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Through games of Feb 26, 2017.


Coppin St.

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:329.3
Current RPI:329
Expected SOS:319
Current SOS:319
Current Record:7-20
Expected Record:8-21
Current Conf Record:7-7
Expected Conf Record:8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-9
Current OOC Record:0-13
Expected OOC Record:0-13
Expected OOC RPI:320
Expected OOC SOS:82



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
9-20317.77.00%
8-21326.640.93%
7-22333.052.07%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Coppin St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Hofstra (181.9)CAAA74-72L0%0.0
11-14Valparaiso (63.0)HorzA78-58L0%0.0
11-16Coastal Carolina (174.5)SBA89-59L0%0.0
11-17BYU (67.4)WCCA96-59L0%0.0
11-18Utah (82.8)P12A94-51L0%0.0
11-21Ball St. (192.2)MACN77-79L0%0.0
11-25Grand Canyon (142.4)WACA70-37L0%0.0
11-30Georgetown (85.8)BEA96-44L0%0.0
12-4Clemson (73.9)ACCA85-43L0%0.0
12-7Akron (53.3)MACA87-63L0%0.0
12-10Buffalo (151.2)MACA87-52L0%0.0
12-20Louisiana Monroe (289.9)SBH53-65L0%0.0
12-22Mount St. Mary's (167.7)NECA87-49L0%0.0
1-4South Carolina St. (280.2)MEACH75-59W100%0.0
1-7Florida A&M (348.4)MEACA54-53L0%0.0
1-9Bethune Cookman (347.6)MEACA73-76W100%0.0
1-14North Carolina A&T (350.7)MEACH75-73W100%0.0
1-16Howard (340.3)MEACA72-81W100%0.0
1-23Norfolk St. (249.0)MEACH64-74L0%0.0
1-28Morgan St. (314.5)MEACH74-76L0%0.0
1-30Hampton (299.3)MEACA77-65L0%0.0
2-4Maryland Eastern Shore (290.3)MEACA78-57L0%0.0
2-6North Carolina Central (192.6)MEACH77-86L0%0.0
2-11Bethune Cookman (347.6)MEACH76-72W100%0.0
2-13Delaware St. (331.5)MEACH83-75W100%0.0
2-18South Carolina St. (280.2)MEACA84-79L0%0.0
2-20Savannah St. (311.9)MEACA83-84W100%0.0
2-27Morgan St. (314.5)MEACA0-021%-8.4
3-2Hampton (299.3)MEACH0-034%-4.4


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Coppin St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Coppin St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Coppin St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Coppin St.MEAC26.0626.1229.7329.47-10.57-10.73
South Carolina St.MEAC4.234.0429.1729.41-1.76-1.66
HamptonMEAC2.424.0137.5038.35-0.60-0.93
Morgan St.MEAC2.383.9844.0043.53-0.29-0.51
Bethune CookmanMEAC4.163.9820.8323.89-2.43-2.08
Norfolk St.MEAC2.492.4146.1545.97-0.19-0.19
Savannah St.MEAC2.382.4137.5037.37-0.59-0.61
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC2.452.3730.7732.83-0.94-0.81
Florida A&MMEAC2.412.3716.0016.63-1.64-1.58
Delaware St.MEAC2.422.3525.9326.93-1.17-1.08
HowardMEAC2.422.3419.2321.25-1.49-1.35
North Carolina CentralMEAC2.412.3475.0076.411.201.23
North Carolina A&TMEAC2.342.310.001.89-2.34-2.22
AkronMAC1.991.8477.7877.431.101.01
Ball St.MAC1.981.8459.2658.390.370.31
BuffaloMAC1.981.8446.1546.72-0.15-0.12
Coastal CarolinaSB1.921.8142.3143.81-0.30-0.22
ClemsonACC1.921.7948.1550.73-0.070.03
BYUWCC1.921.7866.6766.670.640.59
ValparaisoHorz1.911.7875.8675.860.990.92
GeorgetownBE1.891.7546.4345.46-0.13-0.16
Louisiana MonroeSB1.851.7520.0021.33-1.11-1.01
Grand CanyonWAC1.851.7266.6765.240.620.53
HofstraCAA1.851.7244.8344.83-0.19-0.18
Mount St. Mary'sNEC1.851.7250.0050.000.000.00
UtahP121.851.7260.0060.540.370.36
Bowling GreenMAC0.240.2742.8642.02-0.03-0.04
Georgia SouthernSB0.250.2159.2658.100.050.03
JacksonvilleASun0.210.1948.1548.15-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaAmer0.140.1644.8343.04-0.01-0.02
William & MaryCAA0.140.1551.8551.850.010.01
