344.5PresbyterianBSth0.36810.46222673-223-240-00-11-60-42-142-7297216346-1.5-0.9
221223.4RadfordBSth0.46930.483520710-1611-170-20-32-31-48-63-7181412167.40.9
6463.4UNC AshevilleBSth0.56350.486219520-721-80-20-12-35-114-16-5412970-6.6-0.9
7982.1WinthropBSth0.54980.472224219-621-60-20-03-14-115-26-33463757.11.2
317315.3Cal PolyBW0.41400.45212996-188-200-00-10-12-75-113-92531723087.30.6
313305.6Cal St. FullertonBW0.42080.408534211-1213-140-00-00-01-712-74-7338347313-7.4-0.5
261265.9Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.44290.447330510-1312-150-10-00-31-510-63-8294197276-10.1-0.6
291289.2HawaiiBW0.43110.441331112-1313-150-10-20-21-412-65-7289234300-10.8-0.7
203199.0Long Beach St.BW0.48570.488818511-1613-170-40-11-21-410-63-1119318203-4.0-0.3
211206.8UC DavisBW0.48040.437531714-1116-130-00-10-12-514-66-7190266213-6.2-0.4
139141.0UC IrvineBW0.51540.485919614-1217-130-20-20-33-215-45-912719152-11.0-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
322318.8UC RiversideBW0.41110.44813036-177-190-10-00-12-66-111-9333206319-0.2-0.0
330328.6UC Santa BarbaraBW0.39930.49351713-214-230-20-21-20-63-111-1022453280.60.1
6968.5College of CharlestonCAA0.55930.506214120-822-80-11-22-27-311-08-4102139671.50.2
247247.7DelawareCAA0.45210.486319410-1710-190-00-20-63-77-45-6227310249-1.3-0.2
264267.1DrexelCAA0.44150.48432038-209-210-00-30-51-97-55-72303162643.10.3
132134.4ElonCAA0.51850.494116515-1217-120-11-11-54-110-46-51692651304.40.4
207203.8HofstraCAA0.48340.503414812-1613-170-10-30-55-48-47-51351702003.80.4
262266.7James MadisonCAA0.44210.50621427-218-220-00-21-43-104-61-113292282606.70.5
135136.1NortheasternCAA0.51780.514612814-1415-150-02-24-24-65-57-55689144-7.9-0.7
8987.3TowsonCAA0.54670.517011518-1019-110-10-32-18-38-37-5978092-4.7-0.5
3637.2UNC WilmingtonCAA0.58910.507214022-524-50-00-15-27-212-09-22810342-4.8-0.9
114115.2William & MaryCAA0.52960.514712713-1214-130-21-22-34-37-44-5132961114.20.3
235234.1CharlotteCUSA0.46160.484120410-1412-160-20-20-12-79-55-51921712322.10.1
337336.6FIUCUSA0.38700.47142454-215-240-00-30-11-74-132-9334271340-3.4-0.8
277278.4Florida AtlanticCUSA0.43620.47272397-168-190-00-31-11-66-82-7303243288-9.6-0.6
112114.0Louisiana TechCUSA0.53020.465925618-820-90-00-30-24-217-16-5179211122-8.0-0.8
124124.9MarshallCUSA0.52410.511813514-1216-140-10-20-36-310-46-612370126-1.1-0.1
3335.2Middle TennesseeCUSA0.59130.503614723-426-40-11-03-09-212-19-32517323.20.8
327327.8North TexasCUSA0.40080.46492616-187-210-00-20-10-117-74-6310308332-4.2-0.7
128132.3Old DominionCUSA0.51980.488518816-1019-110-20-22-16-411-37-5138117134-1.7-0.1
170167.8RiceCUSA0.50240.460527316-918-110-00-10-13-616-28-3130292181-13.2-0.8
336336.1Southern MissCUSA0.38790.45892816-196-220-10-10-11-85-101-93493223360.10.0
185182.5UABCUSA0.49500.488518714-1316-140-20-20-25-410-46-61701181784.50.3
258259.8UTEPCUSA0.44590.465925510-1512-170-01-10-34-57-81-103301982590.80.0
311303.5UTSACUSA0.42220.44433089-1610-190-00-10-12-68-113-83243282994.50.2
