The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Texas A&M page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Texas A&M

Conference:		B12
Expected RPI:		23.3
Current RPI:		19
Expected SOS:		7
Current SOS:		13
Current Record:		16-6
Expected Record:		19-10
Current Conf Record:		6-3
Expected Conf Record:		9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		33
Expected OOC SOS:		48

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
23-6	6.0	0.33%
22-7	7.8	4.07%
21-8	11.4	13.72%
20-9	17.0	27.68%
19-10	24.8	29.74%
18-11	34.7	18.02%
17-12	46.1	5.70%
16-13	57.5	0.73%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Texas A&M.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-16	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	A	80-68	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Samford (257.2)	SC	H	68-49	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Clemson (37.6)	ACC	N	69-60	W	100%	0.0
11-27	West Virginia (3.9)	BE	N	66-73	L	0%	0.0
11-29	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	N	66-65	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Prairie View A&M (250.9)	SWAC	H	84-59	W	100%	0.0
12-4	Akron (113.3)	MAC	H	74-62	W	100%	0.0
12-7	North Texas (158.4)	SB	H	75-65	W	100%	0.0
12-12	New Mexico (14.3)	MWC	N	81-84	L	0%	0.0
12-19	The Citadel (209.3)	SC	H	71-50	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Washington (50.4)	P10	A	64-73	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Northwestern St. (316.9)	Slnd	H	89-63	W	100%	0.0
1-5	North Dakota (331.1)	GWC	H	82-41	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	H	64-53	W	100%	0.0
1-12	Kansas St. (7.0)	B12	A	65-88	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Texas (15.2)	B12	A	67-72	L	0%	0.0
1-19	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	H	65-62	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Colorado (136.4)	B12	H	67-63	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	A	69-76	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	H	85-70	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Missouri (39.0)	B12	A	77-74	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Baylor (23.2)	B12	H	78-71	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Texas Tech (54.4)	B12	A	0-0		53%	0.9
2-15	Kansas (1.8)	B12	H	0-0		28%	-6.2
2-20	Iowa St. (110.1)	B12	A	0-0		54%	1.2
2-24	Baylor (23.2)	B12	A	0-0		29%	-6.1
2-27	Texas (15.2)	B12	H	0-0		44%	-1.8
3-3	Oklahoma St. (47.7)	B12	H	0-0		72%	6.5
3-6	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	A	0-0		58%	2.1

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Texas A&M's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Texas A&M's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Texas A&M.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas A&M	B12	26.17	26.14	73.17	66.61	12.13	8.68
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.81	4.15	68.18	63.53	1.02	1.12
Texas Tech	B12	2.74	4.20	71.43	61.86	1.17	1.00
Texas	B12	2.59	4.08	81.82	78.80	1.65	2.35
Missouri	B12	2.58	2.30	77.27	72.96	1.41	1.06
Kansas St.	B12	2.58	2.30	80.95	78.87	1.60	1.33
Colorado	B12	2.58	2.29	45.00	42.06	-0.26	-0.36
Oklahoma	B12	2.58	4.08	61.90	53.28	0.61	0.27
Baylor	B12	2.53	4.08	80.00	75.48	1.52	2.08
Nebraska	B12	2.48	2.30	59.09	52.10	0.45	0.10
The Citadel	SC	2.43	1.82	47.62	47.50	-0.12	-0.09
Samford	SC	2.43	1.84	30.00	32.23	-0.97	-0.66
New Mexico	MWC	2.32	1.78	86.96	82.97	1.72	1.17
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.32	1.78	25.00	27.19	-1.16	-0.81
Washington	P10	2.32	1.78	68.18	67.78	0.85	0.63
West Virginia	BE	2.32	1.75	85.71	81.58	1.66	1.11
North Texas	SB	2.32	1.78	65.00	66.14	0.70	0.58
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	2.32	1.78	50.00	56.02	0.00	0.21
Akron	MAC	2.27	1.72	72.73	68.28	1.03	0.63
Clemson	ACC	2.27	1.72	72.73	69.19	1.03	0.66
Minnesota	B10	2.27	1.72	66.67	66.89	0.76	0.58
North Dakota	GWC	2.27	1.75	16.67	28.91	-1.52	-0.74
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.27	1.72	47.37	45.58	-0.12	-0.15
Iowa St.	B12	0.42	2.33	56.52	50.63	0.06	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.36	2.30	95.65	91.98	0.33	1.93
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.32	0.24	33.33	46.80	-0.11	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.27	0.18	66.67	65.62	0.09	0.06
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.24	0.13	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.23	0.16	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.23	0.15	22.22	26.51	-0.13	-0.07
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.22	0.19	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.21	0.18	77.27	70.93	0.11	0.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.21	0.18	12.00	18.82	-0.16	-0.11
NC Greensboro	SC	0.21	0.15	21.74	24.84	-0.12	-0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.21	0.17	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.20	0.17	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.15	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.14	79.17	76.61	0.12	0.08
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.18	0.16	22.73	24.05	-0.10	-0.08
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.17	0.16	26.32	31.51	-0.08	-0.06
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.17	0.13	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.19	19.05	20.58	-0.11	-0.11
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.17	0.16	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.05
Iowa	B10	0.17	0.18	33.33	30.82	-0.06	-0.07
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.17	0.15	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.04
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.16	0.09	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.15	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.16	0.18	77.27	75.69	0.09	0.09
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.16	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.02
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.07
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.16	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.12	-0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.17	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.16	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.08	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.15	0.18	71.43	69.51	0.07	0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.15	0.15	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.12	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.05
Portland	WCC	0.15	0.09	61.90	65.68	0.04	0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.15	0.12	43.48	47.68	-0.02	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.11	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.15	0.17	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.17	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.15	0.14	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.13	0.10	23.53	25.88	-0.07	-0.05
