The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated East Carolina page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

East Carolina

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		243.1
Current RPI:		224
Expected SOS:		103
Current SOS:		69
Current Record:		4-16
Expected Record:		6-21
Current Conf Record:		1-8
Expected Conf Record:		3-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-3
Current OOC Record:		3-8
Expected OOC Record:		3-8
Expected OOC RPI:		177
Expected OOC SOS:		32

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
10-17	182.2	0.10%
9-18	199.0	1.05%
8-19	214.6	6.79%
7-20	230.2	21.43%
6-21	243.0	33.32%
5-22	254.4	28.27%
4-23	265.7	9.03%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for East Carolina.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Wake Forest (25.2)	ACC	N	58-89	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	A	68-74	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	N	66-105	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Northern Iowa (19.0)	MVC	N	68-74	L	0%	0.0
11-23	South Dakota St. (204.6)	Sum	N	82-73	W	100%	0.0
11-28	NC Greensboro (263.1)	SC	A	82-61	W	100%	0.0
12-2	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	A	68-80	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Clemson (37.6)	ACC	H	63-80	L	0%	0.0
12-22	George Washington (136.9)	A10	H	80-84	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Virginia Commonwealth (43.2)	CAA	A	74-82	L	0%	0.0
1-3	North Carolina Central (345.5)	ind	H	68-58	W	100%	0.0
1-6	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	A	68-76	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	H	65-83	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Memphis (65.5)	CUSA	A	57-77	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	H	55-74	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	A	53-68	L	0%	0.0
1-24	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	A	61-46	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	H	58-69	L	0%	0.0
2-2	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	H	56-67	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Marshall (82.0)	CUSA	A	49-100	L	0%	0.0
2-10	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	H	0-0		57%	2.0
2-13	Texas El Paso (53.5)	CUSA	A	0-0		2%	-21.8
2-20	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	A	0-0		32%	-5.0
2-24	Southern Methodist (197.3)	CUSA	H	0-0		34%	-4.4
2-27	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	H	0-0		16%	-10.9
3-2	Central Florida (192.9)	CUSA	A	0-0		23%	-8.1
3-6	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	H	0-0		28%	-6.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

East Carolina's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

East Carolina's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against East Carolina.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
East Carolina	CUSA	26.27	26.21	22.00	22.45	-14.71	-14.44
Marshall	CUSA	5.35	4.34	63.16	62.89	1.41	1.12
Memphis	CUSA	2.92	2.57	68.18	68.99	1.06	0.98
Tulane	CUSA	2.91	4.42	33.33	30.19	-0.97	-1.75
Houston	CUSA	2.86	2.56	45.00	49.07	-0.29	-0.05
UAB	CUSA	2.86	2.60	81.82	77.82	1.82	1.45
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.84	4.31	52.94	53.32	0.17	0.29
Rice	CUSA	2.84	4.35	28.57	26.37	-1.22	-2.06
Central Florida	CUSA	2.74	4.35	45.00	41.20	-0.27	-0.77
NC Greensboro	SC	2.61	1.92	22.73	25.73	-1.43	-0.93
Charlotte	A10	2.61	1.95	77.27	70.75	1.43	0.81
Tennessee	SEC	2.61	1.91	80.95	74.82	1.61	0.95
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	2.56	1.92	76.19	76.28	1.34	1.01
Clemson	ACC	2.55	1.92	68.18	65.74	0.93	0.60
George Washington	A10	2.55	1.91	52.38	53.46	0.12	0.13
Wake Forest	ACC	2.55	1.91	75.00	70.08	1.28	0.77
Campbell	ASun	2.50	1.85	55.00	57.18	0.25	0.27
North Carolina Central	ind	2.50	1.88	5.00	10.17	-2.25	-1.50
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.50	1.85	90.91	87.79	2.05	1.40
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.50	1.85	52.38	52.87	0.12	0.11
Tulsa	CUSA	0.47	2.56	77.27	70.47	0.25	1.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.41	2.54	77.27	74.90	0.23	1.26
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.41	2.56	45.00	43.15	-0.04	-0.35
Troy	SB	0.35	0.20	47.62	50.38	-0.02	0.00
High Point	BSth	0.30	0.17	42.86	44.37	-0.04	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.29	0.20	56.52	51.96	0.04	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.29	0.17	30.43	32.32	-0.11	-0.06
Richmond	A10	0.28	0.22	75.00	71.23	0.14	0.09
Duke	ACC	0.28	0.19	82.61	82.33	0.18	0.12
Miami FL	ACC	0.24	0.20	68.18	62.73	0.09	0.05
Lamar	Slnd	0.23	0.19	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.23	0.19	25.00	34.68	-0.12	-0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.23	0.13	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.23	0.20	72.00	73.54	0.10	0.09
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.23	0.13	40.00	42.64	-0.05	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.23	0.16	58.33	54.32	0.04	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.23	0.17	81.82	72.57	0.14	0.07
Boston College	ACC	0.22	0.16	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.22	0.16	42.86	41.05	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.20	0.21	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.19	0.20	73.91	72.52	0.09	0.09
South Alabama	SB	0.18	0.20	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.18	0.14	29.17	28.85	-0.07	-0.06
Virginia	ACC	0.17	0.13	66.67	57.29	0.06	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.17	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.17	0.13	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.17	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.13	0.06
William & Mary	CAA	0.17	0.10	68.18	66.65	0.06	0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.17	0.13	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
NC Asheville	BSth	0.17	0.10	33.33	37.71	-0.06	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.17	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.05
Elon	SC	0.17	0.13	19.05	23.26	-0.10	-0.07
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.16	72.73	68.13	0.08	0.06
Maryland	ACC	0.17	0.13	71.43	67.85	0.07	0.05
Massachusetts	A10	0.17	0.16	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.06
