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Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Coppin St.

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:326.0
Current RPI:326
Expected SOS:308
Current SOS:308
Current Record:7-22
Expected Record:7-22
Current Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Record:7-11
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-12
Current OOC Record:0-11
Expected OOC Record:0-11
Expected OOC RPI:293
Expected OOC SOS:29



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
7-22326.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Coppin St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCA107-80L0%0.0
11-15Iowa (28.0)B10A103-68L0%0.0
11-28Towson (150.0)CAAH77-81L0%0.0
12-2Akron (34.0)MACA77-71L0%0.0
12-5Hampton (155.0)MEACH71-74L0%0.0
12-7Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACH56-88L0%0.0
12-9Kansas St. (92.0)B12A83-58L0%0.0
12-13Fordham (176.0)A10A92-55L0%0.0
12-18San Francisco (228.0)WCCA96-93L0%0.0
12-19California (16.0)P12A84-51L0%0.0
12-21Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACH62-73L0%0.0
12-28Creighton (100.0)BEA102-77L0%0.0
12-30Iowa St. (23.0)B12A104-84L0%0.0
1-9Howard (328.0)MEACA72-63L0%0.0
1-16Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACA54-62W100%0.0
1-18Florida A&M (349.0)MEACA66-70W100%0.0
1-27North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACH73-68W100%0.0
1-30Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACH81-83L0%0.0
2-1Morgan St. (327.0)MEACA83-43L0%0.0
2-6South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACA88-83L0%0.0
2-8Savannah St. (277.0)MEACA72-63L0%0.0
2-13Howard (328.0)MEACH90-66W100%0.0
2-15Delaware St. (345.0)MEACH67-71L0%0.0
2-18North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACH71-60W100%0.0
2-22Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACA85-77L0%0.0
2-27Morgan St. (327.0)MEACH72-74L0%0.0
3-3Delaware St. (345.0)MEACA62-72W100%0.0
3-7North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACN91-98W100%0.0
3-10South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACN90-80L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Coppin St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Coppin St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Coppin St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Coppin St.MEAC26.1626.1626.7226.72-12.18-12.18
South Carolina St.MEAC4.224.2251.7251.720.150.15
Norfolk St.MEAC4.144.1444.8344.83-0.43-0.43
Morgan St.MEAC4.104.1021.4321.43-2.35-2.35
Delaware St.MEAC4.084.0814.2914.29-2.91-2.91
HowardMEAC4.054.0532.1432.14-1.45-1.45
North Carolina A&TMEAC4.034.0334.4834.48-1.25-1.25
HamptonMEAC2.582.5865.5265.520.800.80
Savannah St.MEAC2.532.5346.4346.43-0.18-0.18
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC2.522.5226.6726.67-1.18-1.18
North Carolina CentralMEAC2.472.4735.7135.71-0.71-0.71
Bethune CookmanMEAC2.442.4441.3841.38-0.42-0.42
Florida A&MMEAC2.352.3523.0823.08-1.27-1.27
AkronMAC1.871.8775.0075.000.930.93
Kansas St.B121.861.8650.0050.000.000.00
Eastern KentuckyOVC1.811.8144.8344.83-0.19-0.19
Iowa St.B121.801.8064.5264.520.520.52
San FranciscoWCC1.781.7846.4346.43-0.13-0.13
TowsonCAA1.781.7858.6258.620.310.31
Eastern MichiganMAC1.781.7846.4346.43-0.13-0.13
IowaB101.751.7566.6766.670.580.58
CaliforniaP121.721.7268.7568.750.650.65
CreightonBE1.721.7254.8454.840.170.17
FordhamA101.721.7253.5753.570.120.12
BuffaloMAC0.220.2257.5857.580.030.03
ToledoMAC0.200.2051.6151.610.010.01
Old DominionCUSA0.200.2062.8662.860.050.05
Ball St.MAC0.170.1758.0658.060.030.03
Central MichiganMAC0.170.1748.2848.28-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.170.1776.4776.470.090.09
Kent St.MAC0.170.1758.0658.060.030.03
UtahP120.170.1775.7675.760.090.09
TCUB120.160.1636.3636.36-0.04-0.04
West VirginiaB120.160.1676.4776.470.090.09
Oklahoma St.B120.160.1637.5037.50-0.04-0.04
OklahomaB120.160.1678.1278.120.090.09
UC RiversideBW0.140.1438.7138.71-0.03-0.03
RichmondA100.140.1450.0050.000.000.00
MassachusettsA100.140.1443.7543.75-0.02-0.02
William & MaryCAA0.140.1462.0762.070.030.03
CincinnatiAmer0.140.1468.7568.750.050.05
Miami OHMAC0.140.1437.5037.50-0.03-0.03
OhioMAC0.140.1464.5264.520.040.04
East CarolinaAmer0.140.1437.5037.50-0.03-0.03
BaylorB120.140.1465.6265.620.040.04
KansasB120.130.1387.8887.880.100.10
JacksonvilleASun0.120.1242.8642.86-0.02-0.02
ManhattanMAAC0.120.1241.9441.94-0.02-0.02
DelawareCAA0.110.1123.3323.33-0.06-0.06
Grand CanyonWAC0.110.1179.3179.310.070.07
UMBCAE0.110.1121.8821.88-0.06-0.06
Michigan St.B100.110.1185.2985.290.080.08
College of CharlestonCAA0.110.1153.3353.330.010.01
MichiganB100.110.1163.6463.640.030.03