218217.5Western KentuckyCUSA0.47350.469124813-1415-160-10-20-13-711-56-7256327218-0.5-0.0
251250.4Cleveland St.Horz0.45050.51531257-218-210-20-00-53-95-63-8203342446.40.9
290287.6DetroitHorz0.43190.50211496-216-230-10-00-42-94-81-103171322843.60.2
130133.2Green BayHorz0.51910.484420215-1116-120-10-01-25-310-54-62072411258.20.6
242241.3Illinois ChicagoHorz0.45630.466825312-1513-160-00-00-31-1012-35-6282325248-6.7-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
272275.1MilwaukeeHorz0.43750.49881577-218-220-00-00-52-96-83-92441412696.10.5
118117.1Northern KentuckyHorz0.52830.484920017-1018-110-10-11-35-413-37-4106199119-1.9-0.2
115115.7OaklandHorz0.52920.469824720-721-80-00-23-14-314-28-3157297121-5.3-0.6
6362.6ValparaisoHorz0.56410.491117722-623-70-21-02-05-515-09-36312973-10.4-1.5
117116.2Wright St.Horz0.52870.491017817-1018-110-00-01-35-712-17-489147118-1.8-0.2
267270.0Youngstown St.Horz0.43990.47852229-199-200-00-11-33-75-94-72592842628.00.8
297293.8BrownIvy0.42830.45412939-1511-170-10-20-31-710-67-72693232867.80.5
244247.1ColumbiaIvy0.45340.46572579-1311-150-00-20-22-78-55-7243301255-7.9-0.5
268271.6CornellIvy0.43970.49161756-187-210-00-30-31-96-63-11276176273-1.4-0.1
312305.3DartmouthIvy0.42200.47372376-177-200-00-20-32-65-93-10304283314-8.7-0.7
126127.4HarvardIvy0.52260.477722414-716-90-00-11-24-311-26-5165209141-13.6-0.8
189187.6PennIvy0.49230.483720611-1214-130-10-21-23-69-37-61451741834.60.3
5255.7PrincetonIvy0.57000.499815316-619-70-10-21-16-212-06-610078514.70.5
145146.2YaleIvy0.51290.474723513-916-100-10-20-34-312-27-51292271379.20.5
140141.3CanisiusMAAC0.51510.486719317-1218-130-10-21-09-48-67-41192101401.30.1
190188.6FairfieldMAAC0.49220.481021314-1315-140-00-20-12-913-25-41662731880.60.1
110110.4IonaMAAC0.53210.494516318-1119-120-11-21-17-311-47-473128113-2.6-0.3
249250.2ManhattanMAAC0.45090.492017410-1910-210-20-20-31-109-45-6177181252-1.8-0.2
284283.8MaristMAAC0.43380.49891567-228-230-10-30-11-116-73-82351442758.80.8
4041.4MonmouthMAAC0.58400.494516224-525-60-10-11-19-215-18-33311546-4.6-0.9
281280.4NiagaraMAAC0.43520.47212439-2010-210-00-20-16-74-113-83193292800.40.0
246247.0QuinnipiacMAAC0.45270.486919210-1811-190-10-30-13-88-63-72852592407.00.7
206203.5RiderMAAC0.48350.454329215-1416-150-01-10-03-912-57-41893482021.50.2
144144.6Saint Peter'sMAAC0.51350.487919116-1217-130-11-20-06-611-34-6215229147-2.4-0.2
137139.1SienaMAAC0.51580.516712014-1515-160-10-21-34-710-23-818830143-3.9-0.4
5556.0AkronMAC0.56980.493916821-623-70-20-01-011-211-29-36521258-2.0-0.3
188186.1Ball St.MAC0.49330.455928817-1018-120-00-00-36-412-58-4238349187-0.9-0.1
220221.6Bowling GreenMAC0.47050.504614511-1612-180-10-01-24-127-35-72642402174.60.4
134135.3BuffaloMAC0.51820.515312613-1315-140-20-21-46-58-34-7200138138-2.7-0.2
199196.7Central MichiganMAC0.48740.476223214-1215-140-00-01-26-78-48-31202891915.70.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
