Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams. Click here for the detailed simulation results for this page
How does the RPI Forecast work? Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning
Through games of Feb 4, 2012.
Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over-
Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
168 180.8 Wake Forest ACC 0.4967 0.5304 97 11-12 13-18 0-4 0-2 2-5 4-6 7-1 9-5 139 218 137 43.8 2.3
240 245.5 Arizona St. P12 0.4572 0.5223 113 7-16 10-22 0-2 0-2 1-8 4-6 4-4 4-8 252 121 216 29.5 1.8
161 173.5 Penn St. B10 0.5012 0.5592 46 10-14 12-20 0-7 1-4 2-5 4-4 4-1 8-5 153 217 143 30.5 1.7
243 248.4 Fordham A10 0.4560 0.5114 132 9-13 10-19 0-3 1-2 1-6 2-6 7-3 7-6 196 265 222 26.4 1.7
249 253.9 Bradley MVC 0.4533 0.5383 78 6-19 8-24 0-4 0-3 1-5 3-8 4-3 6-7 200 133 229 24.9 1.6
339 337.0 Chicago St. GWC 0.3668 0.4582 272 1-20 3-26 0-2 0-2 0-2 0-6 3-15 1-17 329 169 328 9.0 1.6
121 132.7 Texas Christian MWC 0.5255 0.5464 66 12-9 15-16 1-4 1-3 2-3 5-4 6-2 9-6 149 241 101 31.7 1.5
50 59.3 Seton Hall BE 0.5774 0.5625 42 15-8 20-12 1-4 2-2 4-4 9-3 4-0 11-1 18 106 32 27.3 1.5
325 322.6 Tennessee Martin OVC 0.3890 0.4793 207 1-22 3-26 0-2 0-3 0-2 1-6 2-13 2-11 297 207 309 13.6 1.4
118 128.3 Nebraska B10 0.5294 0.5641 33 11-10 14-16 1-7 1-3 2-4 4-2 6-0 8-3 124 248 100 28.3 1.4
275 276.1 Utah P12 0.4380 0.5494 62 4-18 4-26 0-1 0-3 0-11 1-7 3-3 2-9 280 79 263 13.1 1.4
69 79.2 Mississippi SEC 0.5636 0.5634 34 14-8 18-14 0-5 1-3 3-3 9-3 4-0 10-4 61 120 51 28.2 1.4
64 75.3 Northwestern B10 0.5670 0.5822 12 13-8 17-14 1-6 1-3 3-4 8-2 4-0 10-2 24 55 48 27.3 1.4
304 305.7 Towson CAA 0.4077 0.5300 99 1-24 2-30 0-2 0-3 0-8 0-11 1-8 0-13 303 52 296 9.7 1.4
66 75.9 Minnesota B10 0.5648 0.5674 28 16-7 20-13 2-5 2-2 4-3 7-3 5-0 12-1 35 177 52 23.9 1.3
22 32.6 Michigan B10 0.6067 0.5824 11 16-6 21-11 3-5 3-2 5-2 5-2 4-0 9-3 57 134 15 17.6 1.3
162 174.6 Georgia Tech ACC 0.5009 0.5353 85 9-14 13-18 0-4 0-2 2-5 4-6 6-2 7-7 169 160 148 26.6 1.3
247 254.0 Eastern Michigan MAC 0.4538 0.4652 250 9-13 12-19 0-2 0-1 0-4 3-5 9-8 4-10 265 254 228 26.0 1.3
316 315.8 Nicholls St. Slnd 0.3974 0.4470 302 5-15 6-21 0-1 0-0 0-3 0-8 6-8 2-9 299 259 304 11.8 1.3
24 33.9 Memphis CUSA 0.6056 0.5693 25 16-7 24-9 1-4 2-2 5-2 12-1 5-0 10-5 43 8 20 13.9 1.3
111 122.6 Maryland ACC 0.5328 0.5626 41 13-9 16-16 0-6 0-4 3-4 5-2 7-0 10-4 96 131 97 25.6 1.2
34 42.2 Colorado St. MWC 0.5972 0.5916 4 14-7 18-12 1-5 1-3 3-3 7-2 5-0 10-4 23 21 23 19.2 1.2
6 10.1 Baylor B12 0.6439 0.5814 14 20-2 26-6 3-4 4-1 7-1 5-0 7-0 12-0 2 36 3 7.1 1.2
137 147.8 Iowa B10 0.5155 0.5422 72 13-11 16-17 1-5 1-3 3-5 4-4 6-0 8-5 238 293 122 25.8 1.2
14 18.6 Southern Mississippi CUSA 0.6209 0.5450 69 18-3 25-6 0-1 2-2 6-2 9-1 7-0 11-2 14 64 7 11.6 1.2
97 104.4 South Florida BE 0.5446 0.5710 24 12-10 15-16 0-6 1-3 3-4 7-4 4-0 6-6 128 71 79 25.4 1.2
248 253.7 Boston College ACC 0.4533 0.5392 76 7-16 8-23 0-4 0-3 1-6 3-8 4-2 5-9 273 179 237 16.7 1.1
149 160.1 St. John's BE 0.5082 0.5632 35 10-13 13-20 0-6 1-2 2-5 5-6 5-0 6-7 226 159 136 24.1 1.1
198 197.2 South Alabama SB 0.4830 0.4700 231 11-10 14-13 0-2 0-2 1-2 4-3 10-4 7-3 100 219 168 29.2 1.1
277 271.3 Central Michigan MAC 0.4376 0.4661 248 6-15 10-20 0-1 0-2 0-5 1-7 9-6 5-8 240 247 250 21.3 1.1 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
144 157.3 Auburn SEC 0.5103 0.5365 83 13-10 15-16 0-4 0-4 2-5 5-3 7-0 10-4 133 279 133 24.3 1.1
36 47.7 Illinois B10 0.5902 0.5789 17 16-6 21-12 3-6 2-2 4-3 7-2 5-0 11-2 44 119 31 16.7 1.1
84 87.4 Wagner NEC 0.5538 0.4540 282 19-4 27-5 0-0 0-1 2-1 7-3 18-0 9-2 48 172 74 13.4 1.0
119 124.3 Princeton Ivy 0.5293 0.5166 126 9-10 15-13 1-0 1-2 1-4 6-5 6-3 7-7 94 74 105 19.3 1.0
3 6.1 Duke ACC 0.6539 0.5953 3 19-3 27-6 4-4 4-1 6-1 10-0 4-0 13-2 1 3 2 4.1 1.0
142 154.8 Providence BE 0.5110 0.5259 111 13-10 16-16 1-5 1-3 1-5 4-3 9-0 11-2 138 337 131 23.8 1.0
131 142.8 Drake MVC 0.5182 0.5294 102 12-11 15-15 1-3 1-2 1-5 4-4 8-1 6-5 147 206 121 21.8 1.0
232 236.9 Southern California P12 0.4622 0.5448 70 6-18 8-24 0-3 0-3 1-9 3-7 5-2 5-8 186 61 220 16.9 1.0
263 262.4 Idaho St. BSky 0.4455 0.4761 216 7-14 10-19 0-1 0-1 1-5 1-6 8-7 1-11 315 166 243 19.4 0.9
130 138.6 Indiana St. MVC 0.5193 0.5093 139 13-10 16-14 0-3 1-1 1-4 6-4 8-2 8-3 106 300 117 21.6 0.9
55 65.5 Northern Iowa MVC 0.5712 0.5550 53 15-9 19-12 1-4 2-1 3-3 9-4 5-1 9-3 13 19 49 16.5 0.9
40 48.3 Mississippi St. SEC 0.5880 0.5503 60 18-5 23-10 1-4 2-2 4-3 11-1 6-0 13-2 53 175 33 15.3 0.9
