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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:306.0
Current RPI:306
Expected SOS:120
Current Record:4-27
Expected Record:4-27
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-8
Current OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC RPI:306
Expected OOC SOS:74


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Bradley.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Ball St. (179.0)MACH54-53W100%0.0
11-16Arizona (26.0)P12A90-60L0%0.0
11-19Virginia (3.0)ACCN57-82L0%0.0
11-20Seton Hall (19.0)BEN59-67L0%0.0
11-22Towson (150.0)CAAN60-62L0%0.0
11-25New Orleans (343.0)SlndH51-64L0%0.0
11-28Mississippi (96.0)SECH54-67L0%0.0
12-1Delaware (274.0)CAAA70-47L0%0.0
12-5North Dakota (218.0)BSkyH59-65L0%0.0
12-8UT Arlington (105.0)SBA97-61L0%0.0
12-20Boise St. (101.0)MWCA90-70L0%0.0
12-23TCU (174.0)B12H49-53L0%0.0
12-30Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA80-44L0%0.0
1-3Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH58-85L0%0.0
1-6Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH44-65L0%0.0
1-9Evansville (93.0)MVCA67-35L0%0.0
1-13Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA53-54W100%0.0
1-16Missouri St. (235.0)MVCH42-61L0%0.0
1-20Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH52-55L0%0.0
1-23Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA88-54L0%0.0
1-27Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH50-68L0%0.0
1-30Drake (325.0)MVCA80-70L0%0.0
2-2Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA77-71L0%0.0
2-6Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH63-58W100%0.0
2-10Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH43-54L0%0.0
2-14Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA75-60L0%0.0
2-17Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA71-59L0%0.0
2-20Drake (325.0)MVCH73-70W100%0.0
2-23Evansville (93.0)MVCH55-67L0%0.0
2-27Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA77-58L0%0.0
3-3Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCN74-66L0%0.0