The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated North Carolina St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

North Carolina St.

Conference:		ACC
Expected RPI:		98.0
Current RPI:		98
Expected SOS:		69
Current SOS:		69
Current Record:		19-15
Expected Record:		19-15
Current Conf Record:		7-12
Expected Conf Record:		7-12
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC RPI:		109
Expected OOC SOS:		277

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-15		98.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-12	Georgia St. (248.0)	CAA	H	69-53	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Akron (89.0)	MAC	N	66-45	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Austin Peay (162.0)	OVC	N	66-59	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	N	60-58	W	100%	0.0
11-29	New Orleans (323.0)	SB	H	69-52	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Northwestern (116.0)	B10	H	53-65	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Marquette (50.0)	BE	A	77-73	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Georgia Southern (288.0)	SC	H	75-57	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Elon (269.0)	SC	H	79-76	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Wake Forest (40.0)	ACC	A	59-67	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Arizona (96.0)	P10	A	74-76	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Winthrop (160.0)	BSth	H	68-52	W	100%	0.0
12-31	NC Greensboro (249.0)	SC	A	89-67	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Florida (56.0)	SEC	H	61-62	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Holy Cross (274.0)	Pat	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Virginia (127.0)	ACC	H	62-70	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Florida St. (42.0)	ACC	A	88-81	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	H	70-73	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Duke (3.0)	ACC	H	88-74	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	A	64-88	L	0%	0.0
1-26	North Carolina (92.0)	ACC	H	63-77	L	0%	0.0
1-30	North Carolina Central (347.0)	ind	H	77-42	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Virginia (127.0)	ACC	A	47-59	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	A	71-73	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Virginia Tech (54.0)	ACC	H	52-72	L	0%	0.0
2-13	North Carolina (92.0)	ACC	A	61-74	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Maryland (24.0)	ACC	H	58-67	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Wake Forest (40.0)	ACC	H	68-54	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Miami FL (99.0)	ACC	A	71-66	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Virginia Tech (54.0)	ACC	A	59-71	L	0%	0.0
3-7	Boston College (125.0)	ACC	H	66-54	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Clemson (34.0)	ACC	N	59-57	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Florida St. (42.0)	ACC	N	58-52	W	100%	0.0
3-13	Georgia Tech (33.0)	ACC	N	54-57	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

