The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Michigan St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Michigan St.

Conference:		B10
Expected RPI:		23.6
Current RPI:		14
Expected SOS:		53
Current SOS:		31
Current Record:		19-5
Expected Record:		24-7
Current Conf Record:		9-2
Expected Conf Record:		14-4
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-0
Current OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC Record:		10-3
Expected OOC RPI:		46
Expected OOC SOS:		118

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
26-5	9.7	4.31%
25-6	13.9	21.78%
24-7	20.4	33.82%
23-8	28.8	27.06%
22-9	39.1	10.34%
21-10	49.8	2.34%
20-11	58.7	0.33%
19-12	70.0	0.01%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Michigan St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Florida Gulf Coast (311.3)	ASun	H	97-58	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	H	75-71	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Toledo (323.0)	MAC	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
11-22	Valparaiso (167.6)	Horz	H	90-60	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Florida (50.5)	SEC	N	74-77	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Massachusetts (194.2)	A10	N	106-68	W	100%	0.0
12-1	North Carolina (83.6)	ACC	A	82-89	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Wofford (100.2)	SC	H	72-60	W	100%	0.0
12-7	The Citadel (209.3)	SC	A	69-56	W	100%	0.0
12-10	Oakland (72.6)	Sum	H	88-57	W	100%	0.0
12-19	IUPU Fort Wayne (241.9)	Sum	H	80-58	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Texas (15.2)	B12	A	68-79	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Texas Arlington (264.4)	Slnd	H	87-68	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	A	91-70	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	H	54-47	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Iowa (199.8)	B10	A	71-53	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	H	60-53	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Illinois (76.5)	B10	H	73-63	W	100%	0.0
1-20	Iowa (199.8)	B10	H	70-63	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Minnesota (61.2)	B10	A	65-64	W	100%	0.0
1-26	Michigan (143.6)	B10	A	57-56	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Northwestern (88.9)	B10	H	79-70	W	100%	0.0
2-2	Wisconsin (12.3)	B10	A	49-67	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Illinois (76.5)	B10	A	73-78	L	0%	0.0
2-9	Purdue (14.9)	B10	H	0-0		57%	1.9
2-13	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	A	0-0		74%	7.0
2-16	Indiana (206.6)	B10	A	0-0		79%	8.9
2-20	Ohio St. (38.1)	B10	H	0-0		60%	2.7
2-27	Purdue (14.9)	B10	A	0-0		29%	-6.1
3-3	Penn St. (209.9)	B10	H	0-0		92%	15.0
3-6	Michigan (143.6)	B10	H	0-0		85%	11.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Michigan St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Michigan St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Michigan St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan St.	B10	26.56	26.27	82.29	78.19	17.15	14.81
Northwestern	B10	4.62	4.00	76.19	72.62	2.42	1.81
Illinois	B10	4.61	4.03	68.18	59.63	1.68	0.78
Iowa	B10	4.53	4.00	36.36	32.95	-1.23	-1.36
Wisconsin	B10	4.49	4.06	80.95	80.99	2.78	2.51
Minnesota	B10	4.34	3.97	70.00	69.27	1.74	1.53
Michigan	B10	2.53	3.97	47.62	46.69	-0.12	-0.26
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	2.36	1.81	45.00	47.05	-0.24	-0.11
Gonzaga	WCC	2.31	1.75	85.71	86.60	1.65	1.28
Oakland	Sum	2.22	1.73	69.57	71.89	0.87	0.76
Valparaiso	Horz	2.22	1.75	42.86	44.98	-0.32	-0.18
Wofford	SC	2.22	1.72	69.57	70.28	0.87	0.70
Texas	B12	2.22	1.69	81.82	78.05	1.41	0.95
Toledo	MAC	2.18	1.67	9.09	10.44	-1.78	-1.32
North Carolina	ACC	2.18	1.69	54.55	50.36	0.20	0.01
The Citadel	SC	2.13	1.67	47.62	47.50	-0.10	-0.08
Florida	SEC	2.08	1.61	72.73	66.65	0.95	0.54
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.08	1.61	30.43	29.88	-0.82	-0.65
Massachusetts	A10	2.08	1.61	33.33	32.77	-0.69	-0.56
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.08	1.61	50.00	45.35	0.00	-0.15
Ohio St.	B10	0.73	2.49	75.00	74.84	0.36	1.24
Penn St.	B10	0.68	4.00	34.78	33.29	-0.21	-1.34
Purdue	B10	0.63	4.00	86.36	83.55	0.46	2.68
Indiana	B10	0.54	2.46	40.91	35.32	-0.10	-0.72
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.32	0.21	36.36	37.37	-0.09	-0.05
Davidson	SC	0.23	0.22	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.23	0.19	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.13
Georgia Southern	SC	0.23	0.17	17.39	20.11	-0.15	-0.10
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.23	0.14	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.22	0.13	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.20	0.20	8.70	9.54	-0.16	-0.16
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.11	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.22	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.19	0.13	72.73	66.85	0.09	0.05
Centenary	Sum	0.19	0.12	27.27	27.20	-0.08	-0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.19	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.06	0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.19	0.12	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.19	0.12	30.00	31.79	-0.07	-0.04
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.19	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.18	0.14	22.73	22.57	-0.10	-0.08
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.18	0.13	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.18	0.10	20.00	24.04	-0.11	-0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.18	0.16	81.82	72.57	0.11	0.07
Presbyterian	BSth	0.18	0.13	12.50	15.31	-0.13	-0.09
Georgia	SEC	0.18	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.18	0.13	4.76	9.78	-0.16	-0.11
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.06
Texas St.	Slnd	0.17	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.16	0.09	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.16	0.09	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.11	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.15	0.12	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.02
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.16	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.14	0.08	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.03
Miami FL	ACC	0.14	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.14	0.08	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.16	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.01
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.13	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.09
Grambling	SWAC	0.14	0.08	23.53	25.88	-0.07	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.11	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.04
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.14	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.14	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.11	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.10	-0.05
Utah	MWC	0.13	0.11	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.12	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.13	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.13	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.05	0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.13	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.09	-0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.10	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.11	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.13	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.13	0.08	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.07	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.11	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.09	0.05	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
Samford	SC	0.09	0.08	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.09	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.12	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.04
Southern Utah	Sum	0.09	0.12	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.07
