The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated St. Bonaventure page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

St. Bonaventure

Conference:		A10
Expected RPI:		184.1
Current RPI:		186
Expected SOS:		135
Current SOS:		126
Current Record:		8-12
Expected Record:		12-16
Current Conf Record:		2-6
Expected Conf Record:		6-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC Record:		6-6
Expected OOC RPI:		145
Expected OOC SOS:		157

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
16-12	102.8	0.04%
15-13	123.4	1.37%
14-14	145.0	7.86%
13-15	165.1	21.41%
12-16	183.3	33.15%
11-17	200.9	25.35%
10-18	218.8	9.35%
9-19	235.0	1.43%
8-20	245.0	0.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Bonaventure.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Cleveland St. (144.7)	Horz	H	72-62	W	100%	0.0
11-17	St. John's (101.2)	BE	N	68-69	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	66-40	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Southeast Missouri St. (298.6)	OVC	N	67-44	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Norfolk St. (309.1)	MEAC	N	98-71	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Illinois St. (108.0)	MVC	A	77-80	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	A	53-105	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Savannah St. (321.8)	ind	H	79-47	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Syracuse (3.0)	BE	A	72-85	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Niagara (157.5)	MAAC	A	71-77	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Canisius (202.7)	MAAC	H	82-75	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	A	61-80	L	0%	0.0
1-6	George Washington (136.9)	A10	H	71-78	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	A	54-57	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Saint Joseph's (177.5)	A10	H	68-65	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Massachusetts (194.2)	A10	A	70-69	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Duquesne (123.2)	A10	A	69-70	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Dayton (32.1)	A10	H	58-75	L	0%	0.0
2-3	St. Louis (124.0)	A10	A	65-67	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Saint Joseph's (177.5)	A10	A	71-78	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Fordham (296.2)	A10	H	0-0		95%	17.9
2-13	Richmond (38.1)	A10	H	0-0		37%	-3.5
2-17	Temple (24.9)	A10	H	0-0		31%	-5.3
2-21	La Salle (138.5)	A10	A	0-0		37%	-3.6
2-24	Fordham (296.2)	A10	A	0-0		82%	9.9
2-27	Rhode Island (20.7)	A10	H	0-0		37%	-3.5
3-3	Duquesne (123.2)	A10	H	0-0		67%	4.7
3-6	Xavier (26.6)	A10	A	0-0		7%	-15.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

