The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Virginia Commonwealth page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Virginia Commonwealth

Conference:		CAA
Expected RPI:		42.9
Current RPI:		50
Expected SOS:		112
Current SOS:		119
Current Record:		17-5
Expected Record:		22-6
Current Conf Record:		9-4
Expected Conf Record:		13-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-0
Current OOC Record:		8-1
Expected OOC Record:		9-1
Expected OOC RPI:		14
Expected OOC SOS:		63

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-5	29.7	14.06%
22-6	38.4	43.96%
21-7	48.9	30.98%
20-8	59.4	9.63%
19-9	70.3	1.33%
18-10	84.0	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Virginia Commonwealth.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Bethune Cookman (226.7)	MEAC	H	77-51	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Western Michigan (121.8)	MAC	A	67-83	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Oklahoma (79.3)	B12	H	82-69	W	100%	0.0
11-23	Hampton (281.7)	MEAC	A	63-52	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Nevada (64.4)	WAC	H	85-76	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	H	82-80	W	100%	0.0
12-5	William & Mary (55.5)	CAA	A	74-75	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Richmond (37.8)	A10	H	65-57	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Tulane (256.8)	CUSA	A	78-77	W	100%	0.0
12-29	East Carolina (243.8)	CUSA	H	82-74	W	100%	0.0
1-2	NC Wilmington (225.2)	CAA	H	91-57	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Northeastern (48.5)	CAA	H	57-62	L	0%	0.0
1-6	Drexel (103.4)	CAA	A	72-75	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Delaware (221.5)	CAA	H	77-64	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Hofstra (173.8)	CAA	A	81-68	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Georgia St. (232.4)	CAA	A	82-69	W	100%	0.0
1-20	William & Mary (55.5)	CAA	H	81-59	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Northeastern (48.5)	CAA	A	62-74	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Towson (288.2)	CAA	H	112-53	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Georgia St. (232.4)	CAA	H	78-62	W	100%	0.0
2-3	NC Wilmington (225.2)	CAA	A	73-60	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Old Dominion (34.0)	CAA	H	70-58	W	100%	0.0
2-9	George Mason (132.2)	CAA	A	0-0		74%	6.8
2-13	James Madison (252.8)	CAA	A	0-0		87%	12.4
2-16	Drexel (103.4)	CAA	H	0-0		86%	11.9
2-20	Akron (114.2)	MAC	H	0-0		86%	11.6
2-24	James Madison (252.8)	CAA	H	0-0		97%	20.3
2-27	Old Dominion (34.0)	CAA	A	0-0		30%	-5.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Virginia Commonwealth's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Virginia Commonwealth's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Virginia Commonwealth.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	26.48	26.25	78.89	79.08	15.30	15.27
NC Wilmington	CAA	5.17	4.34	31.82	33.23	-1.88	-1.46
Northeastern	CAA	5.17	4.37	63.64	65.88	1.41	1.39
William & Mary	CAA	5.16	4.39	70.00	67.92	2.06	1.57
Georgia St.	CAA	5.12	4.34	40.91	41.17	-0.93	-0.77
Old Dominion	CAA	3.10	4.38	75.00	76.24	1.55	2.30
Drexel	CAA	3.05	4.35	54.17	55.89	0.25	0.51
Delaware	CAA	3.04	2.65	30.43	30.53	-1.19	-1.03
Hofstra	CAA	2.91	2.62	47.83	49.44	-0.13	-0.03
Towson	CAA	2.88	2.67	27.27	27.08	-1.31	-1.22
Hampton	MEAC	2.53	1.97	36.36	44.77	-0.69	-0.21
Richmond	A10	2.52	2.00	78.26	73.59	1.42	0.94
Rhode Island	A10	2.41	1.96	90.48	84.44	1.95	1.35
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.37	1.90	55.00	55.77	0.24	0.22
Western Michigan	MAC	2.37	1.88	52.38	55.04	0.11	0.19
Tulane	CUSA	2.33	1.88	33.33	30.62	-0.78	-0.73
East Carolina	CUSA	2.32	1.85	21.05	22.78	-1.35	-1.01
Nevada	WAC	2.27	1.79	60.00	62.71	0.45	0.45
Oklahoma	B12	2.27	1.79	61.90	52.90	0.54	0.10
George Mason	CAA	0.81	2.67	62.50	58.85	0.20	0.47
James Madison	CAA	0.78	4.34	41.67	40.71	-0.13	-0.81
Wake Forest	ACC	0.30	0.18	76.19	71.16	0.16	0.08
George Washington	A10	0.30	0.24	54.55	55.03	0.03	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.25	0.27	27.27	31.42	-0.11	-0.10
Marshall	CUSA	0.21	0.19	66.67	65.51	0.07	0.06
Utah St.	WAC	0.20	0.12	73.91	76.68	0.10	0.06
Miami FL	ACC	0.20	0.12	68.18	62.71	0.07	0.03
La Salle	A10	0.20	0.12	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.20	0.18	18.18	21.04	-0.13	-0.11
Howard	MEAC	0.20	0.21	24.00	26.47	-0.10	-0.10
Temple	A10	0.20	0.15	79.17	77.60	0.12	0.08
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.21	78.26	71.74	0.11	0.09
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.19	0.15	39.13	36.58	-0.04	-0.04
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.12	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.13	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.05
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.12	30.43	32.84	-0.06	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.12	23.81	30.79	-0.08	-0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.09	72.00	73.85	0.07	0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.15	0.09	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.09	60.87	56.52	0.03	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.15	0.12	33.33	35.30	-0.05	-0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.15	0.09	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.12	69.57	68.49	0.06	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.15	0.18	72.73	71.93	0.07	0.08
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.21	47.62	46.89	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.15	0.15	69.57	70.34	0.06	0.06
Penn St.	B10	0.15	0.09	34.78	32.21	-0.04	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.15	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.15	0.12	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.12	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.14	0.12	73.91	70.59	0.07	0.05
