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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Towson

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:311.0
Current RPI:311
Expected SOS:95
Current Record:1-31
Expected Record:1-31
Current Conf Record:1-18
Expected Conf Record:1-18
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:1-8
Current OOC Record:0-13
Expected OOC Record:0-13
Expected OOC RPI:305
Expected OOC SOS:63


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
1-313.12%311.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Towson.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Kansas (6.0)B12A100-54L0%0.0
11-14Michigan (14.0)B10A64-47L0%0.0
11-19Belmont (58.0)ASunN87-41L0%0.0
11-20NC Greensboro (231.0)SCN60-72L0%0.0
11-26Oregon St. (135.0)P12H46-66L0%0.0
11-30Massachusetts (76.0)A10A86-56L0%0.0
12-3George Mason (82.0)CAAH53-65L0%0.0
12-7La Salle (90.0)A10H51-89L0%0.0
12-10MD Baltimore County (339.0)AEH58-62L0%0.0
12-14Coppin St. (276.0)MEACA71-57L0%0.0
12-20Manhattan (149.0)MAACH62-81L0%0.0
12-23Vermont (134.0)AEH49-65L0%0.0
12-30Virginia (53.0)ACCA57-50L0%0.0
1-2Northeastern (172.0)CAAH48-57L0%0.0
1-4Drexel (64.0)CAAA60-27L0%0.0
1-7Old Dominion (103.0)CAAA75-38L0%0.0
1-11William & Mary (299.0)CAAH49-66L0%0.0
1-14Georgia St. (141.0)CAAA57-42L0%0.0
1-18Old Dominion (103.0)CAAH41-71L0%0.0
1-21George Mason (82.0)CAAA72-60L0%0.0
1-23Delaware (153.0)CAAA62-43L0%0.0
1-25Virginia Commonwealth (38.0)CAAH42-67L0%0.0
1-28NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAH66-61W100%0.0
2-1Hofstra (263.0)CAAA74-49L0%0.0
2-4Drexel (64.0)CAAH57-65L0%0.0
2-8Virginia Commonwealth (38.0)CAAA66-43L0%0.0
2-11James Madison (261.0)CAAH56-58L0%0.0
2-14Northeastern (172.0)CAAA70-51L0%0.0
2-18New Hampshire (296.0)AEA72-58L0%0.0
2-22Delaware (153.0)CAAH69-76L0%0.0
2-25James Madison (261.0)CAAA65-59L0%0.0
3-2Delaware (153.0)CAAN72-65L0%0.0