live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

Through games of Feb 4, 2012.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
168180.8Wake ForestACC0.49670.53049711-1213-180-40-22-54-67-19-513921813743.82.3
240245.5Arizona St.P120.45720.52231137-1610-220-20-21-84-64-44-825212121629.51.8
161173.5Penn St.B100.50120.55924610-1412-200-71-42-54-44-18-515321714330.51.7
243248.4FordhamA100.45600.51141329-1310-190-31-21-62-67-37-619626522226.41.7
249253.9BradleyMVC0.45330.5383786-198-240-40-31-53-84-36-720013322924.91.6
339337.0Chicago St.GWC0.36680.45822721-203-260-20-20-20-63-151-173291693289.01.6
121132.7Texas ChristianMWC0.52550.54646612-915-161-41-32-35-46-29-614924110131.71.5
5059.3Seton HallBE0.57740.56254215-820-121-42-24-49-34-011-1181063227.31.5
325322.6Tennessee MartinOVC0.38900.47932071-223-260-20-30-21-62-132-1129720730913.61.4
118128.3NebraskaB100.52940.56413311-1014-161-71-32-44-26-08-312424810028.31.4
275276.1UtahP120.43800.5494624-184-260-10-30-111-73-32-92807926313.11.4
6979.2MississippiSEC0.56360.56343414-818-140-51-33-39-34-010-4611205128.21.4
6475.3NorthwesternB100.56700.58221213-817-141-61-33-48-24-010-224554827.31.4
304305.7TowsonCAA0.40770.5300991-242-300-20-30-80-111-80-13303522969.71.4
6675.9MinnesotaB100.56480.56742816-720-132-52-24-37-35-012-1351775223.91.3
2232.6MichiganB100.60670.58241116-621-113-53-25-25-24-09-3571341517.61.3
162174.6Georgia TechACC0.50090.5353859-1413-180-40-22-54-66-27-716916014826.61.3
247254.0Eastern MichiganMAC0.45380.46522509-1312-190-20-10-43-59-84-1026525422826.01.3
316315.8Nicholls St.Slnd0.39740.44703025-156-210-10-00-30-86-82-929925930411.81.3
2433.9MemphisCUSA0.60560.56932516-724-91-42-25-212-15-010-54382013.91.3
111122.6MarylandACC0.53280.56264113-916-160-60-43-45-27-010-4961319725.61.2
3442.2Colorado St.MWC0.59720.5916414-718-121-51-33-37-25-010-423212319.21.2
610.1BaylorB120.64390.58141420-226-63-44-17-15-07-012-023637.11.2
137147.8IowaB100.51550.54227213-1116-171-51-33-54-46-08-523829312225.81.2
1418.6Southern MississippiCUSA0.62090.54506918-325-60-12-26-29-17-011-21464711.61.2
97104.4South FloridaBE0.54460.57102412-1015-160-61-33-47-44-06-6128717925.41.2
248253.7Boston CollegeACC0.45330.5392767-168-230-40-31-63-84-25-927317923716.71.1
149160.1St. John'sBE0.50820.56323510-1313-200-61-22-55-65-06-722615913624.11.1
198197.2South AlabamaSB0.48300.470023111-1014-130-20-21-24-310-47-310021916829.21.1
277271.3Central MichiganMAC0.43760.46612486-1510-200-10-20-51-79-65-824024725021.31.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
144157.3AuburnSEC0.51030.53658313-1015-160-40-42-55-37-010-413327913324.31.1
3647.7IllinoisB100.59020.57891716-621-123-62-24-37-25-011-2441193116.71.1
8487.4WagnerNEC0.55380.454028219-427-50-00-12-17-318-09-2481727413.41.0
119124.3PrincetonIvy0.52930.51661269-1015-131-01-21-46-56-37-7947410519.31.0
36.1DukeACC0.65390.5953319-327-64-44-16-110-04-013-21324.11.0
142154.8ProvidenceBE0.51100.525911113-1016-161-51-31-54-39-011-213833713123.81.0
131142.8DrakeMVC0.51820.529410212-1115-151-31-21-54-48-16-514720612121.81.0
232236.9Southern CaliforniaP120.46220.5448706-188-240-30-31-93-75-25-81866122016.91.0
263262.4Idaho St.BSky0.44550.47612167-1410-190-10-11-51-68-71-1131516624319.40.9
130138.6Indiana St.MVC0.51930.509313913-1016-140-31-11-46-48-28-310630011721.60.9
5565.5Northern IowaMVC0.57120.55505315-919-121-42-13-39-45-19-313194916.50.9
4048.3Mississippi St.SEC0.58800.55036018-523-101-42-24-311-16-013-2531753315.30.9
9196.2OklahomaB120.54910.56284013-917-151-72-23-34-38-010-2521837719.20.9
251256.0Rhode IslandA100.45190.5352865-196-250-10-32-81-94-43-1227714024412.00.9
