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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Rice

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:171.0
Current RPI:171
Expected SOS:146
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:8-9
Expected Conf Record:8-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-1
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:207
Expected OOC SOS:217


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%171.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Rice.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Southern (281.0)SWACH80-65W100%0.0
11-20Maryland Eastern Shore (320.0)MEACH81-49W100%0.0
11-22Florida A&M (316.0)MEACH75-59W100%0.0
11-25Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCN64-60L0%0.0
11-26Iowa St. (33.0)B12N63-90L0%0.0
11-30Houston Baptist (324.0)GWCA66-78W100%0.0
12-17Lamar (108.0)SlndH81-87L0%0.0
12-19Temple (19.0)A10H70-77L0%0.0
12-22Texas A&M (165.0)B12A58-65W100%0.0
12-28Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndH78-66W100%0.0
12-31Texas (50.0)B12A73-59L0%0.0
1-4Texas Christian (114.0)MWCA78-74L0%0.0
1-7Marshall (43.0)CUSAH61-63L0%0.0
1-11Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAA52-68W100%0.0
1-14Tulane (250.0)CUSAA49-50W100%0.0
1-18UAB (112.0)CUSAH60-61L0%0.0
1-21Tulsa (120.0)CUSAH46-70L0%0.0
1-25Memphis (16.0)CUSAA73-51L0%0.0
1-28Tulane (250.0)CUSAH88-74W100%0.0
2-1Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAH77-75W100%0.0
2-4East Carolina (164.0)CUSAA82-68L0%0.0
2-8Houston (221.0)CUSAA71-79W100%0.0
2-11Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAH43-39W100%0.0
2-18Tulsa (120.0)CUSAA69-50L0%0.0
2-22Central Florida (54.0)CUSAH83-74W100%0.0
2-25Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAA58-56L0%0.0
2-29Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAA61-68W100%0.0
3-3Houston (221.0)CUSAH75-76L0%0.0
3-7East Carolina (164.0)CUSAN66-68L0%0.0