Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are summary statistics for end-of-season RPI Ranks using 10,000 simulations of all future games.

Using the probability of winning for each team and each future game, 10,000 simulated seasons are run, the resulting RPIs are sorted and ranks are assigned. Expected Rank is the mean from these simulations. All 10,000 Ranks are presented for each team in histograms found by clicking on the team name. You can think of the min and max as the best and worst case scenarios for the team.
How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

New! For Simulations INCLUDING CONFERENCE TOURNAMENTS, click here (updated at least weekly)

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
246.0	Air Force	MWC	0.0	246	246	246	246	246	246	246	246	246
89.0	Akron	MAC	0.0	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89
102.0	Alabama	SEC	0.0	102	102	102	102	102	102	102	102	102
331.0	Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.0	331	331	331	331	331	331	331	331	331
275.0	Alabama St.	SWAC	0.0	275	275	275	275	275	275	275	275	275
302.0	Albany	AE	0.0	302	302	302	302	302	302	302	302	302
344.0	Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.0	344	344	344	344	344	344	344	344	344
295.0	American	Pat	0.0	295	295	295	295	295	295	295	295	295
101.0	Appalachian St.	SC	0.0	101	101	101	101	101	101	101	101	101
96.0	Arizona	P10	0.0	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96
63.0	Arizona St.	P10	0.0	63	63	63	63	63	63	63	63	63
159.0	Arkansas	SEC	0.0	159	159	159	159	159	159	159	159	159
301.0	Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.0	301	301	301	301	301	301	301	301	301
184.0	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.0	184	184	184	184	184	184	184	184	184
202.0	Arkansas St.	SB	0.0	202	202	202	202	202	202	202	202	202
247.0	Army	Pat	0.0	247	247	247	247	247	247	247	247	247
156.0	Auburn	SEC	0.0	156	156	156	156	156	156	156	156	156
162.0	Austin Peay	OVC	0.0	162	162	162	162	162	162	162	162	162
218.0	Ball St.	MAC	0.0	218	218	218	218	218	218	218	218	218
8.0	Baylor	B12	0.0	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
135.0	Belmont	ASun	0.0	135	135	135	135	135	135	135	135	135
259.0	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.0	259	259	259	259	259	259	259	259	259
229.0	Binghamton	AE	0.0	229	229	229	229	229	229	229	229	229
203.0	Boise St.	WAC	0.0	203	203	203	203	203	203	203	203	203
125.0	Boston College	ACC	0.0	125	125	125	125	125	125	125	125	125
140.0	Boston University	AE	0.0	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140
189.0	Bowling Green	MAC	0.0	189	189	189	189	189	189	189	189	189
105.0	Bradley	MVC	0.0	105	105	105	105	105	105	105	105	105
23.0	Brigham Young	MWC	0.0	23	23	23	23	23	23	23	23	23
257.0	Brown	Ivy	0.0	257	257	257	257	257	257	257	257	257
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
346.0	Bryant	ind	0.0	346	346	346	346	346	346	346	346	346
258.0	Bucknell	Pat	0.0	258	258	258	258	258	258	258	258	258
108.0	Buffalo	MAC	0.0	108	108	108	108	108	108	108	108	108
11.0	Butler	Horz	0.0	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
256.0	Cal Poly	BW	0.0	256	256	256	256	256	256	256	256	256
317.0	Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.0	317	317	317	317	317	317	317	317	317
204.0	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.0	204	204	204	204	204	204	204	204	204
251.0	Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.0	251	251	251	251	251	251	251	251	251
20.0	California	P10	0.0	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	20	20
183.0	Campbell	ASun	0.0	183	183	183	183	183	183	183	183	183
206.0	Canisius	MAAC	0.0	206	206	206	206	206	206	206	206	206
