live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Mar 2, 2015.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3336.1DavidsonA100.58650.519811120-621-71-31-05-14-211-08-257218360.10.0
3033.6DaytonA100.58920.518411322-623-71-11-14-48-09-110-231116294.60.6
241243.1DuquesneA100.46180.52081109-179-190-11-31-51-76-24-62872822412.10.1
234234.3FordhamA100.46600.5341908-189-190-20-40-63-56-14-62551802277.30.6
212210.4George MasonA100.48020.5574558-198-210-50-42-52-34-44-717330213-2.6-0.3
8988.7George WashingtonA100.54340.508213018-1119-121-31-22-46-210-110-379273862.70.3
104103.3La SalleA100.53380.54447515-1416-151-20-32-56-27-38-574451030.30.0
6866.5MassachusettsA100.56240.55854917-1218-130-21-44-37-46-07-6517642.50.4
6766.4Rhode IslandA100.56320.510712619-720-80-30-24-15-211-07-311621267-0.6-0.1
6363.7RichmondA100.56530.55695617-1218-132-11-33-46-37-17-61152965-1.3-0.2
184182.9Saint Joseph'sA100.49490.525710412-1613-170-32-13-41-46-66-61681781820.90.1
254254.4Saint LouisA100.45580.514211710-1810-200-30-30-64-26-67-5215254255-0.6-0.1
125125.5St. BonaventureA100.52160.508213115-1216-131-02-21-63-29-37-41862971187.50.6
1919.3VCUA100.61310.58321521-822-91-23-26-36-26-010-331190.30.1
169168.4Boston CollegeACC0.50200.56244111-1812-181-61-31-73-26-18-41591921599.41.1
8888.3ClemsonACC0.54360.55665716-1217-131-52-24-27-43-18-4156196853.30.5
65.5DukeACC0.66100.58351426-327-45-15-17-25-06-013-063550.50.4
126125.8Florida St.ACC0.52160.54836915-1515-160-50-24-66-16-18-51892101214.80.5
127125.0Georgia TechACC0.52120.57502312-1712-180-61-33-34-43-29-350771205.00.7
1615.6LouisvilleACC0.61960.57881823-624-72-53-06-28-06-012-12410816-0.4-0.1
7170.2Miami FLACC0.55970.54946818-1119-121-50-15-15-48-010-38318471-0.8-0.1
1314.6North CarolinaACC0.62170.6058220-921-102-62-26-28-03-010-3135140.60.2
5351.7North Carolina St.ACC0.57450.5902517-1218-133-41-24-46-24-09-4712653-1.3-0.2
2527.6Notre DameACC0.59530.53049424-525-62-41-05-27-09-012-182322270.60.1
5756.4PittsburghACC0.57070.56493818-1119-121-41-24-210-23-110-354111542.40.2
6464.6SyracuseACC0.56470.56863118-1218-131-51-22-58-16-09-47581622.60.4
33.2VirginiaACC0.66810.57652128-129-15-13-07-010-04-012-053430.20.2
229229.8Virginia TechACC0.46820.54148110-2010-210-70-11-52-67-18-52393022236.81.2
114116.3Wake ForestACC0.52610.57582213-1613-180-71-23-54-35-18-5145134117-0.7-0.1
107108.8AlbanyAE0.53030.455328921-821-80-10-01-17-413-26-7163200109-0.2-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
333333.5BinghamtonAE0.38850.46812475-245-240-10-20-01-114-100-133381813330.50.6
250248.2HartfordAE0.45880.454529413-1513-150-00-10-11-712-56-61661902480.20.1
339340.0MaineAE0.37730.46942433-263-260-10-00-30-103-121-123191573382.01.7
201201.6New HampshireAE0.48580.438332516-1116-110-00-00-04-812-35-6219285204-2.4-1.1
106108.5Stony BrookAE0.53040.472023619-1019-100-10-20-06-613-17-672711080.50.2
266265.1UMass LowellAE0.45050.452330211-1711-170-00-10-13-88-75-71642142650.10.0
344344.3UMBCAE0.36990.44533094-254-250-00-10-20-114-112-113332893440.30.3
192192.5VermontAE0.49020.453629816-1216-120-00-00-24-512-54-8258216194-1.5-0.7
4544.2CincinnatiAmer0.57970.55236220-921-102-12-32-35-29-19-4532549-4.8-0.6
7067.4ConnecticutAmer0.56210.55126517-1118-121-33-42-33-09-17-51136869-1.6-0.2
221222.8East CarolinaAmer0.47280.508812811-1612-170-21-41-42-38-45-62783002211.80.1
271269.5HoustonAmer0.44660.495215910-1811-190-20-62-31-18-78-4222330272-2.5-0.3
8585.6MemphisAmer0.54580.55505917-1218-130-51-52-14-111-18-5902491-5.4-0.8
1818.0SMUAmer0.61540.55914822-623-60-23-26-23-09-08-3271520-2.0-0.8
268266.2South FloridaAmer0.44910.5273977-218-220-20-50-72-46-45-72381822624.20.5
