live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.


Through games of Dec 18, 2014.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2532.7DavidsonA100.59260.52571007-122-61-21-14-26-19-08-23211877-44.3-2.9
6972.7DaytonA100.55670.50981287-221-90-11-24-36-210-19-3581413240.71.5
256255.0DuquesneA100.45480.51401192-59-190-10-21-62-66-44-6306317304-49.0-1.5
266260.3FordhamA100.45190.52381012-58-200-10-31-63-54-44-627319518278.32.4
221222.5George MasonA100.47200.5545512-68-210-40-41-62-54-22-923617237-14.5-0.4
7881.1George WashingtonA100.55080.50641416-319-101-31-23-25-210-18-31062874041.11.4
122124.4La SalleA100.52400.5366815-515-160-31-22-54-39-27-612352150-25.6-0.8
8187.1MassachusettsA100.54710.5434706-417-140-11-33-67-37-17-669154641.11.3
5765.0Rhode IslandA100.56240.50581445-320-81-11-13-37-29-17-31051923530.01.2
8387.3RichmondA100.54660.5431725-418-130-21-33-46-38-18-588657314.30.4
186189.6Saint Joseph'sA100.48860.51751085-412-180-30-22-54-47-46-615019112168.61.8
276269.4Saint LouisA100.44710.50071586-410-200-20-31-52-57-56-626331325811.40.4
101102.8St. BonaventureA100.53660.49631656-219-100-11-23-35-310-29-2115324111-8.2-0.3
2125.9VCUA100.60170.5654327-322-91-32-26-28-16-19-4122520.91.7
146153.8Boston CollegeACC0.50720.5584426-313-171-61-32-45-44-18-415817812825.80.8
157159.7ClemsonACC0.50390.5401786-314-161-51-22-34-45-28-4198276169-9.3-0.3
24.6DukeACC0.65600.57891510-027-44-23-16-18-05-013-031940.60.2
209207.5Florida St.ACC0.47980.5384795-512-190-50-21-44-66-17-624825219512.50.4
8689.6Georgia TechACC0.54530.5677297-215-151-51-23-36-44-18-463646722.60.8
57.1LouisvilleACC0.64570.5815109-026-55-32-05-09-05-012-1115861.10.2
1823.0Miami FLACC0.60620.5608419-123-82-42-14-18-17-012-1146629-6.0-0.6
1011.6North CarolinaACC0.63130.605727-322-94-63-14-17-15-09-416525-13.4-2.2
3340.3North Carolina St.ACC0.58420.5815119-220-112-62-24-28-24-010-3371651-10.7-0.6
6268.4Notre DameACC0.55990.516511110-122-92-41-13-26-210-011-2136346130-61.6-2.4
115115.7PittsburghACC0.52900.5471636-316-151-61-22-36-37-19-41222031132.70.1
6671.5SyracuseACC0.55780.5642366-318-132-61-22-27-36-09-494786110.50.4
77.3VirginiaACC0.64480.57232110-026-44-33-14-110-05-012-04398-0.7-0.2
214212.0Virginia TechACC0.47700.5317905-412-190-70-31-32-48-28-5269330262-50.0-1.6
152156.3Wake ForestACC0.50570.5642355-512-191-70-31-43-36-27-6204193183-26.7-0.9
223223.5AlbanyAE0.47140.45332983-614-150-00-00-24-710-55-8217240246-22.5-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
348342.6BinghamtonAE0.37260.46072740-103-260-00-10-21-113-110-13346239346-3.4-0.5
215212.5HartfordAE0.47680.46282715-514-140-00-10-25-69-46-6160146214-1.5-0.0
329324.1MaineAE0.40240.46862531-86-230-10-10-21-105-92-113211633231.10.1
154158.0New HampshireAE0.50530.44293234-317-100-00-00-16-612-36-5134272167-9.0-0.2
141147.2Stony BrookAE0.51120.48641913-616-130-00-21-35-510-35-814822179-31.8-0.8
182184.4UMass LowellAE0.49140.45313005-415-130-10-00-14-611-46-611821110381.42.2
342336.8UMBCAE0.38390.44793161-96-230-00-10-21-95-112-11343304337-0.2-0.0
168175.2VermontAE0.49610.46052754-516-120-00-10-25-511-35-7194167207-31.8-0.9
4149.1CincinnatiAmer0.57640.5432717-221-101-12-23-38-37-19-4503365-15.9-0.7
6471.3ConnecticutAmer0.55820.5575434-417-130-41-33-37-26-16-61031179-7.7-0.3
219216.3East CarolinaAmer0.47490.51581123-511-180-20-32-53-66-35-6247236252-35.7-0.9
206204.7HoustonAmer0.48090.49471675-214-150-10-31-43-49-38-320833819410.70.3
8085.7MemphisAmer0.54790.5455675-419-120-41-22-36-29-18-511030135-49.3-1.7
2735.6SMUAmer0.58990.5484607-321-80-12-25-37-27-08-3461881-45.4-2.6
164169.1South FloridaAmer0.49930.5260994-513-170-11-32-54-67-26-6191134180-10.9-0.3
