The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Michigan St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Michigan St.

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		25.4
Current RPI:		24
Expected SOS:		48
Current SOS:		48
Current Record:		24-7
Expected Record:		25-7
Current Conf Record:		14-4
Expected Conf Record:		15-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		9-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		45
Expected OOC SOS:		100

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
25-7	23.1	52.01%
24-8	27.8	47.99%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Michigan St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Florida Gulf Coast (320.3)	ASun	H	97-58	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Gonzaga (36.6)	WCC	H	75-71	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Toledo (323.7)	MAC	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Valparaiso (184.6)	Horz	H	90-60	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Florida (50.5)	SEC	N	74-77	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Massachusetts (172.9)	A10	N	106-68	W	100%	0.0
12-1	North Carolina (92.2)	ACC	A	82-89	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Wofford (69.3)	SC	H	72-60	W	100%	0.0
12-7	The Citadel (199.2)	SC	A	69-56	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Oakland (52.3)	Sum	H	88-57	W	100%	0.0
12-19	IUPU Fort Wayne (224.2)	Sum	H	80-58	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Texas (29.3)	B12	A	68-79	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Texas Arlington (234.8)	Slnd	H	87-68	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Northwestern (110.9)	B10	A	91-70	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Wisconsin (14.7)	B10	H	54-47	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Iowa (208.7)	B10	A	71-53	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Minnesota (72.7)	B10	H	60-53	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Illinois (77.1)	B10	H	73-63	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Iowa (208.7)	B10	H	70-63	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Minnesota (72.7)	B10	A	65-64	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Michigan (128.0)	B10	A	57-56	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Northwestern (110.9)	B10	H	79-70	W	100%	0.0
2-2	Wisconsin (14.7)	B10	A	49-67	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Illinois (77.1)	B10	A	73-78	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Purdue (10.9)	B10	H	64-76	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Penn St. (192.8)	B10	A	65-54	W	100%	0.0
2-16	Indiana (217.6)	B10	A	72-58	W	100%	0.0
2-21	Ohio St. (28.0)	B10	H	67-74	L	0%	0.0
2-28	Purdue (10.9)	B10	A	53-44	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Penn St. (192.8)	B10	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Michigan (128.0)	B10	H	64-48	W	100%	0.0
3-12	Minnesota (72.7)	B10	N	0-0		52%	0.6

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Michigan St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Michigan St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Michigan St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan St.	B10	26.23	26.29	77.37	76.49	14.36	13.93
Iowa	B10	4.04	3.94	33.33	33.33	-1.35	-1.31
Penn St.	B10	4.04	3.96	37.93	37.93	-0.97	-0.96
Wisconsin	B10	4.04	3.97	78.57	78.67	2.31	2.27
Northwestern	B10	4.01	3.97	66.67	65.00	1.34	1.19
Minnesota	B10	4.01	5.43	65.52	65.52	1.24	1.69
Illinois	B10	4.01	3.94	58.62	57.29	0.69	0.57
Michigan	B10	4.00	3.94	50.00	48.84	0.00	-0.09
Purdue	B10	3.98	3.94	89.29	89.14	3.13	3.08
Indiana	B10	2.50	2.45	33.33	33.33	-0.83	-0.82
Ohio St.	B10	2.48	2.48	76.67	76.90	1.32	1.33
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	1.82	1.76	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	1.75	1.69	77.42	77.42	0.96	0.93
Gonzaga	WCC	1.75	1.69	83.33	83.33	1.16	1.13
Valparaiso	Horz	1.75	1.69	42.86	42.86	-0.25	-0.24
Wofford	SC	1.72	1.66	78.12	78.12	0.97	0.94
North Carolina	ACC	1.69	1.64	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
Texas	B12	1.69	1.64	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.72
Toledo	MAC	1.67	1.62	10.00	10.00	-1.33	-1.29
The Citadel	SC	1.66	1.61	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Florida	SEC	1.61	1.56	64.52	64.04	0.47	0.44
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	1.61	1.56	28.57	28.57	-0.69	-0.67
Massachusetts	A10	1.61	1.56	37.93	37.01	-0.39	-0.41
Texas Arlington	Slnd	1.61	1.56	48.00	48.00	-0.06	-0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.24	0.25	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.04
Davidson	SC	0.21	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.21	0.22	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.18	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.14
Butler	Horz	0.18	0.20	87.50	87.50	0.14	0.15
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.15	54.84	53.66	0.02	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.16	0.15	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.08
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	76.67	76.05	0.08	0.08
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.14	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.13	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	80.00	78.82	0.08	0.07
Duke	ACC	0.13	0.12	83.87	84.24	0.09	0.09
Wake Forest	ACC	0.13	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.13	12.00	12.72	-0.10	-0.09
Presbyterian	BSth	0.13	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
College of Charleston	SC	0.13	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Texas A&M	B12	0.13	0.15	73.33	71.50	0.06	0.06
Georgia	SEC	0.13	0.12	46.67	45.83	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.13	0.12	56.25	55.27	0.02	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.11	35.48	36.21	-0.03	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.13	71.43	70.09	0.05	0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.11	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.11	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.10	68.75	68.04	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.10	80.65	80.51	0.07	0.06