13.4SyracuseBE0.66620.57991623-130-34-14-18-19-05-013-034112.40.8
169177.4South CarolinaSEC0.49650.5541569-1312-190-61-21-36-64-28-619920415819.40.8
139144.3CharlotteA100.51480.519312011-1115-160-11-32-74-38-18-511521112717.30.8
212216.5San DiegoWCC0.47480.52601097-1410-190-30-30-31-69-33-825614619818.50.8
234243.2Texas TechB120.46140.5459687-158-230-60-30-51-86-17-522730323211.20.8
6571.6Notre DameBE0.56640.55565115-820-133-42-23-26-47-08-51611985615.60.8
6371.0ArkansasSEC0.56740.54916316-721-121-32-22-310-36-112-3681885318.00.8
219223.7PortlandWCC0.47230.5550525-187-230-40-40-42-74-42-102081720815.70.8
3947.8Iowa St.B120.58990.56293817-622-112-51-23-29-27-010-3801803611.80.8
201208.0Louisiana TechWAC0.47830.49341729-1213-170-10-20-55-68-38-719725619018.00.8
299300.7Central ArkansasSlnd0.41290.44233105-138-190-10-00-31-67-93-726327128911.70.7
8891.1Louisiana St.SEC0.55240.55016113-918-141-31-32-47-36-110-41042147516.10.7
112120.6PennsylvaniaIvy0.53180.527810512-1018-130-21-32-47-48-18-91214010911.60.7
6168.7Miami FLACC0.56820.56214313-718-131-51-32-410-16-09-465905414.70.7
186184.9North FloridaASun0.49060.490017911-1314-170-20-20-43-611-25-71258616717.90.7
7579.7PittsburghBE0.56040.56712914-919-141-42-34-48-34-011-2501186514.70.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
279275.7MonmouthNEC0.43500.48102027-189-230-10-10-51-98-62-1128614826510.70.7
340337.4Northern IllinoisMAC0.36400.46512511-182-260-00-10-40-82-120-113412913343.40.7
4755.3Saint Joseph'sA100.58090.56323615-921-131-21-35-48-45-010-538254213.30.7
2128.2TempleA100.60750.55195817-524-83-02-16-47-26-011-31539199.20.7
2631.9ConnecticutBE0.60450.6019215-720-122-43-15-47-33-010-266229.90.7
3545.6HarvardIvy0.59270.485318619-225-41-01-12-012-110-113-236210396.60.7
1319.0MarquetteBE0.62160.57122319-525-82-33-26-29-15-011-23099127.00.7
2530.7San Diego St.MWC0.60500.54896518-323-73-43-23-16-18-012-258216219.70.7
120127.8Oklahoma St.B120.52760.58151310-1213-191-60-33-63-35-06-61469211413.80.7
117125.1YaleIvy0.52990.475921713-516-100-10-20-15-511-18-410127611114.10.7
151162.5Texas A&MB120.50630.54197411-1014-170-70-31-43-29-18-321132414517.50.7
320319.0Kennesaw St.ASun0.39430.48311942-214-260-20-20-30-103-93-92541583145.00.7
128139.5GeorgiaSEC0.51990.57531910-1213-190-51-43-55-54-09-5906512613.50.6
283281.5South DakotaSum0.43070.47492225-147-180-10-30-31-66-63-428433527110.50.6
252252.8PepperdineWCC0.45160.48821827-1510-190-30-30-23-57-75-626032923913.80.6
197201.7George WashingtonA100.48310.5463678-1510-210-20-41-85-44-35-91918418912.70.6
3236.2VanderbiltSEC0.59860.5907516-722-122-42-25-38-24-011-43110288.20.6
172181.2Western MichiganMAC0.49560.51551289-1314-180-20-41-53-39-45-9105916516.20.6
7881.7MassachusettsA100.55900.514013017-622-101-12-23-47-29-111-3852306813.70.6
160167.2Youngstown St.Horz0.50150.482719610-1015-140-00-11-35-68-43-621325214918.20.6
193186.1Morehead St.OVC0.48780.484319010-1214-160-10-10-34-69-44-816010216917.10.6
5361.0XavierA100.57490.55834815-820-120-32-45-37-26-09-566375011.00.6
297291.1NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.41710.42663306-1210-160-10-10-20-510-84-1128824627813.10.6
191193.8DePaulBE0.48800.520011811-1113-180-40-31-64-57-09-322333818211.80.6
8083.1DaytonA100.55810.55285714-919-131-22-25-57-24-210-467737211.10.5
1723.1IndianaB100.61280.56483118-625-83-42-15-28-16-013-017195176.10.5
216218.7Southern MethodistCUSA0.47270.50711428-1311-190-10-31-44-96-37-619223320612.70.5
7774.3ArizonaP120.55920.526610716-823-110-21-25-47-29-09-460446410.30.5
310307.9Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.40280.44902924-156-210-10-20-11-85-92-82942923025.90.5
