The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Florida Gulf Coast page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Florida Gulf Coast

Conference:		ASun
Expected RPI:		311.3
Current RPI:		313
Expected SOS:		300
Current SOS:		320
Current Record:		7-17
Expected Record:		8-21
Current Conf Record:		4-11
Expected Conf Record:		5-15
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		6-11
Current OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC RPI:		281
Expected OOC SOS:		315

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
12-17	260.7	0.03%
11-18	280.0	1.36%
10-19	294.6	9.94%
9-20	306.5	30.44%
8-21	315.3	40.83%
7-22	322.4	17.39%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Florida Gulf Coast.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Michigan St. (23.6)	B10	A	58-97	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Prairie View A&M (250.9)	SWAC	A	54-69	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	A	62-79	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Miami FL (90.7)	ACC	A	58-77	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Bethune Cookman (229.3)	MEAC	H	59-67	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Longwood (286.8)	ind	A	75-82	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Florida International (286.4)	SB	H	81-64	W	100%	0.0
12-14	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	A	86-82	W	100%	0.0
12-16	North Carolina Central (345.5)	ind	A	76-67	W	100%	0.0
12-22	DePaul (180.2)	BE	H	64-61	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	A	64-72	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	A	66-63	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	A	79-89	L	0%	0.0
1-8	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	H	56-62	L	0%	0.0
1-10	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	H	58-82	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	A	45-61	L	0%	0.0
1-16	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	A	51-73	L	0%	0.0
1-22	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	H	68-69	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	H	71-70	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Stetson (331.2)	ASun	H	64-53	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Kennesaw St. (273.8)	ASun	A	70-77	L	0%	0.0
2-1	Mercer (230.3)	ASun	A	72-78	L	0%	0.0
2-4	East Tennessee St. (138.0)	ASun	H	47-56	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	H	52-64	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Jacksonville (143.2)	ASun	A	0-0		8%	-15.4
2-13	North Florida (223.8)	ASun	A	0-0		22%	-8.3
2-18	Lipscomb (201.5)	ASun	H	0-0		29%	-6.2
2-20	Belmont (139.8)	ASun	H	0-0		21%	-8.8
2-25	South Carolina Upstate (298.7)	ASun	H	0-0		57%	2.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Florida Gulf Coast's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Florida Gulf Coast's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Florida Gulf Coast.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	26.62	26.48	30.56	29.03	-10.35	-11.11
Stetson	ASun	5.19	4.56	10.53	12.90	-4.10	-3.38
Kennesaw St.	ASun	5.02	4.54	38.10	34.93	-1.20	-1.37
Campbell	ASun	5.00	4.56	52.63	55.46	0.26	0.50
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.97	4.54	45.45	50.44	-0.45	0.04
Mercer	ASun	4.96	4.53	42.11	41.88	-0.78	-0.74
Belmont	ASun	3.06	4.54	62.50	65.56	0.77	1.41
Lipscomb	ASun	3.06	4.53	50.00	54.23	0.00	0.38
Jacksonville	ASun	2.97	4.57	54.55	57.21	0.27	0.66
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.96	4.57	19.05	21.02	-1.84	-2.65
North Florida	ASun	2.92	4.54	40.91	42.08	-0.53	-0.72
Miami FL	ACC	2.33	1.91	66.67	61.40	0.78	0.44
Longwood	ind	2.23	1.89	20.00	26.68	-1.34	-0.88
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.23	1.85	52.63	51.89	0.12	0.07
North Carolina Central	ind	2.22	1.88	5.00	10.17	-2.00	-1.50
Florida International	SB	2.13	1.76	25.00	24.55	-1.07	-0.89
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.13	1.76	42.11	41.88	-0.34	-0.29
DePaul	BE	2.08	1.72	36.36	35.06	-0.57	-0.52
Michigan St.	B10	2.08	1.72	78.26	75.83	1.18	0.89
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	2.08	1.72	43.75	51.85	-0.26	0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.34	0.38	30.00	31.19	-0.14	-0.14
Florida St.	ACC	0.33	0.27	73.91	69.49	0.16	0.11
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.29	0.19	81.82	72.57	0.19	0.09
Iowa	B10	0.20	0.12	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.19	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.09	0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.15	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.07
Florida	SEC	0.19	0.15	73.91	67.72	0.09	0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.19	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.15	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.18	0.15	70.83	63.39	0.08	0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.18	0.18	8.70	9.54	-0.15	-0.15
Murray St.	OVC	0.18	0.12	86.96	85.47	0.13	0.08
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.13	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.15	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.15	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.15	0.13	20.00	21.94	-0.09	-0.07
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.10	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.15	0.16	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.14	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.14	0.12	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.09	0.05
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.12	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.13	0.12	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.13	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.13	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.12	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.08	0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.07	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.12	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.09	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.06
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.02
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.10	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.10	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.03
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.07	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.12	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.09	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.09	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.12	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.07	-0.05
Maine	AE	0.09	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.09	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.08	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.11	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.08	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.04
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.02	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.04	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.04	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.04	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.04	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.04	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.04	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.04	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.04	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.04	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.04	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.04	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.04	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.04	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.04	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.04	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.04	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.04	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.04	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.04	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Washington	P10	0.04	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.04	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.00	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.00	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.00	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.00	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.00	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.00	0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	26.62	26.48	30.56	29.03	-10.35	-11.11
Jacksonville	ASun	2.97	4.57	54.55	57.21	0.27	0.66
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	2.96	4.57	19.05	21.02	-1.84	-2.65
Campbell	ASun	5.00	4.56	52.63	55.46	0.26	0.50
Stetson	ASun	5.19	4.56	10.53	12.90	-4.10	-3.38
Belmont	ASun	3.06	4.54	62.50	65.56	0.77	1.41
East Tennessee St.	ASun	4.97	4.54	45.45	50.44	-0.45	0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	5.02	4.54	38.10	34.93	-1.20	-1.37
North Florida	ASun	2.92	4.54	40.91	42.08	-0.53	-0.72
Lipscomb	ASun	3.06	4.53	50.00	54.23	0.00	0.38
Mercer	ASun	4.96	4.53	42.11	41.88	-0.78	-0.74
Miami FL	ACC	2.33	1.91	66.67	61.40	0.78	0.44
Longwood	ind	2.23	1.89	20.00	26.68	-1.34	-0.88
North Carolina Central	ind	2.22	1.88	5.00	10.17	-2.00	-1.50
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.23	1.85	52.63	51.89	0.12	0.07
Florida International	SB	2.13	1.76	25.00	24.55	-1.07	-0.89
