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Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Kennesaw St.

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:263.0
Current RPI:263
Expected SOS:183
Current SOS:183
Current Record:9-20
Expected Record:9-20
Current Conf Record:7-8
Expected Conf Record:7-8
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-8
Current OOC Record:2-12
Expected OOC Record:2-12
Expected OOC RPI:271
Expected OOC SOS:52



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
9-20263.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Kennesaw St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Alabama (73.0)SECA77-64L0%0.0
11-16LSU (94.0)SECA91-69L0%0.0
11-18Arizona St. (99.0)P12A91-53L0%0.0
11-21Samford (252.0)SCA77-65L0%0.0
11-23IUPUI (189.0)SumH71-63W100%0.0
11-24Belmont (98.0)OVCH55-80L0%0.0
11-28Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCH49-56L0%0.0
11-30Elon (160.0)CAAA103-93L0%0.0
12-2Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH61-41W100%0.0
12-5West Virginia (10.0)B12A87-54L0%0.0
12-16Louisville (17.0)ACCA94-57L0%0.0
12-18Chattanooga (50.0)SCA78-66L0%0.0
12-22Indiana (24.0)B10A99-72L0%0.0
12-30Mercer (194.0)SCH73-76L0%0.0
1-9Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH102-86W100%0.0
1-14Jacksonville (289.0)ASunA83-70L0%0.0
1-16North Florida (161.0)ASunA93-78L0%0.0
1-21Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunH74-79L0%0.0
1-23Stetson (303.0)ASunH79-84L0%0.0
1-27USC Upstate (324.0)ASunA75-78W100%0.0
1-30NJIT (207.0)ASunH67-75L0%0.0
2-1USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH75-62W100%0.0
2-6NJIT (207.0)ASunA78-59L0%0.0
2-11North Florida (161.0)ASunH101-91W100%0.0
2-13Jacksonville (289.0)ASunH90-69W100%0.0
2-18Stetson (303.0)ASunA82-92W100%0.0
2-20Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA68-63L0%0.0
2-25Lipscomb (269.0)ASunA57-73W100%0.0
3-1Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA74-64L0%0.0


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Kennesaw St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


Kennesaw St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Kennesaw St..

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
Kennesaw St.ASun26.3626.3631.7131.71-9.64-9.64
Florida Gulf CoastASun5.995.9950.0050.000.000.00
StetsonASun4.504.5025.0025.00-2.25-2.25
LipscombASun4.454.4534.4834.48-1.38-1.38
North FloridaASun4.454.4564.2964.291.271.27
JacksonvilleASun4.294.2942.3142.31-0.66-0.66
NJITASun4.274.2750.0050.000.000.00
USC UpstateASun4.264.2626.9226.92-1.97-1.97
Tennessee St.OVC1.951.9562.9662.960.510.51
BelmontOVC1.921.9262.0762.070.460.46
SamfordSC1.921.9236.6736.67-0.51-0.51
ChattanoogaSC1.921.9283.8783.871.301.30
Florida A&MMEAC1.871.8723.0823.08-1.01-1.01
LSUSEC1.841.8456.2556.250.230.23
MercerSC1.831.8353.3353.330.120.12
LouisvilleACC1.811.8173.3373.330.840.84
West VirginiaB121.781.7875.7675.760.920.92
AlabamaSEC1.781.7854.8454.840.170.17
Arizona St.P121.751.7545.1645.16-0.17-0.17
ElonCAA1.721.7244.8344.83-0.18-0.18
IndianaB101.721.7277.4277.420.950.95
IUPUISum1.721.7240.0040.00-0.34-0.34
The CitadelSC0.310.3124.1424.14-0.16-0.16