224223.0ElonSC0.46770.457627410-1013-150-10-10-23-410-63-618911320914.00.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
914.5Nevada Las VegasMWC0.63470.56423219-427-63-34-23-19-08-014-216107113.50.5
1924.3Florida St.ACC0.61150.58111516-623-93-31-25-28-25-09-57530186.30.5
7374.9Central FloridaCUSA0.56180.529410115-620-101-32-31-27-39-09-3821916311.90.5
176182.5Air ForceMWC0.49480.5414759-1011-160-50-40-42-38-08-419529717111.50.5
206207.5Portland St.BSky0.47650.46832399-1214-160-00-10-51-512-55-715817619413.50.5
6270.2PurdueB100.56760.56673015-820-131-63-34-26-26-010-374170628.20.5
163166.3NortheasternCAA0.50080.494017011-1215-160-00-11-66-69-35-613212315511.30.5
98105.1MercerASun0.54310.470222917-723-90-10-20-27-316-17-5109212987.10.5
1820.8CreightonMVC0.61220.53099621-327-52-12-14-212-17-011-121138164.80.5
305307.0BrownIvy0.40760.47242266-167-230-00-20-21-136-65-113173083034.00.5
208208.6NiagaraMAAC0.47590.49461679-1514-190-10-31-51-712-35-81821441999.60.5
226225.7Holy CrossPat0.46600.47912099-1312-170-00-11-32-89-56-820222021411.70.4
5766.6North Carolina St.ACC0.56920.56283917-721-121-61-23-29-27-011-45531597.60.4
205207.0Eastern KentuckyOVC0.47650.452928412-1216-150-10-10-23-613-57-619328519512.00.4
179181.0RiceCUSA0.49370.509014010-1114-160-20-30-54-69-16-621422917011.00.4
294295.2Eastern IllinoisOVC0.41930.44053127-149-180-10-10-11-68-86-52493322905.20.4
133137.7OaklandSum0.51770.515812712-1316-160-11-41-43-411-35-7111481298.70.4
302305.7SIU EdwardsvilleOVC0.40810.45042885-148-180-10-10-12-65-91-83393263005.70.4
312309.5Loyola ChicagoHorz0.40210.46352544-176-230-00-20-41-105-74-62713333054.50.4
1013.3MissouriB120.62950.54447121-229-54-23-17-17-18-013-032264103.30.4
3135.9West VirginiaBE0.59910.5869815-821-122-43-27-47-23-010-32016305.90.4
7281.4BucknellPat0.56270.486318517-624-80-10-11-38-215-09-692157765.40.4
8990.8OregonP120.55110.53279016-720-120-10-33-57-210-09-379122837.80.4
99103.0VillanovaBE0.54300.58331010-1215-170-61-43-48-23-17-59133949.00.4
260257.0NC GreensboroSC0.44790.47922088-1510-200-30-20-32-58-81-10266322498.00.4
7678.7ColoradoP120.56010.53827914-719-110-21-24-57-27-06-410793717.70.3
322319.0Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.39210.45692764-166-230-00-10-21-75-122-102911423154.00.3
138145.3UABCUSA0.51500.5569509-1312-180-51-41-43-46-25-8165531387.30.3
2729.1GonzagaWCC0.60260.53378718-425-61-32-24-19-010-011-21934254.10.3
1115.9GeorgetownBE0.62480.57502017-423-73-34-13-28-15-09-11159132.90.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
132138.9RichmondA100.51800.53269112-1215-171-11-42-85-48-19-6971151326.90.3
262257.8Western CarolinaSC0.44570.46332558-1511-190-00-20-42-49-94-71741622516.80.3
344343.4BinghamtonAE0.33750.43733170-232-290-10-00-20-91-160-133422903430.40.3
192188.4Arkansas Little RockSB0.48800.504914710-1314-170-20-11-24-68-52-11275491817.40.3
330327.3HartfordAE0.38060.43493194-196-240-00-00-20-116-110-133432993252.30.3
183179.9Northwestern St.Slnd0.49280.459026711-916-140-10-11-42-413-45-71731651727.90.3
190189.0Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.48860.52181147-1311-170-20-21-34-96-23-612751809.00.3
8186.2DuquesneA100.55700.55485413-917-140-21-24-68-34-18-58868815.20.3
164167.4Washington St.P120.50080.505614411-1114-160-11-22-63-38-47-41542781607.40.3
146157.1ColumbiaIvy0.50880.492617411-915-130-00-21-16-79-39-51031931525.10.3
239243.1Missouri Kansas CitySum0.45730.49281738-1510-190-30-30-23-47-76-51342032385.10.3
106116.6Long IslandNEC0.53660.457527517-723-100-00-12-14-616-26-61662701124.60.3