St. Bonaventure's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

St. Bonaventure's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against St. Bonaventure.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Bonaventure	A10	26.22	26.04	41.03	42.01	-4.71	-4.16
Saint Joseph's	A10	5.17	4.06	38.10	35.62	-1.23	-1.17
Duquesne	A10	2.95	4.16	47.62	48.53	-0.14	-0.12
George Washington	A10	2.73	2.33	52.38	53.46	0.13	0.16
St. Louis	A10	2.72	2.39	60.00	54.56	0.54	0.22
Dayton	A10	2.72	2.36	71.43	70.94	1.17	0.99
Niagara	MAAC	2.71	1.91	50.00	50.23	0.00	0.01
Charlotte	A10	2.67	2.33	77.27	70.75	1.46	0.97
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.67	1.88	28.57	26.75	-1.14	-0.87
Illinois St.	MVC	2.67	1.88	65.22	62.20	0.81	0.46
Massachusetts	A10	2.66	2.36	33.33	32.77	-0.89	-0.81
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.66	1.88	25.00	28.26	-1.33	-0.82
Canisius	MAAC	2.66	1.90	45.83	46.71	-0.22	-0.13
Binghamton	AE	2.62	1.91	40.91	40.01	-0.48	-0.38
Savannah St.	ind	2.56	1.85	31.58	32.68	-0.94	-0.64
Marshall	CUSA	2.55	1.82	65.00	64.27	0.77	0.52
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.50	1.79	47.62	48.48	-0.12	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.50	1.81	68.18	67.43	0.91	0.63
St. John's	BE	2.50	1.91	52.38	47.49	0.12	-0.10
Syracuse	BE	2.50	1.82	95.65	91.09	2.28	1.49
Richmond	A10	0.51	2.36	75.00	71.51	0.25	1.02
Fordham	A10	0.39	4.08	9.52	8.66	-0.32	-3.38
Xavier	A10	0.34	2.36	69.57	70.70	0.13	0.98
Rhode Island	A10	0.34	2.36	86.36	82.17	0.24	1.52
Temple	A10	0.33	2.39	79.17	77.87	0.19	1.33
Rider	MAAC	0.32	0.27	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.28	0.18	86.36	82.20	0.21	0.12
La Salle	A10	0.28	2.36	47.83	45.79	-0.01	-0.20
Old Dominion	CAA	0.28	0.21	72.00	73.54	0.12	0.10
Cornell	Ivy	0.27	0.18	85.71	85.57	0.20	0.13
DePaul	BE	0.27	0.18	34.78	33.89	-0.08	-0.06
Siena	MAAC	0.27	0.24	83.33	81.25	0.18	0.15
Iona	MAAC	0.26	0.15	72.00	70.73	0.11	0.06
East Carolina	CUSA	0.23	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.14	-0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.23	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.05
Holy Cross	Pat	0.22	0.15	26.09	31.05	-0.11	-0.06
Towson	CAA	0.22	0.12	22.73	23.47	-0.12	-0.06
Villanova	BE	0.22	0.27	90.91	82.52	0.18	0.18
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.22	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.01
Maine	AE	0.22	0.18	63.64	61.86	0.06	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.22	0.18	73.91	70.80	0.11	0.08
Howard	MEAC	0.22	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.11	-0.07
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.20	0.12	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.19	0.12	39.13	41.19	-0.04	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.17	0.09	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.17	0.09	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.17	0.22	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.17	0.16	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.17	0.16	77.27	73.36	0.09	0.07
Georgia	SEC	0.17	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.17	0.12	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.17	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.17	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.09	-0.05
Providence	BE	0.17	0.15	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.17	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.06	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.17	0.09	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.17	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Lehigh	Pat	0.17	0.12	65.22	65.74	0.05	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.17	0.09	70.59	70.98	0.07	0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.16	0.10	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.16	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.09	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.05
Albany	AE	0.16	0.09	23.08	25.77	-0.09	-0.04
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.16	0.09	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.12	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.15	0.15	4.17	4.73	-0.14	-0.13
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.06
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.15	0.18	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.08	4.76	9.78	-0.11	-0.07
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.12	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.12	0.07	33.33	33.43	-0.04	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.12	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.03
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.04
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.11	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.05	-0.04
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.05	0.02
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.15	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.04
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.09	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.07
Stony Brook	AE	0.11	0.19	68.18	68.72	0.04	0.07
Western Carolina	SC	0.11	0.09	71.43	69.51	0.05	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.06	-0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.12	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.09	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.11	0.12	16.67	19.94	-0.07	-0.07
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.09	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.12	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.06	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.04	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.05
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.07	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.06
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.04	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.05	-0.04
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.16	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.12	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.09	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.04
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.06	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.03
Bryant	ind	0.06	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.06	-0.03
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.06
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.06	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.12	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.03	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.06	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.06	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.09	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.03	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.03	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.02
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.16	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.03
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.03	86.96	84.62	0.04	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.02	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.05	0.03	27.27	31.08	-0.02	-0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.00	0.03	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.00	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.00	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.05
Lafayette	Pat	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.16	0.00	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.00	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.00	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.00	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.00	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.00	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.00	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.00	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.03
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.00	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.00	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Bonaventure	A10	26.22	26.04	41.03	42.01	-4.71	-4.16
Duquesne	A10	2.95	4.16	47.62	48.53	-0.14	-0.12
Fordham	A10	0.39	4.08	9.52	8.66	-0.32	-3.38
Saint Joseph's	A10	5.17	4.06	38.10	35.62	-1.23	-1.17
Temple	A10	0.33	2.39	79.17	77.87	0.19	1.33
St. Louis	A10	2.72	2.39	60.00	54.56	0.54	0.22
Xavier	A10	0.34	2.36	69.57	70.70	0.13	0.98
Rhode Island	A10	0.34	2.36	86.36	82.17	0.24	1.52
Dayton	A10	2.72	2.36	71.43	70.94	1.17	0.99
La Salle	A10	0.28	2.36	47.83	45.79	-0.01	-0.20
Richmond	A10	0.51	2.36	75.00	71.51	0.25	1.02
Massachusetts	A10	2.66	2.36	33.33	32.77	-0.89	-0.81
Charlotte	A10	2.67	2.33	77.27	70.75	1.46	0.97
George Washington	A10	2.73	2.33	52.38	53.46	0.13	0.16
Binghamton	AE	2.62	1.91	40.91	40.01	-0.48	-0.38
St. John's	BE	2.50	1.91	52.38	47.49	0.12	-0.10
