The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated St. Louis page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

St. Louis

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		86.0
Current RPI:		86
Expected SOS:		107
Current SOS:		107
Current Record:		19-11
Expected Record:		19-11
Current Conf Record:		11-6
Expected Conf Record:		11-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		10-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC RPI:		180
Expected OOC SOS:		226

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
19-11		86.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Louis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Southeast Missouri St. (312.0)	OVC	H	59-41	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Nebraska (149.0)	B12	H	69-55	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Kennesaw St. (284.0)	ASun	H	76-66	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Mississippi Valley St. (325.0)	SWAC	H	75-39	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Iowa St. (124.0)	B12	N	54-65	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	N	52-64	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Georgia (106.0)	SEC	A	56-64	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Southern Illinois (171.0)	MVC	H	71-61	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Belmont (135.0)	ASun	H	75-67	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Missouri St. (90.0)	MVC	H	63-73	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Missouri Kansas City (281.0)	Sum	H	61-54	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Eastern Illinois (170.0)	OVC	H	60-42	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Bowling Green (189.0)	MAC	A	50-59	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Richmond (25.0)	A10	H	63-58	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Duquesne (111.0)	A10	A	79-75	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Charlotte (77.0)	A10	A	61-63	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Fordham (306.0)	A10	H	75-48	W	100%	0.0
1-27	George Washington (148.0)	A10	A	62-67	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Richmond (25.0)	A10	A	36-62	L	0%	0.0
2-3	St. Bonaventure (155.0)	A10	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
2-6	La Salle (175.0)	A10	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Saint Joseph's (180.0)	A10	A	56-52	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Dayton (53.0)	A10	H	68-65	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Rhode Island (39.0)	A10	H	62-57	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Massachusetts (176.0)	A10	A	69-56	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Xavier (19.0)	A10	H	71-73	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Duquesne (111.0)	A10	H	69-59	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Temple (9.0)	A10	H	51-57	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Dayton (53.0)	A10	A	71-66	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Rhode Island (39.0)	A10	N	47-63	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