314.0	Centenary	Sum	0.0	314	314	314	314	314	314	314	314	314
320.0	Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.0	320	320	320	320	320	320	320	320	320
309.0	Central Connecticut	NEC	0.0	309	309	309	309	309	309	309	309	309
191.0	Central Florida	CUSA	0.0	191	191	191	191	191	191	191	191	191
195.0	Central Michigan	MAC	0.0	195	195	195	195	195	195	195	195	195
285.0	Charleston Southern	BSth	0.0	285	285	285	285	285	285	285	285	285
77.0	Charlotte	A10	0.0	77	77	77	77	77	77	77	77	77
238.0	Chattanooga	SC	0.0	238	238	238	238	238	238	238	238	238
345.0	Chicago St.	GWC	0.0	345	345	345	345	345	345	345	345	345
65.0	Cincinnati	BE	0.0	65	65	65	65	65	65	65	65	65
34.0	Clemson	ACC	0.0	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34	34
166.0	Cleveland St.	Horz	0.0	166	166	166	166	166	166	166	166	166
136.0	Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.0	136	136	136	136	136	136	136	136	136
290.0	Colgate	Pat	0.0	290	290	290	290	290	290	290	290	290
91.0	College of Charleston	SC	0.0	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91
121.0	Colorado	B12	0.0	121	121	121	121	121	121	121	121	121
120.0	Colorado St.	MWC	0.0	120	120	120	120	120	120	120	120	120
252.0	Columbia	Ivy	0.0	252	252	252	252	252	252	252	252	252
64.0	Connecticut	BE	0.0	64	64	64	64	64	64	64	64	64
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
337.0	Coppin St.	MEAC	0.0	337	337	337	337	337	337	337	337	337
46.0	Cornell	Ivy	0.0	46	46	46	46	46	46	46	46	46
115.0	Creighton	MVC	0.0	115	115	115	115	115	115	115	115	115
335.0	Dartmouth	Ivy	0.0	335	335	335	335	335	335	335	335	335
181.0	Davidson	SC	0.0	181	181	181	181	181	181	181	181	181
53.0	Dayton	A10	0.0	53	53	53	53	53	53	53	53	53
239.0	Delaware	CAA	0.0	239	239	239	239	239	239	239	239	239
219.0	Delaware St.	MEAC	0.0	219	219	219	219	219	219	219	219	219
165.0	Denver	SB	0.0	165	165	165	165	165	165	165	165	165
212.0	DePaul	BE	0.0	212	212	212	212	212	212	212	212	212
168.0	Detroit	Horz	0.0	168	168	168	168	168	168	168	168	168
179.0	Drake	MVC	0.0	179	179	179	179	179	179	179	179	179
146.0	Drexel	CAA	0.0	146	146	146	146	146	146	146	146	146
3.0	Duke	ACC	0.0	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
111.0	Duquesne	A10	0.0	111	111	111	111	111	111	111	111	111
231.0	East Carolina	CUSA	0.0	231	231	231	231	231	231	231	231	231
122.0	East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.0	122	122	122	122	122	122	122	122	122
170.0	Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.0	170	170	170	170	170	170	170	170	170
154.0	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.0	154	154	154	154	154	154	154	154	154
201.0	Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.0	201	201	201	201	201	201	201	201	201
279.0	Eastern Washington	BSky	0.0	279	279	279	279	279	279	279	279	279
269.0	Elon	SC	0.0	269	269	269	269	269	269	269	269	269
250.0	Evansville	MVC	0.0	250	250	250	250	250	250	250	250	250
81.0	Fairfield	MAAC	0.0	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81
270.0	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.0	270	270	270	270	270	270	270	270	270
56.0	Florida	SEC	0.0	56	56	56	56	56	56	56	56	56
319.0	Florida A&M	MEAC	0.0	319	319	319	319	319	319	319	319	319
216.0	Florida Atlantic	SB	0.0	216	216	216	216	216	216	216	216	216
321.0	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.0	321	321	321	321	321	321	321	321	321
296.0	Florida International	SB	0.0	296	296	296	296	296	296	296	296	296
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
42.0	Florida St.	ACC	0.0	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42
306.0	Fordham	A10	0.0	306	306	306	306	306	306	306	306	306
190.0	Fresno St.	WAC	0.0	190	190	190	190	190	190	190	190	190
