The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated North Carolina St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

North Carolina St.

Conference:		ACC
Expected RPI:		110.7
Current RPI:		109
Expected SOS:		77
Current SOS:		95
Current Record:		14-10
Expected Record:		17-14
Current Conf Record:		2-7
Expected Conf Record:		5-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC RPI:		103
Expected OOC SOS:		276

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
21-10	64.9	0.18%
20-11	72.7	1.64%
19-12	82.8	7.33%
18-13	94.1	20.14%
17-14	107.2	29.71%
16-15	121.6	26.49%
15-16	137.6	12.60%
14-17	153.7	1.90%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-12	Georgia St. (231.8)	CAA	H	69-53	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Akron (113.3)	MAC	N	66-45	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Austin Peay (129.7)	OVC	N	66-59	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	N	60-58	W	100%	0.0
11-29	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	H	69-52	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	H	53-65	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Marquette (55.4)	BE	A	77-73	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Georgia Southern (296.7)	SC	H	75-57	W	100%	0.0
12-17	Elon (282.7)	SC	H	79-76	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Wake Forest (25.2)	ACC	A	59-67	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Arizona (81.7)	P10	A	74-76	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Winthrop (181.1)	BSth	H	68-52	W	100%	0.0
12-31	NC Greensboro (263.1)	SC	A	89-67	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Florida (50.5)	SEC	H	61-62	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	H	87-70	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Virginia (92.0)	ACC	H	62-70	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Florida St. (41.5)	ACC	A	88-81	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Clemson (37.6)	ACC	H	70-73	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Duke (3.7)	ACC	H	88-74	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Maryland (35.5)	ACC	A	64-88	L	0%	0.0
1-26	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	H	63-77	L	0%	0.0
1-30	North Carolina Central (345.5)	ind	H	77-42	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Virginia (92.0)	ACC	A	47-59	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Georgia Tech (25.2)	ACC	A	71-73	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Virginia Tech (62.2)	ACC	H	0-0		53%	0.9
2-13	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	A	0-0		29%	-6.0
2-17	Maryland (35.5)	ACC	H	0-0		34%	-4.4
2-20	Wake Forest (25.2)	ACC	H	0-0		48%	-0.5
2-27	Miami FL (90.7)	ACC	A	0-0		29%	-6.0
3-3	Virginia Tech (62.2)	ACC	A	0-0		26%	-7.1
3-7	Boston College (106.8)	ACC	H	0-0		64%	4.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