Niagara	MAAC	2.71	1.91	50.00	50.23	0.00	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	2.66	1.90	45.83	46.71	-0.22	-0.13
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	2.67	1.88	28.57	26.75	-1.14	-0.87
Illinois St.	MVC	2.67	1.88	65.22	62.20	0.81	0.46
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.66	1.88	25.00	28.26	-1.33	-0.82
Savannah St.	ind	2.56	1.85	31.58	32.68	-0.94	-0.64
Marshall	CUSA	2.55	1.82	65.00	64.27	0.77	0.52
Syracuse	BE	2.50	1.82	95.65	91.09	2.28	1.49
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.50	1.81	68.18	67.43	0.91	0.63
Cleveland St.	Horz	2.50	1.79	47.62	48.48	-0.12	-0.05
Villanova	BE	0.22	0.27	90.91	82.52	0.18	0.18
Rider	MAAC	0.32	0.27	52.00	49.34	0.01	-0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.27	0.24	83.33	81.25	0.18	0.15
Bowling Green	MAC	0.17	0.22	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.15	0.21	69.57	64.51	0.06	0.06
Old Dominion	CAA	0.28	0.21	72.00	73.54	0.12	0.10
Stony Brook	AE	0.11	0.19	68.18	68.72	0.04	0.07
Maine	AE	0.22	0.18	63.64	61.86	0.06	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.28	0.18	86.36	82.20	0.21	0.12
Manhattan	MAAC	0.15	0.18	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.22	0.18	73.91	70.80	0.11	0.08
Cornell	Ivy	0.27	0.18	85.71	85.57	0.20	0.13
DePaul	BE	0.27	0.18	34.78	33.89	-0.08	-0.06
Creighton	MVC	0.17	0.16	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.17	0.16	77.27	73.36	0.09	0.07
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.16	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.05
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.16	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.22	0.15	26.09	31.05	-0.11	-0.06
Howard	MEAC	0.22	0.15	25.00	26.64	-0.11	-0.07
Providence	BE	0.17	0.15	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.26	0.15	72.00	70.73	0.11	0.06
Marist	MAAC	0.15	0.15	4.17	4.73	-0.14	-0.13
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.15	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.23	0.12	20.00	21.94	-0.14	-0.07
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.12	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.17	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.23	0.12	69.57	69.99	0.09	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.17	0.12	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.02
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.19	0.12	39.13	41.19	-0.04	-0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.17	0.12	66.67	64.02	0.06	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.17	0.12	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.22	0.12	54.55	54.05	0.02	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.22	0.12	22.73	23.47	-0.12	-0.06
Drexel	CAA	0.16	0.12	56.00	55.91	0.02	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.06	0.12	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.11	0.12	57.14	57.47	0.02	0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.17	0.12	65.22	65.74	0.05	0.04
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.11	0.12	16.67	19.94	-0.07	-0.07
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.15	0.12	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.20	0.12	58.33	58.93	0.03	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.12	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.04
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.05
North Florida	ASun	0.16	0.10	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.09	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.09	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.09	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.04
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.12	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.06	-0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.17	0.09	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.17	0.09	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.11	0.09	8.70	11.46	-0.09	-0.07
Western Carolina	SC	0.11	0.09	71.43	69.51	0.05	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.09	76.19	72.73	0.06	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.06	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.04	0.06
Davidson	SC	0.06	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.17	0.09	22.73	22.57	-0.09	-0.05
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.16	0.09	52.38	49.31	0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.09	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.04
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.11	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.05	-0.04
Albany	AE	0.16	0.09	23.08	25.77	-0.09	-0.04
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.09	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.06	0.09	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.11	0.09	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.16	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.02	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.11	0.09	81.82	79.60	0.07	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.03
Princeton	Ivy	0.17	0.09	70.59	70.98	0.07	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.09	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.05
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.09	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.17	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.11	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.05	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.17	0.09	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.16	0.09	43.48	43.78	-0.02	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.09	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.00	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.00	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.08	4.76	9.78	-0.11	-0.07
Stetson	ASun	0.06	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.13	0.08	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.07	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.12	0.07	33.33	33.43	-0.04	-0.02
Troy	SB	0.12	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.06	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.11	0.06	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.05	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.06	0.06	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.02	0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.12	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.07	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.06	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.06	0.06	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.06	0.06	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.03
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.06	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.06	0.06	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.11	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.11	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.06	0.06	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.06	23.53	25.88	-0.06	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.00	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.11	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.09	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.11	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.06	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.06	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.06	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.06	0.06	36.36	37.37	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.00	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.00	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.11	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.07	0.04
Evansville	MVC	0.10	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.06	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.11	0.06	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.11	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.00	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.00	0.05
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.06	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.03	0.03
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.04	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.04	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.04	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.06	0.03	42.86	44.37	-0.01	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.06	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas St.	SB	0.06	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.03	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.06	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.03	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.06	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.06	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.06	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00