91 96.2 Oklahoma B12 0.5491 0.5628 40 13-9 17-15 1-7 2-2 3-3 4-3 8-0 10-2 52 183 77 19.2 0.9
251 256.0 Rhode Island A10 0.4519 0.5352 86 5-19 6-25 0-1 0-3 2-8 1-9 4-4 3-12 277 140 244 12.0 0.9
1 3.4 Syracuse BE 0.6662 0.5799 16 23-1 30-3 4-1 4-1 8-1 9-0 5-0 13-0 3 41 1 2.4 0.8
169 177.4 South Carolina SEC 0.4965 0.5541 56 9-13 12-19 0-6 1-2 1-3 6-6 4-2 8-6 199 204 158 19.4 0.8
139 144.3 Charlotte A10 0.5148 0.5193 120 11-11 15-16 0-1 1-3 2-7 4-3 8-1 8-5 115 211 127 17.3 0.8
212 216.5 San Diego WCC 0.4748 0.5260 109 7-14 10-19 0-3 0-3 0-3 1-6 9-3 3-8 256 146 198 18.5 0.8
234 243.2 Texas Tech B12 0.4614 0.5459 68 7-15 8-23 0-6 0-3 0-5 1-8 6-1 7-5 227 303 232 11.2 0.8
65 71.6 Notre Dame BE 0.5664 0.5556 51 15-8 20-13 3-4 2-2 3-2 6-4 7-0 8-5 161 198 56 15.6 0.8
63 71.0 Arkansas SEC 0.5674 0.5491 63 16-7 21-12 1-3 2-2 2-3 10-3 6-1 12-3 68 188 53 18.0 0.8
219 223.7 Portland WCC 0.4723 0.5550 52 5-18 7-23 0-4 0-4 0-4 2-7 4-4 2-10 208 17 208 15.7 0.8
39 47.8 Iowa St. B12 0.5899 0.5629 38 17-6 22-11 2-5 1-2 3-2 9-2 7-0 10-3 80 180 36 11.8 0.8
201 208.0 Louisiana Tech WAC 0.4783 0.4934 172 9-12 13-17 0-1 0-2 0-5 5-6 8-3 8-7 197 256 190 18.0 0.8
299 300.7 Central Arkansas Slnd 0.4129 0.4423 310 5-13 8-19 0-1 0-0 0-3 1-6 7-9 3-7 263 271 289 11.7 0.7
88 91.1 Louisiana St. SEC 0.5524 0.5501 61 13-9 18-14 1-3 1-3 2-4 7-3 6-1 10-4 104 214 75 16.1 0.7
112 120.6 Pennsylvania Ivy 0.5318 0.5278 105 12-10 18-13 0-2 1-3 2-4 7-4 8-1 8-9 121 40 109 11.6 0.7
61 68.7 Miami FL ACC 0.5682 0.5621 43 13-7 18-13 1-5 1-3 2-4 10-1 6-0 9-4 65 90 54 14.7 0.7
186 184.9 North Florida ASun 0.4906 0.4900 179 11-13 14-17 0-2 0-2 0-4 3-6 11-2 5-7 125 86 167 17.9 0.7
75 79.7 Pittsburgh BE 0.5604 0.5671 29 14-9 19-14 1-4 2-3 4-4 8-3 4-0 11-2 50 118 65 14.7 0.7 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
279 275.7 Monmouth NEC 0.4350 0.4810 202 7-18 9-23 0-1 0-1 0-5 1-9 8-6 2-11 286 148 265 10.7 0.7
340 337.4 Northern Illinois MAC 0.3640 0.4651 251 1-18 2-26 0-0 0-1 0-4 0-8 2-12 0-11 341 291 334 3.4 0.7
47 55.3 Saint Joseph's A10 0.5809 0.5632 36 15-9 21-13 1-2 1-3 5-4 8-4 5-0 10-5 38 25 42 13.3 0.7
21 28.2 Temple A10 0.6075 0.5519 58 17-5 24-8 3-0 2-1 6-4 7-2 6-0 11-3 15 39 19 9.2 0.7
26 31.9 Connecticut BE 0.6045 0.6019 2 15-7 20-12 2-4 3-1 5-4 7-3 3-0 10-2 6 6 22 9.9 0.7
35 45.6 Harvard Ivy 0.5927 0.4853 186 19-2 25-4 1-0 1-1 2-0 12-1 10-1 13-2 36 210 39 6.6 0.7
13 19.0 Marquette BE 0.6216 0.5712 23 19-5 25-8 2-3 3-2 6-2 9-1 5-0 11-2 30 99 12 7.0 0.7
25 30.7 San Diego St. MWC 0.6050 0.5489 65 18-3 23-7 3-4 3-2 3-1 6-1 8-0 12-2 58 216 21 9.7 0.7
120 127.8 Oklahoma St. B12 0.5276 0.5815 13 10-12 13-19 1-6 0-3 3-6 3-3 5-0 6-6 146 92 114 13.8 0.7
117 125.1 Yale Ivy 0.5299 0.4759 217 13-5 16-10 0-1 0-2 0-1 5-5 11-1 8-4 101 276 111 14.1 0.7
151 162.5 Texas A&M B12 0.5063 0.5419 74 11-10 14-17 0-7 0-3 1-4 3-2 9-1 8-3 211 324 145 17.5 0.7
320 319.0 Kennesaw St. ASun 0.3943 0.4831 194 2-21 4-26 0-2 0-2 0-3 0-10 3-9 3-9 254 158 314 5.0 0.7
128 139.5 Georgia SEC 0.5199 0.5753 19 10-12 13-19 0-5 1-4 3-5 5-5 4-0 9-5 90 65 126 13.5 0.6
283 281.5 South Dakota Sum 0.4307 0.4749 222 5-14 7-18 0-1 0-3 0-3 1-6 6-6 3-4 284 335 271 10.5 0.6
252 252.8 Pepperdine WCC 0.4516 0.4882 182 7-15 10-19 0-3 0-3 0-2 3-5 7-7 5-6 260 329 239 13.8 0.6
197 201.7 George Washington A10 0.4831 0.5463 67 8-15 10-21 0-2 0-4 1-8 5-4 4-3 5-9 191 84 189 12.7 0.6
32 36.2 Vanderbilt SEC 0.5986 0.5907 5 16-7 22-12 2-4 2-2 5-3 8-2 4-0 11-4 31 10 28 8.2 0.6
172 181.2 Western Michigan MAC 0.4956 0.5155 128 9-13 14-18 0-2 0-4 1-5 3-3 9-4 5-9 105 9 165 16.2 0.6
78 81.7 Massachusetts A10 0.5590 0.5140 130 17-6 22-10 1-1 2-2 3-4 7-2 9-1 11-3 85 230 68 13.7 0.6
160 167.2 Youngstown St. Horz 0.5015 0.4827 196 10-10 15-14 0-0 0-1 1-3 5-6 8-4 3-6 213 252 149 18.2 0.6
193 186.1 Morehead St. OVC 0.4878 0.4843 190 10-12 14-16 0-1 0-1 0-3 4-6 9-4 4-8 160 102 169 17.1 0.6
53 61.0 Xavier A10 0.5749 0.5583 48 15-8 20-12 0-3 2-4 5-3 7-2 6-0 9-5 66 37 50 11.0 0.6
297 291.1 NJ Inst of Technology GWC 0.4171 0.4266 330 6-12 10-16 0-1 0-1 0-2 0-5 10-8 4-11 288 246 278 13.1 0.6
191 193.8 DePaul BE 0.4880 0.5200 118 11-11 13-18 0-4 0-3 1-6 4-5 7-0 9-3 223 338 182 11.8 0.6
80 83.1 Dayton A10 0.5581 0.5528 57 14-9 19-13 1-2 2-2 5-5 7-2 4-2 10-4 67 73 72 11.1 0.5
17 23.1 Indiana B10 0.6128 0.5648 31 18-6 25-8 3-4 2-1 5-2 8-1 6-0 13-0 17 195 17 6.1 0.5
216 218.7 Southern Methodist CUSA 0.4727 0.5071 142 8-13 11-19 0-1 0-3 1-4 4-9 6-3 7-6 192 233 206 12.7 0.5
