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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Pacific

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:288.0
Current RPI:288
Expected SOS:263
Current Record:9-19
Expected Record:9-19
Current Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-9
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:298
Expected OOC SOS:238


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-1932.14%288.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Pacific.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Nevada (65.0)WACA78-54L0%0.0
11-25Hawaii (204.0)WACA75-70L0%0.0
11-28Stanford (97.0)P12A79-37L0%0.0
12-3Utah St. (143.0)WACH65-57W100%0.0
12-6Hawaii (204.0)WACH64-54W100%0.0
12-10San Francisco (136.0)WCCA79-69L0%0.0
12-17Santa Clara (303.0)WCCA78-76L0%0.0
12-22Cal St. Bakersfield (213.0)indA83-53L0%0.0
12-29Fresno St. (229.0)WACH47-55L0%0.0
1-2Cal St. Fullerton (157.0)BWA78-73L0%0.0
1-5UC Irvine (254.0)BWH69-73L0%0.0
1-7UC Riverside (253.0)BWH57-64L0%0.0
1-12Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWA59-79W100%0.0
1-14Long Beach St. (34.0)BWA76-66L0%0.0
1-17Cal St. Bakersfield (213.0)indH73-76L0%0.0
1-21UC Davis (338.0)BWH64-48W100%0.0
1-26Cal Poly (219.0)BWH61-51W100%0.0
1-28UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWH53-56L0%0.0
2-2UC Riverside (253.0)BWA52-60W100%0.0
2-4UC Irvine (254.0)BWA64-72W100%0.0
2-9Long Beach St. (34.0)BWH66-74L0%0.0
2-11Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWH62-61W100%0.0
2-14UC Davis (338.0)BWA73-64L0%0.0
2-18Idaho St. (290.0)BSkyH66-64W100%0.0
2-23Cal St. Fullerton (157.0)BWH68-69L0%0.0
3-1UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWA76-61L0%0.0
3-3Cal Poly (219.0)BWA67-38L0%0.0
3-8UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWN72-52L0%0.0