South Florida	BE	0.14	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.09	66.67	57.28	0.05	0.01
Elon	SC	0.14	0.09	22.73	26.15	-0.08	-0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.09	84.00	81.56	0.10	0.06
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.14	0.12	21.05	22.44	-0.08	-0.07
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.13	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.13	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.09	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.11	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.09	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.05
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.15	22.73	25.50	-0.06	-0.07
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.15	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	27.78	28.62	-0.05	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.10	1.85	69.57	67.78	0.04	0.66
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.10	0.06	26.09	31.04	-0.05	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.91	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.54	0.04	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.21	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	75.68	0.06	0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.12	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.12	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.18	9.52	8.90	-0.08	-0.15
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.12	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.35	0.03	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.45	0.05	0.04
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	47.68	-0.02	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.15	8.70	10.07	-0.08	-0.12
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.06	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.09	54.17	57.60	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.09	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.05	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.06	17.39	20.02	-0.06	-0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.03	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.09	0.09	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.06	86.96	84.64	0.07	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.09	16.67	19.93	-0.06	-0.05
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.09	68.00	67.16	0.03	0.03
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.12	91.30	85.32	0.08	0.08
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.09	4.76	9.60	-0.05	-0.07
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.09	91.30	88.20	0.05	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.04	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.94	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.17	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.52	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.12	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.06
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.35	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.02
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.30	-0.03	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.09	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.02	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.09	36.36	37.42	-0.01	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.85	0.02	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.09	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.15	72.00	70.67	0.02	0.06
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.09	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.07
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.71	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.69	0.02	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.83	93.08	0.04	0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.15	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.20	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.12	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.58	0.03	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.68	0.04	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.09	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.09	30.43	30.24	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	47.14	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.06	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.06	44.00	45.16	-0.00	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.03	15.79	17.63	-0.00	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.00	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.00	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.00	0.06	20.00	23.49	-0.00	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	72.73	68.10	0.00	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.00	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.00	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.00	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.00	0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.66	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	86.96	85.51	0.00	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.00	0.03
Rider	MAAC	0.00	0.03	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.06	40.00	42.60	-0.00	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.00	0.06	43.48	43.05	-0.00	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.03	43.48	43.62	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	26.48	26.25	78.89	79.08	15.30	15.27
William & Mary	CAA	5.16	4.39	70.00	67.92	2.06	1.57
Old Dominion	CAA	3.10	4.38	75.00	76.24	1.55	2.30
