live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

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Through games of Jan 16, 2017.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9394.2DavidsonA100.54290.5360839-716-130-32-32-35-38-17-476108105-10.8-0.4
2831.5DaytonA100.59600.54487212-422-70-12-26-27-17-08-35755283.50.4
222217.4DuquesneA100.47360.51001379-913-180-21-31-43-78-27-622524420413.40.5
245246.0FordhamA100.45700.51741196-1110-200-10-31-54-84-35-7266233253-7.0-0.3
132135.7George MasonA100.51830.509013811-617-130-11-32-36-48-29-3134282148-12.3-0.5
158154.8George WashingtonA100.50770.5315909-915-160-21-43-55-57-18-514114514014.80.5
6673.6La SalleA100.55680.53848110-518-110-21-24-46-47-17-479376013.60.5
104105.3MassachusettsA100.53570.524210011-718-130-01-22-57-48-110-3842088916.30.6
3439.7Rhode IslandA100.58580.55775511-620-101-21-34-48-26-08-4402948-8.3-0.6
115113.6RichmondA100.53070.520511211-618-120-11-42-36-38-16-62142261112.60.1
117116.5Saint Joseph'sA100.52940.5454708-814-160-21-43-55-46-16-696589719.50.7
270273.1Saint LouisA100.44100.52231085-128-230-10-40-72-85-35-829524524429.11.6
9494.6St. BonaventureA100.54230.523110311-619-110-21-32-27-39-18-4126165100-5.4-0.2
3036.3VCUA100.58970.54367314-423-80-22-14-310-26-010-34778342.30.2
198196.2Boston CollegeACC0.48540.5589519-911-200-61-43-54-43-27-624024718115.20.7
3944.2ClemsonACC0.58070.57942711-618-122-63-25-24-24-010-23295422.20.1
1514.9DukeACC0.62940.59091214-423-84-54-15-16-04-012-195915-0.1-0.0
1615.1Florida St.ACC0.62880.57952616-224-75-33-15-15-15-012-127130105.10.7
121122.6Georgia TechACC0.52560.56074811-614-162-52-32-53-26-08-41652519131.61.3
77.3LouisvilleACC0.64880.6091115-324-74-54-15-18-03-012-12670.30.1
5054.7Miami FLACC0.57100.56174612-419-112-71-24-25-16-010-29527873-18.3-0.9
46.7North CarolinaACC0.65060.5953716-325-65-34-17-13-15-011-2103311-4.3-0.9
9192.8North Carolina St.ACC0.54350.57522912-616-151-71-33-37-24-011-2301035240.81.7
2121.5Notre DameACC0.61430.56783616-224-73-53-14-17-06-011-255174201.50.2
4953.1PittsburghACC0.57210.6012312-616-152-72-24-27-22-111-218313716.11.0
103102.5SyracuseACC0.53760.56214511-816-152-62-24-24-35-08-5184183136-33.5-1.2
1112.6VirginiaACC0.63470.5969613-323-74-53-16-15-04-010-2204618-5.4-0.9
6471.8Virginia TechACC0.55760.54686913-419-112-52-24-24-17-011-1753135714.80.7
4450.5Wake ForestACC0.57450.58831310-716-141-81-34-27-14-09-322283020.51.2
143145.1AlbanyAE0.51310.48282069-917-130-10-21-14-612-38-6132196161-15.9-0.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
280278.3BinghamtonAE0.43750.45282956-1011-170-00-20-22-89-66-6246346296-17.7-0.7
323313.7HartfordAE0.41280.45342936-139-220-00-10-22-97-105-10319345314-0.3-0.0
318310.9MaineAE0.41550.47832214-157-230-10-20-32-95-93-1130427929812.90.8
150149.3New HampshireAE0.51100.47802238-715-120-10-11-14-410-46-5135230163-13.7-0.5
173174.3Stony BrookAE0.49720.48431999-816-130-00-22-14-610-55-82322131677.30.3
247248.1UMass LowellAE0.45600.46982488-1112-180-00-20-23-78-75-9281307280-31.9-1.3
168169.9UMBCAE0.49960.460927410-616-110-00-10-23-513-37-4158322183-13.1-0.5
4549.4VermontAE0.57450.500515314-523-70-10-11-210-212-09-5626862-12.6-1.0
1715.2CincinnatiAmer0.62810.54986715-227-41-23-16-18-08-011-2192616-0.8-0.1
128132.5ConnecticutAmer0.52040.5573576-1013-160-31-33-64-35-24-719763157-24.5-0.9
238235.8East CarolinaAmer0.46310.49701609-1013-180-30-41-52-410-28-520831722411.80.5
4246.9HoustonAmer0.57750.53598413-521-91-22-13-27-39-09-36813461-14.1-0.9
10099.1MemphisAmer0.53950.514612613-520-111-21-32-45-211-010-3105222118-18.9-0.8
2730.7SMUAmer0.59750.53998015-424-71-22-25-37-18-010-3398133-2.3-0.2
