The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Florida St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Florida St.

Conference:		ACC
Expected RPI:		41.5
Current RPI:		43
Expected SOS:		44
Current SOS:		57
Current Record:		17-6
Expected Record:		21-9
Current Conf Record:		5-4
Expected Conf Record:		9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC RPI:		42
Expected OOC SOS:		211

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
24-6	16.2	1.27%
23-7	22.3	7.74%
22-8	29.9	21.10%
21-9	39.4	30.16%
20-10	49.6	25.79%
19-11	59.7	11.14%
18-12	70.4	2.66%
17-13	80.6	0.13%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	H	87-61	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	H	80-38	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	A	89-50	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Florida (50.5)	SEC	A	52-68	L	0%	0.0
11-26	Iona (79.9)	MAAC	N	54-49	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	N	60-51	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Marquette (55.4)	BE	N	57-56	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	A	64-77	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Florida International (286.4)	SB	H	82-62	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Georgia St. (231.8)	CAA	H	62-55	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	H	76-72	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	A	66-59	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Tennessee Martin (335.4)	OVC	H	95-68	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Alabama A&M (327.5)	SWAC	H	81-34	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.1)	Slnd	H	94-54	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Maryland (35.5)	ACC	A	68-77	L	0%	0.0
1-12	North Carolina St. (110.7)	ACC	H	81-88	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Virginia Tech (62.2)	ACC	H	63-58	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	H	68-66	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Duke (3.7)	ACC	A	56-70	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Boston College (106.8)	ACC	A	61-57	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Maryland (35.5)	ACC	H	67-71	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Miami FL (90.7)	ACC	H	71-65	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Clemson (37.6)	ACC	A	0-0		32%	-5.2
2-14	Boston College (106.8)	ACC	H	0-0		81%	9.5
2-17	Virginia (92.0)	ACC	A	0-0		48%	-0.4
2-24	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	A	0-0		48%	-0.5
2-28	Clemson (37.6)	ACC	H	0-0		60%	2.8
3-3	Wake Forest (25.2)	ACC	H	0-0		68%	5.0
3-6	Miami FL (90.7)	ACC	A	0-0		48%	-0.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Florida St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Florida St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Florida St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida St.	ACC	26.35	26.14	72.63	69.13	11.93	10.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	4.54	3.90	80.00	73.17	2.72	1.81
Maryland	ACC	4.49	3.86	68.42	65.46	1.65	1.20
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.61	2.37	56.52	52.79	0.34	0.13
Miami FL	ACC	2.52	3.90	71.43	65.45	1.08	1.20
Boston College	ACC	2.52	3.90	54.55	51.56	0.23	0.12
Duke	ACC	2.51	2.34	81.82	81.74	1.60	1.49
Mercer	ASun	2.47	1.87	45.00	44.04	-0.25	-0.22
Stetson	ASun	2.42	1.87	15.00	16.25	-1.69	-1.26
Jacksonville	ASun	2.37	1.84	59.09	62.03	0.43	0.44
Florida	SEC	2.37	1.81	72.73	66.65	1.08	0.60
Auburn	SEC	2.34	1.84	47.62	44.09	-0.11	-0.22
Alabama	SEC	2.32	1.78	59.09	56.00	0.42	0.21
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.32	2.28	85.71	75.08	1.66	1.15
Georgia St.	CAA	2.27	1.72	39.13	39.77	-0.49	-0.35
Alabama A&M	SWAC	2.22	1.69	30.77	38.26	-0.86	-0.40
Marquette	BE	2.22	1.69	68.18	68.37	0.81	0.62
Florida International	SB	2.17	1.69	25.00	24.55	-1.09	-0.86
Iona	MAAC	2.17	1.67	75.00	73.09	1.09	0.77
Ohio St.	B10	2.17	1.69	73.91	72.85	1.04	0.77
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.17	1.67	5.26	8.93	-1.95	-1.37
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.17	1.67	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.15
Clemson	ACC	0.49	3.93	69.57	67.80	0.19	1.40
North Carolina	ACC	0.44	2.31	56.52	51.96	0.06	0.09
Wake Forest	ACC	0.39	2.28	76.19	72.58	0.21	1.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.35	0.24	43.48	39.42	-0.05	-0.05
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.35	0.26	29.17	28.85	-0.14	-0.11
Virginia	ACC	0.34	2.32	66.67	57.50	0.11	0.35
South Carolina	SEC	0.32	0.34	59.09	54.41	0.06	0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.29	0.23	43.48	45.31	-0.04	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.29	0.17	78.26	78.92	0.16	0.10
Providence	BE	0.28	0.20	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.25	0.13	33.33	46.80	-0.08	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.25	0.14	40.00	40.09	-0.05	-0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.25	0.21	57.14	58.76	0.04	0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.25	0.24	18.18	21.04	-0.16	-0.14
NC Greensboro	SC	0.25	0.22	21.74	24.84	-0.14	-0.11
Lipscomb	ASun	0.24	0.21	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.23	0.14	19.05	22.94	-0.15	-0.08
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.23	0.13	20.00	24.04	-0.14	-0.07
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.20	0.18	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.20	0.14	29.41	29.63	-0.08	-0.06
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.20	0.15	65.22	64.71	0.06	0.04
Villanova	BE	0.20	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.16	0.07
Belmont	ASun	0.20	0.18	60.00	63.83	0.04	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.11	0.05
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.20	0.17	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.20	0.14	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.20	0.19	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.19	0.14	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.19	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.19	0.17	4.76	9.78	-0.17	-0.13
Georgia Southern	SC	0.19	0.11	17.39	20.11	-0.12	-0.07
Michigan	B10	0.19	0.16	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.19	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.12	0.07
