The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Notre Dame page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Notre Dame

Conference:		BE
Expected RPI:		49.0
Current RPI:		49
Expected SOS:		35
Current SOS:		35
Current Record:		23-11
Expected Record:		23-11
Current Conf Record:		12-9
Expected Conf Record:		12-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		11-2
Expected OOC Record:		11-2
Expected OOC RPI:		72
Expected OOC SOS:		222

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
23-11		49.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Notre Dame.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	North Florida (236.0)	ASun	H	86-65	W	100%	0.0
11-16	St. Francis PA (287.0)	NEC	H	95-72	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Long Beach St. (112.0)	BW	H	82-62	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Liberty (232.0)	BSth	H	91-72	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Kennesaw St. (284.0)	ASun	H	80-62	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Northwestern (116.0)	B10	N	58-72	L	0%	0.0
11-28	St. Louis (86.0)	A10	N	64-52	W	100%	0.0
12-1	Idaho St. (305.0)	BSky	H	80-70	W	100%	0.0
12-6	Central Florida (191.0)	CUSA	H	90-72	W	100%	0.0
12-9	IUPUI (84.0)	Sum	H	93-70	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	H	85-87	L	0%	0.0
12-19	UCLA (137.0)	P10	H	84-73	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Bucknell (258.0)	Pat	H	101-69	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Providence (141.0)	BE	H	93-78	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Connecticut (64.0)	BE	A	70-82	L	0%	0.0
1-5	South Florida (71.0)	BE	A	74-73	W	100%	0.0
1-9	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	H	70-68	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Cincinnati (65.0)	BE	A	58-60	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Syracuse (5.0)	BE	H	71-84	L	0%	0.0
1-23	DePaul (212.0)	BE	H	87-77	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Villanova (14.0)	BE	A	72-90	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Rutgers (161.0)	BE	A	73-74	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Cincinnati (65.0)	BE	H	83-65	W	100%	0.0
2-7	South Florida (71.0)	BE	H	65-62	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	A	87-90	L	0%	0.0
2-14	St. John's (82.0)	BE	H	68-69	L	0%	0.0
2-17	Louisville (37.0)	BE	A	89-91	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Pittsburgh (15.0)	BE	H	68-53	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Georgetown (7.0)	BE	A	78-64	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Connecticut (64.0)	BE	H	58-50	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Marquette (50.0)	BE	A	63-60	W	100%	0.0
3-10	Seton Hall (60.0)	BE	N	68-56	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Pittsburgh (15.0)	BE	N	50-45	W	100%	0.0
3-12	West Virginia (4.0)	BE	N	51-53	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Notre Dame's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Notre Dame's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Notre Dame.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Notre Dame	BE	26.07	26.07	63.97	63.97	7.28	7.28
West Virginia	BE	3.59	3.59	83.87	83.87	2.43	2.43
Cincinnati	BE	3.56	3.56	54.84	54.84	0.34	0.34
South Florida	BE	3.52	3.52	66.67	66.67	1.17	1.17
Seton Hall	BE	3.51	3.51	62.07	62.07	0.85	0.85
Pittsburgh	BE	3.49	3.49	80.00	80.00	2.10	2.10
Connecticut	BE	3.49	3.49	53.33	53.33	0.23	0.23
Georgetown	BE	2.14	2.14	71.88	71.88	0.94	0.94
Marquette	BE	2.10	2.10	68.75	68.75	0.79	0.79
Providence	BE	2.09	2.09	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
St. John's	BE	2.09	2.09	51.61	51.61	0.07	0.07
Rutgers	BE	2.07	2.07	43.33	43.33	-0.28	-0.28
Louisville	BE	2.07	2.07	61.29	61.29	0.47	0.47
DePaul	BE	2.04	2.04	26.67	26.67	-0.95	-0.95
Villanova	BE	2.04	2.04	76.67	76.67	1.09	1.09
Syracuse	BE	2.02	2.02	87.10	87.10	1.50	1.50
Central Florida	CUSA	1.59	1.59	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
North Florida	ASun	1.56	1.56	41.38	41.38	-0.27	-0.27
Long Beach St.	BW	1.56	1.56	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	1.54	1.54	36.67	36.67	-0.41	-0.41
Northwestern	B10	1.52	1.52	59.38	59.38	0.29	0.29
Bucknell	Pat	1.52	1.52	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
Liberty	BSth	1.52	1.52	44.44	44.44	-0.17	-0.17
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.49	1.49	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.49	1.49	37.93	37.93	-0.36	-0.36
St. Louis	A10	1.49	1.49	65.52	65.52	0.46	0.46
UCLA	P10	1.49	1.49	45.16	45.16	-0.14	-0.14
Idaho St.	BSky	1.47	1.47	19.23	19.23	-0.90	-0.90
IUPUI	Sum	1.47	1.47	70.97	70.97	0.62	0.62
Duquesne	A10	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.16	0.16	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.14	0.14	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.14	0.14	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Colgate	Pat	0.14	0.14	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.12	0.12	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.12	0.12	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.12	0.12	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
American	Pat	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.12	0.12	86.21	86.21	0.08	0.08
Pepperdine	WCC	0.12	0.12	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
Texas	B12	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.11	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.11	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.11	80.65	80.65	0.07	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.11	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.11	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.10	24.00	24.00	-0.05	-0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.09	3.33	3.33	-0.09	-0.09
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.09	7.14	7.14	-0.08	-0.08
