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Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


Coppin St.

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:311.0
Current RPI:311
Expected SOS:262
Current SOS:262
Current Record:7-23
Expected Record:7-23
Current Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Record:7-11
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-8
Current OOC Record:0-12
Expected OOC Record:0-12
Expected OOC RPI:305
Expected OOC SOS:39



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
7-23311.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Coppin St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Oregon (27.0)P12A107-65L0%0.0
11-16Illinois (73.0)B10A114-56L0%0.0
11-19Notre Dame (16.0)ACCA104-67L0%0.0
11-23Denver (232.0)SumA80-54L0%0.0
12-3Towson (281.0)CAAA84-76L0%0.0
12-6Hampton (251.0)MEACA71-52L0%0.0
12-8Norfolk St. (167.0)MEACA88-69L0%0.0
12-10Hofstra (174.0)CAAH64-105L0%0.0
12-14Connecticut (77.0)AmerA106-85L0%0.0
12-22Michigan (81.0)B10A72-56L0%0.0
12-23Eastern Michigan (139.0)MACA87-64L0%0.0
12-28Evansville (118.0)MVCA85-80L0%0.0
12-30Eastern Kentucky (156.0)OVCH63-66L0%0.0
1-3Akron (115.0)MACA79-62L0%0.0
1-10Howard (255.0)MEACA71-69L0%0.0
1-17Bethune Cookman (344.0)MEACH53-58L0%0.0
1-19Florida A&M (350.0)MEACH87-75W100%0.0
1-24North Carolina Central (128.0)MEACA79-77L0%0.0
1-26North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACA71-84W100%0.0
1-31Maryland Eastern Shore (195.0)MEACA92-82L0%0.0
2-2Morgan St. (337.0)MEACH80-67W100%0.0
2-7South Carolina St. (320.0)MEACH77-74W100%0.0
2-9Savannah St. (331.0)MEACH70-73L0%0.0
2-14Howard (255.0)MEACH60-77L0%0.0
2-16Delaware St. (204.0)MEACA92-96W100%0.0
2-21Norfolk St. (167.0)MEACH81-99L0%0.0
2-28Morgan St. (337.0)MEACA77-88W100%0.0
3-5Delaware St. (204.0)MEACH92-104L0%0.0
3-10Bethune Cookman (344.0)MEACN60-64W100%0.0
3-11North Carolina Central (128.0)MEACN91-43L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Coppin St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Coppin St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Coppin St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Coppin St.MEAC26.1426.1426.1226.12-12.48-12.48
Delaware St.MEAC4.054.0548.3948.39-0.13-0.13
Norfolk St.MEAC3.993.9955.1755.170.410.41
North Carolina CentralMEAC3.963.9674.0774.071.911.91
Bethune CookmanMEAC3.943.9428.5728.57-1.69-1.69
Morgan St.MEAC3.933.9324.1424.14-2.03-2.03
HowardMEAC3.923.9240.7440.74-0.73-0.73
HamptonMEAC2.562.5646.8846.88-0.16-0.16
South Carolina St.MEAC2.402.4030.0030.00-0.96-0.96
Savannah St.MEAC2.352.3521.4321.43-1.34-1.34
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC2.352.3554.8454.840.230.23
North Carolina A&TMEAC2.332.3324.1424.14-1.20-1.20
Florida A&MMEAC2.302.307.147.14-1.97-1.97
TowsonCAA1.831.8333.3333.33-0.61-0.61
MichiganB101.801.8046.6746.67-0.12-0.12
IllinoisB101.801.8058.0658.060.290.29
HofstraCAA1.771.7759.3859.380.330.33
OregonP121.771.7771.8871.880.770.77
Eastern KentuckyOVC1.721.7259.2659.260.320.32
Eastern MichiganMAC1.721.7255.1755.170.180.18
AkronMAC1.691.6957.5857.580.260.26
ConnecticutAmer1.671.6757.5857.580.250.25
DenverSum1.671.6737.9337.93-0.40-0.40
EvansvilleMVC1.671.6758.6258.620.290.29
Notre DameACC1.671.6784.8584.851.161.16
IUPUISum0.230.2332.2632.26-0.08-0.08
Miami FLACC0.220.2263.6463.640.060.06
William & MaryCAA0.190.1960.0060.000.040.04
NJITind0.190.1956.0056.000.020.02
ElonCAA0.180.1841.9441.94-0.03-0.03
James MadisonCAA0.180.1859.3859.380.030.03
Miami OHMAC0.160.1638.7138.71-0.04-0.04
Michigan St.B100.160.1667.6567.650.060.06
ToledoMAC0.160.1660.6160.610.030.03
College of CharlestonCAA0.160.1627.2727.27-0.07-0.07
DelawareCAA0.150.1533.3333.33-0.05-0.05
Northern IllinoisMAC0.150.1544.8344.83-0.02-0.02
BelmontOVC0.140.1467.7467.740.050.05
Northern IowaMVC0.140.1490.9190.910.110.11
Northern ArizonaBSky0.140.1456.2556.250.020.02
Ball St.MAC0.140.1420.6920.69-0.08-0.08
UMBCAE0.130.1313.3313.33-0.10-0.10
North Dakota St.Sum0.130.1370.0070.000.050.05
OhioMAC0.130.1333.3333.33-0.04-0.04
Central ConnecticutNEC0.130.1316.1316.13-0.09-0.09
Penn St.B100.130.1352.9452.940.010.01
CincinnatiAmer0.130.1368.7568.750.050.05
Kent St.MAC0.130.1364.5264.520.040.04
Western MichiganMAC0.130.1358.0658.060.020.02
TempleAmer0.130.1369.7069.700.050.05
StetsonASun0.110.1121.4321.43-0.06-0.06
Tennessee MartinOVC0.110.1157.1457.140.020.02
FordhamA100.110.1130.0030.00-0.04-0.04
MarylandB100.110.1181.8281.820.070.07
Tennessee St.OVC0.110.1110.3410.34-0.09-0.09
JacksonvilleASun0.110.1124.1424.14-0.06-0.06
USC UpstateASun0.110.1163.3363.330.030.03
Ohio St.B100.110.1169.7069.700.040.04
MemphisAmer0.110.1156.2556.250.010.01
