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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Georgia Tech

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:105.0
Current RPI:105
Expected SOS:67
Current SOS:67
Current Record:16-15
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-0
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:168
Expected OOC SOS:267



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
16-15105.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia Tech.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Tennessee Tech (277.0)OVCH70-55W100%0.0
11-14Southern (320.0)SWACH77-62W100%0.0
11-18Ohio (117.0)MACH61-67L0%0.0
11-22Sam Houston St. (194.0)SlndH81-73W100%0.0
11-26Tulane (296.0)AmerH82-68W100%0.0
11-29Penn St. (101.0)B10A67-60L0%0.0
12-3Tennessee (82.0)SECA81-58L0%0.0
12-7VCU (22.0)A10A73-76W100%0.0
12-18Alcorn St. (228.0)SWACH74-50W100%0.0
12-20Georgia (52.0)SECH43-60L0%0.0
12-22Wofford (190.0)SCH76-72W100%0.0
12-28North Carolina A&T (350.0)MEACH59-52W100%0.0
12-31North Carolina (5.0)ACCH75-63W100%0.0
1-4Duke (6.0)ACCA110-57L0%0.0
1-7Louisville (7.0)ACCH50-65L0%0.0
1-12Clemson (69.0)ACCH75-63W100%0.0
1-15North Carolina St. (141.0)ACCA76-86W100%0.0
1-18Virginia Tech (48.0)ACCA62-61L0%0.0
1-21Virginia (18.0)ACCA62-49L0%0.0
1-25Florida St. (14.0)ACCH78-56W100%0.0
1-28Notre Dame (23.0)ACCH62-60W100%0.0
2-1Clemson (69.0)ACCA74-62L0%0.0
2-4Wake Forest (38.0)ACCA81-69L0%0.0
2-11Boston College (219.0)ACCH65-54W100%0.0
2-15Miami FL (41.0)ACCA70-61L0%0.0
2-19Syracuse (84.0)ACCH71-65W100%0.0
2-21North Carolina St. (141.0)ACCH69-71L0%0.0
2-26Notre Dame (23.0)ACCA64-60L0%0.0
2-28Pittsburgh (74.0)ACCH61-52W100%0.0
3-4Syracuse (84.0)ACCA90-61L0%0.0
3-7Pittsburgh (74.0)ACCN59-61L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Georgia Tech's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Georgia Tech's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Georgia Tech.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Georgia TechACC26.0326.0347.0647.06-1.53-1.53
Notre DameACC3.823.8275.0075.001.911.91
PittsburghACC3.823.8248.3948.39-0.12-0.12
ClemsonACC3.823.8253.3353.330.250.25
North Carolina St.ACC3.773.7746.6746.67-0.25-0.25
SyracuseACC3.773.7756.6756.670.500.50
DukeACC2.332.3376.4776.471.231.23
North CarolinaACC2.312.3181.2581.251.441.44
Miami FLACC2.282.2864.5264.520.660.66
VirginiaACC2.282.2867.7467.740.810.81
Florida St.ACC2.282.2878.1278.121.281.28
Wake ForestACC2.262.2658.0658.060.360.36
LouisvilleACC2.252.2574.1974.191.091.09
Virginia TechACC2.232.2367.7467.740.790.79
Boston CollegeACC2.232.2329.0329.03-0.94-0.94
SouthernSWAC1.801.8044.8344.83-0.19-0.19
Tennessee TechOVC1.721.7234.4834.48-0.53-0.53
GeorgiaSEC1.721.7254.8454.840.170.17
TennesseeSEC1.711.7146.6746.67-0.11-0.11
Alcorn St.SWAC1.691.6953.5753.570.120.12
OhioMAC1.691.6962.0762.070.410.41
Sam Houston St.Slnd1.691.6958.6258.620.290.29
Penn St.B101.681.6843.7543.75-0.21-0.21
TulaneAmer1.661.6620.0020.00-1.00-1.00
North Carolina A&TMEAC1.661.663.453.45-1.55-1.55
WoffordSC1.641.6444.8344.83-0.17-0.17
VCUA101.611.6178.7978.790.930.93
South CarolinaSEC0.200.2067.7467.740.070.07
KentuckySEC0.180.1885.2985.290.130.13
Alabama A&MSWAC0.160.166.906.90-0.14-0.14
Texas SouthernSWAC0.160.1667.6567.650.060.06
Grambling St.SWAC0.160.1643.3343.33-0.02-0.02
UNC GreensboroSC0.160.1670.9770.970.070.07
Eastern MichiganMAC0.150.1541.3841.38-0.03-0.03
South Carolina St.MEAC0.150.1531.0331.03-0.06-0.06
NebraskaB100.150.1536.6736.67-0.04-0.04
FloridaSEC0.150.1575.0075.000.070.07
IllinoisB100.150.1554.8454.840.010.01
George WashingtonA100.150.1557.5857.580.020.02
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.140.1421.8821.88-0.08-0.08
Jackson St.SWAC0.140.1441.3841.38-0.02-0.02
ChattanoogaSC0.130.1358.6258.620.020.02
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.130.1337.5037.50-0.03-0.03
McNeese St.Slnd0.130.1319.2319.23-0.08-0.08
Tennessee St.OVC0.130.1353.5753.570.010.01
LSUSEC0.130.1332.2632.26-0.05-0.05
AlabamaSEC0.130.1357.5857.580.020.02
WisconsinB100.130.1373.5373.530.060.06
St. John'sBE0.120.1242.4242.42-0.02-0.02
ColgatePat0.120.1229.0329.03-0.05-0.05
DavidsonA100.120.1253.1253.120.010.01
RichmondA100.120.1262.5062.500.030.03
PurdueB100.120.1278.1278.120.070.07
Alabama St.SWAC0.110.1123.3323.33-0.06-0.06
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.110.1120.0020.00-0.07-0.07
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.110.1135.4835.48-0.03-0.03
Kent St.MAC0.110.1161.7661.760.030.03
FurmanSC0.110.1163.3363.330.030.03
MercerSC0.100.1043.3343.33-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaAmer0.100.1045.4545.45-0.01-0.01
BaylorB120.100.1077.4277.420.060.06
BuffaloMAC0.100.1050.0050.000.000.00
Morehead St.OVC0.100.1042.8642.86-0.01-0.01
