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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

Bradley

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:253.9
Current RPI:229
Expected SOS:78
Current Record:6-19
Expected Record:8-24
Current Conf Record:1-12
Expected Conf Record:2-17
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.01%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-3
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC RPI:200
Expected OOC SOS:133


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-2138.24%169.00.01%
13-2237.14%162.00.01%
12-2136.36%194.00.06%
11-2134.38%216.60.21%
12-2334.29%182.50.02%
11-2233.33%210.60.75%
11-2332.35%207.20.14%
11-2431.43%204.70.03%
10-2231.25%230.52.08%
10-2330.30%223.13.99%
10-2429.41%219.70.31%
10-2528.57%206.50.02%
9-2328.12%243.812.58%
9-2427.27%235.67.62%
9-2526.47%233.20.24%
9-2625.71%224.00.01%
8-2425.00%256.028.26%
8-2524.24%247.17.79%
8-2623.53%244.60.07%
7-2521.88%266.826.70%
7-2621.21%259.41.93%
6-2618.75%275.67.16%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Bradley.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Missouri Kansas City (243.1)SumH68-58W100%0.0
11-16Southeast Missouri St. (237.7)OVCH66-65W100%0.0
11-19North Dakota (252.1)GWCH78-69W100%0.0
11-22Wofford (163.4)SCH66-70L0%0.0
11-25Wisconsin (22.7)B10N43-66L0%0.0
11-26Nevada (62.2)WACN64-59L0%0.0
12-3Wyoming (56.9)MWCA66-49L0%0.0
12-6Northeastern (166.3)CAAH79-68W100%0.0
12-15George Washington (201.7)A10A66-67W100%0.0
12-17Drexel (69.6)CAAA73-68L0%0.0
12-20Western Carolina (257.8)SCH67-68L0%0.0
12-22Michigan (32.6)B10A77-66L0%0.0
12-28Wichita St. (16.5)MVCH51-90L0%0.0
12-31Indiana St. (138.6)MVCA77-66L0%0.0
1-4Southern Illinois (231.8)MVCH65-74L0%0.0
1-7Creighton (20.8)MVCH83-92L0%0.0
1-10Drake (142.8)MVCA82-74L0%0.0
1-13Wichita St. (16.5)MVCA78-41L0%0.0
1-15Northern Iowa (65.5)MVCH78-67W100%0.0
1-18Evansville (160.7)MVCA90-67L0%0.0
1-21Missouri St. (82.5)MVCH48-51L0%0.0
1-24Southern Illinois (231.8)MVCA77-60L0%0.0
1-28Creighton (20.8)MVCA73-59L0%0.0
2-1Evansville (160.7)MVCH62-92L0%0.0
2-4Illinois St. (109.3)MVCA78-48L0%0.0
2-8Indiana St. (138.6)MVCH0-034%-4.6
2-12Missouri St. (82.5)MVCA0-05%-18.2
2-15Drake (142.8)MVCH0-035%-4.3
2-18Loyola Chicago (309.5)HorzH0-071%6.2
2-22Northern Iowa (65.5)MVCA0-06%-17.0
2-25Illinois St. (109.3)MVCH0-020%-9.3