105105.5TempleAmer0.53520.5351847-417-140-31-23-36-47-28-595775946.51.4
144152.3TulaneAmer0.50790.50801367-116-130-11-32-44-48-28-3145285157-4.7-0.1
95100.2TulsaAmer0.53860.5336886-416-130-31-22-37-36-27-41111078812.20.4
253253.3UCFAmer0.45580.51491155-410-180-10-31-44-64-46-425027023914.30.4
8790.8Florida Gulf CoastASun0.54480.48012106-219-80-10-12-25-312-18-56157864.80.2
343336.7JacksonvilleASun0.38380.45372961-95-230-00-10-21-64-122-12340299341-4.3-0.4
310295.2Kennesaw St.ASun0.42960.45892814-710-190-10-20-32-78-75-1025625020590.23.5
241239.9LipscombASun0.46280.46102732-611-150-10-00-32-69-54-8245226247-7.1-0.2
155158.9North FloridaASun0.50510.45682864-516-120-10-21-22-412-46-815324714810.90.3
278269.6Northern KentuckyASun0.44650.48281992-69-180-20-10-32-77-63-102429821356.61.6
320314.4StetsonASun0.41310.45822841-97-200-00-10-31-86-72-11322273335-20.6-1.0
174179.5USC UpstateASun0.49410.43723306-417-100-00-11-23-313-48-5185325189-9.5-0.3
4348.8IllinoisB100.57580.5512578-320-112-41-24-27-26-010-36515155-6.2-0.3
7478.9IndianaB100.55220.5649338-218-131-62-33-35-17-010-399142144-65.1-2.3
4550.4IowaB100.57460.5713228-319-122-52-23-37-16-09-48210496-45.6-2.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4047.6MarylandB100.57700.55465010-121-101-42-24-28-16-011-236124443.60.2
135137.4MichiganB100.51630.5671305-412-171-61-43-35-33-16-516311710433.41.0
2227.0Michigan St.B100.60040.5571458-323-81-42-25-29-16-010-349131243.00.2
4652.8MinnesotaB100.57290.5544527-219-111-42-24-37-16-010-26222075-22.2-1.0
106106.9NebraskaB100.53440.5799146-312-161-42-42-54-34-07-3102121117-10.1-0.3
162163.9NorthwesternB100.50190.5529536-413-180-51-51-54-36-08-517624614617.90.6
910.6Ohio St.B100.63380.5635389-126-52-23-16-111-04-012-1179137-26.4-4.5
99101.0Penn St.B100.53740.54766210-117-140-51-32-46-27-011-2662843962.02.2
5360.3PurdueB100.56620.5519568-320-111-33-24-37-35-09-4119222120-59.7-2.4
156158.0RutgersB100.50450.5681276-411-200-40-42-65-53-17-6108549464.02.2
45.8WisconsinB100.64970.57292010-127-43-25-17-17-05-012-192014-8.2-2.6
810.6BaylorB120.63480.602639-122-84-44-25-15-04-011-182419-8.4-1.2
2836.2Iowa St.B120.58920.5807138-119-114-63-24-23-16-010-2441872610.20.6
67.5KansasB120.64530.630618-122-95-64-25-16-10-011-22116.51.2
133134.9Kansas St.B120.51770.585986-412-192-102-42-41-25-08-5161161160-25.1-0.8
1619.1OklahomaB120.61480.596357-220-105-63-14-15-14-010-2267527-7.9-0.7
2330.0Oklahoma St.B120.59730.587568-118-113-62-23-25-14-010-12715643-13.0-0.8
6872.5TCUB120.55710.53418610-021-103-72-22-14-110-013-09635078-5.5-0.2
35.2TexasB120.65500.597749-125-66-44-16-16-03-012-17429-3.8-1.0
8287.7Texas TechB120.54670.5627398-117-133-81-22-24-17-011-18032099-11.3-0.4
2025.6West VirginiaB120.60240.585979-121-104-62-24-26-15-011-23312834-8.4-0.6
1925.9ButlerBE0.60270.5618408-222-93-33-24-26-26-010-25216848-22.1-1.6
117115.6CreightonBE0.52870.5446698-316-152-52-32-44-37-110-3120275119-3.4-0.1
194196.0DePaulBE0.48490.5491596-410-191-51-52-52-45-06-52313091888.00.2
3947.6GeorgetownBE0.57760.585796-317-122-63-24-24-15-07-3543183-35.4-1.5
97100.2MarquetteBE0.53810.5766165-414-161-72-43-24-24-18-498566040.21.4
7780.8ProvidenceBE0.55130.5708238-317-142-63-34-24-24-19-47484746.80.2
3037.4Seton HallBE0.58770.5574449-120-102-42-24-26-16-010-2241731819.41.0
3543.2St. John'sBE0.58200.5748197-120-102-53-24-25-15-010-2455152-8.8-0.4
1417.0VillanovaBE0.61760.54816110-025-63-24-25-17-16-013-019215107.00.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1722.1XavierBE0.60900.5755178-222-92-33-27-37-13-010-3234347-24.9-2.1
5158.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.56660.47982136-322-60-10-11-14-216-26-42845571.50.1
