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Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


Georgia Tech

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:153.0
Current RPI:153
Expected SOS:35
Current SOS:35
Current Record:12-19
Expected Record:12-19
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-2
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:54
Expected OOC SOS:76



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
12-19153.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Georgia Tech.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Georgia (38.0)SECH80-73W100%0.0
11-18Alabama A&M (330.0)SWACH66-46W100%0.0
11-21IPFW (215.0)SumH78-69W100%0.0
11-27Marquette (147.0)BEN70-72L0%0.0
11-28Rider (140.0)MAACN61-54W100%0.0
11-30Rhode Island (66.0)A10N64-61W100%0.0
12-3Northwestern (125.0)B10A58-66W100%0.0
12-6USC Upstate (208.0)ASunH54-59L0%0.0
12-15Appalachian St. (250.0)SBH70-57W100%0.0
12-20Vanderbilt (104.0)SECH65-60W100%0.0
12-23Dayton (32.0)A10A75-61L0%0.0
12-30Charlotte (211.0)CUSAH67-66W100%0.0
1-3Notre Dame (16.0)ACCA83-76L0%0.0
1-7Syracuse (69.0)ACCH45-46L0%0.0
1-10Wake Forest (150.0)ACCA76-69L0%0.0
1-14Notre Dame (16.0)ACCH59-62L0%0.0
1-17Pittsburgh (76.0)ACCA70-65L0%0.0
1-22Virginia (7.0)ACCA57-28L0%0.0
1-25Boston College (165.0)ACCH62-64L0%0.0
1-28Miami FL (65.0)ACCA50-70W100%0.0
1-31North Carolina St. (39.0)ACCH80-81L0%0.0
2-4Duke (6.0)ACCA72-66L0%0.0
2-7Wake Forest (150.0)ACCH73-59W100%0.0
2-9Virginia Tech (228.0)ACCA65-63L0%0.0
2-14Florida St. (110.0)ACCH53-57L0%0.0
2-16Clemson (106.0)ACCH63-52W100%0.0
2-21North Carolina (11.0)ACCA89-60L0%0.0
2-23Louisville (21.0)ACCH51-52L0%0.0
2-28Clemson (106.0)ACCA70-63L0%0.0
3-3North Carolina (11.0)ACCH49-81L0%0.0
3-10Boston College (165.0)ACCN66-65L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Georgia Tech's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Georgia Tech's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Georgia Tech.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Georgia TechACC26.0326.0334.0434.04-8.31-8.31
North CarolinaACC3.873.8766.6766.671.291.29
Notre DameACC3.873.8784.3884.382.662.66
Boston CollegeACC3.843.8436.6736.67-1.02-1.02
ClemsonACC3.763.7651.7251.720.130.13
Wake ForestACC3.743.7440.0040.00-0.75-0.75
Miami FLACC2.312.3165.6265.620.720.72
DukeACC2.302.3087.5087.501.731.73
Virginia TechACC2.292.2931.2531.25-0.86-0.86
North Carolina St.ACC2.282.2859.3859.380.430.43
Florida St.ACC2.262.2650.0050.000.000.00
VirginiaACC2.252.2590.3290.321.821.82
LouisvilleACC2.222.2274.1974.191.081.08
PittsburghACC2.212.2154.8454.840.210.21
SyracuseACC2.182.1856.6756.670.290.29
DaytonA101.751.7575.0075.000.870.87
CharlotteCUSA1.691.6945.1645.16-0.16-0.16
Alabama A&MSWAC1.691.6929.6329.63-0.69-0.69
GeorgiaSEC1.661.6667.7467.740.590.59
VanderbiltSEC1.661.6660.0060.000.330.33
Appalachian St.SB1.661.6642.8642.86-0.24-0.24
Rhode IslandA101.661.6672.4172.410.740.74
MarquetteBE1.641.6438.7138.71-0.37-0.37
IPFWSum1.611.6150.0050.000.000.00
NorthwesternB101.611.6148.3948.39-0.05-0.05
RiderMAAC1.611.6167.7467.740.570.57
USC UpstateASun1.611.6162.0762.070.390.39
ProvidenceBE0.220.2266.6766.670.070.07
FloridaSEC0.220.2248.4848.48-0.01-0.01
ArkansasSEC0.200.2076.4776.470.110.11
MassachusettsA100.200.2053.1253.120.010.01
South CarolinaSEC0.180.1850.0050.000.000.00
Michigan St.B100.170.1767.6567.650.060.06
La SalleA100.150.1551.5251.520.000.00
PurdueB100.150.1563.6463.640.040.04
TennesseeSEC0.150.1550.0050.000.000.00
DavidsonA100.150.1576.6776.670.080.08
KentuckySEC0.150.15100.00100.000.150.15
JacksonvilleASun0.140.1424.1424.14-0.07-0.07
North FloridaASun0.130.1364.5264.520.040.04
Saint LouisA100.130.1332.2632.26-0.05-0.05
George WashingtonA100.130.1363.6463.640.040.04
Mississippi St.SEC0.130.1338.7138.71-0.03-0.03
RutgersB100.130.1331.2531.25-0.05-0.05
AuburnSEC0.130.1341.1841.18-0.02-0.02
RichmondA100.130.1359.3859.380.020.02
MinnesotaB100.130.1353.1253.120.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.130.1358.0658.060.020.02
IowaB100.120.1265.6265.620.040.04
ButlerBE0.120.1268.7568.750.050.05
Ohio St.B100.120.1269.7069.700.050.05
StetsonASun0.110.1121.4321.43-0.06-0.06
Kennesaw St.ASun0.110.1126.6726.67-0.05-0.05
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.110.1165.5265.520.030.03
Grambling St.SWAC0.110.110.000.00-0.11-0.11
AlabamaSEC0.110.1154.8454.840.010.01
Miami OHMAC0.100.1038.7138.71-0.02-0.02
LSUSEC0.100.1068.7568.750.040.04
FordhamA100.100.1030.0030.00-0.04-0.04
VillanovaBE0.100.1094.1294.120.090.09
DuquesneA100.100.1036.6736.67-0.03-0.03
VCUA100.100.1074.2974.290.050.05
MississippiSEC0.100.1062.5062.500.030.03
St. John'sBE0.100.1064.5264.520.030.03
IndianaB100.100.1060.6160.610.020.02
IonaMAAC0.100.1076.4776.470.050.05
MaristMAAC0.100.1021.8821.88-0.06-0.06
Seton HallBE0.100.1051.6151.610.000.00
ManhattanMAAC0.100.1059.3859.380.020.02