289284.3South FloridaAmer0.43380.49721596-109-200-30-20-42-76-46-5277334287-2.7-0.1
9998.6TempleAmer0.53960.55056410-916-152-31-22-34-58-19-438197226.61.2
282281.3TulaneAmer0.43610.51791184-136-240-40-30-41-85-53-933030626813.30.8
116114.9TulsaAmer0.53040.5432749-715-150-21-42-43-29-26-6155831086.90.3
7576.9UCFAmer0.55410.520611113-420-100-31-13-25-410-19-311023679-2.1-0.1
7676.2Florida Gulf CoastASun0.55390.483820111-520-70-20-11-13-115-28-56362715.20.3
257255.9JacksonvilleASun0.45120.40623449-714-130-00-00-21-213-98-5237351277-21.1-0.8
297292.9Kennesaw St.ASun0.42790.44813035-1210-180-00-10-41-58-94-10299320308-15.1-0.6
218215.8LipscombASun0.47450.46432667-1013-150-10-00-41-313-65-9228235255-39.2-1.4
227224.5NJITASun0.46940.46042777-1013-150-10-10-21-411-76-8194250231-6.5-0.2
267266.6North FloridaASun0.44430.48451983-138-190-10-10-31-67-71-1231813825214.60.6
336327.4StetsonASun0.39770.43793144-128-200-00-00-30-47-135-93153423234.40.3
237231.3USC UpstateASun0.46610.45073008-813-140-00-00-41-312-66-720229620724.30.9
6975.6IllinoisB100.55560.57792811-616-141-42-44-45-24-09-351404431.61.3
4146.3IndianaB100.57930.57083412-620-113-52-34-23-17-010-36612588-41.7-2.4
120120.3IowaB100.52700.55336111-816-151-42-43-43-27-08-51801921200.30.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3337.9MarylandB100.58790.55605915-222-81-23-26-38-14-011-1331472215.91.2
6269.0MichiganB100.56000.56533912-618-131-43-44-35-15-010-36011478-9.0-0.4
4045.3Michigan St.B100.57980.59101112-718-132-63-25-44-14-08-570163510.30.6
2426.0MinnesotaB100.60580.58531815-422-91-34-37-37-12-012-16231412.01.3
8084.6NebraskaB100.54870.598158-813-161-53-53-54-22-15-610624638.61.6
3743.2NorthwesternB100.58170.55406015-421-101-43-35-27-06-011-241172412.20.1
6572.0Ohio St.B100.55760.57123311-718-131-53-45-34-15-110-36711183-11.0-0.5
8890.3Penn St.B100.54490.57223211-716-151-52-42-47-33-08-5128856822.31.0
2223.5PurdueB100.61030.56404114-424-72-34-26-17-15-011-23511336-12.5-1.7
169170.4RutgersB100.49910.53119110-813-170-31-61-62-29-010-211234115020.40.8
2020.2WisconsinB100.61730.55156314-325-61-34-28-16-05-011-25222038-17.8-2.5
36.1BaylorB120.65400.6045215-124-64-35-16-16-13-012-01424.10.8
3844.2Iowa St.B120.58110.57333011-619-112-72-14-26-25-09-39116650-5.8-0.4
67.1KansasB120.64970.5942817-125-64-34-17-18-02-011-282043.10.6
6371.7Kansas St.B120.55790.55326213-418-131-61-32-28-16-011-2582765318.70.8
144145.5OklahomaB120.51300.5812227-911-191-82-42-41-35-16-6187124147-1.5-0.1
5256.6Oklahoma St.B120.56960.5857179-716-141-72-34-25-24-010-2296058-1.4-0.1
2935.9TCUB120.59120.57952513-320-101-52-24-29-13-011-117912411.90.8
142145.1TexasB120.51350.5874147-1011-201-61-63-53-33-06-718873164-18.9-0.7
6874.2Texas TechB120.55580.54067913-420-112-42-22-26-38-012-192327659.20.4
1414.7West VirginiaB120.62960.55755615-226-54-13-15-28-16-012-14324225-10.3-1.7
88.2ButlerBE0.64600.5916916-324-65-34-18-13-25-111-131235.21.0
1313.7CreightonBE0.63180.56164717-125-54-32-17-18-05-012-01216267.71.4
233228.0DePaulBE0.46740.5502658-119-220-70-31-51-66-17-62632912217.00.4
8688.6GeorgetownBE0.54630.58431910-915-162-71-32-45-15-09-4733994-5.4-0.2
5763.5MarquetteBE0.56360.55805312-618-122-61-24-34-17-09-312922976-12.5-0.6
7779.2ProvidenceBE0.55240.56633813-717-141-72-14-24-26-110-3611405128.21.3
5964.9Seton HallBE0.56280.56224412-617-132-72-12-34-17-010-2501853925.91.2
154151.9St. John'sBE0.50940.5601499-1112-191-70-42-51-27-26-72232341447.90.4
13.3VillanovaBE0.66280.58392018-128-36-23-08-16-05-013-052512.30.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2324.0XavierBE0.60940.58671513-521-102-62-16-26-14-010-31527213.00.3
186188.9Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48970.44733049-717-120-10-10-12-614-46-512715015434.91.1
