The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Saint Joseph's page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Saint Joseph's

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		177.5
Current RPI:		171
Expected SOS:		65
Current SOS:		72
Current Record:		9-14
Expected Record:		11-19
Current Conf Record:		3-6
Expected Conf Record:		5-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		4-1
Current OOC Record:		6-8
Expected OOC Record:		6-8
Expected OOC RPI:		138
Expected OOC SOS:		38

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
15-15	105.2	0.12%
14-16	121.5	1.10%
13-17	140.3	7.17%
12-18	159.9	21.16%
11-19	177.4	34.90%
10-20	193.9	27.61%
9-21	210.2	7.93%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Saint Joseph's.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Drexel (105.7)	CAA	H	77-67	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Holy Cross (269.0)	Pat	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Boston College (106.8)	ACC	N	84-80	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Purdue (14.9)	B10	N	60-85	L	0%	0.0
11-23	DePaul (180.2)	BE	N	51-58	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Rider (159.5)	MAAC	A	73-81	L	0%	0.0
12-6	Cornell (52.1)	Ivy	A	66-78	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Villanova (6.2)	BE	N	89-97	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	A	74-97	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Lehigh (160.8)	Pat	H	77-66	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Siena (34.4)	MAAC	A	75-92	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Princeton (120.1)	Ivy	H	62-70	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Temple (24.9)	A10	A	46-73	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Fordham (296.2)	A10	H	82-69	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	A	74-101	L	0%	0.0
1-16	St. Bonaventure (184.1)	A10	A	65-68	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Towson (292.1)	CAA	H	64-57	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Dayton (32.1)	A10	H	60-59	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Pennsylvania (297.7)	Ivy	A	85-64	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Massachusetts (194.2)	A10	H	80-87	L	0%	0.0
1-31	Duquesne (123.2)	A10	A	71-74	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Richmond (38.1)	A10	H	58-68	L	0%	0.0
2-7	St. Bonaventure (184.1)	A10	H	78-71	W	100%	0.0
2-9	St. Louis (124.0)	A10	H	0-0		48%	-0.6
2-14	Massachusetts (194.2)	A10	A	0-0		36%	-3.9
2-17	Xavier (26.6)	A10	A	0-0		4%	-19.2
2-20	Temple (24.9)	A10	H	0-0		21%	-8.8
2-24	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	A	0-0		14%	-11.9
3-3	George Washington (136.9)	A10	A	0-0		21%	-8.8
3-6	La Salle (138.5)	A10	H	0-0		54%	1.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Saint Joseph's's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Saint Joseph's's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Saint Joseph's.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Saint Joseph's	A10	26.25	26.02	35.48	33.77	-7.62	-8.45
St. Bonaventure	A10	4.50	3.79	38.89	42.08	-1.00	-0.60
Massachusetts	A10	2.62	3.87	28.57	27.91	-1.12	-1.71
Dayton	A10	2.58	2.26	76.19	74.39	1.35	1.10
Temple	A10	2.57	3.87	78.26	76.75	1.46	2.07
Rhode Island	A10	2.56	2.32	85.71	80.84	1.83	1.43
Drexel	CAA	2.48	1.84	58.33	57.77	0.41	0.29
Duquesne	A10	2.47	2.21	47.62	47.98	-0.12	-0.09
Villanova	BE	2.47	1.89	90.48	81.91	2.00	1.21
Fordham	A10	2.42	2.23	10.00	9.20	-1.93	-1.82
Richmond	A10	2.37	2.21	73.91	70.27	1.13	0.89
Lehigh	Pat	2.36	1.81	68.18	68.09	0.86	0.65
Holy Cross	Pat	2.32	1.84	27.27	32.15	-1.05	-0.66
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.31	1.92	17.65	20.68	-1.50	-1.13
Towson	CAA	2.31	1.78	23.81	24.34	-1.21	-0.91
Boston College	ACC	2.27	1.75	54.55	50.44	0.21	0.02
Cornell	Ivy	2.27	1.90	85.00	85.06	1.59	1.33
Rider	MAAC	2.27	1.78	50.00	47.65	0.00	-0.08
Siena	MAAC	2.26	1.77	82.61	80.60	1.48	1.09
DePaul	BE	2.22	1.69	31.82	31.61	-0.81	-0.62
Minnesota	B10	2.22	1.72	61.90	63.44	0.53	0.46
Purdue	B10	2.22	1.72	85.71	81.17	1.59	1.07
Princeton	Ivy	2.17	1.81	68.75	69.86	0.82	0.72
George Washington	A10	0.46	2.26	54.55	54.21	0.04	0.19
La Salle	A10	0.45	2.35	47.83	46.35	-0.02	-0.17
St. John's	BE	0.40	0.28	54.55	49.24	0.04	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.37	0.29	23.81	27.31	-0.19	-0.13
Xavier	A10	0.34	2.18	69.57	70.58	0.13	0.90
Charlotte	A10	0.30	2.18	78.26	71.22	0.17	0.92
St. Louis	A10	0.30	2.17	61.90	56.27	0.07	0.27
Delaware	CAA	0.29	0.25	26.09	26.91	-0.14	-0.12
Manhattan	MAAC	0.29	0.20	33.33	35.33	-0.10	-0.06
Marist	MAAC	0.29	0.20	4.17	4.73	-0.27	-0.18
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.27	0.24	15.79	17.64	-0.19	-0.15
Harvard	Ivy	0.27	0.26	73.68	75.41	0.13	0.13
Lafayette	Pat	0.27	0.20	60.87	59.16	0.06	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.25	0.19	34.78	32.23	-0.08	-0.07
Rutgers	BE	0.25	0.23	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.25	0.20	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.24	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.10	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	0.24	0.20	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.24	0.20	69.57	64.51	0.09	0.06
Old Dominion	CAA	0.24	0.20	72.00	73.54	0.10	0.09
Northeastern	CAA	0.23	0.14	66.67	68.11	0.08	0.05
Yale	Ivy	0.22	0.24	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.22	0.12	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.21	0.17	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.21	0.14	95.83	91.37	0.19	0.12
Navy	Pat	0.20	0.20	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.20	0.14	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.20	0.24	40.00	39.13	-0.04	-0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.20	0.20	57.14	57.47	0.03	0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.12	68.18	68.72	0.07	0.04
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.14	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.19	0.14	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.19	0.20	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.19	0.14	77.27	73.36	0.10	0.06
American	Pat	0.19	0.14	30.43	32.39	-0.07	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.19	0.14	77.27	77.12	0.10	0.08
