The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Texas Tech page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 8, 2010.

Texas Tech

Conference:		B12
Expected RPI:		54.7
Current RPI:		33
Expected SOS:		15
Current SOS:		20
Current Record:		15-7
Expected Record:		18-12
Current Conf Record:		3-5
Expected Conf Record:		6-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-0
Current OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC RPI:		15
Expected OOC SOS:		92

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
22-8	14.1	0.16%
21-9	20.8	2.07%
20-10	30.4	7.58%
19-11	41.5	18.93%
18-12	52.7	28.50%
17-13	63.1	26.64%
16-14	74.2	13.53%
15-15	86.2	2.58%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas Tech.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	South Dakota (236.1)	GWC	H	88-49	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Texas A&M Corpus Chris (145.6)	Slnd	H	66-59	W	100%	0.0
11-15	Oregon St. (204.2)	P10	H	64-60	W	100%	0.0
11-19	Northwestern St. (317.0)	Slnd	H	94-75	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Lamar (241.3)	Slnd	H	77-54	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Stephen F. Austin (169.0)	Slnd	A	63-61	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Samford (256.7)	SC	H	74-53	W	100%	0.0
12-3	Washington (50.5)	P10	H	99-92	W	100%	0.0
12-8	Texas Christian (175.1)	MWC	A	80-70	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Wichita St. (47.1)	MVC	A	83-85	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Stanford (174.3)	P10	H	100-87	W	100%	0.0
12-29	New Mexico (14.1)	MWC	A	75-90	L	0%	0.0
1-1	McNeese St. (285.5)	Slnd	H	76-75	W	100%	0.0
1-3	Texas El Paso (54.0)	CUSA	H	86-78	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Oklahoma St. (47.3)	B12	A	52-81	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Missouri (38.8)	B12	H	89-94	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Kansas (1.4)	B12	A	63-89	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Iowa St. (110.5)	B12	H	78-71	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Oklahoma (79.3)	B12	H	75-65	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Texas (19.1)	B12	A	83-95	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	A	70-85	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Oklahoma St. (47.3)	B12	H	81-74	W	100%	0.0
2-9	Oklahoma (79.3)	B12	A	0-0		40%	-2.8
2-13	Texas A&M (23.3)	B12	H	0-0		47%	-0.9
2-16	Baylor (23.8)	B12	A	0-0		16%	-11.0
2-20	Texas (19.1)	B12	H	0-0		28%	-6.3
2-23	Kansas St. (6.8)	B12	H	0-0		29%	-5.9
2-27	Nebraska (125.3)	B12	A	0-0		40%	-2.9
3-2	Baylor (23.8)	B12	H	0-0		39%	-3.0
3-6	Colorado (134.3)	B12	A	0-0		41%	-2.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Texas Tech's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Texas Tech's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Texas Tech.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas Tech	B12	26.26	26.14	67.95	56.77	9.43	3.54
Oklahoma St.	B12	4.79	3.98	71.43	64.51	2.05	1.15
Texas A&M	B12	2.74	4.06	71.43	66.11	1.17	1.31
Texas	B12	2.63	3.98	78.26	76.39	1.49	2.10
Oklahoma	B12	2.62	3.98	61.90	52.65	0.62	0.21
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.56	1.94	50.00	54.58	0.00	0.18
Missouri	B12	2.52	2.22	72.73	69.61	1.15	0.87
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.51	1.89	27.78	32.71	-1.11	-0.65
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.50	1.91	25.00	27.20	-1.25	-0.87
Oregon St.	P10	2.49	1.90	47.62	41.66	-0.12	-0.32
Stanford	P10	2.47	1.83	45.45	44.53	-0.22	-0.20
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.45	1.86	72.22	69.73	1.09	0.73
Lamar	Slnd	2.45	1.82	50.00	46.34	0.00	-0.13
Washington	P10	2.43	1.84	72.73	71.25	1.10	0.78
Iowa St.	B12	2.42	2.22	59.09	52.12	0.44	0.09
Kansas	B12	2.42	2.22	95.65	92.85	2.21	1.91
Samford	SC	2.38	1.76	30.00	32.30	-0.95	-0.62
South Dakota	GWC	2.38	1.75	52.94	62.99	0.14	0.46
New Mexico	MWC	2.38	1.78	86.96	82.97	1.76	1.17
Texas Christian	MWC	2.37	1.78	42.86	39.63	-0.34	-0.37
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.32	1.72	80.95	78.38	1.44	0.98
Wichita St.	MVC	2.32	1.70	78.26	76.50	1.31	0.90
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.47	0.34	22.22	26.51	-0.26	-0.16
Kansas St.	B12	0.41	2.25	81.82	79.86	0.26	1.35
Nebraska	B12	0.40	2.28	56.52	50.15	0.05	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.40	2.25	42.86	39.89	-0.06	-0.45
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.39	0.29	12.00	18.83	-0.29	-0.18
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.35	0.28	21.05	24.99	-0.20	-0.14
Baylor	B12	0.35	3.94	76.19	72.74	0.18	1.79
Houston	CUSA	0.32	0.20	47.62	50.86	-0.02	0.00
California	P10	0.29	0.25	65.22	68.43	0.09	0.09
Texas St.	Slnd	0.27	0.30	36.84	36.81	-0.07	-0.08
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.27	0.27	55.56	58.32	0.03	0.05
Arizona	P10	0.25	0.25	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.25	0.25	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.09
Oregon	P10	0.25	0.19	54.55	48.80	0.02	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.25	0.22	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.03
Southern California	P10	0.25	0.25	60.87	59.64	0.05	0.05
UCLA	P10	0.25	0.19	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.24	0.28	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.24	0.27	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.23	0.12	36.36	33.80	-0.06	-0.04
North Dakota	GWC	0.23	0.15	15.79	27.70	-0.16	-0.07
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.23	0.12	79.17	73.38	0.13	0.06
Rice	CUSA	0.21	0.17	31.82	30.34	-0.08	-0.07
Drake	MVC	0.21	0.12	44.00	43.19	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.20	0.14	35.00	30.57	-0.06	-0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.20	0.17	36.36	47.14	-0.05	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.20	0.11	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.20	0.11	63.64	58.35	0.05	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.20	0.14	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.17	0.22	70.59	73.00	0.07	0.10
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.12	73.91	72.54	0.08	0.05
Tulane	CUSA	0.17	0.09	31.82	29.57	-0.06	-0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.12	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.06
