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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:249.0
Current RPI:249
Expected SOS:159
Current Record:11-20
Expected Record:11-20
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-9
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:261
Expected OOC SOS:249


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Portland.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15UC Davis (281.0)BWA79-66L0%0.0
11-20Colorado (35.0)P12A85-63L0%0.0
11-22Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndH87-57W100%0.0
11-24Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACH97-65W100%0.0
11-27Colorado St. (181.0)MWCN90-74L0%0.0
11-28Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCN79-80L0%0.0
12-2Portland St. (282.0)BSkyA72-78W100%0.0
12-5Boise St. (101.0)MWCH71-81L0%0.0
12-8Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH65-66L0%0.0
12-12Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH81-73W100%0.0
12-18Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH82-92L0%0.0
12-19Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH65-60W100%0.0
12-21Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH87-60W100%0.0
12-23Pepperdine (129.0)WCCH87-79W100%0.0
12-31San Francisco (228.0)WCCA107-95L0%0.0
1-2Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA84-77L0%0.0
1-9Gonzaga (46.0)WCCA85-74L0%0.0
1-14San Diego (302.0)WCCH71-82L0%0.0
1-16BYU (76.0)WCCH84-81W100%0.0
1-21Pacific (268.0)WCCA70-61L0%0.0
1-23Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA89-74L0%0.0
1-28San Francisco (228.0)WCCH76-87L0%0.0
1-30Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH84-90L0%0.0
2-4Pepperdine (129.0)WCCA70-73W100%0.0
2-6Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA78-92W100%0.0
2-11Gonzaga (46.0)WCCH66-92L0%0.0
2-18Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCH72-74L0%0.0
2-20Pacific (268.0)WCCH80-67W100%0.0
2-25BYU (76.0)WCCA99-81L0%0.0
2-27San Diego (302.0)WCCA85-76L0%0.0
3-5Gonzaga (46.0)WCCN92-67L0%0.0