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.14	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.05	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.05	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.09	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.05	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
Troy	SB	0.09	0.05	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.13	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.09	0.11	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.08	0.09
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.08	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.05	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.05	36.36	36.06	-0.02	-0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.11	20.00	23.58	-0.05	-0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.10	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.08
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.05	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.05	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.05	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.08	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Elon	SC	0.09	0.08	19.05	23.26	-0.05	-0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.04	0.03
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.08	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.07	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.05	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.05	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.02	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.78	-0.01	-0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Temple	A10	0.05	0.08	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.11	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.07
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.05	0.03	23.08	25.77	-0.02	-0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.03
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.08	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.11	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.03	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.02
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.08	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.03	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	40.08	-0.01	-0.01
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.03	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.04	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.04	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.04	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
DePaul	BE	0.04	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.04	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Longwood	ind	0.04	0.03	23.81	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.04	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NC Asheville	BSth	0.04	0.03	33.33	37.71	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon	P10	0.04	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.04	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.05
Southern	SWAC	0.04	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.00	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.00	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.00	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Bryant	ind	0.00	0.03	0.00	4.18	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
California	P10	0.00	0.03	65.22	68.42	0.00	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.05	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.00	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.00	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.00	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.00	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.00	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.00	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.00	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.00	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.00	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.00	0.05	73.91	72.52	0.00	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.05	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.05	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.05	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.00	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.00	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.00	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.12	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.05	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Michigan St.	B10	26.56	26.27	82.29	78.19	17.15	14.81
Wisconsin	B10	4.49	4.06	80.95	80.99	2.78	2.51
Illinois	B10	4.61	4.03	68.18	59.63	1.68	0.78
Northwestern	B10	4.62	4.00	76.19	72.62	2.42	1.81
Iowa	B10	4.53	4.00	36.36	32.95	-1.23	-1.36
Purdue	B10	0.63	4.00	86.36	83.55	0.46	2.68
Penn St.	B10	0.68	4.00	34.78	33.29	-0.21	-1.34
Minnesota	B10	4.34	3.97	70.00	69.27	1.74	1.53
Michigan	B10	2.53	3.97	47.62	46.69	-0.12	-0.26
Ohio St.	B10	0.73	2.49	75.00	74.84	0.36	1.24
Indiana	B10	0.54	2.46	40.91	35.32	-0.10	-0.72
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	2.36	1.81	45.00	47.05	-0.24	-0.11
Valparaiso	Horz	2.22	1.75	42.86	44.98	-0.32	-0.18
Gonzaga	WCC	2.31	1.75	85.71	86.60	1.65	1.28
Oakland	Sum	2.22	1.73	69.57	71.89	0.87	0.76
Wofford	SC	2.22	1.72	69.57	70.28	0.87	0.70
North Carolina	ACC	2.18	1.69	54.55	50.36	0.20	0.01
Texas	B12	2.22	1.69	81.82	78.05	1.41	0.95
Toledo	MAC	2.18	1.67	9.09	10.44	-1.78	-1.32
The Citadel	SC	2.13	1.67	47.62	47.50	-0.10	-0.08
Florida	SEC	2.08	1.61	72.73	66.65	0.95	0.54
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	2.08	1.61	30.43	29.88	-0.82	-0.65
Massachusetts	A10	2.08	1.61	33.33	32.77	-0.69	-0.56
Texas Arlington	Slnd	2.08	1.61	50.00	45.35	0.00	-0.15
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.19	0.22	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Davidson	SC	0.23	0.22	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.32	0.21	36.36	37.37	-0.09	-0.05
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.20	0.20	8.70	9.54	-0.16	-0.16
Butler	Horz	0.23	0.19	83.33	83.91	0.16	0.13
Georgia Southern	SC	0.23	0.17	17.39	20.11	-0.15	-0.10
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.14	0.16	39.13	36.57	-0.03	-0.04
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.16	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.18	0.16	81.82	72.57	0.11	0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.23	0.14	60.87	57.71	0.05	0.02
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.18	0.14	22.73	22.57	-0.10	-0.08
College of Charleston	SC	0.14	0.14	66.67	65.62	0.05	0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.14	0.14	47.62	46.79	-0.01	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.09	0.14	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.19	0.13	72.73	66.85	0.09	0.05
Duke	ACC	0.14	0.13	82.61	82.33	0.09	0.09
Wake Forest	ACC	0.09	0.13	76.19	71.14	0.05	0.06
North Carolina Central	ind	0.18	0.13	4.76	9.78	-0.16	-0.11
Georgia	SEC	0.18	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.22	0.13	56.52	50.47	0.03	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.18	0.13	58.33	54.32	0.03	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.18	0.13	12.50	15.31	-0.13	-0.09
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.17	0.12	22.73	24.05	-0.09	-0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.15	0.12	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.19	0.12	27.27	27.20	-0.08	-0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.19	0.12	65.22	67.00	0.06	0.04
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.09	0.12	38.10	38.08	-0.02	-0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.09	0.12	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.04
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.19	0.12	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.09	0.12	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.07