179179.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.49650.52121059-1511-160-10-10-44-76-34-5125971790.40.0
191188.8Kent St.MAC0.49180.476523115-1217-130-00-01-26-89-47-5234336201-12.2-0.8
307303.2Miami OHMAC0.42340.48901838-189-200-00-10-32-117-65-6286313312-8.8-0.7
219218.2Northern IllinoisMAC0.47270.472324012-1313-150-10-10-15-79-55-5260335219-0.8-0.1
102100.6OhioMAC0.53830.488518917-819-90-00-01-17-611-27-3118277105-4.4-0.4
157159.5ToledoMAC0.50650.513413213-1415-150-00-31-17-87-46-613374162-2.5-0.1
193189.5Western MichiganMAC0.49130.515412311-1513-160-20-20-35-67-43-8283164195-5.5-0.3
349348.0Bethune CookmanMEAC0.34600.39083485-206-220-00-00-10-56-151-11348304349-1.0-1.1
329328.9Coppin St.MEAC0.39960.43453187-208-210-00-00-50-68-90-1331883331-2.1-0.4
331329.2Delaware St.MEAC0.39900.41733377-208-210-10-00-12-66-131-123111963290.20.0
348348.2Florida A&MMEAC0.34630.38443505-206-210-10-00-00-36-180-113503123480.20.2
295291.8HamptonMEAC0.42930.421433610-1412-150-00-10-31-311-91-10315113307-15.2-0.9
341339.5HowardMEAC0.38060.42923275-216-230-10-10-20-66-121-1230591343-3.5-0.8
310304.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.42240.43253218-1810-190-00-30-30-510-81-1227371311-6.9-0.5
321318.2Morgan St.MEAC0.41170.395034611-1413-150-00-00-20-313-102-10335274321-2.8-0.3
255258.0Norfolk St.MEAC0.44660.424133212-1413-150-20-00-20-413-61-113121112562.00.2
350350.4North Carolina A&TMEAC0.31410.41113410-261-280-00-10-10-51-210-133462513500.40.8
194194.5North Carolina CentralMEAC0.48880.375935118-621-60-00-00-11-320-26-51543071895.50.7
319317.3Savannah St.MEAC0.41270.42243348-169-180-10-10-30-49-91-10298148322-4.7-0.6
293290.0South Carolina St.MEAC0.43080.45642877-188-190-10-41-30-27-101-1017242855.00.3
238239.5BradleyMVC0.45760.50981379-1910-200-00-60-24-66-64-82411612309.51.0
303300.3DrakeMVC0.42560.50361466-207-210-00-50-13-94-71-93422672964.30.4
195195.7EvansvilleMVC0.48810.521210612-1613-160-10-61-04-48-57-479521905.70.7
3132.3Illinois St.MVC0.59500.509713822-524-50-01-11-211-210-17-48711433-0.7-0.2
222224.3Indiana St.MVC0.46840.51681199-1810-191-00-50-23-76-65-6160952213.30.4
152153.2Loyola ChicagoMVC0.50930.491017915-1216-130-00-41-04-611-28-31082681494.20.3
210207.0Missouri St.MVC0.48140.475923315-1316-140-00-51-14-511-48-4208330211-4.0-0.5
131133.8Northern IowaMVC0.51910.52779813-1314-140-20-40-07-46-34-6149361312.80.2
161162.4Southern IllinoisMVC0.50510.517011614-1415-150-20-50-05-59-36-615292169-6.6-0.6
3837.5Wichita St.MVC0.58830.500315125-426-40-11-31-012-012-09-310718940-2.5-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
253253.0Air ForceMWC0.44950.51841128-179-200-00-32-62-76-45-62522132467.00.5
6161.1Boise St.MWC0.56560.52769916-819-91-10-23-48-37-16-411115764-2.9-0.3
7477.1Colorado St.MWC0.55330.53119017-919-100-00-24-57-38-06-516210582-4.9-0.4
111111.1Fresno St.MWC0.53190.516012214-1115-130-12-04-62-38-36-41642991101.10.1
4141.9NevadaMWC0.58400.516112121-624-70-10-06-29-38-111-23116044-2.1-0.3
