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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Yale

Conference:Ivy
Expected RPI:198.0
Current RPI:198
Expected SOS:174
Current Record:12-17
Expected Record:12-17
Current Conf Record:8-6
Expected Conf Record:8-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-6
Current OOC Record:4-11
Expected OOC Record:4-11
Expected OOC RPI:208
Expected OOC SOS:91


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1741.38%198.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Yale.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Sacred Heart (253.0)NECN85-82L0%0.0
11-12Saint Joseph's (82.0)A10A61-35L0%0.0
11-16Evansville (106.0)MVCA66-56L0%0.0
11-17Buffalo (215.0)MACN63-59W100%0.0
11-18Western Illinois (122.0)SumN59-47L0%0.0
11-21Vermont (134.0)AEA65-52L0%0.0
11-24Army (205.0)PatH86-83W100%0.0
11-29Hartford (187.0)AEH51-60L0%0.0
12-5Bryant (158.0)NECA62-64W100%0.0
12-8New Hampshire (293.0)AEA64-56L0%0.0
12-28Nevada (171.0)MWCA85-75L0%0.0
12-30St. Mary's (29.0)WCCA78-62L0%0.0
1-1Iowa St. (41.0)B12A80-70L0%0.0
1-4Holy Cross (251.0)PatA54-61W100%0.0
1-6Florida (7.0)SECH58-79L0%0.0
1-19Brown (241.0)IvyA65-51L0%0.0
1-26Brown (241.0)IvyH76-64W100%0.0
2-1Harvard (93.0)IvyA67-64L0%0.0
2-2Dartmouth (294.0)IvyA71-62L0%0.0
2-8Pennsylvania (280.0)IvyA59-68W100%0.0
2-9Princeton (124.0)IvyA65-69W100%0.0
2-15Cornell (248.0)IvyH61-68L0%0.0
2-16Columbia (273.0)IvyH75-56W100%0.0
2-22Dartmouth (294.0)IvyH78-67W100%0.0
2-23Harvard (93.0)IvyH66-72L0%0.0
3-1Columbia (273.0)IvyA59-46L0%0.0
3-2Cornell (248.0)IvyA70-79W100%0.0
3-8Princeton (124.0)IvyH71-66W100%0.0
3-9Pennsylvania (280.0)IvyH79-65W100%0.0