Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Rice   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Rice

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:311.0
Current RPI:311
Expected SOS:206
Current Record:7-23
Expected Record:7-23
Current Conf Record:1-16
Expected Conf Record:1-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-7
Current OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC RPI:248
Expected OOC SOS:251


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2323.33%311.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Rice.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH81-51W100%0.0
11-14South Alabama (209.4)SBH71-69W100%0.0
11-15Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCH60-46W100%0.0
11-19Arizona (95.4)P10A49-66L0%0.0
11-24Furman (278.9)SCH77-65W100%0.0
11-29Texas (29.3)B12H59-77L0%0.0
12-2Harvard (98.9)IvyA64-85L0%0.0
12-5North Texas (103.0)SBH62-64L0%0.0
12-16Santa Clara (234.3)WCCH70-57W100%0.0
12-19Louisiana St. (224.0)SECA61-65L0%0.0
12-23Lamar (292.7)SlndA61-77L0%0.0
12-29McNeese St. (314.8)SlndH75-62W100%0.0
1-2Texas Christian (188.1)MWCA58-70L0%0.0
1-6Houston (126.1)CUSAH66-83L0%0.0
1-9Central Florida (189.5)CUSAA58-77L0%0.0
1-13Tulane (281.1)CUSAA58-72L0%0.0
1-16Memphis (56.3)CUSAH68-80L0%0.0
1-20Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAH65-73L0%0.0
1-23Tulsa (66.5)CUSAA58-62L0%0.0
1-30East Carolina (230.2)CUSAA69-58W100%0.0
2-3Tulane (281.1)CUSAH74-79L0%0.0
2-6UAB (45.3)CUSAH65-76L0%0.0
2-13Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAA50-66L0%0.0
2-17Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAA57-67L0%0.0
2-20East Carolina (230.2)CUSAH65-76L0%0.0
2-24Marshall (67.3)CUSAH54-77L0%0.0
2-27Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAA64-78L0%0.0
3-3Houston (126.1)CUSAA70-78L0%0.0
3-6Central Florida (189.5)CUSAH59-66L0%0.0
3-10Tulsa (66.5)CUSAN62-73L0%0.0