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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Lipscomb

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:209.3
Current RPI:210
Expected SOS:197
Current Record:10-13
Expected Record:13-17
Current Conf Record:6-6
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.15%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-3
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:195
Expected OOC SOS:132


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1456.25%123.50.08%
17-1454.84%149.40.26%
16-1453.33%170.60.25%
17-1553.12%137.80.50%
16-1551.61%161.51.76%
16-1650.00%153.81.29%
15-1550.00%187.03.08%
15-1648.39%177.26.94%
15-1746.88%168.91.81%
14-1646.67%202.211.07%
14-1745.16%193.39.50%
14-1843.75%182.31.41%
13-1743.33%214.322.22%
13-1841.94%208.13.86%
13-1940.62%199.70.47%
12-1840.00%225.222.55%
12-1938.71%221.20.93%
11-1837.93%237.60.07%
12-2037.50%213.00.03%
11-1936.67%238.610.04%
11-2035.48%238.00.05%
10-1934.48%258.30.26%
10-2033.33%254.71.56%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Lipscomb.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Gardner Webb (266.4)BSthH71-74L0%0.0
11-17Illinois (56.7)B10A79-64L0%0.0
11-19Illinois St. (109.7)MVCA78-70L0%0.0
11-22SIU Edwardsville (305.6)OVCN90-87W100%0.0
11-23Sacred Heart (237.3)NECN77-79W100%0.0
11-28Austin Peay (197.8)OVCH67-59W100%0.0
12-1Mercer (103.9)ASunH72-79L0%0.0
12-3Kennesaw St. (320.2)ASunH75-52W100%0.0
12-6Tennessee Martin (323.2)OVCH70-55W100%0.0
12-10Tennessee Tech (131.7)OVCA89-87L0%0.0
12-15Murray St. (26.6)OVCA89-65L0%0.0
12-19Memphis (33.8)CUSAA85-75L0%0.0
12-21Iowa St. (53.7)B12A81-64L0%0.0
1-2Jacksonville (282.9)ASunA71-77W100%0.0
1-4North Florida (177.6)ASunA82-61L0%0.0
1-6Belmont (53.1)ASunA74-85W100%0.0
1-14Florida Gulf Coast (212.7)ASunH80-84L0%0.0
1-16Stetson (263.0)ASunH104-103W100%0.0
1-21East Tennessee St. (192.3)ASunA65-73W100%0.0
1-23South Carolina Upstate (156.4)ASunA61-52L0%0.0
1-28North Florida (177.6)ASunH59-71L0%0.0
1-30Jacksonville (282.9)ASunH82-68W100%0.0
2-3Belmont (53.1)ASunH58-84L0%0.0
2-11Stetson (263.0)ASunA0-048%-0.5
2-13Florida Gulf Coast (212.7)ASunA0-034%-4.6
2-18South Carolina Upstate (156.4)ASunH0-053%0.8
2-20East Tennessee St. (192.3)ASunH0-051%0.2
2-23Mercer (103.9)ASunA0-013%-12.1
2-25Kennesaw St. (320.2)ASunA0-074%7.0