North CarolinaACC0.110.1168.5768.570.040.04
Arizona St.P120.110.1153.1253.120.010.01
NorthwesternB100.110.1146.8846.88-0.01-0.01
HoustonAmer0.110.1140.6240.62-0.02-0.02
VirginiaACC0.110.1190.6290.620.090.09
Bowling GreenMAC0.100.1066.6766.670.030.03
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.100.1050.0050.000.000.00
Virginia TechACC0.100.1033.3333.33-0.03-0.03
DrexelCAA0.100.1037.9337.93-0.03-0.03
NortheasternCAA0.100.1067.6567.650.040.04
St. Francis NYNEC0.100.1066.6766.670.030.03
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.100.1056.6756.670.010.01
PurdueB100.100.1063.6463.640.030.03
ArizonaP120.100.1091.1891.180.080.08
BuffaloMAC0.100.1071.8871.880.040.04
SMUAmer0.100.1081.2581.250.060.06
South FloridaAmer0.100.1025.8125.81-0.05-0.05
DukeACC0.100.1087.8887.880.070.07
Jacksonville St.OVC0.090.0934.4834.48-0.03-0.03
East Tennessee St.SC0.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.090.0951.7251.720.000.00
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.090.0918.7518.75-0.05-0.05
RadfordBSth0.090.0962.0762.070.020.02
Grand CanyonWAC0.080.0851.7251.720.000.00
North FloridaASun0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
DuquesneA100.080.0836.6736.67-0.02-0.02
Illinois St.MVC0.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
BradleyMVC0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Missouri St.MVC0.080.0831.0331.03-0.03-0.03
Jackson St.SWAC0.080.0834.3834.38-0.03-0.03
MonmouthMAAC0.080.0854.5554.550.010.01
IndianaB100.080.0860.6160.610.020.02
Indiana St.MVC0.080.0846.6746.67-0.01-0.01
Saint Mary'sWCC0.080.0868.9768.970.030.03
Central MichiganMAC0.080.0871.4371.430.030.03
UCFAmer0.080.0837.9337.93-0.02-0.02
Western IllinoisSum0.080.0823.0823.08-0.04-0.04
BaylorB120.080.0871.8871.880.030.03
RutgersB100.080.0831.2531.25-0.03-0.03
WisconsinB100.080.0891.1891.180.070.07
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.080.0822.5822.58-0.04-0.04
UC IrvineBW0.080.0861.2961.290.020.02
NebraskaB100.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
VillanovaBE0.080.0894.1294.120.070.07
DetroitHorz0.080.0841.9441.94-0.01-0.01
IowaB100.080.0865.6265.620.020.02
ClemsonACC0.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
East CarolinaAmer0.080.0838.7138.71-0.02-0.02
TulaneAmer0.080.0846.6746.67-0.01-0.01
StanfordP120.080.0859.3859.380.010.01
NavyPat0.080.0838.7138.71-0.02-0.02
WashingtonP120.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
BryantNEC0.080.0851.6151.610.000.00
SyracuseACC0.080.0858.0658.060.010.01
USCP120.080.0837.5037.50-0.02-0.02
Wake ForestACC0.080.0840.6240.62-0.01-0.01
TulsaAmer0.070.0770.9770.970.030.03
Morehead St.OVC0.060.0646.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Tennessee TechOVC0.060.0635.7135.71-0.02-0.02
Murray St.OVC0.060.0683.3383.330.040.04
CornellIvy0.060.0641.3841.38-0.01-0.01
CreightonBE0.060.0642.4242.42-0.01-0.01
PepperdineWCC0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
RichmondA100.060.0659.3859.380.010.01
South AlabamaSB0.060.0632.2632.26-0.02-0.02
WinthropBSth0.060.0655.1755.170.010.01
Southern UtahBSky0.060.0632.1432.14-0.02-0.02
WyomingMWC0.060.0671.8871.880.020.02
Austin PeayOVC0.060.0621.4321.43-0.03-0.03
DrakeMVC0.060.0626.6726.67-0.03-0.03
IPFWSum0.060.0648.1548.15-0.00-0.00
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
MercerSC0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
Nebraska OmahaSum0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Oral RobertsSum0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
South DakotaSum0.060.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
South Dakota St.Sum0.060.0667.7467.740.020.02
Southern IllinoisMVC0.060.0634.3834.38-0.02-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.060.0656.6756.670.010.01
The CitadelSC0.060.0629.6329.63-0.02-0.02
Wichita St.MVC0.060.0687.1087.100.040.04
San FranciscoWCC0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCUSA0.050.0577.4277.420.030.03
Boston UniversityPat0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Coastal CarolinaBSth0.050.0568.9768.970.020.02
GeorgiaSEC0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
LibertyBSth0.050.0514.2914.29-0.04-0.04
ManhattanMAAC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
MarquetteBE0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
PrincetonIvy0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
RiderMAAC0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.050.0547.0647.06-0.00-0.00
Texas SouthernSWAC0.050.0564.7164.710.020.02
UC RiversideBW0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
VanderbiltSEC0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
LouisvilleACC0.050.0575.0075.000.030.03
