Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

These projections also include simulated Conference Tournaments.

For the projected RPIs through the end of the regular season, click on the links at the top.

This particular page is updated weekly

Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
1	1.0	Kansas	B12	0.6811	0.5893	9	30-2	31-2	7-1	4-1	4-0	14-0	2-0	14-1	4	25	1	0.0	NaN
251	253.1	Hawaii	WAC	0.4470	0.5272	108	9-20	9-20	0-3	0-3	2-5	1-6	6-3	6-7	228	117	251	2.1	4.8
205	210.4	Iowa	B10	0.4772	0.5565	50	10-22	10-22	0-6	0-5	0-5	4-7	6-0	6-7	204	79	205	5.4	4.7
215	221.3	Indiana	B10	0.4717	0.5450	68	10-21	10-21	1-7	0-2	1-4	3-5	5-3	6-6	239	204	215	6.3	4.2
240	244.6	Air Force	MWC	0.4539	0.5340	99	8-21	8-21	0-5	0-4	0-2	1-9	7-1	6-5	207	195	240	4.6	3.4
116	122.3	Boston College	ACC	0.5273	0.5595	43	15-16	15-16	0-4	2-6	3-2	5-4	5-0	9-5	176	225	116	6.3	3.0
154	158.6	Arkansas	SEC	0.5103	0.5630	39	14-18	14-18	0-4	0-4	6-4	3-4	5-2	7-8	182	38	154	4.6	2.9
90	93.0	South Carolina	SEC	0.5461	0.5809	17	15-16	15-16	2-5	1-2	2-6	5-3	5-0	9-5	78	47	90	3.0	2.7
186	188.8	Texas Christian	MWC	0.4929	0.5436	73	11-19	11-19	0-5	0-4	0-4	1-6	10-0	6-7	206	172	186	2.8	2.6
152	154.8	Auburn	SEC	0.5124	0.5519	55	14-17	14-17	0-3	0-2	3-8	4-4	7-0	8-6	148	97	152	2.8	2.6
192	194.0	Penn St.	B10	0.4877	0.5452	67	11-20	11-20	0-7	0-3	0-5	6-1	5-4	8-4	166	252	192	2.0	2.4
117	121.8	Colorado St.	MWC	0.5269	0.5385	91	15-15	15-15	0-5	0-4	1-2	6-5	8-0	8-5	108	155	117	4.8	2.2
115	118.4	Oklahoma	B12	0.5276	0.5815	15	13-18	13-18	0-6	3-5	1-3	5-3	4-1	9-5	94	99	115	3.4	2.2
173	174.7	La Salle	A10	0.5018	0.5394	87	12-18	12-18	0-5	0-4	0-4	5-4	7-1	8-6	114	86	173	1.7	1.9
222	223.8	Louisiana St.	SEC	0.4681	0.5389	90	11-20	11-20	0-5	0-1	1-9	4-5	6-0	9-5	169	194	222	1.8	1.9
43	45.7	Missouri	B12	0.5875	0.5594	44	22-10	22-10	1-6	3-1	2-0	10-3	6-0	12-3	56	153	43	2.7	1.8
342	342.8	Southern	SWAC	0.3496	0.4155	335	5-24	5-24	0-2	0-1	0-1	0-7	5-13	2-9	311	222	342	0.8	1.8
178	181.2	Saint Joseph's	A10	0.4986	0.5537	52	11-20	11-20	0-5	0-5	1-3	6-6	4-1	6-8	142	42	178	3.2	1.7
247	249.0	NC Greensboro	SC	0.4493	0.5163	130	8-23	8-23	0-2	0-3	0-7	1-5	7-5	1-10	226	20	247	2.0	1.6
60	61.8	Cincinnati	BE	0.5720	0.5899	8	18-15	18-15	2-7	2-5	3-3	5-0	6-0	9-3	32	32	60	1.8	1.6
108	110.5	Duquesne	A10	0.5320	0.5426	75	15-15	15-15	0-5	0-3	2-4	6-4	7-0	8-5	69	60	108	2.5	1.6
232	234.0	North Florida	ASun	0.4576	0.4685	241	12-18	12-18	0-0	0-2	0-2	2-9	10-5	4-5	138	130	232	2.0	1.6
156	157.9	Utah	MWC	0.5100	0.5421	79	14-17	14-17	0-4	2-3	2-2	4-5	6-2	7-7	210	166	156	1.9	1.6
61	62.6	Connecticut	BE	0.5715	0.6007	3	17-15	17-15	2-5	2-4	5-4	5-2	3-0	10-3	12	3	61	1.6	1.6
69	71.0	Texas Tech	B12	0.5647	0.5888	11	17-15	17-15	0-8	3-5	0-0	9-2	5-0	12-2	13	52	69	2.0	1.6
302	304.7	Fordham	A10	0.4135	0.5355	98	2-26	2-26	0-4	0-3	0-5	1-9	1-5	2-10	296	161	302	2.7	1.5
344	344.8	Bryant	ind	0.3436	0.4417	306	1-29	1-29	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-6	1-20	1-29	343	301	344	0.8	1.5
137	139.8	Providence	BE	0.5182	0.5730	27	12-19	12-19	0-6	0-5	3-7	3-1	6-0	8-4	104	123	137	2.8	1.5
309	309.7	Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.4099	0.4656	249	6-19	6-19	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-8	6-8	1-5	255	74	309	0.7	1.4
328	329.0	Presbyterian	BSth	0.3867	0.4680	244	4-26	4-26	0-0	0-3	0-4	0-8	4-11	2-10	241	137	328	1.0	1.4
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
283	284.7	Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.4278	0.4512	288	11-20	11-20	0-0	0-2	0-1	0-11	11-6	3-6	281	303	283	1.7	1.4
145	147.8	Nebraska	B12	0.5159	0.5570	49	15-18	15-18	0-8	1-4	2-1	6-5	6-0	12-3	74	213	145	2.8	1.4
104	105.7	Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.5342	0.5123	137	16-12	16-12	0-1	1-4	0-5	3-0	12-2	6-4	127	220	104	1.7	1.3
261	262.5	Samford	SC	0.4390	0.4858	192	8-20	8-20	0-1	0-2	0-7	0-7	8-4	3-6	195	111	261	1.5	1.3
279	280.5	Tulane	CUSA	0.4296	0.4952	171	8-22	8-22	0-1	0-3	0-5	3-7	5-6	5-8	269	244	279	1.5	1.3
62	63.4	Arizona St.	P10	0.5710	0.5424	77	22-10	22-10	0-5	1-1	2-1	13-3	6-0	10-3	55	56	62	1.4	1.3
312	313.0	Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.4044	0.4401	310	7-18	7-18	0-1	0-0	0-3	0-6	7-8	2-7	316	322	312	1.0	1.2
262	264.3	Northern Illinois	MAC	0.4388	0.4774	212	10-20	10-20	0-2	0-1	0-4	2-9	8-5	4-9	274	238	262	2.3	1.2
184	184.9	Oregon St.	P10	0.4957	0.5170	128	14-17	14-17	1-1	0-2	2-4	8-8	3-2	6-6	234	275	184	0.9	1.1
146	148.1	George Washington	A10	0.5158	0.5072	150	16-14	16-14	0-3	0-3	2-3	6-5	8-0	10-3	123	278	146	2.1	1.1
206	207.7	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.4772	0.4708	237	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-1	1-3	3-4	10-6	5-6	184	192	206	1.7	1.1
203	204.2	Boise St.	WAC	0.4787	0.4938	175	14-17	14-17	0-1	0-2	1-7	5-3	8-4	9-5	192	314	203	1.2	1.1
201	202.1	Arkansas St.	SB	0.4794	0.4663	245	15-14	15-14	0-0	0-1	0-4	4-5	11-4	3-6	256	230	201	1.1	1.1