278.0	Furman	SC	0.0	278	278	278	278	278	278	278	278	278
318.0	Gardner Webb	BSth	0.0	318	318	318	318	318	318	318	318	318
158.0	George Mason	CAA	0.0	158	158	158	158	158	158	158	158	158
148.0	George Washington	A10	0.0	148	148	148	148	148	148	148	148	148
7.0	Georgetown	BE	0.0	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
106.0	Georgia	SEC	0.0	106	106	106	106	106	106	106	106	106
288.0	Georgia Southern	SC	0.0	288	288	288	288	288	288	288	288	288
248.0	Georgia St.	CAA	0.0	248	248	248	248	248	248	248	248	248
33.0	Georgia Tech	ACC	0.0	33	33	33	33	33	33	33	33	33
36.0	Gonzaga	WCC	0.0	36	36	36	36	36	36	36	36	36
340.0	Grambling	SWAC	0.0	340	340	340	340	340	340	340	340	340
283.0	Hampton	MEAC	0.0	283	283	283	283	283	283	283	283	283
304.0	Hartford	AE	0.0	304	304	304	304	304	304	304	304	304
100.0	Harvard	Ivy	0.0	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
253.0	Hawaii	WAC	0.0	253	253	253	253	253	253	253	253	253
254.0	High Point	BSth	0.0	254	254	254	254	254	254	254	254	254
145.0	Hofstra	CAA	0.0	145	145	145	145	145	145	145	145	145
274.0	Holy Cross	Pat	0.0	274	274	274	274	274	274	274	274	274
110.0	Houston	CUSA	0.0	110	110	110	110	110	110	110	110	110
328.0	Houston Baptist	GWC	0.0	328	328	328	328	328	328	328	328	328
330.0	Howard	MEAC	0.0	330	330	330	330	330	330	330	330	330
173.0	Idaho	WAC	0.0	173	173	173	173	173	173	173	173	173
305.0	Idaho St.	BSky	0.0	305	305	305	305	305	305	305	305	305
74.0	Illinois	B10	0.0	74	74	74	74	74	74	74	74	74
291.0	Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.0	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291
76.0	Illinois St.	MVC	0.0	76	76	76	76	76	76	76	76	76
222.0	Indiana	B10	0.0	222	222	222	222	222	222	222	222	222
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
87.0	Indiana St.	MVC	0.0	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87
88.0	Iona	MAAC	0.0	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88
211.0	Iowa	B10	0.0	211	211	211	211	211	211	211	211	211
124.0	Iowa St.	B12	0.0	124	124	124	124	124	124	124	124	124
225.0	IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.0	225	225	225	225	225	225	225	225	225
84.0	IUPUI	Sum	0.0	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84
199.0	Jackson St.	SWAC	0.0	199	199	199	199	199	199	199	199	199
143.0	Jacksonville	ASun	0.0	143	143	143	143	143	143	143	143	143
298.0	Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.0	298	298	298	298	298	298	298	298	298
241.0	James Madison	CAA	0.0	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241
1.0	Kansas	B12	0.0	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
6.0	Kansas St.	B12	0.0	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
284.0	Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.0	284	284	284	284	284	284	284	284	284
47.0	Kent St.	MAC	0.0	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47
2.0	Kentucky	SEC	0.0	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
175.0	La Salle	A10	0.0	175	175	175	175	175	175	175	175	175
210.0	Lafayette	Pat	0.0	210	210	210	210	210	210	210	210	210
292.0	Lamar	Slnd	0.0	292	292	292	292	292	292	292	292	292
152.0	Lehigh	Pat	0.0	152	152	152	152	152	152	152	152	152
232.0	Liberty	BSth	0.0	232	232	232	232	232	232	232	232	232
207.0	Lipscomb	ASun	0.0	207	207	207	207	207	207	207	207	207
112.0	Long Beach St.	BW	0.0	112	112	112	112	112	112	112	112	112
240.0	Long Island	NEC	0.0	240	240	240	240	240	240	240	240	240
286.0	Longwood	ind	0.0	286	286	286	286	286	286	286	286	286
245.0	Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.0	245	245	245	245	245	245	245	245	245
273.0	Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.0	273	273	273	273	273	273	273	273	273