Iona	MAAC	0.18	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.05
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.18	0.11	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Maine	AE	0.16	0.09	63.64	61.86	0.04	0.02
Army	Pat	0.16	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.16	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.06	-0.03
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.07
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.15	0.12	8.70	11.46	-0.13	-0.09
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.05
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.17	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.09
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.15	0.17	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.15	0.11	69.57	71.78	0.06	0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.08	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.14	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.09
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.11	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.14	0.11	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.14	0.14	43.48	47.68	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.14	0.08	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.02
Providence	BE	0.14	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.17	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.14	0.08	30.43	30.27	-0.05	-0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.06
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.13	0.11	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.11	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.04
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.04	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.04
Albany	AE	0.11	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.05
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.11	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.09
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.10	0.09	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.04
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.04
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.11	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.14	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.11	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.09	0.11	27.27	31.08	-0.04	-0.04
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.09	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.05	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.05	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.04
California	P10	0.06	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.04
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.08	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.04	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.04	0.05	66.67	57.29	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.00	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.00	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.00	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.00	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.00	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.00	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.00	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.00	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.00	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.00	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Saint Joseph's	A10	26.25	26.02	35.48	33.77	-7.62	-8.45
Temple	A10	2.57	3.87	78.26	76.75	1.46	2.07
Massachusetts	A10	2.62	3.87	28.57	27.91	-1.12	-1.71
St. Bonaventure	A10	4.50	3.79	38.89	42.08	-1.00	-0.60
La Salle	A10	0.45	2.35	47.83	46.35	-0.02	-0.17
Rhode Island	A10	2.56	2.32	85.71	80.84	1.83	1.43
Dayton	A10	2.58	2.26	76.19	74.39	1.35	1.10
George Washington	A10	0.46	2.26	54.55	54.21	0.04	0.19
Fordham	A10	2.42	2.23	10.00	9.20	-1.93	-1.82
Duquesne	A10	2.47	2.21	47.62	47.98	-0.12	-0.09
Richmond	A10	2.37	2.21	73.91	70.27	1.13	0.89
Xavier	A10	0.34	2.18	69.57	70.58	0.13	0.90
Charlotte	A10	0.30	2.18	78.26	71.22	0.17	0.92
St. Louis	A10	0.30	2.17	61.90	56.27	0.07	0.27
Pennsylvania	Ivy	2.31	1.92	17.65	20.68	-1.50	-1.13
Cornell	Ivy	2.27	1.90	85.00	85.06	1.59	1.33
Villanova	BE	2.47	1.89	90.48	81.91	2.00	1.21
Drexel	CAA	2.48	1.84	58.33	57.77	0.41	0.29
Holy Cross	Pat	2.32	1.84	27.27	32.15	-1.05	-0.66
Princeton	Ivy	2.17	1.81	68.75	69.86	0.82	0.72
Lehigh	Pat	2.36	1.81	68.18	68.09	0.86	0.65
Rider	MAAC	2.27	1.78	50.00	47.65	0.00	-0.08
Towson	CAA	2.31	1.78	23.81	24.34	-1.21	-0.91
Siena	MAAC	2.26	1.77	82.61	80.60	1.48	1.09
Boston College	ACC	2.27	1.75	54.55	50.44	0.21	0.02
Minnesota	B10	2.22	1.72	61.90	63.44	0.53	0.46
Purdue	B10	2.22	1.72	85.71	81.17	1.59	1.07
DePaul	BE	2.22	1.69	31.82	31.61	-0.81	-0.62
Brown	Ivy	0.37	0.29	23.81	27.31	-0.19	-0.13
St. John's	BE	0.40	0.28	54.55	49.24	0.04	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.27	0.26	73.68	75.41	0.13	0.13
Delaware	CAA	0.29	0.25	26.09	26.91	-0.14	-0.12
Columbia	Ivy	0.20	0.24	40.00	39.13	-0.04	-0.05
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.27	0.24	15.79	17.64	-0.19	-0.15
Yale	Ivy	0.22	0.24	36.36	38.12	-0.06	-0.06
Rutgers	BE	0.25	0.23	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.03
Lafayette	Pat	0.27	0.20	60.87	59.16	0.06	0.04
Navy	Pat	0.20	0.20	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.29	0.20	33.33	35.33	-0.10	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.19	0.20	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.04
Marist	MAAC	0.29	0.20	4.17	4.73	-0.27	-0.18
Canisius	MAAC	0.25	0.20	44.00	45.15	-0.03	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.24	0.20	72.00	73.54	0.10	0.09
Fairfield	MAAC	0.24	0.20	69.57	64.51	0.09	0.06
Niagara	MAAC	0.24	0.20	52.00	51.84	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.20	0.20	57.14	57.47	0.03	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.25	0.19	34.78	32.23	-0.08	-0.07
Davidson	SC	0.21	0.17	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.15	0.17	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.15	0.17	79.17	76.61	0.09	0.09
