Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Portland   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Portland

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:79.9
Current RPI:79
Expected SOS:125
Current Record:19-10
Expected Record:19-10
Current Conf Record:11-5
Expected Conf Record:11-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-1
Current OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC Record:8-5
Expected OOC RPI:98
Expected OOC SOS:97


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1065.52%79.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Portland.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyA64-58W100%0.0
11-17Seattle (191.8)indH98-81W100%0.0
11-21Oregon (138.5)P10H88-81W100%0.0
11-26UCLA (137.1)P10N74-47W100%0.0
11-27Minnesota (64.6)B10N61-56W100%0.0
11-29West Virginia (3.9)BEN66-84L0%0.0
12-2Portland St. (221.5)BSkyH82-86L0%0.0
12-6Idaho (173.2)WACA48-68L0%0.0
12-12Denver (164.4)SBH72-62W100%0.0
12-19Washington (46.7)P10A54-89L0%0.0
12-22Idaho (173.2)WACH82-52W100%0.0
12-28Nevada (72.9)WACA69-78L0%0.0
1-2Army (247.3)PatH67-57W100%0.0
1-9Gonzaga (37.1)WCCH78-81L0%0.0
1-14San Diego (230.7)WCCA63-54W100%0.0
1-16St. Mary's (35.6)WCCA72-77L0%0.0
1-21Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCH79-39W100%0.0
1-23Pepperdine (304.1)WCCH80-64W100%0.0
1-28San Francisco (206.8)WCCA74-58W100%0.0
1-30Santa Clara (234.3)WCCA74-52W100%0.0
2-4Gonzaga (37.1)WCCA49-76L0%0.0
2-11San Diego (230.7)WCCH70-56W100%0.0
2-13St. Mary's (35.6)WCCH80-75W100%0.0
2-18Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA83-62W100%0.0
2-20Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCA68-77L0%0.0
2-25San Francisco (206.8)WCCH70-59W100%0.0
2-27Santa Clara (234.3)WCCH68-55W100%0.0
3-6San Diego (230.7)WCCN72-57W100%0.0
3-7St. Mary's (35.6)WCCN55-69L0%0.0