Wyoming	MWC	0.16	0.14	33.33	30.71	-0.05	-0.06
The Citadel	SC	0.16	0.12	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.20	52.17	48.42	0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.15	18.18	20.35	-0.10	-0.09
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.15	0.14	45.00	43.94	-0.02	-0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.15	0.17	87.50	87.42	0.11	0.12
North Texas	SB	0.15	0.11	61.90	63.68	0.04	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.15	0.11	47.06	53.81	-0.01	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.15	0.17	77.27	70.95	0.08	0.07
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.20	63.64	58.77	0.04	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.15	0.11	33.33	33.42	-0.05	-0.04
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.08	0.00	4.36	-0.15	-0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	0.15	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
La Salle	A10	0.15	0.08	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.08	54.17	58.54	0.01	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.11	33.33	30.81	-0.05	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.08	91.30	88.20	0.12	0.06
Creighton	MVC	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.13	0.10	22.73	24.06	-0.07	-0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.13	0.06	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.13	0.07	8.70	9.55	-0.10	-0.05
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.07	39.13	38.66	-0.03	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.12	0.07	27.27	31.42	-0.06	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.15	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.09	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.11	0.06	69.57	70.34	0.04	0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.11	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.09	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.11	0.06	85.71	85.58	0.08	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.11	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.03	0.02
Elon	SC	0.11	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.06	-0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.06	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.06	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.09	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.15	19.05	20.74	-0.06	-0.09
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.12	68.18	66.42	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.05	21.74	24.91	-0.06	-0.03
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.14	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.14	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.09
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.05	69.57	67.92	0.04	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.06	68.18	68.11	0.04	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	38.10	39.63	-0.02	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.07	0.04
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.05	60.00	63.84	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.05	32.00	31.25	-0.03	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.08	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.05	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.08	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.03	27.78	26.81	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.07	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.03	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.03	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.04	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.06
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.08	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.03
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.04
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.05	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.09	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.34	0.03	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.68	0.05	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.03	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.93	0.02	0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.60	0.03	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	36.36	40.06	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.46	-0.02	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.00	0.03	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.00	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.00	-0.03
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.00	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.00	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.00	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.00	0.06	72.00	70.67	0.00	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.00	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.85	0.00	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.07	22.22	27.54	-0.00	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.00	0.06	59.09	54.44	0.00	0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	73.91	76.68	0.00	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.80	-0.00	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	67.98	0.00	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.09	69.57	71.44	0.00	0.04
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas Tech	B12	26.26	26.14	67.95	56.77	9.43	3.54
Texas A&M	B12	2.74	4.06	71.43	66.11	1.17	1.31
Texas	B12	2.63	3.98	78.26	76.39	1.49	2.10
Oklahoma	B12	2.62	3.98	61.90	52.65	0.62	0.21
Oklahoma St.	B12	4.79	3.98	71.43	64.51	2.05	1.15
Baylor	B12	0.35	3.94	76.19	72.74	0.18	1.79
Nebraska	B12	0.40	2.28	56.52	50.15	0.05	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.41	2.25	81.82	79.86	0.26	1.35
Colorado	B12	0.40	2.25	42.86	39.89	-0.06	-0.45
Iowa St.	B12	2.42	2.22	59.09	52.12	0.44	0.09
Kansas	B12	2.42	2.22	95.65	92.85	2.21	1.91
Missouri	B12	2.52	2.22	72.73	69.61	1.15	0.87
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	2.56	1.94	50.00	54.58	0.00	0.18
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.50	1.91	25.00	27.20	-1.25	-0.87
Oregon St.	P10	2.49	1.90	47.62	41.66	-0.12	-0.32