275275.2IdahoBSky0.43940.43313215-912-150-00-00-11-810-63-62682842723.20.1
333325.3Idaho St.BSky0.39970.47072451-145-230-10-10-20-75-121-10311109336-10.7-0.6
172175.0MontanaBSky0.49720.453529210-919-120-10-10-23-616-35-82292231750.00.0
293289.3Montana St.BSky0.43030.45152985-1211-180-00-00-12-109-73-8312237333-43.7-1.8
236229.5North DakotaBSky0.46620.43173226-714-110-00-00-13-610-52-5217173235-5.5-0.2
344339.8Northern ArizonaBSky0.37880.43693163-146-240-00-00-11-106-132-10324285342-2.2-0.3
256254.5Northern ColoradoBSky0.45170.45122995-1011-160-20-00-11-710-62-7219672495.50.2
231227.3Portland St.BSky0.46780.42353317-614-120-00-00-03-511-64-41512932270.30.0
337328.8Sacramento St.BSky0.39670.43893123-117-200-00-00-10-87-101-83362383262.80.2
339335.3Southern UtahBSky0.38710.44103092-146-230-00-00-10-85-140-11349268337-1.7-0.2
147147.6Weber St.BSky0.51190.46212707-617-90-00-00-24-412-43-6233195165-17.4-0.6
262264.0CampbellBSth0.44630.44243077-812-150-00-10-31-411-74-5256324273-9.0-0.4
307304.3Charleston SouthernBSth0.41960.46082752-127-190-10-10-41-47-91-7310224309-4.7-0.2
202203.1Gardner WebbBSth0.48150.46312677-914-140-00-21-42-311-44-6182181210-6.9-0.3
265265.8High PointBSth0.44540.45892805-1011-160-00-10-42-48-73-6253221269-3.2-0.1
201200.9LibertyBSth0.48270.47722287-914-140-00-20-41-512-32-828688215-14.1-0.5
327321.1LongwoodBSth0.40520.45672874-117-200-10-00-30-56-101-834327530417.11.1
345342.6PresbyterianBSth0.37180.45522902-134-230-00-10-41-63-122-73172713393.60.7
214213.6RadfordBSth0.47590.48342046-1012-160-20-22-32-39-63-71783619518.60.6
8487.0UNC AshevilleBSth0.54690.477023011-620-90-10-11-26-214-26-56564861.00.0
9697.9WinthropBSth0.54020.468525111-420-70-10-12-13-215-26-34272104-6.1-0.3
320309.7Cal PolyBW0.41440.45053013-128-200-00-10-22-77-103-92621913063.70.2
321310.4Cal St. FullertonBW0.41390.42303326-911-160-00-00-02-710-84-73223303028.40.4
253251.8Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.45360.45222966-912-150-10-10-22-611-53-828716023813.80.5
317308.8HawaiiBW0.41570.43843136-912-160-10-10-21-312-85-7307257313-4.2-0.2
230227.7Long Beach St.BW0.46800.49041764-1411-190-40-10-31-49-73-111761521611.70.4
212212.4UC DavisBW0.47650.43793159-816-130-00-00-12-513-66-7191263213-0.6-0.0
141142.4UC IrvineBW0.51470.47682319-918-120-20-20-32-216-45-9142431348.40.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
324312.4UC RiversideBW0.41220.46132732-117-190-10-00-12-75-101-9308983120.40.0
295290.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.42910.48581912-127-200-20-20-11-66-81-102501127020.50.7
6773.1College of CharlestonCAA0.55630.505514214-421-90-21-22-27-311-18-4991375518.10.9
283281.7DelawareCAA0.43550.48971775-128-210-10-21-52-85-65-621329725427.71.3
242241.6DrexelCAA0.45990.48571926-1110-190-10-20-52-78-45-72213152329.60.4
170171.4ElonCAA0.49890.49471698-914-150-20-21-45-48-46-5170249179-7.6-0.3
188189.5HofstraCAA0.48870.50081518-1014-160-20-21-45-58-47-5138188193-3.5-0.1
246247.8James MadisonCAA0.45610.50671415-139-210-10-20-44-95-51-11327215271-23.2-1.0
7476.1NortheasternCAA0.55450.510513512-619-110-12-12-17-68-37-57210692-15.9-0.7
139140.6TowsonCAA0.51570.51281329-916-140-10-32-26-47-47-51049412317.60.6
2629.8UNC WilmingtonCAA0.59820.508413915-224-50-00-24-19-111-09-2269231-1.2-0.2
148148.4William & MaryCAA0.51150.51461256-812-140-30-21-35-37-34-514412311434.41.0
235229.6CharlotteCUSA0.46660.48342057-912-160-10-20-32-610-45-51952022236.60.2
335326.4FIUCUSA0.39960.46982472-146-230-10-20-31-75-102-9334265347-20.6-1.6
309304.8Florida AtlanticCUSA0.41940.47152443-117-200-00-21-31-65-92-7302240335-30.2-1.4
