live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.


How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

Tweet
Through games of Jan 21, 2018.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
7381.5DavidsonA100.55130.521410810-718-111-41-11-15-310-25-6163107106-24.5-1.1
109111.9DaytonA100.53270.5527619-1015-150-31-11-28-65-26-610469714.90.5
211212.1DuquesneA100.47730.463126214-618-130-10-11-24-712-29-4279349221-8.9-0.4
281280.1FordhamA100.43410.50531406-139-210-20-20-42-107-45-72762212737.10.4
229224.7George MasonA100.46930.50301459-1113-180-20-10-34-89-36-723519219133.71.5
203200.4George WashingtonA100.48450.52121109-1113-180-30-21-44-68-37-61577518416.40.6
184182.0La SalleA100.49520.52661018-1213-180-30-11-45-67-46-7155591793.00.1
200199.1MassachusettsA100.48540.505513910-1015-160-21-12-45-67-47-622022918118.10.7
1014.4Rhode IslandA100.62170.55206215-324-51-22-14-110-17-08-3123104.40.6
204201.6RichmondA100.48390.5417806-1310-200-20-11-55-84-42-1023621205-3.4-0.1
153150.4Saint Joseph'sA100.51230.50971319-915-150-21-12-35-57-35-7177127176-25.6-0.8
181176.5Saint LouisA100.49810.52451049-1014-160-10-32-35-66-36-61757115125.50.9
5049.7St. BonaventureA100.57680.53608712-621-91-22-13-26-49-110-21845490.70.0
130127.7VCUA100.52410.515311812-819-120-20-22-25-310-28-512554131-3.3-0.1
9099.6Boston CollegeACC0.54010.54757313-717-141-51-42-34-19-010-31303076534.61.3
914.0ClemsonACC0.62340.58741316-322-84-33-15-27-14-011-173968.01.0
23.1DukeACC0.65990.59141017-226-55-24-06-210-12-013-011112.10.9
3839.9Florida St.ACC0.58700.55106514-521-94-42-13-26-17-011-17130941-1.1-0.1
148145.8Georgia TechACC0.51460.56584110-913-181-71-32-44-35-17-62312121414.80.2
2023.4LouisvilleACC0.60740.58341915-422-92-62-14-19-14-010-33458158.40.7
2525.8Miami FLACC0.60370.56903514-421-91-42-24-28-15-011-116102196.80.6
45.5North CarolinaACC0.64720.6104116-423-85-44-17-16-12-011-26732.50.8
98104.0North Carolina St.ACC0.53740.55036813-717-143-51-32-34-37-010-31612928618.00.7
5557.8Notre DameACC0.56950.55935212-718-122-61-13-26-36-09-39221663-5.2-0.3
190187.4PittsburghACC0.49220.5802248-1210-210-80-42-52-45-18-516413416027.41.6
4544.3SyracuseACC0.58240.58821213-619-122-62-24-28-23-011-21420422.30.2
34.0VirginiaACC0.65450.58052318-126-44-33-15-010-04-011-18685-1.0-0.4
7482.6Virginia TechACC0.55030.55465713-618-132-71-32-16-17-011-2115324105-22.4-1.0
134133.8Wake ForestACC0.52080.5721338-1112-181-61-31-35-44-17-51681531285.80.2
118119.0AlbanyAE0.52860.459927715-621-90-10-11-15-214-411-368269152-33.0-1.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
284281.9BinghamtonAE0.43270.43943208-1112-170-00-10-22-59-107-6253343301-19.1-0.9
251253.5HartfordAE0.45120.451330110-1013-160-00-10-23-510-86-727733024310.50.5
334331.6MaineAE0.39280.46482572-174-250-10-10-20-84-131-123463143301.60.2
255260.1New HampshireAE0.44740.46802496-1211-170-10-20-32-59-72-10345297291-30.9-1.3
198196.4Stony BrookAE0.48710.49531687-1213-160-10-20-43-410-54-921093215-18.6-0.8
316308.7UMass LowellAE0.41380.45163006-129-190-00-10-21-68-105-73093343080.70.0
178174.2UMBCAE0.49900.468524310-816-120-10-21-31-313-46-617924816311.20.4
5255.0VermontAE0.57120.483719815-523-70-10-11-36-116-19-55513668-13.0-1.2
811.4CincinnatiAmer0.62820.54937117-227-41-34-17-16-08-011-24020825-13.6-2.5
97102.6ConnecticutAmer0.53780.57353110-915-160-71-43-34-27-07-6113279012.60.5
280279.7East CarolinaAmer0.43430.49681638-119-200-20-30-51-68-36-53343502772.70.2
4142.5HoustonAmer0.58460.53019315-422-82-22-14-25-110-110-27026650-7.5-0.6
116118.6MemphisAmer0.52900.52769813-718-130-41-24-35-39-19-41492069523.60.9
4242.6SMUAmer0.58400.55116414-622-93-33-23-34-210-010-36011854-11.4-0.9
