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Through games of Mar 12, 2017.


Kennesaw St.

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:259.0
Current RPI:259
Expected SOS:312
Current SOS:312
Current Record:12-18
Expected Record:12-18
Current Conf Record:8-8
Expected Conf Record:8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-6
Current OOC Record:4-10
Expected OOC Record:4-10
Expected OOC RPI:318
Expected OOC SOS:339



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
12-18259.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kennesaw St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Iowa (81.0)B10A91-74L0%0.0
11-16Bethune Cookman (346.0)MEACA75-72L0%0.0
11-19UMBC (165.0)AEA93-85L0%0.0
11-22Alabama St. (342.0)SWACH79-72W100%0.0
11-26Chattanooga (139.0)SCH71-88L0%0.0
11-28South Florida (316.0)AmerA71-69L0%0.0
11-30Florida A&M (349.0)MEACA74-76W100%0.0
12-3Michigan (25.0)B10A82-55L0%0.0
12-14Rider (198.0)MAACA81-79L0%0.0
12-17Massachusetts (195.0)A10A95-77L0%0.0
12-20Pacific (223.0)WCCA69-56L0%0.0
12-22North Carolina A&T (350.0)MEACH68-60W100%0.0
12-28Mercer (192.0)SCH76-80L0%0.0
1-2Tennessee St. (162.0)OVCA73-76W100%0.0
1-7Lipscomb (189.0)ASunA82-79L0%0.0
1-12Florida Gulf Coast (85.0)ASunH75-78L0%0.0
1-14Stetson (328.0)ASunH84-65W100%0.0
1-19North Florida (217.0)ASunA86-84L0%0.0
1-21Jacksonville (291.0)ASunA71-81W100%0.0
1-25NJIT (290.0)ASunH71-65W100%0.0
1-28USC Upstate (229.0)ASunA79-73L0%0.0
1-30NJIT (290.0)ASunA53-54W100%0.0
2-4USC Upstate (229.0)ASunH84-79W100%0.0
2-9Stetson (328.0)ASunA85-92W100%0.0
2-11Florida Gulf Coast (85.0)ASunA75-63L0%0.0
2-16Jacksonville (291.0)ASunH78-79L0%0.0
2-18North Florida (217.0)ASunH85-68W100%0.0
2-23Lipscomb (189.0)ASunH74-85L0%0.0
2-27USC Upstate (229.0)ASunA78-80W100%0.0
3-2Florida Gulf Coast (85.0)ASunA74-62L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kennesaw St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Kennesaw St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Kennesaw St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Kennesaw St.ASun26.4726.4744.7844.78-2.77-2.77
Florida Gulf CoastASun5.865.8674.0774.072.822.82
USC UpstateASun5.745.7448.0048.00-0.23-0.23
North FloridaASun4.344.3435.7135.71-1.24-1.24
StetsonASun4.304.3029.6329.63-1.75-1.75
LipscombASun4.284.2853.5753.570.310.31
JacksonvilleASun4.274.2746.1546.15-0.33-0.33
NJITASun4.194.1933.3333.33-1.40-1.40
Bethune CookmanMEAC1.901.9024.1424.14-0.98-0.98
Florida A&MMEAC1.891.8918.5218.52-1.19-1.19
North Carolina A&TMEAC1.861.863.453.45-1.73-1.73
RiderMAAC1.771.7753.1253.120.110.11
Tennessee St.OVC1.751.7555.5655.560.190.19
South FloridaAmer1.751.7520.6920.69-1.03-1.03
IowaB101.751.7554.8454.840.170.17
MassachusettsA101.751.7543.7543.75-0.22-0.22
PacificWCC1.741.7429.0329.03-0.73-0.73
MercerSC1.721.7241.3841.38-0.30-0.30
ChattanoogaSC1.721.7257.1457.140.250.25
Alabama St.SWAC1.701.7024.1424.14-0.88-0.88
MichiganB101.691.6967.6567.650.600.60
UMBCAE1.671.6755.5655.560.190.19
The CitadelSC0.290.2930.0030.00-0.12-0.12
FIUCUSA0.260.2617.2417.24-0.17-0.17
Delaware St.MEAC0.230.2326.6726.67-0.11-0.11
Georgia SouthernSB0.220.2253.3353.330.010.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.220.2237.5037.50-0.06-0.06
Jacksonville St.OVC0.210.2156.2556.250.030.03
East CarolinaAmer0.200.2045.4545.45-0.02-0.02
South Carolina St.MEAC0.170.1731.0331.03-0.07-0.07
AuburnSEC0.170.1756.2556.250.020.02
BelmontOVC0.170.1777.7877.780.090.09
Morehead St.OVC0.170.1742.8642.86-0.02-0.02
Tennessee TechOVC0.170.1733.3333.33-0.06-0.06
SamfordSC0.170.1753.1253.120.010.01
FloridaSEC0.170.1775.0075.000.080.08
HowardMEAC0.170.1725.0025.00-0.08-0.08
UCFAmer0.170.1765.6265.620.050.05
La SalleA100.160.1650.0050.000.000.00
PurdueB100.160.1678.1278.120.090.09
Michigan St.B100.160.1657.5857.580.020.02
Air ForceMWC0.150.1532.2632.26-0.05-0.05
AlabamaSEC0.150.1557.5857.580.020.02
CampbellBSth0.150.1545.1645.16-0.01-0.01
ColgatePat0.150.1529.0329.03-0.06-0.06
BinghamtonAE0.140.1431.0331.03-0.05-0.05
UMass LowellAE0.140.1433.3333.33-0.05-0.05
WoffordSC0.140.1443.3343.33-0.02-0.02
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.140.1473.3373.330.070.07
East Tennessee St.SC0.140.1478.1278.120.080.08
UNC GreensboroSC0.140.1470.9770.970.060.06
