Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Bradley   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Bradley

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:104.6
Current RPI:106
Expected SOS:62
Current Record:16-15
Expected Record:16-15
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-1
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:162
Expected OOC SOS:133


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1551.61%104.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Bradley.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA60-70L0%0.0
11-15Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyH74-69W100%0.0
11-22Wofford (68.8)SCH56-54W100%0.0
11-24Presbyterian (329.4)BSthH71-58W100%0.0
11-27Oklahoma St. (31.2)B12N57-68L0%0.0
11-28Illinois (71.9)B10N72-68W100%0.0
12-2Northern Illinois (262.5)MACA63-49W100%0.0
12-7Western Carolina (121.9)SCH67-75L0%0.0
12-16Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzH65-68L0%0.0
12-20Iowa St. (122.8)B12A68-87L0%0.0
12-29Drake (180.1)MVCA67-59W100%0.0
1-1Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCH81-86L0%0.0
1-3Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA69-81L0%0.0
1-6Indiana St. (87.5)MVCH91-85W100%0.0
1-9Missouri St. (90.5)MVCA69-88L0%0.0
1-12Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCA50-52L0%0.0
1-16Missouri St. (90.5)MVCH74-56W100%0.0
1-20Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCA57-55W100%0.0
1-23Evansville (249.4)MVCH74-64W100%0.0
1-27Creighton (114.4)MVCH68-73L0%0.0
1-30Illinois St. (75.7)MVCA47-66L0%0.0
2-2Drake (180.1)MVCH67-65W100%0.0
2-6Evansville (249.4)MVCA83-63W100%0.0
2-9Illinois St. (75.7)MVCH61-62L0%0.0
2-13Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCH68-59W100%0.0
2-16Indiana St. (87.5)MVCA69-75L0%0.0
2-20Drexel (147.2)CAAH76-60W100%0.0
2-24Wichita St. (42.8)MVCH75-73W100%0.0
2-27Creighton (114.4)MVCA71-82L0%0.0
3-5Creighton (114.4)MVCN81-62W100%0.0
3-6Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCN40-57L0%0.0