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Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


La Salle

Conference:A10
Expected RPI:232.0
Current RPI:232
Expected SOS:65
Current SOS:65
Current Record:8-22
Expected Record:8-22
Current Conf Record:5-15
Expected Conf Record:5-15
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-3
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:263
Expected OOC SOS:108



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
8-22232.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for La Salle.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Towson (150.0)CAAH78-76W100%0.0
11-17Rider (242.0)MAACH73-60W100%0.0
11-23Lafayette (329.0)PatH83-75W100%0.0
11-25Penn (283.0)IvyA80-64L0%0.0
12-2Hofstra (54.0)CAAH80-84L0%0.0
12-5Drexel (247.0)CAAH53-66L0%0.0
12-13Villanova (4.0)BEA76-47L0%0.0
12-22Miami FL (9.0)ACCH49-95L0%0.0
12-31Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA86-77L0%0.0
1-3Massachusetts (171.0)A10H67-74L0%0.0
1-6Fordham (176.0)A10A66-61L0%0.0
1-9Dayton (21.0)A10H61-57W100%0.0
1-13Richmond (121.0)A10A83-61L0%0.0
1-16Rhode Island (119.0)A10A73-62L0%0.0
1-20Temple (60.0)AmerN49-62L0%0.0
1-24Saint Joseph's (22.0)A10H48-69L0%0.0
1-26Duquesne (162.0)A10A87-60L0%0.0
1-30Dayton (21.0)A10A59-44L0%0.0
2-3VCU (37.0)A10H70-88L0%0.0
2-6Rhode Island (119.0)A10H62-79L0%0.0
2-10Davidson (64.0)A10A79-66L0%0.0
2-13Saint Joseph's (22.0)A10A88-62L0%0.0
2-17St. Bonaventure (30.0)A10H71-64W100%0.0
2-21George Washington (68.0)A10A90-50L0%0.0
2-24Fordham (176.0)A10H53-56L0%0.0
2-27George Mason (201.0)A10H76-68W100%0.0
3-2Saint Louis (206.0)A10H76-68W100%0.0
3-5Massachusetts (171.0)A10A69-52L0%0.0
3-9Duquesne (162.0)A10N73-88W100%0.0
3-10Davidson (64.0)A10N78-63L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