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.11	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.11	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.12	60.00	59.43	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.54	0.05	0.05
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	77.42	76.92	0.06	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.42	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.10	93.75	93.44	0.09	0.09
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.10	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.97	0.05	0.05
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	93.55	93.22	0.09	0.08
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.04
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	23.08	22.57	-0.04	-0.04
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	83.87	84.00	0.05	0.05
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.08	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.05	0.05
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.08	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.08	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
American	Pat	0.08	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.08	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.07	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.08	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.08	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.07	73.33	73.42	0.04	0.03
Elon	SC	0.08	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.07	63.33	62.38	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.08	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.75	18.69	-0.05	-0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	74.07	73.84	0.03	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.58	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	73.33	72.98	0.03	0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.07	77.42	77.80	0.03	0.04
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.33	0.03	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.07	73.53	73.54	0.02	0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.99	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	68.35	0.02	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.85	52.74	0.00	0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	44.30	-0.00	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	64.52	63.56	0.01	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.01	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.06	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	65.52	64.59	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.02	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	61.29	60.55	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.03	0.02	70.97	71.58	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.02	56.00	55.71	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	58.62	58.62	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.03	0.03	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.02	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.00	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.36	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.42	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.03	0.02	21.88	21.88	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.03	0.02	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.05	67.74	67.21	0.01	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.02	63.33	63.95	0.01	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.03	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.03	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.02	0.02	80.00	79.25	0.01	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.28	47.86	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.02	0.02	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.02	0.02	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.02	0.02	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Rice	CUSA	0.02	0.02	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	17.24	17.24	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
UC Irvine	BW	0.02	0.02	40.00	40.00	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan St.	B10	26.23	26.29	77.37	76.49	14.36	13.93
Minnesota	B10	4.01	5.43	65.52	65.52	1.24	1.69
Northwestern	B10	4.01	3.97	66.67	65.00	1.34	1.19
Wisconsin	B10	4.04	3.97	78.57	78.67	2.31	2.27
Penn St.	B10	4.04	3.96	37.93	37.93	-0.97	-0.96
Illinois	B10	4.01	3.94	58.62	57.29	0.69	0.57
Purdue	B10	3.98	3.94	89.29	89.14	3.13	3.08
Iowa	B10	4.04	3.94	33.33	33.33	-1.35	-1.31
Michigan	B10	4.00	3.94	50.00	48.84	0.00	-0.09
Ohio St.	B10	2.48	2.48	76.67	76.90	1.32	1.33
Indiana	B10	2.50	2.45	33.33	33.33	-0.83	-0.82
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	1.82	1.76	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	1.75	1.69	77.42	77.42	0.96	0.93
Valparaiso	Horz	1.75	1.69	42.86	42.86	-0.25	-0.24
Gonzaga	WCC	1.75	1.69	83.33	83.33	1.16	1.13
Wofford	SC	1.72	1.66	78.12	78.12	0.97	0.94
North Carolina	ACC	1.69	1.64	48.39	48.39	-0.05	-0.05
Texas	B12	1.69	1.64	71.88	71.88	0.74	0.72
Toledo	MAC	1.67	1.62	10.00	10.00	-1.33	-1.29
The Citadel	SC	1.66	1.61	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Florida	SEC	1.61	1.56	64.52	64.04	0.47	0.44
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	1.61	1.56	28.57	28.57	-0.69	-0.67
Massachusetts	A10	1.61	1.56	37.93	37.01	-0.39	-0.41
Texas Arlington	Slnd	1.61	1.56	48.00	48.00	-0.06	-0.06
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.24	0.25	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.04
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.21	0.22	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
Davidson	SC	0.21	0.20	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.18	0.20	87.50	87.50	0.14	0.15
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.18	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.14
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.16	0.17	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.16	0.15	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.08
