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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Portland

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:238.0
Current RPI:238
Expected SOS:67
Current Record:6-24
Expected Record:6-24
Current Conf Record:4-14
Expected Conf Record:4-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-2
Current OOC Record:2-10
Expected OOC Record:2-10
Expected OOC RPI:193
Expected OOC SOS:11


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2420.00%238.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Portland.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Florida Atlantic (207.0)SBN70-65W100%0.0
11-13Georgia St. (141.0)CAAN66-61W100%0.0
11-14Washington (71.0)P12A93-63L0%0.0
11-20Washington St. (175.0)P12H73-83L0%0.0
11-22UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWA83-69L0%0.0
11-26Kentucky (2.0)SECA87-63L0%0.0
12-3St. Louis (31.0)A10A73-53L0%0.0
12-7Boise St. (173.0)MWCA92-70L0%0.0
12-10Ohio (47.0)MACH54-72L0%0.0
12-17Montana (74.0)BSkyH65-80L0%0.0
12-19Utah (274.0)P12A72-67L0%0.0
12-22Nevada (65.0)WACA78-60L0%0.0
12-28Gonzaga (25.0)WCCA90-51L0%0.0
1-5Santa Clara (303.0)WCCH84-74W100%0.0
1-7Pepperdine (271.0)WCCH53-43W100%0.0
1-12San Francisco (136.0)WCCA104-70L0%0.0
1-14St. Mary's (28.0)WCCA69-61L0%0.0
1-19San Diego (192.0)WCCH63-82L0%0.0
1-21San Francisco (136.0)WCCH71-72L0%0.0
1-26Gonzaga (25.0)WCCH62-74L0%0.0
1-28Loyola Marymount (118.0)WCCA62-59L0%0.0
2-2Santa Clara (303.0)WCCA78-84W100%0.0
2-4Brigham Young (46.0)WCCH60-79L0%0.0
2-9Loyola Marymount (118.0)WCCH62-76L0%0.0
2-16San Diego (192.0)WCCA78-75L0%0.0
2-18Pepperdine (271.0)WCCA70-65L0%0.0
2-23St. Mary's (28.0)WCCH43-70L0%0.0
2-25Brigham Young (46.0)WCCA76-66L0%0.0
2-29Santa Clara (303.0)WCCN74-70W100%0.0
3-1San Francisco (136.0)WCCN87-66L0%0.0