77 74.3 Arizona P12 0.5592 0.5266 107 16-8 23-11 0-2 1-2 5-4 7-2 9-0 9-4 60 44 64 10.3 0.5
310 307.9 Cal St. Northridge BW 0.4028 0.4490 292 4-15 6-21 0-1 0-2 0-1 1-8 5-9 2-8 294 292 302 5.9 0.5
224 223.0 Elon SC 0.4677 0.4576 274 10-10 13-15 0-1 0-1 0-2 3-4 10-6 3-6 189 113 209 14.0 0.5 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
9 14.5 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 0.6347 0.5642 32 19-4 27-6 3-3 4-2 3-1 9-0 8-0 14-2 16 107 11 3.5 0.5
19 24.3 Florida St. ACC 0.6115 0.5811 15 16-6 23-9 3-3 1-2 5-2 8-2 5-0 9-5 75 30 18 6.3 0.5
73 74.9 Central Florida CUSA 0.5618 0.5294 101 15-6 20-10 1-3 2-3 1-2 7-3 9-0 9-3 82 191 63 11.9 0.5
176 182.5 Air Force MWC 0.4948 0.5414 75 9-10 11-16 0-5 0-4 0-4 2-3 8-0 8-4 195 297 171 11.5 0.5
206 207.5 Portland St. BSky 0.4765 0.4683 239 9-12 14-16 0-0 0-1 0-5 1-5 12-5 5-7 158 176 194 13.5 0.5
62 70.2 Purdue B10 0.5676 0.5667 30 15-8 20-13 1-6 3-3 4-2 6-2 6-0 10-3 74 170 62 8.2 0.5
163 166.3 Northeastern CAA 0.5008 0.4940 170 11-12 15-16 0-0 0-1 1-6 6-6 9-3 5-6 132 123 155 11.3 0.5
98 105.1 Mercer ASun 0.5431 0.4702 229 17-7 23-9 0-1 0-2 0-2 7-3 16-1 7-5 109 212 98 7.1 0.5
18 20.8 Creighton MVC 0.6122 0.5309 96 21-3 27-5 2-1 2-1 4-2 12-1 7-0 11-1 21 138 16 4.8 0.5
305 307.0 Brown Ivy 0.4076 0.4724 226 6-16 7-23 0-0 0-2 0-2 1-13 6-6 5-11 317 308 303 4.0 0.5
208 208.6 Niagara MAAC 0.4759 0.4946 167 9-15 14-19 0-1 0-3 1-5 1-7 12-3 5-8 182 144 199 9.6 0.5
226 225.7 Holy Cross Pat 0.4660 0.4791 209 9-13 12-17 0-0 0-1 1-3 2-8 9-5 6-8 202 220 214 11.7 0.4
57 66.6 North Carolina St. ACC 0.5692 0.5628 39 17-7 21-12 1-6 1-2 3-2 9-2 7-0 11-4 55 31 59 7.6 0.4
205 207.0 Eastern Kentucky OVC 0.4765 0.4529 284 12-12 16-15 0-1 0-1 0-2 3-6 13-5 7-6 193 285 195 12.0 0.4
179 181.0 Rice CUSA 0.4937 0.5090 140 10-11 14-16 0-2 0-3 0-5 4-6 9-1 6-6 214 229 170 11.0 0.4
294 295.2 Eastern Illinois OVC 0.4193 0.4405 312 7-14 9-18 0-1 0-1 0-1 1-6 8-8 6-5 249 332 290 5.2 0.4
133 137.7 Oakland Sum 0.5177 0.5158 127 12-13 16-16 0-1 1-4 1-4 3-4 11-3 5-7 111 48 129 8.7 0.4
302 305.7 SIU Edwardsville OVC 0.4081 0.4504 288 5-14 8-18 0-1 0-1 0-1 2-6 5-9 1-8 339 326 300 5.7 0.4
312 309.5 Loyola Chicago Horz 0.4021 0.4635 254 4-17 6-23 0-0 0-2 0-4 1-10 5-7 4-6 271 333 305 4.5 0.4
10 13.3 Missouri B12 0.6295 0.5444 71 21-2 29-5 4-2 3-1 7-1 7-1 8-0 13-0 32 264 10 3.3 0.4
31 35.9 West Virginia BE 0.5991 0.5869 8 15-8 21-12 2-4 3-2 7-4 7-2 3-0 10-3 20 16 30 5.9 0.4
72 81.4 Bucknell Pat 0.5627 0.4863 185 17-6 24-8 0-1 0-1 1-3 8-2 15-0 9-6 92 157 76 5.4 0.4
89 90.8 Oregon P12 0.5511 0.5327 90 16-7 20-12 0-1 0-3 3-5 7-2 10-0 9-3 79 122 83 7.8 0.4
99 103.0 Villanova BE 0.5430 0.5833 10 10-12 15-17 0-6 1-4 3-4 8-2 3-1 7-5 91 33 94 9.0 0.4
260 257.0 NC Greensboro SC 0.4479 0.4792 208 8-15 10-20 0-3 0-2 0-3 2-5 8-8 1-10 266 32 249 8.0 0.4
76 78.7 Colorado P12 0.5601 0.5382 79 14-7 19-11 0-2 1-2 4-5 7-2 7-0 6-4 107 93 71 7.7 0.3
322 319.0 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 0.3921 0.4569 276 4-16 6-23 0-0 0-1 0-2 1-7 5-12 2-10 291 142 315 4.0 0.3
138 145.3 UAB CUSA 0.5150 0.5569 50 9-13 12-18 0-5 1-4 1-4 3-4 6-2 5-8 165 53 138 7.3 0.3
27 29.1 Gonzaga WCC 0.6026 0.5337 87 18-4 25-6 1-3 2-2 4-1 9-0 10-0 11-2 19 34 25 4.1 0.3
11 15.9 Georgetown BE 0.6248 0.5750 20 17-4 23-7 3-3 4-1 3-2 8-1 5-0 9-1 11 59 13 2.9 0.3 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
132 138.9 Richmond A10 0.5180 0.5326 91 12-12 15-17 1-1 1-4 2-8 5-4 8-1 9-6 97 115 132 6.9 0.3
262 257.8 Western Carolina SC 0.4457 0.4633 255 8-15 11-19 0-0 0-2 0-4 2-4 9-9 4-7 174 162 251 6.8 0.3
344 343.4 Binghamton AE 0.3375 0.4373 317 0-23 2-29 0-1 0-0 0-2 0-9 1-16 0-13 342 290 343 0.4 0.3
192 188.4 Arkansas Little Rock SB 0.4880 0.5049 147 10-13 14-17 0-2 0-1 1-2 4-6 8-5 2-11 275 49 181 7.4 0.3
330 327.3 Hartford AE 0.3806 0.4349 319 4-19 6-24 0-0 0-0 0-2 0-11 6-11 0-13 343 299 325 2.3 0.3
183 179.9 Northwestern St. Slnd 0.4928 0.4590 267 11-9 16-14 0-1 0-1 1-4 2-4 13-4 5-7 173 165 172 7.9 0.3
190 189.0 Wisconsin Green Bay Horz 0.4886 0.5218 114 7-13 11-17 0-2 0-2 1-3 4-9 6-2 3-6 127 5 180 9.0 0.3
81 86.2 Duquesne A10 0.5570 0.5548 54 13-9 17-14 0-2 1-2 4-6 8-3 4-1 8-5 88 68 81 5.2 0.3
164 167.4 Washington St. P12 0.5008 0.5056 144 11-11 14-16 0-1 1-2 2-6 3-3 8-4 7-4 154 278 160 7.4 0.3
146 157.1 Columbia Ivy 0.5088 0.4926 174 11-9 15-13 0-0 0-2 1-1 6-7 9-3 9-5 103 193 152 5.1 0.3
239 243.1 Missouri Kansas City Sum 0.4573 0.4928 173 8-15 10-19 0-3 0-3 0-2 3-4 7-7 6-5 134 203 238 5.1 0.3
106 116.6 Long Island NEC 0.5366 0.4575 275 17-7 23-10 0-0 0-1 2-1 4-6 16-2 6-6 166 270 112 4.6 0.3