300	301.8	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.4139	0.4544	279	8-22	8-22	0-1	0-1	0-4	1-4	7-12	1-11	315	154	300	1.8	1.1
33	34.3	Clemson	ACC	0.6009	0.5764	23	21-10	21-10	2-4	3-3	4-2	6-2	6-0	12-2	38	107	33	1.3	1.1
122	124.0	Iowa St.	B12	0.5257	0.5644	36	15-17	15-17	1-8	0-5	1-1	6-3	7-0	11-4	111	178	122	2.0	1.1
325	326.0	Stetson	ASun	0.3911	0.4601	267	5-22	5-22	0-0	0-2	0-1	1-8	4-11	0-7	340	224	325	1.0	1.0
12	13.5	Villanova	BE	0.6282	0.5786	19	24-7	24-7	3-5	4-1	6-1	6-0	5-0	11-1	21	144	12	1.5	1.0
11	13.8	Texas A&M	B12	0.6287	0.5909	6	22-8	22-9	1-6	4-3	4-0	8-0	5-0	10-3	29	33	11	2.8	1.0
39	40.3	Wake Forest	ACC	0.5951	0.5722	28	19-10	19-10	2-2	4-2	2-4	5-2	6-0	10-2	31	61	39	1.3	1.0
258	258.8	Bucknell	Pat	0.4423	0.4340	319	14-17	14-17	0-0	0-3	0-0	1-4	13-10	5-11	309	335	258	0.8	1.0
72	72.9	Northeastern	CAA	0.5609	0.5385	92	20-12	20-12	1-0	2-3	3-3	4-6	10-0	5-7	98	8	72	0.9	0.9
129	130.2	Niagara	MAAC	0.5216	0.5057	152	18-15	18-15	0-0	1-1	3-5	5-7	9-2	8-5	121	191	129	1.2	0.9
35	36.2	St. Mary's	WCC	0.5971	0.5215	119	25-5	25-5	1-1	2-2	4-1	5-1	13-0	12-2	35	83	35	1.2	0.9
294	294.5	St. Francis NY	NEC	0.4200	0.4271	325	11-18	11-18	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-5	9-11	5-8	293	343	294	0.5	0.9
198	199.0	Northern Arizona	BSky	0.4817	0.4728	229	12-14	12-14	0-1	0-1	0-6	0-4	12-2	4-5	175	232	198	1.0	0.9
128	129.2	Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.5220	0.5004	162	18-14	18-14	0-4	0-1	1-2	7-6	10-1	6-5	144	196	128	1.2	0.9
64	67.6	New Mexico St.	WAC	0.5696	0.5398	86	19-11	19-12	0-2	2-3	2-2	6-3	9-1	7-6	87	43	64	3.6	0.9
76	77.0	Charlotte	A10	0.5568	0.5378	93	19-12	19-12	1-5	2-4	1-1	7-3	8-0	10-4	59	121	76	1.0	0.9
255	255.8	UC Riverside	BW	0.4442	0.4656	248	10-17	10-17	0-1	0-1	0-2	3-5	7-8	5-6	215	271	255	0.8	0.8
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
75	75.9	Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.5572	0.4895	185	23-9	23-9	0-1	1-1	3-4	8-2	11-1	13-2	63	276	75	0.9	0.8
337	337.5	Coppin St.	MEAC	0.3659	0.4308	321	5-22	5-22	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-5	5-14	2-8	308	295	337	0.5	0.8
103	104.0	Bradley	MVC	0.5354	0.5485	62	16-15	16-15	1-3	1-2	4-4	5-5	5-1	6-5	160	134	103	1.0	0.8
338	338.5	Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.3642	0.4685	242	2-25	2-25	0-0	0-2	0-5	0-9	2-9	0-8	336	206	338	0.5	0.8
200	200.8	Montana St.	BSky	0.4801	0.4721	231	13-14	13-14	0-0	0-0	2-4	3-5	8-5	3-7	233	199	200	0.8	0.8
118	119.6	Colorado	B12	0.5268	0.5709	30	13-16	13-16	1-5	0-5	1-3	6-3	5-0	7-5	163	165	118	1.6	0.8
204	204.8	Canisius	MAAC	0.4777	0.4748	224	15-17	15-17	0-0	0-2	1-4	4-7	10-4	6-6	214	290	204	0.8	0.8
196	197.1	Jackson St.	SWAC	0.4825	0.4304	322	18-12	18-12	0-1	0-0	0-3	2-5	16-3	1-10	280	104	196	1.1	0.8
202	202.8	Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.4793	0.4699	239	15-15	15-15	0-0	0-2	2-2	2-8	11-3	6-6	196	261	202	0.8	0.8
89	89.6	Missouri St.	MVC	0.5462	0.5186	122	20-12	20-12	0-2	0-3	5-2	6-5	9-0	11-1	47	229	89	0.6	0.8
111	112.0	Southern California	P10	0.5306	0.5408	83	16-14	16-14	2-1	3-2	3-2	4-9	4-0	8-4	92	77	111	1.0	0.7
10	13.2	Purdue	B10	0.6289	0.5535	53	26-4	28-5	4-2	2-1	5-0	8-1	8-0	12-0	11	95	10	3.2	0.7
292	292.4	Winston Salem St.	ind	0.4221	0.4468	295	8-17	8-17	0-1	0-2	0-2	0-3	8-9	8-17	279	292	292	0.4	0.7
8	9.3	New Mexico	MWC	0.6357	0.5443	70	29-3	30-4	4-1	3-2	5-0	9-1	9-0	14-1	7	54	8	1.3	0.7
101	101.9	North Texas	SB	0.5367	0.4584	270	22-8	22-8	0-1	0-1	0-0	7-1	15-5	6-3	65	164	101	0.9	0.7
59	59.7	Seton Hall	BE	0.5739	0.5702	31	19-12	19-12	1-7	3-2	2-3	6-0	7-0	9-2	57	122	59	0.7	0.7
95	95.8	Montana	BSky	0.5410	0.4814	205	20-9	20-9	0-0	0-1	2-1	9-4	9-3	7-3	79	198	95	0.8	0.7
57	57.9	Memphis	CUSA	0.5746	0.5399	85	23-9	23-9	0-3	2-2	5-0	7-3	9-1	10-5	103	59	57	0.9	0.7
254	254.6	High Point	BSth	0.4443	0.4224	332	13-15	13-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	3-4	10-9	3-6	289	337	254	0.6	0.7
323	323.4	New Orleans	SB	0.3924	0.4555	276	6-22	6-22	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-11	6-10	3-6	301	330	323	0.4	0.7
2	2.6	Duke	ACC	0.6619	0.5906	7	26-5	29-5	1-3	7-1	8-0	8-1	3-0	13-2	9	31	2	0.6	0.7
221	221.7	Portland St.	BSky	0.4686	0.4910	182	11-19	11-19	0-0	0-2	2-5	1-9	8-3	3-9	224	120	221	0.7	0.7
47	50.2	Virginia Tech	ACC	0.5848	0.5147	132	23-7	24-8	0-4	3-1	3-2	8-2	9-0	13-1	77	318	47	3.2	0.7
217	218.3	Ball St.	MAC	0.4705	0.4775	211	14-15	14-15	0-3	0-1	1-2	7-4	6-5	6-6	218	217	217	1.3	0.7
288	288.4	Georgia Southern	SC	0.4249	0.4970	168	7-23	7-23	0-0	0-0	1-7	3-9	3-7	1-10	317	168	288	0.4	0.6
42	42.8	Wichita St.	MVC	0.5883	0.5311	100	24-9	24-9	1-3	0-1	8-1	7-3	8-1	10-2	89	272	42	0.8	0.6
179	179.7	Davidson	SC	0.4974	0.5075	149	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-3	1-6	5-3	8-2	3-7	217	45	179	0.7	0.6
273	274.1	Holy Cross	Pat	0.4327	0.4771	215	9-22	9-22	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-8	9-10	3-12	282	210	273	1.1	0.6