4441.9TempleAmer0.58150.54747020-921-101-41-34-13-113-09-44849410.90.1
197197.3TulaneAmer0.48760.500815113-1414-150-11-51-41-211-38-318532618710.30.9
3133.6TulsaAmer0.58880.53518921-622-70-42-13-15-111-07-4101109321.60.2
236236.8UCFAmer0.46430.503014411-1611-170-20-50-43-18-46-42593192333.80.4
129125.5Florida Gulf CoastASun0.52080.464725918-918-90-00-23-31-214-27-6133135129-3.5-1.0
340340.1JacksonvilleASun0.37720.42233417-217-210-00-00-22-45-153-113473453400.10.1
321321.2Kennesaw St.ASun0.40630.44653088-218-210-10-01-30-67-114-113002783210.20.1
289287.7LipscombASun0.43380.441131810-1610-160-00-10-10-810-63-93082992870.70.3
173171.8North FloridaASun0.50060.437732717-1117-110-10-11-22-214-55-9243305173-1.2-0.4
243241.7Northern KentuckyASun0.46140.475622111-1611-160-20-00-30-711-44-920497242-0.3-0.1
338338.3StetsonASun0.37950.43643296-216-210-00-10-10-76-123-103213243371.31.6
225225.0USC UpstateASun0.47010.414234917-1017-100-10-00-13-214-69-41843422241.00.4
6262.5IllinoisB100.56620.55366118-1119-122-21-42-48-16-010-363160611.50.2
4948.1IndianaB100.57660.56823319-1020-113-42-34-35-16-010-376113462.10.2
4846.7IowaB100.57820.56613519-1020-112-42-23-38-15-09-411812847-0.3-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1011.0MarylandB100.62830.56014524-525-62-13-24-210-06-012-1188892.00.8
8686.2MichiganB100.54540.58181613-1414-150-52-43-37-32-06-512923815.20.6
2832.0Michigan St.B100.59020.57672019-1020-110-52-15-29-24-09-46157302.00.3
8081.7MinnesotaB100.54910.55436016-1217-130-43-32-36-36-010-255215765.70.8
122123.9NebraskaB100.52240.56164313-1513-170-42-32-64-45-08-41522391230.90.1
120121.6NorthwesternB100.52360.55805214-1515-160-51-43-54-27-09-41432051165.60.5
2933.7Ohio St.B100.58920.54986721-822-91-31-35-38-07-011-25620335-1.3-0.2
130128.2Penn St.B100.52070.54168015-1415-160-40-42-45-38-012-1592901199.20.8
6061.1PurdueB100.56680.55116619-1020-110-34-24-45-36-08-5181211592.10.3
166165.8RutgersB100.50330.57242610-1910-211-30-41-95-43-18-599651587.80.8
55.3WisconsinB100.66100.58421226-327-42-26-08-09-13-012-17126-0.7-0.6
99.7BaylorB120.63020.5973321-822-85-32-34-28-03-011-1102710-0.3-0.2
1515.3Iowa St.B120.62010.58541021-822-85-54-04-23-25-010-235102132.30.9
22.8KansasB120.67040.6245123-624-77-44-26-17-00-011-22220.80.5
8283.1Kansas St.B120.54860.58351315-1515-165-62-42-12-55-07-6170146785.11.1
1716.8OklahomaB120.61680.5900720-921-95-55-02-26-24-09-3448317-0.2-0.1
4342.2Oklahoma St.B120.58170.5861916-1117-123-83-03-24-25-09-23811844-1.8-0.2
119121.6TCUB120.52380.526510117-1218-130-101-22-14-010-013-092348124-2.4-0.2
4242.0TexasB120.58180.58451118-1219-122-91-24-18-04-011-22992393.00.6
175175.1Texas TechB120.49910.55765413-1713-181-91-31-23-37-110-31422831741.10.2
2120.0West VirginiaB120.61100.57033022-723-82-63-25-07-06-012-13419321-1.0-0.4
2322.1ButlerBE0.60600.57172721-822-93-63-23-110-13-09-35812023-0.9-0.3
137133.3CreightonBE0.51790.56044413-1613-181-72-40-46-24-19-41111741312.30.2
179176.5DePaulBE0.49810.54547112-1812-190-72-33-33-45-26-727529416610.51.1
2423.0GeorgetownBE0.60420.5958418-919-102-62-33-010-02-08-2211324-1.0-0.4
155157.0MarquetteBE0.50720.56364011-1712-181-81-62-16-23-18-41441731507.00.6
2222.3ProvidenceBE0.60610.5868820-921-103-42-36-18-22-110-32019220.30.1
7576.5Seton HallBE0.55410.55815116-1217-131-72-32-06-35-010-236191733.50.5
3537.0St. John'sBE0.58550.57462419-920-103-72-04-16-24-010-2396338-1.0-0.1
44.0VillanovaBE0.66470.57062927-229-25-15-05-111-02-013-08604-0.0-0.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4040.7XavierBE0.58250.57941718-1219-123-42-24-28-42-010-3283743-2.3-0.4
9193.1Eastern WashingtonBSky0.54050.473522518-819-90-11-00-14-514-26-44674885.10.7
