The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Ohio St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Ohio St.

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		38.1
Current RPI:		38
Expected SOS:		76
Current SOS:		79
Current Record:		18-6
Expected Record:		23-8
Current Conf Record:		8-3
Expected Conf Record:		13-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		55
Expected OOC SOS:		148

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
25-6	19.2	6.55%
24-7	26.6	23.95%
23-8	36.2	34.04%
22-9	47.0	24.03%
21-10	57.4	8.94%
20-11	68.2	2.32%
19-12	81.5	0.15%
18-13	99.0	0.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Ohio St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-9	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	H	100-60	W	100%	0.0
11-12	James Madison (244.2)	CAA	H	72-44	W	100%	0.0
11-19	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	N	73-77	L	0%	0.0
11-20	California (24.1)	P10	N	76-70	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	H	84-64	W	100%	0.0
11-28	St. Francis PA (312.5)	NEC	H	110-47	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Florida St. (41.5)	ACC	H	77-64	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	H	111-60	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Butler (17.9)	Horz	A	66-74	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	H	78-48	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Delaware St. (236.6)	MEAC	H	60-44	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	H	72-59	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	A	43-65	L	0%	0.0
1-3	Michigan (143.6)	B10	A	64-73	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Indiana (206.6)	B10	H	79-54	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	A	62-73	L	0%	0.0
1-12	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	70-66	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	H	60-51	W	100%	0.0
1-19	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	H	76-56	W	100%	0.0
1-23	West Virginia (3.9)	BE	A	65-71	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Iowa (199.8)	B10	A	65-57	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	H	85-63	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
2-7	Iowa (199.8)	B10	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Indiana (206.6)	B10	A	0-0		82%	10.1
2-14	Illinois (76.5)	B10	A	0-0		56%	1.5
2-17	Purdue (14.9)	B10	H	0-0		61%	3.2
2-20	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	A	0-0		40%	-2.7
2-24	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	A	0-0		78%	8.2
2-27	Michigan (143.6)	B10	H	0-0		87%	12.5
3-3	Illinois (76.5)	B10	H	0-0		81%	9.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Ohio St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Ohio St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Ohio St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Ohio St.	B10	26.39	26.27	76.19	75.22	13.82	13.25
Minnesota	B10	4.53	4.00	65.00	65.70	1.36	1.26
Wisconsin	B10	4.49	3.97	80.95	80.99	2.78	2.46
Iowa	B10	4.45	3.98	36.36	32.95	-1.21	-1.36
Penn St.	B10	2.68	3.97	36.36	33.73	-0.73	-1.29
Purdue	B10	2.68	4.02	90.48	86.26	2.17	2.92
Michigan	B10	2.63	3.97	42.86	43.08	-0.38	-0.55
Northwestern	B10	2.50	2.50	72.73	70.19	1.14	1.01
Indiana	B10	2.50	4.00	42.86	36.70	-0.36	-1.06
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.75	82.61	83.36	1.48	1.17
West Virginia	BE	2.18	1.69	85.71	81.58	1.56	1.07
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.17	1.69	47.62	48.48	-0.10	-0.05
James Madison	CAA	2.13	1.64	45.45	41.36	-0.19	-0.28
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.13	1.64	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.05
Presbyterian	BSth	2.13	1.69	13.04	15.84	-1.57	-1.16
North Carolina	ACC	2.13	1.69	54.55	50.36	0.19	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.08	1.61	0.00	5.32	-2.08	-1.44
California	P10	2.08	1.61	68.18	70.77	0.76	0.67
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.08	1.61	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.09
Florida St.	ACC	2.08	1.64	77.27	71.89	1.14	0.72
Lipscomb	ASun	2.08	1.61	54.55	58.57	0.19	0.28
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.08	1.61	31.82	31.35	-0.76	-0.60
Michigan St.	B10	0.73	2.49	79.17	77.17	0.42	1.36
Illinois	B10	0.54	4.00	66.67	60.89	0.18	0.87
Marquette	BE	0.27	0.19	65.22	66.09	0.08	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.27	0.19	71.43	67.85	0.12	0.07
Detroit	Horz	0.27	0.25	56.52	58.43	0.04	0.04
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.27	0.18	81.82	72.57	0.17	0.08
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.23	0.16	22.73	22.57	-0.12	-0.09
Robert Morris	NEC	0.23	0.16	66.67	64.02	0.08	0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.22	0.16	4.76	9.78	-0.20	-0.13
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.22	0.16	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.22	0.16	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P10	0.20	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.19	0.19	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.19	0.11	36.84	39.02	-0.05	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.18	0.22	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.18	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.08	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.18	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.18	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.18	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.10	0.06
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.18	0.16	20.00	23.58	-0.11	-0.08
Iowa St.	B12	0.18	0.10	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.16	0.15	11.11	20.93	-0.12	-0.09
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.16	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.06
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.15	0.09	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.14	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.14	0.08	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.11	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.06	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.14	0.14	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.14	0.11	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.08
Miami FL	ACC	0.14	0.13	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.14	0.08	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.11	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.09
Notre Dame	BE	0.14	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.14	0.16	8.70	9.54	-0.11	-0.13
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.13	66.67	57.29	0.05	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.14	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.13	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.09
Florida International	SB	0.14	0.08	24.00	23.74	-0.07	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.11	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.14	0.11	23.53	25.88	-0.07	-0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.10	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.14	0.08	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.11	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.13	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.13	0.19	69.57	66.88	0.05	0.06