MississippiSEC0.100.1060.6160.610.020.02
AuburnSEC0.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
SMUAmer0.100.1088.2488.240.080.08
Boston UniversityPat0.100.1054.8454.840.010.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.100.1068.9768.970.040.04
Appalachian St.SB0.100.1025.0025.00-0.05-0.05
Michigan St.B100.100.1057.5857.580.010.01
IndianaB100.100.1054.5554.550.010.01
VillanovaBE0.100.1091.1891.180.080.08
IowaB100.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
NorthwesternB100.100.1067.6567.650.030.03
DuquesneA100.100.1031.2531.25-0.04-0.04
George MasonA100.100.1059.3859.380.020.02
Houston BaptistSlnd0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
Miami OHMAC0.080.0830.0030.00-0.03-0.03
East Tennessee St.SC0.080.0878.1278.120.040.04
LipscombASun0.080.0856.6756.670.010.01
New OrleansSlnd0.080.0860.7160.710.020.02
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.080.0846.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.080.0834.4834.48-0.02-0.02
The CitadelSC0.080.0830.0030.00-0.03-0.03
VMISC0.080.0814.2914.29-0.06-0.06
Western CarolinaSC0.080.0823.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.080.0853.3353.330.010.01
SamfordSC0.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
ArkansasSEC0.080.0873.5373.530.040.04
TulsaAmer0.080.0846.8846.88-0.00-0.00
HowardMEAC0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Coppin St.MEAC0.080.0823.3323.33-0.04-0.04
RiderMAAC0.080.0854.5554.550.010.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
MissouriSEC0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
VanderbiltSEC0.080.0855.8855.880.010.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.080.0837.0437.04-0.02-0.02
CincinnatiAmer0.080.0885.2985.290.050.05
TempleAmer0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
ConnecticutAmer0.080.0846.8846.88-0.00-0.00
OklahomaB120.080.0835.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Texas A&MSEC0.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
MarshallCUSA0.080.0855.8855.880.010.01
FairfieldMAAC0.080.0853.3353.330.010.01
High PointBSth0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
North FloridaASun0.080.0836.6736.67-0.02-0.02
St. Francis NYNEC0.080.0810.0010.00-0.06-0.06
XavierBE0.080.0861.7661.760.020.02
Charleston SouthernBSth0.070.0732.1432.14-0.03-0.03
MonmouthMAAC0.070.0781.8281.820.050.05
BryantNEC0.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
ColoradoP120.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.070.0735.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Gardner WebbBSth0.070.0753.3353.330.000.00
MarquetteBE0.070.0761.2961.290.020.02
RutgersB100.070.0743.7543.75-0.01-0.01
YaleIvy0.070.0760.7160.710.020.02
MarylandB100.070.0774.1974.190.040.04
MinnesotaB100.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
Rhode IslandA100.070.0772.7372.730.030.03
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.050.0536.0036.00-0.02-0.02
AkronMAC0.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
Austin PeayOVC0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
BelmontOVC0.050.0577.7877.780.030.03
Bowling GreenMAC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Central MichiganMAC0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Delaware St.MEAC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.03-0.03
Florida A&MMEAC0.050.0517.8617.86-0.03-0.03
Incarnate WordSlnd0.050.0532.0032.00-0.02-0.02
Jacksonville St.OVC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
LamarSlnd0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Murray St.OVC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.050.0573.3373.330.030.03
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
ToledoMAC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Western KentuckyCUSA0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Western MichiganMAC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
CaliforniaP120.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
EvansvilleMVC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Coastal CarolinaSB0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
HoustonAmer0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
MemphisAmer0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
South FloridaAmer0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
IonaMAAC0.050.0564.7164.710.020.02
Morgan St.MEAC0.050.0544.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Kansas St.B120.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
MassachusettsA100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Saint LouisA100.050.0536.3636.36-0.01-0.01
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
CornellIvy0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
