The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated St. Louis page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

St. Louis

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		124.0
Current RPI:		110
Expected SOS:		105
Current SOS:		138
Current Record:		13-8
Expected Record:		16-13
Current Conf Record:		5-3
Expected Conf Record:		8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-1
Current OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC Record:		8-5
Expected OOC RPI:		171
Expected OOC SOS:		217

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
21-8	58.2	0.05%
20-9	68.2	0.44%
19-10	79.7	3.75%
18-11	93.6	12.48%
17-12	109.3	25.15%
16-13	127.4	29.63%
15-14	147.1	20.04%
14-15	166.1	7.18%
13-16	183.6	1.27%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Louis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	H	59-41	W	100%	0.0
11-18	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	H	69-55	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	H	76-66	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	75-39	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Iowa St. (110.1)	B12	N	54-65	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Notre Dame (75.1)	BE	N	52-64	L	0%	0.0
12-2	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	A	56-64	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Southern Illinois (133.6)	MVC	H	71-61	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	H	75-67	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	H	63-73	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Missouri Kansas City (279.4)	Sum	H	61-54	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Eastern Illinois (217.6)	OVC	H	60-42	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Bowling Green (197.1)	MAC	A	50-59	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Richmond (38.1)	A10	H	63-58	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Duquesne (123.2)	A10	A	79-75	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	A	61-63	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Fordham (296.2)	A10	H	75-48	W	100%	0.0
1-27	George Washington (136.9)	A10	A	62-67	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Richmond (38.1)	A10	A	36-62	L	0%	0.0
2-3	St. Bonaventure (184.1)	A10	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
2-6	La Salle (138.5)	A10	A	68-65	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Saint Joseph's (177.5)	A10	A	0-0		52%	0.6
2-13	Dayton (32.1)	A10	H	0-0		36%	-3.9
2-17	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	H	0-0		41%	-2.4
2-21	Massachusetts (194.2)	A10	A	0-0		52%	0.6
2-24	Xavier (26.6)	A10	H	0-0		27%	-6.7
2-27	Duquesne (123.2)	A10	H	0-0		70%	5.8
3-3	Temple (24.9)	A10	H	0-0		35%	-4.2
3-6	Dayton (32.1)	A10	A	0-0		14%	-11.9