North Carolina St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

North Carolina St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against North Carolina St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Carolina St.	ACC	26.22	26.13	54.55	50.48	2.38	0.25
Virginia	ACC	4.41	3.83	63.16	54.13	1.16	0.32
Wake Forest	ACC	2.56	3.82	75.00	70.78	1.28	1.59
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.50	2.21	71.43	66.99	1.07	0.75
Florida St.	ACC	2.50	2.29	77.27	71.89	1.37	1.00
North Carolina	ACC	2.42	3.81	54.55	49.65	0.22	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	2.41	2.24	68.18	65.74	0.88	0.71
Duke	ACC	2.41	2.24	86.36	85.07	1.75	1.57
NC Greensboro	SC	2.37	1.94	22.73	25.73	-1.29	-0.94
Maryland	ACC	2.36	3.77	70.00	66.73	0.94	1.26
Auburn	SEC	2.27	1.75	47.62	44.09	-0.11	-0.21
Georgia Southern	SC	2.22	1.75	18.18	20.83	-1.41	-1.02
Elon	SC	2.18	1.75	20.00	24.09	-1.31	-0.91
Akron	MAC	2.17	1.67	72.73	68.28	0.99	0.61
Florida	SEC	2.17	1.69	72.73	66.65	0.99	0.56
Georgia St.	CAA	2.17	1.67	39.13	39.77	-0.47	-0.34
Austin Peay	OVC	2.13	1.64	54.55	57.00	0.19	0.23
Marquette	BE	2.13	1.64	68.18	68.37	0.77	0.60
North Carolina Central	ind	2.13	1.75	5.00	10.17	-1.92	-1.39
Winthrop	BSth	2.13	1.64	55.00	56.91	0.21	0.23
Arizona	P10	2.08	1.61	50.00	52.06	0.00	0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	2.08	1.61	27.27	32.15	-0.95	-0.58
New Orleans	SB	2.08	1.61	23.81	23.73	-1.09	-0.85
Northwestern	B10	2.08	1.61	68.18	66.86	0.76	0.54
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.38	3.83	81.82	73.43	0.24	1.79
Miami FL	ACC	0.34	2.27	68.18	62.44	0.12	0.57
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.29	0.22	30.43	32.32	-0.11	-0.08
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.28	0.20	80.95	82.07	0.18	0.13
Chattanooga	SC	0.28	0.17	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.28	0.19	42.86	41.05	-0.04	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.28	2.18	52.17	49.22	0.01	-0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.28	0.22	66.67	65.62	0.09	0.07
High Point	BSth	0.25	0.21	42.86	44.37	-0.04	-0.02
Wofford	SC	0.24	0.17	66.67	67.94	0.08	0.06
Presbyterian	BSth	0.23	0.19	12.50	15.31	-0.17	-0.13
Western Carolina	SC	0.23	0.19	71.43	69.51	0.10	0.08
Wisconsin	B10	0.23	0.19	78.26	78.92	0.13	0.11
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.20	0.20	40.00	40.09	-0.04	-0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.19	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.11	0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.19	0.14	20.00	21.94	-0.11	-0.08
Samford	SC	0.19	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.08	-0.05
Stanford	P10	0.19	0.14	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.19	0.20	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.19	0.11	42.86	41.51	-0.03	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.19	0.14	24.00	23.74	-0.10	-0.07
Troy	SB	0.19	0.11	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.18	0.16	95.65	88.67	0.17	0.12
South Carolina	SEC	0.18	0.19	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.18	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.11	0.07
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.23	23.81	29.40	-0.08	-0.09
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.14	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.15	0.17	29.41	29.63	-0.06	-0.07
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.14	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.12	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.11	-0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.14	0.14	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.05
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.14	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.14	0.17	20.00	23.58	-0.08	-0.09
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.06
Ohio	MAC	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.11	75.00	71.23	0.07	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.14	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.11	0.07
Georgia	SEC	0.14	0.19	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.14	0.08	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.11	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.08	19.05	22.94	-0.08	-0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.08	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.14	0.08	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.10	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.10	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.10	95.83	91.37	0.12	0.09
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.12	-0.07
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.11	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.13	0.08	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.08	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.13	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.08	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.16	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.06
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.11	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.11	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.09	0.09	27.27	31.08	-0.04	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.06
Lipscomb	ASun	0.09	0.05	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.08	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.05
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.09	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.08	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.05	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.05	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.05	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.08	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.09	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.05	83.33	83.91	0.06	0.04
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.05	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.11	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.09	0.05	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.09	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.05	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.05	-0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.09	0.05	72.73	66.85	0.04	0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.11	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.09	0.05	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.09	0.05	63.64	58.79	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.05	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.05	25.00	26.64	-0.04	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.08	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.03	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.08	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.04
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.02	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.02	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.01	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.03	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.03	59.09	51.13	0.01	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.05	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.08	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.04
Drexel	CAA	0.04	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.01	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.04	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Towson	CAA	0.04	0.05	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.04	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.00	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.00	0.05	57.14	58.76	0.00	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.03	15.79	17.64	-0.00	-0.02
Louisville	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.00	0.01
Maine	AE	0.00	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.00	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.00	0.05	8.70	11.46	-0.00	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.00	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.00	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.00	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.00	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.00	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.00	0.05	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.00	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Carolina St.	ACC	26.22	26.13	54.55	50.48	2.38	0.25