8283.3New MexicoMWC0.54930.54976416-1217-130-21-45-34-38-17-5884084-0.7-0.1
8384.0San Diego St.MWC0.54900.525710115-1018-110-12-13-46-47-17-49311987-3.0-0.2
151152.5San Jose St.MWC0.50970.520210812-1113-140-10-22-53-47-25-418324713913.50.7
228229.6UNLVMWC0.46460.517911410-1711-200-30-21-73-68-27-62091902236.60.6
192189.6Utah St.MWC0.49140.525910010-1512-160-11-11-84-35-35-5199179193-3.4-0.2
141142.4WyomingMWC0.51480.513912914-1216-130-00-31-67-28-28-3781771366.40.4
269274.6BryantNEC0.43800.461926910-1811-190-10-10-12-59-102-1025762277-2.4-0.2
346345.3Central ConnecticutNEC0.36500.41373395-226-230-00-00-11-45-182-93403413450.30.2
260261.5Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.44490.454729110-1611-170-10-00-31-510-81-927975263-1.5-0.1
227229.3LIU BrooklynNEC0.46490.416633817-1118-120-10-00-03-314-86-6217318236-6.7-0.9
155157.3Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.50760.479421915-1417-140-10-40-21-416-32-11201111516.30.6
259260.0Robert MorrisNEC0.44510.453629411-1812-190-10-01-21-510-104-9202992573.00.3
294291.7Sacred HeartNEC0.42990.424433113-1614-170-10-00-01-513-115-8274300294-2.3-0.2
347347.7St. Francis NYNEC0.34800.42993243-253-270-10-00-10-63-191-113432913470.70.9
286284.7St. Francis PANEC0.43310.421733511-1512-160-00-00-20-512-92-8323306289-4.3-0.3
236234.8WagnerNEC0.46090.429832513-1214-130-00-11-11-312-83-6221221237-2.2-0.2
270275.3Austin PeayOVC0.43800.47682288-188-200-10-10-21-97-72-102811222714.30.3
5856.9BelmontOVC0.56860.485019920-521-50-10-20-19-012-16-4838465-8.1-1.2
257258.4Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44600.430832312-1413-140-00-00-13-510-96-52143372544.40.5
256257.8Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44630.49031818-199-200-10-10-32-87-75-81941302516.80.6
186183.3Jacksonville St.OVC0.49490.464726214-1315-140-10-10-44-311-66-71562801803.30.3
181181.0Morehead St.OVC0.49590.501715011-1412-150-10-00-44-89-22-9265611774.00.3
225227.6Murray St.OVC0.46640.463326612-1413-150-01-10-24-58-74-8251194235-7.4-0.7
335336.1SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.38830.46092724-234-240-00-00-41-73-134-82332363342.11.0
287285.0Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.43290.433431911-1612-170-00-00-31-611-83-103413432814.00.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
176174.4Tennessee MartinOVC0.49900.453329516-1117-120-10-10-33-315-48-51212331713.40.2
148147.6Tennessee St.OVC0.51220.483320915-1115-120-11-10-25-49-47-462110154-6.4-0.8
252252.0Tennessee TechOVC0.44990.471224610-1711-180-00-11-43-87-52-113322852475.00.4
76.9ArizonaP120.64820.57363125-327-41-34-06-011-05-011-214259-2.1-0.7
133134.3Arizona St.P120.51840.55855513-1514-170-80-43-22-48-07-61781271331.30.1
4445.0CaliforniaP120.58050.56104818-820-100-51-03-39-17-09-36966396.00.7
109109.8ColoradoP120.53240.53148915-1217-132-31-32-44-38-09-3901921045.80.4
98.7OregonP120.64370.56723923-425-52-24-08-15-16-010-2235771.70.9