Western Illinois	Sum	0.19	0.12	30.00	31.79	-0.07	-0.04
Detroit	Horz	0.14	0.11	56.52	58.43	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.11	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.05
Furman	SC	0.09	0.11	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.19	0.11	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.09	0.11	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.11	95.65	91.32	0.08	0.09
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.11	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.19	0.11	61.90	65.68	0.05	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.11	86.36	82.20	0.03	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.13	0.11	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.13	0.11	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.14	0.11	68.18	62.73	0.05	0.03
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.11	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Maryland	ACC	0.14	0.11	71.43	67.85	0.06	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.11	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.05
Western Michigan	MAC	0.13	0.11	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.09	0.11	20.00	23.58	-0.05	-0.06
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.10	95.65	88.67	0.08	0.08
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.18	0.10	20.00	24.04	-0.11	-0.05
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.10	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.11	0.09	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.17	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.16	0.09	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.16	0.09	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.09	0.08	28.57	31.03	-0.04	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.14	0.08	62.50	65.32	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.05	0.03
Elon	SC	0.09	0.08	19.05	23.26	-0.05	-0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.09	0.08	21.74	24.84	-0.05	-0.04
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.08	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.03
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.04	0.08	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.05
Western Carolina	SC	0.09	0.08	71.43	69.51	0.04	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.08	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.04	0.08	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.13	0.08	14.29	15.65	-0.09	-0.06
Grambling	SWAC	0.14	0.08	23.53	25.88	-0.07	-0.04
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.14	0.08	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.08	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.04
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.14	0.08	39.13	41.19	-0.03	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.05	0.08	55.00	52.00	0.00	0.00
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.08	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.09	0.08	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.08	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.13	0.08	47.06	53.78	-0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.14	0.08	47.83	42.90	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.13	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.12	0.07
American	Pat	0.05	0.08	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.80	0.04	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.08	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.13	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.08	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.13	0.08	69.57	66.88	0.05	0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.09	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.04	0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.14	0.08	12.00	18.82	-0.10	-0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.06	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	70.59	72.98	0.03	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.11	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.08	-0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.04	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.11	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.07	-0.04
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.10	0.06	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.06	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.03
Akron	MAC	0.09	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.04	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.06	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.04	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.09	0.06	57.14	58.76	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.06	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.06	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.06	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.04
San Diego	WCC	0.05	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.02
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.06	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.06	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.03
Troy	SB	0.09	0.05	47.62	50.38	-0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.09	0.05	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.09	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.07	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.05	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.09	0.05	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.09	0.05	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.09	0.05	75.00	71.23	0.05	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.05	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.09	0.05	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Brown	Ivy	0.09	0.05	23.81	27.31	-0.05	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.09	0.05	36.36	36.06	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.00	0.05	39.13	43.30	-0.00	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.09	0.05	69.57	70.29	0.03	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.00	0.05	30.43	32.32	-0.00	-0.02
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.00	0.05	16.67	19.94	-0.00	-0.03
Robert Morris	NEC	0.00	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.00	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.00	0.05	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.05	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.00	0.05	73.91	72.52	0.00	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.05	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.09	0.05	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.05	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.05	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.05	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.05	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.09	0.05	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.09	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.07	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.09	0.05	52.94	56.30	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.09	0.05	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.09	0.05	79.17	77.30	0.05	0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.00	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.00	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.00	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.03	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.00	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.03	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.62	0.02	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.03	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.04	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.00	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.00	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.00	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.00	0.01