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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


La Salle

Conference:A10
Expected RPI:133.0
Current RPI:133
Expected SOS:84
Current SOS:84
Current Record:15-15
Expected Record:15-15
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-2
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:123
Expected OOC SOS:55



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
15-15133.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for La Salle.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Temple (137.0)AmerA97-92L0%0.0
11-15Delaware (235.0)CAAH74-68W100%0.0
11-19Texas Southern (108.0)SWACH76-77L0%0.0
11-27Drexel (308.0)CAAA78-89W100%0.0
11-30Lehigh (97.0)PatH89-81W100%0.0
12-3Bucknell (63.0)PatH83-73W100%0.0
12-6Villanova (1.0)BEN79-89L0%0.0
12-10Georgetown (106.0)BEN93-78L0%0.0
12-17Florida Gulf Coast (85.0)ASunH84-80W100%0.0
12-22Mercer (192.0)SCA96-98W100%0.0
12-30Dayton (30.0)A10A66-55L0%0.0
1-4Saint Louis (238.0)A10H75-54W100%0.0
1-7Duquesne (267.0)A10H88-81W100%0.0
1-12Rhode Island (31.0)A10A75-87W100%0.0
1-15George Washington (102.0)A10H79-69W100%0.0
1-19Davidson (93.0)A10H91-83W100%0.0
1-22VCU (22.0)A10A90-52L0%0.0
1-25Penn (203.0)IvyH74-77L0%0.0
1-28Saint Joseph's (197.0)A10A73-72L0%0.0
2-1Massachusetts (195.0)A10H88-78W100%0.0
2-4George Mason (103.0)A10A95-75L0%0.0
2-8Fordham (215.0)A10A52-67W100%0.0
2-11Richmond (80.0)A10H52-64L0%0.0
2-15St. Bonaventure (91.0)A10A83-65L0%0.0
2-18Saint Joseph's (197.0)A10H83-68W100%0.0
2-21Rhode Island (31.0)A10H56-67L0%0.0
2-26Massachusetts (195.0)A10A84-71L0%0.0
3-1Saint Louis (238.0)A10A70-55L0%0.0
3-4Fordham (215.0)A10H66-54W100%0.0
3-9Davidson (93.0)A10N73-82L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