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

St. Louis's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

St. Louis's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against St. Louis.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Louis	A10	26.22	26.02	59.49	51.58	4.98	0.82
Richmond	A10	4.97	3.92	77.27	72.69	2.71	1.78
Charlotte	A10	2.70	2.28	77.27	70.75	1.47	0.94
George Washington	A10	2.70	2.27	52.38	53.46	0.13	0.16
La Salle	A10	2.64	2.25	50.00	47.95	0.00	-0.09
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.61	1.85	28.57	26.75	-1.12	-0.86
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.60	2.31	42.11	44.22	-0.41	-0.27
Duquesne	A10	2.59	3.94	52.38	52.37	0.12	0.19
Fordham	A10	2.59	2.31	10.00	9.20	-2.07	-1.88
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.59	1.87	45.45	40.83	-0.24	-0.34
Eastern Illinois	OVC	2.58	1.84	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.04
Belmont	ASun	2.55	1.85	62.50	66.03	0.64	0.59
Nebraska	B12	2.49	1.81	59.09	52.10	0.45	0.08
Iowa St.	B12	2.49	1.81	54.55	48.82	0.23	-0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.48	1.81	57.14	56.06	0.35	0.22
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.48	1.78	23.81	28.23	-1.30	-0.78
Bowling Green	MAC	2.44	1.81	45.00	43.67	-0.24	-0.23
Missouri St.	MVC	2.44	1.79	65.22	63.40	0.74	0.48
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	2.43	1.75	40.00	39.54	-0.49	-0.37
Notre Dame	BE	2.43	1.75	69.57	62.17	0.95	0.43
Georgia	SEC	2.38	1.72	45.00	43.49	-0.24	-0.22
Temple	A10	0.37	2.28	79.17	77.99	0.22	1.28
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.33	2.25	39.13	36.18	-0.07	-0.62
Xavier	A10	0.33	2.31	69.57	71.38	0.13	0.99
Massachusetts	A10	0.32	2.25	31.82	31.07	-0.12	-0.85
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.28	0.15	38.10	41.29	-0.07	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.27	0.18	66.67	63.46	0.09	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.27	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.11	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.26	0.23	73.91	70.60	0.13	0.09
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.26	0.21	20.00	24.04	-0.16	-0.11
Bradley	MVC	0.26	0.15	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.26	0.15	91.30	88.21	0.21	0.11
Kansas	B12	0.25	0.20	95.65	91.32	0.23	0.16
Dayton	A10	0.22	3.95	72.73	71.68	0.10	1.71
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.22	0.12	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.22	0.18	65.22	67.00	0.07	0.06
Rhode Island	A10	0.22	2.25	86.36	82.31	0.16	1.45
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.21	0.18	5.00	8.59	-0.19	-0.15
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.21	0.12	33.33	39.38	-0.07	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.21	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.04	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.21	0.23	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.21	0.20	72.00	73.54	0.09	0.09
Mercer	ASun	0.20	0.15	42.86	42.46	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.20	0.14	18.18	21.04	-0.13	-0.08
Bucknell	Pat	0.20	0.11	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.20	0.14	43.48	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.17	0.15	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.17	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.17	0.12	30.00	31.19	-0.07	-0.05
Murray St.	OVC	0.17	0.12	86.96	85.47	0.12	0.09
Binghamton	AE	0.17	0.12	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.17	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.06	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.17	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.10	-0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.17	0.15	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.16	0.12	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.16	0.09	8.70	9.54	-0.13	-0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.15	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.08
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.09	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.16	0.09	19.05	24.00	-0.10	-0.05
Villanova	BE	0.16	0.20	90.91	82.52	0.13	0.13
Arkansas St.	SB	0.16	0.09	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.12	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.14	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.05
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.15	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.15	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.12	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.12	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.15	0.12	14.29	15.65	-0.11	-0.08
Campbell	ASun	0.15	0.12	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.15	0.12	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.15	0.12	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.12	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.11	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.09	-0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.10	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.12	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.12	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.04
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.15	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.08
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.10	0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.11	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Maine	AE	0.11	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.10	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.11	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.20	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.12
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.14	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.08	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.12	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.06	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.06	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.21	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.06	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.03	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.06	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.04	0.03
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.09	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.12	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.12	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.03
Oregon	P10	0.05	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.03	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.11	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.05
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.09	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.06
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Lafayette	Pat	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.03
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.09	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.00	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.00	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.00	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.00	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.00	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.00	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.00	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.00	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.00	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.00	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.00	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.00	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.00	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.00	-0.04
Purdue	B10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.00	0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.09	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.00	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.00	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.00	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Louis	A10	26.22	26.02	59.49	51.58	4.98	0.82
Dayton	A10	0.22	3.95	72.73	71.68	0.10	1.71
Duquesne	A10	2.59	3.94	52.38	52.37	0.12	0.19
Richmond	A10	4.97	3.92	77.27	72.69	2.71	1.78
Xavier	A10	0.33	2.31	69.57	71.38	0.13	0.99
Fordham	A10	2.59	2.31	10.00	9.20	-2.07	-1.88
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.60	2.31	42.11	44.22	-0.41	-0.27
Temple	A10	0.37	2.28	79.17	77.99	0.22	1.28
Charlotte	A10	2.70	2.28	77.27	70.75	1.47	0.94
George Washington	A10	2.70	2.27	52.38	53.46	0.13	0.16
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.33	2.25	39.13	36.18	-0.07	-0.62