44 50.3 Kansas St. B12 0.5837 0.5545 55 16-6 21-10 3-5 2-2 3-2 7-1 7-0 11-1 47 228 46 4.3 0.3
221 220.0 McNeese St. Slnd 0.4706 0.4709 227 7-10 11-16 0-1 0-1 1-3 1-7 9-4 2-8 245 78 213 7.0 0.2
158 159.0 Louisiana Lafayette SB 0.5035 0.4827 195 13-11 17-14 0-0 0-1 2-4 4-6 11-2 5-8 224 154 153 6.0 0.2
148 152.6 American Pat 0.5084 0.4485 297 15-8 20-11 0-1 0-0 1-3 5-3 14-4 9-6 164 321 147 5.6 0.2
334 332.6 MD Baltimore County AE 0.3741 0.4378 315 3-19 5-25 0-1 0-0 0-1 0-12 5-11 1-12 332 280 331 1.6 0.2
227 231.8 Southern Illinois MVC 0.4654 0.5208 115 8-15 10-21 0-4 0-2 1-5 3-8 5-2 3-8 304 287 227 4.8 0.2
8 9.4 Kansas B12 0.6370 0.5872 6 18-5 26-7 5-4 3-2 5-1 7-0 6-0 10-3 33 27 8 1.4 0.2
95 98.5 St. Bonaventure A10 0.5463 0.5237 112 12-8 17-12 0-1 1-3 4-6 4-2 8-1 7-5 102 137 93 5.5 0.2
256 251.0 Presbyterian BSth 0.4498 0.4546 280 9-13 13-17 0-1 0-1 1-2 2-6 10-7 5-5 143 197 246 5.0 0.2
115 119.6 NC Asheville BSth 0.5308 0.4754 219 15-7 20-9 0-1 0-1 1-2 4-3 15-2 2-7 220 47 116 3.6 0.2
7 10.3 Michigan St. B10 0.6393 0.6089 1 16-5 23-9 4-5 3-2 4-2 8-0 4-0 10-2 10 18 9 1.3 0.2
159 158.8 South Carolina Upstate ASun 0.5034 0.4676 244 12-10 17-14 0-1 1-1 1-3 3-5 13-4 5-6 162 236 154 4.8 0.2
12 15.6 Florida SEC 0.6229 0.5613 44 19-4 26-8 2-4 3-1 4-0 11-2 5-0 12-3 29 105 14 1.6 0.2
140 148.0 Rutgers BE 0.5137 0.5515 59 12-12 15-17 1-4 1-3 3-5 3-6 6-0 8-5 201 239 144 4.0 0.2
291 289.4 Seattle ind 0.4238 0.4660 249 4-13 8-16 0-0 0-2 0-2 2-6 6-6 6-16 293 237 287 2.4 0.2
5 5.7 North Carolina ACC 0.6523 0.5850 9 20-3 28-6 4-4 3-1 6-1 10-0 5-0 13-2 5 23 5 0.7 0.2
94 95.2 Virginia Tech ACC 0.5467 0.5597 45 13-10 18-15 1-6 1-2 2-3 8-3 6-1 11-4 69 96 92 3.2 0.2
23 28.9 Louisville BE 0.6064 0.5748 21 18-5 24-9 2-5 3-1 5-2 7-1 6-0 12-1 7 76 27 1.9 0.1 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
324 322.3 Canisius MAAC 0.3891 0.4531 283 4-19 6-24 0-1 0-2 0-4 0-5 6-12 4-7 322 342 321 1.3 0.1
315 313.0 Houston Baptist GWC 0.3977 0.4463 304 5-15 8-20 0-1 0-1 0-2 2-4 6-11 4-12 274 171 311 2.0 0.1
187 179.7 Delaware CAA 0.4903 0.4816 199 11-12 16-15 0-0 0-1 2-4 3-6 9-4 5-6 242 268 176 3.7 0.1
278 271.9 Troy SB 0.4351 0.4813 200 6-15 9-20 0-0 0-2 0-2 2-9 7-6 4-6 205 184 269 2.9 0.1
220 219.7 Wright St. Horz 0.4713 0.4993 153 10-14 13-19 0-2 0-1 1-4 4-10 8-2 4-8 222 135 217 2.7 0.1
228 224.5 Georgia Southern SC 0.4647 0.4697 233 8-12 12-16 0-0 0-1 0-2 2-7 9-6 0-8 333 178 221 3.5 0.1
124 125.4 Old Dominion CAA 0.5235 0.5110 133 15-10 19-14 0-2 0-1 2-6 6-5 11-0 5-8 156 28 123 2.4 0.1
269 262.6 Virginia Military Inst BSth 0.4422 0.4384 314 9-11 12-16 0-1 0-0 0-2 1-8 11-5 3-5 305 330 260 2.6 0.1
261 258.7 UC Riverside BW 0.4473 0.4588 271 9-12 11-18 0-1 0-2 0-2 4-6 7-7 5-7 230 227 257 1.7 0.1
184 179.0 Florida Atlantic SB 0.4923 0.5145 129 8-14 12-18 0-1 0-3 1-4 2-5 8-4 3-9 150 20 177 2.0 0.1
314 312.9 Howard MEAC 0.3979 0.4581 273 4-18 7-23 0-3 0-1 0-1 1-7 6-11 2-10 255 42 312 0.9 0.1
56 62.5 Marshall CUSA 0.5702 0.5677 27 13-9 18-13 1-3 2-4 3-3 7-3 6-0 8-5 54 13 61 1.5 0.1
328 326.7 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 0.3822 0.4226 334 5-13 8-19 0-0 0-0 0-3 1-6 7-10 4-6 323 336 326 0.7 0.1
292 291.7 Mount St. Mary's NEC 0.4219 0.4647 253 6-17 8-21 0-1 0-0 0-4 1-8 7-7 2-9 289 189 291 0.7 0.1
37 40.5 Virginia ACC 0.5901 0.5319 92 18-4 24-8 2-4 2-1 5-1 8-2 8-0 13-1 51 260 40 0.5 0.0
83 82.5 Missouri St. MVC 0.5547 0.5490 64 13-11 18-14 1-5 1-3 2-2 7-4 7-0 7-5 86 50 82 0.5 0.0
342 341.1 Grambling SWAC 0.3506 0.4072 341 3-17 4-24 0-0 0-0 0-2 0-7 4-14 0-10 335 186 341 0.1 0.0
43 41.2 Brigham Young WCC 0.5841 0.5293 103 18-6 23-8 1-4 2-1 4-1 5-2 12-0 10-3 41 60 41 0.2 0.0
2 4.0 Ohio St. B10 0.6583 0.5872 7 20-3 29-5 6-3 3-1 6-1 8-0 5-0 12-1 9 97 4 -0.0 -0.0
110 106.7 Robert Morris NEC 0.5337 0.4670 246 17-8 23-10 0-0 1-1 2-3 5-4 16-2 9-4 37 58 107 -0.3 -0.0
313 312.8 Longwood ind 0.4007 0.4305 325 6-14 8-19 0-1 0-3 0-2 0-2 7-12 7-18 309 313 313 -0.2 -0.0
225 224.5 Siena MAAC 0.4662 0.4746 223 10-12 14-17 0-0 1-1 1-4 4-6 8-6 5-6 229 267 225 -0.5 -0.0
181 183.3 Cornell Ivy 0.4933 0.5181 122 7-12 11-16 0-0 0-2 1-3 5-9 5-1 4-9 228 91 184 -0.7 -0.0
218 202.0 Coppin St. MEAC 0.4724 0.4463 303 8-11 14-13 0-0 0-2 0-4 1-3 12-4 1-8 302 125 203 -1.0 -0.0
28 33.5 Alabama SEC 0.6001 0.5730 22 15-7 22-10 2-3 2-2 6-3 10-2 3-0 11-3 40 56 34 -0.5 -0.0
202 205.9 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 0.4772 0.4683 238 11-11 14-15 0-0 0-1 0-4 2-8 12-2 4-6 241 234 207 -1.1 -0.0