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.09	0.09	67.86	67.86	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Maine	AE	0.09	0.09	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.09	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.07	0.07	16.13	16.13	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Pacific	BW	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.07	0.07	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.04	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.04	0.04	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.04	0.04	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.04	0.04	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Miami OH	MAC	0.04	0.04	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.04	0.04	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.04	0.04	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.04	0.04	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.04	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.04	0.04	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.04	0.04	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.04	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.04	0.04	9.68	9.68	-0.04	-0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.02	0.02	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.02	0.02	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.02	0.02	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.02	0.02	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.02	0.02	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.02	0.02	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.02	0.02	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.02	0.02	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.02	0.02	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.02	0.02	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.02	0.02	40.74	40.74	-0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.02	0.02	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.02	0.02	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.02	0.02	81.82	81.82	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.02	0.02	70.00	70.00	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.02	0.02	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.02	0.02	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.02	0.02	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.02	0.02	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.02	0.02	18.18	18.18	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Notre Dame	BE	26.07	26.07	63.97	63.97	7.28	7.28
West Virginia	BE	3.59	3.59	83.87	83.87	2.43	2.43
Cincinnati	BE	3.56	3.56	54.84	54.84	0.34	0.34
South Florida	BE	3.52	3.52	66.67	66.67	1.17	1.17
Seton Hall	BE	3.51	3.51	62.07	62.07	0.85	0.85
Pittsburgh	BE	3.49	3.49	80.00	80.00	2.10	2.10
Connecticut	BE	3.49	3.49	53.33	53.33	0.23	0.23
Georgetown	BE	2.14	2.14	71.88	71.88	0.94	0.94
Marquette	BE	2.10	2.10	68.75	68.75	0.79	0.79
Providence	BE	2.09	2.09	40.00	40.00	-0.42	-0.42
St. John's	BE	2.09	2.09	51.61	51.61	0.07	0.07
Rutgers	BE	2.07	2.07	43.33	43.33	-0.28	-0.28
Louisville	BE	2.07	2.07	61.29	61.29	0.47	0.47
DePaul	BE	2.04	2.04	26.67	26.67	-0.95	-0.95
Villanova	BE	2.04	2.04	76.67	76.67	1.09	1.09
Syracuse	BE	2.02	2.02	87.10	87.10	1.50	1.50
Central Florida	CUSA	1.59	1.59	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
North Florida	ASun	1.56	1.56	41.38	41.38	-0.27	-0.27
Long Beach St.	BW	1.56	1.56	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	1.54	1.54	36.67	36.67	-0.41	-0.41
Northwestern	B10	1.52	1.52	59.38	59.38	0.29	0.29
Bucknell	Pat	1.52	1.52	46.67	46.67	-0.10	-0.10
Liberty	BSth	1.52	1.52	44.44	44.44	-0.17	-0.17
Loyola Marymount	WCC	1.49	1.49	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	1.49	1.49	37.93	37.93	-0.36	-0.36
St. Louis	A10	1.49	1.49	65.52	65.52	0.46	0.46
UCLA	P10	1.49	1.49	45.16	45.16	-0.14	-0.14
Idaho St.	BSky	1.47	1.47	19.23	19.23	-0.90	-0.90
IUPUI	Sum	1.47	1.47	70.97	70.97	0.62	0.62
Duquesne	A10	0.19	0.19	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.16	0.16	55.17	55.17	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.14	0.14	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.14	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.14	0.14	85.29	85.29	0.10	0.10
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.14	0.14	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Colgate	Pat	0.14	0.14	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Winthrop	BSth	0.12	0.12	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.12	0.12	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Monmouth	NEC	0.12	0.12	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.12	0.12	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Massachusetts	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
American	Pat	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.12	0.12	86.21	86.21	0.08	0.08
Pepperdine	WCC	0.12	0.12	20.69	20.69	-0.07	-0.07
Texas	B12	0.12	0.12	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.11	85.29	85.29	0.08	0.08
San Francisco	WCC	0.11	0.11	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.11	80.65	80.65	0.07	0.07
Portland	WCC	0.11	0.11	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.11	0.11	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
Montana	BSky	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.10	24.00	24.00	-0.05	-0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.10	35.71	35.71	-0.03	-0.03
Campbell	ASun	0.10	0.10	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.10	0.10	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Southern California	P10	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.09	0.09	3.33	3.33	-0.09	-0.09
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.09	7.14	7.14	-0.08	-0.08
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.09	0.09	67.86	67.86	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	94.12	94.12	0.08	0.08
Maine	AE	0.09	0.09	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.09	0.09	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.09	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Xavier	A10	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.09	0.09	79.41	79.41	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.09	0.09	84.38	84.38	0.06	0.06
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.07	0.07	13.33	13.33	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.07	0.07	16.13	16.13	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.07	0.07	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.07	0.07	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Pacific	BW	0.07	0.07	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.07	0.07	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.07	0.07	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.07	0.07	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.07	0.07	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Butler	Horz	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.67	0.03	0.03
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.02	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.05	0.05	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	19.23	19.23	-0.03	-0.03
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.04	-0.04
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.05	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03