La Salle's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


La Salle's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  La Salle.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
La SalleA1026.1726.1720.3120.31-15.54-15.54
Saint Joseph'sA104.214.2178.1278.122.372.37
MassachusettsA104.104.1040.0040.00-0.82-0.82
Rhode IslandA104.104.1050.0050.000.000.00
DaytonA104.044.0480.0080.002.432.43
DavidsonA104.014.0158.6258.620.690.69
FordhamA104.014.0151.8551.850.150.15
DuquesneA103.993.9948.2848.28-0.14-0.14
VCUA102.482.4869.7069.700.980.98
St. BonaventureA102.482.4875.8675.861.281.28
RichmondA102.462.4648.3948.39-0.08-0.08
George WashingtonA102.452.4568.7568.750.920.92
George MasonA102.412.4135.4835.48-0.70-0.70
Saint LouisA102.402.4035.4835.48-0.70-0.70
DrexelCAA1.881.8817.2417.24-1.23-1.23
PennIvy1.851.8534.6234.62-0.57-0.57
HofstraCAA1.831.8370.9770.970.770.77
TowsonCAA1.801.8062.0762.070.430.43
VillanovaBE1.771.7784.8584.851.241.24
TempleAmer1.771.7764.5264.520.510.51
LafayettePat1.721.7220.6920.69-1.01-1.01
Florida Gulf CoastASun1.721.7253.5753.570.120.12
RiderMAAC1.721.7240.6240.62-0.32-0.32
Miami FLACC1.671.6777.4277.420.910.91
College of CharlestonCAA0.240.2453.3353.330.020.02
William & MaryCAA0.240.2462.0762.070.060.06
NortheasternCAA0.220.2253.1253.120.010.01
James MadisonCAA0.220.2264.5264.520.060.06
DelawareCAA0.210.2123.3323.33-0.11-0.11
ProvidenceBE0.200.2069.7069.700.080.08
ElonCAA0.190.1946.6746.67-0.01-0.01
PrincetonIvy0.190.1977.7877.780.110.11
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.190.1976.6776.670.100.10
North FloridaASun0.190.1963.3363.330.050.05
UCFAmer0.180.1840.0040.00-0.04-0.04
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.160.1654.8454.840.020.02
MonmouthMAAC0.160.1679.4179.410.090.09
VirginiaACC0.150.1578.7978.790.090.09
Old DominionCUSA0.150.1562.8662.860.040.04
ColgatePat0.140.1441.3841.38-0.02-0.02
ManhattanMAAC0.130.1341.9441.94-0.02-0.02
PittsburghACC0.130.1364.5264.520.040.04
AmericanPat0.130.1338.7138.71-0.03-0.03
IonaMAAC0.130.1368.7568.750.050.05
FloridaSEC0.130.1357.5857.580.020.02
Georgia TechACC0.130.1357.5857.580.020.02
NiagaraMAAC0.130.1321.8821.88-0.07-0.07
Virginia TechACC0.130.1357.5857.580.020.02
NavyPat0.110.1156.2556.250.010.01
BrownIvy0.110.1125.9325.93-0.05-0.05
HarvardIvy0.110.1142.8642.86-0.02-0.02
StetsonASun0.110.1126.6726.67-0.05-0.05
Loyola MDPat0.110.1130.0030.00-0.04-0.04
ColumbiaIvy0.110.1165.5265.520.030.03
LIU BrooklynNEC0.110.1151.6151.610.000.00
Boston UniversityPat0.110.1154.8454.840.010.01
Holy CrossPat0.110.1142.4242.42-0.02-0.02
Penn St.B100.110.1150.0050.000.000.00
St. John'sBE0.110.1122.5822.58-0.06-0.06
MississippiSEC0.110.1162.5062.500.030.03
New OrleansSlnd0.110.1125.9325.93-0.05-0.05
North CarolinaACC0.110.1182.3582.350.070.07
CanisiusMAAC0.100.1042.4242.42-0.02-0.02
SienaMAAC0.100.1063.6463.640.030.03
HoustonAmer0.100.1070.9770.970.040.04
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.100.1046.6746.67-0.01-0.01
South FloridaAmer0.100.1024.2424.24-0.05-0.05
Florida St.ACC0.100.1059.3859.380.020.02
NebraskaB100.100.1047.0647.06-0.01-0.01
CincinnatiAmer0.100.1068.7568.750.040.04
BuffaloMAC0.100.1057.5857.580.020.02
ButlerBE0.100.1067.7467.740.040.04
CreightonBE0.100.1056.2556.250.010.01
XavierBE0.100.1084.3884.380.070.07
Seton HallBE0.100.1075.7675.760.050.05
CornellIvy0.090.0933.3333.33-0.03-0.03
Central ConnecticutNEC0.090.0913.7913.79-0.06-0.06
Kennesaw St.ASun0.090.0931.0331.03-0.03-0.03
Coppin St.MEAC0.090.0924.1424.14-0.04-0.04
NJITASun0.090.0953.3353.330.010.01
Robert MorrisNEC0.080.0831.2531.25-0.03-0.03
Boston CollegeACC0.080.0821.8821.88-0.05-0.05
Sacred HeartNEC0.080.0840.0040.00-0.02-0.02
South Carolina St.MEAC0.080.0854.8454.840.010.01
UMBCAE0.080.0821.8821.88-0.05-0.05
ArmyPat0.080.0858.0658.060.010.01
CaliforniaP120.080.0869.7069.700.030.03
CharlotteCUSA0.080.0842.4242.42-0.01-0.01
MercerSC0.080.0854.8454.840.010.01
Morehead St.OVC0.080.0858.6258.620.010.01
ClemsonACC0.080.0854.8454.840.010.01
ConnecticutAmer0.080.0870.5970.590.030.03
Cleveland St.Horz0.080.0823.3323.33-0.04-0.04
MarylandB100.080.0875.0075.000.040.04
QuinnipiacMAAC0.080.0830.0030.00-0.03-0.03
DePaulBE0.070.0729.0329.03-0.03-0.03
GeorgetownBE0.070.0745.4545.45-0.01-0.01
DartmouthIvy0.060.0633.3333.33-0.02-0.02
YaleIvy0.060.0677.7877.780.030.03
BinghamtonAE0.060.0626.6726.67-0.03-0.03
JacksonvilleASun0.060.0642.8642.86-0.01-0.01
LipscombASun0.060.0632.2632.26-0.02-0.02
MaineAE0.060.0626.6726.67-0.03-0.03
USC UpstateASun0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
UT ArlingtonSB0.060.0668.7568.750.020.02
Delaware St.MEAC0.060.0616.6716.67-0.04-0.04
OhioMAC0.060.0664.5264.520.020.02
BucknellPat0.060.0655.1755.170.010.01
LehighPat0.060.0651.6151.610.000.00