4450.3Kansas St.B120.58370.55455516-621-103-52-23-27-17-011-147228464.30.3
221220.0McNeese St.Slnd0.47060.47092277-1011-160-10-11-31-79-42-8245782137.00.2
158159.0Louisiana LafayetteSB0.50350.482719513-1117-140-00-12-44-611-25-82241541536.00.2
148152.6AmericanPat0.50840.448529715-820-110-10-01-35-314-49-61643211475.60.2
334332.6MD Baltimore CountyAE0.37410.43783153-195-250-10-00-10-125-111-123322803311.60.2
227231.8Southern IllinoisMVC0.46540.52081158-1510-210-40-21-53-85-23-83042872274.80.2
89.4KansasB120.63700.5872618-526-75-43-25-17-06-010-3332781.40.2
9598.5St. BonaventureA100.54630.523711212-817-120-11-34-64-28-17-5102137935.50.2
256251.0PresbyterianBSth0.44980.45462809-1313-170-10-11-22-610-75-51431972465.00.2
115119.6NC AshevilleBSth0.53080.475421915-720-90-10-11-24-315-22-7220471163.60.2
710.3Michigan St.B100.63930.6089116-523-94-53-24-28-04-010-2101891.30.2
159158.8South Carolina UpstateASun0.50340.467624412-1017-140-11-11-33-513-45-61622361544.80.2
1215.6FloridaSEC0.62290.56134419-426-82-43-14-011-25-012-329105141.60.2
140148.0RutgersBE0.51370.55155912-1215-171-41-33-53-66-08-52012391444.00.2
291289.4Seattleind0.42380.46602494-138-160-00-20-22-66-66-162932372872.40.2
55.7North CarolinaACC0.65230.5850920-328-64-43-16-110-05-013-252350.70.2
9495.2Virginia TechACC0.54670.55974513-1018-151-61-22-38-36-111-46996923.20.2
2328.9LouisvilleBE0.60640.57482118-524-92-53-15-27-16-012-1776271.90.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
324322.3CanisiusMAAC0.38910.45312834-196-240-10-20-40-56-124-73223423211.30.1
315313.0Houston BaptistGWC0.39770.44633045-158-200-10-10-22-46-114-122741713112.00.1
187179.7DelawareCAA0.49030.481619911-1216-150-00-12-43-69-45-62422681763.70.1
278271.9TroySB0.43510.48132006-159-200-00-20-22-97-64-62051842692.90.1
220219.7Wright St.Horz0.47130.499315310-1413-190-20-11-44-108-24-82221352172.70.1
228224.5Georgia SouthernSC0.46470.46972338-1212-160-00-10-22-79-60-83331782213.50.1
124125.4Old DominionCAA0.52350.511013315-1019-140-20-12-66-511-05-8156281232.40.1
269262.6Virginia Military InstBSth0.44220.43843149-1112-160-10-00-21-811-53-53053302602.60.1
261258.7UC RiversideBW0.44730.45882719-1211-180-10-20-24-67-75-72302272571.70.1
184179.0Florida AtlanticSB0.49230.51451298-1412-180-10-31-42-58-43-9150201772.00.1
314312.9HowardMEAC0.39790.45812734-187-230-30-10-11-76-112-10255423120.90.1
5662.5MarshallCUSA0.57020.56772713-918-131-32-43-37-36-08-55413611.50.1
328326.7Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.38220.42263345-138-190-00-00-31-67-104-63233363260.70.1
292291.7Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.42190.46472536-178-210-10-00-41-87-72-92891892910.70.1
3740.5VirginiaACC0.59010.53199218-424-82-42-15-18-28-013-151260400.50.0
8382.5Missouri St.MVC0.55470.54906413-1118-141-51-32-27-47-07-58650820.50.0
342341.1GramblingSWAC0.35060.40723413-174-240-00-00-20-74-140-103351863410.10.0
4341.2Brigham YoungWCC0.58410.529310318-623-81-42-14-15-212-010-34160410.20.0
24.0Ohio St.B100.65830.5872720-329-56-33-16-18-05-012-19974-0.0-0.0
110106.7Robert MorrisNEC0.53370.467024617-823-100-01-12-35-416-29-43758107-0.3-0.0
313312.8Longwoodind0.40070.43053256-148-190-10-30-20-27-127-18309313313-0.2-0.0
225224.5SienaMAAC0.46620.474622310-1214-170-01-11-44-68-65-6229267225-0.5-0.0
181183.3CornellIvy0.49330.51811227-1211-160-00-21-35-95-14-922891184-0.7-0.0
218202.0Coppin St.MEAC0.47240.44633038-1114-130-00-20-41-312-41-8302125203-1.0-0.0
2833.5AlabamaSEC0.60010.57302215-722-102-32-26-310-23-011-3405634-0.5-0.0
202205.9Florida Gulf CoastASun0.47720.468323811-1114-150-00-10-42-812-24-6241234207-1.1-0.0