228225.1IdahoBSky0.47050.45283043-513-140-00-10-23-310-84-525931219827.10.6
313299.2Idaho St.BSky0.42570.45123061-69-190-00-10-21-78-102-8327327322-22.8-0.8
160163.2MontanaBSky0.50260.48701872-614-130-10-20-22-211-53-61673614023.20.6
305290.7Montana St.BSky0.43250.48611922-78-210-10-10-32-56-102-9278892819.70.3
288272.7North DakotaBSky0.44420.47602242-69-190-10-10-21-68-82-82006718587.72.5
213212.3Northern ArizonaBSky0.47720.45662894-615-150-10-11-12-513-75-7205213230-17.7-0.4
171178.5Northern ColoradoBSky0.49480.45982782-515-120-00-10-22-313-44-5224159295-116.5-2.6
282270.4Portland St.BSky0.44570.44703174-411-150-00-10-22-59-84-420633722446.41.3
265258.9Sacramento St.BSky0.45200.45672883-411-160-10-10-11-410-94-523829524018.90.5
323317.4Southern UtahBSky0.40960.45013101-57-200-00-10-21-66-112-7315282318-0.6-0.0
246246.4Weber St.BSky0.45930.47562282-511-160-10-20-32-59-63-624310622818.40.5
226224.3CampbellBSth0.47080.47072422-612-160-10-10-13-79-53-7215149261-36.7-0.9
207205.9Charleston SouthernBSth0.48030.46802543-413-130-10-11-23-59-43-516810517233.90.8
134135.8Coastal CarolinaBSth0.51750.43483344-318-80-00-00-15-314-35-314233312411.80.4
163167.3Gardner WebbBSth0.50060.48801833-514-130-10-20-24-49-43-6155598780.32.0
149155.6High PointBSth0.50680.47122395-315-120-10-01-14-611-45-4601388471.61.8
327322.3LibertyBSth0.40340.42713422-69-180-00-00-12-78-102-7351349351-28.7-1.5
322317.4LongwoodBSth0.41010.45852832-88-210-00-10-22-96-102-931423730611.40.6
347340.7PresbyterianBSth0.37740.47832160-72-250-10-00-21-92-120-9326763346.71.0
193196.6RadfordBSth0.48500.45043084-416-120-00-10-24-512-45-515122512571.61.7
227224.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.47070.46772571-612-140-00-10-23-68-52-6293218287-62.9-1.4
254252.2WinthropBSth0.45570.43943262-512-140-00-00-13-69-62-63003212484.20.1
234230.2Cal PolyBW0.46780.48281983-410-160-10-11-33-56-64-619720219733.20.8
271264.4Cal St. FullertonBW0.44920.46722594-711-180-00-11-33-77-75-825330521648.41.4
308292.7Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.43160.49011762-88-220-20-10-41-57-94-10295170305-12.3-0.5
220219.5HawaiiBW0.47310.46272726-315-120-00-11-33-511-47-420330820613.50.3
8590.1Long Beach St.BW0.54530.5410764-615-151-40-31-44-29-24-107235634.11.1
159161.6UC DavisBW0.50350.45452946-116-110-00-01-23-313-58-312732912932.60.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
199201.9UC IrvineBW0.48270.47792193-513-140-10-11-33-59-54-7230243218-16.1-0.4
252250.7UC RiversideBW0.45680.46342693-412-160-10-11-32-410-75-7251322276-25.3-0.6
7378.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.55250.51341203-518-100-20-11-35-311-15-79710107-28.2-1.0
179183.9College of CharlestonCAA0.49170.50801355-514-170-20-31-54-68-25-8179113220-36.1-1.0
334332.9DelawareCAA0.39170.50031590-82-270-10-10-51-111-90-11344221339-6.1-0.6
231227.4DrexelCAA0.46930.51061272-610-180-10-21-55-84-23-72629419631.40.8
190192.4ElonCAA0.48720.48311973-514-150-10-11-35-78-35-621129118111.40.3
5965.7HofstraCAA0.56120.47322357-224-70-00-12-210-312-110-386315159-93.3-4.3
120122.0James MadisonCAA0.52530.50911327-319-120-20-12-38-58-29-4736310913.00.4
129133.0NortheasternCAA0.51890.48821826-318-130-00-12-47-59-28-512123410033.00.9
191195.0TowsonCAA0.48560.46612616-315-150-00-11-44-610-28-416434016332.00.8
118119.0UNC WilmingtonCAA0.52790.50721393-315-130-20-21-35-59-25-575885861.01.6
102104.3William & MaryCAA0.53640.51281224-315-120-11-22-35-58-14-58338137-32.7-0.9
7579.6CharlotteCUSA0.55180.51401186-420-110-21-32-26-210-28-567444237.61.5
147154.7FIUCUSA0.50720.48751844-515-140-10-12-24-59-55-612920613321.70.6