Oklahoma St.B120.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
South CarolinaSEC0.050.0574.1974.190.030.03
St. Francis NYNEC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
SyracuseACC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
MilwaukeeHorz0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.050.0522.8622.86-0.03-0.03
PepperdineWCC0.050.0556.6756.670.010.01
St. Francis PANEC0.050.0541.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Western CarolinaSC0.050.0543.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Morgan St.MEAC0.050.0526.6726.67-0.02-0.02
AlabamaSEC0.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
ArkansasSEC0.050.0550.0050.000.000.00
Central ArkansasSlnd0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0584.3884.380.040.04
East CarolinaAmer0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
FurmanSC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
HowardMEAC0.050.0533.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Indiana St.MVC0.050.0545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
IowaB100.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
LongwoodBSth0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
LouisvilleACC0.050.0574.1974.190.030.03
MemphisAmer0.050.0555.8855.880.010.01
Miami OHMAC0.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Northern IowaMVC0.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
Notre DameACC0.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.050.0511.1111.11-0.04-0.04
TCUB120.050.0536.3636.36-0.01-0.01
TulsaAmer0.050.0564.5264.520.020.02
UtahP120.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
ValparaisoHorz0.050.0580.0080.000.030.03
VanderbiltSEC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
Wake ForestACC0.050.0535.4835.48-0.02-0.02
HartfordAE0.050.0528.1228.12-0.02-0.02
WagnerNEC0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
DukeACC0.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
WisconsinB100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
FairfieldMAAC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
MaristMAAC0.050.0523.3323.33-0.03-0.03
Illinois St.MVC0.050.0554.8454.840.000.00
MarquetteBE0.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
WashingtonP120.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
Bowling GreenMAC0.030.0343.7543.75-0.00-0.00
FIUCUSA0.030.0336.6736.67-0.01-0.01
Louisiana TechCUSA0.030.0370.0070.000.010.01
North DakotaBSky0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
South DakotaSum0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
South Dakota St.Sum0.030.0377.4277.420.020.02
Texas A&MSEC0.030.0376.4776.470.020.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
BradleyMVC0.030.0312.9012.90-0.02-0.02
High PointBSth0.030.0364.2964.290.010.01
San DiegoWCC0.030.0327.5927.59-0.01-0.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
USCP120.030.0363.6463.640.010.01
VermontAE0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.030.0335.7135.71-0.01-0.01
Appalachian St.SB0.030.0329.0329.03-0.01-0.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.030.0340.0040.00-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.030.0322.5822.58-0.01-0.01
Kansas St.B120.030.0351.5251.520.000.00
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
MinnesotaB100.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.030.0348.4848.48-0.00-0.00
PresbyterianBSth0.030.0328.5728.57-0.01-0.01
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.030.0321.4321.43-0.01-0.01
SMUAmer0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
Southern IllinoisMVC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
Stony BrookAE0.030.0380.0080.000.020.02
Tennessee MartinOVC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
Texas TechB120.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
TulaneAmer0.030.0335.2935.29-0.01-0.01
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.030.0318.5218.52-0.02-0.02
West VirginiaB120.030.0376.4776.470.010.01
Wichita St.MVC0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
Wright St.Horz0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.030.0322.2222.22-0.01-0.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
Houston BaptistSlnd0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
RutgersB100.030.0319.3519.35-0.02-0.02
TennesseeSEC0.030.0344.1244.12-0.00-0.00
AkronMAC0.020.0275.7675.760.010.01
East Tennessee St.SC0.020.0265.6265.620.010.01
LibertyBSth0.020.0234.4834.48-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.020.0270.9770.970.010.01
OklahomaB120.020.0278.1278.120.010.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.020.0222.5822.58-0.01-0.01
RadfordBSth0.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00
StanfordP120.020.0248.2848.28-0.00-0.00