The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated St. Louis page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

St. Louis

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		80.5
Current RPI:		83
Expected SOS:		102
Current SOS:		106
Current Record:		19-10
Expected Record:		19-11
Current Conf Record:		11-5
Expected Conf Record:		11-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		10-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC RPI:		180
Expected OOC SOS:		227

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
20-10	74.9	38.07%
19-11	83.9	61.93%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Louis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Southeast Missouri St. (312.5)	OVC	H	59-41	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Nebraska (147.2)	B12	H	69-55	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Kennesaw St. (285.0)	ASun	H	76-66	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Mississippi Valley St. (325.8)	SWAC	H	75-39	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Iowa St. (123.6)	B12	N	54-65	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Notre Dame (46.8)	BE	N	52-64	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Georgia (99.2)	SEC	A	56-64	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Southern Illinois (170.2)	MVC	H	71-61	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Belmont (136.4)	ASun	H	75-67	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Missouri St. (90.3)	MVC	H	63-73	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Missouri Kansas City (282.4)	Sum	H	61-54	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Eastern Illinois (169.0)	OVC	H	60-42	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Bowling Green (188.2)	MAC	A	50-59	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Richmond (25.6)	A10	H	63-58	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Duquesne (109.1)	A10	A	79-75	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Charlotte (76.4)	A10	A	61-63	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Fordham (303.3)	A10	H	75-48	W	100%	0.0
1-27	George Washington (145.8)	A10	A	62-67	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Richmond (25.6)	A10	A	36-62	L	0%	0.0
2-3	St. Bonaventure (152.3)	A10	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
2-6	La Salle (174.0)	A10	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Saint Joseph's (178.4)	A10	A	56-52	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Dayton (49.3)	A10	H	68-65	W	100%	0.0
2-17	Rhode Island (40.8)	A10	H	62-57	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Massachusetts (172.9)	A10	A	69-56	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Xavier (20.2)	A10	H	71-73	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Duquesne (109.1)	A10	H	69-59	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Temple (17.5)	A10	H	51-57	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Dayton (49.3)	A10	A	71-66	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Rhode Island (40.8)	A10	N	0-0		38%	-2.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