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.38	3.83	81.82	73.43	0.24	1.79
Virginia	ACC	4.41	3.83	63.16	54.13	1.16	0.32
Wake Forest	ACC	2.56	3.82	75.00	70.78	1.28	1.59
North Carolina	ACC	2.42	3.81	54.55	49.65	0.22	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	2.36	3.77	70.00	66.73	0.94	1.26
Florida St.	ACC	2.50	2.29	77.27	71.89	1.37	1.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.34	2.27	68.18	62.44	0.12	0.57
Clemson	ACC	2.41	2.24	68.18	65.74	0.88	0.71
Duke	ACC	2.41	2.24	86.36	85.07	1.75	1.57
Georgia Tech	ACC	2.50	2.21	71.43	66.99	1.07	0.75
Boston College	ACC	0.28	2.18	52.17	49.22	0.01	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	2.37	1.94	22.73	25.73	-1.29	-0.94
Elon	SC	2.18	1.75	20.00	24.09	-1.31	-0.91
Auburn	SEC	2.27	1.75	47.62	44.09	-0.11	-0.21
Georgia Southern	SC	2.22	1.75	18.18	20.83	-1.41	-1.02
North Carolina Central	ind	2.13	1.75	5.00	10.17	-1.92	-1.39
Florida	SEC	2.17	1.69	72.73	66.65	0.99	0.56
Akron	MAC	2.17	1.67	72.73	68.28	0.99	0.61
Georgia St.	CAA	2.17	1.67	39.13	39.77	-0.47	-0.34
Austin Peay	OVC	2.13	1.64	54.55	57.00	0.19	0.23
Marquette	BE	2.13	1.64	68.18	68.37	0.77	0.60
Winthrop	BSth	2.13	1.64	55.00	56.91	0.21	0.23
Arizona	P10	2.08	1.61	50.00	52.06	0.00	0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	2.08	1.61	27.27	32.15	-0.95	-0.58
New Orleans	SB	2.08	1.61	23.81	23.73	-1.09	-0.85
Northwestern	B10	2.08	1.61	68.18	66.86	0.76	0.54
Longwood	ind	0.15	0.23	23.81	29.40	-0.08	-0.09
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.29	0.22	30.43	32.32	-0.11	-0.08
College of Charleston	SC	0.28	0.22	66.67	65.62	0.09	0.07
High Point	BSth	0.25	0.21	42.86	44.37	-0.04	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.28	0.20	80.95	82.07	0.18	0.13
Appalachian St.	SC	0.19	0.20	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.04
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.20	0.20	40.00	40.09	-0.04	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.28	0.19	42.86	41.05	-0.04	-0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.23	0.19	71.43	69.51	0.10	0.08
Presbyterian	BSth	0.23	0.19	12.50	15.31	-0.17	-0.13
Georgia	SEC	0.14	0.19	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.18	0.19	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.23	0.19	78.26	78.92	0.13	0.11
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.15	0.17	29.41	29.63	-0.06	-0.07
Chattanooga	SC	0.28	0.17	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.24	0.17	66.67	67.94	0.08	0.06
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.14	0.17	20.00	23.58	-0.08	-0.09
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.16	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.18	0.16	95.65	88.67	0.17	0.12
East Carolina	CUSA	0.19	0.14	20.00	21.94	-0.11	-0.08
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.14	65.22	64.71	0.04	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.14	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.14	0.14	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.05
Florida International	SB	0.19	0.14	24.00	23.74	-0.10	-0.07
Samford	SC	0.19	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.08	-0.05
Indiana	B10	0.14	0.14	40.91	34.84	-0.03	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.05	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.05
Stanford	P10	0.19	0.14	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.18	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.11	0.07
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.12	18.18	21.04	-0.09	-0.07
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.11	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.11	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.19	0.11	42.86	41.51	-0.03	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.11	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.19	0.11	78.26	71.72	0.11	0.05
Richmond	A10	0.14	0.11	75.00	71.23	0.07	0.05
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.11	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.09	0.11	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Troy	SB	0.19	0.11	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.11	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.14	0.11	90.91	82.52	0.11	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.09	0.05
Valparaiso	Horz	0.14	0.11	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.11	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.14	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.14	0.11	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.14	0.10	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.05
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.10	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.10	95.83	91.37	0.12	0.09
Colgate	Pat	0.09	0.09	27.27	31.08	-0.04	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.09	86.96	85.47	0.10	0.06
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.09	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.08	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.07	0.05
Fairfield	MAAC	0.09	0.08	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	38.10	41.29	-0.02	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.08	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.14	0.08	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.14	0.08	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.10	0.08	22.22	27.56	-0.06	-0.04
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.08	5.00	8.59	-0.12	-0.07
American	Pat	0.09	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.05	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.11	-0.05
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.08	23.81	27.31	-0.02	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.13	0.08	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.14	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.09	0.08	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.05
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.08	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.08	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.13	0.08	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.14	0.08	65.22	67.00	0.04	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.08	19.05	22.94	-0.08	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.06
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.08	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.04
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.08	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.08	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.08	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.13	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.08	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.08	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.08	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.03
Illinois	B10	0.14	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.06	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.09	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.06	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.06	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.01	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.01	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.10	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.06	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.05	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.05	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.09	0.05	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.05	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.09	0.05	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.05	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.09	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.05	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.05	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.00	0.05	57.14	58.76	0.00	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.09	0.05	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.05	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.05	25.00	26.64	-0.04	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.00	0.05	8.70	11.46	-0.00	-0.04
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.01	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.04	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00