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.12	0.07	29.17	28.85	-0.05	-0.03
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.09	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.12	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.07	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.09	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.07	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Elon	SC	0.11	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.05
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.09	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.09	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.15	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.09
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.04
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.09	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.18	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.09	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.05
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.09	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.06
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.09	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.09	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.09	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.08	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.06
California	P10	0.10	0.14	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.08	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.03
San Diego St.	MWC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.10	0.00	5.15	-0.07	-0.09
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.10	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.05
Cincinnati	BE	0.07	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.07	0.10	22.73	27.28	-0.04	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.05	0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.05	-0.05
Army	Pat	0.06	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.09	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.06	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.06	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.05	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.09	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.09	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.05
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.09	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.02	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.03	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.09	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.05	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.03	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.00	0.00
Winthrop	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.00	0.03	85.71	85.57	0.00	0.02
Denver	SB	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.00	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.00	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	19.05	24.00	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.96	-0.00	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.00	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.00	0.01
Providence	BE	0.00	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.00	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.00	0.02
Temple	A10	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.00	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.00	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.00	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.04
Virginia	ACC	0.00	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.00	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.00	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.00	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Texas A&M	B12	26.17	26.14	73.17	66.61	12.13	8.68
Texas Tech	B12	2.74	4.20	71.43	61.86	1.17	1.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	2.81	4.15	68.18	63.53	1.02	1.12
Texas	B12	2.59	4.08	81.82	78.80	1.65	2.35
Oklahoma	B12	2.58	4.08	61.90	53.28	0.61	0.27
Baylor	B12	2.53	4.08	80.00	75.48	1.52	2.08
Iowa St.	B12	0.42	2.33	56.52	50.63	0.06	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.36	2.30	95.65	91.98	0.33	1.93
Missouri	B12	2.58	2.30	77.27	72.96	1.41	1.06
Nebraska	B12	2.48	2.30	59.09	52.10	0.45	0.10
Kansas St.	B12	2.58	2.30	80.95	78.87	1.60	1.33
Colorado	B12	2.58	2.29	45.00	42.06	-0.26	-0.36
Samford	SC	2.43	1.84	30.00	32.23	-0.97	-0.66
The Citadel	SC	2.43	1.82	47.62	47.50	-0.12	-0.09
New Mexico	MWC	2.32	1.78	86.96	82.97	1.72	1.17
North Texas	SB	2.32	1.78	65.00	66.14	0.70	0.58
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.32	1.78	25.00	27.19	-1.16	-0.81
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	2.32	1.78	50.00	56.02	0.00	0.21
Washington	P10	2.32	1.78	68.18	67.78	0.85	0.63
West Virginia	BE	2.32	1.75	85.71	81.58	1.66	1.11
North Dakota	GWC	2.27	1.75	16.67	28.91	-1.52	-0.74
Akron	MAC	2.27	1.72	72.73	68.28	1.03	0.63
Clemson	ACC	2.27	1.72	72.73	69.19	1.03	0.66
Minnesota	B10	2.27	1.72	66.67	66.89	0.76	0.58
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.27	1.72	47.37	45.58	-0.12	-0.15
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.32	0.24	33.33	46.80	-0.11	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.22	0.19	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.17	0.19	19.05	20.58	-0.11	-0.11
College of Charleston	SC	0.27	0.18	66.67	65.62	0.09	0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.15	0.18	71.43	69.51	0.07	0.07
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.18	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.21	0.18	77.27	70.93	0.11	0.07
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.16	0.18	77.27	75.69	0.09	0.09
Iowa	B10	0.17	0.18	33.33	30.82	-0.06	-0.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.21	0.18	12.00	18.82	-0.16	-0.11
Oregon St.	P10	0.20	0.17	45.45	40.28	-0.02	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.16	0.17	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.15	0.17	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.21	0.17	40.91	38.27	-0.04	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.17	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.18	0.16	22.73	24.05	-0.10	-0.08
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.17	0.16	26.32	31.51	-0.08	-0.06
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.23	0.16	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.17	0.16	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.05
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.23	0.15	22.22	26.51	-0.13	-0.07
Chattanooga	SC	0.15	0.15	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.21	0.15	21.74	24.84	-0.12	-0.08
Texas St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.04
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.15	20.00	20.57	-0.06	-0.09
South Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.15	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.16	0.15	31.82	30.34	-0.06	-0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.17	0.15	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.15	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.14	79.17	76.61	0.12	0.08
Southern California	P10	0.15	0.14	60.87	59.61	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.10	0.14	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.24	0.13	45.00	54.19	-0.02	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.17	0.13	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Furman	SC	0.16	0.12	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.11	0.12	36.36	36.18	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.16	0.12	11.11	20.93	-0.12	-0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.15	0.12	66.67	67.74	0.05	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.16	0.12	81.82	80.91	0.10	0.07
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.15	0.12	27.27	29.40	-0.07	-0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.15	0.12	43.48	47.68	-0.02	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.15	0.11	42.86	45.66	-0.02	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.11	73.91	70.80	0.05	0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.13	0.10	23.53	25.88	-0.07	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.07	0.10	0.00	5.15	-0.07	-0.09
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.07	0.10	21.05	24.96	-0.04	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.07	0.10	22.73	27.28	-0.04	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.09	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Elon	SC	0.11	0.09	19.05	23.26	-0.07	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.09	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.09	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.06
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.09	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.12	0.09	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.12	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.09	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.09	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.09	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.09	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.16	0.09	61.90	56.37	0.04	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.10	0.09	69.57	70.29	0.04	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.09	79.17	78.03	0.07	0.05
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.16	0.09	36.36	37.37	-0.04	-0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.06	0.09	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.11	0.09	69.57	71.43	0.04	0.04
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.09	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.09	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.11	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.16	0.09	38.10	38.08	-0.04	-0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.09	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.10	0.09	59.09	52.85	0.02	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.15	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.08	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.15	0.09	61.90	65.68	0.04	0.03
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.09	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.05
Rhode Island	A10	0.10	0.09	86.36	81.50	0.07	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.09	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.09	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.09	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.09	82.61	82.33	0.06	0.06
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.09	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.00	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.09	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.03
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.09	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.03
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.09	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.10	0.08	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.08	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.03
Brigham Young	MWC	0.10	0.08	87.50	87.42	0.07	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.12	0.07	29.17	28.85	-0.05	-0.03
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.11	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.02	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.11	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.06	24.00	23.74	-0.06	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.06	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.00	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.00	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.05	-0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.11	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.07	0.06	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.11	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.07	0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.11	0.06	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.11	0.06	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.04	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.06	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.05	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.06	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.06	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.06	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.10	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.04	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.02	0.02
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.06	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.06	73.91	72.52	0.05	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.05	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.10	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.06	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.06	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.06	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.10	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.10	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.03	-0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.00	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.00	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.10	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.06	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.06	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.07	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.00	0.02
Denver	SB	0.00	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.00	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00