165 159.8 Cal St. Fullerton BW 0.4989 0.4341 321 13-7 19-10 0-2 0-1 0-0 4-2 15-4 7-4 184 317 161 -1.2 -0.0
286 277.9 Prairie View A&M SWAC 0.4296 0.4250 332 7-13 12-18 0-1 0-1 0-2 1-4 12-9 1-9 259 35 279 -1.1 -0.1
298 294.4 Colgate Pat 0.4167 0.4600 264 7-16 9-21 0-2 0-0 0-3 1-7 8-9 6-9 270 301 295 -0.6 -0.1
155 160.7 Evansville MVC 0.5048 0.5371 80 10-12 13-17 0-5 1-1 3-2 3-6 6-2 5-5 217 164 162 -1.3 -0.1 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
288 287.3 Jacksonville ASun 0.4265 0.4921 176 4-19 6-23 0-3 0-2 0-2 2-8 5-8 2-9 239 89 288 -0.7 -0.1
250 245.3 Appalachian St. SC 0.4519 0.4706 228 7-13 11-17 0-1 0-1 0-2 3-6 8-7 3-6 209 83 247 -1.7 -0.1
309 307.0 Texas Pan American GWC 0.4030 0.4569 277 4-17 7-21 0-1 0-0 0-3 0-8 7-9 1-16 321 156 308 -1.0 -0.1
143 137.8 UC Santa Barbara BW 0.5107 0.4822 198 10-8 16-11 0-3 0-3 0-2 3-2 12-2 3-6 129 29 140 -2.2 -0.1
301 305.3 St. Francis PA NEC 0.4086 0.4766 215 5-18 7-23 0-0 0-1 0-6 2-7 4-9 1-10 283 46 306 -0.7 -0.1
200 197.7 North Texas SB 0.4793 0.4694 236 10-10 14-14 0-0 0-2 1-4 3-5 9-3 4-6 236 226 200 -2.3 -0.1
241 238.3 Sacred Heart NEC 0.4566 0.4522 285 11-14 14-18 0-0 0-0 0-3 4-8 10-7 6-7 244 298 240 -1.7 -0.1
141 147.9 Butler Horz 0.5130 0.5168 125 12-12 16-16 0-2 0-2 2-3 5-6 9-2 6-6 108 24 150 -2.1 -0.1
104 106.0 Tulsa CUSA 0.5381 0.5262 108 14-9 19-13 0-3 1-2 3-3 8-3 6-3 7-7 136 101 108 -2.0 -0.1
102 104.1 Valparaiso Horz 0.5397 0.4944 168 15-8 19-11 0-1 1-1 2-2 8-4 8-3 5-6 122 151 106 -1.9 -0.1
134 138.5 Tennessee SEC 0.5174 0.5631 37 10-12 14-18 1-5 1-4 2-3 5-4 5-1 7-7 204 150 141 -2.5 -0.1
147 138.9 Charleston Southern BSth 0.5085 0.4590 266 11-9 17-11 0-2 0-1 0-2 3-4 14-3 4-4 110 126 142 -3.1 -0.1
259 256.6 IUPU Fort Wayne Sum 0.4486 0.4774 212 7-13 9-17 0-1 0-3 1-3 2-6 7-5 4-4 185 312 259 -2.4 -0.1
282 279.4 St. Peter's MAAC 0.4312 0.4986 155 5-18 8-24 0-0 0-2 0-7 1-8 7-6 2-10 308 145 281 -1.6 -0.1
203 208.5 Lipscomb ASun 0.4766 0.4837 192 10-13 13-17 0-1 1-3 1-3 2-7 10-4 4-7 188 124 211 -2.5 -0.1
105 107.8 Loyola Marymount WCC 0.5367 0.5333 88 13-9 17-13 1-4 1-4 1-1 4-2 10-2 6-6 148 75 110 -2.2 -0.1
67 70.3 Washington P12 0.5647 0.5366 82 16-7 21-11 0-3 0-2 5-4 7-2 9-0 7-5 117 62 73 -2.7 -0.1
280 277.4 Marist MAAC 0.4337 0.4794 206 8-15 10-20 0-1 0-2 0-4 1-6 9-7 5-7 234 232 280 -2.6 -0.1
126 121.4 College of Charleston SC 0.5220 0.4968 161 14-10 20-13 0-1 0-2 2-3 6-3 11-5 8-4 22 11 125 -3.6 -0.1
303 305.7 William & Mary CAA 0.4078 0.4948 165 3-21 4-27 0-1 0-2 0-5 1-11 4-8 1-11 327 258 307 -1.3 -0.2
341 337.2 South Carolina St. MEAC 0.3621 0.4340 322 2-18 4-25 0-1 0-1 0-2 0-6 4-15 3-9 290 238 338 -0.8 -0.2
238 242.0 Western Kentucky SB 0.4579 0.5055 145 8-15 10-20 0-1 0-3 0-4 4-5 6-6 4-9 221 45 245 -3.0 -0.2
284 271.9 Delaware St. MEAC 0.4306 0.4338 323 6-11 11-17 0-0 0-0 0-3 2-6 9-8 1-9 300 149 276 -4.1 -0.2
229 230.2 Arkansas St. SB 0.4644 0.4935 171 9-15 12-19 0-2 0-3 1-5 3-6 9-4 5-9 198 108 234 -3.8 -0.2
271 262.0 North Carolina A&T MEAC 0.4411 0.4517 287 7-14 11-19 0-2 0-1 0-2 1-6 10-8 2-10 268 77 266 -4.0 -0.2
338 335.2 Radford BSth 0.3694 0.4605 262 2-21 4-25 0-1 0-0 0-2 1-9 3-12 2-9 313 174 336 -0.8 -0.2
255 249.6 Jacksonville St. OVC 0.4502 0.4724 225 8-15 11-18 0-1 0-1 0-3 3-8 9-5 4-8 250 167 254 -4.4 -0.2
156 158.1 East Carolina CUSA 0.5047 0.5419 73 8-10 11-16 0-2 0-2 1-4 4-6 5-1 5-4 152 182 163 -4.9 -0.2
254 254.4 Northern Colorado BSky 0.4508 0.4980 159 6-14 8-18 0-1 0-2 0-6 1-3 7-6 2-8 175 14 258 -3.6 -0.2
270 264.4 Pacific BW 0.4419 0.4651 252 7-13 10-18 0-1 0-1 0-2 3-8 7-6 3-8 296 200 268 -3.6 -0.2 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
150 152.5 San Francisco WCC 0.5074 0.5038 148 13-10 16-14 0-3 0-3 1-2 2-3 12-3 8-4 130 242 157 -4.5 -0.2
127 125.3 Norfolk St. MEAC 0.5200 0.4493 291 15-7 22-10 0-2 0-0 1-1 4-3 16-4 8-5 76 103 130 -4.7 -0.2
174 171.5 Tulane CUSA 0.4950 0.4699 232 13-8 17-13 0-2 0-1 0-2 4-5 12-1 10-2 123 339 178 -6.5 -0.2
49 57.5 Cleveland St. Horz 0.5780 0.4983 157 18-4 26-6 0-0 1-0 3-2 11-3 10-1 10-2 25 88 60 -2.5 -0.2
38 34.1 Long Beach St. BW 0.5900 0.5203 117 15-6 23-8 0-3 0-2 2-1 8-1 12-0 5-7 27 1 37 -2.9 -0.2
204 210.2 NC Wilmington CAA 0.4765 0.5105 135 9-14 11-20 0-0 0-2 1-7 4-7 6-4 4-7 157 110 215 -4.8 -0.2
214 212.8 Florida International SB 0.4735 0.4989 154 7-14 11-18 0-1 0-2 1-3 3-6 6-6 3-8 212 82 218 -5.2 -0.2
182 179.7 Texas El Paso CUSA 0.4929 0.5313 95 10-13 14-18 0-2 0-3 1-4 5-6 7-3 7-7 145 80 186 -6.3 -0.2