167175.4Florida AtlanticCUSA0.49630.47582273-314-130-00-21-34-510-45-416530114728.40.6
109111.8Louisiana TechCUSA0.53130.47092418-320-100-00-22-34-314-28-4126318225-113.2-3.6
216214.1MarshallCUSA0.47640.51281212-611-180-20-21-33-67-43-8277153245-30.9-0.8
204203.3Middle TennesseeCUSA0.48140.49091744-514-160-10-21-34-78-46-618219017726.30.7
242242.0North TexasCUSA0.46130.50611433-410-180-10-31-62-58-44-624015821725.00.6
4248.1Old DominionCUSA0.57600.49861628-124-61-01-14-27-211-111-1201001632.11.6
299284.0RiceCUSA0.43730.50101561-57-200-10-21-41-65-72-7325256349-65.0-2.1
301284.5Southern MissCUSA0.43680.50321523-47-200-00-20-52-55-73-6235133312-27.5-0.9
224224.5UABCUSA0.47100.51761073-711-190-20-21-44-67-43-923226299-74.5-2.0
5562.7UTEPCUSA0.56410.50871346-321-81-11-12-26-212-17-442124517.70.7
268263.1UTSACUSA0.45020.47362323-410-170-00-11-33-57-73-6290326308-44.9-1.3
145154.0Western KentuckyCUSA0.50780.51501145-414-140-10-22-34-67-35-51389913420.00.5
138144.9Cleveland St.Horz0.51240.50961313-614-150-30-11-34-49-35-815774156-11.1-0.3
151156.8DetroitHorz0.50630.50751384-514-150-10-22-45-58-35-815286161-4.2-0.1
3743.7Green BayHorz0.58060.50321516-221-61-11-03-26-210-19-218481231.71.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
316306.2Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42160.49961602-96-230-10-20-42-94-62-1131317125650.22.4
263259.0MilwaukeeHorz0.45220.49011773-610-180-20-21-34-65-64-8265223273-14.0-0.4
235233.6OaklandHorz0.46650.51691093-79-200-20-31-43-75-33-102094922310.60.3
98100.6ValparaisoHorz0.53790.47782208-219-90-00-11-27-411-29-376249919.60.3
110112.2Wright St.Horz0.53120.50361496-416-120-10-11-26-49-37-568838527.20.9
217214.7Youngstown St.Horz0.47580.48411955-612-160-00-21-42-69-46-619024419321.70.6
236233.3NJITind0.46610.46792554-710-150-10-10-22-58-610-15228277250-16.7-0.4
245246.3BrownIvy0.45960.50341504-610-190-00-21-43-75-66-9227186260-13.7-0.4
96100.8ColumbiaIvy0.53830.50631425-317-100-11-12-25-39-38-5109132151-50.2-1.4
177181.7CornellIvy0.49290.49201725-414-150-10-31-44-48-58-7180245212-30.3-0.8
181184.4DartmouthIvy0.49140.48711864-513-150-00-11-34-58-57-7202280222-37.6-0.9
4450.6HarvardIvy0.57470.51121246-119-70-11-02-18-39-19-335792129.61.3
279270.1PennIvy0.44640.48711853-59-190-10-21-42-66-55-9297293333-62.9-2.0
239236.6PrincetonIvy0.46440.50071573-811-180-00-21-54-66-55-10267210288-51.4-1.3
5260.2YaleIvy0.56640.50971308-319-100-01-22-27-39-210-5341093030.21.3
125126.9CanisiusMAAC0.52220.48681905-418-110-00-11-26-411-35-41248111016.90.5
248246.9FairfieldMAAC0.45920.48681894-512-180-10-10-32-79-73-724412621531.90.9
7679.7IonaMAAC0.55170.47832176-322-90-00-11-27-314-37-455157709.70.4
304286.9ManhattanMAAC0.43440.45662902-711-180-00-00-32-88-72-7342344324-37.1-1.2
333328.9MaristMAAC0.39680.47122381-96-240-00-00-31-104-121-9336289336-7.1-0.6
166173.6MonmouthMAAC0.49680.46782564-518-130-10-11-14-413-65-6257286184-10.4-0.3
290274.7NiagaraMAAC0.44330.49391691-69-200-10-20-32-77-72-72916219975.72.3
230225.4QuinnipiacMAAC0.47010.47402304-514-150-00-01-24-68-65-4192200264-38.6-1.0
185188.2RiderMAAC0.48960.47062446-616-150-20-10-24-412-66-517825517018.20.5
225224.5Saint Peter'sMAAC0.47090.46472664-715-160-00-10-24-710-75-6212303289-64.5-1.8
196197.4SienaMAAC0.48470.47062453-515-140-00-01-24-510-64-5223262234-36.6-0.9
142148.1AkronMAC0.51040.50121556-417-130-11-12-35-59-28-41872901417.10.2
233228.5Ball St.MAC0.46830.50971292-510-180-10-11-53-66-44-6304297309-80.5-1.9
9192.5Bowling GreenMAC0.54320.48951796-219-90-00-12-27-410-28-29030695-2.5-0.1
