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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:76.0
Current RPI:76
Expected SOS:125
Current Record:22-10
Expected Record:22-10
Current Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-2
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:58
Expected OOC SOS:71


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for BYU.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Utah Valley (272.0)WACH85-54W100%0.0
11-16Long Beach St. (79.0)BWA66-65L0%0.0
11-25Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH75-68W100%0.0
11-28Belmont (98.0)OVCH95-81W100%0.0
12-2Utah (8.0)P12A83-75L0%0.0
12-5Weber St. (108.0)BSkyN73-68W100%0.0
12-9Utah St. (151.0)MWCH80-68W100%0.0
12-12Colorado (35.0)P12A92-83L0%0.0
12-18Central Michigan (156.0)MACH98-85W100%0.0
12-22Harvard (193.0)IvyN85-82L0%0.0
12-23New Mexico (141.0)MWCN96-66W100%0.0
12-25Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCN76-84W100%0.0
12-31Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA85-74L0%0.0
1-2Pacific (268.0)WCCA67-81W100%0.0
1-7Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH97-61W100%0.0
1-9San Francisco (228.0)WCCH102-92W100%0.0
1-14Gonzaga (46.0)WCCA68-69W100%0.0
1-16Portland (249.0)WCCA84-81L0%0.0
1-21Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA80-91W100%0.0
1-23Pepperdine (129.0)WCCA71-65L0%0.0
1-28Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH87-62W100%0.0
1-30Pepperdine (129.0)WCCH88-77W100%0.0
2-4Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCH70-59W100%0.0
2-6Pacific (268.0)WCCH72-77L0%0.0
2-11San Francisco (228.0)WCCA89-114W100%0.0
2-13Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA62-96W100%0.0
2-18San Diego (302.0)WCCA67-69W100%0.0
2-20San Diego (302.0)WCCH91-33W100%0.0
2-25Portland (249.0)WCCH99-81W100%0.0
2-27Gonzaga (46.0)WCCH68-71L0%0.0
3-5Santa Clara (251.0)WCCN72-60W100%0.0
3-7Gonzaga (46.0)WCCN88-84L0%0.0