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.51	1.89	27.78	32.71	-1.11	-0.65
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	2.45	1.86	72.22	69.73	1.09	0.73
Washington	P10	2.43	1.84	72.73	71.25	1.10	0.78
Stanford	P10	2.47	1.83	45.45	44.53	-0.22	-0.20
Lamar	Slnd	2.45	1.82	50.00	46.34	0.00	-0.13
New Mexico	MWC	2.38	1.78	86.96	82.97	1.76	1.17
Texas Christian	MWC	2.37	1.78	42.86	39.63	-0.34	-0.37
Samford	SC	2.38	1.76	30.00	32.30	-0.95	-0.62
South Dakota	GWC	2.38	1.75	52.94	62.99	0.14	0.46
Texas El Paso	CUSA	2.32	1.72	80.95	78.38	1.44	0.98
Wichita St.	MVC	2.32	1.70	78.26	76.50	1.31	0.90
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.47	0.34	22.22	26.51	-0.26	-0.16
Texas St.	Slnd	0.27	0.30	36.84	36.81	-0.07	-0.08
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.39	0.29	12.00	18.83	-0.29	-0.18
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.35	0.28	21.05	24.99	-0.20	-0.14
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.24	0.28	50.00	55.35	0.00	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.24	0.27	47.06	43.54	-0.01	-0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.27	0.27	55.56	58.32	0.03	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.25	0.25	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.09
Arizona	P10	0.25	0.25	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.02
California	P10	0.29	0.25	65.22	68.43	0.09	0.09
Southern California	P10	0.25	0.25	60.87	59.64	0.05	0.05
Utah	MWC	0.25	0.22	45.45	44.33	-0.02	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.17	0.22	70.59	73.00	0.07	0.10
Houston	CUSA	0.32	0.20	47.62	50.86	-0.02	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.20	52.17	48.42	0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.15	0.20	63.64	58.77	0.04	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.25	0.19	54.55	48.80	0.02	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.25	0.19	47.83	43.81	-0.01	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.21	0.17	31.82	30.34	-0.08	-0.07
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.20	0.17	36.36	47.14	-0.05	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.15	0.17	77.27	70.95	0.08	0.07
Brigham Young	MWC	0.15	0.17	87.50	87.42	0.11	0.12
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.15	19.05	20.74	-0.06	-0.09
North Dakota	GWC	0.23	0.15	15.79	27.70	-0.16	-0.07
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.15	50.00	49.53	0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.16	0.15	18.18	20.35	-0.10	-0.09
Wyoming	MWC	0.16	0.14	33.33	30.71	-0.05	-0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.15	0.14	45.00	43.94	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.14	59.09	52.86	0.02	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.20	0.14	35.00	30.57	-0.06	-0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.14	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.09
Bradley	MVC	0.20	0.14	52.17	50.20	0.01	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.23	0.12	36.36	33.80	-0.06	-0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.23	0.12	79.17	73.38	0.13	0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.12	73.91	72.54	0.08	0.05
The Citadel	SC	0.16	0.12	47.83	48.93	-0.01	-0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.21	0.12	44.00	43.19	-0.02	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.12	68.18	66.42	0.04	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.12	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.06
North Texas	SB	0.15	0.11	61.90	63.68	0.04	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.15	0.11	47.06	53.81	-0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.20	0.11	63.64	58.35	0.05	0.02
San Diego St.	MWC	0.15	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.20	0.11	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.15	0.11	33.33	33.42	-0.05	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.14	0.11	50.00	50.66	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.14	0.11	33.33	30.81	-0.05	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.13	0.10	22.73	24.06	-0.07	-0.05
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.09	63.64	64.63	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.17	0.09	31.82	29.57	-0.06	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.09	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.09	47.83	46.15	-0.00	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.09	82.61	78.53	0.07	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	45.00	54.22	-0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.09	22.73	25.50	-0.03	-0.04
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.09	69.57	71.44	0.00	0.04
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	15.79	22.91	-0.07	-0.05
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.15	0.08	0.00	4.36	-0.15	-0.08
La Salle	A10	0.15	0.08	47.83	46.40	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.08	30.43	32.84	-0.02	-0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.14	0.08	91.30	88.20	0.12	0.06
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.10	0.08	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.15	0.08	54.17	58.54	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.08	75.00	70.94	0.05	0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.07	22.22	27.54	-0.00	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.13	0.07	8.70	9.55	-0.10	-0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.07	36.84	39.04	-0.02	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.07	39.13	38.66	-0.03	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.12	0.07	27.27	31.42	-0.06	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.13	0.06	39.13	35.39	-0.03	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.06	57.14	61.39	0.01	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.11	0.06	64.00	62.73	0.03	0.02