3846.6BuffaloMAC0.57790.5261986-221-90-20-03-39-39-19-3301082026.61.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8992.9Central MichiganMAC0.54350.48461946-118-80-01-12-26-310-27-1131347162-69.1-2.0
114116.8Eastern MichiganMAC0.52920.48881805-217-100-10-12-35-310-27-21043118036.81.0
119118.1Kent St.MAC0.52780.50211545-218-110-10-12-35-410-28-313726510810.10.3
289274.9Miami OHMAC0.44360.51461163-79-210-10-21-62-96-44-8310207314-39.1-1.4
281269.3Northern IllinoisMAC0.44590.49761633-39-190-00-21-53-76-54-62843232654.30.1
197199.6OhioMAC0.48400.5346853-410-170-00-21-63-75-24-5229115249-49.4-1.2
103104.9ToledoMAC0.53600.50881336-418-130-20-12-36-510-27-6139231208-103.1-3.2
123125.5Western MichiganMAC0.52340.50511455-315-130-00-12-46-67-26-4144298152-26.5-0.7
338333.4Bethune CookmanMEAC0.38840.40323502-810-190-00-00-11-69-123-10339336340-6.6-0.5
340335.0Coppin St.MEAC0.38730.47122400-94-240-00-10-40-84-100-123031430728.02.6
250247.9Delaware St.MEAC0.45860.42863404-614-150-00-10-21-412-84-918322420443.91.2
350348.9Florida A&MMEAC0.34700.42363430-94-250-00-00-20-83-151-12348281350-1.1-0.3
247246.4HamptonMEAC0.45930.42893394-615-140-00-10-21-413-74-9264288285-38.6-1.0
291275.2HowardMEAC0.44280.42243443-712-160-10-00-11-511-83-9281300303-27.8-0.8
262259.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.45260.43623315-714-170-20-10-11-513-85-102192192536.10.2
315303.9Morgan St.MEAC0.42230.43263352-911-190-00-10-11-710-103-1130525929013.90.6
173178.5Norfolk St.MEAC0.49430.45313015-516-130-20-10-22-314-54-915970235-56.5-1.6
341335.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.38550.43813280-117-220-10-10-20-66-131-12338169342-6.3-0.6
143148.9North Carolina CentralMEAC0.51000.42223454-519-80-10-10-21-218-25-61301528959.92.1
325320.4Savannah St.MEAC0.40610.44373212-98-200-20-10-21-66-102-102869027050.42.6
317306.7South Carolina St.MEAC0.41930.44883142-88-200-10-10-20-78-91-113019528323.70.9
280270.6BradleyMVC0.44600.50471463-69-200-20-21-42-56-54-7320314282-11.4-0.4
298284.8DrakeMVC0.43760.5288952-86-230-30-30-51-74-52-9312147300-15.2-0.6
7173.9EvansvilleMVC0.55590.50801377-221-81-21-22-16-212-19-28422882-8.1-0.3
6570.2Illinois St.MVC0.55810.5327896-319-101-31-22-26-310-27-459474921.20.9
251249.9Indiana St.MVC0.45750.51251233-610-190-30-31-51-47-54-7287254275-25.1-0.8
111114.6Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52970.50441475-216-110-21-22-23-211-26-31332929222.60.7
189190.9Missouri St.MVC0.48780.52091023-511-170-30-21-42-48-44-621618017317.90.4
2935.8Northern IowaMVC0.58820.51971049-123-71-21-14-27-111-110-2211252312.80.8
205203.5Southern IllinoisMVC0.48140.47702216-415-150-20-21-42-311-47-5249348284-80.5-2.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
1517.4Wichita St.MVC0.61650.5306917-123-41-12-15-16-19-08-1632314.41.8
107109.1Air ForceMWC0.53320.50371484-317-100-11-22-34-39-16-3154283176-66.9-1.8
5662.9Boise St.MWC0.56410.51411176-219-90-21-22-26-29-18-2381623131.91.2
2432.3Colorado St.MWC0.59350.5266979-023-70-12-15-27-29-111-15411517.31.1
259258.3Fresno St.MWC0.45310.50691403-79-200-20-31-52-65-43-8299271279-20.7-0.6
297283.3NevadaMWC0.43820.51111251-87-210-20-31-42-64-52-8335232316-32.7-1.2
108109.7New MexicoMWC0.53270.51901067-318-120-11-23-35-49-28-4146258168-58.3-1.8
2635.0San Diego St.MWC0.59000.5423747-322-81-22-25-26-18-19-331292213.00.8
330327.7San Jose St.MWC0.39960.51101260-92-260-10-30-51-91-80-103492483270.70.1
131134.4UNLVMWC0.51790.5338876-215-150-41-32-44-38-17-585237163.41.9
170176.2Utah St.MWC0.49530.49271715-415-140-11-22-43-59-36-516626113244.21.2
6772.2WyomingMWC0.55710.49501667-221-81-11-22-26-211-19-264253118-45.8-1.7
198199.6BryantNEC0.48390.48122062-514-150-00-10-24-69-63-81774618613.60.3
