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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Coppin St.

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:336.0
Current RPI:336
Expected SOS:324
Current SOS:324
Current Record:7-23
Expected Record:7-23
Current Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Record:7-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-10
Current OOC Record:0-13
Expected OOC Record:0-13
Expected OOC RPI:322
Expected OOC SOS:81



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
7-23336.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Coppin St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Hofstra (196.0)CAAA74-72L0%0.0
11-14Valparaiso (71.0)HorzA78-58L0%0.0
11-16Coastal Carolina (183.0)SBA89-59L0%0.0
11-17BYU (65.0)WCCA96-59L0%0.0
11-18Utah (83.0)P12A94-51L0%0.0
11-21Ball St. (169.0)MACN77-79L0%0.0
11-25Grand Canyon (131.0)WACA70-37L0%0.0
11-30Georgetown (106.0)BEA96-44L0%0.0
12-4Clemson (69.0)ACCA85-43L0%0.0
12-7Akron (58.0)MACA87-63L0%0.0
12-10Buffalo (146.0)MACA87-52L0%0.0
12-20Louisiana Monroe (298.0)SBH53-65L0%0.0
12-22Mount St. Mary's (151.0)NECA87-49L0%0.0
1-4South Carolina St. (299.0)MEACH75-59W100%0.0
1-7Florida A&M (349.0)MEACA54-53L0%0.0
1-9Bethune Cookman (346.0)MEACA73-76W100%0.0
1-14North Carolina A&T (350.0)MEACH75-73W100%0.0
1-16Howard (337.0)MEACA72-81W100%0.0
1-23Norfolk St. (254.0)MEACH64-74L0%0.0
1-28Morgan St. (326.0)MEACH74-76L0%0.0
1-30Hampton (283.0)MEACA77-65L0%0.0
2-4Maryland Eastern Shore (278.0)MEACA78-57L0%0.0
2-6North Carolina Central (199.0)MEACH77-86L0%0.0
2-11Bethune Cookman (346.0)MEACH76-72W100%0.0
2-13Delaware St. (332.0)MEACH83-75W100%0.0
2-18South Carolina St. (299.0)MEACA84-79L0%0.0
2-20Savannah St. (279.0)MEACA83-84W100%0.0
2-27Morgan St. (326.0)MEACA71-66L0%0.0
3-2Hampton (283.0)MEACH82-89L0%0.0
3-6Howard (337.0)MEACN73-79L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Coppin St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Coppin St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Coppin St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Coppin St.MEAC26.1126.1126.1926.19-12.43-12.43
HowardMEAC3.983.9823.3323.33-2.12-2.12
South Carolina St.MEAC3.953.9529.6329.63-1.61-1.61
Morgan St.MEAC3.903.9040.7440.74-0.72-0.72
Bethune CookmanMEAC3.903.9028.5728.57-1.67-1.67
HamptonMEAC3.893.8938.4638.46-0.90-0.90
Norfolk St.MEAC2.462.4646.6746.67-0.16-0.16
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC2.422.4235.4835.48-0.70-0.70
North Carolina CentralMEAC2.392.3972.4172.411.071.07
Florida A&MMEAC2.372.3714.8114.81-1.67-1.67
Delaware St.MEAC2.322.3227.5927.59-1.04-1.04
Savannah St.MEAC2.322.3242.3142.31-0.36-0.36
North Carolina A&TMEAC2.282.283.453.45-2.12-2.12
AkronMAC1.801.8075.0075.000.900.90
Ball St.MAC1.801.8061.2961.290.410.41
BuffaloMAC1.771.7748.2848.28-0.06-0.06
Coastal CarolinaSB1.751.7543.3343.33-0.23-0.23
ClemsonACC1.721.7251.6151.610.060.06
BYUWCC1.721.7265.6265.620.540.54
GeorgetownBE1.721.7241.9441.94-0.28-0.28
ValparaisoHorz1.721.7273.3373.330.800.80
Louisiana MonroeSB1.691.6920.0020.00-1.02-1.02
Grand CanyonWAC1.671.6767.8667.860.600.60
HofstraCAA1.671.6743.3343.33-0.22-0.22
Mount St. Mary'sNEC1.671.6754.5554.550.150.15
UtahP121.671.6760.7160.710.360.36
Bowling GreenMAC0.240.2438.7138.71-0.05-0.05
Georgia SouthernSB0.190.1953.3353.330.010.01
Kent St.MAC0.190.1961.7661.760.040.04
JacksonvilleASun0.170.1746.4346.43-0.01-0.01
St. John'sBE0.160.1642.4242.42-0.02-0.02
Robert MorrisNEC0.160.1642.4242.42-0.02-0.02
Arkansas St.SB0.160.1661.2961.290.040.04
UT ArlingtonSB0.160.1674.1974.190.080.08
Western MichiganMAC0.160.1648.3948.39-0.01-0.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.160.1641.3841.38-0.03-0.03
East CarolinaAmer0.140.1445.4545.45-0.01-0.01
William & MaryCAA0.140.1451.7251.720.000.00
OregonP120.140.1484.8584.850.100.10
Appalachian St.SB0.140.1425.0025.00-0.07-0.07
XavierBE0.130.1361.7661.760.030.03
Texas St.SB0.130.1358.0658.060.020.02
Loyola MarymountWCC0.130.1348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Saint Mary'sWCC0.130.1387.5087.500.100.10
Central MichiganMAC0.130.1346.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Miami OHMAC0.130.1330.0030.00-0.05-0.05
OhioMAC0.130.1363.3363.330.040.04
Sacred HeartNEC0.130.1340.6240.62-0.02-0.02
Kennesaw St.ASun0.110.1140.0040.00-0.02-0.02
New Mexico St.WAC0.110.1183.3383.330.080.08
Gardner WebbBSth0.110.1153.3353.330.010.01
Utah ValleyWAC0.110.1142.8642.86-0.02-0.02
TowsonCAA0.110.1159.3859.380.020.02
ColoradoP120.110.1156.2556.250.010.01
SyracuseACC0.110.1156.2556.250.010.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.110.1126.6726.67-0.05-0.05
DelawareCAA0.110.1135.4835.48-0.03-0.03
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.110.1161.2961.290.020.02
Northern KentuckyHorz0.110.1168.7568.750.040.04
ButlerBE0.110.1174.1974.190.050.05
Georgia St.SB0.110.1160.0060.000.020.02
Little RockSB0.110.1143.3343.33-0.01-0.01
WagnerNEC0.110.1151.7251.720.000.00
San DiegoWCC0.110.1140.0040.00-0.02-0.02