Northeastern	CAA	5.17	4.37	63.64	65.88	1.41	1.39
Drexel	CAA	3.05	4.35	54.17	55.89	0.25	0.51
NC Wilmington	CAA	5.17	4.34	31.82	33.23	-1.88	-1.46
James Madison	CAA	0.78	4.34	41.67	40.71	-0.13	-0.81
Georgia St.	CAA	5.12	4.34	40.91	41.17	-0.93	-0.77
George Mason	CAA	0.81	2.67	62.50	58.85	0.20	0.47
Towson	CAA	2.88	2.67	27.27	27.08	-1.31	-1.22
Delaware	CAA	3.04	2.65	30.43	30.53	-1.19	-1.03
Hofstra	CAA	2.91	2.62	47.83	49.44	-0.13	-0.03
Richmond	A10	2.52	2.00	78.26	73.59	1.42	0.94
Hampton	MEAC	2.53	1.97	36.36	44.77	-0.69	-0.21
Rhode Island	A10	2.41	1.96	90.48	84.44	1.95	1.35
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.37	1.90	55.00	55.77	0.24	0.22
Tulane	CUSA	2.33	1.88	33.33	30.62	-0.78	-0.73
Western Michigan	MAC	2.37	1.88	52.38	55.04	0.11	0.19
Akron	MAC	0.10	1.85	69.57	67.78	0.04	0.66
East Carolina	CUSA	2.32	1.85	21.05	22.78	-1.35	-1.01
Nevada	WAC	2.27	1.79	60.00	62.71	0.45	0.45
Oklahoma	B12	2.27	1.79	61.90	52.90	0.54	0.10
Longwood	ind	0.25	0.27	27.27	31.42	-0.11	-0.10
George Washington	A10	0.30	0.24	54.55	55.03	0.03	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.20	0.21	24.00	26.47	-0.10	-0.10
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.21	78.26	71.74	0.11	0.09
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.15	0.21	47.62	46.89	-0.01	-0.01
Radford	BSth	0.10	0.21	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.21	0.19	66.67	65.51	0.07	0.06
Wake Forest	ACC	0.30	0.18	76.19	71.16	0.16	0.08
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.20	0.18	18.18	21.04	-0.13	-0.11
Dayton	A10	0.15	0.18	72.73	71.93	0.07	0.08
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.18	9.52	8.90	-0.08	-0.15
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.15	55.56	56.61	0.01	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	50.00	52.71	0.00	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.15	72.00	70.67	0.02	0.06
Temple	A10	0.20	0.15	79.17	77.60	0.12	0.08
Kent St.	MAC	0.15	0.15	69.57	70.34	0.06	0.06
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.10	0.15	22.73	25.50	-0.06	-0.07
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.15	8.70	10.07	-0.08	-0.12
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.19	0.15	39.13	36.58	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.11	0.13	47.62	44.50	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.13	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.05
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.13	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.16	0.12	47.62	50.86	-0.01	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.15	0.12	45.00	43.94	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.16	0.12	30.43	32.84	-0.06	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.20	0.12	68.18	62.71	0.07	0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.12	23.81	30.79	-0.08	-0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.15	0.12	33.33	35.30	-0.05	-0.04
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.12	47.62	45.72	-0.00	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.12	55.00	51.98	0.01	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.12	79.17	73.38	0.03	0.06
Miami OH	MAC	0.10	0.12	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.20	0.12	73.91	76.68	0.10	0.06
La Salle	A10	0.20	0.12	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.12	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.12	69.57	68.49	0.06	0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.14	0.12	21.05	22.44	-0.08	-0.07
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.12	50.00	49.73	0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.12	91.30	85.32	0.08	0.08
Missouri	B12	0.14	0.12	73.91	70.59	0.07	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.11	0.09	77.27	70.95	0.06	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.09	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.09	77.27	75.68	0.06	0.05
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.10	0.09	27.78	28.62	-0.05	-0.04
Campbell	ASun	0.15	0.09	57.14	58.73	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.15	0.09	72.00	73.85	0.07	0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.09	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.15	0.09	56.52	59.88	0.02	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.09	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.09	50.00	52.27	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.15	0.09	60.87	56.52	0.03	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.09	36.36	37.42	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.09	4.76	9.60	-0.05	-0.07
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.09	91.30	88.20	0.05	0.07
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.09	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.09	69.57	63.54	0.04	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.15	0.09	34.78	32.21	-0.04	-0.03
Providence	BE	0.15	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.09	54.17	57.60	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	44.00	43.19	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.14	0.09	22.73	26.15	-0.08	-0.04
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.14	0.09	84.00	81.56	0.10	0.06
South Florida	BE	0.14	0.09	65.22	62.09	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.09	72.73	66.84	0.02	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.14	0.09	66.67	57.28	0.05	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.09	77.27	73.45	0.05	0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.09	8.33	10.42	-0.04	-0.07
