The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Wake Forest page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Wake Forest

Conference:		ACC
Expected RPI:		25.2
Current RPI:		16
Expected SOS:		28
Current SOS:		22
Current Record:		16-5
Expected Record:		20-8
Current Conf Record:		6-3
Expected Conf Record:		10-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		10-2
Expected OOC Record:		10-2
Expected OOC RPI:		37
Expected OOC SOS:		123

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-5	7.6	1.50%
22-6	10.6	8.41%
21-7	15.6	23.16%
20-8	22.9	30.70%
19-9	32.6	23.15%
18-10	44.0	10.57%
17-11	55.1	2.32%
16-12	66.4	0.18%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wake Forest.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Oral Roberts (122.0)	Sum	H	76-56	W	100%	0.0
11-15	East Carolina (243.1)	CUSA	N	89-58	W	100%	0.0
11-18	High Point (269.4)	BSth	H	83-60	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Winston Salem St. (314.2)	ind	H	76-52	W	100%	0.0
11-28	William & Mary (56.7)	CAA	H	68-78	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	58-69	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	A	77-75	W	100%	0.0
12-13	Elon (282.7)	SC	H	90-50	W	100%	0.0
12-16	NC Wilmington (217.4)	CAA	A	80-69	W	100%	0.0
12-20	North Carolina St. (110.7)	ACC	H	67-59	W	100%	0.0
12-28	NC Greensboro (263.1)	SC	A	75-60	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Richmond (38.1)	A10	H	74-68	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Xavier (26.6)	A10	H	96-92	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Miami FL (90.7)	ACC	A	66-67	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Maryland (35.5)	ACC	H	85-83	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Duke (3.7)	ACC	A	70-90	L	0%	0.0
1-20	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	A	82-69	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Virginia (92.0)	ACC	H	69-57	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	A	58-79	L	0%	0.0
2-2	Miami FL (90.7)	ACC	H	62-53	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Virginia (92.0)	ACC	A	64-61	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Boston College (106.8)	ACC	H	0-0		78%	8.5
2-13	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	H	0-0		60%	2.9
2-16	Virginia Tech (62.2)	ACC	A	0-0		40%	-2.7
2-20	North Carolina St. (110.7)	ACC	A	0-0		52%	0.5
2-27	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	H	0-0		72%	6.5
3-3	Florida St. (41.5)	ACC	A	0-0		32%	-5.0
3-7	Clemson (37.6)	ACC	H	0-0		57%	1.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Wake Forest's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Wake Forest's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Wake Forest.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Wake Forest	ACC	26.37	26.15	78.65	72.12	15.11	11.57
Virginia	ACC	5.18	4.23	73.68	61.54	2.45	0.98
Miami FL	ACC	4.98	4.17	70.00	63.68	1.99	1.14
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.93	4.23	60.87	56.40	0.64	0.54
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.77	4.17	71.43	68.01	1.19	1.50
Maryland	ACC	2.77	2.54	75.00	70.27	1.38	1.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	2.76	2.03	31.82	33.48	-1.00	-0.67
NC Greensboro	SC	2.70	2.09	22.73	25.73	-1.48	-1.01
North Carolina	ACC	2.65	4.17	59.09	54.59	0.48	0.38
Duke	ACC	2.64	2.51	81.82	81.74	1.68	1.59
William & Mary	CAA	2.54	1.91	66.67	65.46	0.85	0.59
Richmond	A10	2.54	1.91	78.26	73.60	1.43	0.90
Elon	SC	2.53	1.94	20.00	24.09	-1.52	-1.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.49	1.85	56.52	60.57	0.33	0.39
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.49	1.88	31.25	30.82	-0.93	-0.72
East Carolina	CUSA	2.43	1.85	21.05	22.79	-1.41	-1.00
Gonzaga	WCC	2.43	1.81	85.71	86.60	1.74	1.33
High Point	BSth	2.38	1.79	45.00	46.08	-0.24	-0.14
Purdue	B10	2.38	1.79	85.71	81.17	1.70	1.11
Xavier	A10	2.38	1.81	72.73	73.90	1.08	0.87
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.49	2.53	81.82	73.02	0.31	1.17
Florida St.	ACC	0.43	2.45	73.91	69.55	0.21	0.96
Clemson	ACC	0.43	2.48	69.57	67.70	0.17	0.88
Charlotte	A10	0.39	0.31	78.26	71.72	0.22	0.13
North Carolina Central	ind	0.38	0.34	4.76	9.78	-0.35	-0.27
Boston College	ACC	0.38	2.41	52.17	49.69	0.02	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.33	0.21	23.81	29.40	-0.17	-0.09
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.32	0.19	77.27	77.12	0.18	0.10
Chattanooga	SC	0.32	0.21	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.29	0.23	52.94	56.30	0.02	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.27	0.15	78.26	78.92	0.15	0.09
Marshall	CUSA	0.23	0.16	66.67	65.54	0.08	0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.22	0.18	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.22	0.18	34.78	32.23	-0.07	-0.06
Radford	BSth	0.22	0.16	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.02
Furman	SC	0.22	0.15	42.86	41.05	-0.03	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.22	0.18	20.00	23.58	-0.13	-0.10
Samford	SC	0.22	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.09	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.22	0.12	66.67	67.94	0.07	0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.22	0.15	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.21	0.15	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.21	0.15	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.21	0.12	72.00	73.54	0.09	0.06
Georgia St.	CAA	0.21	0.18	37.50	38.45	-0.05	-0.04
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.18	0.13	55.00	53.61	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.18	0.13	25.00	34.68	-0.09	-0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.17	0.16	19.05	22.94	-0.11	-0.09
UAB	CUSA	0.17	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.11	0.05
Tulane	CUSA	0.17	0.13	31.82	29.58	-0.06	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.17	0.13	31.82	42.24	-0.06	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.17	0.13	80.95	82.07	0.10	0.08