ConnecticutAmer0.140.1446.8846.88-0.01-0.01
TempleAmer0.140.1450.0050.000.000.00
FurmanSC0.140.1463.3363.330.040.04
SienaMAAC0.130.1350.0050.000.000.00
IonaMAAC0.130.1364.7164.710.040.04
MinnesotaB100.130.1372.7372.730.060.06
WisconsinB100.130.1373.5373.530.060.06
IllinoisB100.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.120.1234.4834.48-0.04-0.04
South AlabamaSB0.120.1240.0040.00-0.02-0.02
Stony BrookAE0.120.1258.0658.060.020.02
Morgan St.MEAC0.120.1244.8344.83-0.01-0.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.110.1123.3323.33-0.06-0.06
Norfolk St.MEAC0.110.1148.3948.39-0.00-0.00
VMISC0.110.1114.2914.29-0.08-0.08
Western CarolinaSC0.110.1123.3323.33-0.06-0.06
DavidsonA100.110.1153.1253.120.010.01
Savannah St.MEAC0.110.1140.7440.74-0.02-0.02
CincinnatiAmer0.110.1185.2985.290.080.08
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.110.1128.5728.57-0.05-0.05
Louisiana TechCUSA0.110.1167.7467.740.040.04
HamptonMEAC0.110.1142.8642.86-0.02-0.02
MaristMAAC0.110.1125.0025.00-0.06-0.06
FordhamA100.110.1138.7138.71-0.02-0.02
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.110.1159.3859.380.020.02
IndianaB100.100.1054.5554.550.010.01
NebraskaB100.100.1036.6736.67-0.03-0.03
Charleston SouthernBSth0.090.0932.1432.14-0.03-0.03
CharlotteCUSA0.090.0941.3841.38-0.02-0.02
College of CharlestonCAA0.090.0972.7372.730.040.04
GeorgetownBE0.090.0943.7543.75-0.01-0.01
New HampshireAE0.090.0958.6258.620.020.02
PresbyterianBSth0.090.0910.7110.71-0.07-0.07
UMKCWAC0.090.0946.6746.67-0.01-0.01
UNC AshevilleBSth0.090.0970.0070.000.040.04
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.090.0917.8617.86-0.06-0.06
Austin PeayOVC0.090.0932.1432.14-0.03-0.03
SouthernSWAC0.090.0943.3343.33-0.01-0.01
RadfordBSth0.090.0940.0040.00-0.02-0.02
HartfordAE0.080.0828.1228.12-0.04-0.04
TennesseeSEC0.080.0848.3948.39-0.00-0.00
BaylorB120.080.0877.4277.420.050.05
Long Beach St.BW0.080.0840.6240.62-0.02-0.02
Texas SouthernSWAC0.080.0867.6567.650.030.03
UT ArlingtonSB0.080.0874.1974.190.040.04
Ball St.MAC0.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
Grambling St.SWAC0.080.0843.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Georgia St.SB0.080.0860.0060.000.020.02
Santa ClaraWCC0.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
MemphisAmer0.080.0859.3859.380.020.02
North DakotaBSky0.080.0867.8667.860.030.03
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.080.0824.1424.14-0.04-0.04
CanisiusMAAC0.080.0854.5554.550.010.01
San DiegoWCC0.080.0840.0040.00-0.02-0.02
George MasonA100.080.0859.3859.380.010.01
GonzagaWCC0.080.0896.9796.970.070.07
PepperdineWCC0.080.0826.6726.67-0.04-0.04
MarylandB100.080.0874.1974.190.040.04
RutgersB100.080.0843.7543.75-0.01-0.01
ManhattanMAAC0.080.0831.2531.25-0.03-0.03
Saint Joseph'sA100.080.0835.4835.48-0.02-0.02
St. BonaventureA100.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
AlbanyAE0.060.0660.6160.610.010.01
DenverSum0.060.0653.3353.330.000.00
MaineAE0.060.0619.3519.35-0.04-0.04
MilwaukeeHorz0.060.0629.4129.41-0.02-0.02
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.060.0641.9441.94-0.01-0.01
VermontAE0.060.0684.8584.850.040.04
Youngstown St.Horz0.060.0634.3834.38-0.02-0.02
VanderbiltSEC0.060.0655.8855.880.010.01
Northern ArizonaBSky0.060.0625.8125.81-0.03-0.03
Tennessee MartinOVC0.060.0661.2961.290.010.01
BrownIvy0.060.0639.2939.29-0.01-0.01
Fort WayneSum0.060.0657.1457.140.010.01
Idaho St.BSky0.060.0613.3313.33-0.04-0.04
Kent St.MAC0.060.0661.7661.760.010.01
LafayettePat0.060.0627.5927.59-0.03-0.03
St. Francis PANEC0.060.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Utah St.MWC0.060.0643.3343.33-0.01-0.01
Alabama A&MSWAC0.060.066.906.90-0.05-0.05
Alcorn St.SWAC0.060.0651.7251.720.000.00
ArkansasSEC0.060.0673.5373.530.030.03
Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.060.0620.0020.00-0.03-0.03
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.060.0667.8667.860.020.02
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.060.0634.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Jackson St.SWAC0.060.0641.3841.38-0.01-0.01
LSUSEC0.060.0632.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Miami FLACC0.060.0665.6265.620.020.02