28	28.8	Texas	B12	0.6054	0.5639	37	24-9	24-9	3-6	2-1	3-1	10-1	6-0	14-1	25	162	28	0.8	0.6
319	319.4	Florida A&M	MEAC	0.3970	0.4385	314	8-22	8-22	0-0	0-2	0-1	0-6	8-12	3-10	294	268	319	0.4	0.6
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
231	231.6	Liberty	BSth	0.4585	0.4620	258	12-16	12-16	0-0	0-3	0-0	1-10	11-3	2-7	248	131	231	0.6	0.6
96	99.3	North Carolina St.	ACC	0.5402	0.5445	69	18-14	18-15	1-2	4-5	2-5	5-3	7-0	12-3	107	242	96	3.3	0.6
82	82.5	St. John's	BE	0.5528	0.5772	21	17-15	17-15	1-7	3-4	3-2	4-2	6-0	10-2	26	41	82	0.5	0.6
138	139.0	Oregon	P10	0.5179	0.5419	80	16-16	16-16	0-3	1-3	1-6	9-4	5-0	8-4	117	84	138	1.0	0.6
290	290.3	Colgate	Pat	0.4238	0.4548	278	10-19	10-19	0-1	0-0	0-1	0-7	10-10	4-10	312	298	290	0.3	0.6
29	29.8	Oklahoma St.	B12	0.6049	0.5753	25	22-10	22-10	4-3	0-4	1-2	14-1	3-0	12-2	30	87	29	0.8	0.5
92	92.7	North Carolina	ACC	0.5458	0.5813	16	16-16	16-16	1-5	3-7	3-1	4-2	5-0	11-4	61	70	92	0.7	0.5
248	248.6	Georgia St.	CAA	0.4491	0.4912	181	11-20	11-20	0-0	0-3	0-6	2-6	9-5	6-6	202	237	248	0.6	0.5
335	335.2	Dartmouth	Ivy	0.3780	0.4709	236	4-23	4-23	0-0	0-2	0-2	0-7	4-12	3-10	318	249	335	0.2	0.5
229	229.5	East Carolina	CUSA	0.4601	0.5244	113	7-21	7-21	0-2	0-4	0-6	1-7	6-2	3-8	200	51	229	0.5	0.5
36	36.7	Gonzaga	WCC	0.5966	0.5254	111	25-6	25-6	1-2	2-2	5-0	6-1	11-1	12-3	40	66	36	0.7	0.5
268	268.3	North Dakota St.	Sum	0.4360	0.4652	251	9-18	9-18	0-0	0-1	0-4	0-8	9-5	1-7	305	219	268	0.3	0.5
167	167.8	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.5037	0.4927	178	14-15	14-15	0-0	0-3	0-4	4-4	10-4	3-8	222	157	167	0.8	0.5
267	267.4	Yale	Ivy	0.4363	0.4556	275	11-19	11-19	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-9	11-5	5-11	292	304	267	0.4	0.5
18	18.7	Northern Iowa	MVC	0.6214	0.5276	107	28-4	28-4	0-0	4-1	6-0	12-1	6-2	10-1	53	234	18	0.7	0.5
297	297.2	Sacramento St.	BSky	0.4159	0.4626	255	7-21	7-21	0-0	0-0	0-4	2-10	5-7	4-8	243	262	297	0.2	0.5
162	162.4	Washington St.	P10	0.5068	0.5142	134	15-15	15-15	0-3	0-2	2-3	5-7	8-0	9-2	66	250	162	0.4	0.5
329	329.3	Howard	MEAC	0.3860	0.4387	312	7-25	7-25	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-6	7-16	1-14	327	215	329	0.3	0.4
26	28.4	Ohio St.	B10	0.6069	0.5479	63	24-7	26-8	4-5	1-0	3-2	6-1	11-0	10-3	52	93	26	2.4	0.4
74	74.4	Illinois St.	MVC	0.5588	0.5128	136	22-10	22-10	0-2	1-2	4-2	9-4	8-0	10-2	115	299	74	0.4	0.4
87	87.6	Iona	MAAC	0.5475	0.5055	153	21-10	21-10	0-1	0-3	2-2	8-2	11-2	9-3	58	142	87	0.6	0.4
225	225.4	Manhattan	MAAC	0.4644	0.5003	163	11-20	11-20	0-1	0-3	1-4	1-8	9-4	6-5	155	209	225	0.4	0.4
44	44.6	UAB	CUSA	0.5874	0.5361	96	23-8	23-8	1-0	0-3	3-3	10-2	9-0	12-2	20	96	44	0.6	0.4
31	31.5	Siena	MAAC	0.6020	0.5172	127	27-6	27-6	0-3	0-1	6-1	8-1	13-0	7-5	100	109	31	0.5	0.4
316	316.1	Savannah St.	ind	0.4007	0.4245	329	7-15	7-15	0-1	0-1	0-0	0-7	7-6	5-13	285	274	316	0.1	0.4
102	105.2	UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.5357	0.4851	194	17-9	18-10	0-1	0-1	1-1	5-2	12-5	5-5	147	135	102	3.2	0.4
7	7.6	Baylor	B12	0.6397	0.5821	14	24-6	25-7	3-4	5-1	5-1	8-1	4-0	12-1	18	81	7	0.6	0.4
284	284.6	Longwood	ind	0.4277	0.4602	265	8-19	8-19	0-2	0-2	0-2	1-3	7-10	5-17	258	167	284	0.6	0.4
25	26.3	Richmond	A10	0.6103	0.5440	71	24-7	25-8	1-2	4-1	4-5	9-0	7-0	11-4	37	68	25	1.3	0.4
16	16.5	Pittsburgh	BE	0.6253	0.5876	12	24-8	24-8	3-2	4-3	7-2	7-0	4-1	11-2	22	36	16	0.5	0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
339	339.5	Grambling	SWAC	0.3640	0.4048	340	6-20	6-21	0-1	0-1	0-1	1-5	5-13	1-6	307	273	339	0.5	0.3
227	227.4	Wyoming	MWC	0.4629	0.5489	61	8-21	8-21	0-6	1-2	0-2	3-6	4-5	5-7	185	46	227	0.4	0.3
127	130.0	Michigan	B10	0.5223	0.5522	54	14-16	14-17	0-6	1-3	3-2	4-5	6-1	6-5	146	73	127	3.0	0.3
287	287.2	St. Francis PA	NEC	0.4256	0.4516	285	11-19	11-19	0-0	0-2	0-1	2-7	9-9	3-9	290	248	287	0.2	0.3
141	141.6	Rider	MAAC	0.5167	0.5089	147	17-16	17-16	0-1	0-3	2-4	6-5	9-3	7-6	137	170	141	0.6	0.3
98	100.0	Georgia	SEC	0.5397	0.5802	18	14-16	14-17	2-5	1-3	5-6	1-2	5-1	8-5	90	58	98	2.0	0.3
6	6.5	Kansas St.	B12	0.6424	0.5983	4	24-6	25-7	4-3	4-2	4-1	10-1	3-0	12-1	5	12	6	0.5	0.3
86	86.4	IUPUI	Sum	0.5479	0.4924	179	22-10	22-10	0-1	0-1	1-4	6-3	15-1	5-6	122	67	86	0.4	0.3
48	48.6	Kent St.	MAC	0.5847	0.5372	95	22-9	22-9	0-2	1-0	5-2	9-5	7-0	9-5	48	29	48	0.6	0.3
230	230.3	San Diego	WCC	0.4598	0.5099	145	10-21	10-21	0-1	0-5	0-5	3-6	7-4	6-9	208	125	230	0.3	0.3
135	137.1	UCLA	P10	0.5195	0.5583	45	14-17	14-18	1-4	1-2	3-6	6-6	3-1	5-7	174	30	135	2.1	0.3
166	166.4	Cleveland St.	Horz	0.5048	0.5357	97	14-17	14-17	0-5	0-2	2-1	3-9	9-0	3-8	199	14	166	0.4	0.3
299	299.1	Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.4146	0.4993	165	6-22	6-22	0-0	0-0	0-6	2-7	4-9	2-7	216	27	299	0.1	0.3
199	199.4	The Citadel	SC	0.4813	0.4844	196	14-16	14-16	0-3	0-0	2-5	1-3	11-5	4-6	178	118	199	0.4	0.3