St. Louis	A10	0.09	0.09	61.90	56.09	0.02	0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.09	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.10	0.09	39.13	47.68	-0.02	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.09	50.00	50.01	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.09	0.09	16.67	19.93	-0.06	-0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.09	30.43	30.24	-0.02	-0.03
Vermont	AE	0.09	0.09	68.00	67.16	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.02	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.92	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.06	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.94	-0.00	-0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.10	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.05	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.01	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.10	0.06	26.09	31.04	-0.05	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	48.32	-0.01	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.91	0.04	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	63.64	58.35	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.01	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.06	66.67	64.35	0.03	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.00	0.06	40.00	42.60	-0.00	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.44	0.02	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.06	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.74	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.06	73.91	69.55	0.05	0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.09	0.06	17.39	20.02	-0.06	-0.04
IUPUI	Sum	0.09	0.06	65.22	67.02	0.03	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.06	95.83	93.08	0.04	0.05
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.09	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.06	86.96	84.64	0.07	0.04
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.01	0.03	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.32	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.06	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.09	0.06	62.50	65.37	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.71	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.09	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.00	0.06	52.17	50.20	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.00	0.06	44.00	45.16	-0.00	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.06	85.71	85.58	0.03	0.04
Florida International	SB	0.00	0.06	24.00	23.72	-0.00	-0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.00	0.06	20.00	23.49	-0.00	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.68	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.06	86.96	85.51	0.00	0.04
Ohio St.	B10	0.00	0.06	75.00	73.71	0.00	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.88	-0.00	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.00	0.06	43.48	43.05	-0.00	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.06	0.03	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.06	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.04	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.88	-0.02	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.52	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.83	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	31.58	39.01	-0.02	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.80	0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.30	-0.03	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.25	0.01	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.07	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.05	0.03	18.18	19.17	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.69	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.50	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	66.67	64.66	0.00	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	47.62	48.66	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.79	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.11	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.85	0.02	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	73.00	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.64	0.01	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.00	0.03	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.74	0.02	0.01
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.66	-0.04	-0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	56.01	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	48.42	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	36.36	47.14	-0.00	-0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.57	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.00	0.03	15.79	17.63	-0.00	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	72.73	68.10	0.00	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.00	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.00	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.43	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.00	0.03	81.82	79.55	0.00	0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.15	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.48	0.01	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.03	35.00	38.20	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.00	0.03	53.85	51.13	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.42	-0.02	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.23	0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.33	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.03	43.48	43.62	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.56	0.03	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.03	73.91	67.69	0.02	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.03	59.09	54.44	0.01	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team

Conf

Curr Wgt

Fut Wgt

Curr W/L

Exp W/L

Curr Help

Exp Help