The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Florida St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Florida St.

Conference:		ACC
Expected RPI:		42.0
Current RPI:		42
Expected SOS:		54
Current SOS:		54
Current Record:		22-9
Expected Record:		22-9
Current Conf Record:		10-7
Expected Conf Record:		10-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC RPI:		42
Expected OOC SOS:		216

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
22-9		42.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	H	87-61	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Stetson (326.0)	ASun	H	80-38	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Mercer (220.0)	ASun	A	89-50	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Florida (56.0)	SEC	A	52-68	L	0%	0.0
11-26	Iona (88.0)	MAAC	N	54-49	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Alabama (102.0)	SEC	N	60-51	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Marquette (50.0)	BE	N	57-56	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Ohio St. (22.0)	B10	A	64-77	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Florida International (296.0)	SB	H	82-62	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Georgia St. (248.0)	CAA	H	62-55	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	H	76-72	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	A	66-59	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Tennessee Martin (338.0)	OVC	H	95-68	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Alabama A&M (331.0)	SWAC	H	81-34	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (167.0)	Slnd	H	94-54	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	A	68-77	L	0%	0.0
1-12	North Carolina St. (98.0)	ACC	H	81-88	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Virginia Tech (54.0)	ACC	H	63-58	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	H	68-66	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Duke (3.0)	ACC	A	56-70	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Boston College (125.0)	ACC	A	61-57	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	H	67-71	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Miami FL (99.0)	ACC	H	71-65	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	A	67-77	L	0%	0.0
2-14	Boston College (125.0)	ACC	H	62-47	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Virginia (127.0)	ACC	A	69-50	W	100%	0.0
2-24	North Carolina (92.0)	ACC	A	77-67	W	100%	0.0
2-28	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	H	50-53	L	0%	0.0
3-3	Wake Forest (40.0)	ACC	H	51-47	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Miami FL (99.0)	ACC	A	61-60	W	100%	0.0
3-12	North Carolina St. (98.0)	ACC	N	52-58	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Florida St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Florida St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Florida St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida St.	ACC	26.11	26.11	70.07	70.07	10.48	10.48
North Carolina St.	ACC	3.97	3.97	53.12	53.12	0.25	0.25
Georgia Tech	ACC	3.92	3.92	67.74	67.74	1.39	1.39
Miami FL	ACC	3.85	3.85	63.33	63.33	1.03	1.03
Clemson	ACC	3.83	3.83	65.52	65.52	1.19	1.19
Maryland	ACC	3.80	3.80	71.43	71.43	1.63	1.63
Boston College	ACC	3.79	3.79	51.72	51.72	0.13	0.13
Duke	ACC	2.38	2.38	84.85	84.85	1.66	1.66
Virginia	ACC	2.33	2.33	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	2.29	2.29	51.61	51.61	0.07	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.27	2.27	76.67	76.67	1.21	1.21
Wake Forest	ACC	2.27	2.27	67.86	67.86	0.81	0.81
Mercer	ASun	1.82	1.82	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Auburn	SEC	1.82	1.82	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Jacksonville	ASun	1.80	1.80	63.33	63.33	0.48	0.48
Florida	SEC	1.79	1.79	62.50	62.50	0.45	0.45
Stetson	ASun	1.79	1.79	19.23	19.23	-1.10	-1.10
Alabama	SEC	1.72	1.72	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Georgia St.	CAA	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
Marquette	BE	1.66	1.66	68.75	68.75	0.62	0.62
Alabama A&M	SWAC	1.64	1.64	36.36	36.36	-0.45	-0.45
Florida International	SB	1.64	1.64	20.00	20.00	-0.98	-0.98
Ohio St.	B10	1.64	1.64	78.79	78.79	0.94	0.94
Iona	MAAC	1.61	1.61	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
Tennessee Martin	OVC	1.61	1.61	7.69	7.69	-1.36	-1.36
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	1.61	1.61	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.34	0.34	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.24	0.24	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
North Florida	ASun	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.23	0.23	25.81	25.81	-0.11	-0.11
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.21	0.21	20.69	20.69	-0.13	-0.13
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.21	0.21	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.19	0.19	60.71	60.71	0.04	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.19	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.19	0.19	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.19	0.19	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.18	0.18	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.18	0.18	12.00	12.00	-0.13	-0.13
Georgia	SEC	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.16	0.16	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.15	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.15	94.12	94.12	0.13	0.13
Presbyterian	BSth	0.15	0.15	13.33	13.33	-0.11	-0.11