38	38.3	Louisville	BE	0.5957	0.5973	5	20-12	20-12	2-5	1-2	6-5	8-1	3-0	9-4	49	9	38	0.3	0.3
177	177.2	San Jose St.	WAC	0.4993	0.5179	125	13-17	13-17	0-1	0-3	2-5	3-4	8-4	7-6	141	185	177	0.2	0.3
276	276.2	UC Irvine	BW	0.4315	0.4451	299	12-18	12-18	0-0	0-1	0-0	3-9	9-8	6-7	264	334	276	0.2	0.3
334	334.1	Marist	MAAC	0.3785	0.4975	167	1-29	1-29	0-0	0-2	0-4	0-11	1-12	0-11	341	233	334	0.1	0.3
277	277.3	Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.4313	0.4726	230	8-18	8-18	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-10	7-4	1-8	286	175	277	0.3	0.3
3	3.3	Kentucky	SEC	0.6607	0.5631	38	29-2	31-3	3-1	2-0	11-1	10-0	4-0	15-0	8	92	3	0.3	0.2
307	307.2	South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.4111	0.4741	226	6-23	6-23	0-0	0-2	0-2	0-12	6-8	0-9	322	136	307	0.2	0.2
305	305.3	Pepperdine	WCC	0.4126	0.4950	172	6-23	6-23	0-0	0-4	0-4	2-7	4-8	3-11	310	247	305	0.3	0.2
40	41.2	Georgia Tech	ACC	0.5923	0.5779	20	19-11	20-12	1-3	3-5	4-2	6-2	5-0	11-2	34	102	40	1.2	0.2
84	84.2	Morehead St.	OVC	0.5487	0.5005	161	21-10	21-10	0-1	0-2	1-4	8-2	12-1	3-6	119	6	84	0.2	0.2
85	85.3	Weber St.	BSky	0.5483	0.5070	151	18-10	18-10	0-2	0-2	2-3	5-3	11-1	4-6	109	18	85	0.3	0.2
132	135.0	Miami OH	MAC	0.5202	0.5424	78	14-17	15-18	0-4	1-1	2-6	6-5	6-2	4-10	201	39	132	3.0	0.2
79	79.3	Portland	WCC	0.5540	0.5174	126	19-10	19-10	0-1	1-5	1-1	6-2	11-1	8-5	99	98	79	0.3	0.2
14	15.1	Wisconsin	B10	0.6257	0.5759	24	23-7	25-8	4-2	3-2	4-2	7-1	7-0	10-2	14	26	14	1.1	0.2
169	169.2	Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.5031	0.4728	228	17-12	17-12	0-0	0-0	1-6	5-5	11-1	5-4	186	257	169	0.2	0.2
134	134.2	Western Kentucky	SB	0.5196	0.4878	188	21-13	21-13	1-0	0-1	2-2	2-8	16-2	7-6	161	140	134	0.2	0.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
136	136.3	Belmont	ASun	0.5188	0.4765	217	19-12	19-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	7-2	12-6	5-5	97	55	136	0.3	0.2
24	24.7	Michigan St.	B10	0.6116	0.5575	48	24-7	25-8	2-3	1-2	6-3	9-0	7-0	10-3	45	75	24	0.7	0.2
46	46.7	Notre Dame	BE	0.5870	0.5612	40	23-10	23-11	4-3	1-1	7-4	4-3	7-0	11-2	73	156	46	0.7	0.2
55	55.9	Mississippi	SEC	0.5764	0.5439	72	21-9	22-10	1-6	1-1	3-3	7-1	9-0	12-2	33	101	55	0.9	0.1
119	120.5	Long Beach St.	BW	0.5265	0.5239	114	14-15	15-16	0-3	1-3	0-1	4-4	9-5	5-7	51	4	119	1.5	0.1
318	318.0	Gardner Webb	BSth	0.3982	0.4617	259	5-21	5-21	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-8	5-9	0-8	324	147	318	0.0	0.1
280	280.2	Furman	SC	0.4291	0.4414	308	11-17	11-17	0-0	0-1	1-5	1-4	9-6	4-5	263	325	280	0.2	0.1
320	320.1	Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.3963	0.4464	297	6-20	6-20	0-1	0-0	0-3	1-6	5-10	3-7	265	277	320	0.1	0.1
94	94.2	Arizona	P10	0.5440	0.5647	35	16-15	16-15	1-4	1-2	3-2	10-7	2-0	6-6	105	10	94	0.2	0.1
269	270.0	Alabama St.	SWAC	0.4346	0.3973	342	13-14	13-15	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-8	12-6	0-8	347	324	269	1.0	0.1
187	187.2	Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.4920	0.4500	290	16-11	16-11	0-0	0-1	1-1	4-4	11-5	7-3	131	312	187	0.2	0.1
172	172.1	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.5019	0.4831	201	16-15	16-15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2-7	14-4	4-8	193	116	172	0.1	0.1
142	142.1	Jacksonville	ASun	0.5166	0.4658	247	19-12	19-12	0-1	0-1	0-2	4-4	15-4	4-5	125	143	142	0.1	0.1
15	15.4	Tennessee	SEC	0.6254	0.5713	29	24-7	25-8	2-4	1-1	10-1	6-2	7-0	12-2	19	50	15	0.4	0.1
4	4.1	West Virginia	BE	0.6553	0.6019	2	25-6	26-7	5-4	4-1	9-1	6-0	3-0	11-1	2	11	4	0.1	0.1
271	271.1	Youngstown St.	Horz	0.4329	0.5095	146	6-22	6-22	0-4	0-1	0-2	1-12	5-3	4-5	164	119	271	0.1	0.1
301	301.1	Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.4135	0.4778	209	6-22	6-22	0-3	1-1	0-2	0-7	5-9	1-13	329	260	301	0.1	0.1
185	185.0	Valparaiso	Horz	0.4953	0.5111	141	12-17	12-17	0-4	0-0	0-4	4-7	8-2	2-8	244	149	185	0.0	0.0
133	133.1	Princeton	Ivy	0.5199	0.4501	289	19-8	19-8	0-1	0-2	2-0	2-3	15-2	8-5	168	311	133	0.1	0.0
34	34.2	Florida St.	ACC	0.6000	0.5576	47	22-8	23-9	0-4	5-3	4-1	8-1	6-0	12-2	41	180	34	0.2	0.0
216	216.0	Florida Atlantic	SB	0.4709	0.4773	214	12-16	12-16	0-1	0-0	0-2	2-9	10-4	2-7	268	201	216	0.0	0.0
9	9.1	Georgetown	BE	0.6352	0.6153	1	22-9	23-10	6-4	2-3	7-1	3-1	5-0	10-1	3	2	9	0.1	0.0
126	126.2	Virginia	ACC	0.5242	0.5504	59	15-15	15-16	0-4	2-5	2-2	6-5	5-0	9-4	159	241	126	0.2	0.0
340	340.0	North Dakota	GWC	0.3611	0.4080	339	6-22	6-22	0-2	0-0	0-1	0-5	6-14	1-14	330	264	340	0.0	0.0
88	88.0	Indiana St.	MVC	0.5469	0.5469	65	16-14	16-14	0-2	0-2	3-3	9-5	4-2	7-4	76	91	88	0.0	0.0
70	70.0	South Florida	BE	0.5646	0.5509	57	20-12	20-12	2-4	1-4	3-3	6-1	8-0	10-2	71	189	70	0.0	0.0
311	311.0	Rice	CUSA	0.4066	0.4809	206	7-23	7-23	0-0	0-3	0-6	0-8	7-6	6-7	250	254	311	0.0	0.0
282	282.0	Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.4284	0.4469	294	10-18	10-18	0-0	0-2	0-6	0-3	10-7	4-5	251	331	282	-0.0	-0.0