AlabamaSEC0.110.1157.5857.580.020.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.110.1141.3841.38-0.02-0.02
ToledoMAC0.110.1150.0050.000.000.00
CreightonBE0.110.1172.7372.730.050.05
MarquetteBE0.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
AmericanPat0.100.1026.6726.67-0.05-0.05
MichiganB100.100.1068.5768.570.040.04
Oregon St.P120.090.0912.9012.90-0.07-0.07
RiderMAAC0.090.0954.5554.550.010.01
Stony BrookAE0.090.0958.0658.060.010.01
CaliforniaP120.090.0963.6463.640.020.02
Penn St.B100.090.0945.4545.45-0.01-0.01
Grambling St.SWAC0.090.0943.3343.33-0.01-0.01
SamfordSC0.090.0953.1253.120.010.01
South FloridaAmer0.090.0923.3323.33-0.05-0.05
StetsonASun0.090.0927.5927.59-0.04-0.04
PrincetonIvy0.080.0878.5778.570.050.05
Chicago St.WAC0.080.0810.3410.34-0.07-0.07
ManhattanMAAC0.080.0831.2531.25-0.03-0.03
SeattleWAC0.080.0837.0437.04-0.02-0.02
High PointBSth0.080.0842.8642.86-0.01-0.01
Miami FLACC0.080.0865.6265.620.030.03
South CarolinaSEC0.080.0867.7467.740.030.03
Wichita St.MVC0.080.0887.8887.880.060.06
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.080.0867.8667.860.030.03
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
UCFAmer0.080.0865.6265.620.030.03
DukeACC0.080.0877.1477.140.040.04
College of CharlestonCAA0.080.0872.7372.730.040.04
MilwaukeeHorz0.080.0829.4129.41-0.03-0.03
South AlabamaSB0.080.0840.0040.00-0.02-0.02
St. Francis NYNEC0.080.0810.0010.00-0.06-0.06
Georgia TechACC0.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
ElonCAA0.080.0853.3353.330.010.01
Southern UtahBSky0.080.0812.9012.90-0.06-0.06
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.080.0884.3884.380.050.05
San FranciscoWCC0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
Saint LouisA100.080.0836.3636.36-0.02-0.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.080.0834.3834.38-0.02-0.02
ColumbiaIvy0.080.0838.4638.46-0.02-0.02
Jacksonville St.OVC0.080.0856.2556.250.010.01
VCUA100.080.0876.4776.470.040.04
Wake ForestACC0.080.0859.3859.380.010.01
UMBCAE0.080.0857.1457.140.010.01
PacificWCC0.080.0831.2531.25-0.03-0.03
George WashingtonA100.080.0857.5857.580.010.01
IUPUISum0.080.0840.0040.00-0.02-0.02
MarylandB100.080.0874.1974.190.040.04
Virginia TechACC0.080.0868.7568.750.030.03
Santa ClaraWCC0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
LIU BrooklynNEC0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
BryantNEC0.080.0835.4835.48-0.02-0.02
GonzagaWCC0.080.0896.9796.970.070.07
St. Francis PANEC0.070.0748.3948.39-0.00-0.00
San Diego St.MWC0.060.0656.2556.250.010.01
Kansas St.B120.060.0660.6160.610.010.01
RichmondA100.060.0662.5062.500.010.01
WinthropBSth0.060.0680.0080.000.040.04
IowaB100.060.0656.2556.250.010.01
ArizonaP120.060.0688.2488.240.040.04
BrownIvy0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.060.0635.7135.71-0.02-0.02
CampbellBSth0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
FurmanSC0.060.0663.3363.330.020.02
Holy CrossPat0.060.0646.8846.88-0.00-0.00
HoustonAmer0.060.0667.7467.740.020.02
MonmouthMAAC0.060.0681.8281.820.040.04
RutgersB100.060.0643.7543.75-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.060.0643.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Texas A&MSEC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
UC RiversideBW0.060.0622.2222.22-0.03-0.03
UMKCWAC0.060.0646.6746.67-0.00-0.00
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.060.0624.1424.14-0.03-0.03
WashingtonP120.060.0629.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Washington St.P120.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
HawaiiBW0.060.0644.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Montana St.BSky0.060.0646.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.060.0646.6746.67-0.00-0.00
WisconsinB100.060.0673.5373.530.030.03
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.060.0651.7251.720.000.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.060.0637.0437.04-0.01-0.01
Tennessee MartinOVC0.060.0661.2961.290.010.01
Iowa St.B120.060.0669.7069.700.020.02
Air ForceMWC0.060.0632.2632.26-0.02-0.02
LouisvilleACC0.050.0575.0075.000.030.03
NiagaraMAAC0.050.0530.3030.30-0.02-0.02
St. BonaventureA100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
USCP120.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
Notre DameACC0.050.0573.5373.530.030.03
PittsburghACC0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
UNC GreensboroSC0.050.0570.9770.970.020.02
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0558.6258.620.010.01
DetroitHorz0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
DrexelCAA0.050.0525.8125.81-0.03-0.03
Green BayHorz0.050.0555.1755.170.010.01
James MadisonCAA0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
KentuckySEC0.050.0585.2985.290.040.04
NortheasternCAA0.050.0548.3948.39-0.00-0.00
OaklandHorz0.050.0573.3373.330.030.03
TroySB0.050.0558.8258.820.010.01
Wright St.Horz0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
MarshallCUSA0.050.0555.8855.880.010.01
Weber St.BSky0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
