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Through games of Mar 15, 2015.


La Salle

Conference:A10
Expected RPI:101.0
Current RPI:101
Expected SOS:75
Current SOS:75
Current Record:17-16
Expected Record:17-16
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-3
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:70
Expected OOC SOS:43



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
17-16101.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for La Salle.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Colgate (194.0)PatH57-52W100%0.0
11-18Quinnipiac (226.0)MAACA58-60W100%0.0
11-22Saint Peter's (233.0)MAACH59-50W100%0.0
11-25St. Francis NY (170.0)NECH73-60W100%0.0
11-28Virginia (7.0)ACCN64-56L0%0.0
11-29Vanderbilt (104.0)SECN55-68L0%0.0
12-3Villanova (3.0)BEH70-84L0%0.0
12-6Temple (34.0)AmerN58-57L0%0.0
12-13Drexel (243.0)CAAA55-65W100%0.0
12-16American (135.0)PatH66-68L0%0.0
12-20Towson (281.0)CAAA53-67W100%0.0
12-23Hofstra (174.0)CAAA74-83W100%0.0
12-30Penn (254.0)IvyH84-67W100%0.0
1-3George Mason (221.0)A10A70-62L0%0.0
1-7Massachusetts (80.0)A10H65-71L0%0.0
1-10George Washington (84.0)A10H63-50W100%0.0
1-14Dayton (32.0)A10A61-50L0%0.0
1-17Fordham (238.0)A10H60-49W100%0.0
1-22Rhode Island (66.0)A10A59-47L0%0.0
1-27Saint Joseph's (187.0)A10H53-48W100%0.0
1-31St. Bonaventure (121.0)A10A56-66W100%0.0
2-5Richmond (56.0)A10H64-62W100%0.0
2-8Massachusetts (80.0)A10A66-59L0%0.0
2-11VCU (15.0)A10A69-74W100%0.0
2-14Davidson (35.0)A10H69-77L0%0.0
2-18Duquesne (222.0)A10H87-72W100%0.0
2-22Saint Louis (272.0)A10A68-64L0%0.0
2-25Fordham (238.0)A10A63-48L0%0.0
2-28Rhode Island (66.0)A10H56-59L0%0.0
3-4Saint Joseph's (187.0)A10A55-50L0%0.0
3-7Dayton (32.0)A10H55-53W100%0.0
3-12Massachusetts (80.0)A10N69-76W100%0.0
3-13Davidson (35.0)A10N67-66L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

