Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Lamar   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Lamar

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:292.7
Current RPI:293
Expected SOS:271
Current Record:10-18
Expected Record:10-18
Current Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-7
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:277
Expected OOC SOS:302


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-1835.71%292.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Lamar.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCH77-72W100%0.0
11-19Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBA66-74L0%0.0
11-21Texas Tech (71.6)B12A54-77L0%0.0
11-23Ohio (99.9)MACA46-71L0%0.0
11-25Marshall (67.3)CUSAA74-87L0%0.0
11-28North Carolina A&T (299.1)MEACH74-73W100%0.0
12-2Denver (164.4)SBA55-62L0%0.0
12-6Hawaii (253.2)WACA78-96L0%0.0
12-19Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBH60-68L0%0.0
12-23Rice (311.0)CUSAH77-61W100%0.0
1-2Tulane (281.1)CUSAH70-67W100%0.0
1-4Arkansas St. (200.9)SBH87-68W100%0.0
1-9Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndA56-78L0%0.0
1-13Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndH71-68W100%0.0
1-16McNeese St. (314.8)SlndH79-78W100%0.0
1-20Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndA64-81L0%0.0
1-23Texas St. (242.5)SlndH92-97L0%0.0
1-27Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndA63-90L0%0.0
1-30Texas San Antonio (186.6)SlndA64-57W100%0.0
2-3Central Arkansas (320.1)SlndH73-65W100%0.0
2-6Stephen F. Austin (143.1)SlndH49-46W100%0.0
2-13Texas St. (242.5)SlndA67-81L0%0.0
2-17Sam Houston St. (74.5)SlndH54-66L0%0.0
2-20Northwestern St. (312.3)SlndA79-82L0%0.0
2-24Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndA71-75L0%0.0
2-27Texas San Antonio (186.6)SlndH74-76L0%0.0
3-3Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndH55-79L0%0.0
3-6Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndA61-73L0%0.0