233234.4IdahoBSky0.46640.470423911-1412-150-00-12-33-37-83-6218144235-0.6-0.0
345343.9Idaho St.BSky0.36960.44423114-225-230-00-00-31-73-141-9341314346-2.1-0.8
151152.5MontanaBSky0.50970.473022915-1116-110-00-31-12-313-42-720131154-1.5-0.2
323321.5Montana St.BSky0.40590.47282336-226-230-10-00-41-75-112-927680324-2.5-0.6
301300.4North DakotaBSky0.42480.47342266-207-210-20-00-30-87-92-82101002991.40.2
181177.5Northern ArizonaBSky0.49730.467824815-1316-140-00-12-22-513-54-8196110190-12.5-0.9
247246.1Northern ColoradoBSky0.45930.453729712-1413-140-00-10-32-611-43-62842432442.10.2
223225.7Portland St.BSky0.47090.453529912-1213-130-00-11-10-711-54-41712912250.70.1
128127.2Sacramento St.BSky0.52100.453130017-818-90-10-01-12-215-44-5220287128-0.8-0.1
304302.4Southern UtahBSky0.42270.45133048-189-190-00-10-30-78-92-8295245307-4.6-0.7
261259.1Weber St.BSky0.45280.471823710-1511-160-10-20-33-58-63-620562264-4.9-0.4
319319.7CampbellBSth0.40740.46882457-217-210-00-20-22-85-93-72451953190.70.5
142140.9Charleston SouthernBSth0.51490.468324616-1016-100-00-22-23-411-23-5190132141-0.1-0.0
150152.3Coastal CarolinaBSth0.50970.443531317-917-90-00-12-24-311-35-31042691520.30.1
159159.1Gardner WebbBSth0.50630.489518014-1314-130-10-22-34-28-54-5117791572.10.8
8483.2High PointBSth0.54800.480120919-819-80-00-11-25-513-06-341131821.20.6
347347.1LibertyBSth0.35510.43923244-234-230-00-00-11-93-132-73433323470.10.4
330328.8LongwoodBSth0.39820.44963067-227-220-00-10-21-106-92-9335307330-1.2-1.0
310309.4PresbyterianBSth0.41650.47782146-216-210-10-10-31-85-80-93281173090.40.2
140140.4RadfordBSth0.51510.461126918-1018-100-10-02-12-514-36-496204143-2.6-1.0
252250.8UNC AshevilleBSth0.45790.459827711-1511-150-00-00-34-77-51-7322276252-1.2-0.4
220220.0WinthropBSth0.47450.439632114-1214-120-10-01-23-510-42-63093062200.00.0
186186.9Cal PolyBW0.49310.498615511-1411-150-10-01-63-57-35-5891251851.90.2
311310.7Cal St. FullertonBW0.41480.47292317-207-220-00-00-60-107-66-7229295312-1.3-0.3
284283.8Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43640.51181237-227-230-20-21-41-75-73-11268932803.80.7
161161.1HawaiiBW0.50540.488318417-1118-120-10-13-44-412-110-41321851565.10.4
111110.7Long Beach St.BW0.52940.54068212-1614-160-11-52-64-46-04-1012461073.70.3
7372.1UC DavisBW0.55730.460827220-521-60-00-02-19-211-28-3123331720.10.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
102101.8UC IrvineBW0.53430.504214215-1116-120-10-12-46-48-25-7151103104-2.2-0.2
219218.5UC RiversideBW0.47470.483819812-1413-150-10-11-43-58-45-7237247219-0.5-0.0
9596.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53830.53009514-1215-130-20-22-28-56-25-79811942.50.2
300300.4College of CharlestonCAA0.42580.48851838-238-230-10-31-41-97-65-82301862982.41.7
256255.9DelawareCAA0.45560.487618610-1910-190-10-12-13-75-81-10336222256-0.1-0.0
235234.1DrexelCAA0.46550.493416711-1711-170-00-11-32-98-32-82961622340.10.0
265265.0ElonCAA0.45050.457528212-1712-170-10-01-12-89-66-5226338268-3.0-1.3
182179.9HofstraCAA0.49660.454629319-1219-120-00-00-33-616-29-4161335183-3.1-1.3
138136.9James MadisonCAA0.51650.498615619-1219-120-10-11-54-514-17-616587139-2.1-0.8
9799.1NortheasternCAA0.53550.488818220-1120-110-00-02-38-410-38-584151972.10.9
277278.7TowsonCAA0.43960.454229511-1911-190-10-10-42-79-66-62503402771.71.0
139138.5UNC WilmingtonCAA0.51600.476821516-1216-120-10-21-24-211-54-6194252140-1.5-0.6
100100.2William & MaryCAA0.53510.501115016-1116-110-11-11-46-08-54-5100421000.20.1
196196.9CharlotteCUSA0.48770.492617113-1615-160-10-31-62-412-37-6150188199-2.1-0.2
245246.4FIUCUSA0.45950.463126411-1612-170-10-10-22-610-75-62123252397.40.6