Appalachian St.SB0.110.1524.0025.26-0.06-0.08
OregonP120.170.1586.2186.570.120.11
Robert MorrisNEC0.130.1541.9441.94-0.02-0.02
St. John'sBE0.170.1544.8343.89-0.02-0.02
Arkansas St.SB0.170.1566.6765.850.060.05
UT ArlingtonSB0.130.1576.9276.820.070.08
Central MichiganMAC0.170.1551.8550.780.010.00
Kent St.MAC0.130.1557.1456.880.020.02
Miami OHMAC0.130.1529.6328.06-0.05-0.06
OhioMAC0.130.1565.3866.640.040.05
XavierBE0.170.1462.0762.620.040.04
Eastern MichiganMAC0.170.1440.0041.22-0.03-0.03
Western MichiganMAC0.170.1444.4445.39-0.02-0.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.140.1239.2939.29-0.03-0.03
New Mexico St.WAC0.140.1280.7781.310.080.08
SyracuseACC0.140.1256.6757.420.020.02
Northern KentuckyHorz0.130.1265.5265.520.040.04
Saint Mary'sWCC0.130.1289.6689.660.100.09
ColoradoP120.140.1253.5753.810.010.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.130.1227.5927.59-0.06-0.05
TowsonCAA0.100.1260.0060.000.020.02
Georgia St.SB0.140.1261.5460.990.030.03
Little RockSB0.140.1242.3141.71-0.02-0.02
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.140.1257.6957.810.020.02
Texas St.SB0.100.1256.0054.920.010.01
Utah ValleyWAC0.130.1240.0041.50-0.03-0.02
ButlerBE0.130.1279.3179.350.080.07
Loyola MarymountWCC0.100.1250.0050.000.000.00
San DiegoWCC0.130.1241.3841.38-0.02-0.02
WagnerNEC0.100.1251.8551.850.000.00
AlabamaSEC0.130.1257.1456.750.020.02
Northern IllinoisMAC0.100.1246.1546.13-0.01-0.01
ToledoMAC0.100.1250.0050.440.000.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.120.1241.9441.94-0.02-0.02
CreightonBE0.130.1175.0074.570.070.06
Gardner WebbBSth0.070.0953.5753.570.010.01
RiderMAAC0.070.0954.8454.840.010.01
Wichita St.MVC0.110.0986.6786.670.080.07
Oregon St.P120.110.0913.7913.43-0.08-0.07
SamfordSC0.110.0953.5752.980.010.01
South FloridaAmer0.110.0925.9325.22-0.05-0.05
StetsonASun0.110.0928.5728.57-0.05-0.04
Miami FLACC0.100.0971.4369.290.040.04
South CarolinaSEC0.100.0971.4371.670.040.04
Stony BrookAE0.070.0958.6258.620.010.02
PrincetonIvy0.070.0975.0075.780.030.05
Grambling St.SWAC0.110.0940.0042.28-0.02-0.01
Penn St.B100.070.0948.2847.91-0.00-0.00
UCFAmer0.110.0965.5266.270.030.03
High PointBSth0.070.0944.4444.44-0.01-0.01
ManhattanMAAC0.070.0932.2632.26-0.02-0.03
SeattleWAC0.100.0940.0039.27-0.02-0.02
AmericanPat0.100.0927.5927.59-0.05-0.04
Chicago St.WAC0.100.0911.1111.53-0.08-0.07
LIU BrooklynNEC0.100.0963.3363.330.030.02
St. Francis NYNEC0.100.0910.0010.00-0.08-0.07
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.060.0972.0072.040.030.04
MichiganB100.100.0965.5265.140.030.03
UMBCAE0.100.0959.2659.260.020.02
College of CharlestonCAA0.100.0973.3373.330.040.04
DelawareCAA0.090.0934.4834.48-0.03-0.03
Georgia TechACC0.100.0953.5752.450.010.00
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.090.0941.3841.38-0.02-0.02
Southern UtahBSky0.100.0911.1111.98-0.08-0.07
Virginia TechACC0.100.0971.4370.190.040.04
Wake ForestACC0.100.0957.1455.730.010.01
San FranciscoWCC0.100.0963.3363.330.030.02
Saint LouisA100.100.0934.4833.33-0.03-0.03
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.090.0982.7682.760.060.06
Youngstown St.Horz0.090.0931.0331.03-0.04-0.03
BryantNEC0.100.0936.6736.67-0.03-0.02
MarquetteBE0.100.0960.7159.700.020.02
PacificWCC0.090.0930.0030.00-0.04-0.03
ElonCAA0.090.0955.1755.170.010.01
GonzagaWCC0.090.0896.6796.670.090.08
Santa ClaraWCC0.090.0850.0050.000.000.00
FurmanSC0.070.0665.5265.520.020.02
Holy CrossPat0.070.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Kansas St.B120.040.0658.6257.980.010.01