298296.6South FloridaAmer0.42340.49551677-138-230-20-30-61-77-57-6300348302-5.4-0.4
5761.5TempleAmer0.56580.58401710-916-142-42-24-45-43-18-425184615.51.0
105107.7TulaneAmer0.53490.52849612-717-130-32-22-33-410-19-3862119116.70.7
131128.6TulsaAmer0.52360.526410211-916-140-30-23-44-48-17-517221911711.60.5
6768.3UCFAmer0.56080.55355913-618-121-41-34-35-28-09-3721125513.30.8
1518.0Wichita St.Amer0.61440.56684015-423-71-22-38-27-05-010-2278230-12.0-1.6
152149.6Florida Gulf CoastASun0.51260.458428011-819-90-20-21-03-115-46-8190129168-18.4-0.9
304301.6JacksonvilleASun0.41930.44353156-129-180-00-10-12-67-102-1132125428219.61.0
319313.7Kennesaw St.ASun0.40950.47072353-157-200-10-20-20-86-72-1128786314-0.3-0.0
133133.1LipscombASun0.52140.47552239-815-110-20-12-11-312-47-522238944.11.6
275275.0NJITASun0.43740.44993057-1112-150-20-10-11-511-75-8255179278-3.0-0.1
243241.9North FloridaASun0.45840.47972126-1310-180-20-20-22-68-63-112084821823.91.0
312305.8StetsonASun0.41640.42503366-1210-170-00-00-21-69-104-929032128718.81.0
341335.9USC UpstateASun0.38540.45332922-165-220-00-10-21-74-121-12329209337-1.1-0.1
164161.2IllinoisB100.50640.5507679-1013-170-31-31-35-75-09-384157169-7.8-0.3
113115.7IndianaB100.53060.55595411-815-151-61-32-17-55-07-51911721114.70.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
157156.8IowaB100.50880.54367710-1114-170-30-32-65-56-09-41312381506.80.3
4745.2MarylandB100.58200.56534214-620-101-41-33-210-15-010-23715648-2.8-0.2
3637.6MichiganB100.58960.54996916-521-91-42-13-28-26-010-265245370.60.0
1821.5Michigan St.B100.60920.53898417-326-52-21-14-112-17-012-12820428-6.5-0.8
8998.1MinnesotaB100.54050.53938314-818-130-41-32-28-46-011-2692347523.11.0
93100.5NebraskaB100.53950.52769914-719-120-41-12-38-48-09-41582706634.51.3
129127.8NorthwesternB100.52430.54158111-915-150-41-32-26-56-08-41562601252.80.1
1721.1Ohio St.B100.60980.56893617-424-71-32-25-112-14-09-47738147.10.8
110114.6Penn St.B100.53110.53658613-817-141-31-22-36-58-010-3133276135-20.4-0.8
76.5PurdueB100.64170.56314619-227-43-14-14-110-05-011-226889-2.5-0.8
192187.9RutgersB100.49160.53379011-914-161-51-31-34-48-19-32463391789.90.4
132128.8WisconsinB100.52360.56344510-1014-170-61-32-45-36-07-6193137130-1.2-0.0
5458.6BaylorB120.56950.58421611-717-132-83-33-23-16-09-35814082-23.4-1.1
103107.1Iowa St.B120.53550.57343211-714-162-62-42-43-15-19-31012268324.10.9
55.9KansasB120.64530.6078216-325-65-25-28-25-02-011-217167-1.1-0.3
6467.7Kansas St.B120.56160.55086614-519-122-62-33-25-17-011-21413265710.70.5
1922.7OklahomaB120.60900.58471414-420-104-44-25-33-15-011-1211151111.71.0
8594.5Oklahoma St.B120.54300.56175013-617-142-73-42-33-07-010-3132284886.50.3
2628.0TCUB120.60090.5932714-520-112-53-26-26-13-013-0342226.00.5
4946.2TexasB120.58050.5930812-718-133-63-33-35-14-010-35064433.20.2
2326.3Texas TechB120.60390.56823915-422-94-32-25-24-17-012-139224215.30.4
1215.9West VirginiaB120.61940.56893816-324-74-44-26-13-07-012-13822018-2.1-0.3
3537.4ButlerBE0.58970.58461514-720-113-52-44-27-05-010-33263298.40.6
2829.6CreightonBE0.59920.56194915-521-92-43-34-27-06-010-26423735-5.4-0.4
188187.0DePaulBE0.49240.5551568-1110-200-71-51-42-46-07-52393041861.00.0
144142.9GeorgetownBE0.51570.52899513-616-131-61-52-23-010-010-1182351153-10.1-0.4
5152.5MarquetteBE0.57440.57752613-618-121-73-23-26-15-09-388122475.50.4
4444.5ProvidenceBE0.58250.58381814-619-122-52-34-26-24-19-47678386.50.5
2425.9Seton HallBE0.60370.58252115-521-103-53-23-18-14-011-21970178.90.8
8795.3St. John'sBE0.54200.598639-1013-171-71-53-24-33-09-324257718.30.8
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.9VillanovaBE0.66790.58312018-128-34-16-16-09-04-013-02502-0.1-0.1