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.17	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.01
Army	Pat	0.16	0.15	57.14	59.04	0.02	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.21	0.14	95.83	91.37	0.19	0.12
Binghamton	AE	0.20	0.14	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.03
American	Pat	0.19	0.14	30.43	32.39	-0.07	-0.05
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.14	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.24	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.10	0.05
George Mason	CAA	0.19	0.14	62.50	57.74	0.05	0.02
Providence	BE	0.14	0.14	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.23	0.14	66.67	68.11	0.08	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.15	0.14	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.15	0.14	86.36	82.20	0.11	0.09
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.19	0.14	77.27	77.12	0.10	0.08
Miami OH	MAC	0.14	0.14	43.48	47.68	-0.02	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.19	0.14	65.22	66.09	0.06	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.19	0.14	77.27	73.36	0.10	0.06
Monmouth	NEC	0.22	0.12	41.67	42.69	-0.04	-0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.20	0.12	68.18	68.72	0.07	0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.15	0.12	8.70	11.46	-0.13	-0.09
Colgate	Pat	0.09	0.11	27.27	31.08	-0.04	-0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.15	0.11	69.57	71.78	0.06	0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.14	0.11	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.15	0.11	82.61	82.33	0.10	0.07
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.11	72.73	68.13	0.04	0.04
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.11	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.10	0.11	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.11	75.00	73.72	0.07	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.11	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.04
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.09
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.11	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.14	0.11	52.38	51.63	0.01	0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.18	0.11	72.00	70.73	0.08	0.05
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.18	0.11	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.13	0.11	58.33	58.93	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.09	0.11	81.82	72.57	0.06	0.05
Maine	AE	0.16	0.09	63.64	61.86	0.04	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.16	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.06	-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.05	-0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.10	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.10	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.10	0.09	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.14	0.08	30.43	30.27	-0.05	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.10	0.08	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.08	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.06
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.08	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.14	0.08	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.08	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.08	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.08	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.08	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.09	0.08	36.36	37.37	-0.03	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.04	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.04	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.11	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.06	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.09	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.05	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.04
Vermont	AE	0.10	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.03	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.88	0.04	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.02
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.06	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.04	0.05	66.67	57.29	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.05	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.04
California	P10	0.06	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.06	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.00	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.00	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.00	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.00	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.00	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.00	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Elon	SC	0.00	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.00	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.00	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.00	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.00	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.00	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.00	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.00	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.00	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.03	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.02	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.00	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.00	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.04	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.02	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Villanova	BE	2.47	1.89	90.48	81.91	2.00	1.21
Rhode Island	A10	2.56	2.32	85.71	80.84	1.83	1.43
Purdue	B10	2.22	1.72	85.71	81.17	1.59	1.07
Cornell	Ivy	2.27	1.90	85.00	85.06	1.59	1.33
Siena	MAAC	2.26	1.77	82.61	80.60	1.48	1.09
Temple	A10	2.57	3.87	78.26	76.75	1.46	2.07
Dayton	A10	2.58	2.26	76.19	74.39	1.35	1.10
Richmond	A10	2.37	2.21	73.91	70.27	1.13	0.89
Lehigh	Pat	2.36	1.81	68.18	68.09	0.86	0.65
Princeton	Ivy	2.17	1.81	68.75	69.86	0.82	0.72