165159.8Cal St. FullertonBW0.49890.434132113-719-100-20-10-04-215-47-4184317161-1.2-0.0
286277.9Prairie View A&MSWAC0.42960.42503327-1312-180-10-10-21-412-91-925935279-1.1-0.1
298294.4ColgatePat0.41670.46002647-169-210-20-00-31-78-96-9270301295-0.6-0.1
155160.7EvansvilleMVC0.50480.53718010-1213-170-51-13-23-66-25-5217164162-1.3-0.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
288287.3JacksonvilleASun0.42650.49211764-196-230-30-20-22-85-82-923989288-0.7-0.1
250245.3Appalachian St.SC0.45190.47062287-1311-170-10-10-23-68-73-620983247-1.7-0.1
309307.0Texas Pan AmericanGWC0.40300.45692774-177-210-10-00-30-87-91-16321156308-1.0-0.1
143137.8UC Santa BarbaraBW0.51070.482219810-816-110-30-30-23-212-23-612929140-2.2-0.1
301305.3St. Francis PANEC0.40860.47662155-187-230-00-10-62-74-91-1028346306-0.7-0.1
200197.7North TexasSB0.47930.469423610-1014-140-00-21-43-59-34-6236226200-2.3-0.1
241238.3Sacred HeartNEC0.45660.452228511-1414-180-00-00-34-810-76-7244298240-1.7-0.1
141147.9ButlerHorz0.51300.516812512-1216-160-20-22-35-69-26-610824150-2.1-0.1
104106.0TulsaCUSA0.53810.526210814-919-130-31-23-38-36-37-7136101108-2.0-0.1
102104.1ValparaisoHorz0.53970.494416815-819-110-11-12-28-48-35-6122151106-1.9-0.1
134138.5TennesseeSEC0.51740.56313710-1214-181-51-42-35-45-17-7204150141-2.5-0.1
147138.9Charleston SouthernBSth0.50850.459026611-917-110-20-10-23-414-34-4110126142-3.1-0.1
259256.6IUPU Fort WayneSum0.44860.47742127-139-170-10-31-32-67-54-4185312259-2.4-0.1
282279.4St. Peter'sMAAC0.43120.49861555-188-240-00-20-71-87-62-10308145281-1.6-0.1
203208.5LipscombASun0.47660.483719210-1313-170-11-31-32-710-44-7188124211-2.5-0.1
105107.8Loyola MarymountWCC0.53670.53338813-917-131-41-41-14-210-26-614875110-2.2-0.1
6770.3WashingtonP120.56470.53668216-721-110-30-25-47-29-07-51176273-2.7-0.1
280277.4MaristMAAC0.43370.47942068-1510-200-10-20-41-69-75-7234232280-2.6-0.1
126121.4College of CharlestonSC0.52200.496816114-1020-130-10-22-36-311-58-42211125-3.6-0.1
303305.7William & MaryCAA0.40780.49481653-214-270-10-20-51-114-81-11327258307-1.3-0.2
341337.2South Carolina St.MEAC0.36210.43403222-184-250-10-10-20-64-153-9290238338-0.8-0.2
238242.0Western KentuckySB0.45790.50551458-1510-200-10-30-44-56-64-922145245-3.0-0.2
284271.9Delaware St.MEAC0.43060.43383236-1111-170-00-00-32-69-81-9300149276-4.1-0.2
229230.2Arkansas St.SB0.46440.49351719-1512-190-20-31-53-69-45-9198108234-3.8-0.2
271262.0North Carolina A&TMEAC0.44110.45172877-1411-190-20-10-21-610-82-1026877266-4.0-0.2
338335.2RadfordBSth0.36940.46052622-214-250-10-00-21-93-122-9313174336-0.8-0.2
255249.6Jacksonville St.OVC0.45020.47242258-1511-180-10-10-33-89-54-8250167254-4.4-0.2
156158.1East CarolinaCUSA0.50470.5419738-1011-160-20-21-44-65-15-4152182163-4.9-0.2
254254.4Northern ColoradoBSky0.45080.49801596-148-180-10-20-61-37-62-817514258-3.6-0.2
270264.4PacificBW0.44190.46512527-1310-180-10-10-23-87-63-8296200268-3.6-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
150152.5San FranciscoWCC0.50740.503814813-1016-140-30-31-22-312-38-4130242157-4.5-0.2
127125.3Norfolk St.MEAC0.52000.449329115-722-100-20-01-14-316-48-576103130-4.7-0.2
174171.5TulaneCUSA0.49500.469923213-817-130-20-10-24-512-110-2123339178-6.5-0.2
4957.5Cleveland St.Horz0.57800.498315718-426-60-01-03-211-310-110-2258860-2.5-0.2
3834.1Long Beach St.BW0.59000.520311715-623-80-30-22-18-112-05-727137-2.9-0.2
204210.2NC WilmingtonCAA0.47650.51051359-1411-200-00-21-74-76-44-7157110215-4.8-0.2
214212.8Florida InternationalSB0.47350.49891547-1411-180-10-21-33-66-63-821282218-5.2-0.2
182179.7Texas El PasoCUSA0.49290.53139510-1314-180-20-31-45-67-37-714580186-6.3-0.2
215213.9RiderMAAC0.47300.49811589-1512-200-10-21-52-710-43-10237139219-5.1-0.2