305304.4Florida AtlanticCUSA0.42100.48152066-197-200-00-20-32-75-85-41282213040.40.1
5655.5Louisiana TechCUSA0.57160.486618822-723-70-00-22-26-215-18-4107242550.50.2
288288.7MarshallCUSA0.43380.49001779-189-200-20-21-21-77-72-9325219292-3.3-0.4
180178.0Middle TennesseeCUSA0.49740.493416614-1415-150-01-21-44-510-36-6155137180-2.0-0.1
209208.2North TexasCUSA0.48150.502214712-1412-160-10-41-33-28-54-6242156212-3.8-0.3
3940.1Old DominionCUSA0.58270.505014122-624-61-01-04-27-311-111-1123942-1.9-0.2
270266.8RiceCUSA0.44840.49551588-178-190-00-20-43-35-81-8339251274-7.2-0.7
285284.3Southern MissCUSA0.43600.50711347-197-200-00-21-61-55-73-6254169293-8.7-2.6
149149.7UABCUSA0.51070.510212715-1316-140-21-11-63-211-33-925647153-3.3-0.2
7778.0UTEPCUSA0.55230.506113619-921-90-12-11-27-312-28-47052753.00.5
222224.5UTSACUSA0.47130.472723511-1412-150-01-00-42-69-54-52623202222.50.3
113111.7Western KentuckyCUSA0.52880.505314016-1017-110-11-13-32-410-25-512146115-3.3-0.3
131126.8Cleveland St.Horz0.52010.506613515-1315-130-30-02-53-310-24-819164130-3.2-1.1
195196.4DetroitHorz0.48810.511312512-1712-170-10-13-73-36-55-8149411960.40.2
6161.6Green BayHorz0.56660.495915721-721-70-10-03-25-413-09-3327663-1.4-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
308307.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.41850.49381646-236-230-10-10-61-95-62-113171873061.20.8
208208.7MilwaukeeHorz0.48180.498715412-1612-160-20-10-45-67-33-92671292080.70.3
136131.8OaklandHorz0.51830.523010814-1514-150-30-13-52-49-23-1019521133-1.2-0.3
6665.4ValparaisoHorz0.56400.467325123-523-50-00-02-18-313-110-26826068-2.6-1.4
251249.6Wright St.Horz0.45840.49311709-199-190-00-10-55-54-86-6126133251-1.4-0.5
292290.4Youngstown St.Horz0.43240.47842128-208-200-00-10-71-77-56-61802352882.41.2
170169.3NJITind0.50150.464725813-1114-110-10-12-03-59-414-11167272175-5.7-0.5
240240.5BrownIvy0.46250.489218111-1611-181-00-10-51-79-57-8207237247-6.5-0.6
178176.7ColumbiaIvy0.49830.512212012-1313-140-10-11-35-47-57-614786179-2.3-0.2
217215.9CornellIvy0.47670.483420012-1513-160-00-11-44-48-77-82162682150.90.1
207206.4DartmouthIvy0.48230.476421912-1413-150-00-01-24-47-87-7200296209-2.6-0.2
5856.5HarvardIvy0.57060.501214918-620-60-10-03-16-210-28-46012758-1.5-0.2
274271.5PennIvy0.44470.49321697-188-200-10-20-42-76-65-92472292665.50.6
213211.2PrincetonIvy0.47920.481520512-1414-150-00-10-55-59-46-92772772101.20.1
6967.3YaleIvy0.56230.505413719-820-90-10-12-25-413-19-66612370-2.7-0.5
171170.8CanisiusMAAC0.50110.483220116-1316-130-00-11-24-711-35-4106951700.80.4
299298.7FairfieldMAAC0.42730.49891537-237-230-10-20-31-106-72-8246322971.71.2
5150.6IonaMAAC0.57550.485819024-724-70-10-10-110-214-27-4459052-1.4-0.6
188188.1ManhattanMAAC0.49210.461027116-1316-130-00-10-34-412-43-62903111880.10.1
328326.1MaristMAAC0.40210.46952426-246-240-00-10-12-124-101-9340281327-0.9-0.7
191191.3MonmouthMAAC0.49070.469624117-1417-140-30-01-13-513-54-7260255192-0.7-0.3
279279.6NiagaraMAAC0.43900.49471618-218-210-00-40-24-64-91-8288562781.60.8
215216.1QuinnipiacMAAC0.47680.475322315-1415-140-00-11-17-67-56-31341612160.10.0
135131.4RiderMAAC0.51850.461226821-1021-100-10-20-16-215-46-5192292135-3.6-1.2
248247.1Saint Peter'sMAAC0.45920.455728714-1714-170-00-01-23-910-66-51983182452.10.7
269267.7SienaMAAC0.44910.482320410-1910-190-00-10-23-107-63-6213141269-1.3-0.7
121123.5AkronMAC0.52290.502614517-1118-120-01-15-44-48-38-4199316127-3.5-0.2
273271.9Ball St.MAC0.44490.52461056-207-210-10-21-82-64-44-6257231273-1.1-0.1
8383.0Bowling GreenMAC0.54810.489917819-720-80-00-32-15-312-18-29331787-4.0-0.6
3436.1BuffaloMAC0.58600.53868319-921-90-20-04-37-310-19-32272333.10.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7676.6Central MichiganMAC0.55370.483819718-619-70-02-02-25-211-37-113834979-2.4-0.3