NebraskaB100.110.1147.0647.06-0.01-0.01
RutgersB100.110.1119.3519.35-0.07-0.07
Northern IllinoisMAC0.110.1158.6258.620.020.02
ColumbiaIvy0.110.1165.5265.520.030.03
Northern KentuckyHorz0.110.1125.0025.00-0.06-0.06
DePaulBE0.110.1129.0329.03-0.05-0.05
Bowling GreenMAC0.110.1143.7543.75-0.01-0.01
ColoradoP120.110.1165.6265.620.030.03
TexasB120.110.1162.5062.500.030.03
Texas TechB120.110.1161.2961.290.020.02
PepperdineWCC0.090.0956.6756.670.010.01
La SalleA100.090.0926.6726.67-0.04-0.04
UTEPCUSA0.090.0956.2556.250.010.01
Saint Joseph'sA100.090.0979.4179.410.050.05
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.090.0928.5728.57-0.04-0.04
CampbellBSth0.090.0933.3333.33-0.03-0.03
Fresno St.MWC0.090.0971.8871.880.040.04
NortheasternCAA0.090.0953.1253.120.010.01
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.090.0976.6776.670.050.05
Saint Mary'sWCC0.090.0983.8783.870.060.06
Western MichiganMAC0.090.0936.6736.67-0.02-0.02
DuquesneA100.090.0948.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Penn St.B100.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
St. BonaventureA100.090.0973.3373.330.040.04
Tennessee TechOVC0.090.0960.7160.710.020.02
MarshallCUSA0.080.0851.5251.520.000.00
Texas SouthernSWAC0.080.0856.2556.250.010.01
LongwoodBSth0.080.0823.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Northern ArizonaBSky0.080.0810.7110.71-0.07-0.07
PrincetonIvy0.080.0877.7877.780.050.05
MissouriSEC0.080.0832.2632.26-0.03-0.03
St. John'sBE0.080.0822.5822.58-0.05-0.05
VirginiaACC0.080.0878.7978.790.050.05
Ohio St.B100.080.0860.6160.610.020.02
IllinoisB100.080.0844.1244.12-0.01-0.01
IndianaB100.080.0878.1278.120.050.05
North Dakota St.Sum0.080.0858.0658.060.010.01
Virginia TechACC0.080.0857.5857.580.010.01
OregonP120.080.0881.8281.820.050.05
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.080.0856.6756.670.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.080.0845.4545.45-0.01-0.01
MarquetteBE0.080.0860.6160.610.020.02
Seton HallBE0.080.0875.7675.760.040.04
VillanovaBE0.080.0885.2985.290.060.06
Arizona St.P120.080.0846.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Oregon St.P120.080.0860.0060.000.020.02
HoustonAmer0.060.0670.9770.970.030.03
North FloridaASun0.060.0663.3363.330.020.02
BYUWCC0.060.0668.7568.750.020.02
GonzagaWCC0.060.0678.1278.120.030.03
LIU BrooklynNEC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
Loyola MarymountWCC0.060.0643.3343.33-0.01-0.01
PacificWCC0.060.0623.0823.08-0.03-0.03
PortlandWCC0.060.0635.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Rhode IslandA100.060.0653.1253.120.000.00
San DiegoWCC0.060.0627.5927.59-0.03-0.03
Santa ClaraWCC0.060.0633.3333.33-0.02-0.02
East Tennessee St.SC0.060.0665.6265.620.020.02
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.060.0654.8454.840.010.01
George MasonA100.060.0634.3834.38-0.02-0.02
DaytonA100.060.0678.1278.120.030.03
BelmontOVC0.060.0663.3363.330.020.02
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.060.0672.4172.410.030.03
Central ArkansasSlnd0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
CornellIvy0.060.0633.3333.33-0.02-0.02
DrexelCAA0.060.0620.0020.00-0.03-0.03
ElonCAA0.060.0646.6746.67-0.00-0.00
HarvardIvy0.060.0642.8642.86-0.01-0.01
HawaiiBW0.060.0683.3383.330.040.04
High PointBSth0.060.0664.2964.290.020.02
HofstraCAA0.060.0671.8871.880.030.03
Jacksonville St.OVC0.060.0620.6920.69-0.03-0.03
James MadisonCAA0.060.0664.5264.520.020.02
LamarSlnd0.060.0626.9226.92-0.03-0.03
Morehead St.OVC0.060.0658.6258.620.010.01
PennIvy0.060.0637.0437.04-0.01-0.01
RadfordBSth0.060.0648.2848.28-0.00-0.00
RiderMAAC0.060.0639.3939.39-0.01-0.01
StetsonASun0.060.0626.6726.67-0.03-0.03
TempleAmer0.060.0665.6265.620.020.02
Tennessee MartinOVC0.060.0654.8454.840.010.01
Tennessee St.OVC0.060.0664.2964.290.020.02
WagnerNEC0.060.0667.7467.740.020.02
AmericanPat0.060.0638.7138.71-0.01-0.01
DavidsonA100.060.0661.2961.290.010.01
RiceCUSA0.060.0633.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Saint LouisA100.060.0634.3834.38-0.02-0.02
AlabamaSEC0.060.0656.2556.250.010.01
CharlotteCUSA0.060.0642.4242.42-0.01-0.01
EvansvilleMVC0.060.0672.7372.730.030.03
FloridaSEC0.060.0657.5857.580.010.01
Grambling St.SWAC0.060.0614.2914.29-0.04-0.04
Indiana St.MVC0.060.0645.1645.16-0.01-0.01
MarylandB100.060.0675.0075.000.030.03
NiagaraMAAC0.060.0621.8821.88-0.03-0.03
South CarolinaSEC0.060.0674.1974.190.030.03
UC IrvineBW0.060.0671.8871.880.020.02
UNC GreensboroSC0.060.0637.9337.93-0.01-0.01
USC UpstateASun0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
MississippiSEC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Western IllinoisSum0.050.0529.1729.17-0.02-0.02
