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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Marshall

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:43.0
Current RPI:43
Expected SOS:23
Current Record:20-13
Expected Record:20-13
Current Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-0
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:52
Expected OOC SOS:9


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1360.61%43.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Marshall.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Alabama St. (308.0)SWACH67-49W100%0.0
11-13Jacksonville St. (216.0)OVCH58-44W100%0.0
11-19Northwestern St. (217.0)SlndH83-61W100%0.0
11-22NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAA64-69W100%0.0
11-25Cincinnati (44.0)BEA69-73W100%0.0
11-30Ohio (47.0)MACH68-70L0%0.0
12-6Syracuse (1.0)BEA62-56L0%0.0
12-11Iona (40.0)MAACH82-63W100%0.0
12-17High Point (268.0)BSthH79-59W100%0.0
12-19Belmont (58.0)ASunH87-86W100%0.0
12-29Belmont (58.0)ASunA79-74L0%0.0
1-1Akron (55.0)MACH51-67L0%0.0
1-4Texas El Paso (147.0)CUSAH76-60W100%0.0
1-7Rice (171.0)CUSAA61-63W100%0.0
1-11UAB (112.0)CUSAA59-61W100%0.0
1-14Central Florida (54.0)CUSAH65-64W100%0.0
1-18West Virginia (57.0)BEN62-78L0%0.0
1-21Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAA67-63L0%0.0
1-25UAB (112.0)CUSAH49-56L0%0.0
1-28Memphis (16.0)CUSAA83-76L0%0.0
2-1Tulane (250.0)CUSAH63-44W100%0.0
2-4Tulsa (120.0)CUSAA79-70L0%0.0
2-8Central Florida (54.0)CUSAA67-60L0%0.0
2-11East Carolina (164.0)CUSAH78-68W100%0.0
2-18Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAA68-73W100%0.0
2-22Houston (221.0)CUSAH66-58W100%0.0
2-25Memphis (16.0)CUSAH67-87L0%0.0
2-29East Carolina (164.0)CUSAA69-68L0%0.0
3-3Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAH79-75W100%0.0
3-7Southern Methodist (212.0)CUSAN74-56W100%0.0
3-8Tulsa (120.0)CUSAN100-105W100%0.0
3-9Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAN62-73W100%0.0
3-10Memphis (16.0)CUSAA83-57L0%0.0