108109.3Illinois St.MVC0.53520.513713115-919-120-30-23-18-47-29-3131269115-5.7-0.2
4840.2Middle TennesseeSB0.57970.483819120-427-50-01-13-110-213-010-34511444-3.8-0.2
5461.2TexasB120.57310.56912614-920-132-71-23-37-17-010-36312766-4.8-0.3
125127.1Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.52310.495216413-1018-130-20-11-37-510-16-5114141134-6.9-0.3
253250.0James MadisonCAA0.45130.468024010-1513-200-00-10-62-810-47-6215296255-5.0-0.3
107106.2UCLAP120.53520.53189312-1018-140-21-33-65-39-07-5155129113-6.8-0.3
233234.8HoustonCUSA0.46180.494116910-1113-170-10-11-35-86-37-5262294242-7.2-0.3
9381.4DenverSB0.54800.486618417-723-92-11-21-16-413-210-3397088-6.6-0.3
323321.3DartmouthIvy0.39080.47692133-185-240-00-20-31-114-83-12337306324-2.7-0.3
230224.7FurmanSC0.46320.447230010-1114-150-00-10-22-611-64-5243309233-8.3-0.3
265253.6Bethune CookmanMEAC0.44500.43613188-1313-180-20-00-21-612-82-11310202262-8.4-0.3
10198.6MontanaBSky0.54050.473522414-621-80-01-11-34-215-26-5120109104-5.4-0.3
6870.5La SalleA100.56430.518012317-723-111-11-24-47-39-011-49824078-7.5-0.3
4239.7Oral RobertsSum0.58550.501315021-527-70-11-23-18-215-19-47813245-5.3-0.3
242237.7Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.45640.444230610-1113-150-20-10-12-411-73-8307319248-10.3-0.4
231232.9Southern UtahSum0.46300.463025610-1212-160-10-30-32-510-43-6314343241-8.1-0.4
266263.1Montana St.BSky0.44470.44423079-1111-160-10-10-31-410-83-7287310270-6.9-0.4
188181.5Fresno St.WAC0.49030.50091529-1414-180-00-11-54-88-38-8176224192-10.5-0.4
9090.9CincinnatiBE0.54920.526011016-721-122-32-24-27-37-110-316332099-8.1-0.4
290285.4Sam Houston St.Slnd0.42580.46772435-148-200-00-10-50-68-72-9279143292-6.6-0.4
10392.5LamarSlnd0.53970.475222013-821-100-20-10-26-314-27-64943102-9.5-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
4140.1CaliforniaP120.58720.53298918-625-90-21-17-37-210-010-3468547-6.9-0.4
5862.2NevadaWAC0.56900.508214117-423-70-11-13-27-213-110-48415370-7.8-0.4
257252.5SamfordSC0.44910.47962057-1410-180-11-11-22-66-91-826757261-8.5-0.4
213215.6Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.47480.460226311-1213-140-10-10-33-29-713-14219275223-7.4-0.4
318312.8New HampshireAE0.39580.40673427-1311-180-00-00-12-89-85-6316341318-5.2-0.4
185179.6DetroitHorz0.49120.494616611-1215-160-10-20-47-68-25-6210161191-11.4-0.4
3328.7St. LouisA100.59790.53149417-524-70-11-27-37-18-011-24218735-6.3-0.4
8580.3Loyola MDMAAC0.55340.479720417-523-90-10-12-16-315-28-36420989-8.7-0.4
8678.6Weber St.BSky0.55330.468024116-421-70-10-11-24-116-27-37011287-8.4-0.4
9286.0StanfordP120.54910.509913716-722-100-21-14-45-311-010-28924396-10.0-0.4
296288.9SouthernSWAC0.41790.38613449-1114-160-00-00-10-713-81-9338307298-9.1-0.4
207197.6AlbanyAE0.47630.419333615-1020-130-10-00-22-818-39-6179315210-12.4-0.4
326324.5Louisiana MonroeSB0.38790.47822112-213-260-10-10-30-112-91-11326235327-2.5-0.4
157144.1Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.50410.447429911-1119-130-30-10-41-318-31-112257156-11.9-0.4
258254.8StetsonASun0.44870.49231757-159-200-20-20-32-87-52-823572264-9.2-0.4
167166.0IdahoWAC0.49790.490917710-1115-150-00-12-34-69-47-7231274179-13.0-0.5
116107.0Coastal CarolinaBSth0.53050.458926913-520-80-00-01-15-513-24-3172253120-13.0-0.5
331328.9Northern ArizonaBSky0.38060.45902683-194-230-00-10-40-64-113-8298250332-3.1-0.5
178184.5Boise St.MWC0.49410.5385779-1212-170-41-41-35-55-19-5144286197-12.5-0.5
317314.6Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.39740.45692784-186-240-00-10-42-74-121-13334257320-5.4-0.5