224.0	Louisiana St.	SEC	0.0	224	224	224	224	224	224	224	224	224
78.0	Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.0	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78
37.0	Louisville	BE	0.0	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37
213.0	Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.0	213	213	213	213	213	213	213	213	213
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
174.0	Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.0	174	174	174	174	174	174	174	174	174
214.0	Loyola MD	MAAC	0.0	214	214	214	214	214	214	214	214	214
153.0	Maine	AE	0.0	153	153	153	153	153	153	153	153	153
226.0	Manhattan	MAAC	0.0	226	226	226	226	226	226	226	226	226
334.0	Marist	MAAC	0.0	334	334	334	334	334	334	334	334	334
50.0	Marquette	BE	0.0	50	50	50	50	50	50	50	50	50
67.0	Marshall	CUSA	0.0	67	67	67	67	67	67	67	67	67
24.0	Maryland	ACC	0.0	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24
308.0	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.0	308	308	308	308	308	308	308	308	308
176.0	Massachusetts	A10	0.0	176	176	176	176	176	176	176	176	176
315.0	McNeese St.	Slnd	0.0	315	315	315	315	315	315	315	315	315
333.0	MD Baltimore County	AE	0.0	333	333	333	333	333	333	333	333	333
58.0	Memphis	CUSA	0.0	58	58	58	58	58	58	58	58	58
220.0	Mercer	ASun	0.0	220	220	220	220	220	220	220	220	220
99.0	Miami FL	ACC	0.0	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99
144.0	Miami OH	MAC	0.0	144	144	144	144	144	144	144	144	144
132.0	Michigan	B10	0.0	132	132	132	132	132	132	132	132	132
28.0	Michigan St.	B10	0.0	28	28	28	28	28	28	28	28	28
178.0	Middle Tennessee	SB	0.0	178	178	178	178	178	178	178	178	178
62.0	Minnesota	B10	0.0	62	62	62	62	62	62	62	62	62
61.0	Mississippi	SEC	0.0	61	61	61	61	61	61	61	61	61
55.0	Mississippi St.	SEC	0.0	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55
325.0	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.0	325	325	325	325	325	325	325	325	325
44.0	Missouri	B12	0.0	44	44	44	44	44	44	44	44	44
281.0	Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.0	281	281	281	281	281	281	281	281	281
90.0	Missouri St.	MVC	0.0	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90
289.0	Monmouth	NEC	0.0	289	289	289	289	289	289	289	289	289
97.0	Montana	BSky	0.0	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97
200.0	Montana St.	BSky	0.0	200	200	200	200	200	200	200	200	200
83.0	Morehead St.	OVC	0.0	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
103.0	Morgan St.	MEAC	0.0	103	103	103	103	103	103	103	103	103
172.0	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.0	172	172	172	172	172	172	172	172	172
57.0	Murray St.	OVC	0.0	57	57	57	57	57	57	57	57	57
265.0	Navy	Pat	0.0	265	265	265	265	265	265	265	265	265
217.0	NC Asheville	BSth	0.0	217	217	217	217	217	217	217	217	217
249.0	NC Greensboro	SC	0.0	249	249	249	249	249	249	249	249	249
237.0	NC Wilmington	CAA	0.0	237	237	237	237	237	237	237	237	237
149.0	Nebraska	B12	0.0	149	149	149	149	149	149	149	149	149
73.0	Nevada	WAC	0.0	73	73	73	73	73	73	73	73	73
48.0	Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.0	48	48	48	48	48	48	48	48	48
242.0	New Hampshire	AE	0.0	242	242	242	242	242	242	242	242	242
10.0	New Mexico	MWC	0.0	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
51.0	New Mexico St.	WAC	0.0	51	51	51	51	51	51	51	51	51
323.0	New Orleans	SB	0.0	323	323	323	323	323	323	323	323	323
130.0	Niagara	MAAC	0.0	130	130	130	130	130	130	130	130	130
277.0	Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.0	277	277	277	277	277	277	277	277	277
341.0	NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.0	341	341	341	341	341	341	341	341	341