MarshallCUSA0.050.0530.0030.00-0.02-0.02
BucknellPat0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.050.0567.8667.860.020.02
MinnesotaB100.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
DaytonA100.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
South CarolinaSEC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
La SalleA100.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
AmericanPat0.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
VCUA100.050.0574.2974.290.020.02
Appalachian St.SB0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
ArkansasSEC0.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
CampbellBSth0.050.0524.1424.14-0.03-0.03
ColoradoP120.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
HawaiiBW0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
IonaMAAC0.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
North TexasCUSA0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Oregon St.P120.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
PennIvy0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
Rhode IslandA100.050.0570.0070.000.020.02
UCLAP120.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
UtahP120.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
Washington St.P120.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
ColumbiaIvy0.050.0544.4444.44-0.01-0.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
Boston CollegeACC0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Georgia TechACC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
BYUWCC0.030.0371.8871.880.010.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.030.0325.9325.93-0.01-0.01
KentuckySEC0.030.03100.00100.000.030.03
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0338.4638.46-0.01-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
ValparaisoHorz0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
Cleveland St.Horz0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
FIUCUSA0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Kansas St.B120.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
LSUSEC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
New Mexico St.WAC0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
Northern ColoradoBSky0.030.0346.4346.43-0.00-0.00
San DiegoWCC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Alabama St.SWAC0.030.0362.9662.960.010.01
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
CharlotteCUSA0.030.0343.7543.75-0.00-0.00
Colorado St.MWC0.030.0381.2581.250.020.02
Fresno St.MWC0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Green BayHorz0.030.0373.3373.330.010.01
Idaho St.BSky0.030.0317.8617.86-0.02-0.02
LongwoodBSth0.030.0328.1228.12-0.01-0.01
New OrleansSlnd0.030.0330.7730.77-0.01-0.01
Northern KentuckyASun0.030.0339.2939.29-0.01-0.01
OaklandHorz0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Saint Joseph'sA100.030.0341.9441.94-0.00-0.00
Saint LouisA100.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
UNC GreensboroSC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Wright St.Horz0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
AlabamaSEC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
GeorgetownBE0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0326.9226.92-0.01-0.01
Texas TechB120.030.0340.6240.62-0.01-0.01
BrownIvy0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
MissouriSEC0.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
St. BonaventureA100.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
St. Francis PANEC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Alcorn St.SWAC0.030.0316.6716.67-0.02-0.02
CaliforniaP120.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
LIU BrooklynNEC0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
MississippiSEC0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
Portland St.BSky0.030.0348.1548.15-0.00-0.00
Stony BrookAE0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
WagnerNEC0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.020.0237.5037.50-0.01-0.01
BinghamtonAE0.020.0216.6716.67-0.02-0.02
Chicago St.WAC0.020.0217.2417.24-0.02-0.02
FloridaSEC0.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Florida St.ACC0.020.0251.5251.520.000.00
Grambling St.SWAC0.020.020.000.00-0.02-0.02
HartfordAE0.020.0244.8344.83-0.00-0.00
MassachusettsA100.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.020.0252.9452.940.000.00
PittsburghACC0.020.0256.2556.250.000.00
ProvidenceBE0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01
TexasB120.020.0260.6160.610.010.01
West VirginiaB120.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
YaleIvy0.020.0266.6766.670.010.01