215 213.9 Rider MAAC 0.4730 0.4981 158 9-15 12-20 0-1 0-2 1-5 2-7 10-4 3-10 237 139 219 -5.1 -0.2
108 109.3 Illinois St. MVC 0.5352 0.5137 131 15-9 19-12 0-3 0-2 3-1 8-4 7-2 9-3 131 269 115 -5.7 -0.2
48 40.2 Middle Tennessee SB 0.5797 0.4838 191 20-4 27-5 0-0 1-1 3-1 10-2 13-0 10-3 45 114 44 -3.8 -0.2
54 61.2 Texas B12 0.5731 0.5691 26 14-9 20-13 2-7 1-2 3-3 7-1 7-0 10-3 63 127 66 -4.8 -0.3
125 127.1 Wisconsin Milwaukee Horz 0.5231 0.4952 164 13-10 18-13 0-2 0-1 1-3 7-5 10-1 6-5 114 141 134 -6.9 -0.3
253 250.0 James Madison CAA 0.4513 0.4680 240 10-15 13-20 0-0 0-1 0-6 2-8 10-4 7-6 215 296 255 -5.0 -0.3
107 106.2 UCLA P12 0.5352 0.5318 93 12-10 18-14 0-2 1-3 3-6 5-3 9-0 7-5 155 129 113 -6.8 -0.3
233 234.8 Houston CUSA 0.4618 0.4941 169 10-11 13-17 0-1 0-1 1-3 5-8 6-3 7-5 262 294 242 -7.2 -0.3
93 81.4 Denver SB 0.5480 0.4866 184 17-7 23-9 2-1 1-2 1-1 6-4 13-2 10-3 39 70 88 -6.6 -0.3
323 321.3 Dartmouth Ivy 0.3908 0.4769 213 3-18 5-24 0-0 0-2 0-3 1-11 4-8 3-12 337 306 324 -2.7 -0.3
230 224.7 Furman SC 0.4632 0.4472 300 10-11 14-15 0-0 0-1 0-2 2-6 11-6 4-5 243 309 233 -8.3 -0.3
265 253.6 Bethune Cookman MEAC 0.4450 0.4361 318 8-13 13-18 0-2 0-0 0-2 1-6 12-8 2-11 310 202 262 -8.4 -0.3
101 98.6 Montana BSky 0.5405 0.4735 224 14-6 21-8 0-0 1-1 1-3 4-2 15-2 6-5 120 109 104 -5.4 -0.3
68 70.5 La Salle A10 0.5643 0.5180 123 17-7 23-11 1-1 1-2 4-4 7-3 9-0 11-4 98 240 78 -7.5 -0.3
42 39.7 Oral Roberts Sum 0.5855 0.5013 150 21-5 27-7 0-1 1-2 3-1 8-2 15-1 9-4 78 132 45 -5.3 -0.3
242 237.7 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 0.4564 0.4442 306 10-11 13-15 0-2 0-1 0-1 2-4 11-7 3-8 307 319 248 -10.3 -0.4
231 232.9 Southern Utah Sum 0.4630 0.4630 256 10-12 12-16 0-1 0-3 0-3 2-5 10-4 3-6 314 343 241 -8.1 -0.4
266 263.1 Montana St. BSky 0.4447 0.4442 307 9-11 11-16 0-1 0-1 0-3 1-4 10-8 3-7 287 310 270 -6.9 -0.4
188 181.5 Fresno St. WAC 0.4903 0.5009 152 9-14 14-18 0-0 0-1 1-5 4-8 8-3 8-8 176 224 192 -10.5 -0.4
90 90.9 Cincinnati BE 0.5492 0.5260 110 16-7 21-12 2-3 2-2 4-2 7-3 7-1 10-3 163 320 99 -8.1 -0.4
290 285.4 Sam Houston St. Slnd 0.4258 0.4677 243 5-14 8-20 0-0 0-1 0-5 0-6 8-7 2-9 279 143 292 -6.6 -0.4
103 92.5 Lamar Slnd 0.5397 0.4752 220 13-8 21-10 0-2 0-1 0-2 6-3 14-2 7-6 49 43 102 -9.5 -0.4 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
41 40.1 California P12 0.5872 0.5329 89 18-6 25-9 0-2 1-1 7-3 7-2 10-0 10-3 46 85 47 -6.9 -0.4
58 62.2 Nevada WAC 0.5690 0.5082 141 17-4 23-7 0-1 1-1 3-2 7-2 13-1 10-4 84 153 70 -7.8 -0.4
257 252.5 Samford SC 0.4491 0.4796 205 7-14 10-18 0-1 1-1 1-2 2-6 6-9 1-8 267 57 261 -8.5 -0.4
213 215.6 Cal St. Bakersfield ind 0.4748 0.4602 263 11-12 13-14 0-1 0-1 0-3 3-2 9-7 13-14 219 275 223 -7.4 -0.4
318 312.8 New Hampshire AE 0.3958 0.4067 342 7-13 11-18 0-0 0-0 0-1 2-8 9-8 5-6 316 341 318 -5.2 -0.4
185 179.6 Detroit Horz 0.4912 0.4946 166 11-12 15-16 0-1 0-2 0-4 7-6 8-2 5-6 210 161 191 -11.4 -0.4
33 28.7 St. Louis A10 0.5979 0.5314 94 17-5 24-7 0-1 1-2 7-3 7-1 8-0 11-2 42 187 35 -6.3 -0.4
85 80.3 Loyola MD MAAC 0.5534 0.4797 204 17-5 23-9 0-1 0-1 2-1 6-3 15-2 8-3 64 209 89 -8.7 -0.4
86 78.6 Weber St. BSky 0.5533 0.4680 241 16-4 21-7 0-1 0-1 1-2 4-1 16-2 7-3 70 112 87 -8.4 -0.4
92 86.0 Stanford P12 0.5491 0.5099 137 16-7 22-10 0-2 1-1 4-4 5-3 11-0 10-2 89 243 96 -10.0 -0.4
296 288.9 Southern SWAC 0.4179 0.3861 344 9-11 14-16 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-7 13-8 1-9 338 307 298 -9.1 -0.4
207 197.6 Albany AE 0.4763 0.4193 336 15-10 20-13 0-1 0-0 0-2 2-8 18-3 9-6 179 315 210 -12.4 -0.4
326 324.5 Louisiana Monroe SB 0.3879 0.4782 211 2-21 3-26 0-1 0-1 0-3 0-11 2-9 1-11 326 235 327 -2.5 -0.4
157 144.1 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 0.5041 0.4474 299 11-11 19-13 0-3 0-1 0-4 1-3 18-3 1-11 225 7 156 -11.9 -0.4
258 254.8 Stetson ASun 0.4487 0.4923 175 7-15 9-20 0-2 0-2 0-3 2-8 7-5 2-8 235 72 264 -9.2 -0.4
167 166.0 Idaho WAC 0.4979 0.4909 177 10-11 15-15 0-0 0-1 2-3 4-6 9-4 7-7 231 274 179 -13.0 -0.5
116 107.0 Coastal Carolina BSth 0.5305 0.4589 269 13-5 20-8 0-0 0-0 1-1 5-5 13-2 4-3 172 253 120 -13.0 -0.5
331 328.9 Northern Arizona BSky 0.3806 0.4590 268 3-19 4-23 0-0 0-1 0-4 0-6 4-11 3-8 298 250 332 -3.1 -0.5
178 184.5 Boise St. MWC 0.4941 0.5385 77 9-12 12-17 0-4 1-4 1-3 5-5 5-1 9-5 144 286 197 -12.5 -0.5
317 314.6 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 0.3974 0.4569 278 4-18 6-24 0-0 0-1 0-4 2-7 4-12 1-13 334 257 320 -5.4 -0.5
337 332.3 Alcorn St. SWAC 0.3707 0.4133 339 3-15 6-21 0-1 0-1 0-1 0-6 6-12 0-8 311 54 337 -4.7 -0.5
