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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:118.0
Current RPI:118
Expected SOS:140
Current Record:17-13
Expected Record:17-13
Current Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-1
Current OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC RPI:125
Expected OOC SOS:263


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Nevada.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Coastal Carolina (164.0)BSthN56-73W100%0.0
11-15Montana St. (260.0)BSkyN83-62W100%0.0
11-16Hawaii (80.0)BWA76-75L0%0.0
11-21Pacific (268.0)WCCA82-85W100%0.0
11-25Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH76-73W100%0.0
11-28Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWA75-66L0%0.0
12-5Oregon St. (33.0)P12A66-62L0%0.0
12-12Drake (325.0)MVCH79-71W100%0.0
12-18Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH72-69W100%0.0
12-22Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA98-69L0%0.0
12-30New Mexico (141.0)MWCA88-76L0%0.0
1-2Wyoming (187.0)MWCH71-68W100%0.0
1-6Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA85-63L0%0.0
1-9Air Force (226.0)MWCA63-86W100%0.0
1-13Boise St. (101.0)MWCH67-74L0%0.0
1-20Wyoming (187.0)MWCA69-75W100%0.0
1-23UNLV (147.0)MWCH65-63W100%0.0
1-26San Diego St. (41.0)MWCH54-57L0%0.0
1-30Utah St. (151.0)MWCA84-89W100%0.0
2-6Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA76-67L0%0.0
2-10Air Force (226.0)MWCH72-52W100%0.0
2-13Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH77-72W100%0.0
2-17San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA55-61W100%0.0
2-20UNLV (147.0)MWCA102-91L0%0.0
2-24Utah St. (151.0)MWCH73-68W100%0.0
2-28Colorado St. (181.0)MWCH87-80W100%0.0
3-2Boise St. (101.0)MWCA76-57L0%0.0
3-5New Mexico (141.0)MWCH66-71L0%0.0
3-10New Mexico (141.0)MWCN62-64W100%0.0
3-11San Diego St. (41.0)MWCN67-55L0%0.0