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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Wyoming

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:187.0
Current RPI:187
Expected SOS:100
Current Record:12-18
Expected Record:12-18
Current Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-3
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:155
Expected OOC SOS:55


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1840.00%187.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Wyoming.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA70-55L0%0.0
11-22Montana St. (260.0)BSkyN83-82L0%0.0
11-25Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH68-64W100%0.0
11-28Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH82-68W100%0.0
12-2Denver (188.0)SumA52-68W100%0.0
12-5California (16.0)P12H72-78L0%0.0
12-10Southern (186.0)SWACH58-68L0%0.0
12-13New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA59-62W100%0.0
12-19Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumH76-75W100%0.0
12-21Marshall (128.0)CUSAN82-90L0%0.0
12-22Houston (87.0)AmerN89-94L0%0.0
12-30San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA67-55L0%0.0
1-2Nevada (118.0)MWCA71-68L0%0.0
1-6Air Force (226.0)MWCH64-52W100%0.0
1-9UNLV (147.0)MWCH59-57W100%0.0
1-13San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA62-55L0%0.0
1-16New Mexico (141.0)MWCA68-70W100%0.0
1-20Nevada (118.0)MWCH69-75L0%0.0
1-23Boise St. (101.0)MWCH71-81L0%0.0
1-26Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA71-60L0%0.0
1-30Colorado St. (181.0)MWCH83-76W100%0.0
2-2Air Force (226.0)MWCA70-62L0%0.0
2-6Utah St. (151.0)MWCH84-65W100%0.0
2-13Boise St. (101.0)MWCA94-71L0%0.0
2-17Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH75-79L0%0.0
2-20Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA66-84W100%0.0
2-24San Diego St. (41.0)MWCH61-73L0%0.0
2-27UNLV (147.0)MWCA79-74L0%0.0
3-2San Jose St. (301.0)MWCH81-78W100%0.0
3-9Utah St. (151.0)MWCN70-88L0%0.0