170	170.0	Southern Illinois	MVC	0.5030	0.5160	131	14-15	14-15	0-2	0-3	3-4	3-6	8-0	8-2	80	265	170	-0.0	-0.0
224	224.0	IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.4659	0.4532	282	14-15	14-15	0-2	0-2	1-4	1-3	12-5	4-5	232	306	224	-0.0	-0.0
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
296	296.0	Florida International	SB	0.4181	0.4875	189	6-25	6-25	0-0	0-1	0-4	2-10	4-10	2-10	288	214	296	-0.0	-0.0
190	190.0	Central Florida	CUSA	0.4918	0.5118	138	14-17	14-17	0-0	0-4	0-8	5-3	9-2	7-6	167	184	190	-0.0	-0.0
161	160.8	Stanford	P10	0.5080	0.5399	84	14-17	14-18	0-3	0-3	1-6	8-5	5-1	6-6	188	139	161	-0.2	-0.0
330	329.9	Houston Baptist	GWC	0.3836	0.3926	344	11-20	12-21	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-5	12-15	1-17	346	328	330	-0.1	-0.0
78	77.8	Illinois	B10	0.5566	0.5603	42	18-13	18-14	3-5	2-4	1-1	5-4	8-0	8-5	126	88	78	-0.2	-0.0
160	159.9	Rutgers	BE	0.5081	0.5514	56	14-17	14-17	1-5	1-2	1-8	5-2	6-0	9-3	113	179	160	-0.1	-0.0
73	72.6	Minnesota	B10	0.5590	0.5507	58	19-12	20-13	3-5	1-2	2-1	8-4	7-1	9-3	54	57	73	-0.4	-0.0
41	40.7	Rhode Island	A10	0.5923	0.5372	94	22-8	23-9	0-4	1-1	5-2	12-2	4-0	12-1	6	34	41	-0.3	-0.1
113	112.7	Northwestern	B10	0.5297	0.5105	142	20-12	20-13	1-5	1-2	3-2	5-2	11-2	12-1	64	243	113	-0.3	-0.1
107	106.4	Ohio	MAC	0.5333	0.5248	112	18-14	19-15	0-1	1-2	3-4	8-6	7-2	9-5	84	72	107	-0.6	-0.1
45	44.6	Marquette	BE	0.5871	0.5606	41	22-10	23-11	4-7	1-2	6-0	5-1	7-1	9-3	88	133	45	-0.4	-0.1
13	12.9	Butler	Horz	0.6273	0.5426	76	28-4	28-4	1-1	2-2	3-1	14-0	8-0	8-4	24	7	13	-0.1	-0.1
218	217.9	NC Asheville	BSth	0.4704	0.4851	195	12-16	12-16	0-2	0-0	0-2	2-8	10-4	0-8	271	19	218	-0.1	-0.1
207	206.9	Lipscomb	ASun	0.4769	0.4468	296	16-13	16-13	0-1	0-1	0-2	5-4	11-5	2-6	303	289	207	-0.1	-0.1
241	240.3	UC Davis	BW	0.4536	0.4601	266	12-17	12-18	0-0	0-0	0-1	1-11	11-6	3-9	304	316	241	-0.7	-0.1
97	96.5	Alabama	SEC	0.5397	0.5542	51	17-14	17-15	1-6	0-3	3-4	5-3	8-0	10-4	81	65	97	-0.5	-0.1
68	67.3	Mississippi St.	SEC	0.5659	0.5298	103	21-10	22-11	0-4	1-1	6-2	7-4	8-0	12-3	68	183	68	-0.7	-0.1
263	262.8	Sacred Heart	NEC	0.4387	0.4197	333	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-0	0-1	1-6	13-7	9-4	171	345	263	-0.2	-0.1
220	219.8	Mercer	ASun	0.4698	0.4756	221	14-17	14-17	0-1	0-2	0-2	6-6	8-6	2-6	240	160	220	-0.2	-0.1
237	236.9	NC Wilmington	CAA	0.4561	0.5102	144	9-22	9-22	0-1	0-2	1-7	3-8	5-4	4-8	213	110	237	-0.1	-0.1
20	19.6	California	P10	0.6195	0.5845	13	22-9	23-9	0-3	1-2	5-1	17-3	1-0	8-4	10	1	20	-0.4	-0.1
182	181.8	Campbell	ASun	0.4968	0.4534	281	17-11	17-11	0-0	0-1	1-0	2-6	14-4	3-4	225	246	182	-0.2	-0.1
125	124.8	Oral Roberts	Sum	0.5247	0.4901	184	19-13	19-13	1-0	1-2	1-7	2-1	14-3	5-7	132	63	125	-0.2	-0.1
105	104.0	Morgan St.	MEAC	0.5340	0.4475	292	25-9	26-9	0-1	0-1	0-3	3-2	23-2	9-8	136	212	105	-1.0	-0.1
304	303.8	Hartford	AE	0.4130	0.4624	256	8-22	8-22	0-2	0-0	0-1	0-11	8-8	2-11	331	282	304	-0.2	-0.2
17	16.3	Temple	A10	0.6231	0.5489	60	26-5	28-6	2-3	4-1	3-2	13-0	5-0	12-3	28	40	17	-0.7	-0.2
191	190.0	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.4879	0.4557	274	15-15	16-16	0-1	0-4	0-2	0-6	16-3	0-11	273	24	191	-1.0	-0.2
321	320.9	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.3960	0.4364	318	8-21	8-21	0-1	0-0	0-0	2-7	6-13	3-6	306	336	321	-0.1	-0.2
324	323.9	Toledo	MAC	0.3924	0.5019	158	3-28	3-28	0-1	0-2	0-6	0-14	3-6	2-12	295	138	324	-0.1	-0.2
347	347.0	North Carolina Central	ind	0.3423	0.4248	328	3-22	3-22	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-3	3-16	1-20	345	313	347	-0.0	-0.2
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
80	79.8	Fairfield	MAAC	0.5536	0.4953	170	22-10	22-10	0-1	0-4	1-1	5-4	16-0	7-4	129	253	80	-0.2	-0.2
233	231.5	South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.4576	0.4196	334	14-13	15-14	0-0	0-1	0-2	1-2	14-9	3-7	261	294	233	-1.5	-0.2
164	163.8	Austin Peay	OVC	0.5059	0.5053	154	15-15	15-15	0-2	0-1	2-4	5-7	8-1	4-7	120	23	164	-0.2	-0.2
266	265.7	Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.4379	0.4521	283	11-19	11-19	0-1	0-2	0-3	1-3	10-10	2-11	300	173	266	-0.3	-0.2
106	104.5	Miami FL	ACC	0.5337	0.5181	124	18-12	18-13	0-3	4-5	3-2	1-4	11-0	13-0	86	344	106	-1.5	-0.2
189	188.8	Bowling Green	MAC	0.4918	0.5009	160	13-16	13-16	0-2	1-1	1-2	3-9	8-2	7-5	145	228	189	-0.2	-0.2
114	113.8	Creighton	MVC	0.5284	0.5392	88	16-15	16-15	0-4	1-1	2-6	6-4	7-0	6-6	187	145	114	-0.2	-0.2
22	21.1	Vanderbilt	SEC	0.6173	0.5749	26	22-7	23-8	2-2	3-0	7-4	5-2	6-0	10-3	50	62	22	-0.9	-0.2
91	89.7	Akron	MAC	0.5459	0.4980	166	22-9	23-10	0-1	0-3	1-2	13-3	9-1	9-5	162	218	91	-1.3	-0.2
197	196.8	Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.4823	0.4887	186	13-17	13-17	0-1	0-0	0-9	3-4	10-3	4-6	153	112	197	-0.2	-0.2
234	233.7	South Dakota St.	Sum	0.4573	0.4683	243	12-16	12-16	0-1	0-0	0-6	2-3	10-6	2-7	275	187	234	-0.3	-0.2
