live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Hofstra

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:263.0
Current RPI:263
Expected SOS:142
Current Record:10-22
Expected Record:10-22
Current Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Record:3-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-5
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:190
Expected OOC SOS:185


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-2231.25%263.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Hofstra.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Long Island (80.0)NECH89-71W100%0.0
11-16Oregon St. (135.0)P12A82-72L0%0.0
11-19St. Francis NY (210.0)NECH63-59W100%0.0
11-22Florida Atlantic (207.0)SBH60-62L0%0.0
11-25Rhode Island (257.0)A10A85-73L0%0.0
11-26Cleveland St. (85.0)HorzN63-53W100%0.0
11-27Boston University (190.0)AEN68-61L0%0.0
12-3James Madison (261.0)CAAH60-62L0%0.0
12-6Wagner (93.0)NECA58-43L0%0.0
12-10Manhattan (149.0)MAACH59-68L0%0.0
12-17Binghamton (344.0)AEH82-62W100%0.0
12-22Colgate (295.0)PatH82-59W100%0.0
12-29Iona (40.0)MAACH83-75W100%0.0
1-2Virginia Commonwealth (38.0)CAAH63-80L0%0.0
1-4Delaware (153.0)CAAA67-66L0%0.0
1-7NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAA86-80L0%0.0
1-11Northeastern (172.0)CAAH62-64L0%0.0
1-14Old Dominion (103.0)CAAA69-61L0%0.0
1-18Drexel (64.0)CAAH50-56L0%0.0
1-21James Madison (261.0)CAAA69-71W100%0.0
1-23Virginia Commonwealth (38.0)CAAA61-49L0%0.0
1-25George Mason (82.0)CAAH50-55L0%0.0
1-28Northeastern (172.0)CAAA58-51L0%0.0
2-1Towson (311.0)CAAH74-49W100%0.0
2-4Georgia St. (141.0)CAAH43-59L0%0.0
2-8George Mason (82.0)CAAA72-62L0%0.0
2-11Drexel (64.0)CAAA78-67L0%0.0
2-14Delaware (153.0)CAAH57-71L0%0.0
2-18Siena (218.0)MAACH81-69W100%0.0
2-22William & Mary (299.0)CAAA75-71L0%0.0
2-25NC Wilmington (214.0)CAAH93-64W100%0.0
3-2Georgia St. (141.0)CAAN85-50L0%0.0