319309.7Central ConnecticutNEC0.41720.45692852-710-210-00-10-22-78-123-10311264315-5.3-0.2
261257.1Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.45280.46022762-512-160-00-10-22-69-73-7226194127130.13.2
237235.2LIU BrooklynNEC0.46540.46872513-613-160-00-10-23-710-63-8234139263-27.8-0.7
264258.5Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.45220.46912503-511-180-10-10-22-59-84-717012998160.54.4
286272.3Robert MorrisNEC0.44530.46372683-712-180-10-10-22-610-84-825518523141.31.3
148154.5Sacred HeartNEC0.50710.47592264-418-120-10-00-15-512-56-61167111638.51.0
277268.3St. Francis NYNEC0.44650.45862822-712-180-00-10-12-89-83-9302241320-51.7-1.5
136141.5St. Francis PANEC0.51460.45672874-417-110-10-10-13-315-45-5112197145-3.5-0.1
292274.1WagnerNEC0.44230.47822181-69-190-00-10-32-67-82-827260296-21.9-0.6
314300.3Austin PeayOVC0.42500.46292702-79-190-00-10-22-87-93-9316268326-25.7-0.9
124125.7BelmontOVC0.52340.48002116-418-100-10-10-26-412-37-5928710124.70.8
275266.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44770.46472653-611-160-00-00-12-98-63-827122923828.00.7
165173.8Eastern KentuckyOVC0.49700.46742583-415-120-20-10-22-512-35-61621811649.80.3
269264.1Jacksonville St.OVC0.44940.46482645-411-180-10-00-23-88-76-71732302559.10.2
211209.5Morehead St.OVC0.47870.47312362-913-160-10-10-23-610-44-9252188254-44.5-1.2
158160.4Murray St.OVC0.50380.46542635-417-110-10-01-14-412-47-514717710654.41.5
337332.6SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.38970.45133050-76-190-00-00-11-85-101-8350332338-5.4-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
243245.0Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.46000.45332994-513-140-00-10-23-610-54-7276294317-72.0-1.8
140144.5Tennessee MartinOVC0.51210.43833275-318-90-10-10-23-315-37-41353311368.50.3
331326.5Tennessee St.OVC0.39900.47632230-85-240-10-00-21-94-121-12332208345-18.5-1.2
200202.0Tennessee TechOVC0.48250.46702604-414-140-00-00-15-79-55-716920419210.00.2
1316.5ArizonaP120.61950.55484811-025-62-22-15-29-16-012-113148115.50.6
9398.6Arizona St.P120.53960.5557476-417-141-41-33-56-35-08-5156184142-43.4-1.3
4956.7CaliforniaP120.56900.5454689-121-101-42-24-25-18-011-24814572-15.3-0.6
5866.2ColoradoP120.56230.5645346-316-121-41-33-36-24-07-3787397-30.8-1.1
100102.2OregonP120.53730.5418756-317-131-32-23-35-36-08-4141175131-28.8-0.9
127131.4Oregon St.P120.52000.51901057-216-131-31-32-45-37-18-31753341265.40.1
7074.0StanfordP120.55610.5547496-217-131-52-24-35-26-18-4791116311.00.4
6369.3UCLAP120.55970.5688258-318-131-61-24-36-26-08-58135114-44.7-1.7
187189.1USCP120.48850.5470646-411-190-31-32-64-64-17-519621413950.11.6
1213.1UtahP120.62700.5669317-223-62-23-15-17-16-09-2152728-14.9-2.1
3239.9WashingtonP120.58520.5459659-022-82-32-15-26-26-011-125172336.90.3
212210.3Washington St.P120.47810.5525544-69-210-40-41-72-55-25-7214199226-15.7-0.5
9296.6AmericanPat0.54060.48262006-420-100-00-11-37-511-27-570176102-5.4-0.2
139144.8ArmyPat0.51230.44963127-219-90-10-01-25-413-28-2149345171-26.2-0.8
202203.6Boston UniversityPat0.48170.50211533-612-160-10-11-34-77-43-719950221-17.4-0.4
257256.3BucknellPat0.45370.48252024-611-190-10-00-43-108-44-823321619165.31.9
184185.4ColgatePat0.49100.49921612-813-170-10-11-44-88-32-10258114302-116.6-3.0
153158.1Holy CrossPat0.50550.49001784-314-130-01-01-34-68-34-511711611246.11.1
8890.4LafayettePat0.54470.48002126-220-80-20-11-16-313-27-3571747614.40.5
178182.3LehighPat0.49260.49071753-513-150-10-01-35-78-44-617113616517.30.4
309294.1Loyola MDPat0.43100.48591933-68-210-10-11-43-94-63-826018921084.13.3
324321.1NavyPat0.40640.47972142-86-230-10-10-42-105-82-9329260331-9.9-0.7
