Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Elon   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Elon

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:269.0
Current RPI:269
Expected SOS:198
Current Record:8-23
Expected Record:8-23
Current Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-8
Current OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC RPI:255
Expected OOC SOS:183


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2325.81%269.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Elon.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Lipscomb (205.6)ASunA91-86W100%0.0
11-16Charlotte (77.8)A10N61-75L0%0.0
11-17Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthN46-69L0%0.0
11-23Hofstra (145.0)CAAA46-70L0%0.0
11-24Yale (267.0)IvyN65-69L0%0.0
11-29NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAH56-86L0%0.0
12-3Samford (262.1)SCA31-55L0%0.0
12-5Chattanooga (238.0)SCA82-63W100%0.0
12-13Wake Forest (40.6)ACCA50-90L0%0.0
12-17North Carolina St. (92.6)ACCA76-79L0%0.0
12-29Ohio (99.9)MACA59-71L0%0.0
1-2Navy (264.0)PatA73-79L0%0.0
1-7Furman (278.9)SCH48-53L0%0.0
1-9Wofford (68.8)SCH55-72L0%0.0
1-13Appalachian St. (100.4)SCA65-89L0%0.0
1-16Western Carolina (121.9)SCA81-83L0%0.0
1-21Samford (262.1)SCH49-50L0%0.0
1-23Chattanooga (238.0)SCH83-80W100%0.0
1-28NC Greensboro (249.3)SCA55-62L0%0.0
2-3Wofford (68.8)SCA56-72L0%0.0
2-6Furman (278.9)SCA66-55W100%0.0
2-8Western Carolina (121.9)SCH81-76W100%0.0
2-11College of Charleston (91.1)SCA77-80L0%0.0
2-13The Citadel (198.5)SCH72-77L0%0.0
2-17NC Greensboro (249.3)SCH70-65W100%0.0
2-20Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthA84-79W100%0.0
2-22Appalachian St. (100.4)SCH54-58L0%0.0
2-25Georgia Southern (288.0)SCA88-98L0%0.0
2-27Davidson (179.5)SCH96-99L0%0.0
3-5Davidson (179.5)SCN66-59W100%0.0
3-6Western Carolina (121.9)SCN57-68L0%0.0