Elon	SC	0.11	0.06	22.73	26.15	-0.06	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.11	0.06	69.57	70.34	0.04	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.11	0.06	20.83	23.58	-0.06	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.11	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.11	0.06	85.71	85.58	0.08	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.09	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.51	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	30.79	-0.06	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.06	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.04	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.83	0.02	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.00	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.00	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.00	0.06	72.00	70.67	0.00	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.00	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.00	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.00	0.06	72.00	73.85	0.00	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.00	0.06	59.09	54.44	0.00	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.06	55.56	55.84	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.06	82.61	79.46	0.03	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.06	43.48	47.69	-0.01	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	45.45	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.06	72.73	71.93	0.02	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.10	0.06	69.57	70.01	0.04	0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.00	0.06	22.73	22.57	-0.00	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.06	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.02
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	64.66	0.02	0.02
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.10	0.06	68.18	68.11	0.04	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.10	0.06	38.10	39.63	-0.02	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.06	86.36	81.53	0.07	0.04
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.07	0.00	0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.06	77.27	77.14	0.03	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.10	0.05	60.00	63.84	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.10	0.05	32.00	31.25	-0.03	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.05	21.74	24.91	-0.06	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.05	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.10	0.05	69.57	67.92	0.04	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	17.39	20.22	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.05	60.87	56.52	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.05	20.00	23.49	-0.03	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	42.86	45.64	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	56.52	51.91	0.01	0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	61.90	56.09	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.05	36.36	40.06	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.03	27.78	26.81	-0.03	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.07	0.03	40.91	34.85	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.03	65.22	66.14	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.06	0.03	45.00	48.64	-0.01	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.06	0.03	24.00	26.47	-0.03	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.89	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.06	0.03	73.91	69.55	0.03	0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.02	-0.00	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.03	41.67	42.67	-0.01	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.67	0.01	0.00
Wofford	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	67.98	0.00	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.59	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.93	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.00	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.00	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.00	0.03	54.17	57.60	0.00	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.50	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.07	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.93	-0.00	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.00	0.03	65.22	67.02	0.00	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.00	0.03	50.00	49.25	0.00	-0.00
Western Illinois	Sum	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.80	-0.00	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.05	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.99	-0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.03	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.45	0.03	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	21.74	22.22	-0.03	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	41.67	38.60	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.03	95.65	88.68	0.05	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.03	68.18	70.36	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.03	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.13	0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
Utah St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	73.91	76.68	0.00	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.28	0.02	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.37	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.03	52.17	55.03	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.03	82.61	82.34	0.03	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.43	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.79	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.04	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.42	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.57	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.28	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.22	0.02	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.60	0.03	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.03	81.82	75.63	0.03	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.03	-0.03	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.05	-0.00	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.46	-0.02	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.21	0.03	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas Tech	B12	26.26	26.14	67.95	56.77	9.43	3.54
Kansas	B12	2.42	2.22	95.65	92.85	2.21	1.91
Oklahoma St.	B12	4.79	3.98	71.43	64.51	2.05	1.15
New Mexico	MWC	2.38	1.78	86.96	82.97	1.76	1.17
Texas	B12	2.63	3.98	78.26	76.39	1.49	2.10