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.05	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.16	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.09	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.16	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.16	0.12	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.16	0.12	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.16	0.15	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.16	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.16	0.09	18.18	21.04	-0.10	-0.05
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.16	0.16	21.05	22.43	-0.09	-0.09
South Carolina	SEC	0.16	0.15	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.16	0.15	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.07
George Mason	CAA	0.16	0.15	62.50	57.74	0.04	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.13	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.07	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.11	0.09	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.09	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.11	0.15	12.50	15.31	-0.08	-0.11
Western Carolina	SC	0.11	0.15	71.43	69.51	0.05	0.06
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.05	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.11	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.11	0.09	14.29	15.65	-0.08	-0.06
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.15	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.15	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.15	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.07
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.09	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.09	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.12	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.15	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.05
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.12	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.04
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.10	0.09	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.15	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.07	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	11.11	20.93	-0.05	-0.04
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.04	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.07	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.07	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.05	0.05
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.10	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.09	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.04
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.03
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.05
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.07
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.09	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.09	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.05
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.09	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.12	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.00	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.00	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.00	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.00	0.09	72.00	70.73	0.00	0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.00	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.00	0.01
Maine	AE	0.00	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.00	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.00	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.00	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.00	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.00	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.00	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.00	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.00	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Wake Forest	ACC	26.37	26.15	78.65	72.12	15.11	11.57
North Carolina St.	ACC	2.93	4.23	60.87	56.40	0.64	0.54
Virginia	ACC	5.18	4.23	73.68	61.54	2.45	0.98
North Carolina	ACC	2.65	4.17	59.09	54.59	0.48	0.38
Miami FL	ACC	4.98	4.17	70.00	63.68	1.99	1.14
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.77	4.17	71.43	68.01	1.19	1.50
Maryland	ACC	2.77	2.54	75.00	70.27	1.38	1.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.49	2.53	81.82	73.02	0.31	1.17
Duke	ACC	2.64	2.51	81.82	81.74	1.68	1.59
Clemson	ACC	0.43	2.48	69.57	67.70	0.17	0.88
Florida St.	ACC	0.43	2.45	73.91	69.55	0.21	0.96
Boston College	ACC	0.38	2.41	52.17	49.69	0.02	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	2.70	2.09	22.73	25.73	-1.48	-1.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	2.76	2.03	31.82	33.48	-1.00	-0.67
Elon	SC	2.53	1.94	20.00	24.09	-1.52	-1.00
Richmond	A10	2.54	1.91	78.26	73.60	1.43	0.90
William & Mary	CAA	2.54	1.91	66.67	65.46	0.85	0.59
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.49	1.88	31.25	30.82	-0.93	-0.72
Oral Roberts	Sum	2.49	1.85	56.52	60.57	0.33	0.39
East Carolina	CUSA	2.43	1.85	21.05	22.79	-1.41	-1.00
Gonzaga	WCC	2.43	1.81	85.71	86.60	1.74	1.33
Xavier	A10	2.38	1.81	72.73	73.90	1.08	0.87
High Point	BSth	2.38	1.79	45.00	46.08	-0.24	-0.14
Purdue	B10	2.38	1.79	85.71	81.17	1.70	1.11
North Carolina Central	ind	0.38	0.34	4.76	9.78	-0.35	-0.27
Charlotte	A10	0.39	0.31	78.26	71.72	0.22	0.13
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.29	0.23	52.94	56.30	0.02	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.33	0.21	23.81	29.40	-0.17	-0.09
Chattanooga	SC	0.32	0.21	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.32	0.19	77.27	77.12	0.18	0.10
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.22	0.18	20.00	23.58	-0.13	-0.10
Auburn	SEC	0.22	0.18	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.22	0.18	34.78	32.23	-0.07	-0.06
Georgia St.	CAA	0.21	0.18	37.50	38.45	-0.05	-0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.17	0.16	19.05	22.94	-0.11	-0.09
Marshall	CUSA	0.23	0.16	66.67	65.54	0.08	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.22	0.16	52.38	56.23	0.01	0.02
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.16	0.16	21.05	22.43	-0.09	-0.09