Wisconsin	B10	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.14	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.14	0.14	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.13	0.13	32.00	32.00	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.13	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.12	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Illinois	B10	0.12	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.12	0.12	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.09	0.09	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.09	6.45	6.45	-0.08	-0.08
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.09	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.08	0.08	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Long Beach St.	BW	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Boston University	AE	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.03	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.03	0.03	24.00	24.00	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
American	Pat	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.02	0.02	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.02	0.02	80.00	80.00	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.02	0.02	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida St.	ACC	26.11	26.11	70.07	70.07	10.48	10.48
North Carolina St.	ACC	3.97	3.97	53.12	53.12	0.25	0.25
Georgia Tech	ACC	3.92	3.92	67.74	67.74	1.39	1.39
Miami FL	ACC	3.85	3.85	63.33	63.33	1.03	1.03
Clemson	ACC	3.83	3.83	65.52	65.52	1.19	1.19
Maryland	ACC	3.80	3.80	71.43	71.43	1.63	1.63
Boston College	ACC	3.79	3.79	51.72	51.72	0.13	0.13
Duke	ACC	2.38	2.38	84.85	84.85	1.66	1.66
Virginia	ACC	2.33	2.33	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	2.29	2.29	51.61	51.61	0.07	0.07
Virginia Tech	ACC	2.27	2.27	76.67	76.67	1.21	1.21
Wake Forest	ACC	2.27	2.27	67.86	67.86	0.81	0.81
Mercer	ASun	1.82	1.82	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Auburn	SEC	1.82	1.82	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Jacksonville	ASun	1.80	1.80	63.33	63.33	0.48	0.48
Florida	SEC	1.79	1.79	62.50	62.50	0.45	0.45
Stetson	ASun	1.79	1.79	19.23	19.23	-1.10	-1.10
Alabama	SEC	1.72	1.72	54.84	54.84	0.17	0.17
Georgia St.	CAA	1.69	1.69	36.67	36.67	-0.45	-0.45
Marquette	BE	1.66	1.66	68.75	68.75	0.62	0.62
Alabama A&M	SWAC	1.64	1.64	36.36	36.36	-0.45	-0.45
Florida International	SB	1.64	1.64	20.00	20.00	-0.98	-0.98
Ohio St.	B10	1.64	1.64	78.79	78.79	0.94	0.94
Iona	MAAC	1.61	1.61	70.00	70.00	0.65	0.65
Tennessee Martin	OVC	1.61	1.61	7.69	7.69	-1.36	-1.36
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	1.61	1.61	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.34	0.34	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.24	0.24	27.59	27.59	-0.11	-0.11
North Florida	ASun	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
NC Greensboro	SC	0.23	0.23	25.81	25.81	-0.11	-0.11
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.21	0.21	20.69	20.69	-0.13	-0.13
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.21	0.21	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Campbell	ASun	0.19	0.19	60.71	60.71	0.04	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.19	0.19	61.29	61.29	0.04	0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.19	0.19	57.58	57.58	0.03	0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.19	0.19	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.18	0.18	38.71	38.71	-0.04	-0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.18	0.18	12.00	12.00	-0.13	-0.13
Georgia	SEC	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.17	0.17	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.16	0.16	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.15	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.15	0.15	94.12	94.12	0.13	0.13
Presbyterian	BSth	0.15	0.15	13.33	13.33	-0.11	-0.11
Wisconsin	B10	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.14	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.14	0.14	34.62	34.62	-0.04	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.13	0.13	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.13	0.13	32.00	32.00	-0.05	-0.05
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.13	0.13	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.13	74.19	74.19	0.06	0.06
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.12	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Illinois	B10	0.12	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.12	0.12	61.76	61.76	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.12	0.12	28.12	28.12	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.11	0.11	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.11	29.63	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Troy	SB	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.10	0.10	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.10	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.10	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.09	0.09	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.09	6.45	6.45	-0.08	-0.08
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.09	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.08	0.08	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.08	0.08	3.33	3.33	-0.07	-0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.08	0.08	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Long Beach St.	BW	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.08	0.08	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Boston University	AE	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.07	31.25	31.25	-0.03	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.06	0.06	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.05	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01