live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Binghamton

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:299.0
Current RPI:299
Expected SOS:236
Current Record:8-22
Expected Record:8-22
Current Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-8
Current OOC Record:3-10
Expected OOC Record:3-10
Expected OOC RPI:303
Expected OOC SOS:241



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2226.67%299.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Binghamton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13St. Bonaventure (30.0)A10A63-53L0%0.0
11-15Army (214.0)PatH60-75L0%0.0
11-18Cornell (244.0)IvyA76-59L0%0.0
11-24Central Connecticut (351.0)NECA75-81W100%0.0
11-28Boston University (196.0)PatH65-75L0%0.0
12-1Colgate (241.0)PatH69-50W100%0.0
12-5Michigan St. (12.0)B10A76-33L0%0.0
12-7Oakland (116.0)HorzA83-72L0%0.0
12-12Buffalo (90.0)MACA80-64L0%0.0
12-15St. Francis PA (266.0)NECH61-67L0%0.0
12-22FIU (270.0)CUSAH49-66L0%0.0
12-29Mount St. Mary's (245.0)NECH62-53W100%0.0
1-2Penn (283.0)IvyA80-45L0%0.0
1-6Stony Brook (59.0)AEH52-62L0%0.0
1-9New Hampshire (177.0)AEA58-43L0%0.0
1-13Hartford (292.0)AEH72-76L0%0.0
1-18Albany (107.0)AEA80-59L0%0.0
1-21Vermont (126.0)AEH52-61L0%0.0
1-24UMass Lowell (261.0)AEA57-64W100%0.0
1-27UMBC (335.0)AEH66-57W100%0.0
1-30Maine (317.0)AEA74-63L0%0.0
2-3Stony Brook (59.0)AEA76-51L0%0.0
2-6New Hampshire (177.0)AEH55-59L0%0.0
2-8Albany (107.0)AEH56-69L0%0.0
2-11Hartford (292.0)AEA54-68W100%0.0
2-17Vermont (126.0)AEA78-64L0%0.0
2-20UMass Lowell (261.0)AEH81-77W100%0.0
2-24UMBC (335.0)AEA80-79L0%0.0
2-27Maine (317.0)AEH78-66W100%0.0
3-2New Hampshire (177.0)AEA56-51L0%0.0