Austin PeayOVC0.290.2948.4848.48-0.01-0.01
Texas A&MSEC0.280.2876.4776.470.150.15
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.270.2740.0040.00-0.05-0.05
FIUCUSA0.260.2636.6736.67-0.07-0.07
Jacksonville St.OVC0.260.2620.6920.69-0.15-0.15
UNC GreensboroSC0.260.2637.9337.93-0.06-0.06
FloridaSEC0.260.2657.5857.580.040.04
KentuckySEC0.250.2576.4776.470.130.13
East Tennessee St.SC0.220.2265.6265.620.070.07
IPFWSum0.200.2070.9770.970.080.08
Tennessee TechOVC0.200.2060.7160.710.040.04
VMISC0.190.1922.2222.22-0.11-0.11
Western CarolinaSC0.190.1943.3343.33-0.03-0.03
NavyPat0.180.1856.2556.250.020.02
MarquetteBE0.170.1760.6160.610.040.04
FurmanSC0.170.1751.6151.610.010.01
WoffordSC0.170.1743.3343.33-0.02-0.02
ArkansasSEC0.160.1650.0050.000.000.00
Morehead St.OVC0.150.1558.6258.620.030.03
South DakotaSum0.140.1440.0040.00-0.03-0.03
South Dakota St.Sum0.140.1477.4277.420.080.08
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.140.1446.6746.67-0.01-0.01
St. Francis NYNEC0.140.1445.1645.16-0.01-0.01
IllinoisB100.140.1444.1244.12-0.02-0.02
South CarolinaSEC0.140.1474.1974.190.070.07
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.130.1332.2632.26-0.04-0.04
OhioMAC0.120.1264.5264.520.030.03
East CarolinaAmer0.120.1237.5037.50-0.03-0.03
Georgia SouthernSB0.120.1241.3841.38-0.02-0.02
South FloridaAmer0.120.1224.2424.24-0.06-0.06
Alcorn St.SWAC0.120.1246.4346.43-0.01-0.01
ClemsonACC0.120.1254.8454.840.010.01
NortheasternCAA0.110.1153.1253.120.010.01
DaytonA100.110.1178.1278.120.060.06
DukeACC0.110.1169.7069.700.040.04
DenverSum0.110.1151.6151.610.000.00
South AlabamaSB0.110.1138.7138.71-0.02-0.02
TennesseeSEC0.110.1144.1244.12-0.01-0.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.110.1148.4848.48-0.00-0.00
AuburnSEC0.110.1135.4835.48-0.03-0.03
OklahomaB120.100.1078.1278.120.060.06
South Carolina St.MEAC0.090.0954.8454.840.010.01
Appalachian St.SB0.090.0929.0329.03-0.04-0.04
Florida St.ACC0.090.0959.3859.380.020.02
UMKCWAC0.090.0932.1432.14-0.03-0.03
Western MichiganMAC0.090.0936.6736.67-0.02-0.02
Bowling GreenMAC0.090.0943.7543.75-0.01-0.01
La SalleA100.090.0926.6726.67-0.04-0.04
Louisiana TechCUSA0.090.0970.0070.000.040.04
MassachusettsA100.090.0943.7543.75-0.01-0.01
North DakotaBSky0.090.0948.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Youngstown St.Horz0.090.0930.0030.00-0.04-0.04
WinthropBSth0.090.0968.9768.970.030.03
Eastern IllinoisOVC0.090.0939.2939.29-0.02-0.02
DrexelCAA0.090.0920.0020.00-0.05-0.05
Eastern MichiganMAC0.090.0948.2848.28-0.00-0.00
HartfordAE0.090.0928.1228.12-0.04-0.04
Saint LouisA100.090.0934.3834.38-0.03-0.03
St. John'sBE0.080.0822.5822.58-0.05-0.05
College of CharlestonCAA0.080.0853.3353.330.010.01
Alabama St.SWAC0.080.0841.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Miami OHMAC0.080.0837.5037.50-0.02-0.02
North Dakota St.Sum0.080.0858.0658.060.010.01
James MadisonCAA0.080.0864.5264.520.020.02
RichmondA100.080.0850.0050.000.000.00
MichiganB100.080.0863.6463.640.020.02
Oral RobertsSum0.080.0841.3841.38-0.01-0.01
CreightonBE0.080.0856.2556.250.010.01
NebraskaB100.080.0847.0647.06-0.00-0.00
Notre DameACC0.080.0865.6265.620.030.03