131135.8Louisiana TechCUSA0.51850.460527610-620-90-10-21-34-216-26-5186228196-60.2-2.4
9293.3MarshallCUSA0.54330.514912410-818-120-10-31-35-311-26-611952930.30.0
3539.8Middle TennesseeCUSA0.58460.504914314-325-50-01-13-19-211-19-328182316.81.6
306304.0North TexasCUSA0.42000.46962494-119-190-00-20-21-98-64-630629529212.00.5
134136.4Old DominionCUSA0.51820.487918511-719-110-10-21-26-512-27-5145149142-5.6-0.2
145146.5RiceCUSA0.51260.463026810-619-100-00-20-24-415-28-3122288168-21.5-0.9
340336.4Southern MissCUSA0.38600.46152723-125-230-10-10-20-85-101-9348310338-1.6-0.2
125128.5UABCUSA0.52230.485019510-719-110-20-21-25-413-26-61811641217.50.3
332326.3UTEPCUSA0.39980.46562623-137-220-00-20-41-76-91-10331186341-14.7-1.1
292288.2UTSACUSA0.43060.44213087-911-180-00-10-23-68-93-8321323297-8.8-0.3
221216.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.47390.47892189-1014-170-10-21-23-710-56-72343122142.30.1
224219.5Cleveland St.Horz0.47240.51421275-1310-190-20-11-43-86-53-82013420811.50.4
269268.5DetroitHorz0.44390.51131343-147-220-10-11-42-104-61-103006625711.50.4
146147.0Green BayHorz0.51230.48821829-715-130-10-11-25-510-44-619620712522.00.8
219216.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.47410.46942508-814-150-00-10-33-811-35-6273325237-20.5-0.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
263264.6MilwaukeeHorz0.44570.49971544-139-210-00-10-53-95-73-9239133278-13.4-0.5
152150.7Northern KentuckyHorz0.51030.478122210-717-120-10-11-23-413-47-4130260172-21.3-0.7
109111.2OaklandHorz0.53250.475724012-521-80-01-22-26-213-38-3137266137-25.8-1.1
5863.0ValparaisoHorz0.56330.495116714-423-70-21-02-18-313-19-35310566-3.0-0.2
159155.4Wright St.Horz0.50740.489617810-716-130-00-01-35-710-37-4941611532.40.1
278276.7Youngstown St.Horz0.43880.48342036-129-200-00-11-42-86-74-72412582679.70.4
266265.8BrownIvy0.44510.45782828-812-160-10-10-32-610-57-725231823629.81.1
232227.0ColumbiaIvy0.46770.46542646-712-140-00-10-42-69-45-7245303245-18.0-0.6
291287.3CornellIvy0.43160.48781863-127-210-00-21-41-85-73-11283197288-0.7-0.0
311307.0DartmouthIvy0.41810.47632373-116-210-00-10-32-74-93-10297270307-0.0-0.0
136138.6HarvardIvy0.51670.48262077-515-100-01-12-32-410-26-51461681380.60.0
195195.9PennIvy0.48580.48511946-813-140-10-11-43-49-47-61501671869.90.3
7982.2PrincetonIvy0.55030.49571659-617-90-00-21-34-212-16-61029090-7.8-0.4
108111.3YaleIvy0.53260.47702298-617-90-10-11-34-211-27-51202041101.30.0
107110.7CanisiusMAAC0.53260.492317412-720-110-10-11-28-511-37-4981591028.70.4
167168.1FairfieldMAAC0.50090.48162098-716-130-00-11-34-611-35-4163272171-2.9-0.1
105108.7IonaMAAC0.53390.500515210-819-120-11-12-17-49-47-45482119-10.3-0.4
234229.4ManhattanMAAC0.46660.49501687-1112-190-20-11-43-88-55-6171158230-0.6-0.0
261263.5MaristMAAC0.44670.49821566-139-220-10-20-32-107-53-823815524221.51.0
5560.1MonmouthMAAC0.56550.495816414-523-80-10-13-18-413-18-334112591.10.1
303299.2NiagaraMAAC0.42380.47192435-149-220-00-11-34-94-103-8323339324-24.8-1.2
239236.6QuinnipiacMAAC0.46270.49171757-1112-180-10-21-33-78-53-72722112333.60.1
181183.8RiderMAAC0.49200.458528111-717-140-00-01-33-612-57-4174347192-8.2-0.3
174175.2Saint Peter'sMAAC0.49700.48541938-815-150-10-11-25-69-54-6222259190-14.8-0.5
166164.5SienaMAAC0.50220.51291317-1114-170-10-12-55-78-33-821244184-19.5-0.6
5359.2AkronMAC0.56680.501514813-322-80-20-02-18-211-29-3441564910.20.5
211210.2Ball St.MAC0.47730.459627810-616-140-00-11-34-611-48-4231349243-32.8-1.1
251249.9Bowling GreenMAC0.45490.49631626-1011-190-10-10-33-108-45-7274269260-10.1-0.4
175176.2BuffaloMAC0.49620.51661215-1012-170-20-21-43-57-44-7177104178-1.8-0.1
