Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Pacific   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Pacific

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:128.6
Current RPI:126
Expected SOS:208
Current Record:20-11
Expected Record:20-11
Current Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-3
Current OOC Record:8-6
Expected OOC Record:8-6
Expected OOC RPI:153
Expected OOC SOS:203


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1164.52%128.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Pacific.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA67-64W100%0.0
11-16San Diego (230.7)WCCH56-55W100%0.0
11-22Santa Clara (234.3)WCCH84-57W100%0.0
11-25San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH71-63W100%0.0
11-28San Jose St. (177.2)WACA55-59L0%0.0
12-1Fresno St. (190.4)WACA70-58W100%0.0
12-5Nevada (72.9)WACH61-58W100%0.0
12-9California (18.5)P10H54-79L0%0.0
12-12Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH79-49W100%0.0
12-18St. Mary's (35.6)WCCA65-80L0%0.0
12-21Santa Clara (234.3)WCCA53-54L0%0.0
12-29Oklahoma St. (31.2)B12A50-66L0%0.0
1-2Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWH52-43W100%0.0
1-8Cal Poly (255.8)BWA73-63W100%0.0
1-10UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWA67-68L0%0.0
1-16UC Irvine (275.6)BWH64-51W100%0.0
1-21Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWH80-73W100%0.0
1-23UC Davis (244.0)BWH77-61W100%0.0
1-28UC Irvine (275.6)BWA61-50W100%0.0
1-30UC Riverside (255.6)BWA72-57W100%0.0
2-4UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWH48-61L0%0.0
2-6Cal Poly (255.8)BWH67-61W100%0.0
2-10UC Davis (244.0)BWA59-62L0%0.0
2-13Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indA71-44W100%0.0
2-17Long Beach St. (105.3)BWA74-52W100%0.0
2-20New Mexico St. (58.1)WACH78-84L0%0.0
2-25UC Riverside (255.6)BWH53-62L0%0.0
2-27Long Beach St. (105.3)BWH61-51W100%0.0
3-4Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWA70-64W100%0.0
3-6Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWA66-47W100%0.0
3-12Long Beach St. (105.3)BWN61-66L0%0.0