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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Arizona

Conference:P12
Expected RPI:79.0
Current RPI:79
Expected SOS:113
Current Record:23-11
Expected Record:23-11
Current Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Record:14-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-1
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:78
Expected OOC SOS:84


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
23-1167.65%79.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arizona.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-7Valparaiso (95.0)HorzH73-64W100%0.0
11-9Duquesne (109.0)A10H67-59W100%0.0
11-13Ball St. (256.0)MACH73-63W100%0.0
11-17St. John's (159.0)BEA72-81W100%0.0
11-18Mississippi St. (75.0)SECN67-57L0%0.0
11-23San Diego St. (26.0)MWCH57-61L0%0.0
11-29New Mexico St. (59.0)WACA76-83W100%0.0
12-3Northern Arizona (337.0)BSkyH53-39W100%0.0
12-7Florida (30.0)SECA78-72L0%0.0
12-10Clemson (151.0)ACCH63-47W100%0.0
12-17Gonzaga (25.0)WCCN71-60L0%0.0
12-20Oakland (139.0)SumH85-73W100%0.0
12-22Bryant (340.0)NECH100-60W100%0.0
12-31Arizona St. (252.0)P12H68-51W100%0.0
1-5UCLA (117.0)P12N65-58L0%0.0
1-8Southern California (270.0)P12A46-57W100%0.0
1-12Oregon St. (135.0)P12H81-73W100%0.0
1-14Oregon (67.0)P12H57-59L0%0.0
1-19Utah (274.0)P12A51-77W100%0.0
1-21Colorado (62.0)P12A64-63L0%0.0
1-26Washington St. (175.0)P12H85-61W100%0.0
1-28Washington (71.0)P12H67-69L0%0.0
2-2California (37.0)P12A74-78W100%0.0
2-4Stanford (97.0)P12A43-56W100%0.0
2-9Colorado (62.0)P12H71-57W100%0.0
2-11Utah (274.0)P12H70-61W100%0.0
2-16Washington St. (175.0)P12A72-76W100%0.0
2-18Washington (71.0)P12A79-70L0%0.0
2-23Southern California (270.0)P12H70-54W100%0.0
2-25UCLA (117.0)P12H65-63W100%0.0
3-4Arizona St. (252.0)P12A87-80L0%0.0
3-8UCLA (117.0)P12N58-66W100%0.0
3-9Oregon St. (135.0)P12N72-61W100%0.0
3-10Colorado (62.0)P12N53-51L0%0.0