VirginiaACC0.080.0878.7978.790.050.05
Wake ForestACC0.080.0835.4835.48-0.02-0.02
GeorgiaSEC0.080.0859.3859.380.020.02
MississippiSEC0.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
Mississippi St.SEC0.080.0845.1645.16-0.01-0.01
TexasB120.080.0862.5062.500.020.02
Iowa St.B120.080.0865.6265.620.020.02
KansasB120.080.0887.8887.880.060.06
TCUB120.080.0836.3636.36-0.02-0.02
North Carolina CentralMEAC0.060.0634.4834.48-0.02-0.02
Savannah St.MEAC0.060.0648.2848.28-0.00-0.00
Colorado St.MWC0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
MaristMAAC0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
PresbyterianBSth0.060.0628.5728.57-0.03-0.03
UABCUSA0.060.0680.6580.650.040.04
Middle TennesseeCUSA0.060.0670.9770.970.020.02
Murray St.OVC0.060.0651.7251.720.000.00
SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.060.0621.4321.43-0.03-0.03
Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.060.0611.1111.11-0.05-0.05
Tennessee MartinOVC0.060.0654.8454.840.010.01
Norfolk St.MEAC0.060.0648.3948.39-0.00-0.00
HoustonAmer0.060.0670.9770.970.020.02
AlbanyAE0.060.0674.1974.190.030.03
Boston UniversityPat0.060.0654.8454.840.010.01
ColumbiaIvy0.060.0665.5265.520.020.02
DelawareCAA0.060.0623.3323.33-0.03-0.03
HofstraCAA0.060.0671.8871.880.030.03
Kent St.MAC0.060.0658.0658.060.010.01
LafayettePat0.060.0620.0020.00-0.03-0.03
ProvidenceBE0.060.0669.7069.700.020.02
St. Francis PANEC0.060.0641.3841.38-0.01-0.01
Stony BrookAE0.060.0680.0080.000.030.03
TowsonCAA0.060.0660.0060.000.010.01
UCFAmer0.060.0640.0040.00-0.01-0.01
UMass LowellAE0.060.0635.7135.71-0.02-0.02
UMBCAE0.060.0621.8821.88-0.03-0.03
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.060.0676.6776.670.030.03
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.060.0618.5218.52-0.04-0.04
ValparaisoHorz0.060.0680.0080.000.030.03
VCUA100.060.0670.5970.590.020.02
William & MaryCAA0.060.0662.0762.070.010.01
YaleIvy0.060.0677.7877.780.030.03
SyracuseACC0.060.0659.3859.380.010.01
Western KentuckyCUSA0.060.0650.0050.000.000.00
AkronMAC0.060.0675.7675.760.030.03
Florida AtlanticCUSA0.060.0622.5822.58-0.03-0.03
Georgia TechACC0.060.0657.5857.580.010.01
MilwaukeeHorz0.060.0658.0658.060.010.01
Nebraska OmahaSum0.060.0655.1755.170.010.01
PittsburghACC0.060.0664.5264.520.020.02
PrincetonIvy0.060.0677.7877.780.030.03
Santa ClaraWCC0.060.0633.3333.33-0.02-0.02
Western IllinoisSum0.060.0629.1729.17-0.02-0.02
Michigan St.B100.050.0585.2985.290.040.04
Ohio St.B100.050.0560.6160.610.010.01
PurdueB100.050.0576.4776.470.030.03
ArizonaP120.050.0575.7675.760.030.03
CaliforniaP120.050.0569.7069.700.020.02
IowaB100.050.0567.7467.740.020.02
MinnesotaB100.050.0525.8125.81-0.03-0.03
OregonP120.050.0581.8281.820.030.03
Oregon St.P120.050.0560.0060.000.010.01
StanfordP120.050.0548.2848.28-0.00-0.00
UCLAP120.050.0546.8846.88-0.00-0.00
UNLVMWC0.050.0551.6151.610.000.00
USCP120.050.0563.6463.640.010.01
WashingtonP120.050.0556.2556.250.010.01
Washington St.P120.050.0526.6726.67-0.03-0.03
WisconsinB100.050.0562.5062.500.010.01
Virginia TechACC0.050.0557.5857.580.010.01
McNeese St.Slnd0.050.0526.9226.92-0.02-0.02
MissouriSEC0.050.0532.2632.26-0.02-0.02
