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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:279.0
Current RPI:279
Expected SOS:208
Current Record:10-20
Expected Record:10-20
Current Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-9
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:262
Expected OOC SOS:147


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Rice.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13California (16.0)P12A97-65L0%0.0
11-16San Francisco (228.0)WCCA80-54L0%0.0
11-19Oregon St. (33.0)P12H69-77L0%0.0
11-22Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH65-82L0%0.0
11-25Lamar (337.0)SlndH92-84W100%0.0
11-27UC Riverside (267.0)BWH87-81W100%0.0
11-29UT Arlington (105.0)SBH74-92L0%0.0
12-2Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndA77-73L0%0.0
12-19New Mexico (141.0)MWCA89-90W100%0.0
12-22South Alabama (240.0)SBA74-67L0%0.0
12-29Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndH76-82L0%0.0
1-1UTEP (215.0)CUSAA61-60L0%0.0
1-3UTSA (347.0)CUSAA85-80L0%0.0
1-9North Texas (295.0)CUSAA85-74L0%0.0
1-14Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH83-73W100%0.0
1-16Marshall (128.0)CUSAH90-94L0%0.0
1-21UAB (88.0)CUSAA82-70L0%0.0
1-23Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA87-73L0%0.0
1-30North Texas (295.0)CUSAH95-87W100%0.0
2-4Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH78-90L0%0.0
2-6Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAH72-65W100%0.0
2-11Charlotte (234.0)CUSAA102-73L0%0.0
2-13Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAA66-75W100%0.0
2-18Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH90-85W100%0.0
2-20FIU (270.0)CUSAH86-70W100%0.0
2-25Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAA74-76W100%0.0
2-27Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA88-69L0%0.0
3-3Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH75-88L0%0.0
3-5Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAH67-74L0%0.0
3-9Charlotte (234.0)CUSAN79-69L0%0.0