St. Louis's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

St. Louis's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against St. Louis.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Louis	A10	26.02	26.02	60.16	60.16	5.28	5.28
Dayton	A10	3.87	3.87	66.67	66.67	1.29	1.29
Richmond	A10	3.87	3.87	78.12	78.12	2.18	2.18
Rhode Island	A10	3.87	3.87	73.33	73.33	1.80	1.80
Duquesne	A10	3.84	3.84	53.57	53.57	0.27	0.27
Temple	A10	2.36	2.36	84.85	84.85	1.64	1.64
Xavier	A10	2.33	2.33	74.19	74.19	1.13	1.13
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.31	2.31	48.28	48.28	-0.08	-0.08
Massachusetts	A10	2.28	2.28	36.67	36.67	-0.61	-0.61
Fordham	A10	2.25	2.25	7.41	7.41	-1.92	-1.92
George Washington	A10	2.25	2.25	51.72	51.72	0.08	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.22	2.22	36.67	36.67	-0.59	-0.59
Charlotte	A10	2.22	2.22	60.00	60.00	0.44	0.44
La Salle	A10	2.17	2.17	41.38	41.38	-0.37	-0.37
Kennesaw St.	ASun	1.80	1.80	36.67	36.67	-0.48	-0.48
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.78	1.78	21.43	21.43	-1.02	-1.02
Belmont	ASun	1.78	1.78	63.33	63.33	0.47	0.47
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.78	1.78	60.71	60.71	0.38	0.38
Nebraska	B12	1.75	1.75	46.88	46.88	-0.11	-0.11
Southern Illinois	MVC	1.75	1.75	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	1.75	1.75	42.86	42.86	-0.25	-0.25
Iowa St.	B12	1.74	1.74	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Missouri St.	MVC	1.72	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.72	1.72	26.67	26.67	-0.80	-0.80
Notre Dame	BE	1.69	1.69	66.67	66.67	0.56	0.56
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	1.69	1.69	37.04	37.04	-0.44	-0.44
Georgia	SEC	1.67	1.67	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Missouri	B12	0.23	0.23	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Creighton	MVC	0.21	0.21	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	28.12	28.12	-0.09	-0.09
Miami OH	MAC	0.19	0.19	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.19	0.19	77.42	77.42	0.10	0.10
Old Dominion	CAA	0.18	0.18	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Kansas	B12	0.18	0.18	94.12	94.12	0.16	0.16
Kansas St.	B12	0.18	0.18	78.12	78.12	0.10	0.10
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.17	0.17	7.41	7.41	-0.14	-0.14
IUPUI	Sum	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Western Michigan	MAC	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.16	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.14	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.11
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Towson	CAA	0.14	0.14	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.13	0.13	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.13	0.13	29.03	29.03	-0.06	-0.06
St. John's	BE	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Lehigh	Pat	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.11	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.11	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.11	0.11	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.11	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Davidson	SC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.11	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.09	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.09	11.54	11.54	-0.07	-0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	84.38	84.38	0.02	0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	84.85	84.85	0.02	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.02	0.02	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.02	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Louis	A10	26.02	26.02	60.16	60.16	5.28	5.28
Dayton	A10	3.87	3.87	66.67	66.67	1.29	1.29
Richmond	A10	3.87	3.87	78.12	78.12	2.18	2.18
Rhode Island	A10	3.87	3.87	73.33	73.33	1.80	1.80
Duquesne	A10	3.84	3.84	53.57	53.57	0.27	0.27
Temple	A10	2.36	2.36	84.85	84.85	1.64	1.64
Xavier	A10	2.33	2.33	74.19	74.19	1.13	1.13
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.31	2.31	48.28	48.28	-0.08	-0.08
Massachusetts	A10	2.28	2.28	36.67	36.67	-0.61	-0.61
Fordham	A10	2.25	2.25	7.41	7.41	-1.92	-1.92
George Washington	A10	2.25	2.25	51.72	51.72	0.08	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.22	2.22	36.67	36.67	-0.59	-0.59
Charlotte	A10	2.22	2.22	60.00	60.00	0.44	0.44
La Salle	A10	2.17	2.17	41.38	41.38	-0.37	-0.37
Kennesaw St.	ASun	1.80	1.80	36.67	36.67	-0.48	-0.48
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.78	1.78	21.43	21.43	-1.02	-1.02
Belmont	ASun	1.78	1.78	63.33	63.33	0.47	0.47
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.78	1.78	60.71	60.71	0.38	0.38
Nebraska	B12	1.75	1.75	46.88	46.88	-0.11	-0.11
Southern Illinois	MVC	1.75	1.75	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	1.75	1.75	42.86	42.86	-0.25	-0.25
Iowa St.	B12	1.74	1.74	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Missouri St.	MVC	1.72	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.72	1.72	26.67	26.67	-0.80	-0.80
Notre Dame	BE	1.69	1.69	66.67	66.67	0.56	0.56
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	1.69	1.69	37.04	37.04	-0.44	-0.44
Georgia	SEC	1.67	1.67	43.33	43.33	-0.22	-0.22
Missouri	B12	0.23	0.23	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Creighton	MVC	0.21	0.21	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.19	0.19	28.12	28.12	-0.09	-0.09
Miami OH	MAC	0.19	0.19	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.19	0.19	77.42	77.42	0.10	0.10
Old Dominion	CAA	0.18	0.18	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Kansas	B12	0.18	0.18	94.12	94.12	0.16	0.16
Kansas St.	B12	0.18	0.18	78.12	78.12	0.10	0.10
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.17	0.17	7.41	7.41	-0.14	-0.14
IUPUI	Sum	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Western Michigan	MAC	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.16	42.42	42.42	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.14	0.14	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.11
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.14	0.14	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Towson	CAA	0.14	0.14	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.13	0.13	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.13	0.13	29.03	29.03	-0.06	-0.06
St. John's	BE	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.13	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.13	0.13	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Lehigh	Pat	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.11	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.11	0.11	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.11	0.11	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.11	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.11	0.11	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Davidson	SC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.11	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.07	0.07
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.10	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Seton Hall	BE	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.09	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.09	11.54	11.54	-0.07	-0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.08	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.08	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	85.29	85.29	0.04	0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.05	87.88	87.88	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.05	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01