337332.3Alcorn St.SWAC0.37070.41333393-156-210-10-10-10-66-120-831154337-4.7-0.5
276275.6Santa ClaraWCC0.43790.51051346-158-211-31-21-31-65-66-5177225284-8.4-0.5
44.3KentuckySEC0.65320.55914723-131-35-24-15-012-06-014-18986-1.7-0.5
8782.5Kent St.MAC0.55260.503814915-621-100-01-22-47-212-110-37718595-12.5-0.5
223221.1Ball St.MAC0.46810.430132611-917-130-00-20-33-314-48-4218340235-13.9-0.5
195186.1East Tennessee St.ASun0.48600.458927011-1015-140-00-11-25-610-45-5170282201-14.9-0.5
332328.2Florida A&MMEAC0.37920.42773294-177-230-00-00-11-86-130-12340251333-4.8-0.5
4645.6AkronMAC0.58100.53708115-722-100-12-34-56-210-07-7722655-9.4-0.5
114106.7ManhattanMAAC0.53100.469323717-823-100-11-21-24-417-18-5141281118-11.3-0.5
281275.2ToledoMAC0.43340.44862948-1312-180-10-20-33-49-87-6264305285-9.8-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9690.5George MasonCAA0.54560.482419719-624-90-00-13-37-313-29-4116213103-12.5-0.5
145149.7ClemsonACC0.50990.529610011-1115-161-31-21-46-67-28-6203261164-14.3-0.5
295289.8ArmyPat0.41930.42793289-1312-170-00-00-32-610-76-8331344299-9.2-0.6
5247.6South Dakota St.Sum0.57520.497016017-624-80-01-12-27-314-17-48716358-10.4-0.6
196180.9Cal PolyBW0.48520.448929311-1118-130-30-10-13-314-58-5142262196-15.1-0.6
333330.9The CitadelSC0.37650.46942352-193-250-00-10-30-83-131-8324221335-4.1-0.6
293289.4Illinois ChicagoHorz0.42140.47002306-148-200-00-10-44-94-73-6281323301-11.6-0.6
129128.6Utah St.WAC0.51980.519611912-1217-150-11-22-55-49-49-7118116146-17.4-0.6
153156.2Bowling GreenMAC0.50610.510013610-1115-161-11-22-54-48-36-7194192174-17.8-0.6
122118.4North Dakota St.Sum0.52450.478421013-818-110-10-20-27-211-46-3126288135-16.6-0.6
211209.7Miami OHMAC0.47500.52781046-1410-190-21-33-52-55-54-8248104226-16.3-0.6
2022.7WisconsinB100.61090.57751818-624-93-63-15-19-15-011-2349429-6.3-0.6
170160.3VermontAE0.49600.450028915-1021-120-10-20-15-616-27-8180190175-14.7-0.6
5156.9WyomingMWC0.57540.53039816-521-92-32-22-15-210-012-27129569-12.1-0.6
308306.8Jackson St.SWAC0.40370.44862954-178-220-40-10-11-47-121-101872317-10.2-0.6
327324.0Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.38740.47582182-214-250-00-10-30-113-111-10328194329-5.0-0.6
274267.4Gardner WebbBSth0.43800.44723018-1512-190-10-00-13-99-74-7276314283-15.6-0.7
199194.0Austin PeayOVC0.48070.51811218-1612-200-20-50-24-78-43-1121622212-18.0-0.7
194188.3St. Francis NYNEC0.48760.449729013-1017-140-00-01-33-514-53-8306318205-16.7-0.7
136133.9FairfieldMAAC0.51580.505014612-1017-140-10-31-54-412-15-713587151-17.1-0.7
189184.8HawaiiWAC0.48950.490317812-915-140-11-12-35-58-47-7258272204-19.2-0.7
113109.7Oregon St.P120.53130.506614314-820-120-11-25-54-310-19-2119302128-18.3-0.7
173166.2CampbellBSth0.49540.455827914-1118-140-10-01-24-513-65-7190283185-18.8-0.7
267254.4MaineAE0.44450.418933710-1014-150-00-10-12-712-56-5207311272-17.6-0.7
264259.9UC IrvineBW0.44510.47682147-1310-180-20-20-31-79-53-8278117274-14.1-0.7
236237.2HofstraCAA0.45830.50971388-1712-210-01-11-63-107-47-6171130252-14.8-0.7
273267.4WinthropBSth0.43980.46242598-1510-190-10-10-21-99-61-9272136282-14.6-0.7
300297.2Alabama St.SWAC0.41120.40923406-1411-180-10-10-11-611-91-9282152310-12.8-0.7
7469.2New Mexico St.WAC0.56130.520611616-722-101-21-21-29-312-111-5739584-14.8-0.7
268252.1Morgan St.MEAC0.44260.45942655-1512-180-20-10-21-610-73-923281273-20.9-0.7
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
217198.2Savannah St.MEAC0.47260.425033111-1018-130-20-10-11-417-55-8257231224-25.8-0.7
177166.4QuinnipiacNEC0.49450.462725713-1017-130-00-01-35-611-47-499215188-21.6-0.7
154152.3Tennessee St.OVC0.50580.484518913-1016-140-30-20-13-412-45-7140155173-20.7-0.8