66.3XavierBE0.64410.5917918-325-63-34-26-18-13-012-153042.30.6
197191.9Eastern WashingtonBSky0.48960.48272037-1113-160-00-01-43-89-33-8203113192-0.1-0.0
149146.3IdahoBSky0.51430.456028811-619-90-10-00-16-513-36-4154283170-23.7-0.9
263263.4Idaho St.BSky0.44460.45252977-911-160-00-10-32-79-53-62863112567.40.3
9198.3MontanaBSky0.54000.461826912-520-80-00-00-37-413-15-5189263110-11.7-0.5
223220.8Montana St.BSky0.47200.46372609-914-150-00-00-32-811-45-620426520614.80.6
214215.3North DakotaBSky0.47560.51431215-1210-180-10-20-43-96-43-7146342132.30.1
325317.1Northern ArizonaBSky0.40750.48401972-164-250-10-10-31-94-102-92631893170.10.0
147145.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.51500.484719010-716-120-00-01-34-610-36-41182031378.40.3
122122.0Portland St.BSky0.52690.479621310-718-100-10-11-25-311-37-3792171157.00.3
279279.5Sacramento St.BSky0.43450.50491433-157-220-00-10-32-115-61-10307103295-15.5-0.7
264264.2Southern UtahBSky0.44410.48152076-109-180-10-10-23-96-54-516015824420.20.8
185184.8Weber St.BSky0.49400.46662519-715-120-00-00-45-410-34-5214171222-37.2-1.3
266266.4CampbellBSth0.44300.43133318-913-140-00-00-13-610-83-6332346283-16.6-0.7
311305.1Charleston SouthernBSth0.41640.44453144-128-180-00-10-22-66-92-6294323322-16.9-0.8
234228.2Gardner WebbBSth0.46750.47742197-1111-170-20-20-22-59-62-8230802253.20.1
227224.9High PointBSth0.46950.45322947-913-130-10-01-13-59-62-6288257248-23.1-0.9
236235.9LibertyBSth0.46250.44563129-915-130-00-10-14-611-56-4215287264-28.1-1.3
336334.5LongwoodBSth0.38940.46882403-155-230-00-10-11-104-120-103431783331.50.2
331326.5PresbyterianBSth0.39800.44593115-138-200-10-00-11-76-114-626429931511.50.9
145143.9RadfordBSth0.51550.465925411-817-120-20-01-13-513-45-612715112419.90.7
140142.1UNC AshevilleBSth0.51660.480820910-917-120-20-11-14-412-45-6111461384.10.1
166162.3WinthropBSth0.50610.46172708-815-110-10-01-13-412-43-5174149173-10.7-0.4
285282.9Cal PolyBW0.43240.48441934-138-200-00-11-33-124-53-925714126913.90.6
163160.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.50650.47692229-715-110-00-21-34-49-25-513613913228.30.9
338335.2Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.38700.45322933-145-230-00-00-31-104-101-11351336348-12.8-1.2
165161.9HawaiiBW0.50620.479121411-517-100-10-13-25-410-27-4162106162-0.1-0.0
196190.9Long Beach St.BW0.49010.49931548-1213-170-30-11-36-76-34-101886016525.91.0
102106.7UC DavisBW0.53560.486718510-717-110-10-00-28-69-17-553777135.71.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
180176.3UC IrvineBW0.49850.51831146-1412-180-10-30-54-68-23-1116715180-3.7-0.1
306301.7UC RiversideBW0.41870.47762183-147-210-00-10-43-113-63-9271196309-7.3-0.3
106107.7UC Santa BarbaraBW0.53490.462226712-519-90-10-11-18-410-29-356228989.70.4
104108.4College of CharlestonCAA0.53520.482020512-618-100-20-03-23-212-37-3123278122-13.6-0.5
228224.8DelawareCAA0.46940.48341999-1012-170-00-11-72-69-25-6250295228-3.2-0.2
272271.0DrexelCAA0.43990.49161766-149-210-01-02-63-84-75-72342352674.00.2
143143.4ElonCAA0.51590.506313510-915-140-10-03-55-37-56-5789813310.40.4
101105.8HofstraCAA0.53570.513612311-817-120-30-04-25-38-36-587538718.80.8
277278.3James MadisonCAA0.43560.49131775-158-220-10-11-72-66-73-9297258289-10.7-0.5
7279.5NortheasternCAA0.55230.518611312-718-110-10-13-46-49-16-56636781.50.1
8390.1TowsonCAA0.54540.493817112-719-100-00-03-36-410-28-342173107-16.9-0.7
260261.9UNC WilmingtonCAA0.44580.50731334-148-200-00-11-83-73-51-9320154271-9.1-0.4
8695.1William & MaryCAA0.54230.512712411-616-110-10-13-54-210-25-444417223.10.9
303301.7CharlotteCUSA0.41940.47842164-137-210-00-20-51-56-83-7322328310-8.3-0.5
290287.9FIUCUSA0.42900.46182686-1110-180-00-20-42-48-93-7327320288-0.1-0.0