Austin Peay	OVC	0.15	0.09	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.17	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.08
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.08	-0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.05
Indiana	B10	0.15	0.11	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.15	0.17	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.11	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.14	0.14	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.06
Boston University	AE	0.14	0.08	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Troy	SB	0.14	0.11	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.11	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.17	30.43	32.32	-0.05	-0.06
Presbyterian	BSth	0.14	0.16	12.50	15.31	-0.10	-0.11
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.14	0.11	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.11	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.10	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.12	0.10	23.53	25.88	-0.07	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	0.00	5.15	-0.12	-0.09
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.06
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.10	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.08
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.14	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.11
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.04
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.07
California	P10	0.09	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.11	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.07
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.05	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.05	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.05	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.05	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.09	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.08	-0.05
North Texas	SB	0.09	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.73	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.08	0.08	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	19.05	20.58	-0.05	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.06	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.06	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.14	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.03	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.08	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.08	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.08	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.06
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Albany	AE	0.04	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.04	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.04	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.04	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.04	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.04	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.04	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.04	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.04	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.04	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.04	0.05	77.27	70.93	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.04	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.08	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.09	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.05
Furman	SC	0.00	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.11	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.00	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.00	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.00	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.00	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.00	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.00	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida St.	ACC	26.35	26.14	72.63	69.13	11.93	10.00
Clemson	ACC	0.49	3.93	69.57	67.80	0.19	1.40
Miami FL	ACC	2.52	3.90	71.43	65.45	1.08	1.20
Boston College	ACC	2.52	3.90	54.55	51.56	0.23	0.12
Georgia Tech	ACC	4.54	3.90	80.00	73.17	2.72	1.81
Maryland	ACC	4.49	3.86	68.42	65.46	1.65	1.20
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.61	2.37	56.52	52.79	0.34	0.13
Duke	ACC	2.51	2.34	81.82	81.74	1.60	1.49
Virginia	ACC	0.34	2.32	66.67	57.50	0.11	0.35
North Carolina	ACC	0.44	2.31	56.52	51.96	0.06	0.09
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.32	2.28	85.71	75.08	1.66	1.15
Wake Forest	ACC	0.39	2.28	76.19	72.58	0.21	1.03
Mercer	ASun	2.47	1.87	45.00	44.04	-0.25	-0.22
Stetson	ASun	2.42	1.87	15.00	16.25	-1.69	-1.26
Auburn	SEC	2.34	1.84	47.62	44.09	-0.11	-0.22
Jacksonville	ASun	2.37	1.84	59.09	62.03	0.43	0.44
Florida	SEC	2.37	1.81	72.73	66.65	1.08	0.60
Alabama	SEC	2.32	1.78	59.09	56.00	0.42	0.21
Georgia St.	CAA	2.27	1.72	39.13	39.77	-0.49	-0.35
Alabama A&M	SWAC	2.22	1.69	30.77	38.26	-0.86	-0.40
Florida International	SB	2.17	1.69	25.00	24.55	-1.09	-0.86
Marquette	BE	2.22	1.69	68.18	68.37	0.81	0.62
Ohio St.	B10	2.17	1.69	73.91	72.85	1.04	0.77
Iona	MAAC	2.17	1.67	75.00	73.09	1.09	0.77
Tennessee Martin	OVC	2.17	1.67	5.26	8.93	-1.95	-1.37
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.17	1.67	50.00	54.57	0.00	0.15
South Carolina	SEC	0.32	0.34	59.09	54.41	0.06	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.35	0.26	29.17	28.85	-0.14	-0.11
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.35	0.24	43.48	39.42	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.25	0.24	18.18	21.04	-0.16	-0.14
North Florida	ASun	0.29	0.23	43.48	45.31	-0.04	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.25	0.22	21.74	24.84	-0.14	-0.11
Campbell	ASun	0.25	0.21	57.14	58.76	0.04	0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.24	0.21	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.03
Providence	BE	0.28	0.20	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.20	0.19	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.20	0.18	60.00	63.83	0.04	0.05
