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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Northeastern

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:172.0
Current RPI:172
Expected SOS:167
Current Record:14-17
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-3
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:145
Expected OOC SOS:113


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1745.16%172.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northeastern.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Boston University (190.0)AEA74-82W100%0.0
11-14Massachusetts (76.0)A10A83-67L0%0.0
11-19Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCH64-57W100%0.0
11-26St. John's (159.0)BEA64-78W100%0.0
11-30La Salle (90.0)A10A68-51L0%0.0
12-3Old Dominion (103.0)CAAH59-69L0%0.0
12-6Bradley (265.0)MVCA79-68L0%0.0
12-18Princeton (87.0)IvyH62-71L0%0.0
12-20Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACA56-53L0%0.0
12-22North Carolina St. (49.0)ACCA88-59L0%0.0
12-30Vermont (134.0)AEA51-53W100%0.0
1-2Towson (311.0)CAAA48-57W100%0.0
1-4NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAH62-70L0%0.0
1-7James Madison (261.0)CAAA56-68W100%0.0
1-11Hofstra (263.0)CAAA62-64W100%0.0
1-14William & Mary (299.0)CAAH64-50W100%0.0
1-18Georgia St. (141.0)CAAH60-57W100%0.0
1-21Drexel (64.0)CAAA71-53L0%0.0
1-23Old Dominion (103.0)CAAA69-57L0%0.0
1-25Delaware (153.0)CAAH62-61W100%0.0
1-28Hofstra (263.0)CAAH58-51W100%0.0
2-1Drexel (64.0)CAAH53-61L0%0.0
2-4Virginia Commonwealth (38.0)CAAA59-56L0%0.0
2-8Georgia St. (141.0)CAAA61-59L0%0.0
2-11William & Mary (299.0)CAAA79-54L0%0.0
2-14Towson (311.0)CAAH70-51W100%0.0
2-18Stony Brook (152.0)AEH69-76L0%0.0
2-22George Mason (82.0)CAAH85-82W100%0.0
2-25Delaware (153.0)CAAA82-72L0%0.0
3-2William & Mary (299.0)CAAN57-49W100%0.0
3-3Virginia Commonwealth (38.0)CAAN75-65L0%0.0