Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Towson   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Towson

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:264.6
Current RPI:265
Expected SOS:202
Current Record:10-21
Expected Record:10-21
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-5
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:304
Expected OOC SOS:238


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-2132.26%264.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Towson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Miami OH (145.1)MACH82-71W100%0.0
11-21Buffalo (108.3)MACH69-78L0%0.0
11-24Navy (264.0)PatA70-87L0%0.0
11-28Dayton (51.2)A10A69-74L0%0.0
12-2MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEH82-77W100%0.0
12-5Hofstra (145.0)CAAH64-84L0%0.0
12-12George Washington (149.3)A10H69-73L0%0.0
12-20Hampton (283.5)MEACH82-74W100%0.0
12-22Morgan St. (102.4)MEACA80-87L0%0.0
12-30Bowling Green (188.3)MACH69-70L0%0.0
1-2Georgia St. (248.0)CAAA61-70L0%0.0
1-4Old Dominion (26.9)CAAH71-87L0%0.0
1-6Hofstra (145.0)CAAA61-77L0%0.0
1-9James Madison (241.9)CAAA66-69L0%0.0
1-13Drexel (147.2)CAAH49-52L0%0.0
1-16Delaware (238.8)CAAA71-68W100%0.0
1-18Saint Joseph's (182.1)A10A57-64L0%0.0
1-20Northeastern (74.0)CAAH48-73L0%0.0
1-23George Mason (158.1)CAAH71-80L0%0.0
1-27Virginia Commonwealth (65.0)CAAA53-112L0%0.0
1-30NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAA58-53W100%0.0
2-2Drexel (147.2)CAAA55-97L0%0.0
2-8James Madison (241.9)CAAH81-78W100%0.0
2-11NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAH72-80L0%0.0
2-13Georgia St. (248.0)CAAH74-69W100%0.0
2-16Old Dominion (26.9)CAAA67-78L0%0.0
2-20Manhattan (226.2)MAACA62-78L0%0.0
2-24William & Mary (57.0)CAAA83-77W100%0.0
2-27Delaware (238.8)CAAH81-66W100%0.0
3-5NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAN91-74W100%0.0
3-6Old Dominion (26.9)CAAN56-86L0%0.0