239239.8Florida AtlanticCUSA0.45990.48401956-1010-170-10-20-52-38-63-621113222019.80.9
161159.7Louisiana TechCUSA0.50730.497616010-916-130-10-30-33-312-37-41221351563.70.1
94101.3MarshallCUSA0.53910.500215213-619-110-11-22-34-213-38-4121239965.30.2
3032.7Middle TennesseeCUSA0.59470.54257813-522-70-21-23-29-19-07-4204239.70.9
217217.4North TexasCUSA0.47390.47512248-1014-150-10-20-22-511-55-618416620017.40.7
7073.6Old DominionCUSA0.55620.482520415-423-70-01-22-26-215-19-38223684-10.4-0.6
328321.9RiceCUSA0.40280.48162062-165-240-10-20-30-85-101-10306162331-9.1-0.7
226223.2Southern MissCUSA0.47050.49771597-1010-170-10-30-31-59-43-622318219528.21.1
127126.6UABCUSA0.52480.488917811-719-100-21-31-24-313-17-4201305158-31.4-1.2
287283.4UTEPCUSA0.43190.48332006-1210-190-00-40-33-47-84-7267143320-36.6-1.7
247248.7UTSACUSA0.45430.46912397-1011-170-10-20-32-58-74-6232261274-25.3-1.1
4845.3Western KentuckyCUSA0.58120.54247913-621-91-21-13-26-210-17-5519441.30.1
329322.4Cleveland St.Horz0.40190.46292644-167-230-20-00-31-66-112-10313197334-11.6-0.7
299297.3DetroitHorz0.42270.48102084-158-210-00-10-61-66-82-9240472925.30.3
330325.1Green BayHorz0.39940.45133025-158-200-00-10-41-66-102-8328262338-12.9-0.9
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
256259.5Illinois ChicagoHorz0.44730.44713098-1113-160-10-10-31-712-53-8324293261-1.5-0.1
302300.2IUPUIHorz0.42010.46142735-138-190-10-10-31-57-91-8319177306-5.8-0.3
242242.2MilwaukeeHorz0.45860.45322969-1114-150-00-02-33-59-86-515920723012.20.6
8490.0Northern KentuckyHorz0.54490.472523012-620-80-00-12-23-316-15-510044102-12.0-0.7
136137.4OaklandHorz0.51890.468324513-820-110-20-11-34-215-38-580101145-7.6-0.3
108110.8Wright St.Horz0.53290.471123413-620-90-00-12-34-114-36-589657931.81.3
322314.7Youngstown St.Horz0.40900.46812474-157-220-00-10-40-106-80-11341168316-1.3-0.1
258260.6BrownIvy0.44660.44203167-712-140-10-10-12-610-66-622831923327.61.0
278278.6ColumbiaIvy0.43500.46932373-128-180-10-00-21-97-62-10302222286-7.4-0.3
282280.4CornellIvy0.43380.46512565-109-170-10-11-11-66-85-719421022654.42.1
327318.5DartmouthIvy0.40450.45123033-117-190-00-10-21-76-93-9314308341-22.5-1.2
183178.0HarvardIvy0.49710.49231756-1013-150-10-10-34-69-44-1019774183-5.0-0.2
174172.9PennIvy0.50030.457028411-618-110-10-00-25-413-39-6181249185-12.1-0.5
137140.5PrincetonIvy0.51740.48022119-817-110-11-20-14-412-37-7135108149-8.5-0.3
205202.5YaleIvy0.48320.46872427-1014-150-10-20-22-712-36-9187205204-1.5-0.1
128126.8CanisiusMAAC0.52450.473222613-820-110-00-12-16-411-46-71922311233.80.1
219218.1FairfieldMAAC0.47350.48841807-1113-160-10-10-43-69-55-614079219-0.9-0.0
8896.0IonaMAAC0.54160.494717012-819-110-10-11-36-412-26-6119125116-20.0-0.9
206204.8ManhattanMAAC0.48200.468024810-1015-150-10-11-43-511-45-7243251224-19.2-0.9
326317.4MaristMAAC0.40710.47782174-157-230-10-00-31-95-112-10310215325-7.6-0.5
176173.4MonmouthMAAC0.50000.52431055-1312-180-20-12-34-77-44-812812196-22.6-0.8
189187.0NiagaraMAAC0.49240.477422012-916-150-01-11-43-613-37-61521831825.00.2
307303.0QuinnipiacMAAC0.41860.45222987-1310-200-00-00-32-67-103-9335337319-16.0-0.9
100105.4RiderMAAC0.53610.486618613-720-100-10-11-26-413-27-5911149411.40.4
240240.5Saint Peter'sMAAC0.45980.45362918-1113-160-10-00-32-711-56-5207331252-11.5-0.5
267267.4SienaMAAC0.44210.49821586-159-220-10-11-53-85-74-919843272-4.6-0.2
212213.5AkronMAC0.47620.50101508-913-160-10-21-45-88-16-5248296241-27.5-0.9
111115.8Ball St.MAC0.53080.506113611-718-120-10-12-38-58-28-4831981123.80.1
191187.8Bowling GreenMAC0.49170.487418310-714-150-00-10-35-79-37-4173301188-0.2-0.0
3133.5BuffaloMAC0.59390.53898513-522-80-20-22-213-28-07-5338276.50.6