North Carolina St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

North Carolina St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against North Carolina St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Carolina St.	ACC	26.19	26.19	52.53	52.53	1.33	1.33
Georgia Tech	ACC	3.67	3.67	61.29	61.29	0.83	0.83
Florida St.	ACC	3.62	3.62	75.86	75.86	1.87	1.87
North Carolina	ACC	3.58	3.58	46.67	46.67	-0.24	-0.24
Virginia	ACC	3.58	3.58	44.83	44.83	-0.37	-0.37
Clemson	ACC	3.58	3.58	68.97	68.97	1.36	1.36
Maryland	ACC	3.57	3.57	71.43	71.43	1.53	1.53
Wake Forest	ACC	3.57	3.57	66.67	66.67	1.19	1.19
Virginia Tech	ACC	3.56	3.56	72.41	72.41	1.60	1.60
Miami FL	ACC	2.26	2.26	61.29	61.29	0.51	0.51
Duke	ACC	2.25	2.25	87.88	87.88	1.70	1.70
Boston College	ACC	2.13	2.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	1.78	1.78	26.67	26.67	-0.83	-0.83
Auburn	SEC	1.63	1.63	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Elon	SC	1.59	1.59	26.67	26.67	-0.74	-0.74
Florida	SEC	1.59	1.59	62.50	62.50	0.40	0.40
Georgia Southern	SC	1.59	1.59	24.14	24.14	-0.82	-0.82
North Carolina Central	ind	1.59	1.59	12.50	12.50	-1.19	-1.19
Georgia St.	CAA	1.54	1.54	36.67	36.67	-0.41	-0.41
Akron	MAC	1.52	1.52	71.88	71.88	0.66	0.66
Marquette	BE	1.52	1.52	68.75	68.75	0.57	0.57
Winthrop	BSth	1.52	1.52	58.62	58.62	0.26	0.26
Austin Peay	OVC	1.49	1.49	51.72	51.72	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	1.47	1.47	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	1.47	1.47	30.00	30.00	-0.59	-0.59
New Orleans	SB	1.47	1.47	22.22	22.22	-0.82	-0.82
Northwestern	B10	1.47	1.47	59.38	59.38	0.28	0.28
Furman	SC	0.22	0.22	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.22	0.22	63.33	63.33	0.06	0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.21	0.21	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Longwood	ind	0.20	0.20	29.63	29.63	-0.08	-0.08
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.20	0.20	80.00	80.00	0.12	0.12
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.19	0.19	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Chattanooga	SC	0.19	0.19	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.19	0.19	13.33	13.33	-0.14	-0.14
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.19	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.18	0.18	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.17	0.17	34.62	34.62	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.17	0.17	64.52	64.52	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.17	0.17	75.76	75.76	0.09	0.09
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.16	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
East Carolina	CUSA	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.15	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.09
Indiana	B10	0.15	0.15	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.14	0.14	32.00	32.00	-0.05	-0.05
Liberty	BSth	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.14	0.14	19.23	19.23	-0.09	-0.09
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.14	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.14	94.12	94.12	0.12	0.12
William & Mary	CAA	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.12	0.12	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.12	31.25	31.25	-0.05	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.12	0.12	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.12	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.10	7.41	7.41	-0.08	-0.08
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.10	24.00	24.00	-0.05	-0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.09	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Colgate	Pat	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.07	0.07	22.58	22.58	-0.04	-0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.04	0.04	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.04	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.04	0.04	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.04	0.04	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.04	0.04	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.04	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.04	0.04	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.04	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.04	0.04	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.04	0.04	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.02	0.02	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Bryant	ind	0.02	0.02	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.02	0.02	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Maine	AE	0.02	0.02	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.02	0.02	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.02	0.02	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.02	0.02	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.02	0.02	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.02	0.02	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.02	0.02	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.02	0.02	81.82	81.82	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Carolina St.	ACC	26.19	26.19	52.53	52.53	1.33	1.33
Georgia Tech	ACC	3.67	3.67	61.29	61.29	0.83	0.83
Florida St.	ACC	3.62	3.62	75.86	75.86	1.87	1.87
North Carolina	ACC	3.58	3.58	46.67	46.67	-0.24	-0.24
Virginia	ACC	3.58	3.58	44.83	44.83	-0.37	-0.37
Clemson	ACC	3.58	3.58	68.97	68.97	1.36	1.36
Maryland	ACC	3.57	3.57	71.43	71.43	1.53	1.53
Wake Forest	ACC	3.57	3.57	66.67	66.67	1.19	1.19
Virginia Tech	ACC	3.56	3.56	72.41	72.41	1.60	1.60
Miami FL	ACC	2.26	2.26	61.29	61.29	0.51	0.51
Duke	ACC	2.25	2.25	87.88	87.88	1.70	1.70
Boston College	ACC	2.13	2.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	1.78	1.78	26.67	26.67	-0.83	-0.83
Auburn	SEC	1.63	1.63	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Elon	SC	1.59	1.59	26.67	26.67	-0.74	-0.74
Florida	SEC	1.59	1.59	62.50	62.50	0.40	0.40
Georgia Southern	SC	1.59	1.59	24.14	24.14	-0.82	-0.82
North Carolina Central	ind	1.59	1.59	12.50	12.50	-1.19	-1.19
Georgia St.	CAA	1.54	1.54	36.67	36.67	-0.41	-0.41
Akron	MAC	1.52	1.52	71.88	71.88	0.66	0.66
Marquette	BE	1.52	1.52	68.75	68.75	0.57	0.57
Winthrop	BSth	1.52	1.52	58.62	58.62	0.26	0.26
Austin Peay	OVC	1.49	1.49	51.72	51.72	0.05	0.05
Arizona	P10	1.47	1.47	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	1.47	1.47	30.00	30.00	-0.59	-0.59
New Orleans	SB	1.47	1.47	22.22	22.22	-0.82	-0.82
Northwestern	B10	1.47	1.47	59.38	59.38	0.28	0.28
Furman	SC	0.22	0.22	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.22	0.22	63.33	63.33	0.06	0.06
College of Charleston	SC	0.21	0.21	65.62	65.62	0.07	0.07
Longwood	ind	0.20	0.20	29.63	29.63	-0.08	-0.08
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.20	0.20	80.00	80.00	0.12	0.12
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.19	0.19	29.03	29.03	-0.08	-0.08
Chattanooga	SC	0.19	0.19	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.19	0.19	13.33	13.33	-0.14	-0.14
South Carolina	SEC	0.19	0.19	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.18	0.18	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.17	0.17	34.62	34.62	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.17	0.17	64.52	64.52	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.17	0.17	75.76	75.76	0.09	0.09
Wisconsin	B10	0.16	0.16	74.19	74.19	0.08	0.08
East Carolina	CUSA	0.15	0.15	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Florida International	SB	0.15	0.15	19.35	19.35	-0.09	-0.09
Indiana	B10	0.15	0.15	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.14	0.14	32.00	32.00	-0.05	-0.05
Liberty	BSth	0.14	0.14	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.14	0.14	19.23	19.23	-0.09	-0.09
Penn St.	B10	0.14	0.14	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.14	94.12	94.12	0.12	0.12
William & Mary	CAA	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.12	0.12	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.12	0.12	31.25	31.25	-0.05	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.12	0.12	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.12	0.12	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.12	0.12	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.12	79.41	79.41	0.07	0.07
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.12	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.11	0.11	75.00	75.00	0.06	0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.10	0.10	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.10	0.10	7.41	7.41	-0.08	-0.08
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.10	24.00	24.00	-0.05	-0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.10	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.10	84.38	84.38	0.07	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.09	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.09	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	26.67	26.67	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan	B10	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Murray St.	OVC	0.08	0.08	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.06
Colgate	Pat	0.08	0.08	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.08	0.08	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.07	0.07	22.58	22.58	-0.04	-0.04
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.07	0.07	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Providence	BE	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
St. John's	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.06	0.06	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.05	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02