MonmouthMAAC0.070.0683.8783.870.050.04
RichmondA100.040.0660.7161.450.010.01
Texas A&MSEC0.070.0653.5752.890.010.00
WinthropBSth0.040.0677.7877.780.020.04
IowaB100.070.0655.1754.140.010.01
San Diego St.MWC0.070.0655.5656.670.010.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.070.0646.4345.93-0.00-0.01
BrownIvy0.040.0638.4639.38-0.01-0.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.040.0640.0041.36-0.01-0.01
CaliforniaP120.040.0667.8666.480.010.02
CampbellBSth0.040.0640.7440.74-0.01-0.01
HoustonAmer0.040.0671.4370.580.020.03
Nicholls St.Slnd0.070.0640.0038.77-0.01-0.01
RutgersB100.040.0642.8642.28-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.040.0648.1546.78-0.00-0.00
Tennessee MartinOVC0.070.0662.0762.070.020.01
WashingtonP120.070.0632.1430.72-0.03-0.02
Washington St.P120.070.0644.4441.81-0.01-0.01
Air ForceMWC0.070.0633.3332.49-0.02-0.02
MarshallCUSA0.070.0653.5754.970.010.01
ArizonaP120.070.0686.6786.550.050.04
HawaiiBW0.070.0650.0048.750.00-0.00
Montana St.BSky0.070.0648.1547.91-0.00-0.00
NiagaraMAAC0.070.0629.0329.03-0.03-0.03
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.070.0652.0053.480.000.00
UC RiversideBW0.070.0624.0023.98-0.04-0.03
Iowa St.B120.070.0667.8666.170.020.02
WisconsinB100.070.0675.8676.270.030.03
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.070.0634.4834.48-0.02-0.02
ChattanoogaSC0.070.0662.9663.840.020.02
George WashingtonA100.070.0655.1754.140.010.00
Jacksonville St.OVC0.070.0651.7251.720.000.00
South AlabamaSB0.070.0642.3142.60-0.01-0.01
TroySB0.070.0651.8551.300.000.00
UMKCWAC0.070.0644.4445.62-0.01-0.01
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.070.0625.9325.17-0.03-0.03
VCUA100.070.0679.3178.000.040.03
BucknellPat0.060.0674.1974.190.030.03
USCP120.070.0672.4173.260.030.03
Boston CollegeACC0.030.0631.0329.49-0.01-0.02
ColumbiaIvy0.070.0641.6741.50-0.01-0.01
DukeACC0.070.0675.8674.140.030.03
IUPUISum0.070.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
LouisvilleACC0.070.0679.3179.060.040.03
Notre DameACC0.070.0675.8674.710.030.03
PittsburghACC0.070.0651.7250.150.000.00
St. BonaventureA100.070.0664.2963.720.020.02
MarylandB100.070.0675.0074.310.030.03
UNC GreensboroSC0.070.0670.3769.030.030.02
Weber St.BSky0.060.0656.0057.060.010.01
BradleyMVC0.060.0636.6736.67-0.02-0.02
DetroitHorz0.060.0624.1424.14-0.03-0.03
DrexelCAA0.060.0626.6726.67-0.03-0.03
Florida St.ACC0.070.0679.3177.540.040.03
Green BayHorz0.060.0657.1457.140.010.01
Indiana St.MVC0.060.0634.4834.48-0.02-0.02
James MadisonCAA0.060.0626.6726.67-0.03-0.03
KentuckySEC0.060.0682.7682.930.040.04
MercerSC0.070.0642.8643.57-0.01-0.01
MilwaukeeHorz0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
NortheasternCAA0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
OaklandHorz0.060.0675.8675.860.030.03
Wright St.Horz0.060.0662.0762.070.010.01
Central ConnecticutNEC0.060.0620.6920.69-0.04-0.03
DePaulBE0.060.0631.0330.04-0.02-0.02
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.060.0635.7135.71-0.02-0.02
PepperdineWCC0.060.0627.5927.59-0.03-0.02
PortlandWCC0.060.0627.5927.59-0.03-0.02
ProvidenceBE0.060.0662.0762.540.020.01
Seton HallBE0.030.0664.2962.630.010.01
St. Francis PANEC0.060.0646.4346.43-0.00-0.00
VillanovaBE0.030.0690.0089.570.030.04
East Tennessee St.SC0.040.0378.5778.180.020.02
Jackson St.SWAC0.040.0336.0040.25-0.01-0.01
LSUSEC0.040.0332.1431.69-0.01-0.01
McNeese St.Slnd0.040.0320.8321.37-0.02-0.02
MemphisAmer0.040.0362.0761.430.010.01
MissouriSEC0.040.0325.0025.17-0.02-0.02