176174.9Eastern MichiganMAC0.49890.493416813-1214-130-00-32-53-19-37-2912981695.90.4
9699.7Kent St.MAC0.53560.503114318-1019-110-10-23-43-313-18-4154274101-1.3-0.1
230229.9Miami OHMAC0.46810.505413811-1712-180-00-42-43-57-54-8323301230-0.1-0.0
202202.1Northern IllinoisMAC0.48480.507213211-1512-160-00-22-52-68-25-52232842002.10.2
239238.4OhioMAC0.46360.52591039-1810-190-01-10-84-95-25-62492172371.40.1
7272.2ToledoMAC0.55790.52699819-1020-110-21-12-38-49-18-58011974-1.8-0.3
110109.8Western MichiganMAC0.52970.502214616-1117-120-01-12-54-610-07-4158308111-1.2-0.1
341341.7Bethune CookmanMEAC0.37460.39493508-209-200-00-00-10-79-122-113493443410.70.3
312314.1Coppin St.MEAC0.41220.46462606-216-220-00-20-30-96-80-12307443131.10.2
227228.8Delaware St.MEAC0.46870.454729212-1613-160-10-20-23-510-64-9136702262.80.4
350350.1Florida A&MMEAC0.32000.41633471-271-280-00-00-20-71-190-133513043500.10.3
286286.5HamptonMEAC0.43500.425133912-1612-170-00-10-22-610-84-92792862851.50.2
253250.0HowardMEAC0.45790.427033813-1413-150-00-00-32-611-63-9266279254-4.0-0.3
190190.3Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.49100.442531517-1318-130-20-10-04-514-67-81251641891.30.2
336336.0Morgan St.MEAC0.38370.43353317-227-230-10-00-12-85-132-12326257336-0.0-0.0
163162.6Norfolk St.MEAC0.50480.464626216-1217-120-20-10-04-613-45-89522167-4.4-0.5
337336.1North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38300.42913377-217-220-00-20-20-67-131-12337220339-2.9-2.6
112111.3North Carolina CentralMEAC0.52890.421934220-621-60-20-10-14-217-05-6120138113-1.7-0.3
320319.5Savannah St.MEAC0.40670.44413127-208-200-10-20-21-57-102-1027385320-0.5-0.1
318319.8South Carolina St.MEAC0.40750.43353328-208-210-10-00-01-107-101-123202283181.80.3
296295.8BradleyMVC0.42940.51211217-237-230-40-01-41-95-64-82972242950.80.4
249248.1DrakeMVC0.45880.5359888-218-210-50-00-62-76-32-928167250-1.9-0.6
109109.3EvansvilleMVC0.53000.507113318-1118-111-30-00-45-212-29-273206112-2.7-1.2
7877.3Illinois St.MVC0.55220.53309118-1118-110-51-00-27-310-17-46538770.30.2
177176.6Indiana St.MVC0.49840.511412414-1514-150-50-12-23-29-53-8304244177-0.4-0.2
132128.7Loyola ChicagoMVC0.51940.502114816-1216-120-41-11-22-412-18-277253134-5.3-1.4
231229.9Missouri St.MVC0.46750.52611029-199-190-40-20-23-96-24-61931122290.90.3
1414.8Northern IowaMVC0.62050.516811427-327-31-21-05-07-113-011-11411415-0.2-0.2
287286.4Southern IllinoisMVC0.43450.476821710-2010-200-40-01-41-58-76-62913472842.41.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1111.0Wichita St.MVC0.62770.53119326-326-31-21-05-19-010-09-21633110.00.0
244245.7Air ForceMWC0.46040.486218911-1511-160-10-51-22-58-25-4272341249-3.3-0.3
3837.8Boise St.MWC0.58450.515811520-722-71-12-13-16-310-08-352170289.82.1
2727.9Colorado St.MWC0.59450.513011923-524-60-02-24-17-211-012-0994261.90.5
189188.7Fresno St.MWC0.49210.508412912-1513-160-12-31-24-76-33-8298271191-2.3-0.2
297296.3NevadaMWC0.42860.49511607-197-210-10-31-52-64-62-8344315303-6.7-1.2
162161.5New MexicoMWC0.50530.519011214-1515-150-11-52-25-46-48-4157256165-3.5-0.4
2627.4San Diego St.MWC0.59530.53728621-723-71-12-33-17-29-09-33353252.40.7
335334.5San Jose St.MWC0.38570.51401180-260-280-10-40-40-100-80-10346226335-0.5-0.6
9395.2UNLVMWC0.53880.54467315-1316-141-31-42-25-27-28-4234905.20.7
117118.9Utah St.MWC0.52510.494216217-1018-110-11-32-33-211-26-5182230137-18.1-1.3
101101.5WyomingMWC0.53490.483819619-820-91-22-11-15-311-19-2110321956.50.5
187186.6BryantNEC0.49280.476821615-1415-140-00-10-34-611-43-8202731860.60.3
343342.4Central ConnecticutNEC0.37280.45223035-265-260-10-00-11-134-112-113302753420.40.5