Western Carolina	SC	0.17	0.13	71.43	69.51	0.07	0.05
La Salle	A10	0.17	0.16	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.17	0.10	33.33	30.72	-0.06	-0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.17	0.13	66.67	65.62	0.06	0.04
Samford	SC	0.16	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.04
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.14	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.13	0.14	22.73	22.86	-0.07	-0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.13	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.06
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.10	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.12	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.07	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.13	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.03
Lipscomb	ASun	0.12	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.10	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.12	0.07	14.29	15.65	-0.09	-0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.12	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.09	0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.12	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.12	0.10	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.10	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.12	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.12	0.13	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.12	0.10	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.10	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.13	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.07	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.09	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.10	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.10	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.06
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.10	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.04
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.13	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.07	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.11	0.10	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.05
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.11	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.13	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.11	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.03	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.10	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.04
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.10	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.06
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.07	19.05	20.55	-0.07	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.11	0.07	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.13	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.07
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.10	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.10	0.05
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.10	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.04
Princeton	Ivy	0.11	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.05	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Butler	Horz	0.11	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.04
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.07	0.07	22.73	21.40	-0.04	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.07	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.07	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.03
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.04	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.06	0.04	27.27	31.08	-0.03	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.07	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.04	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.10	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.10	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.04	28.57	27.72	-0.03	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.06	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.03	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.06	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.07	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.01
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.05	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.06	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.06	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.10	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.00
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.03	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.05	0.03	20.00	23.58	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.03	65.22	62.07	0.02	0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.03	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.00
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.00	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.00	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.00	0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.00	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.00	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.00	-0.02
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.00	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.00	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.09	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.00	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.00	0.05
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.00	0.03	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.00	0.04	27.27	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.00	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.00	0.00
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.00	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.00	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.00	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.00	0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.00	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.00	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
East Carolina	CUSA	26.27	26.21	22.00	22.45	-14.71	-14.44