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.060.0621.8821.88-0.03-0.03
MissouriSEC0.060.0625.0025.00-0.03-0.03
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.060.0635.4835.48-0.02-0.02
SyracuseACC0.060.0656.2556.250.010.01
TroySB0.060.0658.8258.820.010.01
TulaneAmer0.060.0619.3519.35-0.03-0.03
TulsaAmer0.060.0646.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Western KentuckyCUSA0.060.0646.8846.88-0.00-0.00
Wright St.Horz0.060.0660.0060.000.010.01
DuquesneA100.060.0631.2531.25-0.02-0.02
North Carolina St.ACC0.060.0646.8846.88-0.00-0.00
RichmondA100.060.0662.5062.500.010.01
Cal St. FullertonBW0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
Notre DameACC0.050.0573.5373.530.030.03
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.050.0555.8855.880.010.01
Virginia TechACC0.050.0568.7568.750.020.02
George WashingtonA100.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
Saint LouisA100.050.0536.3636.36-0.01-0.01
Central ArkansasSlnd0.050.0525.0025.00-0.03-0.03
BYUWCC0.050.0566.6766.670.020.02
Loyola MarymountWCC0.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
PortlandWCC0.050.0529.0329.03-0.02-0.02
Saint Mary'sWCC0.050.0587.5087.500.040.04
San FranciscoWCC0.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
SMUAmer0.050.0588.2488.240.040.04
South CarolinaSEC0.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
FairfieldMAAC0.050.0553.3353.330.000.00
MonmouthMAAC0.050.0581.8281.820.030.03
NiagaraMAAC0.050.0530.3030.30-0.02-0.02
QuinnipiacMAAC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
Rhode IslandA100.050.0572.7372.730.020.02
WagnerNEC0.050.0551.7251.720.000.00
NorthwesternB100.050.0567.6567.650.020.02
Ohio St.B100.050.0553.1253.120.000.00
Penn St.B100.050.0545.4545.45-0.00-0.00
UCLAP120.050.0587.8887.880.040.04
DukeACC0.030.0377.1477.140.020.02
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.030.0344.4444.44-0.00-0.00
James MadisonCAA0.030.0328.1228.12-0.01-0.01
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.030.0387.8887.880.020.02
Murray St.OVC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
NavyPat0.030.0348.3948.39-0.00-0.00
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
TowsonCAA0.030.0359.3859.380.010.01
UC DavisBW0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
Arkansas St.SB0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Coastal CarolinaSB0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
Louisiana MonroeSB0.030.0322.5822.58-0.02-0.02
MarshallCUSA0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
North CarolinaACC0.030.0378.7978.790.020.02
AkronMAC0.030.0375.7675.760.010.01
ClemsonACC0.030.0353.1253.120.000.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
DelawareCAA0.030.0335.4835.48-0.01-0.01
ElonCAA0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
Georgia TechACC0.030.0351.6151.610.000.00
HoustonAmer0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
New Mexico St.WAC0.030.0383.3383.330.020.02
Nicholls St.Slnd0.030.0337.0437.04-0.01-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.030.0360.7160.710.010.01
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
San Diego St.MWC0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
St. John'sBE0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
TCUB120.030.0354.5554.550.000.00
Fresno St.MWC0.030.0360.0060.000.010.01
Green BayHorz0.030.0355.1755.170.000.00
Iowa St.B120.030.0369.7069.700.010.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
NevadaMWC0.030.0382.3582.350.020.02
Northern IowaMVC0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Sacramento St.BSky0.030.0337.9337.93-0.01-0.01
Seton HallBE0.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
UC IrvineBW0.030.0357.5857.580.000.00
VirginiaACC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
WyomingMWC0.030.0353.3353.330.000.00
DaytonA100.030.0376.6776.670.010.01
DrexelCAA0.030.0325.8125.81-0.01-0.01
HarvardIvy0.030.0361.5461.540.010.01
Holy CrossPat0.030.0346.8846.88-0.00-0.00
MississippiSEC0.030.0360.6160.610.010.01
ProvidenceBE0.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
VCUA100.030.0376.4776.470.010.01
IUPUISum0.020.0240.0040.00-0.00-0.00
MarquetteBE0.020.0261.2961.290.010.01
TexasB120.020.0233.3333.33-0.01-0.01