276 275.6 Santa Clara WCC 0.4379 0.5105 134 6-15 8-21 1-3 1-2 1-3 1-6 5-6 6-5 177 225 284 -8.4 -0.5
4 4.3 Kentucky SEC 0.6532 0.5591 47 23-1 31-3 5-2 4-1 5-0 12-0 6-0 14-1 8 98 6 -1.7 -0.5
87 82.5 Kent St. MAC 0.5526 0.5038 149 15-6 21-10 0-0 1-2 2-4 7-2 12-1 10-3 77 185 95 -12.5 -0.5
223 221.1 Ball St. MAC 0.4681 0.4301 326 11-9 17-13 0-0 0-2 0-3 3-3 14-4 8-4 218 340 235 -13.9 -0.5
195 186.1 East Tennessee St. ASun 0.4860 0.4589 270 11-10 15-14 0-0 0-1 1-2 5-6 10-4 5-5 170 282 201 -14.9 -0.5
332 328.2 Florida A&M MEAC 0.3792 0.4277 329 4-17 7-23 0-0 0-0 0-1 1-8 6-13 0-12 340 251 333 -4.8 -0.5
46 45.6 Akron MAC 0.5810 0.5370 81 15-7 22-10 0-1 2-3 4-5 6-2 10-0 7-7 72 26 55 -9.4 -0.5
114 106.7 Manhattan MAAC 0.5310 0.4693 237 17-8 23-10 0-1 1-2 1-2 4-4 17-1 8-5 141 281 118 -11.3 -0.5
281 275.2 Toledo MAC 0.4334 0.4486 294 8-13 12-18 0-1 0-2 0-3 3-4 9-8 7-6 264 305 285 -9.8 -0.5 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
96 90.5 George Mason CAA 0.5456 0.4824 197 19-6 24-9 0-0 0-1 3-3 7-3 13-2 9-4 116 213 103 -12.5 -0.5
145 149.7 Clemson ACC 0.5099 0.5296 100 11-11 15-16 1-3 1-2 1-4 6-6 7-2 8-6 203 261 164 -14.3 -0.5
295 289.8 Army Pat 0.4193 0.4279 328 9-13 12-17 0-0 0-0 0-3 2-6 10-7 6-8 331 344 299 -9.2 -0.6
52 47.6 South Dakota St. Sum 0.5752 0.4970 160 17-6 24-8 0-0 1-1 2-2 7-3 14-1 7-4 87 163 58 -10.4 -0.6
196 180.9 Cal Poly BW 0.4852 0.4489 293 11-11 18-13 0-3 0-1 0-1 3-3 14-5 8-5 142 262 196 -15.1 -0.6
333 330.9 The Citadel SC 0.3765 0.4694 235 2-19 3-25 0-0 0-1 0-3 0-8 3-13 1-8 324 221 335 -4.1 -0.6
293 289.4 Illinois Chicago Horz 0.4214 0.4700 230 6-14 8-20 0-0 0-1 0-4 4-9 4-7 3-6 281 323 301 -11.6 -0.6
129 128.6 Utah St. WAC 0.5198 0.5196 119 12-12 17-15 0-1 1-2 2-5 5-4 9-4 9-7 118 116 146 -17.4 -0.6
153 156.2 Bowling Green MAC 0.5061 0.5100 136 10-11 15-16 1-1 1-2 2-5 4-4 8-3 6-7 194 192 174 -17.8 -0.6
122 118.4 North Dakota St. Sum 0.5245 0.4784 210 13-8 18-11 0-1 0-2 0-2 7-2 11-4 6-3 126 288 135 -16.6 -0.6
211 209.7 Miami OH MAC 0.4750 0.5278 104 6-14 10-19 0-2 1-3 3-5 2-5 5-5 4-8 248 104 226 -16.3 -0.6
20 22.7 Wisconsin B10 0.6109 0.5775 18 18-6 24-9 3-6 3-1 5-1 9-1 5-0 11-2 34 94 29 -6.3 -0.6
170 160.3 Vermont AE 0.4960 0.4500 289 15-10 21-12 0-1 0-2 0-1 5-6 16-2 7-8 180 190 175 -14.7 -0.6
51 56.9 Wyoming MWC 0.5754 0.5303 98 16-5 21-9 2-3 2-2 2-1 5-2 10-0 12-2 71 295 69 -12.1 -0.6
308 306.8 Jackson St. SWAC 0.4037 0.4486 295 4-17 8-22 0-4 0-1 0-1 1-4 7-12 1-10 187 2 317 -10.2 -0.6
327 324.0 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 0.3874 0.4758 218 2-21 4-25 0-0 0-1 0-3 0-11 3-11 1-10 328 194 329 -5.0 -0.6
274 267.4 Gardner Webb BSth 0.4380 0.4472 301 8-15 12-19 0-1 0-0 0-1 3-9 9-7 4-7 276 314 283 -15.6 -0.7
199 194.0 Austin Peay OVC 0.4807 0.5181 121 8-16 12-20 0-2 0-5 0-2 4-7 8-4 3-11 216 22 212 -18.0 -0.7
194 188.3 St. Francis NY NEC 0.4876 0.4497 290 13-10 17-14 0-0 0-0 1-3 3-5 14-5 3-8 306 318 205 -16.7 -0.7
136 133.9 Fairfield MAAC 0.5158 0.5050 146 12-10 17-14 0-1 0-3 1-5 4-4 12-1 5-7 135 87 151 -17.1 -0.7
189 184.8 Hawaii WAC 0.4895 0.4903 178 12-9 15-14 0-1 1-1 2-3 5-5 8-4 7-7 258 272 204 -19.2 -0.7
113 109.7 Oregon St. P12 0.5313 0.5066 143 14-8 20-12 0-1 1-2 5-5 4-3 10-1 9-2 119 302 128 -18.3 -0.7
173 166.2 Campbell BSth 0.4954 0.4558 279 14-11 18-14 0-1 0-0 1-2 4-5 13-6 5-7 190 283 185 -18.8 -0.7
267 254.4 Maine AE 0.4445 0.4189 337 10-10 14-15 0-0 0-1 0-1 2-7 12-5 6-5 207 311 272 -17.6 -0.7
264 259.9 UC Irvine BW 0.4451 0.4768 214 7-13 10-18 0-2 0-2 0-3 1-7 9-5 3-8 278 117 274 -14.1 -0.7
236 237.2 Hofstra CAA 0.4583 0.5097 138 8-17 12-21 0-0 1-1 1-6 3-10 7-4 7-6 171 130 252 -14.8 -0.7
273 267.4 Winthrop BSth 0.4398 0.4624 259 8-15 10-19 0-1 0-1 0-2 1-9 9-6 1-9 272 136 282 -14.6 -0.7
300 297.2 Alabama St. SWAC 0.4112 0.4092 340 6-14 11-18 0-1 0-1 0-1 1-6 11-9 1-9 282 152 310 -12.8 -0.7
74 69.2 New Mexico St. WAC 0.5613 0.5206 116 16-7 22-10 1-2 1-2 1-2 9-3 12-1 11-5 73 95 84 -14.8 -0.7
268 252.1 Morgan St. MEAC 0.4426 0.4594 265 5-15 12-18 0-2 0-1 0-2 1-6 10-7 3-9 232 81 273 -20.9 -0.7 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
217 198.2 Savannah St. MEAC 0.4726 0.4250 331 11-10 18-13 0-2 0-1 0-1 1-4 17-5 5-8 257 231 224 -25.8 -0.7
177 166.4 Quinnipiac NEC 0.4945 0.4627 257 13-10 17-13 0-0 0-0 1-3 5-6 11-4 7-4 99 215 188 -21.6 -0.7
154 152.3 Tennessee St. OVC 0.5058 0.4845 189 13-10 16-14 0-3 0-2 0-1 3-4 12-4 5-7 140 155 173 -20.7 -0.8
321 316.2 Navy Pat 0.3929 0.4808 203 2-19 4-24 0-1 0-0 0-4 0-8 3-11 2-11 318 245 323 -6.8 -0.8