Liberty	BSth	0.13	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.13	0.10	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.04
Texas	B12	0.13	0.10	82.61	78.76	0.09	0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.10	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.10	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.11	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.11	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.08	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.09	0.05	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.11	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.05	68.42	67.04	0.03	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.14	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.09	0.05	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.05	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.06
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.13	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
American	Pat	0.09	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.05	36.36	36.06	-0.02	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.13	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.09
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.09	0.08	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.09	0.08	8.70	11.46	-0.07	-0.06
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.08	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.05	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.06
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.05	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.08	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.08	19.05	20.58	-0.05	-0.05
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.05	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.09	0.05	80.95	82.07	0.05	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.07	0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.05	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.05	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.07	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.03	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.09
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.11	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.08	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.07
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.08	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.11	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.08	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.04
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.03	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.02	-0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.03	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.03	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	75.69	0.02	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.05	0.03	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.04
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.04	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.04	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.04	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.04	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.04	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.02	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.04	0.05	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.04	0.05	33.33	37.71	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.04	0.03	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.04	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.03	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.04	0.05	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.04	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.00	0.05	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.05	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.00	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.05	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.02
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.05	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.05	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.00	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.00	0.03

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Ohio St.	B10	26.39	26.27	76.19	75.22	13.82	13.25
Purdue	B10	2.68	4.02	90.48	86.26	2.17	2.92
Minnesota	B10	4.53	4.00	65.00	65.70	1.36	1.26
Illinois	B10	0.54	4.00	66.67	60.89	0.18	0.87
Indiana	B10	2.50	4.00	42.86	36.70	-0.36	-1.06
Iowa	B10	4.45	3.98	36.36	32.95	-1.21	-1.36
Penn St.	B10	2.68	3.97	36.36	33.73	-0.73	-1.29
Wisconsin	B10	4.49	3.97	80.95	80.99	2.78	2.46
Michigan	B10	2.63	3.97	42.86	43.08	-0.38	-0.55
Northwestern	B10	2.50	2.50	72.73	70.19	1.14	1.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.73	2.49	79.17	77.17	0.42	1.36
Butler	Horz	2.27	1.75	82.61	83.36	1.48	1.17
West Virginia	BE	2.18	1.69	85.71	81.58	1.56	1.07
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.17	1.69	47.62	48.48	-0.10	-0.05
North Carolina	ACC	2.13	1.69	54.55	50.36	0.19	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	2.13	1.69	13.04	15.84	-1.57	-1.16
James Madison	CAA	2.13	1.64	45.45	41.36	-0.19	-0.28
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.13	1.64	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.05
Florida St.	ACC	2.08	1.64	77.27	71.89	1.14	0.72
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.08	1.61	0.00	5.32	-2.08	-1.44
California	P10	2.08	1.61	68.18	70.77	0.76	0.67
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.08	1.61	50.00	52.85	0.00	0.09
Lipscomb	ASun	2.08	1.61	54.55	58.57	0.19	0.28
St. Francis PA	NEC	2.08	1.61	31.82	31.35	-0.76	-0.60
Detroit	Horz	0.27	0.25	56.52	58.43	0.04	0.04
Valparaiso	Horz	0.18	0.22	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.27	0.19	65.22	66.09	0.08	0.06
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.19	0.19	36.36	37.37	-0.05	-0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.27	0.19	71.43	67.85	0.12	0.07
Clemson	ACC	0.13	0.19	69.57	66.88	0.05	0.06
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.27	0.18	81.82	72.57	0.17	0.08
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.14	0.16	8.70	9.54	-0.11	-0.13
Robert Morris	NEC	0.23	0.16	66.67	64.02	0.08	0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.23	0.16	22.73	22.57	-0.12	-0.09
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.22	0.16	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.22	0.16	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.18	0.16	20.00	23.58	-0.11	-0.08
North Carolina Central	ind	0.22	0.16	4.76	9.78	-0.20	-0.13
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.16	0.15	11.11	20.93	-0.12	-0.09
Ball St.	MAC	0.14	0.14	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.14	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.18	0.14	28.57	27.72	-0.08	-0.06
Arizona	P10	0.18	0.14	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.14	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.14	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.13	66.67	57.29	0.05	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.14	0.13	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.13	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.09