Ohio St.B100.040.0355.1754.740.000.00
SouthernSWAC0.040.0346.1545.04-0.00-0.00
Western CarolinaSC0.040.0321.4322.56-0.02-0.02
Arizona St.P120.040.0346.6745.71-0.00-0.00
EvansvilleMVC0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.030.0355.1755.170.000.00
Mississippi St.SEC0.030.0350.0049.680.00-0.00
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.040.0329.6331.85-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.030.0379.3178.860.020.02
UCLAP120.040.0389.6690.150.030.02
VanderbiltSEC0.030.0355.1752.800.000.00
AlbanyAE0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.030.0354.1752.440.000.00
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.030.0321.4322.28-0.02-0.02
AuburnSEC0.030.0358.6258.150.010.00
BinghamtonAE0.030.0332.1432.14-0.01-0.01
Cal PolyBW0.030.0330.7732.97-0.01-0.01
CanisiusMAAC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0366.6765.560.010.01
HarvardIvy0.030.0369.5767.060.010.01
IndianaB100.030.0355.1753.960.000.00
Louisiana TechCUSA0.030.0367.8668.870.010.01
MaineAE0.030.0320.0020.00-0.02-0.02
MaristMAAC0.030.0325.8125.81-0.02-0.01
MassachusettsA100.030.0348.2847.58-0.00-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0317.2420.08-0.02-0.02
NevadaMWC0.030.0379.3179.090.020.02
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0362.9662.960.010.01
North TexasCUSA0.030.0323.0822.49-0.02-0.02
Northwestern St.Slnd0.040.0330.4331.29-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.030.0364.2964.650.010.01
RiceCUSA0.030.0366.6765.550.010.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
SMUAmer0.030.0386.2186.520.020.02
TexasB120.040.0334.4834.12-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.030.0360.7163.340.010.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.030.0372.4172.410.020.01
UTEPCUSA0.030.0344.4445.02-0.00-0.00
Western KentuckyCUSA0.030.0344.8345.81-0.00-0.00
WoffordSC0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Alabama St.SWAC0.030.0326.9228.27-0.02-0.01
DavidsonA100.030.0351.8551.280.000.00
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.030.0332.0030.44-0.01-0.01
GeorgiaSEC0.030.0357.1457.030.000.00
LongwoodBSth0.030.0314.8114.81-0.02-0.02
Missouri St.MVC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
NebraskaB100.030.0340.7439.61-0.01-0.01
North CarolinaACC0.030.0382.7681.210.020.02
North Carolina St.ACC0.000.0350.0049.020.00-0.00
North FloridaASun0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
OklahomaB120.030.0335.7135.48-0.01-0.01
RadfordBSth0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Rhode IslandA100.030.0367.8668.280.010.01
SienaMAAC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
South DakotaSum0.030.0365.5265.520.010.01
UC IrvineBW0.030.0353.5755.070.000.00
VermontAE0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
VirginiaACC0.030.0367.8668.150.010.01
ArkansasSEC0.030.0375.8673.450.020.01
ConnecticutAmer0.030.0348.1548.26-0.00-0.00
George MasonA100.030.0360.7159.910.010.01
Idaho St.BSky0.030.0314.8115.93-0.02-0.02
IllinoisB100.030.0357.1457.010.000.00
La SalleA100.030.0351.8553.370.000.00
LehighPat0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
Loyola MDPat0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
MinnesotaB100.030.0375.8674.340.020.01
Oklahoma St.B120.030.0367.8666.120.010.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
USC UpstateASun0.030.0348.1548.15-0.00-0.00
Utah St.MWC0.030.0344.4445.15-0.00-0.00
West VirginiaB120.030.0379.3178.510.020.02