Rhode Island	A10	0.22	2.25	86.36	82.31	0.16	1.45
La Salle	A10	2.64	2.25	50.00	47.95	0.00	-0.09
Massachusetts	A10	0.32	2.25	31.82	31.07	-0.12	-0.85
Kennesaw St.	ASun	2.59	1.87	45.45	40.83	-0.24	-0.34
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.61	1.85	28.57	26.75	-1.12	-0.86
Belmont	ASun	2.55	1.85	62.50	66.03	0.64	0.59
Eastern Illinois	OVC	2.58	1.84	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.04
Nebraska	B12	2.49	1.81	59.09	52.10	0.45	0.08
Bowling Green	MAC	2.44	1.81	45.00	43.67	-0.24	-0.23
Southern Illinois	MVC	2.48	1.81	57.14	56.06	0.35	0.22
Iowa St.	B12	2.49	1.81	54.55	48.82	0.23	-0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	2.44	1.79	65.22	63.40	0.74	0.48
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.48	1.78	23.81	28.23	-1.30	-0.78
Notre Dame	BE	2.43	1.75	69.57	62.17	0.95	0.43
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	2.43	1.75	40.00	39.54	-0.49	-0.37
Georgia	SEC	2.38	1.72	45.00	43.49	-0.24	-0.22
Creighton	MVC	0.21	0.23	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.26	0.23	73.91	70.60	0.13	0.09
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.26	0.21	20.00	24.04	-0.16	-0.11
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.21	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.16	0.20	90.91	82.52	0.13	0.13
Old Dominion	CAA	0.21	0.20	72.00	73.54	0.09	0.09
Kansas St.	B12	0.10	0.20	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.12
Kansas	B12	0.25	0.20	95.65	91.32	0.23	0.16
IUPUI	Sum	0.22	0.18	65.22	67.00	0.07	0.06
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.21	0.18	5.00	8.59	-0.19	-0.15
Illinois St.	MVC	0.27	0.18	66.67	63.46	0.09	0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.28	0.15	38.10	41.29	-0.07	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.17	0.15	54.55	56.62	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.15	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.08
St. John's	BE	0.17	0.15	54.55	49.24	0.02	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.26	0.15	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.15	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.26	0.15	91.30	88.21	0.21	0.11
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.15	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.08
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.07	0.05
Mercer	ASun	0.20	0.15	42.86	42.46	-0.03	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.27	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.11	0.05
North Florida	ASun	0.20	0.14	43.48	45.31	-0.03	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.20	0.14	18.18	21.04	-0.13	-0.08
Florida	SEC	0.16	0.14	73.91	67.72	0.07	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.21	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.04	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.10	0.14	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.12	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.11	0.12	65.22	64.71	0.03	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.11	0.12	68.18	67.88	0.04	0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.17	0.12	86.96	85.47	0.12	0.09
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.22	0.12	45.45	44.03	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.17	0.12	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.17	0.12	30.00	31.19	-0.07	-0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.12	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.15	0.12	22.73	22.60	-0.08	-0.07
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.12	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.17	0.12	39.13	38.63	-0.04	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.16	0.12	33.33	30.82	-0.05	-0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.12	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.04
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.21	0.12	33.33	39.38	-0.07	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.15	0.12	57.14	58.76	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.15	0.12	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.15	0.12	29.17	28.85	-0.06	-0.05
Jacksonville	ASun	0.15	0.12	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.15	0.12	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.15	0.12	14.29	15.65	-0.11	-0.08
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.12	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.11	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.05
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.11	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.20	0.11	37.50	39.23	-0.05	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.10	0.11	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.10	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.17	0.09	33.33	33.96	-0.06	-0.03
Southern Utah	Sum	0.17	0.09	19.05	20.55	-0.10	-0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.16	0.09	8.70	9.54	-0.13	-0.07
Akron	MAC	0.06	0.09	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.09	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.11	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.10	-0.05
Idaho St.	BSky	0.16	0.09	19.05	24.00	-0.10	-0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.09	73.91	70.80	0.03	0.04
Providence	BE	0.10	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.10	0.09	30.43	30.27	-0.04	-0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.09	86.36	82.20	0.08	0.06
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.09	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.16	0.09	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.09	85.71	85.57	0.04	0.06
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.09	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.09	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.09	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.10	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.09	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.09	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.05
Chattanooga	SC	0.15	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.08	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.08	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.06	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.11	0.06	8.70	10.09	-0.09	-0.05
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.11	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.07	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.04	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.11	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.06	0.06	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.00	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.00	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.06	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.11	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.10	0.05
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.06	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.00	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.00	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.11	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.06	39.13	35.38	-0.00	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.11	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.04	-0.01
Princeton	Ivy	0.05	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	81.82	72.57	0.04	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.00	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
New Mexico	MWC	0.00	0.06	87.50	83.52	0.00	0.04
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.00	0.06	12.50	15.31	-0.00	-0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.06	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.04
Liberty	BSth	0.10	0.06	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.00	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.00	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.00	0.06	83.33	81.25	0.00	0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.06	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.00	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.00	0.03
Longwood	ind	0.10	0.06	23.81	29.40	-0.05	-0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.06	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.06	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.10	0.06	21.05	22.43	-0.06	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.10	0.06	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.06	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.06	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.03	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.06	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.06	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02