177180.0Central MichiganMAC0.49420.47722279-616-130-00-11-46-69-38-313331614931.01.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8186.4Eastern MichiganMAC0.54830.52241067-616-110-00-22-26-47-24-5131119117-30.6-1.1
200196.8Kent St.MAC0.48450.47772258-816-140-00-11-35-79-37-5226337250-53.2-1.7
284281.5Miami OHMAC0.43530.48352026-910-190-00-10-43-97-55-6303332282-0.5-0.0
178181.2Northern IllinoisMAC0.49340.47922178-615-130-10-11-25-59-55-5248329201-19.8-0.6
8790.5OhioMAC0.54510.489118010-420-80-00-11-37-311-27-3117274141-50.5-1.8
135137.9ToledoMAC0.51770.51961148-815-150-00-31-36-68-36-612549139-1.1-0.0
206206.7Western MichiganMAC0.47990.52371015-1011-180-20-21-44-66-43-8278135228-21.3-0.6
348346.6Bethune CookmanMEAC0.35520.39143482-147-210-00-00-20-47-151-113442923460.60.2
338329.4Coppin St.MEAC0.39540.43133244-147-220-00-20-40-57-110-133258931514.41.1
329322.3Delaware St.MEAC0.40390.41853373-149-200-00-10-12-47-131-123161933184.30.3
349348.3Florida A&MMEAC0.34600.39323472-145-220-10-00-10-35-170-11350286349-0.7-0.3
315307.8HamptonMEAC0.41650.41343404-1110-160-00-00-21-410-91-10329169320-12.2-0.5
331324.6HowardMEAC0.40060.42863272-148-210-00-20-20-68-101-12313102330-5.4-0.3
312306.2Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.41800.42863282-1410-190-00-10-30-610-81-1229210029412.20.6
325316.1Morgan St.MEAC0.40960.39423466-1013-150-00-10-10-412-102-103372733160.10.0
319310.0Norfolk St.MEAC0.41460.42123333-1310-170-20-00-20-410-91-113201323037.00.3
350348.7North Carolina A&TMEAC0.34280.41023420-174-250-10-00-10-64-170-13346267350-1.3-0.6
194196.2North Carolina CentralMEAC0.48580.38453519-620-70-00-00-11-218-46-5139294198-1.8-0.1
334325.2Savannah St.MEAC0.39970.41743394-129-180-10-10-30-39-101-102981513223.20.2
305302.3South Carolina St.MEAC0.42050.45292942-127-180-10-30-31-26-81-10190525844.31.7
243241.0BradleyMVC0.45970.50391447-1110-200-10-40-33-77-54-826020620932.01.4
301298.4DrakeMVC0.42450.49791574-127-210-00-30-23-84-71-9347300327-28.6-1.4
197195.7EvansvilleMVC0.48560.51381298-913-160-21-41-13-68-47-410180202-6.3-0.2
3136.3Illinois St.MVC0.58910.515112313-423-60-01-12-111-39-17-46469279.30.9
209206.3Indiana St.MVC0.47960.51841176-1111-181-00-40-34-66-55-61477118818.30.7
127131.9Loyola ChicagoMVC0.52060.488018411-618-110-00-31-26-410-28-3118283132-0.1-0.0
171172.7Missouri St.MVC0.49820.478022411-717-130-00-30-25-412-38-41993261693.70.1
204205.7Northern IowaMVC0.48000.52261055-1110-180-20-30-24-75-34-6164542032.70.1
156153.5Southern IllinoisMVC0.50870.517012010-815-150-20-41-26-58-36-61487912726.51.0
4750.7Wichita St.MVC0.57290.492317314-425-50-11-21-111-112-09-312424684-33.3-2.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
225221.7Air ForceMWC0.47070.52271047-911-180-00-31-55-85-35-6244190225-3.3-0.1
5460.2Boise St.MWC0.56640.523410210-519-90-11-12-29-46-16-411316363-2.8-0.1
129133.2Colorado St.MWC0.52010.5261989-716-130-01-22-57-56-16-5175126162-28.8-1.0
130134.6Fresno St.MWC0.51890.51151339-715-130-11-12-34-57-26-41663091313.60.1
3236.6NevadaMWC0.58890.518611615-324-70-10-14-213-37-011-231154324.60.4
102101.0New MexicoMWC0.53840.54107810-816-140-21-43-36-47-17-511175112-11.0-0.4
7880.0San Diego St.MWC0.55180.52221099-718-110-11-12-29-56-17-4100141101-21.0-0.9
184187.5San Jose St.MWC0.49010.52151107-711-160-10-21-35-85-25-417923115136.51.3
193194.6UNLVMWC0.48650.51611229-914-170-30-21-35-67-27-620920317717.60.6
165163.5Utah St.MWC0.50330.5349867-912-160-10-31-56-64-25-5173115197-33.5-1.1
133137.0WyomingMWC0.51830.510313610-616-130-00-31-38-57-28-38319410631.00.9
287283.2BryantNEC0.43430.46232694-1411-190-20-10-12-49-122-1025453293-9.8-0.4
347346.8Central ConnecticutNEC0.35570.41813382-155-240-00-00-10-45-182-9341335348-1.2-0.4
