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Through games of Feb 4, 2012.

Yale

Conference:Ivy
Expected RPI:125.1
Current RPI:111
Expected SOS:217
Current Record:13-5
Expected Record:16-10
Current Conf Record:5-1
Expected Conf Record:8-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:1.19%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-1
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:101
Expected OOC SOS:276


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-580.77%65.00.01%
20-676.92%78.20.74%
19-773.08%90.04.49%
18-869.23%102.015.24%
17-965.38%115.727.34%
16-1061.54%130.328.73%
15-1157.69%147.016.96%
14-1253.85%166.05.71%
13-1350.00%185.90.77%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Yale.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Central Connecticut (228.0)NECN69-73W100%0.0
11-15Quinnipiac (166.4)NECA68-62L0%0.0
11-22Seton Hall (59.3)BEA73-62L0%0.0
11-26Army (289.8)PatA75-84W100%0.0
11-29Hartford (327.3)AEA69-74W100%0.0
12-3Vermont (160.3)AEH68-52W100%0.0
12-5Sacred Heart (238.3)NECA71-73W100%0.0
12-7Bryant (334.9)NECH76-59W100%0.0
12-18Rhode Island (256.0)A10A65-68W100%0.0
12-29Wake Forest (180.8)ACCA72-71L0%0.0
12-31Florida (15.6)SECA90-70L0%0.0
1-3Holy Cross (225.7)PatH82-67W100%0.0
1-14Brown (307.0)IvyH68-64W100%0.0
1-21Brown (307.0)IvyA60-73W100%0.0
1-27Harvard (45.6)IvyH35-65L0%0.0
1-28Dartmouth (321.3)IvyH62-52W100%0.0
2-3Pennsylvania (120.6)IvyH60-53W100%0.0
2-4Princeton (124.3)IvyH58-54W100%0.0
2-10Cornell (183.3)IvyA0-041%-2.6
2-11Columbia (157.1)IvyA0-038%-3.3
2-17Dartmouth (321.3)IvyA0-068%5.2
2-18Harvard (45.6)IvyA0-010%-14.2
2-24Columbia (157.1)IvyH0-062%3.5
2-25Cornell (183.3)IvyH0-065%4.1
3-2Princeton (124.3)IvyA0-030%-5.8
3-3Pennsylvania (120.6)IvyA0-029%-6.0