79 69.1 Virginia Commonwealth CAA 0.5583 0.4813 201 20-5 26-8 0-0 1-1 3-3 9-2 13-0 10-3 83 199 85 -15.9 -0.8
82 69.6 Drexel CAA 0.5568 0.4695 234 19-5 25-7 0-0 0-1 3-2 8-3 14-1 8-4 95 223 86 -16.4 -0.8
235 228.0 Central Connecticut NEC 0.4600 0.4616 261 10-12 13-16 0-1 0-0 1-5 2-6 11-5 3-7 295 244 253 -25.0 -0.8
287 279.0 High Point BSth 0.4285 0.4676 245 7-15 9-19 0-0 0-1 0-4 3-7 7-7 2-7 292 208 294 -15.0 -0.8
289 277.7 Chattanooga SC 0.4259 0.4666 247 6-16 11-19 0-2 0-2 0-2 2-5 8-9 3-7 269 147 297 -19.3 -0.8
175 167.4 Boston University AE 0.4949 0.4750 221 12-13 17-16 0-0 0-2 0-5 3-7 14-2 4-11 178 63 187 -19.6 -0.8
306 305.9 Sacramento St. BSky 0.4071 0.4345 320 6-14 9-17 0-0 0-0 0-3 1-5 8-9 4-6 319 334 316 -10.1 -0.8
244 229.7 Texas Southern SWAC 0.4551 0.4455 305 7-15 14-18 0-3 0-1 0-4 0-4 14-7 1-11 247 12 256 -26.3 -0.8
60 50.9 Davidson SC 0.5683 0.4953 162 16-5 24-7 1-2 0-1 1-1 7-2 15-1 5-5 56 4 67 -16.1 -0.8
210 207.6 Eastern Washington BSky 0.4753 0.4680 242 9-13 13-17 0-1 0-1 0-4 2-5 11-6 4-8 151 181 230 -22.4 -0.9
343 342.3 UC Davis BW 0.3460 0.4441 308 0-21 2-27 0-1 0-2 0-2 0-8 1-15 1-12 344 322 344 -1.7 -0.9
180 176.3 Western Illinois Sum 0.4933 0.4881 183 10-9 13-14 0-1 0-3 1-2 3-3 9-4 3-4 168 255 202 -25.7 -0.9
166 157.8 Texas San Antonio Slnd 0.4980 0.4486 296 12-9 19-12 0-0 1-1 1-3 4-3 13-6 6-7 167 249 183 -25.2 -0.9
109 108.1 Lehigh Pat 0.5349 0.4430 309 17-6 24-8 0-1 0-1 1-2 4-3 18-1 11-4 113 327 124 -15.9 -0.9
285 278.9 San Jose St. WAC 0.4299 0.4889 181 6-16 8-22 0-0 0-2 0-4 2-9 5-6 6-9 253 284 293 -14.1 -0.9
59 60.3 Ohio MAC 0.5688 0.4953 163 18-4 25-8 0-1 1-2 5-2 6-2 13-1 12-2 62 222 80 -19.7 -0.9
319 317.1 Texas St. Slnd 0.3945 0.4388 313 4-14 7-19 0-0 0-0 0-3 1-5 7-10 3-7 285 304 330 -12.9 -1.0
15 16.3 St. Mary's WCC 0.6196 0.5273 106 20-2 26-4 1-2 3-1 4-1 6-1 12-0 10-2 28 66 24 -7.7 -1.0
272 252.1 North Dakota GWC 0.4398 0.4411 311 6-12 12-15 0-2 0-1 1-0 1-3 8-10 5-10 233 173 286 -33.9 -1.0
245 245.4 IUPUI Sum 0.4550 0.4985 156 8-15 10-19 0-2 0-3 1-2 3-5 7-7 5-6 181 168 267 -21.6 -1.0
222 207.4 Utah Valley GWC 0.4685 0.4211 335 12-10 17-12 0-0 0-1 0-3 1-3 16-5 7-10 251 266 236 -28.6 -1.0
70 65.4 Buffalo MAC 0.5633 0.5179 124 13-6 19-10 0-1 1-3 3-3 6-3 9-1 6-5 93 111 90 -24.6 -1.0
336 329.8 Alabama A&M SWAC 0.3716 0.4037 343 3-14 7-19 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-7 7-10 0-7 320 100 342 -12.2 -1.0
209 210.4 Lafayette Pat 0.4753 0.4847 188 10-13 13-18 0-0 0-1 0-5 2-8 11-3 5-10 246 205 231 -20.6 -1.0
171 163.4 Wofford SC 0.4959 0.4522 286 13-9 18-13 0-1 0-2 1-1 4-3 13-7 5-6 183 289 193 -29.6 -1.0
29 26.2 Murray St. OVC 0.6000 0.4848 187 20-0 26-2 1-0 1-0 1-0 9-1 13-0 9-1 4 38 38 -11.8 -1.0 Expected RPI SOS SOS Rank Current Projected 1-25 26-50 51-100 101-200 200+ Non Conf Forecasts Current Over- Overall RPI Rank Team Conf Forecast Forecast Forecast W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L W-L RPI SOS RPI Rated t-stat
335 334.9 Bryant NEC 0.3718 0.4617 260 2-22 3-27 0-0 0-1 0-5 0-8 3-13 1-11 336 273 340 -5.1 -1.0
16 16.5 Wichita St. MVC 0.6178 0.5570 49 19-4 25-6 1-2 1-2 6-1 12-1 5-0 9-2 12 15 26 -9.5 -1.0
123 111.2 Georgia St. CAA 0.5241 0.4625 258 16-8 23-10 0-0 0-1 2-3 5-4 15-2 9-3 159 331 139 -27.8 -1.0
311 305.7 Liberty BSth 0.4027 0.4475 298 6-16 8-21 0-0 0-0 0-2 1-10 7-9 2-8 330 316 319 -13.3 -1.1
307 302.3 Hampton MEAC 0.4050 0.4168 338 8-14 12-19 0-0 0-0 0-1 1-8 12-11 4-10 312 325 322 -19.7 -1.1
135 131.5 Tennessee Tech OVC 0.5172 0.4832 193 14-9 18-12 0-2 0-2 0-3 6-3 11-4 6-6 137 201 159 -27.5 -1.1
152 136.9 Stony Brook AE 0.5063 0.4284 327 14-7 20-9 0-1 0-0 0-1 6-4 14-4 4-7 261 277 166 -29.1 -1.1
329 325.4 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 0.3814 0.4233 333 4-19 8-24 0-1 0-2 0-2 1-7 7-12 1-12 301 128 339 -13.6 -1.2
30 26.0 New Mexico MWC 0.5993 0.5361 84 18-4 25-6 2-3 3-1 4-1 7-0 9-1 13-2 81 263 43 -17.0 -1.2
45 38.8 Iona MAAC 0.5831 0.5012 151 19-5 26-6 0-0 1-1 4-3 9-1 12-2 9-3 26 51 57 -18.2 -1.3
246 234.3 Stephen F. Austin Slnd 0.4548 0.4313 324 8-9 14-14 0-0 0-0 0-3 2-5 11-6 3-7 325 328 277 -42.7 -1.4
237 222.3 North Carolina Central MEAC 0.4580 0.4377 316 7-11 13-15 0-1 0-1 0-2 1-5 12-7 2-8 206 67 275 -52.7 -1.5
100 84.9 Texas Arlington Slnd 0.5420 0.4541 281 16-5 24-8 0-1 0-0 2-2 5-3 18-2 7-6 112 196 119 -34.1 -1.5
71 54.3 Belmont ASun 0.5631 0.4897 180 16-7 24-8 0-1 1-1 2-1 9-2 13-2 7-5 59 69 91 -36.7 -2.0
Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities. Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com