BradleyMVC0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Indiana St.MVC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Boston CollegeACC0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
DePaulBE0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
Florida St.ACC0.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
HarvardIvy0.050.0561.5461.540.010.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Old DominionCUSA0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
ProvidenceBE0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
Seton HallBE0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
VillanovaBE0.050.0591.1891.180.040.04
BucknellPat0.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
MercerSC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
PepperdineWCC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
PortlandWCC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Central ConnecticutNEC0.050.0520.6920.69-0.03-0.03
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
East Tennessee St.SC0.030.0378.1278.120.020.02
MemphisAmer0.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
SouthernSWAC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
AlbanyAE0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
Arizona St.P120.030.0345.4545.45-0.00-0.00
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.030.0320.0020.00-0.02-0.02
Cal PolyBW0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
MaristMAAC0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0321.8821.88-0.02-0.02
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
UCLAP120.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
BinghamtonAE0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
CanisiusMAAC0.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
IndianaB100.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
Jackson St.SWAC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
LSUSEC0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
MaineAE0.030.0319.3519.35-0.02-0.02
MassachusettsA100.030.0345.4545.45-0.00-0.00
McNeese St.Slnd0.030.0319.2319.23-0.02-0.02
MissouriSEC0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
NevadaMWC0.030.0382.3582.350.020.02
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
North TexasCUSA0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
Ohio St.B100.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
RiceCUSA0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
SMUAmer0.030.0388.2488.240.020.02
Texas SouthernSWAC0.030.0367.6567.650.010.01
Western CarolinaSC0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
AuburnSEC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
EvansvilleMVC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Mississippi St.SEC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Missouri St.MVC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Northwestern St.Slnd0.030.0336.0036.00-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.030.0378.1278.120.020.02
Rhode IslandA100.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
SienaMAAC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
South DakotaSum0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
TexasB120.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.030.0370.0070.000.010.01
VanderbiltSEC0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
VermontAE0.030.0384.8584.850.020.02
WoffordSC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Alabama St.SWAC0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
ConnecticutAmer0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
DavidsonA100.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
GeorgiaSEC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
La SalleA100.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
LongwoodBSth0.030.0314.2914.29-0.02-0.02
Louisiana TechCUSA0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
NebraskaB100.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
North CarolinaACC0.030.0378.7978.790.010.01
North FloridaASun0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
OklahomaB120.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
Oklahoma St.B120.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
USC UpstateASun0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
UTEPCUSA0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
VirginiaACC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
Idaho St.BSky0.030.0313.3313.33-0.02-0.02
IllinoisB100.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
RadfordBSth0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
UC IrvineBW0.030.0357.5857.580.000.00
Utah St.MWC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
ArkansasSEC0.020.0273.5373.530.010.01
George MasonA100.020.0259.3859.380.000.00
LehighPat0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
Loyola MDPat0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
MinnesotaB100.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
West VirginiaB120.020.0276.4776.470.010.01