Tulane	CUSA	2.91	4.42	33.33	30.19	-0.97	-1.75
Central Florida	CUSA	2.74	4.35	45.00	41.20	-0.27	-0.77
Rice	CUSA	2.84	4.35	28.57	26.37	-1.22	-2.06
Marshall	CUSA	5.35	4.34	63.16	62.89	1.41	1.12
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.84	4.31	52.94	53.32	0.17	0.29
UAB	CUSA	2.86	2.60	81.82	77.82	1.82	1.45
Memphis	CUSA	2.92	2.57	68.18	68.99	1.06	0.98
Tulsa	CUSA	0.47	2.56	77.27	70.47	0.25	1.05
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.41	2.56	45.00	43.15	-0.04	-0.35
Houston	CUSA	2.86	2.56	45.00	49.07	-0.29	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.41	2.54	77.27	74.90	0.23	1.26
Charlotte	A10	2.61	1.95	77.27	70.75	1.43	0.81
Clemson	ACC	2.55	1.92	68.18	65.74	0.93	0.60
NC Greensboro	SC	2.61	1.92	22.73	25.73	-1.43	-0.93
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	2.56	1.92	76.19	76.28	1.34	1.01
Wake Forest	ACC	2.55	1.91	75.00	70.08	1.28	0.77
George Washington	A10	2.55	1.91	52.38	53.46	0.12	0.13
Tennessee	SEC	2.61	1.91	80.95	74.82	1.61	0.95
North Carolina Central	ind	2.50	1.88	5.00	10.17	-2.25	-1.50
Campbell	ASun	2.50	1.85	55.00	57.18	0.25	0.27
Northern Iowa	MVC	2.50	1.85	90.91	87.79	2.05	1.40
South Dakota St.	Sum	2.50	1.85	52.38	52.87	0.12	0.11
Richmond	A10	0.28	0.22	75.00	71.23	0.14	0.09
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.20	0.21	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.29	0.20	56.52	51.96	0.04	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.19	0.20	73.91	72.52	0.09	0.09
South Alabama	SB	0.18	0.20	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.24	0.20	68.18	62.73	0.09	0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.23	0.20	72.00	73.54	0.10	0.09
Troy	SB	0.35	0.20	47.62	50.38	-0.02	0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.23	0.19	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.23	0.19	25.00	34.68	-0.12	-0.06
Duke	ACC	0.28	0.19	82.61	82.33	0.18	0.12
High Point	BSth	0.30	0.17	42.86	44.37	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.23	0.17	81.82	72.57	0.14	0.07
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.29	0.17	30.43	32.32	-0.11	-0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.23	0.16	58.33	54.32	0.04	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.22	0.16	52.17	48.76	0.01	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.17	0.16	72.73	68.13	0.08	0.06
Furman	SC	0.22	0.16	42.86	41.05	-0.03	-0.03
La Salle	A10	0.17	0.16	47.83	46.36	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.17	0.16	31.82	31.64	-0.06	-0.06
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.14	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.18	0.14	29.17	28.85	-0.07	-0.06
New Orleans	SB	0.13	0.14	22.73	22.86	-0.07	-0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.13	0.13	76.19	73.20	0.07	0.06
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.17	0.13	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.12	0.13	56.52	59.89	0.02	0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.17	0.13	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.17	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Western Carolina	SC	0.17	0.13	71.43	69.51	0.07	0.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.23	0.13	40.00	42.64	-0.05	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.11	0.13	62.50	57.74	0.03	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.12	0.13	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.03
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.23	0.13	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.17	0.13	66.67	57.29	0.06	0.02
Elon	SC	0.17	0.13	19.05	23.26	-0.10	-0.07
Drake	MVC	0.11	0.13	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.13	26.32	31.51	-0.05	-0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.11	0.13	22.73	24.05	-0.06	-0.07
College of Charleston	SC	0.17	0.13	66.67	65.62	0.06	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.17	0.13	71.43	67.85	0.07	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.17	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.07	0.05
Longwood	ind	0.06	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.03	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.12	0.10	30.00	31.79	-0.05	-0.04
James Madison	CAA	0.06	0.10	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.12	0.10	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.11	0.10	18.18	21.04	-0.07	-0.06
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.11	0.10	29.41	29.63	-0.05	-0.04
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.10	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.11	0.10	66.67	68.11	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.17	0.10	68.18	66.65	0.06	0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.11	0.10	65.22	67.00	0.03	0.03
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.10	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.17	0.10	86.36	81.80	0.13	0.06
Appalachian St.	SC	0.11	0.10	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.17	0.10	33.33	30.72	-0.06	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.12	0.10	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.12	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.12	0.10	55.00	53.61	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.06	0.10	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.02
NC Asheville	BSth	0.17	0.10	33.33	37.71	-0.06	-0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.11	0.10	86.36	81.50	0.08	0.06
Harvard	Ivy	0.11	0.10	73.68	75.41	0.05	0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.12	0.10	25.00	26.64	-0.06	-0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.06	0.10	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.00	0.09	73.91	69.49	0.00	0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.12	0.09	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.01
Liberty	BSth	0.11	0.09	42.86	41.51	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.11	0.09	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.09	66.67	64.62	0.04	0.03
Samford	SC	0.16	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.04
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.09	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.11	0.09	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.07	0.07	22.73	21.40	-0.04	-0.04