321316.2NavyPat0.39290.48082032-194-240-10-00-40-83-112-11318245323-6.8-0.8
7969.1Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.55830.481320120-526-80-01-13-39-213-010-38319985-15.9-0.8
8269.6DrexelCAA0.55680.469523419-525-70-00-13-28-314-18-49522386-16.4-0.8
235228.0Central ConnecticutNEC0.46000.461626110-1213-160-10-01-52-611-53-7295244253-25.0-0.8
287279.0High PointBSth0.42850.46762457-159-190-00-10-43-77-72-7292208294-15.0-0.8
289277.7ChattanoogaSC0.42590.46662476-1611-190-20-20-22-58-93-7269147297-19.3-0.8
175167.4Boston UniversityAE0.49490.475022112-1317-160-00-20-53-714-24-1117863187-19.6-0.8
306305.9Sacramento St.BSky0.40710.43453206-149-170-00-00-31-58-94-6319334316-10.1-0.8
244229.7Texas SouthernSWAC0.45510.44553057-1514-180-30-10-40-414-71-1124712256-26.3-0.8
6050.9DavidsonSC0.56830.495316216-524-71-20-11-17-215-15-556467-16.1-0.8
210207.6Eastern WashingtonBSky0.47530.46802429-1313-170-10-10-42-511-64-8151181230-22.4-0.9
343342.3UC DavisBW0.34600.44413080-212-270-10-20-20-81-151-12344322344-1.7-0.9
180176.3Western IllinoisSum0.49330.488118310-913-140-10-31-23-39-43-4168255202-25.7-0.9
166157.8Texas San AntonioSlnd0.49800.448629612-919-120-01-11-34-313-66-7167249183-25.2-0.9
109108.1LehighPat0.53490.443030917-624-80-10-11-24-318-111-4113327124-15.9-0.9
285278.9San Jose St.WAC0.42990.48891816-168-220-00-20-42-95-66-9253284293-14.1-0.9
5960.3OhioMAC0.56880.495316318-425-80-11-25-26-213-112-26222280-19.7-0.9
319317.1Texas St.Slnd0.39450.43883134-147-190-00-00-31-57-103-7285304330-12.9-1.0
1516.3St. Mary'sWCC0.61960.527310620-226-41-23-14-16-112-010-2286624-7.7-1.0
272252.1North DakotaGWC0.43980.44113116-1212-150-20-11-01-38-105-10233173286-33.9-1.0
245245.4IUPUISum0.45500.49851568-1510-190-20-31-23-57-75-6181168267-21.6-1.0
222207.4Utah ValleyGWC0.46850.421133512-1017-120-00-10-31-316-57-10251266236-28.6-1.0
7065.4BuffaloMAC0.56330.517912413-619-100-11-33-36-39-16-59311190-24.6-1.0
336329.8Alabama A&MSWAC0.37160.40373433-147-190-10-10-00-77-100-7320100342-12.2-1.0
209210.4LafayettePat0.47530.484718810-1313-180-00-10-52-811-35-10246205231-20.6-1.0
171163.4WoffordSC0.49590.452228613-918-130-10-21-14-313-75-6183289193-29.6-1.0
2926.2Murray St.OVC0.60000.484818720-026-21-01-01-09-113-09-143838-11.8-1.0
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
335334.9BryantNEC0.37180.46172602-223-270-00-10-50-83-131-11336273340-5.1-1.0
1616.5Wichita St.MVC0.61780.55704919-425-61-21-26-112-15-09-2121526-9.5-1.0
123111.2Georgia St.CAA0.52410.462525816-823-100-00-12-35-415-29-3159331139-27.8-1.0
311305.7LibertyBSth0.40270.44752986-168-210-00-00-21-107-92-8330316319-13.3-1.1
307302.3HamptonMEAC0.40500.41683388-1412-190-00-00-11-812-114-10312325322-19.7-1.1
135131.5Tennessee TechOVC0.51720.483219314-918-120-20-20-36-311-46-6137201159-27.5-1.1
152136.9Stony BrookAE0.50630.428432714-720-90-10-00-16-414-44-7261277166-29.1-1.1
329325.4Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.38140.42333334-198-240-10-20-21-77-121-12301128339-13.6-1.2
3026.0New MexicoMWC0.59930.53618418-425-62-33-14-17-09-113-28126343-17.0-1.2
4538.8IonaMAAC0.58310.501215119-526-60-01-14-39-112-29-3265157-18.2-1.3
246234.3Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.45480.43133248-914-140-00-00-32-511-63-7325328277-42.7-1.4
237222.3North Carolina CentralMEAC0.45800.43773167-1113-150-10-10-21-512-72-820667275-52.7-1.5
10084.9Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.54200.454128116-524-80-10-02-25-318-27-6112196119-34.1-1.5
7154.3BelmontASun0.56310.489718016-724-80-11-12-19-213-27-5596991-36.7-2.0

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com