266.0	Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.0	266	266	266	266	266	266	266	266	266
92.0	North Carolina	ACC	0.0	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92
299.0	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.0	299	299	299	299	299	299	299	299	299
347.0	North Carolina Central	ind	0.0	347	347	347	347	347	347	347	347	347
98.0	North Carolina St.	ACC	0.0	98	98	98	98	98	98	98	98	98
339.0	North Dakota	GWC	0.0	339	339	339	339	339	339	339	339	339
268.0	North Dakota St.	Sum	0.0	268	268	268	268	268	268	268	268	268
236.0	North Florida	ASun	0.0	236	236	236	236	236	236	236	236	236
104.0	North Texas	SB	0.0	104	104	104	104	104	104	104	104	104
75.0	Northeastern	CAA	0.0	75	75	75	75	75	75	75	75	75
197.0	Northern Arizona	BSky	0.0	197	197	197	197	197	197	197	197	197
117.0	Northern Colorado	BSky	0.0	117	117	117	117	117	117	117	117	117
261.0	Northern Illinois	MAC	0.0	261	261	261	261	261	261	261	261	261
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
17.0	Northern Iowa	MVC	0.0	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
116.0	Northwestern	B10	0.0	116	116	116	116	116	116	116	116	116
313.0	Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.0	313	313	313	313	313	313	313	313	313
49.0	Notre Dame	BE	0.0	49	49	49	49	49	49	49	49	49
52.0	Oakland	Sum	0.0	52	52	52	52	52	52	52	52	52
95.0	Ohio	MAC	0.0	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95
22.0	Ohio St.	B10	0.0	22	22	22	22	22	22	22	22	22
118.0	Oklahoma	B12	0.0	118	118	118	118	118	118	118	118	118
32.0	Oklahoma St.	B12	0.0	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32
27.0	Old Dominion	CAA	0.0	27	27	27	27	27	27	27	27	27
126.0	Oral Roberts	Sum	0.0	126	126	126	126	126	126	126	126	126
138.0	Oregon	P10	0.0	138	138	138	138	138	138	138	138	138
185.0	Oregon St.	P10	0.0	185	185	185	185	185	185	185	185	185
128.0	Pacific	BW	0.0	128	128	128	128	128	128	128	128	128
194.0	Penn St.	B10	0.0	194	194	194	194	194	194	194	194	194
300.0	Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.0	300	300	300	300	300	300	300	300	300
303.0	Pepperdine	WCC	0.0	303	303	303	303	303	303	303	303	303
15.0	Pittsburgh	BE	0.0	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
79.0	Portland	WCC	0.0	79	79	79	79	79	79	79	79	79
221.0	Portland St.	BSky	0.0	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221
272.0	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.0	272	272	272	272	272	272	272	272	272
329.0	Presbyterian	BSth	0.0	329	329	329	329	329	329	329	329	329
134.0	Princeton	Ivy	0.0	134	134	134	134	134	134	134	134	134
141.0	Providence	BE	0.0	141	141	141	141	141	141	141	141	141
16.0	Purdue	B10	0.0	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
147.0	Quinnipiac	NEC	0.0	147	147	147	147	147	147	147	147	147
169.0	Radford	BSth	0.0	169	169	169	169	169	169	169	169	169
39.0	Rhode Island	A10	0.0	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39
311.0	Rice	CUSA	0.0	311	311	311	311	311	311	311	311	311
25.0	Richmond	A10	0.0	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
139.0	Rider	MAAC	0.0	139	139	139	139	139	139	139	139	139
129.0	Robert Morris	NEC	0.0	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129
161.0	Rutgers	BE	0.0	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161	161
297.0	Sacramento St.	BSky	0.0	297	297	297	297	297	297	297	297	297
263.0	Sacred Heart	NEC	0.0	263	263	263	263	263	263	263	263	263
180.0	Saint Joseph's	A10	0.0	180	180	180	180	180	180	180	180	180
70.0	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.0	70	70	70	70	70	70	70	70	70
262.0	Samford	SC	0.0	262	262	262	262	262	262	262	262	262
230.0	San Diego	WCC	0.0	230	230	230	230	230	230	230	230	230