283282.6Oregon St.P120.43440.5480674-234-260-50-41-41-82-53-9331286291-8.4-0.8
7780.1StanfordP120.55160.58911612-1314-150-81-33-14-35-07-42936911.10.9
1818.2UCLAP120.61960.53089224-327-42-32-15-09-09-013-02624519-0.8-0.3
3234.7USCP120.59220.54147421-624-72-50-13-110-18-013-016165313.70.6
9392.3UtahP120.54360.52989415-1017-110-61-21-36-08-17-313122593-0.7-0.0
196196.0WashingtonP120.48790.5575589-1810-200-60-40-53-67-07-5151146207-11.0-0.8
154157.0Washington St.P120.50770.56085011-1512-170-60-30-45-57-06-51971351534.00.3
325321.5AmericanPat0.40890.47662306-216-230-20-10-30-96-83-8292182326-4.5-0.7
265269.0ArmyPat0.44070.468824910-1711-180-10-10-43-78-65-6211224270-1.0-0.1
183181.8Boston UniversityPat0.49580.471724415-1216-130-00-00-46-610-34-7258214184-2.2-0.2
8082.0BucknellPat0.54980.481621121-823-80-10-11-17-514-08-59510685-3.0-0.4
271274.8ColgatePat0.43770.46052749-1910-200-00-10-43-67-101-113443152740.80.1
200197.1Holy CrossPat0.48700.476722914-1515-160-00-30-35-611-46-71581631970.10.0
324321.1LafayettePat0.40930.46192687-197-210-10-00-32-85-93-7295290323-1.9-0.4
120117.1LehighPat0.52780.488718615-1117-110-10-03-13-711-25-570511161.10.1
180180.5Loyola MDPat0.49620.482521013-1314-140-10-11-26-37-75-594901746.50.5
198197.1NavyPat0.48750.479521814-1315-140-00-00-56-49-54-7240143198-0.9-0.1
278278.3Appalachian St.SB0.43620.49901546-187-200-10-21-23-74-73-627728826513.30.8
7374.9Arkansas St.SB0.55530.491317618-821-90-10-22-28-311-28-46114978-3.1-0.2
159161.5Coastal CarolinaSB0.50530.522010412-1414-150-01-21-74-48-23-82468714219.51.1
119118.4Georgia SouthernSB0.52780.497116015-1116-130-10-21-45-49-35-6122124124-5.6-0.4
122121.0Georgia St.SB0.52590.494116615-1017-110-11-10-26-69-25-5140145127-6.0-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
241241.4Little RockSB0.45660.466325411-1413-160-10-11-23-79-57-4186321245-3.6-0.3
147146.3Louisiana LafayetteSB0.51280.493517014-1116-130-10-20-34-512-28-381260150-3.7-0.2
309303.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.42280.49781595-206-230-10-20-32-104-74-7272278315-12.0-0.8
217217.3South AlabamaSB0.47370.493616911-1412-170-00-30-33-79-45-6261303220-2.7-0.2
214210.9Texas St.SB0.47800.453129613-1115-130-01-11-03-710-55-52933502100.90.1
182180.5TroySB0.49580.479222114-1216-140-01-21-34-410-56-6245340194-13.5-0.8
3537.3UT ArlingtonSB0.58910.505614319-622-71-10-11-110-310-18-32058343.30.5
9189.4ChattanoogaSC0.54530.488818417-819-90-10-02-47-210-17-35313790-0.6-0.1
6866.5East Tennessee St.SC0.56130.485419820-622-70-10-22-28-212-18-37216976-9.5-1.2
9796.0FurmanSC0.54110.490318218-919-100-00-12-57-210-35-6150166101-5.0-0.6
197195.8MercerSC0.48790.508413911-1512-170-10-00-93-59-14-717156206-10.2-0.8
174171.2SamfordSC0.50080.479621714-1216-130-20-00-63-312-27-41132381665.20.4
314310.8The CitadelSC0.41860.48122126-197-210-00-20-71-86-54-62322623064.80.6
121119.2UNC GreensboroSC0.52700.483920517-819-90-10-14-35-210-26-41532011172.20.2