La Salle's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


La Salle's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  La Salle.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
La SalleA1026.1826.1850.3350.330.170.17
MassachusettsA105.135.1351.7251.720.180.18
Saint Joseph'sA103.793.7941.3841.38-0.65-0.65
Rhode IslandA103.733.7367.8667.861.331.33
FordhamA103.733.7328.5728.57-1.60-1.60
DaytonA103.693.6977.4277.422.022.02
DavidsonA103.633.6375.0075.001.811.81
VCUA102.342.3476.4776.471.241.24
St. BonaventureA102.292.2960.0060.000.460.46
George WashingtonA102.222.2265.6265.620.690.69
Saint LouisA102.192.1930.0030.00-0.88-0.88
DuquesneA102.192.1937.9337.93-0.53-0.53
George MasonA102.172.1724.1424.14-1.12-1.12
RichmondA102.142.1461.2961.290.480.48
TempleAmer1.661.6668.7568.750.620.62
DrexelCAA1.661.6639.2939.29-0.36-0.36
TowsonCAA1.641.6436.6736.67-0.44-0.44
VillanovaBE1.641.6493.9493.941.441.44
PennIvy1.631.6333.3333.33-0.54-0.54
HofstraCAA1.621.6262.5062.500.400.40
VirginiaACC1.611.6190.3290.321.301.30
AmericanPat1.611.6150.0050.000.000.00
ColgatePat1.581.5848.3948.39-0.05-0.05
VanderbiltSEC1.571.5756.6756.670.210.21
Saint Peter'sMAAC1.571.5748.4848.48-0.05-0.05
QuinnipiacMAAC1.561.5651.7251.720.050.05
St. Francis NYNEC1.521.5268.7568.750.570.57
ManhattanMAAC0.260.2659.3859.380.050.05
College of CharlestonCAA0.250.2527.2727.27-0.11-0.11
NortheasternCAA0.240.2467.6567.650.090.09
SienaMAAC0.240.2435.4835.48-0.07-0.07
James MadisonCAA0.240.2459.3859.380.050.05
MonmouthMAAC0.220.2254.5554.550.020.02
IonaMAAC0.220.2276.4776.470.120.12
DelawareCAA0.220.2233.3333.33-0.07-0.07
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.200.2056.6756.670.030.03
NiagaraMAAC0.200.2026.6726.67-0.09-0.09
MaristMAAC0.200.2021.8821.88-0.11-0.11
William & MaryCAA0.190.1960.0060.000.040.04
CanisiusMAAC0.190.1953.3353.330.010.01
ProvidenceBE0.190.1966.6766.670.060.06
Boston UniversityPat0.190.1941.3841.38-0.03-0.03
ElonCAA0.170.1741.9441.94-0.03-0.03
NavyPat0.170.1738.7138.71-0.04-0.04
LehighPat0.160.1651.7251.720.010.01
LIU BrooklynNEC0.160.1640.0040.00-0.03-0.03
CornellIvy0.150.1541.3841.38-0.03-0.03
BrownIvy0.150.1537.9337.93-0.04-0.04
HarvardIvy0.150.1574.0774.070.070.07
ColumbiaIvy0.150.1544.4444.44-0.02-0.02
Georgia TechACC0.140.1438.7138.71-0.03-0.03
RiderMAAC0.140.1465.6265.620.050.05
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.140.1456.2556.250.020.02
LafayettePat0.140.1461.2961.290.030.03
Loyola MDPat0.140.1436.6736.67-0.04-0.04
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.140.1425.0025.00-0.07-0.07
Boston CollegeACC0.140.1440.6240.62-0.03-0.03
UMass LowellAE0.130.1339.2939.29-0.03-0.03
Penn St.B100.120.1252.9452.940.010.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.120.1248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
Florida St.ACC0.120.1251.5251.520.000.00
FairfieldMAAC0.120.1222.5822.58-0.06-0.06
St. Francis PANEC0.120.1250.0050.000.000.00
Norfolk St.MEAC0.120.1258.0658.060.020.02
RutgersB100.120.1231.2531.25-0.04-0.04
ArmyPat0.120.1248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
BucknellPat0.120.1256.2556.250.010.01
YaleIvy0.100.1066.6766.670.030.03
PrincetonIvy0.100.1051.7251.720.000.00
HowardMEAC0.100.1044.8344.83-0.01-0.01
VermontAE0.100.1056.6756.670.010.01
North CarolinaACC0.100.1068.5768.570.040.04
UCFAmer0.100.1037.9337.93-0.02-0.02
WagnerNEC0.100.1031.0331.03-0.04-0.04
LSUSEC0.100.1068.7568.750.040.04
St. John'sBE0.100.1064.5264.520.030.03
TennesseeSEC0.090.0950.0050.000.000.00
Notre DameACC0.090.0985.2985.290.070.07
Robert MorrisNEC0.090.0957.5857.580.010.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.090.0960.6160.610.020.02
Tennessee St.OVC0.090.0910.3410.34-0.07-0.07
Central ConnecticutNEC0.090.0916.1316.13-0.06-0.06
Holy CrossPat0.090.0944.8344.83-0.01-0.01
GeorgetownBE0.090.0967.7467.740.030.03
ConnecticutAmer0.090.0958.8258.820.020.02
Seton HallBE0.090.0951.6151.610.000.00
DartmouthIvy0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
Southern MissCUSA0.080.0825.9325.93-0.04-0.04
BinghamtonAE0.080.0816.6716.67-0.05-0.05
CampbellBSth0.070.0724.1424.14-0.04-0.04
MarylandB100.070.0781.8281.820.050.05
South Carolina St.MEAC0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
CharlotteCUSA0.070.0743.7543.75-0.01-0.01
KansasB120.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
PittsburghACC0.070.0756.2556.250.010.01
AlabamaSEC0.070.0754.8454.840.010.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.070.0738.7138.71-0.02-0.02
BYUWCC0.070.0771.8871.880.030.03
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.070.0765.5265.520.020.02
Wake ForestACC0.070.0740.6240.62-0.01-0.01
Northern IowaMVC0.070.0790.9190.910.060.06
Old DominionCUSA0.070.0777.4277.420.040.04
NJITind0.070.0756.0056.000.010.01
ArkansasSEC0.070.0776.4776.470.040.04
MississippiSEC0.070.0762.5062.500.020.02
Texas A&MSEC0.070.0764.5264.520.020.02
SyracuseACC0.070.0758.0658.060.010.01
Sacred HeartNEC0.070.0745.1645.16-0.01-0.01