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.13	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.13	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.09
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.16	0.12	70.83	73.80	0.06	0.06
UCLA	P10	0.20	0.11	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.11	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.09
Jacksonville	ASun	0.18	0.11	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.09	0.11	18.18	21.04	-0.06	-0.06
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.11	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.14	0.11	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.11	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.13	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.14	0.11	66.67	69.41	0.05	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.14	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.13	0.09
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.11	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.11	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.14	0.11	95.65	88.67	0.13	0.08
George Mason	CAA	0.14	0.11	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.11	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.04
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.11	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.18	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.11	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.19	0.11	36.84	39.02	-0.05	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.18	0.11	79.17	77.30	0.10	0.06
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.11	72.73	68.13	0.06	0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.14	0.11	23.53	25.88	-0.07	-0.05
Iowa St.	B12	0.18	0.10	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.10	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.13	0.10	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.13	0.10	82.61	78.76	0.09	0.06
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.11	0.10	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.10	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.11	0.09	66.67	67.74	0.04	0.03
Howard	MEAC	0.11	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.15	0.09	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.08	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.09	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.06	-0.06
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.08	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.14	0.08	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.08	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.14	0.08	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.10	0.08	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.09	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.08	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.08	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.05	0.08	0.00	4.18	-0.05	-0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.14	0.08	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.08	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.14	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.06	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.08	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.09	0.08	8.70	11.46	-0.07	-0.06
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.08	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.03
Portland	WCC	0.14	0.08	61.90	65.68	0.03	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.09	0.08	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.08	72.73	66.85	0.06	0.03
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.09	0.08	73.91	67.72	0.04	0.03
Florida International	SB	0.14	0.08	24.00	23.74	-0.07	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.09	0.08	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.13	0.08	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.07
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.09	0.08	28.57	36.52	-0.04	-0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.04	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.08	19.05	20.58	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.13	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.00	0.08	66.67	67.94	0.00	0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.07	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.11	0.06	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.11	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.05	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.09	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.09	0.06	33.33	33.00	-0.03	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.09	0.06	39.13	41.53	-0.02	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.09	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.02	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.09	0.06	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.06	16.00	21.62	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.05	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.09	0.05	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.05	36.36	36.06	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.09	0.05	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.09	0.05	80.95	82.07	0.05	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.04	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.02	0.03
High Point	BSth	0.04	0.05	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.05	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.04	0.05	33.33	37.71	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.05	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.05	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.09	0.05	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.05	68.42	67.04	0.03	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.05	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.05	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.05	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.09	0.05	21.05	22.43	-0.05	-0.03
Washington	P10	0.05	0.05	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.05	68.18	66.65	0.03	0.02
Winthrop	BSth	0.04	0.05	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.05	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.05	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.09	0.05	66.67	65.54	0.03	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.05	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.09	0.05	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.00	0.05	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.05	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.09	0.05	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	22.73	27.28	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri	B12	0.00	0.05	73.91	70.60	0.00	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.07	0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.05	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Maine	AE	0.06	0.03	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.06	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.03	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01