WisconsinB100.100.1091.1891.180.080.08
West VirginiaB120.100.1071.8871.880.040.04
Robert MorrisNEC0.100.1057.5857.580.010.01
BinghamtonAE0.100.1016.6716.67-0.07-0.07
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.100.1050.0050.000.000.00
South DakotaSum0.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
SouthernSWAC0.090.0946.8846.88-0.01-0.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.080.0839.2939.29-0.02-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.080.0818.7518.75-0.05-0.05
Jackson St.SWAC0.080.0834.3834.38-0.03-0.03
TroySB0.080.0829.6329.63-0.03-0.03
HamptonMEAC0.080.0848.4848.48-0.00-0.00
South AlabamaSB0.080.0832.2632.26-0.03-0.03
LipscombASun0.080.0839.2939.29-0.02-0.02
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.080.0823.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Northern KentuckyASun0.080.0839.2939.29-0.02-0.02
Florida A&MMEAC0.080.086.906.90-0.07-0.07
Saint Joseph'sA100.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.080.0848.4848.48-0.00-0.00
FIUCUSA0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
MarylandB100.080.0881.8281.820.050.05
UMass LowellAE0.080.0839.2939.29-0.02-0.02
OaklandHorz0.080.0846.6746.67-0.01-0.01
NebraskaB100.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
MichiganB100.080.0848.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Norfolk St.MEAC0.080.0858.0658.060.010.01
Louisiana TechCUSA0.080.0875.0075.000.040.04
Texas A&MSEC0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
GeorgetownBE0.080.0867.7467.740.030.03
HarvardIvy0.080.0874.0774.070.040.04
MarshallCUSA0.080.0830.0030.00-0.03-0.03
NiagaraMAAC0.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
PrincetonIvy0.080.0851.7251.720.000.00
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.080.0847.0647.06-0.00-0.00
SamfordSC0.080.0838.7138.71-0.02-0.02
UNC AshevilleBSth0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.080.0860.0060.000.020.02
ElonCAA0.070.0741.9441.94-0.01-0.01
FairfieldMAAC0.070.0722.5822.58-0.04-0.04
IllinoisB100.070.0759.3859.380.010.01
Morgan St.MEAC0.070.0722.5822.58-0.04-0.04
Penn St.B100.070.0752.9452.940.000.00
HartfordAE0.070.0744.8344.83-0.01-0.01
UABCUSA0.070.0754.5554.550.010.01
DenverSum0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
IUPUISum0.060.0632.2632.26-0.02-0.02
North Dakota St.Sum0.060.0670.0070.000.020.02
Oral RobertsSum0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
South Dakota St.Sum0.060.0667.7467.740.020.02
Western IllinoisSum0.060.0623.0823.08-0.03-0.03
Alabama St.SWAC0.060.0662.9662.960.010.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.060.0616.6716.67-0.04-0.04
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.060.0637.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.060.0643.7543.75-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.060.0664.7164.710.020.02
Arkansas Little RockSB0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Arkansas St.SB0.060.0635.7135.71-0.02-0.02
Georgia SouthernSB0.060.0667.8667.860.020.02
Georgia St.SB0.060.0671.8871.880.020.02
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.060.0658.6258.620.010.01
Texas St.SB0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
Jacksonville St.OVC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Western MichiganMAC0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Bowling GreenMAC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
FurmanSC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
HofstraCAA0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
BrownIvy0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
KansasB120.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Southern MissCUSA0.050.0525.9325.93-0.03-0.03
Gardner WebbBSth0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
High PointBSth0.050.0567.8667.860.020.02
NevadaMWC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
WinthropBSth0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
George MasonA100.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
UCFAmer0.050.0537.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Holy CrossPat0.050.0544.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Long Beach St.BW0.050.0545.1645.16-0.00-0.00
MissouriSEC0.050.0525.8125.81-0.02-0.02
PennIvy0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Tennessee St.OVC0.050.0510.3410.34-0.04-0.04
BucknellPat0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
CanisiusMAAC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
CreightonBE0.050.0542.4242.42-0.01-0.01
DePaulBE0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.050.0525.9325.93-0.02-0.02
Kansas St.B120.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
MaineAE0.050.0510.0010.00-0.04-0.04
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.050.0552.9452.940.000.00
MonmouthMAAC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