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.15	54.84	53.66	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.15	0.15	76.67	76.05	0.08	0.08
Texas A&M	B12	0.13	0.15	73.33	71.50	0.06	0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.15	0.14	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.11	0.13	71.43	70.09	0.05	0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.13	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.13	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.13	0.13	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.13	0.13	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.13	0.13	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Baylor	B12	0.13	0.13	80.00	78.82	0.08	0.07
North Carolina Central	ind	0.13	0.13	12.00	12.72	-0.10	-0.09
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.12	60.00	59.43	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.13	0.12	83.87	84.24	0.09	0.09
Wake Forest	ACC	0.13	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.04	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.13	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.10	0.12	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.04
Presbyterian	BSth	0.13	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
Georgia	SEC	0.13	0.12	46.67	45.83	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.13	0.12	56.25	55.27	0.02	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.11	35.48	36.21	-0.03	-0.03
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.11	0.11	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.11	0.10	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.08	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.10	22.22	22.22	-0.06	-0.06
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.10	33.33	33.33	-0.04	-0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.11	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.10	18.52	18.52	-0.07	-0.06
Western Illinois	Sum	0.11	0.10	37.04	37.04	-0.03	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.11	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.10	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.10	0.10	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.11	0.10	80.65	80.51	0.07	0.06
Buffalo	MAC	0.11	0.10	58.62	58.62	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.11	0.10	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Marquette	BE	0.11	0.10	68.75	68.04	0.04	0.04
Boston College	ACC	0.11	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.54	0.05	0.05
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Furman	SC	0.10	0.10	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.11	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	54.84	54.42	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.10	0.10	19.23	19.23	-0.06	-0.06
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.10	93.75	93.44	0.09	0.09
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.10	77.42	76.92	0.06	0.05
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.08	0.10	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.10	0.10	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.10	0.10	93.55	93.22	0.09	0.08
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.10	0.10	75.86	75.97	0.05	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.09	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.09	0.08	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Wright St.	Horz	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.08	0.08	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	23.08	22.57	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.08	0.08	13.33	13.33	-0.06	-0.06
St. Mary's	WCC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.05	0.05
Temple	A10	0.08	0.08	83.87	84.00	0.05	0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.08	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.07	50.00	48.53	0.00	-0.00
American	Pat	0.08	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.08	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.07	77.42	77.80	0.03	0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.08	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.08	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.08	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.08	0.07	25.81	25.81	-0.04	-0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.08	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.08	0.07	63.33	62.38	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.07	73.53	73.54	0.02	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.08	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.08	0.07	73.33	73.42	0.04	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.08	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.08	0.07	87.50	87.50	0.06	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.07	0.07	18.75	18.69	-0.05	-0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	74.07	73.84	0.03	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	28.00	28.00	-0.03	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Campbell	ASun	0.06	0.05	60.71	60.71	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.06	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.58	0.02	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.05	0.05	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.72	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.04	0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	73.33	72.98	0.03	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.05	0.05	70.00	68.99	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	76.67	76.33	0.03	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.85	52.74	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.05	67.74	67.21	0.01	0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	68.35	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	45.16	44.30	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.33	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.03	0.03	55.56	55.56	0.00	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.01	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	61.29	60.55	0.01	0.01
Bryant	ind	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01