267261.0Appalachian St.SB0.45120.48132053-510-190-00-10-43-77-73-622024221942.01.2
273265.4Arkansas Little RockSB0.44830.48361963-411-170-00-10-33-78-53-5288209313-47.6-1.3
222222.8Arkansas St.SB0.47180.47332342-413-150-00-11-34-69-63-5261316291-68.2-1.6
132136.0Georgia SouthernSB0.51770.47042464-216-100-00-11-15-310-44-211431912214.00.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6167.9Georgia St.SB0.56020.49131735-321-90-11-21-16-214-26-4471205017.90.7
172178.8Louisiana LafayetteSB0.49470.47672223-415-130-00-01-24-59-64-4213279271-92.2-2.1
210208.5Louisiana MonroeSB0.47910.48152032-412-150-00-11-23-68-63-4210233294-85.5-1.9
260256.5South AlabamaSB0.45310.48132040-611-180-10-10-23-77-72-7318266325-68.5-1.7
169177.0Texas St.SB0.49560.48691883-313-130-10-11-23-410-53-3107137202-25.0-0.5
294279.6TroySB0.43870.45602912-411-160-00-10-33-68-73-4341351344-64.4-1.8
137142.0UT ArlingtonSB0.51400.49291705-416-130-20-11-24-312-55-4779210537.01.0
208206.7ChattanoogaSC0.48000.46982494-515-140-20-11-22-212-75-620714018719.70.5
126130.3East Tennessee St.SC0.52060.47042475-217-100-10-11-14-213-56-34368209-78.7-2.3
306291.0FurmanSC0.43240.48102072-68-190-10-10-31-57-81-82985526625.00.8
244245.5MercerSC0.45970.47032483-512-170-10-30-31-411-63-82661542423.50.1
328323.7SamfordSC0.40320.43623324-89-210-00-10-31-58-115-7308342332-8.3-0.5
321315.9The CitadelSC0.41020.44813151-58-180-10-10-21-57-102-5319302343-27.1-1.2
296282.7UNC GreensboroSC0.43830.45952802-711-170-10-10-32-58-82-832326325923.70.8
283270.2VMISC0.44550.46022773-611-160-10-20-31-49-71-73171822691.20.0
249247.3Western CarolinaSC0.45890.46452672-812-170-00-20-42-510-73-82702122443.30.1
5461.4WoffordSC0.56460.48062097-222-70-11-12-14-216-27-422343823.41.2
7983.6AlabamaSEC0.54980.5638376-316-140-51-43-36-25-08-471824142.61.4
3442.2ArkansasSEC0.58230.5365827-222-91-22-25-27-28-111-2291351329.21.4
183184.8AuburnSEC0.49110.5511584-511-190-31-42-64-54-16-618811015430.80.9
3139.0FloridaSEC0.58550.5693246-420-111-52-26-27-15-08-58772115-76.0-4.3
4754.3GeorgiaSEC0.57110.5686265-318-121-42-34-37-24-08-45640540.30.0
11.6KentuckySEC0.67480.58121211-029-25-15-07-08-04-013-0142-0.4-0.3
6067.0LSUSEC0.56070.5428738-220-111-22-34-37-36-111-2401301750.02.0
9498.8MississippiSEC0.53920.5522557-316-150-22-44-45-36-19-493122908.80.3
218214.6Mississippi St.SEC0.47560.52061034-412-180-21-31-54-66-27-523930717539.61.1
175178.6MissouriSEC0.49410.5751184-59-210-61-52-53-34-25-71721314929.60.9
3643.8South CarolinaSEC0.58080.5680285-319-101-33-24-37-24-07-4918593-49.2-2.5
128131.3TennesseeSEC0.51970.5567464-414-161-41-42-55-35-17-5128936665.31.9
5058.1Texas A&MSEC0.56800.5458667-220-100-31-24-38-26-010-239103535.10.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8489.5VanderbiltSEC0.54540.5356836-218-120-32-34-36-36-19-3100198138-48.5-1.5
344336.9Abilene ChristianSlnd0.38300.45043071-55-220-00-10-40-55-122-733027832115.91.4
345339.1Central ArkansasSlnd0.37940.45013110-95-240-00-00-30-74-140-11347238348-8.9-1.0
270263.6Houston BaptistSlnd0.44940.45283031-410-140-00-00-31-58-61-52802962576.60.2
116116.4Incarnate WordSlnd0.52870.43793293-118-60-00-11-22-115-24-2411643680.42.6
287270.8LamarSlnd0.44530.47132371-69-170-10-10-41-48-72-62681832673.80.1
238234.6McNeese St.Slnd0.46530.45422951-312-130-10-11-32-310-52-5174668166.63.7
295279.9New OrleansSlnd0.43860.44493200-49-150-00-10-41-48-60-62832524336.91.0
339334.1Nicholls St.Slnd0.38730.45492930-65-200-10-00-30-54-100-732811928648.13.6
274265.8Northwestern St.Slnd0.44780.46862520-59-160-10-10-41-48-60-72749268-2.2-0.1
104104.2Sam Houston St.Slnd0.53560.45582924-420-70-00-11-32-117-15-489806440.21.6
