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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Utah

Conference:P12
Expected RPI:274.0
Current RPI:274
Expected SOS:66
Current Record:5-25
Expected Record:5-25
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-11
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-4
Current OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC RPI:286
Expected OOC SOS:108


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
5-2516.67%274.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Utah.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Boise St. (173.0)MWCA80-59L0%0.0
11-19Montana St. (275.0)BSkyH64-70L0%0.0
11-24Harvard (35.0)IvyN47-75L0%0.0
11-25Massachusetts (76.0)A10N89-75L0%0.0
11-26NC Asheville (104.0)BSthN87-65L0%0.0
12-3Fresno St. (229.0)WACA82-52L0%0.0
12-7Cal St. Fullerton (157.0)BWH50-81L0%0.0
12-10Brigham Young (46.0)WCCH42-61L0%0.0
12-16Idaho St. (290.0)BSkyH71-59W100%0.0
12-19Portland (238.0)WCCH72-67W100%0.0
12-22Weber St. (70.0)BSkyA80-51L0%0.0
12-31Colorado (62.0)P12A73-33L0%0.0
1-5Washington St. (175.0)P12H62-60W100%0.0
1-7Washington (71.0)P12H53-57L0%0.0
1-12Stanford (97.0)P12A68-65L0%0.0
1-14California (37.0)P12A81-45L0%0.0
1-19Arizona (79.0)P12H51-77L0%0.0
1-21Arizona St. (252.0)P12H64-43W100%0.0
1-26UCLA (117.0)P12A76-49L0%0.0
1-28Southern California (270.0)P12A62-45L0%0.0
2-2Oregon (67.0)P12H68-79L0%0.0
2-4Oregon St. (135.0)P12H58-76L0%0.0
2-9Arizona St. (252.0)P12A57-52L0%0.0
2-11Arizona (79.0)P12A70-61L0%0.0
2-18Colorado (62.0)P12H48-55L0%0.0
2-23California (37.0)P12H46-60L0%0.0
2-25Stanford (97.0)P12H58-57W100%0.0
3-1Oregon St. (135.0)P12A77-67L0%0.0
3-3Oregon (67.0)P12A94-48L0%0.0
3-7Colorado (62.0)P12N53-41L0%0.0