241239.7Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.46050.44893026-1013-150-10-10-21-512-71-92941072390.70.0
229226.7LIU BrooklynNEC0.46870.419633511-718-120-10-01-02-315-86-6207314229-2.3-0.1
183185.6Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.49120.47672347-1215-160-20-20-31-314-52-112041717312.60.5
272273.9Robert MorrisNEC0.44050.45182976-1312-190-10-00-32-410-114-921011626112.90.5
298294.0Sacred HeartNEC0.42770.42593298-1113-180-10-00-01-512-115-82673012895.00.3
343339.4St. Francis NYNEC0.37910.43683173-156-240-10-00-20-56-161-11340256340-0.6-0.1
286282.0St. Francis PANEC0.43450.43153235-1112-160-00-00-20-411-92-8305254283-1.0-0.0
249248.7WagnerNEC0.45540.43393206-913-140-00-00-21-412-73-6205187279-30.3-1.1
285282.9Austin PeayOVC0.43460.47852204-138-200-00-20-22-76-92-1028212226220.90.9
8386.0BelmontOVC0.54780.476123811-419-70-10-20-15-214-16-49313187-1.0-0.0
259259.0Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44940.43063257-913-140-00-00-12-511-86-5216344281-22.0-0.8
260261.5Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44760.48721896-1210-190-10-11-32-77-75-81931282565.50.2
161158.9Jacksonville St.OVC0.50570.467825610-816-130-00-21-32-412-46-714025313523.90.9
223219.3Morehead St.OVC0.47270.49591635-1111-160-10-10-42-68-42-928077246-26.7-0.8
192193.9Murray St.OVC0.48680.45592888-916-120-01-11-13-410-64-8279255199-5.1-0.2
326317.3SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40960.45902794-137-210-00-10-32-65-114-8243252328-10.7-0.7
316308.3Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.41630.44043105-1310-190-00-10-21-79-93-10338338311-2.7-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
185188.2Tennessee MartinOVC0.48990.457528410-816-130-10-10-22-414-48-511421415236.21.3
114111.8Tennessee St.OVC0.53160.473624210-618-90-11-01-25-211-37-4781711092.80.1
304299.2Tennessee TechOVC0.42370.46582615-139-200-00-10-42-87-82-11335305334-34.8-1.6
1011.6ArizonaP120.63680.57263116-226-51-43-16-011-15-011-2132212-0.4-0.1
124127.3Arizona St.P120.52350.5648409-914-170-71-32-34-36-17-61578711314.30.6
4852.9CaliforniaP120.57230.55705813-520-101-51-13-38-16-09-3777454-1.1-0.1
118116.1ColoradoP120.52940.5332899-816-141-41-22-36-37-09-3901899620.10.8
1212.8OregonP120.63440.56873515-225-52-23-17-29-15-010-2254213-0.2-0.0
277276.4Oregon St.P120.43900.5500663-144-260-50-40-51-72-43-9332277290-13.6-0.8
8588.3StanfordP120.54670.5810239-814-150-71-32-36-25-07-43685632.31.3
1816.1UCLAP120.62610.53598518-128-33-22-05-09-08-013-02119917-0.9-0.2
3640.6USCP120.58410.54287516-323-82-51-13-110-27-013-0111572911.60.9
7175.2UtahP120.55490.52939410-518-101-51-12-26-28-07-313624182-6.8-0.3
140141.5WashingtonP120.51510.5583528-913-171-61-41-43-47-07-5149144176-34.5-1.2
180183.3Washington St.P120.49230.5577548-810-190-60-21-45-55-16-520017517013.30.6
300296.5AmericanPat0.42560.47572394-139-200-10-10-41-78-83-8296198310-13.5-0.6
226223.1ArmyPat0.47040.47502417-1013-160-10-10-43-510-55-6185178241-17.9-0.6
153151.6Boston UniversityPat0.50970.48052139-817-120-00-02-44-511-34-7224142155-3.4-0.1
9091.6BucknellPat0.54360.480621213-622-90-10-11-36-314-18-589120103-11.4-0.6
314307.9ColgatePat0.41740.46842523-157-230-10-00-41-75-111-11339287319-11.1-0.6
191193.2Holy CrossPat0.48700.47962169-1015-160-10-20-43-511-46-71561531876.20.2
322313.6LafayettePat0.41360.46752585-117-210-10-00-42-65-103-728526430112.60.9
8991.3LehighPat0.54450.48881819-719-90-10-12-25-412-25-5745195-3.7-0.2
189190.9Loyola MDPat0.48830.48471978-813-150-20-01-25-47-75-5877614347.91.6
240237.1NavyPat0.46230.47632367-1013-160-00-00-43-79-54-72571792343.10.1
258256.4Appalachian St.SB0.45040.49731584-109-180-10-11-52-65-63-6271290266-9.6-0.3