New HampshireAE0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
New MexicoMWC0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.050.0526.9226.92-0.02-0.02
North TexasCUSA0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.050.0577.4277.420.030.03
QuinnipiacMAAC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
RiceCUSA0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
SienaMAAC0.050.0535.4835.48-0.01-0.01
TulaneAmer0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
USCP120.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
XavierBE0.050.0561.7661.760.010.01
College of CharlestonCAA0.050.0527.2727.27-0.02-0.02
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0590.9190.910.040.04
Savannah St.MEAC0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
Charleston SouthernBSth0.050.0559.2659.260.010.01
ConnecticutAmer0.050.0558.8258.820.010.01
PresbyterianBSth0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
South FloridaAmer0.050.0525.8125.81-0.02-0.02
The CitadelSC0.050.0529.6329.63-0.02-0.02
WoffordSC0.050.0581.2581.250.030.03
Chicago St.WAC0.050.0517.2417.24-0.03-0.03
Coppin St.MEAC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
NavyPat0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Northern IllinoisMAC0.050.0544.8344.83-0.00-0.00
East CarolinaAmer0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.050.0575.8675.860.020.02
UCLAP120.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
UNC GreensboroSC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
William & MaryCAA0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
Cal PolyBW0.030.0340.7440.74-0.01-0.01
DartmouthIvy0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Illinois St.MVC0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0338.4638.46-0.01-0.01
ValparaisoHorz0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
Murray St.OVC0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
OhioMAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Cal St. FullertonBW0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
DetroitHorz0.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
MemphisAmer0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
UMKCWAC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Wright St.Horz0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
BaylorB120.030.0371.8871.880.010.01
CaliforniaP120.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
ColgatePat0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
CornellIvy0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
Loyola MDPat0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Western CarolinaSC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
YaleIvy0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
Arizona St.P120.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
BryantNEC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.030.0322.5822.58-0.01-0.01
Central ConnecticutNEC0.030.0316.1316.13-0.02-0.02
Central MichiganMAC0.030.0371.4371.430.010.01
ChattanoogaSC0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
ColoradoP120.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
GonzagaWCC0.030.0393.9493.940.020.02
HawaiiBW0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
James MadisonCAA0.030.0359.3859.380.000.00
LehighPat0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
MercerSC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
NJITind0.030.0356.0056.000.000.00
North DakotaBSky0.030.0321.4321.43-0.01-0.01
San Diego St.MWC0.030.0375.7675.760.010.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.030.0329.0329.03-0.01-0.01
Stony BrookAE0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
Tennessee MartinOVC0.030.0357.1457.140.000.00
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
UTEPCUSA0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
UTSACUSA0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
WagnerNEC0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
AkronMAC0.020.0258.8258.820.000.00
ArmyPat0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Boise St.MWC0.020.0274.1974.190.010.01
Boston UniversityPat0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
CincinnatiAmer0.020.0268.7568.750.010.01
DrexelCAA0.020.0237.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.020.0260.7160.710.010.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Green BayHorz0.020.0273.3373.330.010.01
HowardMEAC0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
LibertyBSth0.020.0214.2914.29-0.02-0.02
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
NortheasternCAA0.020.0267.6567.650.010.01
RadfordBSth0.020.0262.0762.070.010.01
StanfordP120.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
TempleAmer0.020.0269.7069.700.010.01
ToledoMAC0.020.0260.6160.610.010.01
VMISC0.020.0232.1432.14-0.01-0.01