320317.8VMISC0.41210.49341724-205-220-10-21-50-74-71-8327193318-0.2-0.0
274277.8Western CarolinaSC0.43660.51371305-216-230-10-20-90-85-43-81673526116.81.1
202199.4WoffordSC0.48610.498015811-1512-160-00-22-64-56-32-8267133204-4.6-0.4
7577.7AlabamaSEC0.55310.54577216-1018-120-42-24-56-16-07-512685725.70.4
3938.8ArkansasSEC0.58760.55436020-722-90-43-26-29-14-111-21547353.80.5
9087.9AuburnSEC0.54630.53408717-1119-120-31-34-58-05-111-2351517710.91.0
55.4FloridaSEC0.65220.5943823-525-62-45-29-15-04-010-3898-2.6-1.1
5355.8GeorgiaSEC0.57000.58492114-1216-140-51-27-46-13-08-4442757-1.2-0.1
109.1KentuckySEC0.64210.58742023-525-62-44-09-17-04-010-321710-0.9-0.3
187184.8LSUSEC0.49410.5714339-1810-200-30-62-83-34-08-4391617212.81.0
7172.3MississippiSEC0.55670.55825617-1119-120-41-54-37-07-09-48459666.30.6
142142.7Mississippi St.SEC0.51460.53638414-1315-150-22-33-85-26-09-31362221357.70.6
248248.7MissouriSEC0.45200.5399777-208-220-41-31-90-55-15-72842542426.70.6
3031.3South CarolinaSEC0.59700.56793619-821-91-23-27-45-15-09-34973301.30.2
5456.4TennesseeSEC0.56980.58861814-1216-141-61-37-34-14-07-56610524.40.4
9695.8Texas A&MSEC0.54120.55965314-1216-140-51-53-24-17-08-47744941.80.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
5154.5VanderbiltSEC0.57130.6077114-1315-161-53-44-65-02-17-6501495.50.7
273276.9Abilene ChristianSlnd0.43720.44683068-1310-150-00-00-24-56-92-5266302292-15.1-0.7
285284.8Central ArkansasSlnd0.43330.47702278-209-220-20-20-22-67-101-1229994287-2.2-0.1
208202.3Houston BaptistSlnd0.48290.47972169-1211-140-00-10-33-58-51-622620209-6.7-0.3
298294.6Incarnate WordSlnd0.42760.46502607-158-170-00-00-12-96-71-6309156303-8.4-0.4
243245.0LamarSlnd0.45470.424833011-1213-140-00-00-12-611-74-52543452432.00.1
302298.6McNeese St.Slnd0.42580.48342085-176-200-20-00-01-105-81-721828302-3.4-0.2
168166.7New OrleansSlnd0.50280.455828913-916-100-00-20-03-413-32-62201071606.70.3
280280.7Nicholls St.Slnd0.43520.45832838-159-180-10-00-22-67-93-613910126614.70.7
323318.4Northwestern St.Slnd0.41100.43123226-158-170-00-00-10-77-92-5270319324-5.6-0.5
171168.7Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50190.459028014-1016-110-10-10-13-213-65-49698170-1.3-0.1
245247.3Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45300.433332012-1414-150-00-10-11-613-75-6212317258-10.7-0.8
204198.9Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.48550.459827712-1114-130-10-10-14-510-52-7302217212-13.1-0.7
172170.0Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.50120.447730413-916-100-10-10-11-415-44-4141231173-3.0-0.1
177179.6DenverSum0.49670.458828216-1117-120-00-01-15-812-38-5175311182-2.4-0.2
166166.1Fort WayneSum0.50360.461727115-1016-110-00-31-14-411-38-31032931615.10.4
230229.9IUPUISum0.46400.472224110-1611-170-00-21-36-65-64-8231281231-1.1-0.1
173170.8Nebraska OmahaSum0.50100.488119013-1314-140-00-20-35-79-36-6116142175-4.2-0.3
101100.4North Dakota St.Sum0.53860.494116716-917-100-10-11-07-59-26-59186973.40.3