St. Louis's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

St. Louis's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against St. Louis.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Louis	A10	25.99	26.03	62.60	61.63	6.55	6.05
Dayton	A10	3.96	3.88	68.97	67.80	1.50	1.38
Duquesne	A10	3.96	3.85	53.57	53.57	0.28	0.27
Richmond	A10	3.91	3.82	79.31	79.66	2.29	2.27
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.35	2.32	50.00	48.69	0.00	-0.06
George Washington	A10	2.32	2.26	51.72	51.72	0.08	0.08
Xavier	A10	2.30	2.29	75.86	75.54	1.19	1.17
Charlotte	A10	2.29	2.23	60.00	60.00	0.46	0.45
Fordham	A10	2.29	2.26	7.41	7.41	-1.95	-1.93
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.27	2.23	36.67	36.67	-0.60	-0.60
Temple	A10	2.27	2.27	83.33	83.49	1.51	1.52
Rhode Island	A10	2.27	3.85	75.86	75.86	1.17	1.99
Massachusetts	A10	2.26	2.29	37.93	37.01	-0.55	-0.59
La Salle	A10	2.24	2.18	41.38	41.38	-0.39	-0.38
Kennesaw St.	ASun	1.86	1.80	36.67	36.67	-0.50	-0.48
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.84	1.78	21.43	21.43	-1.05	-1.02
Belmont	ASun	1.84	1.78	63.33	63.33	0.49	0.47
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.84	1.78	60.71	60.71	0.39	0.38
Bowling Green	MAC	1.81	1.75	42.86	42.86	-0.26	-0.25
Nebraska	B12	1.81	1.75	46.88	46.88	-0.11	-0.11
Southern Illinois	MVC	1.81	1.75	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	1.80	1.74	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Missouri St.	MVC	1.78	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.39
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.78	1.72	26.67	26.67	-0.83	-0.80
Notre Dame	BE	1.75	1.69	68.75	67.39	0.66	0.59
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	1.75	1.69	37.04	37.04	-0.45	-0.44
Georgia	SEC	1.72	1.67	44.83	44.03	-0.18	-0.20
Missouri	B12	0.25	0.24	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Creighton	MVC	0.22	0.21	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.19	28.12	28.12	-0.09	-0.09
Miami OH	MAC	0.20	0.19	45.16	45.00	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.20	0.19	77.42	77.42	0.11	0.10
Old Dominion	CAA	0.20	0.19	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.18	93.75	93.44	0.17	0.16
Kansas St.	B12	0.19	0.18	80.00	79.25	0.11	0.11
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.18	0.17	7.41	7.41	-0.15	-0.14
IUPUI	Sum	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.06
Western Michigan	MAC	0.17	0.17	54.84	54.42	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Drake	MVC	0.17	0.16	42.42	42.42	-0.03	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.17	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.14	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.11
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.13	67.74	67.21	0.05	0.05
Towson	CAA	0.14	0.14	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.13	65.62	65.13	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.14	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.10
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.13	63.33	62.38	0.04	0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.13	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.14	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Austin Peay	OVC	0.12	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.12	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.12	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.12	0.11	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.12	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.11	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.11	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.11	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Holy Cross	Pat	0.11	0.14	29.03	29.03	-0.05	-0.06
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	48.15	47.42	-0.00	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Baylor	B12	0.11	0.11	80.00	78.82	0.07	0.06
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.11	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.09	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.09	11.54	11.54	-0.07	-0.07
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.11	70.97	70.58	0.04	0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Southern Utah	Sum	0.09	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.05
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.11	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.09	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.08	77.42	76.92	0.05	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	61.29	60.55	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	23.08	22.57	-0.05	-0.04
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Providence	BE	0.08	0.11	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.10	80.65	80.51	0.05	0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	73.33	71.50	0.04	0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	44.56	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.36	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.05	93.55	93.22	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.06	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.06	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.04
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.08	75.86	75.97	0.03	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.05	76.67	76.05	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.05	90.62	89.55	0.05	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.05	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.05	48.28	49.68	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.04	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	83.87	84.24	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.46	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.01	-0.02	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.75	67.65	0.02	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.21	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	76.67	75.56	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.66	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.03	0.03	58.06	56.83	0.00	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	76.64	0.02	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	70.00	68.99	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.02	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.03	0.03	19.23	19.23	-0.02	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	60.86	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.62	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.33	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	33.43	-0.01	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.58	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.95	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.50	86.60	0.02	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.02	48.28	47.86	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.03	0.02	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.75	18.69	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.03	0.02	45.16	44.05	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Louis	A10	25.99	26.03	62.60	61.63	6.55	6.05
Dayton	A10	3.96	3.88	68.97	67.80	1.50	1.38
Rhode Island	A10	2.27	3.85	75.86	75.86	1.17	1.99
Duquesne	A10	3.96	3.85	53.57	53.57	0.28	0.27
Richmond	A10	3.91	3.82	79.31	79.66	2.29	2.27
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.35	2.32	50.00	48.69	0.00	-0.06
Xavier	A10	2.30	2.29	75.86	75.54	1.19	1.17
Massachusetts	A10	2.26	2.29	37.93	37.01	-0.55	-0.59
Temple	A10	2.27	2.27	83.33	83.49	1.51	1.52
Fordham	A10	2.29	2.26	7.41	7.41	-1.95	-1.93