Canisius	MAAC	0.07	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.12	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.12	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.11	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.06	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.12	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.11	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.03	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.11	0.07	19.05	20.55	-0.07	-0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.12	0.07	14.29	15.65	-0.09	-0.05
Air Force	MWC	0.06	0.07	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.03
Iowa	B10	0.11	0.07	33.33	30.82	-0.04	-0.03
Florida International	SB	0.06	0.07	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.03
Denver	SB	0.11	0.07	60.87	59.58	0.02	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.12	0.07	39.13	38.63	-0.03	-0.02
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.07	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.11	0.07	37.50	38.45	-0.03	-0.02
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.07	36.84	36.82	-0.00	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.12	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.09	0.04
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.06	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.11	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.06	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.11	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.06	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.06	52.17	50.21	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.06	0.06	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.06	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.11	0.06	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.00	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.00	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.06	0.06	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.06	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.01	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.06	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.02
Princeton	Ivy	0.11	0.06	70.59	70.98	0.05	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	30.43	29.01	-0.02	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.06	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.04	0.04
The Citadel	SC	0.06	0.06	45.45	45.80	-0.01	-0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.11	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.06	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.11	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.04	0.02
Gonzaga	WCC	0.11	0.06	81.82	83.61	0.07	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.06	0.06	72.73	71.91	0.03	0.03
DePaul	BE	0.11	0.06	34.78	33.89	-0.03	-0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.06	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.06	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.06	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.06	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Temple	A10	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.06	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.11	0.06	83.33	83.91	0.07	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.00	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.00	0.05
Winthrop	BSth	0.11	0.06	52.38	54.80	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.06	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.03	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.11	0.06	95.65	91.32	0.10	0.05
Ball St.	MAC	0.06	0.04	52.38	51.63	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.00	0.04	80.95	82.07	0.00	0.02
Colgate	Pat	0.06	0.04	27.27	31.08	-0.03	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.06	0.04	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.00	0.04	27.27	29.40	-0.00	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.06	0.04	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.06	0.04	28.57	27.72	-0.03	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.06	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.02	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.06	0.03	63.64	64.66	0.02	0.01
Army	Pat	0.00	0.03	57.14	59.04	0.00	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.06	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.03	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.06	0.03	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.00	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.00	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.03	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.00	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.00	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.00	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.00	-0.00
Boston University	AE	0.06	0.03	54.17	57.70	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.00	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.00	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.00	0.03	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.00	0.03	17.39	20.11	-0.00	-0.02
Holy Cross	Pat	0.06	0.03	26.09	31.05	-0.03	-0.01
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.03	82.61	75.26	0.04	0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.05	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.06	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.06	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	23.81	27.28	-0.00	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.05	0.03	36.36	37.37	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.06	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.06	0.03	33.33	33.43	-0.02	-0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.04	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.03	47.37	52.55	-0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.03	55.56	58.32	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.00	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.00	0.03	68.18	59.30	0.00	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.06	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.03	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.00