7074.8Arkansas St.SB0.55550.500915011-620-100-10-13-26-410-38-437936410.80.5
179182.7Coastal CarolinaSB0.49280.51911157-913-160-00-22-73-58-33-825597194-11.3-0.4
101100.4Georgia SouthernSB0.53910.499115510-617-120-10-12-45-410-25-61211278515.40.6
126131.6Georgia St.SB0.52100.50161478-716-120-11-11-34-69-25-512310110724.60.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
208206.9Little RockSB0.47960.46822559-715-140-10-11-34-410-67-4189328219-12.1-0.4
112112.4Louisiana LafayetteSB0.53180.494517010-618-110-10-22-35-312-28-381261145-32.6-1.2
273274.3Louisiana MonroeSB0.44020.49671614-128-210-00-21-52-75-64-7276298300-25.7-1.0
228224.6South AlabamaSB0.46920.49331727-912-170-00-21-43-68-45-62513022222.60.1
244241.9Texas St.SB0.45920.45562898-713-150-01-11-22-59-75-5290350264-22.1-0.7
199196.9TroySB0.48470.48182088-914-160-01-12-33-59-66-6235336212-15.1-0.5
5154.6UT ArlingtonSB0.57030.503714511-520-91-10-11-27-210-28-32357459.60.5
6065.4ChattanoogaSC0.56190.487318812-421-70-10-02-38-311-07-35614674-8.6-0.5
7374.8East Tennessee St.SC0.55470.480021512-422-70-10-21-18-313-08-380212115-40.2-2.2
151149.9FurmanSC0.51040.48501968-816-130-00-11-56-39-45-6168209166-16.1-0.6
182184.2MercerSC0.49190.50811406-1113-160-10-21-64-68-24-71694717410.20.4
138140.3SamfordSC0.51590.481021011-617-120-20-11-35-412-27-410721712911.30.5
290285.9The CitadelSC0.43290.47682326-119-190-00-20-51-97-44-624928924045.92.2
137140.0UNC GreensboroSC0.51600.480321411-518-100-10-13-24-410-26-416222712812.00.5
328322.8VMISC0.40410.49391712-124-230-10-10-41-93-71-8328182332-9.2-0.7
274274.8Western CarolinaSC0.44000.51421283-136-230-10-20-71-95-43-81593021856.82.8
210209.0WoffordSC0.47820.49571664-1111-170-00-21-45-76-32-8265152220-11.0-0.4
9799.0AlabamaSEC0.53980.54197610-617-130-41-34-36-26-07-51521107722.00.8
4348.0ArkansasSEC0.57730.54846813-421-100-42-15-29-25-011-21661408.00.5
106109.7AuburnSEC0.53320.53348811-617-140-31-33-48-35-110-3481438128.71.1
911.1FloridaSEC0.63860.59101014-324-71-54-18-17-14-010-314956.11.1
4652.0GeorgiaSEC0.57310.58042410-617-131-50-24-39-23-08-46935439.00.5
25.0KentuckySEC0.65570.58621615-227-44-33-08-09-04-011-2738-3.0-0.8
149148.7LSUSEC0.51100.5666379-712-180-31-43-74-44-08-4462412622.70.9
9596.5MississippiSEC0.54130.56384210-716-150-50-33-48-25-19-449214749.51.9
119119.3Mississippi St.SEC0.52790.52749612-417-131-21-23-65-27-09-31542801163.30.1
254252.8MissouriSEC0.45290.5349875-118-220-40-31-72-65-25-7291248275-22.2-1.0
2527.8South CarolinaSEC0.60270.56244313-322-81-23-17-37-14-09-34570261.80.2
7275.5TennesseeSEC0.55480.5835218-815-150-81-24-35-25-07-510313696.50.3
9898.8Texas A&MSEC0.53980.5593509-716-140-61-33-34-27-08-48645980.80.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
8285.3VanderbiltSEC0.54810.598948-914-171-61-44-55-23-06-78817510.30.4
294290.2Abilene ChristianSlnd0.42920.43923114-99-160-00-00-12-67-92-5289333331-40.8-1.5
276275.7Central ArkansasSlnd0.43920.47662354-1410-210-20-10-32-58-111-123098426510.70.4
203204.3Houston BaptistSlnd0.48080.48432004-911-140-00-20-23-48-61-621110226-21.7-0.6
302297.0Incarnate WordSlnd0.42390.46692603-108-170-00-00-11-86-81-629396305-8.0-0.3
252251.1LamarSlnd0.45360.42523307-713-140-00-00-12-511-84-5258348274-22.9-0.7
271272.6McNeese St.Slnd0.44100.47892193-108-180-10-10-21-67-81-72303824824.60.8
207207.1New OrleansSlnd0.47960.45732856-713-130-00-20-22-411-52-621811715948.11.5
255254.1Nicholls St.Slnd0.45180.46752595-910-170-10-10-22-58-93-61094816094.12.9
310303.1Northwestern St.Slnd0.41930.43563183-98-170-00-00-11-68-102-5261319325-21.9-0.8
162159.8Sam Houston St.Slnd0.50480.45752839-617-100-10-10-12-314-55-48511813326.80.8