18.0	San Diego St.	MWC	0.0	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
205.0	San Francisco	WCC	0.0	205	205	205	205	205	205	205	205	205
177.0	San Jose St.	WAC	0.0	177	177	177	177	177	177	177	177	177
233.0	Santa Clara	WCC	0.0	233	233	233	233	233	233	233	233	233
316.0	Savannah St.	ind	0.0	316	316	316	316	316	316	316	316	316
192.0	Seattle	ind	0.0	192	192	192	192	192	192	192	192	192
60.0	Seton Hall	BE	0.0	60	60	60	60	60	60	60	60	60
31.0	Siena	MAAC	0.0	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31
322.0	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.0	322	322	322	322	322	322	322	322	322
209.0	South Alabama	SB	0.0	209	209	209	209	209	209	209	209	209
93.0	South Carolina	SEC	0.0	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93
223.0	South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.0	223	223	223	223	223	223	223	223	223
307.0	South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.0	307	307	307	307	307	307	307	307	307
215.0	South Dakota	GWC	0.0	215	215	215	215	215	215	215	215	215
234.0	South Dakota St.	Sum	0.0	234	234	234	234	234	234	234	234	234
71.0	South Florida	BE	0.0	71	71	71	71	71	71	71	71	71
312.0	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.0	312	312	312	312	312	312	312	312	312
193.0	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.0	193	193	193	193	193	193	193	193	193
343.0	Southern	SWAC	0.0	343	343	343	343	343	343	343	343	343
113.0	Southern California	P10	0.0	113	113	113	113	113	113	113	113	113
171.0	Southern Illinois	MVC	0.0	171	171	171	171	171	171	171	171	171
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
208.0	Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.0	208	208	208	208	208	208	208	208	208
114.0	Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.0	114	114	114	114	114	114	114	114	114
327.0	Southern Utah	Sum	0.0	327	327	327	327	327	327	327	327	327
155.0	St. Bonaventure	A10	0.0	155	155	155	155	155	155	155	155	155
294.0	St. Francis NY	NEC	0.0	294	294	294	294	294	294	294	294	294
287.0	St. Francis PA	NEC	0.0	287	287	287	287	287	287	287	287	287
82.0	St. John's	BE	0.0	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82
86.0	St. Louis	A10	0.0	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86
35.0	St. Mary's	WCC	0.0	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35	35
182.0	St. Peter's	MAAC	0.0	182	182	182	182	182	182	182	182	182
164.0	Stanford	P10	0.0	164	164	164	164	164	164	164	164	164
151.0	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.0	151	151	151	151	151	151	151	151	151
326.0	Stetson	ASun	0.0	326	326	326	326	326	326	326	326	326
142.0	Stony Brook	AE	0.0	142	142	142	142	142	142	142	142	142
5.0	Syracuse	BE	0.0	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
9.0	Temple	A10	0.0	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
13.0	Tennessee	SEC	0.0	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
338.0	Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.0	338	338	338	338	338	338	338	338	338
260.0	Tennessee St.	OVC	0.0	260	260	260	260	260	260	260	260	260
196.0	Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.0	196	196	196	196	196	196	196	196	196
29.0	Texas	B12	0.0	29	29	29	29	29	29	29	29	29
12.0	Texas A&M	B12	0.0	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
167.0	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.0	167	167	167	167	167	167	167	167	167
235.0	Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.0	235	235	235	235	235	235	235	235	235
188.0	Texas Christian	MWC	0.0	188	188	188	188	188	188	188	188	188
38.0	Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.0	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38