240239.2Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.46310.45352971-813-170-20-10-21-412-82-10246962363.20.1
7275.0Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.55460.47352336-322-60-20-12-14-116-17-353101696.00.3
326322.2Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.40490.44363222-68-200-00-10-30-57-112-8337341328-5.8-0.3
188190.3DenverSum0.48830.47602255-516-130-10-10-24-612-37-6201201211-20.7-0.5
176179.6IPFWSum0.49410.45982794-315-110-00-10-23-511-35-5189310229-49.4-1.1
307291.5IUPUISum0.43200.48831812-88-220-10-10-32-95-83-11296160311-19.5-0.7
192196.9Nebraska OmahaSum0.48510.44603194-516-120-00-01-14-611-56-6225343277-80.1-1.9
161163.9North Dakota St.Sum0.50220.47402315-415-110-10-00-14-510-45-514019615310.90.2
201203.3Oral RobertsSum0.48210.48252014-513-150-10-01-15-87-55-71951652012.30.1
255254.7South DakotaSum0.45500.47062433-811-180-00-10-23-88-64-9282274272-17.3-0.5
150155.8South Dakota St.Sum0.50660.48092085-315-130-10-10-13-512-46-6125155158-2.2-0.1
311294.7Western IllinoisSum0.42880.47472293-58-170-00-00-22-95-63-6285227319-24.3-0.8
336330.9Alabama A&MSWAC0.39160.40953490-68-180-00-00-20-48-120-833314430129.91.9
232228.8Alabama St.SWAC0.46840.39883512-416-90-10-10-10-015-62-5221143233-4.2-0.1
335331.2Alcorn St.SWAC0.39160.42193460-88-190-10-10-10-37-130-9324693292.20.1
312297.0Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.42810.42743412-812-190-10-10-31-511-103-1024112320097.03.7
351349.5Grambling St.SWAC0.34360.43023370-72-240-00-20-30-32-150-8294725198.540.2
300284.8Jackson St.SWAC0.43680.41913472-914-170-00-10-21-613-83-10292179297-12.2-0.4
349347.1Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.35680.41113481-96-250-00-10-20-65-171-1233425729849.110.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
302285.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43580.43213360-911-180-10-10-30-311-90-1130753292-6.3-0.2
318308.3SouthernSWAC0.41820.43553330-810-190-10-10-20-410-100-113093729315.30.6
229226.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.47010.45293021-814-170-30-20-20-413-61-122228227-0.2-0.0
332327.9Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.39740.42973381-99-190-00-10-11-48-132-12345328347-19.1-1.3
346340.1Chicago St.WAC0.37750.46572620-103-250-00-10-40-63-130-1433115033010.11.1
303288.2Grand CanyonWAC0.43460.44943134-713-160-10-10-31-412-76-927520527414.20.5
112114.2New Mexico St.WAC0.52970.47952154-719-100-21-11-22-215-37-813228178-63.8-2.0
284270.8SeattleWAC0.44540.45033093-512-140-00-10-31-311-65-7254166310-39.2-1.2
272264.5Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.44890.44613183-511-160-10-00-21-410-94-921821723232.50.8
285270.3UMKCWAC0.44540.44253242-712-170-00-00-13-59-104-11279269280-9.7-0.3
293280.5Utah ValleyWAC0.43890.44143253-611-160-10-10-20-310-95-823725124139.51.2
4856.2BYUWCC0.56920.5402776-320-90-30-13-29-37-17-4512162-5.8-0.3
1111.7GonzagaWCC0.62920.5299939-127-31-12-05-110-19-011-1106174.71.1
258257.8Loyola MarymountWCC0.45340.5377802-66-210-30-21-53-83-32-728997278-20.2-0.6
203203.2PacificWCC0.48170.51521134-410-170-30-21-43-67-25-418426716637.21.0
130134.6PepperdineWCC0.51830.49471686-216-120-20-11-34-410-17-3143339190-55.4-1.5
180183.7PortlandWCC0.49160.49701646-314-140-20-11-44-69-27-318133514340.71.1
113115.0Saint Mary'sWCC0.52960.5289945-216-120-20-12-37-46-27-3101102123-8.0-0.2
9092.4San DiegoWCC0.54330.5303926-517-120-30-22-36-48-16-5113112155-62.6-2.1
121123.6San FranciscoWCC0.52460.5288965-516-130-20-21-46-48-25-6186127203-79.4-2.4
195197.4Santa ClaraWCC0.48470.51651104-411-170-30-21-44-76-25-519323517423.40.6

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com