220217.1Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.47390.42973269-816-130-00-00-11-515-75-6220331259-41.9-1.3
216214.9Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.47510.46512655-913-140-10-10-22-511-62-7269121276-61.1-1.8
213211.7Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.47650.44343066-714-120-10-10-11-313-74-4143243217-5.3-0.1
176177.5DenverSum0.49570.461627111-717-120-00-00-25-711-48-5172311185-7.5-0.3
111112.0Fort WayneSum0.53220.468325411-519-80-11-21-15-312-28-382262122-10.0-0.4
205205.6IUPUISum0.48000.48082116-1112-160-00-21-33-68-54-8206232211-5.4-0.2
160156.0Nebraska OmahaSum0.50720.48931799-914-140-00-20-34-610-26-611613612432.01.1
123125.8North Dakota St.Sum0.52380.487718710-616-110-10-11-15-510-36-51151299926.80.9
248248.4Oral RobertsSum0.45570.52231073-148-200-20-10-34-113-32-10227142471.40.0
157155.0South DakotaSum0.50800.477422611-817-120-10-10-26-510-47-61532251469.00.3
264265.3South Dakota St.Sum0.44560.48801836-1210-190-00-10-33-106-55-8215170284-18.7-0.7
308304.6Western IllinoisSum0.41950.46552634-117-180-10-10-12-74-91-8345340321-16.4-0.8
351350.4Alabama A&MSWAC0.32580.38833501-153-260-00-00-10-53-190-11351343351-0.6-0.5
341337.5Alabama St.SWAC0.38210.41023413-138-210-00-10-20-58-131-10326216344-6.5-0.7
313306.2Alcorn St.SWAC0.41770.41933363-1110-160-00-00-20-79-70-831450317-10.8-0.5
342338.2Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38010.41983343-147-230-00-00-20-87-120-12342176343-4.8-0.5
346343.3Grambling St.SWAC0.36810.39073494-128-200-10-00-10-38-142-8333321345-1.7-0.3
296292.1Jackson St.SWAC0.42860.40643435-1113-150-10-00-20-312-82-8284205295-2.9-0.1
330324.5Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.40100.44633052-167-240-20-30-20-47-130-1330132329-4.5-0.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
299294.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42620.43463193-1411-190-20-10-31-49-101-11259562868.90.4
268267.5SouthernSWAC0.44430.40503456-1014-140-10-00-20-514-62-8288219285-17.5-0.7
110110.9Texas SouthernSWAC0.53240.45482919-921-100-40-11-11-319-24-95977040.92.3
122125.0Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.52460.47672338-716-100-10-11-23-312-36-6160239158-33.0-1.1
288284.3Chicago St.WAC0.43400.50101493-155-230-20-20-31-74-92-1226413925133.31.6
163161.1Grand CanyonWAC0.50480.468425311-718-110-30-01-23-214-39-6198281180-18.9-0.7
6165.6New Mexico St.WAC0.56140.457128615-223-40-00-01-18-314-111-27130467-1.4-0.1
279276.4SeattleWAC0.43860.46772576-910-160-10-10-31-88-45-7275308299-22.6-0.8
217215.6UMKCWAC0.47450.50261467-1111-170-30-00-23-78-45-92039918926.61.1
281279.0UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.43700.47022466-129-190-00-10-31-88-75-9270299291-12.0-0.5
190190.9Utah ValleyWAC0.48830.48711906-912-140-10-11-22-68-55-7167184206-15.1-0.5
5662.7BYUWCC0.56380.52809513-621-101-30-12-211-28-19-410814880-17.3-1.0
56.4GonzagaWCC0.64980.54157717-028-13-02-04-010-08-012-04419-2.6-0.9
155152.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.50930.5293938-813-150-40-20-35-38-26-4161177156-3.3-0.1
215214.1PacificWCC0.47540.5297927-1110-200-50-10-34-85-35-72361802059.10.4
250249.4PepperdineWCC0.45520.5449714-136-230-40-10-43-93-43-824286263-13.6-0.6
196195.8PortlandWCC0.48580.51321308-812-160-40-10-24-68-36-5192218200-4.2-0.2
1919.5Saint Mary'sWCC0.61790.53648215-225-41-22-13-111-09-010-12465190.50.1
187189.3San DiegoWCC0.48910.5260998-912-170-50-21-32-69-26-5183200191-1.7-0.1
113111.9San FranciscoWCC0.53180.519911311-718-120-41-11-25-410-29-397210130-18.1-0.7
164161.0Santa ClaraWCC0.50430.5273979-914-160-50-11-34-68-25-7247201182-21.0-0.9

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com