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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:129.0
Current RPI:129
Expected SOS:142
Current Record:17-13
Expected Record:17-13
Current Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-6
Current OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC RPI:109
Expected OOC SOS:181


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Pepperdine.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA69-66L0%0.0
11-19UCLA (102.0)P12A81-67L0%0.0
11-23Duquesne (162.0)A10N70-84W100%0.0
11-24Murray St. (169.0)OVCN55-59L0%0.0
11-25Drake (325.0)MVCN69-53L0%0.0
11-29Montana (145.0)BSkyH69-63W100%0.0
12-5Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWA55-70W100%0.0
12-9Long Beach St. (79.0)BWH77-75W100%0.0
12-12Ball St. (179.0)MACA63-72W100%0.0
12-18Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH79-59W100%0.0
12-21Gonzaga (46.0)WCCA99-73L0%0.0
12-23Portland (249.0)WCCA87-79L0%0.0
1-2Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH68-65W100%0.0
1-7Pacific (268.0)WCCH81-76W100%0.0
1-9Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCH67-64W100%0.0
1-14Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA62-60L0%0.0
1-16San Francisco (228.0)WCCA84-98W100%0.0
1-21San Diego (302.0)WCCH76-58W100%0.0
1-23BYU (76.0)WCCH71-65W100%0.0
1-28San Diego (302.0)WCCA65-75W100%0.0
1-30BYU (76.0)WCCA88-77L0%0.0
2-4Portland (249.0)WCCH70-73L0%0.0
2-6Gonzaga (46.0)WCCH66-69L0%0.0
2-11Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA63-69W100%0.0
2-13Pacific (268.0)WCCA63-65W100%0.0
2-18San Francisco (228.0)WCCH72-82L0%0.0
2-20Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH88-76W100%0.0
2-27Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA90-83L0%0.0
3-5San Francisco (228.0)WCCN90-86W100%0.0
3-7Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCN81-66L0%0.0