The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated North Carolina St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 10, 2010.

North Carolina St.

Conference:		ACC
Expected RPI:		105.0
Current RPI:		105
Expected SOS:		69
Current SOS:		81
Current Record:		17-14
Expected Record:		17-15
Current Conf Record:		5-11
Expected Conf Record:		5-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC RPI:		106
Expected OOC SOS:		274

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-14	96.3	20.44%
17-15	107.2	79.56%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-12	Georgia St. (248.6)	CAA	H	69-53	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Akron (94.7)	MAC	N	66-45	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Austin Peay (164.8)	OVC	N	66-59	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Auburn (146.1)	SEC	N	60-58	W	100%	0.0
11-29	New Orleans (324.8)	SB	H	69-52	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Northwestern (117.8)	B10	H	53-65	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Marquette (50.5)	BE	A	77-73	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Georgia Southern (287.7)	SC	H	75-57	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Elon (271.3)	SC	H	79-76	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Wake Forest (34.1)	ACC	A	59-67	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Arizona (86.5)	P10	A	74-76	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Winthrop (161.0)	BSth	H	68-52	W	100%	0.0
12-31	NC Greensboro (246.7)	SC	A	89-67	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Florida (53.9)	SEC	H	61-62	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Holy Cross (274.7)	Pat	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Virginia (138.2)	ACC	H	62-70	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Florida St. (34.2)	ACC	A	88-81	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Clemson (27.2)	ACC	H	70-73	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Duke (2.4)	ACC	H	88-74	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Maryland (18.7)	ACC	A	64-88	L	0%	0.0
1-26	North Carolina (85.5)	ACC	H	63-77	L	0%	0.0
1-30	North Carolina Central (345.4)	ind	H	77-42	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Virginia (138.2)	ACC	A	47-59	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Georgia Tech (44.9)	ACC	A	71-73	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Virginia Tech (48.0)	ACC	H	52-72	L	0%	0.0
2-13	North Carolina (85.5)	ACC	A	61-74	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Maryland (18.7)	ACC	H	58-67	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Wake Forest (34.1)	ACC	H	68-54	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Miami FL (117.2)	ACC	A	71-66	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Virginia Tech (48.0)	ACC	A	59-71	L	0%	0.0
3-7	Boston College (106.5)	ACC	H	66-54	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Clemson (27.2)	ACC	N	0-0		20%	-7.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

