Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Wyoming   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Wyoming

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:227.6
Current RPI:228
Expected SOS:63
Current Record:8-21
Expected Record:8-21
Current Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-5
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:182
Expected OOC SOS:43


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2127.59%227.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wyoming.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13South Dakota St. (233.5)SumH61-77L0%0.0
11-21Boise St. (202.8)WACH87-61W100%0.0
11-25Denver (164.4)SBA77-80L0%0.0
11-27Monmouth (288.9)NECH73-75L0%0.0
11-28Hampton (283.5)MEACH67-78L0%0.0
11-29Pepperdine (304.1)WCCH86-82W100%0.0
12-5Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCH76-70W100%0.0
12-12Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyN76-70W100%0.0
12-15Tennessee (11.0)SECA58-77L0%0.0
12-20South Dakota (216.8)GWCH86-74W100%0.0
12-23Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCA54-72L0%0.0
12-30Akron (84.2)MACH76-85L0%0.0
1-6Colorado St. (119.8)MWCH73-83L0%0.0
1-9San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH85-83W100%0.0
1-12Texas Christian (188.1)MWCA59-62L0%0.0
1-16New Mexico (10.5)MWCH68-70L0%0.0
1-20Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA66-81L0%0.0
1-27Utah (156.1)MWCH75-69W100%0.0
1-30Air Force (244.3)MWCA63-70L0%0.0
2-3Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCH50-78L0%0.0
2-6Colorado St. (119.8)MWCA64-80L0%0.0
2-10San Diego St. (24.6)MWCA57-88L0%0.0
2-13Texas Christian (188.1)MWCH68-76L0%0.0
2-17New Mexico (10.5)MWCA61-83L0%0.0
2-20Brigham Young (21.9)MWCH63-85L0%0.0
2-27Utah (156.1)MWCA64-74L0%0.0
3-2Air Force (244.3)MWCH58-49W100%0.0
3-6Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCA56-74L0%0.0
3-10Air Force (244.3)MWCN40-59L0%0.0