259	258.7	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.4422	0.4255	327	14-16	14-16	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-4	14-8	6-6	180	259	259	-0.3	-0.2
175	173.8	Massachusetts	A10	0.5015	0.5467	66	11-19	11-20	0-4	1-4	2-4	4-8	4-0	5-8	165	49	175	-1.2	-0.2
99	98.7	Harvard	Ivy	0.5389	0.4601	268	20-7	20-7	0-1	0-2	1-1	4-2	15-1	10-3	75	255	99	-0.3	-0.2
256	255.7	Cal Poly	BW	0.4440	0.4549	277	12-19	12-19	0-1	0-1	0-0	3-6	9-11	4-9	291	317	256	-0.3	-0.2
56	55.8	Murray St.	OVC	0.5753	0.4608	263	28-4	28-4	0-1	0-0	2-2	11-1	15-0	6-3	70	181	56	-0.2	-0.2
19	17.9	Maryland	ACC	0.6205	0.5766	22	22-7	23-8	1-3	5-2	4-2	6-0	7-0	9-4	106	124	19	-1.1	-0.2
49	48.6	Cornell	Ivy	0.5844	0.4817	204	25-4	25-4	0-2	0-0	4-1	8-0	13-1	12-3	46	152	49	-0.4	-0.2
58	57.7	William & Mary	CAA	0.5743	0.5296	104	21-10	21-10	1-1	2-2	3-4	6-0	9-3	7-3	17	28	58	-0.3	-0.2
238	237.6	Delaware	CAA	0.4558	0.5411	82	7-24	7-24	0-2	0-3	0-7	2-7	5-5	4-8	152	21	238	-0.4	-0.2
264	263.6	Towson	CAA	0.4385	0.4835	199	10-21	10-21	0-1	0-3	1-3	1-10	8-5	3-8	302	235	264	-0.4	-0.2
140	137.7	Boston University	AE	0.5175	0.4819	203	19-12	19-13	0-1	0-1	1-4	3-7	15-0	6-7	177	150	140	-2.3	-0.3
195	194.8	Central Michigan	MAC	0.4843	0.4749	223	14-15	14-15	0-1	0-1	1-3	3-6	10-4	5-7	212	231	195	-0.2	-0.3
322	321.8	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.3944	0.4748	225	3-23	3-23	0-1	0-0	0-5	1-2	2-15	3-18	313	251	322	-0.2	-0.3
188	186.8	Fresno St.	WAC	0.4919	0.5216	118	14-18	14-19	0-2	0-3	3-5	3-7	8-2	7-8	209	182	188	-1.2	-0.3
168	167.7	Detroit	Horz	0.5035	0.4792	207	19-14	19-14	0-3	0-0	0-3	10-5	9-3	8-4	172	307	168	-0.3	-0.3
53	51.3	Florida	SEC	0.5821	0.5673	32	21-11	22-12	2-8	2-1	5-2	7-1	6-1	11-4	72	71	53	-1.7	-0.3
260	259.8	Tennessee St.	OVC	0.4417	0.4884	187	9-23	9-23	0-1	0-1	0-6	3-10	6-5	3-10	249	176	260	-0.2	-0.3
265	264.7	Navy	Pat	0.4381	0.4425	305	13-17	13-17	0-0	0-0	0-2	3-4	10-11	6-9	277	302	265	-0.3	-0.3
50	48.2	Washington	P10	0.5842	0.5475	64	22-9	23-10	2-2	0-0	5-3	13-4	3-0	10-2	23	37	50	-1.8	-0.3
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
27	26.6	Old Dominion	CAA	0.6058	0.5392	89	26-8	26-8	1-1	0-2	7-4	5-1	13-0	8-5	42	13	27	-0.4	-0.3
285	284.7	Charleston Southern	BSth	0.4277	0.4512	287	9-17	9-17	0-1	0-1	0-1	3-6	6-8	2-5	221	193	285	-0.3	-0.3
153	152.7	Maine	AE	0.5119	0.4604	264	18-11	18-11	0-1	0-0	0-1	4-5	14-4	7-5	124	227	153	-0.3	-0.3
346	345.8	Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.3425	0.4414	307	2-29	2-29	0-1	0-3	0-1	0-8	2-16	0-13	319	114	346	-0.2	-0.3
226	224.0	Texas Southern	SWAC	0.4640	0.4427	304	14-15	15-16	0-0	0-2	0-2	4-6	11-5	2-8	203	35	226	-2.0	-0.3
83	81.0	St. Louis	A10	0.5523	0.5278	106	19-10	20-11	0-3	3-2	1-2	10-4	5-0	8-5	181	208	83	-2.0	-0.3
65	64.7	Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.5686	0.5142	133	22-9	22-9	1-0	3-2	3-3	4-3	12-1	9-1	15	78	65	-0.3	-0.3
209	206.0	Delaware St.	MEAC	0.4769	0.4453	298	14-11	15-12	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-5	15-4	2-6	283	186	209	-3.0	-0.3
235	234.4	Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.4572	0.4596	269	12-14	12-14	0-2	0-0	0-2	3-5	9-5	4-5	266	309	235	-0.6	-0.3
120	116.1	Pacific	BW	0.5264	0.4765	218	20-10	21-11	0-1	1-2	1-2	4-3	15-3	8-6	157	211	120	-3.9	-0.3
52	49.6	Dayton	A10	0.5831	0.5661	34	20-11	21-12	2-6	2-2	2-2	11-2	4-0	11-3	16	15	52	-2.4	-0.4
257	256.6	Brown	Ivy	0.4436	0.4774	213	9-20	9-20	0-0	0-4	0-5	2-3	7-8	4-11	267	226	257	-0.4	-0.4
144	139.0	Houston	CUSA	0.5161	0.5228	116	16-15	17-16	0-0	1-3	3-5	6-6	7-3	7-6	156	126	144	-5.0	-0.4
317	316.9	Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.3997	0.4517	284	7-22	7-22	0-0	0-2	0-1	0-9	7-10	7-20	299	279	317	-0.1	-0.4
223	220.6	South Dakota	GWC	0.4675	0.3991	341	16-9	18-9	0-1	0-2	0-2	1-2	17-2	5-8	247	266	223	-2.4	-0.4
281	280.6	Western Illinois	Sum	0.4290	0.4448	300	10-17	10-17	0-1	0-0	0-6	1-2	9-8	4-4	230	323	281	-0.4	-0.4
37	35.2	Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.5960	0.5226	117	25-5	26-5	0-1	2-0	6-3	8-1	10-0	9-4	134	171	37	-1.8	-0.4
336	335.0	Texas Pan American	GWC	0.3761	0.4328	320	6-26	6-27	0-0	0-2	0-3	0-9	6-13	1-18	325	205	336	-1.0	-0.4
131	130.4	Robert Morris	NEC	0.5212	0.4608	262	23-11	23-11	0-2	0-1	1-1	5-5	17-2	6-8	211	236	131	-0.6	-0.4
30	28.3	Utah St.	WAC	0.6040	0.5280	105	25-6	27-6	1-0	1-1	7-3	7-2	10-0	10-4	60	85	30	-1.7	-0.4
147	141.5	Western Michigan	MAC	0.5156	0.5035	156	17-14	18-15	0-1	0-1	4-3	6-6	7-4	7-6	93	48	147	-5.5	-0.4
333	332.7	MD Baltimore County	AE	0.3808	0.4494	291	4-26	4-26	0-0	0-1	0-1	1-12	3-13	1-12	344	338	333	-0.3	-0.4
211	207.5	Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.4761	0.5163	129	12-17	12-18	0-1	0-4	1-8	2-5	9-1	5-7	262	200	211	-3.5	-0.4
21	18.6	Xavier	A10	0.6181	0.5580	46	23-7	24-8	1-4	4-3	6-1	9-0	5-0	9-5	43	17	21	-2.4	-0.4
228	227.6	Binghamton	AE	0.4612	0.4867	191	11-18	11-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	3-12	8-3	3-10	245	127	228	-0.4	-0.4