315313.5Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.41180.45842807-217-210-00-20-01-126-74-61881973112.51.5
258259.0LIU BrooklynNEC0.45400.465425512-1712-170-00-20-05-107-54-7211154259-0.0-0.0
174174.0Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49960.479221115-1415-140-10-10-15-810-24-713751176-2.0-0.9
193192.7Robert MorrisNEC0.49010.472923216-1416-140-20-10-36-410-44-8214107193-0.3-0.1
242241.1Sacred HeartNEC0.46150.459127814-1614-160-00-10-16-88-65-7217202243-1.9-0.9
165163.5St. Francis NYNEC0.50450.441231720-1020-100-10-00-06-714-25-7265309164-0.5-0.2
200199.7St. Francis PANEC0.48660.464326314-1414-140-00-20-06-88-45-585126202-2.3-1.0
294294.3WagnerNEC0.43040.46972409-199-190-10-10-02-147-31-93141452940.30.1
316316.3Austin PeayOVC0.40990.47982106-226-220-00-10-42-74-103-92922273151.30.8
145145.5BelmontOVC0.51280.455928518-1018-100-20-00-14-314-47-51532401450.50.2
172171.1Eastern IllinoisOVC0.50100.486618714-1314-130-00-10-44-410-45-61391051710.10.0
148149.9Eastern KentuckyOVC0.51080.459827617-1017-100-10-11-22-314-36-5148213151-1.1-0.4
302302.9Jacksonville St.OVC0.42310.454129610-1910-190-10-00-22-58-115-82512883011.91.4
218218.7Morehead St.OVC0.47540.473022813-1613-160-00-20-41-912-13-102611942180.70.3
6564.9Murray St.OVC0.56420.467325224-424-40-00-11-19-114-18-413022566-1.1-0.5
282281.9SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43740.458727910-1510-150-00-00-32-58-72-73453362792.91.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
275274.6Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.44290.455528811-1611-160-10-00-42-59-64-7305333275-0.4-0.2
167167.5Tennessee MartinOVC0.50260.453130116-1116-110-10-00-32-514-26-5177323168-0.5-0.2
346344.9Tennessee St.OVC0.36910.46742503-263-260-10-00-20-103-131-12342259345-0.1-0.1
291289.2Tennessee TechOVC0.43300.460127410-1810-180-00-01-23-86-86-61622412890.20.1
76.1ArizonaP120.65770.56863226-328-33-04-08-210-14-012-111667-0.9-1.0
9293.7Arizona St.P120.53990.56164215-1416-151-41-44-37-44-08-5160168921.70.2
98100.3CaliforniaP120.53550.54347917-1217-140-40-34-48-15-210-386176982.30.4
118119.8ColoradoP120.52500.55775313-1514-160-41-32-45-56-07-5140121122-2.2-0.1
3234.6OregonP120.58760.55216321-822-81-31-17-37-26-09-388124313.60.6
105106.7Oregon St.P120.53130.526510016-1216-131-21-33-37-35-28-31693271060.70.1
5453.6StanfordP120.57280.55974618-1019-110-42-25-26-37-09-3376956-2.4-0.3
5554.6UCLAP120.57250.56793418-1219-121-62-12-38-26-08-511454513.60.6
205204.8USCP120.48390.53788511-1811-190-30-31-56-64-28-4175270205-0.2-0.0
1213.0UtahP120.62420.56543621-623-61-32-26-18-07-09-21736121.00.5
116116.4WashingtonP120.52590.53818415-1316-141-32-23-44-45-111-1492331106.40.7
156158.2Washington St.P120.50690.54357812-1612-180-41-23-52-56-26-620823814612.21.2
164163.6AmericanPat0.50450.490117615-1515-150-00-10-28-77-57-5671421630.60.2
228228.1ArmyPat0.46830.457728114-1414-140-10-00-06-108-38-21313282280.10.0
199199.3Boston UniversityPat0.48670.505413912-1612-160-10-10-16-76-53-719748203-3.7-1.6
133128.9BucknellPat0.51930.491917417-1317-130-10-00-28-99-14-8225171132-3.1-1.0
183181.0ColgatePat0.49610.492217314-1614-160-00-10-28-76-62-10289189181-0.0-0.0
198198.0Holy CrossPat0.48730.499615212-1512-150-00-01-27-84-54-512758198-0.0-0.0
147149.0LafayettePat0.51130.485619116-1216-120-20-00-17-79-27-3471501481.00.4
160160.3LehighPat0.50570.488318515-1315-130-10-01-06-108-25-5141158161-0.7-0.3
263263.5Loyola MDPat0.45140.476521811-1811-180-10-00-17-124-44-72642672612.51.2
260259.4NavyPat0.45380.482820211-1811-180-10-20-14-117-33-8302234260-0.6-0.3
272271.2Appalachian St.SB0.44550.461726710-1711-180-00-01-21-98-73-62853372701.20.1