VanderbiltSEC0.050.0559.3859.380.010.01
Louisiana MonroeSB0.050.0558.0658.060.010.01
BaylorB120.050.0565.6265.620.020.02
Kansas St.B120.050.0551.5251.520.000.00
Oklahoma St.B120.050.0537.5037.50-0.01-0.01
Texas TechB120.050.0561.2961.290.010.01
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.030.0324.1424.14-0.02-0.02
Delaware St.MEAC0.030.0316.6716.67-0.02-0.02
HamptonMEAC0.030.0366.6766.670.010.01
HowardMEAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.030.0329.0329.03-0.01-0.01
Morgan St.MEAC0.030.0326.6726.67-0.01-0.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.030.0332.2632.26-0.01-0.01
Southern IllinoisMVC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
UTEPCUSA0.030.0356.2556.250.000.00
Grambling St.SWAC0.030.0314.2914.29-0.02-0.02
Illinois St.MVC0.030.0354.8454.840.000.00
Loyola MDPat0.030.0330.0030.00-0.01-0.01
BYUWCC0.030.0368.7568.750.010.01
CharlotteCUSA0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Cleveland St.Horz0.030.0323.3323.33-0.02-0.02
EvansvilleMVC0.030.0372.7372.730.010.01
Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.030.0342.4242.42-0.00-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.030.0376.6776.670.020.02
UNC AshevilleBSth0.030.0364.5264.520.010.01
Ball St.MAC0.030.0358.0658.060.000.00
Boston CollegeACC0.030.0321.8821.88-0.02-0.02
ButlerBE0.030.0367.7467.740.010.01
DavidsonA100.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
George MasonA100.030.0334.3834.38-0.01-0.01
Georgia St.SB0.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
Grand CanyonWAC0.030.0379.3179.310.020.02
IdahoBSky0.030.0361.2961.290.010.01
Indiana St.MVC0.030.0345.1645.16-0.00-0.00
MemphisAmer0.030.0355.8855.880.000.00
Miami FLACC0.030.0378.1278.120.020.02
Missouri St.MVC0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
North CarolinaACC0.030.0382.3582.350.020.02
North TexasCUSA0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Southern UtahBSky0.030.0314.2914.29-0.02-0.02
TroySB0.030.0324.1424.14-0.01-0.01
TulaneAmer0.030.0335.2935.29-0.01-0.01
Utah ValleyWAC0.030.0333.3333.33-0.01-0.01
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.030.0372.4172.410.010.01
ColoradoP120.030.0365.6265.620.010.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.030.0344.8344.83-0.00-0.00
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.030.0351.7251.720.000.00
MarylandB100.030.0375.0075.000.010.01
NorthwesternB100.030.0362.5062.500.010.01
Penn St.B100.030.0350.0050.000.000.00
RadfordBSth0.030.0348.2848.28-0.00-0.00
RutgersB100.030.0319.3519.35-0.02-0.02
Sacramento St.BSky0.030.0341.3841.38-0.00-0.00
Southern MissCUSA0.030.0325.9325.93-0.01-0.01
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.030.0382.1482.140.020.02
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.030.0356.6756.670.000.00
UtahP120.030.0375.7675.760.010.01
Wichita St.MVC0.030.0374.1974.190.010.01
XavierBE0.030.0384.3884.380.020.02
AmericanPat0.030.0338.7138.71-0.01-0.01
Gardner WebbBSth0.030.0346.6746.67-0.00-0.00
MarshallCUSA0.030.0351.5251.520.000.00
Northern KentuckyHorz0.030.0325.0025.00-0.01-0.01
San Diego St.MWC0.030.0371.8871.880.010.01