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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:128.0
Current RPI:128
Expected SOS:97
Current Record:17-16
Expected Record:17-16
Current Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-2
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC RPI:195
Expected OOC SOS:32


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Marshall.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-19Tennessee (143.0)SECA84-74L0%0.0
11-24Morehead St. (127.0)OVCA85-61L0%0.0
11-27James Madison (103.0)CAAH75-89L0%0.0
12-1Ohio (81.0)MACA85-70L0%0.0
12-4Akron (34.0)MACH65-75L0%0.0
12-6James Madison (103.0)CAAA107-84L0%0.0
12-9Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCH82-76W100%0.0
12-12Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCH96-72W100%0.0
12-14North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACH92-73W100%0.0
12-17West Virginia (10.0)B12N68-86L0%0.0
12-21Wyoming (187.0)MWCN82-90W100%0.0
12-22Grand Canyon (91.0)WACN81-85L0%0.0
12-27Maryland (14.0)B10A87-67L0%0.0
1-3Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH94-76W100%0.0
1-7Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH90-67W100%0.0
1-9FIU (270.0)CUSAH99-81W100%0.0
1-14North Texas (295.0)CUSAA78-97W100%0.0
1-16Rice (279.0)CUSAA90-94W100%0.0
1-21Charlotte (234.0)CUSAA103-95L0%0.0
1-23Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAA75-78W100%0.0
1-28Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH82-66W100%0.0
1-30UAB (88.0)CUSAH78-81L0%0.0
2-4UTEP (215.0)CUSAA112-108L0%0.0
2-6UTSA (347.0)CUSAA91-109W100%0.0
2-13Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAA93-96W100%0.0
2-18Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH87-72W100%0.0
2-20Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAH82-65W100%0.0
2-25UAB (88.0)CUSAA95-91L0%0.0
2-27Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA83-74L0%0.0
3-3Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH94-97L0%0.0
3-5Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAH108-106W100%0.0
3-10UTEP (215.0)CUSAN87-85W100%0.0
3-11Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAN99-90L0%0.0