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
151146.9Central MichiganMAC0.51370.487518210-616-120-00-10-26-510-38-29531813610.90.3
182177.1Eastern MichiganMAC0.49780.50031517-813-140-00-11-26-76-35-4148279210-32.9-1.0
187185.1Kent St.MAC0.49320.51371228-1013-170-10-20-46-76-35-7224191212-26.9-0.9
186185.4Miami OHMAC0.49350.51031308-912-170-10-21-25-86-45-614517412956.42.0
230225.3Northern IllinoisMAC0.46890.50181497-1011-180-10-21-35-96-45-6260312236-10.7-0.4
175173.1OhioMAC0.50020.51691168-914-150-11-21-45-77-16-5183165203-29.9-1.0
6870.4ToledoMAC0.55900.514312012-620-100-10-11-211-48-27-512614274-3.6-0.2
167163.8Western MichiganMAC0.50500.49891569-815-140-10-21-46-78-16-5221306175-11.2-0.4
291288.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.42850.37723519-915-140-00-00-10-315-104-929934127513.30.6
347342.5Coppin St.MEAC0.37240.43623252-196-250-20-00-20-66-160-153391553402.50.3
351350.3Delaware St.MEAC0.33560.41723400-193-260-00-00-10-53-200-13350246351-0.7-0.6
345340.3Florida A&MMEAC0.37640.43263302-186-250-10-10-20-76-140-15330120344-3.7-0.4
292287.4HamptonMEAC0.42840.42943333-1211-160-20-00-20-211-92-10281110323-35.6-1.4
335331.8HowardMEAC0.39060.41663412-178-210-00-10-00-68-141-13338256346-14.2-1.1
340335.1Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.38640.44543133-166-230-10-20-30-46-142-112618130728.12.5
318312.3Morgan St.MEAC0.41000.39263495-1211-160-10-00-10-311-122-92732503057.30.3
294292.1Norfolk St.MEAC0.42570.43743223-1310-180-10-10-21-510-101-112899628111.10.5
241241.0North Carolina A&TMEAC0.45970.401434710-816-130-10-00-10-316-75-821325919744.01.8
269268.4North Carolina CentralMEAC0.44180.39123507-915-120-00-00-10-415-83-8293298312-43.6-1.7
246246.7Savannah St.MEAC0.45570.48332015-1310-190-50-20-30-210-71-12176120739.71.5
332325.7South Carolina St.MEAC0.39760.41893385-139-200-00-00-40-49-112-11311185327-1.3-0.1
124123.3BradleyMVC0.52640.504914213-717-130-00-22-48-67-09-310729410815.30.5
162160.6DrakeMVC0.50670.507713211-915-150-00-12-68-74-15-726230313921.60.7
160159.2EvansvilleMVC0.50730.52839710-914-150-10-12-36-105-08-35411612732.21.1
117119.5Illinois St.MVC0.52880.5533609-1013-160-11-23-59-71-15-6106229326.51.0
138140.9Indiana St.MVC0.51720.5397828-1013-150-11-23-47-72-13-7238951400.90.0
5357.4Loyola ChicagoMVC0.56960.506913415-422-71-01-12-211-37-19-26328262-4.6-0.3
5658.1Missouri St.MVC0.56910.526010314-620-100-01-04-212-64-19-35713370-11.9-0.7
119120.5Northern IowaMVC0.52840.5486728-1014-140-31-12-48-62-06-48128134-13.5-0.5
126125.7Southern IllinoisMVC0.52520.52919411-916-140-20-22-38-66-17-51341311205.70.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
155151.6ValparaisoMVC0.51140.51191289-1014-150-10-11-48-75-17-4120271159-7.4-0.2
248249.1Air ForceMWC0.45360.50201486-109-180-10-10-43-95-34-626827423415.10.8
3739.0Boise St.MWC0.58780.521310915-422-70-11-14-29-28-09-247190345.00.4
179176.5Colorado St.MWC0.49850.5343899-1112-180-20-42-64-46-26-61447216115.50.7
99104.0Fresno St.MWC0.53700.512012712-618-100-20-22-37-48-08-3138289118-14.0-0.6
1115.1NevadaMWC0.61990.54717418-326-61-11-15-114-25-011-31531132.10.3
159157.1New MexicoMWC0.50840.52691009-1115-150-30-42-35-47-24-8251851543.10.1
7985.9San Diego St.MWC0.54790.523810610-718-101-22-22-26-47-17-399160121-35.1-1.6
308304.2San Jose St.MWC0.41790.51441192-154-240-20-20-41-112-52-82962323031.20.1
125123.8UNLVMWC0.52620.493317214-520-110-30-12-27-411-011-2109313167-43.2-1.7
169167.9Utah St.MWC0.50300.52371079-1114-160-20-22-44-67-16-6180164174-6.1-0.2
95100.7WyomingMWC0.53900.53349111-717-130-31-13-27-55-28-474837327.71.1
333331.0BryantNEC0.39330.46222662-195-260-10-10-20-95-141-123232183283.00.3