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.20	0.18	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.14	0.17	30.43	32.32	-0.05	-0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.20	0.17	45.45	47.48	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.17	73.91	72.52	0.07	0.08
William & Mary	CAA	0.15	0.17	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.06
North Carolina Central	ind	0.19	0.17	4.76	9.78	-0.17	-0.13
Wisconsin	B10	0.29	0.17	78.26	78.92	0.16	0.10
Michigan	B10	0.19	0.16	45.45	44.00	-0.02	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.14	0.16	12.50	15.31	-0.10	-0.11
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.20	0.15	65.22	64.71	0.06	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.20	0.14	29.41	29.63	-0.08	-0.06
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.25	0.14	40.00	40.09	-0.05	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.14	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.23	0.14	19.05	22.94	-0.15	-0.08
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.20	0.14	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.06
Arkansas	SEC	0.14	0.14	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.19	0.14	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.14	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.11
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.25	0.13	33.33	46.80	-0.08	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.23	0.13	20.00	24.04	-0.14	-0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.12	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.11	0.05
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.08	-0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.19	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.20	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.16	0.07
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.11	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.07
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.11	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.14	0.11	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.19	0.11	83.33	81.25	0.12	0.07
Indiana	B10	0.15	0.11	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.09	0.11	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.14	0.11	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.11	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.14	0.11	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.19	0.11	17.39	20.11	-0.12	-0.07
Illinois	B10	0.00	0.11	66.67	59.01	0.00	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.06
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.10	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.12	0.10	23.53	25.88	-0.07	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	0.00	5.15	-0.12	-0.09
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.11	0.06
Austin Peay	OVC	0.15	0.09	52.17	55.04	0.01	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.09	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.09	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.08
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.09	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.08	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.14	0.08	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.08	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.09	0.08	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.08	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.08	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.08	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.08	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.08	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.14	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.03	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.09	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.08	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.73	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.08	0.08	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	19.05	20.58	-0.05	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.11	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.06	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	36.84	36.82	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.10	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.10	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.00	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Texas	B12	0.06	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.06	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.10	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.06	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
California	P10	0.09	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.04	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.06	15.79	17.64	-0.03	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Furman	SC	0.00	0.06	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.00	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.09	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.02	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.05	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.04	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.09	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.00	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.04	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.09	0.05	76.19	72.73	0.05	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.05	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.04	0.05	77.27	70.93	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.05	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.04
Albany	AE	0.04	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.09	0.05	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.04	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.04	0.05	33.33	35.33	-0.01	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.09	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.08	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.09	0.05	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.04	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02