Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Drexel   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Drexel

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:147.2
Current RPI:148
Expected SOS:139
Current Record:16-16
Expected Record:16-16
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-3
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:169
Expected OOC SOS:100


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1650.00%147.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Drexel.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Saint Joseph's (182.1)A10A67-77L0%0.0
11-17Niagara (129.0)MAACA69-76L0%0.0
11-20Rutgers (160.9)BEA56-58L0%0.0
11-24Pennsylvania (301.4)IvyA58-49W100%0.0
11-27Vermont (123.5)AEH74-61W100%0.0
11-28Toledo (324.5)MACH69-59W100%0.0
11-29Cornell (47.6)IvyH54-61L0%0.0
12-2Villanova (14.4)BEA58-77L0%0.0
12-5Northeastern (74.0)CAAH49-47W100%0.0
12-13St. Francis PA (286.7)NECH57-35W100%0.0
12-18Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWA75-63W100%0.0
12-21Kentucky (2.8)SECA44-88L0%0.0
12-29Rhode Island (37.1)A10H79-80L0%0.0
1-2Delaware (238.8)CAAA58-62L0%0.0
1-4Georgia St. (248.0)CAAA72-57W100%0.0
1-6Virginia Commonwealth (65.0)CAAH75-72W100%0.0
1-9William & Mary (57.0)CAAH48-73L0%0.0
1-13Towson (264.6)CAAA52-49W100%0.0
1-16Old Dominion (26.9)CAAA48-71L0%0.0
1-20James Madison (241.9)CAAH78-57W100%0.0
1-23Hofstra (145.0)CAAH75-62W100%0.0
1-27Northeastern (74.0)CAAA61-48W100%0.0
1-31William & Mary (57.0)CAAA51-54L0%0.0
2-2Towson (264.6)CAAH97-55W100%0.0
2-6George Mason (158.1)CAAH73-60W100%0.0
2-10Hofstra (145.0)CAAA64-75L0%0.0
2-13Delaware (238.8)CAAH68-60W100%0.0
2-16Virginia Commonwealth (65.0)CAAA54-73L0%0.0
2-20Bradley (104.6)MVCA60-76L0%0.0
2-24NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAH69-75L0%0.0
2-27James Madison (241.9)CAAA67-64W100%0.0
3-5James Madison (241.9)CAAN65-77L0%0.0