250253.1Central ConnecticutNEC0.45150.423033711-1015-160-00-00-12-613-87-621734424013.10.6
283280.5Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.43380.46662504-139-180-10-10-21-78-81-8304124284-3.5-0.1
276276.3LIU BrooklynNEC0.43640.43873218-1213-170-00-00-12-510-114-8295325280-3.7-0.2
253257.3Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.44860.43503268-1113-160-00-10-12-611-84-7269332259-1.7-0.1
156151.8Robert MorrisNEC0.51140.464325812-919-120-10-10-12-617-36-71371521465.80.2
324316.1Sacred HeartNEC0.40810.43123326-1410-200-00-10-21-79-114-8316342332-15.9-1.0
286282.9St. Francis NYNEC0.43210.45722836-1210-180-00-00-12-68-111-9336230285-2.1-0.1
158156.6St. Francis PANEC0.50880.46322619-816-110-20-10-03-313-54-5116991479.60.3
142142.7WagnerNEC0.51620.451929911-617-100-10-10-13-215-45-41171931420.70.0
213214.6Austin PeayOVC0.47610.48461918-1013-150-10-10-33-710-43-7274163217-2.4-0.1
7582.3BelmontOVC0.54990.478521515-623-80-11-11-14-416-18-5112144802.30.1
270269.1Eastern IllinoisOVC0.44130.46872415-129-180-00-00-51-48-82-7317290276-6.9-0.3
271270.1Eastern KentuckyOVC0.44050.46932386-139-200-00-10-40-89-74-7241273279-8.9-0.4
154151.6Jacksonville St.OVC0.51160.451130414-620-100-00-12-22-316-48-4212345189-37.4-1.5
259262.1Morehead St.OVC0.44580.49901554-138-190-10-11-42-55-82-7225402602.10.1
8187.3Murray St.OVC0.54640.473022812-521-60-10-11-15-214-16-3124187103-15.7-0.9
273271.7SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.43980.47182337-129-200-10-10-41-68-84-724924725120.71.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
244243.3Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45770.45892798-1113-160-00-00-32-611-74-72472522385.30.2
305301.8Tennessee MartinOVC0.41910.44943065-149-200-00-00-41-58-113-8301316326-24.2-1.2
210211.6Tennessee St.OVC0.47780.49711626-1111-160-20-10-33-38-63-613935214-2.4-0.1
173170.9Tennessee TechOVC0.50090.480621011-815-140-00-00-53-512-36-51422401646.90.2
1316.0ArizonaP120.61850.56194816-424-71-13-17-210-13-010-3295516-0.0-0.0
2932.2Arizona St.P120.59570.54487615-423-73-11-16-49-14-012-09148311.20.1
194190.3CaliforniaP120.49040.5621477-129-210-40-53-64-43-26-618510517713.30.7
7783.8ColoradoP120.54890.56095112-816-141-32-23-46-54-08-41141475924.81.1
6567.2OregonP120.56160.54987013-720-111-32-35-37-26-010-310820092-24.8-1.4
146145.6Oregon St.P120.51520.53548811-815-150-31-34-54-46-18-4219315155-9.4-0.3
8289.2StanfordP120.54610.57682711-916-151-62-25-35-43-16-716933854.20.2
6063.4UCLAP120.56510.55425813-719-111-32-34-47-25-09-3527664-0.6-0.0
3334.7USCP120.59270.56893715-621-101-22-36-48-24-09-4352639-4.3-0.4
6367.5UtahP120.56170.55525512-717-120-31-35-47-14-08-385186616.50.3
7176.6WashingtonP120.55420.55176314-619-122-11-34-66-26-010-345495224.61.2
171171.2Washington St.P120.50100.5458759-1012-180-11-32-84-45-18-410510415714.20.5
314307.8AmericanPat0.41470.45542895-148-210-10-10-31-57-123-82832773043.80.2
195190.1ArmyPat0.49040.434632711-717-110-00-00-22-415-56-4171340199-8.9-0.3
199199.1Boston UniversityPat0.48560.46042749-915-130-10-01-22-412-63-7244225202-2.9-0.1
7885.1BucknellPat0.54820.484918913-821-100-10-11-24-415-26-79756113-27.9-1.6
222220.5ColgatePat0.47220.45322959-914-140-00-10-32-412-64-6259272231-10.5-0.4
310303.4Holy CrossPat0.41760.46172715-149-200-10-00-22-57-113-8284227321-17.6-0.9
317311.6LafayettePat0.41180.45632854-148-200-10-00-21-57-131-9348288329-17.4-1.0
238237.4LehighPat0.46140.46272657-1113-150-10-10-22-611-64-6205195249-11.6-0.5
323314.8Loyola MDPat0.40830.45602874-148-200-00-10-31-57-121-9347291335-20.2-1.0
220220.0NavyPat0.47260.439931912-817-130-10-00-21-515-68-4151317235-15.0-0.7