George Mason	CAA	0.16	0.15	62.50	57.74	0.04	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.16	0.15	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.22	0.15	45.83	47.77	-0.02	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.11	0.15	12.50	15.31	-0.08	-0.11
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.15	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.22	0.15	42.86	41.05	-0.03	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.11	0.15	71.43	69.51	0.05	0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.21	0.15	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.21	0.15	54.55	55.07	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.16	0.15	72.73	71.91	0.07	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.16	0.15	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.27	0.15	78.26	78.92	0.15	0.09
College of Charleston	SC	0.10	0.15	66.67	65.62	0.03	0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.15	79.17	76.61	0.06	0.08
Ohio St.	B10	0.11	0.15	75.00	73.72	0.05	0.07
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.15	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.18	0.13	55.00	53.61	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.18	0.13	25.00	34.68	-0.09	-0.04
Tulane	CUSA	0.17	0.13	31.82	29.58	-0.06	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.17	0.13	31.82	42.24	-0.06	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.11	0.13	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.17	0.13	80.95	82.07	0.10	0.08
Samford	SC	0.22	0.12	28.57	31.03	-0.09	-0.05
Wofford	SC	0.22	0.12	66.67	67.94	0.07	0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.16	0.12	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.06
Old Dominion	CAA	0.21	0.12	72.00	73.54	0.09	0.06
Minnesota	B10	0.16	0.12	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.12	66.67	59.01	0.04	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.12	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.10	0.12	39.13	36.57	-0.02	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.12	65.22	66.09	0.03	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.06	0.10	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.17	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.11	0.05
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.09	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.11	0.09	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.16	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.16	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.09	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.16	0.09	18.18	21.04	-0.10	-0.05
South Florida	BE	0.17	0.09	65.22	62.18	0.05	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.09	22.73	23.47	-0.03	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.16	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.04	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.09	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.00	0.09	72.00	70.73	0.00	0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.09	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.11	0.09	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
Stanford	P10	0.16	0.09	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.11	0.09	14.29	15.65	-0.08	-0.06
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.15	0.09	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.09	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.10	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.09	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.09	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.06
Temple	A10	0.10	0.09	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.09	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.09	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.09	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.09	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	11.11	20.93	-0.05	-0.04
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	70.83	73.80	0.03	0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	23.81	27.28	-0.04	-0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.07	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.07	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.07	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.07	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.11	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.04	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.05	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.05	-0.03
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.11	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.04
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.09	-0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.00	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.06	40.00	42.64	-0.00	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.06	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.06	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.05
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.07	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.07	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.07	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.04	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.07	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.02	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.00	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.18	-0.03	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.03	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.06	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.05	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.06	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.00	0.03	28.57	36.52	-0.00	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.00	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.00	0.03	56.52	59.89	0.00	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.00	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.00	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.00	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.00	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00