La Salle's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


La Salle's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  La Salle.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
La SalleA1026.1026.1047.6647.66-1.22-1.22
Saint Joseph'sA104.114.1134.4834.48-1.28-1.28
Rhode IslandA104.064.0674.1974.191.971.97
DavidsonA104.064.0653.3353.330.270.27
MassachusettsA104.044.0445.1645.16-0.39-0.39
FordhamA103.963.9641.3841.38-0.68-0.68
Saint LouisA103.933.9335.4835.48-1.14-1.14
George MasonA102.452.4558.0658.060.390.39
St. BonaventureA102.442.4461.2961.290.550.55
VCUA102.392.3975.7675.761.231.23
George WashingtonA102.392.3959.3859.380.450.45
RichmondA102.392.3961.2961.290.540.54
DuquesneA102.372.3732.2632.26-0.84-0.84
DaytonA102.362.3675.8675.861.221.22
TempleAmer1.851.8548.3948.39-0.06-0.06
VillanovaBE1.831.8390.9190.911.501.50
PennIvy1.821.8244.4444.44-0.20-0.20
DrexelCAA1.801.8026.6726.67-0.84-0.84
BucknellPat1.771.7778.7978.791.021.02
MercerSC1.741.7444.8344.83-0.18-0.18
LehighPat1.741.7463.3363.330.460.46
DelawareCAA1.721.7236.6736.67-0.46-0.46
GeorgetownBE1.721.7241.9441.94-0.28-0.28
Florida Gulf CoastASun1.671.6779.3179.310.980.98
Texas SouthernSWAC1.671.6766.6766.670.560.56
LafayettePat0.240.2427.5927.59-0.11-0.11
St. John'sBE0.230.2342.4242.42-0.03-0.03
PrincetonIvy0.220.2278.5778.570.130.13
James MadisonCAA0.210.2128.1228.12-0.09-0.09
Holy CrossPat0.200.2046.8846.88-0.01-0.01
ProvidenceBE0.200.2062.5062.500.050.05
HarvardIvy0.190.1961.5461.540.040.04
College of CharlestonCAA0.180.1872.7372.730.080.08
UCFAmer0.180.1865.6265.620.060.06
East Tennessee St.SC0.160.1678.1278.120.090.09
Kennesaw St.ASun0.160.1640.0040.00-0.03-0.03
HofstraCAA0.160.1645.1645.16-0.02-0.02
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.160.1684.3884.380.110.11
William & MaryCAA0.160.1651.7251.720.010.01
NavyPat0.160.1648.3948.39-0.01-0.01
ColgatePat0.160.1629.0329.03-0.07-0.07
ArmyPat0.150.1538.7138.71-0.03-0.03
Seton HallBE0.150.1565.6265.620.050.05
YaleIvy0.140.1460.7160.710.030.03
ElonCAA0.130.1353.3353.330.010.01
TowsonCAA0.130.1359.3859.380.030.03
Robert MorrisNEC0.130.1342.4242.42-0.02-0.02
RiderMAAC0.130.1354.5554.550.010.01
Boston UniversityPat0.130.1354.8454.840.010.01
Loyola MDPat0.130.1346.6746.67-0.01-0.01
XavierBE0.130.1361.7661.760.030.03
AmericanPat0.130.1326.6726.67-0.06-0.06
DePaulBE0.130.1328.1228.12-0.06-0.06
CincinnatiAmer0.130.1385.2985.290.090.09
ButlerBE0.130.1374.1974.190.060.06
CreightonBE0.130.1372.7372.730.060.06
ColumbiaIvy0.110.1138.4638.46-0.03-0.03
BrownIvy0.110.1139.2939.29-0.02-0.02
DartmouthIvy0.110.1125.9325.93-0.05-0.05
Central ConnecticutNEC0.110.1120.6920.69-0.06-0.06
VMISC0.110.1114.2914.29-0.08-0.08
LipscombASun0.110.1156.6756.670.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.110.1146.4346.43-0.01-0.01
NortheasternCAA0.110.1148.3948.39-0.00-0.00
SamfordSC0.110.1153.1253.120.010.01
UT ArlingtonSB0.110.1174.1974.190.050.05
East CarolinaAmer0.110.1145.4545.45-0.01-0.01
ManhattanMAAC0.100.1031.2531.25-0.04-0.04
MississippiSEC0.100.1060.6160.610.020.02
South FloridaAmer0.100.1023.3323.33-0.06-0.06
SienaMAAC0.100.1050.0050.000.000.00
HoustonAmer0.100.1067.7467.740.040.04
MarquetteBE0.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
Old DominionCUSA0.100.1061.2961.290.020.02
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.100.103.333.33-0.09-0.09
North FloridaASun0.080.0836.6736.67-0.02-0.02
StetsonASun0.080.0827.5927.59-0.04-0.04
Georgia SouthernSB0.080.0853.3353.330.010.01
FloridaSEC0.080.0875.0075.000.040.04
NJITASun0.080.0831.0331.03-0.03-0.03
UNC GreensboroSC0.080.0870.9770.970.030.03
USC UpstateASun0.080.0846.4346.43-0.01-0.01
RutgersB100.080.0843.7543.75-0.01-0.01
ClemsonACC0.080.0853.1253.120.000.00
HartfordAE0.080.0828.1228.12-0.03-0.03
St. Francis PANEC0.080.0848.3948.39-0.00-0.00
AlabamaSEC0.080.0857.5857.580.010.01
WinthropBSth0.080.0880.0080.000.050.05
ConnecticutAmer0.080.0846.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.080.0855.8855.880.010.01
MaristMAAC0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Penn St.B100.080.0845.4545.45-0.01-0.01
BaylorB120.080.0877.4277.420.040.04
HowardMEAC0.080.0825.0025.00-0.04-0.04
Jackson St.SWAC0.080.0841.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.080.0835.4835.48-0.02-0.02
Wake ForestACC0.080.0859.3859.380.010.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.070.0720.0020.00-0.04-0.04
Alabama St.SWAC0.070.0723.3323.33-0.04-0.04
Alcorn St.SWAC0.070.0751.7251.720.000.00
Grambling St.SWAC0.070.0743.3343.33-0.01-0.01
CornellIvy0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
ChattanoogaSC0.060.0658.6258.620.010.01
FurmanSC0.060.0663.3363.330.010.01
The CitadelSC0.060.0630.0030.00-0.02-0.02
Western CarolinaSC0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
WoffordSC0.060.0643.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Miami FLACC0.060.0665.6265.620.020.02
Austin PeayOVC0.050.0532.1432.14-0.02-0.02
FairfieldMAAC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.050.0534.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Illinois St.MVC0.050.0581.2581.250.030.03
Loyola ChicagoMVC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Sacred HeartNEC0.050.0540.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
ToledoMAC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Arkansas St.SB0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