181	180.1	Middle Tennessee	SB	0.4971	0.4720	232	17-13	17-13	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-5	13-4	4-7	253	203	181	-0.9	-0.4
100	99.5	Appalachian St.	SC	0.5383	0.4905	183	20-11	20-11	0-0	0-1	2-3	8-4	9-3	5-5	102	64	100	-0.5	-0.4
270	269.7	Elon	SC	0.4338	0.4831	202	8-23	8-23	0-0	0-1	0-6	2-8	6-8	2-9	257	188	270	-0.3	-0.4
326	325.6	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.3904	0.4261	326	8-23	8-23	0-0	0-1	0-2	0-10	8-10	0-12	338	216	326	-0.4	-0.4
314	313.6	Centenary	Sum	0.4039	0.4622	257	6-21	6-21	0-0	0-1	0-7	0-3	6-10	3-6	231	207	314	-0.4	-0.4
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
331	330.8	Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.3828	0.3916	345	8-15	8-15	0-0	0-1	0-1	0-5	8-8	0-4	342	270	331	-0.2	-0.4
275	274.4	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.4317	0.4090	338	12-14	12-14	0-1	0-1	0-2	0-4	12-6	1-6	320	240	275	-0.6	-0.4
149	144.0	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.5144	0.4385	313	20-8	20-9	0-0	0-0	0-4	5-3	15-2	7-3	143	285	149	-5.0	-0.5
313	312.6	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.4041	0.4717	234	6-23	6-23	0-0	0-0	0-7	0-11	6-5	2-8	259	158	313	-0.4	-0.5
143	142.3	Stony Brook	AE	0.5165	0.4374	315	21-9	21-9	0-0	0-1	0-1	6-3	15-4	7-5	197	332	143	-0.7	-0.5
81	80.4	Wright St.	Horz	0.5533	0.5102	143	20-12	20-12	0-3	0-1	1-3	10-5	9-1	7-5	112	174	81	-0.6	-0.5
298	297.8	Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.4158	0.4653	250	9-19	9-19	0-0	0-1	0-6	3-7	6-5	2-7	332	296	298	-0.2	-0.5
315	314.8	McNeese St.	Slnd	0.4033	0.4437	302	7-20	7-20	0-0	0-0	0-4	2-5	5-11	2-9	321	315	315	-0.2	-0.5
278	277.4	Eastern Washington	BSky	0.4306	0.4935	177	7-21	7-21	0-1	0-1	1-5	2-8	4-6	2-10	252	94	278	-0.6	-0.5
236	235.1	Santa Clara	WCC	0.4568	0.5112	140	9-21	9-21	0-0	0-6	0-5	3-5	6-5	6-9	190	89	236	-0.9	-0.5
243	242.3	New Hampshire	AE	0.4529	0.4638	253	12-17	12-17	0-2	0-0	0-1	3-8	9-6	5-6	223	280	243	-0.7	-0.5
157	152.8	St. Bonaventure	A10	0.5100	0.5202	120	14-15	14-16	0-4	1-1	0-7	6-4	7-0	6-6	135	105	157	-4.2	-0.5
67	66.6	Marshall	CUSA	0.5668	0.5270	109	20-9	20-9	0-1	1-3	1-4	8-1	10-0	9-3	44	76	67	-0.4	-0.5
32	29.7	San Diego St.	MWC	0.6014	0.5432	74	21-8	22-9	2-4	1-2	2-1	11-1	7-1	9-3	36	100	32	-2.3	-0.5
180	179.3	St. Peter's	MAAC	0.4972	0.4834	200	16-14	16-14	0-0	0-2	1-4	4-4	11-4	5-6	237	286	180	-0.7	-0.5
123	122.0	East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.5249	0.4965	169	19-14	19-14	0-1	0-2	2-2	5-4	12-5	3-7	118	5	123	-1.0	-0.5
249	248.4	Evansville	MVC	0.4489	0.5183	123	8-21	8-21	1-2	1-1	0-7	2-10	4-1	5-5	254	310	249	-0.6	-0.5
327	326.6	Southern Utah	Sum	0.3903	0.4720	233	5-22	5-22	0-0	0-2	0-5	0-5	5-10	2-7	270	146	327	-0.4	-0.5
208	207.2	San Francisco	WCC	0.4769	0.5192	121	10-18	10-18	0-1	1-4	0-5	3-5	6-4	3-10	260	115	208	-0.8	-0.5
171	170.3	Radford	BSth	0.5024	0.4699	238	17-12	17-12	0-2	0-1	0-1	4-3	13-5	3-6	198	53	171	-0.7	-0.6
66	63.2	Tulsa	CUSA	0.5681	0.5302	102	22-10	23-11	0-1	1-4	2-5	9-1	9-0	10-4	83	128	66	-2.8	-0.6
291	290.7	Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.4233	0.4944	174	7-22	7-22	0-3	0-0	0-4	3-11	4-4	4-6	235	245	291	-0.3	-0.6
245	243.8	Texas St.	Slnd	0.4526	0.4614	260	11-16	11-16	0-0	0-1	1-2	2-7	8-6	2-8	335	321	245	-1.2	-0.6
272	271.3	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.4327	0.4635	254	11-21	11-21	0-1	0-2	0-1	1-8	10-9	3-12	314	258	272	-0.7	-0.6
293	292.6	Lamar	Slnd	0.4213	0.4568	272	10-18	10-18	0-0	0-0	0-4	2-7	8-7	5-7	278	305	293	-0.4	-0.6
332	331.5	Wagner	NEC	0.3823	0.4538	280	5-26	5-26	0-1	0-0	0-1	2-8	3-16	2-12	326	291	332	-0.5	-0.7
165	164.3	Denver	SB	0.5049	0.4715	235	19-13	19-13	0-1	0-0	1-1	4-6	14-5	7-4	101	106	165	-0.7	-0.7
77	73.7	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.5568	0.4779	208	20-7	21-7	0-1	0-0	0-1	10-3	11-2	4-5	154	148	77	-3.3	-0.7
5	4.5	Syracuse	BE	0.6535	0.5890	10	28-4	28-4	5-2	3-2	9-0	6-0	5-0	13-0	1	22	5	-0.5	-0.7
159	158.2	George Mason	CAA	0.5081	0.4999	164	17-14	17-14	0-1	1-2	1-6	3-3	12-2	5-7	242	197	159	-0.8	-0.7
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
150	148.7	Drexel	CAA	0.5142	0.5118	139	16-16	16-16	0-2	0-3	3-3	3-5	10-3	5-8	170	103	150	-1.3	-0.7
130	123.3	Vermont	AE	0.5213	0.4374	316	24-9	25-9	0-0	0-1	1-0	9-4	15-4	10-5	149	308	130	-6.7	-0.7
341	339.4	NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.3605	0.3965	343	7-20	7-21	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-7	7-13	2-12	323	281	341	-1.6	-0.7
289	288.4	Monmouth	NEC	0.4243	0.4393	311	12-19	12-19	0-0	0-0	0-1	2-10	10-8	6-8	297	346	289	-0.6	-0.8
51	45.3	Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.5832	0.5264	110	23-7	24-8	3-4	2-1	3-0	6-3	10-0	11-2	62	190	51	-5.7	-0.8
286	278.9	Hampton	MEAC	0.4266	0.4122	336	14-17	14-18	0-0	0-0	0-5	1-3	14-10	5-9	287	333	286	-7.1	-0.8
