The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Michigan St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Michigan St.

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		28.0
Current RPI:		28
Expected SOS:		51
Current SOS:		51
Current Record:		24-8
Expected Record:		24-8
Current Conf Record:		14-5
Expected Conf Record:		14-5
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		9-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		45
Expected OOC SOS:		104

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
24-8		28.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Michigan St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Florida Gulf Coast (321.0)	ASun	H	97-58	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	H	75-71	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Toledo (324.0)	MAC	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Valparaiso (186.0)	Horz	H	90-60	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Florida (56.0)	SEC	N	74-77	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Massachusetts (176.0)	A10	N	106-68	W	100%	0.0
12-1	North Carolina (92.0)	ACC	A	82-89	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Wofford (69.0)	SC	H	72-60	W	100%	0.0
12-7	The Citadel (198.0)	SC	A	69-56	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Oakland (52.0)	Sum	H	88-57	W	100%	0.0
12-19	IUPU Fort Wayne (225.0)	Sum	H	80-58	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Texas (29.0)	B12	A	68-79	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Texas Arlington (235.0)	Slnd	H	87-68	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Northwestern (116.0)	B10	A	91-70	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Wisconsin (21.0)	B10	H	54-47	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Iowa (211.0)	B10	A	71-53	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	H	60-53	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Illinois (74.0)	B10	H	73-63	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Iowa (211.0)	B10	H	70-63	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	A	65-64	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Michigan (132.0)	B10	A	57-56	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Northwestern (116.0)	B10	H	79-70	W	100%	0.0
2-2	Wisconsin (21.0)	B10	A	49-67	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Illinois (74.0)	B10	A	73-78	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Purdue (16.0)	B10	H	64-76	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Penn St. (194.0)	B10	A	65-54	W	100%	0.0
2-16	Indiana (222.0)	B10	A	72-58	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Ohio St. (22.0)	B10	H	67-74	L	0%	0.0
2-28	Purdue (16.0)	B10	A	53-44	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Penn St. (194.0)	B10	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Michigan (132.0)	B10	H	64-48	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Minnesota (62.0)	B10	N	67-72	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Michigan St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Michigan St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Michigan St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan St.	B10	26.27	26.27	74.65	74.65	12.95	12.95
Minnesota	B10	5.50	5.50	64.52	64.52	1.60	1.60
Purdue	B10	3.99	3.99	86.67	86.67	2.93	2.93
Illinois	B10	3.95	3.95	58.06	58.06	0.64	0.64
Northwestern	B10	3.95	3.95	64.52	64.52	1.15	1.15
Wisconsin	B10	3.95	3.95	75.86	75.86	2.04	2.04
Penn St.	B10	3.94	3.94	37.93	37.93	-0.95	-0.95
Iowa	B10	3.92	3.92	33.33	33.33	-1.31	-1.31
Michigan	B10	3.92	3.92	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Ohio St.	B10	2.58	2.58	78.79	78.79	1.49	1.49
Indiana	B10	2.43	2.43	33.33	33.33	-0.81	-0.81
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	1.76	1.76	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	1.69	1.69	77.42	77.42	0.93	0.93
Valparaiso	Horz	1.69	1.69	42.86	42.86	-0.24	-0.24
Gonzaga	WCC	1.69	1.69	83.33	83.33	1.12	1.12
Wofford	SC	1.66	1.66	78.12	78.12	0.93	0.93
North Carolina	ACC	1.64	1.64	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
Texas	B12	1.64	1.64	71.88	71.88	0.72	0.72
Toledo	MAC	1.62	1.62	10.00	10.00	-1.29	-1.29
The Citadel	SC	1.61	1.61	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Florida	SEC	1.56	1.56	62.50	62.50	0.39	0.39
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	1.56	1.56	28.57	28.57	-0.67	-0.67
Massachusetts	A10	1.56	1.56	36.67	36.67	-0.42	-0.42
Texas Arlington	Slnd	1.56	1.56	48.00	48.00	-0.06	-0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.25	0.25	42.86	42.86	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.21	0.21	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
Davidson	SC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.19	0.19	87.50	87.50	0.14	0.14
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.18	0.18	11.54	11.54	-0.14	-0.14
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.15	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.08
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.14	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.14	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.13	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.13	0.13	68.97	68.97	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Ball St.	MAC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.13	12.00	12.00	-0.10	-0.10
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.12	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
College of Charleston	SC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.12	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.12	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Georgia	SEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.11	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.11	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.10	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.10	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	73.53	73.53	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.02	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.02	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.02	0.02	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.02	0.02	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
California	P10	0.02	0.02	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.02	0.02	39.39	39.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan St.	B10	26.27	26.27	74.65	74.65	12.95	12.95
Minnesota	B10	5.50	5.50	64.52	64.52	1.60	1.60
Purdue	B10	3.99	3.99	86.67	86.67	2.93	2.93
Illinois	B10	3.95	3.95	58.06	58.06	0.64	0.64
Northwestern	B10	3.95	3.95	64.52	64.52	1.15	1.15
Wisconsin	B10	3.95	3.95	75.86	75.86	2.04	2.04
Penn St.	B10	3.94	3.94	37.93	37.93	-0.95	-0.95
Iowa	B10	3.92	3.92	33.33	33.33	-1.31	-1.31
Michigan	B10	3.92	3.92	48.28	48.28	-0.14	-0.14
Ohio St.	B10	2.58	2.58	78.79	78.79	1.49	1.49
Indiana	B10	2.43	2.43	33.33	33.33	-0.81	-0.81
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	1.76	1.76	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	1.69	1.69	77.42	77.42	0.93	0.93
Valparaiso	Horz	1.69	1.69	42.86	42.86	-0.24	-0.24
Gonzaga	WCC	1.69	1.69	83.33	83.33	1.12	1.12
Wofford	SC	1.66	1.66	78.12	78.12	0.93	0.93
North Carolina	ACC	1.64	1.64	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
Texas	B12	1.64	1.64	71.88	71.88	0.72	0.72
Toledo	MAC	1.62	1.62	10.00	10.00	-1.29	-1.29
The Citadel	SC	1.61	1.61	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Florida	SEC	1.56	1.56	62.50	62.50	0.39	0.39
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	1.56	1.56	28.57	28.57	-0.67	-0.67
Massachusetts	A10	1.56	1.56	36.67	36.67	-0.42	-0.42
Texas Arlington	Slnd	1.56	1.56	48.00	48.00	-0.06	-0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.25	0.25	42.86	42.86	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.21	0.21	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
Davidson	SC	0.20	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.19	0.19	87.50	87.50	0.14	0.14
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.18	0.18	11.54	11.54	-0.14	-0.14
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.17	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.15	0.15	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.08
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.15	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	74.19	74.19	0.07	0.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.14	0.14	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.14	0.14	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Detroit	Horz	0.13	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.13	0.13	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.13	0.13	68.97	68.97	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Ball St.	MAC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.13	12.00	12.00	-0.10	-0.10
Duke	ACC	0.12	0.12	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
College of Charleston	SC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.12	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.12	0.12	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.12	0.12	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.12	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Georgia	SEC	0.12	0.12	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.11	36.36	36.36	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.11	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.03	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.06	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.10	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.10	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.10	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.10	0.10	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.10	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.10	81.82	81.82	0.06	0.06
Utah	MWC	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	94.12	94.12	0.09	0.09
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.07	0.07	76.47	76.47	0.04	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.07	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.07	0.07	63.64	63.64	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Syracuse	BE	0.07	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.18	18.18	-0.05	-0.05
Brown	Ivy	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.05	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00