BradleyMVC0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
NiagaraMAAC0.050.0530.3030.30-0.02-0.02
BinghamtonAE0.050.0531.0331.03-0.02-0.02
VanderbiltSEC0.050.0555.8855.880.010.01
Appalachian St.SB0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Arizona St.P120.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
CanisiusMAAC0.050.0554.5554.550.000.00
CharlotteCUSA0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
KansasB120.050.0587.5087.500.040.04
MarylandB100.050.0574.1974.190.030.03
MemphisAmer0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
MissouriSEC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
North CarolinaACC0.050.0578.7978.790.030.03
SMUAmer0.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
TulaneAmer0.050.0519.3519.35-0.03-0.03
UMBCAE0.050.0557.1457.140.010.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
Florida St.ACC0.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
Ball St.MAC0.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
BelmontOVC0.050.0577.7877.780.030.03
BYUWCC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
Chicago St.WAC0.050.0510.3410.34-0.04-0.04
DukeACC0.050.0577.1477.140.030.03
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.050.0544.4444.44-0.01-0.01
Georgia St.SB0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
Kansas St.B120.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
PacificWCC0.050.0531.2531.25-0.02-0.02
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.050.0517.8617.86-0.03-0.03
Southern UtahBSky0.050.0512.9012.90-0.04-0.04
UMass LowellAE0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
ValparaisoHorz0.050.0574.1974.190.020.02
WagnerNEC0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Wichita St.MVC0.050.0587.8887.880.040.04
Alabama A&MSWAC0.050.056.906.90-0.04-0.04
LSUSEC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.050.0521.8821.88-0.03-0.03
SouthernSWAC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
AkronMAC0.030.0375.7675.760.010.01
AuburnSEC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
FIUCUSA0.030.0317.2417.24-0.02-0.02
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
Long Beach St.BW0.030.0340.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Louisiana TechCUSA0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
Michigan St.B100.030.0357.5857.580.000.00
NebraskaB100.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
New MexicoMWC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
NorthwesternB100.030.0367.6567.650.010.01
PortlandWCC0.030.0329.0329.03-0.01-0.01
RadfordBSth0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Saint Mary'sWCC0.030.0387.5087.500.020.02
High PointBSth0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
IonaMAAC0.030.0364.7164.710.010.01
Miami OHMAC0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
MonmouthMAAC0.030.0381.8281.820.020.02
North TexasCUSA0.030.0321.4321.43-0.02-0.02
Northern KentuckyHorz0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
QuinnipiacMAAC0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Stony BrookAE0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
Boston CollegeACC0.030.0328.1228.12-0.01-0.01
BuffaloMAC0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Central MichiganMAC0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.030.0323.3323.33-0.01-0.01
HamptonMEAC0.030.0342.8642.86-0.00-0.00
Kent St.MAC0.030.0361.7661.760.010.01
KentuckySEC0.030.0385.2985.290.020.02
Little RockSB0.030.0343.3343.33-0.00-0.00
LongwoodBSth0.030.0314.2914.29-0.02-0.02
New HampshireAE0.030.0358.6258.620.000.00
Northern IowaMVC0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Oklahoma St.B120.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Oral RobertsSum0.030.0321.4321.43-0.01-0.01
OregonP120.030.0384.8584.850.020.02
PepperdineWCC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
PittsburghACC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
SyracuseACC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
Tennessee MartinOVC0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Texas TechB120.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
TulsaAmer0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
West VirginiaB120.030.0376.4776.470.010.01
WisconsinB100.030.0373.5373.530.010.01
GeorgiaSEC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.030.0337.5037.50-0.01-0.01
UABCUSA0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
ArizonaP120.020.0288.2488.240.020.02
Georgia TechACC0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
IllinoisB100.020.0254.8454.840.000.00
LibertyBSth0.020.0255.1755.170.000.00
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
LouisvilleACC0.020.0275.0075.000.010.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.020.0287.8887.880.020.02
Norfolk St.MEAC0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Northern ColoradoBSky0.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Notre DameACC0.020.0273.5373.530.010.01
PurdueB100.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
RiceCUSA0.020.0264.5264.520.010.01
TCUB120.020.0254.5554.550.000.00
UNC AshevilleBSth0.020.0270.0070.000.010.01
VirginiaACC0.020.0268.7568.750.010.01
Western MichiganMAC0.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00