282281.2Oral RobertsSum0.43480.51311336-216-220-20-11-23-113-62-1025538283-1.8-0.2
123123.5South DakotaSum0.52470.480221517-1018-110-10-01-27-311-47-61552051203.50.3
209204.9South Dakota St.Sum0.48250.493317312-1613-160-00-20-25-87-45-8180120208-3.1-0.4
318316.8Western IllinoisSum0.41350.46182706-176-190-10-00-22-85-81-8347342320-3.2-0.5
351350.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.31280.39213471-242-270-00-00-00-51-220-11351331351-0.4-0.8
338338.0Alabama St.SWAC0.38350.41283407-188-210-00-00-20-78-121-10320207341-3.0-0.6
233232.7Alcorn St.SWAC0.46250.425932912-1113-130-00-10-30-613-30-828723241-8.3-0.7
343340.6Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.37820.42293336-217-230-00-10-10-87-120-123361543391.60.4
333331.6Grambling St.SWAC0.39510.38633499-1511-170-10-00-10-411-112-83373333301.60.2
316314.6Jackson St.SWAC0.41470.40253449-1512-160-10-00-11-411-102-8300257317-2.4-0.2
339338.8Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.38240.44343094-246-250-20-30-21-55-150-13307463371.80.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
304298.3Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42540.43823158-1810-200-20-10-21-49-101-1124950309-10.7-0.6
289286.9SouthernSWAC0.43200.403334312-1313-150-10-00-20-513-72-8288246304-17.1-1.0
127128.3Texas SouthernSWAC0.52200.449830016-1119-120-40-10-12-317-34-975141280.30.0
7679.3Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.55180.477522516-719-70-20-01-24-213-16-616323981-1.7-0.1
315314.5Chicago St.WAC0.41580.49891553-223-250-10-20-50-63-112-12275152316-1.5-0.2
149147.8Grand CanyonWAC0.51200.468225017-919-100-30-02-32-115-29-61982791452.80.2
5656.1New Mexico St.WAC0.56940.467025220-423-40-00-02-37-114-011-246258506.10.7
288287.5SeattleWAC0.43210.46012759-1410-160-00-10-40-810-35-7290324301-13.5-0.8
184182.3UMKCWAC0.49550.505214412-1313-150-20-10-32-511-35-920488186-3.7-0.3
308303.0UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.42320.47282387-188-200-00-10-40-88-75-9271282305-2.0-0.2
229230.5Utah ValleyWAC0.46430.48452018-1510-160-10-11-42-67-55-7173208239-8.5-0.7
7882.1BYUWCC0.54990.53109119-1020-110-40-14-27-29-39-411711691-8.9-1.3
44.9GonzagaWCC0.65320.53848028-030-04-02-06-07-011-012-05496-1.1-0.7
158161.6Loyola MarymountWCC0.50550.53039312-1413-150-40-21-52-210-26-41591591565.60.4
223225.1PacificWCC0.46760.5287959-1910-200-50-10-44-66-45-72361842223.10.4
226227.5PepperdineWCC0.46570.5384818-198-210-40-11-43-64-53-8268126228-0.5-0.1
231231.0PortlandWCC0.46360.52421038-199-200-60-00-42-66-46-51822152265.00.6
1516.5Saint Mary'sWCC0.62240.53917924-326-31-21-15-09-010-010-11955151.50.7
201198.5San DiegoWCC0.48670.520110911-1612-170-50-11-42-39-36-5206255199-0.5-0.1
8584.5San FranciscoWCC0.54840.521010718-1019-110-41-01-35-313-19-39920388-3.5-0.4
146145.5Santa ClaraWCC0.51280.52839614-1415-150-50-03-32-610-15-7239191148-2.5-0.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com