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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.


Expected RPI:207.0
Current RPI:207
Expected SOS:285
Current Record:16-14
Expected Record:16-14
Current Conf Record:8-7
Expected Conf Record:8-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-5
Current OOC Record:8-7
Expected OOC Record:8-7
Expected OOC RPI:132
Expected OOC SOS:160


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for NJIT.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Kentucky (11.0)SECA87-57L0%0.0
11-16South Florida (230.0)AmerA57-60W100%0.0
11-19Boston University (196.0)PatH90-76W100%0.0
11-21Lafayette (329.0)PatH80-66W100%0.0
11-23Providence (40.0)BEA83-76L0%0.0
11-27Albany (107.0)AEA74-73L0%0.0
12-5UMass Lowell (261.0)AEH90-77W100%0.0
12-7Kent St. (124.0)MACH75-80L0%0.0
12-10St. Francis NY (276.0)NECA86-92W100%0.0
12-12Columbia (132.0)IvyA65-56L0%0.0
12-20St. John's (246.0)BEA74-83W100%0.0
12-28Stony Brook (59.0)AEH61-83L0%0.0
12-30St. Francis PA (266.0)NECA65-77W100%0.0
1-2UMBC (335.0)AEH86-83W100%0.0
1-6Yale (44.0)IvyA83-65L0%0.0
1-9USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH78-80L0%0.0
1-14Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA82-78L0%0.0
1-16Stetson (303.0)ASunA59-71W100%0.0
1-21Jacksonville (289.0)ASunH83-63W100%0.0
1-24North Florida (161.0)ASunH80-94L0%0.0
1-27Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH72-81L0%0.0
1-30Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunA67-75W100%0.0
2-1Lipscomb (269.0)ASunA78-90W100%0.0
2-6Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunH78-59W100%0.0
2-11Stetson (303.0)ASunH74-70W100%0.0
2-13Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunH68-59W100%0.0
2-18North Florida (161.0)ASunA107-71L0%0.0
2-20Jacksonville (289.0)ASunA58-73W100%0.0
2-25USC Upstate (324.0)ASunA72-71L0%0.0
3-1Stetson (303.0)ASunH67-82L0%0.0