CreightonBE0.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
GeorgetownBE0.050.0543.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Holy CrossPat0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
MontanaBSky0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
ProvidenceBE0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.050.0584.3884.380.030.03
Long Beach St.BW0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
MichiganB100.050.0568.5768.570.020.02
Ohio St.B100.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
RadfordBSth0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
Nebraska OmahaSum0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
RiceCUSA0.050.0564.5264.520.010.01
KansasB120.050.0587.5087.500.040.04
MaineAE0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
William & MaryCAA0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Chicago St.WAC0.050.0510.3410.34-0.04-0.04
DaytonA100.050.0576.6776.670.030.03
Fort WayneSum0.050.0557.1457.140.010.01
Loyola MDPat0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
SeattleWAC0.050.0537.0437.04-0.01-0.01
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
Louisiana TechCUSA0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
San FranciscoWCC0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Ball St.MAC0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
BradleyMVC0.030.0337.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.030.0344.4444.44-0.00-0.00
HamptonMEAC0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
IdahoBSky0.030.0355.1755.170.000.00
JacksonvilleASun0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Kennesaw St.ASun0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
MilwaukeeHorz0.030.0329.4129.41-0.01-0.01
Norfolk St.MEAC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
North TexasCUSA0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
Northwestern St.Slnd0.030.0336.0036.00-0.01-0.01
PacificWCC0.030.0331.2531.25-0.01-0.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.030.0340.7440.74-0.00-0.00
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
TCUB120.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
Tennessee MartinOVC0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
UABCUSA0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
VermontAE0.030.0384.8584.850.020.02
Arizona St.P120.030.0345.4545.45-0.00-0.00
GonzagaWCC0.030.0396.9796.970.020.02
OregonP120.030.0384.8584.850.020.02
PresbyterianBSth0.030.0310.7110.71-0.02-0.02
Texas St.SB0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
UCFAmer0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
BucknellPat0.030.0376.4776.470.010.01
CharlotteCUSA0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
College of CharlestonCAA0.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
ColumbiaIvy0.030.0338.4638.46-0.01-0.01
DartmouthIvy0.030.0325.9325.93-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
HartfordAE0.030.0328.1228.12-0.01-0.01
HarvardIvy0.030.0361.5461.540.010.01
Iowa St.B120.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
New MexicoMWC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
OaklandHorz0.030.0373.3373.330.010.01
PennIvy0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
Robert MorrisNEC0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.030.0340.6240.62-0.00-0.00
StanfordP120.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Stony BrookAE0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
TexasB120.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
TowsonCAA0.030.0359.3859.380.000.00
UMBCAE0.030.0357.1457.140.000.00
UTEPCUSA0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
West VirginiaB120.030.0376.4776.470.010.01
Wichita St.MVC0.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
AlbanyAE0.020.0260.6160.610.010.01
DetroitHorz0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
HawaiiBW0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
ManhattanMAAC0.020.0231.2531.25-0.01-0.01
Northern IowaMVC0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Oklahoma St.B120.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
WinthropBSth0.020.0280.0080.000.010.01
Wright St.Horz0.020.0260.0060.000.000.00
BinghamtonAE0.020.0231.0331.03-0.01-0.01
FordhamA100.020.0238.7138.71-0.01-0.01
La SalleA100.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
LibertyBSth0.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
Louisiana MonroeSB0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.020.0287.8887.880.020.02
PrincetonIvy0.020.0278.5778.570.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
ElonCAA0.020.0253.3353.330.000.00
MaristMAAC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
UNLVMWC0.020.0234.3834.38-0.01-0.01