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.070.0750.0050.000.000.00
SMUAmer0.070.0781.2581.250.040.04
South FloridaAmer0.070.0725.8125.81-0.03-0.03
CincinnatiAmer0.070.0768.7568.750.030.03
DePaulBE0.070.0737.5037.50-0.02-0.02
MarquetteBE0.070.0740.6240.62-0.01-0.01
XavierBE0.070.0761.7661.760.020.02
BuffaloMAC0.050.0571.8871.880.020.02
DetroitHorz0.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
MontanaBSky0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
NebraskaB100.050.0541.9441.94-0.01-0.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
StetsonASun0.050.0521.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Miami FLACC0.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
Texas Pan AmericanWAC0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
ColoradoP120.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
AlbanyAE0.050.0575.0075.000.020.02
DenverSum0.050.0540.0040.00-0.01-0.01
FloridaSEC0.050.0548.4848.48-0.00-0.00
GeorgiaSEC0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
GonzagaWCC0.050.0593.9493.940.040.04
Western KentuckyCUSA0.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
HartfordAE0.050.0544.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Coppin St.MEAC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Jackson St.SWAC0.050.0534.3834.38-0.01-0.01
OhioMAC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
UMBCAE0.050.0513.3313.33-0.03-0.03
Wichita St.MVC0.050.0587.1087.100.040.04
LouisvilleACC0.050.0575.0075.000.020.02
Virginia TechACC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
DukeACC0.050.0587.8887.880.040.04
Alabama A&MSWAC0.050.0528.5728.57-0.02-0.02
Bowling GreenMAC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
BryantNEC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
East CarolinaAmer0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Eastern MichiganMAC0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
Illinois ChicagoHorz0.050.0525.0025.00-0.02-0.02
Louisiana TechCUSA0.050.0575.0075.000.020.02
MemphisAmer0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Miami OHMAC0.050.0538.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Stony BrookAE0.050.0565.6265.620.010.01
TulaneAmer0.050.0546.6746.67-0.00-0.00
TulsaAmer0.050.0570.9770.970.020.02
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
IllinoisB100.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
ButlerBE0.040.0468.7568.750.020.02
CreightonBE0.040.0442.4242.42-0.01-0.01
USCP120.030.0337.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
MaineAE0.030.0310.0010.00-0.02-0.02
New MexicoMWC0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
OklahomaB120.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
Oregon St.P120.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
West VirginiaB120.030.0371.8871.880.010.01
Wright St.Horz0.030.0331.0331.03-0.01-0.01
AuburnSEC0.020.0241.1841.18-0.00-0.00
BaylorB120.020.0271.8871.880.010.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.020.0230.0030.00-0.01-0.01
BradleyMVC0.020.0225.0025.00-0.01-0.01
Indiana St.MVC0.020.0246.6746.67-0.00-0.00
KentuckySEC0.020.02100.00100.000.020.02
LipscombASun0.020.0239.2939.29-0.01-0.01
MissouriSEC0.020.0225.8125.81-0.01-0.01
Morgan St.MEAC0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.020.0223.3323.33-0.01-0.01
PurdueB100.020.0263.6463.640.010.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.020.0238.4638.46-0.01-0.01
South CarolinaSEC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
South Dakota St.Sum0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.020.0234.3834.38-0.01-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
Western CarolinaSC0.020.0243.3343.33-0.00-0.00
Arizona St.P120.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
ClemsonACC0.020.0251.6151.610.000.00
High PointBSth0.020.0267.8667.860.010.01
IUPUISum0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01
New HampshireAE0.020.0258.6258.620.000.00
Ohio St.B100.020.0269.7069.700.010.01
PepperdineWCC0.020.0256.6756.670.000.00
RadfordBSth0.020.0262.0762.070.010.01
South AlabamaSB0.020.0232.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Appalachian St.SB0.020.0241.3841.38-0.00-0.00
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.020.0225.9325.93-0.01-0.01
Grambling St.SWAC0.020.020.000.00-0.02-0.02
HamptonMEAC0.020.0248.4848.48-0.00-0.00
HoustonAmer0.020.0240.6240.62-0.00-0.00
JacksonvilleASun0.020.0224.1424.14-0.01-0.01
LibertyBSth0.020.0214.2914.29-0.02-0.02
LongwoodBSth0.020.0228.1228.12-0.01-0.01
Morehead St.OVC0.020.0246.8846.88-0.00-0.00
PresbyterianBSth0.020.0221.4321.43-0.01-0.01
UNLVMWC0.020.0253.1253.120.000.00
VMISC0.020.0232.1432.14-0.01-0.01
MichiganB100.020.0248.3948.39-0.00-0.00
BelmontOVC0.020.0267.7467.740.010.01
East Tennessee St.SC0.020.0250.0050.000.000.00
Illinois St.MVC0.020.0262.5062.500.010.01
OregonP120.020.0272.7372.730.010.01
ToledoMAC0.020.0260.6160.610.000.00