Southern Methodist	CUSA	2.13	1.76	42.11	41.88	-0.34	-0.29
DePaul	BE	2.08	1.72	36.36	35.06	-0.57	-0.52
Michigan St.	B10	2.08	1.72	78.26	75.83	1.18	0.89
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	2.08	1.72	43.75	51.85	-0.26	0.06
Savannah St.	ind	0.34	0.38	30.00	31.19	-0.14	-0.14
Florida St.	ACC	0.33	0.27	73.91	69.49	0.16	0.11
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.29	0.19	81.82	72.57	0.19	0.09
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.18	0.18	8.70	9.54	-0.15	-0.15
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.15	0.16	33.33	39.38	-0.05	-0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.15	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.07
Florida	SEC	0.19	0.15	73.91	67.72	0.09	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.19	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.09	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.15	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.18	0.15	70.83	63.39	0.08	0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.13	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.06
East Carolina	CUSA	0.15	0.13	20.00	21.94	-0.09	-0.07
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.12	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Iowa	B10	0.20	0.12	33.33	30.82	-0.07	-0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.19	0.12	55.00	60.15	0.02	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.14	0.12	59.09	54.41	0.03	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.15	0.12	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.10	0.12	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.04
North Carolina	ACC	0.13	0.12	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.18	0.12	86.96	85.47	0.13	0.08
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.12	52.38	54.80	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.12	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.13	0.12	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.13	0.12	20.00	24.04	-0.08	-0.06
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.12	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.08	0.11	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.08	0.11	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.10	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.09	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.09	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.15	0.09	30.43	32.32	-0.06	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.09	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.10	0.09	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.10	0.09	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Providence	BE	0.14	0.09	52.17	46.62	0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.15	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.09	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.09	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.06
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.10	0.09	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.09	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.09	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.09	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.09	0.05
New Orleans	SB	0.09	0.09	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.05
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.09	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.08	0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.13	0.09	63.64	64.66	0.04	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.06	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	0.00	5.15	-0.06	-0.06
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.06	0.07	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.04	-0.04
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.12	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.11	0.07	35.00	30.59	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.10	0.07	27.27	31.08	-0.05	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.10	0.06	40.00	40.09	-0.02	-0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.10	0.06	33.33	37.71	-0.03	-0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.10	0.06	0.00	4.18	-0.10	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.10	0.06	37.50	39.23	-0.02	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.03
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.00	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.06	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.03	0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.09	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.10	0.06	31.82	29.58	-0.04	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.06	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.05	0.06	65.22	68.42	0.01	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.06	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.09	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.07	-0.05
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Maine	AE	0.09	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.02	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.06	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.04	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.09	0.06	68.18	67.88	0.03	0.02
North Texas	SB	0.08	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.02	0.02
Portland St.	BSky	0.04	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.00	0.06	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.04	0.06	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Troy	SB	0.04	0.06	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Washington	P10	0.04	0.06	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.04	0.06	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.04	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.09	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.04	0.06	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.00	0.06	86.36	81.80	0.00	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.00	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.00	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.06	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.00	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.00	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.00	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.00	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.05	0.03	65.22	65.74	0.02	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Army	Pat	0.05	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.02
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.04	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.04	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Denver	SB	0.04	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.02	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.57	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.04	0.03	47.62	48.61	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.04	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.03	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.04	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.04	0.03	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.04	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.04	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.04	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.04	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.04	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Toledo	MAC	0.04	0.03	8.70	10.09	-0.04	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.04	0.03	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.04	0.03	66.67	67.94	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan St.	B10	2.08	1.72	78.26	75.83	1.18	0.89
Miami FL	ACC	2.33	1.91	66.67	61.40	0.78	0.44
Belmont	ASun	3.06	4.54	62.50	65.56	0.77	1.41
Jacksonville	ASun	2.97	4.57	54.55	57.21	0.27	0.66
Campbell	ASun	5.00	4.56	52.63	55.46	0.26	0.50
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.29	0.19	81.82	72.57	0.19	0.09
Florida St.	ACC	0.33	0.27	73.91	69.49	0.16	0.11
Murray St.	OVC	0.18	0.12	86.96	85.47	0.13	0.08
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.23	1.85	52.63	51.89	0.12	0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.19	0.15	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.07
UAB	CUSA	0.14	0.09	82.61	78.56	0.09	0.05
Florida	SEC	0.19	0.15	73.91	67.72	0.09	0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.19	0.15	72.73	68.13	0.09	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.08	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.18	0.15	70.83	63.39	0.08	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.09	81.82	80.91	0.06	0.06
Louisville	BE	0.19	0.15	65.22	62.07	0.06	0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.10	0.06	78.26	71.72	0.06	0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.13	0.12	69.57	67.93	0.05	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.11	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.09	0.09	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.09	0.06	78.26	78.92	0.05	0.03
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.10	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.04	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.06	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.06	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.12	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.04