George Washington	A10	2.32	2.26	51.72	51.72	0.08	0.08
Saint Joseph's	A10	2.27	2.23	36.67	36.67	-0.60	-0.60
Charlotte	A10	2.29	2.23	60.00	60.00	0.46	0.45
La Salle	A10	2.24	2.18	41.38	41.38	-0.39	-0.38
Kennesaw St.	ASun	1.86	1.80	36.67	36.67	-0.50	-0.48
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	1.84	1.78	21.43	21.43	-1.05	-1.02
Belmont	ASun	1.84	1.78	63.33	63.33	0.49	0.47
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.84	1.78	60.71	60.71	0.39	0.38
Bowling Green	MAC	1.81	1.75	42.86	42.86	-0.26	-0.25
Nebraska	B12	1.81	1.75	46.88	46.88	-0.11	-0.11
Southern Illinois	MVC	1.81	1.75	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	1.80	1.74	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Missouri St.	MVC	1.78	1.72	61.29	61.29	0.40	0.39
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.78	1.72	26.67	26.67	-0.83	-0.80
Notre Dame	BE	1.75	1.69	68.75	67.39	0.66	0.59
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	1.75	1.69	37.04	37.04	-0.45	-0.44
Georgia	SEC	1.72	1.67	44.83	44.03	-0.18	-0.20
Missouri	B12	0.25	0.24	68.75	68.75	0.09	0.09
Creighton	MVC	0.22	0.21	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.20	0.19	28.12	28.12	-0.09	-0.09
Miami OH	MAC	0.20	0.19	45.16	45.00	-0.02	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.20	0.19	77.42	77.42	0.11	0.10
Old Dominion	CAA	0.20	0.19	76.47	76.47	0.10	0.10
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.18	93.75	93.44	0.17	0.16
Kansas St.	B12	0.19	0.18	80.00	79.25	0.11	0.11
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.18	0.17	7.41	7.41	-0.15	-0.14
IUPUI	Sum	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.06
Western Michigan	MAC	0.17	0.17	54.84	54.42	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	68.75	68.75	0.06	0.06
Wichita St.	MVC	0.17	0.17	72.73	72.73	0.08	0.08
Drake	MVC	0.17	0.16	42.42	42.42	-0.03	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.17	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.15	0.14	60.00	60.00	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.11
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.15	0.14	32.14	32.14	-0.05	-0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.14	0.14	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.14	0.14	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.14	87.50	87.50	0.11	0.10
Towson	CAA	0.14	0.14	32.26	32.26	-0.05	-0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.11	0.14	29.03	29.03	-0.05	-0.06
St. John's	BE	0.14	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.14	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.14	0.13	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.14	0.13	67.74	67.21	0.05	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.14	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.05
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.14	0.13	20.69	20.69	-0.08	-0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.14	0.13	63.33	62.38	0.04	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.14	0.13	65.62	65.13	0.04	0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.14	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Lehigh	Pat	0.14	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Austin Peay	OVC	0.12	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.12	0.11	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.12	0.11	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.12	0.11	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.12	0.11	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.11	31.82	31.82	-0.04	-0.04
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.11	70.97	70.58	0.04	0.05
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.11	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.11	31.25	31.25	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	48.15	47.42	-0.00	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.09	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.11	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.11	27.59	27.59	-0.05	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.11	0.11	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.07
Ball St.	MAC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.08	0.11	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.08	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.11	0.11	80.00	78.82	0.07	0.06
Pittsburgh	BE	0.11	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.08	0.10	80.65	80.51	0.05	0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.11	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.09	0.09	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.09	0.09	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.09	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.09	0.09	11.54	11.54	-0.07	-0.07
Southern Utah	Sum	0.09	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.05
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.08	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.09	0.08	86.21	86.21	0.06	0.06
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	23.08	22.57	-0.05	-0.04
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.06	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.08	77.42	76.92	0.05	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.08	75.86	75.97	0.03	0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	61.29	60.55	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.08	0.08	29.03	29.03	-0.04	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.02
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.08	0.08	73.33	71.50	0.04	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.08	0.08	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.06	45.16	44.56	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	56.25	56.36	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.06	0.06	9.68	9.68	-0.05	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.06	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.06	0.06	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.06	0.06	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.06	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.06	0.05	70.37	70.37	0.02	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.06	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.05	6.45	6.45	-0.05	-0.05
Brown	Ivy	0.03	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.01	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.05	93.55	93.22	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.06	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.05	17.24	17.24	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.05	48.28	49.68	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.05	83.87	84.24	0.04	0.04
Siena	MAAC	0.06	0.05	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.05	76.67	76.05	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.05	29.63	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.05	90.62	89.55	0.05	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.05	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.04	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.01	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	68.75	67.65	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.46	0.02	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	62.50	61.06	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.02	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.03	0.03	35.48	36.21	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.03	0.03	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.03	0.03	76.67	75.56	0.02	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00