262261.7Arkansas Little RockSB0.45210.472923012-1612-170-00-21-30-811-44-5269262263-1.3-0.1
267264.3Arkansas St.SB0.45000.464925710-1611-170-00-00-42-79-64-42283132577.30.8
124125.1Georgia SouthernSB0.52190.455728617-718-80-00-01-23-314-34-2172346136-10.9-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7474.3Georgia St.SB0.55620.494116319-920-100-10-21-16-313-36-4426180-5.7-1.0
154155.9Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50800.484719214-1216-120-00-12-13-611-43-5206159162-6.1-0.5
134131.5Louisiana MonroeSB0.51870.484419415-1016-110-00-00-36-510-32-52321651265.50.4
295294.0South AlabamaSB0.42970.48052087-208-210-00-00-43-95-80-93482492913.00.3
224226.7Texas St.SB0.47030.484619310-1411-150-00-21-10-810-43-3105106236-9.3-0.8
309309.0TroySB0.41660.44923078-188-190-00-10-34-44-113-43273513081.00.2
157159.1UT ArlingtonSB0.50640.483719915-1216-130-10-20-24-312-55-4108152172-12.9-1.0
9999.6ChattanoogaSC0.53540.475422220-920-90-21-20-05-114-45-6179104963.61.4
185185.5East Tennessee St.SC0.49330.476022014-1314-130-10-20-32-212-66-325401841.50.8
326325.0FurmanSC0.40320.47272346-216-210-10-20-41-55-101-8316153325-0.0-0.0
203204.0MercerSC0.48460.467524915-1415-140-00-41-31-313-43-8280198206-2.0-0.8
293292.7SamfordSC0.43120.440631912-1812-180-00-20-42-310-96-62403292902.71.4
322321.7The CitadelSC0.40590.43953228-188-180-01-20-11-36-122-5329334323-1.3-0.8
317316.7UNC GreensboroSC0.40960.46052737-217-210-10-20-31-46-111-9334264317-0.3-0.1
283282.9VMISC0.43680.46612539-189-180-20-20-31-38-91-73121632811.91.1
237236.9Western CarolinaSC0.46400.462126612-1612-160-00-21-42-410-63-7233223238-1.1-0.5
5048.6WoffordSC0.57660.489717923-623-60-21-03-24-116-17-4191850-1.4-0.7
8181.8AlabamaSEC0.54900.55625816-1217-130-51-43-35-28-09-36414983-1.2-0.2
2019.3ArkansasSEC0.61210.55156423-624-71-24-14-36-19-011-21550181.30.4
152152.4AuburnSEC0.50960.56393911-1712-180-23-41-64-53-17-51125914210.40.7
7980.0FloridaSEC0.55040.5901614-1515-161-50-54-47-22-17-61022084-4.0-0.7
3737.5GeorgiaSEC0.58500.56533719-920-100-42-17-37-35-09-34375343.50.6
11.1KentuckySEC0.67900.57332529-031-05-06-08-07-05-013-01910.10.3
4141.7LSUSEC0.58200.54547221-822-91-22-27-27-15-211-24015545-3.3-0.5
5251.1MississippiSEC0.57500.55914719-1020-111-23-54-16-37-09-481101483.10.4
206206.3Mississippi St.SEC0.48290.52669911-1712-180-31-31-55-45-46-62712931979.31.1
211209.5MissouriSEC0.48080.5783197-218-220-61-52-52-33-25-7183282018.50.8
9495.6South CarolinaSEC0.53860.57082813-1414-151-43-22-32-56-08-378115932.60.2
108109.5TennesseeSEC0.53000.55825014-1415-152-40-42-45-26-18-497961054.50.5
4645.1Texas A&MSEC0.57930.54357720-821-90-32-25-47-07-09-369140405.10.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
103102.5VanderbiltSEC0.53410.53159216-1217-130-30-46-24-37-19-3119232993.50.4
325323.3Abilene ChristianSlnd0.40370.46002756-197-210-00-30-22-35-133-7253209326-2.7-0.4
349348.8Central ArkansasSlnd0.34220.43713282-252-270-00-10-20-82-160-113503033480.81.9
280280.4Houston BaptistSlnd0.43890.46302657-148-160-00-10-30-68-61-5306310286-5.6-0.4
144144.0Incarnate WordSlnd0.51320.461127013-915-90-00-20-31-113-34-226841440.00.0
226226.2LamarSlnd0.46990.474022411-1411-150-20-20-31-310-52-6224167231-4.8-0.6
276277.7McNeese St.Slnd0.44050.45732839-1510-150-10-20-31-49-52-514682761.70.4
327324.2New OrleansSlnd0.40250.43933236-167-170-00-20-20-57-81-5231130328-3.8-0.5
324323.5Nicholls St.Slnd0.40390.45602845-186-190-10-10-40-56-80-7311553167.51.1
168167.4Northwestern St.Slnd0.50250.473222713-1014-110-20-20-32-212-21-62033178-10.6-1.0
9089.1Sam Houston St.Slnd0.54320.464626119-620-70-00-41-22-017-15-49499102-12.9-1.9