265266.2Appalachian St.SB0.44300.46632526-1210-180-10-01-21-68-93-829126424620.20.8
293291.0Arkansas St.SB0.42650.46022765-139-200-10-10-31-68-93-8318335296-5.0-0.2
245245.2Coastal CarolinaSB0.45680.48401965-1311-170-00-11-42-68-73-7222100250-4.8-0.2
120119.1Georgia SouthernSB0.52840.473122712-619-100-00-01-33-414-37-4110242126-6.9-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
135136.3Georgia St.SB0.51940.463925912-619-100-00-02-24-313-57-4153300171-34.7-1.3
297293.5Little RockSB0.42500.48831814-147-220-00-00-31-96-92-9298169298-4.5-0.2
5962.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.56520.473622515-324-50-10-01-17-216-18-367194602.20.1
296292.5Louisiana MonroeSB0.42530.48671844-118-180-10-20-31-66-83-5226117300-7.5-0.3
235235.0South AlabamaSB0.46360.46622539-913-160-10-11-23-410-85-6266329239-4.0-0.2
215216.4Texas St.SB0.47480.458128211-815-140-00-00-33-511-65-6282347245-28.6-1.3
208207.3TroySB0.48050.49291746-1112-160-10-11-22-59-64-7233201237-29.7-1.2
121120.9UT ArlingtonSB0.52760.488417912-819-110-10-21-24-313-48-494202166-45.1-1.8
289287.0ChattanoogaSC0.42940.48401944-148-210-00-00-52-96-64-7242184299-12.0-0.6
5862.0East Tennessee St.SC0.56540.482920214-423-60-20-03-26-214-17-49015967-5.0-0.4
8087.9FurmanSC0.54680.495316912-620-90-20-12-26-312-17-45962109-21.1-1.0
170170.4MercerSC0.50150.47732218-1016-130-10-21-52-413-25-6200233208-37.6-1.5
257260.5SamfordSC0.44670.48451925-139-200-10-10-61-88-42-9312213266-5.5-0.2
320314.7The CitadelSC0.40920.48651873-135-220-10-10-51-64-92-72721813113.70.2
115117.6UNC GreensboroSC0.52950.472722911-519-90-10-02-34-313-26-414724310413.60.5
321314.5VMISC0.40900.46842444-127-200-00-00-60-86-73-628531029321.51.3
225222.1Western CarolinaSC0.47140.50381447-1110-190-30-10-52-67-43-81865118735.11.7
114117.5WoffordSC0.52980.485718811-518-101-10-12-34-412-26-49612610116.50.6
3940.5AlabamaSEC0.58690.5985413-618-133-43-34-37-21-08-548102614.51.0
4041.8ArkansasSEC0.58550.57383013-620-113-43-35-36-23-011-22357329.80.6
1417.9AuburnSEC0.61620.56434317-224-72-23-27-38-14-012-1118489.91.0
2225.5FloridaSEC0.60420.57922514-522-94-35-25-23-15-09-47532241.50.1
6668.0GeorgiaSEC0.56130.56414412-617-131-43-34-45-23-19-3461675117.00.8
1620.4KentuckySEC0.61200.5969514-521-102-54-36-26-02-010-3105200.40.0
96102.7LSUSEC0.53800.55595311-716-141-34-43-43-26-09-398161993.70.1
112116.0MississippiSEC0.53060.57572910-914-171-42-53-54-24-07-61669110016.00.6
107110.7Mississippi St.SEC0.53360.53209213-518-121-42-33-36-27-011-1412817634.71.1
4645.0MissouriSEC0.58210.56923412-619-112-42-35-27-23-09-34394369.00.5
6970.8South CarolinaSEC0.55880.57632811-716-142-52-43-36-24-08-462925317.80.9
2124.1TennesseeSEC0.60620.58062213-521-93-42-25-29-12-010-213171212.11.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
2729.6Texas A&MSEC0.59940.59041113-620-113-54-35-24-14-011-241333-3.4-0.3
141143.0VanderbiltSEC0.51630.593467-1211-201-82-62-54-23-05-817019143-0.0-0.0
233227.7Abilene ChristianSlnd0.46780.44053179-814-130-10-00-12-512-64-5218285229-1.3-0.1
237237.0Central ArkansasSlnd0.46170.43643249-1115-150-00-10-32-513-75-7256333263-26.0-1.2
337334.4Houston BaptistSlnd0.38710.44863081-165-230-10-10-30-55-131-9305123339-4.6-0.4
344338.0Incarnate WordSlnd0.38040.44933071-125-190-10-20-10-35-121-5292119343-5.0-0.4
231226.9LamarSlnd0.46830.43413298-815-120-00-00-12-413-74-5196241258-31.1-1.4
301297.1McNeese St.Slnd0.42160.44643104-108-170-00-10-21-47-100-73331382970.10.0
218218.0New OrleansSlnd0.47390.45952786-1012-140-00-20-31-511-50-828014223-5.0-0.2
202200.2Nicholls St.Slnd0.48470.46302638-814-130-10-10-21-513-52-717829216-15.8-0.5
343338.0Northwestern St.Slnd0.38230.45842811-134-210-10-20-20-53-121-62751703362.00.2
