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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:337.0
Current RPI:337
Expected SOS:338
Current Record:7-19
Expected Record:7-19
Current Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Record:3-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-10
Current OOC Record:4-4
Expected OOC Record:4-4
Expected OOC RPI:243
Expected OOC SOS:339


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Lamar.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA80-72L0%0.0
11-21Delaware St. (345.0)MEACA66-77W100%0.0
11-25Rice (279.0)CUSAA92-84L0%0.0
11-29UC Riverside (267.0)BWH69-74L0%0.0
12-2UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH83-60W100%0.0
12-5Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH82-70W100%0.0
12-12Liberty (264.0)BSthA58-73W100%0.0
12-13Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA88-53L0%0.0
1-2Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndA67-79W100%0.0
1-4New Orleans (343.0)SlndH64-68L0%0.0
1-9Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndA93-76L0%0.0
1-11Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndH82-91L0%0.0
1-16Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndH86-82W100%0.0
1-18Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndA98-70L0%0.0
1-23Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndH79-92L0%0.0
1-25Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndA86-52L0%0.0
1-30Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndA80-71L0%0.0
2-1Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndH66-69L0%0.0
2-6Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndH71-74L0%0.0
2-8Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndH67-71L0%0.0
2-15Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndA79-78L0%0.0
2-20McNeese St. (341.0)SlndA76-87W100%0.0
2-22Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndH58-79L0%0.0
2-27Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndA89-70L0%0.0
2-29McNeese St. (341.0)SlndH74-77L0%0.0
3-3Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndA94-76L0%0.0