314314.6Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.41190.43803268-209-210-20-10-21-38-122-103102073140.60.1
4746.6Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.57840.483919522-424-40-20-13-05-016-17-36213657-10.4-1.3
214215.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.47690.442431614-1216-120-11-11-12-212-73-73243432141.70.2
238237.2DenverSum0.46380.492517212-1712-170-10-11-32-59-66-717898240-2.8-1.0
210210.1IPFWSum0.48080.469024413-1313-130-00-01-42-410-54-6241258211-0.9-0.4
255255.7IUPUISum0.45570.490217510-2010-200-00-10-51-89-64-10236147258-2.3-0.8
303302.9Nebraska OmahaSum0.42290.432233510-1711-170-00-00-31-510-96-62943503020.90.2
123122.5North Dakota St.Sum0.52240.455229018-918-90-00-21-22-215-36-5209312125-2.5-1.0
158159.1Oral RobertsSum0.50630.482520315-1315-130-11-00-33-311-65-7176177160-0.9-0.3
216216.1South DakotaSum0.47680.465725414-1514-150-00-11-33-310-75-8248280217-0.9-0.4
8787.2South Dakota St.Sum0.54520.478421319-919-90-20-10-04-215-47-510317989-1.8-0.8
329328.7Western IllinoisSum0.39840.47062386-196-190-00-00-40-66-93-6293266329-0.3-0.2
331329.0Alabama A&MSWAC0.39700.41473487-188-190-00-10-20-58-110-9331139331-2.0-0.5
264263.5Alabama St.SWAC0.45120.386635114-915-100-20-00-00-315-52-5283265267-3.5-0.4
348348.0Alcorn St.SWAC0.34950.41823444-224-240-00-20-30-44-160-10332143349-1.0-1.4
306307.2Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41880.422434011-2012-200-00-10-41-411-113-11252175310-2.8-0.6
351350.9Grambling St.SWAC0.31380.41663460-240-260-00-10-20-40-180-831889351-0.1-0.3
313314.0Jackson St.SWAC0.41210.416834510-1911-200-00-00-20-911-92-11299201322-8.0-1.3
342342.3Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37300.42113436-246-250-10-10-10-76-151-12313183343-0.7-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
257257.5Prairie View A&MSWAC0.45410.431933612-1614-160-10-10-31-412-71-11274782534.50.4
259258.2SouthernSWAC0.45380.444431012-1513-160-20-00-30-612-40-1128216271-12.8-1.0
141139.5Texas SouthernSWAC0.51490.454929117-1219-120-31-11-20-417-23-10122101381.50.1
298296.9Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.42780.443331410-1711-170-00-10-21-510-103-11301236300-3.1-0.4
332332.3Chicago St.WAC0.39160.46532565-225-230-00-10-50-65-111-133151223320.30.2
278279.4Grand CanyonWAC0.43960.435933014-1415-140-10-20-21-414-57-8263248282-2.6-0.4
115116.4New Mexico St.WAC0.52590.481320717-1018-100-20-11-32-315-16-9174431142.40.6
290289.0SeattleWAC0.43340.432833412-1312-140-00-01-32-39-85-7270246296-7.0-0.7
334334.0Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.38750.43333336-196-200-10-00-20-26-153-102862503340.00.0
281281.6UMKCWAC0.43830.440432011-1712-170-10-00-21-410-103-12303261283-1.4-0.2
307306.6Utah ValleyWAC0.41880.45103058-188-190-20-00-20-58-104-92271723051.60.3
3636.6BYUWCC0.58540.54457421-821-81-20-13-29-38-08-3301737-0.4-0.2
88.0GonzagaWCC0.64020.54377628-228-21-13-14-013-07-011-14148-0.0-0.0
246246.5Loyola MarymountWCC0.45940.5370877-227-220-30-30-44-83-43-8244822460.50.2
232230.3PacificWCC0.46740.51201229-189-180-20-30-33-86-25-4187263232-1.7-0.6
146147.3PepperdineWCC0.51200.493616516-1216-120-22-11-33-410-26-4234339149-1.7-0.6
153153.2PortlandWCC0.50920.514711614-1414-140-20-21-44-49-27-3109208155-1.8-0.8
5959.6Saint Mary'sWCC0.56810.52839620-820-80-21-31-011-27-17-3879160-0.4-0.2
143144.6San DiegoWCC0.51320.524110714-1514-150-21-41-35-37-36-5135148147-2.4-0.7
194194.8San FranciscoWCC0.48900.524410612-1712-170-20-20-35-87-25-6221166195-0.2-0.1
204204.5Santa ClaraWCC0.48430.521510911-1711-170-20-31-35-85-14-6235199207-2.5-1.1

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com