North Carolina St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

North Carolina St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against North Carolina St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Carolina St.	ACC	26.12	26.14	51.05	50.02	0.55	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	3.83	3.72	75.00	75.00	1.91	1.86
Virginia	ACC	3.83	3.75	44.44	44.45	-0.43	-0.42
Wake Forest	ACC	3.82	3.74	69.23	68.84	1.47	1.41
North Carolina	ACC	3.81	3.73	48.28	47.84	-0.13	-0.16
Maryland	ACC	3.77	3.69	74.07	74.07	1.81	1.78
Florida St.	ACC	2.29	2.26	75.86	75.86	1.19	1.17
Miami FL	ACC	2.28	2.27	60.71	60.05	0.49	0.46
Clemson	ACC	2.24	3.72	68.97	68.97	0.85	1.41
Duke	ACC	2.24	2.21	86.67	86.67	1.64	1.62
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.21	2.23	60.71	60.85	0.47	0.48
Boston College	ACC	2.18	2.21	51.72	51.84	0.08	0.08
NC Greensboro	SC	1.94	1.90	26.67	26.67	-0.90	-0.89
Elon	SC	1.75	1.69	26.67	26.67	-0.82	-0.79
Auburn	SEC	1.75	1.72	48.28	47.49	-0.06	-0.09
North Carolina Central	ind	1.75	1.69	12.50	13.24	-1.31	-1.24
Georgia Southern	SC	1.74	1.69	24.14	24.14	-0.90	-0.87
Florida	SEC	1.69	1.66	63.33	63.72	0.45	0.46
Georgia St.	CAA	1.67	1.61	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.43
Akron	MAC	1.67	1.61	72.41	72.39	0.75	0.72
Austin Peay	OVC	1.64	1.59	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.05
Marquette	BE	1.64	1.59	70.00	69.13	0.66	0.61
Winthrop	BSth	1.64	1.61	58.62	58.62	0.28	0.28
Arizona	P10	1.61	1.56	51.72	52.13	0.06	0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	1.61	1.56	30.00	30.00	-0.65	-0.62
New Orleans	SB	1.61	1.56	22.22	22.22	-0.90	-0.87
Northwestern	B10	1.61	1.56	60.00	60.56	0.32	0.33
Longwood	ind	0.23	0.22	29.63	29.63	-0.09	-0.09
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.22	0.21	29.03	29.03	-0.09	-0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.22	0.21	80.00	80.00	0.13	0.13
College of Charleston	SC	0.21	0.23	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Furman	SC	0.21	0.23	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.21	0.23	63.33	63.33	0.06	0.06
High Point	BSth	0.20	0.19	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.19	0.18	34.62	34.62	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.18	44.83	45.22	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.20	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.19	0.18	76.67	76.80	0.10	0.10
Chattanooga	SC	0.19	0.18	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.18	0.18	64.52	64.52	0.05	0.05
Presbyterian	BSth	0.18	0.20	13.33	13.33	-0.14	-0.15
Wofford	SC	0.18	0.18	75.76	75.76	0.09	0.09
Penn St.	B10	0.16	0.15	36.67	36.13	-0.04	-0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.16	0.15	19.23	19.23	-0.10	-0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.16	0.15	93.55	93.55	0.14	0.13
East Carolina	CUSA	0.14	0.16	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.08
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.14	0.16	32.00	33.42	-0.05	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.14	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.14	0.13	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.08
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.16	33.33	32.99	-0.05	-0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.14	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.13	32.26	31.86	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.13	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.13	43.33	42.53	-0.02	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.13	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.13	0.13	28.57	28.57	-0.06	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.10	77.42	77.79	0.06	0.06
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.10	76.67	76.31	0.06	0.05
Troy	SB	0.11	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.10	56.25	55.05	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.13	80.00	79.26	0.06	0.07
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.11	0.10	24.00	24.00	-0.06	-0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.10	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.10	54.84	54.23	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.10	76.67	77.26	0.06	0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.10	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.10	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	44.83	46.01	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.10	90.32	89.58	0.08	0.08
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Colgate	Pat	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	86.67	86.67	0.06	0.06
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.93	26.48	-0.04	-0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.75	18.71	-0.05	-0.05
Southern California	P10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.10	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.08	7.41	7.41	-0.07	-0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.07	60.00	60.65	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.08	0.08	70.97	71.30	0.03	0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.07	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.08	0.08	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.08	0.08	22.58	22.58	-0.04	-0.04
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.08	0.07	36.67	35.65	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.07	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.08	0.08	73.33	72.97	0.04	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.10	58.06	56.85	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.08	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
American	Pat	0.08	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.05	35.48	35.08	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.05	43.33	44.10	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.05	76.67	76.44	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.04	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.05	0.03	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.98	0.04	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.41	72.70	0.02	0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.08	43.33	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.58	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.08	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.08	46.43	47.53	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	36.67	35.83	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.86	76.36	0.03	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.62	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.82	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	71.43	70.82	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	62.07	62.74	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	68.75	67.91	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	75.00	74.46	0.03	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	28.57	27.67	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.20	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.56	54.66	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.52	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	61.29	60.56	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	64.52	63.57	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	47.08	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.10	87.43	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.48	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.58	0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.89	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	73.08	73.18	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.93	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.02	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.03	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.02	77.42	76.84	0.01	0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.02	64.00	64.72	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.07	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.02	80.00	80.10	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Carolina St.	ACC	26.12	26.14	51.05	50.02	0.55	0.01
