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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Albany

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:215.0
Current RPI:215
Expected SOS:331
Current Record:19-14
Expected Record:19-14
Current Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:18-2
Current OOC Record:9-6
Expected OOC Record:9-6
Expected OOC RPI:165
Expected OOC SOS:320


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1457.58%215.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Albany.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Pittsburgh (96.0)BEA89-56L0%0.0
11-14Brown (313.0)IvyN77-68W100%0.0
11-15Syracuse (1.0)BEA98-74L0%0.0
11-21Monmouth (236.0)NECN85-49W100%0.0
11-22George Mason (82.0)CAAA66-46L0%0.0
11-25Navy (327.0)PatH69-62W100%0.0
11-27Fairleigh Dickinson (330.0)NECH81-62W100%0.0
12-5Siena (218.0)MAACA64-60L0%0.0
12-7Colgate (295.0)PatH87-63W100%0.0
12-17Cornell (181.0)IvyA85-82L0%0.0
12-19St. Francis NY (210.0)NECA64-76W100%0.0
12-23Dartmouth (328.0)IvyH82-74W100%0.0
12-28Maryland (105.0)ACCA83-72L0%0.0
12-31Mount St. Mary's (292.0)NECA64-65W100%0.0
1-2Hartford (307.0)AEH88-63W100%0.0
1-5MD Baltimore County (339.0)AEA72-89W100%0.0
1-8Stony Brook (152.0)AEA81-68L0%0.0
1-11New Hampshire (296.0)AEH86-63W100%0.0
1-14Maine (282.0)AEH76-75W100%0.0
1-16Boston University (190.0)AEA70-57L0%0.0
1-19Vermont (134.0)AEA73-69L0%0.0
1-25Binghamton (344.0)AEH74-68W100%0.0
1-28Hartford (307.0)AEA60-72W100%0.0
2-1MD Baltimore County (339.0)AEH87-76W100%0.0
2-4Stony Brook (152.0)AEH69-76L0%0.0
2-6Boston University (190.0)AEH78-81L0%0.0
2-9New Hampshire (296.0)AEA69-64L0%0.0
2-11Maine (282.0)AEA68-76W100%0.0
2-15Vermont (134.0)AEH47-50L0%0.0
2-18Rider (199.0)MAACH70-61W100%0.0
2-23Binghamton (344.0)AEA63-74W100%0.0
3-3New Hampshire (296.0)AEN63-45W100%0.0
3-4Stony Brook (152.0)AEN57-55L0%0.0