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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:270.0
Current RPI:270
Expected SOS:254
Current Record:11-19
Expected Record:11-19
Current Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-8
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:282
Expected OOC SOS:286


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for FIU.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-20James Madison (103.0)CAAA64-61L0%0.0
11-21Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCN62-69W100%0.0
11-22Oral Roberts (148.0)SumN70-76L0%0.0
11-25LIU Brooklyn (254.0)NECH80-72W100%0.0
11-30Stetson (303.0)ASunH75-81L0%0.0
12-4Elon (160.0)CAAH71-77L0%0.0
12-6Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunH76-84L0%0.0
12-14North Florida (161.0)ASunA94-72L0%0.0
12-19Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA78-75L0%0.0
12-22Binghamton (299.0)AEA49-66W100%0.0
12-29Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH65-45W100%0.0
1-3Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH76-59W100%0.0
1-7Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAA72-75W100%0.0
1-9Marshall (128.0)CUSAA99-81L0%0.0
1-14Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH88-74W100%0.0
1-16Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAH60-66L0%0.0
1-21UTSA (347.0)CUSAA56-72W100%0.0
1-23UTEP (215.0)CUSAA69-79W100%0.0
1-28Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH69-72L0%0.0
1-30Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAH60-64L0%0.0
2-4UAB (88.0)CUSAA74-69L0%0.0
2-6Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA67-66L0%0.0
2-11UTEP (215.0)CUSAH74-84L0%0.0
2-13UTSA (347.0)CUSAH79-65W100%0.0
2-18North Texas (295.0)CUSAA77-75L0%0.0
2-20Rice (279.0)CUSAA86-70L0%0.0
2-27Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAA63-71W100%0.0
3-3UAB (88.0)CUSAH60-77L0%0.0
3-5Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH58-61L0%0.0
3-9UTEP (215.0)CUSAN85-77L0%0.0