336.0	Texas Pan American	GWC	0.0	336	336	336	336	336	336	336	336	336
187.0	Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.0	187	187	187	187	187	187	187	187	187
227.0	Texas Southern	SWAC	0.0	227	227	227	227	227	227	227	227	227
243.0	Texas St.	Slnd	0.0	243	243	243	243	243	243	243	243	243
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
72.0	Texas Tech	B12	0.0	72	72	72	72	72	72	72	72	72
198.0	The Citadel	SC	0.0	198	198	198	198	198	198	198	198	198
324.0	Toledo	MAC	0.0	324	324	324	324	324	324	324	324	324
264.0	Towson	CAA	0.0	264	264	264	264	264	264	264	264	264
109.0	Troy	SB	0.0	109	109	109	109	109	109	109	109	109
282.0	Tulane	CUSA	0.0	282	282	282	282	282	282	282	282	282
68.0	Tulsa	CUSA	0.0	68	68	68	68	68	68	68	68	68
45.0	UAB	CUSA	0.0	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45	45
244.0	UC Davis	BW	0.0	244	244	244	244	244	244	244	244	244
276.0	UC Irvine	BW	0.0	276	276	276	276	276	276	276	276	276
255.0	UC Riverside	BW	0.0	255	255	255	255	255	255	255	255	255
94.0	UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.0	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94
137.0	UCLA	P10	0.0	137	137	137	137	137	137	137	137	137
157.0	Utah	MWC	0.0	157	157	157	157	157	157	157	157	157
30.0	Utah St.	WAC	0.0	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
342.0	Utah Valley	GWC	0.0	342	342	342	342	342	342	342	342	342
186.0	Valparaiso	Horz	0.0	186	186	186	186	186	186	186	186	186
26.0	Vanderbilt	SEC	0.0	26	26	26	26	26	26	26	26	26
119.0	Vermont	AE	0.0	119	119	119	119	119	119	119	119	119
14.0	Villanova	BE	0.0	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
127.0	Virginia	ACC	0.0	127	127	127	127	127	127	127	127	127
66.0	Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.0	66	66	66	66	66	66	66	66	66
310.0	Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.0	310	310	310	310	310	310	310	310	310
54.0	Virginia Tech	ACC	0.0	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	54
332.0	Wagner	NEC	0.0	332	332	332	332	332	332	332	332	332
40.0	Wake Forest	ACC	0.0	40	40	40	40	40	40	40	40	40
41.0	Washington	P10	0.0	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41
163.0	Washington St.	P10	0.0	163	163	163	163	163	163	163	163	163
85.0	Weber St.	BSky	0.0	85	85	85	85	85	85	85	85	85
4.0	West Virginia	BE	0.0	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Expected			Standard		2.5th	10th	25th		75th	90th	97.5th
Rank	Team	Conf	Deviation	Min	%ile	%ile	%ile	median	%ile	%ile	%ile	max
123.0	Western Carolina	SC	0.0	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123
280.0	Western Illinois	Sum	0.0	280	280	280	280	280	280	280	280	280
133.0	Western Kentucky	SB	0.0	133	133	133	133	133	133	133	133	133
150.0	Western Michigan	MAC	0.0	150	150	150	150	150	150	150	150	150
43.0	Wichita St.	MVC	0.0	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43	43
59.0	William & Mary	CAA	0.0	59	59	59	59	59	59	59	59	59
293.0	Winston Salem St.	ind	0.0	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293
160.0	Winthrop	BSth	0.0	160	160	160	160	160	160	160	160	160
21.0	Wisconsin	B10	0.0	21	21	21	21	21	21	21	21	21
107.0	Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.0	107	107	107	107	107	107	107	107	107
131.0	Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.0	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131
69.0	Wofford	SC	0.0	69	69	69	69	69	69	69	69	69
80.0	Wright St.	Horz	0.0	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80
228.0	Wyoming	MWC	0.0	228	228	228	228	228	228	228	228	228
19.0	Xavier	A10	0.0	19	19	19	19	19	19	19	19	19
267.0	Yale	Ivy	0.0	267	267	267	267	267	267	267	267	267
271.0	Youngstown St.	Horz	0.0	271	271	271	271	271	271	271	271	271