224221.0Sam Houston St.Slnd0.47200.46032757-913-140-00-00-31-612-42-7270128255-34.0-1.3
207205.0Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.48160.44043189-815-130-00-10-32-313-63-72372552014.00.2
123123.5Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.52650.425733512-321-60-00-11-14-217-37-21023221194.50.2
342335.5Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.38360.43453281-126-190-00-10-20-45-130-7349244349-13.5-1.0
274271.6DenverSum0.43900.46822466-129-170-00-01-42-67-64-830330225714.60.7
193189.6Fort WayneSum0.49110.472323110-914-130-10-11-32-511-47-6165253190-0.4-0.0
249250.1Nebraska OmahaSum0.45300.51201265-158-200-30-20-42-76-53-112586622723.11.0
168167.4North Dakota St.Sum0.50340.49321738-1014-130-10-12-42-410-46-7143130172-4.6-0.2
221220.9Oral RobertsSum0.47260.51111296-149-180-00-11-62-75-43-102026120911.90.5
9299.3South DakotaSum0.53960.465625514-520-70-10-11-24-314-19-4103275114-14.7-0.7
6265.2South Dakota St.Sum0.56270.496716413-520-70-21-11-37-211-18-57389587.20.4
300297.6Western IllinoisSum0.42190.45622866-88-150-00-10-31-57-65-425233826235.61.6
349348.6Alabama A&MSWAC0.35080.41023432-175-260-00-10-10-75-160-133441803453.61.5
346341.4Alabama St.SWAC0.37540.41773393-157-230-10-00-20-67-140-1232597342-0.6-0.1
348343.0Alcorn St.SWAC0.37010.40193462-147-200-00-10-20-57-120-9331121347-4.0-0.5
315307.7Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.41450.41413426-1412-200-10-10-10-612-110-1434217529413.70.7
288286.4Grambling St.SWAC0.42970.39843487-1213-170-00-00-12-411-123-921621427016.40.8
295292.3Jackson St.SWAC0.42560.40223457-1113-160-00-10-20-512-81-103081762902.30.1
350348.9Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.34750.42593340-193-280-00-10-30-63-170-1331569350-1.1-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
268267.8Prairie View A&MSWAC0.44200.43713234-1512-190-10-20-31-611-72-1119524268-0.2-0.0
309302.8SouthernSWAC0.41790.40843445-1312-170-10-10-30-412-92-9278109318-15.2-0.7
209208.3Texas SouthernSWAC0.48010.46172724-1514-170-30-30-40-214-40-132272247-38.7-1.7
216216.8Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.47460.51811155-129-170-10-31-43-55-54-8150372115.80.3
339336.7Chicago St.WAC0.38670.50561380-201-280-10-20-40-121-90-1533715032412.71.9
150147.1Grand CanyonWAC0.51380.453729014-621-80-10-31-23-317-110-5209327194-46.9-2.0
4343.1New Mexico St.WAC0.58320.496116615-323-41-01-12-18-112-010-3318745-1.9-0.2
201199.6SeattleWAC0.48480.470123611-815-130-00-20-32-513-28-61992801981.60.1
262262.9UMKCWAC0.44530.50571374-157-210-10-20-51-76-63-112541112548.90.5
232227.6UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.46790.47192329-1113-160-10-30-32-611-47-8229286242-14.4-0.8
7684.6Utah ValleyWAC0.54910.502614612-618-90-20-21-14-313-18-56173813.60.2
6162.6BYUWCC0.56480.502514717-424-70-11-32-19-212-111-23614669-6.4-0.5
3233.3GonzagaWCC0.59370.515711717-426-51-22-23-17-013-010-3306756-22.7-3.1
261262.7Loyola MarymountWCC0.44540.49651655-138-200-10-40-32-76-44-62452682539.70.5
177174.7PacificWCC0.49940.51911129-1113-170-20-41-33-59-34-82069014430.71.3
313307.7PepperdineWCC0.41490.50531412-175-240-10-40-41-84-72-9326223313-5.3-0.3
252257.4PortlandWCC0.44880.51251255-138-200-20-40-21-76-43-726514523225.41.5
3434.6Saint Mary'sWCC0.59210.497416119-228-30-02-12-111-112-011-24918840-5.4-0.6
139141.5San DiegoWCC0.51670.498515712-717-120-11-31-34-310-38-393199148-6.5-0.3
172171.9San FranciscoWCC0.50090.520811110-1015-151-10-41-35-48-47-512952193-21.1-1.0
254259.3Santa ClaraWCC0.44760.50011536-129-190-20-40-22-67-42-8340267265-5.7-0.3

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: rpiforecast@gmail.com