Virginia	ACC	3.83	3.75	44.44	44.45	-0.43	-0.42
Wake Forest	ACC	3.82	3.74	69.23	68.84	1.47	1.41
North Carolina	ACC	3.81	3.73	48.28	47.84	-0.13	-0.16
Clemson	ACC	2.24	3.72	68.97	68.97	0.85	1.41
Virginia Tech	ACC	3.83	3.72	75.00	75.00	1.91	1.86
Maryland	ACC	3.77	3.69	74.07	74.07	1.81	1.78
Miami FL	ACC	2.28	2.27	60.71	60.05	0.49	0.46
Florida St.	ACC	2.29	2.26	75.86	75.86	1.19	1.17
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.21	2.23	60.71	60.85	0.47	0.48
Boston College	ACC	2.18	2.21	51.72	51.84	0.08	0.08
Duke	ACC	2.24	2.21	86.67	86.67	1.64	1.62
NC Greensboro	SC	1.94	1.90	26.67	26.67	-0.90	-0.89
Auburn	SEC	1.75	1.72	48.28	47.49	-0.06	-0.09
Elon	SC	1.75	1.69	26.67	26.67	-0.82	-0.79
North Carolina Central	ind	1.75	1.69	12.50	13.24	-1.31	-1.24
Georgia Southern	SC	1.74	1.69	24.14	24.14	-0.90	-0.87
Florida	SEC	1.69	1.66	63.33	63.72	0.45	0.46
Georgia St.	CAA	1.67	1.61	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.43
Akron	MAC	1.67	1.61	72.41	72.39	0.75	0.72
Winthrop	BSth	1.64	1.61	58.62	58.62	0.28	0.28
Marquette	BE	1.64	1.59	70.00	69.13	0.66	0.61
Austin Peay	OVC	1.64	1.59	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.05
Arizona	P10	1.61	1.56	51.72	52.13	0.06	0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	1.61	1.56	30.00	30.00	-0.65	-0.62
New Orleans	SB	1.61	1.56	22.22	22.22	-0.90	-0.87
Northwestern	B10	1.61	1.56	60.00	60.56	0.32	0.33
Furman	SC	0.21	0.23	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.21	0.23	63.33	63.33	0.06	0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.21	0.23	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Longwood	ind	0.23	0.22	29.63	29.63	-0.09	-0.09
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.22	0.21	80.00	80.00	0.13	0.13
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.22	0.21	29.03	29.03	-0.09	-0.09
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.20	50.00	49.79	0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.18	0.20	13.33	13.33	-0.14	-0.15
High Point	BSth	0.20	0.19	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.19	0.18	34.62	34.62	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.18	44.83	45.22	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.18	0.18	64.52	64.52	0.05	0.05
Chattanooga	SC	0.19	0.18	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Wofford	SC	0.18	0.18	75.76	75.76	0.09	0.09
Wisconsin	B10	0.19	0.18	76.67	76.80	0.10	0.10
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.14	0.16	32.00	33.42	-0.05	-0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.14	0.16	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.08
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.16	33.33	32.99	-0.05	-0.05
Penn St.	B10	0.16	0.15	36.67	36.13	-0.04	-0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.13	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.16	0.15	19.23	19.23	-0.10	-0.09
Kentucky	SEC	0.16	0.15	93.55	93.55	0.14	0.13
William & Mary	CAA	0.14	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.14	0.13	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.13	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.14	0.13	59.38	59.38	0.03	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.13	32.26	31.86	-0.05	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.11	0.13	80.00	79.26	0.06	0.07
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.13	43.33	42.53	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.13	0.13	28.57	28.57	-0.06	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.13	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.11	0.11	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.10	56.25	55.05	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.11	0.10	24.00	24.00	-0.06	-0.05
Troy	SB	0.11	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.10	77.42	77.79	0.06	0.06
Radford	BSth	0.11	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.10	76.67	76.31	0.06	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.11	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.10	54.84	54.23	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.10	50.00	51.01	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.10	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.10	76.67	77.26	0.06	0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.10	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.05
Illinois	B10	0.08	0.10	58.06	56.85	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.11	0.10	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.10	44.83	46.01	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.10	0.10	90.32	89.58	0.08	0.08
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Colgate	Pat	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.08	0.08	80.65	80.65	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	86.67	86.67	0.06	0.06
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.08	0.08	7.41	7.41	-0.07	-0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.08	0.08	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.08	0.08	22.58	22.58	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.93	26.48	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.08	0.08	18.75	18.71	-0.05	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Drake	MVC	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.08	0.08	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.08	0.08	70.97	71.30	0.03	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.08	51.72	50.94	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.08	46.43	47.53	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.08	0.08	73.33	72.97	0.04	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.08	72.41	72.70	0.02	0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.08	43.33	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Minnesota	B10	0.08	0.07	60.00	60.65	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.08	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.08	0.07	45.16	45.11	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.06
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.08	0.07	36.67	35.65	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.07	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.08	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Providence	BE	0.08	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.06	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.06	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.06	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.05	35.48	35.08	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
New Hampshire	AE	0.06	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.05	43.33	44.10	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	83.87	83.98	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.05	76.67	76.44	0.03	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.04	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.05	0.05	70.00	70.65	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.05	0.03	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	36.67	35.83	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.33	43.70	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.86	76.36	0.03	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	50.31	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	46.67	45.55	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.01