ButlerBE0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
ProvidenceBE0.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
XavierBE0.050.0584.3884.380.040.04
Texas A&MSEC0.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
ArizonaP120.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
StanfordP120.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
FIUCUSA0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
SamfordSC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
Arkansas St.SB0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
Boston CollegeACC0.030.0321.8821.88-0.02-0.02
Central ConnecticutNEC0.030.0313.7913.79-0.02-0.02
ClemsonACC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
ColgatePat0.030.0341.3841.38-0.01-0.01
DetroitHorz0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
George WashingtonA100.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.030.0341.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.030.0310.7110.71-0.02-0.02
Jackson St.SWAC0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
Louisiana TechCUSA0.030.0370.0070.000.010.01
LouisvilleACC0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
MaineAE0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0322.8622.86-0.02-0.02
MontanaBSky0.030.0362.0762.070.010.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.030.0355.1755.170.000.00
OaklandHorz0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
QuinnipiacMAAC0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
South FloridaAmer0.030.0324.2424.24-0.02-0.02
SouthernSWAC0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
VCUA100.030.0370.5970.590.010.01
VermontAE0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Appalachian St.SB0.030.0329.0329.03-0.01-0.01
Austin PeayOVC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
BradleyMVC0.030.0312.9012.90-0.02-0.02
BrownIvy0.030.0325.9325.93-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.030.0322.5822.58-0.02-0.02
KentuckySEC0.030.0376.4776.470.020.02
Louisiana MonroeSB0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
Loyola MDPat0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Murray St.OVC0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
Sacred HeartNEC0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
SMUAmer0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.030.0311.1111.11-0.02-0.02
Southern UtahBSky0.030.0314.2914.29-0.02-0.02
The CitadelSC0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
UCFAmer0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
WinthropBSth0.030.0368.9768.970.010.01
DrakeMVC0.030.0320.0020.00-0.02-0.02
FairfieldMAAC0.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
Florida St.ACC0.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
MinnesotaB100.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
NorthwesternB100.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
Notre DameACC0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
PittsburghACC0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
St. Francis PANEC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
UMKCWAC0.030.0332.1432.14-0.01-0.01
Wichita St.MVC0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
WisconsinB100.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
WoffordSC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.030.0324.2424.24-0.01-0.01
ChattanoogaSC0.030.0384.3884.380.020.02
Chicago St.WAC0.030.033.453.45-0.03-0.03
IUPUISum0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
North TexasCUSA0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Northern IowaMVC0.030.0363.6463.640.010.01
UTSACUSA0.030.0313.3313.33-0.02-0.02
ArkansasSEC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Charleston SouthernBSth0.030.0322.2222.22-0.01-0.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
GeorgiaSEC0.030.0359.3859.380.000.00
Green BayHorz0.030.0363.6463.640.010.01
Incarnate WordSlnd0.030.0356.0056.000.000.00
IonaMAAC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
LipscombASun0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
North CarolinaACC0.030.0382.3582.350.020.02
North DakotaBSky0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
San Diego St.MWC0.030.0371.8871.880.010.01
SeattleWAC0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
South DakotaSum0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
UCLAP120.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
USCP120.030.0363.6463.640.010.01
WashingtonP120.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
Washington St.P120.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
WyomingMWC0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01