213	208.2	Lafayette	Pat	0.4750	0.4240	330	19-12	19-13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1-5	18-7	9-6	219	339	213	-4.8	-0.8
212	211.2	DePaul	BE	0.4751	0.5664	33	8-23	8-23	1-7	1-3	0-8	2-3	4-2	7-5	130	90	212	-0.8	-0.8
183	181.6	Drake	MVC	0.4966	0.5305	101	14-19	14-19	0-3	1-2	2-6	5-5	6-3	6-7	236	239	183	-1.4	-0.8
63	58.0	Nevada	WAC	0.5706	0.5415	81	19-11	20-12	0-2	0-2	6-5	7-2	7-1	7-6	95	44	63	-5.0	-0.8
23	19.4	Brigham Young	MWC	0.6154	0.5233	115	28-4	29-5	1-3	4-2	5-0	10-0	10-0	14-1	27	177	23	-3.6	-0.9
308	307.3	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.4111	0.4300	323	11-21	11-21	0-0	0-1	0-3	0-5	11-12	2-12	333	284	308	-0.7	-0.9
239	238.1	Chattanooga	SC	0.4552	0.4752	222	13-18	13-18	0-0	0-3	1-6	5-2	7-7	6-5	151	151	239	-0.9	-0.9
295	294.5	American	Pat	0.4200	0.4442	301	11-20	11-20	0-1	0-0	0-2	0-5	11-12	3-12	337	341	295	-0.5	-0.9
219	217.6	Loyola MD	MAAC	0.4700	0.4758	219	13-17	13-17	0-1	0-2	0-4	4-5	9-5	7-4	158	293	219	-1.4	-0.9
244	242.7	James Madison	CAA	0.4528	0.4778	210	13-20	13-20	0-1	0-2	2-5	2-6	9-6	8-5	194	327	244	-1.3	-0.9
155	154.1	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.5102	0.4734	227	18-12	18-12	0-2	0-0	0-4	7-4	11-2	7-4	110	169	155	-0.9	-0.9
158	151.7	Lehigh	Pat	0.5090	0.4435	303	21-10	22-10	0-0	0-1	0-1	2-3	20-5	9-6	183	300	158	-6.3	-0.9
345	344.4	Chicago St.	GWC	0.3427	0.3878	346	6-22	6-22	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-7	6-14	2-13	339	326	345	-0.6	-1.0
54	52.8	Oakland	Sum	0.5801	0.5041	155	24-8	24-8	0-4	0-0	2-2	5-1	17-1	4-7	96	16	54	-1.2	-1.0
110	108.4	Buffalo	MAC	0.5316	0.5078	148	17-12	17-12	0-1	1-1	1-1	7-7	8-2	7-4	67	69	110	-1.6	-1.0
214	213.1	Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.4724	0.4840	197	12-16	12-16	0-3	0-0	1-1	3-11	8-1	7-2	82	269	214	-0.9	-1.1
174	173.0	Idaho	WAC	0.5016	0.5132	135	13-16	13-16	0-1	0-2	1-8	6-3	6-3	7-5	140	223	174	-1.0	-1.1
274	272.7	Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.4325	0.4611	261	10-19	10-19	0-0	0-0	1-2	2-9	7-8	3-6	272	287	274	-1.3	-1.1
109	107.4	Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.5317	0.5025	157	19-12	19-12	1-2	1-1	2-2	5-6	10-1	7-4	91	113	109	-1.6	-1.2
139	137.2	Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.5178	0.4238	331	24-6	24-6	0-1	0-0	2-0	2-3	20-2	7-2	139	329	139	-1.8	-1.3
210	208.3	South Alabama	SB	0.4762	0.4660	246	15-15	15-15	0-0	0-1	1-1	3-9	11-4	6-4	179	283	210	-1.7	-1.3
148	146.0	Hofstra	CAA	0.5147	0.5015	159	18-14	18-14	0-1	0-1	2-8	2-4	14-0	7-5	128	129	148	-2.0	-1.3
194	192.9	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.4858	0.4515	286	15-12	15-12	0-0	0-0	0-3	2-5	13-4	4-5	220	263	194	-1.1	-1.4
124	122.0	Western Carolina	SC	0.5248	0.4767	216	19-11	19-11	0-0	1-3	2-3	4-2	12-3	7-3	39	80	124	-2.0	-1.4
	Expected			RPI	SOS	SOS Rank	Current	Projected	1-25	26-50	51-100	101-200	200+	Non Conf Forecasts			Current	Over-
Overall	RPI Rank	Team	Conf	Forecast	Forecast	Forecast	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	W-L	RPI	SOS	RPI	Rated	t-stat
176	174.8	Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.5004	0.4872	190	17-15	17-15	0-0	2-4	1-4	3-1	11-6	8-7	173	221	176	-1.2	-1.4
151	148.3	Quinnipiac	NEC	0.5140	0.4291	324	23-9	23-9	0-0	0-1	0-0	3-5	20-3	8-5	189	340	151	-2.7	-1.6
306	303.7	Idaho St.	BSky	0.4125	0.4920	180	5-22	5-22	0-1	0-2	1-3	1-9	3-7	1-10	276	132	306	-2.3	-1.6
310	309.3	Central Connecticut	NEC	0.4098	0.4098	337	12-18	12-18	0-0	0-0	0-1	0-7	12-10	5-8	334	347	310	-0.7	-1.7
112	109.8	Troy	SB	0.5304	0.4946	173	17-12	17-12	0-0	0-1	0-3	7-4	10-4	2-6	205	108	112	-2.2	-1.7
242	240.5	Long Island	NEC	0.4533	0.4472	293	14-17	14-17	0-0	0-0	0-3	3-5	11-9	4-9	284	288	242	-1.5	-1.7
252	251.2	Columbia	Ivy	0.4469	0.4642	252	11-17	11-17	0-1	0-2	0-2	1-5	10-7	6-8	227	256	252	-0.8	-1.8
343	342.2	Utah Valley	GWC	0.3492	0.3789	347	8-18	8-18	0-1	0-1	0-1	0-3	8-12	3-10	328	320	343	-0.8	-1.8
250	248.1	Army	Pat	0.4488	0.4404	309	13-15	13-15	0-0	0-0	1-1	1-5	11-9	9-4	150	319	250	-1.9	-1.8
253	252.0	Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.4469	0.4856	193	11-21	11-21	0-1	0-1	0-1	4-12	7-7	5-10	238	163	253	-1.0	-1.9
93	91.1	College of Charleston	SC	0.5448	0.4936	176	21-11	21-11	0-1	0-1	3-2	4-6	14-1	6-6	116	82	93	-1.9	-1.9
246	243.3	Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.4523	0.4576	271	12-16	12-16	0-0	0-1	1-0	3-6	8-9	2-7	298	297	246	-2.7	-2.0
193	191.7	Seattle	ind	0.4873	0.4567	273	17-14	17-14	0-0	0-2	1-4	4-4	12-4	16-14	191	267	193	-1.3	-2.1
303	301.0	Albany	AE	0.4134	0.4758	220	7-25	7-25	0-1	0-1	0-2	1-12	6-9	5-10	229	202	303	-2.0	-2.3
71	68.5	Wofford	SC	0.5644	0.4837	198	25-8	25-8	0-2	0-1	3-3	6-2	15-0	7-5	85	141	71	-2.5	-2.3
163	160.7	Winthrop	BSth	0.5068	0.4687	240	17-13	17-13	0-0	0-1	0-4	3-5	14-3	2-7	246	159	163	-2.3	-2.5
121	117.4	Northern Colorado	BSky	0.5262	0.4373	317	23-7	23-7	0-0	0-0	2-3	6-1	15-3	11-2	133	342	121	-3.6	-2.8

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com